Investor Daily: What’s Next for Bitcoin? The Bear Market & Price Predictions

In this Market Mondays clip, Ian Dunlap, Rashad Bilal, and Troy Millings break down the latest action in Bitcoin, examining the recent price drop and what history tells us about the 2025 cycle. Ian highlights Bitcoin’s unique four-year cycles, referencing the recent “Death Cross” and discussing how Bitcoin’s price patterns have repeated consistently—a rarity compared to traditional investments. The trio debates whether we’ve entered a true bear market or if this is a short-term pullback, with the possibility of a rebound later this year. Rashad urges investors not to panic, pointing to historical lows and sharing advice for dollar-cost averaging, while forecasting worst-case scenarios and price levels to watch. Troy brings additional perspective, referencing the four phases that typically follow Bitcoin’s halving events and explains the difference between corrections and collapses in crypto versus stocks. Together, they address common investor mistakes, such as buying at any price, and emphasize the importance of understanding market cycles to make informed decisions. The discussion also covers how institutional backing could cushion Bitcoin’s fall compared to previous cycles and why being a long-term believer in the asset might pay off. Whether you’re a seasoned crypto investor or just trying to understand why Bitcoin moves the way it does, this clip offers valuable insights into timing, strategy, and realistic price targets for the coming years. Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below! — *Hashtags:* #Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketMondays #BearMarket #Investing #CryptoCycles #BTC #RashadBilal #IanDunlap #ChakaZulu #CryptoStrategy #MarketAnalysis

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:01):
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Speaker 2 (00:43):
Bitcoin so.

Speaker 3 (00:47):
Interesting ninety two thousand dollars right now and it's been
dropping steadily so just past the deaf cross two days ago.
I think so bitcoin is interesting if you really think
about it, because it's the only investment that we actually
know what's gonna happen.

Speaker 4 (01:07):
Tell me more.

Speaker 3 (01:08):
Oh, because it has like if you follow history of
the bigcoin, it has four year cycles, right, so you could,
like as an exercise, anybody at home, you can actually
at GBT the four year cycles of bitcoin when the
next beer market will come previous beer market.

Speaker 2 (01:22):
So it works in cycles.

Speaker 3 (01:24):
Now, anything can happen in the future, but it's always
repeated the same cycle. Like no other investment has ever
done that. Like you can't say, okay, we know that
in video is gonna do good for four years and
it's gonna be flat for two years, and it's gonna
like we know that bigcoin works in a four year cycle.
It drops very drastically, almost seventy to eighty percent previously,

(01:48):
that's what that's what it has done, follows the having
so like even if you follow it like the bear
the bear market is supposed to start next year, but
some some say the bear market has already started, which
would be an early or early start, but it was
it was gonna start. There's almost one hundred percent chance
that bitcoin is going to drop drastically next year if
you follow what historically has happened. So everybody knows, well

(02:14):
if you study, everybody knows that that bitcoin is going
to drop. Like that's that's kind of like a cheat
code almost if you really think about it, because we know,
we know what's gonna happen. Now the variables is exactly
when it will drop, exactly how much it will drop.

Speaker 5 (02:32):
I can tell you that, but we'll team come on,
so maybe next week.

Speaker 3 (02:37):
So now the question is like, Okay, is this the
start of the already all are we already in the
band market or is just a short term reset and
then we're gonna push higher at the end of the
year and then next year it's gonna fall.

Speaker 2 (02:53):
But it's gonna fall.

Speaker 3 (02:54):
And I even I atchieve Chad GBT just to kind
of get Chad gbt's for perspective on it, and like
how it's supposed to fall following traditional bitcoins, it's supposed
to go to thirty or forty thousand, because that's seventy
and seventy five percent drop.

Speaker 2 (03:09):
That's what it has done historically.

Speaker 3 (03:10):
But most people don't think that it'll fall out fall
because of the institutional backing now that it didn't have before.
So the institutional backing up will have it around fifty
sixty thousand what it'll drop to. But no matter what
how you look at it is going to drop. But
it's already been dropping. So now everybody's a it's a
panic because.

Speaker 2 (03:34):
It's down pretty pretty heavily.

Speaker 3 (03:36):
And then all the bigcoin related stocks will talk about that,
Michael Strategy and a few others. Those are down, and
then of course since Bitcoin is down, to ets sit down,
and then whenever bigcoin goes down, then the all coin
market goes down also, So the all coins are down
XRP and Solana.

Speaker 4 (03:53):
And all of that.

Speaker 3 (03:55):
So now the main question is, now we know that
bigcoin's going to have a bad market, is.

Speaker 2 (04:02):
This the bean market?

Speaker 3 (04:04):
Because if this is the bend market, then the intelligent
thing to do would just be to wait, because this
is the band market. Ninety thousand is not a good
price to buy because it's going to go lower than
ninety thousand, so do we So the only question now
is are we in a band market? And if we
are in a band market, and beer markets for crypto

(04:25):
usually last. That's another thing. We know how long the
bean market lasts twelve to eighteen months, so it's not
a short it's not a short run. Once the band
market hits, we can we're looking at like twenty twenty seven,
end of twenty twenty seven for a full recover to
all time. But another thing that we do know about
bigcoins that it always goes up.

