Season Prediction Special: Conference Title & Playoff Picks + Fall Camp Intel

Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:16):
Longtime viewers and listeners to and of the program will
remember I was against playoff expansion. But as I was
against it, I said, it's not all bad. There's going
to be some good things that come from playoff expansion.
Then I said the same thing about the portal. Then
I said the same thing about nil to a certain extent. Well,
I already voiced my concerns about the bad stuff. Here's

(00:36):
the good thing that brought. This season's going to be insane.
I've never been more convinced. I just got off the road.
I was at Oregon and Alabama over the weekend. We'll
be on the road this week. I have seen many
different CAMPI plural of campus. I have seen many different
practice plural of practices. I'm telling you there's not much separation.
I'm telling you, like, the number fifteen team in the

(00:56):
country could win the national title this year, and we
just haven't said that. We're jam packed. We're high at
top a sizzling downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Why does my voice
sound so skippy? Why does my energy level sound like
it's high? Well, as of this morning, it is game
week of week zero of college football. That's why need
I say more. Oh, there is more. We've got predictions

(01:19):
on the show tonight. I am doing my conference predictions.
I'm doing season predictions. I am not waiting any longer,
you know, because just in case I was State goes
and wins the national Championship, I wanted to go ahead
and predict it before they play a football game. We've
got fall camp intel, Like listen, listen to how heavy
that packet of paper is hitting the table. I was
at a couple of practices over the past couple of days,

(01:40):
so I'll let you know what things look like at
Oregon and Alabama. We got some stuff on Georgia. I
got some stuff on Clemson tonight. I can't fit it
all in the show. We have got several announcements coming
this week, all good announcements, no bad announcements like Bradley's
not getting fired or anything like that that I know of.
I don't want him to get complacent, but I think
Bradley's safe this week. But man, we got a we

(02:01):
got a lot to roll out. So you need to
be following on the socials at Josh payt CFP. Just
make sure you're following there because I can't honestly I
can't announce all this stuff on the show because it
would clog the show up. So I've got all that.
Are you notice I listed fourteen bullet points and only
now am I ready to reveal to you that, Yeah,
I am going to talk about that ridiculous Big ten

(02:22):
alleged playoff expansion proposal. I will talk about it, but
you know my entire philosophy on this, and that is,
if it's June, okay, we're not leading the show with
playoff expansion or conference realignment nonsense for lack of a
stronger term, when there's real football to talk about, and
as far as I can tell, we're halfway through fall camps,
there's a lot of football to talk about. So yeah,

(02:43):
we'll put that like this piece of paper very end
of the show. That's when we're going to do that.
They're watching us in Salina, Texas, Pine Mountain, Georgia, Hey,
Fort Payne, Alabama, Spokane, Washington, tuned in listen. I'm going
to put a lot of pressure on the crew. We're
doing our show from Penn State Tuesday night. And the
reason I say a lot of pressure is because Jesse,
what we got like a piece of equipment that we

(03:04):
need to come in, and we got to make sure
it comes in. So knock on fake wood, here it
comes in. We're gonna be up in State College Tuesday.
I'm gonna go check out Penn State. I'm gonna do
that to James Franklin's door. We'll see if he opens
the door. May even have him on the show, I'm told.
Imagine that man middle of fall camp taking time out
for us. But yeah, we're gonna do the show from
Penn State Tuesday night, hopefully live. So again, it is

(03:27):
a week full of announcements and we're gonna be on
the road during that week, so make sure you're following
at Josh payt CFB. So let's lead the show with
predictions tonight. This is not the kind of thing where
I say, hey, we're gonna predict and then I wait
an hour and a half. I am going to lead
the show with it, big ten predictions. We have waited
and waited long enough. How's this thing gonna go? We

(03:48):
are gearing up for three straight here. You know, three
straight is a streak. At two straight, that's not a streak.
Contrary to what the Chicago papers and the Detroit papers
have told you, no, no, no, it would be a streak.
If you want three national titles in a row, they
could do it. Ohio State got good odds, Penn State
closely behind Oregon third, and then there's a drop off
in the odds to win the Big Ten and then

(04:10):
Oregon third, Michigan way down below Oregon fourth, USC and
then there's a little drop off again to like you're
Nebraska's your Iowa's, Indiana, Illinois. I think the last time
one of these top four did not win this league
was like twenty fifteen, Michigan State, I want to say,
so it's been a little while. Tier one I think

(04:32):
is three deep. Tier two you could say is just
Michigan and then it's Tier three, or you could say
there is no Tier two. Michigan's part of Tier three,
or you could say Michigan's part of Tier one and
still there's no Tier two, however you want to classify it.
I think Michigan's going to be a much different team
in November than they are in late August early September. Anyway,
So here are some things I think I know about
the Big Ten. Is we get into predictions here, Penn State,

(04:56):
there are two seasons for Penn State this year, and
there are two different themes basically, and they're not interested
in talking about the first one. The first season for
Penn State is let's make sure everything validates. Let's make
sure they are who we think they are, and they
will be They're not going to be a bad team,
so they'll be a contender. They'll be favored in just

(05:17):
about every game they play, maybe outside of at Ohio State,
they're capable of winning all of them. Let's say all
that happens. Let's say, for the sake of argument and
Jesse's conscience, they even get through to Indianapolis, they win
the Big Ten. That's season one. That's a good season.
It's great. That's not what they're looking for at Penn State. Candidly,
this is one of those very unique situations where there

(05:38):
is not job security pressure, but there's competitive pressure to
go win the national championship, at the very least win
the Big Ten. And even if they do that, that's
just when the second season starts. And the second season
is basically okay, Penn State got through the regular season
and they were good enough to do that. What if
someone does in the playoffs what Ohio State did last year.
What if Texas gets in and revs the engine, if

(06:00):
to Georgia in there. What if it's an organ in
there but they red the engine and you find out
their top end potential is better than yours. What if
your best is a minus, but someone's got the talent
level to be an A or n a plus and
you run up against him in the playoff. That's the
second season. I think staff attrition for Ohio State is
as big as the roster attrition. That's another thing I think.

(06:22):
I know yo Ohio State won a national title last year. Yeah,
they're losing a lot to the draft. That's what happens
when you're really good. That's the trade off. But I'm
telling you, I know in Columbus they're keenly aware of
how good Chip Kelly was, how important he was, how
good Jim Knowles was. They don't speak his name anymore,
but how important he was. Those guys are gone. And
it's not like I don't believe Matt Patricia is able

(06:43):
to coach this game, or that I don't believe that
when you elevate from within, especially that you've got you know,
the wherewithal and you've got the system knowledge Brian hartlines
in the new OC there, it's not that I don't
believe that there's a difference in those guys being good
or really good versus them being championship caliber and your

(07:03):
programm being championship caliber. It'd be one thing if you're
elevating those guys and they're coaching a bunch of players
who are just returning. But you got so much newness everywhere.
That's part of the fun. That's part of the challenge
for Ryan Day, that's part of the fun. You remember
when we were up there in spring. Part of the
reason he emphasized, Hey, I've got benefit of the doubt
on my side now. I asked him, what's the difference.
He said, I've got benefit of the doubt on my side. Now.

(07:24):
That's invaluable because now you make all these moves and
people just assume you know what you're talking about because
you won a national championship, whereas before you were an
idiot you got second guests eight days out of the week.
The third thing I think I know about this conference
Tier three is the story for the Big ten. Okay,
That's why I said, you know that Ohio State and
Oregon and Penn State in some shape, form or fashion.

(07:45):
Are the tier one of this conference? Tier two? Is
it Michigan and or is it nobody? I'm looking at
tier three regardless of how you think those first four
teams pan out Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, USC, I throw
Washington in there. Those are all teams with win totals

(08:05):
of seven and a half to eight and a half.
And so that's tier three of the conference now. Historically,
meaning the last decade or so, that hasn't mattered because
no one in that tier has been a threat to
jump up in most of the times, bite one of
the top teams, but especially contend for the title. Could
Nebraska contend for the league title this year? Could USC

(08:25):
compete for the league title this year? I don't mean
upset someone who could compete for it, I mean outright
compete for it, because that's been the difference to me
still in the competitive landscape of the Big Ten versus
the SEC SEC competitive depth wise goes a lot deeper
than the Big Ten, or it has is that the
case this year? The fourth thing, as we talk about

(08:46):
Drew Aler talk about Julian saying Bryce Underwood the most
intriguing quarterbacks in this conference may be on the West coast,
Dante Moore at Oregon, Demon Williams at Washington, and the
ladder of whom or Hoom's just being talked about even
less than the former, and neither of them are being
talked about to the degree that the others are. Those

(09:06):
two could be bona fide studs this year, and they're
not being talked about as much. And it's pretty obvious
why because they play halfway to Russia and so, you know,
Big ten Media Center being where it is, they're just
not gonna have the baked in brand name. They're not
going to be the focus in preseason. That's okay, though.
I think they're both really good. I got very little
doubt about either one of them, and they may fundamentally

(09:28):
impact this league title race. And the fifth thing I
think I know is that patients will pay off for
Bryce Underwood. Now that may not mean that you win
ten games this year, but I do think patients will
pay off in a sense that that dude's really good. Now,
that's why he's gonna win the job up there. He
will be really good as ever long as he's at Michigan.

