November 4, 2025 • 36 mins
Hour 2 of the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show delivers an Election Day deep dive into the most competitive races and cultural flashpoints shaping America. Clay and Buck analyze the high-stakes contests in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City, emphasizing how Democrats will frame victories as a referendum on Donald Trump’s presidency, despite these being deep-blue strongholds. The hosts spotlight the New Jersey governor’s race, where Jack Ciattarelli’s chances hinge on massive Republican turnout to overcome Democrats’ early voting lead. They slam progressive policies like plastic bag bans, arguing they harm consumers and the environment, and highlight housing affordability crises caused by government mandates and rent control schemes.
In New York City, the conversation centers on the mayoral showdown featuring Zohran Mamdani, whose socialist platform promises rent freezes, free buses, and government grocery stores—policies Clay and Buck call “fairy tales” that would worsen crime and quality of life. They dissect Andrew Cuomo’s failure to give Republicans a reason to support him, despite Trump’s last-minute endorsement, and warn that a Mamdani victory could embolden far-left figures like AOC to push national socialism. The hour also covers Virginia’s gubernatorial race, where Winsome Sears struggles after running a single-issue campaign on transgender bathrooms, while down-ballot races for Attorney General and Lieutenant Governor remain competitive.
Data analyst Ryan Girdusky joins to break down record-breaking voter turnout, surging Democratic numbers in key counties, and the implications for future elections. The discussion expands to electricity price spikes, the impact of data centers, and Democrats’ strategy to nationalize local races around Trump. Clay promotes his new book “Balls”, endorsed by President Trump, and shares plans for charitable initiatives tied to free speech advocacy. Callers weigh in on climate change skepticism, plastic bag bans, and the cultural absurdities of progressive governance. The hour closes with urgent reminders to get out and vote, as these elections will shape policy on crime, housing, and economic freedom.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to an hour number two, Election Day twenty twenty five.
I am in New York City where the mayoral decision
is being made across the city. Potential record high turnout
there across the river from New York City, New Jersey.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
And here's the truth.
Speaker 1 (00:20):
If Republicans show up in big numbers today in New Jersey,
then Chitdarelli is going to win. If they do not,
then he is going to lose. Because there's pretty reliable
data out there buck that shows that Democrats banked, as
they often do, a substantial lead of around two hundred
and fifty thousand votes, it appears headed into election day.
(00:43):
So the question is, can Republicans in New Jersey get
out to the polls and win election day and flip
control of the state of New Jersey. In Virginia win
some seers open no incumbent there, but also tenant governor
and attorney general races that are all super competitive down
(01:06):
the ballot, as I mentioned the mayor's race in New
York City, mayor's races in Minneapolis, I believe, Cincinnati, I
believe Detroit. Many of you across the country. The big
Prop fifty decision on California and the headline is going
to be, if Democrats do well tonight, that this is
(01:28):
a repudiation of Donald Trump, even though that is not
fair because Trump lost to Virginia by five and lost
New Jersey by five, and these are both blue states,
and certainly New York City is among the deepest blue
cities anywhere in the country. But this is going to
be seen in some ways as a verdict on the
(01:48):
first ten months or so of Trump two point zero.
You and I are happy. Most people out there listening
to us right now are happy. And this is not
the battlegrounds dates that will decide things in twenty twenty
six or twenty twenty eight, necessarily, but that is where
we are. They want to try to attack Trump, and
(02:09):
they will use these results if they can to do so.
Speaker 3 (02:12):
This is gonna seem like a minor thing to some
of you, but I'm telling you it's not. When I
go to New York, when I go to visit my family,
I'll be up there for Thanksgiving us my family. The
same thing I understands true in New Jersey, Clay, I
go in there and I buy some things in the store,
you know, in the grocery store, and they give me
(02:33):
a paper bag and there's no option for a plastic bag.
My understanding is that Jack Chitarelli is going to reverse
the New Jersey ban on plastic on plastic grocery store bags.
That alone, for me, I would be a single issue voter.
I'm here in Florida. They don't even charge me. They're
giving out plastic bags left and right. And let me
(02:54):
tell you, I use them for all kinds of things.
And I could tell you I wrap my tennis sneakers
in one those little plastic bags. So probably pick up
dog poop in the plastic bag would be a good
pick up dog poop. In my plan, I am reusing
and use the plast bag all the time. The environmental
data on non use of plastic bags is very clear.
It's actually worse for the environment for a whole bunch
(03:15):
of reasons, mostly because of paper is much heavier, requires
more fossil fuels to be expended in transport, cannot be
reused often breaks. People want double and triple bags. This
is a point of idiocy and New Jerseyans. I know
you've got housing costs and tax and crime and all
these other issues, but you fundamentally cannot trust a politician
(03:40):
who is in favor of banning plastic grocery bags. I'm
in the land of plastic grocery bags here in Florida,
thank you, Governor Ron DeSantis. I'm in the land of
plastic bags. Paper bags are trash, as in they end
up in the trash when they break, and my milk
and my other things fall all over the sidewalk because
(04:00):
a bunch of Libs want to believe there's somehow fighting
climate change by using these things. They're wrong on the merits,
They're wrong across the board. And I'm just saying I
would be a single issue voter for Jack Schitarelli on
the plastic bag thing alone, and then you add all
the other stuff. It's really straightforward. The Democrat there, Mikey
Chryl She thinks that the fact that there are all
(04:22):
these municipalities play New Jersey that have to have affordable housing.
They call it affordable housing creation. This is not the
way that the market should determine. You know, developers should say, hey,
here's where I'm going to make housing, and you know,
here's the cost of land, here's the cost of labor
in this area. They have screwed up housing in New
(04:44):
Jersey so much. It's so expensive to make it because
of politicians, and the Democrat just wants to do more
of that, and you've got Chitarelli wants to rewrite of
it to say, look, we got to get rid of
these stupid mandates and all of the intrusions into the
housing market. That's complicated. Grocery back not complicated, though, vot Shitarelli.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
It's also not complicated to say, if you want to
have lower cost for rent, you need to have more
rentable units. I know sometimes we try to overcomplicate things,
but the number one way to drive down the price
of something is to have more of it. That is
the basic laws of economics. And so if you had
(05:22):
way fewer illegal immigrants, people would have to pay way
less for housing in the New York City area. And
so the whole concept of freezing rent actually gets the
incentive structure backwards, because what you need to do is
encourage building and create far more rentable units and encourage
(05:44):
the rehabilitation of some of these buildings that are otherwise
not rentable right now. And when you freeze rent, you
actually create an economic disincentive to increase the amount of
available housing in Manhattan and the New York City area.
So this is also basic that you know, the laws
(06:05):
of economics do apply across party and across city and
across state, whether they're blue or red. And the fact
that we can't even have a real argument with mom
Donnie where people point out this is first of all
his Cuomo said he doesn't even have the authority to
do it. But if you truly desperately thought that rent
was too high in New York City, what you should
do is figure out a way to build as many
(06:28):
new housing units as possible, which feels like very basic
common sense to me, but it runs into oh, well
then we've got climate issues or it's so hard to
get building permits, and so many of you out there
are just fed up with this.
Speaker 3 (06:42):
Well, but who's going to do this? This is a
huge thing in New York as well, so New York
and New Jersey. This is the same problem played out
in different locales. California had that really embarrassing, even for California,
embarrassing bureaucratic moment of the million dollar porta potty. You'll
remember that how many of you live in a million
dollar home? Right now you know a good amount of you.
(07:03):
But you know, the average American home right now is
like four hundred grand or something. So a million dollar
home is a nice home. I mean that's an expensive
depends on you know, in in Nebraska, it's a mansion.
