November 4, 2024 • 36 mins
The numbers look good for Trump, but everyone has to vote. Obama's closing argument for Kamala is full of bald-faced lies. Media hypes outlier Iowa poll that shows Kamala ahead. What Clay saw on Saturday with Dave McCormick at the Penn State game. GOP is far more aggressive on cheating than in 2020. Virginia caller.
Follow Clay & Buck on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuck
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome in the day before the election. Election eve is
up on us. The numbers are looking good. We are
going to dive into them. We will run through a
lot of different battlegrounds. Let me give you a little
bit of a roadmap. Bernie Marino, next Senator from the
great state of Ohio, will join us at one thirty.
(00:21):
Senator Marsha Blackburn of my home state of Tennessee up
for reelection tomorrow, and then fresh out of prison, Steve
Bannon on with us. That is at Marsha Blackburn at
two eastern, Steve Bannon at two thirty eastern. That is
the direction the program is going to go. But today
is all about a simple message, which we will continue
(00:42):
to hammer home tomorrow. We are leading at halftime. The
early voting numbers are all in. I hope many of
you took our advice and went and got your vote banked. Already,
over seventy five million of you, that's basically half of
the expected electorate have already voted, including both Buck and me.
(01:05):
We have asked you for some time, Hey, get out there,
go vote. If you haven't done it yet, you don't
have any other options. It is time to pour the
steam on. It is time to flood the polls figuratively
not literally. Remember you, Fulton County. We want all of
(01:26):
you out there everywhere. Let's turn New Hampshire red. Let's
turn Virginia red. Let's make this election decided early on
the East coast. Let's get this done. Buck, I am
fired up. You and I have seen a lot of
data that is coming in on the early voting in
(01:47):
the battleground states. It is very, very positive. But you
can't rest on a halftime lead. We have to make
this too big to rig. We need to sprint through
the tape the finish line, win the poles close in
your respective state. You can tip back a brew, you
can kick up the feet, you can relax, but right
now is the time to get friends and family who
(02:09):
haven't voted out to the polls.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
If you have.
Speaker 1 (02:12):
Friends that are maybe low propensity voters that would be
voting Trump, but you not really sure whether they're reliable,
get them in your car, drive them directly yourself. It
is winning time. We've got the lead, Buck, I feel
really good about it. But we have to finish strong
and make sure that we don't let Kamala Harris, Joe
(02:32):
Biden tim walls up off the ground and give them
a chance to come back like the villains in a
horror movie and try to steal this.
Speaker 3 (02:40):
Democrats are in a quiet panic right now. I can
see it. I can see it in their eyes. Beyond
the Chardonnay and Xenix Hayes on Morning Joe and wherever else.
I can actually see that they are very nervous at
this juncture. The only way that they could end up
(03:01):
pulling this off at this point, and it's still possible,
to be clear, but they would have to defy the
odds dramatically. Now Trump defied the odds dramatically at twenty sixteen.
That doesn't mean it's impossible. It just means that right now,
the momentum is very clearly on the side of the Republicans.
(03:21):
Lessons were learned from twenty twenty and from the midterms
in twenty twenty two about getting the vote out earlier,
about mobilizing Now the lower propensity voters are able to
be or to have been able to be tracked down
by the GOP more efficiently. And I'll tell you this,
to bring out Barack Obama. Yeah, at this stage of
(03:45):
the game, we'd even mentioned that Kamala was on SNL
violation of the f or, FCC and probably FEC. But
she's not supposed to be able to appear a couple
days before the election without Trump getting equal time. I
saw your tweet. I agree Trump should ask for the
most favorable ninety seconds or whatever it is.
Speaker 2 (04:07):
I think they gave it to him. Buck.
Speaker 1 (04:09):
I think they gave him an AD during Sunday Night
football last night I saw I was watching. I think
they gave it to him. And I think they gave
him a NASCAR. I don't know if that's publicly team
in New York. Can you look that up and see
if it's been publicly confirmed, But I believe INBC paniced
they gave him two different spots during sporting events this
weekend on Sunday to make up for it.
Speaker 3 (04:31):
Yeah, I mean, but just goes to show you they
had to know. But with Kamal, they're desperate. Okay, there's
desperation now. Again, I want to be very clear. Desperation
does not mean that they can't win. They can, but
they are very concerned because right now the indicators are
going against them. Well, we mentioned the SNL thing, which
was also a ripoff of Trump's appearance on SNL in
twenty sixteen, So they're not even being creative about it.
(04:54):
Beyond that, though, Clay to bring out Barack Obama to
have him really lean into the very fine people Charlottesville hoax,
the lie that Trump said there are fine people on
both I don't know what greater active desperation you could
(05:14):
have as a Democrat than this, But I want you
to listen. Barack Obama, who's supposed to be above the fray,
and he's a genius and he's perfect. Here he is
with slander of Trump at the last minute. Play two.
Speaker 4 (05:28):
Maybe you're Muslim American or Jewish American and you are
heartbroken and furious about the ongoing bloodshed in the Middle
East and worried about the rise of anti Semitism. Why
would you place your faith in somebody who instituted a
so called Muslim band, who sat down for pleasantries with
(05:51):
Holocaust deniers, who said that there were very fine people
on both sides of a white supremacist Kelly Clay.
Speaker 3 (06:03):
Biden premised his entire campaign around this. Fact Checkers who
don't want to be laughed at have had to say, yeah, no,
it's a lie. It's not true. That's not a fair
version of what Trump was saying. For them to put
Barack Obama out there and to tell a lie as
blatant as if you like your doctor, you can keep
(06:23):
your doctor. I remember that one. I think this is
evidence of just how desperate straits they find themselves in.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
Yeah, And I'm look, this is disappointing from Barack Obama.
And there are some people who are dumb and I
think genuinely don't know what the truth of a story is. Sadly,
there are lots of dumb politicians on both sides, but
Barack Obama is not a dumb Democrat politician. To me,
to lie this blatantly is a sign of the panic
(06:53):
that is setting in that we have talked about on
this program for some time, Buck, which is, how does
Joe Biden now Kamala Harris win the state of Michigan
when if you go look at her margin and his
margin in twenty twenty, it was basically huge majorities of
Jewish and Arab voters in Michigan. And I started hitting
(07:14):
on this early because my wife is from Michigan, Buck,
and I've spent a lot of time in Southeast Michigan,
and I know how many Arab voters and how many
Jewish voters there are.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
This is a uniquely.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Of polygot region of the country in a battleground state
where Joe Biden owes his victory in Michigan to a
huge win with Arab voters and to a huge win
with Jewish voters, and given what's happened in the Middle
East since October seventh, I think it's going to be
very hard to reconcile those two and Trump, I believe,
(07:46):
on Friday was in a dearborn arabone coffee shop and
there were a lot of people cheering for Trump there.
So there are buck I think lots of people out
there who are Arab voters, who are Jewish voters, that
have changed their minds. And if I'm right about that,
that's the panic that's setting in. It's trying to figure
out a way to traverse that middle ground where you
(08:08):
still run up big margins in both parties. I think
both parties honestly do believe Trump would be better at
bringing peace to the region. And I think that's why
we saw Hamas attack after Trump was out of office,
as opposed to winning was in office. And to have
Barack Obama trotted out to try to feed that lie
that has been roundly debunked everywhere. It's just a continuation
(08:31):
of Kamala Harris's lie during their convention speech and Tim
Wallas's lie during their convention speech. They just don't care.
Speaker 3 (08:38):
I'll also tell you this everything because, as you know,
I spend a lot of time reading enemy enemy media
and watching enemy media, so I know what's going on
and clay all of their arguments about what the last
what the last minute change up is here, it's the
comedians joke about Puerto Rico or the Madison Square Garden rally,
(08:59):
or you know, they're they're they're picking things that nobody
is actually focused on in any meaningful way in the election.
But they're desperate, they're looking for something, oh, because they
want to encourage their side. They say, people are breaking
for Kamala Independence, hugely breaking for Kamala because of the
comedian's joke at the Madison Square garden. Really, we're really
going with that. That's that's our best last minute pitch.
(09:21):
And I think that one of the problems that the
Kamala campaign has had all along here is that their
primary motivator is hatred of Trump and fear of the future.
But they've tried to also simultaneously tell everyone that they're
about joy and and like happiness and unity. And these
(09:42):
are things that are in dramatic you know, these are
in contradiction to each other. You can't actually have the
center of your campaign be both. Trump says Democrats have
screwed this up. Biden stinks I'm gonna make things awesome.
