Week 3 Prediction Show + AP Poll Disaster & Best Bets

College Football week 3 predictions are here with a huge weekend of games. UGA vs Tennessee features Josh Heupel and the Vols trying to finally take down Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs. What will Florida vs LSU be like as Billy Napier fights to save his job against Brian Kelly and the Tigers? Texas A&M vs Notre Dame is a rematch of last year’s game that saw Marcus Freeman and the Irish get the win over Mike Elko’s team. We also take a close look at USF vs Miami. The week 3 edition of the JP Poll drops tonight with plenty of surprises. Where are Ohio State and Texas? Could Oklahlma be top 5? What about Tennessee and UGA? All that plus more best bets on the Ramen Noodle Express.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
I got a great idea for the apeople. Why don't
we burn it to the ground. That's a great idea.
Serious face, Is it too much to ask, friends out
there on this Tuesday night, September ninth, year of Old Lord,
twenty twenty five, jam packed high atop a sun soaked
downtown Nashville, Tennessee. Is it too much to ask that
people who cover this sport, who vote on things that

(00:36):
have to do with this sport, actually watch the sport.
And it turns out we have an answer to the question. Yes,
it is too much to ask. It is Tuesday night,
which normally means it's game prediction night, and we got
a ton of predictions because we have a really, really,
really big week ahead of us. But I have to
address nonsense as the future commissioner of this sport. No
one else is gonna do it. God knows the ap

(00:57):
He's not gonna do it, So I'll do it. I
have some things and some people, but mainly some things
that really have to be called to task tonight. I've
got a new JP pole. At the end of the show,
I've got what Tennessee, Georgia, Georgia, Tennessee say, the home
team last kids. We've got usf at Miami, which, unbeknownst

(01:17):
to some is a top fifteen matchup, not merely a
Top twenty or top twenty five matchup. We've got Florida
in total wounded animal slash wounded Gator mode going into LSU.
We've got Clemson going into Georgia Tech. That's a game
I circled in the spring. Everyone laughed at me, remember Bradley,
They laughed at us. They laughed at us. Clemson's favor

(01:39):
by three and a half at Georgia Tech ACC Game
of the year potential there Saturday and noon kickoff. Yeah,
we got a lot to get to and two added
best bets before we go off of this air tonight.
They're watching us in Salt Lake City, Utah. I'm just
telling you we're jam packed. We're jam packed, We're fired up.
It's not the night to be trifled with. They're watching

(02:00):
us in London, England. What time is it there after midnight? Well,
you stayed up for a good reason. We will deliver
for you immunity. They are watching us in Shreveport, Louisiana
and Beaumont, Texas. Hey, the social channels are exploding. Look
if you're not following, you're not really getting the full
experience at Josh pat CFB. Go find it Twitter, Instagram,

(02:22):
TikTok pres blowing up the TikTok channel. So yeah, go
follow all right, you asked for it, you got it,
and I'm starting to show with it tonight. Nice neat
stack of papers here, so many big games to talk about,
and we're going to get to them in just a second.
You know it. I know it now, the whole world
knows it. The AP pole is a disaster. No matter

(02:45):
how little you think of the people running college football,
you still think too highly of them. Now. The ap
poles especially been a joke this year. I'm not quite
sure why it stood out more to me, but we've
talked about it on the show already a couple of times,
and I think that's helped to shed a little more
light on just how ridiculous some of this stuff is.

(03:05):
And you may already be thinking to yourself, the AP pole,
that doesn't matter. It matters. It does matter, maybe not
in the ways you think it does, but it does matter.
We've got a systemic issue here, so let's call it out.
Let's talk about it. So the college football public since
there's been a whole lot more light shed on this
farce of a pole so far this season has taken

(03:27):
upon themselves to do sort of a college football public
ballot audit, and by that I mean they've started to
turn over some rocks and it's been ugly what they
found underneath. It just gonna shock you if you're just
a casual observer of this sport. But I am here
to tell you that there are a lot of people
with their hands on this sport who not only have

(03:49):
no clue about the sport, they don't really even care
about it all that much. As you gasp in disbelief,
I'm going to have Bradley tee up a little bit
of sound for you, So I'm gonna show you video
of a young lady by the name of Hailey Sawyer.
I'm gonna pause before we play the video, and I'm
gonna tell you this segment's not really even about her.

(04:09):
She's taken a beating online today with good reason cause
her poll's a joke. However, it's really not even on her.
I'm gonna play the video and just show you know
the context here. Florida lost to USF the other night
in this person's ballot. Florida then jumped too spots from
sixteen to fourteen, and USF remained unranked. Okay, obviously she

(04:33):
didn't watch the game and has no clue that USF
even won the game. That's no breaking news because honestly,
she's probably not even the only person who didn't know
that it happened. A lot of the people who have
AP votes are beat writers. They have a job to
do to cover a team, and so you know, it's
not out of the realm of possibility. They just kind
of mail their ballot in. If that were the case,

(04:56):
this would be one of a million and one examples
of that happening. But that's not the case, because then
what Haley did is she went public and she talked
about it, and what would have disappeared or probably never
even been seen to begin with, by ninety nine percent
of the sporting society is now front and center, and

(05:18):
it's been everywhere today without further ado, here's Haley Sawyer
roll at Bradley.

Speaker 2 (05:24):
But as far as what my votes are and what
my process is, you know, I wake up early in
the morning after covering a game late in the night before,
don't want to go too much into my progress or
process or logic, but I will say I appreciate everybody's
interaction on social media and all of your feedback. You know,

(05:45):
there's tons of people that vote on the AP pole
and like it's not a perfect system, but at the
end of the day, like no matter who you pick,
it does even out because there's so many people who vote,
and like I said, it's really fun for discussion it
as in, you know, probably matter in the end. But
I'm glad that people are having a really good time.

Speaker 1 (06:08):
Ladies and gentlemen the AP voting process. I see a
couple of people already taking shots at her for things
that we're not going to let you take shots at
anyone for in the live chat. So cool that a
lot of people are going to try to turn this
into a gender debate. Don't do that. There are plenty
of fools out there voting on this stuff who are
about as American, red blooded male as it gets, and

(06:28):
theirs are no better. It has nothing to do with that.
My visceral reaction when I saw that wasn't even about her.
She's a beat reporter, she covers usc. I've never met her.
I don't know anything about her. I assume she does
a great job. It's about the entire process. We've got
athletic directors on the playoff committee that have every bit

(06:49):
as little a clue about what's going on as she did.
At least she's got a job to do and she's
doing it. At least she's turning in a story late
at night about USC football. We got people who are
athletic directors that are deciding the playoff rankings that have
no possible way to watch these games, and to pretend
otherwise is asinine. And I look at pro sports out there,

(07:12):
and sometimes I wonder when they look at college athletics
and they look at some of the quote unquote problems
we have, how laughable it must be. This is totally avoidable,
as are many of the instances of anything from laughable
to corrupt in our sport. Most of it's avoidable. It's
just college football is gate kept by a bunch of clowns.

(07:34):
So I looked at that, I listened to that. I
probably initially thought the same thing as you did, but
I quickly moved past having any kind of anger or
any kind of resentment, or any kind of anything towards
Hailey Sawyer because she can only exercise a vote that's
given to her. I have looked for a long time
around press boxes, or around polls, or around Heisman voting,

(08:00):
and I've just been in disbelief at the people who
participate in it, because I know good and well most
of them don't care. At least, she admitted, it's not
that big deal. I don't really take it all that seriously.
We got a little situation here where too many people
with a voice in college football care less than the
people without a voice. It's just that it's being exposed

(08:24):
more now.

