November 5, 2024 • 34 mins
Guest: Laura Ingle on News Nation Senior Correspondent Pennsylvania. Kobylt, Conway, and Thompson talk about the polls. Guest: Elix Michaelson on the voting polls and predictions of the election on selective states. Kobylt, Conway, and Thompson talk about the polls and updates on the election.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
It's k IF.
Speaker 2 (00:00):
I am six forty and you're listening to the Conway
Show on demand on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 3 (00:07):
You've got a three headed monster here. Whew oh yeah,
all right, ding dog, Hey go me Conway and Thompson.
All right, that's cool. We're gonna be on six and
then it's Conway and Mo.
Speaker 1 (00:17):
Yeah, you're making any projection when when we start projecting.
Speaker 3 (00:21):
I have three projections. You want them. I'm excited my
own private projection. All the networks are projecting Trump wins
Indiana and Kentucky and Harris takes Vermont and that's a rap.
That's that's a wrap on those three states. All right,
Hell the riots started. Uh So Trump has nineteen electoral votes,
Harris three.
Speaker 1 (00:40):
So if it were to stop right now, then Trump
would be on president.
Speaker 3 (00:44):
Uh no, because he has to have two seventy.
Speaker 1 (00:46):
That's right. And then you go if he neither candidate
makes it to two seventy, which has been talked about as.
Speaker 3 (00:51):
A hatch plan, right, nineteen to three.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
It goes, it goes, It goes to the House representatives.
Speaker 3 (00:58):
That is correct. Are we going to go to her
right now? Nineteen to three? All right, I'm told that.
Laura Ingham for news station is reporting from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania,
which is the most important swing state. Laura, how are
you hi.
Speaker 4 (01:14):
Guys, how are you? Yes, we are in Pennsylvania, where
I have been for the last five days, Chris crossing
the state myself with my team, talking with voters and
going to different rallies. And last night we were at
the Paints Arena where Donald Trump had a huge rally.
You probably heard about it, saw some of it, and yeah,
(01:34):
we're off and running and we've been talking to people
at the polling places and getting of course, you know,
the mixed the mixed vote of a lot of people
I've talked to actually were saying that they voted for Trump. Today.
I actually interviewed a Democrat at one polling station who
said that he voted for Trump because he was ready
for a change and he was better off four years ago,
(01:55):
all of that. So it's an exciting night underway. I'm
actually coming to you from a hotel in downtown Pittsburgh
where we are at the McCormick for US Senate watch party,
and we are expecting to have some somewhat heavy hitters
I think throughout the night at this US Senate race,
and this is where I'm kind of I'm kind of
the GOP for tonight. And then we've got another reporter
with the News Nation over.
Speaker 5 (02:16):
With the DEM.
Speaker 4 (02:17):
So a big night ahead, and you know, polls closing
soon and in many places, and off we go.
Speaker 3 (02:23):
Does it seem as tight as the polls indicate? It's
hard to tell. I guess it depends where you are.
But what's the impression you get wandering around for five days?
Speaker 4 (02:33):
You know, I would say it is tight because I
spent what day was that they're blending together. It was
Saturday that we were at the rally in Lancaster County
where Michelle Obama spoke and Alisha Keys was there, and
it was you know, there was a lot of energy.
There was a line around the building, and there's the
high school there and it was just absolutely packed with
Harry supporters and it felt you really felt an energy.
(02:58):
And I thought, Okay, so I'm leaving here and wow,
it really feels like there's so much momentum going for Harris.
And then I go to the Trump rally. I went
to Trump rallies. I went to the one on Sunday
at the airport hangar, and then I went to the
one at the arena last night, same messaging, and a
lot of people, you know, even Trump himself said, I'm
going off script here. I'm going against what my advisors
(03:18):
tell me to do because I think you guys like
that better. And a lot of people that I spoke
to said that they do like him off script and
they do like you know, they brought up them going
to McDonald's and he said, that's like something I would do.
I liked that he did that, but really it's about
the economy. It's the economy.
Speaker 5 (03:34):
It's the economy.
Speaker 6 (03:35):
That's what people are talking about.
Speaker 4 (03:36):
Whenever I talked to a hair supporter or a Trump supporter,
that is what they say is the number one issue.
Speaker 5 (03:41):
We've heard that in reports, We've heard that in.
Speaker 4 (03:43):
The pulling, and it really does ring.
Speaker 5 (03:45):
True that in the border.
Speaker 3 (03:47):
So both fan bases are really excited about their candidate.
Speaker 4 (03:52):
Oh my gosh, I've never seen anything like it. In fact,
when I'm before I left for Pennsylvania and I was
in New York and I went to my polling place
voted before I came here to do the work.
Speaker 6 (04:02):
I was in this.
Speaker 4 (04:03):
Huge line and I asked my poll worker. I said,
is it usually like this because I usually don't vote early.
I like to vote on election day. And she said, honestly,
we have never seen anything like that. And I've been
hearing that over and over and over again. So I'm
going to be really interested to hear what the numbers
are in terms of turnout. But then we've got this
big problem, John. We've got three counties in this critical
(04:26):
state that right now are having trouble with the ballots.
And there's one Cambria County had trouble with the electronic
ballot with it not being set in right. They had
to call somebody with an IT specialist to come to
that county. And we have two other counties where there
were tabulation problems with their machines. So now we've got
extended hours for the tabulations of three critical counties in Pennsylvania.
(04:51):
And you know, you just kind of slap in your face,
Oh God, you know, how long is this going to take?
Because some of these tabulations are going to now go
into the night. They're not going to say eight o'clock,
they're going to say ten o'clock. There's court orders that
have gone into play to extend some of the hours
of these voting locations in these counties because of those problems.
So hopefully that's where it ends. Hopefully we don't hear
(05:13):
any more of that tonight, But that's how things started
here in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 3 (05:17):
Lord, what do you.
Speaker 2 (05:17):
Hear from my President Biden? He's just gone to bed.
Speaker 4 (05:23):
I haven't spoken to him directly during my time here
in Pennsylvania. You know, he was in his home town
the other night and he had a small, a smaller
event where he spoke to some workers. But he has
been active in His wife Jill, has been here in
the state as well over the weekend. So they've been
out there, just not as loudly and as large as
(05:44):
we've seen Harrison Trump.
Speaker 3 (05:46):
Well, you know, in the final days, you watch where
the campaigns are and that tells you what they're polling
is telling him to do. Because Kamalo was in I
think five events yesterday right in Pennsylvania. She was right
all over the state all day.
Speaker 4 (06:00):
She was all over the state all day. And so
was Trump for his part. I mean, he had I
think well he had three rallies total yesterday, I think.
And when I saw him on Sunday at the airport hangar.
That was absolutely huge. I mean he came out and
his voice was hoarse, his energy started off low, but
then he got ramped up. And I was standing on
the media riser. I'm sure you guys heard about this
(06:22):
where he said, you know, he was talking about that
protective glass around him, because of course the attempted assassination
attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania was very close to us, and
he was talking about how the protective glass was right
in front of him, it was to the side of him,
but then there were these gaps, and he's like, you know,
what's the deal. There's there's these gaps in between these
large pieces of glass. And he said, if somebody wanted
to get me from the from the front, they'd have
(06:44):
to go through the fake news, and I wouldn't mind
that so much, indicating that he wouldn't mind if we
got shot. So everybody on the press risers kind of
stopped what they were doing, looked at each other and said,
did he just say that didn't feel good with you
got snipers all over the place, So yeah, it's been
a wild few days.
Speaker 3 (07:03):
The reporters start clearing out of that that pen.
Speaker 4 (07:06):
There, I start you know, thinking a little lower getting
into the army crawl. No, but I mean it was
it was just concerning because you know, we know that
there are people out there that will do what other
people say. There's people that don't care, and that is concerning.
I was glad to see the snipers up on the
roofs surround us. But that kind of rhetoric doesn't.
Speaker 5 (07:29):
Doesn't feel a little good when you're on the meteor wizer.
Speaker 4 (07:31):
I'll just say that, all right, Laura.
Speaker 3 (07:33):
Well thanks, uh, stay away, stay away.
Speaker 5 (07:36):
From the.
Speaker 4 (07:39):
Right, you know, no more, no more rallies. We're in
the home stretcher and we'll be paying attention to what
you guys have going on there, of course in California
to continue our reporting on musication as well, and I
always love being on with you my my home station
of KFI.
Speaker 3 (07:52):
Well, thanks for coming on.
Speaker 1 (07:54):
Of course, we'll see at the inauguration and a lovely
angle angle that's not her. I don't think, no, no, no,
but it's nice to know that you like it whatever.