But it's not about you know all, Kamala is the
worst person in the history of the world. It's look,
the Umber haven't done a good job. I'll do a
better job. You guys, remember what I did before. Let's
(10:04):
go game on. I think that's it, just objectively to
the degree I can be objective. I'm obviously a Trump partisan,
but objectively as much as I can say so, I
think that's a more positive message. And I think it
doesn't run into well which is it is? Am I
voting for you because Trump is hitler? Am I voting
for you because you know something about the economy?
Speaker 5 (10:23):
You know?
Speaker 3 (10:23):
Kamala to this day, I still don't even know what
her policy, what she plans to do. I will, actually,
I think I do know. I just know that she's
lied about everything that I think she's going to do.
The whole thing is a bait and switch. The whole
thing is meant to be a headfake.
Speaker 1 (10:39):
As basically their closing argument, Democrats have elected to go
with your garbage. You're a Nazi, you're an anti Semite,
some overlap there. You are, you are not smart, you
are not strong. If you're a woman and you are
are voting for Joe I mean of voting for Donald Trump.
(11:03):
These are not messages of joy. This is just a
direct attack. And let me say this, there isn't anywhere
near the same attacks to any degree on Kamala voters.
I haven't really seen any Republicans running for office ripping
to shreds Kamala voters personally over the choice that they're making. Now,
(11:24):
Kamala gets attacked, that's fair game, and certainly other candidates
get attacked. But have you seen anything the equivalent from
Republicans of alleging that people who vote for your opponent
or Nazis.
Speaker 2 (11:37):
I haven't.
Speaker 1 (11:37):
Republicans by and large have actually been the party reaching
out and saying, hey, we think we can fix this,
no matter what your background is, and crazily. Trump has
had the far more positive closing message. And that's why
if all of you run through the tape, we're going
to win. And Buck, I think we're going to know
who won by midnight on the East coast if Republicans
(11:58):
run through the tape. I don't think this thing is
gonna drag on for days. They may not officially announce it,
but I think the numbers are gonna tell us the story.
So you know, I had my mom's birthday weekend in Savannah,
and Savannah never disappoints man. I love that town. I
don't know, I've just always been such a fan of it.
I think it's probably my fifth or sixth, maybe more
(12:19):
weekend I've spent there just to go hang out. And
I was talking to my family and was talking to
friends who were texting and calling over the weekend, and
the one question they keep asking is, well, they say, is.
Speaker 2 (12:29):
Trump gonna win?
Speaker 5 (12:30):
Ya?
Speaker 3 (12:31):
This has become kind of running joke because they know
that I've been saying four months without fail, Yes, he's
going to win.
Speaker 2 (12:36):
He's going to win.
Speaker 3 (12:37):
Go vote.
Speaker 2 (12:38):
Don't do this thing.
Speaker 3 (12:38):
If don't say he's gonna win, no one's thinking to themselves. Oh,
my team's gonna win. I'm gonna stay home. No, you
want to be a part of taking back the country.
You want to make sure that you do your part
for putting points on the scoreboard here. So, but I
think Trump's gonna win. But here's the part of it also, Clay.
You know, no matter what, I don't think Arsad can
(12:59):
have any anxiety about it. What Trump did is incredible
and what he's done up to this point the campaign,
he's run, the messages that have been at the center
of the campaign, the standing on stage after being shot,
yelling fight, fight, fight, the showing up at McDonald's, and
the being the truck work, you know, doing the garbage
truck thing, all of it. Left it all on the field. Man.
(13:20):
You know, I've been a coach, You've been a coach.
I would say if this was my high school soccer
team again, I'd be like, I'm proud of you boys,
no matter what. And that's how I feel about the
right at this stage. And that's a good place to
be because we've done what we can. And if the
country is full of very unhappy and very emotionally unstable
people by a slight majority, we'll deal with it. You know,
(13:41):
That's how I feel about it. I have a total
serene confidence going into tomorrow, Come what may.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
I'd also add the Senate even if Trump were to lose.
I feel really good about the Senate. And it's important
for everybody out there to remember the importance of voting
down ballot because we could still have the House, we
could still have the Senate. To be close. But I
feel the most confident of all in Republicans taking back
the Senate.
Speaker 3 (14:05):
Yeah, and Kamma's not gonna have there's no political capital
to get Republicans to go along here with whatever her
agenda is. So the whole thing is is uh call.
It's all gonna be good, folks, I'm telling you, sir Inconfiden,
it's all gonna be good. I think we're gonna feel
great tomorrow night. But we find no matter what, you know,
it's not fine. Cyber criminals they're bad. They're out there.
They're everywhere. I get text messages on a regular basis,
(14:27):
and they're scams. Now, look some of them I sniff
out right away. Clay gets them too. I'm sure all
of you get them.
Speaker 5 (14:32):
You know.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
It's like, oh, you know, I'm a prince, I need
ten million dollars. You're like, okay, I'm not giving you money.
But what about when they see your Amazon package hasn't
been delivered?
Speaker 2 (14:39):
Just click here?
Speaker 3 (14:40):
What about when they say, oh this is I've got
mail from the IRS waiting for you at your old address.
Just click here right, all of a sudden identity theft happens.
It is that easy. The bad guys are sophisticated. You
need LifeLock to have your back so it doesn't happen
to you without you finding out about it and without
you having any redress. Right now, no one can and
protect you from all identity theft at all times. But
(15:03):
LifeLock scans so much online to give you the early
warning and the heads up. And if you do become
a victim of identity theft, a dedicated US based restoration
specialist will work to fix it guaranteed or your money
back terms apply. Easy to help protect yourself online with LifeLock.
This is just something you want to have, something you
gotta get done. Clay has it, I have it. I've
been a LifeLock customer on six years now or something
(15:25):
long time. Join now, say forty percent off your first
year with my name Buck as your promo code. Call
one eight hundred LifeLock or go online to LifeLock dot
com and use promo code Buck for forty percent off.
Speaker 2 (15:38):
You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. We
claim your sanity with Clay and Fun.
Speaker 6 (15:45):
Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Welcome back into Clay and Buck. We are on election
day before duty right now, which is it definitely feels
like that before the storm, you know, Clay, you ever
see those videos, the very eerie of like when a
tsunami is coming and the water all pulls out before
the deluge. Right, That is to me what today feels like,
(16:12):
even in the news media because everyone's just looking at
all of the early vote and tabulating. But it could
all change tomorrow, right, I mean, this is this is
where we are. All of a sudden, you could have
a huge surge or swing in a different direction. So
I feel like right now we feel good about it,
but there is this Hey, is there an election tomorrow? Guys,
because you need to get out there and get it done.
Speaker 1 (16:34):
I'm planning to get some sleep tonight. I want to
go to bed at a decent hour, try to get
seven eight hours, which is somewhat rare, and then I
don't know when I'm gonna sleep again, because I'm confident
that I really am that we're going to potentially know
based on the numbers. But you know this, I love
looking at the data. I like diving into it and
trying to glean what you can gather from it. And
(16:56):
I think we're gonna have enough East coast data Florida,
jor to North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire, maybe Virginia
as well that gives us a really good idea of
where things are headed, even if the networks are all
a little bit nervous to put their fingers on the
scale and so to say, tell us exactly what they
expect to happen.
Speaker 3 (17:17):
You know, I also am hopeful that we'll get some close,
some close calls that go the way of the Republican.
You know, our friend hung Cow, for example, in Virginia,
he's running a close one there in that Senate race.
I mean, that's an uphill climb. I get it. It's
not like Montana, where I feel like it felt like
that one has been in the bag for a little
(17:37):
while for Tim Sheehey. Although, go vote, don't listen to
any in the bag stuff.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Go vote.
Speaker 3 (17:42):
But I think that it's looking as good as it
can under the circumstances right now. If you had offered
me this clay, you know, if you could have gone
forward in time in the time machine and given me
this data, I would have said home run three months ago.
Speaker 2 (17:57):
Amen.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
Look, when your family owned rab it or radios walkie talkies,
you're able to stay in touch much easier. These are
new technology walkie talkies kind that allow you to connect
with people nationwide. That's because Rapid Radio is designed to
work on a nationwide LTE network. When you need to
connect with your kids or an aging parent instantly, just
push a single button, one touch connection. Rapid radios hold
(18:20):
a charge up to five days. True walkie talkie ease
with all the connectivity and technology of today, when it
comes to staying in contact with your kids, they can
get in touch with your kids while keeping them off
the Internet Internet. Get signed up today at rapid radios
dot com. You'll get up to sixty percent off, free
ups shipping from Michigan, plus a free protection bag. Ad
(18:44):
Code radio for an extra five percent off that's Rapid
Radios dot Com Code Radio. Welcome back in play Travis
buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with
us as we are.