In Manhattan, it's a one bedroom apartment, but a million
dollars it gets you some nice real estate play. They
were going to build a solo porta potty basically like
a glorified public bathroom for a million bucks. I think
(07:26):
it was in San Francisco, but it was California. The
state of California involved. And what that should be the
signal to everybody this state is not going to do
good things when it comes to building housing or even
involving itself in this housing process. This plays out in
so many ways. And you know, even in a place
(07:48):
like I know, a friend of mine's a landlord, like
a kind of a you know, multi big, multi family
landlord in DC and he says that DC, you know,
one of the big problems is with building new construction
of DC for people to live in. You know, you'll
never be able to evict anyone. Yeah, basically it's gonna
be impossible it'll cost you so much to evict people
in Washington, DC that you end up paying them off
(08:10):
to leave. Who wants to go through the headache of
I'm gonna build a new eight unit, you know, multifamily
in Northeast DC, and I'm gonna win half Your tenants
can say I'm not paying you anymore, and you end
up paying them to leave after they've you know, screwed
you out of eight months of rent, no doubt.
Speaker 1 (08:29):
And by the way, a couple of stories that are
also out there, let me build on this for a minute, buck, La.
A lot of you listening to us right now in
LA are nodding along. They still haven't gotten the ability
to rebuild the areas that were burned down in Los
Angeles because getting building permits in Democrat run cities, even
(08:52):
for burn down homes, is virtually impossible. And you know
who knows this better than anybody, Trump, who is a
builder and is building a ballroom right now because he
found out there weren't zoning restrictions in DC. Speaking of DC, Buck,
all flights at Reagan National have been halted following a
reported bomb threat on an arriving aircraft, and so the
(09:17):
whole air traffic. Yesterday we talked about Houston. There's a
report that just came out that starting next week they
may have to restrict air space because of the government
shut down, meaning whole swaths of the country they're going
to be restricting air travel. I think Democrats are going
to come to the negotiating table and get this thing done.
(09:37):
As we have told you, as soon as the election
is over. They think it's beneficial to them to have
the government shut down in these elections. I think that
has been clearly their calculus. But I do think that
this is a significant story that is building an intensity
and some of you listening to us right now, and
(09:59):
I was a part of this in Chicago on Friday
because they shut down Nashville's airport for a while when
I was trying to travel. A lot of people right
now are getting caught up in frustrated trying to get
through tsa, trying to get on planes. This is absolutely ridiculous.
So that is all underway as we are speaking to you.
(10:23):
Let me also say this, if you go buy my book,
I will love you forever. I think that is a
simple way. I want this book to be in as
many hands as possible. It should be in every bookstore,
so wherever you are in the country right now, Balls
is out there and the esteemed President Donald Trump is
(10:44):
the only quote on the back buck It says Clay
Travis has a great new book. Clay is a highly
talented commentator, great taste. This Trump, who is tough, smart
and gifted with common sense. He has studied our historic
movement from the very beginning, truly gets Maga. Maga loves him.
This is the only thing on the back of the book.
I think President Trump for the endorsement. I would really
(11:06):
appreciate to get on the New York Times List. They
don't want to put me on Buck. They don't want
to put you on. Joe Kanha, our friend just texted
me and he said, Hey, I've written all my books.
They finally put me on the Times list. I've been
a bestseller before all the books. This is my potentially
last best chance. But Consca's listening right now, and he said, dude,
(11:26):
they finally put me on the list. Maybe they aren't
as communist Layden as they have been in the past,
so but I need to blow through the numbers.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
It's like Trump winning in an election. In order to
get on.
Speaker 3 (11:37):
Like Joe Kanca though you know, like Joe Kanha, great guy, crazy,
crazy to not put them on the list.
Speaker 1 (11:42):
But you know this is like the election. Right, You're
not going to win by a few thousand, right, you
have to be way over the finish line. You have
to win by thousands and thousands of vote. You have
to win a landslide. And that's where I need all
of you. Amazon's got it right now, every bookstore in America.
I would seriously, deeply appreciate if you guys would go
(12:03):
by it. As Buck said earlier, it's a lot of
work to write a book. We actually write books, finish
the show, sit down in front of the computer, crank
this thing out. It's fun, it's engaging. Also, if you're
not a reader, I read the entire thing on audiobook.
Are you scheduled to be in the audiobook chamber? I
say that because it is somewhat accurate.
Speaker 4 (12:21):
And over the.
Speaker 3 (12:22):
Christmas, over the Christmas holiday, ba humbug ebeny's a scrooge
coming from my holiday.
Speaker 1 (12:27):
So you come back in January. Because I've recorded the
last three of my books. You guys know I mispronounced
words all the time. They have you there reading, and
every time you mispronounce anything, or you miss a word
or whatever else, they stop you. It is unbelievably challenging
to just read an entire book, to say nothing of
(12:49):
the fact that you think, oh, I should have put
that paragraph there. Why am I an idiot? Why did
I have that sentence here? I could have written this better.
You just self criticize the whole time you're doing it.
But you can hear me read the entire thing I
did the audiobook book, Buck'll be doing his. So if
you're like my wife and you listen to books more
than you read them because you're driving kids around, or
(13:11):
you're on the road a lot, you're a trucker, you
got that option to I would seriously, deeply appreciate if
you would go buy a copy of Balls today and
drive me up the best seller.
Speaker 3 (13:20):
With people are asking what charity you're gonna donate the
proceeds to, I might add, Yeah, I'm gonna treat the tea.
Speaker 1 (13:25):
Yeah, I'm gonna try to send to a bunch. I
don't want to break news. We're talking about doing something
pretty I'm gonna break news significant at Vanderbilt Law School
about commitment to free speech principles for lawyers, because I'm
troubled by what I've seen so many law schools out
there doing when they're not. Basically, the whole idea of
(13:48):
being a lawyer is you have to sometimes advocate for
things that you might personally disagree with. That's the job.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
And I see a.
Speaker 1 (13:55):
Lot of law schools now saying, well, if it's not
the right woke perspect then we don't even feel like
we should teach advocacy here. And I deeply disagree with that,
as does my wife. So we're trying to work on
something there that could be significant.
Speaker 3 (14:09):
So in twenty years, is Uncle Clay gonna be able
to get a little Jimmy Speed into Vanderberl Law School.
Let's get down to brass tax here. I should have
good pull there. We've got a good poll. That's what
I'm talking about right there, right down to it. But
I was also on in Asheville, North Carolina. I want
to do something. I know we've already done some stuff
western North Carolina. I did a tour this morning with
a lot of our local affiliates. I think there's still
(14:31):
a lot of people struggling in the Ashville area, even
though it's been a year since the hurricane hit there,
but a lot of people have forgotten. My in laws are.
Speaker 1 (14:39):
Still still rebuildings, still rebuilding. No, I think there are
tons of people in that area that need help. So
I'm going to do a variety of things, but I'm
excited about being able to hopefully make a little bit
of difference out there. And look, if you love steaks, burgers, chicken, pork,
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Speaker 5 (16:07):
Want to begin to know when you're on the go.
The Team forty seven podcast Trump Highlights from the week
Sundays at noon Eastern in the Clay and Buck podcast feed.
Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get
your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (16:23):
All right, welcome back in here to Clay and Buck.
A lot of things hitting us at one time. Carolyn
Levitt speaking of the White House West Wing. We are
monitoring anything interesting from that press conference. We will bring
to you as it happens. Also, we had Jay Jones
outside of Virginia polling station making a kicking motion at
(16:43):
a dog, as if he didn't kick the dog to
be clear, but he kicked in the direction of a dog.
It's just very weird. You As if I could dislike
this guy anymore. You mess with dogs, I talk about
signal issue voter. What what a weird dude to?
Speaker 2 (16:59):
I mean, you're at a pole like I don't know.
Speaker 1 (17:03):
Meaning a polling place with cameras on you, and somebody's
got a dog, and like you, just like I don't,
you just kind of kick in the direction of a
tiny little dog.
Speaker 3 (17:11):
It was just so weird and awkward. This guy's is
is not someone who should have any power period. But
that's where we are. Let's take some quick talkbacks here.
Speaker 6 (17:20):
D D.
Speaker 3 (17:20):
Kelly from Oklahoma City listens on KTOKA hit.
Speaker 6 (17:23):
It sounds like Buck Sexton, the city slicker has never
had to go grocery shopping in a pickup truck before.
Speaker 3 (17:34):
Paper bags are a goat man. What are you talking about?
I have never heard anybody say they prefer paper bags
for reasons of efficiency or can someone explain that to me?
What I'm missing this? And yeah, I am a city slicker.