Speaker 3 (08:06):
All right, we're gonna have more coverage here. It's me
Conway Thompson until six o'clock and Conway makes the election
coverage fun. That's not her, that's Laura Ingram. H's got
to change her name. Then, uh to close. You can
(08:26):
bring that up with them.
Speaker 1 (08:27):
Yeah, maybe bring it up next time. All right.
Speaker 3 (08:28):
How many times you think she's heard that though? I
think constantly? Yeah, I think I constantly. They get confused online.
We I watched your show all the time. No, no,
that's not that's not the show I do.
Speaker 7 (08:39):
Oh, you're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from
KF I am six forty.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
Okay, I got a theory I to run by you.
One of these big fat cats at Netflix. I can't
remember who it was, made a huge donation to Gasko
if what four years ago? Yeahst okay, here's my theory.
He wants on the streets because more people be homewatching Netflix.
Speaker 3 (09:04):
Wow, you know that it worked? Yeah, it worked him
and his wife too. That's right. They gave millions, that's right,
millions of dollars to guess.
Speaker 2 (09:11):
And we're scared to death to go out and where
so we're home watching Netflix.
Speaker 3 (09:15):
He wins both ways. That's a good one. That's right.
Thank you.
Speaker 2 (09:19):
All right, And by the way, Bellio canceled my Netflix
interview tomorrow. I was going to pitch them a couple
of ideas. I think that's elver all right.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
So the polls have closed, and they've given Trump Indiana
and Kentucky, and they've given Kamala Harris Vermont. So it's
nineteen electoral votes for Trump and three electoral votes for Harris.
They've also Georgia is closed.
Speaker 1 (09:45):
Yeah, Georgia should be pretty quick, I think actually to
get some returns.
Speaker 3 (09:48):
They count quickly there. Yeah, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont,
Virginia all closed as at four o'clock, and then at
four point thirty it's North Carolina. So North Carolina and
Georgia are two of the seven swings. They're both good
at counting votes quickly, so that can give an indication
pretty early.
Speaker 2 (10:05):
How Come we can't count out quickly here in California
way until December.
Speaker 3 (10:10):
See, they're not going to certify it the first week
in December. Here, let me see how Georgia is doing,
because I have one of those magic maps here.
Speaker 1 (10:19):
I do too. They have the percentage of voting I
think is only it's less than five percent.
Speaker 8 (10:25):
Yeah, three percent, yeah, saying ninety one thousand, eighty seven thousand,
Donald Trump right now?
Speaker 3 (10:32):
What percentage of it? You know, fifty one to forty
eight and a half. Yeah, that's about as close as
they thought it was going to be. So it's going
to be like that. So it's over Trump whin see tomorrow?
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Yeah, So how many times can I get away with
that to night before management comes in here?
Speaker 5 (10:47):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (10:47):
Can you not do that? So every poll had both
both of them deadlocked, every single Well.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
Nate Silver ran the computer projection on it. That's to say,
ran the race if you will, where they feed all
the different variables in. They allow for this, they allow
for that. They ran it eighty thousand times in its office,
and it came out exactly even. I mean Harris Harris
won by one two hundreds of a percentage more than
(11:15):
Trump did.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
Wow, But it was basically like forty thousand to forty thousand.
I've never understood why would you Why do you have
to run it eighty thousand times? No, exactly right right
after sixty thousand or twenty thousands of are we got it? Well?
Speaker 2 (11:28):
I mean that's good for the election, But when you're
talking about doctor Manger measuring your eyes twenty thousand times,
that's a good number.
Speaker 1 (11:34):
Yeah, Yeah, maybe more is more. Right.
Speaker 3 (11:38):
You actually worked in the commercial. I got to work
them innute. It's really good, big dog. So North Carolina's
going to close in about six minutes. The uh So.
The thing I read today is in the last twenty
five years, if you took the polling all the major
races in the country, president, Senate, governor, the House, the
(11:58):
average polling era is five per Is that right? It's average.
That's like a good day for polling air. So if
you have five percent off on either one of these two,
then they win big. Yeah, it could be over very early, right,
So polling air is sometimes all go in one direction.
Speaker 1 (12:17):
Sure. What's interesting about the polling and the projections is
you always wonder what people and Tim's talked about this
before you know what people actually are involved in polling
that it's to say who answers the phone, who answers
the text? But also is there a part of that group,
you know, because they always break us up in the groups,
you know, the old white guys, the young white guys,
the Asians, et cetera. And is there a group that
(12:40):
has been underpolled, because that could also throw things off dramatically.
I mean, there's some you know, big voting blocks like
young people. I don't think young people are polled very well.
So what they try to do is build in some
bit of polling like that they haven't really done, but
they try to wait it somehow to allow for the
fact that they haven't really polled a lot of young people,
so sort of built into the system. There are a
(13:00):
lot of kind of gray areas.
Speaker 3 (13:03):
Yeah, well, if if you if you have a bad
sample and then you wait it, now you've made that
bad sample worse, right, unless you.
Speaker 2 (13:10):
Know, my daughter goes to school in Burbank, and and
you know, Burbank is a very fairly liberal town.
Speaker 3 (13:18):
He's to be very conservative. Now it's fairly very liberal.
Speaker 2 (13:21):
But she and I don't know whether this is an
f you to the parents or what, but she said,
there's an astronomical amount of kids who are voting for
the first time, who are voting for Trump in high schools,
and the.
Speaker 3 (13:34):
Guys especially, And during the Trump years, one of my
sons was going through high school and that was at
the height of all the oppression. You know, there was
there was the me Too movement, and then there was
you know, the speech police and and the girls in
his high school were scolding the boys for saying offensive things,
(13:56):
and he said many of the kids boys, by the
end of their time in high school, had turned for Trump.
They had gotten so fed up with hearing about toxic masculinity,
you know, the whole run. Yeah, I celebrate toxic masculinity.
Speaker 2 (14:11):
Like when somebody cuts me off on the freeway, I'm like, good,
I'm glad there's still a holes like you around, because
this country needs a holes. Whenever we get into a
war or where you know, we have to fight for anything,
we need those guys. We need tough guys around. No,
I celebrated guy. I was at a taco nineteen eighty
six the other day and a big guy stood right
(14:31):
in front of me in order. I'm like, I respect that,
I respect the a hole in you. We need tough
guys like this. Yeah, they're dig breed, that's right.
Speaker 3 (14:40):
So the so the problem with the polling is that
the Trump voters refused to play ball. Apparently, in twenty
sixteen twenty twenty, the posters would call a Trump voter
and he'd say, f you, I'm voting for Trump and
hang up, and they didn't count that because you have
to sit there for half an hour answer forty questions.
Speaker 1 (15:00):
Oh I.
Speaker 3 (15:01):
I didn't realize they wouldn't do it, so they threw
that out. Next call if you vote for Trump. They
ended up missing a lot of the Trump vote.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
I was out in front of my house about a
month ago and a guy walks up and says, hey,
can I talk to you about the election? I said,
I'm just leaving, but my wife's home and he and
he goes to knock on the door.
Speaker 3 (15:22):
I said, hey, what party with?
Speaker 2 (15:24):
He goes, I'm with the the Socialist Democrat Party. I'm like, oh,
I would knock on that door. I would knock on
that door. You could get murdered tonight. Don't knock on
that door. And he knocked on the door and he
got a earfull.
Speaker 1 (15:39):
Does the canvassing work? I was canvassed and it.
Speaker 3 (15:42):
Kind of worked well where they knocked on the door
and said.
Speaker 1 (15:45):
They knocked on the door. It was a young guy
and he was telling me that he I don't want
to you know, he was in relation to the school
board and he said, you know, I'm in school down
blah blah blah blah. And he was very convincing, and
he had me at that point, look harder at that candidate,
and it worked.
Speaker 3 (16:04):
Really. Yeah, I would think yeah, would would be more
effective in a race where you don't know the candidate exactly.
Speaker 1 (16:09):
I mean topic.
Speaker 3 (16:11):
I was looking at Los Angeles UH Community College board members.
Speaker 1 (16:15):
I can't vote for that, right, It's not fair if
you don't know anything.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
Why are they being voted in? Who cares? I don't know.
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (16:22):
I every time I look at Mark Thompson, all I
see is a guy who I canceled every one of
his votes.
Speaker 3 (16:29):
No, I don't think so, though. I think you think
that I did. He's a little unpredictable. He's a law
order guy.
Speaker 1 (16:35):
I'm very tough law order.
Speaker 2 (16:36):
Yeah, that's the jury's that still out on.
Speaker 1 (16:39):
That, not on my not on my end. It's no.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
I have run into some West Side liberal Wienis that
I've known. They've been liberal Wienies for decades, and they
were all going for Hackman. Yeah, I think enough. Well,
I voted for Gascon.
Speaker 1 (16:53):
The water got up to the Lido deck, I think
here in l A and you know what, we got
to drain this a little bit.