Speaker 2 (18:57):
Pouring through on the eve of the election.
Speaker 1 (19:02):
And Buck, I don't know about you, but this film,
this election has felt a bit like Christmas to me
when you're a kid, where you know, you get the
Advit calendar out and every day you like pop it
and you're like, Christmas is never going to get here,
and then finally you get to Christmas Eve and you're
just so excited to see what the actual results are
going to end up being. And I feel like we
(19:26):
are finally, at long last there. And to your point,
as we went to break, you said, if you could have,
you know, said, hey, where are we going to be
three months out?
Speaker 2 (19:33):
This is where you would have wanted to be. I agree.
Speaker 1 (19:37):
I think it's important to put in context for everybody
out there. Although many of you will remember it, Trump
has never in his political career been in a stronger
position to win an election based on all the numbers
out there than he is right now. I think he
is stronger than he was in twenty sixteen. He is
(19:59):
definitely stronger than he was in twenty twenty, and significantly,
Kamala is much weaker than both Hillary and Joe Biden
were best case scenario for her. Right now, when you
look at all the polls, it's dead even, and a
part of me feels like buck. A lot of these
pollsters are just afraid to really come out and say
(20:19):
what they think is going to happen. Mean one of
the odds that all these would end up tied forty eight,
forty eight, forty nine, forty nine and so on, where
basically neither side wins. I understand it could be extremely close,
and maybe that's going to be the final result. And
all the polls were incredibly accurate. I think a lot
of these guys just don't want to get savaged for
being wrong on social media based on the result.
Speaker 3 (20:42):
Well, you know, they they came out over the weekend,
the Polster and Seltzer came out this Iowa poll that
had Kamala. It was Kamala up.
Speaker 2 (20:52):
Three or four, three or four depending on you.
Speaker 3 (20:54):
Yeah, a handful, but Kamala up substantially in Iowa. And look,
you know, I spoke to a few of our friends
that spoke to Ryan Ordosky, about this one right away.
Speaker 2 (21:04):
I was like, come on, man, he says.
Speaker 3 (21:06):
Look, she's got she's got a hootspu to put it
out there, Kamala Harris is not winning Iowa because if
Kamala Harris wins Iowa, it means she's going to win
every swing states. Trump is going to get absolutely annihilated.
That's just not happening. Okay, So I think Trump Trump
won Iowa the last time around by I want to
say eight points.
Speaker 2 (21:26):
I think eight.
Speaker 3 (21:27):
Yeah, it wasn't particularly close, substantial, I mean, it was
a substantial win. It wasn't like a point or two.
There's no reason to believe that there would be a
call it a ten to twelve point swing in favor
of Kamala Harris in Iowa this time around. Absolutely no way.
So I think there's a lot of wishful thinking going
on on that side. To your point, they'll clay about
(21:48):
how it's tied. It's tied, it's tied. That's what the
pulsters are saying. In all these different places. It is
within the margin of error. Probably in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
I mean, I think that's really a lot of these
have a margin of error. Of two to four percent,
depending and so given that that's what they're stating as
their margin of error depends on the poll. Obviously, you know,
(22:11):
I think if Trump wins Michigan and I Michigan's going
to be tough. But you know, maybe let's say Trump wins.
I feel very good about Pennsylvania right now, if nothing else,
based on the fact that you have seven hundred thousand
less early votes in for Democrats compared to twenty twenty.
If he wins Pennsylvania, he's probably gonna win it by
a point or two, right, I mean, it's not going
to be that much.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
So I spent the day Saturday in Pennsylvania. I flew
up to Pennsylvania on Friday right after we finished the show,
and I hung out with Dave McCormick, who all of
you need to go vote for. He's going to be
on with us, I believe, tomorrow as part of his
closing argument in Pennsylvania, and I went to the Ohio
State penn State game. Congratulations to all the buck Eys
(22:55):
out there. Bernie Marino is going to be on with
us at one thirty jd Vance. I bet was watching
that game in some way, and I always just everything
is anecdotal at this point, unless you're citing direct early
voting data. All of your experiences, in what you see,
how you feel, it's all very anecdotal. So with that
(23:16):
in mind, Buck, I didn't see Kamala flags. I didn't
see Kamala shirts. I didn't see Kamala supporters anywhere around
the Ohio State Penn State game. I saw Trump flags everywhere.
I saw MAGA hats everywhere. I saw Trump apparel everywhere. Now, fuck,
this is one hundred and ten thousand people going to
(23:38):
that game inside the stadium, probably another fifty or sixty
thousand people who are outside the stadium. Now, I'm not
saying that that is a one hundred percent reflection of
what's going on, but I do think it is an
interesting snapshot that I experienced on Saturday.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
Personally. Here's something else I'll tell you.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
I was with Dave McCormick all day in Happy Valley,
we went out to dinner the night before. Not one
negative word did I see from anyone in his direction. Now, Buck,
I go on the road for college football games all
the time. When you're wearing opposing team gear, it's pretty
(24:18):
common for fans to kind of raz the other side
to let him have it a little bit.
Speaker 2 (24:24):
Nothing.
Speaker 1 (24:25):
Not one person heckling us, not one person running by
with a video trying to embarrass us by screaming something
posting on social media didn't happen. I think Dave McCormick's
gonna win Pennsylvania if you guys show up and vote,
and I think Trump's gonna win Pennsylvania and Buck, I
think he may win Pennsylvania in a way that's somewhat
similar to John Fetterman, if you guys show up in
(24:47):
big numbers on election day. Based on the early voting
by the way, Democrats have about a four hundred thousand
lead right now. So this is definitely not a rest
on your Laurel situation. We're actually behind in Pennsylvania right now.
But if you guys storm the polls on election day
and you show up in big numbers, I think we
may have a situation much like with Fetterman Buck, where
(25:09):
we expected that that race to potentially drag on for
several days and then they ended up calling it that night.
I think we may know that Trump won Pennsylvania on
election night. I think that may well end up happening
if you guys show up and the reason why. And
this goes into the data. In twenty twenty, Democrats had
one point one million early votes absentee ballots, a one
(25:33):
point one million lead there. This year they're going to
have a lead of about four hundred thousand. So that
means there are seven hundred thousand less Democrat voters than
appeared in twenty twenty. Now Democrats will argue buck, oh,
all those people are going to show up on election Day.
Those people are going to be out there. They're going
(25:55):
to show up. Okay, maybe they're right and I end
up being wrong. I wouldn't bet on those seven hundred
thousand ballots ending up in person with IDs like we
saw in twenty twenty. So I like the numbers, but
we're down in Pennsylvania right now. I also think that
the commentariat catches its breath a little bit today. I mean,
(26:15):
as we sit here talking, but the commentariat catches its
breath because pretty much everyone's it's now all about getting
people to just go right. It's about the actual mechanics
of yes, voters showing up Like you're not really convincing
anybody I think in any meaningful way. That's right the
day before the election, whom to vote for. I think
(26:36):
you're just convincing them to go vote, or you're encouraging
them rather to go vote.
Speaker 2 (26:40):
That's a different Get.
Speaker 1 (26:41):
People in your cars, get people in your cars, and
get them to the polls. That you're right, we're at
the get people to show up and vote.
Speaker 2 (26:49):
Stage.
Speaker 1 (26:50):
The arguments for why you should show up the October surprises,
all of it is out the window.
Speaker 6 (26:55):
Now.
Speaker 1 (26:56):
It's basically who can mobilize and get the votes in
on all election day with the understanding buck that already
seventy five million votes are in and many of them
have been in for a couple of weeks. Now this
is basically two weeks ago you voted. I voted like
seventeen days ago, so my ballot's been banked for a
very very long time. And now it's just the question
(27:17):
of Okay, who's going to show And anybody who tells
you they know one hundred percent what's going to happen,
they're lying to you. And I also think it's worth
saying that everyone because we are very aware of the
anxiety that's out there. We get all the emails, we
get all of the messages of talkback messages about well,
what if they cheat?
Speaker 2 (27:36):
What if they cheat?
Speaker 3 (27:37):
We are more aware this time of how the system
can be abused and how rules can be broken than
we were last time. The Republicans have taken more preventive action,
and that's not just rhetoric. They tried some nonsense in Pennsylvania,
and this led to the Hugh Hewitt storming off that
interview at the Washington Post because Hugh was right, they
(27:58):
tried some nonsense in Pennsylvania to not allow people to
vote when they should have been allowed to vote. GOP
Chairman Wattley of the RNC CO chair with Laura Trump.