What is he talking about? Plastic bags are obviously superior.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
I agree with you. We'll come back to this. By
the way, DC Airport back open now. So we said
that they had shut it down for a bit. It
is now back open.
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airline levitt as we told you. Currently in the midst
of a White House press briefing that we will update
(19:05):
you on if any major news comes out of that.
They're talking about the shutdown. We are joined now by
our friend data guru, Ryan Gurdusky. He's a part of
the Clay and Buck podcast network. And I know we're
about halfway through the day right now, Ryan, So I'm
gonna lay.
Speaker 1 (19:22):
Out some things. You tell me if you would sign
onto these and or what you are seeing. If Chitdarelli
is going to win in New Jersey, Republicans have to
turn out in huge numbers today because he's down around
two hundred and fifty or so thousand votes. It appears
based on early voting and the mail ballots absentees, Virginia
(19:45):
is looking bad for wins some seers, but Jason Miarez,
the Attorney General, is in a tight race and has
a decent chance. Lieutenant governor is going to be competitive there,
and it looks like Mom Donnie is going to win
and potentially win with more than fifty percent of the vote.
Do you sign on to any of those takes?
Speaker 2 (20:06):
Am I wrong? How would you assess where we are now?
Speaker 4 (20:09):
You're pretty on the money. I mean, we New Jersey's
reporting county by county, so it's very difficult for me
to get a real estimate. Remember she had or rally
only lost by eighty thousand votes in twenty twenty one.
He lost election day Republican versus Democrat turnout, right, there
were more Democrats turn on election day in twenty twenty
one than Republicans, but he went independence by such a
(20:31):
large margin it overwhelmed whatever Democrat turnout looked like. He
won election day by a little over two hundred thousand votes.
Right now, it's looking like one thing that's pretty surprising
is how many people in Mikey Cheryl's district are voting
for Our voting right now is she is tremendous turnout
out of her districts. As of noon today, not all
(20:52):
the counties are reporting. A lot of the big Republican
counties have yet to report some of the mile some
of the other big Republican counties have reported, But definitely
Mikey Shels District is definitely showing up in full force,
presumably for her. It's a pretty safe Democratic district over
in Virginia. What I've sat there and seen right now is,
(21:12):
you know, there's a Republican counties are kind of in
a mix. Right now, there's kind of the Caroline County,
Green County, Norden County, which are doing fairly well of
you know, they're coming up in pretty large numbers. But
also at the same time there's other super big Republican
counties like Appomatox and Buchanan which are having horrendous turnouts.
So Republicans are making up some of the best turnout
(21:35):
counties and some of the worst at the same exact time.
Places like Alexandria, f Fairfax, they are about fifty percent
of their twenty twenty four election day as of right now,
fifty five to sixty. New York City is going to
have the largest turnout in may oral history. We're easily
going to blow pass I think two million votes. I
think it's pretty safe to say largest election ever was
(21:55):
in nineteen ninety one for nineteen eventty three, rather for
for Giuliani. This is that was one point eight million.
This is going to be at least two million. Tremendously
high turnouts in places like the Bronx, which had not
voted at all on before election day, horrendous voting before
election day had tremendously high turnout.
Speaker 3 (22:17):
So Ryan in the New York race. The thing that
you hear about constantly from the Mam Donnie camp is
just variations on cost of living and how Mam Donnie
says he's going to bring those costs down. This is,
as far as I'm concerned, like fairytale stuff. But put
that aside for a second. Is it a similar situation
(22:39):
in New Jersey? What are the biggest things that are
at issue that are actually moving mobilizing voters and that
could make the difference here in turnout when you look
at the issues between Cheryl and Chitarelli.
Speaker 4 (22:52):
Well, the biggest issue, and I cover this on the
Numbers Game podcast for a whole episode, one of the
biggest issues in vote for Virginia and New Jersey or
electric prices. Electric prices are through the roof. Two thirds
of electric price increases, according to CNN, were because not
that that's a reliable source, but two thirds of the
increased cost was because of.
Speaker 3 (23:11):
Every time you mentioned CNN on our show, Ryan, we
play a little boo in the podcast.
Speaker 4 (23:16):
Well, I think I think the article was. I think
the article is a tremendous amount of the data centers
and the data centers that are popping up everywhere, and
how the increased costs are coming in those in states
like that, that's a big thing. What happened in New Jersey,
what happened in Virginia is that Democrats are to nationalize
it right, make the whole election about Donald Trump and
say a vote for me is a vote against Trump.
(23:37):
Even Jay Jones is doing that as attorney in the
general general race is Trump all day, all night. Chittarelli
has talked a lot about, you know, cost of living,
how they be effective an effective administrator that I don't
know what what's moving numbers right now. Democrat numbers are
fairly strong in a number of places. But numbers are strong,
(23:59):
by the way, every where I'm looking at races across
the country. There's an election in Miami going on right now.
Democrat turnout is gigantic right now in Miami, the race
elections in Pennsylvania. There's lines around the corner in Pittsburgh
to go vote. This is This is a very this
is probably one of the highest turnout elections and off
off non primary, non non presidential, non midterm years probably.
Speaker 1 (24:22):
Ever, what's the impact, if anything, of Trump saying Cuomo.
Speaker 2 (24:28):
Should be your vote? Sli, what can't win?
Speaker 1 (24:31):
He waited till the night before the election, there's been
arguments that it actually helps Mom Donnie. At this point,
does it have any impact and prediction from you? Do
you think that Mom Donnie is likely to get over
fifty percent, in which case all the talk about Slee
versus Cuomo versus Eric Adams may not end up having mattered.
(24:52):
Because he gets over half the vote, then it doesn't
matter how much split vote there was.
Speaker 4 (24:58):
Yeah, I.
Speaker 6 (25:00):
It doesn't.
Speaker 4 (25:00):
It's not helpful for Trump to weigh in because he's
so disliked by two thirds of New Yorkers, a thirty
thirty three percent love him or like him, and two
thirds can stand him in New York. And I don't
think that it's necessarily helpful Little Cuomo. I think Curtis
Leewa could have done not only more for himself by
by by a team Ampo Cuomo, but also helping the
Republicans running down ballot in New York City, which is
(25:22):
going to be tremendously important if Mundanie becomes mayor Kenny Whin,
I listen, I can Revember sixty percent. I don't know,
and I don't like to predict that. I don't like
to make predictions. I know I can't come true on
But here's why I'll sit there and say, you know
who's looking at this election more than anybody is AOC.
Because everyone kind of sat there and said, Undannie has
a ceiling. Mandannie has a ceiling. He got so and
so many votes in the primary. He can't possibly get
(25:45):
more than a million votes in a two million person
election in the general. If there's no ceiling on socialism,
AOC is going to look at that and say, Okay,
it's my time to shine. I'm running for president. And
it's not a joke when you say, I mean, yes,
New York City is not reflective the entire country, but
there's a big chunk of that base and the Democratic
primaries it's there and says no, there's no cap on socialism.
(26:05):
Let's go completely full fledge on this, and then it's
just a race the left of who can get there first,
especially in economic issues.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
Ryan on the Virginia side of things, it's not looking
good from everything that we've seen, and we talked to
you about this in the in the early voting stage
a bit wins sears was this just not a race
she could win because of the political realities of the
state of Virginia right now, and the enormous weight that
really the suburbs of d C, which is what like
(26:35):
Fairfax County and Nova, all those different areas of it. Basically,
was this not her fault or I don't remember a
single thing coming from her side of the campaign. Plenty
of things coming from the Spamburger that I didn't like,
but I was certainly hearing about. But Win some series,
I don't even hear what she was standing for.
Speaker 4 (26:55):
She said one thing and one thing only, I will
stop transgender bathrooms from and Virginia issues. Said that every
single day. That was the only issue she ran on. Look,
I'm not here to trash someone who's still the votes
are still has to be counted, but I'll say so
Wins and Sears, she's doing significantly worse than both the
candidate for lieutenant governor and AG and even before the scandal,
she was doing worse than the AG Cane. It's not
(27:16):
only she's an unknown person, she's a lieutenant she's a
lieutenant governor currently. She raised a ton of money. She
wasn't starving for cash. She ran on only one issue,
which was transgender stuff. And I'm not saying it's not
great for Republicans. It is a it's a winning issue.
