April 9, 2025 • 9 mins
DAVE FRASER JOINS TO TALK WEATHER And the Fox 31 meteorologist can answer your questions at 12:30.
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Every Wednesday. About this time, we talked to our friend
Dave Frasier. Dave, I approve of today's weather.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
I do too, stamp of approval all around.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
Yep, Well, just let's just do this for a little,
you know, a little while longer, and I'm good And
from what I can see in the New York Terms forecast,
we should be able to pull that off.
Speaker 2 (00:19):
Yeah. I think today's a sweet spot if you will,
you know, it is going to get warmer, and it
could get near record levels by the time we get
to Saturday. We're talking you know, low to mid eighties,
low eighties Friday, potentially close to the record of eighty
five on Saturday. It's just going to depend on cloud cover.
I think today's the sweet spot. When you're like right
at about seventy degrees, you've got the overnight lows in
(00:41):
the upper thirties, you've got that we don't have as
much wind in the city and south it is a
little windy over northeast Colorado, like Fort Collins and up
the ice seventy six quarter. But if you remove the wind,
I think today is just it's great where you want
to be.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
It is where we want to be, so I mean,
we're going up to the mid eighties this weekend.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
We're not.
Speaker 1 (00:58):
I mean, we're not just blowing through spring to get
to summer, though, are we? Because I don't like that.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
No. No. As a matter of fact, as I always
do in preparation for talking with you, I pull all
the long range models things outside of the seven day
I just finished our seven day forecast. We will get
We will be a little cooler Tomorrow in the upper sixties,
then we'll get to near eighty on Friday. Eighty four
is our forecast. Higher Saturday again, that's one off the
record of eighty five from twenty twenty three, and then
(01:25):
a cold front comes in. It's not very powerful, but
it will cool us into the upper sixties and low
seventies again. As we get to Sunday Monday, there's a
twenty percent chance of some showers. It's always good to
have at least a little moisture on the horizon. And
then the long range models taking us out ten days,
which would be beyond our seven day just shows it
kind of more back to a spring pattern, mid sixties
(01:48):
with low chances thirty percent chance of some pop up showers.
So I like that part of the forecast because we
are going to kick in the growing season here pretty quickly,
and to have moisture in the forecast, that's good.
Speaker 1 (01:58):
So what's going on in the mountain though, because Ross
and I are supposed to go to Winter Park a
week from Friday and we're seeing like, you know, oh,
they're going to get a big dumping snowstorm. What's happening there?
Speaker 2 (02:10):
So the mountains, you know, the mountains are not done
with snow, nor His nor His Denver in the front range.
I always want to reinforce that because I'm starting to
get those emails about can we turn this one? Yeah,
the big fat answer is no. The mountains a week
out I have been looking. I was just on there
looking at our long range models outside of seven days,
(02:33):
and it looks a little unsettled. There will be rain
as showers come next to you asked, what was it Friday?
Come next Froday, There'll be some rain showers. Temperatures will
be about fifty to fifty five in town, obviously colder
up on the mountains. But there is one computer model,
an outlier that does show about a half an inch
of one inch of snow, which would not be what
(02:53):
would not be out of the case. I mean, at
that altitude went apart. If you've got a rain shower,
there's a chance you'll get grappled, there's a chance you
get there's a chance you could get some snow for
a period of time. So we're not done up there yet.
So I would say, you know, be prepared if you're
heading to win a part next Friday for it to
be a little unsettled and cool, but not cold.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Okay, that sounds good to me now, Dave, I have
a couple of questions, and one of them is traditionally,
what is our hail season? Because we've already had a
little bit of hale at my house a couple of
weeks ago, very small, nothing you know, damaging or major.
And I was talking to a friend of mine who's
from here, and she said, we never used to get
hale in March, And is that accurate? What are we
(03:34):
looking at? When is the proper hail season? And has
climate change shifted us enough that we need to worry
about it earlier?
Speaker 2 (03:41):
Yes, the answer to that question is yes. Anytime you
have convective showers, rising showers and thunderstorms in the forecast,
there will always be a chance of hail at this
time of the year. We don't traditionally think of March
as a hal month, but certainly as you get into
mid April and later May is definitely a sweet spot.
(04:02):
You're getting into your really stormy season, and then June
is kind of the spike. It doesn't mean we won't
have hail in July and August, because thunderstorms are still
part of the equation. What you have to remember is
hale is produced up above us as rain is thrust
up beyond the freezing line, and it's kind of held
up there for a little bit and spins around and
(04:23):
turns in dice balls and then falls. So at this
time of the year, that cold line of below freezing
is not that far off the ground. As we expand
that line and push it in in the summer, he
comes in. It gets harder and harder for the thunderstorms
to reach that freezing line, and hal signature kind of
drops off. Our hail season is really now because anytime
(04:43):
you have towering showers you can get it. May is
certainly a spike early June. Some of our worst severe
weather is actually in the first two weeks of June,
with a sweet spot of around June ninth to the sixteenth.
