Election Day is here. Jeff Hurd (R) joins Dan with a final day update on his pivotal race in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District, a neck-and-neck showdown with the well-funded Adam Frisch (D).
Jeff Hurd For Colorado
Gabe Evans (R) provides a final update on his toss-up race against incumbent Congresswoman Yadira Caraveo (D) in the pivotal 8th District that could determine the balance of power in the U.S. House.
Home - Gabe Evans for Congress
What do early returns in Indiana, Kentucky tell us about Election Night in America?
Jeff Hurd For Colorado
Gabe Evans (R) provides a final update on his toss-up race against incumbent Congresswoman Yadira Caraveo (D) in the pivotal 8th District that could determine the balance of power in the U.S. House.
Home - Gabe Evans for Congress
What do early returns in Indiana, Kentucky tell us about Election Night in America?
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. This is one
of those true hinge days in history. There is no
question about it. When the history of the United States
(00:22):
of America is written and continue to be written today,
we'll be looked at as one of those true pivot points.
So really, what a privilege to be alive at a
moment like this and in each of our own ways
have a chance to affect at eight five five or
zero five eight two five five the number text d
an five seven seven thirty nine.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
So before we dig into.
Speaker 1 (00:44):
All of this, I like to at least, you know,
just sort of step back and appreciate, you know, the Hey,
we're all lottery winners, right. The founders gave us the
opportunity to resolve our differences this way and to do this,
and how few people in all of human history have
had a chance to do this in the really meaningful,
relatively pure way that we do. So personally, I'm just
(01:08):
really grateful for that.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
Now. Obviously, I'm optimistic.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
I have been all along that this is going to
be a pivot point in the right direction for America
and that Donald Trump will win.
Speaker 2 (01:20):
And we'll talk about that tonight. We'll talk about the.
Speaker 1 (01:21):
Latest data, and thank the Lord, we're actually going to
have returns starting very shortly. Now, these won't be normally
viewed as the big ticket returns. We're not going to get, say, Georgia,
South Carolina, Virginia. They will close at five o'clock Mountain,
and we'll start to get returns between five o'clock and
six o'clock right here on the dan KAPLA show from Georgia,
(01:43):
South Carolina, and Virginia at five thirty Mountain. North Carolina
and Ohio close and we'll start to get some of
those returns. What's going to come in shortly mint seem
like much, and in the end it may not be much.
But we're going to get some returns from Indiana and Kentucky.
And obviously what we're looking for there is not who's
going to win the state. We're looking for margins. We're
(02:03):
looking for a turnout. Because today, throughout the day, there
really hasn't been I haven't seen that much true, reliable
turnout hard data. You know, you get the anecdotal reports
from around the country, and both sides like to flash
pictures of a million people lined up here or there.
The anecdotal stuff at this point I think looks pretty
(02:25):
good for the good guys and gals, But I haven't
seen that hard data.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
So we'll be.
Speaker 1 (02:31):
Looking for some of that turnout, some of that margin
stuff coming out of Indiana and Kentucky. That was the
first sign in twenty sixteen that it was going to
be a real good night for Donald Trump. Hopefully we'll
see something similar today. So eight five five forour zero
five eight two five five texts d A N five
seven seven three nine obviously lots to cover this afternoon
(02:52):
jump in anytime you like, buy text or through a
call overall game plan which, as you know, as soon
as you get punched in them out that the strategy changes.
So we'll roll with whatever comes down the pike here.
But but what we'll be doing is we'll be taking
the returns. As I just mentioned in that order, I
(03:12):
do want to talk about we actually have some actual
election returns. Obviously, the midnight vote in Dixville, Notch, New Hampshire,
which to me, and I tend to be an optimistic
guy in general, but to me is really encouraging because
in twenty twenty, Biden won five ZIP five votes to
none in Dixville, Notch, the first people to vote on
(03:35):
election day in America at midnight, and this year it
was a split three to three between Harris and Biden.
So those the first official election day votes in America,
and then the Guam straw vote not binding obviously, but
it was just forty nine forty six Harris, whereas Biden
(03:56):
had been fifty four forty two. So grasping that.
Speaker 2 (03:58):
Straws, yeah, I got a little bit more than that.
Speaker 3 (04:01):
Right now, dan Is, returns are starting to come in
for Indiana and Kentucky. It's very early on, but the
early returns are strong for Donald Trump, as you might imagine,
in each of those states that are guaranteed to be read.
And we're waiting on, like you said, on these others
that'll be closing their polls at about five o'clock our time.
Speaker 1 (04:19):
Yeah, but well we right, and what we can't tell
yet out of Indiana and Kentucky, right, because we've probably
got more people in this studio than they have votes,
but we still can't break down at this point how
the margins compared to the past and what overall turnout is.
Speaker 2 (04:32):
But we'll be keeping a close eye on that.
Speaker 1 (04:34):
Which is really kind of funny to think about, isn't, Ryan,
Because very very soon we're goin half the gold standard.
We're going to have the actual votes out of key
swing states. Obviously we won't get Arizona and Nevada until later,
but everybody knows by now that if you're just looking
at the outside of the envelope and Republican versus Democrat, etc.
(04:58):
That the GOP has done very well in the swing
states overall in terms of that early vote, and in
most places has an edge going into election day. In Pennsylvania,
Dems are up what is it, four hundred thousand at
this point, but they're normally up eight or nine hundred thousand,
So that's shaping up well across the board. Clearly, the
(05:18):
GOP needs a big election day turnout, and we're going
to find out together very soon. If the GOP got that,
Ryan your ultimate prediction.
Speaker 2 (05:28):
I was listening to that.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
Ryan does an excellent show in Denver sixo thirty Kitsch
W two to four each day. But what is your
bottom line election day prediction? First, who's going to win
and by what?
Speaker 2 (05:38):
March?
Speaker 3 (05:39):
In the presidential Trump wins national popular vote by two
percentage points all seven swing states, and I think you
might pull an upset in either New Hampshire or Virginia.
Speaker 1 (05:49):
I like your style, yeah, and of course I'd love
to see that first, because you want to see Trump win.
But beyond that, looking ahead for America. Right, you do
this in your life. I'm sure you're looking ahead. You
know you're looking around four different corners at this point.
You're looking ahead a week, a month, a year, three years,
five years, ten years, and looking ahead for America. Ay,
(06:09):
it needs Trump to win tonight, but b the larger
the margin the better, And the larger the margin the
better in terms of national unity, political capital, being able
to move forward together as a country. I know that
if I get what I want and we have a
big Trump win tonight, that isn't going to mean that
that all of the sudden it's Kumbai and everybody's holding
(06:30):
hands and doing a circle massage on the boulder mall.
I'm just saying that that's an important first step. We
all know longest journey begins with that first baby step.
And if we can get that Trump victory and a
nice margin of victory, that I think will be a
key first step. Now, then beyond that, we've spent precious
little time on the show talking about the Senate races
(06:51):
because the big Enchilada is the big enchilada. But the
hope is here that if it shapes up the way
I want and I've been predicting now for many, many
many mons boons, and we get a significant not just
a Trump victory, but a really significant Trump victory tonight,
then you hope that all of a sudden, you know
you're getting a comfortable margin in the Senate, which right now.
Speaker 2 (07:11):
Would be more than one.
Speaker 1 (07:13):
Right You're just so if somebody gets sick, you still
have your majority. So if you keeping an eye on
anything that can suggest anything about those Senate races though
other than Pennsylvania. Other than Pennsylvania is the first significant
Senate race that's going to pop up, first significantly contested
Senate race that's going to pop up where the Democrat
(07:34):
Casey still holds the lead over the Republican McCormick, but
that lead's been shrinking. And Ryan, I mean come on,
none of us have to be political scientists to read
this one where the last Casey had put out and
I watched it last night in that Pennsylvania Senate race. Well,
all Casey was talking about was Trump and how he
supported Trump on this, and he supported Trump on that,
(07:56):
and McCormick had criticized Trump, and then old tape of
Trump criticizing.
Speaker 2 (08:00):
McCormick four years ago.
Speaker 1 (08:02):
So when the Democrat senator from Pennsylvania's closing ad is
all about how close he is to Donald Trump with
no mention of Kamala Harris, I wonder what that means.
Speaker 3 (08:13):
And we've seen that from several of those senatorial candidates,
including Alyssa Slotkin and Michigan Tammy Baldon Wisconsin.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
My question, Dan, is how many Republican.
Speaker 3 (08:20):
Nominees for Senate are tying themselves to Kamala Harris.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
I'd say that it beaten none.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
Hey, speaking of which I mean, you're all looking for
signs here and good omens and everything else. This is
a very sad but good omen And that is my wife,
who's the most amazing woman in the world. No offense
to any other woman anywhere, but she is. And my
wife as we speak on a plane out of the country.
(08:48):
So why do you hope, yes, we are not going
to be on separate floors this election day.
Speaker 2 (08:55):
But the reason I say it's a good omen.
