Week 12 Reaction Show + Updated CFP Predictions & Major Announcement

Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:17):
I can't even imagine the devastation. Can you imagine the devastation.
Can you imagine a South Carolina fan? Nothing's gone right
this year, and yet there you are in College Station,
Texas against the team currently favored to win the SEC championship,
and it's thirty to three, and you're the guy with
thirty and you're the one who lost the game. That's

(00:40):
why you got to pay attention every week. That's why
you can't just skip to the playoffs in this sport.
We're happy to have you, though, we're jam packed. We're
high a top a formerly sunny downtown Nashville, Tennessee, now
it's just dark outside. Sunday, November sixteenth, the Year of
Our Lord, twenty twenty five. I've got Week twelve reaction.
Boy do I have Week twelve reaction? Got a lot
of it. It's a shame the haters have shown up

(01:01):
tonight from certain corners of the contiguous United States, thinking
I'm gonna throw on the clown nose. We'll see if
I do. Hooms amongst us knows. I do have updated
college football playoff predictions, which is apparently a segment that
we're gonna have to do every Sunday, because no one
can really get a grip on this sport. No one
can really get a grip on the college football playoff.
I saw some projections that have North Texas in the

(01:22):
playoff as of five pm today, So yeah, I've got that.
I got coaching searches all over the place. Look, listen,
I know a lot of folks are paying attention to
Lane Kiffin, and rightfully so, I mean, that's one of
the big talking points right now. Is he gonna stay
at Ole Miss? Is he gonna go to Florida? Is
he gonna go to LSU? Is he gonna go to
the Miami Dolphins? For all I know, Hey, at some point,

(01:44):
at some point, Ole Miss has got to put him
on the table and Old Miss has got to get
an answer. And I think that some point is really
really close, like before the egg Bowl close. So we'll
talk about that. Also, I think it's worth the paper pop.
We've got a major announcement on the show tonight. Not now,
but in a few minutes, probably like twenty minutes or so.
We got a major announcement on the show tonight, and

(02:05):
so much more. Listen to this. That's a heavy stack
of papers. We waste no time. They're watching us in Tucker, Georgia, Rochester,
New York, Napa, California, Livingston, California. We are, as of
this Sunday evening, less than twenty thousand subs away from
five hundred subscriptions to the YouTube channel. So now more
than ever I ask you check, make sure are you subscribed.

(02:27):
If your answer is yes, double check. I talked to
no less than twenty people at Sandford Stadium last night
who admitted to me, and good for you, guys and
girls for admitting it that you thought you were subscribed
and you weren't. You admitted it. I never pressed anyone
on it. They admitted it, and I appreciate the honesty.
And we rectified many of those situations last night. So

(02:48):
thank you so much. Again, That's not the major announcement.
I got a major announcement later in the show. Oh
is it a major announcement? First of it's kind around here?
I hate talking with the pen in my hands, first
of it's kind around here. But that will be for
twenty or some minutes down the road. In the meantime,
let's talk about some games from yesterday. Where do you
think I should start? Yeah, I'll start on this game.

(03:11):
Oklahoma went to Tuscaloos and beat Alabama twenty three to
twenty one. Some people me thought it wouldn't happen. Some
people me picked Bama to win, picked Bama to cover,
pick Bama by double digits. Got to give the game
for Chili. Maybe four and a half Childli, somewhere between
four and four and a half Childli. We don't do
the quarter points system around here really entertaining game. Now,
there have been some rumors floating around the internet today

(03:32):
that since I sat here, I had the audacity to
pick Alabama to win the game and cover and win
by double digits, that I may throw on the clown nose.
I'm not throwing on the clown nose for you people.
I'm not. I did that one time already this year. Now.
What I can't stand, what makes it tough for me
to sleep at night, is thinking that I have turned
anyone against me in the fine state of Oklahoma. As

(03:55):
my fellow Oklahoma's know, I spend a lot of time
in Oklahoma in the season and in the spring during
stormchasing season. I love Oklahoma. It's not that I had
taken some anti Oklahoma stance. I thought the matchup was
bad for him. I thought the matchup really favored Alabama,
so it was nothing personal. You could have thrown potato
sacks on him instead of uniforms and had nothing to
do with the logos. It had a lot to do

(04:16):
with the matchup that I thought I saw. So you
watched the game play out. I watched the game play out,
and afterwards, like a disproportionate amount of dms flooded my inbox. Haters, haters, Jesse.
A lot of them were bots, to be fair, but
some people were real, authentic people, like legit humans breathing

(04:37):
the same oxygen as you and I. And they said,
how could you have liked Alabama to win this game
by double digits? Well, I'll tell you how I liked
Bama to win the game by double digits because of
the way the game played out. You know, like there
are some padlock stats and then there are badlock stats.
This is going to sound like excuse making. It's not.

(04:58):
I'm about to give ou a metric ton of credit
in a second. I'm not trying to describe to you
why this should have happened or didn't happen. I'm trying
to describe to you how I thought the game was
going to go, how it actually did go, and therefore
my reasoning for picking the side I did. There was
a four h six to two twelve yardage edge in
this thing. It went the way of Alabama. Twenty three

(05:19):
to twelve first down, it went the way of Bama.
About a four percent post game win expectancy for Oklahoma
in this thing. That's almost as bad as the Bama
Vandy game last year. Bama had six drives longer than
Oklahoma's longest drive. But those are badlock stats. We call
those badlock stats on the show because if you had
those in your hand Friday, Oh, you would have made

(05:39):
a pick on the game. You may have even bet
money on the game. You would have lost. You would
have lost because, as we said in the game preview,
in fairness, what little credit we're going to get for
this week, was a tough week around here. In fairness,
all of that is mitigated by turnover margin. There was
reason to believe that Oklahoma, if anything, would have the

(06:02):
turnover edge tilted against them, although we believe that stat
is randomized. Because we enter this game and Bama's really
good at home and Bama's top ten and turnover margin
and Oklahoma's one hundred and twelfth. But you want to
know how randomized turnovers are? Minus three anyway, The team
that looked like it had all the edges there minus
three anyway, and that means they lose a football game

(06:25):
and Oklahoma wins. Now, here's why I stopped short. Here's
why I said, Oh, it's randomized, and a lot of
it's luck and whatnot. I'm not using that word because
this wasn't luck. There was nothing lucky. It is a
little randomized on any given play, any given series, any
given quarter, half game. Yeah, it's a little bit of
a randomized stat. Turnovers, it's a little bit of a

(06:47):
randomized stat. However, man, there was a lot of intent
with the way Oklahoma played yesterday. So I don't know
how many games you watch on an average Saturday, most
of us, most of you who are watching this show,
you probably watch a ton of football, So we watch
a lot of games. You watch guys play defense all
the time. You watch teams play defense. Everyone wants to

(07:08):
force turnovers. It's not like a defense ever takes the
field thinking, eh, we could do with or without getting
the ball. Yeah, of course you want to force turnovers,
but very few defenses play with the intent to force
turnovers the likes of which Oklahoma played at yesterday. I
have never seen it so glaringly obvious that that was
the coaching point during the week for Oklahoma or two weeks,

(07:30):
because they came out of a bye more so than yesterday.
Just unbelievable effort and as many as many turnovers as
they forced. It felt like there were like fifteen other
balls on the ground that they could have recovered or
that came out right after the ball carrier's knee was down,
like they were after the football constantly. That is absolutely

(07:51):
what a Brenton Venables defense should be about. There. It
wasn't just that, though none of the game was an accident.
Every Outlabama drive they had, eleven of them started inside
their own thirty yard line. Just phenomenal special teams effort.
Here Oklahoma was plus twenty two yards in net starting

(08:11):
field position. Just again, a masterful enough job, not perfect,
a masterful enough job. All day they were three for
three on their field goals Alabama's ozer for one, and
I mean it was like watching an episode of Jerry
Springer watching Alabama's kicking unit out there. There's some bad blood.

(08:32):
There's really I think a couch visit needed, really a
counseling session needed by you got a long snapper just
going absolutely nut job on a long snapper. Crazy stuff.
Not Oklahoma's fault, or maybe it is, but it's something
to take pride in. Oklahoma also had a forty two
yard punt return. They re covered a muff punt. So

(08:55):
that's what you have to do to win a game
where John Mattier is going to be fifteen of twenty
three fo one hundred thre eight yards, that's what you
have to do. If I were to have told you again,
if I were to have told you Friday, if I
told myself Friday that Mateir was gonna come out of
the bye week and he's gonna throw for one thirty eight,
he's gonna run for twenty three, Like that's nothing special.

(09:16):
You're never thinking to yourself, Oh man, Oklahoma's gonna victimize
Alabama in several other categories. They're gonna special teams them
to death, they're gonna turn over them to death. It
just would not have occurred to me, and yet it
did happen. That's where the credit is due. So it's
very obvious coming out of the bye that you're not
gonna get pre injury. John Matteir, this is really what

(09:38):
you're gonna get. It's no one's fault, it's what you're
gonna get. Now. You can choose to do one of
two things there. If you're Oklahoma, you can either choose
to have that implode your season, or you can fight.
And they chose to fight. It's huge credit to Brent
Vivenables and his coaching staff. There's so many imperfections on
the team right now, but they chose to fight, and
they're sitting here at eight and two. I believe they

(10:00):
control their playoff destiny. This game really opened up a
lot of the chaos scenarios that we talked about last
week because Oklahoma's got Missouri and LSU left both at home.
If they win those, they're ten and two. Oklahoma's going
to the playoff. I had Jesse look up earlier today,
what's the thing the playoff predictor that ESPN has, and

(10:22):
I said, plug in those two wins. He said, with
those two wins, I think it was ninety four percent
odds for Oklahoma to make the playoff. I don't even
know what the other six percent is they're in to
me if they win those two games. I mean, we
were throwing around scenarios as recently as last week where
a three loss Oklahoma made it in. So certainly ten
to two Oklahoma's going to make it in. The other
chaos is, Look, I don't do tie breakers very well.

(10:46):
I don't even mess around with the tie breaker scenarios,
so I just count on someone to tell me that
stuff makes my head swim. I was under the impression
that if Bama went down to Auburn and won the
Iron Bowl in a couple of weeks, that they were
still going to Atlanta, and that was a mathematical certainty.
Apparently that's not. Apparently, you know, there's some like round
robin tiebreaker scenarios that I don't want to even get

(11:09):
involved in. Bottom line, Obama's not got to win out
to make the playoff. They got Eastern Illinois this week
not doing great this year from what I hear, and
then they've got the Iron Bowl, and look, I follow
Alabama pretty closely. One of the things that I could
do without from that program is every time the Iron
Bowl on the road gets closer, there's this malaise of

(11:33):
fear and uncertainty that creeps in. I mean a lot
of people believe in dark magic around the Alabama fan base,
and I'm sure a lot of folks are going to
try and inform that coaching staff over the next couple
of weeks. So you don't even know what you're in for. Yeah,
there's a little bit of a self fulfilling prophecy that
goes on there. I watched it happen under Sabing time
and time again. You talk yourself into playing way tighter

(11:56):
on the road than you have any business playing, and
then the Jorden Harris Dadium stuff happens to you because
you're kind of contributing to it happening to you, Like,
go take care of business, and if you can't win
down there, you don't belong in anyway. So I didn't
really learn anything about Alabama yesterday. Anytime a game happens,
anytime Alabama loses a game, we get huge viewership on
the show. And anytime Alabama loses a game, the message

(12:18):
boards go crazy and talk radio will be insane in
Birmingham tomorrow morning, and it's like, what did we learn
about Alabama. I don't really think I learned anything. It
kind of enforced or reinforced some beliefs I have, like
did we were we ever under the impression that they
weren't tightrope walking? I wasn't at their best like best

(12:40):
case scenario, Obama's got to walk the tightrope. When you
can't run the ball, it doesn't mean you can't win.
When you can't run the ball, you just remove margin
for errors. You're living on the margins. Really, everything else
has got to be really really tight and buttoned up,
and everything's got to work fairly seamlessly. You're not going
to be perfect, But I mean, you can't have operational breakdowns.

