The MUFG Global Markets Podcast
Join the MUFG Global Markets Research Team for expert analysis of the week’s most pressing topics impacting economies and the markets
Episodes
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart, Currency Analyst, discuss how the FX market is being increasingly impacted by the global market sell-off. How are FX option flows changing in response to renewed fragmentation risks in the euro-zone?
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Simon Mayes, Head of UK, Ireland & Swiss FX Corporate Sales to discuss the implications of the huge sell-off in fixed income over recent weeks. Derek highlights the growing risks of the selling in fixed income spreading to risk assets and FX carry could suffer as well. There is also a discussion on what lies ahead next week with t...
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities is joined today by Nicolaus Jan Thiesen in FX Sales in Duesseldorf to discuss the latest developments in the financial markets. It was a busy week, so Derek provides an updated US dollar view following the rate hike by the FOMC this week. The USD/JPY move at the end of the week following the BoJ rate hike is also discussed and whether prospects are ...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss potentially spillovers for the FX market from the accelerating bond market sell-off. How will upcoming BoJ and Fed policy meetings impact the JPY and USD?
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss what has been behind the JPY’s recent rebound and whether it is likely to continue. In addition, they discuss the outlook for ECB policy ahead of next week’s meeting.
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Simon Mayes, Head of UK, Ireland & Swiss FX Corporate Sales to discuss the key takeaways from the Jackson Hole speech by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Derek also discusses the fleeting USD debasement focus following the UST bond buyback announcement earlier in August and the implications of the speech by BoJ Deputy Governor Himino.
Joining us in this special podcast, George Goncalves, MUFG Head of Macro Strategy and Agron Nicaj, MUFG’s US Desk Economist preview what to expect from the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium. The Macro Strategy team see 3 potential options that Warsh can take when delivering his opening remarks, all with different market implications. The team also covers their latest macro thinking and how its driving their Fed and rat...
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Shan Husain in FI FX Sales to discuss the fallout for the US dollar following the US Treasury announcement of increase UST bond buybacks on Wednesday. The dollar drop over the four weeks covering Japan/US FX intervention is the largest since the period following the Liberation Day announcements last year. Washington policy has again u...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss why the yen has quickly given intervention driven gains over the past week. In addition, they discuss the resilience of the UK economy to the negative energy price shock and impact on BoE policy.
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales to discuss the FX and rates impact following the much weaker than expected US jobs report. Derek also outlines the implications for USD/JPY following the joint intervention last week and highlights using historic examples why joint intervention matters but po...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart, Currency Analyst, discuss the fallout for the FX market from this week’s Fed, BoJ and BoE policy meetings. How have the latest developments impacted the outlook for USD/JPY?
Elizabeth Wren, European Political Analyst, sits down to speak with Henry Cook, Senior Economist, to talk about recent developments in the UK economy. They discuss new PM Andy Burnham’s policy platform and how much fiscal flexibility there may be for his proposals, as well the outlook for the upcoming Bank of England meeting amid renewed energy price pressures.
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart, Currency Analyst, discuss what has been driving a weaker USD over the past week. In addition, they discuss if recent GBP outperformance will continue now that Andy Burnham has been confirmed as the new Labour leader.
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down to speak with James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales to discuss the latest FX/Rates themes. Derek discusses the implications of Japan Finance Minister Katayama ‘s comment on encouraging households and pension funds, including GPIF to invest in domestic markets. This marks a potentially significant shift in policy direction. The re-...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss what has been driving FX markets recently including UK political risk and diverging monetary policy expectations between Europe and the US. Will the USD continue to strengthen?
After a busy week of central bank meetings, Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Nico Jan Thiesen, Global Client Sales to discuss the implications for the FX markets. The Fed meeting impact on the dollar, the BoJ impact on the yen and the BoE impact on the pound are discussed as are the implications for EUR cross currency risks given the potential for moves in the US dol...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart, Currency Analyst, discuss how building investor optimism over a US-Iran deal and Kevin Warsh’s first policy meeting as Fed Chair are likely to impact the USD. Will another BoJ rate hike be sufficient to trigger a reversal of JPY weakness?
The much stronger than expected US jobs report has had the obvious impact with front-end rates and the dollar stronger. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Chris Jakubowski, FX Institutional Sales to discuss the impact of the data going forward. How does this impact EUR/USD with the ECB expected to hike on 11th June? Has ECB pricing become overdone given recent economic...
Reaching a deal to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is now largely priced. Brent crude oil is down close to 20% from the high on 18th May reflecting the optimism that a deal would be done.
Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales about what this means for rates and the US dollar. Derek also talks to James abo...
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss the latest Uk economic and political developments. How has it impacted the outlook for UK rates and the pound?
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