Speaker 1 (08:57):
Is she did the same thing in sixteen, just left
the country for election night. We agree on many many things,
including having and raising children, we tend to disagree on politics.
So she will literally be on another continent during the
returns tonight.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
Hold on though, Yes, if she was in sixteen, well,
that's the thing. If she were like bullishly confident that
Kamala Harris was going to win, do you think she
would have stayed?
Speaker 2 (09:24):
Oh, I'm not sure she voted for Harris. Oh yeah,
that's breaking news your back.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
I honestly don't know. We haven't had that conversation. We've
we've learned how to have a blissful marriage thirty plus
years now, so we don't even talk politics.
Speaker 2 (09:37):
I honestly don't know one way or the other if
she voted for Harris.
Speaker 1 (09:40):
Okay, But but yeah, she she's been a registered Democrat forever.
Somebody told me recently she's now unaffiliated. I don't know
if one of the kids told me. But yeah, let's
say we differ on politics exactly.
Speaker 3 (09:55):
You just did a sources are saying about your wife's
full that's the word on the street.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
But yeah, we just don't talk politics. But yeah, election nights,
she's going to be on a different continent. But then again,
she was in sixteen and it worked out great for
all of us. Eight five five zero five A two
five five the number text d A N five seven
seven through nine. When we come back, let's talk some
Colorado as well, and we're starting to get some quote
meaningful election returns out of both Indiana and Kentucky. No
(10:24):
suspense there, but we're looking for the margins. You're on
the Dan Capla Show.
Speaker 4 (10:29):
And now back to the Dankaplas Show podcast.
Speaker 5 (10:32):
Well, I have some more big news, Megan. I'm just
getting this right now. So somebody that's very very respected
as me to do his show two weeks ago, and
I said, why not? And to me it's very big
because he's.
Speaker 6 (10:49):
Uh, the biggest there is, I guess in that world
by far. Somebody said, the biggest beyond anybody in a
long time, and his name is Joe Rogan and there's
never done this before. It just came over the wires
that Joe Rogan just endorsed me.
Speaker 7 (11:11):
Is up there?
Speaker 2 (11:13):
Oh god, yeah, that doesn't hurt. Very happy to see
that last night.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
And I hope all over the country people are still
voting where they can, right, and that is most places
in this country, including Arizona and Nevada. Hey, let's go
to the VIP line. Welcome Jeff Heard to the show.
Jeff is fighting the good fight down in CD three,
running against Adam Fritch and it's the district currently held
by Lauren Bobert, very very important to GOP hopes of
(11:40):
controlling the House and for other reasons that Jeff win. Jeff,
thank you for spending some time with us.
Speaker 8 (11:45):
What's the latest, Hey, Dan, it's great to be with you.
Returns are coming in solid, and i'd like to tell
you your listeners in Pueblo and Southeast Colorado keep it coming.
We're showing some strong returns, but we cannot let up.
Make sure you get those ballots in, get your friends,
family to vote. You obviously got to drop it off
in person. It's too way to drop it in the mail.
But get those votes in. We've got to finish strong
(12:06):
in Southeast Colorado.
Speaker 1 (12:07):
Oh and then to that right, because the last time
this district was up, it came down to five or
six hundred votes, right, so literally a relative handful of
votes could make the difference. I've been hearing encouraging news
about turnout and Pueblo, But what's the latest.
Speaker 8 (12:21):
Yeah, we're cautiously optimistic, Dan, and that's how I feel
just district wide. I mean, we're showing strong returns from
the people that we think are going to be voting
for us, but we are not taking anything for granted.
We need to make sure we fight for every single vote.
So cautiously optimistic. But there's still a couple hours to go,
and people got to get those ballots in hey.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
Man and bring some friends along with you. What are
you seeing on Democrat turnout and let's say in Pueblo
right now.
Speaker 8 (12:45):
Well, overall, Democrat turnout is depressed. It's a little bit
lower than what we've seen in the past. Obviously we
don't know the numbers for day of voting, but it's
lower than what we might have otherwise expected. But again,
that's no excuse not to do everything we can to
get all of our Republican voters and conservative unaffiliated voting
Republican in this race.
Speaker 1 (13:05):
Ay Man, Well, you have run a really, really good race,
my friend, and I hope and pray that you win,
and let's get together tomorrow hopefully to celebrate.
Speaker 8 (13:15):
That sounds great, Dan, thank you so much, God blessed.
Speaker 2 (13:17):
Thank you. Jeff, you too.
Speaker 1 (13:18):
That's Jeff Heard for Colorado Hurd for Colorado dot Com
Gate Evans will join us a bit later as well
up in CDA talk about a pivotal, pivotal race up
there as well. So, yeah, shoot, we've still got what
two and a half hours left to vote? Have to
I had such an amazing voting experience this morning, and
I just I love to vote in person.
Speaker 2 (13:39):
I love to vote an election day.
Speaker 1 (13:41):
And so I went over to Repo County, went over
to the Greenwood Village Police Department polling station there, and.
Speaker 2 (13:49):
It was it was just so cool. It was just
so nice to walk in.
Speaker 1 (13:52):
Everybody was great, uber professional operation. And then you know,
actually got to vote on a screen, Ryde, And maybe
you've never done that right. You may have been all
mail your whole life, but you got to vote on
the screen kind of the old fashioned way. I in
fact took a picture of my vote and tweeted it
out at Dan caplis so very enjoyable moment there eight
(14:13):
five zero five A two five to five text d
An five seven seven three nine. Now we're getting some
actual returns. Now out of states, Trump is clearly going
to win, right we're looking at Kentucky and Indiana. But
what we hope to learn is how his performance compares
to twenty twenty there and just take whatever clues we
can from that. Now, I think to be able to
(14:35):
take a clue from it, there'd have to be some
dramatic difference one way or the other. And so that's
what we're trying to keep an eye on right now.
So far, and this is very superficial, right what is
Indiana having just five percent of the vote now, very superficial.
Right now, it looks like about a normal spread. Trump
is basically sixty forty ish.
Speaker 3 (14:55):
Well, well, so far it's about the same Dan, but
in early indicator Alan Cow that's where Fort Wayne, Indiana
is a relatively large city. Now in twenty twenty, Trump
won that county fifty four forty three so far with
forty four percent of the voting in that's a little
bit lower for Trump fifty two to forty seven over
Kamala Harris, but there's still a lot of votes to
(15:16):
come in in that county, and that's just one kind
of barometer indicator. And in the other counties in Indiana
where they're coming in, like you just said, they're relatively
identical to the numbers that we were seeing in twenty
twenty Trump versus Biden.
Speaker 2 (15:28):
So far.
Speaker 1 (15:28):
Yeah, and we'll let it all fill out and see
where that lands in exit polling. Listen, we all know, right,
exit polling is extraordinarily unreliable, but we can't resist, right,
it's a candy sitting there in front of us. But
looking at exit poll results here on Kamala Harris's views,
are they two extreme exit polling? Fifty five percent of
(15:51):
the voters in the exit polling today said yes, at
least the exit poll source being cited by Fox. And
it's so interesting because Fox polling has never tended to
skew right or anything like that. To keep things light,
we're trying to drop in every now and then with
our good friend Donald Trump gets some kind of positive message.
Mister President, what do you have for us? At four
(16:13):
twenty seven Mountain time.
Speaker 9 (16:15):
You were more beautiful than a blossoming flower?
Speaker 1 (16:17):
In a warm spring morning. That's pretty nice. Yeah, we'll
have one of those every five or ten minutes. Neat
little gadget. I'm trying to remember somebody give it to
me as a gift, but it's nice to keep on
the desk and pop it up.
Speaker 2 (16:29):
Every now and then. Hey, let's talk some Colorado. Okay.
Speaker 1 (16:33):
I know it's a little weird because we don't have
the governor's race that doesn't start until tomorrow. We don't
have the US Senate race that doesn't start until tomorrow,
so it's not quite the same in Colorado. We're not
a swing state in the presidential though. We'll be interesting
to see the margin. I mean, just you know, maybe
pointing to where we may be headed in the future.
Though obviously Donald Trump in Colorado that vote is more
(16:56):
a reflection of Colorado's view of President Trump, but hopefully
it'll be a tighter margin. To see you, Paul. That
came out yesterday, right, Ryan, Wasn't that just an eight
point margin for Harris. I'll double check those numbers correct,
but that was that was someone encouraging there. But Colorado
to me, we talked those two big congressional districts could
determine control of the House, which a lot of experts
think at this point likely to go to the Democrats.
(17:19):
But I would not be assuming that right now. And
Mike Johnson has been working very very hard all over
the country. Don't we have his great Trump impersonation?
Speaker 2 (17:28):
Here? Did we put that up? Oh? Number one? Yeah?
No one, No wonder I missed it?
Speaker 1 (17:32):
Okay, Yeah, here, this is pretty good, almost as good
as yours.
Speaker 7 (17:36):
Mike.