(13:03):
You can't have muff punches. You can't have that stuff.
You can have the occasional miss field goal. It is
Alabama football, after all. You can afford to bake that in.
But a lot of the other stuff, man, like the
overall losing of the special team's battle, it just can't happen.
Drop passes can't happen. Procedural issues can't happen, pass pro

(13:24):
breakdowns can't happen. That kind of stuff can't happen. Now,
if they take care of business in all those areas
they can win without running the ball effectively. Truthfully, I
thought they ran the ball better yesterday than I expected
them to. That's grating on the Bama rushing curve. But
here's the question, I guess. If there's one thing I learned,
it's not one thing I learned, it's a new question.

(13:45):
I added, are they fading at the worst possible time?
You hope to be peaking at the best of times
here And they came out of the by they played LSU,
and I thought for a twenty to nine win. Boy,
there was so much meat left on the bone, part
of the ammunition that I had in my holtzter for
trying to pick them to win and cover here was.
I thought a lot of the explosive plays that were

(14:07):
barely missed through the air against LSU would be there.
They're still not there, still not there. So I mean
in November now we're well past thinking that someone is
in the process of ultimately becoming Like, yeah, you continue
to hone, Georgia continues to get better. But to count
on a fundamental facet of your team to show up

(14:28):
in November that normally doesn't happen. It normally doesn't happen.
So as of last night, you know, I kind of
got to check out a little bit on just expecting
that layer of the Alabama passing attack to show up.
And that's what makes it difficult, because if they know
you can't run it on them, they also know you
can't stretch it on them. Not much left you have
to defend. Now, you're good enough at quarterback and you're

(14:51):
good enough at wide receiver. You can still score somewhere
between twenty and twenty seven. But hey, these point totals
here are pretty insistent. Twenty four thirty twenty seven, scored
thirty seven on Tennessee. Six of seven of that was defense,
So thirty offensive, you got twenty nine, you got twenty.
That's kind of where they're floating right now. Score twenty

(15:11):
one yesterday and until further notice, that's what you can
expect from them, which means they got to kill it
on defense, and they did again yesterday, and it was
a wasted effort, which is a shame be cause I
thought that defense really came to play. So Oklahoma's in
the thick of this thing. Now they had to have
this great credit for a Briton vnnibles and his team.

(15:32):
It's not These two games are not layups that they
got coming up far from them. Actually, Missouri is still
very much alive. They dusted themselves off in smoked Mississippi
State last night and then you got LSU come into town.
So those aren't layups. But the point is it's all
in front of you. It's all in front of Bama too.
It's just again to circle back because I know people

(15:54):
are tuning in by the thousands live here. I'm not
sitting here in second guessing mind self for picking a
five and a half point favorite to cover that lost
by two points being minus three turnovers. That's just predictive stuff.
That's just randomized stuff that happens. You can give a
ton of credit to Oklahoma and still not feel all

(16:16):
that terrible about how you pick the game. Like I mean,
there are other games yesterday, there are games throughout the
season where you pick it and you're just flat out
on the wrong side. I picked this one and picked
the wrong team to win. Don't feel terrible about the
side I was on. So that's about the best I
can do. That's about the best I could do. The

(16:37):
one I guess the second question as I move on here.
That I would have about the impact that's going to
have on Bama is the last time they lost a game,
it served them very well. That's kind of what you
got to hope for. You basically got to hope that
that result yesterday due to you playing a certain way,
brings out the same thing in you that the Michigan

(16:58):
loss brought out in Ohio State last year. Now, that's
an extreme example to draw from. So if you want
to look in your own bag, you need look back
no further than the Florida State loss this year and
the reaction that brought out. I mean, because there is
a lot of blame to go around. Look, Milro Milroe
was probably responsible more so than any single player for

(17:19):
them losing the Oklahoma game last year. So if you're
gonna sit there and blame Jalen Milroe, you gotta shovel
a pretty hefty part of the blame towards Ty Simpson.
He did not play a good game yesterday. There is
a ton on his shoulders, A ton of that offense
is on his shoulders. You know that going in. You
knew that when you woke up yesterday morning. And now

(17:41):
for everyone else's part, I mean, if I'm a wide receiver,
if I'm Ryan Williams, and I know that's the case,
and I'm sitting out here muffing a punt and I
got balls dropped here and there. It's just it's never
on one guy. I'm just saying, it's November. These are
all your players. If you're Kaylin de boor Ryan Grubb,
you're not scared. Guys are gonna leave for the portal.

(18:02):
These are your guys. It's November. Tough love on Sunday
and Monday and then get ready. And I'm not paying
much attention this week. It's an FCS opponent, but you
got twelve days until your last conference game and your
playoff hopes are on the line. Down in Auburn, some
would say, as it should be. What should have been
yesterday was we made our way down to Athens, Georgia yesterday,

(18:25):
quick trip, fueling us every step of the way. We
appreciate them. The Faultn't Live tour has been rolling. Someone
asked me yesterday down in Athens, hey, you know what
you should do? Well, I guess it's not an asks
a it's a suggestion. They said you should have sort
of a concert themed t shirt at the end of
the year that shows all the dates and all the

(18:46):
stops you made along the tour. YEP, that's kind of
been the point. That's kind of been the point. We
don't have it available yet because obviously we don't know
all the stops we're gonna make. But I do know
the next one we're gonna make. Man, this earp too small, Jesse,
I do know the next stop we're gonna make. The
next stop we're gonna make takes us a long way away,
so multiple quick trip tanks needed for this trip. But

(19:11):
I did not go to Oregon earlier this year when
Indiana was in town. And the reason I didn't go, ironically,
has nothing to do with Oregon. It has to do
with me having supreme faith, hope and confidence in Lincoln
Riley and USC. And I had it and it is
paid off. So Lincoln Riley has come through for us
here at Payton State, and now we have a top

(19:35):
twenty showdown or maybe a Top fifteen show down. I
can't remember what the AP had in Eugene, Oregon this Saturday,
USC at Oregon Ton on the line. Yes, rain is
in the forecast, why not let's not bury the lead.
Of course, it's gonna rain. One guy's gonna wear rain gear,
the other one's gonna dress like a psychopath. I have

(19:56):
no clue. I'll probably be a happy middle ground there,
happy medium, happy. I don't know what the saying is.
I'm not wearing a happy medium. I can tell you
that we are excited to go there. We went there
in the spring, we went there last year. We go
about once or twice a year. So here we go.
Let me go ahead tweet this out by the way. Now, look,
I know some people are gonna say, oh, you're just

(20:17):
following college game. They oh, why don't you go here?
Why don't you go there? Guys, don't overthink the room here.
It's the biggest game. It's the biggest game of the week.
That's why we're going there. We haven't been there all year.
We intentionally circled this one, so that's why we're going there.
Because quick trip allows us to go there too. So
I appreciate you on that. Looking forward to getting up there.

(20:38):
Usually when we go to Oregon, usually we head up
there Thursday night spend the whole day Friday. So I
haven't finalized our travel plans, but i'd imagine would be
up there for a good chunk of the weekend. All right,
let's continue to move on Georgia to school Texas again.

(21:02):
Last night, thirty five to ten was the final. This
game was presented to you by Quick Trip. We were
there star studded event down in Athens. Man, I've met
a ton of people last night. It was a great night.
I don't list everyone, because I'll forget a lot of people.
Game probably wasn't all that fun to watch for you
at home. We gave it one and a half Childli,
which is probably the best news of Kirby Smart's year.

(21:25):
You don't want to be playing a four and a
half Chili class. They already did that earlier in the
year when Bama came in. There. No, you want one
where folks are tuning out and they're moving on to
watch Boise State late in the fourth quarter. He loves
that team. I've said that like five times this year,
and I want to reiterate it again because I'm gonna
play some sound for you in a little while. He
loves this team. It's peaking at the right time. That's

(21:47):
an added bonus. But there is minimal distraction on that team.
Minimal off the field issues for Georgia and Kirby Smart
just a bunch of guys, maybe not his most talented
roster he's ever had, but it's so obvious. They're all in.
They do what they're asked, and they dominated last night. Dominated.

(22:08):
It is a classic what we call a She's all
That moment, And if you've never watched the movie, I
hate that because I got to go spoiler alert a
little bit on you. Georgia found themselves in a classic
shees all that moment and they're there right now. So
at various times this season, they've looked flawed early in

(22:29):
the season, like people were pointing this out, pointing that out,
and Kirby Smart himself sounded concerned about this aspect. They're
that aspect, rightfully so, rightfully so. But in true landybox fashion,
this is a shoes all that moment for Georgia, and
it kind of happened last night because Georgia took those
glasses off and the world started to realize george is

(22:52):
kind of hot. Wow? Is that Georgia? Is that the
same Georgia? Who? What could they turn in too? Could
they become prom queen? Could they win a national title.
Don't know, don't know, that's why God makes us play
December and January. But I will say this, just like
I said last week, felt kind of vindicated last night.

(23:13):
There was a lot that the model loved about Texas,
some of the numbers like Texas, and I sat here
and kind of ignored the numbers last week and I said, nope, nope,
until further notice. This is a Georgia game. It's not
a matchup game. I have a philosophy about these big
program type games. I rarely ever get into deep matchup
type stuff. It's not an Ex's and Oh show to

(23:35):
begin with. But a lot of times we'll throw some
stats out there to back up an argument. But with
Georgia and Texas, I didn't view it as a matchup game.
It's more a referendum game, like, for example, the finals
thirty five to ten. Do you really think there's a
twenty five point gap in talent differential between those rosters?
Of course, not no one in Red and Black thinks

(23:55):
there's a twenty five point gap or a twenty five
point difference, But it was absolute a referendum on staff,
and it's a referendum on culture. For instance, You know,
both of those staffs were well aware of who the
officiating crew was on this game coming into yesterday. They
both knew that that crew throws a ton of flags.
And yet last night Georgia had one for fifteen and

(24:17):
Texas had nine for fifty eight. Fourth quarter Georgia owned it.
And that's against a team coming out of the by
and Georgia routes some twenty one to zero in the
fourth quarter. Texas in their last three games in about
a calendar year against Georgia probably the paper popper of
the year here eighty three combined rushing yards in three

(24:40):
shots against Georgia in a calendar year. So again, finals
thirty five to ten. There are a lot of talented
kids on Texas's team that Georgia wanted and vice versa.
I mean, they recruit against each other. You look on
paper this stuff right here, it says it's supposed to
be a close game. Vegas Odds board says it's supposed
to be a close. Scam Man, it's so glaring when

(25:03):
you watch it play out. And I thought, not only
the game itself, but the Kirby Smart press conference afterwards
was a classic. It was almost like it was delivered
to American society at large, but especially football society. I
just want you to take a list, and you don't
even have to be a Georgia fan to appreciate this.

Speaker 2 (25:21):
Yeah, it's it's it's the approach we take. We're gonna
we're gonna dominate and try to win the fourth quarters.
It's what we do in practice, it's what we do
in the off season. It's what we build our core
culture around, is being the more physical team. And you
have to recruit physical players and they have to buy
into that process. I don't know that a lot of
these kids nowadays, they want to check. They don't want physicality.

