Week 13 Prediction Show + Lane Kiffin Latest & CFP Expansion Coming?

Week 13 College Football predictions are here. USC vs Oregon is the spotlight game of the week with Josh Pate headed to Eugene to see if Lincoln Riley and the Trojans can take down Dan Lanning and the Ducks. The JP Poll is out as Josh discusses the latest top 5 movement. Coaching searches are still ongoing at Florida and LSU as Lane Kiffin’s name continues to be the source of much rumor and speculation. Will he leave or decide to stay at Ole Miss? Where do things stand for Kalen DeBoer at Alabama and Steve Sarkisian at Texas after recent losses? Josh also takes a look at reports about more potential College Football Playoff expansion. All that plus early best bets on the Ramen Noodle Express. Be sure to let us know what you think, SUBSCRIBE to the channel, and CLICK THE BELL for notifications as we bring you multiple live shows per week!

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:29):
Let me just give you an idea of how in
saying college football is right now. Eleven months ago, James
Franklin was coaching in the semi final of the College
Football Playoff. He took the Virginia Tech job last night,
and it's not even the lead topic on the show,
nor is it the second topic, nor is it the
third topic. Now, in fairness, we have done a reaction
video already, so if you're tuning in to hear the

(00:50):
take on James Franklin, it's already on the channel. But
I still look, I still think it stands to reason
that's how many live bullets are flying in the college
football air right now. We're jam packed. We're high atop
a scatterbrain to downtown Nashville, Tennessee. On this Tuesday night,
November eighteenth, the O Our Lord twenty twenty five. We

(01:11):
got week thirteen predictions on the show. Yet football still
being played, in case you know anyone forgot, we do
have big games coming up this weekend, but just total
and utter insanity on the coaching search front. So I'm
gonna have another update on Lane Kiffin in the show.
We're not going to do the whole Penn State Auburn, LSU, Florida.
I'm not doing that because there hasn't been enough movement

(01:32):
on those various fronts. I mean there's movement, but not
enough to talk about publicly. But the Lane Kiff and stuff, yeah,
I got to talk about it. Some of you are
out there living your lives and you're not living on
message boards, and quite frankly, shame on you. What better
do you have to do with your time this time
of year than to live on the message board. So
I've got that, I got a new JP pole in
the show tonight. I've got somebody that's ready to check
out on Kaylin de Bor again, a bunch of folks

(01:54):
are ready to check out on Sark. So this show
could go like four hours tonight, but we can't. We're
doing the show early live so that we can then
get off the air, go watch the playoff rankings get revealed,
and then hop right back in the studio to do
another reaction video. So if you're watching live, I'll give
you a playoff reaction video later tonight. If you're listening

(02:14):
to the replay of the show what Wednesday morning, You're
probably gonna have to find the playoff reactions separately. They're
watching us in Augusta, Georgia, Portland, Oregon, Danville, Virginia. Is
that Holland, Yes, that's Holland, Michigan. I appreciate you guys
so much. It's never been more important in the history
of civilization than now for you to make sure you're

(02:34):
subscribed to the channel, the YouTube channel, podcast, whatever, but
especially the YouTube channel. We are closing and we're dangerously
close to five hundred thousand subs. And when we get there,
it's a whole new frontier. It's like a whole new world. Really,
nothing will change, but we will feel good about ourselves. Okay,
so many, many, many of you have been hitting me up. Sam,
you're talking to me. You've been talking to me this

(02:55):
whole time, when you've been telling people, check and make
sure you're subscribed. Because I checked and it turns out
I wasn't subscribed. That describes many of you. So I
know you think you're subbed, and I appreciate you watching.
I'm just asking you to also click subscribe as you watch.
It doesn't change the experience for you. It doesn't cost
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(03:16):
You don't get these annoying alerts. None of the usual
downsides to subscribing happen. It just helps us. And that's it,
all right, let's dive into the show tonight. I didn't
think I was going to leave the show with what
I'm about to talk about, because we got a lot
to get into. But I've got to address this. Someone
has got to address this. Bradley. Here's a good endpoint
for you when you cut the video later. We got

(03:38):
coaching searches going on, we got big games this weekend.
But as the future commissioner of this sport, I can't
pretend I haven't seen this report from Ross Dellinger. So
go ahead and put it up on the screen. Bradley
Ross Dellinger of Yahoo's Sports good friend of the program
Ross Dellinger. I mean, we could call him and put
him on speakerphone right now and I could just yell
at him. But it's not his fault. He's just reporting
what's happening. Quote. In a meeting today in Charlotte, North Carolina,

(04:01):
Power Conference commissioners saw a presentation from the Big Ten
on a twenty four team playoff format, sources tell Yahoo Sports.
He continues, officials agreed to keep further exploring formats beyond twelve.
SEC officials, as they have said, publicly, support sixteen. Not

(04:22):
even a soft clap, not a golf clap, just an
outright clap. I want to throw up all over the
place right now, but I can't because we've got a
show to do. But I do have great news for
you out there. Your college football leaders are focused on
the big issues. Focused on the big issues, ladies and gentlemen,
because this really is the pressing matter at the college

(04:45):
football table right now. Expanding the playoff again. So, as
you know, for quite a while, we have talked about
playoff expansion in college football, and as you know, for
quite a while, I've really never been on bordable playoff expansion.
But I did say last cycle, Hey, I'm giving that up.
I've already spoken my piece on this. It's obvious the
playoff's going to expand. And we expanded not to six,

(05:08):
not to eight, we expanded to twelve. And so I
had some concerns about what it would do to the
regular season, blah blah blah. And I'm gonna be honest
with you, I had it out on this show with
a lot of you, a lot of you a lot
of loyal viewers, a lot of Pate State current students
and alumni said nope, I want playoff expansion, and I said, hey,

(05:28):
we can agree to it, disagree, but I hope you
are right about what you say it will and won't
do to impact the regular season. All right, Well, now
we're in the twelve team playoff era, and I've got
to say I am pleasantly surprised at how similar I
feel in the regular season compared to how I used
to feel. I'm speaking cautiously because you know there's a

(05:49):
yeah butt coming after this, so just be ready. So far,
we're two seasons into this thing. I've watched several games
this year. I was watching Texas Georgia last week. I
was watching before that game, the three point thirty game.
What was it? Oh, it was an Oklahoma Alabama. I
was watching that game. There is the same urgency, the
same nervousness, the same sweaty palms that I used to

(06:13):
feel about these games. Now there's a little bit more
of a safety net baked under it. But my point is,
my biggest fear has not been realized. My biggest fear
was that we were gonna build this safety net of
the expanded playoff under these games, and teams were gonna
know they can lose and still make the playoff, and therefore,
in the aggregate, we were gonna watch the games and

(06:33):
they weren't gonna feel as big. Now, of course they
don't feel quite as big. But like college football, regular
season games used to be the biggest thing on the
face of the earth. So like shaving five percent of
the urgency off a college football game still makes a
big regular season college football game the greatest thing we
have in American sports. My point in saying all this

(06:54):
is we're in a good spot right now. Someone asked
me earlier today when I retweeted this, and I said,
but if this sounds pathetic, it is. If expanding to
twenty four teams sounds pathetic, it is. And they said, well,
what's your ideal format? And I said, well, we can't
go back in time, you know, because once the genie's
out of the bottle, the geniees out of the bottle.
Like people may think, someone like me would say, I

(07:16):
want to go back to the four team BCS era
or the two team BCS era. No, no, we can't
do that. We could never do that. Like, if I
were in charge, if I were college football commissioner, or
if I were just a full on college football dictator,
I would not take us back there because you've already
seen what expanded playoff world is like, and so you

(07:36):
can't you can't undo that. If we had never gone
down this road, I wouldn't advocate to go down the road.
But since we've already gone down the road, I'm not stupid.
I know we can't go backwards. Notice I didn't say regress,
because that would not be the same thing. But we
are not going to go backwards. So we're okay right now.
It's my point. We're perfectly fine right now. Twelve teams