(09:51):
I also think that you've got this whole NCAA thing
behind you now. I don't know how worried they were
about that, but it's behind him now. You just get
to know. Okay, we can see, as far as the
eye can see on the landscape, future is ours and
we got this quarterback. But the point being if they
start to trend up middle of the season, then later

(10:12):
think about what that does for the roster construction of
the twenty twenty sixteen and beyond. If they win in
twenty twenty five, to me, it's a bonus. I may
not think that way if I were a Michigan fan,
but I'm just sitting down here in Nashville. I would think, Dude,
if we can win nine or ten games and surprise people,
that's great. But I'm thinking twenty twenty six and beyond
because I could win another national title with that guy.
A few of the favorite win totals I have in

(10:34):
the Big Ten, I've bet these, so we're on all these.
We've talked about some of them so far. Nebraska over
seven and a half wins. I cannot believe this number
is still available at FanDuel. Nebraska over seven and a
half wins. We've got it graded as the easiest schedule
in Big Ten play. I don't think the market is
properly pricing in the offensive elevation that's gonna happen here.

(10:58):
I think most people expect, Oh, Dylan Ryola another year in.
Maybe people know Dana Holgerson is there, and maybe they don't.
I just think beyond that man the supporting cast, like
the wide receiver room here, the tailback room, I think
that the overall elevation of this offense is not being
properly priced in. They are going to fly pass seven
and a half wins. I firmly believe that. I believe

(11:21):
the opposite about Wisconsin. As much as I love the
alpacaforms up there, I believe that Wisconsin under five and
a half wins. As much as I believed it in
the spring, I still believe it now. We've got that
graded as the toughest strength of schedule in the Big Ten.
They face one team in conference play with worse odds
than them. They play nine conference games. Famously, if you

(11:43):
haven't listened to coach Sigg lately, nine conference games up there.
They only play one conference game against a team with
odds worse than them. They play Bama in out of
conference play, and I don't really know what the identity
of the team is still, So I'm going under. You're
on Wisconsin, and I'm going under on Michigan as well.
As much as I believe in the future of the team,

(12:05):
I could just see eight and four this year, And frankly,
I could see an eight and four that kind of
goes like last year, where you scale up towards the
end of the year. Who knows if that includes a
win over Ohio State or not. But I could just
see finish and strong at Michigan State, Perdue, at Northwestern,
at Maryland. Even if you lose close to Ohio State,
you just finished strong. Bryce Underwood got better and better

(12:27):
as the weeks went on. You finish eight and four, okay,
and everyone's excited about next year. But I'm going under
eight and a half with Michigan win total. Here we
go conference championship matchup I've got as a rematch of
the regular season. This game I believe is gonna happen
in Week five in Happy Valley, Oregon goes to Penn State,

(12:50):
and Penn State will be favored in that game and
it'll be a wide out. I think we're going to
get a rematch of that game in Indianapolis. And I've
got Penn State versus Oregon for the Big Ten Championship.
And I've got Penn State over Oregon for the Big
Ten Championship. So James Franklin taking home the Big Ten crown.
That gets them easily a top four seed in the playoffs,

(13:12):
so they'll have a first round by and the runway
will be set up for him. Oregon's probably in the
playoff too, just you know, not in that one seed,
which didn't do them any favors last year anyway, So whatever,
But I got Penn State over Oregon. I think it's
a rematch of the regular season. Ohio State's very much
in this. I'm not down on them. I think it
actually may come down to tiebreaker that decides who goes.

(13:33):
And my sleeper in this conference that I didn't really
talk about. Michigan State, I think is a much better
team than the market will give them credit for. I
think they're the kind of team since they play all
the contenders basically that bites one of them, but themselves
does not have the consistency and performance to compete for
the league title this year. Just keep an eye on them,

(13:53):
you know, kind of like a pest. This keeps buzzing
in your ear. That's Michigan State to me. This year
will probably be on the road to see some of
these teams and it will be thanks to Quick Trip.
We appreciate them. You know, we got a little announcement
coming up later in the show. We're going to announce
the tour destination this year. We're going to announce the
Week one destination and just flat out announce the tour name.

(14:14):
This year, It's a big night on campus here at
Peyton State. That's why I'm trying to have a little
tempo about my voice. But Quick Trip fueling us, partnering
with us, loving us, caring for us, understanding us. I
just got a text which this is a complete breach
of confidentiality. It probably violates the agreement that we have

(14:37):
with them. This is a text from one of our
close good friends at Quick Trip. I'm on the record
as saying Farm and Eddon should only be played in
states that have breakfast pizza. With that being said, welcome
back college football. What are your thoughts? How do you
not get romantic about Quick Trip? Oh? By the way,
colbron tap very very very fairly priced fuel out front

(14:58):
Quick Trip. There's a re that we committed to them,
and there's a reason that they are the fuel provider
for the fall tour. Thank you, Quick Trip. Let's move on.
In case you didn't notice its prediction night around here,
it's time to predict the SEC. Let's not waste any

(15:19):
more time, all right, Alabama and Georgia have won this
thing ten of the last eleven years. Let me repeat
for the people that think this is like the most
competitively balanced league in America, Bama and Georgia have won
this thing ten out of the last eleven years, LSU
twenty nineteen being the exception. So when people have chanted SEC,
they should have just chanted Uga or Bama because that's

(15:42):
really been the standard bearer. However, Texas is favored to
win the league. Texas is number one in the JP Pole.
Texas is number one in the APE Pole. We're gonna
go ahead and play the season anyway. But Sark, they
got Texas in a really good spot here. I have
never seen depth of contention like this, Bradley, keep this
up for a second, immunity. So if you look at

(16:03):
the odds to win this league, people have always said,
the SEC is deep. What they've meant by that is
the number one team when they go play the number
eight or nine team, that's a tougher opponent than the
eight or the nine in the Big Ten or the ACC. Like,
there's quality of competition, but there has not been depth
of contention. Depth of contention has been void because there's

(16:27):
been an alpha or maybe a one to a one B.
It's normally been Bama or Georgia or in twenty nineteen LSU,
and you've known there's no way the number six team
in this league is going to beat that number one
for the SEC championship. This year is different, I promise
you I've not seen it like this. This is a
year where Texas is favored to win it. But if
you go number two, number three, number four, number five,

(16:49):
number six, number seven is old Miss, I can make
a case for him. Oklahoma's number nine. I got them
top ten in my Japeople, so you know, goodwill, I
could make a case for Oklahoma. South Carolina's down there
at eleven, and they may have the best offensive and
defensive player in the league by the end of the year.
So the depth of contention, the amount of teams that

(17:09):
can legitimately win this conference. I've never seen it this deep.
I don't know that Memo ever saw it that competitively deep.
So the separation or the cannibalization, that's the theme in
this league this year and every year. Do we have
a situation where by week eight you look at me
and I look at you and say, dude, no one's
beaten Georgia, no one's beaten Bama, no one's beaten Texas,

(17:33):
or they're on a collision course. But outside of those
two teams, no one's going to touch them. I don't
think it's going to be like that. I think it's
going to be another cannibalization special. However, we do reserve
the right to watch the games and change our minds.
You've got Hugh Freeze got to get it done this year.
Brent Venable's got to get it done this year. I'm

(17:55):
going to talk about Brian Kelly in a second. He's
kind of got to get it done this year. But
it is in a little bit different footing than the
other two. So here's some things I think I know
about the SEC. I think I know Georgia's offensive line
is the most important unit in this entire league, because
if Georgia's offensive line is frankly what they think it is,
Georgia should be priced to win the league. I think

(18:19):
it would be fair to favor them to win the
league if their offensive line is back to being dominant,
if it's back to being a plus unit. It was
not last year. And yet they trusted their development, they
trusted their personnel, they trusted their philosophy. They did not
freak out and go attack the transfer portal. They did
it at wide receiver, they did not do that at
offensive line. And the stuff that I'm hearing out of

(18:40):
fall camp is good. We got to wait and see,
but it's good. I did not believe that they struggle
two years in a row to that degree. But if
that is the case, think about what they can do philosophically.
And they play Bama at home, they play they play
Texas at home, they play Ole Miss at home, they
play Florida and Jacksonville. If they just lean on teams,

(19:03):
if they can take over games like, if they can
play complementary the way they want to, not only does
it impact them, it impacts the entire league race. If
George is not that, if that offensive line is just average, well,
then you're putting a new quarterback in an unwinnable situation.
It probably never allows your ground game to make way
for balance offensively, which means that wide receiver room you're

(19:27):
so excited about doesn't ever pan out, and your number
one receiver's got like six hundred and seventy yards at
the end of the year, and you're asking how that
offensive line at Georgia predicates a lot of how the
rest of this conference will play out. I think I
know there's minimal separation between Tier one and Tier two,
and that's very abnormal because, as I said a second ago,
I won't belabor this point a whole lot. Normally there

(19:49):
is separation in the SEC. Normally you've got historically, like
under sab and it would be Bama and sometimes no
one else, or if it was someone else, it would
be Georgia and then LSU occasionally pops up. But there
was separation, and for Alabama to lose like it was,
it grabbed the nation's attention when they lost. There is

(20:11):
no upset in this league this year, featuring those top
ten or eleven teams that's going to turn people's heads
three hundred and sixty degrees on their shoulders, or if
that does happen, you just hadn't been paying attention. Because
the competitive depth in this league is, or the competitive
balance I guess in the league is unlike anything I've
ever seen. Third thing, I think I know, I'm going

(20:34):
to pop the paper on this. I think I know
either Oklahoma or Florida will make the playoff. And I
think you're laughing at me, which I've asked you not
to do, especially if you're around other people. But judging
by the interactions I've had at my local gym, I
am somewhat on an island with this. But that's okay.

