Week 5 Upset Alerts + Commissioner’s Poll & Cole Cubelic

College Football week 5 upset alerts are here as we approach kickoff for games like Notre Dame vs Arkansas and Tennessee vs Mississippi State. Can Josh Heupel and Marcus Freeman see their teams handle business on the road or could Sam Pittman and Jeff Lebby pull off big upset wins? We also take a look at games like Indiana vs Iowa, USC vs Illinois, Kentucky vs South Carolina, and FSU vs Virginia. The week 5 edition of the Commissioner’s Poll is out as we take a look at big movements in the top ten. Where are Ohio State and Michigan? Does Clemson fall out of the top 25? Could Miami take the top spot? Cole Cubelic returns for his weekly appearance on the show tonight as we discuss the evolving nature of the SEC race with Alabama vs UGA set to take center stage. All that plus best bets on the Ramen Noodle Express.

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Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:14):
This is it, This is it. Somebody's life's about to change.
In the words of Leo and Titanic, Big Weekend. Some
of you know that you got big games that you
can lose. Some of you have games you could lose
that you're unaware of. That's what upset alerts for. We're
jam packed, we're high a top, just a glowing downtown Nashville.
Tennessee had a little false fall a couple of weeks ago,

(00:35):
saw some really embarrassing scenes, jackets, long sleeves around the
downtown area, and they're back shirtless today. They're back. Eighties
all around, no fifties in sight. Yeah, but what we
do have is we got a gigantic not even a gigantic,
just a gigantic college football Saturday and Friday night on
tap Florida State less than a touchdown favorite at Virginia.

(00:59):
What in the world's happening? We will discuss. I got
upset alert ratings and a lot of games. I've got
a Notre Dame Markansall breakdown. I told you I wouldn't
leave you hung out to dry. There. We got Tennessee,
Mississippi State. No, I'm not leaving that game off. I
told you. We had an overflow situation the other day,
so some games have been spilled to Thursday. I've got
the Commissioner's poll, I would say, probably the boldest commissioner's

(01:19):
poll that we've had to date. Not power ratings. This
is where we do rankings. This is the real thing.
This is where we ranked teams. It's resumes. You sometimes
are what your record says you are. If I were
a playoff committee member, how would I ranked teams? That
whole thing we do on Thursday night. And Kublick's joining
us from some nondescript parking lot in the Greater Birmingham

(01:40):
metro area, and we got a lot to talk about
with him. I've got some candid wedding footage of him
that we just have in the holster ready to go.
They're watching us in Flagstaff, Arizona, Kirkham, I would assume
that's pronunciation. It's in England. It's not in Colorado. Morristown,
Tennessee's watching Saint Louis, Missouri's watching it. We're back to
the Friday night lines happening in the middle of the

(02:02):
afternoon tomorrow. We're gonna try and do the thing where
we play softball tomorrow night. Then we fly to Illinois
late tomorrow night. Then we're at USC Illinois early Saturday.
Then we're down in Athens by the time Georgia and
Alabama kickoff. Then we're back home in bed by Like
one am, I would highly recommend following on Instagram if
you want to see all that documented at Josh pat CFP.

(02:24):
I'm saying we're doing Friday Night Lines tomorrow at five
eastern fourth Central, so tune in accordingly. Five eastern fourth Central.
Friday Night Lines rolled last week. A lot of money
made by a lot of people. If you already have
money and you don't need it, I don't recommend tuning in.
If you're a fan of money, I don't need you
loving money. Don't be loving money. But you can have

(02:46):
a good, solid like for money and you can tune
into Friday Night Lines or if you just want to
be entertained. Whatever. All right, let's go. We got a
lot to get to tonight. Jampack Thursday's show Who Upset
Alert time the one to ten scale, the upset Alert
can then cern meter is back powered by our friends
at Flexpower. Oh, by the way, my flexpower dot com
that little thirty three hundred iwat generator over there, flying

(03:09):
off the shelves, as it should be when they power us,
especially upset alerts. Indiana at Iowa. You saw what they did.
Everyone saw what they did. I feel like I may
be deposed as a witness because I watched what Indiana
did to Illinois last week, and they're favored by seven
and a half and uh purge, the Purge got the

(03:30):
monitor again. They're favored by seven and a half at Iowa.
And I'm not all that concerned. I know I should be.
I know what conventional betting logic says, forget about betting.
I know what college football logic says, there is a
progression and a regression to the mean. Yeah, but I
don't know that math and logic has really meant Iowa football.

(03:50):
How does this happen? How does Indiana get beat at Iowa?
This needs to be such an ugly game for Iowa. Iowa.
Last week they played against Rutgers. They won and covered,
which is great news, right. They had a special team's touchdown,
they had a couple of missed field goals. They benefited
from Indiana's a top twenty run defense too. So I

(04:12):
mean there is going to come a time here I
regret to inform you where I always got to throw
the ball to win. They're just not that interested in that.
So if you can keep Indiana twenty four or less,
maybe you've got a shot to pull the upset. Anything
more than that, you got to outscore them. I just
don't see it. I know it happens every year. I
know there's this game every year. I can't see it happening,

(04:33):
and it happens, but I gotta see it. So I'm
putting a four on the upset alert concern scale here.
I just got to see it. Next up, the game
will be at early on Saturday at least USC at Illinois.
USC favored by six and a half. Big character check
for Illinois just got splattered all over the place last week.
And they come home. And remember I told you in

(04:56):
June and July and August, I told you this game
was the one for USC. This one is circled, and
I have not backed off of that. Even though America's
attention may have backed off of this game, a little
bit has a little bit less prestige around, a little
bit less glow around it since Illinois got dismembered last week.
But you know what, being embarrassed in this sport does

(05:17):
a funny thing to a veteran roster, right, and then
you also have the opportunity to just play this game
in a phone booth, the old big twelve or big
ten stereotype. Welcoming USC to that party. It's a nine
am body clock kickoff for USC. Here's what concerns me,
and here's why I'm gonna put a six point five

(05:39):
on the upset alert concern scale here, but no higher.
Luke Altmeier's performance quarterback there for Illinois against better teams,
it just doesn't scale. So he's a redshirt scen It's
not like there's a lot we have left to figure
out about his game. He's got good numbers, okay, seventy
percent completion guy, nine touchdowns, no picks through the air.
It's not that. It's just I am very concerned, like

(06:02):
I was last week, as it turns out that the
other guy can score. Okay, last week it was it
was Fernando Mendoza, it was Indiana. This week it's Jade Mayova,
it's USC. I've made my thoughts very clearly known about
Maav and how he's a better fit for Lincoln even
than Caleb Williams was. And that's not some hot take,
like I'm what do I even want you to click on?

(06:23):
It's not clickbait, there's nothing to click on. These are
just it's a video. I guess you could click on
the video. No one's clicking to hear me say that.
I really mean when I say Jade Miov is a
better fit here. He's operating that offense better than Caleb
dim So the point being, you've got to trade shots
with him unless you're gonna greatly compress this game and
you're gonna be like nine or fourteen on third downs

(06:44):
and continue to move the chains and limit them to
like seven or eight possessions. And I think you're gonna
be hard pressed to do that us. He's more balanced too.
They can run the ball this year, have you heard?
Have you heard? I heard someone predict they're gonna run
it for eight yards per carry in this game. It's
a little aggressive, not necessary. I'm going to put a
six and a half on the upset Alert concern scale.
We don't go to games that are below a six,

(07:06):
you know, so I can't do that to myself. Next up,
Georgia Tech plays wake Forest. Georgia Tech's a thirteen and
a half point favorite. Wake Forest just kind of creeping
around as Wake Forest is wont to do. They played
North Carolina State close. That's one compliment I can give them.
I watched that game while I was at First Horizon
Park to watch the Nashville Sounds take on the Gwenett Strippers.