Speaker 3 (27:32):
She needs, She needed more than that. It sounds like
assuming that the polls are accurate so far, that that
alone is not going to propel her to the governor's mansion.
Speaker 4 (27:39):
It's just not the most important. It was the only
thing she talked about. She didn't talk about anything. And
then when she was asked about specifically data centers because
electricity prices are increasing throughout Virginia, she sat there and said, well,
they're here to stay, and I'm building more of them.
And it was very, very very unpopular. She just is,
She's she ran. She her original campaign team had a
(28:00):
lot to be desired. I talked to a lot of
people running down Ballad. They did not like what she
was doing. And she's not just losing today like the
lieutenant governors, is just a generic Republican. No one really
knows a lot about it. He had no money. She's
losing worse than him, and it says a lot more
about her. It's a bed year. It's a bed year.
You lose, you lose. But when you're losing worse than
(28:23):
somebody with no money, no name ID, and that's just
a generic Republican. That's that's pretty much on you.
Speaker 1 (28:29):
Okay, to what extent do you believe there is any
predictive value in these elections as we look toward next
year's elections, which have far more consequential stakes.
Speaker 4 (28:42):
I think that it looks like Democrats are voting like
it's a presidential election. I mean, that's just the truth
of it. They are voting in early elections and presidentials.
Some of these counties I'm looking at in New Jersey
where it was five to one in twenty twenty blue
counties five to one Democrat in twenty twenty one, it's
looking like eight or nine to one Democrat right now.
Just Democrat turnout is through the roof in some of
(29:04):
these places, especially as white college educated areas, and they
are voting like at the presidential election. Republicans really need
to wake up if they think, even with all this
jerry manning that they're doing and things that are work
in their favor, if they think they can win on
that alone, they cannot. When it comes to this kind
of turnout. The turnout is immense, and Republicans need to
match it in a significant way and really need to
(29:26):
have answers on certain things in the economy, I think
are really pressing people's questions on quality of life.
Speaker 3 (29:32):
So any last minute thoughts for how you think New
York is going to go specifically Ryan as their votes
are coming in right now, is a Cuomo This is
really what I'm leaning toward. Is a last minute Cuomo
miracle in the cards? Or have you already written this off?
Speaker 4 (29:50):
I mean, listen, I'm not writing anything off. I just
sit they're in said this. Cuomo needed to do one
major thing give Republicans a reason to vote for him.
He never did, and that is Cuomo's biggest mistake in
this general election. In the primary, he didn't do anything right.
But in the general he needed the hundreds of thousands
of Trump voters in the City of New York who
(30:11):
could sit there and football an election to say say,
I'm going to vote for Clomo because he's going to
do X, Y and Z. He's going to support the
problem solver, the common Sense Caucus, which is Republicans and
Democrats in the City Council. I'm going to do this.
On crime, I apologize for COVID, I apologize for Bill Reform.
I'm going to be the guy for everybody. Now, I'm
going to rise above this, and he never did. He
(30:32):
only stuck to you know, democratic politics, and it makes
me think, maybe.
Speaker 3 (30:36):
Is he just kind of a buffoon. I'm shocked at
how in ft he has been Ryan honestly, like for
a guy who was the governor, it's it's like he
and you know, he's like the uh, who's the who's
the little blonde haired sort of idiot king in the
beginning of Jeffreys Jeoffrey. He's like a like a little
Italian version of Jeoffrey.
Speaker 1 (30:54):
Also, by the way, but also mom, Donnie has so
many vulnerabilities, Like it's not as if he's got a
you know, like coat of armor on to bucks point,
it just feels like a super incompetent campaign.
Speaker 4 (31:11):
It's super incompetent. And you know, I had a dinner
with one of I never said the same body. I
had a dinner with one of Clomo's advisors. And we're
sitting there and you know, I run the seventeen seventies
of Project Pack and we're doing well, we have got
some money, and he said, would your pack donate one
hundred grand to the Cuomo campaign. I go, you're known
to have a money problem. You have a candidate problem.
All the money in the world's not going to fix that.
(31:33):
I give Republicans a reason to vote for you, and
they just wouldn't. And you know, I looked at his
entire electoral history. He never had a competitive primary one
time in his entire life. He never had a competitive
general one time his entire life. And I think that
that's probably speaks it's amazing.
Speaker 3 (31:48):
He's just not a good He's just not a good politician,
is actually what has been exposed in all this meaning
he's not even good at pretending to be good at things.
So that's that's disconcerted. But yeah, all right, Ryan or
Dusky everybody.
Speaker 4 (32:01):
I'm more like, we're going to blow past the twenty
I mean, we might hit twenty twenty four general election numbers.
Speaker 2 (32:06):
That's crazy, right, that's crazy time, not wild.
Speaker 3 (32:09):
Go check out, everybody. It's a numbers game. On the
Claimbuck podcast Network, great podcasts. Ryan breaks down all of
the data. He knows the players, he knows the numbers.
You'll learn a lot. You'll impress all your lib friends,
all your Mamdani voters next door, be like, well, only
thirty percent of twenty percent think that Mamdanni's a communist
one hundred percent of the time. Thanks for being with
(32:29):
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Speaker 5 (33:24):
News you can count on as some laughs too.
Speaker 3 (33:28):
Clay Travis and Buck Sexton.
Speaker 5 (33:30):
Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (33:35):
Welcome back into Clay and Buck Crockett Coffee friends. Busy,
busy times in this world of ours, but never too
busy for a delicious cup of coffee, especially one that
is going to be donating ten percent of its profits
at the end of the year to Tunnel Towers Foundation,
especially one that celebrates American history. And Clay Travis's Balls,
(33:56):
the new book that is out today, Balls. This is
the title, and you can get some special deals if
you subscribe to Crockett down the line, they're gonna be
coming your way and my book too. So Crocketcoffee dot
com get your coffee of Balls, Get signed up and subscribed.
All the good things, all the good things are happening
at Crocket Coffee. Now we have some calls, which I'm
(34:18):
excited about. Jack in Syracuse, New York, which is getting
a little bit brisk this time of year. What's going on? Jack?
Speaker 6 (34:25):
Hey, I gotta agree with Clay. They're on that plastic bag.
Speaker 3 (34:31):
That was me. I'm Buck. I was the one that
was freaking out about the bags, but you know, close
enough to go.
Speaker 6 (34:35):
I'm sorry, that's okay, Play's on vacation, right, I.
Speaker 3 (34:40):
Mean, you know.
Speaker 2 (34:43):
He's here, I'm here, but thanks, thanks for listening.
Speaker 6 (34:47):
Thank god you guys are there after Rush because I'll
tell you we needed you guys. But you know Cuomo
saved the world too. You know we can. We can
buy our milk and cool whip and uh hell of
a good depth or whatever, but we can. We can
put him in at We can't put him in a
plastic bag. Now, what the huck? He saved the world,
(35:08):
didn't he?
Speaker 3 (35:09):
I hate thank you for calling in. He agrees with
me in the plastic bag thing. It is idiocy clay.
It makes no sense. It just makes everyone's life a
little more annoying so that libs can feel good about
themselves for no reason, so that libs can feel good
about themselves for doing something bad because it's actually not
good for the environment.
Speaker 1 (35:29):
I also think the whole climate change thing seems like
it's collapsing pretty fast.
Speaker 2 (35:34):
Even we talked about it a little bit.
Speaker 1 (35:35):
But when Bill Gates comes out and says, actually, sorry,
the whole world's not going to end because of climate change,
I just think the whole climate catastrophism is going to
unravel rapidly in the years ahead, because according to AOC,
we should all be underwater right now, and it's clearly
not manifesting itself as they claimed it would, and they're
(36:00):
going to have to find something else new to be
concerned about, even post Trump. What is going to be
the catastrophe. Lots of people weighing in, we'll get too
many of your comments. Final hour of the program before
the election results start to come in, obviously will tell
you all the significance of those election results tomorrow. But Buck,
when we come back, let's kind of go on the
record say where we think we're headed, what we expect
(36:23):
to see as all of the votes are coming in,
and we encourage you as always go vote, Go vote, please,
go vote across the country wherever you are. So many
important elections, just because we're not talking about every single
election that's out there, so many of them, as many
of us.