(07:56):
is perfectly fine, which is why it makes all the
sense in the world that the leeches who masquerade as
leaders of this sport want to blow it all up.
The good news is it sounds like there's no shot
of this twenty fourteen playoff actually taking off. Like every
other idea that's recently come out of the Big Ten,
it sucks water through a garden hose. It's terrible. I

(08:16):
don't know, like who in the world has made it
their life's mission to take the Big Ten and college football,
you know, is the little little poster that's waving behind
the plane and just nose dive it into the earth.
I don't know who's done that, but someone, multiple someones
in the Big ten have done that. So it doesn't

(08:37):
sound like this is a big risk. But the fact
that this mentality even exists, it's got to be called out.
You've got to call these people out. So we're in
a pretty good spot with the playoff right now. Therefore,
of course you want to blow it up. My problem
is that, number one, the idea sucks. My number two
problem is none of these people are focus on the

(09:00):
actual issue at hand. Here. Of the problems of the
problems facing college football right now, none of them have
to do with expanding the playoff. Think about this, if
you were a fan of expanding the playoff, Like if
you argued with me in the past, if I wanted
to stay at four, you wanted to go to twelve,
those of you who wanted expansion got your way. Even

(09:20):
you guys don't want a twenty fourteen playoff. Even the
canals of the world, even the expansionists, don't want to
do this. So you'll notice, like one of my cautions
in the previous round of expansion was these people are
saying they're expanding the playoff because fans want it, and
they're really not caring what you think at all. These

(09:41):
people don't care about fans, they don't care about students,
they don't care about anything like that. They're using it
as a convenient argument. Like they're using it as a
convenient guys, because what they don't want to say is
we figured out that the college football playoff is an ATM,
and the bigger we make it, the more money it
will spit out for us. That's not a really popular talking.
So instead, what we want to do is we want

(10:01):
to still do everything we're gonna do. Let's still expand it,
let's still deepen our pockets as much as we possibly
can off of the playoff. But let's say we're expanding
it cause the fans want it. Cause a majority of
fans did want playoff expansion. You'll notice suspicious in its
absence this go around is that same sentiment because they
know it's not popular. You see, all of a sudden,

(10:22):
you realize they were lying to you the whole time.
They never cared what you thought. It was convenient that
your desire matched theirs, but you had totally different motivations.
Fans who wanted to expand the playoff just wanted to
expand it because you thought that was what was best
for college football, and that was just a matter of opinion.
It doesn't matter if I agreed with it or not.
That was just your opinion. We both wanted the same thing.

(10:43):
We both love college football. You just wanted to see
what was best for it. They couldn't care less about that.
But since since you were making your argument or their
argument for them, they went along with it. Now, no
one wants this, so you will not hear the word
fan mentioned very much. When it comes to any kind
of idea to expand the playoff to twenty four, you'll
just kind of get reports about it from Ross Dellinger.

(11:05):
They don't even want it publicized. They don't even want
it like socialized or circulated out there. These people are
completely talentless. There was another headline today college football games
headed to Brazil, for example, like the Venn diagram of
people who want to expand the playoff to twenty four
and the people who think it's a good idea to
play college football games in Germany or Rome, believe me

(11:26):
that headline's coming, Get ready for it? Or Brazil is
a perfect circle. Those are just the same people. They're talentless,
they've never built anything in their lives. If you ask
these people, hey, what makes college football great? The first
words out of their mouths would be acronyms, P and
l KPI. That's how they think. They're just calculator heads,
that's how they think. And they have found the latest

(11:48):
hot thing, which in this case is college football, and
they've leached themselves onto it, and they'll suck it dry
and then move on. That's what locusts do, That's what
insects do. Really figuratively, that's what these people are. You've
got to chase these people out of the room. That's
what you have to do, like actual leaders, people who
care about the best interest college football. That's what you
got to do. The biggest problem facing the sport right

(12:10):
now is not the size of the college football Playoff.
The biggest problem by one hundred miles facing college football
right now is how insane the calendar is. Right now,
we have coaching searches going on all over the place.
I got coaches step into the podium on a Tuesday
of game week, and all they're getting asked about is, well,
your name's up for this job, do you have any comment?

(12:32):
And I've got athletic directors under fire, I've got coaches
under fire, i got agents feeling the heat. And the
people responsible for the mess are busy over here trying
to expand the playoff to twenty four teams. It's utterly insane.
College football is a multi billion dollar industry, and we've
got kids with their hands on the wheel because the
more talentless you are, the easier it is to snake

(12:54):
your way up that bureaucratic ladder. And people who actually
have talent, you know, people who actually can build things,
they're not in the administrative state of college football. Therefore
they're not in positions to hold these jobs. And so
the people who hold the jobs and the people who
actually end up making these kind of calls are the
least equipped and qualified to be running anything. I wouldn't

(13:16):
trust these people to run elimonade stand. If these people
mowed my lawn, I would close the blinds. I wouldn't
trust them to do anything. And yet and yet here
they are. They've completely wrecked the college football calendar, like
right now. The conversation should not be, well, we're going
to expand the playoff to twenty four. Your conversation should be, Hey,
how do we get the National Signing Day move to
February instead of early December and the portal window to

(13:39):
post college football playoff and rework the academic calendar where
we can make it all happen so that we don't
have coaching searches overlapping with the stretch run of the
regular season because guys have to get in a new
position to salvage a recruiting class before the portal opens.
That's what the conversation should be. Instead, the conversation is,

(14:02):
we have some money, we like more money. We have
no talent. We can't build anything ourselves. This thing over
here exists is called the college football Playoff. Let's just
increase the size of that thing that ATM's been printing
out money for us. Maybe it'll print out more money
for us. Let's hey, Brazil will pay us twenty million dollars.

(14:23):
Let's just go take two lane in Memphis and have
them play down there. Those are the kinds of ideas
these people have. So these people really have no business
making decisions. But yet here they are, and here we are.
Quick Trip could never find themselves in such a position.
Quick Trip fuels the faultn't lie tour. Quick Trip has

(14:44):
been with us for quite a while. Now we appreciate them.
They fuel us every step of the way. I would
say it's safe to say at this point they've been
given away a ton of free gas this year. I
should have kept account on how much gas we've given away,
how many free tanks of gas we've given away. We're
gonna head all the way to Eugene, Oregon, say USC
at Oregon. Now, last Sunday, I thought it was going

(15:04):
to be rainy during this game, Like forty eight hours ago,
the forecast is changed. There is growing confidence at the
University of Oregon that this will be a dry game.
I'm still in wait and see mode because I was
fully prepared to ride with Dan Landing and wear cotton
just in a show of solidarity for them welcoming us

(15:26):
onto the campus up there, and I was going to
freeze and probably catch pneumonia. But you know now that
it looks like it's going to be overcast in fifty
five degrees, I don't know, maybe just the long sleeve
version of the Fall Don't Lie Tour Eugene addition available
in the Peate State store right now, paintstatematerial dot com.
There's a picture of it right there. We just put
a little random Fall Don't Lie mug on there as well.

(15:48):
That's available year round. The Eugene version of our T
shirt that's available for one week also, And this pertains
to like zero point one percent of the audience. I
did confirm right before we came on air. I will
be speaking at the University of Oregon this Friday. Friends
at the Warsaw Center over there. You know who you are.

(16:08):
I'll see you, guys and girls Friday. We're gonna run
it back like we did last year. Speaking of that game,
let's dive into it. Big Game on tap Pack twelve
paate back for one night only to introduce you to
the idea that USC and Oregon is a huge game.
This Saturday, three thirty Eastern, twelve thirty Local kick on CBS.