He brought a challenge right away. Judge came in said,
you're right, we need to extend this, we need to ameliorate,
we need to fix this problem. And you know, there
we go.
Speaker 5 (28:16):
Right.
Speaker 3 (28:16):
I mean, that's to me, that's an indicator of we're
not asleep at the wheel this time. We're also not
in a country that is terrorized by ongoing Democrat BLM
riots and everybody being told the double mask or they're
gonna kill grandma. Right, Like, things have changed a lot
since twenty twenty. So let's not let anxiety be an
unnecessary burden on our side.
Speaker 2 (28:38):
What if they cheat.
Speaker 3 (28:39):
We know, everyone knows, we're aware.
Speaker 2 (28:42):
We're watching.
Speaker 3 (28:43):
One of my only concerns people bring it up, Clay,
is if they get caught cheating in a big way,
things get ugly in a big way, right, you know
what I mean? Like that's I'm just hoping that we
get through this election without having to face a country
with the future of this country where it's clear that
there was a systemic effort to throw the election in
some way that's caught and they're caught red handed. That
(29:06):
I think could be a big problem. I do think
there'll be court challenges no matter what Trump's marginal victory is.
I mean, they will bring stuff, and they will bring
a whole, a whole arsenal Clay of election denihalism, that's right.
And it'll be Adam Schiff, and it'll be Kamala, and
it'll be you know, go go down the list all
(29:28):
the names of the last four years. We're all Trump
in January sixth and the insurrection, Liz Cheney. They'll all
be saying, Nope, you know, we don't buy it. We
don't agree with this Trump victory. He's too much of
a threat to the republic. Let me also hammer this buck. Men,
I know a lot of you. I do a lot
of Christmas shopping on Christmas Eve. Women tend to in
(29:51):
general in general.
Speaker 1 (29:53):
I'm sure you've seen this buck. Now that you're a
married man, be much better at planning than men are.
There are exceptions, but a lot of you men have
been like me. You're out buying Christmas gifts on December
twenty third, December twenty fourth. You tend to wait till
the last minute. Men are overwhelmingly voting for Donald Trump.
(30:14):
Make sure that you vote. And if you haven't voted yet,
you didn't listen to us.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
I don't want to hear that you have a sniffle.
Speaker 1 (30:23):
I don't want to hear that you woke up and
you don't feel that good. Oh I've got a little
bit of a tick in the back of my throat.
We told you to vote for weeks. You better man up,
you better woman up. You better get out and vote
if you are physically capable of getting out of bed.
That's the reality. If you wait until the last minute,
(30:45):
no excuses. Man up, woman up, roll in and get
your votes in. And we almost won last week. I'll
give you picks on Thursday pricepicks dot com. I named
Clay so close to another ten to one payout. We
won three of the four. I'll give you picks on Thursday,
but you get fifty dollars when you play five dollars.
(31:06):
All you have to do is go to pricepicks dot com.
Use my name Clay. That's Clay, and you get fifty
dollars when you play five dollars. You can play it
in California, you can play it in Texas, you can
play it in Georgia. You can play it in Florida,
thirty plus states. If you've been feeling left out California, Texas, Georgia,
(31:27):
this is for you. Prizepicks dot com, my name Clay.
Get fifty dollars right now. All you have to do
is go to prizepicks dot com my name Clay one
more time. Prize picks dot com. My name Clay. Need
a break from.
Speaker 6 (31:41):
Follyitics a little comedy to counter the craziness, So no
week The Sunday Hang a weekend podcast to lighten things
up a bit. Find it in the Clay and Buck
podcast feed on the iHeartRadio Wile or wherever you get
your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (31:56):
Welcome back in the Clay and bucking out the Pauls.
Speaker 4 (31:58):
We want to get you.
Speaker 3 (32:00):
We got some great guests lined up and we've got
a lot to get ready for here tomorrow. It's gonna
be wild thoughs Okay, we're gonna be in twenty four
hours plus a few hours seeing election day results come in.
I couldn't do the math on the fly there, but
you know what I mean, little more than a little
more than twenty four hours. We're gonna see election results
(32:22):
coming in. It's gonna be very exciting, and we want
to take some of your calls here have you all
way in? I was looking Clay for who are what
times are?
Speaker 5 (32:30):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (32:31):
We got Bernie Marino coming up next hour one thirty.
I just want to make sure I didn't tell you
right next. He's not up next, he's up after that.
So one thirty's also got Senator Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee
one of the best accents of any senator, maybe the
best elite level accent, Senator Marsha Senator Marshall Blackburn. And
(32:51):
then we've got Steve Bannon, fresh out of the Big House,
out of prison, refused to bend the knee to the
Democrat at witch Hunt committee man who stuck by his
principles on this. We will get into all that. John
and Roanoke, Virginia.
Speaker 5 (33:07):
What's up. Yeah, I was at the Trump rally yesterday
and I gotta tell you, it was the most amazing
thing I've witnessed in my life. My wife and I
had already voted, has had my twenty one year old daughter,
but she talked us into going anywhere. The crowd was incredible,
But what really hit me was, first of the spontaneous
(33:28):
diversity of these people who driven some of the many
hours to come was incredible. And on top of that,
the average age of the people in the crowd by
and large was under thirty years old. It was unbelievable.
The young people out there, and the venue held eighty
(33:48):
five hundred people filled up. There was enough people outside
watching the JumboTron to probably filled up twice again. And
it was electric. It was it was. And then the yeah,
the Crounter protest which they put down on the curb.
The counter protest had eight people in it. It looked ridiculous.
(34:09):
It looked like the Pardy almost.
Speaker 1 (34:11):
That's like the great line from Succession where they said,
it's actually way better if there's a lot of people
protesting you, because the fewer there are, the more awkward
it is. It was actually probably true, that's one of
There are a lot of great lines in Succession, but
like just one or two protesters makes it look awful. John,
I appreciate that. Let me tell you this, Buck, and
we were talking about this off air. For everybody out
there early states, to pay attention to New Hampshire, granted staters.
(34:37):
I think Trump could win New Hampshire. Latest poll has
it four or five, but almost everybody comes in and
votes on day of in New Hampshire, so Kamala Biden.
Biden won it by seven and twenty Hillary only won
it by like two thousand votes or something. In sixteen,
Trump almost won New Hampshire and Virginia. Biden won it
(34:59):
by ten. Seven in New Hampshire, ten in Virginia. Those
margins as they come in on the East coast states,
I think we'll tell you a lot about overall Trump
strength and turnout. I expect it to be closer than
it was in twenty which will be an important sign
for not only the Midwest, but many other states out
there as well.
Speaker 3 (35:19):
I'm telling you, Fortress Florida, We're going ten points or
more for Trump in this win. Very I feel very
confident in that one. Not quite at Tennessee levels of
Republican dominance, but we're working on it. Okay, we're getting
there slowly, but surely. I agree with you on the
outlier state that I'm just this is a gut feeling,
also based on some of the polling, but a gut
(35:41):
feeling that New Hampshire could be a big surprise to people.
I would love to say Virginia. We just had that
caller from Roano. I think Coma's gonna win Virginia, which
which hurts me to say it, but I think that
might be a little too steep of a climb for Trump.
That all said it's gonna be close, it's gonna be
a fight to the finish, and all you know, we
(36:01):
keep saying it because every fifteen minutes or so, we
get a whole new bunch of people that will tune in.
Some people will tune out because they got to go
do work or go hang out with the fam.
Speaker 2 (36:09):
Or whatever it is.
Speaker 3 (36:11):
We got Bernie Marino, speaking of last minute stuff Bernie
Marino in a critical Senate race. Let's not forget the Senate,
Let's not forget the House. Really, for the Trump agenda
to be a reality, we need unified to control the House,
the Senate, and the White House. I know that's asking
a lot, but it is very possible right now, especially
(36:32):
if those of you in Ohio play. We are dominating
many markets in Ohio. Correct, Ohio wins. It is time
for I don't know, they come up with some kind
of a cheer. Remember ThunderCats when they had like the
ThunderCats ho you know what I mean, They would yell,
oh yeah. We need some kind of a cheer for
our people to go out and vote.
Welcome in the day before the election. Election eve is
up on us. The numbers are looking good. We are
going to dive into them. We will run through a
lot of different battlegrounds. Let me give you a little
bit of a roadmap. Bernie Marino, next Senator from the
great state of Ohio, will join us at one thirty.
(00:21):
Senator Marsha Blackburn of my home state of Tennessee up
for reelection tomorrow, and then fresh out of prison, Steve
Bannon on with us. That is at Marsha Blackburn at
two eastern, Steve Bannon at two thirty eastern. That is
the direction the program is going to go. But today
is all about a simple message, which we will continue
(00:42):
to hammer home tomorrow. We are leading at halftime. The
early voting numbers are all in. I hope many of
you took our advice and went and got your vote banked. Already,
over seventy five million of you, that's basically half of
the expected electorate have already voted, including both Buck and me.
