LSU vs Clemson & ND vs Miami Predictions + JP Poll & Portnoy Banned

College Football week 1 predictions are here as Josh Pate breaks down LSU vs Clemson. Can Brian Kelly and Garrett Mussmeier get the win in Clemson over Dabo Swinney and the Tigers? What will Alabama vs FSU have in store as Kalen DeBoer hopes for a better year for the Tide while Mike Norvell needs to salvage his program? Notre Dame vs Miami is a huge Sunday night game. Will Marcus Freeman and the Irish be able to break in a new QB vs Mario Cristobal and the Canes? What do we make of reports Ohio State has moved to BAN Dave Portnoy from their stadium for their week 1 game against Texas? The JP Poll is back with the week 1 edition. Where are teams like Texas, Ohio State, and Florida? Could we see surprise G5 teams? What about sleepers like Utah or prime contenders like UGA? We get one of our last batches of Bold Predictions on the show tonight as the season is upon us.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:13):
You know, I'm not a big news breaker. I let
Pete handle that. I let Dellinger handle that. But sometimes
Pete State Investigates has to jump in the fray. You
may remember us from such investigative journalism as confirming that
Connor Stallions was on the Central Michigan sideline with recordable glasses.
Might I have some say we broke the Taylor Swift

(00:34):
Travis Kelsey engagement today. I think they may have had
that first, but I do need to tell you I'm
going to wait ti the end of the show to
do it because I may get a little worked up.
This is not a joke, this is not a drill
that Pete State Investigates is going to break some news
on the show tonight. And the reason I can afford
to wait, even in this cutthroat news of cutthroat world
of newsbreaking, is I know no one else has this scoop,

(00:56):
and it's not good scoop, people, but it is scooped
that we can fix before it goes over the cliff. Meanwhile,
we're jampacked. Hiya atap a sun drenched downtown Nashville, Tennessee.
On this Tuesday night, August twenty sixth, the Ear of
Our Lord twenty twenty five. Not a sad show, a
very happy show. College football kickoff Week one is here.
We've got game breakdowns tonight, So LSU, Clemson, Yes, Notre

(01:17):
Dame Miami, Yes, Bama, FSU Yes, Raminudle Express got three
best bets dropping on the show tonight. I see and
I mean this, nothing standing between us and A three
and oh start. I do see something standing between Dave
Portnoy and accessing Ohio Stadium Saturday. And that's been a
big topic du jour today. I actually have some thoughts

(01:39):
on it. I knew about this. I knew about it
over the weekend. I didn't say anything on the show
because frankly, I didn't think it warranted being talked about
on the show. But now that Front Office Sports is
reporting it and Yahoo Sports is reporting it, yeah, I'll
tell you what I think about it. Jap Pole dropping
on the show tonight. I told you this morning if
you were following me on the social site, it's going
to be a jam packed show. Friends and family. A

(02:00):
little worried, like, is the physical and mental health gonna sustain?
Not only are we sustaining, we're thriving, We're good. Are
you good? We're good. They're watching us in Elberton, Georgia,
Osan Air Force Base, which I am reliably informed is
in South Korea. Thank you guys for watching. Harrisburg, PA,
which Jesse tells me is in PA. Thank you for watching.

(02:22):
And Joplin, Missouri. Happy to have everybody on board. Listen.
I need you to do two things. Subscribe to all
the channels and this is me giving you time to
do that. And make sure you're following on the socials
at Josh Paate CFB. You've noticed all of our feeds
are blowing up. That's before games have started. We're gonna
be on the sideline at Ohio State Saturday, at least
someone is right unless we trash Ryan Day between now

(02:43):
and then, and we are not wont to do stuff
like that, so we'll be there. A lot of behind
the scenes stuff that you get, especially in the Instagram
story on Saturday afternoons Friday night lines in the Instagram
story Instagram Live on a Friday night, like what are
you doing? It's free Josh pat CFBO. There, okay, let's
dive in. Got a lot to get to you here.
You're at the thickness so we kind of made a

(03:06):
tradition of measuring the thickness of the show, the jam
pactedness of the show, by how loud the papers are
when they hit this new swivel desk in front of me.
By the way, I appreciate you guys for setting that up.
So which game should we open with tonight? And if
you're wondering, by the way, if you're listening to the
show and you somehow missed Sunday, apparently none of the

(03:26):
rest of you did, because we got huge viewership on
that thing. Texas Ohio State was in the Sunday Show.
The video is on the YouTube channel right now. So
we did that game. We did Auburn Baylor on the
Sunday Show. But this is the Tuesday show. Let's dive
in LSU at Clemson Saturday, seven thirty Eastern kickoff on
a b C. This is fowl Herb Street. I do

(03:48):
believe on this game. Week one's been a struggle. I'm
not gonna really dwell on this too much, cause everyone
who follows college football religiously already knows all this stuff.
But Brian Kelly and LSU, well, mainly LSU lately, Brian
Kelly haven't won a season opener since twenty nineteen. Yes,
we know that. Yes, I think most of us remember
that Clemson was zero to three versus the SEC last year.

(04:10):
Even though they won the ACC they went to the playoff.
So I start with this and the interest of making
bowl season great again. Could we call this the Identity Bowl?
Could we call this that? Because there are two differing
philosophies on college football, maybe on life, but on college football.
Because I look at Brian Kelly and I look at LSU,

(04:32):
and they knew they had deficiencies and they went and
attacked the portal. Dabo Sweeney looked and he said, we
don't really have many deficiencies because we haven't leaned on
the portal. We've gone and recruited, remember that, and then
we've developed and we have immersed our guys in a
rock solid culture that people mock Clemson for it. But
it is different up there. I'm not telling you don't

(04:54):
mock them. I'm just saying they're not lying when they
say there's a little different way they do things. I
know that roughs some people the wrong way. In the
personnel world, I know the trash talking behind the scenes,
behind their back shame on you. It is a little
different at Clemson. So anyway, it doesn't matter if you
don't win. So this is where the rubber meets the
road on the test of philosophies. Everyone at LSU believes.

(05:15):
I mean, they'll be the first ones to tell you,
look at how much we spent in the portal. We
answered all of our questions. Okay, now you get to play.
Everyone at Clemson, I'll tell you we all need the portal.
We got us, We're all we need. Okay, Well, now
you get to play and you get home field at
your back. I think the vibe around both of these
coaches with those philosophies, to me is kind of trust.

(05:36):
But verify. Everyone's fully willing to buy into Brian Kelly
as long as his approach verifies everyone's how do you
not buy into Dablos twenty Everyone's still willing to ride
for Dabos Sweny and his way of doing things as
long as it verifies. But I mean, if they lose
twenty one to nine Saturday, then that's probably a little
different tune being sung. So what are the keys to
this game? Well, easily, to me, the most important is

(06:00):
not the quarterback matchup. The most important is it is
a classic time to find out sort of scenario you've
heard of, a time to kill. This is a time
to find out, and it's time to find out about
LSU's offensive line. I have bitten my tongue on this.
I don't feel great about it, But like I've just
said five times already, it doesn't matter how you feel,

(06:20):
cause the games are going to happen. So once we
get to Saturday night, twenty minutes to kick off, ten
minutes to kick off, LSU takes the field. Here we
go first and ten. That's when we find out there's
been a little mixing and matching. They've got some new pieces,
they've got some guys who come back. You do not
get a three week build up to this game. You

(06:41):
don't get ole missus schedule. All due respect, you got
to be hot right out of the gate. Clemson should
have on a paper you hear it there, I'm looking
at it. One of the best defensive fronts in the country.
So if i'm LSU, or if I'm trying to bet
money on LSU, or if I'm just rooting for him,
and I never bet a dime in my life and
never will I need them to at least force a

(07:04):
stalemate there, because what I can't have is a mismatch.
I can't have myself four minutes to halftime sitting here
saying we can't get anything going on the ground. Man,
it's last year all over again. Because the entire hopes
and dreams of anyone back in LSU in this game
and beyond is there will be more offensive balance, and
they won't be in the one hundreds and critical rushing statistics,