(07:30):
Big triple A baseball guy here, Yeah, baseball game was
going on. I was watching NC State Wake in the monitor. Yes,
I was in a suite. No, I did not pay
for it. So that begins and ends the debate there.
Georgia Tech has a very unique profile about their offense.
It's fun to watch. It's all Haines King. That's no
disrespect Actually, I want it to be a little disrespectful

(07:52):
to the rest of that offense because I kind of
want some folks to pick up the slack a little bit.
The problem there is there is no problem when Haynes
King is healthy, and when Haines King is running the ball, well,
there's no problem. I don't know that he can just
keep doing that. And if there's one week where it's
just not there for him, you're in big trouble. If
everyone just keeps looking to him to bail him out.

(08:12):
Wake Forest is one hundred and thirty second in red
zone offense or red zone? Is this offense or defense?
I wrote down Jesse, Yeah, because that's a mess here. Anyway,
The point was going to be the same. When it's
this early in the season and you're that bad in
a stat category, it's still within the realm of possibility

(08:34):
that it's just a weird sample size. You haven't gotten
a whole lot of opportunities down there. It's just a
freak occurrence, and you're actually a lot better than that,
and the rest of the season will go on to
bear that out. What you want to do is you
want to buy extremely low. There is no lower point
you can buy in terms of red zone offense than
Wake here. So this is the Robbie Ashford experience. You
got to sign up for that. Anytime that you're riding

(08:54):
Wake Forest. It's not fun, it's not pleasurable, immunity to
it all, but sometimes you got to do it. I'm
just not doing it. This is not an upset alert
that I'm buying into. I'm putting four and a half
on it. I trust Brent Key, I trust Georgia Tech.
But I will have one ipealed because that is the
nature of the Robbie Ashford experience and the Haines King experience.

(09:15):
Next up is a game I am petrified by Kentucky
at South Carolina. This game's in Columbia, it's in the cockpit,
but it is not Coctober Yup. October cannot get here
soon enough, my goodness. This line's five and a half.
That counts home field advantage, people. So what we're saying
here is there is less than a field goal gap
between these teams on a neutral field, and I agree

(09:38):
South Carolina cannot run it right now. They've got poor
wide receiver depth, which was my biggest fear that I
was told was going to be a moot point by
certain message board posters that have let me down. I
don't even know that the players have let me down, Jesse.
I think some of our friends on the Carolina message
boards have let me down. Sellers is relying on explosive plays,
and when they work, they're great. The problem is the

(10:02):
favorite here in this game. South Carolina is one hundred
and twenty second in total yards, one hundred and thirtieth
in rush yards. I'm not feeling great about it. Man,
I'm not feeling great about it. There's a lot I'll continue,
there's a lot the points to Kentucky here. Just to
be frank with you, Kentucky can run it. That is
the weakness of this South Carolina defense right now. You

(10:25):
just saw Kentucky limit South Carolina. Not South Carolina. They
could do that. Saturday. They limited Old Miss at home.
They just played him a couple of weeks ago. Notably famously,
Lane failed to cover for us. I'm concerned. I'm putting
a nine on it. I think they could win out right.
Kublick's got this game, I believe so. Kublick went up

(10:45):
there a couple of weeks ago thought he was going
to see a great game Vandy South Carolina. Turned out
not to be the case. Maybe this is the great game.
It comes out of nowhere. Yeah, it's a nine for me.
That thin could easily go the way of Mark Stoops
in Kentucky. He's good for one of those. Pre Next up,
Ohio State's at Washington. There's been a weird kind of
defensive energy all week from my Buckeye friends. I've been

(11:08):
saying stuff like, man, y'all are gonna love Seattle, have fun,
and they're like buck Ey's by ninety bro I didn't
even make a point about the game. Calm down, you
just won a national title fifteen minutes ago. Why are
you so edgy? It's not Michigan that's wrong. But hey,
they've made me look like a full four years in
a row picking them. So this is Washington. You should

(11:31):
go up there and win. But how would it happen
if you didn't. Well, Julian Saying's first road start not easy.
This is definitely not an easy place to play. You
got the quarterback edge on the side of Washington. You
got home field obviously there. If Ohio States starts slow,
which you would think, oh they're coming out of the by,
they won't. Well they did when they played Nebraska last year.

(11:53):
Coming out of the by terrified me. So there is
there's a little bit of precedent here for a Ryan
Day team stumbling out of the by week. These are
still two new coordinators. Matt Patricia doesn't need to prove
anything else to me, but you just never know. There's
still a lot of newness on this team. Just beaten
Texas doesn't magically green check mark everything until the end

(12:14):
of time. It just means there may be some flaws,
maybe some relative deficiencies that Texas didn't expose. Who knows,
maybe you got to go on the road for him
to be exposed. Maybe there is no deficiency in Ohio
State wins by thirty, but that doesn't make this segment fun.
I'm putting a six on the upset alert concern scale here. Now.
I've talked to Ohio State fans all week. There's no

(12:34):
world where they can even envision this upset. I know
that I get it. I get it, I get it.
It could happen, though, I'm gonna put a six on it.
It could happen. And lastly, this is a Friday night game,
That's why we're doing it. Last, Florida State's at Virginia.
Now we've had Florida State power rated down a little

(12:55):
bit still in the JP poll, not to be confused
with the Commissioner's poll, and then we've had Bama in
the top five. Right now, the JP pole is just
neutral field favorability. Doesn't care what your resume is, that
you don't earn anything, it's just who would be favored
against too on a neutral field, and everyone's been like,
why do you still have Bama way ahead of FSU?

(13:15):
Why isn't FSU way higher? Well, it's because Bama would
still be favored by over a touchdown against Florida State.
And then I pause and they're like, Bro, did you
not see the Week one game? Not only did Bama
get beat, they got embarrassed. You're telling me if you
gave me Florida State plus eight plus on a neutral
fielding and spam, I take it all day. Hey, I

(13:36):
may as well, but that's not the point. The points
what the line would be anyway, If you want evidence
of that, it's on the board this week. You want
to know what an oddsmaker's opinion of these teams, respectively is.
Bama's going to Georgia and they're less than a field
gold dog. FSUs on the road at Virginia and they're
less than a touchdown favorite. I can promise you if

(13:57):
Bama's in Charlottesville, something's going horribly wrong. But if they're
in Charlottesville, they're a double digit favorite. Just to give
you an idea relatively of how this stuff works. Having
said that, how does this happen? How does Florida State
not win? This by double digits. This line is not
a typo FSU minus six and a half. Now, here's
what I want to make sure that you understand, because

(14:19):
a lot of you are thinking like me, a lot
of you are saying pro this line's all out of whack.
Here's how you know it's hard to bet above fifty percent.
You're saying that, and you know nothing about Virginia. So
how do you know the Lions out of whack when
you don't know anything about half of the participants in
the game. Now, who is Virginia? They're already over one

(14:41):
thousand yards rushing on the season, Virginia and pounding the rocks,
not stump. It's not stuff we're used to saying in
the same sentences sentence I plural of sentences or sentence.
But they are Chandler Morris, veteran quarterback, probably not going
to New York City in the Heisman conversation, but a
veteran quarterback. And for all the hype, this is like

(15:02):
highlight mode. Everyone's mind in the modern age thinks of
highlight mode. When I mentioned Tommy Castellanos, you think Bama
game good? I watched it too. He looked great. Okay,
that's assumably his ceiling. What's his floor? We don't know.
We haven't seen the Tommy Castellano's floor game. Now. If
we don't see it Friday night, this is a moot point.