Speaker 3 (17:00):
This all right? All right, we come back. North Carolina
is going to close maybe we'll get some early numbers
from there.
Speaker 7 (17:06):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
AM six forty.
Speaker 3 (17:12):
The latest is they gave West Virginia to Trump.
Speaker 1 (17:16):
Yeah, that was it. And the Senate seed of flip
because that had been Joe Manchin.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
Who is it now, Jim Justice, Republican former governor oh
for West Virginia. Yes, yeah, So that's that's the first
flip of the night in the Senate because the Republicans
have a good chance of winning the Senate, which if
Kamala rains.
Speaker 3 (17:36):
Wins, will make it difficult for her to do anything there.
Speaker 8 (17:38):
There was only thirty four seats that are in the
Senate despite all the seats being up in the House,
and the Republicans already have with these Jim Justice specifically,
they're already at forty seats and Democrats have twenty eight.
Speaker 2 (17:50):
Let me ask you a question, John, and because you're
more into politics than i am. If Harris ends up losing,
and again there's no indication that it's going either way yet,
but if Harris ended up ends up losing, wouldn't it
been a better idea to keep Biden in and and
project loyalty to that guy as opposed to flipping on him.
(18:11):
Because loyalty is a very very it's a it's a
very defining and a top quality you want in a
business and a friendship and a relationship and a family.
Speaker 3 (18:21):
I think she'll end up doing better than he would have.
I mean, I can't prove this right. You have to
have an alternate universe. But he was failing so badly,
and I was just looking at focused group results that
The New York Times was publishing, and really people were
tired of him personally and watching him age like that.
So what they should have done is do many primary
(18:42):
for a month and let So why didn't they? Well,
I don't know. That's a book. Whose fault was that? Mark?
You followed politics?
Speaker 1 (18:48):
I mean the idea was that she was well positioned
to take over the Biden machine. Remember if there had
been all that money we.
Speaker 3 (18:58):
Got Alex Michaelson Fox eleven. Wow, issue is.
Speaker 5 (19:03):
Wowlex a crew? Yeah, all my favorites in one place tonight.
This is very exciting.
Speaker 3 (19:10):
All star, Alex, you're on the air.
Speaker 5 (19:16):
Things wrong with you?
Speaker 3 (19:18):
So what do you got tonight on Fox eleven?
Speaker 5 (19:24):
I mean, we'll have cons at all the different parties
we'll have. We're going to be at fourteen different locations
tonight tracking all the national and local spots, and it's
it's really interesting to see. You know, these congressional races,
especially in southern California, are probably going to be the
difference between a potential Republican House or a Democratic House.
(19:45):
As you mentioned, it certainly looks like the US Senate
is going to go the Republican way. They basically only
have to flip one seat, including two seats right now
or in very republican states, which is Montana and Ohio.
So you got to think they're going to pick up
one of those and then Republicans get the Senate. So
then it comes down to the House, and if Trump
(20:05):
wins and they get the Republicans get the Senate. Democratic
House would be the only sort of backstop pushing against
the Republicans if that's the way that things go.
Speaker 3 (20:16):
Yeah, there are a number of swing seats in California
where if they go Republican it could give them the
House again.
Speaker 5 (20:23):
And the other five that are considered total toss ups
in California, and all of them have incumbent Republicans members
and all of them are districts that Joe Biden won,
So it's not a huge lift for the Democrats to
be able to take those seats. They're all expected. All
the polls going into it showed all of them statistically tied,
(20:45):
and so that's going to be all about turnout, including
you know, people that are in line to vote in
a lot of these places. Now we're at one polling
place our reporter in Buena Park, which is the Michelle
Steele Derek Trand place, and they're two and a half
hour lines right now. Wow, because people are really trying
to get be a part of that district and that
is a lot widely seen as could be the closest
(21:06):
district in the whole country.
Speaker 3 (21:07):
Hey, Alex, I got a question for you.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
On Sunday, Kamala Harris was asked about Proposition thirty six,
and she said, it's Sunday before the election.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
I'm not going to tell you how I voted on it.
Speaker 2 (21:18):
Why wouldn't the ex Attorney General for the state of California,
with seventy three percent backing for Proposition thirty six, why
wouldn't she jump on board and just support that.
Speaker 5 (21:31):
I don't know. To me, it would be smart politics too.
Speaker 3 (21:36):
I think she didn't know what it was.
Speaker 5 (21:38):
No. I think what I think is that she didn't
want to have headlines about anything other than what she
wanted to have headlines about. And if she would have
jumped on that race, that would have created all sorts
of other stories about criminal justice, and it just wasn't
a topic that she wanted to talk about. Kamala Harris,
unlike Donald Trump and both I think they're good and
bad aspects of this, is incredibly cautious and incredibly discipline
(22:00):
in not straying from her talking points. Donald Trump is
the opposite. He says whatever comes to mind and and
a lot of people like him for that, right.
Speaker 2 (22:08):
But that's but Alex, that's the era we live in
where people are on podcasts and say they say, and
you listen to podcasts because they say whatever they want,
and when you get a candidate, dude doesn't say anything,
it's a.
Speaker 3 (22:18):
Big turn off.
Speaker 5 (22:21):
It is a turn off to a lot of people
in this country. And and ultimately, if she loses, I
think her caution and her loyalty to Joe Biden and
her inability to separate herself from him, and her inability
to announce interesting creative policy solutions will probably be the
reason that she loses. That's being said. If Trump loses
(22:43):
his inability to be disciplined and him going off on
all these rants and potentially turning off suburban housewives in
the middle of the country could be the reason that
he loses.
Speaker 2 (22:52):
Yeah, I would be pissed if I was her that
that they have as supported her a lot of the way,
they didn't give her the full support. You know, who
didn't give Kamala Harris no, but who didn't give her.
I don't think that she got enough support from from
guys who are lined up to take over next year,
you know, the the newsom's or what's his name of
(23:15):
the governor of Pennsylvania.
Speaker 3 (23:17):
Uh, these guys that are that are you know, they
want to be president. They want to be president next time.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
They and they purposely slow balled her so she would
she would she would not do well so they could
take over in four years.
Speaker 3 (23:28):
Hey, Alex, that was a bad long cons they were
they did it. I think they did it, Alex. You
and I talked about that. You it was your idea,
and I think you're right. No, Alex said, Newson's got
to be rooting for Kamala to lose. Sure, because she's
on the bench for eight years. They all are. Everybody
who's not Kamala Harris.
Speaker 1 (23:47):
You haven't seen a bench like the bench is coming
if Kamala loses, Fornisome. I don't think he has interest
in that.
Speaker 5 (23:54):
It is hard to imagine that Gavin Newsom has any
way to get to the presidency if Harris win. But
if she loses, all of a sudden, he gets to
be the president of the Resistance and he gets to
go back and forth with somebody wanted. That's just it
makes them potentially a president. Now, he of course says
(24:14):
that he still wants her to win and all the
rest of it. You have not seen him in as
big of a way advocating for her as he was
for Joe Biden. Maybe that's because they didn't want him
and they didn't want to be associated with California and
remind everybody she's from California. But he definitely has had
a much smaller role than that Newsom did as a
(24:35):
surrogate for Biden.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
That's my point. They didn't support her enough.
Speaker 3 (24:40):
All right, Alex, Now you started five tonight.
Speaker 5 (24:44):
We'll be on from five o'clock on. Yeah, but I
think I'm back with you guys at seven thirty to
talk a little more.
Speaker 3 (24:49):
All right, all right, good to talk with you. She
a little later on was Conway, who yeah, no comedic purpose.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
Somebody if I wanted a sandwich and it's egg salad sandwich,
went oh, we love you.
Speaker 5 (25:12):
This.
Speaker 3 (25:13):
One of the important swing states whose polls closed at
four o'clock is Georgia. And I don't know where these
votes are coming from, but Trump has gotten a lot
of Yeah, I guess they're rural votes. He's got sixty
one and a half percent of the vote and Harris
is at thirty eight and they've got fourteen percent of
the voting now, and that that's one of those things
(25:34):
to watch.
Speaker 2 (25:34):
Can you know where that vote's coming from? From areas
of Georgia where people have had it.
Speaker 3 (25:43):
Yeah, it's not from metropolitan Atlanta that I can see,
but it is a lot of the rural areas in
northern Georgia and southeastern Georgia. But that's that's that's piling
up a pretty good site.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
Well, as we said, I mean, John, they count those
votes pretty quick in Georgia. So we're gonna get a
good sense of that state.
Speaker 2 (26:02):
All right, what's a tie at the end? Wouldn't that
be great? What happens in a tie? They go to
the House.
Speaker 1 (26:07):
By the way, there's twelve percent of the votes counted
so far in Georgia.