(20:55):
That's island living is some of the best living. Just
as the late Jimmy Buffett, Florida and Oklahoma I both
have power rated as top ten teams. They both have
incredibly difficult schedules. I believe at least one of them
will pierce through. I believe that either one of them
is in at nine to three, so you can lose
a quarter of your games, and as long as you're
there at the end of the year, I think they're

(21:16):
going to put you in. I think one of them
will be in there. I think that Oklahoma, for example,
plays LSU last game of the year. That transitions me
to my next thing. I think, I know. I think
Brian Kelly will be the most talked about coach in
this league this year. I think Brian Kelly will be
the most talked about head coach in the SEC because

(21:36):
they are in a position where they should compete for
the SEC championship. They should be a prime playoff team.
They should be. They reconstructed their roster through the portal
about as effectively as anyone in the country. It's LSU already,
so they weren't without pieces. It wasn't a poverty program,
but they had backslid a little bit. Now, you know,

(21:57):
if you watch this show, I could not endorse any more.
Only the defensive hires they made last year. This is
the second year with Blake Baker defensive coordinator. I expect
quantum leaps of improvement there. You've got a returning quarterback
in Garrettnusmeyer. They believe they filled the holes, but they
better be right because this is not a team that
has started hot. And they play Clemson, Florida, Ole, Miss,

(22:18):
South Carolina at Vanderbilt, and Texas A and M before Halloween.
So they've got several Losable games before Halloween. They got
the Bama game after that, and Brian Kelly is in
the most unique kind of pressure spot. It's not like
Hugh Freeze. It's not like Brenton Venables, like they haven't
fallen off some cliff or anything like that. But it's
LSU and there's no yeah. But sometimes teams struggle and

(22:41):
it's like, yeah, but you don't know about the limitation
we've been dealing with. There's nothing like that. There's not
like they're recovering from crippling NCAA sanctions. Any sanction LSU
suffered from they self imposed, by poor hiring or by
poor development. So like, I think they corrected all that.
But here's the follow up. I'm right. I know I'm

(23:04):
right when I say they corrected, and that means a
lot of that staff they're really good, and that front
office is really good and people down there know it.
So if you turn in another eight and four year,
I think there's the kind of pressure that people look
at you and say, this program entirely is not the problem.

(23:25):
We think we've identified the problem. Maybe it's just you.
Is that fair? Maybe maybe not, But that's a unique
kind of pressure. That I don't think anyone else in
this league is under now. If it goes sideways, he'll
be talked about every week. What if they go pop
Clemson thirty to seventeen in Week one and they get
off to a hot start and they're like a one

(23:46):
lost team headed into Tuscaloosa in November, then Brian Kelly
is the talk of the league as well, for much
different reasons. So this is not a glass half empty thing.
No matter how full of the glass is. Brian Kelly
will be talked about all year long. And they play
lay competition all year long. There's not like a four
week stretch where they disappear from the public eye. So
and Brian Kelly and LSU will be in the spotlight.

(24:08):
They're expected to do big things and if they do,
it will validate Brian Kelly's existence as the LSU head coach.
And if they don't, then it will validate people who
think he's a fraud. No matter what, he's going to
be talked about a lot. The fifth thing I think
I know is Texas A and m versus Texas at
the very end of the year. The implications on that
game will be as big or bigger than they were

(24:28):
last year. I think this has been memory hold a
little bit because I don't think most of the college
football public remembers how big this game was. Last year
Texas went and won. It was sort of a boring game,
and people have forgotten how it went. Texas versus Texas
A and M was played with a trip to Atlanta
on the line, and the team that goes to Atlanta

(24:50):
is gonna be in the playoff. A and M was
that close to being a playoff team last year. Texas
was a playoff team last year, even though they lost
in Atlanta. So my point is, I believe this game
will be as high leverage a game, as implication ridden
a game this year as it was last year. You
don't have any problem believing that about Texas. I am

(25:11):
telling you I believe it about Texas A and M
as well. Some of my favorite win totals. Let's see
one too. Yeah, I've bet all these two to carry over.
We're just talking about him here. I got Texas A
and M over seven and a half. You talk about
market inefficiencies, that's really what you're looking for in win totals.
I think the market is failing to identify the skill

(25:32):
level overlapping with identity factor. Here, the market is not
failing to know the players. Texas A and M has
all of that's always priced in the skill set. The
talent profile of the team, overlapping with what I believe
their identity will be is such that I believe they'll
go over seven and a half. I think they'll go
over seven and a half, to the point where again

(25:54):
that last week in the season they are in a
position to beat Texas and go to Atlanta, beat Texas
and be a playoff team. So clearly I think their
quality is going to be over seven and a half.
I think Florida is going to be over seven and
a half. Now, this is where you can't get it
out of your mouth before people say, oh, the schedule though, guys,
I know what the schedule is so today, that's why

(26:17):
they are an over under seven and a half win team.
And yet, forget about my power ratings. I could call
FanDuel up right now. I think you guys will be
a little surprised how high they are on Florida. Who
Maybe we'll have that conversation in the not too distant future.
I am betting they're good enough to drill. They are
Bruce Willis and armagedin. You're on an asteroid. It's iron fairright,

(26:38):
it doesn't matter because you're the best driller in the country,
and you may break a drill head or two. You
may lose Max off into space and Steve BESHEMI may
go crazy, but in the end, you drill to eight
hundred feet. In this case, eight hundred feet is nine
and three, and I think they can drill to nine
and three and be a playoff contender. Therefore, I think

(27:00):
they're going over seven and a half wins DJ Lagway,
I want to stress is the key to all this happening,
because he needs to be healthy. There has to be
an under here. I can't just do overs. It's not Christmas.
We can't just hand out presents. And I regret to
inform you. And if you know this show, you know
that this actually does pain me that I'm going under
five and a half on Arkansas. This sucks. They are

(27:24):
the number three strength of schedule according to US. Here's
my philosophy on this. I think that over under five
and a half is the proper number in the market.
God they got Taylor Green. I mean they could just
surprise people and win eight games, So that's baked into
the possible variance and outcome. Here's my problem. I don't
think they're going to have a good year. And if

(27:46):
they don't, you get to the middle of November, even
early November, if it's already gone wrong. They got Mississippi
State at LSU at Texas A and m Missouri, And
if it's already gone wrong, my concern is they are
not playing at their maximum potential. Like the over under

(28:07):
being five and a half is basically modeling a season
out where you get Arkansas all in in performance every
week because you can't forecast injuries and you can't forecast
a team kind of mailing in a season. And my
concern is if they know, hey man, we're struggling, we
may not even make a bowl. I just worry about

(28:29):
the last month of the season because there's a world
where it tails off pretty precipitously and like, yeah, you're
gonna lose at LSU in Texas. People expect that anyway.
But if Missouri comes in there and pops you at
the end of the year, I'll give you one worse.
Mississippi State needs a Super Bowl game this year. Somewhere,
and you may be the one conference game that Mississippi State,

(28:49):
who hasn't mailed in the season, kind of finds a
way to get it. Sounds like I'm incredibly down on Arkansas,
not as a brand, but as a team this year.
If it goes sideways, I think the under five and
a half is the play because I worry about how
sideways it could go. And then we have a whole
other uncomfortable conversation. All right, let's pick this league title game.
I have been to every one of these places just

(29:09):
about either in the spring or throughout fall camp. So
I feel good about my read on the league, which
of course means that all of these predictions could flame
out fantastically. Give me teams that don't play in the
regular season. Alabama versus Texas in the conference title game,
and I've got Kaylen de Bor versus Steve Sarkisian here,

(29:30):
and I think we need to remember that Kayln de
Bor against the combination of Steve Sarkisian and Kirby Smart
and Dan Lanning now sitting at six and oh so
they have yet to beat him. And that was at
Washington and then one game against Kirby last year at Alabama.
My point being, Alabama's going to be good, and I
got to see him in person yesterday. Texas I've seen

(29:53):
this year. Like both of these teams, I think when
the dust settles, will be the best teams in the league.
Gimme Alabama over Texas for the SEC Championship. And I'm
not saying they've been slept on. I have just been
a little caught off guard by relative to some of
these other teams here how little they've been talked about. Again,
they've been talked about. I'm not quite sure people understand

(30:17):
how complimentary that team can be. I'm not quite sure
people understand how dynamic the team is, meaning they can
win a lot of different ways. Texas can do that
as well. That's why I have them facing off. I
got Georgia right in the mix for that thing. I'm
slightly down on LSU relative to the rest of the market.
I'm Texas A and m I'm in on. I just

(30:38):
give the edge to Texas at the end of the year.
I'm trying to think. I mean Florida schedule, I think
they're in it, though, OHU schedule, I think they're in it.
South Carolina, like I said, the one thing that I question,
and the South Carolina folks are confident in the wide
receiver room. I've still got to see the wide receiver room.
So if that's there, then South Carolina can make a

(30:59):
lot of noise this year as well. But give me
Alabama over Texas for the SEC Championship. You know what's
terrible right now is we've got like an hour of
show left and I like badly need a bathroom break. Well,
we got to push through. I'm not wearing dark pants either, Bradley,
so waste up. We do not play favorites on this show.

(31:22):
That's a lie. We do it all the time. But
we randomly drew the order we were gonna go in tonight.
No one's gonna believe that because there are some harsh
accusations that fly around about pet State here and which
conferences get preferable treatment. But this is how the this
is how the straws were drawn. Acc prediction time. Let's
set the table here, shall we. We've got two playoff

(31:45):
teams from this league last year. Do we think they
get two in again this year? Do we think that
SMU being smoked by Penn State will factor into the
committee's decision making it shouldn't. Do we think it will?
Do we think Clemson can fulfill on their destiny? Do
we think Dabo could get the biggest I told you
so in the recent history, like the color TV era

(32:07):
of the sport. Do we think Florida State is going
to be back in not just contention but relevance? Bill
Belichick as the head coach at North Carolina, They've probably
got the most workable schedule in the league this side
of Virginia, maybe even including Virginia. There's a lot to
go over here. What are some things I think I know?
What do you think you know? About the ACC? I

(32:29):
think the lack of quality depth in this league is
embarrassing and has been for a while. So this is
me hoping it changes this year because I look at
I look at the Big Twelve, and it makes sense
that the Big Twelve doesn't have a bunch of national
title caliber programs because of where their recruiting bases are.
That has never made sense for the ACC. The ACC

(32:51):
is up and down the Eastern Seaboard. I mean, they've
got programs in the state of Florida, Virginia, the Carolinas, Georgia.
There's one smack dab in the middle of Atlanta. And
yet it's been Florida State and has been really been
Clemson with some Florida State mixed in. Miami has woefully
underachieved up until about five minutes ago when Mario got there.