(07:24):
and Garrett Nusmeyer won't be asked to win the game
with his arm, because that's how that touchdown to turnover
ratio creeps up a little higher than you're comfortable with it.
Caden Durham's got to be a big time player here.
That offensive line's got to allow him to be a
big time player. And then the follow up to that,
the reason their offensive line at LSU so important is
because it answers the next question that I have written

(07:46):
down on this piece of paper, and that is what
does LSU require Garrett Nussmeyer to do? Great question for
the entire season, the question, the central question for this game,
what does LSU require Garrett Nussmeyer to do? Do they
require him to just stay on schedule because the offensive

(08:07):
line does play at the level they should. Because it's LSU.
Does the run game come through for him? Is it
second five? Is it third and two? Is he just
forced to make good decisions, manage the offense and then
pick his spots, play action, make a few plays here
and there because he is that good? Is it that?
Or is it third and seven? All night? You just
answered to me how this game will go if you

(08:29):
give me the answer one way or the other. I
think a fast start for those reasons is actually borderline
imperative for LSU. I'm not really interested in watching them
play catch up here. That does not interest me whatsoever,
because I do think if that's happening, it's probably because
we're getting a poor answer to these questions, and it
just doesn't lend itself to a happy outcome. Clemson's offense

(08:51):
needs to scale here, though. For all the doubt you
could have, for all the questions you could have about
LSU's offense you might have about Clemsons as well, total
in this game's fifty seven and a half. Yet there
are scenarios slash scenarios where I see both of them
struggling to move the ball a little bit. Clemson's offense

(09:12):
last year was explosive in general, but you got to
dive a little deeper into the book. You gotta lick
the index finger and flip a few pages to really
understand the story there. Because they had nine games last year.
That's worth a paper pop. That's a solid stat. Nine
games for Clemsons offense last year of five plus explosive plays,
top twenty in points per game. They moved the ball

(09:35):
very well, didn't they pull out the magnifying glass. They
played three SEC opponents last year. They were a combined
fourteen of forty on third down. They were two of
sixteen on third and long. There are a couple of
commodities they have at LSU that I trust with my life.
Blake Baker's one of them. That's the defensive coordinator there

(09:56):
for the unwashed, and I trust that they're right when
they say, hey, we went and got a lot of
really good pieces in the secondary. You haven't heard me
doubt that. I trust that, and I trust that they
can play a good ballgame here. LSU's transfers in the
secondary huge X factor. Huge X factor because if that's
stat profile for Clemson carries over again. If it looks

(10:17):
a lot more like the South Carolina game last year
or the Georgia game God Forbid last year, then again
that goes back to well, if you're going to hold
him to twenty one twenty three, I don't need Garrett
Nusmeyer to be superman. I don't have to run it
for two hundred and ten three touchdowns. So my feel
here as we get closer to a pick, my feel

(10:37):
is LSU's going to be pretty strong in this game.
My feel is that they will look prepared. I really
hope nus Meyer is put in a good spot. I
hope that he's good to go. He's one hundred percent.
He's put in a good spot, and he's given a
chance to play his game. Like I just said, bunch
of third alongs, that is no QB's game. I don't

(10:57):
care how good you are. That's not the sweet spot.
The sweet spot is a complimentary ground game, defense doing
its job, and Okay, then if you lose the game,
then I'm happy saying that's on Garrett Nasmayer. I just
hope he's given that opportunity. I think there will be
a swing moment late in this game kind of fell
It kind of feels like the USC game last year,

(11:17):
where there's a lot of optimism, Like you show a
lot through the first three quarters that lead you to
believe we're about to put this one away. And I
like what we've seen. Still got some stuff to work on,
but this is a good starting point, and then it
just swings in the fourth quarter. Let's take a look
at what the odds say FanDuel right now. Clemson minus
three and a half. The model could not agree anymore

(11:39):
with our friends at FanDuel. The model are Internal model
for those unfamiliar, also has Clemson minus three and a half.
You know the names I didn't mention yet that I
think will be the turning point in this game more
westco Williams. If you're banking on Clemson's offense being able
to get it done on third down more this year,

(12:00):
it's because I trust those guys to win contested balls,
and I think that'll happen here. And that is why
I'm going to ride Clemson to win. I'm going to
ride Clemson to cover competitive game decided in the fourth quarter.
If I'm wrong, and if LSU goes up there and wins,
it becomes pretty apparent pretty quickly that JP Pole was

(12:21):
too low on them. I was too low on him,
and at that point it's off to the races. So
this is what God created big Week one matchups for.
We don't have to wait a month. Then we get
to find out immediately right now, that's number five versus
number seven in the odds to win the National Championship
at fandel If you want to drive over there, which

(12:42):
we could. We could. I'll be in Columbus, Ohio Saturday,
but we could drive over to Clemson. We could stop
at Quick Trip along the way. You know, they are
our partner. We are proud to partner with them. I
was just on the horn with Quick Trip Joe today.
QT Joe Bradley. I'm gonna ask you to do something,
but then I want you to go right back to

(13:03):
we call this camera one or three. Go to camera
two right quick. I have an idea that I'm work
shopping and it has something to do with the set
behind me. All right, that's as specific as I can
get right now, because we may not even be able
to do it. Okay, Bradley, back, go back to the camera.
They're actually paying us for so again. I know it's
week one, so I know a lot of people are

(13:23):
stopping by for the first time. And look, if you're
in the live chat right now, and a lot of
you are, You're around people who will become your friends.
We're all family here at Payte State. Many of you
were around last year when we committed a quick trip.
We did this full on recruitment, multiple gas stations vuying
for our services. Once stood out above and beyond. It
felt like home. The official visit was great. It felt

(13:44):
like home at quick Trip. We committed a quick trip.
It's been a great partnership ever since. They fuel the fall.
Don't lie to her, or they will because it starts
this Saturday on the road noon kickoff. I wouldn't have
it any other way, of course, especially when the high
is going to be seventy three in Columbus. They fuel
the fault. Don't lie to her. I'm going to drive
up there. Hey, look, some people fly, not me, not

(14:07):
your boy. Here, mister blue collar, roll up the sleeves,
get in the truck, drive up to Columbus and back.
Why wouldn't I It's going to be beautiful and a quick
trip is fueling us. The whole way there and back,
and we appreciate them. Let us continue. The other night
we did on the show, you may have seen or

(14:29):
heard a full range of SEC win loss record predictions. Now,
if you know me, you know I don't like doing
that stuff because I don't believe there's much skill in it. However,
we got pressed in the spring. I asked on the show,
what is it we don't do normally that you want
us to do? And everyone said, you need to get
more specific about your predictions. And I was like, but
that means that I could be proven wrong more and

(14:51):
they said exactly, and I said exactly. No, I don't
like that. I like credit. I'm not a big fan
of blame. Well, nevertheless, we don't stack the show for me.
We stacked the show for you. So the other night
we did by my estimation, I think right now it
is seven to fourteen PM, August twenty sixth, I think
there are sixteen teams in the SEC. So we did

(15:11):
all those the other night. There are eighteen teams in
the Big ten. So we're going to do those tonight. Bradley,
here's your endpoint. Some of the haters said we weren't
going to do big ten win loss record predictions. The
haters lose again, they stay losing. What do we think here?
This is not the model, to be very clear, you know,
normally I shirk responsibility onto the model for our predictions

(15:33):
on the show. No, this is one of those times
where I'm telling you what I feel here in the gut,
and here this is the heart speaking, and my heart
has led me down some terrible dead end roads in
the past, so why not follow it once more? First up,
the Michigan Wolverines. What do we think the win loss
record here is? Well, let's the Bryce Underwood era. We

(15:54):
know that he's going to start from bell one. They
got some tough road games in the first seven weeks
of their CEA at OU, that's Oklahoma at Nebraska at
USC and I cannot get a grip on them. I've
told you many, many times it feels like they're a
year away from really competing in the Bryce Underwood era
for a national title. But you don't have to compete

(16:16):
for a national title to have a really good year.
I think the wide receiver group, to me, is what
holds them back. They're not dynamic enough there. They don't
touch some of these other high level programs. When it
comes to wide receiver. If I'm wrong about that, they
could compete for it this year. I don't think I'm
wrong about that. What I envision is Bryce Underwood shows
flashes of what he could be, and what he could

(16:37):
be is the best in the country in time, and
then they sell that in the portal and recruiting, and
this time next year we're talking about a loaded wide
receiver room. I could see that, But in the meantime,
they've already lost a swing offensive tackle. They've got elite
talent to replace on the defensive front. On the other side,
I just think they're a year away. I got Michigan
going eight and four, so I do have them going

(16:58):
under that win total apologies, of course, will be due
in December if we're wrong about that. Next up, the
Oregon Ducks went up there a couple of weeks ago.
Oregon could very well have their best overall talent roster
under Dan Lanning. I think that. I believe that staff
feels that, but I think that staff looks at it conditionally,

(17:18):
like it doesn't matter if you've got your most talented roster,
if you have deficiencies that are glaring in one or
two areas do they have that. I don't think so.
I think Dante Moore will be a very very good quarterback.
Could be the surprise of the Big Ten, because I
think most of the country has just kind of forgotten
about him. It's been kind of weird Decorean. Moore could
be a star wide receiver. He could emerge this year.