(25:43):
And if you have to check and no physicality, you
end up with nothing. So we're not just getting checks
at our place. We're hitting people. Our kids believe in
down and dirty. They believe in, you know, the seal
mantra of let's take them to the water, Let's see
who can survive in the water and see who's gonna

(26:03):
tap out first, ring the bell and run from the
contact contest. And they believe in that, like they believe
in the physical toughness that it takes to win games.

Speaker 1 (26:15):
It's so great, man, You got a bunch of future
millionaires on that team, playing like their Toledo. It's just
amazing the mentality he gets them to play with. I'm
around them a fair amount. I'm in a lot of
these buildings, so I'm in a really good position to compare.
Not granularly, I'm just talking about general vibe, general temperature,

(26:35):
the way they go about things, the way walk through
feels when you watch it on a Friday, like they're
not tackling. It's just the vibe. It's just the standard.
It's like squeezing the sponge till it's completely dry and
then going back and saying, I think we can get
one more drop out of it, and you're just it's
the difference in the one percent that you find, just

(26:56):
the fractions of inches that you find here and there.
So then it bears itself out because then you play
twelve games a year, really three or four of them
are against rosters comparable enough to where you kind of
look across the sideline you see it's like a version
of us over there. Physically physically they look similar to us.
So then let's find out. And oftentimes when Georgia makes

(27:19):
you find out, it's normally you find it out. They're
kind of just rediscovering what they already knew about themselves.
So Mike Bobo and his offensive staff have been trashed
relentlessly in the past, and yet those people have been
nowhere to be found this year, including last night, when
Mike Bobo and his offensive staff have done and then
continued last night to put on clinics free clinics. They're

(27:42):
not even making you pay for them. I mean it
comes down to players ultimately. Like last night, the padlock
stat that we circle going into this game, remember it,
it was broken tackles. You are to have to catch
broken tackles. Georgia had ten and Texas had two. So yes,
players are making plays, But I don't know how in

(28:04):
the world you watch them week one to now week
twelve and watch Gunner Stockton and say anything other than
staff's just putting on a clinic. Man. He was twenty
four nine two twenty nine five touchdowns total last night,
threw one pick, which could have been devastating except I
mean Georgia had enough cushion where it didn't even matter.

(28:24):
And in the red zone it's just just again the
inches that make the difference here. Four of four was
Georgia twenty eight points. Texas was two of three for
ten points. Nice little bonus. If you want to shift
attention to the other side of the ball for a second,
think about some of the edges Texas was supposed to have,
and this includes me. I picked Georgia to win the game,
and I even thought Texas would have the edge, And

(28:45):
therefore Stockton had a little more burden on his shoulders
because they can get after you, and George has not
really been able to get after the passer a whole lot.
Georgia consistently, I thought, got more pressure on Arch than
Texas got on Gunnerstockton. That's against an offensive line at
Georgia that has been in tatters at various points this year.

(29:07):
So again, it's almost like they took the plane off
earlier this year, and by Georgia's standards, there were alarms
going off in the cockpit all over the place, and
they never really landed it. They just said, no, we're
not landed. We don't get to do that. This is
not spring practice. We've taken off. We got really capable

(29:27):
people on board here. They paid a lot of money,
so let's do our jobs and fix the thing. In
the air, and they have, they have, and now some
of the rattlings stopped, and some of the red blinking
lights have gone off, and the alarms have died down,
And now you start to look at it saying, wow,
this thing could actually fly. Not only can it fly,
we may be able to go higher than we are

(29:48):
right now. Let's pull the stick back a little bit.
Let's just see how high we can go. That's kind
of how I felt watching Georgia yesterday slash last night.
I mean, there are a lot of big names on
that Texas sideline that hit that tunnel well before the
gun sounded. This should have been the best of Texas.
By the way, Texas goes into the by a couple

(30:08):
of weeks ago and they're as hot as they've been
at any point offensively this year, and the running back
room feels like it's getting as healthy as it's been
all year. And what better spot to be in coming
out of the by than going toe to toe against
the team that humbled you twice last year. You want that,
if you're a competitor, you don't want to shy away
from that. You want that, and you got it. And

(30:32):
it was the same story as it's been on the
road for them all year. Texas is there's a different gear.
This organization's got a hit. They lost at Ohio State,
they lost it Florida. They had to squeak past Kentucky
and Mississippi State on the road, and then they got
pants by Georgia. They don't play well away from home.
They don't. And that's a critical part of what separates

(30:55):
good versus even very good, much less good versus great
in this sport is being able to scale your performance
level on the road, and Texas hadn't been able to
do it. I mean, I still I still think about
that Hallmark like program defining win or so we thought
when they went into Tuscal loose, and that feels like
ten years ago now because it really hasn't been replicated

(31:18):
over and over again. And I know there's a lot
of talk in the abstract right now around Texas about
everything from coordinators and position coaches to like front office personnel.
And look, truthfully, everybody's got to make adjustments after every season.
Ryan Day won a national title last year and they

(31:39):
made some adjustments at Ohio State, so of course Start's
going to have to make adjustments. But the bigger picture
issue is you still find yourself this far into the
tenure asking the same question. So I was asking it
going into this game, and you still ask it coming
out of this game. What is Texas football under Steve Sarkisian?

(32:00):
Asking what they want to be? I'm asking what they are?
I mean, what is the tried and true can like
nail something against it? Identity of Texas football under Steve's Sarkisian. Now,
that's not me giving up on him, far far cry
from that. Actually, I'm just a believer that it's still
sort of in an evolutionary phase there. That may not

(32:23):
be acceptable. If you're a Texas donor or you know,
you're a big Texas fan and you think you've given
him long enough to figure it out. Well, if you
believe that and he's not getting the job done, fire him,
of course that's not reasonable. I'm just kind of given
an extreme response to what is a stance that many
people probably have. So obviously you're not firing him. I

(32:43):
don't think he's leaving, although crazier things have happened. So
if Sarks your guy for the foreseeable future, which I
believe he will be, well, then it's just up to
him to figure it out. Now, what Steve Sarkisian's really
good at doing is not panicking, like not freaking out out.
I always love listening anytime something goes wrong for textas
always loved listening to his postgame pressers because he always

(33:06):
makes me feel better about what I just watched. And
it's never it's never like a smoke screen, it's never gaslighting.
He put it the right way last night. He understood
what had just happened to him. But it's never as
bad as that kind of final score makes it look
like it is. But the thing about it is, this

(33:26):
is another opportunity that you probably missed. You went to
the playoff last year and we went out there to Austin.
I sat down with him, had him on the show
in the spring. What did he say? He said, this
is the year we've built towards. This is the group,
this is the roster we've wanted on the field, This
is our Texas we got here a few years ago,

(33:50):
but this is the first one where it's just fully
us out there on the field. Well, this is the
result you've gotten. That's not good enough. I don't think
he would say it's good enough. So that doesn't mean
that you just burn it all down, but it means
you still got to You still got to keep doing
in the fifty thousand foot sense what Kirby Smart's been
doing in the micro sense to his team every week.

(34:13):
Georgia never just is what they are. Georgia never just
is what they are. They're always building, They're always adjusting,
they're always tweaking. They got a building full of the
best in the country at what they do, and they
are constantly exhausting every resource imaginable, every angle possible to

(34:33):
find those extra one percents, those extra fractions of inches
here or there. It's how they refound that ground game.
It's how twelve weeks in last Night magically there's somewhat
of a heartbeat of a pass rush on that team.
They never just are what they are. It's always very,

(34:54):
very commonplace in sports. Once you get halfway in the season,
you look at a team, or you look at a
facet of a team and you say, oh, is what
it is. That's not language that they use there. I mean,
I don't imagine them sitting around a staff room on
a Monday morning and they couldn't get after the quarterback
like they wanted, or you know, they couldn't run it
to the right side like they wanted, and they just say, well,

(35:14):
we kind of are what we are there. Nope, nope,
we're not running a charity here. This is not volunteer work.
That's not good enough to get paid what we get
paid to hold ourselves to the standard we hold ourselves to,
to wear that logo on our chest. That's not good
enough and it hasn't been good enough for them. And
it's refreshing to be around, is all I'm saying. To

(35:35):
be around a place that holds itself to that kind
of standard, doesn't apologize for it, and it's become a
little bit more of a rare commodity. Ohio State's the
same way. When you're up there, it doesn't matter what
the rest of the outside world is doing. It doesn't
matter which way the rest of the sport's trending. They're
just non negotiables at the University of Georgia and they

(35:56):
never bend on them. Doesn't always mean they're nailing it perfect.
It doesn't alays mean they're going to win every game
they play, But it's refreshing to be around every highly
paid staff thinks they are what Georgia is. Every place
where they pay a lot of money to win football games,
thinks they're made of what Georgia is made of. And
then they play Georgia Texas. I promise you got on

(36:21):
a plane in Austin and headed over there and thought
they were what Georgia is. They thought they were made
of the same thing. They've thought that three times. They've
probably been wrong about it three times. And it's both
a compliment to Georgia and I guess that's a criticism.
I don't know. I'm just saying one program is where
the other is trying to get since an age old

(36:43):
story in this sport. Look, Bama's given Georgia a ton
of issues. Okay, so it's not like Georgia is without
without the ability to understand what I'm putting down here,
but everything that Bama has been to them, they are
to Texas right now, and which is crazy because the
way the SEC's working right now, if we got some
head to heads with Texas and Bama, maybe Texas would

(37:05):
own Obama. We're just crazy how the sport works right now.
I have a major announcement to make. I was just
giving you time there, Bradley, In case you needed to
put a super up, you already got it up. Okay,
our show has amazing numbers. We've done some amazing things
with the show over the past four years. I am

(37:25):
eternally grateful to you guys for even putting us in
position to where we can own the show. We get
to do whatever we want to with it, We get
to broadcast it whenever we want, we get to go
however long. We want just kind of an amazing thing,
an amazing place to be in the evolution of sports
media and stuff like that. That's boring, I don't want
to talk about that. There's something we've wanted to do

(37:46):
with the show for a long time. For a long time,
we wanted to take ownership of the show, right, and
then we did that. So once you have ownership of
the show, you can kind of do whatever you want.
And then the next thing we wanted to do is
we wanted to start having live events. Don't mean taking
this show and doing the show live. I mean having
live events, full on stage, sold out theater, interactive live events.

(38:10):
And I am very happy to announce that in about
a month, a little less than a month, we're going
to do that, and tonight I can announce that Friday,
December fifth, the night before the SEC Championship game, at
the Buckhead Theater in Atlanta, Georgia, at seven pm, we
will have our first live show. Tickets are on sale
as we speak at paytstatematerial dot com. There's a live

(38:34):
events tab there. We expect this to sell out very quickly.
So to our friends there in Atlanta, maybe to our
friends in College Station who plan on being in Atlanta.
Maybe our friends in Tuscaloosa plan on being in Atlanta.
Maybe our friends in Athens plan on being in Atlanta.
And even if they're not, it's a short drive. You
can make it there anyway. Or maybe you just live
in Macon or Columbus or Chattanooga and you're a friend

(38:56):
of the program and you want to make your way down.
Going to have some supper guests there. It's gonna have
exclusive merch that you can only acquire at said live event,
gonna have tons of giveaways, It's gonna be really fun,
it's gonna be really interactive. I want to stress again
this is not us broadcasting an episode of the show.
There is no live feed of this. There is no

(39:18):
replay of this. The only way you're seeing this one
is if you're there in person. And the fun thing
about that format is you can kind of say anything
you want to tell, any story, you want to throw,
any staff or under the bush you want to. After all,
no one's gonna tell. No one's gonna tell. It's just
amongst us, right, So we're looking very forward to this
night before the SEC Championship game. They're in Atlanta, December fifth.

