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Speaker 1 (00:09):
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Speaker 2 (00:16):
NEEWA has released their twenty twenty four weather rapp Blenheim's
reclaimed the title as Sunny a Spot, recording more than
twenty seven hundred hours of the good stuff. Twenty twenty
four was wet, but not as wet as previous years. Canterbury,
Tasman wided up a bay of plenty, Corimandler, Northland were
all drier than usual. Joining me now is newer principal
scientists Chris Brandelino good A, Chris Hagang.
Speaker 3 (00:39):
Ah, Happy Friday Eve, Good morning Tim. Hey.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
Was twenty twenty four surprising?
Speaker 3 (00:46):
Well no, I don't think it was surprising. I think
I mean it is what it was, what it was? Yeah?
Speaker 2 (00:53):
Which region had a sharkon?
Speaker 3 (00:57):
Well? Again, I don't think it was surprising. So I mean,
what do you mean by shaker nogion?
Speaker 2 (01:01):
Which regions would have been grumbling about having had the
worst sort of result?
Speaker 3 (01:06):
Ah? I see, yeah, right, Well, it depends to pick
your poison. If if some areas, for example, northern and
eastern areas of the country, particularly north Island had probably
inadequate rainfall, so they had some dry conditions. There were
some drought in Marlborough, South Island and Lower North Island
as you look back about nine ten months ago, so
(01:28):
us a fair awhile ago, so they certainly would have
been filing in a complaint so to speak, in terms
of grumbling. I was quite dry there. But look Auckland,
for example, twenty twenty three was a record wet year
and twenty twenty four last year was significantly drier eighty
two percent of normal rainfall. So previous year twenty twenty
three record rainfall. Last year the following year we had
(01:51):
normal rainfall but just barely so a welcome change there,
I suppose.
Speaker 2 (01:54):
Does the data tell us anything about what to expect
in twenty twenty five.
Speaker 3 (01:58):
Not really. Every year is different. You know, some years
there may be consistencies a year on year based on
what's influence in the weather. We call that a client driver.
So generally speaking, though it's most years are kind of
one of their own. There can be something, as I say,
some carryover some consistencies, but it's more of a data
point to use when you're trying to assemble what we
(02:21):
call analog. So Analogs is like, look, all right, what's
happening now, Yeah, and which years in the past had
similar years, and he tried to deduce from that some
kind of insight as to what could happen. So in
that regard, sure, but otherwise not really.
Speaker 2 (02:34):
Are we saying that wear A patents changing at all?
Speaker 3 (02:37):
Yeah, they're always changing, They're always evolving. I mean, as
we know that one of the biggest influences on our
evolving climate is basically climate change, and that continues to
put upward trends on temperature. It was the tenth year
temp warmest year in record, I should say, in twenty
twenty four, and it was interesting because, you know, some
of the feedback I was hearing as I was presenting
(02:57):
this and talking with media is that, oh it was
a cooler year, you know, almost like, oh, that's that's
not interesting. And you know, I thought about it, and look,
the records go back to nineteen oh nine. We're talking
well over one hundred years of recon and it's in
the ninetieth percentile. So that is so substantial, and yeah,
that's the trend. Unfortunately.
Speaker 2 (03:17):
Yeah, Hei, thanks thanks very much for your time. That's
Chris Brandolino from NIWA.
Speaker 1 (03:22):
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