June 18, 2023 • 11 mins
Louis Rosenberg - Mind Of Its Own : Will “General AI” Be Like An Alien Invasion?
According to surveys, approximately half of artificial intelligence experts believe that general AI will emerge by 2060.
Key Takeaways
According to surveys, approximately half of artificial intelligence experts believe that general AI will emerge by 2060.
Key Takeaways
- According to surveys, approximately half of artificial intelligence experts believe that general artificial intelligence will emerge by 2060.
- General artificial intelligence (also called AGI) describes an artificial intelligence that's able to understand or learn any intellectual task that a human being can perform.
- Such an intelligence would be unlike anything humans have ever encountered, and it may pose significant dangers.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:00):
The following in foecast is a presentationof the XVON Broadcast Network, x Soon
TV Channel and Roma McConnell Media Company, broadcasting from Canada to the world and
beyond. Mind of its own?Will General AI be like an alien invasion?
(00:23):
An alien species is headed toward Earth. Many experts predict it will get
here within twenty years, while otherssuggest it may take a little longer.
Either way, there is little doubtit will arrive before this century is out,
and we humans have no reason tobelieve it will be friendly. While
I can't say exactly what it willlook like, I am confident it will
(00:45):
be unlike us in almost every way, from its physiology and morphology to its
psychology and sociology. Still, wewill quickly determine it shares two key traits
with us humans, consciousness and selfawareness. And while we may resist admitting
this, we will eventually conclude thatit is far more intelligent than even the
(01:06):
smartest among us. No, thisalien will not come from a distant planet
in a fanciful ship. Instead,it will be borne right here on Earth,
hatched in a well funded research labat a prestigious university or multinational corporation.
I am referring to the first generalartificial intelligence AGI to demonstrate thinking capabilities
(01:27):
that exceed our own I know.There are some scientists who believe AGI will
not happen for generations, while otherssuggest it may never be attainable. That
said, researchers have surveyed large numbersof AI experts many times over the past
decade, and nearly half consistently predictAGI will happen before twenty sixty, and
(01:49):
with each passing year, the speedof advancements in the field of AI exceeds
industry expectations. Just this month,Deep Mind revealed an AI engine called Alpha
that can write original software at askill level that exceeds fifty four percent of
human programmers. This is not aGI, and yet it took the industry
by surprise, as few expected sucha milestone to be reached this quickly.
(02:14):
So here we are at a timewhen AI technology is advancing faster than expected.
A billions are being invested directly intoAGI research. In that context,
it seems reasonable to assume that humanitywill create an alien intelligence here on Earth
in the not so distant future,general AI minds of their own, that
(02:37):
first AGI will be hailed as aremarkable creation, but it will also be
a dangerous new life form, athoughtful and willful intelligence that is not the
slightest bit human, And like everyintelligent creature we have ever encountered, from
the simplest of insects to the mightiestof whales, it will make decisions and
take actions that put its own selfinterests first. But unlike insects and whales,
(03:01):
this new arrival will compete to fillthe same niche we humans occupy at
the top of the intellectual food chain. Yes, we will have created a
rival, and yet we may notrecognize the dangers right away. In fact,
we humans will most likely look uponour superintelligent creation with overwhelming pride,
one of the greatest milestones in recordedhistory. Some will compare it to attaining
(03:25):
godlike powers of being able to createthinking and feeling creatures from scratch. But
soon it will dawn on us thatthese new arrivals have minds of their own.
They will surely use their superior intelligenceto pursue their own goals and aspirations,
driven by their own needs and wants. It is unlikely they will be
(03:45):
evil or sadistic, but their actionswill certainly be guided by their own values,
morals, and sensibilities, which willbe nothing like ours. Many people
falsely assume we will solve this problemby building AI systems in our own image,
designing technologies that think and feel andbehave just like we do. This
is unlikely to be the case.Artificial minds will not be created by writing
(04:11):
software with carefully crafted rules that makethem behave like us. Instead, engineers
will feed massive data sets into simplealgorithms that automatically adjust their own parameters,
making millions upon millions of tiny changesto its structure until an intelligence emerges,
an intelligence with inner workings that arefar too complex for us to comprehend,
(04:32):
and no feeding it data about humanswill not make it think and feel like
us. This is a common misconception, the false belief that by training an
AI on data that describes human behaviors, we will ensure it ends up thinking
and feeling very much like we do. It will not. Instead, we
(04:53):
will build these AI creatures to nohumans, not to be human. They
will know us inside and out,able to speak our languages and interpret our
gestures, read our facial expressions,and predict our actions. They will know
what makes us angry. Happy,frustrated, and curious. They will understand
how we humans make decisions for goodand for bad, logical and illogical.