(01:05):
We have asked you for some time, Hey, get out there,
go vote. If you haven't done it yet, you don't
have any other options. It is time to pour the
steam on. It is time to flood the polls figuratively
not literally. Remember you, Fulton County. We want all of
(01:26):
you out there everywhere. Let's turn New Hampshire red. Let's
turn Virginia red. Let's make this election decided early on
the East coast. Let's get this done. Buck, I am
fired up. You and I have seen a lot of
data that is coming in on the early voting in
(01:47):
the battleground states. It is very, very positive. But you
can't rest on a halftime lead. We have to make
this too big to rig. We need to sprint through
the tape the finish line, win the poles close in
your respective state. You can tip back a brew, you
can kick up the feet, you can relax, but right
now is the time to get friends and family who
(02:09):
haven't voted out to the polls.
Speaker 2 (02:11):
If you have.
Speaker 1 (02:12):
Friends that are maybe low propensity voters that would be
voting Trump, but you not really sure whether they're reliable,
get them in your car, drive them directly yourself. It
is winning time. We've got the lead, Buck, I feel
really good about it. But we have to finish strong
and make sure that we don't let Kamala Harris, Joe
(02:32):
Biden tim walls up off the ground and give them
a chance to come back like the villains in a
horror movie and try to steal this.
Speaker 3 (02:40):
Democrats are in a quiet panic right now. I can
see it. I can see it in their eyes. Beyond
the Chardonnay and Xenix Hayes on Morning Joe and wherever else.
I can actually see that they are very nervous at
this juncture. The only way that they could end up
(03:01):
pulling this off at this point, and it's still possible,
to be clear, but they would have to defy the
odds dramatically. Now Trump defied the odds dramatically at twenty sixteen.
That doesn't mean it's impossible. It just means that right now,
the momentum is very clearly on the side of the Republicans.
(03:21):
Lessons were learned from twenty twenty and from the midterms
in twenty twenty two about getting the vote out earlier,
about mobilizing Now the lower propensity voters are able to
be or to have been able to be tracked down
by the GOP more efficiently. And I'll tell you this,
to bring out Barack Obama. Yeah, at this stage of
(03:45):
the game, we'd even mentioned that Kamala was on SNL
violation of the f or, FCC and probably FEC. But
she's not supposed to be able to appear a couple
days before the election without Trump getting equal time. I
saw your tweet. I agree Trump should ask for the
most favorable ninety seconds or whatever it is.
Speaker 2 (04:07):
I think they gave it to him. Buck.
Speaker 1 (04:09):
I think they gave him an AD during Sunday Night
football last night I saw I was watching. I think
they gave it to him. And I think they gave
him a NASCAR. I don't know if that's publicly team
in New York. Can you look that up and see
if it's been publicly confirmed, But I believe INBC paniced
they gave him two different spots during sporting events this
weekend on Sunday to make up for it.
Speaker 3 (04:31):
Yeah, I mean, but just goes to show you they
had to know. But with Kamal, they're desperate. Okay, there's
desperation now. Again, I want to be very clear. Desperation
does not mean that they can't win. They can, but
they are very concerned because right now the indicators are
going against them. Well, we mentioned the SNL thing, which
was also a ripoff of Trump's appearance on SNL in
twenty sixteen, So they're not even being creative about it.
(04:54):
Beyond that, though, Clay to bring out Barack Obama to
have him really lean into the very fine people Charlottesville hoax,
the lie that Trump said there are fine people on
both I don't know what greater active desperation you could
(05:14):
have as a Democrat than this, But I want you
to listen. Barack Obama, who's supposed to be above the fray,
and he's a genius and he's perfect. Here he is
with slander of Trump at the last minute. Play two.
Speaker 4 (05:28):
Maybe you're Muslim American or Jewish American and you are
heartbroken and furious about the ongoing bloodshed in the Middle
East and worried about the rise of anti Semitism. Why
would you place your faith in somebody who instituted a
so called Muslim band, who sat down for pleasantries with
(05:51):
Holocaust deniers, who said that there were very fine people
on both sides of a white supremacist Kelly Clay.
Speaker 3 (06:03):
Biden premised his entire campaign around this. Fact Checkers who
don't want to be laughed at have had to say, yeah, no,
it's a lie. It's not true. That's not a fair
version of what Trump was saying. For them to put
Barack Obama out there and to tell a lie as
blatant as if you like your doctor, you can keep
(06:23):
your doctor. I remember that one. I think this is
evidence of just how desperate straits they find themselves in.
Speaker 1 (06:29):
Yeah, And I'm look, this is disappointing from Barack Obama.
And there are some people who are dumb and I
think genuinely don't know what the truth of a story is. Sadly,
there are lots of dumb politicians on both sides, but
Barack Obama is not a dumb Democrat politician. To me,
to lie this blatantly is a sign of the panic
(06:53):
that is setting in that we have talked about on
this program for some time, Buck, which is, how does
Joe Biden now Kamala Harris win the state of Michigan
when if you go look at her margin and his
margin in twenty twenty, it was basically huge majorities of
Jewish and Arab voters in Michigan. And I started hitting
(07:14):
on this early because my wife is from Michigan, Buck,
and I've spent a lot of time in Southeast Michigan,
and I know how many Arab voters and how many
Jewish voters there are.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
This is a uniquely.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Of polygot region of the country in a battleground state
where Joe Biden owes his victory in Michigan to a
huge win with Arab voters and to a huge win
with Jewish voters, and given what's happened in the Middle
East since October seventh, I think it's going to be
very hard to reconcile those two and Trump, I believe,
(07:46):
on Friday was in a dearborn arabone coffee shop and
there were a lot of people cheering for Trump there.
So there are buck I think lots of people out
there who are Arab voters, who are Jewish voters, that
have changed their minds. And if I'm right about that,
that's the panic that's setting in. It's trying to figure
out a way to traverse that middle ground where you
(08:08):
still run up big margins in both parties. I think
both parties honestly do believe Trump would be better at
bringing peace to the region. And I think that's why
we saw Hamas attack after Trump was out of office,
as opposed to winning was in office. And to have
Barack Obama trotted out to try to feed that lie
that has been roundly debunked everywhere. It's just a continuation
(08:31):
of Kamala Harris's lie during their convention speech and Tim
Wallas's lie during their convention speech. They just don't care.
Speaker 3 (08:38):
I'll also tell you this everything because, as you know,
I spend a lot of time reading enemy enemy media
and watching enemy media, so I know what's going on
and clay all of their arguments about what the last
what the last minute change up is here, it's the
comedians joke about Puerto Rico or the Madison Square Garden rally,
(08:59):
or you know, they're they're they're picking things that nobody
is actually focused on in any meaningful way in the election.
But they're desperate, they're looking for something, oh, because they
want to encourage their side. They say, people are breaking
for Kamala Independence, hugely breaking for Kamala because of the
comedian's joke at the Madison Square garden. Really, we're really
going with that. That's that's our best last minute pitch.
(09:21):
And I think that one of the problems that the
Kamala campaign has had all along here is that their
primary motivator is hatred of Trump and fear of the future.
But they've tried to also simultaneously tell everyone that they're
about joy and and like happiness and unity. And these
(09:42):
are things that are in dramatic you know, these are
in contradiction to each other. You can't actually have the
center of your campaign be both. Trump says Democrats have
screwed this up. Biden stinks I'm gonna make things awesome.
But it's not about you know all, Kamala is the
worst person in the history of the world. It's look,
the Umber haven't done a good job. I'll do a
better job. You guys, remember what I did before. Let's
(10:04):
go game on. I think that's it, just objectively to
the degree I can be objective. I'm obviously a Trump partisan,
but objectively as much as I can say so, I
think that's a more positive message. And I think it
doesn't run into well which is it is? Am I
voting for you because Trump is hitler? Am I voting
for you because you know something about the economy?
Speaker 5 (10:23):
You know?
Speaker 3 (10:23):
Kamala to this day, I still don't even know what
her policy, what she plans to do. I will, actually,
I think I do know. I just know that she's
lied about everything that I think she's going to do.
The whole thing is a bait and switch. The whole
thing is meant to be a headfake.
Speaker 1 (10:39):
As basically their closing argument, Democrats have elected to go
with your garbage. You're a Nazi, you're an anti Semite,
some overlap there. You are, you are not smart, you
are not strong. If you're a woman and you are
are voting for Joe I mean of voting for Donald Trump.