(16:33):
You know what that means. That means the Fall Don't
Lie Tour and Jennifer Dell on the same sideline. Some
said it wouldn't happen again this season, but I held
out hope and here we are Lincoln Riley at USC
zero to four versus top ten teams, Lincoln Riley at
USC one in seven versus ranked teams on the road. Now,

(16:55):
that speaks to the past, but if you've been watching
USC this year like I have, it's fair to say
it looks like they've started to turn a corner a
little bit. So you know, what has been doesn't always
continue to be. That's got to be the theme if
you're picking USC in this game Oregon at ten and two.
If they were to drop this game, I don't think

(17:16):
is a lot to make the playoff. I could play
around with the All State Playoff predictor here and maybe
it would say they have a better than fifty to
fifty shot. But bottom line is their fates not totally
in their hands if they lose this game. USC's only
shot to make the playoff is winning out and that
would include obviously winning this game, big culture game. I

(17:38):
don't so much say that for Oregon. Like Oregon's pretty
comfortable in who they are, they're comfortable being uncomfortable. USC.
We're kind of trying to still figure out are they
you know, fill in the blank, are they a team
that can be physical can go on the road win
this kind of game. We'll see how far a USC
has come, because that's really my biggest question. Like Notre
Dame earlier this year ran for three hundred and six

(18:01):
yards on them, Illinois game we were at in Champagne
ran for one hundred and seventy one on them. Oregon's
averaging two point thirty on the ground, and honestly the
last few games, like if you just look last month
of the season, Organ's probably averaged even more than that
on the ground. So us he's got the sixty third
run defense in the country right now. Just basic stats.

(18:22):
But the reason I'm mentioning that is because you want
to make you want to make me zoom in a
little bit further than that if I'm trying to figure
out how this game is going to go, because I
had to zoom into about thirty thousand feet to see
those stats, and if there's nothing more to this game
than that, I don't need to zoom in any further there.
It really gets academic if you can't stop the run

(18:43):
against Oregon. They'll throw it every now and then just
for fun, but it really is academic. If they're ripping
off six seven yards per carry. Yeah, they can throw it,
but doesn't really matter. You've got to at least insert
variants into the equation. Now. The thing is, sometimes you've
got these ground and pound teams and you say, we
got to make him throw it to beat us. The

(19:04):
Oregon can beat you throwing the ball. But at least
if you make them throw the ball, some crazy stuff
could happen. Or maybe they're throwing the ball because you
found a way to score on them. So that brings
me to point number two. How would USC get in
a position to make Oregon trade points you instead of

(19:25):
playing from behind? How do we do that? Well, you
got to make this paper right here. It's two pieces here.
Hold on a second, there we go. That's one piece
of paper. Sounds flimsy, doesn't it. You got to make
this paper lie. So this piece of paper I'm holding
right here says Oregon's got the best pass defense in
the country. Do we believe it? Papers lie? Sometimes? Even

(19:47):
in November, five of the seven Power four offenses Oregon
has faced are one hundredth or worse in pass offense.
So there is a world where Oregon is just that good.
There's another world where they're badly overly inflated in past
these statistics because of the inferior nature of the passing
attacks they faced. We saw a glaring example of this

(20:10):
in theme last week. Remember last week, I sat right
here in this chair. We had Pitt versus Notre Dame. Well,
Notre Dame versus Pitt, say, the home team last kids,
we had Notre Dame versus Pitt coming up. And what
did this piece of paper say? It said, Pitt's got
the number three run defense in the country. And what
did I say? I think Notre Dame's going to run

(20:31):
all over him, because I thought the paper was lying,
and it was. You saw what Jeremiah Love did. That's
illegal in like seventeen states, Pennsylvania not being one of them, apparently.
So it doesn't really matter if the paper coming into
the game said you got the number one pass d
in the country. If Lemon and Lane just go off

(20:51):
on you, does it mean does it mean any less?
Does it mean anymore? No, it just meant what it meant.
It's college football. It's not the NFL. You don't play
a pro team every week, where by week twelve, Week thirteen,
week fourteen, you kind of are what your record says
you are. You kind of are what your stat sheet
says you are. It's college football. Crazy stuff happens from
week one all the way to the end of the
year because of how imbalanced things can be. Thirty seven

(21:15):
days ago, what were you doing? I was watching Indiana
sort of own Oregon in Auttin Stadium. It was a
shock to the senses. We all remember it. It hadn't
been that long ago. I would imagine maybe even at
Oregon they remember it. I bring that game up not
to drudge up bad memories for our Oregon viewers and fans.

(21:37):
I mentioned that because thirty seven days ago we had
mister Surrett and mister Cooper there wide receiver one, wide
receiver two for Indiana go off for fifteen catches, one
hundred and seventy nine yards and a touchdown. And I
think this pair of receivers USC's carrying up there with

(21:57):
them are probably better, all due respect, than the dudes
Indiana brought out there. And Oregon needed a defensive score
to even keep that thing to within ten. So don't
think for a second this couldn't happen. Now. Do I
think Oregon's improved? I actually think they could rev the
engine right now and be one of the best teams
in the country if they're healthy. More on that in
a second. But there's just I'm saying, like you, you

(22:19):
think about this thing. You look at the line, it's
moved all the way to nine and a half. I
saw ten and a half earlier today, and you're thinking
to yourself, Oh, man, tough to see a way for USC.
No it's not, no, it's not. It's just may be
a few more routes for Oregon. The thinking I think
on the games inverted a little bit. So I think
the casual thinking on the game would be, oh, you

(22:40):
got to find out if USC can sort of big
ten their way to a win. That is not what
I would want to do if I were Oregon. If
I were Oregon, I'd actually be begging them to play
big ten style of football. I'd actually beg USC, hey,
see if you can keep running that ball like you
did against Michigan, you know, like you did Aga, because

(23:00):
I'm comfortable that's in my wheelhouse, and who knows, maybe
I'll hold their passing game in check. But if they're
gonna beat me, it's gonna be with those two receivers.
It's gonna be that they really really dominated in the
red zone, like that's how they would beat me. Oregon's
wide receiver health is something I'm paying attention to in
this game because I have been of the suspicion that

(23:22):
they may be building towards having, you know, a few more,
few more healthy hands on deck towards the end of
the year. Evan Stewart, we hadn't seen him. I'm not.
I have no clue about Evan Stewart's availability Saturday. I
wouldn't say so if I did, that would be unethical.
What I will say is they've never thought they're going

(23:43):
to lose him for the whole season, Like that hasn't
been the word from up there. So if Evan Stewart
has known for a while, if that staff is known
for a while, we're gonna get him back. This is
the game you probably would have circled now. I don't
know if he'll be able to get back, but that's
just something to keep an eye on. Kenyon Sadik, I mean,
he was like a game time decision last week. He plays,

(24:04):
he dominates, so I think he may be the best
tight end in the country right now. I watched USC
go on the road to Illinois and get handled. I
watched him go to Nebraska. I firmly believe they would
have lost the game had Dylan Ryola not gone down
with injury. I watched him go to Notre Dame competitive,
but they ended up losing by ten. So they've got

(24:24):
to do something that flips the script on the road
in relation to what Lincoln Riley USC teams have been.
And as we look at what the model thinks, Vanduel's
got Oregon minus nine and a half. The models got
orgon minus eight. This thing open at seven and a half,
it's gone to nine and a half, so it crossed
right over what the model's number was. I think Oregon's

(24:44):
best game is still ahead of them. Now I'm gonna
roll the dice a little bit and I'm gonna say
it happened Saturday. So I mean, look, I just laid
it out for you. So there are routes here where
I see USC. See I could see USC winning game.
What do I think is more likely? That's really what
the pick's all about. I think it's probably more likely

(25:05):
Oregon wins the game. And if Oregon wins the game
in the style that I believe they will. There's a
chance that they bended at the end. I don't think blowout.
I just think, you know, win the second half, seventeen
to seven or something like that. You end up winning,
and I'll take Oregon to cover. No money know anything
like that, No rominudal Express, but I will take Oregon

(25:27):
to win and cover. If you want to go to
the game, it's gonna be a good one. If you
haven't already gotten your tickets, no worries. In fact, if
you haven't gotten your tickets to whichever game you're going
to this weekend, good news. They're available at seat geek
right now, so you can go to SeatGeek dot com,
search the game. I don't care what it is. Go
watch James Madison. I don't care. They're playing Washington State

(25:49):
this Saturday. By the way, Press thought I didn't know.
Oh I know, And you can go over there. Just
grab your tickets, go to the checkout and write before
you pay, enter the code PAT ten pat E one
zero and that'll get you ten percent off your final order.
What more can we do? Well, I guess I could
just buy all the tickets for everyone, but I don't know.