(15:22):
But it's got to be out there somewhere. I guess
that's how this would happen. I got Florida State winning
this thing comfortably, so I'm putting like five on it.
But you know, there are going to play the game.
At last check, they are gonna play the game. Sto
you want to go to any of those games, you
can just make sure you fill the tank up at
quick Trip, make sure you head in your little coal
brew on tap at quick Trip, make sure you find

(15:45):
some goodies, some odds and ends. You know, tell the
folks we sent you. There's no discount per se. The
way you get discounts is just beg me for discounts
on social tag quick trip in it. By the way,
but they are fueling our tour. They're fueling us big
time this Saturday because we'll be at Illinois at the
early game and we'll be at Georgia for the late game,
and they make it possible. We really really appreciate them,

(16:07):
and someone complimented us yesterday. I don't know if you
saw this on Twitter, and they said, this is the
only show where I don't fast forward through the ad
reads because they kind of feel like the show. Well,
the secret to that is, have great relationships with your partners.
You guys who have been around a while. No, Quick Trip.
It's not some brand that randomly spent through a third
party and we just plopped them down on our show.

(16:28):
We did a whole recruitment. We committed to Quick Trip.
They give away free gas all the time. I saw
them when I was in Oklahoma a couple of weeks ago.
I said inappropriate jokes constantly to their management team. In fact,
they probably have maximum leverage over us. They probably don't
even have to pay to be on the show. I
hope they don't realize that I need to shut up.
So yeah, Quick Trip, we love them and they love us.

(16:57):
Let's move on. Got a couple of games to predict here.
Notre Dame is at Arkansas Saturday noon Eastern time, kickoff
eleven am and Fayetnam. This game's on ABC. Let me
just set the table here. I can't believe this is real.
This is a paper popper of a stat. Four losses
in this game by a combined eleven points. Arkansas has

(17:19):
had two late fumbles, one being the most inexplicable I've
ever seen against Memphis, and then Notre Dame lost by
three to Miami. They lost by one to an m
Four losses in this game by eleven points total Arkansas.
Just give you an idea of how terrible that Memphis
game was. Seventeen red zone trips for Arkansas. They've got

(17:39):
sixteen touchdowns. Guess what. The one exception was the one
where they didn't even need to score a TD They
just needed to center the ball up to kick a
game win a field goal. Oops, Blue team has the ball.
Now we lose. Whoopig. It's a must win from here
on out for Notre Dame. If they lose Saturday the

(18:00):
three lost team, they're out of the playoff and it's
we still got a month to go into Halloween. Crazy.
Notre Dame can make this academic okay. Arkansas has allowed
twenty four rushas of ten plus yards in a former
life aka last year, Notre Dame. You just run it
down your throat. If that's your stat profile, they could
run it down your throat you're telling me you're one
hundred and twenty third in run defense. I'm telling you CJ. Carr,

(18:23):
rest your arm, my friend, you don't really need to
throw the ball all that much love and price get rolling,
they get right on the road, they silence the crowd.
It sounds so simple. Notre Dame football has been anything
but simple this year so far. There is also the
former life where Notre Dame knows when we run the ball,
we're doing that in conjunction with a dominant defense that

(18:46):
is nowhere to be found for them this year. So yeah,
that's the way you want the game to profile, especially
on the road, may not be the way the game profiles.
I hope it does for their sake, though, because if
it doesn't, you can't be put in Sea Carr in
a bad spot here. Arkansas's pretty good pressure team, and
if you put him in a situation where it's third
and seven plus a whole lot Notre Dame's offensive tackles,

(19:10):
I don't know if I can trust them on the
road in this environment. And you want to find out.
If you're a Notre Dame fan, you're just going to
this game because you just Arkansas. When will I ever
go to the state of Arkansas. Well, you should, it's
a great state. I stormchase there all the time. But
if you're thinking, oh, I'll just go down there, we'll
get us a win. If Arkansas has the lead on you,

(19:31):
you have no clue what you're about to encounter. You
have no clue Reynolds Razorback Stadium. If you grab a lead,
they'll spill out of there, they'll beat the traffic. Only
the diehards and Trey Biddy will be there by the
end of the game. But if they're in it, If
they're in it, you ask sark in Texas what that
place is like if you give Arkansas some oxygen, if

(19:53):
that defense for Notre Dame basically just does what they've
been doing. Leonard Moore questionable in this game, by the way,
yeh that happen. It's game on Taylor Green Fourteen point
seven yards per completion, eight point two yards per carry.
He's been dominant. This is the worst nightmare of a defense.
Trying to get right that Notre Dame pass defense was

(20:14):
fourth in the country last year. They are one hundred
and thirty second. They've gone from fourth in the country
to only four teams being worse than them. That's almost
the way the math actually works out. There's no way
to avoid this. Taylor Green's gonna get his what you
hope if your Notre Dame is he throws a couple
of interceptions in there along with it, which he has
done a couple of times this year, but he is

(20:34):
sixth in the country and explosive passes Notre Dame is
ninety sixth, and explosive pass plays allowed. That's how you
find yourself unable to just run the ball and take
the air out of it. If it's seventeen to three
Arkansas early, that's how that would happen. Here's my issue.
Even if Arkansas is good versus the run and they

(20:55):
trade points, even if all that happens, Arkansas's defense is
one hundred and sixteenth in the country on third down
conversions allowed. Green, like I said, it's got a couple
of multi interception games so far this year, and frankly,
I don't trust them in one possession games. Pittman's now
seven to nineteen in this spot. That almost surely figures
to come down to the wire even if Arkansas is
to win it. So let's take a look at what

(21:16):
the model thinks Vanduel's got Notre Dame minus four and
a half right now. Model thought the line was right
earlier this week Notre Dame minus six. I am going
to bank on the fact that Notre Dame's defense can't
possibly be this horrific all year. There's nowhere to go
but up. Really, they're laying on the ground. There's nowhere
to go but up unless they break out the shovel.

(21:37):
And if they break out a shovel around Chris Ash,
it will not be to just dig further down. It'll
be to turn that thing into a weapon. So I'm
going to take Notre Dame to win and cover. That
was a gut punch last week, the way Arkansas gave
that game away. Slash Memphis took the game from Arkansas.
Notre Dame can't be out of the playoffs already. They

(21:58):
just can't be. There's no way to script writers would
write this season like that. There's no way. Academy Sports
and Outdoors knows that it is already Thursday, and they
know you got stuff to do Saturday. Now. Some of
you may be coaching the kiddos and flag football. Some
of you may be tailgating some of you may be
doing both. If you not, you've got the late kickoff

(22:20):
or the early kickoffs. You can sometimes mix in both.
I hope you have several monitors to watch the ongoing
action on Saturday while you do such things. But go
to Academy beforehand, academy dot com. If you can't get
there in person, preferably you just get there in person.
Wonderful people, wonderful selection. I always challenge anyone who thinks, oh,
seeing one sporting goods store, seeing them all drugs not there,

(22:45):
not even in the parking lot. No, it's clean store.
We wouldn't be in business with them if not. But
don't be saying stuff like that. Go to Academy, check
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You're going on Amazon to buy stuff you could go
into Academy to buy, and you support the show in
the process. We appreciate them, We appreciate you. Let's roll