If you go back in time, you can think about
some pretty good the hailstorms that hit and then.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
Yeah, I'm going to be out of town to protect
my plants. You just broke my heart right there. I
got to figure something out, dang it.
Speaker 2 (05:08):
Yeah, it is, it is. Yeah, you definitely want to
do that. Anytime we leave and go on vacation during
the during the severe weather season or conductive season as
I call it, my wife and I pull all our
pots underneath because you just know that that's possible, because
it can't happen when you're gone. Yeah. There's nothing more
gut wrenching than the money. Yes, that's it, and the
(05:30):
effort and the time to put in all those gorgeous
flowers to watch them just get shredded. Yep, yep.
Speaker 1 (05:36):
I don't like that, not at all. Okay, Dave. Several
people off the text line have taken umbrage with your
statement about localized winds. My favorite one is this a
little windy up north. It's blowing small dogs into Kansas.
So apparently there's quite brisk winds up north right now,
and you may want to reassess your localized winds comment.
Speaker 2 (05:58):
Yeah, there were some guys reported about now nine and
a half to go up high in the foothills of
a fifty to fifty five miles per I know there's
some forty five and forty nine out in northeast Colorado
out towards you know, past Greeley and up the ice
seventy sixth quarter. So yeah, it's definitely blown out there.
But that's a that's a wind prone area. Untually, the
(06:19):
wind you know, one of the two of the windiest
states in my opinion, and I haven't looked statistically, but
I know it's it's Wyoming and South Dakota, and so
the wind coming through those areas hence to spill down
into northeast Colorado. And if there's a part of the state,
certainly up high in our pothills, in our mountains, they're
prone to some of that wind because they get it
(06:41):
coming in with the jet stream. But then the northeast
corner of the state is just like this open door,
like Cheyenne opens the door and goes here you go
have some of this. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
Well, one last question, that's why I said no to sprinklers.
Is he expecting a hard freeze. Why did you say, no,
it's not time to turn the sprinklers on.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
Yet because of the because the temperatures, we can still
get freezing temperatures and a hard freeze. So the problem is, look,
if you know how to drain your external pipe, then
you take the responsibility of turning your sprinkles on early.
A lot of people pay somebody to do that. And
if you pay somebody to do it, they them out
(07:18):
and they turn your sprinklers on, they check your head,
they make sure everything's working fine, and the next thing
you know, we've got a hard freeze coming or temperature
is going to be in the twenties. What are you
going to do and to come back out and blow
them back out again and drain the pipes. So the
goal is wait until give it a month Mother's Day
for planting, but generally early May you can start to
(07:39):
turn those sprinklers on and just look for a week.
Like in early May, look at the forecast lows for
about a week and if you see out to May sixth, seventh, eighth,
then you're not seeing wheezing temperatures, you're probably safe to
turn them on. But just understand it comes with the
risk if you don't know how to drain that external
pipe yourself, then you're going to have to pay somebody
to come back and do it. And if you blow
(07:59):
that external pipe, it can be costly.
Speaker 1 (08:02):
Yes, they can.
Speaker 2 (08:02):
The pipes. It's not the pipes underground. It's that one
that comes up from your house that seeds the sprinkler system.
That's the sensitive point. And that's why I always say no,
because I don't want to be the guy getting emails
same you told us to turn our sprinkles on and
accustom me two hundred dollars to have my pipe sick.
Speaker 1 (08:17):
So if you've got a water, water by hand with
a host follow up text message to the earlier text message,
this guy sends that guy's dog just blew through Burlington.
Speaker 2 (08:26):
So there you go.
Speaker 1 (08:27):
You got dogs blowing all over northern Colorado. Mandy. I
feel sorry for hailed out flowers. Now think about losing
an entire crop in ten minutes. My heart always breaks
for farmers when they when they're knocked out by hail
because they I can move my plants in, right, they
can't move theirs in. So here's hoping we have a
mild hail season in the crop area. And for roofings companies,
(08:50):
a great hail season here in the Metro Yeah.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
I lost my roof two years ago and had to
have it replaced in one of the bigger hailstorms I've
seen in twenty three twenty four years or so. I
feel for everybody that has to deal with it. But
we live in Hale Alley and there's some things you
can protect, there are some things you cannot. You just
got to ride it out, hope for the best.
Speaker 1 (09:09):
Amen to that, my friend that is Dave Frasier from
Fox thirty one. You should watch their forecast. It's highly accurate.
We'll talk to you again next week, Dave.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
All right, take care, Mandy, you too, man.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
Have a good one.