Speaker 2 (17:36):
You've got to make it too big to rig. We
got to make it too big to rig. That's the thing,
all of us.
Speaker 4 (17:42):
Every single vote counts to all make a count.
Speaker 2 (17:44):
We got to do this straight out of Central Casting.
Speaker 3 (17:45):
We love you America, We love Pennsylvania.
Speaker 4 (17:47):
I love Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (17:48):
That was pretty good. That is pretty good.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
I have unexpected to from Yeah, and you know, again
is an optimist like I am.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
You're always looking for signs.
Speaker 1 (17:56):
The fact that you know, he's seems very relaxed and jovial.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
That's good. Hopefully, Hopefully that is a good sign.
Speaker 1 (18:03):
So look seventy nine that I'm going to be watching
that so carefully tonight. I think for many of us,
the most important vote we cast in Colorado this cycle
on seventy nine to try to keep that wicked, wicked
constitutional amendment from passing. They need fifty five percent to
pass it, so be watching that closely. It would actually
put in the Constitution the quote right to dismember nine
(18:27):
months healthy baby from a healthy mother, to dismember that
child that cannot be in our constitution.
Speaker 2 (18:33):
Vote against it.
Speaker 4 (18:35):
You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast.
Speaker 1 (18:38):
We're returns now coming in Indiana and Kentucky, and we're
doing our best to compare them to how President Trump
did in twenty how he did in sixteen, et cetera.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
In those two states.
Speaker 1 (18:49):
Learn what we can from that, But a lot of
the big states close at five o'clock mountain time, will
start to get results out of Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia.
In the meantime, let's go to the VIP line and
welcome Gave Evans. Gave Evans, Eva and s who has
just fought heroically in CD eight, one of the key
races in the nation that will determine control of the
(19:11):
House of Representatives. He's a tremendous candidate, would be a
great congressman. And Gabe, I imagine at this point every
vote still counts.
Speaker 7 (19:21):
Oh absolutely, thanks for having me on. And yeah, the
polls are open until seven pm tonight, So if you
haven't voted, make sure you get down to the polls
and vote. I mean, we're a representative government first three
words of the Constitution or we the people, and so
it's time. It's election day, time for we the people
to make our voices heard.
Speaker 2 (19:38):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (19:38):
And when you look at the history of c D eight,
which is not a long history, right, this just the
second election there. The last race there was so so
very close that it's conceivable it could come down to
a few hundred votes.
Speaker 7 (19:52):
Yeah, the eighth Congressional district two years ago. It was
the closest Republican loss in the nation in the twenty
twenty two cycle. And so and so absolutely a battleground seat,
absolutely critical to holding and growing the conservative majority in Washington,
Absolutely critical to getting some balance back here in Colorado,
so we can roll up our sleeves and get to
(20:12):
work on these pressing issues that people are concerned about.
We're the number three state in the nation for trime,
We're the number two state for kids overdosing and dying
on feentanol. We're number one for bank robberies, cost of
living is out of control. Leaves are the problems that
I'm looking forward to being able to work on and
fix in Congress. And so that's what we're telling folks
for the next two hours and change and tell the
(20:34):
polls close.
Speaker 2 (20:35):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (20:35):
For those who aren't familiar with Gabe, you know, you
walk the talk both in the military and then law enforcement.
He knows about these issues and how to fix them. So, yeah,
we have a little over two hours and now, Gabe,
if somebody is in that polling place, if first off,
you're dropping off a ballot, yeah, you can drop off
till seven. But if you're in line at that polling
place before seven, they should let you vote, right.
Speaker 7 (20:58):
You just need to stay in line, absolutely. Yeah. If
you are in line to vote by seven pm, then
you are entitled to cast a vote. So even if
the line's long and you have to stay a little
bit after seven pm, as long as you're in a
line by seven at a polling place, you are still
entitled to cast a vote.
Speaker 2 (21:15):
Well, man, you deserve to win.
Speaker 1 (21:18):
You've worked ferociously, you have a great team, You've done
everything right. I'm just literally praying that this thing breaks
the right way tonight. But man, you have left it
all on the field, and you're still out there, right,
You're still out there for the last two hours and
twenty minutes.
Speaker 7 (21:35):
Oh, in the last forty eight hours. In addition to
all the other regular campaign stuff, I've personally made well
over three hundred phone calls wow, to either undecided or
low propensity voters.
Speaker 2 (21:46):
The team.
Speaker 7 (21:47):
Just yesterday, just my team did almost ten thousand calls,
tens of thousands of texts, sign waving, more phone banking. Today.
We're going right up till the very last second to
make sure that we get every possible vote in to
be able to flip this seat and be able to
go to work on some of these problems that folks
desperately want us to be able to fix.
Speaker 1 (22:08):
Yeah, and I love hearing that first because I want
you to win, but also for what you would bring
to Congress.
Speaker 2 (22:13):
Right, Because all the best historically.
Speaker 1 (22:16):
And all of these jobs, just like every job everybody
listening has, all the best are the hard workers. I mean,
you may and you do have those other skills, et cetera.
But if you aren't a hard worker, then the rest
of it is wasted. But man, you have walked that talk,
So Gabe, wish you.
Speaker 2 (22:30):
All the best.
Speaker 1 (22:31):
And one more question, one more question, how about the
early returns up there?
Speaker 2 (22:35):
How did all of that shape up.
Speaker 7 (22:38):
There? Again, they're looking really really good. I mean, our
message clearly is resonating. We can feel the enthusiasm on
the ground when we're out making these calls and we're
knocking on doors, and we're seeing the results of that
in the early returns. So obviously we won't know until
a little bit later in the night, but the early
returns are looking very, very positive for us.
Speaker 2 (22:56):
You deserve all good things, my friend. Good luck tonight.
Speaker 7 (22:59):
I appreciate it. Thanks so much. If you haven't voted,
go vote tonight.
Speaker 2 (23:03):
Amen to that.
Speaker 1 (23:04):
And if you're there by seven, stay in line if
you're voting on a tablet or something. Thank you to
Gabe Evans. Boy, what a great addition he would be
to Congress. And how important it is to get CD eight. Now,
I've got to believe once the Republicans went up in
CD eight, which will hopefully start tonight, then that will
not end. That will not end because that district should
be Republican. And Barb Kirkmyer just a tremendous conservative ran
(23:27):
a great, great race last time, and she lost because
there was a libertarian on the ballot who took about
four percent. And then this time around, the libertarian agreed
not to run and give Gabe a true fair shot.
And man, he's done everything a Kennedy can do. Eight
five four zero five eight two five five text d
an five seven seven three nine. So lots to kick
(23:51):
around with you again. We will have you know, we'll
have some big ones. Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia polls closing
at five o'clock Mountain.
Speaker 2 (24:00):
We'll get you those results as they come in.
Speaker 1 (24:03):
Right now, we have results out of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire,
where they vote at midnight. And in twenty twenty it
was five zip Biden and today it was three three.
I'll take good news wherever I can find it. And
then again we're watching Indiana and Kentucky now just to
see how they compare to the vote share Trump got.
Speaker 3 (24:21):
I've got that for you here, Dan. So right now,
just nine percent for Indiana coming in. But right now
it's right on track, fifty eight to forty one Trump
over Harris. And in twenty twenty it was fifty seven
forty one, favoring Trump over Biden's almost identical Kentucky again
small number n sixty five thirty three Trump over Harris,
(24:41):
and in twenty twenty it was sixty two thirty six.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Yep, Trump over Bida. That's right.
Speaker 1 (24:46):
And what I'm looking for mainly is to see if
there's any slippage there in Trump numbers, right, See if
there's any slippage, See if there's any big increase in
Harris numbers. And at this point, no slippage for Trump
and no big increase for Harris over Biden. And I
know we're trying to read a lot of tea leaves, right,
but hey, that's uh, that's why you pay us. And
(25:08):
it's it's kind of funny to think about, right, because
you pay us with the most valuable thing you have,
which is your time, which is far more important than
your money.
Speaker 3 (25:16):
Well, I've got to take that again, just an early concern.
I don't want to freak out about it, but sixty
five percent of the voting in Hamilton County, that's a
highly populated county just to the north of Indianapolis in Indiana,
and Harris actually leads Trump fifty to forty nine in
that county. That's a county that Trump defeated Biden in,
and as I reported earlier, Trump a little bit off
his pace in Fort Wayne Allen County against Harris from
(25:39):
where he was against Biden with forty four percent of
the voting in there. Those are two pretty populated counties
in the state of Indiana. How much of that voting
forty four percent in Fort Wayne and Hamilton County sixty
five percent?
Speaker 2 (25:51):
Yeah, yeah, no, let's keep an eye on those. Let's
see where those end up.
Speaker 1 (25:55):
Absolutely height five five for zero five A two five
five texts dad and five seven and seven three nine.
Let's see. Oh, this one's meant for you, Ryan. I'm
a little disappointing that. Ryan. My name is John. You
can reach me at gives a number. Maybe tonight would
not be a good night to bring your bottle of James.
