Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Former Nebraska governor Dave Heineman joins usab's morning news.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
David, good morning, Hey, good morning Gary. I don't know
who's in the background.
Speaker 3 (00:11):
I just want you to know your legacy keeps this
radio station atop the polls every single day.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Well, I'm glad for that. People should listen to you.
You guys are great and I appreciate it.
Speaker 3 (00:23):
All right, So nobody understands politics walking the earth better
than you do. Couple of things. Number one handicap the
presidential race and in particular Trump's chances in those big
blue Northeast Democrat states.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
When you look at the presidential race, there are seven states,
the badleground states Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan, Nevada and North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin,
and then one congressional district in Nebraska too. But here's
the bottom line. If you study history, the most important
and interesting fact is the blue Wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania,
(01:02):
and Wisconsin have all voted in unison the same way
in the past eight presidential elections. So the bottom line is,
whoever wins those three states is likely to be the
president of the United States. In particular, if Harris wins
them plus Nebraska two, she narrowly wins two seventy to
(01:23):
two sixty eight. If Trump wins them, plus he picks
up Georgia and North Carolina, he'll have a pretty good
margin of victory. And we won't know until we see
the final results.
Speaker 3 (01:34):
Are you sure that history is a guide this year?
Speaker 2 (01:36):
Gov?
Speaker 3 (01:36):
And here's why. Each one of those states has different
political quirks than ever before. In Pennsylvania, it's about energy
and Harris's outward angst about fracking. In Michigan, it's about
the Jewish vote and the high concentration of Muslims. And
in Wisconsin, that is a state that is growing a
little more conservative now they've elected conservative senators, they've had
(02:00):
conservative governors. Is it possible that history may not be
a guide this year?
Speaker 2 (02:07):
It's possible, And I would say, you know, maybe even probable,
because if you look at all the polls that have
been out there, at state polls, every one of these
states has been plus or minus one or two points
for Harris or Trump. So you have the possibility. But
it is interesting the last eight presidential elections ever since
(02:28):
nineteen ninety two, they've all voted the same way. They
may not, They may split their votes. Pennsylvania in particular,
I think is probably the key because if Trump wins Pennsylvania,
I don't think there's any question it will be the
president of the United States. But I don't think you'll
know that result till Thursday or Friday.
Speaker 1 (02:45):
Probably not. And you mentioned District two. Do you think
it was a mistake for Donald Trump to basically ignore
you know, Kamala Harris ads have been all over Kfab
and elsewhere in District two for months. He didn't do
any Is that an error?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
I think so. I think he should have contested. He
won Nebraska two in twenty sixteen. It's a very competitive
district now. The demographics are such you've got about an
equal number of Republicans and Democrats, and then about twenty
four to twenty five percent independent. So I wish he
would have contested. It certainly would have helped. I think
(03:23):
Congressman vacant in his race.
Speaker 3 (03:26):
Okay, there are a number of races to fill up
our forty nine full brightes next year, and I want
your take on some of them, because you've been involved
in many of these as a consultant or at least
an advisor. So what about District three, This could be
a pickup for the Republicans. Felix Angermann against Victor Roundtree.
It's Carol Blood's district, Bellevue of Bellvy.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
I'm sorry, I know Felix. He's a good candidate, he
has good chance of winning, but he's up against a
very good opponent from what I know, so I wouldn't
be surprised if that's very close for a I think
he won the primary by six or seven points, so
expected close to him there. It could go either way.
Speaker 3 (04:06):
District five Gilbert Ayala who runs for a legislature every
four years and loses a very very close loss in
the primary to Margot Juarez. That's going to stay demn
because as Mike McDonald's disc South Omba South.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Omon South Omo likely to go Democrat, all right.
Speaker 3 (04:22):
In District fifteen, your backyard, you have David Werdikeamper, the
Union boss, against a Roxy Krockle, who's a longtime Republican
operative in Dodge County. He's only been a Republican for
a couple of years. Is he really a Republican? Because
this is a Walls This is Lynn Walls district, so
she's a Democrat. It's going to go Republican. But is
(04:42):
he Is he a Republican?
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Not really, especially not in the sense that Roxy is.
I think Roxy Roxy Krocer will win the district. She's
got the momentum, she's got the endorsement of all the
major Republican officeholders.
Speaker 3 (04:58):
A couple of more. What about District forty nine? They
call her Jen every other day because he's never there,
the incumbent against Robert Anderson in a district that has
a lot of high property taxes. Is this a pickup
for the Republicans?