(33:12):
Virginia Tech has been a letdown. Virginia has been probably
perennially the biggest letdown of any of these teams. There's
no reason why NC State should NC State's been good.
I don't want to hate on NC State. I'm just
saying collectively, the league should be a lot deeper than
it is. Will it be that deep this year? I
think I know that Clemson is a legitimate national championship contender.

(33:34):
Now this sounds like such a no brainer because they're
top five in all the polls and stuff like that.
The Odds Board has them way up there. But you
know as well as I do. In fact, you may
be one of the people that I'm describing that does
not believe that Clemson is capable of actually winning it all. Like,
you think they're capable of winning the ACC being a good,
solid team, but you don't think of them as being

(33:57):
any more capable of making noise in the playoff this
year than they last year. I think it's a fair
reason to doubt them. They were eighty fifth in run
defense last year, so that's the thing to watch. Like,
if they can't stand up better, if they don't play
to their talent profile, then no, I'm wrong and they
are not a championship contender. I believe they'll be better there.

(34:17):
They may change as a defensive coordinator. Every other place,
I'm a returning quarterback, returning offensive coordinator, returning head coach. Obviously,
every other area they checked the box, got really good
NFL talent, all three levels of the defense. But I
believe this is also a unique year where there really
is no true alpha number one with distance between them

(34:39):
and the rest of the field type of team. So
Penn State, Clemson, like those kinds of teams, this is
the year they could actually do more than just make it.
They could win the whole thing. The third thing I
think I know is I'm still buying Miami. I'm not
selling on Miami just cause cam Ward's not there anymore.
I think their line of scrimmage could be the best

(35:01):
in the league. And if that's the case, especially in
this league, that means you can set yourself apart. Like
in the Big Ten, you tell me they're good along
the lines of scrimmage, it means a lot. It means
something in the SEC when you say, hey, man, they're
really good along the lines of scrimmage, like they got
NFL guys both lines of scrimmage. When you say that

(35:22):
in the ACC, that's a little different. Busaw. And that's
also when you get late in the year and you
got to go back to back cold weather cities to
end the season, and those are your sixth and seventh
games in a row. To end the year, you gotta
go to Blacksburg and you got to go to pitt
If you can go up there and run the ball
fifty four times and be comfortable doing that, that's how

(35:45):
you go grind out wins late in the year. That's
how you play more consistently. And you may think to yourself,
but Josh, didn't they suck bad defensively last year? And
the answer is, oh, they did. They did. They made
changes though they made changes. Now I'm gonna give you
a bold state here. They hired Corey Heatherman. There's their
defensive coordinator. That's not bold. That just happened that's a
fact that's on Wikipedia. You can look it up. dB

(36:08):
was terrible for them last year. Miami's pass defense was abhorrent.
I'm gonna tell you I think it'll be one of
the low key strengths of their team this year. This
is one of the bolder things that I'm gonna say.
But just some feedback I've gotten from down there. The
second scrimmage is in the books. I think that pass

(36:29):
defense could go from being one of the biggest weaknesses
any contending team had in the country at Miami last
year to being a net positive and a strength for
them this year. If I'm right about that, they're a
playoff contender, they're a conference championship contender. Let's go over
some of my favorite win totals in the ACC. I

(36:51):
can just tell that. I can tell the live chats
buzzing over that because I know people are gonna doubt that,
and that's okay. That's why God makes us play the
football games. That's okay. Georgia Tech over seven and a
half wins is my favorite win total in this conference.
I bet it as soon as FanDuel would let me
in the door. I think I camped out like black

(37:11):
Friday style. I camped out for hours outside of FanDuel
headquarters and a tent waiting to be let in, not
so I could say hey to everyone, just so I
could bet Georgia Tech over seven and a half. I
think they're going to be favored in as many as
ten of their twelve games. The two games they won't
be favored in are against Clemson and Georgia They're both
at home. I think they will win one of those games,
like I got Georgia Tech flying past seven and a half.

(37:34):
I love them as a team this year. Momentarily you
will know how much I love them. Although it sounds
like they had the worst scrimmage in the history of
organized eleven on eleven football yesterday, judging by Brent Keys'
post scrimmage press conference, They're right where I want them.
They're right where I want them. The way you know
a team is about to overachieve is when their head

(37:57):
coach makes it a point to publicly tell you they
suck right before the season. Brent Key tells me Georgia
Tech sucks right before the season. Georgia Tech's going ten
to two. Next up, Virginia Tech. I am leaning under
six and a half here. Regrettably, there was a lot
of portal churn there. And so if they got guys
in via the portal and they just magically coalesce, okay,

(38:20):
and that's wonderful. I don't know that I can count
on that happening. They play two SEC teams back to back,
just right out of the gate and out of conference
play they play They play South Carolina in Atlanta, I believe,
and then they play Vandy at home. They got Old
Dominion week three and ODU is by no means a layup.
A group of five guys told me that, so that

(38:41):
has to be true. I just if they can string
together some wins like Wafford, NC State Wake, Georgia Tech,
Cal Louisville, Like if they can go four of six
or five of six there, then I'm wrong. I just
think it'll be such an up and down year. I
don't know about the consistency level. So I'm gonna go

(39:01):
under six and a half on Virginia Tech and I'm
gonna go over six and a half for PITT. I
don't know that the market's pricing them effectively. Dylan Lanergan
at his best should be one of the higher level
quarterbacks in this league. I think they've also if you
look at their schedule, Miami at the end of the
year could be what makes or breaks this bet. They

(39:24):
got a huge dynamics edge against Miami. They've got a
late by. Pitt's got a late buy, so they got
to buy in November. That will be Miami's seventh game
in a row and it's the second leg of back
to back road games for Miami, and I just it's
not like that game you will make or break this,
but it could make or break this. I just see
a lot of games Pitch should win by three points.

(39:45):
That's how I think that's gonna go over six and
a half for Pitt A drum roll please. For the
conference championship prediction, I thought about this and thought about
this and thought about this, and there's no reason to
be a contrarian. I think Clemson is going to win
this conference, but I think the team they beat will
surprise some people because it's going to be a rematch
of Week three. I've got Clemson versus Georgia Tech in

(40:07):
the ACC Championship game. I feel surprisingly good about it.
And I've got Clemson beating Georgia Tech. And if they
played yesterday, Clemson would have won by ninety because it
sounds like the scrimmage didn't go well down in Atlanta.
This team will round into form. It'll be a very
good team. I think they may be the talk of
the ACC, if not the country. Gimme Clemson over Georgia Tech.

(40:28):
Though they got to get the job done this year. Well,
I mean they've been getting the job done in the ACC.
They got to do more than just that. That's pressure,
but I think they're equipped for it. And then after
they win the game, you know what you do. You
go to Academy Sports and Outdoors and they'll probably let
you in because you know they do that thing where
they open up at midnight when you win something, and

(40:48):
so you know, it could be a Clemson hoodie, a hat,
a beanie, or you could just be proud of Georgia
Tech season. Then go buy some Georgia Tech gear. My
point is you could want to do that, or you
could have a cousin in your life that doesn't even
like college football, which makes me question why you talk
to that cousin. But if you do, you know, to
each his own, you could buy him a fishing rod

(41:11):
at Academy Sports and Outdoors. You could buy him a
bucket of softballs at Academy Sports and Outdoors, a nice
jacket at Academy Sports and Outdoors, a pack of big
leads chew. He's got to have something good in his life.
He's not watching college football. Academy Sports and Outdoors the
place to get all that. And if you can't get
there in person, Academy dot com is your stop. We've
got a big live audience watching and I just want

(41:32):
to drop in and oh, well, I try to do
a smiley face. There we go, smiley face. Hey, do
me a favor. Yeah, we got a ton of people. Hey,
just click the like button because right now, well we
got four or five thousand in here and like five
hundred likes. Those are poverty numbers, and we don't want

(41:54):
to be poverty Jesse. He's got to eat tonight, and
believe it or not, his salary is directly tied to
the ratio of likes that our videos get. And you
may call that unfair, but those are laws of the jungle.
That's survival. That's how it happens in this world of
YouTube and podcasting. So don't do it for me, you
may not even like me. Some of you rage watch

(42:16):
this show. That's well documented. Feed Jesse. Jesse ain't done
nothing to nobody. Feed Jesse. All right, let's continue. We
got a lot of show left. I haven't even gotten
a camp intel yet. I haven't even done playoff predictions.
I haven't even mentioned this ridiculous, nonsensical playoff expansion proposal.

(42:37):
That means we got to hurry up. Big Twelve predictions. Yes,
eight teams on the fan duel preseason odds to win
the Big Twelve are plus fifteen hundred or better, which
means yet again, this is going to be an accordion
of a conference. The accordion as an instrument is really
fascinating because if you expanded, it makes a noise, but
if you contract it, it makes a noise. The Big

(42:57):
Ten or the Big Twelve is the accordion that never expands.
There's never separation. It's just always Wow. Any given week,
this thing could blow up in our face. There has
been a new champ in this league each of the
last five years. Will there be a new one this year?
Could be? Could be could be Utah, could be Brigham Young,

(43:18):
could be Baylor, Texas Tech Kello I think I know
a few things about this league. I think I know
quarterback play may be the best in the nation in
the Big Twelve. Do you stop to look at the
roster of these players before you just immediately discount this.
We got rock O Beck, who is America's quarterback. We
got Jalen Daniels is the key to this conference in

(43:40):
many ways because if he's healthy all year, Kansas could
win this thing. Like I'm very, very abnormally high on Kansas.
If Jalen Daniels is healthy, they finished hot last year.
They got the best head coach that no one talks
about in the country, and so got him. You got
Sawyer Robertson at Baylor. Sam Levitt is back again, Devin
dan p Devon Dan Pier. Those are not two different people.

