Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
To give America back on track.
Speaker 2 (00:01):
That's what this whole thing is about.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
The conversation both boa is happening here.
Speaker 2 (00:05):
Every vote's gonna matter more than ever.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
Fifty five KRC the talk station eight o five, the
fifty five KRC DE talk station. I'm very happy Tuesday
always made it happier because this time for the inside
scoop with Breitbart News. I always start by recommending your
book mark Breitbart b R E I T B A
r T dot com. You'd be happy you did great
reporting there and way outside the mainstream media which is
(00:29):
going to tell you the truth. Breitbart always speaking truth
to power and one of the persons who does that
joining the program this morning, Capitol Hill reporter Nick Gilbertson.
Great to have you on the program this morning, Nick,
to go over the well latest on the election as
we fast approach November.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Hey, thanks for having me, Brian, and thanks for the
kind words about Breitbart.
Speaker 1 (00:46):
Always love to put in good words for Breitbart. I
regularly log into your site for in preparation for the
morning show, and there's some really interesting things there. Your
local story that on the situation going on locally here
in Lachland, Ohio, just outside of Cincinnati about the Ouritanian population.
Thirty five hundred of them got that at bright Bart.
Fortunately we had at least one local outlet mentioned that
back in September, but not a whole lot of press,
(01:09):
but things of that nature. So it is worthwhile my
listener friends get to Breitbart dot com. Let me just
say ask it cuding to the chase directly. I you know,
the fog, it's like the fog of war Nick, the
fog of polling information.
Speaker 2 (01:21):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (01:21):
I can look on one site, you know, like if
I go to a left leaning site like Politico, maybe
The Hill, it'll have you know, Kamala Harris ahead and
all the swing states. And I flip over to a
Fox News poll or one of the other sites and
it'll say, you know, Donald Trump's ahead and all the
swing states. Like, what in the hell are we supposed
to believe? We can't believe our eyes? Is there any
really reliable polling data out there? I keep hearing that
(01:43):
internal polling data is always the most accurate, and let
except we normally normally don't even get that. It's like
kept internally for reasons unknown, And how is it that
that internal polling data is allegedly so much more accurate
than anything else we read. Can you cut through this
fog for us?
Speaker 2 (02:00):
Yeah, so a big part of is, yes, those internals,
you know, we hear all the time that they're the
most accurate and generally they're the most comprehensive polls because
these are you know, these private campaigns and private super
PACs and such, you know, commissioning them, and they can
do they spend more money probably than these public outlets
and polling agencies, so they can get a clear snapshot
(02:24):
and deeper demographics, deeper dives on trends of where voters
are moving. And of course, yeah, unfortunately we don't typically
get those. We get them sometimes through leaks, and we
get the memos and the top lines, but we don't
really see that deeper data. But what I find is
fairly reliable right now is the if you know, one
(02:46):
single poll is just a snapshot and things, but to
really kind of look at trends, one one source I
really rely on as real clear politics polling average, right
they aggregate all these polls and they kind of give
you a snapshot of the race, you know, based off
of that average. And right now, last I saw yesterday
Trump was up, you know, up up to a point
(03:08):
or a point one point two percent in every single
swing state and the Real Clear Politics polling average. So
I think that gives a good snapshot of the race
in my opinion, you know, in substitute for these deep,
you know, internal polls that that we would love to
get our hands on. But that's that's kind of how
(03:28):
I would describe describe things right now, and I think
Real Clear Politics is a great source for for where
things you know, a gauge or an average of where
things stand right now, all.
Speaker 1 (03:39):
Right, and over last you know, several weeks, six weeks
or so, the trend has been at least as I've
observed it, correct me if you believe I'm wrong, has
been improving for Trump. He's advanced in mostly the swing states,
but even on a national polling level, which we always
tend to discount because it includes so many blue states
and obviously you're going to get a trend toward you know,
(04:00):
Amala Harris in a blue state, but he's even closed
the gap on a national level, which to me is
I want to say, almost hard to believe.
Speaker 2 (04:09):
Yeah, no, it is almost hard to believe because generally
you know, even in twenty sixteen, Trump didn't win the
win the popular book, but he you know, he took
the electoral College and I think he got the second
most votes of all time in twenty twenty, but still
lost to Biden, didn't win the college. But you know,
I think we're really seeing Trump really start making you know,
(04:31):
significant games on the on the national top line too.
There was an Atlas polling poll and I think they
were the most accurate, you know, I maybe fairly starting
on this, they're the most accurate pollster in twenty twenty.
They showed Trump up three on Harris I believe over
the weekend, and he was over fifty percent nationally.
Speaker 1 (04:51):
Wow.