(39:44):
We move on. We've gotten this deep in the show.
We haven't even mentioned this game. Oh man. We have
a rule in the show we always talk about the
winning team first, and yet I don't even know how
to and we may have to break our rule for
the game. Texas A and M thirty one, South Carolina
thirty It was a five Chiali classic. I don't know

(40:08):
what else to say. How did you look away from this?
Even when it was a blowout in the first half.
It was a blowout in a sense that made your
jaw hit the ground, like you couldn't believe what was happening.
It's not like AMM got up by four scores and
then South Carolina found their way back in And this
was thirty to three. I want you to raise your hand.
I mean, unless you're in class or something like that,

(40:29):
or you're at the DMV listening to the replay tomorrow.
You know, don't look like you're a psycho, but raise
your hand. If you gave up on this game, did
you turn it off? Did you go and run a
quick errand get some some stuff from the hardware store?
Did you go get lunch? Did you I don't know,
go mow the grass and get ready for the two

(40:49):
thirty Central time kickoffs and then look up and it
was all of a sudden thirty one to thirty. Did
anyone out there do that? I have it on good
authority some of you fell into that trap paper popper step.
Since two thousand and four SEC teams were oh and
two hundred and eighty six when trailing by twenty seven
plus they are now one and two hundred and eighty six.

(41:14):
We reached full pucker. If you follow me on Twitter
during Saturdays, every now and then when there's an upset brewing,
I like to update what I call the pucker meter.
And I mean, look, if you're familiar with the human
anatomy and you understand what it's like when things get
a little tense. You understand what the pucker meter probably
refers to. And the bigger the favorite you are, and

(41:37):
the closer the upset gets, the higher the pucker meter goes.
The highest we have been so far this year was
I think like a nine point five and that was
those Penn State games with James Franklin ladies and gentlemen.
We reached to ten in College Station, Texas on the
pucker meter yesterday. And here's why the first half was disaster.

(42:01):
I went to Jim Donnon's house yesterday, big friend of
the program, former Georgia head coach. I was up in
Athens already had to kill some time, so we went
and watched the first portion of the Saturday just sitting
in Jim Donnond's basement. Good name of a show, actually
Jim Donnon's basement. And it was in that basement that
I watched thirty to three unfold, a three twelve to

(42:22):
one thirty two yardage edge for South Carolina in the
first half. They out rushed A and M one oh
eight to negative nine. In the first half. They had
a three to one turnover edge, which felt like more. Somehow,
there were multiple cap busters Leonora Sellers found the deep ball.
The cops couldn't even stop South Carolina, and trust me,
they tried in vain to stop South Carolina. And all

(42:45):
that happens, and you feel like an entire season's worth
of misery and bad breaks and busted coverages and everything
that could go wrong has gone wrong for Texas A
and M to the point where I legitimately thought to myself,
at what point was A and M informed kickoff was
eleven am? Because if you just experimentally, if you took

(43:06):
a team and told them all week they were playing
at seven thirty, and then told them when they woke up,
no games at eleven, get ready, that's it looked worse
than I would think that would look. But here's the
thing about college football games. Lots changed over the years.
One thing has stayed the same. Sixty minutes in regulation,
they make you play sixty. They make you play a

(43:28):
full sixty. And that was, as it turns out, horrifically
terrible news for the South Carolina game. Cocks first half
went great, and then they wheeled the piano out to
midfield and she came out of the tunnel. Her name
Sarah McLaughlin. The second half of this game is our

(43:48):
Sarah McLaughlin special. South Carolina up thirty to three at
the half, outscored twenty eight zip. The rest of the way,
South Carolina was out gained three seventy one to seventy
six the second half. An eighteen to four first down
edge for Texas A and M four sacks to zero
in the second half. Let's just go a little ping

(44:11):
pong drive recap here? Shall we touch down A and
M turnover on down South Carolina, touchdown an M, three
and out South Carolina. They're still up two scores. Touchdown
A and M punt South Carolina. If you just hold
on now, you can still win this game. Touchdown A
and M three and out South Carolina took them less
than twenty minutes. And even then, Colin klemb the offensive

(44:33):
staff at A ANDM find it in the goodness of
their hearts to offer South Carolina a shot. They run
a gimmick play inexplicably down near the goal line, and
South Carolina can do nothing with it. Final score thirty
one to thirty, A game that at one point reached
ten on the pucker meter ends up being labeled the

(44:53):
unpuckering South Carolina drops the game, and if you believe
in snapshots and sound by being what lasts the longest
in sports and politics, it's going to be a long
time before we can shake the image of Shane Beemer, triumphant,
fist in the air, going into the halftime locker room,
only to come out and watch his team implode in

(45:15):
on itself like a dying star. This was the Sara
McLaughlin Special of Week twelve. They got to figure it
out an offensive coordinator. This is not breaking news. They
already fired Mike Schula. This is not something that's going
to be figured out this year. But poor South Carolina, man,
I kid, because I care, and I really do care.
It's a three and seven season. They cannot make a

(45:37):
bowl game. Now. Obviously the Clemson game becomes your bowl game.
It has to become your super Bowl. This is why
last year was so important for them. Last year, you know,
I thought the committee got it right. So I'm not
relitigating that part of it. I just remember saying, hey, Bam,
I got left out. That's okay. They'll be back in
the mix. Every year. Ole Miss got left out. Ole

(46:01):
Miss has got a shot to be in it. Every year,
Lane's got Old Miss rolling, They'll be fine. South Carolina
got close though, in the playoff rankings, and I remember
saying this is a much bigger blow to South Carolina.
South Carolina realistically cannot expect to just be in position
every year. They can try, but I mean, history, even
recent history, says that's not realistic, and as it turns out,

(46:23):
it wasn't. So. I mean, there's Old Miss right back
in the playoff race. There's Bama right back in the
playoff race. South Carolina's three and seven. That's why last
year them missing out on the playoff was such a
big deal. Also yesterday, keep talking about completely getting lost
in the hurricane that followed it. Mike Elco extended with
Texas A and M, which we expected. Okay, Penn State

(46:47):
had pursued him and that was, you know, all to
basically serve Texas A and M to get an updated
contract in front of him. He signs it, and that's great,
great news, wonderful news. I don't care if they ended
up losing the game. This wonderful news for Texas A
and M. They are now ninety nine percent probability to
make the playoff. But the November air got to him.

(47:09):
It's funny. I don't know how many times this has
happened to me. You give these caution labels to a
game or a team, So like last week, they go
play Missouri. That was the week a lot of people
kept saying, it's November, you're favored care for, you're ranked
high in the playoffs, you haven't really been here, and

(47:30):
they blow Missouri out. All the stuff that you said
last week actually applied to the week after that. I
never ever ever saw this coming. I guess the good
news of South Carolina is they covered. I never saw
it coming. Marcel Reid moving forward, and I cannot emphasize
this strongly enough, is still my pick to win the
Heisman Trophy. I never gave up on Marcel. Notorious anti

(47:54):
aggie propagandist Brandon Walker gave up on him and actively
tempted to throw more Marcel Read's Heisman ticket under the bus.
I never cashed out, and I could have. I could
have cashed out yesterday, but I did not. Marcel Reid
entered yesterday plus eight fifty odds to win the Heisman
at FanDuel. He was now plus five fifty as I

(48:14):
checked earlier today some say you shouldn't be rewarded for
digging yourself a hole that you then climb out of,
because you're the one who dug the hole. Not my problem.
I don't make the odds. I just bet them. Marcel
Reid is currently still very much in the think of
the Heisman race for a nanamendoz A the favorite. I

(48:36):
think Julian's saying number two, and then it's Marcel Reid.
I can't remember after that what an experience that one was.
I always think somewhere somebody's watching their first college football
game in person or on TV, and any given game
could be that game. This was someone's first college football
game yesterday. This person is set up for crushing disappointment

(49:00):
the rest of the way because eventually they're going to
watch Rutgers, and eventually they're going to realize, oh, it's
a come to earth moment for me here, Like I
remember not that this is advice for any of you.
Please don't misconstrue what I'm about to say is advice.
This is a cautionary tale. When I discovered sports betting,

(49:21):
I bet two parlays on a Sunday and I hit
both of them. I think the guy I was betting
with a local at the time. He returned twelve to
one odds on fourteen parlays at standard juice. So I bet,
I think twenty dollars a piece. I want two hundred
and twenty dollars on them. I'm I'm like fourteen years old,
so this is a huge deal. And I thought that's

(49:42):
how sports betting worked, and so for a long time
I just bet nothing but parlays, and I quickly realized,
oh oh, the odds on hitting those actually are about
one and sixteen, So even if it returns at a
twelve to one rate, it's a mathematical guaranteed loser long term. Actually,
I didn't quickly learn that. It took me years to
learn that. You know, basic math and stuff. That's gotta

(50:05):
be what this is going to be. Like if you
watched that game yesterday and that's college football to you,
maybe the best of college football, but yeah, Maryland exists, guys,
Northwestern games are going to happen to you, So just prepare.
It's okay, you got it. You gotta let the bad
with the good end. That's all. That's another line from

(50:25):
ses All that ironically we have more added takeaways. I
got a lot of show left to get to, whole
lot of show left to get to appreciate you guys watching.
We got like thirteen thousand watching live. Subscribe, check and
see if you're subscribed, because we're like seven we're like
nineteen thousand subs away from five hundred k. We need
to get there quickly. Really, there's no rush. I would

(50:45):
just like to get there quickly so that we can
get to celebrating five hundred k. Added takeaway from yesterday.
Notre Dame beat Pitt thirty seven to fifteen. I thought
it felt fraudulent as a big game. It was a note.
I watched the game, the build up and hype that
it got during the week, I just didn't really get.

(51:06):
I never thought Pitt had much of a shot in
this game. There was never a question, even after the
opening drive. Just never a question. Notre Dame victimized a
young quarterback and it's just part of being a freshman
playing that position. Notre Dame lost the turnover battle in
this game and still was able to yawn their way
through the fourth quarter. Just all right, I'm gonna say

(51:28):
something here. I know how Notre Dame twitter is they're
gonna take it the wrong way. It's gonna twist it
out of context. This was not a test for them.
They passed it with flying colors. But it's not a
test for them as it relates to what they're gonna
have to do to win a national championship. That's what
I mean. Like Ohio State plays Rutgers this Saturday, that's
not a test for them. They may be the best

(51:48):
team in the country. Notre Dame may be the best
team in the country. But as you look, Bradley, do
me a favorite throw Notre Dame schedule back up right
quick as you look at the path they've taken. Like
I strongly suspect Notre Dame is going to be in
the playoffs. By the time they get there, it's gonna
have been several weeks since they faced a team that
is even comparable to know what they're gonna see in

(52:10):
the postseason. So they may be clicking on all cylinders
and show it come playoff time, or you could have
a situation where they get exposed in the first round
in which they play. You just don't know. It doesn't guarantee,
like when you're not being tested down the stretch, It
doesn't guarantee anything, it doesn't solidify anything. It just means

(52:32):
if something's crept in here that is a flaw, it
may potentially get exposed in the playoff and surprise people.
That's all I caution against. And I'm mainly talking to
myself when I'm like picking Notre Dame and characterizing Notre Dame.
But they're doing exactly what they should be doing in November,
and so is USC. I'm so proud. I'm so proud.