(11:03):
These are not messages of joy. This is just a
direct attack. And let me say this, there isn't anywhere
near the same attacks to any degree on Kamala voters.
I haven't really seen any Republicans running for office ripping
to shreds Kamala voters personally over the choice that they're making. Now,
(11:24):
Kamala gets attacked, that's fair game, and certainly other candidates
get attacked. But have you seen anything the equivalent from
Republicans of alleging that people who vote for your opponent
or Nazis.
Speaker 2 (11:37):
I haven't.
Speaker 1 (11:37):
Republicans by and large have actually been the party reaching
out and saying, hey, we think we can fix this,
no matter what your background is, and crazily. Trump has
had the far more positive closing message. And that's why
if all of you run through the tape, we're going
to win. And Buck, I think we're going to know
who won by midnight on the East coast if Republicans
(11:58):
run through the tape. I don't think this thing is
gonna drag on for days. They may not officially announce it,
but I think the numbers are gonna tell us the story.
So you know, I had my mom's birthday weekend in Savannah,
and Savannah never disappoints man. I love that town. I
don't know, I've just always been such a fan of it.
I think it's probably my fifth or sixth, maybe more
(12:19):
weekend I've spent there just to go hang out. And
I was talking to my family and was talking to
friends who were texting and calling over the weekend, and
the one question they keep asking is, well, they say, is.
Speaker 2 (12:29):
Trump gonna win?
Speaker 5 (12:30):
Ya?
Speaker 3 (12:31):
This has become kind of running joke because they know
that I've been saying four months without fail, Yes, he's
going to win.
Speaker 2 (12:36):
He's going to win.
Speaker 3 (12:37):
Go vote.
Speaker 2 (12:38):
Don't do this thing.
Speaker 3 (12:38):
If don't say he's gonna win, no one's thinking to themselves. Oh,
my team's gonna win. I'm gonna stay home. No, you
want to be a part of taking back the country.
You want to make sure that you do your part
for putting points on the scoreboard here. So, but I
think Trump's gonna win. But here's the part of it also, Clay.
You know, no matter what, I don't think Arsad can
(12:59):
have any anxiety about it. What Trump did is incredible
and what he's done up to this point the campaign,
he's run, the messages that have been at the center
of the campaign, the standing on stage after being shot,
yelling fight, fight, fight, the showing up at McDonald's, and
the being the truck work, you know, doing the garbage
truck thing, all of it. Left it all on the field. Man.
(13:20):
You know, I've been a coach, You've been a coach.
I would say if this was my high school soccer
team again, I'd be like, I'm proud of you boys,
no matter what. And that's how I feel about the
right at this stage. And that's a good place to
be because we've done what we can. And if the
country is full of very unhappy and very emotionally unstable
people by a slight majority, we'll deal with it. You know,
(13:41):
That's how I feel about it. I have a total
serene confidence going into tomorrow, Come what may.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
I'd also add the Senate even if Trump were to lose.
I feel really good about the Senate. And it's important
for everybody out there to remember the importance of voting
down ballot because we could still have the House, we
could still have the Senate. To be close. But I
feel the most confident of all in Republicans taking back
the Senate.
Speaker 3 (14:05):
Yeah, and Kamma's not gonna have there's no political capital
to get Republicans to go along here with whatever her
agenda is. So the whole thing is is uh call.
It's all gonna be good, folks, I'm telling you, sir Inconfiden,
it's all gonna be good. I think we're gonna feel
great tomorrow night. But we find no matter what, you know,
it's not fine. Cyber criminals they're bad. They're out there.
They're everywhere. I get text messages on a regular basis,
(14:27):
and they're scams. Now, look some of them I sniff
out right away. Clay gets them too. I'm sure all
of you get them.
Speaker 5 (14:32):
You know.
Speaker 3 (14:32):
It's like, oh, you know, I'm a prince, I need
ten million dollars. You're like, okay, I'm not giving you money.
But what about when they see your Amazon package hasn't
been delivered?
Speaker 2 (14:39):
Just click here?
Speaker 3 (14:40):
What about when they say, oh this is I've got
mail from the IRS waiting for you at your old address.
Just click here right, all of a sudden identity theft happens.
It is that easy. The bad guys are sophisticated. You
need LifeLock to have your back so it doesn't happen
to you without you finding out about it and without
you having any redress. Right now, no one can and
protect you from all identity theft at all times. But
(15:03):
LifeLock scans so much online to give you the early
warning and the heads up. And if you do become
a victim of identity theft, a dedicated US based restoration
specialist will work to fix it guaranteed or your money
back terms apply. Easy to help protect yourself online with LifeLock.
This is just something you want to have, something you
gotta get done. Clay has it, I have it. I've
been a LifeLock customer on six years now or something
(15:25):
long time. Join now, say forty percent off your first
year with my name Buck as your promo code. Call
one eight hundred LifeLock or go online to LifeLock dot
com and use promo code Buck for forty percent off.
Speaker 2 (15:38):
You ain't imagining it. The world has gone insane. We
claim your sanity with Clay and Fun.
Speaker 6 (15:45):
Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (15:51):
Welcome back into Clay and Buck. We are on election
day before duty right now, which is it definitely feels
like that before the storm, you know, Clay, you ever
see those videos, the very eerie of like when a
tsunami is coming and the water all pulls out before
the deluge. Right, That is to me what today feels like,
(16:12):
even in the news media because everyone's just looking at
all of the early vote and tabulating. But it could
all change tomorrow, right, I mean, this is this is
where we are. All of a sudden, you could have
a huge surge or swing in a different direction. So
I feel like right now we feel good about it,
but there is this Hey, is there an election tomorrow? Guys,
because you need to get out there and get it done.
Speaker 1 (16:34):
I'm planning to get some sleep tonight. I want to
go to bed at a decent hour, try to get
seven eight hours, which is somewhat rare, and then I
don't know when I'm gonna sleep again, because I'm confident
that I really am that we're going to potentially know
based on the numbers. But you know this, I love
looking at the data. I like diving into it and
trying to glean what you can gather from it. And
(16:56):
I think we're gonna have enough East coast data Florida,
jor to North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire, maybe Virginia
as well that gives us a really good idea of
where things are headed, even if the networks are all
a little bit nervous to put their fingers on the
scale and so to say, tell us exactly what they
expect to happen.
Speaker 3 (17:17):
You know, I also am hopeful that we'll get some close,
some close calls that go the way of the Republican.
You know, our friend hung Cow, for example, in Virginia,
he's running a close one there in that Senate race.
I mean, that's an uphill climb. I get it. It's
not like Montana, where I feel like it felt like
that one has been in the bag for a little
(17:37):
while for Tim Sheehey. Although, go vote, don't listen to
any in the bag stuff.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
Go vote.
Speaker 3 (17:42):
But I think that it's looking as good as it
can under the circumstances right now. If you had offered
me this clay, you know, if you could have gone
forward in time in the time machine and given me
this data, I would have said home run three months ago.
Speaker 2 (17:57):
Amen.
Speaker 1 (17:58):
Look, when your family owned rab it or radios walkie talkies,
you're able to stay in touch much easier. These are
new technology walkie talkies kind that allow you to connect
with people nationwide. That's because Rapid Radio is designed to
work on a nationwide LTE network. When you need to
connect with your kids or an aging parent instantly, just
push a single button, one touch connection. Rapid radios hold
(18:20):
a charge up to five days. True walkie talkie ease
with all the connectivity and technology of today, when it
comes to staying in contact with your kids, they can
get in touch with your kids while keeping them off
the Internet Internet. Get signed up today at rapid radios
dot com. You'll get up to sixty percent off, free
ups shipping from Michigan, plus a free protection bag. Ad
(18:44):
Code radio for an extra five percent off that's Rapid
Radios dot Com Code Radio. Welcome back in play Travis
buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with
us as we are.
Speaker 2 (18:57):
Pouring through on the eve of the election.
Speaker 1 (19:02):
And Buck, I don't know about you, but this film,
this election has felt a bit like Christmas to me
when you're a kid, where you know, you get the
Advit calendar out and every day you like pop it
and you're like, Christmas is never going to get here,
and then finally you get to Christmas Eve and you're
just so excited to see what the actual results are
going to end up being. And I feel like we
(19:26):
are finally, at long last there. And to your point,
as we went to break, you said, if you could have,
you know, said, hey, where are we going to be
three months out?
Speaker 2 (19:33):
This is where you would have wanted to be. I agree.