Speaker 3 (08:24):
It's been the.

Speaker 1 (08:24):
Case for a while. And I know you know I've
told this story before. Again, I want to make sure
you understand this extends well beyond her. Forget about her, okay,
push the one individual off to the side. It is
a systemic sort of issue. It's not a crisis. Okay.
The world's not going to burn down because of this.
I'm not suggesting it is, but it's more of a

(08:47):
symptom than the problem itself. The problem is college football
is gate kept by clowns. College football for a long
time has been run by people who could not care
less about the sport. College football sort of a play
toy for them. College football is sort of a mechanism
for them. In some cases, it's just so they can

(09:08):
feel authoritative about something and they couldn't get their hands
on a pro sport, so they had to settle for
fooling people into putting them in administrative positions that they
slithered their way up the ladder in in college athletics,
and then Louis Hale thirty years later. They get to
decide who votes on this and who votes on that,
and who decides this and who runs that committee.

Speaker 3 (09:27):
So they don't really take it seriously. They don't love it.
A lot of them don't love it at all.

Speaker 1 (09:32):
It's just kind of an on rep for some of
them to get where they want to go, which is
news or politics, and for others it's just they kind
of failed their way up and then they build a
model where that ends up happening. And for a long time,
you know, you had media obviously complicit in it, because
that's who participates in it. And only in the last

(09:54):
ten years have you ever even had the ability for
someone to shine a light on it, anybody who had
a platform big enough. Fifteen twenty years ago to shine
a light on it was part of it. That's kind
of low key. Why they hate shows like this. They
hate the platform. I hit podcasting, YouTube, they hate that. Boy.
They had a nice thing going for a long time

(10:16):
and only recently has it been called out. Well, Josh,
I mean, she's she's got to cover a USC game.
I know that she has no clue. She has no
clue that the us F Florida game even happened. Not
her fault. It's no more her fault than once upon
a time, I was with my mom when I was
a kid in the Peachtree Mall parking lot in Columbus, Georgia,

(10:39):
and this kid got into the driver's seat of his
mother's van while she wasn't looking, and actually put it
in drive. The car started moving, so there's a freak
out briefly, and then the parent, I can't remember if
it was a mom or a dad, but the parent
runs over and hits the e brake or you know,
puts it in park. And then guess what the parent did.

(11:00):
The parents started yelling at the kid. The little two
or three year old kid gets yelled at, and I remember,
even as a fellow kid, I looked at that situation
and thought, why is the kid in trouble? The parent's
the one dumb enough to leave the keys in the
car that's running with an unattended kid in the front seat.
So a lot of people looked at this today and said, oh,

(11:22):
Haley Sawyer take her vote away. Uh, well, guess what
you're gonna have If you take her vote away, you're
gonna have a whole bunch of other people who just
happen to not be exposed on this particular Tuesday, in
this particular week, who have every bit as big an issue,
who still have votes. And if you think that's a joke,

(11:42):
you ought to see the Heisman voter roll. So you
can either look at it and say, yeah, that's a
problem that should be addressed, or you could say, Oh,
it doesn't really matter, It doesn't really matter at all.
Well what does matter to you? Oh? The ap pole
doesn't matter, Josh? What matters to you? Well, of course,
the college football playoff rankings matter. Where do you think
they get their baseline opinion from? Where do you think

(12:05):
they get their starting point from? You don't think this
thing right here shapes their thinking. These people are just
as inept and just as unqualified or incapable of watching
college football in totality as the AP voters are. Do
you understand what makes up the College Football Playoff Committee?
By the way, it's a bunch of athletic directors. There's

(12:25):
one media representative, which credit to our friends at College
Football Nerds. I wasn't even fully aware of not only
that fact that that exists, but the egregiousness of who
that representative is year to year. Those people have no
more qualification to rank teams than most of the AP voters.
Do I kid you not. There're two thousand people watching

(12:47):
this show right now, in this live chat that are
more qualified than most AP voters and many people on
that playoff committee. It's just that college football has been
gate kept for a long time by people who had
enough authority to make sure that the entire system was
this big a joke. And I'm not quite sure absent
electing me commissioner, of course, I'm not quite sure how

(13:08):
it changes. But I will say the one thing that
people who are dumb enough to build this kind of
model have in common is they're not particularly talented, and
they also don't really love criticism, and they incur a
lot more criticism these days than they ever did before,
because a lot of the ineptitude is more visible these

(13:30):
days than it ever has been before. But I just
wanted to lead with it. Yes I saw it, and
yes it's pathetic. I just think it's bigger than one person.
That's all I will say this AP voter or not,
they'll welcome you at Quick Trip. We may not welcome
you on this show, depending on your ballot, but they'll

(13:50):
welcome you at Quick Trip. You can fuel up, you
can go in, you can get cold brew on tap.
It won't even be out of order for you. I
would argue it should be now. Maybe you need a
little coffee. Stay up a little later. Actually, look at
final scores before you turn on your ballot.

Speaker 3 (14:04):
No, it's a bridge too far.

Speaker 1 (14:06):
Nevertheless, cross the bridge. Look on the side of the road.
Quick Trips there, go in, fuel up, fill up. They
are fueling the whole tour this entire year. Fall don't
Live tour, he almost said, almost said, whole New Saturday tour.
We're headed to Knoxville, Tennessee this Saturday. We'll be on
the sideline for Georgia, Tennessee. We will be there with
bells on Now, any of you who are die hard

(14:27):
viewers slash listeners of the show know that when we
go to Knoxville, we have a special tradition on Saturday morning,
and I don't know, you'll have to be watching the
Instagram story to see it. At Josh pat CFB. You
have to be following there for Friday night lines anyway,
So I don't know why you wouldn't be there. But
it's a beautiful, beautiful thing. I don't care if you
love Tennessee or despise Tennessee. That particular tradition we have

(14:50):
on Saturday mornings when we're in.

Speaker 3 (14:51):
Knoxville tough to replicate.

Speaker 1 (14:59):
Speaking of that game, let's break it down as as
God intended us to do on Tuesday nights. Let's break
this down. Georgia, Tennessee, Saturday, three point thirty Eastern kickoff
right there in Kneeland Stadium on ABC. The market has
corrected on this one violent swing on the old odds board.

(15:22):
Here you see at the bottom of your screen if
you're watching it on YouTube, Georgia minus three and a half. Well,
they weren't a couple of days ago. There were seven
and a half point favorites when this thing first opened
and I got hammered down to three and a half.
I'll tell you what the model thinks on it in
a little while. I trust Georgia so much in spots
like these, that's earned trust, earned respect. They it's not

(15:43):
that they're invincible. Sure Tennessee can win this game. Sure
they can, but they've got to beat Georgia. Now that
sounds very very academic. Well, of course to win the game,
they have to beat them. No, No, this is college football.
A lot of times, especially when a team new quarterback
breaking in New pas they go on the road for
the first time, a lot of those outfits tend to

(16:03):
beat themselves. I just don't think george is one of those.
So if you're gonna beat them, you got your work
cut out for you. You will have to do absolutely
that you'll have to beat them. To me, the most
shocking outcome here would not be Georgia losing. Tennessee's a
good team. The most shocking outcome would be me watching
it and at the end of the day saying, you know,
Tennessee didn't really do anything all that special, kind of

(16:25):
like we talked about the Florida USF game the other day,
US f didn't do anything all that special. Florida just
oh Man kind of gave this game away. I doubt
we're saying that about Georgia as the sun goes down Saturday.
But it is a cannot versus havent situation.

Speaker 2 (16:41):
You know.

Speaker 3 (16:41):
We see this every now and then in college football,
when something hasn't happened.