(23:10):
on who Big game? Big game in Startville, Tennessee at
Mississippi State Saturday, four to fifteen, Eastern kick three fifteen
local SEC network. Oh, let's set the table. This could
be a five Chalai Classic out of nowhere. I'm calling
at least four Chali on this game. This is Joey
on the Road. It could be the name of a documentary,

(23:32):
Joey Aguilar here first road start. You never know, MEMI
used to tell me, you never know what you got
in a college team until they played on the road.
You don't know about a college football player until they
played on the road. Now, josh Hipel may have just
found his hendon hook or two point zero here. He
could have, But you know, Arizona State thought they had
theirs as well. And then Levitt was ten of twenty
two for eighty two yards, one touchdown and two picks

(23:55):
when they went into Startville a little while ago. Mississippi
State's four and oh you know what that means. It
is September twenty fifth. The over has already hit for
them this year, Was that right, Jesse? Three and a
half was the preseason win total. Yeah, the overs hit
catch it got What are you gonna do the other
three months out of the year. Just enjoy your winnings
in Starkville. I know you gotta wait till the end

(24:16):
of the season to catch those tickets, but yeah, what
does Mississippi State find through the air in this game.
Blake Shapin steady hand at quarterback again, not New York
City bound, but steady, not a question mark at the
QB position. He's seven touchdowns, two picks this year. Now
here's the difference in Mississippi State, the way they're doing

(24:39):
things right now. Some teams their top two receiving threats
thirty eight catches five hundred and eighty one yards. The
rest of their receiving room thirty three catches three to
sixty one. So they've been heavily reliant on their top
two guys so far this year. Tennessee, because you've got
that Georgia result baked in and the Syracuse result baked in.
They faced Gunnerstocked and Steve nj prior to his injury.

(25:02):
At Tennessee's one hundred and twenty six. The pass yards
per game allowed pretty good pass rush, though there's kind
of a detachment right now. Tennessee. They can get to
the quarterback, they can pressure the quarterback, they can push
the pocket. But they faced two good quarterbacks who have
stood in there and said, all right, I see you
in my face. I see guys down the field as well,
Mississippi State in that Arizona State game, if you didn't

(25:24):
watch it, it's not like they just moved the ball
up and down the field consistently. What they did, though,
is they hit three big plays through the air that
won them the game. Tennessee is one hundred and thirty
second defensively and explosive pass plays allowed. That's the formula
that it's there, it'll be there, that's the formula. Good
news for Tennessee is I think they've got the offensive

(25:46):
line to go on the road and grind out a
win running the ball like you're gonna have to do
in a game like this Mississippi State. I'm telling you,
I know most of you hadn't watched them. That's why
I watch them for you, so you don't have to,
but you should. You can score on them, but you're
not scoring in these three four play drive type sequences.
They are totally happy going umbrella on you. And if

(26:07):
you go ten to eleven plays on us, that's okay.
It's not the end of the world. That means patience,
that means consistent, good decision making. But if you can
run the ball, it makes it a lot easier Tennessee's
got a top thirty rushing offense right now, MSU about
sixty fifth, seventieth somewhere in there. Against the run Arizona State.
I cannot get this out of my mind. They got

(26:28):
down early, pretty big against Mississippi State, and then they
ran it to get back in the game. Thirty of
the next thirty eight something like that. Plays were run plays.
So you know, Tennessee. Nobody is perfect. Okay, there is
a crack or two in everyone's profile. It's can you

(26:49):
match it? Do you match up good with it? And
I can lean myself enough over to the Mississippi State
side to say, I like their shot here now, I
like their outside shot to win the game out right
it It could be a game out of nowhere, I think,
on the public's radar because this is being build a
such a big weekend, and this is that afternoon window

(27:11):
right before the primetime games. This game is ending as
the big games late are starting, and I could easily see,
you know, Bam and Georgia kicking off, and Penn State
and Oregon are kicking off, and you find yourself doing
something you never thought you'd do, flipping back and forth
to Mississippi State Tennessee game during the first quarter, because

(27:32):
it's that wild in the fourth quarter. If Mississippi State
wins this, buddy, a lot of people are going to
learn Jeff Levy who have never learned Jeff Lebe before.
And if Tennessee loses this game, big time, Notre Dame
vibes because Tennessee's not going down there and getting blown out.
So if they lose, it'll be a really close game,
and you'll find them having lost to Georgia at the gun.

(27:52):
You'll find them having lost to Mississippi State on the road,
just a contender out of nowhere, and you're saying, I
feel like we've got a really good team. Oh crap,
we got two losses. Well, that's kind of what Notre
Dame's saying right now. A Notre Dame may have three
losses by this point. Let's take a look at what
the model things. FanDuel paints this now as Tennessee minus
seven and a half. You will recall we got this

(28:14):
game earlier in the week as a best bet. I've
loved Mississippi State all week, so I got Mississippi State
plus nine and a half earlier. This week is a
best bet. I'd still take Mississippi State at anything above
a touchdown, but I do think Tennessee's going to find
a way to eat out a win, just a really
close win. So give me Tennessee to win, give me

(28:34):
Mississippi State to cover. I think we got a classic
game incoming. Raleigh, North Carolina is tuned in. Tulsa, Oklahoma,
tuned in Medford, Oregon, also tuned in you know what
time it is. The Commissioner's Poll Week five edition is
in proudly generated by our friends at flex Power. These

(28:55):
are rankings. These are not Power ratings. So if I'm
an ap voter, unlike them, I actually watched the games. Apologies.
This is what it should look like. If you're a
maybe a playoff committee member, Pay attention. This is kind
of how it should sound. You watch the games, you
erase your preseason expectations because you actually have game footage

(29:17):
to watch now, and then you rank the teams accordingly.
You know, merit resume. I don't care what I thought
in July. Your storylines from media days should be out
the window. I'm ruining it for a lot of you.
I know, let's start twenty five. I've still got USF
up here because I didn't dump them the moment they
lost a game like this. The Boise win still happened.

(29:38):
The Florida win on the road still happened. TCU has
cracked the Commissioner's pull. They are number twenty four. I
am paying attention to you. Yes, Washington, someone told you
Ohio State's going on the road to face an unranked
team this weekend. No they're not. That's just AP propaganda.
They haven't watched a single Washington game I have. This
is a good team. They deserve to be ranked. They

(30:00):
are number twenty three. Bama's number twenty two. JP poll
has them top five. They're less than a field goal
underdog at Georgia. I don't care when it comes to
ranking them. They need to prove that they can do something.
And all due respect to Wisconsin blown out against Maryland,
you don't prove it against U Ell Monroe and Wisconsin.
Once you did what you did to me. Because I

(30:22):
picked you to win the national title in week one
against Florida State, you have to you got to prove it.
You got to earn our trust. Back here at the
Commissioner's Pole headquarters, Mississippi State with the interlocking logo. Number
twenty one with an opportunity to springboard big time against
Tennessee this weekend. Top twenty Michigan. I respect what I saw.