Speaker 2 (36:40):
Have learned, are super important.
Speaker 1 (36:42):
School Board, by the way, a lot of elections that
matter tremendously to your life.
Speaker 3 (36:49):
Got a lot more comments stick around election day, Clay
and Buck
Welcome to an hour number two, Election Day twenty twenty five.
I am in New York City where the mayoral decision
is being made across the city. Potential record high turnout
there across the river from New York City, New Jersey.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
And here's the truth.
Speaker 1 (00:20):
If Republicans show up in big numbers today in New Jersey,
then Chitdarelli is going to win. If they do not,
then he is going to lose. Because there's pretty reliable
data out there buck that shows that Democrats banked, as
they often do, a substantial lead of around two hundred
and fifty thousand votes, it appears headed into election day.
(00:43):
So the question is, can Republicans in New Jersey get
out to the polls and win election day and flip
control of the state of New Jersey. In Virginia win
some seers open no incumbent there, but also tenant governor
and attorney general races that are all super competitive down
(01:06):
the ballot, as I mentioned the mayor's race in New
York City, mayor's races in Minneapolis, I believe, Cincinnati, I
believe Detroit. Many of you across the country. The big
Prop fifty decision on California and the headline is going
to be, if Democrats do well tonight, that this is
(01:28):
a repudiation of Donald Trump, even though that is not
fair because Trump lost to Virginia by five and lost
New Jersey by five, and these are both blue states,
and certainly New York City is among the deepest blue
cities anywhere in the country. But this is going to
be seen in some ways as a verdict on the
(01:48):
first ten months or so of Trump two point zero.
You and I are happy. Most people out there listening
to us right now are happy. And this is not
the battlegrounds dates that will decide things in twenty twenty
six or twenty twenty eight, necessarily, but that is where
we are. They want to try to attack Trump, and
(02:09):
they will use these results if they can to do so.
Speaker 3 (02:12):
This is gonna seem like a minor thing to some
of you, but I'm telling you it's not. When I
go to New York, when I go to visit my family,
I'll be up there for Thanksgiving us my family. The
same thing I understands true in New Jersey, Clay, I
go in there and I buy some things in the store,
you know, in the grocery store, and they give me
(02:33):
a paper bag and there's no option for a plastic bag.
My understanding is that Jack Chitarelli is going to reverse
the New Jersey ban on plastic on plastic grocery store bags.
That alone, for me, I would be a single issue voter.
I'm here in Florida. They don't even charge me. They're
giving out plastic bags left and right. And let me
(02:54):
tell you, I use them for all kinds of things.
And I could tell you I wrap my tennis sneakers
in one those little plastic bags. So probably pick up
dog poop in the plastic bag would be a good
pick up dog poop. In my plan, I am reusing
and use the plast bag all the time. The environmental
data on non use of plastic bags is very clear.
It's actually worse for the environment for a whole bunch
(03:15):
of reasons, mostly because of paper is much heavier, requires
more fossil fuels to be expended in transport, cannot be
reused often breaks. People want double and triple bags. This
is a point of idiocy and New Jerseyans. I know
you've got housing costs and tax and crime and all
these other issues, but you fundamentally cannot trust a politician
(03:40):
who is in favor of banning plastic grocery bags. I'm
in the land of plastic grocery bags here in Florida,
thank you, Governor Ron DeSantis. I'm in the land of
plastic bags. Paper bags are trash, as in they end
up in the trash when they break, and my milk
and my other things fall all over the sidewalk because
(04:00):
a bunch of Libs want to believe there's somehow fighting
climate change by using these things. They're wrong on the merits,
They're wrong across the board. And I'm just saying I
would be a single issue voter for Jack Schitarelli on
the plastic bag thing alone, and then you add all
the other stuff. It's really straightforward. The Democrat there, Mikey
Chryl She thinks that the fact that there are all
(04:22):
these municipalities play New Jersey that have to have affordable housing.
They call it affordable housing creation. This is not the
way that the market should determine. You know, developers should say, hey,
here's where I'm going to make housing, and you know,
here's the cost of land, here's the cost of labor
in this area. They have screwed up housing in New
(04:44):
Jersey so much. It's so expensive to make it because
of politicians, and the Democrat just wants to do more
of that, and you've got Chitarelli wants to rewrite of
it to say, look, we got to get rid of
these stupid mandates and all of the intrusions into the
housing market. That's complicated. Grocery back not complicated, though, vot Shitarelli.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
It's also not complicated to say, if you want to
have lower cost for rent, you need to have more
rentable units. I know sometimes we try to overcomplicate things,
but the number one way to drive down the price
of something is to have more of it. That is
the basic laws of economics. And so if you had
(05:22):
way fewer illegal immigrants, people would have to pay way
less for housing in the New York City area. And
so the whole concept of freezing rent actually gets the
incentive structure backwards, because what you need to do is
encourage building and create far more rentable units and encourage
(05:44):
the rehabilitation of some of these buildings that are otherwise
not rentable right now. And when you freeze rent, you
actually create an economic disincentive to increase the amount of
available housing in Manhattan and the New York City area.
So this is also basic that you know, the laws
(06:05):
of economics do apply across party and across city and
across state, whether they're blue or red. And the fact
that we can't even have a real argument with mom
Donnie where people point out this is first of all
his Cuomo said he doesn't even have the authority to
do it. But if you truly desperately thought that rent
was too high in New York City, what you should
do is figure out a way to build as many
(06:28):
new housing units as possible, which feels like very basic
common sense to me, but it runs into oh, well
then we've got climate issues or it's so hard to
get building permits, and so many of you out there
are just fed up with this.
Speaker 3 (06:42):
Well, but who's going to do this? This is a
huge thing in New York as well, so New York
and New Jersey. This is the same problem played out
in different locales. California had that really embarrassing, even for California,
embarrassing bureaucratic moment of the million dollar porta potty. You'll
remember that how many of you live in a million
dollar home? Right now you know a good amount of you.
(07:03):
But you know, the average American home right now is
like four hundred grand or something. So a million dollar
home is a nice home. I mean that's an expensive
depends on you know, in in Nebraska, it's a mansion.
In Manhattan, it's a one bedroom apartment, but a million
dollars it gets you some nice real estate play. They
were going to build a solo porta potty basically like
a glorified public bathroom for a million bucks. I think
(07:26):
it was in San Francisco, but it was California. The
state of California involved. And what that should be the
signal to everybody this state is not going to do
good things when it comes to building housing or even
involving itself in this housing process. This plays out in
so many ways. And you know, even in a place
(07:48):
like I know, a friend of mine's a landlord, like
a kind of a you know, multi big, multi family
landlord in DC and he says that DC, you know,
one of the big problems is with building new construction
of DC for people to live in. You know, you'll
never be able to evict anyone. Yeah, basically it's gonna
be impossible it'll cost you so much to evict people
in Washington, DC that you end up paying them off
(08:10):
to leave. Who wants to go through the headache of
I'm gonna build a new eight unit, you know, multifamily
in Northeast DC, and I'm gonna win half Your tenants
can say I'm not paying you anymore, and you end
up paying them to leave after they've you know, screwed
you out of eight months of rent, no doubt.
Speaker 1 (08:29):
And by the way, a couple of stories that are
also out there, let me build on this for a minute, buck, La.
A lot of you listening to us right now in
LA are nodding along. They still haven't gotten the ability
to rebuild the areas that were burned down in Los
Angeles because getting building permits in Democrat run cities, even
(08:52):
for burn down homes, is virtually impossible. And you know
who knows this better than anybody, Trump, who is a
builder and is building a ballroom right now because he
found out there weren't zoning restrictions in DC. Speaking of DC, Buck,
all flights at Reagan National have been halted following a
reported bomb threat on an arriving aircraft, and so the
(09:17):
whole air traffic. Yesterday we talked about Houston. There's a
report that just came out that starting next week they
may have to restrict air space because of the government
shut down, meaning whole swaths of the country they're going
to be restricting air travel. I think Democrats are going
to come to the negotiating table and get this thing done.