(52:52):
I listen to me. I'm choked up. I took the
stage last week and is like two feet off the ground.
I guess it's age. I took to this microphone last
week and said something many people thought they would never
hear me say. I said, I'm going to pick Lincoln
Riley and USC to win a game because I think
they can be physical enough to win it against Iowa.

(53:14):
This is a really big moment for Southern cal And
they were down twenty one to seven in the rain
against Iowa. I mean, where else would ioua rather have you?
It's boa constrict time at that point, and then then
it happened. They pitched a shut out the rest of
the way and they went on a nineteen to nothing
run again in the pouring rain, and I was so proud.

(53:36):
I mean, Makayle Lemon played at a level yesterday. I
don't think I've ever seen him play at He's an
extremely good player. Man. I had like other I had
other staffers texting me, you seeing what he's doing? Yeah, yeah,
I sure am. And then if you didn't watch the game,
I gotta tell you, man, I have not seen Lincoln
Riley that emotional in a long time. But I get

(53:57):
it and he should be emotional. And he talked about
it afterwards. He said this is a culture win and
not an emphatic win. And they had a slow start
again and that's been a pretty chronic issue for them
this year. They can't be letting that continue. But just
you don't always have to immediately go to what went
wrong when you win a football game. These are really
hard to come by, and especially if you're Lincoln Riley,

(54:20):
because what have you listened to? All these guys live
when they say they blocked the outside noise, every one
of them, here's the outside noise. Lincoln Riley included, is
well aware of what people say about him and what
they've said about him for a long time, and it
hasn't been undeserved. Is his teams aren't tough enough to
win games like that, and they've made a really concerted
effort to change that. There a full credit due to him.

(54:42):
They've made a really concerted effort to change that. And
it's not an overnight fix. And he's talked specifically about
having to change his philosophy how he runs a program
that was last offseason, last winter. They talked about it.
It's obvious they meant it. They've gotten better defensively, but
this kind of game, man, that's an identity game. That's

(55:03):
just the way you carry yourself. Can you get down?
And it's raining. And so when they come back and
they win that game that should have been emotional and
it was so good for them. All that does is
gives them a shot to go to Eugene, Oregon this weekend,
probably maybe with their playoff destiny in their hands. Maybe
we'll talk about that a little bit later on. We're

(55:24):
gonna be there. I know that ain't missing that game.
We're gonna be there. In other news, yesterday, we have
officially for the moment, averted the acc doomsday scenario. I'm
not sure if I was pulling for it or not.
I was just interested to see if it could happen.

(55:45):
The ACC doomsday scenario is exactly what it sounded like.
That was the scenario where no ACC team makes the playoff,
and trust me, it could have happened. So that got
averted because Duke got smoked by Virginia yesterday. The aim
was thirty four to seventeen. Take my word for it.
It wasn't as close as the final score indicated. Virginia

(56:06):
had three sixteen through the air, two to twenty four
on the ground. They had a five forty to two
fifty five yardage advantage, and now University of Virginia in
the driver's seat in the race to get to the
ACC Championship game. I'll show you my updated playoff predictions
and whatnot in a little while. But Georgia Tech survived

(56:28):
against Boston College, Louisville fell to Clemson. Hey, I got
to give I give a lot of credit to Dabos
Winny and his staff. There's been a lot of criticism
of them this year. There should have been. They've been
a crushing disappointment as a team. But I don't know
if you watched Clemson Louisville Friday Night. It was a
mistake filled game. It was an ugly game. I'm not

(56:51):
commenting on the execution level. It left a lot to
be desired both ways. Clemson is not a good team
this year, but the fight they played with is something
that I miss. Like the feeling and the fight and
the passion that Clemson played with Friday. I miss a
lot of that because that used to be the old school,

(57:14):
pre playoff era style of college football, back when success
or failure wasn't solely based on whether you make the playoff.
Now there's nothing, there's nobody that follows Clemson football that
will call this year a success. They could win the
rest of the way, that's not a success. What I'm
saying is there was this vibe up until fairly recently,

(57:35):
like the last fifteen years, there was a vibe in
college football like every game was a one game season.
Every Saturday was this huge blessing or Friday in this case,
and you just played for the logo. It sounds really
really cornballish now to some people. Mean to me, it doesn't.
I love that that was Clemson. So I said that

(57:57):
Friday night, and of course people come at you, Oh,
wouldn't be saying that if Louisville didn't miss some field goals, well,
Louisville handed them the game. I don't care. It's not
even the point I'm trying to make. I just appreciate
that I got dudes tapping out left and right, coast
to coast once their preseason goals are out the window
as a team faking injuries. There are guys faking injuries

(58:19):
all over the country to stay off the football field.
And I got guys at Clemson crawling over broken glass
to get on the field. So, yeah, this season is
a disappointment. But they hadn't given up. They hadn't given up.
They are limited in their capability as a team, but
they haven't given up. And I just want to say
I appreciate it. That's all I want to say. Miami
floored in C State. We'll see where the committee has them. Miami.

(58:44):
I still think clearly it's the best at large shot
for the ACC to have. Georgia Tech's got to play
Pitt this week. By the way, that was a game
we thought about going to Pitt at Georgia Tech and
then Pitt and then we'll Georgia Tech then plays Georgia
after that, which doesn't matter in the conference standings, but

(59:06):
yea CEC doomsday scenario looks like they're going to get
a team in at least for now. Ole Miss in
Florida was an interesting game yesterday. It was a really
competitive game. Ole Miss stretched it late, it was right.
It was a very compacted, one possession type game. Up
until the very end, the game kind of took a
back seat. I mean, most people were talking about Lane
Kiffin in this game, more so than the game itself,

(59:28):
And I'm going to talk about that later in the show.
Ole Miss is pretty clearly in the playoff right now.
I think they're sitting at like ninety nine percent probability
to make the playoff. The Kiffin thing has to get solved.
It needs to get solved sooner rather than later. I'm
gonna talk about it in the show a little bit later.
And G five, Josh coming to you live from Nashville. Here,
it is my duty to inform you that now that

(59:50):
Navy has taken down USF, currently North Texas has the
best odds out of the G five teams to make
the playoff. Followed by James Madison, followed by Tulane and
then a big gap and then everyone else. So this

(01:00:10):
is going to be interesting North Texas. Let's say they
go undefeated the rest of the way, they will presumably well,
they'll win the American and presumably they are in the playoff.
Now that's not my question. My question is James Madison.
What happens to them? Because we're going to go over
this in a little while. The AP poll is out

(01:00:31):
for this week. James Madison is ranked like twenty first,
isn't it, Jesse something like that. So my point is,
James Madison, if they're already sitting there in the kind
of top twenty to twenty five range, the Playoff committee
rankings have kind of loosely mirrored what the AP is
minor differences. So if the Committee has James Madison ranked

(01:00:54):
come Tuesday night, we got to ask ourselves. If they
beat Washington State and beat Coastal and win the Sun
Belt against Southern miss I would assume how are they
going to be ranked? Could they be ranked higher? Like
right now in the AP they're the highest ranked G
five team, is what I'm trying to tell you, So,
like if all of them went out, is the American

(01:01:16):
champ at the very end, gonna jump James Madison. Most
people think they will. If they don't, James Madison is
guaranteed a playoff spot. Yes, that's a real sentence coming
out of my mouth. We're talking about we're talking about
a battle between North Texas and James Madison to make
the college football playoff. Think of that what you will.
I'm just here doing some big Jay journalism in the

(01:01:38):
interest of bringing you all the facts. Facts, after all,
are what this show is built on, and a healthy
contribution from Academy Sports and Outdoors. Academy Sports and Outdoors
one stop shop for ninety plus percent of your life's needs.

(01:01:59):
If you need hamber meat, they don't have it there.
If you need a grill, they do have it there. Okay,
so you're never more than like one degree separation from
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where you have to go six degrees. It's just one
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(01:02:21):
you can get big league chew there. At that point,
really I have what I need. Maybe a white T
shirt here and there, which yes, you can also get there.
And they've been a longtime partner of the show, and
we appreciate them. Now they are aware that they don't
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so you can go to academy dot com. You can
do these things. That's okay. We prefer the inshore experience,

(01:02:46):
but you'll be okay either way. We appreciate it. All right.
I need to do two things. I need to put
on some lip bomb. I hate this kind no knock
on Awquall four, but they haven't paid to be a
part partner on the show, and it's also the kind
that you have to manually apply. No give me Berts

(01:03:08):
also not a partner on the show. Lane Kiffin's got
to decide on something here. Ole miss has got to
decide on something here. I got a lot of people
asking me, Hey, he's Lane going to Florida. I don't know.
I don't think he does. The message boards do a
lot of information on the message boards out there. Look,
I'm not smart. I'm not as smart as those people,

(01:03:28):
So I cannot tell you definitively what's going to happen
with Lane Kiffin. I think number one that I don't
think he one hundred percent knows what he's going to
do again, contrary to message board rumor, I don't believe that.
Maybe he thinks he knows. It's not time to make
a decision yet, is my point, but it should be
very close to time. Number two, you got to understand

(01:03:51):
when we assess the landscape in the situation here, and
you know that Florida is waiting on an answer from him,
ole Miss is certainly waiting on an answer from him.
Lsu maybe wait on an answer from him. Not to mention,
there could be NFL jobs that I know way less about,
but theoretically like they could be waiting on an answer
from him. But even if the NFL didn't exist, the

(01:04:12):
others still apply. You got to remember Lane was radioactive
for a long time. So anyone trying to put themselves
in his shoes, good luck. But anyone who still tries
to put themselves in his shoes, you need to understand
he for a long time sought this. When he went
down to fau and it was image rehab time, and

(01:04:35):
he did it. And then he came to Oxford and
it was image rehab time, he did it, and that's done.
For a while. He tried to garner interest from other places.
It's not even a guarantee he would have gone. I'm
just saying he tried to garner interest from other places
and it was a non starter for a lot of places.
We are not pursuing him for what they would deem

(01:04:58):
obvious reasons. They're pursuing him now. This is the first time,
this is the first cycle that that level of pursuit
has been there. That matters, Like, imagine yourself pursuing something
for a long time and all of a sudden, Oh,
what it's here, I can have it. Well, what's your instinct.
That's the situation he's in right now now. He's also

(01:05:20):
in a really good position at Ole Miss. He's not
I'm not going to go as far as to say
he's not performing, because he absolutely is performing, because that's
his nature. He is not lying when he talks about
how good he has it there. He'd be lying if
he said he didn't have everything he needs there. That
would be the lie. He's never said that. He is

(01:05:41):
rightfully acknowledging, man, we got it good here right now.
He went full Andy Bernard in his press conference last night.
Did you hear that Jesse. He basically pulled that. You know,
he didn't even say I wish there was a way
to know we're in the good old days before we've
left him. He freely acknowledged, here I am in the
good old days. Now it's looking too pretty stupid if
you're wearing a Florida Gator had a month from now

(01:06:02):
looking back on the good old days saying audios. But
that's another segment for another time. I have not thought
about it from Lane Kiffin's vantage point. This week a
whole lot I have thought about it, and especially this
past weekend. I just thought about it from the Old
Miss perspective. Lane Kiffin's free to feel however he wants to,

(01:06:24):
and he's free to pursue opportunities. But Old Miss is
free to handle their business too. And I'm just telling
you this is how I would be if I Roll Miss,
if I were Keith Carter, if I were the big
money people there know one full will. I've given this
guy everything he needs, everything he's ever asked for. There
are very few knows that Lane Kiffin has gotten an
ox from Mississippi. At some point, I'm getting an answer