Speaker 3 (26:10):
So electoral college. If it's two sixty nine to sixty nine,
it goes to the House, and the Republicans control the House.
So what are we doing here? And it could the
way it has it ever tied before?
Speaker 1 (26:24):
I don't I don't think it has.
Speaker 3 (26:26):
I'd be a pretty remarkable thing to tie at it
to sixty nine. But there is a chance. I mean,
we'd get complicated to all variables, but yeah, there is
a chance. Based on the swing states that are that
are left out standing.
Speaker 7 (26:38):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on de Maya from
KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
North Carolina looks great for Kamala Harris. South Carolina looks
great for Donald Trump. How does that work? North Carolina?
North Carolina looks great for Kamala Harris and South Carolina
looks great for Donald Trump. Those two states are next
to each other for a geography out there.
Speaker 3 (27:01):
How is that so different? Well, I'm looking well it
depends where the vote comes from. So I'm looking in
North Carolina, a lot of the vote came from Raleigh,
which is the big city, so that those are going
to be Democrats. That those are going to be Democrats.
And that's like she's winning seven to one in Raleigh Durham,
and she's she's kicking ass in in Virginia.
Speaker 8 (27:24):
And interestingly enough, because of the whole hurricane aspect of things,
the county where Asheville is that that right now is
seventy six just under seventy seven percent for Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (27:33):
Wow, let's call it. Let's you want to call that
county or you want to call the whole thing, the
whole thing. Okay, let's let's see what what George is doing.
Because Georgia was just up here.
Speaker 1 (27:44):
It's sixty six percent, yeah, twenty percent of the votes
in and as brother Conway says, it's sixty percent.
Speaker 3 (27:50):
See that's supposed to be a fifty to fifty state too.
So well, a lot of this is being driven by
where specifically the sixty forty right now, right city votes
will go for Harris, rural votes will go more for Trump.
But he's got three states officially from the network's West
Virginia Kentucky, Indiana. It's twenty three electoral votes and three
(28:13):
Vermont for Kamala Harris now.
Speaker 2 (28:15):
And it's forty to twenty nine in the in the Senate,
forty Republican and twenty nine Democrats.
Speaker 1 (28:21):
Yeah, if you're just joining us, West Virginia has flipped,
which is predictable. I mean, that's just that was what
was predicted. I think predict that for the GOP.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
I didn't see that coming.
Speaker 1 (28:30):
You didn't see no man.
Speaker 3 (28:32):
Man was great.
Speaker 1 (28:33):
Mansion pushed back though he's not running, but I thought
he like was great. He was. He was terrific, wasn't
he right?
Speaker 3 (28:39):
But if he's not running, yeah, still vote for you
can write him in. After Krezier's news, Steve Gregory at
five oh five on the La County Das race, which
is my favorite race of the election. Are you going
to go to that party? You should? You You're responsible
for that guy if he does. You are a big party.
Speaker 2 (28:56):
You could you could do anything. You could do, blow
you can, you can kill it people. He's never going
to throw you in jail.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
Use it early, use your use your political currency while
you're still have it.
Speaker 2 (29:05):
You come in here tomorrow, you could go home and
strangle everybody in your house. And and Hawkman will be like, yeah,
I just don't see it. I just don't see it.
Speaker 3 (29:15):
He was provoked. You could get it. You could get
away with murder, John literally, Well you could rob banks tomorrow.
Was it's in La County. I I don't know what
crime I want to commit. Well, we'll talk about I
just I just don't think that way. Uh, Armed armored
(29:35):
cars may be aggravated assault on a couple of people.
Speaker 2 (29:38):
You know what people who drive armored cars hate when
you take a picture of them pulling up to a business.
Speaker 1 (29:44):
I'll bet they don't want I'm sure they've been cased
a million times.
Speaker 3 (29:48):
Sure they have.
Speaker 2 (29:49):
I'm sure they have, But it looks like Hawkman. When
is that vote coming in? After eight o'clock?
Speaker 3 (29:53):
Yeah, that's a long time.
Speaker 1 (29:54):
He was way ahead.
Speaker 3 (29:55):
You'll be you'll be gone. No, but don't call that
in about in about thirty seconds. That crop thirty.
Speaker 2 (30:00):
Do you remember when when Schwarzenegger was running they called
it two minutes after the polls close, Yes, very quickly.
I was in Tarzana driving around the post office when
they said oh it's Schwarzeneg'm like, I am it just closed.
Speaker 3 (30:12):
Yeah, well that's the magic of the exit polar but
that I don't know if that exists anymore, does it? Yeah?
They do.
Speaker 1 (30:19):
No.
Speaker 3 (30:19):
Fox has interviewed one hundred thousand people today, So if
you look on the Fox screen, well then you're not
doing it now.
Speaker 2 (30:26):
But they were running their questions for hours. They didn't
ask who they voted for. They were just talking about
their their their their top complaints.
Speaker 3 (30:34):
Right, they're right, but they they'd interviewed those people and
they'll use that to project.
Speaker 2 (30:41):
So South Carolina just went for Donald Trump. Especially according
to Fox, they're using Trump's booking photo as you that's
kind of a.
Speaker 3 (30:53):
Yeah, the biased media. Well no, but that's not.
Speaker 2 (30:56):
But but to be fair, they're also using harras in
her out where she worked at McDonald's.
Speaker 1 (31:01):
Oh that's not right.
Speaker 3 (31:04):
So that's thirty two to three.
Speaker 1 (31:06):
If you were doing a we're watching Fox News Channel
and one of the we have all the networks up.
But if you were doing a cartoon version of an anchorman,
wouldn't he look like Brett Baar Just it's incredibly the
guy looks like an animatronic guy.
Speaker 3 (31:21):
Some of these guys were born. There's no other job
he could have exactly and his kids look exactly like him,
he said. If he wasn't interested, somebody on the street
would say, you look like an anchorman.
Speaker 1 (31:31):
Come with me, take this blazer and sit out all right.
Speaker 3 (31:36):
When we come back. Steve Gregory on the LA County
daz Race, Hawkman and Gascone and there'll be more big
states closing at five o'clock our time. Michael Krazier Live
the KFI twenty four hour Newsroom one one, two, No
two three. This election brought to you by counting. Counting
(31:57):
is not as confusing as it sounds. And five and
the KOST HD two Los Angeles, Orange County Live.
Speaker 7 (32:05):
Everywhere on the Young Art Radio Appy.
Speaker 3 (32:11):
Could there be a new DA in LA? Criminals will
be held accountable again?
Speaker 9 (32:15):
I'm Steve Gregory Live at the Nathan Hawkman viewing party
in Beverly Hills in the final hours before poles close.
Hawkman has a final pitch to vote EF.
Speaker 3 (32:22):
He's a crossover issue, whether you're on the left or
the right, whether you're black, white, Latino Asian people want
to be safe again in this community.
Speaker 9 (32:31):
Hawkman says, he's a DA for all people, and if elected,
he says, on day one, he'll roll back directives put
in place by George Gasco.
Speaker 3 (32:37):
He'll be able to see is an elimination of blanket
pro criminal policies.
Speaker 9 (32:43):
Hawkman says he's expecting more than five hundred people to
attend this viewing party, which will include campaign volunteers, donors,
deputy das, and victims of crime. Live in Beverly Hills.
I'm Steve Gregory now with a look at the election
in Orange County. Here's kfi's Corbyn Carson.
Speaker 6 (32:57):
I'm Corbyn Carson. Two close congression races in Orange County
could decide which party ends up controlling the House of Representatives.
Democrats have spent big money on Derek Tran to beat
Republican incumbent Michelle Steele.
Speaker 5 (33:10):
I'm running to be the first Didameise American representative of
this district that includes the largest Didnamese population outside.
Speaker 6 (33:17):
Of the Congresswoman Steel Sales, she's the right choice my
orders that.
Speaker 4 (33:21):
Really knows my prison records that I'm stelephony as number
one at the Kipper Lord Hasta.
Speaker 6 (33:27):
We'll also here tonight from the candidates for the other
close race between former Republican Assemblyman Scott Baw and State
Senator Dave Men who are fighting over the vacated seat
by the seat vacated by Congresswoman Katie Porter. Live at
the Democrats Derek Tran Election Watts Party in Garden Grove, Conway.
Speaker 3 (33:44):
Show on demand on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2 (33:48):
Now you can always hear us live on KFI AM
six forty four to seven pm Monday through Friday, and
anytime on demand on the iHeart Radio app.
Speaker 7 (34:00):
Yeah
It's k IF.
Speaker 2 (00:00):
I am six forty and you're listening to the Conway
Show on demand on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 3 (00:07):
You've got a three headed monster here. Whew oh yeah,
all right, ding dog, Hey go me Conway and Thompson.