(09:37):
As we have told you, as soon as the election
is over. They think it's beneficial to them to have
the government shut down in these elections. I think that
has been clearly their calculus. But I do think that
this is a significant story that is building an intensity
and some of you listening to us right now, and
(09:59):
I was a part of this in Chicago on Friday
because they shut down Nashville's airport for a while when
I was trying to travel. A lot of people right
now are getting caught up in frustrated trying to get
through tsa, trying to get on planes. This is absolutely ridiculous.
So that is all underway as we are speaking to you.
(10:23):
Let me also say this, if you go buy my book,
I will love you forever. I think that is a
simple way. I want this book to be in as
many hands as possible. It should be in every bookstore,
so wherever you are in the country right now, Balls
is out there and the esteemed President Donald Trump is
(10:44):
the only quote on the back buck It says Clay
Travis has a great new book. Clay is a highly
talented commentator, great taste. This Trump, who is tough, smart
and gifted with common sense. He has studied our historic
movement from the very beginning, truly gets Maga. Maga loves him.
This is the only thing on the back of the book.
I think President Trump for the endorsement. I would really
(11:06):
appreciate to get on the New York Times List. They
don't want to put me on Buck. They don't want
to put you on. Joe Kanha, our friend just texted
me and he said, Hey, I've written all my books.
They finally put me on the Times list. I've been
a bestseller before all the books. This is my potentially
last best chance. But Consca's listening right now, and he said, dude,
(11:26):
they finally put me on the list. Maybe they aren't
as communist Layden as they have been in the past,
so but I need to blow through the numbers.
Speaker 2 (11:34):
It's like Trump winning in an election. In order to
get on.
Speaker 3 (11:37):
Like Joe Kanca though you know, like Joe Kanha, great guy, crazy,
crazy to not put them on the list.
Speaker 1 (11:42):
But you know this is like the election. Right, You're
not going to win by a few thousand, right, you
have to be way over the finish line. You have
to win by thousands and thousands of vote. You have
to win a landslide. And that's where I need all
of you. Amazon's got it right now, every bookstore in America.
I would seriously, deeply appreciate if you guys would go
(12:03):
by it. As Buck said earlier, it's a lot of
work to write a book. We actually write books, finish
the show, sit down in front of the computer, crank
this thing out. It's fun, it's engaging. Also, if you're
not a reader, I read the entire thing on audiobook.
Are you scheduled to be in the audiobook chamber? I
say that because it is somewhat accurate.
Speaker 4 (12:21):
And over the.
Speaker 3 (12:22):
Christmas, over the Christmas holiday, ba humbug ebeny's a scrooge
coming from my holiday.
Speaker 1 (12:27):
So you come back in January. Because I've recorded the
last three of my books. You guys know I mispronounced
words all the time. They have you there reading, and
every time you mispronounce anything, or you miss a word
or whatever else, they stop you. It is unbelievably challenging
to just read an entire book, to say nothing of
(12:49):
the fact that you think, oh, I should have put
that paragraph there. Why am I an idiot? Why did
I have that sentence here? I could have written this better.
You just self criticize the whole time you're doing it.
But you can hear me read the entire thing I
did the audiobook book, Buck'll be doing his. So if
you're like my wife and you listen to books more
than you read them because you're driving kids around, or
(13:11):
you're on the road a lot, you're a trucker, you
got that option to I would seriously, deeply appreciate if
you would go buy a copy of Balls today and
drive me up the best seller.
Speaker 3 (13:20):
With people are asking what charity you're gonna donate the
proceeds to, I might add, Yeah, I'm gonna treat the tea.
Speaker 1 (13:25):
Yeah, I'm gonna try to send to a bunch. I
don't want to break news. We're talking about doing something
pretty I'm gonna break news significant at Vanderbilt Law School
about commitment to free speech principles for lawyers, because I'm
troubled by what I've seen so many law schools out
there doing when they're not. Basically, the whole idea of
(13:48):
being a lawyer is you have to sometimes advocate for
things that you might personally disagree with. That's the job.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
And I see a.
Speaker 1 (13:55):
Lot of law schools now saying, well, if it's not
the right woke perspect then we don't even feel like
we should teach advocacy here. And I deeply disagree with that,
as does my wife. So we're trying to work on
something there that could be significant.
Speaker 3 (14:09):
So in twenty years, is Uncle Clay gonna be able
to get a little Jimmy Speed into Vanderberl Law School.
Let's get down to brass tax here. I should have
good pull there. We've got a good poll. That's what
I'm talking about right there, right down to it. But
I was also on in Asheville, North Carolina. I want
to do something. I know we've already done some stuff
western North Carolina. I did a tour this morning with
a lot of our local affiliates. I think there's still
(14:31):
a lot of people struggling in the Ashville area, even
though it's been a year since the hurricane hit there,
but a lot of people have forgotten. My in laws are.
Speaker 1 (14:39):
Still still rebuildings, still rebuilding. No, I think there are
tons of people in that area that need help. So
I'm going to do a variety of things, but I'm
excited about being able to hopefully make a little bit
of difference out there. And look, if you love steaks, burgers, chicken, pork,
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Speaker 5 (16:07):
Want to begin to know when you're on the go.
The Team forty seven podcast Trump Highlights from the week
Sundays at noon Eastern in the Clay and Buck podcast feed.
Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get
your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (16:23):
All right, welcome back in here to Clay and Buck.
A lot of things hitting us at one time. Carolyn
Levitt speaking of the White House West Wing. We are
monitoring anything interesting from that press conference. We will bring
to you as it happens. Also, we had Jay Jones
outside of Virginia polling station making a kicking motion at
(16:43):
a dog, as if he didn't kick the dog to
be clear, but he kicked in the direction of a dog.
It's just very weird. You As if I could dislike
this guy anymore. You mess with dogs, I talk about
signal issue voter. What what a weird dude to?
Speaker 2 (16:59):
I mean, you're at a pole like I don't know.
Speaker 1 (17:03):
Meaning a polling place with cameras on you, and somebody's
got a dog, and like you, just like I don't,
you just kind of kick in the direction of a
tiny little dog.
Speaker 3 (17:11):
It was just so weird and awkward. This guy's is
is not someone who should have any power period. But
that's where we are. Let's take some quick talkbacks here.
Speaker 6 (17:20):
D D.
Speaker 3 (17:20):
Kelly from Oklahoma City listens on KTOKA hit.
Speaker 6 (17:23):
It sounds like Buck Sexton, the city slicker has never
had to go grocery shopping in a pickup truck before.
Speaker 3 (17:34):
Paper bags are a goat man. What are you talking about?
I have never heard anybody say they prefer paper bags
for reasons of efficiency or can someone explain that to me?
What I'm missing this? And yeah, I am a city slicker.
What is he talking about? Plastic bags are obviously superior.
Speaker 1 (17:52):
I agree with you. We'll come back to this. By
the way, DC Airport back open now. So we said
that they had shut it down for a bit. It
is now back open.
Speaker 3 (18:01):
Was I don't know about why people like paperbags. I
do know about home defense, though, and it's really important
to me. And Saber is the best company out there
when it comes to non lethal self defense products for
the home or for carrying around with you. Saber spelled
Savri the number one pepper spray brand trusted by law enforcement.
I have a whole range of their products here in
(18:23):
my home. Clay has a whole range of products in
his home, and his wife, like me, likes the non
lethal and the lethal options with the two A stuff.
But even with firearms at home, I got a lot
of them. I like to have non lethal options. Saber
is who I trust for that their products are reliable
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airline levitt as we told you. Currently in the midst
of a White House press briefing that we will update
(19:05):
you on if any major news comes out of that.
They're talking about the shutdown. We are joined now by
our friend data guru, Ryan Gurdusky. He's a part of
the Clay and Buck podcast network. And I know we're
about halfway through the day right now, Ryan, So I'm
gonna lay.