(44:03):
I just pronounce it both ways, so I know I'm
right Baron Morton, Josh Hoover. There's a very deep roster
of quality quarterbacks here. The second thing I know about
this league, Texas Tech is the best experiment to watch
in the sport. This year, Texas Tech went and got
a lot of players out of the portal. And yet

(44:24):
I am going to suggest to you that while the
rest of the country, the rest of the college football
public is going to look at Texas Tech and say,
oh man, they just went and bought a bunch of players,
probably a bunch of mercenaries. Half of them don't even
know where Lubbock is on a map. They're just there
to do their time. I'm telling you that's not the
vibe there. You need to take my word for this.
I'm telling you from people who have been there more

(44:45):
than one year. They will swear by the fact that
this is the best locker room they've been a part of,
and this is the best overall program energy that they felt. Now,
should it work that way? The book says no. The
book says you're not supposed to be able to go
and take place you're small over the country and just
toss them in a room and shake it up and
love what gets poured out, because there should be a
lot of selfishness, a lot of me over we Historically,

(45:09):
that's what the book says should be. I'm just telling
you that's not what it is at Texas Tech. Now,
with that in mind, I want you to watch their
defensive front this year. Everyone's going to talk about the offense.
Everyone's going to talk fifty thousand feet in the clouds
about just the overall portal editions, but they're not going
to get specific drill down to the defensive front. Watch

(45:30):
Texas Tech play the first few weeks of the year.
Look at who's playing twos and threes rotationally on their
defensive front, because you'll notice those guys started for them
that last year. You will notice quality players, not bad players.
Quality players are running with their twos and threes now
because of the depth they have along the defensive front.

(45:51):
I'm telling you they can win games defensively if they
need to. And I don't think many people are going
to be talking about that third thing. I think. I know.
I can't belie leave how quickly people have chosen to
forget about Utah. You remember Kyle Whitningham. Remember Utah back
in the day they used to win all the time. Yeah,
that was like twelve months ago when we were saying

(46:13):
that Kyle Whittingham, by the way, has not retired. He's
still there. He's still riding that motorcycle around Salt Lake City.
Do you feel the way I feel? This is not
Peter Frampton song. I'm saying, do you feel that Utah's
kind of just drifted off in the wind, and like
people don't think of it. This is a dominant program,

(46:34):
Like this is a perennial contender that had one down year.
They had a lot of close losses. It's just anytime
you have a roster that's not chock full of like
five star after five star, if the wheels get a
little wobbly, there is room to go five and seven
or four and eight and be right back the next year.
That's Utah. Utah did what Oklahoma did. It's just everyone's

(46:57):
talking about Oklahoma. What do you mean, Josh, Well, Oklahoma
went to Washington State and they got John Matteir and
they got Ben Arbuckle. Well, everyone's praising that concept. Me included,
because I think it's gonna work out. Quarterback and offensive
coordinator come in, so you basically import a system and
you don't have to teach the quarterback the system. Well,
Dan Pierre and Beck are that for Utah. They came

(47:20):
in from New Mexico. They're both very highly thought of.
They're just not gonna be talked about as much because
it's Utah. People have forgotten about Utah, and that is
a mistake. I'm not gonna suffer from it. That's a mistake.
Some favorite win totals of mine in this league. Look
at Kansas Kansas over under six and a half. Give
me the over on Kansas. Kansas will win eight games

(47:40):
at least this year. Jalen Daniel's help is key here.
And to be fair, now, I understand what FanDuel's got
to do. Jalen Daniel's health has been very erratic, so
they've got a price end the possibility that he's not
helped the all year. If he's help the all year,
they're going eight wins minimum. And he has looked very
very good in fall camp. And not that it matters

(48:01):
a ton, Actually it does. They get to play home
games at home this year, as opposed to driving to
Arrowhead Stadium or a soccer facility like they had to
do last year. That's a real thing. So give me
Kansas over six and a half. Houston, breaking news to some,
still is in the Big twelve. And not only are
they in the Big twelve, they're in the Big twelve
with an over underwent total of five and a half.

(48:23):
And I think they're going over as well. I love
the strength of schedule that's on our side here. I
love that we've got a second year's staff, and I
also love that they get a manageable entrance into league play.
Do you know who the quarterback of Houston is? Do
you remember Connor Wigman? He's down there. I think Houston

(48:46):
could surprise some people this year. We got him with
the sixty seventh strength of schedule in the country. So
let's take over five and a half there. I'm going
under on West Virginia at five and a half. They
got over seventy new players on that roster went up
there in the spring. I asked rich Rod, how quickly
can it pop? And he was very, very honest. He said,

(49:07):
I mean, if these guys buy into our way of
doing things, I mean we don't we know how to
coach football. Like we'll win some games in year one,
but he said, we're not going to sacrifice long term
to you know, try and win seven games instead of
six games this year. If that's the way it's going
to turn out, I think they're gonna struggle. I think
they'll be very erratic. I think they'll be very high highs,

(49:29):
very low lows, and in the net, I think they're
going to go under five and a half wins. My
conference championship prediction in the Big Twelve is a rematch
of a regular season game. I am going to take
the team with the third best odds against the team
with the fourth best odds. That's Texas Tech versus Arizona
State in the league championship game. And there was this

(49:52):
funny thing that happened last year when Arizona State got
to the Big Twelve championship game. They were banged up,
like they had critical injuries. I thought they were gonna lose.
I picked the Iowa State and Arizona State just plays
their best ball of the year and then they go
push Texas to the wire in the playoff. Like Kenny
Dillingham may have peaking at the right time figured out,

(50:13):
I'm taking Arizona State to repeat as the conference champ here,
which will be the first time in half a decade
that that's happened. But Arizona State Texas Tech, I think
it's gonna be one of the games of the year
in season, and unlike the conference championship game out there
last year, I think the Big Twelve championship game will
revert back to being an evergreen instant classic. Because it's

(50:35):
the Big twelve. I expect nothing less. We got a
big announcement to make. I gotta pull up the tweet
over here since the feature was broken to that getting
schedule this, let me tee it up. So if you're
new around here, judging by our numbers, hundreds of thousands
of you are, and we welcome you to Peyt State.

(50:56):
We do a tour every year. Okay, I fame very
notably have a dream job, and it consists of talking
about college football for money all year, and then on
Saturdays during the fall, we pick which game we want
to go to and we go stand on the sidelines
at that game and watch the most entertaining thing that

(51:17):
America produces college football. And then we fly home to
Nashville and we talk about it the next night, and
then rinse and repeat. It's that all year long. Getting
town on Friday, go work out in the weight room,
go say hey to everyone, eat great food. It's wonderful.
I highly recommend it if you can get into that business.
We name the tour every year. We had the Renaissance Tour.

(51:38):
In twenty twenty one, we had the Every Given Saturday Tour.
We had the whole new Saturday tour. We had the
once upon a Saturday tour, and so I thought to
myself self, what is the greatest day of the entertainment
calendar in a week? And it is Saturday. However, the
word Saturday being in the tour, I thought was getting

(51:59):
a little monotonous. We will always celebrate Saturday here. But
I thought to myself, maybe I want to course correct
a little bit. Maybe we want to have a name
for a tour that doesn't involve Saturday, even though we
do it on Saturday every year. And so that's what
we've done. I had thousands of suggestions from you guys.
I appreciate that. I think we have ten good candidates

(52:20):
that we can choose from, but we have gone a
little bit different direction. Oh production assistant Tyler made the logo.
It looks great. I am more excited to show you
the logo than I am to tell you the name.
So this fall, starting on August thirtieth, in week one,
the Fall Don't Lie Tour will hit the road and

(52:41):
our first stop will be and it's no great mystery Columbus,
Ohio for Texas at Ohio State. There is a huge
spot in my heart for noon kickoffs. You know that
even though the rest of you hate it, I love
it because I can get home that night. And it
just so happens that this is number one versus number
two in the JP Pole. And it just so happens

(53:03):
that Jerry Emmig is on his retirement tour up there
and I have to go see him at least one
more time. We love Uncle Jerry. And so the falld
Ol't Lie Tour Look at Chuggy, look at the autumn
leaves on the logos great if you're listening on podcasts,
just imagine an amazing logo with a cartoon train, the

(53:24):
words fall, Don't Lie and four autumn leaves, which I
have always thought should be spelled l E a fs
instead of leaves inexplicably with the V. That's a side note.
The faultult Lie Tour is going to be on CAMPI
coast to coast this year. I can't wait for it.
For those of you asking, we will be slapping that

(53:45):
on a T shirt and it will be coming to
a PAYT State store near you. Side note, the Paate
State Store is about to reopen, so could not be
any more excited about it if it were my job
to be excited about it, because it is and I am.
Let's move on fall camp intel. We've got it fresh
out of the oven. I have been on the road
all week. I have been at several different fall camps.