All right, that's cool. We're gonna be on six and
then it's Conway and Mo.
Speaker 1 (00:17):
Yeah, you're making any projection when when we start projecting.
Speaker 3 (00:21):
I have three projections. You want them. I'm excited my
own private projection. All the networks are projecting Trump wins
Indiana and Kentucky and Harris takes Vermont and that's a rap.
That's that's a wrap on those three states. All right,
Hell the riots started. Uh So Trump has nineteen electoral votes,
Harris three.
Speaker 1 (00:40):
So if it were to stop right now, then Trump
would be on president.
Speaker 3 (00:44):
Uh no, because he has to have two seventy.
Speaker 1 (00:46):
That's right. And then you go if he neither candidate
makes it to two seventy, which has been talked about as.
Speaker 3 (00:51):
A hatch plan, right, nineteen to three.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
It goes, it goes, It goes to the House representatives.
Speaker 3 (00:58):
That is correct. Are we going to go to her
right now? Nineteen to three? All right, I'm told that.
Laura Ingham for news station is reporting from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania,
which is the most important swing state. Laura, how are
you hi.
Speaker 4 (01:14):
Guys, how are you? Yes, we are in Pennsylvania, where
I have been for the last five days, Chris crossing
the state myself with my team, talking with voters and
going to different rallies. And last night we were at
the Paints Arena where Donald Trump had a huge rally.
You probably heard about it, saw some of it, and yeah,
(01:34):
we're off and running and we've been talking to people
at the polling places and getting of course, you know,
the mixed the mixed vote of a lot of people
I've talked to actually were saying that they voted for Trump. Today.
I actually interviewed a Democrat at one polling station who
said that he voted for Trump because he was ready
for a change and he was better off four years ago,
(01:55):
all of that. So it's an exciting night underway. I'm
actually coming to you from a hotel in downtown Pittsburgh
where we are at the McCormick for US Senate watch party,
and we are expecting to have some somewhat heavy hitters
I think throughout the night at this US Senate race,
and this is where I'm kind of I'm kind of
the GOP for tonight. And then we've got another reporter
with the News Nation over.
Speaker 5 (02:16):
With the DEM.
Speaker 4 (02:17):
So a big night ahead, and you know, polls closing
soon and in many places, and off we go.
Speaker 3 (02:23):
Does it seem as tight as the polls indicate? It's
hard to tell. I guess it depends where you are.
But what's the impression you get wandering around for five days?
Speaker 4 (02:33):
You know, I would say it is tight because I
spent what day was that they're blending together. It was
Saturday that we were at the rally in Lancaster County
where Michelle Obama spoke and Alisha Keys was there, and
it was you know, there was a lot of energy.
There was a line around the building, and there's the
high school there and it was just absolutely packed with
Harry supporters and it felt you really felt an energy.
(02:58):
And I thought, Okay, so I'm leaving here and wow,
it really feels like there's so much momentum going for Harris.
And then I go to the Trump rally. I went
to Trump rallies. I went to the one on Sunday
at the airport hangar, and then I went to the
one at the arena last night, same messaging, and a
lot of people, you know, even Trump himself said, I'm
going off script here. I'm going against what my advisors
(03:18):
tell me to do because I think you guys like
that better. And a lot of people that I spoke
to said that they do like him off script and
they do like you know, they brought up them going
to McDonald's and he said, that's like something I would do.
I liked that he did that, but really it's about
the economy. It's the economy.
Speaker 5 (03:34):
It's the economy.
Speaker 6 (03:35):
That's what people are talking about.
Speaker 4 (03:36):
Whenever I talked to a hair supporter or a Trump supporter,
that is what they say is the number one issue.
Speaker 5 (03:41):
We've heard that in reports, We've heard that in.
Speaker 4 (03:43):
The pulling, and it really does ring.
Speaker 5 (03:45):
True that in the border.
Speaker 3 (03:47):
So both fan bases are really excited about their candidate.
Speaker 4 (03:52):
Oh my gosh, I've never seen anything like it. In fact,
when I'm before I left for Pennsylvania and I was
in New York and I went to my polling place
voted before I came here to do the work.
Speaker 6 (04:02):
I was in this.
Speaker 4 (04:03):
Huge line and I asked my poll worker. I said,
is it usually like this because I usually don't vote early.
I like to vote on election day. And she said, honestly,
we have never seen anything like that. And I've been
hearing that over and over and over again. So I'm
going to be really interested to hear what the numbers
are in terms of turnout. But then we've got this
big problem, John. We've got three counties in this critical
(04:26):
state that right now are having trouble with the ballots.
And there's one Cambria County had trouble with the electronic
ballot with it not being set in right. They had
to call somebody with an IT specialist to come to
that county. And we have two other counties where there
were tabulation problems with their machines. So now we've got
extended hours for the tabulations of three critical counties in Pennsylvania.
(04:51):
And you know, you just kind of slap in your face,
Oh God, you know, how long is this going to take?
Because some of these tabulations are going to now go
into the night. They're not going to say eight o'clock,
they're going to say ten o'clock. There's court orders that
have gone into play to extend some of the hours
of these voting locations in these counties because of those problems.
So hopefully that's where it ends. Hopefully we don't hear
(05:13):
any more of that tonight, But that's how things started
here in Pennsylvania.
Speaker 3 (05:17):
Lord, what do you.
Speaker 2 (05:17):
Hear from my President Biden? He's just gone to bed.
Speaker 4 (05:23):
I haven't spoken to him directly during my time here
in Pennsylvania. You know, he was in his home town
the other night and he had a small, a smaller
event where he spoke to some workers. But he has
been active in His wife Jill, has been here in
the state as well over the weekend. So they've been
out there, just not as loudly and as large as
(05:44):
we've seen Harrison Trump.
Speaker 3 (05:46):
Well, you know, in the final days, you watch where
the campaigns are and that tells you what they're polling
is telling him to do. Because Kamalo was in I
think five events yesterday right in Pennsylvania. She was right
all over the state all day.
Speaker 4 (06:00):
She was all over the state all day. And so
was Trump for his part. I mean, he had I
think well he had three rallies total yesterday, I think.
And when I saw him on Sunday at the airport hangar.
That was absolutely huge. I mean he came out and
his voice was hoarse, his energy started off low, but
then he got ramped up. And I was standing on
the media riser. I'm sure you guys heard about this
(06:22):
where he said, you know, he was talking about that
protective glass around him, because of course the attempted assassination
attempt in Butler, Pennsylvania was very close to us, and
he was talking about how the protective glass was right
in front of him, it was to the side of him,
but then there were these gaps, and he's like, you know,
what's the deal. There's there's these gaps in between these
large pieces of glass. And he said, if somebody wanted
to get me from the from the front, they'd have
(06:44):
to go through the fake news, and I wouldn't mind
that so much, indicating that he wouldn't mind if we
got shot. So everybody on the press risers kind of
stopped what they were doing, looked at each other and said,
did he just say that didn't feel good with you
got snipers all over the place, So yeah, it's been
a wild few days.
Speaker 3 (07:03):
The reporters start clearing out of that that pen.
Speaker 4 (07:06):
There, I start you know, thinking a little lower getting
into the army crawl. No, but I mean it was
it was just concerning because you know, we know that
there are people out there that will do what other
people say. There's people that don't care, and that is concerning.
I was glad to see the snipers up on the
roofs surround us. But that kind of rhetoric doesn't.
Speaker 5 (07:29):
Doesn't feel a little good when you're on the meteor wizer.
Speaker 4 (07:31):
I'll just say that, all right, Laura.
Speaker 3 (07:33):
Well thanks, uh, stay away, stay away.
Speaker 5 (07:36):
From the.
Speaker 4 (07:39):
Right, you know, no more, no more rallies. We're in
the home stretcher and we'll be paying attention to what
you guys have going on there, of course in California
to continue our reporting on musication as well, and I
always love being on with you my my home station
of KFI.
Speaker 3 (07:52):
Well, thanks for coming on.
Speaker 1 (07:54):
Of course, we'll see at the inauguration and a lovely
angle angle that's not her. I don't think, no, no, no,
but it's nice to know that you like it whatever.
Speaker 3 (08:06):
All right, we're gonna have more coverage here. It's me
Conway Thompson until six o'clock and Conway makes the election
coverage fun. That's not her, that's Laura Ingram. H's got
to change her name. Then, uh to close. You can
(08:26):
bring that up with them.
Speaker 1 (08:27):
Yeah, maybe bring it up next time. All right.
Speaker 3 (08:28):
How many times you think she's heard that though? I
think constantly? Yeah, I think I constantly. They get confused online.
We I watched your show all the time. No, no,
that's not that's not the show I do.