(26:11):
It just seems kind of irresponsible for me to put
that offer out there. I really think that would be
my mouth writing a check that the bank account cannot cash.
So I'm gonna get you ten percent off seat Geek.
You're gonna buy the tickets anyway, Like if you're gonna
buy tickets anyway, do it at seat Geek so you
can get ten percent off. Pay ten. That's the checkout code.

(26:33):
We move on a lot to get to lot to
still get to tonight. Yesterday was one of the more
memorable days that I ever remember, just being a college
football fan. The Lane Kiffin saga, the Lane Kiffin multi
part documentary. If there's a camera crew following him around
right now, this will be must see Netflix. Down the road.

(26:54):
We had flight tracking, which I thought was dead. I
thought everyone had privatized tail number, and as it turns out,
not quite. So we had Lane Kiffin's family and Baton Rouge,
and we had him spotted in Gainesville the day before
that checking out what I don't know, checking out ice
cream shops, could have been checking out schools, could have
been checking out property. I do want to tell you

(27:17):
this happens all the time. It does not happen this
publicly so I could tell you guys of multiple coaches
families that have taken these kinds of trips in this cycle.
Right now, it just so happens, you know about Lane's
because everyone's paying attention in Gainesville and Baton Rouge. And
so what's the latest here? Well, the latest here is

(27:39):
very clearly a decision's got to get made. It could
be that he stays at Ole miss. It could be
that he goes to Florida. It could be that he
goes to LSU. I stopped there for now because those
are the three that are most readily mentioned with Lane Kiffin.
You never know, You never know at the eleventh hour,

(28:00):
what could happen in college football, what offers could come
from the NFL. And I'm not saying I have any
knowledge of that. I'm saying you never say never in
this sort of world. So what do we know? Not
a whole lot, at least publicly, not a whole lot.
But yesterday, if you were, if you were glued to
the internet, I mean, we had everything. Okay. We had

(28:23):
hundreds of threads deep message board posts, just like the
good old days. We had flight tracking, just like the
good old days. We had people staked out hiding behind
bushes at local FBOs fixed based operators fancy term for
private airports, just like the good old days. Really, this

(28:45):
is what college football is supposed to be. It's the
greatest sport in the world. And after all that, Lane
goes on McAfee earlier today and claims that he did
hot yoga with his current athletic director Keith Carter this morning.
You know what Martin Scorsese would say about that. I
don't even need to say the word. You know, he'd
throw those hands up, he'd lean back. The picture would

(29:08):
be black and white cinema, That's what he'd say. I
don't think a decision has been made yet, but I
know that everyone's going to overrule me on message boards
here and there and talk radio shows, and that's okay.
Here is what's happening. I know that there was a
lot said about an ultimatum. I said on Sunday That's

(29:30):
exactly what I would do if I were old miss
That's what I would do if I were Keith Carter.
I've got to look out for myself. So I told
you guys on the Sunday show what I would do
is we're in the middle of a bye week right now,
at ole miss, It's okay, I don't need to press
the issue on Monday or Tuesday or Wednesday, and so

(29:50):
I you can just let things simmer for a little while,
is the point. Okay, you don't have to hardline on
Monday or Tuesday of the bye week, but rest assured
they want an answer by early next week. You need
resolution on this by early next week. Contrary to popular

(30:11):
opinion out there, it's my belief that the decision hasn't
really been arrived at quite yet. I know the reaction
that gets anytime I say that on the show, people
will send me links to message board posts, or they'll
send me links to this clip from a podcast. I
respect you, guys, I appreciate it. I don't need that.
If I want to know something, I'd just hit laying up.

(30:34):
So if I really really needed to know on something,
I don't need to go third hand fourth hand on that. Respectfully,
There's a lot of stuff that you just don't say
because you don't burn sourcing and you don't violate trust
that people have in you. But it's not violating trust.
And tell you, I just don't think a decision has
been arrived at yet, but I think one is rapidly approaching,

(30:56):
and I think a lot of due diligence has been done.
You know, if I were in Lane Shoes, I'd probably
keep it a lot closer to the vest. But if
I were in lane Shoes and I had these offers
in front of me, I'd send my family to go
scout stuff out. That's just what I would do. So
I don't really fault him for that. If you got
a problem with the theatrics behind this whole thing, no

(31:18):
problem with it. I got no problem with anyone thinking
that because I said the other night, I spoke my
piece on how I feel if I were an Old
Mis fan. I spoke my piece on how I would
feel if I were a high level donor there. I
spoke my piece on how I would feel as the ad. Now,
the one thing that you need to be careful about
is assuming that you know what's been communicated back and forth.

(31:39):
Because the one thing that I do believe Lane's been
is pretty forthright with the administration at Old Miss. I
don't think there are a lot of moves he's making
that they don't know about. I don't think there is
a great deal of you know visits here or conversations
there that have been had by Lane Kiffin that Keith
Carter and the administration aren't aware of. Now, at some point,

(31:59):
that doesn't matter. Full transparency doesn't matter at a certain point.
I think that point's coming pretty soon. And what I've
seen is a lot of you know, what I would
call window intel. This is really dangerous. It's dangerous when
you're following a recruitment. It's dangerous when you're following a
coaching search. Here's what window intel is. Window intel is.

(32:21):
You know, for instance, if you know one of the
major realtors in Gainesville and you get told, Hey, Kiffin's
family is in town right now, I'm showing them houses,
you think that's it. You think, like I have, I've
got the scoop here because through the limited window vision
that you have, through the one source that you may have,

(32:41):
you're aware that they're looking at real estate. Man, they're
looking at homes here. Why would he do that if
he wasn't coming here? Well, what if I told you that,
unbeknownst to you, he's got plans or they've got plans
to do the very same thing in Baton Rouge. The
next day you wouldn't be aware of that, so you'd
run to your message board and you would say done
deal Lane to Florida, And then the very next day
in Baton Rouge, they'd run to their message board and

(33:02):
say done deal Laye to LSU. You got no clue,
You got no clue what he's gonna do. You don't
even know if he's got any clue what he's gonna do.
Yet it's unpopular to say that, you know, cause I
don't know what he's gonna do. Doesn't get a whole
lot of clicks, which is what we're in the business of.
After all, old clickbait paid here that doesn't get you know,

(33:22):
that didn't get nearly as much traction as some other
things have gotten recently. My personal feel on this is,
if I had to lean one way or another, I don't.
I don't know. I don't know. I think it has
to get ironed out by this time next week. That's
what I think, because I will just paint you a
picture right quick. If this is not ironed out by

(33:43):
next week, the egg bowls on Friday, it's gonna get
really ugly. If it's not ironed out by next week,
I don't I don't know if you've really played this
scenario out in your mind. I know Old Miss fans have,
I know, like Florida fans LSU fans have. If you're
just a Missouri fan, you're just watching this for fun.
Imagine the night before that game, it's Thanksgiving. We've got

(34:04):
no answer yet, you go into the day of the game,
Lane's coaching the Egg Bowl, you have no clue. Ole
Miss officials have no clue. And then he's got a
postgame press conference and they win. If they win, I
mean they're headed to the playoff. Either way, we've still
got no clue. It'd be really toxic, really toxic. And
that's even before we know whether or not Old Miss
has put an ultimatum in front of him and said,

(34:25):
we've got to have an answer. I fully believe that's
gonna happen if it hasn't already happened. I know what
was said today. I don't care. I believe that's gonna
happen if it hasn't already happened. In not so many words,
so it's going to be a really memorable week next
week if it gets there. Now, I know there was
a lot of expectation that some announcement was going to

(34:45):
come this week. Again that was never gonna happen. Ever,
under any circumstances, that was never gonna happen. Jesse, we
got to get a bigger earpiece that was never gonna happen.
But I will not say never at all about early
next week because that could be an absolute circuit. They're
watching us in Johnstown, Pennsylvania, Vicksburg, Mississippi, and Chisholm, Minnesota,

(35:08):
if I'm correct, is the town that Moonlight Graham is
from in Field of Dreams and we've got fans in Chisholm. Huh,
chishom Minnesota. I gotta go check on that. I have
a question. Well, I don't have a question. I just
got some chapstick I gotta put on. Bradley, you can
throw up the question. Yeah, there we go. So I

(35:31):
need to address this as well. Stephen from Gadsden, Alabama said,
did we buy back our Kaylin de Bor stock too soon?
Maybe we should have just waited after the FSU loss.
What does this even mean by back the stock too soon?
So is that to am? I to take that to me?
And you sold your stock after FSU, so you sold low?