Speaker 1 (16:44):
In a long time. In that case, for instance, paper
popper here, close your ears in Knoxville eight in a row.
That's the street Georgia has over Tennessee thirteen of the
last fifteen. So there's a lot of that that leads
people to think, well, hypel slash Tennessee cannot beat herby
smart slash Georgia. That's not true. They just have not.

(17:05):
We're what three years removed from turning the cannot beat
Alabama into a had not beaten Alabama. But now they've
beaten them two out of the last three years. Oh,
all it took was Sabin retiring.

Speaker 3 (17:19):
Wrong. Wrong.

Speaker 1 (17:21):
They did it to Sabin before he retired. Maybe they'll
clip Kirby here. Don't say or don't say cannot. It's
a have not situation. Tennessee. Though last year we went
to this game. Last year they thought two things, and
both of those things were wrong, and they need to
be more right about these couple of things this year.
The first thing they thought last year was they had
an edge at quarterback, even on the road. They thought,

(17:43):
Niko i Amaliava, this is what we recruited him here for.
This is what we invested in him for. Carson Becks
looked shaky this year. So far. Georgia was already a
two lost team by the time they played this game
last year, and so Tennessee, you know, they're coming off
the Bama win a couple of weeks later, they're going
down there and this is the moment where we're going
to take them down. And we got two edges or
so we think quarterback's going to be an edge for us,

(18:04):
and we got the better run game, and neither one
of those really played out. Beck thoroughly outplayed Niko Yamaliava.
A padlock stat from this game last year. Georgia was
eleven to one edge on passes of fifteen plus yards.
They had the explosive pass in their back pocket. Tennessee
did not. The run games were pretty even, but remember
Tennessee got up to a ten to zero lead in

(18:26):
this game and Georgia just boat racism thirty one to
seven the rest of the way. So Carson Beck went
off in that game. Is that what Georgia needs this year?
What kind of game? What kind of profile does this
game have this year? How do you cut the head
off the snake which Tennessee has been unable to do?

(18:46):
The way you cut the head off the snake, which
is what you have to do to take Georgia down,
is you got to match physicality. Now, to their credit,
I thought this was maybe one of, if not the
hardest hitting games we saw last year. Tennessee does not
ruggle to match physicality. They are an extremely physical team.
You got to be able to run the ball effectively.
That's what Tennessee does best and has for a long

(19:08):
time under Josh Hypel. You can always pick the ones
who do versus don't watch Tennessee games out about how
they describe Hypel's offense. Kirby talked about this earlier this week.
It's been a running theme on this show. If you
want to spot the ones who do watch the games
versus claim to watch the games, ask them to describe
Josh Iipel's offense. Cause the ones who talk about it

(19:30):
like it's air raid, pinball, basketball on grass. They're posing
they don't watch the games. This is a run based offense.
They rush it for twenty five hundred plus every year.
This game last year they ran it okay, no one
feared that they could throw it over the top. So
if you tell Kirby Smart, hey, we want to run

(19:50):
the ball, but also we can't stretch the field on
you vertically, it's a losing proposition. Don't really care whose
personnel is. Personnel is going to be good enough. So
you got to be able to run the ball effectively.
You've got to be able to limit their run. And
I think there's a lot that it mains to be
seen about the Georgia run game. They've looked markedly improved
from last year, but this is a much bigger stage.
They haven't played quality competition either. For as much as

(20:13):
people are saying that about Tennessee same with Georgia. And
you've got a dare Gun or Stockton to beat you,
and you got to trust Joey Aguilar to beat them.
If that sounds scary, it's cause it is. There are
no sure things here. You got to take some chances
Georgia still has a roster advantage on you. Not a
gigantic one, but they do. So you gotta find little

(20:35):
edges here and there where you can, and one of
them is, to my surprise, Joey Agilart has looked like
he's been playing in this system for a while so
far this year. It's just that the competition level ramps up,
the pressure level ramps up so significantly this week that
maybe he's just got it and if he's that guy
at Tennessee may win this game. If you know, that's

(20:55):
why we play the games. I just keep listening to
people talking about how bad George has looked offensively, Oh Josh,
have you seen how poorly they have looked? And it's
everything that they're saying about George's offense has one thing
in common. It's all past tense. I don't really care
what they have looked like. I care what they will
look like. And I have this sneaking suspicion, you know,

(21:17):
because I've watched this guy coach for like a decade
almost now has it been a decade? Almost a decade? Anyway,
Kirby Jeremetriuz smart does not normally run inefficient offenses out there. Now.
They may not throw for five point fifty, but they
don't really care to throw for five point fifty. What
they care to do is be balanced. Last year tight

(21:38):
ends put Tennessee in a blender. Mike Bobo, look, I
know this is a headline that they don't like here
in Athens had a really really good game against tim
Banks last year, and they find ways to win, and
they tailor their treatment to get offensive lineman back for
this game, and they go and get wide receivers out
of the portal, knowing full well, we're really not gonna

(22:00):
unleash whatever we do with those guys until we can
match Branch up against the star position on Tennessee's defense. Like,
I don't care. I could not care less what a
two hour ign delay and complete lethargic nature against Austin
p means for this game.

Speaker 3 (22:16):
It means nothing for this game.

Speaker 1 (22:19):
So Joey Aglar versus Kirby Smart's defense now he's at home.
But it makes me think about last week. It makes
me think about listening to Bryce Underwood and the hype
around him and seeing him go against Brent Venables and
he was rendered pretty helpless. Now in that case, it
was because he didn't have guys to throw to. Gunner

(22:40):
Stockton has guys to throw too. Can he pull the trigger?
Can he be effective? I mean, one thing that's a
hallmark that you hear people say anytime they're talking about
him is ball control of ball security, makes good decisions.

Speaker 3 (22:53):
That's all you gotta do.

Speaker 1 (22:54):
That's all you gotta do.

Speaker 3 (22:55):
It's Georgia.

Speaker 1 (22:56):
They've surrounded you with plenty good enough players. Even to
go on the road and win games like this. Tennessee
has not consistently stretched the field. They have not consistently
hit big plays through the air. This is a several
year problem for them now, and they just flat out
have to do it all the rest of the stuff. Notwithstanding,

(23:17):
they just got to at least make Georgia concerned that, hey,
this kid could pop us over the top if we're
not careful here. You know why, we know because he
did it in the first quarter. That would be a
game changer here. Otherwise the field gets compressed and it's nothing.
It's outside the opening script which you hit him with
last year, you're just shut down. That's how it happened

(23:37):
last year, That's how it will happen again. If they
can't stretch the field. So what I also wonder is
how much pressure Tennessee is able to get without blitzing,
because there is a world where Georgia's offensive line is
not fully gelled here, and they it looks like we'll
get some guys back on that right side, which couldn't
come soon enough. But I don't know what to expect

(23:58):
from that offensive line. I know Oklahoma last week was
put to the test and they passed that test. So
maybe Georgia goes on the road here and maybe the
statement of the game is the pressure or lack thereof,
that Gunner Stockton was put under. And you've got to
understand something. If you've got a superstar quarterback, there's a
tendency psychologically for a team to go in a game thinking,

(24:22):
like cam Ward with Miami last year, well, you know,
even if all else fields, he'll bail us out. No
one's thinking that about Gunner Stockton. So there is a
keen awareness in that offensive line room that this game
kind of rests on our shoulders, and that's pretty common
at Georgia, but there's something that there's something that that
does to you, especially when you're going on the road.

