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October 30, 2025 2 mins
# Visa Stock Slips Despite Strong Earnings: Q4 2025 Performance Analysis & Future Outlook

Discover why Visa's stock dipped 1.62% despite beating earnings expectations in Q4 fiscal 2025. This episode breaks down Visa's impressive $10.7B quarterly revenue (up 12% YoY) and full-year performance of $40B in revenue with 14% EPS growth. We analyze the key growth drivers including processed transactions (up 10%) and cross-border volume (up 12%), while examining challenges like margin compression and litigation costs. Learn about Wall Street's bullish outlook with average price targets suggesting 15% upside potential, and hear our take on management's fiscal 2026 guidance for continued double-digit growth. Perfect for investors tracking payment processing stocks and anyone interested in how market leaders navigate competitive financial landscapes while maintaining strong shareholder returns.

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Transcript

Episode Transcript

Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Visa closed at three hundred forty six dollars and ninety
cents on October twenty ninth, twenty twenty five, down one
point six two per cent Despite strong quarterly earnings, The
payment processing giant reported fourth quarter fiscal twenty twenty five
earnings per share of two dollars and ninety eight cents,
beating consensus estimates of two dollars and ninety seven cents.

(00:21):
Net revenues reached ten point seven billion dollars, up twelve
per cent year over year and exceeding analyst expectations by
one per cent. The company's trading volume on that day
reached two point eight three billion dollars, ranking twenty sixth
in the market and reflecting sustained investor interest despite the
most stock decline. For the full fiscal year twenty twenty five,

(00:43):
Visa generated forty billion dollars in revenue, up eleven per cent,
with adjusted earnings per share climbing fourteen per cent to
eleven dollars and forty seven cents. The strong performance was
driven by ten per cent growth and process transactions reaching
two hundred fifty v seven point five billion, alongside twelve
percent growth and cross border volume Wall Street remains optimistic

(01:07):
about Viza's prospects. The average analyst price target stands at
three hundred ninety nine dollars and five cents, representing approximately
fifteen percent upside from current levels. The highest price target
reaches four hundred fifty dollars, while the lowest sits at
three hundred fifteen dollars. Raymond James recently adjusted its price
target upward to four hundred eight dollars from three hundred

(01:30):
ninety eight dollars, maintaining in outperform rating. However, headwinds exist.
Visa's net profit margin compressed to fifty point one percent
from fifty four point two percent year over year. The
company took a nine hundred three million dollar provision for
interchange litigation in the quarter, with total fiscal year charges

(01:50):
reaching two point six billion dollars. Operating expenses grew substantially,
driven by personnel costs and professional fees, offsetting revenue. Games
Management provided guidance for fiscal twenty twenty six, expecting adjusted
met revenue growth in the low double digits with earnings
per share growth in the low double digits range. The

(02:12):
company raised its quarterly dividend by fourteen percent. And authorized
twenty four point nine billion dollars in remaining share buybacks,
demonstrating confidence in shareholder returns. Morning Star rates Visa as
fairly valued at three hundred six dollars, suggesting current valuations
may be slightly optimistic relative to long term growth prospects.
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