(17:41):
They need that because I think they need that wide
receiver room to shake out and guys to figure out
their roles. And I don't really think that happens until
a wide receiver one establishes himself, and I think it
could be to Koran Moore. Offensive lines should be a
strength here, and that was the real big question coming
out of last year. And they go get pregnant and
they go get world, and they have to hit on

(18:02):
both of those guys, and they did hit on both
of those guys. I was up there a couple of
weeks ago. I watched in practice though. That's what an
Oregon offensive lineman is supposed to look like. I said
it twice because I was talking about both of them.
Defense has a shot to be really good here. The staff,
I think, is another year older and wiser, and it's
just a program that's maturing, it continues to add layer

(18:26):
after layer of competitive depth. I got Oregon going eleven
and one this year. I got them going to the
Big Ten Championship game, and obviously they're going to be
squarely in the playoffs if they go eleven and one.
Next up, another place we went recently, what do we
think about Penn State. Penn State's not a tough team
to figure out. Penn State probably fewest questions out of

(18:48):
any of these teams. For me, I would call them
the Joe Moore Award favorite. We were tossing this around
the office earlier today. The Joe Moore Award goes to
the best offensive line in the country, and preseason that's
my favorite to win the Joe Moore Award. It's either
their ten and two or eleven and one. You could
predict them to go twelve and zero, but that would

(19:08):
be predicting a win at Ohio State. I'm not that bold.
But outside of that, like flat out, they should win
the Oregon game in Week five. They're coming off a bye.
They've got it in a whiteout at night in Happy Valley.
That's Dan Lanning taking his team on the road with
a new starter at quarterback. Penn State should win that game,

(19:29):
and so I've I've just got to see the wide
receiver unit. Man If I see Trevor Pinyon, Devonte Ross,
and Kyron Hudson, along with a couple of those new guys,
If I see them able to battle for fifty to
fifty balls, if I'm watching them, change the dynamic of
third and five plus for Penn State, because right now

(19:49):
third and six is let's see what we can get
here and make it fourth and manageable. That should not
be the vibe around any kind of elite program, a
program that's contending for a championship. I've got him going
eleven and one. That game at Iowa, which people aren't
talking about. They pretend it's a two game season for
Penn State. That game at Iowa is not easy at all.

(20:11):
But this is a good team, and I got Penn
State going eleven and one. I actually do think they're
a contender for the national championship. Is Nebraska not a
contender for the national championship? Just is Nebraska back? Yeah?
They are back? Before I tell you what the record's
going to be, A great American college football brand is

(20:32):
set to return to the stage this year. You see
that empty chair over there, you wonder who it's for.
It turns out it's for Matt Rule and Nebraska. The
first thing to get excited about is we get Dylan
Ryola back, but we get impaired with Dana Holgerson, new
offensive coordinator there full year. Now, just the sum of
incremental improvement across the board has me excited. The Rule

(20:54):
Rule is real, Matt Rule year three. That's a real thing.
It's happened multiple times at lesser programs. So if he
did it at Baylor, he did it at Temple, He's
gonna do it here. I don't expect a massive defensive
drop off. I am really high on their wide receiver unit.
I think it's very underrated. And what is it rated,
I'm not sure, but not as high as it should be.
Every offensive lineman that they're going to start, I believe

(21:16):
has ten plus starts under his belt. It's a manageable schedule.
I just look so forward to the Week four game
against Michigan because I think they'll be undefeated by Week four.
When Michigan rolls into town, might we roll into town
along with everyone. I've got Nebraska flying over their preseason
win total of seven and a half, which is egregious,

(21:38):
borderline criminal, even by the standards of our friends at FanDuel.
I got Nebraska going ten and two and making the
College Football Playoff next up. It's like a Frank Underwood
move there. I just don't have the presidential ring on
Ohio State. This one's a tough one for me. Ohio

(21:59):
State has questions, but Ohio State has first world questions.
They don't have normal questions up there. When they're replacing
a ton of production. It's not like all due respect,
like backyard you when your local team is replacing a
ton of production. But the defensive line attrition is real here.
Replacing both coordinators is real here. Okay, that's going to
be a problem no matter what. You lose Chip Kelly,

(22:22):
you lose Jim Knowles, that's going to be a problem
no matter what. I think. Their offense is going to
flash greatness. When you have the caliber players on the
field they are this year, you can't help but flash
greatness occasionally. Jeremiah Smith's out there, Brandon Ennis, like guys
like that out there. Julian Sayin's a very talented quarterback.
You just hadn't seen him play yet. They will flash greatness,

(22:42):
will they sustain it? Will it be consistent across the board,
because frankly it wasn't last year. Like they weren't consistently
great last year. They lost two games in the regular
season last year, which I'm not quite sure has sat
with people. When you think about Ohio State last year,
what do you think about national championship? Do you think
two loss regular season in the process. So I'm looking

(23:05):
at them right now, I'm predicting that they'll go ten
and two, and I think I'll get a little pushback
on that. And my push back to the pushback is,
what are you disagreeing with? This is a less talented
or certainly less proven team, not as high caliber or
coaching staff, and that crew lost two games last year.
I'm predicting them to match last year's win loss record.

(23:26):
I think that's more than fair. Next up, USC, do
you have any idea, if anyone out there have any idea, USC.
The collective attitude around that program seems to just be
You'll see what they led like five games last year
in the fourth quarter in Big Ten play they ended
up losing, which is just the most mind boggling stat

(23:46):
of college football this year, and yet they look around
and they say, you'll see, we were out there in
the spring. Lincoln Riley essentially said that on the show
You'll See I'm ready to see. I think the game
at Illinois is the hinge game of the season. That
is in week. That game is September twenty seventh in Champagne.
No one's talking about it nationally. The folks in LA
know about it. The folks that Illinois certainly know about it.

(24:09):
If they come out of that one and they're undefeated,
then it sets up because they got Michigan, Notre Dame,
Nebraska as their next three games, then they're thrust into
the national spotlight. Jade Maiava has a full year as
the starter now like it's his job. He knows it.
It's not Miller Mass and then he's the backup. I'm
excited to see that because Lincoln Riley is more than

(24:31):
proven himself with his ability to develop the quarterback position.
The defense is what excites me the most. It's not
a star studded, like star laden group, but the staff
is undeniable. The progress they made last year is undeniable.
I think that theme will continue this year. Offensive lines
probably my biggest question and their ability to win games.

(24:55):
And you think that's the most common sense thing you
could say. No, I mean in the one possession games,
the ones that are decided in the fourth quarter, which
most of theirs were last year, they were terrible. And
there is a skill, There is an innate ability for
some teams that know how to win to show it,
and then there's the lack of that from organizations that

(25:16):
just continue to lose and come up short in those spots.
Is USC really just like a loser program? I don't
think they are. Lincoln Riley's won. I don't think he
forgot how to win. Maybe it's taken a little longer
than they thought out there. I'm going to put a
nine and three projection on USC. Nine and three not

(25:36):
a playoff team. I got him just on the outside
of that bubble. But that is that's exciting because that
holds that recruiting class together and that probably springboards them
into some irresponsible level hype going into next year. The
rest of the Big ten I've got shaken out like this,
and you gotta bear with me because I just went
through six teams and it's only then that you realize, wow,

(25:59):
another two two thirds of the conference. So I looked
in Jesse and I said, we can't have a telethon tonight,
so let's do six teams individually, and then I'll just
tell you I got Illinois going eight and four. I
got Indiana going eight and four. I got Washington going
eight and four. So I got three eight win teams there,
good solid teams. Just someone's got a tote some l's.