Speaker 7 (08:39):
Oh, you're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from
KF I am six forty.
Speaker 2 (08:46):
Okay, I got a theory I to run by you.
One of these big fat cats at Netflix. I can't
remember who it was, made a huge donation to Gasko
if what four years ago? Yeahst okay, here's my theory.
He wants on the streets because more people be homewatching Netflix.
Speaker 3 (09:04):
Wow, you know that it worked? Yeah, it worked him
and his wife too. That's right. They gave millions, that's right,
millions of dollars to guess.
Speaker 2 (09:11):
And we're scared to death to go out and where
so we're home watching Netflix.
Speaker 3 (09:15):
He wins both ways. That's a good one. That's right.
Thank you.
Speaker 2 (09:19):
All right, And by the way, Bellio canceled my Netflix
interview tomorrow. I was going to pitch them a couple
of ideas. I think that's elver all right.
Speaker 3 (09:29):
So the polls have closed, and they've given Trump Indiana
and Kentucky, and they've given Kamala Harris Vermont. So it's
nineteen electoral votes for Trump and three electoral votes for Harris.
They've also Georgia is closed.
Speaker 1 (09:45):
Yeah, Georgia should be pretty quick, I think actually to
get some returns.
Speaker 3 (09:48):
They count quickly there. Yeah, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont,
Virginia all closed as at four o'clock, and then at
four point thirty it's North Carolina. So North Carolina and
Georgia are two of the seven swings. They're both good
at counting votes quickly, so that can give an indication
pretty early.
Speaker 2 (10:05):
How Come we can't count out quickly here in California
way until December.
Speaker 3 (10:10):
See, they're not going to certify it the first week
in December. Here, let me see how Georgia is doing,
because I have one of those magic maps here.
Speaker 1 (10:19):
I do too. They have the percentage of voting I
think is only it's less than five percent.
Speaker 8 (10:25):
Yeah, three percent, yeah, saying ninety one thousand, eighty seven thousand,
Donald Trump right now?
Speaker 3 (10:32):
What percentage of it? You know, fifty one to forty
eight and a half. Yeah, that's about as close as
they thought it was going to be. So it's going
to be like that. So it's over Trump whin see tomorrow?
Speaker 2 (10:42):
Yeah, So how many times can I get away with
that to night before management comes in here?
Speaker 5 (10:47):
Oh?
Speaker 3 (10:47):
Can you not do that? So every poll had both
both of them deadlocked, every single Well.
Speaker 1 (10:54):
Nate Silver ran the computer projection on it. That's to say,
ran the race if you will, where they feed all
the different variables in. They allow for this, they allow
for that. They ran it eighty thousand times in its office,
and it came out exactly even. I mean Harris Harris
won by one two hundreds of a percentage more than
(11:15):
Trump did.
Speaker 3 (11:16):
Wow, But it was basically like forty thousand to forty thousand.
I've never understood why would you Why do you have
to run it eighty thousand times? No, exactly right right
after sixty thousand or twenty thousands of are we got it? Well?
Speaker 2 (11:28):
I mean that's good for the election, But when you're
talking about doctor Manger measuring your eyes twenty thousand times,
that's a good number.
Speaker 1 (11:34):
Yeah, Yeah, maybe more is more. Right.
Speaker 3 (11:38):
You actually worked in the commercial. I got to work
them innute. It's really good, big dog. So North Carolina's
going to close in about six minutes. The uh So.
The thing I read today is in the last twenty
five years, if you took the polling all the major
races in the country, president, Senate, governor, the House, the
(11:58):
average polling era is five per Is that right? It's average.
That's like a good day for polling air. So if
you have five percent off on either one of these two,
then they win big. Yeah, it could be over very early, right,
So polling air is sometimes all go in one direction.
Speaker 1 (12:17):
Sure. What's interesting about the polling and the projections is
you always wonder what people and Tim's talked about this
before you know what people actually are involved in polling
that it's to say who answers the phone, who answers
the text? But also is there a part of that group,
you know, because they always break us up in the groups,
you know, the old white guys, the young white guys,
the Asians, et cetera. And is there a group that
(12:40):
has been underpolled, because that could also throw things off dramatically.
I mean, there's some you know, big voting blocks like
young people. I don't think young people are polled very well.
So what they try to do is build in some
bit of polling like that they haven't really done, but
they try to wait it somehow to allow for the
fact that they haven't really polled a lot of young people,
so sort of built into the system. There are a
(13:00):
lot of kind of gray areas.
Speaker 3 (13:03):
Yeah, well, if if you if you have a bad
sample and then you wait it, now you've made that
bad sample worse, right, unless you.
Speaker 2 (13:10):
Know, my daughter goes to school in Burbank, and and
you know, Burbank is a very fairly liberal town.
Speaker 3 (13:18):
He's to be very conservative. Now it's fairly very liberal.
Speaker 2 (13:21):
But she and I don't know whether this is an
f you to the parents or what, but she said,
there's an astronomical amount of kids who are voting for
the first time, who are voting for Trump in high schools,
and the.
Speaker 3 (13:34):
Guys especially, And during the Trump years, one of my
sons was going through high school and that was at
the height of all the oppression. You know, there was
there was the me Too movement, and then there was
you know, the speech police and and the girls in
his high school were scolding the boys for saying offensive things,
(13:56):
and he said many of the kids boys, by the
end of their time in high school, had turned for Trump.
They had gotten so fed up with hearing about toxic masculinity,
you know, the whole run. Yeah, I celebrate toxic masculinity.
Speaker 2 (14:11):
Like when somebody cuts me off on the freeway, I'm like, good,
I'm glad there's still a holes like you around, because
this country needs a holes. Whenever we get into a
war or where you know, we have to fight for anything,
we need those guys. We need tough guys around. No,
I celebrated guy. I was at a taco nineteen eighty
six the other day and a big guy stood right
(14:31):
in front of me in order. I'm like, I respect that,
I respect the a hole in you. We need tough
guys like this. Yeah, they're dig breed, that's right.
Speaker 3 (14:40):
So the so the problem with the polling is that
the Trump voters refused to play ball. Apparently, in twenty
sixteen twenty twenty, the posters would call a Trump voter
and he'd say, f you, I'm voting for Trump and
hang up, and they didn't count that because you have
to sit there for half an hour answer forty questions.
Speaker 1 (15:00):
Oh I.
Speaker 3 (15:01):
I didn't realize they wouldn't do it, so they threw
that out. Next call if you vote for Trump. They
ended up missing a lot of the Trump vote.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
I was out in front of my house about a
month ago and a guy walks up and says, hey,
can I talk to you about the election? I said,
I'm just leaving, but my wife's home and he and
he goes to knock on the door.
Speaker 3 (15:22):
I said, hey, what party with?
Speaker 2 (15:24):
He goes, I'm with the the Socialist Democrat Party. I'm like, oh,
I would knock on that door. I would knock on
that door. You could get murdered tonight. Don't knock on
that door. And he knocked on the door and he
got a earfull.
Speaker 1 (15:39):
Does the canvassing work? I was canvassed and it.
Speaker 3 (15:42):
Kind of worked well where they knocked on the door
and said.
Speaker 1 (15:45):
They knocked on the door. It was a young guy
and he was telling me that he I don't want
to you know, he was in relation to the school
board and he said, you know, I'm in school down
blah blah blah blah. And he was very convincing, and
he had me at that point, look harder at that candidate,
and it worked.
Speaker 3 (16:04):
Really. Yeah, I would think yeah, would would be more
effective in a race where you don't know the candidate exactly.
Speaker 1 (16:09):
I mean topic.
Speaker 3 (16:11):
I was looking at Los Angeles UH Community College board members.
Speaker 1 (16:15):
I can't vote for that, right, It's not fair if
you don't know anything.
Speaker 3 (16:18):
Why are they being voted in? Who cares? I don't know.
I don't know.
Speaker 2 (16:22):
I every time I look at Mark Thompson, all I
see is a guy who I canceled every one of
his votes.
Speaker 3 (16:29):
No, I don't think so, though. I think you think
that I did. He's a little unpredictable. He's a law
order guy.
Speaker 1 (16:35):
I'm very tough law order.
Speaker 2 (16:36):
Yeah, that's the jury's that still out on.
Speaker 1 (16:39):
That, not on my not on my end. It's no.
Speaker 3 (16:41):
I have run into some West Side liberal Wienis that
I've known. They've been liberal Wienies for decades, and they
were all going for Hackman. Yeah, I think enough. Well,
I voted for Gascon.
Speaker 1 (16:53):
The water got up to the Lido deck, I think
here in l A and you know what, we got
to drain this a little bit.
Speaker 3 (17:00):
This all right? All right, we come back. North Carolina
is going to close maybe we'll get some early numbers
from there.
