November 4, 2025 • 11 mins
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
It's that time. Always look forward to the Insight, or
rather the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find his
podcast wherever you get your podcast. Retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis,
Welcome back to the fifty five Caressey Morning Show. Sir.
I'm not anticipating good news, but we'll hit the ground
running as we always do. We got wars to talk about.
Welcome back, my friends. Great see in your face and
having you on the show. Always a pleasure to be here, Brian,
(00:21):
thanks for having me. All right. Dealer's choice? Where does
the guests want to begin? You want to start with
Israel and Hamas. You want to look at Ukraine and Russia.
Where should we start?
Speaker 2 (00:30):
Yeah, let's just start in the middle eight's we use.
We usually hit that one second, let's go there first.
Speaker 1 (00:34):
Fair enough. On that one, I noted that the Hamas
has returned three more deceased IDF soldiers. That just happened,
and according to the reporting I've read on this, they
have eight deceased hostages still believed to be inside Gaza.
The ceasefire that was in place temporarily interrupted the other day,
but apparently back in place. Is this progress? We can
(00:57):
hang our hat on, Daniel Davis, should we be optimistic
about this? Or where where are things? That's what we
have you for.
Speaker 2 (01:05):
Yeah, it's very tenuous at best, and it's tenuous on
both sides of the line. It's tenuous because of the
Hamas side. It's tenuous because of the Israeli side. I
don't think either one of them really wanted. I think
that's the only reason we have even a tenuous piece
is because President Trump demands it and there's willing to
put pressure on both sides to get it done. How
(01:25):
long that stays and how far that can go because
it is with it's not without limit because obviously both
of them have agency as well. There's many in Israel
that the last thing that they want is any kind
of a ceasefire. They want a military victory, and they
are unhappy that they had to go down this route.
And meanwhile, you would think that the Hamas side would
(01:46):
be breathing a sigh of relief and would be thinking
they're lucky stars that they got one, because otherwise they're
really the only other alternative is complete and utter destruction
for them and thousands more of their innocent people. But
they still seem to be pretty pretty boisterous and not
wanting to accommodate, not wanting to disarm, and just resisting
(02:07):
really across the board. And I think that's part of
the really the the I guess the depravity of the
Hamas side that no matter what their actions are doing
to their people, even given this opportunity to finally end
the suffering, they still keep dragging their feet.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
This screams parallels to be drawn with Ukraine and Russia,
doesn't it. I mean, Zelunsky doesn't want to give up
any land. He's refused to capitulate. He refuses to give up.
Is that a parallel? I mean, is Samas the one
that's being completely unrealistic here? I know the balance of
power militarily speaking, is with Israel, But as you always
(02:43):
and regularly have pointed out, and I'll con side the point,
it's a valid one. It's going to require the slaughter
of a whole lot more people for Israel to roll
over and complete what it proceeds to be its military objective.
But I get the sense that they could do it
if they're willing to go down that road. So is
it Hamas that's the unrealistic party here?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Where are we Well, there are some similarities and there's
some differences between the two. In the Russia Ukraine war
is it is just black and white. There's one side
that can win, one side that can't, and the side
that can. On the Zelynski side still keeps acting like
he can. That's the distinction between the Hamas side. Because
they don't believe they can win. They just don't want
(03:23):
to give in. Zelensky is still as of today, still
thinks that he can succeed and just is pretending like
the things are not going bad on the battlefield. Maybe
more on that in a second, But the issue for
Hamas is they're simply unwilling to acknowledge reality. Yes, the
Israeli side has the unequivocal and non negotiable advance in
(03:43):
capabilities militarily and they can impose their will at a
horrific cost that God help us if that actually gets imposed.
But somehow, whether it's the air regime whereas the Trump administration,
they're going to have to put some pressure on the
Hamas side to finally just do the The only thing they have,
the only agency they have, is to stop the killing
(04:04):
of their people by laying down their arms and leaving.
And I think it's going to take more internal pressure
on either the Palestinian side or the Arab regimes that
are in the area.
Speaker 1 (04:15):
I think it's going to take those to get it done. Okay,
And that was the next question, was going to ask
you further or greater involvement by the surrounding countries, the
Arab nations that are surrounded that would benefit tremendously by
peace in the region. I mean, that's kind of what
the abraham Acords were directed towards. Listen, Yeah, you're different countries,
you've got different ideologies, you're different wings of a religious faction.