Speaker 2 (04:51):
So Trump's get if he can. So that means his
ceiling is above a majority of the country right now,
which is it's pretty unbelievable consider everything he's been put
through and everything that's been done to you know, drag
him down to whether it be the loft there, you know,
and you go back to all the various you know,
(05:12):
Russia Gate and everything even going back eight years. It's
it's amazing that he's, uh, he's really above fifty fifty
in that Atlas poll, which people put a lot of
stock in and Harris is down three, that's that's horrific
news for Democrats nationally. You know James Carvel, the rage
in Cajun who helped put Bill Clinton in the White House,
(05:34):
and he's revered as one of the most you know,
veteran Democrats strategists. He's even said if if Democrats are
up up one, that really means they're down to nationally. Right,
if they're up one in the national polls, that really
needs they're down too, because Trump typically under poles. So
I think this is screaming five alarm fire for Democrats
(05:57):
if Trump, If that poll is accurate and Trump's at fifty,
that's extremely dangerous, dangerous territory for Democrats right now.
Speaker 1 (06:04):
Well, and they're in dangerous territory based upon the lack
of articulation of where even Kamala Harris stands relative to
the current administration. She seems to be doing nothing but
running away from what she was previously standing on firm
ground on I'm against fracking, I'm in favor of woke ideology.
I'm in favor of transgender you know, a mixed bathrooms.
(06:26):
I'm in favor of men competing against women. In sports,
you know, the once people start paying attention to where
she truly is, it seems that's when they start moving
over and putting aside. They're built in Pavlovian hatred for
evil Orange man. And I'll just let you know real
quick here I hit a conversation over the weekend. I
think this is contextually important. So bear with me. Great
(06:46):
friend of mine, lifelong friend, one of my very best friends.
He's pretty much apolitical, but he says, I just can't
vote for Trump. And so he started having a conversation
with him, and what a boiled down to the reason
he says he can't vote for Trump is because of
that Pavlovian evil Orange man. And I said, well, wait
a second, So let's assume for the sake of discussion,
he is this goofy guy. He says, what's on his mind,
(07:06):
he's not very presidential like blah blah blah blah blah. Fine,
you don't like him. You bought into this whole racist, homophobe,
misogynistic thing. Do you have any opinion on his policies,
what he did during his four years versus what Kamala
Harris stands on. He didn't know he has no idea
about policies. He couldn't name a single policy that Kamala Harris.
Will you know what I pointed out to him. He's against,
(07:28):
for example, men participating in against women in sports. He's
against the whole gender pronoun thing. I could go on.
So I said, so you're in favor of everything Trump
is campaigning on. He didn't even realize it. He just
has that I hate Trump ergo, I can't vote for him.
So I'd vote for a woman whose policies are the
exact opposite of what he really likes. That's really what
(07:49):
this race is all about, isn't it.
Speaker 2 (07:52):
Yeah, No, that's exactly what this race is all about.
And it's so clear right now that Democrats and the
mainstream media they've given up on policy. Policy has been there.
They have not put any legitimate, you know, you know,
worthwhile policy platforms out that would stand. And she's waffled
(08:12):
on so many issues. Can voters actually see her as genuine?
And to your point, but your your friend who you know,
she still supports her, even though you know he aligns
with Trump on all the issues. It shows and then
you combine that with their closing argument here, which is
Trump is a horrible person, and I think it just
reads a desperation to me that they're doing that. And
(08:35):
we'll see how effective effective they are, you know, come
November fifth with this closing argument. But it's it's it's
been tried. It was tried by Hillary Clinton in twenty sixteen.
I don't pay it works so well for her. So
again they're trying to make this all a referendum on
Trump's character. Americans are I don't think they. I think
(08:58):
they more so care about But I think the media
and Democrats are doing their best cloak and dagger work
here to make this about everything else but policy and
what Americans, what would actually make Americans lives better? A
conversation about that, well.
Speaker 1 (09:16):
And every person who goes grocery shopping, or fills their
gas tank, or has to pay rent, or is endeavoring
to purchase a home, it's all becoming out of reach.
Inflation is a real thing, hitting the most vulnerable among us,
which typically are lower income voters. Of course, the middle
class has been wallet, but those are the folks that
the Democrats could typically count on. The Democrats haven't done
(09:38):
them a wits worth of service. Over the past several years.
In fact, our lives are collectively that much more miserable.
That's something they cannot run from because you cannot tell
people and convince people they're better off now when they're
the ones that go grocery shopping and fill their tank
and pay their rent.