(54:08):
I've watched practices, I've watched scrimmages. Let's talk about it
first up, Georgia. Latest intel out of there confirms what
I have suspected, and that is they may not go
twelve and zero. They may lose one game, they may
lose four games. They will not lose for the same
reasons they lost last year. They have been maniacal and

(54:28):
they have been very, very aggressive at course correcting the
problems they had last year, which is not a shot
because I think this is the best coaching staff in
the country top to bottom. They will not lose this
year because they couldn't run the ball. They will not
lose because of porous offensive line play. I don't think
that'll happen. I don't think they'll lose because receivers can't

(54:48):
catch a cold. I don't think that will happen again
this year. In fact, I think wide receiver may be
the alpha position group on this team. And I can
tell you confidently. I've never said that about a Kirby
smart T. I've never said that about a Georgia team.
I don't think so. I know the dynamic has changed there,
and I it's very nuanced when you talk about this stuff.

(55:11):
Last year Georgia had really good personnel. They always will.
They recruit at a certain level. There is a thing
that happens, though, in college football, when you have multiple third, fourth,
fifth year guys. They don't stop working hard, but there's
almost like a redundancy to it at that point. And
elite players go to Georgia for three years and they're

(55:31):
in the NFL. So when you're there a fourth or
a fifth year, you're great and you're a glue guy
and you're a program guy. But sometimes the passion and
the fire and the edge you have to have to
win these knife fights is not there. And I think
that bit them at times last year. And I don't
think that'll be the same problem they have this year.

(55:53):
If they got problems, they'll be new problems. But I
trust the passion and hunger of this team. I trust
it implicitly. So it look. You may watch guys blow
a coverage or blow an assignment, it's not cause they
were unwilling to go over to Cliff to do it.
I think the competitive consistency will be at a higher
level wired to wire this year for Georgia, and I

(56:14):
also think the offensive line and ground game, if the
intel that we're getting out of fall camp is any
indication it'll be good, it'll be plenty good enough to
win with. Now the follow up to that, and I'm
thinking about that offensive line. I said in my SEC predictions,
I think the Georgia offensive line is the most important
position group in this conference because if they are a

(56:36):
minus or better on offensive line, they probably win the
league title, or at the very least they're right there
playing someone for the league title. And it also impacts Florida,
it impacts Bama, it impacts Ole miss it impacts Texas
cause they play them all. However, if I'm wrong and
they're just inconsistent, or maybe they have injuries like they

(56:57):
did last year, they're not going to be in Atlanta
and it's going to open the door for someone else.
So I am very very bullish on them, and by
that I mean not having the same problems they had
last year. Just the wide receiver room. I don't think
America is really up on this. Georgia fans know they've
been paying a lot of attention. That's a nasty wide

(57:18):
receiver room, and it may it may be that that
is like the alpha position group on that team. It's
not finesse, guys. It's what I'm trying to tell you.
Like even Branch, the kid they got from USC, he
is very quick. But I'm just telling you, there's no
one shining away from stalk blocking in that wide receiver room.
Colby Young's back. So they have got a really good

(57:39):
assortment of talent in the receiver room. And they got
a lot of well dogs in many different uses of
the word in the receiver room. So I know that
they love to clip me hating on that team around there,
even though I never do. But I'm not giving you
any of that tonight. I'm pretty high on Georgia. Next up,
I was an Oregon What's tonight Sunday? I went up

(58:02):
to Oregon Friday, hung out with them, watch practice. I
am in a weird position with Oregon. I think that's
the best collection of talent Landings had since he's been there.
But yet there are some hinge points that are gonna
determine whether they're capable of competing for the Big Ten
championship this year. It's not Dante Moore. Actually, Dante Moore

(58:22):
I feel great about Dante Moore is gonna be a
stun so. I got very little question about him. He
played at UCLA, came back to Oregon SAT a year.
He fits well in the system. My questions and my
potential hinge points are, I really wonder if that wide
receiver room is going to have the depth that it
needs to it the versatility that it needs to it.

(58:45):
I very much believe in Decoryan Moore. I think they
got everything they thought that they were getting with him,
But just how that wide receiver room shakes out, and
how many other guys you have capable of you know,
like a six hundred fifty receiving yard type year, any
given week they could go off for one eighty, Like

(59:05):
that's the kind of receiver room. That's the kind of
depth they need. Orgon's not gonna have like another guy
that goes off for fifteen hundred yards like of Ryan Williams,
Jeremiah Smith, that guy's not in there. If he is
in there, Decoran Moore, but behind him, what I kind
of watched with them is I watched how many different
guys do I see that could be a virtual non

(59:26):
factor for a couple of weeks on the stat sheet
and then have six catches for one hundred and eighty
nine and two touchdowns. That is one of the hinge points.
And the other hinge point to me is running back depth,
because I, you know, I kind of had an idea
in the spring that I thought I knew how the
pecking order, you know, the depth would roll out there.

(59:47):
I think it's probably a little bit more by committee
than you know, I would have said in spring, which
is okay, that's why you recruit. It's not Sometimes when
you say we got to go running back by committee,
it means oh no, oh, we don't have anyone who
can play. That's not the case. What it means is
you don't have one player infinitely above and beyond the

(01:00:07):
rest of the room. That could just mean you've got
three B plus level players. It doesn't automatically have to
mean oh, since we don't have an A minus, we
got a bunch of c's. That doesn't have to be
the case. But they got a lot of good players
man offensive lines of strength there, and so you're gonna
give Dante more every chance to succeed. You're gonna be
giving this those tailbacks every chance to succeed. You're going

(01:00:28):
to give that wide receiver room every chance to sort
itself out. But I mean, it's not a shock. Organ's
a good team, that's a really good collection of talent,
and it does It doesn't hurt this year the way
last year ended. That doesn't hurt motivation either. Went to
Alabama this weekend, watched them scrimmage Saturday, and I had

(01:00:49):
a towel thrown over my head the whole day to
avoid just a crisis of a sunburn situation. On the
show tonight, the first thing I want to talk to
you about is you probably heard about jam Miller, the
number one tailback there get hurt. Candidly, I didn't know
what had happened, and I was on the field watching
the whole thing. It sounds like it is. Well, they

(01:01:10):
called it an upper body, so I'll leave it at
upper body. I mean, I think most of the message
board culture is pretty much figured out what it is.
The important thing is I don't expect him to be
lost for the whole year. I expect him, based on
what I've heard, to be ready probably for league play,
which I think for them looking at the schedule, here
is the Georgia game September twenty seventh. You know that

(01:01:33):
can change, but I expect him to be at or
close to ready to go by the time they open
league play. The thing that stood out the most to
me about Alabama is people are right when they talk
about the depth and quality of depth and that secondary.
That secondary is good man to the point where if
they were to show their scrimmages on TV, it would

(01:01:54):
make sense. But since they don't show him on TV
and they're kind of close to the public, little snapshot
and like bits and pieces get out and it's like
out of context and you find out, ooh, so and
so started today. That means the depth chart has changed. No,
it's at least as far as I can tell, that's
not really what it is. They just got more guys

(01:02:14):
than they have starting positions for and so they can
afford to rotate and experiment a little bit, and especially
a scrimmage situation. And so you know, you got guys
running with the ones who may not start against Florida State.
You got guys running with the twos that may start
against Florida State. Here's what I know, though I didn't
tell much of a difference between them, that's what I know.

(01:02:36):
Like they I mean, they got freshmen on that team
that I know good and well aren't going to start
unless they're injuries. That could start at most places in
the league this year, including places that are known for defense.
So that Alabama secondary is good, Like I needed to
see it with my own eyes. I did. That secondary
is good and that defense is good. They had a
physical scriptage yesterday, like they they hit dude, get after

(01:03:00):
it in scrimmages. If you were to go and watch
and someone told you, hey, man Saban is still the
head coach here, you'd say, yeah, this feels like a
Nick Saban practice. It makes me nervous watching it because,
like I know, hey, you're trying to simulate a game
like condition here, but this is not a game, and
if guys get hurt here, they can't play in a game.

(01:03:20):
But yet then on the other side, you know, there's
only one way to get ready to play a game,
and that is to simulate game conditions. But intensity, the hitting,
the tackling off the charts to me, it's the best
kind of scrimmage you can see. Like I know, I
was driving back home last night and I was listening
to some podcasts. I was talking to some folks, and
you know, people will hear, oh, someone through an incompletion,

(01:03:43):
someone throws a pick, someone didn't score, and like they
draw conclusions from scrimmages. Here's what you want to come
away from a scrimmage thinking this team could win a
game nineteen to thirteen, and this team could win a
game forty one to thirty one. Because there is so
much unpredictable in a football season. What I can tell
you about Alabama from what I've seen in the spring

(01:04:04):
and what I saw yesterday is I'm fully confident that
team could hold a team to twelve if they need to,
and they could score forty if they need to. That's
not a guarantee they'll win anything or lose anything. It's
a guarantee that they're a very dynamic team, and those
are the ones that gives them give themselves the best
shot to win at the end of the year. So
that's a very impressive team, very impressive. It's no mystery

(01:04:28):
why Ty Simpson won that competition. I just I think
the quarterback depth situation is really interesting too. I think, well,
where they'll end up getting I believe in time is
if they're in the fourth quarter and let's just say
they needed to put someone in, I think it would

(01:04:49):
be Austin Mack. I think they'll end up getting to
a place where if they knew they were going to
be without Ty Simpson on Sunday and they had six
days to get ready for Saturday, I think they'll get
to a place where that's Keilan Russell, and that could
be sooner rather than later. But they got three quarterbacks
that they could really win with. Like, they don't have
a Heisman contender on that team, at least I don't

(01:05:10):
think they do. They got three pretty good quarterbacks on
that team. Speaking of quarterbacks, CJ Carr, Kenney Minschi is
still not decided at Notre Dame, and it sounds like
they really kind of wanted to make that announcement after
the second scrimmage. But someone's got to win the job,
and according to Marcus Freeman, no one's won the job yet.
So we're watching that. Remember they open against Miami on

(01:05:31):
a Sunday night in two weeks. Two weeks from tonight
Julian saying, Lincoln Keingholt said, Ohio State, I still maintain that.
I think it's gonna be Julian saying, but again, gotta
win the job. Now, there are theories out there that
Ryan Day knows who's gonna start and he just is
toying with the media and the fan base, and I

(01:05:52):
have a different theory on that. I think many times
there's a guy who the coaches feel will win the job.
I think this coaching staff has believed since spring that
Julian's saying will win this job. I think they believe
he'll win the job. Today. He's got to win the job.
So it's not disingenuous if you're in that position to

(01:06:17):
not have named a starter yet, doesn't matter if you've
thought the same guy's gonna win it since January. He's
got to win it. And if he hadn't won it yet,
you don't make an announcement for the sake of esthetics.
You don't do that. Even if you're open against Texas,
you don't do that. Joey Aguilar seems like he's trending
to be the starting quarterback at Tennessee. Opinion hadn't changed there.
I think it'll be him and big news out of Lexington.