Speaker 4 (26:12):
Yeah, there we go.
Speaker 2 (26:13):
But when Trump.
Speaker 1 (26:14):
Wins tomorrow, I will bring you a bottle, not just
a shot. I was hoping that was meant for me
because if Trump wins tonight, I'll probably have my first
drink of the year, which is truly wasted talent, because
one of my few talents is I can consume very
large amounts of alcohol and it doesn't affect me. But
I just don't drink. I just don't drink. So but
(26:34):
Trump wins and then tonight I will. And obviously for
many many months, I've been predicting Trump victory and I
still am. But I think we're gonna know tonight. I
think we're gonna know tonight earlier than most people expect.
Speaker 2 (26:46):
Don't you, Ryan.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
I mean, I think that given all of the dynamics
of this race, all the dynamics of this race that
we've talked about endlessly on this show, I think we're
gonna have a real good idea once we see what's
happening in Georgia, what's happening in Virginia, North Carolina closes
five thirty Mountain Time, Ohio for some margin issues there,
(27:10):
and that's that's where we'll get into the first really
contested US Senate race. I just think we're gonna know
a lot earlier. What do you think you expecting another
four or five days of county.
Speaker 4 (27:21):
Hard to say.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
We're going to reports of slow ballot counting in Milwaukee.
That's not a good thing. But Laura Trump apparently has
her people on It depends on what happens in Philadelphia,
the turnout there, and the volume of that turnout. I
hope that we know early and I agree with you
there will be a general trend line. I think we'll
be able to follow, and Georgia might be the harbinger
of that.
Speaker 1 (27:41):
And before we hit this break and then we'll come
back to text and calls eight five five four zero
five A two five five text d A N five seven,
seven through nine. This is why I urge everybody to
really take these Indiana and Kentucky results and results from
any state that's not a swing state with the big
grain of salt right, because it's the Swing states that
(28:04):
come bombarded with the truth about Harris. The other states
did not. I mean, they may have picked up some
national spots running in a football game, things like that,
but the Swing States got hammered with all this video
of Harris saying all these crazy far left things in
her own words, and so the people of the Swing
States have an understanding about just how awful she is
(28:26):
ideologically that the folks in all these other states didn't
get hit with. So we just got to keep that
in mind as well. So given the fact Trump's running
pretty close to where he did before, and in these
other states. I personally take that as a very encouraging sign,
because Indiana and Kentucky, they did not get all of
these these ads hammering and exposing Harris.
Speaker 2 (28:47):
You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 4 (28:50):
And now back to the Dan Kapla Show podcast.
Speaker 10 (28:56):
By the left for saying he would be a protector
of women. He will be a protector of women, and
it's why I'm voting for him. He will close the border,
he will keep the boys out of girls sports and.
Speaker 8 (29:11):
Where they don't belong.
Speaker 10 (29:13):
And you know what else, one more thing, he will
look out for our boys too, our forgotten boys and
are forgotten men.
Speaker 1 (29:21):
Megan Kelly, great job last night. He wish he'd been
on the trail with him the whole time. But great
to see last night, and so really nice to see
her putting aside her differences with Trump, you know, to
stand up and do what's best for the country and
for world peace. I mean, I just really admire that
because unfortunately we've seen some other conservatives I respect the
heck out of they got into these personal beefs with Trump,
(29:44):
and all of a sudden that became more important to
them than these causes they had devoted their lives to,
and that very disappointing to see. But Megan Kelly rose
above all that and to really respect that eight five
five or zero five a two five five the number
as we continue to bring you actual real returns, no
more polls, right, no more polls.
Speaker 2 (30:05):
No more.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Well, we will mention some of the early voting stuff
because those numbers are the backdrop for what's coming in
now Live. But we have Indiana and Kentucky, and what
we're trying to do is measure against Trump's performance there
four years ago. But as I mentioned earlier, this is
a whole different critter. So we have to look at
these results a little bit differently because remember in twenty twenty, Yeah,
(30:29):
it was Joe Biden. He was a candidate. Everybody knew
better or worse whatever, that they knew what they were
dealing with their Unfortunately, too many people bought the continent
and he wanted a tight race. But here's the difference.
This Kamala Harris thing is so different. Right, she didn't
get a single vote in the primary, she parachutes in
but above all, she's a far left san Francisco radical.
(30:49):
So here's the point when we're trying to compare Indiana
and Kentucky.
Speaker 2 (30:54):
These are two states that have.
Speaker 1 (30:55):
Not been bombarded the way the swing states have with
all these ads video of Harris saying all these goofy, crazy,
far left insane things.
Speaker 2 (31:05):
So you can bet you could.
Speaker 1 (31:07):
Write, Ryan, you degree, man, this, if Kentucky and Indiana
had been bombarded with those truthful ads about Harris, her
numbers would be substantially lower in both places. As it is,
so far, it looks to be roughly where Trump was before.
You think she's doing a little bit better in some
places that.
Speaker 3 (31:26):
Concern you, right, my friend, just a tad Yeah, and
that's Fort Wayne, as I mentioned, Allen County there, and
in Hamilton County just north of Indianapolis. The polymarket betting
odds have been pretty steady all day, right around sixty
sixty one percent favoring Trump. Those numbers right now at
fifty eight points seven for Trump and forty one point
three for Harris.
Speaker 1 (31:44):
And I think I'm the only person on the planet
who doesn't believe in those, Ryan, and that is I
remember sitting there at twenty twenty. I could tell you
the literally sitting in the lazy Boy and I'm trying
to remember what time it was nine, nine thirty and
the polymarket odds were eighty eighty five percent Trump victory, right,
I mean, so I get it.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
It's real people betting real money.
Speaker 1 (32:06):
But yeah, I'm just glad we have these actual returns
coming in right now.
Speaker 2 (32:12):
What do you make of the exit polls?
Speaker 1 (32:13):
I know listening to your show and Ryan, by the way,
we'll host the election night coverage over on eight fifty
KOA and I'm sure you'll do your usual tremendous job
with it. But yeah, what do you make of the
exit polls? Which I think are notoriously unreliable, but they're
still kind of fun to look at, especially if you
like it.
Speaker 3 (32:31):
They're not lining up well for Harris. And I got
a quote for you there from CNN if you want
to think a time for it, zero zero A there
zero zero their reaction to it.
Speaker 2 (32:40):
Oh okay, I like that.
Speaker 11 (32:42):
Let's look at the numbers on the mood of the country.
It's a pretty dour mood in terms of the way
people feel things are going in the United States. Nationally,
only seven percent of voters say they're enthusiastic, nineteen percent
say they're satisfied.
Speaker 2 (32:55):
Look at these numbers, forty.
Speaker 11 (32:56):
Three percent dissatisfied, twenty nine percent angry, seventy two percent
of the electorate they nationally say they're dissatisfied or angry.
Speaker 4 (33:06):
What about America's best.
Speaker 11 (33:08):
Days, which is for they in the future or are
they in the past.
Speaker 4 (33:11):
Sixty one percent.
Speaker 11 (33:12):
Of voters in this election across the country say America's
best days are ahead of the country, six and ten
say so, thirty four percent say the best days are
in the past. And finally, President Joe Biden's approval rating,
it's at forty one percent. In these early preliminary exit
poll findings. Fifty eight percent of voters in this election
(33:34):
across the country nationally disapprove of the way that the
incumbent Democratic president is doing his job.
Speaker 12 (33:40):
James, all right, interesting, stef David Challian, thanks so much,
and let's talk about it with our panel and Dana Bash. Obviously,
this is early exit poll downa but still looking at
this which really doesn't deviate so much from polling in general,
we've seen Joe Biden not popular, most Americans dissatisfied.
Speaker 9 (33:57):
One of the questions that I have and asking and
looking at since I started covering campaigns, is this Are
you satisfied? Are you not satisfied?
Speaker 2 (34:06):
Right track? Wrong track?
Speaker 9 (34:07):
It is extremely high the dissatisfied or angry, as David said,
if you add those two up seventy two percent. What
we don't know, because this is such a different election,
is whether the dissatisfaction or anger will be taken out
on Kamala Harris or Donald Trump because they are both effectively.
(34:29):
You know, Harris is part of the current administration, but
for Donald Trump and the Trump era is very much
upon us.
Speaker 10 (34:36):
We don't know that.
Speaker 13 (34:37):
I got to say, I think that's putting the best
spin on it. I think when you see current voters
saying that by a three to one margin that they
are dissatisfied with the country or angry, dissatisfied, ortry, I
gotta say, I think that that's with the present conditions
in the country. I mean, in conventional terms, it would
(34:58):
be a miracle.
Speaker 2 (35:00):
Kamala Harris could win with that kind of head to wind.
And that is Chris Wallace.
Speaker 1 (35:05):
When we come back, we'll tell you how the votes
right now in Kentucky and Indiana stack up to where
Trump and Biden were four years ago and Georgia about
to close.