(05:17):
After all, we will have spentdecades teaching them how we act and react.
But still their minds will be nothinglike ours. And while we have
two eyes and two ears, theywill have godlike perceptual capabilities, connecting remotely
to censors of all kinds in allplaces until they seem nearly omniscient to us.
(05:39):
In my twenty twenty picture book onthis topic, A Rival Mind,
I portray the first a GI thatwe create us having a billion eyes and
ears, for it will have instantaccess to data from all over the world.
What I didn't point out is thatwe will still interact with this alien
through a body that looks very human, with two eyes and two ears,
and to face that smiles. Wewill give it this appearance to make ourselves
(06:01):
more comfortable. Think about that,when this alien finally invades, humans will
work to hide its true nature ina friendly looking shell. We will even
teach it to mimic our feelings,expressing sentiments like puppies are cute and life
is precious, not because it necessarilyshares these humanlike feelings, but because it
will be skilled at making itself seemhuman to us. As a result,
(06:27):
we want fear these aliens, notthe way we would fear a mysterious starship
speeding toward us. We may evenfeel a sense of kinship, viewing these
aliens as an offshoot of our owningenuity. But if we push those feelings
aside, we start to realize thatan alien intelligence born here is likely far
more dangerous than those from Afar.After all, the aliens we build here
(06:50):
will know everything about us from themoment they arrive, having been trained on
our wants, needs, and motivations, and able to sense our emotions,
predict our reactions, and influence ouropinions. If a species heading toward us
in flying saucers had such abilities,would be terrified. AI can already defeat
(07:11):
our best players at the hardest gameson Earth, but really, these systems
don't just master the games of chess, poker, and go. They also
master the game of humans, learningto anticipate our actions and exploit our weaknesses.
Researchers around the world are training AIsystems to outplan us, out negotiate
us, and outmaneuver us, butat least we want have to worry about
(07:35):
a physical battle between us and them. That's because we will have surrendered control
of our world before they even showup. We're already starting to hand over
critical infrastructure to AI systems, fromcommunication networks and power grids to water and
food supplies. And as humanity transitionsto spend more and more time in the
(07:56):
simulated metaverse, we will become evenmore successible to manipulation by AI technologies.
Unfortunately, we can't prevent AI fromgetting more powerful, as no innovation has
ever been contained, and while manyresearchers are working on safeguards, we can't
assume this will eliminate the threat.In fact, a recent poll by Pew
(08:18):
Research indicates that few professionals believe theindustry will implement ethical AI practices by twenty
thirty. How should we prepare?I believe the best first step is for
the public to accept that AGI willlikely happen in the not so distant future,
and it will not be a digitalversion of the human mind, but
something far more alien. If wethink of the threat this way, picturing
(08:41):
it as a fleet of ships thatwill intercept Earth in twenty or thirty years,
we might prepare with more urgency.To me, that urgency means pushing
for regulation of AI systems that aredesigned to monitor and manipulate the public.
Such technologies may not seem like anexistential today, as they're currently being deployed
(09:01):
for AI advertising instead of world domination, but still AI technologies that track our
sentiments, behaviors, and emotions withthe intention of swaying our beliefs are very
dangerous. The other area of concernis the aggressive drive to automate human decisions
with AI. While it's undeniable thatAI can assist greatly in effective decision making,
(09:24):
we should always keep humans in theloop. As I described in a
tete's talk on this topic a fewyears back, I firmly believe that researchers
should focus more on using AI toassist and enhance human intelligence, rather than
working to replace it. This hasbeen my focus over the last eight years,
and research suggests it's a fruitful direction. For example, a study published
(09:48):
in collaboration with Stanford Medical School showedwe can use AI to connect small groups
of doctors into super experts that canmake diagnoses with significantly fewer errors. We've
seen similar benefits across many applications fromthe United Nations using the technology to forecast
famines, to business teams making smarterpredictions and estimations. Whether we prepare or
(10:11):
not, the aliens are coming,and while there is an earnest effort in
the AI community to push for safetechnologies, there is also a lack of
urgency. That's because too many ofus wrongly believe that ascensioned AI created by
humans will somehow be a branch ofthe human tree, like a digital descendant
that shares a very human core.Unfortunately, that is wishful thinking. It
(10:35):
is far more likely that an AGIwill be profoundly different from us in just
about every way. Yes, itwill be skilled at pretending to be human,
but beneath that facade, it willthink and feel and act like no
creature we have ever encountered on Earth. To listen to all the shows on
(10:56):
the x Zune broadcast network, visitwww dot xzbn dot net. To watch
the x Zone TV channel. Exclusiveto SIMILTV, visit www dot similtv dot
com channel thirty two. Our mottois Dare to believe, dare to be
heard. The x Zone searching foranswers, demanding the truth. Do you
(11:20):
have any comments, suggestions, showideas, send them to admin at RALHIFMA
dot com for Roma McConnell Media Companyin London, England. I am brookemcguire.