Speaker 1 (19:37):
I think it's important to put in context for everybody
out there. Although many of you will remember it, Trump
has never in his political career been in a stronger
position to win an election based on all the numbers
out there than he is right now. I think he
is stronger than he was in twenty sixteen. He is
(19:59):
definitely stronger than he was in twenty twenty, and significantly,
Kamala is much weaker than both Hillary and Joe Biden
were best case scenario for her. Right now, when you
look at all the polls, it's dead even, and a
part of me feels like buck. A lot of these
pollsters are just afraid to really come out and say
(20:19):
what they think is going to happen. Mean one of
the odds that all these would end up tied forty eight,
forty eight, forty nine, forty nine and so on, where
basically neither side wins. I understand it could be extremely close,
and maybe that's going to be the final result. And
all the polls were incredibly accurate. I think a lot
of these guys just don't want to get savaged for
being wrong on social media based on the result.
Speaker 3 (20:42):
Well, you know, they they came out over the weekend,
the Polster and Seltzer came out this Iowa poll that
had Kamala. It was Kamala up.
Speaker 2 (20:52):
Three or four, three or four depending on you.
Speaker 3 (20:54):
Yeah, a handful, but Kamala up substantially in Iowa. And look,
you know, I spoke to a few of our friends
that spoke to Ryan Ordosky, about this one right away.
Speaker 2 (21:04):
I was like, come on, man, he says.
Speaker 3 (21:06):
Look, she's got she's got a hootspu to put it
out there, Kamala Harris is not winning Iowa because if
Kamala Harris wins Iowa, it means she's going to win
every swing states. Trump is going to get absolutely annihilated.
That's just not happening. Okay, So I think Trump Trump
won Iowa the last time around by I want to
say eight points.
Speaker 2 (21:26):
I think eight.
Speaker 3 (21:27):
Yeah, it wasn't particularly close, substantial, I mean, it was
a substantial win. It wasn't like a point or two.
There's no reason to believe that there would be a
call it a ten to twelve point swing in favor
of Kamala Harris in Iowa this time around. Absolutely no way.
So I think there's a lot of wishful thinking going
on on that side. To your point, they'll clay about
(21:48):
how it's tied. It's tied, it's tied. That's what the
pulsters are saying. In all these different places. It is
within the margin of error. Probably in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
I mean, I think that's really a lot of these
have a margin of error. Of two to four percent,
depending and so given that that's what they're stating as
their margin of error depends on the poll. Obviously, you know,
(22:11):
I think if Trump wins Michigan and I Michigan's going
to be tough. But you know, maybe let's say Trump wins.
I feel very good about Pennsylvania right now, if nothing else,
based on the fact that you have seven hundred thousand
less early votes in for Democrats compared to twenty twenty.
If he wins Pennsylvania, he's probably gonna win it by
a point or two, right, I mean, it's not going
to be that much.
Speaker 1 (22:32):
So I spent the day Saturday in Pennsylvania. I flew
up to Pennsylvania on Friday right after we finished the show,
and I hung out with Dave McCormick, who all of
you need to go vote for. He's going to be
on with us, I believe, tomorrow as part of his
closing argument in Pennsylvania, and I went to the Ohio
State penn State game. Congratulations to all the buck Eys
(22:55):
out there. Bernie Marino is going to be on with
us at one thirty jd Vance. I bet was watching
that game in some way, and I always just everything
is anecdotal at this point, unless you're citing direct early
voting data. All of your experiences, in what you see,
how you feel, it's all very anecdotal. So with that
(23:16):
in mind, Buck, I didn't see Kamala flags. I didn't
see Kamala shirts. I didn't see Kamala supporters anywhere around
the Ohio State Penn State game. I saw Trump flags everywhere.
I saw MAGA hats everywhere. I saw Trump apparel everywhere. Now, fuck,
this is one hundred and ten thousand people going to
(23:38):
that game inside the stadium, probably another fifty or sixty
thousand people who are outside the stadium. Now, I'm not
saying that that is a one hundred percent reflection of
what's going on, but I do think it is an
interesting snapshot that I experienced on Saturday.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
Personally. Here's something else I'll tell you.
Speaker 1 (23:58):
I was with Dave McCormick all day in Happy Valley,
we went out to dinner the night before. Not one
negative word did I see from anyone in his direction. Now, Buck,
I go on the road for college football games all
the time. When you're wearing opposing team gear, it's pretty
(24:18):
common for fans to kind of raz the other side
to let him have it a little bit.
Speaker 2 (24:24):
Nothing.
Speaker 1 (24:25):
Not one person heckling us, not one person running by
with a video trying to embarrass us by screaming something
posting on social media didn't happen. I think Dave McCormick's
gonna win Pennsylvania if you guys show up and vote,
and I think Trump's gonna win Pennsylvania and Buck, I
think he may win Pennsylvania in a way that's somewhat
similar to John Fetterman, if you guys show up in
(24:47):
big numbers on election day. Based on the early voting
by the way, Democrats have about a four hundred thousand
lead right now. So this is definitely not a rest
on your Laurel situation. We're actually behind in Pennsylvania right now.
But if you guys storm the polls on election day
and you show up in big numbers, I think we
may have a situation much like with Fetterman Buck, where
(25:09):
we expected that that race to potentially drag on for
several days and then they ended up calling it that night.
I think we may know that Trump won Pennsylvania on
election night. I think that may well end up happening
if you guys show up and the reason why. And
this goes into the data. In twenty twenty, Democrats had
one point one million early votes absentee ballots, a one
(25:33):
point one million lead there. This year they're going to
have a lead of about four hundred thousand. So that
means there are seven hundred thousand less Democrat voters than
appeared in twenty twenty. Now Democrats will argue buck, oh,
all those people are going to show up on election Day.
Those people are going to be out there. They're going
(25:55):
to show up. Okay, maybe they're right and I end
up being wrong. I wouldn't bet on those seven hundred
thousand ballots ending up in person with IDs like we
saw in twenty twenty. So I like the numbers, but
we're down in Pennsylvania right now. I also think that
the commentariat catches its breath a little bit today. I mean,
(26:15):
as we sit here talking, but the commentariat catches its
breath because pretty much everyone's it's now all about getting
people to just go right. It's about the actual mechanics
of yes, voters showing up Like you're not really convincing
anybody I think in any meaningful way. That's right the
day before the election, whom to vote for. I think
(26:36):
you're just convincing them to go vote, or you're encouraging
them rather to go vote.
Speaker 2 (26:40):
That's a different Get.
Speaker 1 (26:41):
People in your cars, get people in your cars, and
get them to the polls. That you're right, we're at
the get people to show up and vote.
Speaker 2 (26:49):
Stage.
Speaker 1 (26:50):
The arguments for why you should show up the October surprises,
all of it is out the window.
Speaker 6 (26:55):
Now.
Speaker 1 (26:56):
It's basically who can mobilize and get the votes in
on all election day with the understanding buck that already
seventy five million votes are in and many of them
have been in for a couple of weeks. Now this
is basically two weeks ago you voted. I voted like
seventeen days ago, so my ballot's been banked for a
very very long time. And now it's just the question
(27:17):
of Okay, who's going to show And anybody who tells
you they know one hundred percent what's going to happen,
they're lying to you. And I also think it's worth
saying that everyone because we are very aware of the
anxiety that's out there. We get all the emails, we
get all of the messages of talkback messages about well,
what if they cheat?
Speaker 2 (27:36):
What if they cheat?
Speaker 3 (27:37):
We are more aware this time of how the system
can be abused and how rules can be broken than
we were last time. The Republicans have taken more preventive action,
and that's not just rhetoric. They tried some nonsense in Pennsylvania,
and this led to the Hugh Hewitt storming off that
interview at the Washington Post because Hugh was right, they
(27:58):
tried some nonsense in Pennsylvania to not allow people to
vote when they should have been allowed to vote. GOP
Chairman Wattley of the RNC CO chair with Laura Trump.
He brought a challenge right away. Judge came in said,
you're right, we need to extend this, we need to ameliorate,
we need to fix this problem. And you know, there
we go.
Speaker 5 (28:16):
Right.
Speaker 3 (28:16):
I mean, that's to me, that's an indicator of we're
not asleep at the wheel this time. We're also not
in a country that is terrorized by ongoing Democrat BLM
riots and everybody being told the double mask or they're
gonna kill grandma. Right, Like, things have changed a lot
since twenty twenty. So let's not let anxiety be an
unnecessary burden on our side.
Speaker 2 (28:38):
What if they cheat.
Speaker 3 (28:39):
We know, everyone knows, we're aware.
Speaker 2 (28:42):
We're watching.