(01:06:41):
This is not news in a sense that it just happened.
It's news that the Caesars drawn closer. So you're gonna
find out the Zach Calzada era is back. Kalsada has
transferred to Kentucky and he he will be the starting
quarterback there. He was at incarnate word. I think so
was cam Ward two point zero ed Kentucky. I'm the

(01:07:01):
first one to say it. I will be the last
one to say it, but I'm definitely the first one
to say it. And byu update, Bear Bockmeyer is going
to likely be their starting quarterback. That's a true freshman.
And that's all we have on that for now on
the quarterback front. So fall camp intel is coming very
very very very hot and heavy right now. It's immunity.

(01:07:24):
I knew it was an immunity the second that started
to come out of my mouth. They're watching it in Athens, Ohio,
they're watching it tonight in Lagrange, Georgia. They're watching it,
and us in Provo, Utah, and we appreciate it. Listen,
it is imperative that you do a couple of things.
The first thing is subscribed to the channel, because fifty
five percent of you are not subscribed, and it's free
and it helps us to keep the lights on. So

(01:07:47):
that's just a favor that I'm asking. The second thing
you need to be doing is make sure you're following
on socials. This is not just a generic call to action.
I'm getting to something here. What do we Twitter, Instagram,
TikTok at, Josh Pate cf BE This week especially, you
need to make sure you're following. First off, because we're
going on the road again and there's behind the scenes

(01:08:07):
stuff that I don't show you on the show that
you only get there. The second thing you need to
know is I think we have several announcements coming this week,
and frankly, I don't know when they're all going to happen.
I know there'll be one tomorrow about a collaboration that
we're going to be doing all year. I think that'll
be around noon. I don't hold me to that. There

(01:08:29):
are partnerships that we're entering into that are very, very big.
It's not changing the show. The show is staying the same.
I'm talking about stuff above and beyond just the show,
or in addition to the show. Those announcements are about
to roll out because football seasons here, and I mean
we've known about them for a long time. I have
not legally been allowed to announce them yet those are
going to happen very quickly, and obviously not tonight. So

(01:08:52):
make sure you're following at Josh pat CFB because that's
normally where you find that stuff out. Okay, I got
things to do here. I'm about to do my playoff
predictions that's just buried in the show, and then we're
going to end the show with this ridiculousness about playoff
expansion saved for the end of the show where that belongs.
It's time to predict the playoff. I've talked about conference winners.

(01:09:14):
In fact, I have predicted all of the conferences. Like
I got Penn State over Oregon in the Big Ten
championship game, I got Bama over Texas in the SEC
championship game. I'm taking Clemson over Georgia Tech, surprise inclusion
there in the ACC championship game. And give me Arizona
State over Texas Tech, repeat champ there in the Big Twelve. Now,

(01:09:36):
just off of that, here are the questions I'm asking
myself where do Oregon and Texas end up the Big
Ten title game loser the SEC title game loser? Because
remember the playoffs different this year. So the playoff last
year was the top four seeds had to go to
conference champs and it was really jacked up and it
messed the bracket up. Well that rule is gone now.

(01:09:59):
So we could have Texas, you know, go into Conference
Championship Saturday, number one in the country and they lose
to Bama and they fall to like three. Oregon could
go in number two and they could lose to Penn
State and fall to four. And my point is we
could go into the playoffs and the number one, two, three,

(01:10:19):
and four. I think this would have been the case
last year, right Jesse. They would just be SEC and
Big Ten teams, which would piss everyone off, but like
it would be competitively right if that were to happen
that way. Well, that's the first thing I'm asking myself.
The second thing I'm asking myself, ACC, are you getting
two teams in the Big twelve? Are you getting two
teams in? Like? Does Texas Tech still make it in

(01:10:41):
like SMU was able to do in the ACC last year?
Does Georgia Tech make it in. Could you have a
Miami that's sitting there at like ten and two and
they're not in the conference title game, but they're looking
to be in at large? Don't know, That's what I'm
asking myself. Where's Notre Dame. It's always a soon Notre Dame.
If they go ten and two, they're in. I believe

(01:11:02):
that did they go ten and two or better? Got
a lot of really tricky games at the beginning of
the year for a team that doesn't have a starting
quarterback announced yet. And then the evergreen question in this
format is what's the landscape relative to the SEC nine
and three teams? Last year, no three loss team got in.
People for some reason took that as forever gospel that

(01:11:24):
no three loss team will ever get in. I guarantee
you a three loss team, even if we were to
keep the playoff at twelve, would eventually get in. If
Florida's nine and three, they're getting in. If Oklahoma is
nine and three, they're getting in. Those two with those
schedules are getting in. If it's like Georgia or Alabama
that's nine and three. If South Carolina is nine and three,
Ole miss We'll see the seeding projections. I waste no

(01:11:47):
more time here. This is how I see the playoff
playing out one through twelve. I got Penn State winning
the Big Ten. I've got them as the number one
overall seed. I got Alabama winning the se seed number
two overall seed. Bama beats Texas in Atlanta. Texas drops
no further than three. Oregon loses to Penn State, they
only drop to number four. Clemson your ACC champ. I've

(01:12:11):
got at number five. I got Notre Dame right there
at six. Ohio State very competitive in the Big Ten
this year. I think they're a seven seed. I have
the Florida Gators making the playoff as an eight seed.
I'm very high on them. I've got Georgia right there
as the nine seed that probably flips based on how
that head to head turns out. Arizona State as your

(01:12:31):
Big twelve champ. I've got as the ten Seedhem allow
me to clear my voice as the biggest Nebraska Cornhusker
supporter in the entire city of Nashville, Tennessee, bar none.
I've got Nebraska making the playoff at number eleven, and
then I've got Boise in the playoff as the g

(01:12:52):
five representative at number twelve. How would this look, you
might ask in bracket form, Well, it's interesting because of
what the first round matchups would be if that is
the bracket, and I have little reason to doubt that
it will be. This is very, very non controversial. As
we all know, we would have Georgia going to Gainesville,

(01:13:14):
Florida to play a playoff game in the first round.
So there's that they won't give me that game on
campus for the regular season version, even in years where
Jacksonville Stadium is being renovated, They're playing it at a
neutral site. Just insane. Well, I am forcing them to

(01:13:36):
play the Georgia Florida game in either Athens or Gainesville,
because I'm gonna put it in the first round of
the playoff. I got Clemson hosting Boise State in round one.
I have got Ohio State hosting Arizona State in round one,
and I've got Nebraska going to Notre Dame so cold
Weather on the road to play cold Weather. And I

(01:13:57):
know if you're listening on podcasts, you can't see this,
but I don't love the spot that the one seed
is in. Yet again this year it's Penn State and
they get thereby, they would be a waiting what is
going to be a red hot Florida or a red
hot Georgia that probably lost some games in the regular

(01:14:17):
season but then got their act together late. That's how
they made the playoff. And it's strikingly similar like to
what Ohio State was last year, and Penn State is
awaiting the winner of Georgia versus Florida, Oregon sits there
in a much better situation. They get probably Clemson. But
just think about this. Let me just say this out

(01:14:37):
loud for the podcast crowd. If you're watching on YouTube,
you can see this. Look at the potential second round
now that we fixed the seeding and it's not jacked
up where Boise's got a three seed and Arizona State's
got a four seed. Why just because they want a conference? No, no, no,
If we're going straight seeding, do you understand our second
round could be Georgia versus Penn State, Clemson versus Oregon,

(01:15:02):
Texas versus Notre Dame, and Alabama versus Ohio State. Has
there ever been a better postseason week? Ever? I don't
think so. I'm including the NFL there by the way,
that would be utter insanity. So I don't know that
I want to hear arguments, but I'm sure there will
be arguments. If anybody thinks it's wrong, it's an opinion.