(01:06:47):
from him, and it's gonna happen before the Egg Bowl.
I'm putting a new contract in front of him. Everything
he says he needs is on this piece of paper,
and he's either gonna sign it and we're gonna move
on and the noise is going to die, and we're
gonna put out a big announcement right before we play
Mississippi State like A and M did with Elko yesterday,
or we're gonna understand. We'll wrap up this regular season

(01:07:10):
and then we'll go our separate ways. And I'm just
telling you, if I'm old Miss, Pete Golding is gonna
be my head coach in the playoff. If if I'm
not good enough for you to stick around in the future,
then you're not good enough to stick around here when
it comes playoff time. That's the way I would be.
You gotta be selfish at some point. You got to
look out for your best interests at some point. And

(01:07:32):
I'm telling you, if I'm old Miss, and I gotta
acknowledge there's a big difference in the way I Josh
Pate view this versus the way I would view it.
If I roll Miss, I watch it from a distance.
And he's putting out the Instagram stories and he's putting
out these vague statements here and there. Hey, I think
it's funny. I'm not old miss. If I roll miss,
it would piss me off to no end because it's

(01:07:55):
like watching a ten year old play games about which
fourth grade class he's gonna be. Dude, I'm paying you
millions of dollars, offering you millions more, and have given you. Yes,
it's to everything you've ever asked, and gave you the
opportunity to resurrect your image on my dime, by the way,
and you've done your part. You've given me results, so

(01:08:17):
it's been mutually beneficial. But dude, like we've both compensated
each other very fairly, so there's been fair trade here.
I got to worry about today moving forward, and if
you're gonna jack around like this, I don't have time
for it much longer. I mean, we've been through this
for like a month now, and it's like it's like
watching a middle school play. This is not what that,

(01:08:39):
It's just real life. So I got to get an
answer from him if I'm all missed, because you know
what else, you know what else has happened. We've given
Lane everything he needs. He's given us everything we asked.
But in the interim what's happened is this job is
a way better job than it looked like it was
five years ago. So all due respect mountains of respect
to Lane Kid. If i'm old Miss, I want you

(01:09:02):
to be my head coach. But if it's not you,
I'm gonna be okay. I need to know sooner rather
than later, and I'm gonna be okay because you know
what I think. I think I could be very competitive
with Auburn in trying to pursue John Sumrall. That's what
I think, because there are many places in the SEC
right now that are set up better to succeed immediately

(01:09:25):
than Old Miss. A lot of people have been chasing
Old Miss from an NIOL perspective for quite a while,
Like industry insiders kind of know that. I think perspective
coaches know that. So I got to get an answer
from him. Florida. I think he's their plan A and
I think they're waiting, but also I think Florida would
love an answer sooner rather than later. I have no

(01:09:45):
clue what LSU is doing on the Lane Kiff in Front.
I assume that they're pursuing him. As well. If I
had to guess right now, my mind has changed on
this a few times. If I had to guess, if
I have to put my name on paper right now,
and then I don't get to change it again no
matter what information comes my way. My guess is he's

(01:10:07):
going to go to Florida. That's my guess. No, well,
no definitive knowledge. Let me put it that way. Maybe
a little bit of knowledge. I do talk to a
few people, but that's a guess. I don't know. My
advice to Lane Kifthen, though, would be listen to yourself.

(01:10:28):
It's always great advice. Listen to your heart. Now. If
you believe what you've said publicly, you've already made a
better case for staying at Old Miss than Old Miss
has ever made for you to stay at Old Miss.
If you've been sincere about it. If you haven't been
sincere about it, that's okay. I get how it works, man,
I understand. There's no perfect way to navigate this. So

(01:10:50):
if you've been insincere about how good you feel about
Old Miss, you need to take another job. If you've
been sincere about how you feel about Old Miss, you
need to not overthink the room and sign a contract extension,
and let's move on. A lot of people thought action
was coming today on that front. That was never happening. Again,

(01:11:10):
I freely admit I don't know as much as the
message board posters do. Those are the real insiders out there,
not me. But that was never happening, but it could
happen soon. I just want to remind you. I was
looking at the piece of papers that's sub and we
ordered like five of them for lunch today and I

(01:11:31):
completely forgot this just stands for subscribe. So we do
this show. It's free, it's year around, it's college football
and nothing else. Just make sure you subscribe to the channel. Now.
A lot of times what I ask is I ask
you guys, subscribe, and then I ask make sure you're
a subscribed Look down there and see if the button's
been pressed. If it hasn't, please press it. But then

(01:11:53):
a lot of you have just already done that, but
you'll still ask is there anything is there like the
added step that I can take? And what do I
tell you? I say, Hey, wouldn't hurt to go get
mom and Dad's phone and subscribe for them, Because like
I've tried to remind you, a million times. It really
doesn't do anything to you. It helps us. There's no
money involved, you don't sign up for anything. Just subscribing

(01:12:16):
to the channel helps us. Well, what I haven't really done,
probably enough, is ask you to capture evidence of doing
such things. But I think now that friend of the program,
Mike has sent us the video that I'm about to
show you, I think this probably goes a lot further
in demonstrating what we mean about commitment to the brand

(01:12:39):
and getting us to five hundred thousand subs than anything
I could ever say or beg of you in this microphone.
So I'm gonna have director Bradley cue up this video
because this was sent to us unsolicited the other day
from Mike. This is paint State material roll at bradley
Dad's house. We have a very cisse with a mission,

(01:13:02):
very specific.

Speaker 3 (01:13:04):
Perhaps perhaps childice worthy, maybe a childice filled by quick drip.

Speaker 1 (01:13:10):
I don't know, but we're gonna see on. A soldier
waits out the door.

Speaker 2 (01:13:17):
He will not sell my mission.

Speaker 1 (01:13:20):
Watch out, borly, heure, we go be quiet.

Speaker 3 (01:13:26):
It's nap time.

Speaker 1 (01:13:29):
What better time to do this when he's sleeping? What
could we be doing?

Speaker 2 (01:13:40):
Mmm?

Speaker 1 (01:13:43):
Oh, okay, let's see here. We have to be quiet.
We can't wake him up.

Speaker 2 (01:13:59):
Mm hm.

Speaker 1 (01:14:02):
Golf clap from Mike. Jaloice of supremacy being shipped tomorrow
from Mike. Beautifully done. Ten of ten, No further notes.
Let's continue what's happening at Penn State. That's not a
question to you. That's literally what Jesse asks me when
he walks in the building every day. My default on
this position was differently. We all remember James Franklin overtime

(01:14:27):
against Oregon, they lose, and then it's just kind of
a dead on arrival performance against UCLA. Then they dropped
the Northwestern game and he's fired, just like that. The
span of seventeen days he's fired, I thought it was ludicrous,
still do, But you know what, I'm not a Penn
State donor. I'm not a Penn State alum. It's not
my program, it's your program. That's always my stance when

(01:14:48):
this sort of thing happens. So you guys decided James
Franklin wasn't good enough for you anymore. I just said,
I don't think it's going to be easy to upgrade
from James Franklin. So I didn't like the firing more
a matter of principle for me. My principle as always,
if you don't have a definitive upgrade, don't pay someone

(01:15:10):
not to coach for you. It's a pretty common sense stance.
So I gather that Penn State thought differently, and Penn
State thought there was no other choice. We gotta fire him.
We got to get rid of him so that we
can start our coaching search. And the plan was there,
the plans just in place. That's what everyone thought. Penn

(01:15:32):
State folks thought the plan was in place, and a
grand Slam was the plan. It's great, but that's not
a plan. Hoping you can hit a grand Slam is
not a plan because if you swing and miss in baseball,
it's just strike one, Okay, they give you at least
two more shots at it. In coaching searches. You swung

(01:15:52):
for Mike Elko, you'll swing for Kaylin de Boor. Pete
Nakos of on three has his hotboard here on our screen.
Mike Elko, you can cross his name off the list.
He just re upped with Texas A and M I
don't think Kaylin de Boor is a series option for him.
So what are we left with? And Remember, we're looking

(01:16:12):
to upgrade from James Franklin. As far as I can tell,
there's no real contingency past the Grand Slam phase of
the Penn State coaching search. So they missed on the
Grand Slam. Now we got to hope for a home run.
Do we think this list includes home runs? Do we
think Clark Lee going up there would be a home run?
Eli Drinkwitz from Missouri would be a home run. Jeff Brahm,

(01:16:35):
Matt Campbell, Manny Diaz, Brian Hartline, Will Stein, Joe Brady.
There could be a future Hall of Famer on that
list for all I know. And I've got my candidate
on that list, which I'll talk about in a second.
Point being there's no definitive upgrade there from James Franklin.
Anyone who suggests otherwise is trying to fool themselves. You're

(01:16:57):
not gonna hoot me on it. So right now, out
of all the coaches available on the market, you know
who the best option for Penn State is James Franklin.
But you can't go rehire James Franklin, Which brings me
back to my original point. What were we doing here?
So what are the candidates seeing This is one of
the most critical pieces of feedback that I need to

(01:17:19):
remind people about the Penn State coaching search. I love
the program, so I got no knock on the program.
I'm not looking to take over as head coach. There
the people who were looking at the job that could
potentially be getting offerers and are qualified to be the
head coach at Penn State, here's what they see. You're
gonna pay him a lot of money. That's great. They're

(01:17:40):
going to compete in the Big ten. That's great. You
just fired a ten win head coach, which means the
replacement's got to do as good or better than that
guy was doing. And you tore your recruiting class to
shreds voluntarily. You didn't have to fire Franklin when you did.
You fired him when you did. You've gotten very little traction,

(01:18:01):
at least as far as I can tell. On your
coaching search. All you've done is find out who doesn't
want your job. So far, and in the aggregate, Jesse,
how many de commitments so far seventeen D commits You
normally sound like twenty five or thirty in a class.
Seventeen D commitments so far, So what prospective future candidates.
Look at is, dude, I got to be a double

(01:18:22):
digit win per season guy. Just to make these folks happy.
They're gonna want to win immediately. I may have a
really really big rebuild on my hands. And for what,
that's what they see. I'm just telling you that's what
they see. So Bradley, do me a favorite. Throw up
the Nakos hot board right quick? On Three's Pete Nkos's

(01:18:43):
hot boorn, Mike Elko not happening, Clark's there, Eli's there.
Here's what's funny. I don't know, like I've heard the
level of seriousness some of these other candidates are the
one like my guy on There's Matt Campbell. And I've
spoken about Matt a lot on the show. Oh Matt
Campbell's biggest flaws. He doesn't really play the game the

(01:19:04):
same way other guys do. He refuses to be a
candidate for this stuff during a season, and therefore his
name is not really involved in a lot of coaching
searches because the earliest that he's going to allow his
name to be involved in a coaching search is the
end of November. And even then you come check on
him and he may or may not be interested. But

(01:19:25):
the people who push back on Matt Campbell as a
legitimate candidate just floor me. Their reasons just floor me.
I'm not going to relitigate all this. Like Matt Campbell's
a stud as a head coach. I think he is
perfectly cut out for the Penn State job. Like the edge,
the grit, the attention to detail, the different way you

(01:19:46):
have to sell Penn State, the understanding of placing premium
on eval and development, the magnetism that the guy's programs have,
how much discount players take to play for him and
the staffers. Everything you would want in a Penn State
coach he has. Here's what turns a lot of people off.