Speaker 3 (28:43):
One of my only concerns people bring it up, Clay,
is if they get caught cheating in a big way,
things get ugly in a big way, right, you know
what I mean? Like that's I'm just hoping that we
get through this election without having to face a country
with the future of this country where it's clear that
there was a systemic effort to throw the election in
some way that's caught and they're caught red handed. That
(29:06):
I think could be a big problem. I do think
there'll be court challenges no matter what Trump's marginal victory is.
I mean, they will bring stuff, and they will bring
a whole, a whole arsenal Clay of election denihalism, that's right.
And it'll be Adam Schiff, and it'll be Kamala, and
it'll be you know, go go down the list all
(29:28):
the names of the last four years. We're all Trump
in January sixth and the insurrection, Liz Cheney. They'll all
be saying, Nope, you know, we don't buy it. We
don't agree with this Trump victory. He's too much of
a threat to the republic. Let me also hammer this buck. Men,
I know a lot of you. I do a lot
of Christmas shopping on Christmas Eve. Women tend to in
(29:51):
general in general.
Speaker 1 (29:53):
I'm sure you've seen this buck. Now that you're a
married man, be much better at planning than men are.
There are exceptions, but a lot of you men have
been like me. You're out buying Christmas gifts on December
twenty third, December twenty fourth. You tend to wait till
the last minute. Men are overwhelmingly voting for Donald Trump.
(30:14):
Make sure that you vote. And if you haven't voted yet,
you didn't listen to us.
Speaker 2 (30:20):
I don't want to hear that you have a sniffle.
Speaker 1 (30:23):
I don't want to hear that you woke up and
you don't feel that good. Oh I've got a little
bit of a tick in the back of my throat.
We told you to vote for weeks. You better man up,
you better woman up. You better get out and vote
if you are physically capable of getting out of bed.
That's the reality. If you wait until the last minute,
(30:45):
no excuses. Man up, woman up, roll in and get
your votes in. And we almost won last week. I'll
give you picks on Thursday pricepicks dot com. I named
Clay so close to another ten to one payout. We
won three of the four. I'll give you picks on Thursday,
but you get fifty dollars when you play five dollars.
(31:06):
All you have to do is go to pricepicks dot com.
Use my name Clay. That's Clay, and you get fifty
dollars when you play five dollars. You can play it
in California, you can play it in Texas, you can
play it in Georgia. You can play it in Florida,
thirty plus states. If you've been feeling left out California, Texas, Georgia,
(31:27):
this is for you. Prizepicks dot com, my name Clay.
Get fifty dollars right now. All you have to do
is go to prizepicks dot com my name Clay one
more time. Prize picks dot com. My name Clay. Need
a break from.
Speaker 6 (31:41):
Follyitics a little comedy to counter the craziness, So no
week The Sunday Hang a weekend podcast to lighten things
up a bit. Find it in the Clay and Buck
podcast feed on the iHeartRadio Wile or wherever you get
your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (31:56):
Welcome back in the Clay and bucking out the Pauls.
Speaker 4 (31:58):
We want to get you.
Speaker 3 (32:00):
We got some great guests lined up and we've got
a lot to get ready for here tomorrow. It's gonna
be wild thoughs Okay, we're gonna be in twenty four
hours plus a few hours seeing election day results come in.
I couldn't do the math on the fly there, but
you know what I mean, little more than a little
more than twenty four hours. We're gonna see election results
(32:22):
coming in. It's gonna be very exciting, and we want
to take some of your calls here have you all
way in? I was looking Clay for who are what
times are?
Speaker 5 (32:30):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (32:31):
We got Bernie Marino coming up next hour one thirty.
I just want to make sure I didn't tell you
right next. He's not up next, he's up after that.
So one thirty's also got Senator Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee
one of the best accents of any senator, maybe the
best elite level accent, Senator Marsha Senator Marshall Blackburn. And
(32:51):
then we've got Steve Bannon, fresh out of the Big House,
out of prison, refused to bend the knee to the
Democrat at witch Hunt committee man who stuck by his
principles on this. We will get into all that. John
and Roanoke, Virginia.
Speaker 5 (33:07):
What's up. Yeah, I was at the Trump rally yesterday
and I gotta tell you, it was the most amazing
thing I've witnessed in my life. My wife and I
had already voted, has had my twenty one year old daughter,
but she talked us into going anywhere. The crowd was incredible,
But what really hit me was, first of the spontaneous
(33:28):
diversity of these people who driven some of the many
hours to come was incredible. And on top of that,
the average age of the people in the crowd by
and large was under thirty years old. It was unbelievable.
The young people out there, and the venue held eighty
(33:48):
five hundred people filled up. There was enough people outside
watching the JumboTron to probably filled up twice again. And
it was electric. It was it was. And then the yeah,
the Crounter protest which they put down on the curb.
The counter protest had eight people in it. It looked ridiculous.
(34:09):
It looked like the Pardy almost.
Speaker 1 (34:11):
That's like the great line from Succession where they said,
it's actually way better if there's a lot of people
protesting you, because the fewer there are, the more awkward
it is. It was actually probably true, that's one of
There are a lot of great lines in Succession, but
like just one or two protesters makes it look awful. John,
I appreciate that. Let me tell you this, Buck, and
we were talking about this off air. For everybody out
there early states, to pay attention to New Hampshire, granted staters.
(34:37):
I think Trump could win New Hampshire. Latest poll has
it four or five, but almost everybody comes in and
votes on day of in New Hampshire, so Kamala Biden.
Biden won it by seven and twenty Hillary only won
it by like two thousand votes or something. In sixteen,
Trump almost won New Hampshire and Virginia. Biden won it
(34:59):
by ten. Seven in New Hampshire, ten in Virginia. Those
margins as they come in on the East coast states,
I think we'll tell you a lot about overall Trump
strength and turnout. I expect it to be closer than
it was in twenty which will be an important sign
for not only the Midwest, but many other states out
there as well.
Speaker 3 (35:19):
I'm telling you, Fortress Florida, We're going ten points or
more for Trump in this win. Very I feel very
confident in that one. Not quite at Tennessee levels of
Republican dominance, but we're working on it. Okay, we're getting
there slowly, but surely. I agree with you on the
outlier state that I'm just this is a gut feeling,
also based on some of the polling, but a gut
(35:41):
feeling that New Hampshire could be a big surprise to people.
I would love to say Virginia. We just had that
caller from Roano. I think Coma's gonna win Virginia, which
which hurts me to say it, but I think that
might be a little too steep of a climb for Trump.
That all said it's gonna be close, it's gonna be
a fight to the finish, and all you know, we
(36:01):
keep saying it because every fifteen minutes or so, we
get a whole new bunch of people that will tune in.
Some people will tune out because they got to go
do work or go hang out with the fam.
Speaker 2 (36:09):
Or whatever it is.
Speaker 3 (36:11):
We got Bernie Marino, speaking of last minute stuff Bernie
Marino in a critical Senate race. Let's not forget the Senate,
Let's not forget the House. Really, for the Trump agenda
to be a reality, we need unified to control the House,
the Senate, and the White House. I know that's asking
a lot, but it is very possible right now, especially
(36:32):
if those of you in Ohio play. We are dominating
many markets in Ohio. Correct, Ohio wins. It is time
for I don't know, they come up with some kind
of a cheer. Remember ThunderCats when they had like the
ThunderCats ho you know what I mean, They would yell,
oh yeah. We need some kind of a cheer for
our people to go out and vote.
The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show News
Hosts And Creators
Clay Travis
Buck Sexton
Show Links
WebsiteNewsletterPopular Podcasts
On Purpose with Jay Shetty
I’m Jay Shetty host of On Purpose the worlds #1 Mental Health podcast and I’m so grateful you found us. I started this podcast 5 years ago to invite you into conversations and workshops that are designed to help make you happier, healthier and more healed. I believe that when you (yes you) feel seen, heard and understood you’re able to deal with relationship struggles, work challenges and life’s ups and downs with more ease and grace. I interview experts, celebrities, thought leaders and athletes so that we can grow our mindset, build better habits and uncover a side of them we’ve never seen before. New episodes every Monday and Friday. Your support means the world to me and I don’t take it for granted — click the follow button and leave a review to help us spread the love with On Purpose. I can’t wait for you to listen to your first or 500th episode!
Dateline NBC
Current and classic episodes, featuring compelling true-crime mysteries, powerful documentaries and in-depth investigations. Special Summer Offer: Exclusively on Apple Podcasts, try our Dateline Premium subscription completely free for one month! With Dateline Premium, you get every episode ad-free plus exclusive bonus content.
24/7 News: The Latest
The latest news in 4 minutes updated every hour, every day.