Every Wednesday. About this time, we talked to our friend
Dave Frasier. Dave, I approve of today's weather.
Speaker 2 (00:06):
I do too, stamp of approval all around.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
Yep, Well, just let's just do this for a little,
you know, a little while longer, and I'm good And
from what I can see in the New York Terms forecast,
we should be able to pull that off.
Speaker 2 (00:19):
Yeah. I think today's a sweet spot if you will,
you know, it is going to get warmer, and it
could get near record levels by the time we get
to Saturday. We're talking you know, low to mid eighties,
low eighties Friday, potentially close to the record of eighty
five on Saturday. It's just going to depend on cloud cover.
I think today's the sweet spot. When you're like right
at about seventy degrees, you've got the overnight lows in
(00:41):
the upper thirties, you've got that we don't have as
much wind in the city and south it is a
little windy over northeast Colorado, like Fort Collins and up
the ice seventy six quarter. But if you remove the wind,
I think today is just it's great where you want
to be.
Speaker 1 (00:54):
It is where we want to be, so I mean,
we're going up to the mid eighties this weekend.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
We're not.
Speaker 1 (00:58):
I mean, we're not just blowing through spring to get
to summer, though, are we? Because I don't like that.
Speaker 2 (01:04):
No. No. As a matter of fact, as I always
do in preparation for talking with you, I pull all
the long range models things outside of the seven day
I just finished our seven day forecast. We will get
We will be a little cooler Tomorrow in the upper sixties,
then we'll get to near eighty on Friday. Eighty four
is our forecast. Higher Saturday again, that's one off the
record of eighty five from twenty twenty three, and then
(01:25):
a cold front comes in. It's not very powerful, but
it will cool us into the upper sixties and low
seventies again. As we get to Sunday Monday, there's a
twenty percent chance of some showers. It's always good to
have at least a little moisture on the horizon. And
then the long range models taking us out ten days,
which would be beyond our seven day just shows it
kind of more back to a spring pattern, mid sixties
(01:48):
with low chances thirty percent chance of some pop up showers.
So I like that part of the forecast because we
are going to kick in the growing season here pretty quickly,
and to have moisture in the forecast, that's good.
Speaker 1 (01:58):
So what's going on in the mountain though, because Ross
and I are supposed to go to Winter Park a
week from Friday and we're seeing like, you know, oh,
they're going to get a big dumping snowstorm. What's happening there?
Speaker 2 (02:10):
So the mountains, you know, the mountains are not done
with snow, nor His nor His Denver in the front range.
I always want to reinforce that because I'm starting to
get those emails about can we turn this one? Yeah,
the big fat answer is no. The mountains a week
out I have been looking. I was just on there
looking at our long range models outside of seven days,
(02:33):
and it looks a little unsettled. There will be rain
as showers come next to you asked, what was it Friday?
Come next Froday, There'll be some rain showers. Temperatures will
be about fifty to fifty five in town, obviously colder
up on the mountains. But there is one computer model,
an outlier that does show about a half an inch
of one inch of snow, which would not be what
(02:53):
would not be out of the case. I mean, at
that altitude went apart. If you've got a rain shower,
there's a chance you'll get grappled, there's a chance you
get there's a chance you could get some snow for
a period of time. So we're not done up there yet.
So I would say, you know, be prepared if you're
heading to win a part next Friday for it to
be a little unsettled and cool, but not cold.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Okay, that sounds good to me now, Dave, I have
a couple of questions, and one of them is traditionally,
what is our hail season? Because we've already had a
little bit of hale at my house a couple of
weeks ago, very small, nothing you know, damaging or major.
And I was talking to a friend of mine who's
from here, and she said, we never used to get
hale in March, And is that accurate? What are we
(03:34):
looking at? When is the proper hail season? And has
climate change shifted us enough that we need to worry
about it earlier?
Speaker 2 (03:41):
Yes, the answer to that question is yes. Anytime you
have convective showers, rising showers and thunderstorms in the forecast,
there will always be a chance of hail at this
time of the year. We don't traditionally think of March
as a hal month, but certainly as you get into
mid April and later May is definitely a sweet spot.
(04:02):
You're getting into your really stormy season, and then June
is kind of the spike. It doesn't mean we won't
have hail in July and August, because thunderstorms are still
part of the equation. What you have to remember is
hale is produced up above us as rain is thrust
up beyond the freezing line, and it's kind of held
up there for a little bit and spins around and
(04:23):
turns in dice balls and then falls. So at this
time of the year, that cold line of below freezing
is not that far off the ground. As we expand
that line and push it in in the summer, he
comes in. It gets harder and harder for the thunderstorms
to reach that freezing line, and hal signature kind of
drops off. Our hail season is really now because anytime
(04:43):
you have towering showers you can get it. May is
certainly a spike early June. Some of our worst severe
weather is actually in the first two weeks of June,
with a sweet spot of around June ninth to the sixteenth.