The following in foecast is a presentationof the XVON Broadcast Network, x Soon
TV Channel and Roma McConnell Media Company, broadcasting from Canada to the world and
beyond. Mind of its own?Will General AI be like an alien invasion?
(00:23):
An alien species is headed toward Earth. Many experts predict it will get
here within twenty years, while otherssuggest it may take a little longer.
Either way, there is little doubtit will arrive before this century is out,
and we humans have no reason tobelieve it will be friendly. While
I can't say exactly what it willlook like, I am confident it will
(00:45):
be unlike us in almost every way, from its physiology and morphology to its
psychology and sociology. Still, wewill quickly determine it shares two key traits
with us humans, consciousness and selfawareness. And while we may resist admitting
this, we will eventually conclude thatit is far more intelligent than even the
(01:06):
smartest among us. No, thisalien will not come from a distant planet
in a fanciful ship. Instead,it will be borne right here on Earth,
hatched in a well funded research labat a prestigious university or multinational corporation.
I am referring to the first generalartificial intelligence AGI to demonstrate thinking capabilities
(01:27):
that exceed our own I know.There are some scientists who believe AGI will
not happen for generations, while otherssuggest it may never be attainable. That
said, researchers have surveyed large numbersof AI experts many times over the past
decade, and nearly half consistently predictAGI will happen before twenty sixty, and
(01:49):
with each passing year, the speedof advancements in the field of AI exceeds
industry expectations. Just this month,Deep Mind revealed an AI engine called Alpha
that can write original software at askill level that exceeds fifty four percent of
human programmers. This is not aGI, and yet it took the industry
by surprise, as few expected sucha milestone to be reached this quickly.
(02:14):
So here we are at a timewhen AI technology is advancing faster than expected.
A billions are being invested directly intoAGI research. In that context,
it seems reasonable to assume that humanitywill create an alien intelligence here on Earth
in the not so distant future,general AI minds of their own, that
(02:37):
first AGI will be hailed as aremarkable creation, but it will also be
a dangerous new life form, athoughtful and willful intelligence that is not the
slightest bit human, And like everyintelligent creature we have ever encountered, from
the simplest of insects to the mightiestof whales, it will make decisions and
take actions that put its own selfinterests first. But unlike insects and whales,
(03:01):
this new arrival will compete to fillthe same niche we humans occupy at
the top of the intellectual food chain. Yes, we will have created a
rival, and yet we may notrecognize the dangers right away. In fact,
we humans will most likely look uponour superintelligent creation with overwhelming pride,
one of the greatest milestones in recordedhistory. Some will compare it to attaining
(03:25):
godlike powers of being able to createthinking and feeling creatures from scratch. But
soon it will dawn on us thatthese new arrivals have minds of their own.
They will surely use their superior intelligenceto pursue their own goals and aspirations,
driven by their own needs and wants. It is unlikely they will be
(03:45):
evil or sadistic, but their actionswill certainly be guided by their own values,
morals, and sensibilities, which willbe nothing like ours. Many people
falsely assume we will solve this problemby building AI systems in our own image,
designing technologies that think and feel andbehave just like we do. This
is unlikely to be the case.Artificial minds will not be created by writing
(04:11):
software with carefully crafted rules that makethem behave like us. Instead, engineers
will feed massive data sets into simplealgorithms that automatically adjust their own parameters,
making millions upon millions of tiny changesto its structure until an intelligence emerges,
an intelligence with inner workings that arefar too complex for us to comprehend,
(04:32):
and no feeding it data about humanswill not make it think and feel like
us. This is a common misconception, the false belief that by training an
AI on data that describes human behaviors, we will ensure it ends up thinking
and feeling very much like we do. It will not. Instead, we
(04:53):
will build these AI creatures to nohumans, not to be human. They
will know us inside and out,able to speak our languages and interpret our
gestures, read our facial expressions,and predict our actions. They will know
what makes us angry. Happy,frustrated, and curious. They will understand
how we humans make decisions for goodand for bad, logical and illogical.
(05:17):
After all, we will have spentdecades teaching them how we act and react.
But still their minds will be nothinglike ours. And while we have
two eyes and two ears, theywill have godlike perceptual capabilities, connecting remotely
to censors of all kinds in allplaces until they seem nearly omniscient to us.