(01:20:06):
And this is what's really stupid about this whole process.
Matt Campbell sucks at promoting Matt Campbell because he doesn't
really care to do it. If I changed nothing about
that guy, other than publicizing the head coaching jobs he
has turned down, he would be viewed as a premium
candidate for some of these jobs. It's not my business

(01:20:27):
to float that. He can have his representation do it.
If he wants to, or if his representations comfortable with
it being done, then it could happen. Matt Campbell's been
the guy for a number of the big openings over
the past several years, and I'm firmly convinced that there
is a subset of maybe the Penn State fan base

(01:20:47):
that if they were equipped with nothing more than that information,
would all of a sudden be totally open to Matt Campbell,
Because all of a sudden, it's like, whoa, he was
good enough for them, maybe he is good enough for us.
That's how stupid of this stuff is. Also, Pat Fitzgerald's
just sitting there as much as I tapped Matt Campbell,
Pat Fitzgerald, like, who really says no to that? Especially

(01:21:09):
if staffing properly. I don't know they're watching us in Adams, Tennessee,
Mission Viejo, California, and Spearfish, South Dakota. Good people there.
Let's move on. One more request we got before I
get to the week thirteen eight people, and I've got
to re re update. No, just update, not reupdate, it's redundant.

(01:21:31):
I've got to update my playoff predictions. I did a
lot of critical thinking on the flight home last night,
the thirty eight minute flight home last night. Oh, the
Arkansas coaching search has taken some twists and turns. Look,
they're trying to leave people to believe they didn't want
James Franklin. Of course they wanted James Franklin. Doesn't look
like James Franklin wanted Arkansas. So that ship, it looks

(01:21:51):
like it sailed, but it hasn't really totally sailed until
James Franklin takes another job or Arkansas announced as a
higher looks like, at least for the Sunday evening, that
ship has sailed. Now, this one's always been a little
bit different. I've tried to allude to this as much
as possible. It's a very, very weird cycle because you'll
notice you've got a coaching search at Penn State, and

(01:22:12):
you've got a coaching search at Arkansas, and you got
one of Virginia Tech and Florida and LSU Auburn. And
when Pete puts out his hot boards, Pete's not making
that stuff up. He's just regurgitating what insiders are telling him.
It's like the same ten names. And again, what drives
me up a wall about this entire process, and the

(01:22:33):
reason you know it's so flawed in concept, is this
is a sport where thousands of people coach. This is
a sport, even at the higher levels, where you've got
dozens to hundreds of head coaches or people qualified to
be head coaches, And yet inevitably when jobs come open,
it's the same list of recycled names. And I'm not

(01:22:54):
speaking ill of these guys. I'm just saying, does it
not make it pretty blatantly obvious? Why then, are who
they are? Then you don't have to really be a
math whiz to put two and two together and understand
how these names become names. Okay, that's like when I
talk about Campbell. It's the reason why I talk about
him the way I do. The only reason the dude's
name's not Hotter is because he doesn't have the right

(01:23:16):
people pushing his name. It's not because he's ill qualified
for the job. So Arkansas's open. It's been pretty obvious
for a while. Arkansas's got to be comfortable kind of
running number two or number three in the pack instead
of leading the pack. Because if you're after some of
the same guys that other programs with better jobs are,

(01:23:37):
you've got to wait. It sucks. You either gotta wait
or you gotta go a different direction. You're free to
go a different direction. Candidly, I think they should, and
I'll give you my feedback for what it's worth in
a second. But here's the great catch twenty two of
head coaching searches at Arkansas really underrated job. If it's
harnessed properly. People at Arkansas get so tired of listening

(01:23:58):
to this. But someone's watching it Richmond, Virginia that knows
very little about the Arkansas job. The Arkansas job could
be a rocket ship if the JB Hunts and the
Tysons and the Walmarts are on board, and that means
fully infusing the program with cash. That's what it means
to be on board there now, in the best of worlds,
that's happening. But I say catch twenty two. That doesn't

(01:24:22):
sound like a cash twenty two That just all sounds good. No, well,
it's good when you get big money investing in your program.
The catch twenty two is when big money invests in
your program, they want oversight. They won't say so in
your programming or program Actually in programming. It works that
way in media as well. The downside to big money
investing in your program and therefore wanting some input in

(01:24:44):
your program is ninety nine times out of one hundred.
The big money did not make their money by coaching
football or being associated with college athletics in any way.
They made it selling chicken, they made it building a
trucking conglomerate, they made it selling things wholesale. They didn't
make it by coaching offensive line. And yet they want

(01:25:05):
input on people who are going to do such things.
I would imagine that the search at Arkansas is operating
under those kind of parameters where you're asking for big
money to be involved. Big money wants to say, and
who's going to get hired here? And it's not even
unfair as a concept. Hey, if I'm giving you millions

(01:25:26):
of dollars, I'm not just writing the blank check and
saying let me know how you spend it. So I
get it. I get it. It's just sometimes, in like
a utopian college football sense, you wish people knew what
they don't know, but that's not realistic. So a couple
of different ways I think they want to go there.

(01:25:47):
There are some folks who want to go cal two
point zero. You just went under unique circumstances to Kentucky
and got John Cali Perry to come be your basketball coach,
and there are folks who want to recreate that in football.
There's one way to do that, and that's to go
get Dabos twenty from Clemson. But I have no reason
to believe Dabos wwenty is available or is in any shape,
form or fashion looking to leave Clemson. And that's the

(01:26:09):
only guy that would qualify as cal as being someone
who has an established resume and through some unique circumstances,
is a little unhappy where he's at and they're both
ready to go their own way, and you get him.
If that's not going to happen, well, then you've either
got to settle for fishing from the same pool of

(01:26:31):
candidates that five other jobs are, or you got to
go a different direction. So I tweeted out Friday, I
have the guy that I think Arkansas should hire, but
I didn't give a name, and then people thought I
was talking about coach Oh I was, and I was
talking about Goalish down at South Florida. Now I've been
high on him for a while, and I'll just fully
tell you if Arkansas isn't fully aligned and the big

(01:26:53):
money up there isn't fully aligned, no one's really gonna
win there, Alex Golish or anyone else. When I look
at Arkansas, Okay, my opinion of Arkansas is, I've got
to have someone with an edge. I've got to have
someone who's innovative. I've got to have someone who knows
the league. I've got to have someone who has the
ability to capture the imagination of the fan base and
the donor base, and someone who can attack Dallas in recruiting.

(01:27:17):
I think Alex Goulish can do all those things. There's
an attitude that he carries himself with that I think
would fit perfectly at Arkansas. There's a level of offensive innovation,
there is an understanding of the league from his time
at Tennessee, and there is a relentlessness in that. I
don't think that guy would be denied until he got

(01:27:38):
the infusion of donor support he needs there. And I
don't think therefore they would be denied until they got
the talent that they need to get out of Dallas,
which has become much tougher. And it is the key
barrier that any agent that doesn't want their client taking
that job points out. They say, once upon a time,
Arkansas flourish in Dallas, Okay. But there are a lot

(01:27:59):
of kids who went to Arkansas Calls they wanted to
play in the SEC. But now Texas is in the
ACC and way closer to Dallas. Oklahoma is closer to
Dallas than Arkansas is, and those are both better places
to go, candidly. Not only that, in the nil era,
SMU has got it sacked together, and so you get
all these places that are like siphoning the talent from Dallas,

(01:28:23):
and you can't get down there and get enough of it,
and you just die on the vine without it. So
like Golish, I think is a serious candidate for the job.
I don't know who leads. I don't think Arkansas knows
who leads right now. I just think if he ended
up being the guy, I think he'd do really good
things there. I think you guys could do to really
good things if you went to paystatemterial dot com right now,

(01:28:44):
because the tis the season collection is there and I
don't even need tout the Christmas sweaters anymore because they're
moving just fine on their own. I'm just saying, if
you're looking to update the wardrobe as November eventually turns
into December, or if you know someone who watches the
show and you're looking to purchase something for him, I
highly advise the Christmas sweater collection there. Those things are moving.

(01:29:05):
We have kept them in stocks so far, but those
things are moving. Let's move on. The ap pole has
dropped for week thirteen, and we have some movement here.
I got a couple of them circled that I need
to talk about. There we go, Bradley, just put it
on the screen. Look at number twenty one. I'll read
it my bad. I know a lot of you listen

(01:29:26):
on podcasts. So twenty five to twenty one is Houston, Twulane, Missouri,
North Texas and James Madison. Now, JMU being twenty one
is really interesting. They're the highest ranked G five champ.
Notice number twenty two and number twenty four are the
two highest ranked American teams. I said, James Madison's the

(01:29:49):
highest ranked G five champ. They haven't won a championship yet,
they're the highest ranked G five team. Problem with them,
theoretically is if they went out, it still looks like
the American champ will jump them because I guess North
Texas and Tulane are set to play each other that's
what they're on track to do. And if one of
them beats the other, they'll get an added ranked win

(01:30:11):
and that'll be enough I think to jump them over JMU.
But that's not a certainty. We don't know that for sure,
So let's just keep an eye on that. Number twenty
is Tennessee. I'm gonna point out something about Tennessee in
a second nineteen, Virginia eighteen, Michigan. Texas drops seven spots.
They're number seventeen. I think I think they're done. I

(01:30:33):
think they're done. They're not mathematically totally eliminating. I think
they're out for now. That's again counterintuitive, but you understand
what I'm saying. USC's number sixteen. Okay, So two things
right here. Tennessee at number twenty, Vandy's at number twelve.
So Vandy is going to play Kentucky this week, and

(01:30:54):
if they beat them, I mean, Vandy may have a
playoff spot on the line when they play Tennessee. Some
people don't think that. Some people think Vandy is out
no matter what. I don't know how you can say
that right now, because you don't know what else is
going to happen. Here's going to be my problem. I
guarantee you this is gonna happen. Let's say Vandy does
beat Kentucky this week and they go to Tennessee. You

(01:31:14):
see Tennessee's number twenty there. This is really where you
find out whether your worldview of college football and another
person's worldview of college football are compatible. If Vandy beats
Tennessee at the end of the season and the final
AP poll comes out and Tennessee's unranked, did Vandy get

(01:31:37):
a ranked win to end the season? There are some
people who will look you dead in the eye and say, no,
if Tennessee's not ranked when the final poll comes out,
that wasn't a ranked win for Vanderbilt, which is insane
because the only difference between Tennessee being number twenty in
the second to last week of the poll and being

(01:31:59):
unranked at the end is that Vandy beat them when
they were ranked. But try as I might, I cannot
bring people around to this way of thinking. So Vandy
can go beat Tennessee and it won't be kind of
as a ranked win for him unless they beat him
by one point and the committee drops Tennessee to twenty five,
and that'll be a nice little bonus for Vanderbilt, Georgia.