(24:44):
First game in conference play. Look, those guys have a
challenge on their hands, but it wouldn't be the most
shocking thing in the world of Georgia wins this, and
it's because that offensive line really really performed above general expectation.
Maybe the ground game did as well, but if it's
if it's Georgia just running the ball, it's academic. So

(25:05):
that goes without saying. But they went loaded up the
wide receiver room, and I wonder do they.

Speaker 3 (25:12):
Need those guys in this game?

Speaker 1 (25:14):
And if they do, you know, is this the time
where we see a couple of those guys break out,
Because there's really good versatility and depth in that room.
But overall, it's just I'm waiting for Tennessee to finally
make it happen in this matchup. And the mentality I
have is while I'll sit there and say stop saying
they can't, stop saying they can't, it's also fair to

(25:34):
say I'm gonna make Georgia prove me wrong by losing
instead of prove me wrong by winning. So here's what
FanDuel thinks about the game right now. George is favored
by three and a half. Our model pretty much agrees
Georgia minus about three. I think three in one tenths
of a point. Yeah, I'm riding with Kirby Smart and
Georgia and I'm just gonna make Tennessee prove me wrong.

(25:57):
And they have. They did against BAM a few years ago,
so it's not out of the realm of possibility. I
think there is vulnerability. I think there's a lot of
unknown for Georgia. That's why I go back to what
that G means to me, independent of the individual personnel groupings.
That G to me means it's a consistent outfit and
when they go on the road, they can handle business.

(26:18):
And if you beat them, you got to do just that.
You gotta beat them. They're not going to hand you
a game, and they're gonna have better athletes than you,
and you gotta beat them as they don't hand you
the game.

Speaker 3 (26:29):
Now, I could be wrong fence writing, according to.

Speaker 1 (26:32):
Some but if I am wrong, I'm gonna make Tennessee
prove me wrong by pulling the mild up set. There
they're watching us in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Lehih Acres, Florida, spoke
Cane Washington. Thank you guys so much. A lot of
you are in.

Speaker 3 (26:46):
The live chat. Thank you as well.

Speaker 1 (26:49):
Most consumed college football show in the entire galaxy. They
tell me, so, do me a favor and subscribe to
the channel. Just be nice, just be a friend of
the program so we don't have to have an evil
executive come to us one day, which can't happen because
we are our own boss after all. But we never
want anyone to say, hey, hey, here's forty trillion dollars.

(27:09):
You want to put the show behind a paywall. No,
we don't need to, because we got everything we need
right here we already do. Really, I appreciate it. Sometimes
I just joke about that. What a big game I
have in my hand right now? No immunity there. Texas
A and M at Notre Dame Saturday, seven thirty kickoff,
Eastern time, NBC. Let me set the scene for you

(27:31):
right quick. If Notre Dame loses this, they start zero
to two crisis freak out. There's some talk on the
college football streets, by the way, that if Notre Dame's
ten and two and the rest of their schedule doesn't
do them any favors in terms of quality wins, there's
some scenarios where Notre Dame at ten and two is
left out of the playoff. I don't believe that. I'm

(27:53):
just here to echo what I'm hearing on the streets.
So that's the Notre Dame side of things. The A
and M side, to me is even more curious. Texas
A and M believes that they have built an identity
and built a roster that can do what Notre Dame
wants to do better than Notre Dame camp. And that's
what I love. That's what I love, because I was

(28:13):
circling this game in the preseason, saying, the hold on
a second, that tailback stable at Notre name something fierce,
and that offensive line more than proved itself to me
last year. But yet I've also got two or three
of them that can tote it for Texas A and M.
And that offensive line should be good as well. And
if I know anything about the identity Mike Elko wants

(28:33):
to have, he doesn't never want to finish number two
in the physicality contest nationally. Oh wow, they play each
other early in the season. Signed me up Texas A
and M. Paper popper of a stat here no road
wins versus ranked teams since twenty fourteen little misleading because

(28:54):
it is ranked at the end of the year, which
you know, if you go and beat a team, it
serves to be mentioned that they're less likely to be
ranked at the end of the year.

Speaker 3 (29:03):
But I digress.

Speaker 1 (29:04):
It's been tough, been tough to get traction for Texas
A and M on the road.

Speaker 3 (29:09):
This is a rested Notre Dame team. Yes, they already
had a buy.

Speaker 1 (29:13):
Wounded animal mode, wounded irish mode. So let's dive in
here because this right here is where we find out
about Texas A and M. But not on offense defense,
because defense let him down down the stretch last year.
Defense was what Mike Elko looked at and focused his
rage on and put both hands around the throat of
figuratively and said, I'm taking control here. We will not

(29:36):
lose for the same reasons two years in a row.
So this is where they show you, because Miami did.
Miami showed you. Miami defensively showed up against Notre Dame.
Words don't get stops. Players do as me mal would say.
So A and M's got good players, Do they have
good enough players against a desperate Notre Dame at home

(29:57):
to maybe knock them off their rhythm, maybe make Notre
Dame do something other than what they want to do.
Sort of dictate terms if you will. Twenty eight carries
for ninety three yards. That's what Notre Dame had against Miami,
and everyone looked and said, why didn't we run the
ball better? Could just been ruben Bain Mesador ruben Bain,
Like they got really really really good guys, versatile guys,

(30:19):
three down guys in their defensive front. Maybe you won't
face a group like that again the rest of the year.
I guarantee you Notre Dame's banking on that number being
a lot higher than that. So that's part one of
what I can't wait to find out. The other one
is I'm gonna go right back to this theme, all right.
Bryce Underwood against Brent and Venables last week, we saw
that we saw a young quarterback sort of get put

(30:40):
in a pressure spot right out of the gate. Didn't
go well for Underwood. We're gonna see Joey Aguilar against
Kirby Smart and Georgia this week and that'll sort of
be his introduction to big boy college football. All due
respect to app State, CJ. Carr got his out of
the way already. CJ. Carr I thought played very admirable.
I thought he validated Marcus Freeman's decision to make him

(31:03):
QB one, even though they lost against Miami. I thought
he played very well. They showed some trust in him.
I think he showed that he's got a lot more
dynamic ability, frankly than Riley Leonard showed him that he
had last year. Marcel Reid's going to have to respond
in this game as a result. Like as much as
people will talk about the ground games, it's going to

(31:25):
come down to a quarterback winning the game. And you know,
I was doing techags this morning and David Nunho said, hey,
why did't Marcel Reid get more attention nationally? Well, he
hasn't done anything to earn it yet. I think it
was my answer there. And I don't mean that as
a shot at him. I mean there was nothing Marcel

(31:46):
Reid was going to do against the first two opponents
they played to change anyone's mind on him. I don't
know if he's changed any Texas A and m fans
mind on him. This is where you change people's minds.
This is where you go in there and you steal
the show. This is a Colin klein game man. Colin
Kleines the offensive coordinator there at Texas A and M.
And you know, I think they believe that vertical pass threat.

(32:09):
I really gathered in spring. They believed in these big
games that those plays were gonna be there for them.
And it doesn't matter if they're only there once or twice.
Number one, if you complete them, that's a big deal.
Number two, even if it looks like you could have
completed them. And I mean, think about how differently that
makes someone defend you. There is one thing that could
be a gigantic X factor here. The Miami pass rush

(32:33):
got after Notre Dame. And I'm sitting there watching it
and thinking that feels unfair. Like there's some NFL offensive
lines that if they had to go up against these
dudes on the Miami front, would have a tough time.

Speaker 3 (32:45):
So it seems a little unfair.

Speaker 1 (32:47):
So I'm willing to not give a pass, but I'm
willing to.

Speaker 3 (32:51):
Take it into proper consideration.