(26:20):
I think those are all good records. I think Illinois
folks will probably want at least nine and three. I
think there's probably one more loss there. I don't think
it's just as easy as returning a bunch of starters
and you carry over all the momentum. I think it'll
be a little more bumpy of road. A good team,
but a little more bumpy of a road. Same with
Indiana this year. Minnesota and Iowa I both have a

(26:41):
seven and five. Iowa concerns me because I think their
potential is higher than that. So you know, out of
all these teams, if someone goes like two games above
what I'm projecting, I think it's probably Iowa going nine
and three instead of seven and five. Rutgers and Michigan State.
I both have it six and six and then we

(27:02):
get be low five hundred. I got Wisconsin at five
and seven, and that sucks. I hope I'm wrong about that,
but that's the toughest schedule in this league. Still don't know.
I'm still asking the fundamental question, what is Wisconsin's identity?
UCLA four and eight, Maryland four and eight, Northwestern three
and nine, Perdue three and nine. So obviously someone in

(27:26):
that bottom group is going to shock the world. Happens
every year. Indiana did it last year. Who would it be?
My guess is Michigan State. If someone truly shocks the
world out of the ones I have projected like seven
and five or worse, I would say probably Michigan State.
But there's just a lot of bottom half of the

(27:47):
big ten. Hopefully that changes. Let's move on. Let me
pull something up here right quick. Okay, we're good. I
welcome constructive feedback on that. Remember the ruveryone. The rule,
just like we stated the other night, and I'll state
it again, is I'm happy to listen to you call
me an idiot. That's fun. I just need you to

(28:09):
make sure if you're calling me an idiot, for things
such as predictions. Give me your prediction. Don't just shout nonsense.
Give me your prediction. Because what we want to do
around here, this is an educational institution. After all. At
Peate State, we want to come back in December and
we want to revisit. It may be that you were right.

(28:29):
It may be that you got Ohio State going twelve
and zero and I was solid two games off and
you were right. But there's also the possibility that I
stumbled into some correct predictions and you're just a little
too high on a team. We just want to responsibly revisit.
That's what December is for. After all, Let's continue. You
know what Sunday Night's for. Well in week one for

(28:53):
standalone college football games, Notre Dame at Miami Sunday night,
seven thirty Eastern, kickoff on ABC. The table is set.
This is wonderful. I think people are talking about Miami
and I think they're half right, because they did miss
a chance last year. They had they had a great quarterback.

(29:17):
In ward, they had an opportunity with the overall skill
level that they had accumulated, and yet they dropped the ball,
and namely, they couldn't play defense. To save their lives.
So they did miss an opportunity last year. There's no
excuse for that team missing the playoff last year. So
there is that there are they're right when they say that.

(29:38):
I think they're incorrect when they say they missed their window.
Miami didn't miss their window. Miami is not a window team.
Miami has the kind of personnel that will allow them
to compete every year. So last year, make no bones
about it, they missed a shot. They could also give
themselves another shot this year and the next year and
the next year. That's like saying it about lscu oh

(30:00):
lsu had Jaden Daniels. They missed their shot. No, they
missed a shot. They'll be right back to having another
shot the year, the year, the year, the year. So
that's Miami. Then the follow up as you dive into
the game is you got a bunch of talk about
quarterback here. Carson Beck has transferred to Miami. He's the
starting quarterback there. CJ. Carr has been named the starting

(30:21):
quarterback at Notre Dame. The difference in those quarterback questions
is astounding. Like Carson Beck, I mean, well, CJ. Carr,
the question is what's he going to because we haven't
seen him start. Carson Beck this time last year, the
talk was enjoy him at Georgia one more year, enjoy
it hit headed off to the NFL after this year,
and instead he headed off to Coral Gables, Florida. Again.

(30:45):
There are no stupid predictions in college football because if
anyone would have predicted that last year, Carson Beck is
going to come back, but he's not going to be
playing for Georgia. Oh and Georgia people are going to
convince you that it's a good thing that he moved
on no one step, So no prediction is stupid this
time of year. Let's dive into the game. I think

(31:07):
that the focus for Notre Dame in this game does
not immediately go to CJ. Car as much as he's
gonna be talked about, and yeah, I have a morbid
fascination with seeing how he fares in this game. The
Notre Dame run game against Miami's run defense is the
most important single facet of this game. I have implicit
trust in Notre Dame's offensive line. I saw everything I
needed to see last year. No matter how many guys

(31:29):
went down, they just trotted another one out there. And
it was like a machine. They just all played to
the same standard. Not only that, you want to talk
about predictions not meaning much. Man, most of us thought
Notre Dame's offensive line might be a net weakness in
the preseason. They were gonna have to put freshmen at
tackle and everything, or start to start young guys along

(31:50):
the offensive line. They're gonna go into Kyle Field in
Week one that passed rush was gonna get after him.
They won. They got better as the season went on,
little blip on the radar screen against Northern Illinois, go
all the way to the national title game. Guys getting
hurt left and right didn't matter. So I believe in them,
and I believe in mister Love and mister Price in
the backfield. I think they can run the ball on

(32:11):
almost anyone. Can they run the ball on anyone? Though?
So last year, little mini paper popper of a stat here,
they played, by our estimation, three top ten teams. We
didn't have Indiana top ten, which is convenient because that
would have bolstered the stat category. I'm about to read
point taken. But they played Georgia, Penn State, and Ohio

(32:33):
State last year and average three point one yards per carry. Now,
what they did do is they were top five in
rushes of thirty plus yards last year, so they had
the explosive run and it really doesn't matter if they're
stoning you Sunday night. If you break off a couple
of fifty plus yard runs, you probably win the ball game.
And that's tough to forecast. So if that profile carries

(32:53):
for Notre Dame, that's interesting. But what if what if
they can't run the ball all that effectively and they
do have to throw the ball, Well, what is Miami's secondary?
Would be my question there? If Notre Dame gets limited
running the ball here, it's a completely overhauled secondary for Miami.
Normally that would concern you. That's actually a blessing in

(33:15):
this case because they essentially didn't have one last year.
There were guys in uniform out there, but it was
largely aesthetic. Mimi didn't really have a secondary. So obviously,
if you like at CJ. Carr, Dud's never played meaningful
downs in his life, and you know that Notre Dame's
bread and Butter's running the ball. I mean, we're gonna

(33:36):
make him throw the ball to beat this. We're gonna
go heavy box. We're gonna make him prove himself. Miami
top twenty and sacks per game last year, and Baine
is back and Mesador's back. Three of their top five
sack getters are back. So you got the whole stay
on schedule thing that you got to worry about. But
Notre Dame has a low key, excellent wide receiver group.

(33:58):
Notre Dame fans would say it's not low key. I
think it's low key because nationally people don't they don't
characterize Notre Dame like that yet. Now, if you show
out Saturday or Sunday night, they'll learn about it. But
do you unlock the ability to take advantage of it?
Like CJ. Carr has the tools as well. CJ. Carr
is very very talented player. It's all got to connect,

(34:19):
like it's all got to come together on the field.
My point there is to remind you some of the
feedback we've gotten from Miami's camp is not only did
we overhaul the secondary, they went and got a ton
of portal guys, went and got a new defensive coordinator.
They actually believe the secondary could be a strength of
this team. And if they're even close to write about that,

(34:39):
then that's a whole new world for Miami, and that's
a whole new way to look at this game. It's
a big test for Shannon Dawson, offensive coordinator at Miami.
It's a really big test for Carson Beck. I mean,
he's the real story that people are going to pay
attention to. But they are replacing their top half dozen
pass catchers. So the real, real, real story, the one

(35:02):
that'll go the furthest in determining Miami's fate here is
Mark Fletcher and Jordan Lyle and that Miami offensive line
specifically against the interior of Notre Dame's defensive front, because
if they do business Sunday night, that's where it'll be,
and you'll see him getting pushed inside, and over the

(35:24):
span of four quarters you'll start to say, Wow, Notre
Dame is not really They don't really have much of
an answer here, and that is an area of potential
vulnerability if you're looking for matchup edges. That is the
potential matchup edge here from Miami. Mark Fletcher. By the way,
if that's the case, that's the name at the end
of the night when they put up the fancy graphics

(35:45):
they have that could be the one that really really
showed out from Miami. Let's take a look at the
FanDuel odds Notre Dame minus two and a half. The
model is a little bit different in the way it
sees this game. It's got it as a straight up
pick them. I think Miami is going to be able
to run the ball, and I think it's going to
be a very very mixed result type game for CJ.