(01:32:20):
TeX's at fifteen. Miami jumped two spots to fourteen, Utah
is thirteen. Just talked about Vandy at twelve, Okay, bring
him young is at eleven. I've got a concern about them.
I know that it's an unwritten rule that you don't
get punished if you make a conference title game and
you're in the top twelve and you lose the conference
title game. That's not an unwritten rule. Well, it is

(01:32:44):
at best an unwritten rule. We've had one year sample
size on this, and each situation is unique unto itself,
and I think there's a world where it could come
down to it. And Miami's got two losses, isn't that large?
And Oklahoma's got two losses as in at large? I
think they may run out of spots, is what I'm

(01:33:04):
trying to say. And I think bringing me on if
they lose again convincingly in the Big twelve championship game
and they're eleven and two, I'm serious. I think there's
a world where the committee caul bump them out. I'm
not saying i'd advocate for it, but I'm just saying
there's a situation I think where they could. They didn't
do it to SMU last year. It's not in apples
to apples. It'll never be apples to apples. There's a

(01:33:24):
lot of variables here, so I may be wrong about that.
It may be that it's complete ironclad. If you're in
the top twelve going into conference title Saturday, you could
lose by one hundred and fifty. We're not bumping you out,
We're not punishing you for playing in the conference title game.
We'll see, We'll see Bama drops six spots there at
number ten. I imagine the committee will have them around

(01:33:47):
there come Tuesday night. Notre Dame's nine, Oklahoma's up three
to number eight. Texas Tech and Oregon are inexplicably tied
at six. Like forty seven million people vote on this thing,
and we have a tie. Oregon, let me ask you
a question. If they lose to USC Saturday, how far

(01:34:09):
do they drop? Remember Organ's got one loss right now,
If they lose to USC, how far are they going
to drop? Now? Imagine a world where Oregon's got two
losses and Miami's got two losses, and Oklahoma's got two
losses and Notre Dame's got two losses and Brigham Young's
got two losses and they lost their second game in
the conference title game. You see what I mean. It

(01:34:30):
can get really clogged here at the end really quick.
So we need to be careful before you just make
these definitive statements like, oh, well, so and So's in
if they do this, yeah some yeah, A and M's
in if they win out. George's in, oh Ole Miss
is in? Not everyone in, just a slam dunk to
be in. I didn't even mention Vandy. What if Vandy
goes on to beat Tennessee and they're ten and two,

(01:34:51):
who we leave it out? We only got twelve spots.
We got to leave someone out the top five in
five to one order, Ole, Miss Georgia up one spot,
number four, A and M three, Indiana two. Ohio State
is number one. Oh man, I just I look at
it more and more, and I think we're headed towards
a very very chaotic final couple of weeks here as

(01:35:14):
it relates to those nine, ten, eleven, twelve spots. That's
what I think. In the interest of talking about that,
I mean, we can to seamlessly transfer a trends. Wait,
oh yeah, yeah, yeah, Okay, sorry, Jesse, I thought I
had my papers in the wrong order. So we can
just move on to this here. Every Sunday for like

(01:35:35):
a month now, I've updated my college football playoff predictions,
which I didn't use to do. But man, it's so
fluid right now that just this past weekend's results, it
could have been a lot worse, like A and M
could have lost, so they didn't. But there's a lot
that's changing here. So right now, what I want to
remind you really quickly is what we like to do
is I like to go conference by conference really quick,

(01:35:58):
like Big Ten. I'm not change in anything in the
Big Ten. I'm still taking Ohio State over Indiana in
the SEC as of now, I will stick with Alabama
over Texas A and M because that was my pick
for a long time ago, So I don't want to
come off of it until I absolutely have to. But
Alabama is not mathematically guaranteed to be in that game

(01:36:21):
just if they beat Auburn now, so there's a lot
of like tiebreaker stuff that has to get figured out.
A ANDM is probably going to be there, don't know
if Alabama's going to be there. If not them, it
would probably be Georgia. So let's see acc this changes
every week. Right now, I'm just going to take the
teams with the best odds, So give me Georgia Tech

(01:36:41):
over Virginia as my eight thirty six pm Central Time
November sixteenth pick. And in the Big twelve, still going
Texas Tech over Brigham Young BYU dusted TCU yesterday, which
is a good win. No one paid attention to it.
That line was three and a half, so they got
right back up off the deck. They performed well. They

(01:37:02):
got Cincinnati this week, and keep an eye on that one.
So here is where the seeding would be right now.
This is where I'm projecting it. Ohio State wins the
Big Ten over Indiana. Those are number one and number two.
Since I've got Bama winning the SEC, I think they
would jump to number three. I think A and M

(01:37:24):
would fall no further than fourth. So really it's a
different order, same concept though. The Big Ten champion runner
up and the SEC champion runner up, those are still
the ones that I project to get the first round
bys in the playoff. Now that would be different if
say Texas A and M beat Alabama in the SEC
championship game. At that point Bama would be down at

(01:37:45):
like nine or ten or somewhere like that. So, yeah,
who wins that game all of a sudden because Bama
lost to Oklahoma yesterday, who wins that game really matters
a lot more. Number five, I've got Texas Tech. There's
a lot of arguing out there about whether a Big
twelve conference champ Texas Tech would jump over an at
large Georgia jump over and at large Old Miss. I

(01:38:06):
think they will. I think that added data point of
being a conference champ for Texas Tech, a team who's
only loss came with their backup quarterback in which you
can think whatever you want to about, but the committee
keeps pointing it out is gonna matter. I think that
enough to where I've got them projected at five, Georgia
at number six, Ole Miss at number seven. I've got

(01:38:28):
Oregon winning out right now, so I've got them at
number eight. This is where it gets really, really really muddy. Oklahoma,
if they beat Missouri and they beat LSU, I think
they're a playoff team, and I think they're a nine seed,
and they truthfully they could be above Oregon. They could
be an eight seed. They could host a playoff game
in Norman wouldn't surprise me at all. Notre Dame, I've

(01:38:50):
got at number ten because I think the resume argument
would boost Oklahoma above Notre Dame. I've got Georgia Tech
as the ACC champion at eleven, and I've got twu
Lane winning the American right now, much to the chagrin
of Auburn fans who probably want John some Rawl to
have a nice solid clothes to the season. But please

(01:39:12):
report for duty if we hire you. We don't want
you mixed up in the playoffs. We don't want that.
Shame on you. No, we got two lane at twelve.
So this is what the bracket would look like. Oh boy,
here we go bracket right now, this is so unhealthy.
We would send Oklahoma to Eugene in round one. We
would send Tulane to Texas Tech. Notre Dame would go

(01:39:35):
to Oxford to face Ole. Miss Georgia Tech goes right
down the road to Athens to play Georgia. My winner's there.
They give me Oregon, give me Texas Tech, give me Georgia,
and give me Notre Dame. Now let me tell you
what that gives us in the second round. Again, our
projections continue to indicate you are getting the shaft. If

(01:39:55):
you're the number one seed, I would much rather be
the three seed here a two seed Ohio State as
the one seed gets Oregon. Now you may be thinking
to your stuff if you're a Buckeye fan, I think
we're better than Oregon. Of course you are. That's not
the point. The point is the caliber of matchup you're
gonna get compared to. Like I don't know, I mean,

(01:40:17):
I don't want to integrate anyone, but anyway, so I
would take Ohio State over Oregon. I would take Texas
A and M over Texas Tech, give me Alabama over Georgia,
and give me Notre Dame over Indiana, which is gonna
be controversial. That's a replay or a rematch rather of
last year's a game that was in South Bend and
our final four. There good matchups. Man, that's Ohio State

(01:40:40):
A and M. That's Notre Dame Alabama. I'm keeping my
national championship game the same right now. So give me
Ohio State versus Alabama. I'll still keep my national championship
the same right now. I'll take Alabama to win it.
If Ohio State and Alabama or on the field right now,
I feel a lot better about Ohio State. I don't
want want to be the guy who comes off a

(01:41:01):
championship prediction only for the championship prediction to verify, because
that's a worse spot to be in socially. I would
never live it down. I need Alabama to work on themselves.
I need you guys to get right. Ohio State did
it last year. Just use their blueprint. That's all you
got to do. Just use the Ohio State blueprint. A

(01:41:21):
couple of more things that we're out of here FanDuel,
the exclusive odds provider of our show. There are a
lot of things that you could check out there right now. Now.
Many of you bet on this, not all of you
bet on this, which is totally fine by me. If
you got any doubts about whether you should be, don't.
If there's a single bout, don't be betting on this stuff.

(01:41:41):
But that doesn't mean that you can't go just check
out the numbers. I have a ton of you that
tell me, yeah, I've never bet a dime, I just
liked it. I can go look at the odds at FanDuel,
and not just the odds on like who's favored Saturday
between BYU and Cincinnati. You can go look at who
the odds on favorite to when the Heisman is right now,
you're going to look at who's favor to make the

(01:42:02):
playoff out of the G five. It's very interesting. It's fluid.
Those numbers move all week, and you can sign up
right now if you're a new customer, and you can
use FanDuel dot com slash Josh Pate to do that
bet five dollars win and get one hundred and fifty
in bonus bets. Just that simple.

Speaker 3 (01:42:21):
Must be twenty one plus and present in select states
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plus and present in DC. First online real money wager
only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non
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(01:42:43):
com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight
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org in Maryland.

Speaker 1 (01:42:53):
Hope is here.

Speaker 3 (01:42:54):
Visit Gambling Helpline m dot org or call eight hundred
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Massachusetts or call one eight seven seven eight Hope n Why,
or text Hope and Why in New York.

Speaker 1 (01:43:06):
Before I leave, I've got two additions to the Rama
Noodle Express for this week. Terrible day. Yesterday we went
three and eight. Now that's okay because we had a
couple of winning weeks before that, So like we're still
up this month, but yet not good enough Yesterday. I
feel bad about it. That's why I can't criticize Alabama
or South Carolina too much. I didn't show up yesterday either.
Scratch that, the kids we bet on didn't show up.

(01:43:30):
They're the ones who screwed up, or the officials screwed up,
or the coaches screwed up. It wasn't me, It wasn't
my fault. However, if we win this week, I will
appreciate some credit. Give me Western Kentucky plus twenty two
and a half at LSU and give me Kent State.
We're back pres Kent State plus seven and a half.

(01:43:50):
Weeknight Maction I think that's a Wednesday game. My staff
has bet on every Kent State game all year. I
know there may be people watching there at Kent State
who think we're not even aware that they exist. You
could not possibly be more wrong. We are living and
dying with every Kent State game. We are very proud
of already the vast overachievement that the team has accomplished

(01:44:13):
this year. But we're a seven and a half point
dog this Wednesday night. We got a shot to clip
Central Michigan. Don't you think so? Press. I think we
got a shot, so we're gonna take them plus seven
and a half. Maybe just a little sprinkle on the
money line. Maybe I don't want to get wild. I
don't want to get reckless. But as for the Ramanudle Express,
WKU and Kent State, appreciate you guys so much for watching.

(01:44:35):
Make sure you're subscribed to the channel. We're a shark
fin off shore of five hundred k Island. We're closing
in rapidly. We can close this thing, get it wrapped
up well before Christmas. Appreciate you guys so much. Tickets
for the live show are now on sale. Paytstatematerial dot
com click the live show tab. We have to go

(01:44:56):
an hour earlier Tuesday night because they're doing that thing
where they unveil the playoff rankings early. So what we're
gonna do here is we're gonna we're gonna go live
at six Central, seven Eastern, and we won't react to
the playoff ranking so they will not have dropped yet.
I'll stay around the studio and record reaction after the
playoff rankings. But we're not waiting at like nine o'clock

(01:45:17):
to do this show. That's crazy. So that's what we're
doing Tuesday night, So you know Tuesday and Thursday this week,
the show will kickoff a little bit early, all right.
I think that's about it. Nice jam packed show, hour
forty five For director Bradley. For producer Jesse, I'm Josh,
take care of have a great start to your week,
and God bless.

Speaker 3 (01:45:47):
Must be twenty one plus and present in select states
for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen
plus and present in DC first online real money wager
only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued us non
with thrawable bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt
restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com.
Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel

(01:46:08):
dot com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven
eight nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot
org slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gamblinghelp dot
org In Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Heelpline M
dot org, or call eight hundred three two seven fifty
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(01:46:29):
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