But let's all play well together. It'll inure to all
(04:38):
of our benefits economically, so that that makes sense for everybody.
I mean, can't we just all get along? But then
you have very very ideologically wed folks or like, No,
I can't capitulate. I've been a war with these people,
and my father and my grandfather, my father's father file
of law. I'm not going to give in no musk.
Speaker 2 (04:55):
And there's plenty of grievances that are genuine and valid
on the on the any inside that need to be addressed,
But you can't even start to address those until you
get the killing stopped, until you get the war over with.
And I think the Arab regimes are very focused on this,
and I don't think that they have any confusion on
this point at all, and they, I think have been
putting a lot of pressure, at least a fair amount.
(05:18):
I don't know that they've gone all the way yet,
but I think that they really need to because they
can't get to their objectives. They can't get to peace
in the region, they can't get to the issues to
take care of the Palestinian people and address their grievances
until Hamas lays down their weapons. So I've got plenty
of things to say about the IDF and things that
they shouldn't have done, But right now, the long pole
(05:39):
in the tent right now is the Hama.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
Side, Okay. And to that end, this exchange of the
deceased and bringing back the remaining deceased Israeli folks, that's
just phase one. I mean that this period of time
with the ceasefire was designed to bring about that reality.
We've seem to be very close to there being no
more Israeli deceased held by Hamas. So once we get
(06:03):
over that milestone. What's the next phase Daniel Davis.
Speaker 2 (06:06):
Yeah, the Phase two is being negotiated. And that's always
been my I keep bringing that up every time President
Trump talks about how he brought peace to the Middle East,
because there hadn't been any peace brought to the Middle
East so far. It's only been Phase one, which is
a ceasefire and a hostage exchange and now you know,
deceased remains exchange, et cetera. All of the hard stuff
(06:28):
has yet to be decided and even negotiated. So there
is you know, I'm not to the point yet where
I'm willing to say, yeah, we're over the hump here.
I mean we're We're still way on the up down
side of the home Yep. Phase three is profit though,
Daniel Davis. Never forget that.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Now moving over to I hope you get that the
Ukraine Russia situation. Thank you appreciate it. No, Tomahawk missiles
were still there, But I just read the other day
that we were going to be sending some patriot missiles.
That to me, that doesn't make it any sense. For
all the millions of reasons we talked about this before.
Patriots aren't effective against drone swarms. They're really, really, really
(07:06):
really expensive, and there's only a finite number of them.
Does that make any sense whatsoever considering where we are
in this conflict? Well, back to your comment a second
ago about phase three, that also applies over here with
the profits, and certainly it's going to make some profits
for some people over here. Now, my understanding is that
those patriots didn't come from the United States. That came
(07:26):
from Germany and from some other countries here with apparently
some future promise that will backfill them at a much
later date when they can actually be produced, which of
course you know.
Speaker 2 (07:37):
Is a very slow process. And listen, none of it
makes any sense militarily or politically or diplomatically. It only
makes sense profit wise. That the war cannot be won
by Ukraine. They can't even avoid losing. And it's playing
out that way every day, especially in Pokrowsk, and you
have Zelensky this morning still talking about how no, everything's fine,
(08:00):
and Koupionsk and Pokrovsk there's not that many Russians left
and we're just strowing them every day. And yet you
can just look at the map that just the red
grows by the day and as of this morning, just
before we came on air, there are reports now that
the final cauldron has been closed in Pokrosk, and the
Russians in the north and in the south have linked up.
And now then you've got somewhere between who knows five
(08:22):
to ten thousand Ukraine soldiers now physically circled inside that
in the Mirinograd area, because Pokrowsk has been about ninety
percent taken already, only the Outskirts are out by all.
In practical points, Pokrowsk has fallen today, and Zelensky is
kind of like Hitler in the bunker, just pretending like
everything's good.
Speaker 1 (08:42):
It's that bad well, and piling on. Yeah, we're already
piling a lot. Telegraph reported that nearly one hundred thousand
Ukrainian men between the age of eighteen and twenty two
have left Ukraine in the past two months alone. I think,
first off, Daniel Davis, I didn't even realize there were
that many of that age left in the country, given
how many of e in the conflict, But that they
(09:02):
are still fleeing the country is at that rate is amazing.