(36:05):
Carr and that Notre Dame passing offense. I actually I'm
going to buy in. I'm gonna buy into the intel
that we've gotten out of Miami about that secondary plenty,
good enough, plenty overhauled enough that I think they give
themselves a shot to win here, and I think they
are able to take over enough. They're not going to
dominate Notre Dame. I'm saying they're going to be able
to take over enough. And that ground game, I mean,

(36:28):
between the tackles is going to be able to be
effective enough to where Miami covers here, and I think
Miami's going to win the game. Out right, sold out
venue there on Sunday night. By the way, I need
to tell you something the other night, I nonchalantly announced
during the show that the Pate State store was back

(36:48):
and that we had added some Fall Don't Lie merchandise.
We added three shirts. You see them if you're watching
on YouTube. They're right there. There's a handy QR code
for you to use. I really under estimated the traffic
the site was going to see it didn't crash, but
we moved some shirts the other night, and just out
of curiosity. If you have it all that just goes

(37:10):
right back into the show. That's how we make sure
we're fully independent. We don't have to lean on private
equity around here. For example. You guys help us out
on that front. And we also have real fun because
the better the store does, the quicker we can get
new designs made. And you know, like someone gives me
a good idea on a Monday night and by Thursday, voila,

(37:32):
it's on the site. That's kind of the vision we've
always had for the store. So Paytstatemterial dot com is open.
These designs are great. That middle one especially is my
favorite one, the Fall Don't Lie logo. It's immaculate. I
have ordered them for my entire apartment hold and I suggest, well,
I don't suggest it. I humbly request that you consider
doing the same. Paytstatematerial dot com. Great, great stop this

(37:56):
time of year. Let's continue. You know what has made
us suspicious appearance in this stack of papers in front
of me, The JP Pole. The JP Pole is here
just in time for week one. JP Pole for those
of you who have been around for a little while,
and makes you inhale and say, here we go. And
for those of you who are new around here, this

(38:18):
is really where you determine how mature you are as
a viewer slash listener of this show, because it is
largely a disaster every single year, and it's not our fault,
not our fault. Watch for instance, or listen for instance.
I'm going to tell you exactly what this is. What
this is is a power rating of neutral field favorability

(38:39):
as determined by this model. If that sounds like Portuguese
to you, then what it is is a way of
stacking these teams up in order of how they would
be favored against each other on a neutral field if
the model were to spit out a point spread, just
like FanDuel for example, only we're not using FanDuel's numbers.
We generate our own numbers. They're going to look a

(38:59):
lot like fanduels because everyone's kind of using the same data.
We're just waiting it slightly differently here or there. There
is no gut involved here, there is no heart, there
is no brain. There's just data that is properly weighted.
The model doesn't even know what conference these teams are in.
In fact, the model doesn't even know who the team is.

(39:20):
The model just knows a set of data. I think
that's fair. Like, I think that's a fair way to
describe what the model is. And then we use it
and we generate the JP pole, which is a play
on the AP pole. I will get pushed back dozens
of times per week. Why do you call it a
pole that there's no voters? Because it sounds good? Why

(39:40):
does anyone call anything anything because it sounds good? But
don't you think it's irresponsible? No, I think it's a
fun thing we do on a college football show. I
think you're overthinking the room a little bit. Calm down,
you're acting like your mother. I think you're overthinking the
room a little bit. If you get bent out of
shape on what we're calling a fictitious poll, that's real
to us. But I digress, Bradley, without further ado show

(40:01):
us the JP Pole because we've had some movement. You know,
we're constantly baking in injury information and intel that we
get and we're tossing it into the old model here,
and so we do have a little movement. That's why
I felt it necessary to sort of re debut the
week one edition of the JP Pole. Texas and Ohio
State are still one two. Do not let the AP

(40:22):
lie to you. We absolutely have number one versus number
two this Saturday in Columbus, Ohio. We will be there,
all right. It's not one three. Forget all that nonsense.
Don't believe what the TV screen graphic tells you. It's
number one versus number two. Penn State's number three. They
moved one up, Georgia moved one down. For the record,
that is two tenths of a point that separates those two.

(40:47):
So before you start scrawling out the hate mail to
send to me, it's two tenths of a point. If
it makes you sleep better at night, flip them, flip them.
The model wouldn't even know the difference. It's less than
half a point. At Alabama five that is unchanged Oregon
is number six. They are now one spot ahead of
Notre Dame. Florida is now number eight. Look at the

(41:11):
eye rolls all over. There's no one in the studio.
I'm just I've got that kind of connection with the audience.
I know a lot of you're not buying Florida, and
that's okay. In due time, like the old man said
in Jurassic Park, I will be accepting your apologies. Don't
embarrass me, Florida, Billy, don't embarrass me. Clemson is at

(41:32):
number nine. They are down one again. These are very
very minute movements, like less than half a point on
all of them. Oklahoma's number ten. Now an important note here,
paper pop of the worst variety Oklahoma. Last year the
JP poll had pre season number twelve. Classic example of

(41:53):
don't blame me, blame the model. There is going to
be There is going to be fool's gold somewhere here.
It's inevitable. Doesn't matter how good your model is. Someone's
going to be dead on arrival, and someone's going to
be outside the top twenty five and make a move.
I just hope it's not Oklahoma again, because at that
point we have to ask some uncomfortable questions about Oklahoma
number eleven. Miami total wildcard team here, because if that

(42:17):
secondary is retooled and Carson Beck is frankly just what
we expected him to be last year, Miami could be
a top five team. Model doesn't really know. Model looks
at Carson Beck and it just has a giant question mark,
so it doesn't know. LSU number twelve. I think LSU
is the biggest potential exposure that I have and that

(42:38):
the model has, because I have LSU going eight and four.
They are the team that's actually capable of eleven and
one that I'm the lowist on. I fully acknowledge, yes,
I'm a little bit lower on LSU than the market.
I acknowledged that they could make a fool out of
me and the model not in that orders you has

(43:00):
me concerned. Miami has me a little concerned having him
outside the top ten. A and M at thirteen, I
could kind of say the same thing, but I think
A and M's properly placed. Okay, there's a lot of
potential there, it's still got to be born out. Ole
Miss at fourteen. Largely agree USC's at fifteen. Do you
know where the AP has USC for all the USC

(43:23):
hatred that we get accused of on this show, and
for all of the USC slurping that the AP gets
accused of, we got him fifteen. The AP has USC
at thirtieth thirtieth. So once USC starts winning this year,
which they will enough, and the AP starts bumping them up. Remember,
in fact, let's have a side prop bet market on FanDuel.