Speaker 7 (17:06):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on demand from KFI
AM six forty.
Speaker 3 (17:12):
The latest is they gave West Virginia to Trump.
Speaker 1 (17:16):
Yeah, that was it. And the Senate seed of flip
because that had been Joe Manchin.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
Who is it now, Jim Justice, Republican former governor oh
for West Virginia. Yes, yeah, So that's that's the first
flip of the night in the Senate because the Republicans
have a good chance of winning the Senate, which if
Kamala rains.
Speaker 3 (17:36):
Wins, will make it difficult for her to do anything there.
Speaker 8 (17:38):
There was only thirty four seats that are in the
Senate despite all the seats being up in the House,
and the Republicans already have with these Jim Justice specifically,
they're already at forty seats and Democrats have twenty eight.
Speaker 2 (17:50):
Let me ask you a question, John, and because you're
more into politics than i am. If Harris ends up losing,
and again there's no indication that it's going either way yet,
but if Harris ended up ends up losing, wouldn't it
been a better idea to keep Biden in and and
project loyalty to that guy as opposed to flipping on him.
(18:11):
Because loyalty is a very very it's a it's a
very defining and a top quality you want in a
business and a friendship and a relationship and a family.
Speaker 3 (18:21):
I think she'll end up doing better than he would have.
I mean, I can't prove this right. You have to
have an alternate universe. But he was failing so badly,
and I was just looking at focused group results that
The New York Times was publishing, and really people were
tired of him personally and watching him age like that.
So what they should have done is do many primary
(18:42):
for a month and let So why didn't they? Well,
I don't know. That's a book. Whose fault was that? Mark?
You followed politics?
Speaker 1 (18:48):
I mean the idea was that she was well positioned
to take over the Biden machine. Remember if there had
been all that money we.
Speaker 3 (18:58):
Got Alex Michaelson Fox eleven. Wow, issue is.
Speaker 5 (19:03):
Wowlex a crew? Yeah, all my favorites in one place tonight.
This is very exciting.
Speaker 3 (19:10):
All star, Alex, you're on the air.
Speaker 5 (19:16):
Things wrong with you?
Speaker 3 (19:18):
So what do you got tonight on Fox eleven?
Speaker 5 (19:24):
I mean, we'll have cons at all the different parties
we'll have. We're going to be at fourteen different locations
tonight tracking all the national and local spots, and it's
it's really interesting to see. You know, these congressional races,
especially in southern California, are probably going to be the
difference between a potential Republican House or a Democratic House.
(19:45):
As you mentioned, it certainly looks like the US Senate
is going to go the Republican way. They basically only
have to flip one seat, including two seats right now
or in very republican states, which is Montana and Ohio.
So you got to think they're going to pick up
one of those and then Republicans get the Senate. So
then it comes down to the House, and if Trump
(20:05):
wins and they get the Republicans get the Senate. Democratic
House would be the only sort of backstop pushing against
the Republicans if that's the way that things go.
Speaker 3 (20:16):
Yeah, there are a number of swing seats in California
where if they go Republican it could give them the
House again.
Speaker 5 (20:23):
And the other five that are considered total toss ups
in California, and all of them have incumbent Republicans members
and all of them are districts that Joe Biden won,
So it's not a huge lift for the Democrats to
be able to take those seats. They're all expected. All
the polls going into it showed all of them statistically tied,
(20:45):
and so that's going to be all about turnout, including
you know, people that are in line to vote in
a lot of these places. Now we're at one polling
place our reporter in Buena Park, which is the Michelle
Steele Derek Trand place, and they're two and a half
hour lines right now. Wow, because people are really trying
to get be a part of that district and that
is a lot widely seen as could be the closest
(21:06):
district in the whole country.
Speaker 3 (21:07):
Hey, Alex, I got a question for you.
Speaker 2 (21:08):
On Sunday, Kamala Harris was asked about Proposition thirty six,
and she said, it's Sunday before the election.
Speaker 3 (21:16):
I'm not going to tell you how I voted on it.
Speaker 2 (21:18):
Why wouldn't the ex Attorney General for the state of California,
with seventy three percent backing for Proposition thirty six, why
wouldn't she jump on board and just support that.
Speaker 5 (21:31):
I don't know. To me, it would be smart politics too.
Speaker 3 (21:36):
I think she didn't know what it was.
Speaker 5 (21:38):
No. I think what I think is that she didn't
want to have headlines about anything other than what she
wanted to have headlines about. And if she would have
jumped on that race, that would have created all sorts
of other stories about criminal justice, and it just wasn't
a topic that she wanted to talk about. Kamala Harris,
unlike Donald Trump and both I think they're good and
bad aspects of this, is incredibly cautious and incredibly discipline
(22:00):
in not straying from her talking points. Donald Trump is
the opposite. He says whatever comes to mind and and
a lot of people like him for that, right.
Speaker 2 (22:08):
But that's but Alex, that's the era we live in
where people are on podcasts and say they say, and
you listen to podcasts because they say whatever they want,
and when you get a candidate, dude doesn't say anything,
it's a.
Speaker 3 (22:18):
Big turn off.
Speaker 5 (22:21):
It is a turn off to a lot of people
in this country. And and ultimately, if she loses, I
think her caution and her loyalty to Joe Biden and
her inability to separate herself from him, and her inability
to announce interesting creative policy solutions will probably be the
reason that she loses. That's being said. If Trump loses
(22:43):
his inability to be disciplined and him going off on
all these rants and potentially turning off suburban housewives in
the middle of the country could be the reason that
he loses.
Speaker 2 (22:52):
Yeah, I would be pissed if I was her that
that they have as supported her a lot of the way,
they didn't give her the full support. You know, who
didn't give Kamala Harris no, but who didn't give her.
I don't think that she got enough support from from
guys who are lined up to take over next year,
you know, the the newsom's or what's his name of
(23:15):
the governor of Pennsylvania.
Speaker 3 (23:17):
Uh, these guys that are that are you know, they
want to be president. They want to be president next time.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
They and they purposely slow balled her so she would
she would she would not do well so they could
take over in four years.
Speaker 3 (23:28):
Hey, Alex, that was a bad long cons they were
they did it. I think they did it, Alex. You
and I talked about that. You it was your idea,
and I think you're right. No, Alex said, Newson's got
to be rooting for Kamala to lose. Sure, because she's
on the bench for eight years. They all are. Everybody
who's not Kamala Harris.
Speaker 1 (23:47):
You haven't seen a bench like the bench is coming
if Kamala loses, Fornisome. I don't think he has interest
in that.
Speaker 5 (23:54):
It is hard to imagine that Gavin Newsom has any
way to get to the presidency if Harris win. But
if she loses, all of a sudden, he gets to
be the president of the Resistance and he gets to
go back and forth with somebody wanted. That's just it
makes them potentially a president. Now, he of course says
(24:14):
that he still wants her to win and all the
rest of it. You have not seen him in as
big of a way advocating for her as he was
for Joe Biden. Maybe that's because they didn't want him
and they didn't want to be associated with California and
remind everybody she's from California. But he definitely has had
a much smaller role than that Newsom did as a
(24:35):
surrogate for Biden.
Speaker 2 (24:36):
That's my point. They didn't support her enough.
Speaker 3 (24:40):
All right, Alex, Now you started five tonight.
Speaker 5 (24:44):
We'll be on from five o'clock on. Yeah, but I
think I'm back with you guys at seven thirty to
talk a little more.
Speaker 3 (24:49):
All right, all right, good to talk with you. She
a little later on was Conway, who yeah, no comedic purpose.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
Somebody if I wanted a sandwich and it's egg salad sandwich,
went oh, we love you.
Speaker 5 (25:12):
This.
Speaker 3 (25:13):
One of the important swing states whose polls closed at
four o'clock is Georgia. And I don't know where these
votes are coming from, but Trump has gotten a lot
of Yeah, I guess they're rural votes. He's got sixty
one and a half percent of the vote and Harris
is at thirty eight and they've got fourteen percent of
the voting now, and that that's one of those things
(25:34):
to watch.
Speaker 2 (25:34):
Can you know where that vote's coming from? From areas
of Georgia where people have had it.
Speaker 3 (25:43):
Yeah, it's not from metropolitan Atlanta that I can see,
but it is a lot of the rural areas in
northern Georgia and southeastern Georgia. But that's that's that's piling
up a pretty good site.
Speaker 1 (25:57):
Well, as we said, I mean, John, they count those
votes pretty quick in Georgia. So we're gonna get a
good sense of that state.
Speaker 2 (26:02):
All right, what's a tie at the end? Wouldn't that
be great? What happens in a tie? They go to
the House.
Speaker 1 (26:07):
By the way, there's twelve percent of the votes counted
so far in Georgia.