(35:55):
Then you bought back, and now you're questioning whether you
should have bought back, which insinuates something terrible has happened. Well, yes,
they lost a football game last Saturday. So I think
sometimes in college football it is popular to take the
sentiment of the extreme fringe of a fan base and

(36:15):
amplify it as the mainstream of the fan base. So
I don't think the mainstream of the Alabama fan base
is yelling anything like this. However, I don't know that
to be sure. So let me just speak my piece
on this. Let me ask the question there. Let me
ask the guy who just asked the question there, our

(36:35):
friends in Gatston, what do you think Alabama is. Let's
just humor me for a second. If you're out there
and you got doubts about Kaylen de Bor, what do
you think Alabama is? First question? Second question, what do
you expect from Kaylen de Boor? And then the third question?
If you're really unhappy with him right now, who is

(36:59):
the standard? Who is it that you want him emulating?
Don't say Nick Saban. Nick Saban's not an active head
coach anymore. And by the way, in the latter portion
of the Sabin tenure, I know it gets romanticized and
it gets whitewashed. There were a ton of one possession games,
There were losses, there were penalties all over the place.

(37:21):
Offensive line play had regressed. You had some of the
same issues. So don't be saying Nick Saban either. Nick
Saban at his pinnacle is never going to happen again
in the history of the sport or the future of
the sport because the landscape's changed. So out of the
available candidates, and this is theoretically, if you're unhappy with
Kalyn Deboor, out of the available candidates, who's the standard?
Pick him out? I don't care. Take your time list

(37:44):
the best in the game? Is it? Ryan Day is
the guy who has been handled by his rival for
consecutive years and lost two regular season games last year
only to finally find his way to a national championship
for the first time. Is that him? Is that the
standard you tell me? Is it? Kirby Smart the guy
who had you walk in and beat him in his

(38:06):
home building this year, a trail to Auburn at the
half bunch of one possession wins. Now they're peaking at
the right time. But are you telling me that's the standard?
Like pick the guy. I don't care who it is.
Pick the guy, and I want you to illustrate for
me the separation between whoever that is and what Caylen
de Bor has done in his career, but what he's
done this year, even who is it? There isn't that guy?

(38:30):
Is there? No, there's not. So here's my thought on
this the way I've chosen to look at Alabama this year.
That FSU game was abysmal to start the season. You
can't do anything about that. Imagine that Monday if I
sat you down, Bama just lost what was it, Jesse
thirty one to seventeen or something like that. Imagine Bama

(38:51):
fresh off of two possession lost to Florida State. I
set you down that Monday, and I say, BAMA fan
from Gadsden, Alabama going to go into the Iron Bowl
with your entire playoff fate and SEC championship fate in
your hands, will you take that? You would have done cartwheels,
even though you've never done one in your life. You
would have done all kinds of acrobatic maneuvers you never

(39:14):
even thought possible, with or without a trampoline. And the
reason is because half of you thought your season was
dead in the water, and for a little while I
wondered if you were right. So I view this as
an excellent coaching job. They didn't have the team ready
out of the gate. I think it surprised them as
much as anyone else. But then they circle the wagons
and they went on that stretch run as tough as

(39:35):
any stretch any team is faced this year, won every
game and then dropped the Oklahoma game the other day.
So this is not a good this is a good team.
This is not a complete team. At no point this
year was this going to be a complete team. There's
still very much in a state of floods with their roster.
There's still very much in a state of transitioning this
roster to what they want it to be. You think

(39:58):
that offensive line personnel is really what they want? You
think that tailback personnel is what they want and what
eventually they'll have there. I don't, but I think they're
doing the best of what they have right now. So
my advice to you is be honest with yourself. If
anyone's thinking along these lines, be honest with yourself.

Speaker 2 (40:18):
No.

Speaker 1 (40:18):
I would have said the same thing to Ohio State
fans after the Michigan game last year. This is a
really healthy exercise if you'll do it and be honest.
Take a pen, not a pencil. Take a pen, and
I want you to go buy a new notebook, and
then I want you to use that pen. Pretend that
you have the power of an athletic director. And I

(40:40):
want you to write down your thoughts on your coach
and you got to constantly keep a log of it
after every week. I need you filling in that log
at least once weekly. Whenever you feel like it's time
to fire him. I want you to write down I
would have fired him today. Some of you would have
written that after the FSU game about de Born. Not
a ton of you. Some of you would have That's

(41:01):
the group I'm talking to right now, Just like Jim
Harbaugh post twenty twenty, twenty twenty one. That timeframe, most
Michigan fans would have fired him if they had their
if they had their choice, they would have fired him. Okay,
unbeknownst to them, they were going to give up a
national championship, They were going to give up multiple wins

(41:24):
against Ohio State. How they went about that, Okay, you
could litigate that on another show. But they would have
given that up because they couldn't see around the corner.
So with the boor or anyone else like, there's folk
who would have written in their little log about Ryan
day fire, this bomb got to get him out of here.
Now he goes on to win a national title, which
you never would have reaped the benefit of had you

(41:45):
had your way and anyway, I want you to do this,
and then I want you to let a few years
go by. This is not an exercise that is done
in forty eight hours. And I want you to just
go back. You're not allowed to erase anything, You're not
allowed to tear any pages out of the notebook. And
I want you to read how many different times you
were sky high and rock bottom low on. The coach

(42:07):
in question could be Kaitlin de boor it could be
Shane Beemer. I mean, think about doing this with Beamer,
my goodness, think about doing it with Dabbo. Point being,
you have to move at the speed of honey, not
the speed of water on this stuff. We haven't used
this analogy in a while. Mema, one of the great
memoisms in the history of judgment is she said you

(42:28):
gotta judge your coaches at the speed of honey. Mem says,
you take two plates, okay, one in each hand. You
put a drop of honey in the middle of one plate.
You put a drop of water in the middle of
the other plate. Turn both those plate sideways. The drop
of water just falls right off the drop of honey
slowly starts to go south. Now, if you hold that
plate there long enough, even the honey ends up on

(42:49):
the ground. But it takes a while. And in the aggregate,
the plate may just turn right side up, may even
turn the other way. But if you were moving at
the speed of water, you'll never or no. And that's
kind of the way that I think you have to
judge this. But if I have not talked to you
off the ledge, and you're someone who is ready to
sell your Kaylin de borstock, please let me know because

(43:10):
I'll take every bit of it. I've got room in
my portfolio, so I'll take every bit of it. I've
got great news for really anyone, but especially people who
can find themselves in Atlanta December fifth. If you're gonna
be in Atlanta December fifth, maybe you're an A and
M fan, Maybe you're a Georgia fan. Maybe you're a
Bama fan, maybe you guys are playing in the SEC
Championship Game. Maybe you just live there and you're a

(43:32):
big fan of the show. We're doing our first ever
live event and it's at the Buckhead Theater. It's in Buckhead.
It's the Friday night before the SEC Championship Game. Tickets
on sale now over at peytstatematerial dot com. It's gonna
be a great event. We're gonna have friends of the
program there, some surprise guests. I'm not announcing them right now.
We're gonna have exclusive merch you can only get at

(43:54):
that event. This will be the first event we've ever
done like this. I'm not talking about doing an episode
of the show there. Okay, the episodes of the show
are right in this studio, maybe sometimes on the road,
but we broadcast all those shows live on the YouTube channel.
This won't be broadcast anywhere, which means we're free to
tell some stories that we may not be able to
tell on air, and it's going to be a blast.