Speaker 1 (32:53):
Okay, you go back home. Your own one fought hard,
but Reuben Bain took the game over in the fourth quarter.
These things happen. Well, what if Cassius Howell does it
to you this week? What if for a second straight
week that pressure rates off the charts. What if CJ.
Carr is forced into bad looks, bad decisions, a couple

(33:15):
more turnovers, lost the turnover battle against Miami. What if
that happens again? And what if the number one talking
point about that team last year, which was the offensive
line for Notre Dame, ends up being low key of
vulnerability the first two weeks. I don't think it'll ever
be a weakness relative to the whole country, but Notre
Dame is not gonna have a weak offensive line. It
just so happens, or it could happen that they faced

(33:38):
two really really bad matchups the first two games of
their season. If that happens, you can start ohing two
very well, could start O in two. So let me
show you what the model thinks about this game. Vanduel
right now has got this Notre Dame minus six and
a half model just a little bit lower than that
model's got Notre Dame minus five. There's something about desperation

(34:00):
mode and really really good staffs with time to prepare
at home field advantage that makes it tough to go
against them. But I do think this is going to
be a dogfight. I do think points are going to
be at a premium. May lean the under on this
when it's sitting in forty nine and a half. I'm
not betting the under, at least not right now, but
I will take Texas A and M plus the points. However,
I will take Notre Dame to win. I think it'll

(34:21):
be a one possession kind of game, so I will
take Notre Dame to win. There is not a dime
of my money that will be bet on a side
in that game. The odds to win the national title
right there. Notre Dame's in at Texas A and M
would shoot up that thing if they were to win
this game. You can go to Academy Sports and Outdoors
before a lot of you are headed up there. I
know a lot of you Texas A and M fans

(34:43):
have circled this one for a while and you're going
to make your pilgrimage up there to South Bend, and
I highly recommend it. This is the best to me.
This is the best time of year to go to
Notre Dame's campus. They would say. Later in the year
when it's cold weather sucks, So go up there when
it is late summer ride on the precipice of fall.
You can feel it, you can taste it in the air.

(35:05):
And Texas A and M's Academy country. So you stop
by academy before you head up there, and you should
just litter the Notre Dame campus not with garbage. You
litter it with academy wagons and tents and chairs enough
to where some of our friends up in South Bend go.
Maybe we need one of those here, Maybe we need
five of those here. Maybe I ought to go to

(35:26):
academy dot com if I can't get there in person.
Right now, we appreciate Academy. They don't make tailgating possible.
Tailgating has been around since the cavemen. No, it makes
tailgating better, or camping and hunting and fishing and any
outdoor recreational activities, but tailgating amongst those. Let's continue. We

(35:49):
got more games to break down. Who boy, I thought
we were gonna be at this game last week, then
things happened. Florida plays LSU this Saturday, seven thirty kickoff
Death Valley at night. You know the thing, seven thirty
Eastern time on ABC. Florida fans are furious for obvious reasons.

(36:09):
LSU fans are generally unhappy right now for less than
obvious reasons, because most of you did not watch the
Louisiana Tech game last week. That would be where they
were favored by thirty seven and a half and scored
twenty three. Offense looked like it wanted to be anywhere
other than Tiger Stadium. So here we go, Oh right,
Florida LSU Part nine hundred. College football is not world

(36:33):
wrestling entertainment. There is a general line of thinking out
there that is much akin to watching a wrestling match,
and that is all right, Well, so and so got
the upper hand. Here comes the comeback feed, the comeback feed,
the comeback. And it's the same way with Florida. Right now,
there's a solid portion of the college football public that thinks, well,

(36:53):
Florida got beat last week, so this is where they'll
bounce back. How do you know? How do you know
they're not just dead? Did you think Florida State was
gonna bounce back last year when they got beat by
Georgia Tech? Then what happened? They were dead? How do
you know Florida is not dead? I don't think they are,
But I don't know that. You don't know that LS

(37:14):
you could win this game by thirty Saturday, LS, you
could also lose the game outright. That's why we're breaking
it down. This is another Blake Baker game. Defensive coordinator
at LSU, this is a Blake Baker game. I would
say that DJ Lagway in that offense looked pretty pedestrian
against USF last week. Logic says, I should expect an
inspired effort here. But see, here's what my eyes tell me.

(37:37):
The depth, versatility, and talent profile and pressure packages that
this LSU defense is gonna throw at me if I'm
Florida are a different league, respectfully than what I saw
from USF last week. Oh, by the way, I've got
two jet engines in each ear. That's called LSU at
night that I have to deal with, and I haven't

(37:59):
dealt with that so far this year. It's this whole
operation has been wobbly at home. Now I got to
take it on the road. That ought to be fun.
It's a Blake Baker game now. On the other hand,
there's a Florida sort of production versus potential paradigm that
I'm fascinated about in this game. It sounds a little
something like this. So sometimes you expect things about a

(38:20):
team with Florida. I'll tell you what I expected. I
expected that DJ Lagway had takeover potential, he could take
over a game. I expected their offensive line could do
the same, that their ground game could do the same.
I looked at this specific matchup in the preseason and said,
Florida's defensive line should have a decided advantage against that
LSU offensive line. And you know what, I've seen absolutely

(38:43):
nothing so far that shows that should be the case.
So the production piece is not there, But the potential
piece was I just wrong? Many many are suggesting, yes,
I just over hyped Florida. Maybe you're right, but there
is another possibility that, for my sake better be correct.

(39:05):
And that other possibility is no. The potential is there,
it's just unrealized so far, unrealized potential.

Speaker 3 (39:13):
Well, if that's the case.

Speaker 1 (39:16):
And I don't want to do anyone's job for him.
But if that's the case, and play caller Billy Napier
is watching this show, I'd suggest turning that potential into
production in this game, because if you don't, you may
not have much more rope left, may not have many
more opportunities to do that on the other side. On
the flip side, I'll ask the same question about LSU

(39:39):
in this game. I asked about the Clemson game. What
will LSU ask Garrett Nussmeyer to do? Because what they
asked him to do in the Clemson game was very fair.
What they asked him to do in many games last
year was not what they asked him to do last year.
For instance, in this game here was throw the ball
forty eight times. Do you know that LSU ran forty

(40:01):
nine more plays than Florida in this game last year
and still got beat by eleven. How's that even possible?
How is it even possible? Explosive plays, that's how it's possible. So,
if you find yourself in a situation where Florida stones
you up front, you can't run the ball. It's third
and eight all night, and you're asking us to throw
the ball a whole lot. I'm not saying you can't win.

(40:22):
Maybe you will. I trust him, It's just I don't
think that's the best spot that he needs to be
put in, nor should he be put in that spot.
Just make some plays. You know, if defense holds Florida
to twenty or less. First off, there's not this pressure
to trade points. If LSU just does what they did
against Clumson, well forget that. If they can just do

(40:45):
against Florida what USF did four point four, four point
five yards per carry, plenty good enough, plenty good enough.
I mean, it's not an insanely high bar to clear,
so that'd be plenty good enough. At that point, you
just asked us, my don't lose this game. We'll take
our shots, but mainly, we just need you to get
us in the right looks, need you to not turn
the ball over, make some plays, and we'll get out

(41:07):
of here with a win.

Speaker 3 (41:08):
That's how that should go. Will it go that way?