Speaker 2 (09:54):
No, And I'll tell you right now, Brian's that seems
to be undoing their coalition because you know, you look,
for decades, it was unions always supported Democrats, right, and
you know, the Team Stairs would come out and endorse
the Democrat every election cycle. And then they released those
poll numbers that show all their members are not all
(10:15):
of them, but sixty percent of them are for Trump,
and you know, and they did a non endorsement because
of that. And then you look. I covered a New
York Times story a couple of months ago where they
were in Philadelphia and talking to black voters and black voters.
They were saying things you would hear it that Trump rally.
They were going, why are we sending money to Ukraine
(10:36):
when my neighborhood's in trouble. So it's it's, you know,
there's it seems that the Democrats and the economic you know,
impact of these radical spending policies this administration are actually
you know, driving their voters they've depended on so for
so long away from them. And I think right now,
(10:58):
I think we're seeing a realignment that could you know,
potentially break what had been the standard mo for American
politics and the Democrat coalition. And I think that's something
that could just totally alter the political landscape going forward
from years for years to come.
Speaker 1 (11:18):
Well, and I just saw in bright part the Today
Warner Todd Houston reporting on this one about this bipartisan group.
You got five Republicans in New York and four Democrats
both sending a letter to Mayor Eric Adams worried about
these Venezuelan and street gangs taking over. And they have.
And this is impacting people of you know, all races, ethnicities, creeds.
(11:39):
It's hitting budgets, it's having problems in schools. And I
suppose many in lower income neighborhoods who have been overwhelmed
by this influx of illegal immigrants see them getting more
than they as constituents and US citizens are getting by
way of social benefits and others that they've devastated so
many communities with the immigrant policies they're trying to walk
(12:01):
it back. I mean, they waited until the last couple
of months to do any form of crackdown on the border.
I would call that a daylight a dollar short by far.
Speaker 2 (12:10):
Yeah. And then and then of course they you know,
they run around and claim the border crossings are lower
than under the Trump administration now, which is just absurd
because they close the border for strictly political purposes, you know,
in the spring into the summer. But we were absolutely
ravaged for three years, you know, by by like literally
unlimited illegal immigration. So yeah, it's just, uh, it's absolutely amazing.
(12:35):
And and to your point, yeah, it's and then they
get put into sanctuary cities where you know, there's only
so many resources, and it's it's it's truly amazing. How
this is affecting the Democratic Coalition. I really think they're
I really think they've hurt themselves with their own base,
with their own policies over the past past few years.
Speaker 1 (12:56):
Well, the finite number of dollars and seemingly unlimited demands
on government, and this has thrown a massive monkey wrench
into anyone's designs in terms of where public dollars are going,
either from the left or the right. I mean, you've
got to deal with this immigrant crisis upfront, and it's
just ruining most people's neighborhood so to the political benefit
of Republicans who promised to crack down. Anyhow, Tea Lea
(13:20):
for reading Nick before we part company here this morning.
What's your take? Where do you think, how do you
think it's going to end up? And how many days
do you think it's going to be before we have
a real definitive declaration of a winner after election day?
Speaker 2 (13:34):
Well, Brian, I think it could go a couple of ways.
I think, just based off of the trends Trump's running
in now. So if he has a big night on
the East coast early, right, I think if he clearly
takes North Carolina, Georgia, and Pennsylvania and he takes everything
else he's expected to take, that puts him at two seventy.
(13:56):
So we could have a call by midnight if Trump
wins those three states comfortably, you know. If not, you know,
we could get a call late in the night, or
you know, there's also the twenty twenty scenario where you know,
some states are too close to call, or you know,
and it could it could be weeks before we have
a definitive you know, days or weeks before we have
(14:17):
a definitive winner. So I think any of those could
play out. But looking at things from you know, a
thousand feet above right now, I think things look good
for Trump. I think things look good for down ballot
Senate Republicans right now. A lot of swing state Democrats
are actually, you know, Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin and Senator
Bob Casey and Pennsylvania are putting out you know, ads
(14:40):
where they're using that they're including positive video of Trump
and you know, touting that they you know, stood up
for some you know, the end of bath their trade
deals or whatever. So I think that shows that the
fact that they're leaning into Trump to try and help them,
you know, save their seats.
Speaker 1 (14:57):
Yeah, I think that.
Speaker 2 (14:58):
I think that speaks to desperation, and I think it
shows that they their internals. You know, we don't get
to see those, but I think we get to see
some of the results of them, and I think I
think some of the results are being seen in those ads.
YEA posing up to Trump.
Speaker 1 (15:15):
Do speak volumes Capital Hill reported Nick Gilbertson, It's a right,
real pleasure having you on this morning. For the inside scoop.
We'll keep pulling up brightbart dot com and getting some
solid information there and I look forward to another conversation
with you down the road. Keep up the great work,
my friend.
Speaker 2 (15:29):
Thanks Brian. Great being here.
Speaker 1 (15:30):
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