(43:46):
How long does it take? How many weeks before the
AP ranking of USC surpasses the JP poll rating of USC.
Where do you say, Jesse, I must say week six.
Maybe that's when Michigan comes in there, Give me week
give me week seven. I think week seven is when

(44:07):
the AP surpasses US. Let's go sixteen through twenty. So
we got Michigan at sixteen, we got South Carolina at seventeen,
Tennessee at eighteen. These are unchanged. Nebraska is now in
the top twenty of the jpeople. Really really good returns
from camp about wide receiver. I think the offensive line
is getting shaken out. It just may not be the

(44:28):
starting five that were projected in preview magazines, but they'll
get the right starting five there and Georgia Tech number
twenty for the record, just like I said with usc AP,
we're doing your show prep for you. Here the AP
has Nebraska outside the top thirty again a dereliction of
duty covering the sport, and the AP has Georgia Tech

(44:51):
thirty first. I get it. You got to see it
to believe it. We believe it before we see it.
That's what faith is all about. And to a lesser degree,
the japeople the rest of them. Just if you're curious
where teams were or weren't Auburn's twenty one, they're just
outside the top twenty SMUs right behind them Illinois and

(45:11):
Indiana or in the twenty six to twenty seven range.
Utah has me concerned because we got Utah at twenty third.
The ceiling on Big twelve teams is going to be
a little lower because a lot of this is about
talent roster, and the Big twelve teams aren't going to
match up. I think Utah could make some noise. They
could also lose five games. This isn't necessarily about wins
and losses. It's about quality of team and neutral field favorability.

(45:32):
But yeah, Utah at twenty three, it wouldn't surprise me
if there was some Big twelve team that ended up
cracking the top fifteen a few weeks in. If it
was Utah, hooms amongst us knows. That's why we're gonna
play the games. Happy to have you guys in. Make sure.
Make sure if you're watching live or if you're listening
at the replay, watching the replay, just subscribe. Subscribe. I

(45:57):
know it sounds like I'm begging, with good reason, I am.
I'd really love to get us to half a million subscribers,
like we're kind of close. It's just we're doing college
football all year. It's free. It doesn't cost anything for
you to subscribe. It takes two seconds. You don't get
signed up for anything, nothing bad happens. It's all good.

(46:19):
Just that little subscribe button. Just click it and help
us out. We appreciate it. We move on. Game predictions continue.
I got something at the end of the show. I'm
telling you, I'm looking at it right here. It's it's
at the end of the show for a reason. It's
not the portnoys stuff. I'm gonna talk about that, but
it's not the portnoise stuff. In the meantime, Game predictions continue.

(46:42):
Alabama is at Florida State, Saturday, three point thirty ABC,
Joe Tess on the call. Power rated number one in
the PATE State play by play ratings. We'll see if
he holds on to it. It's hard to get a
read on Florida State for obvious reasons, So I mean,
what are you expecting from them? I got loose ideas.
I don't think anyone knows what to expect, like I

(47:03):
certainly don't think they're back to their vintage twenty twenty
three ways or anything like that. But it's just hard.
I mean, you got Gus Malzan the offensive coordinator there,
now you got Tony White the defensive coordinator. Probably the
most important coordinator higher that was made is Ryan Grubb
for Alabama out of all of them, and we get
to see them all on display here. It's the dawn

(47:25):
of the Ty Simpson era at quarterback Forbama. It's the
dawn of the Tommy Castellanos era. How many are going
to go soft on the els remains to be seen.
Another good solid FanDuel prop bet there there is a
world where this game is fundamental. So for the record,
Bama's a thirteen and a half point favorite right now

(47:46):
with good reason. So there's a world in the interest
of predicting this game where it doesn't take long, and
there's a world where this thing becomes really fundamental. Florida
State doesn't know their defensive identity, and that becomes obvious early.
Bama is fully in touch with their offensive identity, and
that becomes obvious earlier. They outmann Florida State. They can
just lean on them, they can take their pick. It's

(48:09):
really good balance play action games working, Bama ground games working.
It's a good plan for ty Simpson. They get several
pass catchers involved, take the crowd out of it. That's
one possible way this game goes. That's the way Bama
wins forty two to seventeen or something like that. But
that's not fun. So a lot of times, if you're

(48:30):
new around here, what we'll do on these double digit
type spreads, these two plus touchdown or thereabout type spreads
is we will just acknowledge there's a reason some teams
favored by double digits. We'll ask ourselves, do we think
there's a shot that the underdog can win outright? And yes,
there is an outside shot that Florida State could win
this game outright, or we wouldn't be talking about it

(48:51):
on the show. So what we like to do with
the game breakdown is we like to ask, what would
that scenario be not to see Florida State cover? What
would the scenario be a Florida State actually won this game?
And I think it's pretty clear. I think it would
be Gus Malsan pulling a Vanderbilt two point zero. Quarterback
runs kill Bama. A quarterback scrambles on broken plays kill Bama.

(49:14):
The just mobile quarterback problem in general continues to bite them.
The option game is lethal. Third down is a nightmare.
Do you remember that Vandy game last year? Paper popper
of a stat here, Vandy was twelve of eighteen on
third down? Bamacan eighteen third down attempts is like half

(49:35):
a month. If you got to buy it could be
a whole month. Vandy had it in one afternoon. They
led twenty three to fourteen at the half. They beat
him forty to thirty five. This is the type of
game with Bama folks thinking their defense as improved as
we think it is, where they're saying, oh, I think
we'll win thirty five thirteen sort of, you know, thirty
eight to seventeen well, the way this goes sideways is

(49:59):
Malzan puts you in a blender in the first half.
He's been cooking something up all spring in summer, and
he pops it on you, and it's twenty to seventeen
at halftime already, and then the second half continues to
play according to script. A couple of interesting subplots here.
In the interest of just talking about all the ways

(50:19):
this game could go. There is also a world where
Bama wins the game, but there are all kind of
red flags on it. Kicking could be one of those.
I'm not very comfortable with the Bama kicking situation right now.
What if Bama wins the game but penalties are a
chronic issue because that was a chronic issue for them
last year. There could also be a scenario I'm not

(50:39):
trying to preach moral victory here for you, but Florida State,
if they lose the game thirty eight to ten, that's
not good. That's not good. Beyond just week one. What
if it's twenty four to twenty three, really really hard fought,
just dogfight of a game. They're up twenty three to
twenty one. Speaking to the Bama kicking game, like maybe
Bama hits a field goal at the buzzer, Quarterback Tommy

(51:02):
Castellano's backs up all the talking over the summer. That
actually gives me a warm, fuzzy feeling about Florida State
moving forward. So you can't just tell me they win
or they lose. I got to know how plays out.
Let's take a look at what the model thinks. The
FanDuel number right now is Bama minus thirteen and a half. Model.
It misled us badly on Florida State last year, so

(51:25):
let it be known the Model did not sink its
teeth into Florida State's issues until way too late in
the year. Models got Bama minus twelve. I fundamentally disagree.
I think there is an interesting way to bet this
game if you're so inclined, and I may talk about
it on Friday Night Lines at Josh pat CFB on

(51:47):
Instagram Live. But as for the whole game, I'm taking
Bama to win. I'm taking Alabama to cover. I think
they win the thing by sixteen seventeen plus something like that,
but I don't know that that's how the game starts.
And just leave it at that for now. Academy Sports
and Outdoors regardless of which fanbase you're in, there is
probably gonna be one in your backyard. It's time to tailgate.

(52:10):
And I cannot stress enough how comfortable and how manageable
the outdoors scene will be across most of the eastern
third of the country Saturday, and so it's late August.
But yet you get to get outside and you don't
even need a fan. You could purchase one at Academy,

(52:30):
but you don't need one. You just need chairs. You
can get them there. You need tailgate equipment, grilling equipment.
The canopy is the tents that just dot the tailgating landscape.
You can get it at Academy Sports and Outdoors. A
little bat and ball for the kiddos to play in
the background, keep an eye on them. You can get
it at Academy Sports and Outdoors. Clothing, footwear, Yeah, you
got all of it, Academy Sports and Outdoors. If you

(52:52):
can't get their in person, Academy dot Com has your hookup.
Longtime partner of the show, we appreciate them. Cleveland, Ohio
is tuned in Fort Worth, Texas, Pensacola, Florida. Let's continue
to roll on. Oh Boy, a good old fashioned topic
on the show. Normally Tuesday Night is mostly game predictions,

(53:15):
but every now and then something happens. Show me the tweet.
Bradley can't believe. I actually can believe someone asked about this.
Let me take a sip of water. Okay, Rich, Sorry,
Rich from Muskegon, Michigan. He said, what do you make
of this story about Dave Portnoy being banned from Ohio

(53:36):
State week one? Can you break out paid state investigates
and get to the bottom of it. Well, there's already
been a lot of investigative journalism about this today. Rich, Now,
if you are unaware of what we're talking about here,
Dave Portnoy runs barstool built barstool. I think it's fair
to say he leans Michigan. I think he's fair to say.