Speaker 1 (41:11):
The vibe coming out of LSU is just way better.
I don't even mean, oh, LSU's won every game they've
played so far, Florida's one and one. I just mean,
like Brian Kelly won a game last week and threw
his entire staff under the bus, and then I listened
to the other side and Florida lost a game, and
it's like, we're not changing anything. Nope, Nope, We've got
a process here, We're gonna stick to it. I don't

(41:34):
look Billy Napier does not owe the public an explanation
what kind of he does, because that's who you're accountable
to ultimately. But it it's highly unlikely that they're really
not changing anything internally. It just may be that he
didn't feel the need to share that at a podium
at a press conference. But man, the vibe coming off LSU.

(41:54):
I love. I love that. It doesn't guarantee a win,
but I do love it because it shows the sense
of earth urgency that frankly, they haven't always started the
season with. It shows Brian Kelly feels pressure. Pressure's not
a terrible thing. It's not a bad thing at all,
and he's coached for a million years, so he gets it.
I just look, I think they got to They probably

(42:14):
have a staff advantage here as well, so Florida's got
an uphill battle. Let's take a look what the model thinks.
Fan Duels got LSU minus eight and a half right now.
I gotta be honest with you. Before I pulled the
thing up, I thought we were gonna lean solidly Florida.
We really don't. We've got LSU minus seven and a half,
so I do think we'll get as inspired an effort

(42:35):
as we can get out of Florida. I do think
that it's just you couldn't afford early losses because this
is the kind of game you're not supposed to win.
So you got yourself in a position now where you
burned up all of your equity, you burned up all
your insurance or wiggle room, and now you're trying to
win games as more than a touchdown dog on the
road in the SEC at night, and you've shown no

(42:55):
offensive consistency whatsoever. Good luck with that. I will take
you to cover anything over a touchdown. I will take
Florida and the points. But unless you will find a
way to win this game, I think. But if just
on the off chance that Florida wins that game, it
does re illustrate the theory that I'm buying into. No

(43:15):
matter the outcome of that game, and that is the
SEC is about to be a bloodbath. Nobody's escaping undefeated.
I don't think anyone's escaping with one loss. It's gonna
be bad. Well for the team, it's gonna be great
for you and I because all we have to do
sit here and watch it. You know. Paintstatematerial dot Com
has new Ramen Noodle Express gear. We keep adding because

(43:38):
that's what you keep purchasing. And so we've got new
designs even above and beyond this coming. And we've also
got the Fauldn't Lie Tour, several versions of that t shirt,
got all kinds of stuff. Someone asked us for koozies
the other day. Boom had him in there by five
pm by close of business. Paintstatematerial dot com makes great
birthday gifts. It's not close to Christmas yet, but it's

(44:01):
never too early to do Christmas shopping. And we're we're
updating that thing like every week. Good work being done
over there. Let's continue. What a game? What a network?
You know what? Everything about this makes no sense. Everything
about what I'm about to say makes no sense. Okay,
try this one on for size. South Florida is facing
Miami Saturday at three point thirty. It is a ranked

(44:22):
matchup that will air on the CW. Yes, all of
that is somehow accurate. Great news though, according to the
ap USF you win this game, you may crack the
top fifteen. Great news. It's opportunity. That's what this country
is all about. Opportunity. Now you may have to beat

(44:43):
three ranked teams to crack the top fifteen, depending on
your logo, but opportunity. Nonetheless, consider consider just for a
second the dynamic here. All Right, Miami knows that they've
got Florida coming up, and ay got they got some
tough games.

Speaker 3 (45:01):
They go to Florida State in a few weeks.

Speaker 1 (45:02):
And the way this game did profile at the beginning
of the year is Alec Gotlis Golish could sneak in
there and if Miami's not careful, we'll just erase all
of that. Everybody's attention is on this game. This is
the biggest thing to happen to the CW since Football
Nightly down South aired on it ten years ago. And
there may be like thirteen people in the.

Speaker 3 (45:22):
World who watched that show.

Speaker 1 (45:24):
But little known fact, I got my start doing a
late night local college football show in Columbus, Georgia on
the Cwjabama. I don't even know if it exists anymore.
So Hoops amongst Us thought that one day the butterfly
effect of that show airing in one market could lead
to a Top twenty matchup for the world to see.

(45:46):
How would it happen? The line on the game seventeen
and a half, but it was last week as well,
So how would this happen. If it did happen, well,
I think USF would have to tilt the red zone
heavily in their favor anytime they got down there, it
needs to be seven. And if Miami gets down there,
which they're going to threes at most, somehow, some way,

(46:09):
you just gotta Todd Orlando's got his guy's got to
come through in the red zone. That's the first thing.
The second thing is that Miami secondaries looked good, but
it hasn't been tested nine times yet, so maybe there's
a leak or two to be found in that Miami secondary.
Maybe it's not quite the impenetrable unit that they want
it to be at this point in the season. Maybe possibly,

(46:31):
maybe you find a staff mismatch, you know, maybe you
force them into some uncomfortable positions. I'm just trying to
think it out loud here. Here's why this is really tough.
You got everyone's attention. The great news is you won
last week. The bad news is you won last week,
and so you got everyone's attention. This is the best
team that you've played so far. By my estimation, obviously

(46:52):
it's a Doe down spot for USF. Just purely betting
terminology here for a second. But you find if you
bet this stuff over a long period of time. The
commonalty in college football is teams rarely play up three
weeks in a row. And USF beat Boise convincingly in
week one. They go into the swamp and win. Last week,

(47:14):
it's the biggest, maybe one of the biggest wins in
the history of that program. Now you're gonna go play Miami,
you gotta be up a third straight week. Normally it
doesn't happen. Even for the great teams programs, it doesn't happen.
So you got that. And also, Carson Beck knows how
to take what you give him. DJ Lagway last week
we made the illustration on the show. It felt like
Florida kept trying to hit home runs all night when

(47:35):
all they needed was a single. Carson Beck will single
you to death. He'll go three to four hole on
the right side. Got no problem with it. Now he
can pop you over the top if you give it
to him. But they don't care. They'll go on thirteen
play drives all night and be fine with it. Miami's
got takeover potential on both sides of the line of
scrimmage in this game. On the other hand, Alex Golish

(47:55):
has shown the propensity to ugly these games up. And
what they're trying to do is just get it to
the fourth quarter. If they can get it to the
fourth quarter and they got a puncher's chance, they'll take
their chances. So will they get it there. Let's take
a look at what the model thinks about this game.
You see on the bottom of the screen right now,
FanDuel's got Miami minus seventeen and a half. The model

(48:17):
thinks Miami minus fourteen and a half. I disagree with
the model. I don't think this is a good spot
at all for USF. I fully credit them for making
this game matter to the degree it does. Four to
thirty kickoff, by the way, not three thirty, my bad.
I'm gonna take Miami to win and cover. I think
it's like a twenty point win that kind of game
from Miami. So it's not. By the way, If USF

(48:41):
loses this game and anyone in their right mind looks
and says, see told you they shouldn't have been ranked
that high last week, you are muted maybe even blocked
from the channel has nothing to do with it. Let's
move on. I hold in my hands the JP pole
yep not saying it yep o O week three edition here Now,

(49:02):
unlike the AP, unlike the Commissioner's Pole, which I will
release Thursday, these are not rankings, and since I have
unveiled the Commissioner's Pole, I'm not really listening to any
slander about the JP pole. See that these are not rankings.
If you're listening on podcasts, you miss this helpful tutorial
graphic on the monitor behind us. We install these monitors
just to do that. These are not rankings. These are

(49:23):
power ratings. The model right here is telling us who
it would favor versus who or whom's on a neutral field.
I do need to inform you before we get into this.
There is a ten point gap right now between the
number one team and the number sixteen team.

Speaker 3 (49:38):
It's pretty compressed at the top.