(30:43):
I saw Michigan in person this past weekend. That's a
team I wish I could take a wide receiver corps
from a team in the thirties and hand them to
Michigan and they'll probably be a top ten team right now.
Still looking really good though, Southern cal Gonna see them
in person this Saturday. Number nineteen. I got Tennessee eighteen.
Excuse us for actually watching Texas and ignoring our preseason

(31:07):
ranking and going by actual resume. Texas is not a
top ten team right now. We got Texas parked at seventeen.
When they earn the right to be ranked higher, we
will rank them higher. Okay, we don't flex here at
the Commissioner's poll on Sam Houston State, or we may
flex on them, but we're not gonna flex and then
bump you up to the top ten. We are not

(31:28):
impressed yet, so we got just seventeen. Iowa State at sixteen.
Doesn't matter what the line would be on a neutral field.
To all the JP poll truthers, out there. It doesn't matter.
It doesn't matter, it doesn't matter. I don't know why
you people even do that power rating nonsense. Couldn't be us,
couldn't be us. On Thursdays, Top fifteen Missouri Baby Missouri ascending.

(31:51):
That's a team in ascension mode. Frankly, the only reason
they're not higher is because they haven't been fed bigger
chunks of meat yet. There's no immunity. I said it.
Nine minute Ole miss number fourteen, JP Pole loves them,
Commissioner's pole loves them. Got a big shot against LSU
top five team according to every poll coming in there
to Oxford this weekend. Georgia Tech. I've got at thirteen.

(32:15):
That the ap still has them down lower, it's pathetic.
I got Indiana at twelve. They vaulted up big time.
I will admit we were too low on Indiana, so
I watched the splattering last week. Apologies won't happen again.
Got them at twelve, got A and M at eleven.
Let's go top ten here. I got Penn State down
at ten. Okay, they've done nothing of notes so far

(32:37):
this year. I don't care what I expect them to do,
because once they do it then I'll reflect it in
the commissioner's poll. Right now, you've beaten now Tuna High,
Susquehanna Community College. That's about it. Now you got Oregon
coming in, so if you handle business against Oregon, it
stands to reason you'll be higher. Penn State lucky to
be top ten right now. Texas Tech at nine. Unbelievable

(33:00):
performance with a backup quarterback the second half on the
road at Utah. I told you the big story coming
out of that game. Maybe is one of these teams
more than just a Big twelve contender. I think Texas
texts more than just a Big twelve contender, big rat
poison out in lobb it. I got Vandy top ten.
Why would you have Vanderbilt at number eight, Josh? The

(33:22):
AP only has them at eighteen. Well, I've watched them play.
Most of the AP voters haven't. They can barely tell
you what city they play in. They treat Vanderbilt like
its tennis, because when you ask them about Vanderbilt, they say,
diego Pavia. No, I asked you about Vanderbilt. Yeah, yeah,
diego Pavia, buddy. They got ten other guys out there
on offense. What are you talking about? There's an entire

(33:43):
defensive side of the ball. You know, they got like
eighty four other scholarship players there. Oh do you have
a diego Pavia? Oh? Well again, because I've watched them.
I watched them skull drag Virginia Tech. I watched them
go in and empty out Williams. Brice Stadium at night.
You know everyone wanted the high ipe that stuff up before. Oh,
it's gonna be tough Lane Stadium. Well then you go

(34:04):
in there and mute Lane Stadium and you don't get
credit for it. And you do the same thing in
South Carolina. You don't get credit for it. Why because
you're not supposed to be here. Well, I don't really
care what I thought about you in the preseason. I'm
gonna go based on what you've done. And for good measure,
they just decapitated Georgia State last week. Well that's not
a big deal. Well it is when they're covering the

(34:25):
spread by like three touchdowns and some of you out
there are like Tomato can in your way to barely
winning these games. Cal Hello, So yeah, I got Vanderbilt
top ten. I got them at eight, I got Oregon
at seven, Florida State at six, the top five Georgia
LSU five and four respectively. I've got Oklahoma at number three.

(34:47):
The AP's got him at seven. This is not acknowledging
the materear injury because I'm going based on what you
have done, not what I expect that you may be.
That's where power ratings differ a little bit. So I'm
not knocking them cause their quarterbacks out. Plus, he's going
to come back. The dudeses hand surgeons posted a message boards.
Of course he's going to come back. How can you

(35:08):
not be romantic when medicine and college football unite. It's
a beautiful thing. Ohio State two and happy birthday Mario
Christobal Miami number one. I know they love that down there.
They were huge fans of that. That's the commissioner's pull.
That's the way it should look, ladies and gentlemen, and
it's the way it could look if people actually watch
the games. FanDuel is your place, man. It's a big

(35:30):
weekend coming up, Bama Georgia playing. For example, fifty percent
profit boost token on that game. I'm hearing in my
ear right now, Yeah, fifty percent profit boost token. There.
We did a bonus bet giveaway the other night, and
I really underestimated how many of you wanted bonus bets,
so they gave us the numbers. It was pretty staggering.
So you need to go check your account. By the way,

(35:51):
if you registered for that, we just gave ten of
you one hundred dollars apiece. And I am confidently told
by FanDuel, yeah, we're going to do more of that
with bigger money. But if you're checking your account and
you find that there's a one hundred dollars clerical error
in your favorite, it's not an error. I just had
FanDuel give ten of you one hundred dollars. So if
you're a new if you're a new customer, you can

(36:12):
use the QR code there, or you can go to
FanDuel dot com forward slash Josh paip and sign up
this week if you if you want one of those
bonus bets for your own there, it is bet five dollars.
If you win on any bet, you get three hundred
dollars in bonus bets, And that is not technically free money.
Theoretically you could lose, but you go bet a three
touchdown favorite on the money line, you're unlikely to lose.

(36:32):
That's my advice to you.

Speaker 2 (36:34):
Must be twenty one plus and present in select states
for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or eighteen
plus and present in DC. First online real money wager
only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued does non
withdrawable bonus bets which expires seven days after receipt. Restrictions
apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling
problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot

(36:56):
com slash rg call one eight eight eight seven eight
nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org
slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gambling help dot
org in Maryland. Hope is here, visit Gambling Helplinema dot
org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty
for twenty four to seven support in Massachusetts. Or call
one eight seven seven eight Hope, n Y. Or text

(37:16):
Hope NY in New York.

Speaker 1 (37:18):
All right, ramintle express editions here and then we're gonna
go to Cubic I have I've already got some games
on the board here. So we got Mississippi State. We
got them early in the week. This number is not
available anymore at the price we got it at Mississippi
State plus nine and a half. We're betting on food
rice plus fourteen and a half. Will food allow us

(37:39):
to eat? Hawaii plus six and a half. We're betting
against multiple service academi this weekend Ole, miss minus one
and a half. All right, I'm adding two games here
UCF we love them. Against Kansas State, we waited for
a better number. We don't care. They may win the
game outright, not to be confused with Central Florida, which
doesn't exist. UCF plus five and and half. And the

(38:01):
game we're gonna be at a rare total here Bama
Georgia over fifty three and a half. I like both
offensive staffs against both defensive staffs. Soh yeah, I think
that game is going to be closer to sixty than fifty.
So Bama Georgia over fifty three and a half. UCF
plus five and a half. Those are the two editions tonight.
Remember Friday Night Lines on Instagram Live tomorrow afternoon at

(38:24):
Josh Pate CFB five Eastern, four Central, and before we
get to Cublic. If you're going to any of those games,
if you look at a tickets for anything this weekend.
You could be going and seeing a concert. I don't
know why you would, but you could. If you're buying
the tickets anyway, I'm getting you a discount at seat geek. Okay,
you keep asking me, what's the code. The code is

(38:45):
paid ten pat E one zero. So you don't have
to buy the tickets now. You can do it in
two hours. But make sure at checkout you use the
checkout code pay ten cause you're buying the tickets anyway,
so you're gonna pay money. I'm not even getting you
out of it totally. I'm just getting you discount. That's
twenty percent off and he purchased two hundred dollars or
below twenty dollars off and he purchased above two hundred.