(44:16):
So we did this with the Busting Guys up in
Lincoln earlier this year, and I was a guest of theirs,
but I watched it happen and it was a fun
time up there until we're going to look to replicate
that in Atlanta and telling you those tickets are going
to go pretty fast. I think we can get like
eight hundred or so in the theater, so they're going
to go pretty fast. You're going to want to go
ahead snatch those up. And it's gonna be really fun,

(44:39):
really interactive. Ton of Q and a a ton of
passing the mic around, ton of interaction. There's no hard
out time. We kind of just get to hang out
and do whatever we want to do. So that's going
to be a real fun time. Looking forward to that.
Tickets on sale now. Next up, it's a game no
one's talking about this weekend. Missouri plays Oklahoma this weekend

(45:00):
and it's like an afterthought and it shouldn't be. This
is a noon eastern eleven am Central Time kickoff on ABC,
very under the radar game. It's only Missouri's third road game.
I don't know how that's possible the week before Thanksgiving.
Eli Drinkwitz is left home three times. Now they'll end
the season back to back of road games. Whatever. What

(45:21):
do you think the lion is on this game? If
you're not already aware, mainly for the podcast crowd that
can't see the lower third here. What would you think
the lion is on this game? Home field baked in
for Oklahoma. The line is seven and a half. Does
that seem low to you? Well, Missouri's losses are Alabama, Vandy,
and A and M. Those are three playoff caliber teams
right now. Matt Zohlers has been the starting quarterback for

(45:44):
them since both Perbulah went down. There are some rumblings
that Perbulah may be available for this game. I think
Eli said he expects Zohlers to start, but at the
very least that's worth keeping an eye on. Missouri's kind
of accepted their offensive identity though, so you know they're
not gonna light the world on fire through the air
with Matt Zohlers, but they didn't try to. Last week,

(46:06):
Ama Hardy went for three hundred on the ground against
Mississippi State. They got the number six rushing offense in
the country. Now that runs smack dab into Oklahoma's strength
as a defense. Oklahoma's got the number three run d
in the country. It's kind of an inverse of last
week's game. So Oklahoma went to BAMA last week and
Bama's like, we don't run the ball anyway we throw

(46:28):
the ball, and so that's what you're gonna have to contain.
And Oklahoma contained it. They didn't contain it in a
way where you shut it down, because Bama still threw
for over three hundred on them. They contained it in
a way where we're gonna knock the ball loose every
chance we get, We're going to force turnovers, and then
in a complimentary fashion, we're gonna beat you on your
home field. Well, this is the total inverse of that.

(46:49):
Missouri is absolutely gonna try and run the ball. Missouri
can't beat you if they don't run the ball. So,
unlike Bama, who was at least comfortable with you shutting
down their run, you shut down Missouri's run. You shut
down the game. Can you all right? And then the
follow up, because I'm not sure you're gonna totally shut
it down. I don't think a Mott Hardy's going for

(47:10):
three hundred in the game, but I don't think you're
gonna totally shut it down. But the follow up question
is if you shut it down enough, can you get
some margin here? Are you going to be good enough offensively?
Like Oklahoma was very limited offensively last week. They've been
somewhat to significantly limited since the John Matteer injury. Their

(47:32):
tailbacks have come on a little bit lately, but they're
a little bit banged up at tailback right now too,
so Brent Vinnables as recently as today talked about how
we have to spread it around a little bit. We
don't totally know our health status at that position. Missouri's
top twenty run D, their top twenty pass D. It's
a really good defense. People will overlook them. I could

(47:52):
even see an Oklahoma fan saying to themselves, it's Missouri,
and you know what I mean when I say that
it's Missouri. And what you don't realize is it could
be one of the best defenses you face all year,
and easily one of the most versatile and opportunistic defenses
you face all year, and your bottom half in every
stack category offensively except red zone offense right now. So

(48:14):
the reason I paint that picture is I've got no
reason to think that Oklahoma is just going to pull
away in the game. Offensively. Oklahoma can pull away in
the game because they got many different ways they can score.
They got many different ways they can set themselves up
with short fields. But if Missouri were to do to
Oklahoma what Oklahoma did Obama last week, which is make

(48:34):
them drive the length of the field constantly, set them
up inside their own twenty yard line, it's a standard game.
In other words, it's tough to just envision. Oklahoma is
marching their way down the field over and over and
over again. So I think Matier will have to make
plays here for Oklahoma to win. I think Zolers will
have to make plays. I got no clue if Perbula
will play or not, but it feels like a game

(48:56):
that's won in the margins. It's really tough to separate
these teams in that kind of game. They're both in
the eighties and turnover margin, but that didn't matter for
Oklahoma last week. There were plus three. That's why it's
kind of randomized. But they're skill enforcing those turnovers. Both
of these can do it. They're both top twenty and
third down defense. They're both top fifteen in sacks. Oklahoma's

(49:18):
been excellent at owning field position though. That's where they shine,
and they haven't done a better job all year than
they did last week in that department. So let's take
a look at what the model thinks. The total in
the game's forty two and a half, which implies low scoing.
Game obviously really compacted game limited possessions fan duels got
Oklahoma minus seven and a half. I was kind of

(49:39):
surprised to see the models got Oklahoma minus five. Guys.
That's with everything baked in. That's with home field baked in.
That's with backup quarterback baked in, and the backup QB's
played a number of weeks now for Missouri, so like
got a good idea of what he is. But after
the ridicule and the scorn suffered on this show at

(50:00):
the hands of Oklahoma, if you think I'm about to
give you another SoundBite, You're crazy. Okay, that creative media
department did me wrong. I deserved it. They did me wrong.
I had it coming. They did me wrong. They released
the cinematic recap of the game. I think my voice
was like the first half minute, like, was that really necessary?

(50:21):
After all we've been through together? Huh. I'll take Oklahoma
to win the game now. If I'm betting the game total,
this low game, this compacted this much on the margins,
anything over a touchdown. So if this line's seven and
a half right now, I would just bet the dog.
But in terms of who's going to win the game,

(50:42):
Missouri's got a good shot because I'm not gonna be there.
Missouri can't win a game if I'm in attendance. But
since I'm not going to be there, Eli driek Witz
and his team have a fighting chance. I think it's
a lowescoing game. I think Oklahoma finds a way to
win the game.

Speaker 3 (50:54):
Though.

Speaker 1 (50:56):
Right there in the playoff mix, right there in the
middle of the playoff mix, all right, uh had a
question here as we roll on. Yeah, Kyle from Dallas said,
what do you think about Sark's latest rant? Well, you
may or may not be aware that Sark did have
a little mini rent. Now keep in mind, they're a

(51:18):
three loss team now, they're coming off the Georgia loss.
You know that you got Arkansas Saturday. Actually, I don't
think most of the country understands they play Arkansas Saturday.
They just know they play A and M the next week.
But yes, they do have Arkansas Saturday. Anyway, they look
like they're going to be a three loss maybe a
four loss team, and so some people are starting to
say that Texas was overrated. Texas has disappointed. Sark got

(51:39):
asked about this in his press conference, I believe yesterday.
Here's what he had to say.

Speaker 2 (51:45):
Steve, what would you say the main reasons are this team.

Speaker 3 (51:48):
Is underachieved according to who well.

Speaker 1 (51:51):
In your preseason number one.

Speaker 3 (51:53):
I think most people would agree three losses is not achieving, which.

Speaker 2 (51:56):
Are capable of I mean, I guess that's into who
voted us number one. Okay, what I think is that
this team has competed their tailoff. They've been faced with
a lot of different adversity and injuries, and a lot
of stuff has come across this team's plate, and I'm
very proud of them with their resiliency. You know, at

(52:18):
the end of the day, at the University of Texas,
we're held to a very high standard, and the standard
is to compete for championships year in and year out,
and we're going to play the best teams in the country.
We're going to schedule the best teams in the country.
But by the end of the season, we'll play of
our twelve regular season opponents, five of those teams will
be top ten teams when we played them, So nearly

(52:39):
half our schedule, and we have an opportunity at the
end of the regular season to do something that nobody's
done since twenty nineteen, and that's beat three top ten
ranked teams in the regular season. Last team to do
that was LSU with Joe Burrow. So have we been
faced with a pretty difficult schedule. Have we been faced
with high expectations? Sure, but that's why we came here,
so we'll be okay, all right.