This is Dan Caplis and welcome to today's online podcast
edition of The Dan Caplis Show. Please be sure to
give us a five star rating if you'd be so kind,
and to subscribe, download and listen to the show every
single day on your favorite podcast platform. This is one
of those true hinge days in history. There is no
question about it. When the history of the United States
(00:22):
of America is written and continue to be written today,
we'll be looked at as one of those true pivot points.
So really, what a privilege to be alive at a
moment like this and in each of our own ways
have a chance to affect at eight five five or
zero five eight two five five the number text d
an five seven seven thirty nine.
Speaker 2 (00:43):
So before we dig into.
Speaker 1 (00:44):
All of this, I like to at least, you know,
just sort of step back and appreciate, you know, the Hey,
we're all lottery winners, right. The founders gave us the
opportunity to resolve our differences this way and to do this,
and how few people in all of human history have
had a chance to do this in the really meaningful,
relatively pure way that we do. So personally, I'm just
(01:08):
really grateful for that.
Speaker 2 (01:10):
Now. Obviously, I'm optimistic.
Speaker 1 (01:12):
I have been all along that this is going to
be a pivot point in the right direction for America
and that Donald Trump will win.
Speaker 2 (01:20):
And we'll talk about that tonight. We'll talk about the.
Speaker 1 (01:21):
Latest data, and thank the Lord, we're actually going to
have returns starting very shortly. Now, these won't be normally
viewed as the big ticket returns. We're not going to get, say, Georgia,
South Carolina, Virginia. They will close at five o'clock Mountain,
and we'll start to get returns between five o'clock and
six o'clock right here on the dan KAPLA show from Georgia,
(01:43):
South Carolina, and Virginia at five thirty Mountain. North Carolina
and Ohio close and we'll start to get some of
those returns. What's going to come in shortly mint seem
like much, and in the end it may not be much.
But we're going to get some returns from Indiana and Kentucky.
And obviously what we're looking for there is not who's
going to win the state. We're looking for margins. We're
(02:03):
looking for a turnout. Because today, throughout the day, there
really hasn't been I haven't seen that much true, reliable
turnout hard data. You know, you get the anecdotal reports
from around the country, and both sides like to flash
pictures of a million people lined up here or there.
The anecdotal stuff at this point I think looks pretty
(02:25):
good for the good guys and gals, But I haven't
seen that hard data.
Speaker 2 (02:30):
So we'll be.
Speaker 1 (02:31):
Looking for some of that turnout, some of that margin
stuff coming out of Indiana and Kentucky. That was the
first sign in twenty sixteen that it was going to
be a real good night for Donald Trump. Hopefully we'll
see something similar today. So eight five five forour zero
five eight two five five texts d A N five
seven seven three nine obviously lots to cover this afternoon
(02:52):
jump in anytime you like, buy text or through a
call overall game plan which, as you know, as soon
as you get punched in them out that the strategy changes.
So we'll roll with whatever comes down the pike here.
But but what we'll be doing is we'll be taking
the returns. As I just mentioned in that order, I
(03:12):
do want to talk about we actually have some actual
election returns. Obviously, the midnight vote in Dixville, Notch, New Hampshire,
which to me, and I tend to be an optimistic
guy in general, but to me is really encouraging because
in twenty twenty, Biden won five ZIP five votes to
none in Dixville, Notch, the first people to vote on
(03:35):
election day in America at midnight, and this year it
was a split three to three between Harris and Biden.
So those the first official election day votes in America,
and then the Guam straw vote not binding obviously, but
it was just forty nine forty six Harris, whereas Biden
(03:56):
had been fifty four forty two. So grasping that.
Speaker 2 (03:58):
Straws, yeah, I got a little bit more than that.
Speaker 3 (04:01):
Right now, dan Is, returns are starting to come in
for Indiana and Kentucky. It's very early on, but the
early returns are strong for Donald Trump, as you might imagine,
in each of those states that are guaranteed to be read.
And we're waiting on, like you said, on these others
that'll be closing their polls at about five o'clock our time.
Speaker 1 (04:19):
Yeah, but well we right, and what we can't tell
yet out of Indiana and Kentucky, right, because we've probably
got more people in this studio than they have votes,
but we still can't break down at this point how
the margins compared to the past and what overall turnout is.
Speaker 2 (04:32):
But we'll be keeping a close eye on that.
Speaker 1 (04:34):
Which is really kind of funny to think about, isn't, Ryan,
Because very very soon we're goin half the gold standard.
We're going to have the actual votes out of key
swing states. Obviously we won't get Arizona and Nevada until later,
but everybody knows by now that if you're just looking
at the outside of the envelope and Republican versus Democrat, etc.
(04:58):
That the GOP has done very well in the swing
states overall in terms of that early vote, and in
most places has an edge going into election day. In Pennsylvania,
Dems are up what is it, four hundred thousand at
this point, but they're normally up eight or nine hundred thousand,
So that's shaping up well across the board. Clearly, the
(05:18):
GOP needs a big election day turnout, and we're going
to find out together very soon. If the GOP got that,
Ryan your ultimate prediction.
Speaker 2 (05:28):
I was listening to that.
Speaker 1 (05:29):
Ryan does an excellent show in Denver sixo thirty Kitsch
W two to four each day. But what is your
bottom line election day prediction? First, who's going to win
and by what?
Speaker 2 (05:38):
March?
Speaker 3 (05:39):
In the presidential Trump wins national popular vote by two
percentage points all seven swing states, and I think you
might pull an upset in either New Hampshire or Virginia.
Speaker 1 (05:49):
I like your style, yeah, and of course I'd love
to see that first, because you want to see Trump win.
But beyond that, looking ahead for America. Right, you do
this in your life. I'm sure you're looking ahead. You
know you're looking around four different corners at this point.
You're looking ahead a week, a month, a year, three years,
five years, ten years, and looking ahead for America. Ay,
(06:09):
it needs Trump to win tonight, but b the larger
the margin the better, And the larger the margin the
better in terms of national unity, political capital, being able
to move forward together as a country. I know that
if I get what I want and we have a
big Trump win tonight, that isn't going to mean that
that all of the sudden it's Kumbai and everybody's holding
(06:30):
hands and doing a circle massage on the boulder mall.
I'm just saying that that's an important first step. We
all know longest journey begins with that first baby step.
And if we can get that Trump victory and a
nice margin of victory, that I think will be a
key first step. Now, then beyond that, we've spent precious
little time on the show talking about the Senate races
(06:51):
because the big Enchilada is the big enchilada. But the
hope is here that if it shapes up the way
I want and I've been predicting now for many, many
many mons boons, and we get a significant not just
a Trump victory, but a really significant Trump victory tonight,
then you hope that all of a sudden, you know
you're getting a comfortable margin in the Senate, which right now.
Speaker 2 (07:11):
Would be more than one.
Speaker 1 (07:13):
Right You're just so if somebody gets sick, you still
have your majority. So if you keeping an eye on
anything that can suggest anything about those Senate races though
other than Pennsylvania. Other than Pennsylvania is the first significant
Senate race that's going to pop up, first significantly contested
Senate race that's going to pop up where the Democrat
(07:34):
Casey still holds the lead over the Republican McCormick, but
that lead's been shrinking. And Ryan, I mean come on,
none of us have to be political scientists to read
this one where the last Casey had put out and
I watched it last night in that Pennsylvania Senate race. Well,
all Casey was talking about was Trump and how he
supported Trump on this, and he supported Trump on that,
(07:56):
and McCormick had criticized Trump, and then old tape of
Trump criticizing.
Speaker 2 (08:00):
McCormick four years ago.
Speaker 1 (08:02):
So when the Democrat senator from Pennsylvania's closing ad is
all about how close he is to Donald Trump with
no mention of Kamala Harris, I wonder what that means.
Speaker 3 (08:13):
And we've seen that from several of those senatorial candidates,
including Alyssa Slotkin and Michigan Tammy Baldon Wisconsin.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
My question, Dan, is how many Republican.
Speaker 3 (08:20):
Nominees for Senate are tying themselves to Kamala Harris.
Speaker 2 (08:25):
I'd say that it beaten none.
Speaker 1 (08:28):
Hey, speaking of which I mean, you're all looking for
signs here and good omens and everything else. This is
a very sad but good omen And that is my wife,
who's the most amazing woman in the world. No offense
to any other woman anywhere, but she is. And my
wife as we speak on a plane out of the country.
(08:48):
So why do you hope, yes, we are not going
to be on separate floors this election day.
Speaker 2 (08:55):
But the reason I say it's a good omen.
Speaker 1 (08:57):
Is she did the same thing in sixteen, just left
the country for election night. We agree on many many things,
including having and raising children, we tend to disagree on politics.
So she will literally be on another continent during the
returns tonight.
Speaker 3 (09:14):
Hold on though, Yes, if she was in sixteen, well,
that's the thing. If she were like bullishly confident that
Kamala Harris was going to win, do you think she
would have stayed?
Speaker 2 (09:24):
Oh, I'm not sure she voted for Harris. Oh yeah,
that's breaking news your back.