Speaker 3 (26:10):
So electoral college. If it's two sixty nine to sixty nine,
it goes to the House, and the Republicans control the House.
So what are we doing here? And it could the
way it has it ever tied before?
Speaker 1 (26:24):
I don't I don't think it has.
Speaker 3 (26:26):
I'd be a pretty remarkable thing to tie at it
to sixty nine. But there is a chance. I mean,
we'd get complicated to all variables, but yeah, there is
a chance. Based on the swing states that are that
are left out standing.
Speaker 7 (26:38):
You're listening to Tim Conway Junior on de Maya from
KFI AM six forty.
Speaker 2 (26:43):
North Carolina looks great for Kamala Harris. South Carolina looks
great for Donald Trump. How does that work? North Carolina?
North Carolina looks great for Kamala Harris and South Carolina
looks great for Donald Trump. Those two states are next
to each other for a geography out there.
Speaker 3 (27:01):
How is that so different? Well, I'm looking well it
depends where the vote comes from. So I'm looking in
North Carolina, a lot of the vote came from Raleigh,
which is the big city, so that those are going
to be Democrats. That those are going to be Democrats.
And that's like she's winning seven to one in Raleigh Durham,
and she's she's kicking ass in in Virginia.
Speaker 8 (27:24):
And interestingly enough, because of the whole hurricane aspect of things,
the county where Asheville is that that right now is
seventy six just under seventy seven percent for Kamala Harris.
Speaker 3 (27:33):
Wow, let's call it. Let's you want to call that
county or you want to call the whole thing, the
whole thing. Okay, let's let's see what what George is doing.
Because Georgia was just up here.
Speaker 1 (27:44):
It's sixty six percent, yeah, twenty percent of the votes
in and as brother Conway says, it's sixty percent.
Speaker 3 (27:50):
See that's supposed to be a fifty to fifty state too.
So well, a lot of this is being driven by
where specifically the sixty forty right now, right city votes
will go for Harris, rural votes will go more for Trump.
But he's got three states officially from the network's West
Virginia Kentucky, Indiana. It's twenty three electoral votes and three
(28:13):
Vermont for Kamala Harris now.
Speaker 2 (28:15):
And it's forty to twenty nine in the in the Senate,
forty Republican and twenty nine Democrats.
Speaker 1 (28:21):
Yeah, if you're just joining us, West Virginia has flipped,
which is predictable. I mean, that's just that was what
was predicted. I think predict that for the GOP.
Speaker 3 (28:29):
I didn't see that coming.
Speaker 1 (28:30):
You didn't see no man.
Speaker 3 (28:32):
Man was great.
Speaker 1 (28:33):
Mansion pushed back though he's not running, but I thought
he like was great. He was. He was terrific, wasn't
he right?
Speaker 3 (28:39):
But if he's not running, yeah, still vote for you
can write him in. After Krezier's news, Steve Gregory at
five oh five on the La County Das race, which
is my favorite race of the election. Are you going
to go to that party? You should? You You're responsible
for that guy if he does. You are a big party.
Speaker 2 (28:56):
You could you could do anything. You could do, blow
you can, you can kill it people. He's never going
to throw you in jail.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
Use it early, use your use your political currency while
you're still have it.
Speaker 2 (29:05):
You come in here tomorrow, you could go home and
strangle everybody in your house. And and Hawkman will be like, yeah,
I just don't see it. I just don't see it.
Speaker 3 (29:15):
He was provoked. You could get it. You could get
away with murder, John literally, Well you could rob banks tomorrow.
Was it's in La County. I I don't know what
crime I want to commit. Well, we'll talk about I
just I just don't think that way. Uh, Armed armored
(29:35):
cars may be aggravated assault on a couple of people.
Speaker 2 (29:38):
You know what people who drive armored cars hate when
you take a picture of them pulling up to a business.
Speaker 1 (29:44):
I'll bet they don't want I'm sure they've been cased
a million times.
Speaker 3 (29:48):
Sure they have.
Speaker 2 (29:49):
I'm sure they have, But it looks like Hawkman. When
is that vote coming in? After eight o'clock?
Speaker 3 (29:53):
Yeah, that's a long time.
Speaker 1 (29:54):
He was way ahead.
Speaker 3 (29:55):
You'll be you'll be gone. No, but don't call that
in about in about thirty seconds. That crop thirty.
Speaker 2 (30:00):
Do you remember when when Schwarzenegger was running they called
it two minutes after the polls close, Yes, very quickly.
I was in Tarzana driving around the post office when
they said oh it's Schwarzeneg'm like, I am it just closed.
Speaker 3 (30:12):
Yeah, well that's the magic of the exit polar but
that I don't know if that exists anymore, does it? Yeah?
They do.
Speaker 1 (30:19):
No.
Speaker 3 (30:19):
Fox has interviewed one hundred thousand people today, So if
you look on the Fox screen, well then you're not
doing it now.
Speaker 2 (30:26):
But they were running their questions for hours. They didn't
ask who they voted for. They were just talking about
their their their their top complaints.
Speaker 3 (30:34):
Right, they're right, but they they'd interviewed those people and
they'll use that to project.
Speaker 2 (30:41):
So South Carolina just went for Donald Trump. Especially according
to Fox, they're using Trump's booking photo as you that's
kind of a.
Speaker 3 (30:53):
Yeah, the biased media. Well no, but that's not.
Speaker 2 (30:56):
But but to be fair, they're also using harras in
her out where she worked at McDonald's.
Speaker 1 (31:01):
Oh that's not right.
Speaker 3 (31:04):
So that's thirty two to three.
Speaker 1 (31:06):
If you were doing a we're watching Fox News Channel
and one of the we have all the networks up.
But if you were doing a cartoon version of an anchorman,
wouldn't he look like Brett Baar Just it's incredibly the
guy looks like an animatronic guy.
Speaker 3 (31:21):
Some of these guys were born. There's no other job
he could have exactly and his kids look exactly like him,
he said. If he wasn't interested, somebody on the street
would say, you look like an anchorman.
Speaker 1 (31:31):
Come with me, take this blazer and sit out all right.
Speaker 3 (31:36):
When we come back. Steve Gregory on the LA County
daz Race, Hawkman and Gascone and there'll be more big
states closing at five o'clock our time. Michael Krazier Live
the KFI twenty four hour Newsroom one one, two, No
two three. This election brought to you by counting. Counting
(31:57):
is not as confusing as it sounds. And five and
the KOST HD two Los Angeles, Orange County Live.
Speaker 7 (32:05):
Everywhere on the Young Art Radio Appy.
Speaker 3 (32:11):
Could there be a new DA in LA? Criminals will
be held accountable again?
Speaker 9 (32:15):
I'm Steve Gregory Live at the Nathan Hawkman viewing party
in Beverly Hills in the final hours before poles close.
Hawkman has a final pitch to vote EF.
Speaker 3 (32:22):
He's a crossover issue, whether you're on the left or
the right, whether you're black, white, Latino Asian people want
to be safe again in this community.
Speaker 9 (32:31):
Hawkman says, he's a DA for all people, and if elected,
he says, on day one, he'll roll back directives put
in place by George Gasco.
Speaker 3 (32:37):
He'll be able to see is an elimination of blanket
pro criminal policies.
Speaker 9 (32:43):
Hawkman says he's expecting more than five hundred people to
attend this viewing party, which will include campaign volunteers, donors,
deputy das, and victims of crime. Live in Beverly Hills.
I'm Steve Gregory now with a look at the election
in Orange County. Here's kfi's Corbyn Carson.
Speaker 6 (32:57):
I'm Corbyn Carson. Two close congression races in Orange County
could decide which party ends up controlling the House of Representatives.
Democrats have spent big money on Derek Tran to beat
Republican incumbent Michelle Steele.
Speaker 5 (33:10):
I'm running to be the first Didameise American representative of
this district that includes the largest Didnamese population outside.
Speaker 6 (33:17):
Of the Congresswoman Steel Sales, she's the right choice my
orders that.
Speaker 4 (33:21):
Really knows my prison records that I'm stelephony as number
one at the Kipper Lord Hasta.
Speaker 6 (33:27):
We'll also here tonight from the candidates for the other
close race between former Republican Assemblyman Scott Baw and State
Senator Dave Men who are fighting over the vacated seat
by the seat vacated by Congresswoman Katie Porter. Live at
the Democrats Derek Tran Election Watts Party in Garden Grove, Conway.
Speaker 3 (33:44):
Show on demand on the iHeartRadio app.
Speaker 2 (33:48):
Now you can always hear us live on KFI AM
six forty four to seven pm Monday through Friday, and
anytime on demand on the iHeart Radio app.
Speaker 7 (34:00):
Yeah
Tim Conway Jr. on Demand News
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