Speaker 1 (19:22):
Out some things. You tell me if you would sign
onto these and or what you are seeing. If Chitdarelli
is going to win in New Jersey, Republicans have to
turn out in huge numbers today because he's down around
two hundred and fifty or so thousand votes. It appears
based on early voting and the mail ballots absentees, Virginia
(19:45):
is looking bad for wins some seers, but Jason Miarez,
the Attorney General, is in a tight race and has
a decent chance. Lieutenant governor is going to be competitive there,
and it looks like Mom Donnie is going to win
and potentially win with more than fifty percent of the vote.
Do you sign on to any of those takes?
Speaker 2 (20:06):
Am I wrong? How would you assess where we are now?
Speaker 4 (20:09):
You're pretty on the money. I mean, we New Jersey's
reporting county by county, so it's very difficult for me
to get a real estimate. Remember she had or rally
only lost by eighty thousand votes in twenty twenty one.
He lost election day Republican versus Democrat turnout, right, there
were more Democrats turn on election day in twenty twenty
one than Republicans, but he went independence by such a
(20:31):
large margin it overwhelmed whatever Democrat turnout looked like. He
won election day by a little over two hundred thousand votes.
Right now, it's looking like one thing that's pretty surprising
is how many people in Mikey Cheryl's district are voting
for Our voting right now is she is tremendous turnout
out of her districts. As of noon today, not all
(20:52):
the counties are reporting. A lot of the big Republican
counties have yet to report some of the mile some
of the other big Republican counties have reported, But definitely
Mikey Shels District is definitely showing up in full force,
presumably for her. It's a pretty safe Democratic district over
in Virginia. What I've sat there and seen right now is,
(21:12):
you know, there's a Republican counties are kind of in
a mix. Right now, there's kind of the Caroline County,
Green County, Norden County, which are doing fairly well of
you know, they're coming up in pretty large numbers. But
also at the same time there's other super big Republican
counties like Appomatox and Buchanan which are having horrendous turnouts.
So Republicans are making up some of the best turnout
(21:35):
counties and some of the worst at the same exact time.
Places like Alexandria, f Fairfax, they are about fifty percent
of their twenty twenty four election day as of right now,
fifty five to sixty. New York City is going to
have the largest turnout in may oral history. We're easily
going to blow pass I think two million votes. I
think it's pretty safe to say largest election ever was
(21:55):
in nineteen ninety one for nineteen eventty three, rather for
for Giuliani. This is that was one point eight million.
This is going to be at least two million. Tremendously
high turnouts in places like the Bronx, which had not
voted at all on before election day, horrendous voting before
election day had tremendously high turnout.
Speaker 3 (22:17):
So Ryan in the New York race. The thing that
you hear about constantly from the Mam Donnie camp is
just variations on cost of living and how Mam Donnie
says he's going to bring those costs down. This is,
as far as I'm concerned, like fairytale stuff. But put
that aside for a second. Is it a similar situation
(22:39):
in New Jersey? What are the biggest things that are
at issue that are actually moving mobilizing voters and that
could make the difference here in turnout when you look
at the issues between Cheryl and Chitarelli.
Speaker 4 (22:52):
Well, the biggest issue, and I cover this on the
Numbers Game podcast for a whole episode, one of the
biggest issues in vote for Virginia and New Jersey or
electric prices. Electric prices are through the roof. Two thirds
of electric price increases, according to CNN, were because not
that that's a reliable source, but two thirds of the
increased cost was because of.
Speaker 3 (23:11):
Every time you mentioned CNN on our show, Ryan, we
play a little boo in the podcast.
Speaker 4 (23:16):
Well, I think I think the article was. I think
the article is a tremendous amount of the data centers
and the data centers that are popping up everywhere, and
how the increased costs are coming in those in states
like that, that's a big thing. What happened in New Jersey,
what happened in Virginia is that Democrats are to nationalize
it right, make the whole election about Donald Trump and
say a vote for me is a vote against Trump.
(23:37):
Even Jay Jones is doing that as attorney in the
general general race is Trump all day, all night. Chittarelli
has talked a lot about, you know, cost of living,
how they be effective an effective administrator that I don't
know what what's moving numbers right now. Democrat numbers are
fairly strong in a number of places. But numbers are strong,
(23:59):
by the way, every where I'm looking at races across
the country. There's an election in Miami going on right now.
Democrat turnout is gigantic right now in Miami, the race
elections in Pennsylvania. There's lines around the corner in Pittsburgh
to go vote. This is This is a very this
is probably one of the highest turnout elections and off
off non primary, non non presidential, non midterm years probably.
Speaker 1 (24:22):
Ever, what's the impact, if anything, of Trump saying Cuomo.
Speaker 2 (24:28):
Should be your vote? Sli, what can't win?
Speaker 1 (24:31):
He waited till the night before the election, there's been
arguments that it actually helps Mom Donnie. At this point,
does it have any impact and prediction from you? Do
you think that Mom Donnie is likely to get over
fifty percent, in which case all the talk about Slee
versus Cuomo versus Eric Adams may not end up having mattered.
(24:52):
Because he gets over half the vote, then it doesn't
matter how much split vote there was.
Speaker 4 (24:58):
Yeah, I.
Speaker 6 (25:00):
It doesn't.
Speaker 4 (25:00):
It's not helpful for Trump to weigh in because he's
so disliked by two thirds of New Yorkers, a thirty
thirty three percent love him or like him, and two
thirds can stand him in New York. And I don't
think that it's necessarily helpful Little Cuomo. I think Curtis
Leewa could have done not only more for himself by
by by a team Ampo Cuomo, but also helping the
Republicans running down ballot in New York City, which is
(25:22):
going to be tremendously important if Mundanie becomes mayor Kenny Whin,
I listen, I can Revember sixty percent. I don't know,
and I don't like to predict that. I don't like
to make predictions. I know I can't come true on
But here's why I'll sit there and say, you know
who's looking at this election more than anybody is AOC.
Because everyone kind of sat there and said, Undannie has
a ceiling. Mandannie has a ceiling. He got so and
so many votes in the primary. He can't possibly get
(25:45):
more than a million votes in a two million person
election in the general. If there's no ceiling on socialism,
AOC is going to look at that and say, Okay,
it's my time to shine. I'm running for president. And
it's not a joke when you say, I mean, yes,
New York City is not reflective the entire country, but
there's a big chunk of that base and the Democratic
primaries it's there and says no, there's no cap on socialism.
(26:05):
Let's go completely full fledge on this, and then it's
just a race the left of who can get there first,
especially in economic issues.
Speaker 3 (26:13):
Ryan on the Virginia side of things, it's not looking
good from everything that we've seen, and we talked to
you about this in the in the early voting stage
a bit wins sears was this just not a race
she could win because of the political realities of the
state of Virginia right now, and the enormous weight that
really the suburbs of d C, which is what like
(26:35):
Fairfax County and Nova, all those different areas of it. Basically,
was this not her fault or I don't remember a
single thing coming from her side of the campaign. Plenty
of things coming from the Spamburger that I didn't like,
but I was certainly hearing about. But Win some series,
I don't even hear what she was standing for.
Speaker 4 (26:55):
She said one thing and one thing only, I will
stop transgender bathrooms from and Virginia issues. Said that every
single day. That was the only issue she ran on. Look,
I'm not here to trash someone who's still the votes
are still has to be counted, but I'll say so
Wins and Sears, she's doing significantly worse than both the
candidate for lieutenant governor and AG and even before the scandal,
she was doing worse than the AG Cane. It's not
(27:16):
only she's an unknown person, she's a lieutenant she's a
lieutenant governor currently. She raised a ton of money. She
wasn't starving for cash. She ran on only one issue,
which was transgender stuff. And I'm not saying it's not
great for Republicans. It is a it's a winning issue.
Speaker 3 (27:32):
She needs, She needed more than that. It sounds like
assuming that the polls are accurate so far, that that
alone is not going to propel her to the governor's mansion.
Speaker 4 (27:39):
It's just not the most important. It was the only
thing she talked about. She didn't talk about anything. And
then when she was asked about specifically data centers because
electricity prices are increasing throughout Virginia, she sat there and said, well,
they're here to stay, and I'm building more of them.