Speaker 1 (53:04):
What I made of that is that is a message
for the playoff committee, really is what that is. That
is a message of let's try and win these next
two games. Finished with three losses, and let that be
the talking point because that's really their only hope right
now to make the playoff is they're a three loss team,
and the committee looks at the criteria through the proper lens,

(53:25):
like the lens Sark just gave you, which is, hey man,
we've beaten a lot of top ten teams when they
were top ten. That's not really how he thinks. Steve
Sarkisian's really smart. I love hanging around Sark, I love
talking to him, love having him on the show. Like
he is very analytically he's very competitive, I promise you.
You know when he's looking at himself in the mirror

(53:46):
when they're sitting around a staff room. They don't do
this during the season, but like when they're assessing the
season in totality, they're not looking at it talking about
how many Top ten teams they faced. That's just it's messaging.
And he's got to do it, and I would do it,
And if you were in his spot, you actually would
sound very similar. What you're not going to do is

(54:06):
go out there and say, yeah, we suck man, Yeah,
I had really high expectations. We've failed. Man, I've got
to tear it down and start from scratch. That's not
what you do publicly. Now. What you do privately is
you've got to acknowledge where you've failed, and they have
failed this year, that staff's failed this year, that staff's
falling short, well short of the expectation they should have

(54:28):
for themselves. I mean, look, we were out there in
the spring and again had him on the show, really
appreciated and I thought he was dead on the money
and in terms of the picture he presented, which was, hey,
this is kind of our first go around with everything
in this building. Being ours. We got our quarterback, this
roster's totally ours. Everything's ours now, so this will be

(54:50):
a true reflection of our Texas. It's not good enough,
that's all. It's not good enough now. That's the easy
thing to say. The easy thing to do is look
at the win loss record and say, well, that's not
good enough. This is Texas. You're Steve Sarkeshian. You guys
got the nil You've got recruiting, you've got facility, you

(55:11):
got all this stuff. You got an army of some
of the best staffers in the country. You ought to
be better. Yeah, that's accurate, but that's not a fix.
The fix involves getting your hands dirty. It involves making
changes that are going to be really hard because they're
your people. It involves maybe changing something about yourself, maybe

(55:31):
course correcting twenty degrees of your own personal philosophy. You
saw what it's supposed to look like last Saturday. You're
not that. Georgia is what it's supposed to be like,
and Texas is not Georgia. We've we've pretty emphatically decided
that in the last calendar year. That just means you
keep working. That just means you got to make changes.

(55:54):
That means you've got to adjust. That means you've got
a tinker and you've you've got to evolve here. And
maybe you know what means changing personnel. Maybe it means
adjusting your roster or recruiting a different kind of kid,
or using different approaches in recruiting. Like I promise you,
Steve Sarkishan is not looking at their results this year

(56:16):
and saying that's okay, No, No. What he's doing right
now is he's fighting to do as good as he
can with the reality of what they are. The reality
of what they are is well short of a national
championship competing team, contending team, which is what they thought
they would be. They were wrong. I thought they could
be that. I was wrong. What they are is just

(56:37):
very incomplete. So you get to the end of the season,
you fight as much as you can to play as
long as you can, which is what he's doing right
there when he says that they're not going to play
much longer, and then it'll come time to course correct.
I know there are a lot of rumors out there
about him and his future and whatnot. If that stuff happens,

(56:59):
we'll talk about it different when it happens until it happens.
Steve Sarkisian is the head coach of Texas as long
as they'll have him there, and as long as that's
the case, then everything I'm saying applies. So I'm not
really sure when you get into the granular detail of things, like,
I'm not really sure how it's possible for people to

(57:21):
relate to it. I'm really I'm serious about that, because like,
even if I were to look at it, if I say, oh,
I don't think you're good enough on defense, fire your coordinator.
Oh I don't think your special teams are good enough.
Fire your special teams, coredator. Oh I don't think your
roster is good enough. Fire your general manager. That is
so easy for me to say. I'm speaking generically, they're

(57:42):
not about Texas specifically. That's so easy to say, I
don't know those people. I didn't hire them, I didn't
have them move my families here also, or their families here. Also,
you never know if like one of your staffer's shortcomings
are directly correlated with you not being what you need
to be, you not setting them up to succeed. You know,

(58:05):
a lot of times staffers are retained even though their
position group's results or their side of the ball's results
are very, very bad because the head coach knows I
didn't put him in the best position to succeed. Now,
he's not going to step to a press conference podium
in all likelihood and say that. But we're watching an

(58:26):
example of that, ironically, with the team Texas just played.
Texas just played Georgia. Georgia put on a clinic. Candidly,
I think offensively they've been putting one on all year.
If half the Georgia fan base had their way, Mike
Bobo wouldn't even be there to put the clinic on
because Mike Bobo would have been fired. Kirby didn't fire him.
Why didn't he fire him? Maybe just maybe Kirby looked

(58:48):
at it and said, Mike's doing exactly what I've asked
him to do. Maybe I haven't put him in a
good enough position to succeed. Maybe we as an organization
haven't provided him with the player here or the development there.
Maybe there are other adjustments that need to be made,
then just fire this guy. So maybe that's the case
at Texas, or maybe it is a personnel situation or

(59:10):
a staffing situation. At Texas. That is the hard part.
That's the tough part, because, like, really, if you think
about it, if you're Steve Sarkisian, you got like five
hundred changes you could make. How do you know which
changes are the proper combination of changes to make? And
how do you decide? How do you decide which of
them you can make during the season and which of

(59:31):
them have to wait until the end of the year.
I'm not asking you to feel sorry for him. He
gets paid a whole lot of money. So of course,
when you get paid a lot of money, no one
ever gets to feel sorry for you. You're not a
real human, you have no real emotion. You're just a robot.
But that's kind of a joke because I do understand
it's a big boy business. Like he's an adult. He
gets paid a lot of money. You got to produce
results or they'll find the next guy Texas or otherwise

(59:54):
they'll find the next guy. But yeah, what I thought
about the latest rant was I didn't think it was
a rant that accurately reflected his feelings towards his current
results as much as hoping to lobby for a backdoor
spot into the playoff. If they're able to take care
of business in these final two games. If you would like,

(01:00:17):
if you would like to contribute to something very worthwhile,
I want to remind you a couple of weeks ago,
we announced our partnership with the Magnolia Foundation. The Magnolia
Foundation was started by a buddy of ours named Matt.
He lives in nearby Cookville, Tennessee. There was a tornado
that came through here March third of twenty twenty. It

(01:00:38):
hit my building. I was in it. Matt's house took
a direct hit several miles to the east of here.
He lost his little girl in that tornado. There were
I think twenty three or twenty four fatalities during that tornado.
She was one of them. They realized the burden that

(01:00:58):
the expense of losing a loved one, especially a child,
can put on a family. They went through it, and
so shortly thereafter they started the Magnolia Foundation. The Magnolia
Foundation's purpose is to assist with people who have lost
children ages zero to eighteen, and it helps with funeral
expense and it helps with all kinds of expenses that

(01:01:21):
pop up afterwards, counseling, for example, commemorative care, those sorts
of things. That's where the Magnolia Foundation comes in. So
I've known Matt for a little while. We've talked about
how we can partner. We finally made it happen, so
you knew a couple of different things. You could go
to the Peate State Store right now because we've got
an entire Magnolia Foundation line of merchandise, So proceeds from

(01:01:43):
that fifty percent of those proceeds go to the Magnolia Foundation.
But you can also just go to the Magnolia Foundation's
website if you want to bypass the purchase of a hat. Now, look,
those hats look really good. Okay, those T shirts look
really good. I've got some in my apartment right now.
But if you're not interested in that and you just
want to contribute directly, you can go to the Magnolia
Foundation's website directly. Many of you have I have gotten