(01:15:25):
But if you still think it's wrong, I want you
to make sure you tell me it's an idiotic take
and that's fine, and say the brackets wrong and whatnot.
Make sure you give me your predictions. Don't tell me
it's wrong. Don't. Too many grown men are using the
laughing emojis. Too many grown men are making their arguments
with emojis. It's a critical problem that we as a

(01:15:46):
society have to tackle this college football season. Use your
big boy words, not in all caps. Either, type it out,
run it through spellcheck, and tell me you're one through
twelve so that we can go back and come in December.
That's how I see the playoff playing out. You can
got a FanDuel and bet every one of these things
right now. You think Nebraska is going to make the playoff,

(01:16:07):
like I do. You can go bet Nebraska to make
the playoff, and I know that because I've done it.
You can get a FanDuel because they're the exclusive odds
provider of paid State, and we appreciate how varied and nuanced.
They are in the information they give us this time
of year. But we also appreciate that we know a
lot of you are new customers or you're considering signing up,

(01:16:30):
So I ask you to do that responsibly. And if
you can't do that responsibly, do not sign up, and
do not bet a dime of your money or anyone
else's money. But if you're able to, and you have
disposable income, you got a little entertainment nestag over here,
and you're a new user, I just want to let
you know there's free money to be had, well basically

(01:16:50):
free money. So there's a QR code on your screen.
You can either use that or go to FanDuel dot
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and win, you can go bet Penn State to beat
Roast Beef Tech. For all I care. Bet five dollars
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three hundred dollars in bonus bets. So I am trying

(01:17:11):
to give you the cheap code to this cause there's
no caveat there. There is some fine print, but it
does not say who you can and can't bet bet
that five dollars on the most sure thing you could
ever find, and they're sending you three hundred in bonus bets.
FanDuel dot com slash Josh Pate or just go through
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(01:17:35):
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(01:18:18):
two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in
Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y.
Or text h op e n Y in New York,
last thing in the show tonight where it belongs. Bradley
showed me the tweet I was asked earlier today. Well, actually, Bradley,

(01:18:41):
here's a good endpoint for you. That old smokey good
close friend of the program said, please tell me you're
going to talk about the latest Big Ten playoff format
shenanigans tonight, and I responded, yes, I will talk about them.
I'm gonna put them at the very end of the
show where that kind of nonsense belongs. So here we are.
It's the end of the show, and I am going
to talk about it for just a second. Here's what's happening.

(01:19:03):
According to everyone who reports on these sorts of things,
the Big Ten has found it necessary to do what
they call socializing a new format of the playoff. And
what is this format, Well, depending on who you listen to,
it is either a twenty four or a twenty eight

(01:19:23):
team playoff format. And for my visual learners out there,
the fine folks over at Reddit CFB actually put together
a graphic of what a twenty eight team playoff or
a twenty four team playoff I guess would have looked
like last year is twenty eight right, Jesse, Yeah, that's
a twenty eighteen playoff, you know, because that's what we
need in college football. It's okay, your audio didn't stop working.

(01:19:49):
I'm just I was at a loss for words a
long time ago, and when you put the visual in
front of me like this, it is very shocking, you know,
to suggest al Labama's playing a game at Army in December,
because we need to see that to crown a champion.
So I need to say something, and I'm going to

(01:20:09):
try and be respectful about it, because at the end
of the day, we all have opinions on sports, and
it's not the end of the world. We can go
our separate ways, or we can agree to disagree and
go the similar way and go to lunch meet together.
If you think that's good for college football. You and
I don't see the same sport the same way. We
are not looking through the same worldview magnifying glass lens
at college football. This wouldn't even be awesome as a

(01:20:34):
standalone product, much less awesome attached to the regular season
because obviously of what it does to the regular season.
There are some people out there, They're not stupid people.
You know, remember MEMA's age old axiom that casual people
never say smart things. How did she word this? Casual people?

(01:20:59):
Smart people can say casual things. Casual people never say
smart things. So there are some smart people who could
look at that and they could say, oh, who says
no to more football? The same people who like having money,
but they say no to endlessly printing money, because when
you endlessly print money, you devalue the money. When you
love football, but then you play endless amounts of football,

(01:21:21):
especially in consequence type situations like playoff spots being on
the line, you devalue the actual regular season of football.
And there happen to be some of us who believe
that the regular season of college football is the best
thing about college football. Many people think that. So when
you suggest that we ought to play thirty seven playoff
games at the end just cause it's more games, that's dumb. Also,

(01:21:42):
there's another group, there are a lot of these who say,
but if you have more playoff spots, you put more
meaning on the games. There are more meaningful games in
the regular season. No, there aren't. No, there aren't. What
you took is you took some games and you reverse
engineered me onto them because someone's playing for the twelve seed,

(01:22:04):
or in this case, someone's got the I'm gonna say
this out loud so you understand how dumb it is.
This team's got an outside shot at the twenty sixth
seed if they win this game here. You know, if
they lose, they're six and six, but if they win,
they're seven and five, and they got a shot at
being the twenty three seed in the playoff. Whila meaning
on the game that's not meaning. In fact, we don't

(01:22:26):
even have more meaning on more games in the twelve
team model that makes sense. What we do have is
we do have games that technically have playoff implications on
them now, whereas they wouldn't have in a four team
model or a six or an eight team model. But
they can't win the whole thing. What you did is

(01:22:47):
you took teams like Ohio State or a Georgia or
in Alabama. You know there are a few teams capable
of actually winning the whole thing any given year. You
took the meaning off of their games. Ohio State can
lose two games, still make the playoff and go and
win the whole thing. And so there's not that urgency
baked into their games anymore because we had to go
put it on Kansas State versus TCU, featuring teams that

(01:23:11):
aren't capable of winning the whole thing that they get in.
But we're going to convince ourselves that meaning is meaning,
and like your better judgment knows what the truth is.
But playoff expansionists count on you to ignore your better judgment.
They count on you to just believe meaning is meaning
if this game has playoff implications. We created more meaning

(01:23:32):
for more games. Now you didn't. You just removed meaning
from games featuring teams capable of winning the whole thing,
and you manufactured it by tossing it onto games featuring
teams that can't win the whole thing. That was always dumb. Anyway,
I do have good news. This isn't going to happen.
That's the good news. There is one goal here to

(01:23:54):
explain the whole Big ten playoff expansion proposal nonsense. The
goal is not for them to get to a twenty
four or a twenty eighteen playoff. The goal is to
leak that so that they can actually get to what
they want, which is the sixteen team model. You may
ask yourself, well, that doesn't make any sense. How's that, Josh? Well,
it is overton Window at its best, and the Big

(01:24:15):
ten play pays PR strategists and lobbying firms and marketing
types a lot of money to come up with this stuff.
So the Big ten wants the sixteen team AQ model.
I actually have thought the fourteen team model weren't half bad,
But the Big ten sucks at messaging, and so they
lost me, like I'm over here on an island. They're

(01:24:37):
not good at explaining the merits of it. They tried
at Big ten Media Days. They failed. Instead, they just
went and took shots at the SEC and said all
kinds of dumb stuff. So I said, forget it. You
guys handle your own business like I was willing to
do business with them. I thought Tony Petiti's fourteen team
model would be good, but they couldn't leave well enough alone.
So anyway, the rest of the country hated it, even

(01:24:59):
if I liked it. So the Big ten had an idea.
They wanted a sixteen team playoff AQ model pre guarantee
most of the slots to certain conferences, and most of
the country hated it. So the question becomes, we've got
an idea that's bad. Most of the country hates it.

(01:25:19):
How do you get a bad idea across the finish
line to people who hate the bad idea? And the
answer is give them an infinitely worse idea. So let's
say your uncle Frederick says, oh, family vacation time this year.
You know where we're going spin the globe Saint Louis,
Missouri for the entire week. Nobody wants to vacation in

(01:25:43):
Saint Louis, Missouri. What is Uncle Frederick to do? Buy
tickets for the entire family to go to Key West.
He can't afford it. I mean, God bless uncle Frederick.
Like he lived a good life, but he can't afford that.
So what Uncle Frederick does to make the bad idea
see em less bad? As? He says, fine, We're going
to Kosovo. See how you like that? And then the

(01:26:05):
kids start crying. And then Uncle Frederick sits, there's stone
walls for a little while, and they cry and they
cry and they crying, and he goes, Okay, Saint Louis
it is. And the kids are dumb enough to say,
all right, I guess that's not so bad. It is bad.
Nobody wants to vacation in Saint Louis. I a stormchaser,
love visiting Saint Louis, but you don't want to spring

(01:26:26):
break in Saint Louis. But when Kosovo's put on the
table as if it's actually a legitimate option that Uncle
Frederick is actually considering, go no, no, give us Saint Louis.
The Big Ten thinks you're stupid. I'm just telling you.
These people sweater vest as tight as it can be,
glasses pushed up as firmly on the nose as it
can be. They think you're an idiot. So they look

(01:26:49):
at you as if you're a child that won't eat
your carrots, and they say, well, hey, let's put salad
in front of him. Oh I don't want salad, give
me the carrots. I don't want this sixteen team playoff.
It seems dumb. Well what would you think about twenty
eight teams? No? No, all right, well sixteen then okay,

(01:27:10):
I guess so they think you're that stupid. That's what's
going on here. So the question is not whether we're
gonna have a twenty eighteen playoff. We're not. The question
is are people dumb enough to cave on sixteen. You
know my thoughts on it. I didn't think that it
was half bad, but they've done such a poor job
of explaining the merits of the AQ model that they

(01:27:31):
have resorted to this. And what this is is leaking
a proposal that has no legs to it. You'll notice
every reporter had it at the same time, in many
cases using the exact phraseology, exact same phraseology, shockingly, So, yeah,
that's not gonna happen. It's an Overton window play. Always

(01:27:52):
has been, always will be the way that upper level
college athletics works because the people who run this sport
actively hate the sport. They think you're an idiot and
you are really a profiteering center more than you are
a fan. But you know what, I think a little
more highly of us than that. I think we'll be okay.
Just leave us alone. I think we'll be okay. That's

(01:28:12):
our show tonight, nice solid hour and a half. I
would like to thank all of you. I would like
to thank our entire staff and crew, because, as you've noticed,
we've moved into an entirely new studio. The crew is
out in a production truck, they're not even in here,
and the show has been executed seamlessly, and that is

(01:28:32):
not easy. All I have to do sit here and talk.
They got the hard job, so appreciate them. Appreciate you.
Guys should be impatient for director Bradley, for producer Jesse,
the entire crew. I'm Josh Pate will be at Penn
State Tuesday. The show will go on, probably at the
same time as it always does. So have a great
start to your week until then, God bless. Sign up

(01:29:06):
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