Speaker 2 (05:13):
It could be. I've heard that race is very very close.
There are people who think Anderson is going to win.
There are others who think Jen Day will pull it out.
It is a Republican leaning district, so that's one to watch.
I think it could go either way.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
So if you would you who would you rather be
this morning? Would you rather be Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
Speaker 2 (05:36):
Well, that's tough, you know. I've always said on election Day,
this is the day for the American people listen to
their vote. But I think I'd rather be Trump. But
it's so close, it's hard to tell.
Speaker 1 (05:47):
I want to get your take too, before we run here,
gov On Governor Dave Hie, former Governor Dave of Heneman
with US on District thirty nine where low An Lenahanna's
term limited out. Tony Sarrantino the Republican versus Alison Jimas.
How do you see that one going?
Speaker 2 (06:02):
I think that's very competitive. It's going to be very
very close. I've heard some polls that indicate Tarantino's up
for by a couple of points, but again, until you
see the votes come in, you won't know for sure.
But very very competitive.
Speaker 3 (06:17):
I think if Trump had come to Omaha, he could
have elevated a lot of Republican.
Speaker 1 (06:21):
Can I think so too? God? What do you think
of the contents? Surprisingly contentious US Senate race, Dan Osborne
and deb Fisher. How will that go?
Speaker 2 (06:33):
I think Fisher Senator Fisher stabilized the race. She's likely
to win. The real issue, there is no one expected
there would be twenty five million dollars of outside money
coming into the district, and Osburn's had really good TV
and radio ads, but again the Center and Fisher. It
(06:55):
woke up the Center and Fisher campaign and there now
in a very good position. I think she wins very good.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Well, maybe I have to in the post, Barn, and
we'll have you come back on to talk about the
state of either the Democrat or Republican party. Thanks Gud,
appreciate you.
Speaker 1 (07:07):
Always good to have you on. Governor a former governor
Dave Heineman here Okfab's Morning News seven twenty three on
a sports breeve. Now, Jim Ross, he's not on the ballot.
Speaker 3 (07:15):
We can't do imitations like me conceding the election as
Dave Heineman do that.
Speaker 1 (07:20):
We'll find other things though,
Former Nebraska governor Dave Heineman joins usab's morning news.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
David, good morning, Hey, good morning Gary. I don't know
who's in the background.
Speaker 3 (00:11):
I just want you to know your legacy keeps this
radio station atop the polls every single day.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Well, I'm glad for that. People should listen to you.
You guys are great and I appreciate it.
Speaker 3 (00:23):
All right, So nobody understands politics walking the earth better
than you do. Couple of things. Number one handicap the
presidential race and in particular Trump's chances in those big
blue Northeast Democrat states.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
When you look at the presidential race, there are seven states,
the badleground states Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan, Nevada and North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin,
and then one congressional district in Nebraska too. But here's
the bottom line. If you study history, the most important
and interesting fact is the blue Wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania,
(01:02):
and Wisconsin have all voted in unison the same way
in the past eight presidential elections. So the bottom line is,
whoever wins those three states is likely to be the
president of the United States. In particular, if Harris wins
them plus Nebraska two, she narrowly wins two seventy to
(01:23):
two sixty eight. If Trump wins them, plus he picks
up Georgia and North Carolina, he'll have a pretty good
margin of victory. And we won't know until we see
the final results.
Speaker 3 (01:34):
Are you sure that history is a guide this year?
Speaker 2 (01:36):
Gov?
Speaker 3 (01:36):
And here's why. Each one of those states has different
political quirks than ever before. In Pennsylvania, it's about energy
and Harris's outward angst about fracking. In Michigan, it's about
the Jewish vote and the high concentration of Muslims. And
in Wisconsin, that is a state that is growing a
little more conservative now they've elected conservative senators, they've had
(02:00):
conservative governors. Is it possible that history may not be
a guide this year?
Speaker 2 (02:07):
It's possible, And I would say, you know, maybe even probable,
because if you look at all the polls that have
been out there, at state polls, every one of these
states has been plus or minus one or two points
for Harris or Trump. So you have the possibility. But
it is interesting the last eight presidential elections ever since
(02:28):
nineteen ninety two, they've all voted the same way. They
may not, They may split their votes. Pennsylvania in particular,
I think is probably the key because if Trump wins Pennsylvania,
I don't think there's any question it will be the
president of the United States. But I don't think you'll
know that result till Thursday or Friday.