I mean, Ukraine can't keep up militarily in terms of
boots on the ground, regardless how much hardware might be
laying around.
Speaker 2 (09:12):
No, there are three issues at stake here. Number one,
that age group eighteen to twenty two had not been mobilized.
They had been left untouched, so that's why. But then
they were prevented from leaving, and that turned out to
be a big problem with a lot of the European regimes,
and they put pressure on Selenski to open the borders
and let them go, and then there was a flood
and that they went out because they don't want to
(09:33):
be the next ones to pointlessly die in a war.
Speaker 1 (09:35):
Okay, so you have this big loss.
Speaker 2 (09:38):
You also have up to by some reports, half a
million deserters so far in this calendar year, half a
million that have left the battlefield, on top of all
of the casualties which continue to pile up every day.
And then the last point is that they're now is
just is not enough to even force mobilized to come
close to matching all of those losses.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
Every day the man.
Speaker 2 (10:01):
Powerpool shrinks even further while the Russian side grows.
Speaker 1 (10:05):
I appreciate you correcting the record here. I was imposing
US draft eligibility age on Ukraine, when in fact they
didn't require eighteen year olds to sign up. I mean
it's a it's a later later eligibility age there, correct.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
It is. Yeah, that's that's a choice that they made,
probably not unwise. But now then they're trying to go
into that. There was a lot of pressure inside Ukraine
legislatively to open that up and to sacrifice yet another
generation of men that they are desperately going to need
if they want to have a chance to have a future.
Speaker 1 (10:36):
Wow, we retire Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. Always fascinating, if
not disturbing, conversation we have every week. Someday, someday you
are going to be talking about a peace agreement somewhere
in the world. I long for that day. You and
me brother, forward to it. You and me brother, the
and the loss of life senseless. May I underscore loss
of life must come to an end. We will be
(10:58):
looking for you next Tuesday, sir, God bless you for
coming out the program. Keep up the great work, Daniel
Davis Deep Dive check it out on your podcast pages.
Stick around, folks, got more to come, OAC You'll be
in studio. My favorite cancer folks, My cancer doctor's got
some
It's that time. Always look forward to the Insight, or
rather the Daniel Davis Deep Dive. You can find his
podcast wherever you get your podcast. Retired Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis,
Welcome back to the fifty five Caressey Morning Show. Sir.
I'm not anticipating good news, but we'll hit the ground
running as we always do. We got wars to talk about.
Welcome back, my friends. Great see in your face and
having you on the show. Always a pleasure to be here, Brian,
(00:21):
thanks for having me. All right. Dealer's choice? Where does
the guests want to begin? You want to start with
Israel and Hamas. You want to look at Ukraine and Russia.
Where should we start?
Speaker 2 (00:30):
Yeah, let's just start in the middle eight's we use.
We usually hit that one second, let's go there first.
Speaker 1 (00:34):
Fair enough. On that one, I noted that the Hamas
has returned three more deceased IDF soldiers. That just happened,
and according to the reporting I've read on this, they
have eight deceased hostages still believed to be inside Gaza.
The ceasefire that was in place temporarily interrupted the other day,
but apparently back in place. Is this progress? We can
(00:57):
hang our hat on, Daniel Davis, should we be optimistic
about this? Or where where are things? That's what we
have you for.
Speaker 2 (01:05):
Yeah, it's very tenuous at best, and it's tenuous on
both sides of the line. It's tenuous because of the
Hamas side. It's tenuous because of the Israeli side. I
don't think either one of them really wanted. I think
that's the only reason we have even a tenuous piece
is because President Trump demands it and there's willing to
put pressure on both sides to get it done. How
(01:25):
long that stays and how far that can go because
it is with it's not without limit because obviously both
of them have agency as well. There's many in Israel
that the last thing that they want is any kind
of a ceasefire. They want a military victory, and they
are unhappy that they had to go down this route.
And meanwhile, you would think that the Hamas side would
(01:46):
be breathing a sigh of relief and would be thinking
they're lucky stars that they got one, because otherwise they're
really the only other alternative is complete and utter destruction
for them and thousands more of their innocent people. But
they still seem to be pretty pretty boisterous and not
wanting to accommodate, not wanting to disarm, and just resisting
(02:07):
really across the board. And I think that's part of
the really the the I guess the depravity of the
Hamas side that no matter what their actions are doing
to their people, even given this opportunity to finally end
the suffering, they still keep dragging their feet.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
This screams parallels to be drawn with Ukraine and Russia,
doesn't it. I mean, Zelunsky doesn't want to give up
any land. He's refused to capitulate. He refuses to give up.