Speaker 1 (49:40):
There is then a ten point gap between number sixteen
and number forty five, So there's about a twenty point
gap between number one and number forty five. I say
that to say again, expect total and outright carnage in
college football for the rest of the year because there's
just not a lot of separation. I've never seen it
like this. The SEC in particular, is just going to

(50:02):
be a bloodbath. You need to get ready for it.
No one's dead until they're absolutely mathematically dead, and I
don't know that anyone's really alive either. So I'm gonna
pull him in random order like we did last week
Tennessee since we're gonna see him in person Saturday. Turns
out Tennessee is the number fourteen team in the JP poll. Missouri, though,
is number nineteen. They are up nine spots since Week one,

(50:26):
and I guys, I gotta be honest, I think JP
pole may be a little low on Missouri. Still, we
have answered the quarterback question. I mean that dude's playing
with the maxi of the next five guys combined, bo
Perbula getting his shot, playing for the right guy, playing
in the right system, not having to do it all
them stuff. We do have a new number one team
this week. The Ohio State Buck guys are number one

(50:48):
in the country. Let's just pause, and you may think
to yourself, Ryan Day and that organization. They're competing for
Big ten championships. They want to beat the team up north.
They want to win national titles. No, really, you want
to be number one in the JP Pole, and anything
downstream of that is just a nice bonus. In fact,

(51:08):
I wouldn't be shocked if Ryan Day had this kind
of incentive baked into his contract. Weeks spent at number
one in the JP Pole. Hey, half of these guys
have AP pole incentives baked in, and that makes way
less sense than the JP pole. I mean, at least
I can explain mine who would have next. Notre Dame's
number six makes sense. Indiana has cracked the top twenty

(51:31):
ladies and gentlemen. Indiana is up one point five points
in their raw rating. They are number twenty now. Florida
State is number seventeen. Florida State is up six points
since Week one, so they go into week one. They
beat Bama. They just annihilated a directional school from Texas

(51:51):
last week. We have bumped them up six points, almost
a touchdown. That is a massive bump up, especially when
I tell you there's only a ten point gap between
number one and number sixteen. You can see how big
a six point bump means in your power rating. Texas
is down four spots. They are number four, and it's
not really a huge drop, but they were number one

(52:13):
last week, and we all know how much the model
loves Texas. The model I think that it's an actual
tier rolling down the computer screen as it had to
bump Texas down. I'm sorry, little buddy. IM sorry. Don't worry.
They got a shot to make it up to you.
LS use number ten USC biggest detachment team JP pole

(52:36):
versus pretty much everyone else USC. We have number eleven
huge detachment. Now you want to put this exercise to
the test, Okay, I have it on good authority. In
a few weeks, USC is going to Illinois. I can't
remember exactly where they are, but I think Illinois is
solidly in the top fifteen in the AP pole. The

(52:58):
Commissioner's pole will probably have Illinois top fifteen again this week.
US he is not even ranked in the AP pole.
I think USC may be favored when they go there.
The model would favor USC against Illinois on the road.
Right now, points spreads don't mean anything. No one needs
to remind me of that. I understand you need to
understand the entire purpose of this particular exercise is to

(53:21):
project that. So let's see let's see what that what
that old spread looks like. We got Georgia at number three,
So we got number three going on the road to
number fourteen in the JP Pole. This week, we got
a new number two team. That's Oregon, Oregon, Sarah McLaughlin's
special and new holder of the number two spot in
the JP Pole. It's a great week for Dan Lanning,

(53:43):
Penn State's number five, I believe. Yeah, so Clemson's number fifteen,
and I question whether we're too high on them now,
Dabo could shut everyone up, including me and the JP Pole. Really,
it's more than more than me. It's the JP.

Speaker 3 (53:57):
It's the model.

Speaker 1 (53:57):
I'm just speaking for the model. They just go and
handle business emphatically this weekend, Like, yeah, that would quell
a lot of concerns. But I look at it, and
when I fill out the rest of this thing, you'll
be able to see what I mean by like, I'm
already looking at three teams right now, Clemson versus Florida State,
neutral field. Who would I take right now? I take
Florida State, So I think the model's too high on Clemson.

(54:20):
I take Missouri over Clemson right now, so I think
the model is too high on Clemson by about five
or six spots, so a point or two in other words,
But we'll see Miami's number seven. Ole miss is up
four spots, they're number thirteen. Let's see Bama's at nine.
So I mean, there's nothing that I can do to

(54:42):
explain to the people who have a problem with Bama
being top ten that can further hammer home what this
is and the difference between this and a ranking in
an odds maker's format, in a power rating format, Bama's
not fallen out of the top twenty.

Speaker 3 (54:59):
They're just with that roster.

Speaker 1 (55:00):
They're not because we're talking about how you set a
line on a game, not merit based stuff that we
would do in the Commissioner's poll.

Speaker 3 (55:08):
Auburn's number eighteen. Utah is number sixteen. Now remember or
maybe you don't even know, so maybe I'm informing you
for the first time. We got Utah sixteen. Now that's
the highest power rated Big twelve.

Speaker 1 (55:22):
Team right now. Texas Tech is our next highest rated
Big twelve team. We've got them twenty third. They play
next week in Salt Lake City. They play next week.
It's a monster game in the Big twelve, especially now
that people saw Arizona State humbled a little bit. You're
starting to think, well, maybe ASU is not the favorite
in that league, maybe Utah is, maybe Texas Tech is.

(55:45):
Oh wow, they play next week, Yes they do. Texas
A and M is number twelve and OU is number eight.
I'm not saying that I was right on Oklahoma because
they still got a ways to go. But it did
feel good last week to watch them take care of
business because we get hated on off spring for having
Oklahoma two. I of course any hater of the Oklahoma

(56:05):
ratings not talking about that. They've just moved onto the
Florida rating. And as you see, Floridas know where to
be found. We're not perfect. We never claim to be.
Florida twenty one, by the way, Georgia Tech twenty two,
Texas Tech twenty three, Nebraska twenty four, South Carolina twenty five.
Now I look at that and I say, self, I

(56:28):
wonder how close those odds are to those of FanDuel.
So oftentimes I correspond with FanDuel and I say, what
do you guys think about this? What do you guys
think about that? Ultimately, the games happen and you can
bet them over there, or if you don't bet. That's cool,
And if you've never bet before, please learn to do
it responsibly before you ever do. And don't be betting
money you don't have, and you'll be borrowing anyone's money,

(56:48):
and don't just don't just know. But if you can
do it responsibly and you have the disposable income to
do it, go to FanDuel and do it.

Speaker 3 (56:57):
But my point was, even if you don't go over.

Speaker 1 (56:59):
There and bet, if you're just interested in some of
the future games and what the numbers are right now,
you could go look at the Georgia versus Georgia.

Speaker 3 (57:08):
Tech line right now.

Speaker 1 (57:09):
That game doesn't happen until the end of the season,
but it's at FanDuel right now. Not only can you
look at it, you can actually put money on that game.
You can bet Ohio State minus six and a half
at Michigan right now. I just looked at it within
the last hour, and so you can do that over there.
A new sign ups, new customers, you use that QR
code orfanduel dot com forward slash Josh Pate. If you

(57:31):
enter through those doors, they're gonna give you three hundred
dollars in bonus bets off a five dollars wager if
it wins, and I don't mean you have to bet
it against the spread. You can go find Miami seventeen
and a half point favorites this weekend. Just bet five
bucks on the money line. All they got to do
is win, and you get three hundred bonus bets. So
I am not allowed to guarantee you that that's free money,

(57:53):
because it's really not. There is a shot, a small
shot you lose. It's a pretty small shot though.