And it was very, very very unpopular. She just is,
She's she ran. She her original campaign team had a
(28:00):
lot to be desired. I talked to a lot of
people running down Ballad. They did not like what she
was doing. And she's not just losing today like the
lieutenant governors, is just a generic Republican. No one really
knows a lot about it. He had no money. She's
losing worse than him, and it says a lot more
about her. It's a bed year. It's a bed year.
You lose, you lose. But when you're losing worse than
(28:23):
somebody with no money, no name ID, and that's just
a generic Republican. That's that's pretty much on you.
Speaker 1 (28:29):
Okay, to what extent do you believe there is any
predictive value in these elections as we look toward next
year's elections, which have far more consequential stakes.
Speaker 4 (28:42):
I think that it looks like Democrats are voting like
it's a presidential election. I mean, that's just the truth
of it. They are voting in early elections and presidentials.
Some of these counties I'm looking at in New Jersey
where it was five to one in twenty twenty blue
counties five to one Democrat in twenty twenty one, it's
looking like eight or nine to one Democrat right now.
Just Democrat turnout is through the roof in some of
(29:04):
these places, especially as white college educated areas, and they
are voting like at the presidential election. Republicans really need
to wake up if they think, even with all this
jerry manning that they're doing and things that are work
in their favor, if they think they can win on
that alone, they cannot. When it comes to this kind
of turnout. The turnout is immense, and Republicans need to
match it in a significant way and really need to
(29:26):
have answers on certain things in the economy, I think
are really pressing people's questions on quality of life.
Speaker 3 (29:32):
So any last minute thoughts for how you think New
York is going to go specifically Ryan as their votes
are coming in right now, is a Cuomo This is
really what I'm leaning toward. Is a last minute Cuomo
miracle in the cards? Or have you already written this off?
Speaker 4 (29:50):
I mean, listen, I'm not writing anything off. I just
sit they're in said this. Cuomo needed to do one
major thing give Republicans a reason to vote for him.
He never did, and that is Cuomo's biggest mistake in
this general election. In the primary, he didn't do anything right.
But in the general he needed the hundreds of thousands
of Trump voters in the City of New York who
(30:11):
could sit there and football an election to say say,
I'm going to vote for Clomo because he's going to
do X, Y and Z. He's going to support the
problem solver, the common Sense Caucus, which is Republicans and
Democrats in the City Council. I'm going to do this.
On crime, I apologize for COVID, I apologize for Bill Reform.
I'm going to be the guy for everybody. Now, I'm
going to rise above this, and he never did. He
(30:32):
only stuck to you know, democratic politics, and it makes
me think, maybe.
Speaker 3 (30:36):
Is he just kind of a buffoon. I'm shocked at
how in ft he has been Ryan honestly, like for
a guy who was the governor, it's it's like he
and you know, he's like the uh, who's the who's
the little blonde haired sort of idiot king in the
beginning of Jeffreys Jeoffrey. He's like a like a little
Italian version of Jeoffrey.
Speaker 1 (30:54):
Also, by the way, but also mom, Donnie has so
many vulnerabilities, Like it's not as if he's got a
you know, like coat of armor on to bucks point,
it just feels like a super incompetent campaign.
Speaker 4 (31:11):
It's super incompetent. And you know, I had a dinner
with one of I never said the same body. I
had a dinner with one of Clomo's advisors. And we're
sitting there and you know, I run the seventeen seventies
of Project Pack and we're doing well, we have got
some money, and he said, would your pack donate one
hundred grand to the Cuomo campaign. I go, you're known
to have a money problem. You have a candidate problem.
All the money in the world's not going to fix that.
(31:33):
I give Republicans a reason to vote for you, and
they just wouldn't. And you know, I looked at his
entire electoral history. He never had a competitive primary one
time in his entire life. He never had a competitive
general one time his entire life. And I think that
that's probably speaks it's amazing.
Speaker 3 (31:48):
He's just not a good He's just not a good politician,
is actually what has been exposed in all this meaning
he's not even good at pretending to be good at things.
So that's that's disconcerted. But yeah, all right, Ryan or
Dusky everybody.
Speaker 4 (32:01):
I'm more like, we're going to blow past the twenty
I mean, we might hit twenty twenty four general election numbers.
Speaker 2 (32:06):
That's crazy, right, that's crazy time, not wild.
Speaker 3 (32:09):
Go check out, everybody. It's a numbers game. On the
Claimbuck podcast Network, great podcasts. Ryan breaks down all of
the data. He knows the players, he knows the numbers.
You'll learn a lot. You'll impress all your lib friends,
all your Mamdani voters next door, be like, well, only
thirty percent of twenty percent think that Mamdanni's a communist
one hundred percent of the time. Thanks for being with
(32:29):
us rhyme, Thank you. Anti Semitism is on the rise.
It has been the past couple of years, but this
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Speaker 5 (33:24):
News you can count on as some laughs too.
Speaker 3 (33:28):
Clay Travis and Buck Sexton.
Speaker 5 (33:30):
Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you
get your podcasts.
Speaker 3 (33:35):
Welcome back into Clay and Buck Crockett Coffee friends. Busy,
busy times in this world of ours, but never too
busy for a delicious cup of coffee, especially one that
is going to be donating ten percent of its profits
at the end of the year to Tunnel Towers Foundation,
especially one that celebrates American history. And Clay Travis's Balls,
(33:56):
the new book that is out today, Balls. This is
the title, and you can get some special deals if
you subscribe to Crockett down the line, they're gonna be
coming your way and my book too. So Crocketcoffee dot
com get your coffee of Balls, Get signed up and subscribed.
All the good things, all the good things are happening
at Crocket Coffee. Now we have some calls, which I'm
(34:18):
excited about. Jack in Syracuse, New York, which is getting
a little bit brisk this time of year. What's going on? Jack?
Speaker 6 (34:25):
Hey, I gotta agree with Clay. They're on that plastic bag.
Speaker 3 (34:31):
That was me. I'm Buck. I was the one that
was freaking out about the bags, but you know, close
enough to go.
Speaker 6 (34:35):
I'm sorry, that's okay, Play's on vacation, right, I.
Speaker 3 (34:40):
Mean, you know.
Speaker 2 (34:43):
He's here, I'm here, but thanks, thanks for listening.
Speaker 6 (34:47):
Thank god you guys are there after Rush because I'll
tell you we needed you guys. But you know Cuomo
saved the world too. You know we can. We can
buy our milk and cool whip and uh hell of
a good depth or whatever, but we can. We can
put him in at We can't put him in a
plastic bag. Now, what the huck? He saved the world,
(35:08):
didn't he?
Speaker 3 (35:09):
I hate thank you for calling in. He agrees with
me in the plastic bag thing. It is idiocy clay.
It makes no sense. It just makes everyone's life a
little more annoying so that libs can feel good about
themselves for no reason, so that libs can feel good
about themselves for doing something bad because it's actually not
good for the environment.
Speaker 1 (35:29):
I also think the whole climate change thing seems like
it's collapsing pretty fast.
Speaker 2 (35:34):
Even we talked about it a little bit.
Speaker 1 (35:35):
But when Bill Gates comes out and says, actually, sorry,
the whole world's not going to end because of climate change,
I just think the whole climate catastrophism is going to
unravel rapidly in the years ahead, because according to AOC,
we should all be underwater right now, and it's clearly
not manifesting itself as they claimed it would, and they're
(36:00):
going to have to find something else new to be
concerned about, even post Trump. What is going to be
the catastrophe. Lots of people weighing in, we'll get too
many of your comments. Final hour of the program before
the election results start to come in, obviously will tell
you all the significance of those election results tomorrow. But Buck,
when we come back, let's kind of go on the
record say where we think we're headed, what we expect
(36:23):
to see as all of the votes are coming in,
and we encourage you as always go vote, Go vote, please,
go vote across the country wherever you are. So many
important elections, just because we're not talking about every single
election that's out there, so many of them, as many
of us.
Speaker 2 (36:40):
Have learned, are super important.
Speaker 1 (36:42):
School Board, by the way, a lot of elections that
matter tremendously to your life.
Speaker 3 (36:49):
Got a lot more comments stick around election day, Clay
and Buck
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