If you go back in time, you can think about
some pretty good the hailstorms that hit and then.
Speaker 1 (05:02):
Yeah, I'm going to be out of town to protect
my plants. You just broke my heart right there. I
got to figure something out, dang it.
Speaker 2 (05:08):
Yeah, it is, it is. Yeah, you definitely want to
do that. Anytime we leave and go on vacation during
the during the severe weather season or conductive season as
I call it, my wife and I pull all our
pots underneath because you just know that that's possible, because
it can't happen when you're gone. Yeah. There's nothing more
gut wrenching than the money. Yes, that's it, and the
(05:30):
effort and the time to put in all those gorgeous
flowers to watch them just get shredded. Yep, yep.
Speaker 1 (05:36):
I don't like that, not at all. Okay, Dave. Several
people off the text line have taken umbrage with your
statement about localized winds. My favorite one is this a
little windy up north. It's blowing small dogs into Kansas.
So apparently there's quite brisk winds up north right now,
and you may want to reassess your localized winds comment.
Speaker 2 (05:58):
Yeah, there were some guys reported about now nine and
a half to go up high in the foothills of
a fifty to fifty five miles per I know there's
some forty five and forty nine out in northeast Colorado
out towards you know, past Greeley and up the ice
seventy sixth quarter. So yeah, it's definitely blown out there.
But that's a that's a wind prone area. Untually, the
(06:19):
wind you know, one of the two of the windiest
states in my opinion, and I haven't looked statistically, but
I know it's it's Wyoming and South Dakota, and so
the wind coming through those areas hence to spill down
into northeast Colorado. And if there's a part of the state,
certainly up high in our pothills, in our mountains, they're
prone to some of that wind because they get it
(06:41):
coming in with the jet stream. But then the northeast
corner of the state is just like this open door,
like Cheyenne opens the door and goes here you go
have some of this. Yeah.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
Well, one last question, that's why I said no to sprinklers.
Is he expecting a hard freeze. Why did you say, no,
it's not time to turn the sprinklers on.
Speaker 2 (06:57):
Yet because of the because the temperatures, we can still
get freezing temperatures and a hard freeze. So the problem is, look,
if you know how to drain your external pipe, then
you take the responsibility of turning your sprinkles on early.
A lot of people pay somebody to do that. And
if you pay somebody to do it, they them out
(07:18):
and they turn your sprinklers on, they check your head,
they make sure everything's working fine, and the next thing
you know, we've got a hard freeze coming or temperature
is going to be in the twenties. What are you
going to do and to come back out and blow
them back out again and drain the pipes. So the
goal is wait until give it a month Mother's Day
for planting, but generally early May you can start to
(07:39):
turn those sprinklers on and just look for a week.
Like in early May, look at the forecast lows for
about a week and if you see out to May sixth, seventh, eighth,
then you're not seeing wheezing temperatures, you're probably safe to
turn them on. But just understand it comes with the
risk if you don't know how to drain that external
pipe yourself, then you're going to have to pay somebody
to come back and do it. And if you blow
(07:59):
that external pipe, it can be costly.
Speaker 1 (08:02):
Yes, they can.
Speaker 2 (08:02):
The pipes. It's not the pipes underground. It's that one
that comes up from your house that seeds the sprinkler system.
That's the sensitive point. And that's why I always say no,
because I don't want to be the guy getting emails
same you told us to turn our sprinkles on and
accustom me two hundred dollars to have my pipe sick.
Speaker 1 (08:17):
So if you've got a water, water by hand with
a host follow up text message to the earlier text message,
this guy sends that guy's dog just blew through Burlington.
Speaker 2 (08:26):
So there you go.
Speaker 1 (08:27):
You got dogs blowing all over northern Colorado. Mandy. I
feel sorry for hailed out flowers. Now think about losing
an entire crop in ten minutes. My heart always breaks
for farmers when they when they're knocked out by hail
because they I can move my plants in, right, they
can't move theirs in. So here's hoping we have a
mild hail season in the crop area. And for roofings companies,
(08:50):
a great hail season here in the Metro Yeah.
Speaker 2 (08:53):
I lost my roof two years ago and had to
have it replaced in one of the bigger hailstorms I've
seen in twenty three twenty four years or so. I
feel for everybody that has to deal with it. But
we live in Hale Alley and there's some things you
can protect, there are some things you cannot. You just
got to ride it out, hope for the best.
Speaker 1 (09:09):
Amen to that, my friend that is Dave Frasier from
Fox thirty one. You should watch their forecast. It's highly accurate.
We'll talk to you again next week, Dave.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
All right, take care, Mandy, you too, man.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
Have a good one.
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