(39:07):
All right, Jesse, do we have cublic from some nondescript
parking lot down in Birmingham. He's in his truck. That's adorable. Hey,
what do you have anything hanging from the from the
rearview mirror. By the way, don't mess up the shot.
Oh he messed up the shot. That's my fault. That's
my fault, Jesse.

Speaker 3 (39:27):
He's been in full panic mode. For the last thirty
minutes anyway, So I just made it worse. Put it
on me, I'll take it.

Speaker 4 (39:32):
Yeah.

Speaker 1 (39:32):
Did you happen to see the wedding video that got
posted last night?

Speaker 4 (39:37):
Did? I?

Speaker 3 (39:39):
The best part was the first clip that I appeared
upon right there kind of made it sound like I was,
you know, craping on your way your wedding and your marriage.
I was like that, he's gonna leave the sme part
out and it's gonna sound like this, you know what
I would have said there? Thankfully, I think it came
back in so if people cut it off proly, they're like, goodness, Yeah,

(40:01):
why did Josh even have that guy there?

Speaker 1 (40:03):
I actually had the videographer. I slipped him an extra
Hunsky if he would purposefully just go out of context
mode the entire SoundBite strip. But very beautiful. You got
more comments than I did being in this thing. And
then there's that freeze frame. Sure enough, the week of
auburn A and m there's that freeze frame of you
and Billy Lucci standing there. I don't know how frequently

(40:24):
you guys are in the same room. I know you
had him on your show earlier today, but really, rare occurrence,
and that's the magic of weddings. Like when else am
I going to see Cublic and Lucci in the same room.

Speaker 3 (40:35):
Yeah, only every time I go to College station in
every sec media days.

Speaker 4 (40:38):
Other than that. Never.

Speaker 3 (40:41):
Also, my wife in that still photo is incredible. I mean,
just living her best life to the nth degree, trying
to drag me out on that dance floor, which will
never happen.

Speaker 4 (40:51):
But congrats to her for making a good run at it.

Speaker 1 (40:54):
So that was fun. You are going to Kentucky South
Carolina this week, yep, and so I know you've broken
that down. I gave our fifty thousand foot view earlier.
I think people look at that and say, oh, that
line's so low because South Carolina struggled a little bit
this year, and so you got to kind of send

(41:14):
a message and they'll get right. Everybody just thinks, well,
if things haven't gone well for you and I had
you ranked high in the preseason, if I serve you
any of Vandy or Mississippi State or Kentucky, it's automatic,
get right. And I don't even think people are foolish
enough to say it about the form or two. They're
kind of saying it about Kentucky though, And I don't

(41:35):
know what people have seen from South Carolina to think, well,
that wide receiver depth, it'll just show up. That ground game,
it'll just show up. They'll be able to stiffen against
the run, and Kentucky you'll have nothing here. So as
specific as you want to get, how competitive do you
expect that game to be?

Speaker 3 (41:52):
I actually think it's going to be very competitive. There's
some interesting aspects that you kind of started to go
down a path for in this game. I feel like
the game itself is a little flat. And it's odd
because there's a lot of teams in college football this
year that have good losses, really good losses, if there
is such a thing, and people say, oh, they're still
in contention, it's not over. We got all these ways

(42:14):
to go and could Notre Dame lose another game and
still get in. Yet these two both were competitive for
the most part in their losses. Now their aspects of
their teams that didn't look great in those games. Yet
they've just been thrown out like they're done. And I
think it's intriguing because Ole Miss might end up being
a really good football team. Vanderbilt is a team still
not getting respect, and I think that's why people are

(42:36):
where they are in South Carolina right.

Speaker 4 (42:38):
Now, Josh is because they say, oh, you lost to Vanderbilt,
and it's like it.

Speaker 3 (42:41):
Still has the odor that it did, you know, ten
years ago when you lost that football game, and I
just don't think it does anymore. You're talking about a
Kentucky team too, that had an injured starting quarterback. They've
had to make that change. They've gone very young at
that position, but he's now got a full game under
his belt, and I think the run game for the
Wildcats really close, very close. When you watch them, some

(43:02):
of the gap scheme stuff looks really good. It's a
South Carolina defense that's they have quality players up front,
but they'll get a little over aggressive and they'll they
they'll freelance more this year than they have in the
last few years. That's where Kentucky has to take advantage.
I think Kentucky wants us to be about an hour
and forty five minute game.

Speaker 4 (43:19):
Get out of there as quickly as they can.

Speaker 3 (43:21):
The problem is, I don't think South Carolina can control
the ball to that extent. You mentioned some of those
young receivers game Cocks did have two guys step up
last week. There were not household names that were kind
of used to hearing and make some plays down the field.
They just don't have it consistently. And there's not a
lot of rhyme. There's not a lot of rhythm. There's
not a lot of things that are married up in
that South Carolina offense right now because it's so much

(43:43):
Lenora Seller's being Superman. There's not a traditional run game
for things to just lean on and then build upon.
So I like Brad White, I like Clayton White. These
are two of the most underraty defensive coordinators in the league.
And you have a quarterback that can go take over
a game and another one that we don't really know
much about on the road in what should be a
very difficult environment.

Speaker 4 (44:02):
I think it'll be competitive. I could see avenues for
both those teams finding a way to win.

Speaker 3 (44:07):
And it's a little bit unfortunate that we just kind
of throw these two teams out and said, oh, we're
done with them. Well, you know, talk about next year.
Let's get the basketball season and Lexington whatever it is.
And I think there could still be some good football
to play for.

Speaker 1 (44:18):
Both Uh, just just some quick feedback to add to
that conversation in the live chat. One person, why is
this dude homeless? Next person, Buddy, seek out a menshelter?
You live in your car? Your thoughts.

Speaker 3 (44:31):
I was actually gonna do the show from the restaurant.
We're doing a birthday dinner for my mom tonight. They're
right across the street. I would turn around and show you,
but I know Jesse would literally pass out if I
did it twice and there was music playing in the background.

Speaker 4 (44:44):
We're sitting outside. I have three children under the age
of eleven with me.

Speaker 3 (44:49):
Didn't feel like that would give you or Jesse good
vibes if I attempted to do that.

Speaker 1 (44:53):
So if it's royalty free music, we're fine with it. Actually,
we have to check that extra box if there are
kids on the show, so that would suck for monetization,
But yeah, we'd be okay with it.

Speaker 3 (45:03):
Otherwise, next time we'll do that. Next time we'll just you.
We'll sit you guys right in the family dinner and
I'll hop out of my GMC Sierra from Royal Bulick
GMC if everyone thinks I'm homeless, and we'll be good
to go.

Speaker 1 (45:18):
All right, real talk here, I heard you and McElroy
pretty much all week talking about Georgia Bama. We talked
about it all week. Here there's this thing that sometimes happens.
You said this. I perfectly agree with you. I line
with you. There is this thing that happens where people
get this idea in your head like if you're Alabama,
well we got to run the ball for X amount
of yards or we're not going to win. And then conversely,

(45:41):
I've got games like Penn State and Oregon. Penn State
ran for two ninety seven on Oregon in the Big
Ten Championship game in lost. So it's not like a
unicorn of a number out there. But you made the point.
You've kind of made it on the show already a
couple of years, but it really hits home. I think
this week for Bama that there are multiple ways to
look at them gaining rushing yards that don't always mean here,

(46:03):
jam Miller, run this ball as far as you possibly can.
So take me down the road just philosophically of what
you think BAM actually needs from the run game, how
that's accomplished, how they go about winning this game. If
they do, that's it.