Is that a parallel? I mean, is Samas the one
that's being completely unrealistic here? I know the balance of
power militarily speaking, is with Israel, But as you always
(02:43):
and regularly have pointed out, and I'll con side the point,
it's a valid one. It's going to require the slaughter
of a whole lot more people for Israel to roll
over and complete what it proceeds to be its military objective.
But I get the sense that they could do it
if they're willing to go down that road. So is
it Hamas that's the unrealistic party here?
Speaker 2 (03:01):
Where are we Well, there are some similarities and there's
some differences between the two. In the Russia Ukraine war
is it is just black and white. There's one side
that can win, one side that can't, and the side
that can. On the Zelynski side still keeps acting like
he can. That's the distinction between the Hamas side. Because
they don't believe they can win. They just don't want
(03:23):
to give in. Zelensky is still as of today, still
thinks that he can succeed and just is pretending like
the things are not going bad on the battlefield. Maybe
more on that in a second, But the issue for
Hamas is they're simply unwilling to acknowledge reality. Yes, the
Israeli side has the unequivocal and non negotiable advance in
(03:43):
capabilities militarily and they can impose their will at a
horrific cost that God help us if that actually gets imposed.
But somehow, whether it's the air regime whereas the Trump administration,
they're going to have to put some pressure on the
Hamas side to finally just do the The only thing they have,
the only agency they have, is to stop the killing
(04:04):
of their people by laying down their arms and leaving.
And I think it's going to take more internal pressure
on either the Palestinian side or the Arab regimes that
are in the area.
Speaker 1 (04:15):
I think it's going to take those to get it done. Okay,
And that was the next question, was going to ask
you further or greater involvement by the surrounding countries, the
Arab nations that are surrounded that would benefit tremendously by
peace in the region. I mean, that's kind of what
the abraham Acords were directed towards. Listen, Yeah, you're different countries,
you've got different ideologies, you're different wings of a religious faction.
But let's all play well together. It'll inure to all
(04:38):
of our benefits economically, so that that makes sense for everybody.
I mean, can't we just all get along? But then
you have very very ideologically wed folks or like, No,
I can't capitulate. I've been a war with these people,
and my father and my grandfather, my father's father file
of law. I'm not going to give in no musk.
Speaker 2 (04:55):
And there's plenty of grievances that are genuine and valid
on the on the any inside that need to be addressed,
But you can't even start to address those until you
get the killing stopped, until you get the war over with.
And I think the Arab regimes are very focused on this,
and I don't think that they have any confusion on
this point at all, and they, I think have been
putting a lot of pressure, at least a fair amount.
(05:18):
I don't know that they've gone all the way yet,
but I think that they really need to because they
can't get to their objectives. They can't get to peace
in the region, they can't get to the issues to
take care of the Palestinian people and address their grievances
until Hamas lays down their weapons. So I've got plenty
of things to say about the IDF and things that
they shouldn't have done, But right now, the long pole
(05:39):
in the tent right now is the Hama.
Speaker 1 (05:41):
Side, Okay. And to that end, this exchange of the
deceased and bringing back the remaining deceased Israeli folks, that's
just phase one. I mean that this period of time
with the ceasefire was designed to bring about that reality.
We've seem to be very close to there being no
more Israeli deceased held by Hamas. So once we get
(06:03):
over that milestone. What's the next phase Daniel Davis.
Speaker 2 (06:06):
Yeah, the Phase two is being negotiated. And that's always
been my I keep bringing that up every time President
Trump talks about how he brought peace to the Middle East,
because there hadn't been any peace brought to the Middle
East so far. It's only been Phase one, which is
a ceasefire and a hostage exchange and now you know,
deceased remains exchange, et cetera. All of the hard stuff
(06:28):
has yet to be decided and even negotiated. So there
is you know, I'm not to the point yet where
I'm willing to say, yeah, we're over the hump here.
I mean we're We're still way on the up down
side of the home Yep. Phase three is profit though,
Daniel Davis. Never forget that.