(01:02:06):
feedback that a lot of you have left comments over there.
Like I told you last week, one guy made a
sizable donation and then said, could you please tell him
to talk about Indiana on the show more. That was
the condition under which they made a contribution to the
Magnolia Foundation. Detroit Airport stepped up. Our friends at the

(01:02:28):
Detroit Airport stepped up. More information on that in the
near future. I mean really stepped up, really stepped up.
So I mean, if you're listening out there at Hartsfield,
at Shuttlesworth, at BNA, the Detroit Airport has stepped up
big time for the Magnolia Foundation. I just wanted to
be known there wasn't an airport in the South that

(01:02:49):
stepped up. It was Detroit that stepped up. We appreciate them.
All right, let's continue here. The JP Pole is released
for week thirty. Team the JP Poll many things, but rankings.
It is not. It is power ratings. It is spat
out by the model every week. As you can see,

(01:03:10):
these are not rankings, it's just neutral field favorability. And
time and time again, people push back on it, either
number one cause they don't understand what it is, or
number two cause they do understand what it is, but
they don't like it. For instance, as I'll show you
in just a second, Penn State is still in the
top twenty. And a couple of weeks ago, I told
you Penn State was still in the top twenty, and

(01:03:31):
you're like, no way, Hey, what's Penn State done since then?
So like everybody who tried to pick apart, Penn State
still being in this thing. Where'd they go? Where'd they go? Jesse?
I don't see him anymore. Jesse was one of them.
So that's what we're doing here. Now, let's start to
lay it out and then I'll walk you through some
of this. Missouri is number twenty right now. Penn State's nineteen.

(01:03:55):
So Penn State is still in this thing. Vandy's eighteen,
Brigham Young at seventeen, is sixteen. A couple of really
important notes here. Penn State is at nineteen. I don't
know who's gonna win the ACC Championship game, but it's
gonna be probably Georgia Tech or Virginia or someone like that.
I can guarantee you Penn State would be favored over

(01:04:16):
the ACC champion no matter who it is, on a
neutral field. Make of that what you will. I never
say that with anything more behind it. That doesn't mean
Penn State deserves to go to the playoff. It doesn't
mean anything other than what it means. This is just
a helpful tool, a helpful resource. A lot of you
find it interesting. If you don't, this is probably not

(01:04:37):
the segment for you move on, but Penn State would
be favored over the ACC champ. I don't care which
of those teams it is. Brigham Young at seventeen is
very noteworthy. This is the highest they've been all year.
They got a two and a quarter point bump from
their win last week. The win over TCU is the
most impressive thing Brigham Young has done all year. From

(01:04:58):
the model's perspective, they got a huge boost from that
and their top twenty. Now I was number sixteen, just
kind of holding steady. USC's number fifteen, Oklahoma's number fourteen.
Oklahoma is still gonna be well behind Alabama. They're gonna
be well behind Texas. They're gonna behind Tennessee. I'll talk
about that in a second. Miami is thirteen, Tennessee's twelve.

(01:05:21):
Texas is eleven. So if you look at Oklahoma being
behind Tennessee and you're like, we beat them on the road,
it's true. Which means you got to win on the
road and they can never take it away from you.
And Tennessee got a loss and they can never take
it away from them. This is not about that. It's
about neutral field favorability. And Tennessee would be favored against
Oklahoma on a newtral field that they play tomorrow. That's it,

(01:05:42):
that's all. That's all. Now you would be free to
bet Oklahoma. I may join you Texas at eleven. I
don't know what to tell you. Texas would be favored.
They also faced you on a neutral field and beat you.
So in that case we have an anecdotal result. It's
not anicdotal. It involves the two teams, but that at
least supports our theory here. But even if you've lost,

(01:06:04):
or even if you've beaten teams above, you not automatically
change what this would be. What else did I want
to point out there? Oh yeah, and Alabama's going to
be well ahead of them too. I don't really think
Oklahoma fans would argue Bama would be favored now. It
doesn't matter with the outcome because you beat them. So again,
I want to emphasize there's a big difference between who'd
be favored and who's won the games. Number ten is

(01:06:25):
Texas Tech. Number nine is Utah. Guys, I disagree with
it too. If Texas Tech played Utah on a neutral
field today, I'd pick Texas Tech. I'm just telling you
the model would slightly favor Utah, and I don't know.
I'm not sure what it's seeing. I'm just telling you
what it's saying. I'm not ever saying it's flawless. I've

(01:06:47):
never said that. I'm just giving you the information to
do with what you will. I also think FanDuel would
disagree with this. In fact, I know they would, which
just goes to show you this is not me taking
fan dual data and dressing it up as our own,
because I promise you Texas Tech would be favored against
Utah if they played, so clearly, that's not what we're

(01:07:08):
doing here. Ole miss is at number eight, almost dropped
a little bit after last week. Actually, Oregon is at seven,
Notre Dame is at six, Alabama has dropped to five A,
and m is at four. Yes, there's big movement here.
Indiana is three, Georgia has vaulted to number two in

(01:07:28):
the JP pole, and Ohio State is number one. So
a couple of fun nuggets here. Immunity. Ohio State right now,
according to the model, would be favored by nearly four
touchdowns against Virginia twenty six. I mentioned that because Virginia
could very well win the ACC Ohio State could win

(01:07:50):
the Big ten. Ohio State's favored to win it all.
Right now, that just goes to show you we can't
even say Power four champion anymore because there could be
a four touchdown between a couple of Power four champions.
These things are not all the same. Secondly, Georgia has skyrocketed.
They jumped two and a half points. Their raw power
rating jumped two and a half points. After the Texas game.

(01:08:13):
Georgia would now be a two point three point favorite
over an M and a two point eight point favorite
over Obama. Of course, you're not going to favorite a
team by two and three two point three, so the
model would have Georgia minus three against Alabama in Atlanta.
Georgia minus two and a half against A and M
in Atlanta is what that boils down to. And Indiana's

(01:08:33):
just still sitting there at number three. So that's where
we are right now. I will say this, through no
fault of Ohio States, there has been at least a
little bit of compacting at the top. Ohio State would
still be a solid favorite against everybody, but there has
been a little bit of compacting at the top. At
least FanDuel is the exclusive odds provider of the show.

(01:08:55):
There's a lot offered over there right now. Like, for example,
right before we came on air, I went over to
see if they had the rivalry week lines already up.
They do. Ohio State goes to Michigan next week. You
can bet it right now. Ohio State minus twelve and
a half Iron Bowl next week, you can bet it

(01:09:15):
right now. Anyone want to guess Bama at Auburn. Anyone
want to guess Alabama minus five and a half. Oh no,
oh no, oh yes, oh yes. You want to bet Heisman.
It's over there right now. You want to bet odds
to win the conference. They're over there right now. We
appreciate them. And you know what else is over there?

(01:09:37):
The Rama Noodle Express tab and I'm about to add
to it right now, and it brings me no joy
to inform you that I am adding food to the
Rama Noodle Express. We're already on Western Kentucky plus twenty
two and a half. We're already on kent State plus
seven and a half. Ladies and gentlemen, Rice is being
served on the Rama Noodle Express versus North Texas this week.

(01:10:00):
Add Rice plus eighteen and a half. Now we know
Rice is not going to win this game. North Texas
is not going to lose to Food, but we don't
think they're going to cover against Food either, So we
are gonna take Rice. Added with Kent State added with
Western Kentucky. That's the Raman Noodle Express.

Speaker 3 (01:10:17):
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Speaker 1 (01:11:01):
Now, look, if you watch the whole show tonight or
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If you didn't hear playoff reaction, playoff rankings reaction, it's
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they're about to reveal the rankings. I'm about to go
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(01:11:23):
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For director Bradley, producer Jesse, I'm Josh Pate. We will
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(01:12:05):
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Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visitfanduel dot
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slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org

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or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for
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