Speaker 1 (09:29):
I honestly don't know. We haven't had that conversation. We've
we've learned how to have a blissful marriage thirty plus
years now, so we don't even talk politics.
Speaker 2 (09:37):
I honestly don't know one way or the other if
she voted for Harris.
Speaker 1 (09:40):
Okay, But but yeah, she she's been a registered Democrat forever.
Somebody told me recently she's now unaffiliated. I don't know
if one of the kids told me. But yeah, let's
say we differ on politics exactly.
Speaker 3 (09:55):
You just did a sources are saying about your wife's
full that's the word on the street.
Speaker 1 (10:00):
But yeah, we just don't talk politics. But yeah, election nights,
she's going to be on a different continent. But then again,
she was in sixteen and it worked out great for
all of us. Eight five five zero five A two
five five the number text d A N five seven
seven through nine. When we come back, let's talk some
Colorado as well, and we're starting to get some quote
meaningful election returns out of both Indiana and Kentucky. No
(10:24):
suspense there, but we're looking for the margins. You're on
the Dan Capla Show.
Speaker 4 (10:29):
And now back to the Dankaplas Show podcast.
Speaker 5 (10:32):
Well, I have some more big news, Megan. I'm just
getting this right now. So somebody that's very very respected
as me to do his show two weeks ago, and
I said, why not? And to me it's very big
because he's.
Speaker 6 (10:49):
Uh, the biggest there is, I guess in that world
by far. Somebody said, the biggest beyond anybody in a
long time, and his name is Joe Rogan and there's
never done this before. It just came over the wires
that Joe Rogan just endorsed me.
Speaker 7 (11:11):
Is up there?
Speaker 2 (11:13):
Oh god, yeah, that doesn't hurt. Very happy to see
that last night.
Speaker 1 (11:19):
And I hope all over the country people are still
voting where they can, right, and that is most places
in this country, including Arizona and Nevada. Hey, let's go
to the VIP line. Welcome Jeff Heard to the show.
Jeff is fighting the good fight down in CD three,
running against Adam Fritch and it's the district currently held
by Lauren Bobert, very very important to GOP hopes of
(11:40):
controlling the House and for other reasons that Jeff win. Jeff,
thank you for spending some time with us.
Speaker 8 (11:45):
What's the latest, Hey, Dan, it's great to be with you.
Returns are coming in solid, and i'd like to tell
you your listeners in Pueblo and Southeast Colorado keep it coming.
We're showing some strong returns, but we cannot let up.
Make sure you get those ballots in, get your friends,
family to vote. You obviously got to drop it off
in person. It's too way to drop it in the mail.
But get those votes in. We've got to finish strong
(12:06):
in Southeast Colorado.
Speaker 1 (12:07):
Oh and then to that right, because the last time
this district was up, it came down to five or
six hundred votes, right, so literally a relative handful of
votes could make the difference. I've been hearing encouraging news
about turnout and Pueblo, But what's the latest.
Speaker 8 (12:21):
Yeah, we're cautiously optimistic, Dan, and that's how I feel
just district wide. I mean, we're showing strong returns from
the people that we think are going to be voting
for us, but we are not taking anything for granted.
We need to make sure we fight for every single vote.
So cautiously optimistic. But there's still a couple hours to go,
and people got to get those ballots in hey.
Speaker 1 (12:38):
Man and bring some friends along with you. What are
you seeing on Democrat turnout and let's say in Pueblo
right now.
Speaker 8 (12:45):
Well, overall, Democrat turnout is depressed. It's a little bit
lower than what we've seen in the past. Obviously we
don't know the numbers for day of voting, but it's
lower than what we might have otherwise expected. But again,
that's no excuse not to do everything we can to
get all of our Republican voters and conservative unaffiliated voting
Republican in this race.
Speaker 1 (13:05):
Ay Man, Well, you have run a really, really good race,
my friend, and I hope and pray that you win,
and let's get together tomorrow hopefully to celebrate.
Speaker 8 (13:15):
That sounds great, Dan, thank you so much, God blessed.
Speaker 2 (13:17):
Thank you. Jeff, you too.
Speaker 1 (13:18):
That's Jeff Heard for Colorado Hurd for Colorado dot Com
Gate Evans will join us a bit later as well
up in CDA talk about a pivotal, pivotal race up
there as well. So, yeah, shoot, we've still got what
two and a half hours left to vote? Have to
I had such an amazing voting experience this morning, and
I just I love to vote in person.
Speaker 2 (13:39):
I love to vote an election day.
Speaker 1 (13:41):
And so I went over to Repo County, went over
to the Greenwood Village Police Department polling station there, and.
Speaker 2 (13:49):
It was it was just so cool. It was just
so nice to walk in.
Speaker 1 (13:52):
Everybody was great, uber professional operation. And then you know,
actually got to vote on a screen, Ryde, And maybe
you've never done that right. You may have been all
mail your whole life, but you got to vote on
the screen kind of the old fashioned way. I in
fact took a picture of my vote and tweeted it
out at Dan caplis so very enjoyable moment there eight
(14:13):
five zero five A two five to five text d
An five seven seven three nine. Now we're getting some
actual returns. Now out of states, Trump is clearly going
to win, right we're looking at Kentucky and Indiana. But
what we hope to learn is how his performance compares
to twenty twenty there and just take whatever clues we
can from that. Now, I think to be able to
(14:35):
take a clue from it, there'd have to be some
dramatic difference one way or the other. And so that's
what we're trying to keep an eye on right now.
So far, and this is very superficial, right what is
Indiana having just five percent of the vote now, very superficial.
Right now, it looks like about a normal spread. Trump
is basically sixty forty ish.
Speaker 3 (14:55):
Well, well, so far it's about the same Dan, but
in early indicator Alan Cow that's where Fort Wayne, Indiana
is a relatively large city. Now in twenty twenty, Trump
won that county fifty four forty three so far with
forty four percent of the voting in that's a little
bit lower for Trump fifty two to forty seven over
Kamala Harris, but there's still a lot of votes to
(15:16):
come in in that county, and that's just one kind
of barometer indicator. And in the other counties in Indiana
where they're coming in, like you just said, they're relatively
identical to the numbers that we were seeing in twenty
twenty Trump versus Biden.
Speaker 2 (15:28):
So far.
Speaker 1 (15:28):
Yeah, and we'll let it all fill out and see
where that lands in exit polling. Listen, we all know, right,
exit polling is extraordinarily unreliable, but we can't resist, right,
it's a candy sitting there in front of us. But
looking at exit poll results here on Kamala Harris's views,
are they two extreme exit polling? Fifty five percent of
(15:51):
the voters in the exit polling today said yes, at
least the exit poll source being cited by Fox. And
it's so interesting because Fox polling has never tended to
skew right or anything like that. To keep things light,
we're trying to drop in every now and then with
our good friend Donald Trump gets some kind of positive message.
Mister President, what do you have for us? At four
(16:13):
twenty seven Mountain time.
Speaker 9 (16:15):
You were more beautiful than a blossoming flower?
Speaker 1 (16:17):
In a warm spring morning. That's pretty nice. Yeah, we'll
have one of those every five or ten minutes. Neat
little gadget. I'm trying to remember somebody give it to
me as a gift, but it's nice to keep on
the desk and pop it up.
Speaker 2 (16:29):
Every now and then. Hey, let's talk some Colorado. Okay.
Speaker 1 (16:33):
I know it's a little weird because we don't have
the governor's race that doesn't start until tomorrow. We don't
have the US Senate race that doesn't start until tomorrow,
so it's not quite the same in Colorado. We're not
a swing state in the presidential though. We'll be interesting
to see the margin. I mean, just you know, maybe
pointing to where we may be headed in the future.
Though obviously Donald Trump in Colorado that vote is more
(16:56):
a reflection of Colorado's view of President Trump, but hopefully
it'll be a tighter margin. To see you, Paul. That
came out yesterday, right, Ryan, Wasn't that just an eight
point margin for Harris. I'll double check those numbers correct,
but that was that was someone encouraging there. But Colorado
to me, we talked those two big congressional districts could
determine control of the House, which a lot of experts
think at this point likely to go to the Democrats.
(17:19):
But I would not be assuming that right now. And
Mike Johnson has been working very very hard all over
the country. Don't we have his great Trump impersonation?
Speaker 2 (17:28):
Here? Did we put that up? Oh? Number one? Yeah?
No one, No wonder I missed it?
Speaker 1 (17:32):
Okay, Yeah, here, this is pretty good, almost as good
as yours.
Speaker 7 (17:36):
Mike.
Speaker 2 (17:36):
You've got to make it too big to rig. We
got to make it too big to rig. That's the thing,
all of us.
Speaker 4 (17:42):
Every single vote counts to all make a count.
Speaker 2 (17:44):
We got to do this straight out of Central Casting.
Speaker 3 (17:45):
We love you America, We love Pennsylvania.