Speaker 3 (46:17):
I think first, it depends on definition of run game
if it's yours where you're going there in agreements with
Macroy and I. When you see a running back catch
the ball out in the flat, that's an extension of
the run game. That's essentially a toss sweep. And I
think Caitlyn to Bor Ryan Grubblock get that as we're
going to get the ball wider, faster, with a better
opportunity to get north and south and make a play

(46:38):
in space than if we were to toss this thing
out there. It also gives you the option of throwing
the ball down the field.

Speaker 4 (46:44):
On that play.

Speaker 3 (46:45):
Therefore, perimeter defenders, alley defenders, deep defenders have to stay
there and play other routes. They can't come attack the
run the way that they would if you turned and
tossed it or hand it off on a stretch zone.

Speaker 4 (46:56):
What people don't understand.

Speaker 3 (46:57):
About this offense, Josh, is that the running back as
often the initial read, the primary reads, so they can
get the ball first, and those are the plays that
we're describing, so they don't have to just go turn
and hand it off thirty eight times forty two times
for it to look like they've controlled the game. They're
not going to let you play running back in this offense.
If you can't catch the ball, it's something that you're
going to need to do, something that you have to do.

(47:19):
And at the same time, Ryan Grubb is not afraid
to find a hammer and play downhill. Look at Dylan
Johnson late in the year, a couple of years ago
at Washington, I mean he turned into a guy that
was running inside zone and duo fifteen to sixteen times
a game, going right at defenses because they knew late
in games when they did build a lead, he could
help them hold on to it and secure it. So

(47:39):
this is not a game that I would look at
it from an Alabama perspective and say you got to
get to one fifty, you got to get to one
seventy five on the ground, because a lot of those
yards could be clouded in the box score under the
passing column, which they were essentially run plays with what
the mentality was when they were being called. And I
don't go too far out of the way with that
with Jo either, because they're a heavy screen team. And

(48:02):
Zacharian Branch has been a much better catcher of the
football than I thought he would be.

Speaker 4 (48:07):
At Georgia, I knew he could run, knew he could burn.

Speaker 3 (48:09):
I thought it would be jet sweeps us him deep
a couple of times, make people respect it. But he's
actually a better receiver than I've seen him be a
USC and he's a guy that can really make you
pay on those screens. They get great blocking from the
tight ends on the perimeter, which allows that to So
that's sort of their extension of the run game. And
I would almost count those as rushing yards for Georgia
as I would a traditional handoff because of the percentages

(48:31):
that they have to be able to go, and.

Speaker 4 (48:33):
They're a lot easier on your quarterback.

Speaker 3 (48:35):
So both of those types of plays are going to
be big for both these offenses in this game.

Speaker 1 (48:39):
Do you buy into the idea because I kind of
do that. You probably see a little higher pressure rate
from Georgia this game because of the style of team
they've played so far, because of how quick the ball
gets out in general against the teams they played so
far this year. It may not, I guess I'll say
it this way, It may not be the best collection
of competition they've played so far to what this game

(49:01):
may look like. And so I'll take that that's one
layer of the cake. The next layer of the cake.
The reason I ended up going with Georgia slightly in
this game is I've seen so many times how this
Alabama team, specifically offensive line just looks like it gets
put in a blender from an execution standpoint, from a
communication standpoint, from a penalty standpoint on the road versus

(49:21):
at home. And I, dude, if you showed me this
magic eight ball view where that offensive line holds up beautifully,
not a lot of pressure on ty Simpson, I probably
think Alabama wins the game by double digit Saturday because outside,
I think they got huge advantages. There may be advantages
for Georgia on the perimeter o versus D. I know

(49:42):
there are Bama versus D. I just gotta I gotta
see that happen. I gotta see that functionality happen on
the road for this Alabama team before I believe it.
How do you think that that piece of it plays out.

Speaker 3 (49:57):
I think it's gonna have to be orchestrated. I think
it's gonna have to be drawn up. And you listen
to the show the week so you already know the
answer to this. But I doubt a lot of your
viewers right now or listeners down the road, know that
there's not a Georgia defensive lineman on the team that's
recorded a sack this year. They're tied for one hundred
and fifteenth in the nation in sacks. It's not what
we're used to seeing. I other people kind of thought

(50:18):
Elo Medozi would solve some of these problems with being
able to give you a little more twitch off the edge.

Speaker 4 (50:22):
And being able to rush the passer win some of
those one on ones.

Speaker 3 (50:25):
So I don't think they're just gonna be able to
rely on front three, front four, maybe even with one
extra pressure.

Speaker 4 (50:30):
I think it's gonna have to be games stunts. Guys
are gonna have to move, they're gonna show things get
out of them.

Speaker 3 (50:34):
And Ty Simpson keep in mind, he's been around there
for a while, but the actual game experience is not deep.
So environment, different looks, simulated pressures, could those things still
be something that bothers him a lot. I think you're
probably gonna want to find out. Kirby smartin company going
to look at that and say, let's see what this
kid's really made of, if he's ready to handle these situations,

(50:56):
and if he does.

Speaker 4 (50:57):
He's got quick outlets.

Speaker 3 (50:59):
We mentioned the running back Klavis has been great at
tight end for Alabama this year and where he could
be extremely valuable if some of those things that we're
talking about happen is he's great at just giving one
thud one shove by getting a little slab to the
ribs and then getting.

Speaker 4 (51:13):
Out there for a quick outlet pass.

Speaker 3 (51:16):
And ty Simson is not afraid to challenge the middle
of the field, and a lot of times when you
get pressure, it's from one or two places, either right
up the middle or off the edge. And if you
want to try to go a gaps on him, he's
not afraid to put the ball there. That's not what
a lot of quarterbacks in college football are comfortable with.
He is, and so you have to be very careful
with him attacking you there. I think it's almost kind
of the story of the weekend, and the sec is pressure,

(51:38):
how are you gonna get it? And who all gets it?
Like if you look at A and M and Alvern,
it's the exact opposite. I don't think either one of
those two teams are going to be pressure heavy in
that game. But I think the front four is you
have to be very careful with what they can do
to those two offensive lines that have kind of been
up and down a little bit this year.

Speaker 4 (51:53):
You go to LSU, O, Miss.

Speaker 3 (51:54):
We don't think there's gonna be any problem for LSU
getting pressure on anybody. But how much does Blake Baker
really bring with the quick game in the mobile quarterback?
You don't want them to be able to break you
down because you got over aggressive and over zealous. And
by the way, one of the teams tied with Georgia
at one hundred and fifteenth in the nation in sacks
is old Miss. So are they going to get home again?
Scared at Nelsmeyer? If you run a twist off the

(52:17):
right side, that'll probably be the way. And also you're
referencing some of the album offensive line as being in
a blender at times. I'd like to know what you
graded the tornado that the Georgia right tackles have been
in a lot of the times in past protection this season,
because that's got to be like an F forty two
with what some guys have done to them.