(05:39):
In my twenty twenty picture book onthis topic, A Rival Mind,
I portray the first a GI thatwe create us having a billion eyes and
ears, for it will have instantaccess to data from all over the world.
What I didn't point out is thatwe will still interact with this alien
through a body that looks very human, with two eyes and two ears,
and to face that smiles. Wewill give it this appearance to make ourselves
(06:01):
more comfortable. Think about that,when this alien finally invades, humans will
work to hide its true nature ina friendly looking shell. We will even
teach it to mimic our feelings,expressing sentiments like puppies are cute and life
is precious, not because it necessarilyshares these humanlike feelings, but because it
will be skilled at making itself seemhuman to us. As a result,
(06:27):
we want fear these aliens, notthe way we would fear a mysterious starship
speeding toward us. We may evenfeel a sense of kinship, viewing these
aliens as an offshoot of our owningenuity. But if we push those feelings
aside, we start to realize thatan alien intelligence born here is likely far
more dangerous than those from Afar.After all, the aliens we build here
(06:50):
will know everything about us from themoment they arrive, having been trained on
our wants, needs, and motivations, and able to sense our emotions,
predict our reactions, and influence ouropinions. If a species heading toward us
in flying saucers had such abilities,would be terrified. AI can already defeat
(07:11):
our best players at the hardest gameson Earth, but really, these systems
don't just master the games of chess, poker, and go. They also
master the game of humans, learningto anticipate our actions and exploit our weaknesses.
Researchers around the world are training AIsystems to outplan us, out negotiate
us, and outmaneuver us, butat least we want have to worry about
(07:35):
a physical battle between us and them. That's because we will have surrendered control
of our world before they even showup. We're already starting to hand over
critical infrastructure to AI systems, fromcommunication networks and power grids to water and
food supplies. And as humanity transitionsto spend more and more time in the
(07:56):
simulated metaverse, we will become evenmore successible to manipulation by AI technologies.
Unfortunately, we can't prevent AI fromgetting more powerful, as no innovation has
ever been contained, and while manyresearchers are working on safeguards, we can't
assume this will eliminate the threat.In fact, a recent poll by Pew
(08:18):
Research indicates that few professionals believe theindustry will implement ethical AI practices by twenty
thirty. How should we prepare?I believe the best first step is for
the public to accept that AGI willlikely happen in the not so distant future,
and it will not be a digitalversion of the human mind, but
something far more alien. If wethink of the threat this way, picturing
(08:41):
it as a fleet of ships thatwill intercept Earth in twenty or thirty years,
we might prepare with more urgency.To me, that urgency means pushing
for regulation of AI systems that aredesigned to monitor and manipulate the public.
Such technologies may not seem like anexistential today, as they're currently being deployed
(09:01):
for AI advertising instead of world domination, but still AI technologies that track our
sentiments, behaviors, and emotions withthe intention of swaying our beliefs are very
dangerous. The other area of concernis the aggressive drive to automate human decisions
with AI. While it's undeniable thatAI can assist greatly in effective decision making,
(09:24):
we should always keep humans in theloop. As I described in a
tete's talk on this topic a fewyears back, I firmly believe that researchers
should focus more on using AI toassist and enhance human intelligence, rather than
working to replace it. This hasbeen my focus over the last eight years,
and research suggests it's a fruitful direction. For example, a study published
(09:48):
in collaboration with Stanford Medical School showedwe can use AI to connect small groups
of doctors into super experts that canmake diagnoses with significantly fewer errors. We've
seen similar benefits across many applications fromthe United Nations using the technology to forecast
famines, to business teams making smarterpredictions and estimations. Whether we prepare or
(10:11):
not, the aliens are coming,and while there is an earnest effort in
the AI community to push for safetechnologies, there is also a lack of
urgency. That's because too many ofus wrongly believe that ascensioned AI created by
humans will somehow be a branch ofthe human tree, like a digital descendant
that shares a very human core.Unfortunately, that is wishful thinking. It
(10:35):
is far more likely that an AGIwill be profoundly different from us in just
about every way. Yes, itwill be skilled at pretending to be human,
but beneath that facade, it willthink and feel and act like no
creature we have ever encountered on Earth. To listen to all the shows on
(10:56):
the x Zune broadcast network, visitwww dot xzbn dot net. To watch
the x Zone TV channel. Exclusiveto SIMILTV, visit www dot similtv dot
com channel thirty two. Our mottois Dare to believe, dare to be
heard. The x Zone searching foranswers, demanding the truth. Do you
(11:20):
have any comments, suggestions, showideas, send them to admin at RALHIFMA
dot com for Roma McConnell Media Companyin London, England. I am brookemcguire.
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