Speaker 4 (17:47):
I love Pennsylvania.
Speaker 2 (17:48):
That was pretty good. That is pretty good.
Speaker 1 (17:50):
I have unexpected to from Yeah, and you know, again
is an optimist like I am.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
You're always looking for signs.
Speaker 1 (17:56):
The fact that you know, he's seems very relaxed and jovial.
Speaker 2 (18:00):
That's good. Hopefully, Hopefully that is a good sign.
Speaker 1 (18:03):
So look seventy nine that I'm going to be watching
that so carefully tonight. I think for many of us,
the most important vote we cast in Colorado this cycle
on seventy nine to try to keep that wicked, wicked
constitutional amendment from passing. They need fifty five percent to
pass it, so be watching that closely. It would actually
put in the Constitution the quote right to dismember nine
(18:27):
months healthy baby from a healthy mother, to dismember that
child that cannot be in our constitution.
Speaker 2 (18:33):
Vote against it.
Speaker 4 (18:35):
You're listening to the Dan Kaplis Show podcast.
Speaker 1 (18:38):
We're returns now coming in Indiana and Kentucky, and we're
doing our best to compare them to how President Trump
did in twenty how he did in sixteen, et cetera.
Speaker 2 (18:48):
In those two states.
Speaker 1 (18:49):
Learn what we can from that, But a lot of
the big states close at five o'clock mountain time, will
start to get results out of Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia.
In the meantime, let's go to the VIP line and
welcome Gave Evans. Gave Evans, Eva and s who has
just fought heroically in CD eight, one of the key
races in the nation that will determine control of the
(19:11):
House of Representatives. He's a tremendous candidate, would be a
great congressman. And Gabe, I imagine at this point every
vote still counts.
Speaker 7 (19:21):
Oh absolutely, thanks for having me on. And yeah, the
polls are open until seven pm tonight, So if you
haven't voted, make sure you get down to the polls
and vote. I mean, we're a representative government first three
words of the Constitution or we the people, and so
it's time. It's election day, time for we the people
to make our voices heard.
Speaker 2 (19:38):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (19:38):
And when you look at the history of c D eight,
which is not a long history, right, this just the
second election there. The last race there was so so
very close that it's conceivable it could come down to
a few hundred votes.
Speaker 7 (19:52):
Yeah, the eighth Congressional district two years ago. It was
the closest Republican loss in the nation in the twenty
twenty two cycle. And so and so absolutely a battleground seat,
absolutely critical to holding and growing the conservative majority in Washington,
Absolutely critical to getting some balance back here in Colorado,
so we can roll up our sleeves and get to
(20:12):
work on these pressing issues that people are concerned about.
We're the number three state in the nation for trime,
We're the number two state for kids overdosing and dying
on feentanol. We're number one for bank robberies, cost of
living is out of control. Leaves are the problems that
I'm looking forward to being able to work on and
fix in Congress. And so that's what we're telling folks
for the next two hours and change and tell the
(20:34):
polls close.
Speaker 2 (20:35):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (20:35):
For those who aren't familiar with Gabe, you know, you
walk the talk both in the military and then law enforcement.
He knows about these issues and how to fix them. So, yeah,
we have a little over two hours and now, Gabe,
if somebody is in that polling place, if first off,
you're dropping off a ballot, yeah, you can drop off
till seven. But if you're in line at that polling
place before seven, they should let you vote, right.
Speaker 7 (20:58):
You just need to stay in line, absolutely. Yeah. If
you are in line to vote by seven pm, then
you are entitled to cast a vote. So even if
the line's long and you have to stay a little
bit after seven pm, as long as you're in a
line by seven at a polling place, you are still
entitled to cast a vote.
Speaker 2 (21:15):
Well, man, you deserve to win.
Speaker 1 (21:18):
You've worked ferociously, you have a great team, You've done
everything right. I'm just literally praying that this thing breaks
the right way tonight. But man, you have left it
all on the field, and you're still out there, right,
You're still out there for the last two hours and
twenty minutes.
Speaker 7 (21:35):
Oh, in the last forty eight hours. In addition to
all the other regular campaign stuff, I've personally made well
over three hundred phone calls wow, to either undecided or
low propensity voters.
Speaker 2 (21:46):
The team.
Speaker 7 (21:47):
Just yesterday, just my team did almost ten thousand calls,
tens of thousands of texts, sign waving, more phone banking. Today.
We're going right up till the very last second to
make sure that we get every possible vote in to
be able to flip this seat and be able to
go to work on some of these problems that folks
desperately want us to be able to fix.
Speaker 1 (22:08):
Yeah, and I love hearing that first because I want
you to win, but also for what you would bring
to Congress.
Speaker 2 (22:13):
Right, Because all the best historically.
Speaker 1 (22:16):
And all of these jobs, just like every job everybody
listening has, all the best are the hard workers. I mean,
you may and you do have those other skills, et cetera.
But if you aren't a hard worker, then the rest
of it is wasted. But man, you have walked that talk,
So Gabe, wish you.
Speaker 2 (22:30):
All the best.
Speaker 1 (22:31):
And one more question, one more question, how about the
early returns up there?
Speaker 2 (22:35):
How did all of that shape up.
Speaker 7 (22:38):
There? Again, they're looking really really good. I mean, our
message clearly is resonating. We can feel the enthusiasm on
the ground when we're out making these calls and we're
knocking on doors, and we're seeing the results of that
in the early returns. So obviously we won't know until
a little bit later in the night, but the early
returns are looking very, very positive for us.
Speaker 2 (22:56):
You deserve all good things, my friend. Good luck tonight.
Speaker 7 (22:59):
I appreciate it. Thanks so much. If you haven't voted,
go vote tonight.
Speaker 2 (23:03):
Amen to that.
Speaker 1 (23:04):
And if you're there by seven, stay in line if
you're voting on a tablet or something. Thank you to
Gabe Evans. Boy, what a great addition he would be
to Congress. And how important it is to get CD eight. Now,
I've got to believe once the Republicans went up in
CD eight, which will hopefully start tonight, then that will
not end. That will not end because that district should
be Republican. And Barb Kirkmyer just a tremendous conservative ran
(23:27):
a great, great race last time, and she lost because
there was a libertarian on the ballot who took about
four percent. And then this time around, the libertarian agreed
not to run and give Gabe a true fair shot.
And man, he's done everything a Kennedy can do. Eight
five four zero five eight two five five text d
an five seven seven three nine. So lots to kick
(23:51):
around with you again. We will have you know, we'll
have some big ones. Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia polls closing
at five o'clock Mountain.
Speaker 2 (24:00):
We'll get you those results as they come in.
Speaker 1 (24:03):
Right now, we have results out of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire,
where they vote at midnight. And in twenty twenty it
was five zip Biden and today it was three three.
I'll take good news wherever I can find it. And
then again we're watching Indiana and Kentucky now just to
see how they compare to the vote share Trump got.
Speaker 3 (24:21):
I've got that for you here, Dan. So right now,
just nine percent for Indiana coming in. But right now
it's right on track, fifty eight to forty one Trump
over Harris. And in twenty twenty it was fifty seven
forty one, favoring Trump over Biden's almost identical Kentucky again
small number n sixty five thirty three Trump over Harris,
(24:41):
and in twenty twenty it was sixty two thirty six.
Speaker 2 (24:44):
Yep, Trump over Bida. That's right.
Speaker 1 (24:46):
And what I'm looking for mainly is to see if
there's any slippage there in Trump numbers, right, See if
there's any slippage, See if there's any big increase in
Harris numbers. And at this point, no slippage for Trump
and no big increase for Harris over Biden. And I
know we're trying to read a lot of tea leaves, right,
but hey, that's uh, that's why you pay us. And
(25:08):
it's it's kind of funny to think about, right, because
you pay us with the most valuable thing you have,
which is your time, which is far more important than
your money.
Speaker 3 (25:16):
Well, I've got to take that again, just an early concern.
I don't want to freak out about it, but sixty
five percent of the voting in Hamilton County, that's a
highly populated county just to the north of Indianapolis in Indiana,
and Harris actually leads Trump fifty to forty nine in
that county. That's a county that Trump defeated Biden in,
and as I reported earlier, Trump a little bit off
his pace in Fort Wayne Allen County against Harris from
(25:39):
where he was against Biden with forty four percent of
the voting in there. Those are two pretty populated counties
in the state of Indiana. How much of that voting
forty four percent in Fort Wayne and Hamilton County sixty
five percent?
Speaker 2 (25:51):
Yeah, yeah, no, let's keep an eye on those. Let's
see where those end up.
Speaker 1 (25:55):
Absolutely height five five for zero five A two five
five texts dad and five seven and seven three nine.
Let's see. Oh, this one's meant for you, Ryan. I'm
a little disappointing that. Ryan. My name is John. You
can reach me at gives a number. Maybe tonight would
not be a good night to bring your bottle of James.
Speaker 4 (26:12):
Yeah, there we go.
Speaker 2 (26:13):
But when Trump.