Speaker 1 (02:45):
Probably not. And you mentioned District two. Do you think
it was a mistake for Donald Trump to basically ignore
you know, Kamala Harris ads have been all over Kfab
and elsewhere in District two for months. He didn't do
any Is that an error?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
I think so. I think he should have contested. He
won Nebraska two in twenty sixteen. It's a very competitive
district now. The demographics are such you've got about an
equal number of Republicans and Democrats, and then about twenty
four to twenty five percent independent. So I wish he
would have contested. It certainly would have helped. I think
(03:23):
Congressman vacant in his race.
Speaker 3 (03:26):
Okay, there are a number of races to fill up
our forty nine full brightes next year, and I want
your take on some of them, because you've been involved
in many of these as a consultant or at least
an advisor. So what about District three, This could be
a pickup for the Republicans. Felix Angermann against Victor Roundtree.
It's Carol Blood's district, Bellevue of Bellvy.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
I'm sorry, I know Felix. He's a good candidate, he
has good chance of winning, but he's up against a
very good opponent from what I know, so I wouldn't
be surprised if that's very close for a I think
he won the primary by six or seven points, so
expected close to him there. It could go either way.
Speaker 3 (04:06):
District five Gilbert Ayala who runs for a legislature every
four years and loses a very very close loss in
the primary to Margot Juarez. That's going to stay demn
because as Mike McDonald's disc South Omba South.
Speaker 2 (04:18):
Omon South Omo likely to go Democrat, all right.
Speaker 3 (04:22):
In District fifteen, your backyard, you have David Werdikeamper, the
Union boss, against a Roxy Krockle, who's a longtime Republican
operative in Dodge County. He's only been a Republican for
a couple of years. Is he really a Republican? Because
this is a Walls This is Lynn Walls district, so
she's a Democrat. It's going to go Republican. But is
(04:42):
he Is he a Republican?
Speaker 2 (04:45):
Not really, especially not in the sense that Roxy is.
I think Roxy Roxy Krocer will win the district. She's
got the momentum, she's got the endorsement of all the
major Republican officeholders.
Speaker 3 (04:58):
A couple of more. What about District forty nine? They
call her Jen every other day because he's never there,
the incumbent against Robert Anderson in a district that has
a lot of high property taxes. Is this a pickup
for the Republicans?
Speaker 2 (05:13):
It could be. I've heard that race is very very close.
There are people who think Anderson is going to win.
There are others who think Jen Day will pull it out.
It is a Republican leaning district, so that's one to watch.
I think it could go either way.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
So if you would you who would you rather be
this morning? Would you rather be Donald Trump or Kamala Harris?
Speaker 2 (05:36):
Well, that's tough, you know. I've always said on election Day,
this is the day for the American people listen to
their vote. But I think I'd rather be Trump. But
it's so close, it's hard to tell.
Speaker 1 (05:47):
I want to get your take too, before we run here,
gov On Governor Dave Hie, former Governor Dave of Heneman
with US on District thirty nine where low An Lenahanna's
term limited out. Tony Sarrantino the Republican versus Alison Jimas.
How do you see that one going?
Speaker 2 (06:02):
I think that's very competitive. It's going to be very
very close. I've heard some polls that indicate Tarantino's up
for by a couple of points, but again, until you
see the votes come in, you won't know for sure.
But very very competitive.
Speaker 3 (06:17):
I think if Trump had come to Omaha, he could
have elevated a lot of Republican.
Speaker 1 (06:21):
Can I think so too? God? What do you think
of the contents? Surprisingly contentious US Senate race, Dan Osborne
and deb Fisher. How will that go?
Speaker 2 (06:33):
I think Fisher Senator Fisher stabilized the race. She's likely
to win. The real issue, there is no one expected
there would be twenty five million dollars of outside money
coming into the district, and Osburn's had really good TV
and radio ads, but again the Center and Fisher. It
(06:55):
woke up the Center and Fisher campaign and there now
in a very good position. I think she wins very good.
Speaker 3 (07:01):
Well, maybe I have to in the post, Barn, and
we'll have you come back on to talk about the
state of either the Democrat or Republican party. Thanks Gud,
appreciate you.
Speaker 1 (07:07):
Always good to have you on. Governor a former governor
Dave Heineman here Okfab's Morning News seven twenty three on
a sports breeve. Now, Jim Ross, he's not on the ballot.
Speaker 3 (07:15):
We can't do imitations like me conceding the election as
Dave Heineman do that.
Speaker 1 (07:20):
We'll find other things though,
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