(53:58):
Recently Acquire sired by Fox to appear on Big Noon Kickoff,
which is their counter programming to College Game Day. As
you can imagine, you're looking at Dave Portnoy this, it
doesn't exactly sit well with certain institutions in the Big Ten.
So earlier today, front Off of Sports reported that Ohio
State was banning him from their stadium, which is noteworthy because,

(54:21):
to give you a little inside Football. The way that
these pregame shows work and the way it will work
Saturday is anytime they're at a noon kickoff game. A
lot of times, what they like to do is set
up outside the stadium, do their first hour as they
normally would outside the stadium, but then because the game
is going to be starting in, all the crowd that
they use to basically provide the ambiance is going to

(54:45):
go in the stadium, they go inside the stadium for
the final thirty minutes or hour of programming. They have
an entirely different set built in the stadium. So Fox
does that, ESPN does that. They'll both be their Saturday.
I assume that they'll both do that. I know Fox will,
it's a Fox game, and I assume ESPN will as well.
But anyway, I digress. What's happening here is some people

(55:08):
at Ohio State looked around and said Portnoy's coming in
our stadium over our dead body he is, and front
Off of Sports reported that, Okay. Then Dave Portnoy calls
one of his classic emergency press conferences and he says, yeah,
they banned me, and they also banned the barstool pregame show.
They have their own separate pregame show that emanates from
various CAMPI plural of campus across the country. And then

(55:31):
Ross Dellinger swoops in, like Shawn Michael's on the zip
line at what was the WrestleMania at twelve I believe,
and it was in Anaheim. Anyway, he comes in and
he says, nope, more breaking news. According to Ross Bjork
the ad at Ohio State, and according to Fox themselves,
this was a network decision. Fox just decided, Hey, our

(55:54):
protocol is for guys who are going to be at
the desk at the end of the show, those are
the ones who are cre go inside the stadium. They're
on the field. And we didn't plan on Dave being
on camera at that point, so we weren't gonna have
him in there either way. Much ado about nothing, right, Yeah,
So I heard about this last week. This was brewin
last week. I didn't say anything on air about it

(56:16):
because I didn't really think it was a topic for
the show. I was not surprised when I saw this
headline pop up today. So what do we have here? Well,
we have what Fox banked on. That's what we have.
Fox looked around, they said college Game Day got a
lot of juice right now, College Game Day went and
got Pat McAfee. I don't really particularly care what you

(56:38):
think about him. The results, the added viewership, the traffic,
the attention, the profile of that show has increased net
result of Pat McAfee being on air. They said, how
do we respond to that? They thought to themselves, Dave portnoy,
it's a good, solid chess move, right. The problem is,

(57:00):
Dave Portnoy is not looked at nearly as fondly across
the Big Ten, maybe as Pat McAfee would be looked
at across the SEC, because there's no allegiance that Pat
has to any SEC program, And there is definite, like unapologetic,
cut your chest open with a machete and bleed maze

(57:20):
and blue type allegiance that Dave has with Michigan. This
is not the football business. This is the entertainment business.
This is what you banked on. If you're Fox, Fox
knew pulling this string, they were about to piss off
most of the Big Ten. They did it anyway. They
did it anyway, and you know what the worst thing
to do now would be to back off of it.

(57:42):
Now you made your decision you ride with it. Ryan Day,
for instance, I know hates this. I would if I
were him. I don't think it's soft. Okay, A lot
of people said, oh, this is soft, this is such
a soft move. You'd do the same thing if you
were them. If you listen to a guy trash you,
if you listen to a guy call you crying, day

(58:04):
over and over again, then found out, oh oh, our
media partner hired him for their pregame show. Huh you
think you just sit back and say, oh, well, I
think you pretend like you'd say that. You wouldn't say that,
you'd be just as petty and small as they are.
I don't even know that. I call it small. So
I think both of the trade offs here, both sides
of it are fair. Fox wants to roll the dice,

(58:27):
you know. Fox wants to show a new side of
themselves and put Portnoy on air. That's a gamble, it's
a risk. It's edgy for a reason. You don't get
to make those high risk decisions without any risk. Part
of the risk is you're gonna make some people mad,
and they're gonna try and pull stuff like this. So
if I'm okay with you making the hire, I'm okay

(58:50):
with the counter to that. It's all entertainment. It's all
the entertainment business. Day's not taking the field Saturday at kickoff, Okay,
so it's not affecting the football game. So as long
as it's not a in the football game, that means
it has nothing to do with football. It has to
do with entertainment. And for as much as you may
hate this, like if you're Ryan Day, if I were
Ryan Day, as much as I may hate this, as

(59:12):
much as it may really really aggravate me that this
is even a thing that's on my radar that I
have to worry about. Well that I am worried about.
I'm making ten plus million dollars a year because I'm
in the entertainment business. I Am making ten plus million
a year because of the attention that this stuff gets.
And trust me, it's not always your zone blocking scheme

(59:34):
that attracts the eyeballs. It's the spectacle of it all.
It's the tradition, it's the pasgengtry, it's the storylines. Maybe
some stuff that you could do with or without, but
I guarantee you, when you look at that check you
cash when ross Byork when any ad out there, when
any administrative type, when any assistant coach, when you look
at those checks, you cash those extra few zeros. I'm

(59:57):
not saying it's because Dave Portnoy brought them to the table, well,
but because of that culture, because of the fact that
it exists, because of that entire ecosystem, you get to
live the life you live. This is the trade off.
So he trashes Ohio State. They put him on TV.
You don't want him anywhere near you. That's all fair
to me. That was like, that was my takeaway. It's

(01:00:18):
all fair to me. I'm just ready to kick off
Saturday like that. That's an eleven am, eleven fifteen am,
eleven thirty am thing. I'm ready for twelve pm. That's
what I'm ready for. Yeah, Jesse, he made a good
point in my ear. Do me favor and like the
video while you're watching you know what you do? You
like the video, and then I'll give you some money.

(01:00:40):
What I'm gonna get paid for licking the video? Yes,
in a way, I hold in my hand very important
piece of paper. Ladies and gentlemen, The Rama Noodle Express
is back, proudly powered by FanDuel and coal to a
lesser extent, mainly fan to them. The Ramin'll express for

(01:01:03):
again those who are new amongst us the freshman at
Payte State is just a less fancy way to describe
our best bets of the week. We have profited every
year but one since twenty seventeen off of riding the
model to make our best bets for the week, and
I've got three of them for you tonight. This is

(01:01:24):
not exhaustive, so we update this all throughout the week.
It will culminate with Friday night lines, which will emanate
from whichever hotel I'm staying at in Columbus this Friday night.
You need to be following, so like, check the Instagram
story throughout the day. I'll let you know when I
get in what time we're going to fire it up.
It's usually I can tell you it's going to be
halftime of the Auburn Baylor game. That's when we'll do

(01:01:45):
it this Friday night. Imagine how great is that? How
blessed of a college football people are we You're watching
Auburn and Baylor. Who in the world knows what that
thing's going to look like? And then you get to halftime,
Then you fire up Instagram live for twenty twenty five minutes,
and I said, there in some ill lit hotel room,
a nondescript part of Columbus, Ohio, what could go wrong?

(01:02:06):
I got the model pulled up and I am just
taking live chat after live chat suggestion, let me know
what you think about perdue ball State and I say, well,
my goodness, produce favorite by eighteen and a half. The
model thinks they should only be favored by twelve and
a half. That's a Rama Noodle Express best bet. That's
the vibe. Only you won't hear me say that exact

(01:02:26):
thing Friday night, because I'm saying that exact thing right now.
That is the first best bet of the year on
the Rama Noodle Express, and that is ball State plus
eighteen and a half. I love Barry Odom love him.
He's got like eighty two new players on that team,
and ball State is not exactly leading the country and
returning production either. We just think eighteen and a half

(01:02:47):
is way too many points for ball State to be totin.
So we're gonna take ball State plus eighteen and a half. Also,
a game that concerns me is taking place in Atlanta,
neutral site game the bane of my existence as future
college football commissioner. This game would not be in Atlanta,
but until then, Syracuse is getting thirteen and a half.
Syracuse is expected to fall off this year. They're playing Tennessee.