Speaker 1 (26:14):
Wins tomorrow, I will bring you a bottle, not just
a shot. I was hoping that was meant for me
because if Trump wins tonight, I'll probably have my first
drink of the year, which is truly wasted talent, because
one of my few talents is I can consume very
large amounts of alcohol and it doesn't affect me. But
I just don't drink. I just don't drink. So but
(26:34):
Trump wins and then tonight I will. And obviously for
many many months, I've been predicting Trump victory and I
still am. But I think we're gonna know tonight. I
think we're gonna know tonight earlier than most people expect.
Speaker 2 (26:46):
Don't you, Ryan.
Speaker 1 (26:47):
I mean, I think that given all of the dynamics
of this race, all the dynamics of this race that
we've talked about endlessly on this show, I think we're
gonna have a real good idea once we see what's
happening in Georgia, what's happening in Virginia, North Carolina closes
five thirty Mountain Time, Ohio for some margin issues there,
(27:10):
and that's that's where we'll get into the first really
contested US Senate race. I just think we're gonna know
a lot earlier. What do you think you expecting another
four or five days of county.
Speaker 4 (27:21):
Hard to say.
Speaker 3 (27:22):
We're going to reports of slow ballot counting in Milwaukee.
That's not a good thing. But Laura Trump apparently has
her people on It depends on what happens in Philadelphia,
the turnout there, and the volume of that turnout. I
hope that we know early and I agree with you
there will be a general trend line. I think we'll
be able to follow, and Georgia might be the harbinger
of that.
Speaker 1 (27:41):
And before we hit this break and then we'll come
back to text and calls eight five five four zero
five A two five five text d A N five seven,
seven through nine. This is why I urge everybody to
really take these Indiana and Kentucky results and results from
any state that's not a swing state with the big
grain of salt right, because it's the Swing states that
(28:04):
come bombarded with the truth about Harris. The other states
did not. I mean, they may have picked up some
national spots running in a football game, things like that,
but the Swing States got hammered with all this video
of Harris saying all these crazy far left things in
her own words, and so the people of the Swing
States have an understanding about just how awful she is
(28:26):
ideologically that the folks in all these other states didn't
get hit with. So we just got to keep that
in mind as well. So given the fact Trump's running
pretty close to where he did before, and in these
other states. I personally take that as a very encouraging sign,
because Indiana and Kentucky, they did not get all of
these these ads hammering and exposing Harris.
Speaker 2 (28:47):
You're on the Dan Kapla Show.
Speaker 4 (28:50):
And now back to the Dan Kapla Show podcast.
Speaker 10 (28:56):
By the left for saying he would be a protector
of women. He will be a protector of women, and
it's why I'm voting for him. He will close the border,
he will keep the boys out of girls sports and.
Speaker 8 (29:11):
Where they don't belong.
Speaker 10 (29:13):
And you know what else, one more thing, he will
look out for our boys too, our forgotten boys and
are forgotten men.
Speaker 1 (29:21):
Megan Kelly, great job last night. He wish he'd been
on the trail with him the whole time. But great
to see last night, and so really nice to see
her putting aside her differences with Trump, you know, to
stand up and do what's best for the country and
for world peace. I mean, I just really admire that
because unfortunately we've seen some other conservatives I respect the
heck out of they got into these personal beefs with Trump,
(29:44):
and all of a sudden that became more important to
them than these causes they had devoted their lives to,
and that very disappointing to see. But Megan Kelly rose
above all that and to really respect that eight five
five or zero five a two five five the number
as we continue to bring you actual real returns, no
more polls, right, no more polls.
Speaker 2 (30:05):
No more.
Speaker 1 (30:06):
Well, we will mention some of the early voting stuff
because those numbers are the backdrop for what's coming in
now Live. But we have Indiana and Kentucky, and what
we're trying to do is measure against Trump's performance there
four years ago. But as I mentioned earlier, this is
a whole different critter. So we have to look at
these results a little bit differently because remember in twenty twenty, Yeah,
(30:29):
it was Joe Biden. He was a candidate. Everybody knew
better or worse whatever, that they knew what they were
dealing with their Unfortunately, too many people bought the continent
and he wanted a tight race. But here's the difference.
This Kamala Harris thing is so different. Right, she didn't
get a single vote in the primary, she parachutes in
but above all, she's a far left san Francisco radical.
(30:49):
So here's the point when we're trying to compare Indiana
and Kentucky.
Speaker 2 (30:54):
These are two states that have.
Speaker 1 (30:55):
Not been bombarded the way the swing states have with
all these ads video of Harris saying all these goofy, crazy,
far left insane things.
Speaker 2 (31:05):
So you can bet you could.
Speaker 1 (31:07):
Write, Ryan, you degree, man, this, if Kentucky and Indiana
had been bombarded with those truthful ads about Harris, her
numbers would be substantially lower in both places. As it is,
so far, it looks to be roughly where Trump was before.
You think she's doing a little bit better in some
places that.
Speaker 3 (31:26):
Concern you, right, my friend, just a tad Yeah, and
that's Fort Wayne, as I mentioned, Allen County there, and
in Hamilton County just north of Indianapolis. The polymarket betting
odds have been pretty steady all day, right around sixty
sixty one percent favoring Trump. Those numbers right now at
fifty eight points seven for Trump and forty one point
three for Harris.
Speaker 1 (31:44):
And I think I'm the only person on the planet
who doesn't believe in those, Ryan, and that is I
remember sitting there at twenty twenty. I could tell you
the literally sitting in the lazy Boy and I'm trying
to remember what time it was nine, nine thirty and
the polymarket odds were eighty eighty five percent Trump victory, right,
I mean, so I get it.
Speaker 2 (32:04):
It's real people betting real money.
Speaker 1 (32:06):
But yeah, I'm just glad we have these actual returns
coming in right now.
Speaker 2 (32:12):
What do you make of the exit polls?
Speaker 1 (32:13):
I know listening to your show and Ryan, by the way,
we'll host the election night coverage over on eight fifty
KOA and I'm sure you'll do your usual tremendous job
with it. But yeah, what do you make of the
exit polls? Which I think are notoriously unreliable, but they're
still kind of fun to look at, especially if you
like it.
Speaker 3 (32:31):
They're not lining up well for Harris. And I got
a quote for you there from CNN if you want
to think a time for it, zero zero A there
zero zero their reaction to it.
Speaker 2 (32:40):
Oh okay, I like that.
Speaker 11 (32:42):
Let's look at the numbers on the mood of the country.
It's a pretty dour mood in terms of the way
people feel things are going in the United States. Nationally,
only seven percent of voters say they're enthusiastic, nineteen percent
say they're satisfied.
Speaker 2 (32:55):
Look at these numbers, forty.
Speaker 11 (32:56):
Three percent dissatisfied, twenty nine percent angry, seventy two percent
of the electorate they nationally say they're dissatisfied or angry.
Speaker 4 (33:06):
What about America's best.
Speaker 11 (33:08):
Days, which is for they in the future or are
they in the past.
Speaker 4 (33:11):
Sixty one percent.
Speaker 11 (33:12):
Of voters in this election across the country say America's
best days are ahead of the country, six and ten
say so, thirty four percent say the best days are
in the past. And finally, President Joe Biden's approval rating,
it's at forty one percent. In these early preliminary exit
poll findings. Fifty eight percent of voters in this election
(33:34):
across the country nationally disapprove of the way that the
incumbent Democratic president is doing his job.
Speaker 12 (33:40):
James, all right, interesting, stef David Challian, thanks so much,
and let's talk about it with our panel and Dana Bash. Obviously,
this is early exit poll downa but still looking at
this which really doesn't deviate so much from polling in general,
we've seen Joe Biden not popular, most Americans dissatisfied.
Speaker 9 (33:57):
One of the questions that I have and asking and
looking at since I started covering campaigns, is this Are
you satisfied? Are you not satisfied?
Speaker 2 (34:06):
Right track? Wrong track?
Speaker 9 (34:07):
It is extremely high the dissatisfied or angry, as David said,
if you add those two up seventy two percent. What
we don't know, because this is such a different election,
is whether the dissatisfaction or anger will be taken out
on Kamala Harris or Donald Trump because they are both effectively.
(34:29):
You know, Harris is part of the current administration, but
for Donald Trump and the Trump era is very much
upon us.
Speaker 10 (34:36):
We don't know that.
Speaker 13 (34:37):
I got to say, I think that's putting the best
spin on it. I think when you see current voters
saying that by a three to one margin that they
are dissatisfied with the country or angry, dissatisfied, ortry, I
gotta say, I think that that's with the present conditions
in the country. I mean, in conventional terms, it would
(34:58):
be a miracle.
Speaker 2 (35:00):
Kamala Harris could win with that kind of head to wind.
And that is Chris Wallace.
Speaker 1 (35:05):
When we come back, we'll tell you how the votes
right now in Kentucky and Indiana stack up to where
Trump and Biden were four years ago and Georgia about
to close.
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