Speaker 6 (04:41):
So history that's shown us that that's what.

Speaker 3 (04:43):
I'm saying, So we know that in twenty twenty eight,
twenty twenty nine is going to be hired in what
it is now. But all of these things lead to
a pestimistic outlook for bigcoin for the next foreseeable future
unless we get an end of year pump, and that

(05:04):
could potentially change it for the short term. So are
we gonna get an end of the year pump or
are we just got to just ride this out to
twenty twenty seven?

Speaker 5 (05:16):
I answer both meek mailbrick Cross one of my favorite songs,
Don't panic, don't panic.

Speaker 4 (05:21):
Now's not the time to panic.

Speaker 5 (05:24):
The notion of value or like the true value of
what we could get back to the April lows of
like seventy seven thousand and four fifty three. Last month,
I did tell you we was going to slide into
these nineties.

Speaker 4 (05:40):
Now's not the time to panic.

Speaker 5 (05:41):
I understand there's a lot of people who are saying
the thirty and forty thousand price range for bitcoin. Remember
last year or early this year, I said, Michael Silly
needs to be very careful because the only thing that
I think would drive that price that low is if
they want to get him out.

Speaker 4 (05:59):
Of that seat that he's in.

Speaker 5 (06:01):
I think that he has a plan to dwark that regardless,
but I don't think we'll get to thirties and forties.
Should you pick up something at seventies seven and some change, yes.

Speaker 4 (06:11):
Pricer and stock Club. Worst case scenario, I have this
going to.

Speaker 7 (06:18):
Said fifty. No, I'll say my number and then you
agree fifty. I'll see you though, fifty threes. I had
it at sixty, sixty three to sixty seven.

Speaker 4 (06:30):
Yeah, fifty three, five, twenty four.

Speaker 6 (06:32):
You're going to lower it or not.

Speaker 5 (06:34):
But and here's the thing. As an investment, I'm not
saying absolutely will go to for tho.

Speaker 4 (06:37):
You know what I mean, But please write this down.

Speaker 5 (06:40):
You want to assume the worst case is basis first,
not the best case. A lot of you are panicking
because you bought it last week or two weeks ago.
You should have bought the majority in April. And in
addition with the having cycles, some want to be the
pre eminent force in crypto because they've seen his plan work.

(07:04):
I kept saying, I hope that he doesn't become the
new Kathy would but when the institution going back to
the program conversation. When they want the strategy and the
IP to use it for their own devices, they're going
to find.

Speaker 4 (07:18):
A way to do so. Also too.

Speaker 5 (07:21):
If we're going to have a cyclical downturn and now
we're back to risk on, maybe there will be some
flushing out. But I want to be very clear, there's
a mistake if you are a believer in it to
get rid of it now. Too many people ask should
I sell what I have now in wait to get in?
Continue to buy now? The mistake that I think Sailor

(07:44):
made is that he kept buying at any price. The
price for you buy and asset matters a hell of
a lot. But worst case scenarios fifty three. But if
you believe in it, we can have a nice bump.
And I think at the right price, definitely at fifties
and at sixty five, the institutional, the Saudi Fund, there's
too many big players that will absorb the coins at

(08:07):
that price.

Speaker 1 (08:09):
Yeah, that's why I said, I was looking at the
charts yesterday I had around sixty seven.

Speaker 6 (08:14):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (08:14):
I mean, if you I'll use the phrase that history
shows us rather than kind of what you were saying
that we know because somebody was like, oh, they know,
history has shown us that in these cycles. Specifically, what
what Shoddy was saying, it was like, there's just four
phases right now based on everything we've seen that we're
in phase three, and so here's some things, some key

(08:35):
indicators that you should find in phase three, which is
like six to eighteen months after having like we saw
having happened last April. So we're right mid mid cycle
sharp corrections, and I don't know if we've had a
sharp one yet. This feels like a pullback, but consolidation
is that next piece, and so that means you'll start
to see it move sideways, right, So if it's at eighty.

Speaker 2 (08:57):
You'll definitely drop.

Speaker 1 (08:59):
Well, we've seen steep, I'm saying for crypto, we've seen
that go down to seventy correction.

Speaker 2 (09:04):
Correction is not seventy percent, that's a that's a full yeah.

Speaker 6 (09:08):
If it's in the definition of correction. Even still collapse though,
that's but that's what I'm saying.

Speaker 1 (09:15):
We can't even use collapse in terms of Bitcoin because
but that's what it does, because the correction, it's it's
in correction mode right now. I'm what I'm saying, correction
I don't want to confuse it when we're talking stocks, right,
because Bitcoin, the way that it moves its volatility is
very different.

Speaker 6 (09:31):
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