Speaker 1 (06:46):
Now moving over to I hope you get that the
Ukraine Russia situation. Thank you appreciate it. No, Tomahawk missiles
were still there, But I just read the other day
that we were going to be sending some patriot missiles.
That to me, that doesn't make it any sense. For
all the millions of reasons we talked about this before.
Patriots aren't effective against drone swarms. They're really, really, really
(07:06):
really expensive, and there's only a finite number of them.
Does that make any sense whatsoever considering where we are
in this conflict? Well, back to your comment a second
ago about phase three, that also applies over here with
the profits, and certainly it's going to make some profits
for some people over here. Now, my understanding is that
those patriots didn't come from the United States. That came
(07:26):
from Germany and from some other countries here with apparently
some future promise that will backfill them at a much
later date when they can actually be produced, which of
course you know.
Speaker 2 (07:37):
Is a very slow process. And listen, none of it
makes any sense militarily or politically or diplomatically. It only
makes sense profit wise. That the war cannot be won
by Ukraine. They can't even avoid losing. And it's playing
out that way every day, especially in Pokrowsk, and you
have Zelensky this morning still talking about how no, everything's fine,
(08:00):
and Koupionsk and Pokrovsk there's not that many Russians left
and we're just strowing them every day. And yet you
can just look at the map that just the red
grows by the day and as of this morning, just
before we came on air, there are reports now that
the final cauldron has been closed in Pokrosk, and the
Russians in the north and in the south have linked up.
And now then you've got somewhere between who knows five
(08:22):
to ten thousand Ukraine soldiers now physically circled inside that
in the Mirinograd area, because Pokrowsk has been about ninety
percent taken already, only the Outskirts are out by all.
In practical points, Pokrowsk has fallen today, and Zelensky is
kind of like Hitler in the bunker, just pretending like
everything's good.
Speaker 1 (08:42):
It's that bad well, and piling on. Yeah, we're already
piling a lot. Telegraph reported that nearly one hundred thousand
Ukrainian men between the age of eighteen and twenty two
have left Ukraine in the past two months alone. I think,
first off, Daniel Davis, I didn't even realize there were
that many of that age left in the country, given
how many of e in the conflict, But that they
(09:02):
are still fleeing the country is at that rate is amazing.
I mean, Ukraine can't keep up militarily in terms of
boots on the ground, regardless how much hardware might be
laying around.
Speaker 2 (09:12):
No, there are three issues at stake here. Number one,
that age group eighteen to twenty two had not been mobilized.
They had been left untouched, so that's why. But then
they were prevented from leaving, and that turned out to
be a big problem with a lot of the European regimes,
and they put pressure on Selenski to open the borders
and let them go, and then there was a flood
and that they went out because they don't want to
(09:33):
be the next ones to pointlessly die in a war.
Speaker 1 (09:35):
Okay, so you have this big loss.
Speaker 2 (09:38):
You also have up to by some reports, half a
million deserters so far in this calendar year, half a
million that have left the battlefield, on top of all
of the casualties which continue to pile up every day.
And then the last point is that they're now is
just is not enough to even force mobilized to come
close to matching all of those losses.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
Every day the man.
Speaker 2 (10:01):
Powerpool shrinks even further while the Russian side grows.
Speaker 1 (10:05):
I appreciate you correcting the record here. I was imposing
US draft eligibility age on Ukraine, when in fact they
didn't require eighteen year olds to sign up. I mean
it's a it's a later later eligibility age there, correct.
Speaker 2 (10:18):
It is. Yeah, that's that's a choice that they made,
probably not unwise. But now then they're trying to go
into that. There was a lot of pressure inside Ukraine
legislatively to open that up and to sacrifice yet another
generation of men that they are desperately going to need
if they want to have a chance to have a future.
Speaker 1 (10:36):
Wow, we retire Lieutenant Colonel Daniel Davis. Always fascinating, if
not disturbing, conversation we have every week. Someday, someday you
are going to be talking about a peace agreement somewhere
in the world. I long for that day. You and
me brother, forward to it. You and me brother, the
and the loss of life senseless. May I underscore loss
of life must come to an end. We will be
(10:58):
looking for you next Tuesday, sir, God bless you for
coming out the program. Keep up the great work, Daniel
Davis Deep Dive check it out on your podcast pages.
Stick around, folks, got more to come, OAC You'll be
in studio. My favorite cancer folks, My cancer doctor's got
some
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