Speaker 1 (52:34):
Yeah, one of them's got to deal with the road.
The other dozen I have no clue what they're going
to do on the right side. Look sounds by the
looks of things they're going day to day over there.
Ernest Green looks to be out in this one. So one,
maybe two true freshmen is if Gaston goes at the
very least one true freshman there. I just that's what
I was gonna ask you. So the Georgia ground game

(52:57):
here and how everything works off of it, like we
were just talking about, Okay, well, well Obama for a
long time everything worked off the run game play action
and then you got Debor in there, and it's nice
to have it, but it's not mandatory. You have it
in the traditional sense in the stat category. Okay, well,
Kirbyan and Mike Bobo have run this thing forever at Georgia.
So you got what you got there this year. But

(53:17):
you've got that offensive line in a very much a
state of flux. And then there are a lot of
the you're a big PFF guy, I know, so I'll
throw the PFF stuff at you. You got the number
five pressure front right now from Alabama. Again, again, that's
that's not my numbers. You can't argue with this. You're
trying to argue with science and math buddy, that's PFF.

(53:38):
That's not JDP. That's PFF. Write that down, Jesse, JDP.
We could actually monetize that. So how does that little
matchup play It's actually not a little matchup, it's a
big matchup. How does that play out? Is there a world,
in other words, where the Georgia offensive line is such
a mess they can't even like, they can't even consistently function,

(53:59):
and you're sitting there watching it, going like this is
a disaster, because I'd have a hard time Kirby and
them know what they have. I'd have a hard time,
as you grin bigger and bigger, just watching them not
be able to do anything. There's no way that happens.

Speaker 3 (54:14):
Correct the times in which that's happened in the past,
and this is twofold, going back to both teams, do
they need to just run the football?

Speaker 4 (54:23):
The times in which teams in this league have done that.

Speaker 3 (54:26):
Their offensive line and their running backs, whether it's been
Darren McFadden, mark ingram Bo, Jackson, Garrison Hurst, whoever you
want to go pick out, were so good it oftentimes
didn't matter what front you were in or what defense
you played, like they were going to figure it out
because the guys were that good.

Speaker 4 (54:41):
One.

Speaker 3 (54:42):
I don't think running back is that talented or that
deep in the league this year. Not that some aren't
good or great, but it's not like all time SEC
great that we've seen in the past. The other position
that's not we know, offensive line isn't is defensive line.

Speaker 4 (54:56):
And the times in.

Speaker 3 (54:57):
Which the things that you're referencing have happen and offensive
lines have been just completely wrecked, like literally set up
with sticks of dynamite at every position and just unloaded
on in every series has been when the fronts are
all time great defensive linemen, defensive tackles, edge defenders, linebackers.

(55:18):
We don't have a lot of that in the league
this year, Josh. The front sevens are not that dominant
to where they can just play you light, kind of
like Tennessee has done, or Tennessee what happened to them
against Georgia a few years ago and why that game
was so different this year when george are playing four
in the box and they can't get a yard on
the ground. I think the only two teams in the
league that can maybe do that this year. One is

(55:38):
going to be Oklahoma for sure. I think Tennessee has
the capabilities to do it defensively, and I think LSU does,
but I almost think that's more scheme than it is
just bodies like that. If this is not Booger McFarland
and Marcus Spears and you know, Tyson Jackson and those
kind of guys up there, there's no Glenn Dorsey's in
the league this year, really, especially inside. So the time

(56:00):
in which you weren't able to do that and you
were completely shut down that way, it was more because
of the guys across from you were so good. It
didn't matter if you were a mess or a wreck
or didn't know where to go. They were just gonna
blow it up anyway, even if you executed it perfectly.
Asked Les Miles when he went to Alabama and tried
to run you know, toss zone or toss lead whatever
they called it fifty seven times in Ashawn Robinson and

(56:21):
those guys, that wasn't gonna go no matter how well.

Speaker 4 (56:23):
They blocked it.

Speaker 3 (56:24):
So I don't think Alabama is that dominant defensively this year.
I've seen Georgia run gap schemes where they get out
in space and make things go. They get pollers in space,
they find corners, they get guys kicked out. They have
the capabilities to do it. Getting Tim Keen was back
gonna help. But how many snaps we really anticipate? He
goes like twenty? Max, I would say, with what you're
coming off of, Jamaron Latham was a really good player.

(56:48):
I think James Smith's a really good player. But they
don't have Jonathan Allen's. You know, there's not Derek Thomas's
over there. So could it be a tough sledding? Could
it be rough on them?

Speaker 1 (56:59):
Yes?

Speaker 4 (56:59):
Is it gonna completely just melt? No?

Speaker 3 (57:02):
I don't think so, because I've seen enough good snaps
at times from the Georgia offensive line, and the backs
are talented, and.

Speaker 4 (57:08):
You're also throwing in a mobile quarterback, which changed. Now
you got to defend my backside. You got to make
sure you're not squeezing down that defensive end. That Alli
defender's got to be aware.

Speaker 3 (57:17):
So you're changing how you handle things defensively with what
Gunner Stockton can do. So no, I don't think that
it gets to that level because one not that Alabama's
defense is not good, because that's gonna be the whole
comments are gonna be filled.

Speaker 4 (57:29):
Up with that now.

Speaker 3 (57:31):
But it ain't Bama good like we have talked about
in the past, and I think everyone should be fairly
comfortable saying that.

Speaker 1 (57:37):
Did you pick a winner of this game publicly this week?

Speaker 4 (57:41):
I have not.

Speaker 3 (57:42):
I was gonna do that on the show tomorrow. I'm
an Alabama lean right now.

Speaker 1 (57:48):
But a lot could change at dinner tonight.

Speaker 3 (57:51):
Yeah, when my ten year old daughter starts talking about
the interior run game of both these teams and what
she wants to see from a cover perspective from both teams,
that could completely go out the way right. All right, Well,
it's in between unicorns and you know wicked discussion it is.

Speaker 1 (58:07):
It's getting dark there. I'm halfway confident you're parking a
handicap spot anyway, So plug Cube Show, let people know
where they can find it, and then we'll get you
out of here.

Speaker 3 (58:16):
Would never park in a handicap spot, even though I
feel like I'll be eligible for one soon Cube Show
on YouTube wherever you get your podcast. Having terrible week,
by the way, it's been rough, I guess I just
did a bad job on this last episode. Last two
I've been pretty bad. We're gonna try to rally next week.
We're gonna try to rally next week and see if
we can figure that out. Tuesday Day Night is cranking though.

(58:38):
We're crushing it over there. Yeah, you were throwing cubic
in the morning.

Speaker 4 (58:41):
Nobody cares about it.

Speaker 1 (58:41):
You'll be in football five more years, Max, and then
you just become a general social influencer. Actually Kat does,
and you're the caboose in that whole train.

Speaker 3 (58:50):
Well, if you keep posting pictures of our partying at receptions,
then yeah, we only the business is going to pick up.

Speaker 1 (58:55):
Yeah, that's the plan, all right, go enjoy dinner.

Speaker 4 (58:59):
Thank you, Josh.

Speaker 1 (59:01):
That's called cublek and that's our show. We got to
get out of here. Remember Friday Night Lines Tomorrow we're
going to do it five Eastern, fourth Central. That is
on Instagram live at Josh pay CFB. Now, if you're
thinking to yourself, I don't care about that, you also
need to know that on Saturdays there is a ton
of stuff that I put in the Instagram story, a
lot of behind the scenes stuff. We're on the sidelines

(59:22):
at these games. Okay, So if you want to get
behind the scenes, if you want to be outside of
a lot of places you would normally not see Bama
Georgia at night, USC Illinois during the day at Josh
Paate CFB that thinks very lively every day of the week,
but especially on Saturday. All right, that's our show. We
will be back Sunday night to recap it all until then.

(59:44):
For director Bradley. For producer Jesse, I'm Josh Pat, take care,
enjoy a monster week of games. Talk to you Sunday.
God Bless.

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(01:00:50):
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