Speaker 4 (57:58):
Must be twenty one plus present in select states for
Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen plus
and present in DC. First online real money wager only
five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non withdrawable
bonus bets, which expires seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply
see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com Gambling problem
call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com slash

(58:21):
RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine seventy
seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash chat
in Connecticut or visit nd gambling heelp dot org in Maryland.
Hope is here visit gambling heelplinem dot org. Or call
eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four
seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven
eight Hope n Y or text Hope and why in

(58:42):
New York.

Speaker 1 (58:43):
Uh, save it for you know what, Bradley nevermind, nevermind,
Yes we are. Bradley has informed me, ah that I
skipped over one important piece of paper, very important, for
reasons that will be made apparent in just a second.
Clems at Georgia Tech Saturday noon eastern kickoff right there

(59:05):
in Atlanta. Here's the issue with veteran teams. Clemson is
a veteran team. Obviously, the problem with veteran teams is
if they struggle early, there's not a whole lot of
unknown you know who. The players are kind of just
got what you got. And that's what worries me about Clemson.
We're watching them not able to run the ball right now.

(59:27):
They have been banged up at receiver. I will grant
you that, but that just hasn't been as dynamic a
team as you expected. Now. Sometimes you're ultray young and inexperienced,
and you got a lot of position battles going on
and a team clicks in Week three, year they click
in Week six. I don't think that's going to be
Clemson this year. I could be wrong, but I don't
think that's going to be them this year. Because it's

(59:48):
a pretty known commodity and we've circled this game in
the spring. I said it was one of the most
underrated games of the year, and everyone said, oh, it's
clemsing in a blowout. Well here we are game week.
Clemson's a three and a half point favorite in this game,
So here we are. Okay, whose identity do you trust more?

(01:00:09):
Whose identity? Who's more in touch with their identity? Because
I think the answer is Georgia Tech. I think the
answer is the underdog. I kind of banked on them
being the competitive end this game because of that hunch,
even in the preseason, and that was before I even
knew what Clemson would look like. For all, I knew
that were gonna beat LSU. But I had this one
circled and half for a while. The reason Clemson was

(01:00:30):
gonna be too much in this game, according to some,
has not really materialized yet. You thought the receiver room
was enhanced to the point where Kaid Klubn it could
beat you throwing the ball and they'd be able to
run it enough, but they could lean on him to win. Well,
they haven't been able to run it enough, and the
wide receiver room's been banged up, and I don't know
if they get Antonio Williams back this week, and even

(01:00:52):
if they do. Look, I mean, Georgia Tech doesn't have
the best secondary on planet Earth, but they may not
need to. So that stuff hasn't been too realized yet.
And it's kind of like we talked about with Tennessee
and Georgia. If you're sitting here telling me, well, Clemson
can't run the ball, but they also can't stretch the field,
it doesn't take an all world defense to challenge you

(01:01:13):
and put you in a blender. So I know one
thing talking about identity, I know Georgia Tech won't flinch here.
It's no accident.

Speaker 3 (01:01:21):
When they beat Miami last year, it's not an accident.

Speaker 1 (01:01:24):
When they beat well, they didn't beat Georgia when they
took him though several overtimes and almost beat him in Athens,
that's not an accident. And I'm telling you, if Clemson
has no vertical threat here, they need defensive or special
teams points or huge assistants there to win this game.
It's just reality. The only other thing that could happen
is Georgia Tech's had turnover issues so far this year. Now,

(01:01:45):
if that pops up again, I can't predict that. No
one can predict that. But if that pops up again,
that could be a game changer. But it's not that
tough to figure out. I'm just trying to find paths here.
If you cannot run it and they don't respect the
deep ball, can you go find twenty four points? You
know you count on your defense. Clemson's defense will show up.

(01:02:06):
You count on your defense. Can you go find twenty
four points? Because so far you score ten against LSU,
you scored twenty seven and had to scratch those out
against Troy. So now you go on the road for
the first time this year, by the way, against the
team that's already tasting blood in Georgia Tech. Can you
find twenty four because if you can't, I don't know

(01:02:26):
that you're gonna win the game Saturday. Here's the deal.
Cave Klubnik has to will them to a win because
I'm not gonna go into this thing counting on them.
Running the ball. I just I promise you Haines King
can will his team to a win. Cave Clubnit's gonna
have to probably will his to a win. Clemson defense, though,
having said all that, they can completely flip this thing

(01:02:47):
with turnovers. So let's take a look at what the
model thinks. FanDuel right now has got Clemson minus three
and a half. We still don't think it's tight enough.
We got Clemson minus one and a half. I've had
it circled for months. I have had a good feel
on this game for months. Georgia Tech's gonna win this
game outright, and then it paints a really interesting picture
in the acc Frankly, it already is. Even if Clemson

(01:03:09):
wins this game. Georgia Tech's not out of anything, but
Miami's in that thing, Florida State's in that thing. And then,
especially if this goes this way this Saturday, then you've
got Georgia Tech that's at the table, Clemson still at
the table. Yeah, I've felt that upset for a while,
So I'm going with Georgia Tech to win that one
out right, Okay, Romenudele Express time we bet that game.

(01:03:31):
Earlier in the week when it was six and a half.
The other night we handed it out at Georgia Tech
plus six and a half. It's all the way down
to three and a half. Now, that's why you gotta
watch the show on Sunday night. So we locked in
Georgia Tech plus six and a half. Sunday, we locked
in cal plus two and a half. On Sunday. We
have two more you hear them right there, Two more
best bets to add to the Rominudele Express. One of

(01:03:54):
them is Oregon State plus twenty two and a half.
They're playing Texas Tech. Texas Tech has Utah next week.
Texas Techniques to do one thing and one thing only
win and get out of this thing healthy, and I
think they will. I just don't think it'll be in
a blowout. Tulane is playing Duke. Duke led by Darien Mensa,
Tulane's quarterback that left for very, very very greener pastures.

(01:04:19):
There's no pastures at Duke. Yeah, there's a lot of green.
There's a lot of green. That's what he left for.
Can't even be mad. I heard somewhere all talk about it.
He said, Hey, I've left jobs for more money. At
some point, you can't even be mad at a kid,
but you can beat him. So Tulane is welcoming Duke
into New Orleans and they're being given one and a
half points. We're gonna take both of them because we

(01:04:39):
think Tulane's gonna win the game out right, So we're
gonna take twu Lane plus one and a half Oregon
State plus twenty two and a half. Those are two
more added best bets. Good show tonight. Had a lot
of discombobulation behind the scenes today and the staff came through,
pulled it together and good solid show. We'll be back Thursday.
I think we're going to start the show an hour

(01:05:00):
earlier Thursday Night, so maybe six six eight seven, so
seven Eastern, sixth Central.

Speaker 3 (01:05:07):
Thank you, Bradley, and I'll confirm that on.

Speaker 1 (01:05:10):
The Socials, but plan on that, probably plan on Cublick
as well, but definitely plan on an hour earlier start
time until then. For the entire crew here, led by
director Bradley, I'm Josh Pate, take care, We'll see you Thursday.
Until then, have a great rest of your evening, and
God bless.

Speaker 4 (01:05:40):
Must be twenty one plus and present in select states
for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen
plus and present in DC. First online real money wager
only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non
withdrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions
apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling
problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visitfanduel dot com

(01:06:02):
slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight nine
seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash
chat in Connecticut, or visit nd Gamblinghelp dot org in Maryland.
Hope is here, visit gambling heelplinem dot org or call
eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for twenty four
seven support in Massachusetts. Or call one eight seven seven
eight Hope n Y. Or text Hope n Y. In

(01:06:23):
New York