(01:03:10):
Tennessee's going to be looking to make a statement. Blah
blah blah. Yeah, that's not how we see this game going.
We think Tennessee should be a ten point favorite, not
a thirteen and a half point favorite. So we're taking
Syracuse plus thirteen and a half. And you already heard
me earlier tonight say I think Miami's gonna beat Notre
Dame outright. So if Fandel's going to give us two
and a half, we're going to take two and a half.
Sprinkle some on the money line as well. But as

(01:03:31):
for the romanul express slash record keeping purpi plural of purpose,
we're gonna go Miami plus two and a half. More
to come this week, immunity. That's all available at FanDuel.
Obviously the exclusive odds provider of the show. I was
doing k Adams Show earlier today because it's Future's Day
at FanDuel. I told you about that Sunday night, So

(01:03:53):
Future's Day, which still got about four hours left in it.
In Central time zone is basically a holiday where they
give you all kind of value on the futures markets
over there. So like, if you think John Mattier could
win the Heisman, this is the day you want to
be betting it. Personally, I bet it like three months ago,
but this is the day you want to be bettingan
So we appreciate FanDuel, the exclusive odds provider of the show.

(01:04:17):
I got asked, you know, do you think that there's
a team out there that could have the national title
and Heisman winner? Now you can say Texas, you could
say that, I said Florida, Because if Flagway is good
enough to win the Heisman, Florida obviously was good enough
to get in the playoff, and if Florida's good enough
to get in the playoff, they'll be good enough to
win it. We'll see, Okay. Sign up for FanDuel at

(01:04:40):
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(01:05:00):
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(01:05:20):
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have terrible news. They're at it again. They're at it again.

(01:05:43):
I'm gonna give Bradley time to gather himself in there.
Really that's a lie. I'm giving myself time to gather
my thoughts here. I'm not happy about this. Uh, this
happens too often in our sport. Stop filibustering. What are
you talking about? Well, here's what I'm talking about. Paul
hit me from Dover, New Hampshire. He said, what were

(01:06:04):
you talking about with people wanting to do away with
the Pharmageddon name. Great question, Paul, I will tell you
Farmageddon just got played in Dublin, Ireland. Farmageddon is the
name of the Iowa State Kansas State rivalry game. All right,
if you were following me on Twitter earlier today, you
saw what Paul's talking about. Here. It is right here,

(01:06:24):
Bradley's showing it to you. Oh big hiccup. I said.
Any official from Kansas State or Iowa State or the
Big twelve that has lobbied ESPN to not use the
term pharmageddon is a completely unseerious person. This is a
real thing that's happening. It's a serious thing. These are
not serious people, but it is a serious thing. So

(01:06:46):
Rhys Davis, I believe, was doing the College Game Day podcast,
and I believe it was today or yesterday. It was
the most recent episode. There was a little snippet that
caught some people's attention where he was talking about the
game and they mentioned form again. They said the term
and Ryes Davis revealed that there was a push by
certain unnamed sweater vests in the room to have them

(01:07:10):
not use that term on air, but he didn't get
really specific about who it was, because he's too respectful
and he's too professional. But I'm not so pate. State
investigates went to get to the bottom of it today,
and I am telling you it has nothing to do
with ESPN, and it has nothing to do with the
Big twelve. But there are, in fact people, There are,

(01:07:33):
in fact folks moving in the shadows who are trying
to do exactly what he suggested, and that is take
great rivalry game names and eradicate them like the old
dudes sitting on the cracker barrel logo. As of two
hours ago, the old dude on the cracker barrel logo
is back because common sense prevailed. Golf Clap to all

(01:07:55):
of you bullying works. Memaw taught me that a long
time ago. So it's time to bully your local Big
twelve sweater vest because they're trying to do it to
your conference America's college football conference rivalries are the best
thing about college football. Rivalry names are some of the
best things about the best things in college football. And

(01:08:16):
you got folks who have no clue which way is
up when it comes to tradition and pageantry. You got
folks wearing school colors that have no clue what those
colors represent. And I'm telling you, as much as you
made to test some of these people, you do not
detest them enough. Nobody hates college football more than some
of the people that try and run college football. So

(01:08:37):
the types of people we're talking about here are not coaches,
They are not media executives. Even in this case, Na,
it's your good old fashioned campus sweater vest. The kind
of people who you don't see a whole lot. You
don't see them because they wait until mid first quarter
to arrive at the stadium and they leave mid fourth
quarter so they don't have to rub shoulders with you.

(01:08:58):
They will pose with the concession food, but then they
toss in the trash after you put the phone away
because they're still full from brunch at the country club.
Their job exists because of you, but they can't stand you.
They have nothing in common with you. They could not
care less about you. And they look at a name
like farm aged and they say it's got farm in it, farming,

(01:09:23):
Who farms? Farmers? That's who farms. Check your fridge. Check
it where you think that came from. It didn't come
from Lower Manhattan. A lot of folks marketing degrees, and
that's the worst thing they could peep they could possibly
be equipped with, because they've got degrees and a bunch
of stuff that's hanging on the wall. What they are

(01:09:44):
not degreed in whatsoever is basic human nature. They don't
know real people. They don't They might as well be
your kid playing with a bubble set, those bubbles floating
through the air. That's the extent of their social circle.
And they don't want it to be any other way.
They got nothing with you. And it's okay if they
exist outside college football. But every now and then one

(01:10:05):
of these folks weasels their way into a decision making
position in college athletics and they look around and they say,
oh good, I can make a lot of money over here,
but I don't like this world. It doesn't look like
a world that I want to have anything to do
with it. And so what do they do? Do They leave? No? No, Instead,
they try and fundamentally change everything about this world. Things

(01:10:26):
that we would consider great they consider a nuisance. Rivalry
game names being one of those. And I am here
to tell you that as Pate State investigates looked around
this issue earlier today, I uncovered some troubling news. While
there may be nameless, faceless sweater vests at Iowa State
and or Kansas State that would like to do away

(01:10:47):
with the rivalry game name for him, aged that's not
the only rivalry game name that is under threat, even
in the Big Twelve. So let's take a lesson from
Cracker Barrel protocol. The old Dude's back, the old logos back.
But at least at least there we had to watch
and suffer through all the cringiness all week where we

(01:11:10):
watch people painfully out of touch with a brand and
its mission try and torch it and its credibility, only
to be saved at the eleventh hour. And the Big twelve.
Don't let it come to that. You got to bully
these people, not physically, but verbally, and not in necessarily
a harassing way. But you just gotta let them know.

(01:11:31):
Let them know what Big twelve football means, let them
know what college football means. When they throw around those
words tradition and pageantry just cause they focus group, well,
let them know they mean more than just the needle
ticked up in their focus group meter. Those aren't just
tested words. Those words mean something to people, culture, ways

(01:11:53):
of life. That stuff means something to people like us,
and so I would recommend you speak up long and
loud on this sort of thing, or else you may
find yourself on the defensive. Like our fine friends at
Cracker Barrel did so they prevailed. I hope we will
on this front. That's how I'd like to end tonight's show.
Appreciate you guys. We're gonna start to show an hour

(01:12:15):
early Thursday, so normally we're eight eastern seventh Central. We
got football starting Thursday night, though, so let's go seven eastern,
sixth Central on Thursday night. Now, I got news for
you as well. Go ahead and start preparing yourself for this.
Our Sunday show is going to be probably a one
eastern time start, So South Carolina Virginia Tech is mid afternoon,

(01:12:37):
Notre Dame Miami is at night. So we've never done
that before. We're gonna do like a noon Central time
start on Sunday, So start setting your watches. Okay, we'll
be back here Thursday night. Until then. For director Bradley,
for producer Jesse, I'm Josh Bate. Take care, have a
great rest of your evening, and God bless. Sign up

(01:13:11):
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(01:13:31):
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