June 22, 2023 • 11 mins
Top 3 NASCAR Cup Series Save Mart 350 predictions and NASCAR betting picks this week. Check out Isaiah's best NASCAR bets for the Ally 400 on Sunday (6/25/23). 🏎️ Tipico: https://www.stokastic.com/hub/?sportsbook=tipico&source=youtube ℹ️ Tipico “Ride with Zane” Promo Deposit $38 and Get $150 in Bet Credits + your name on Zane Smith’s truck at Mid-Ohio! 💻 OddsShopper Premium: OddsShopper Premium (70% off using code 'LETSGO'): https://www.oddsshopper.com/premium/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=NASCARBettingPicks Must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. ————————————————————— MORE OFFERS: 🎁PrizePicks: https://bit.ly/Stokastic2 👑 DraftKings Sportsbook: https://dksb.sng.link/As9kz/2tu0?_dl=https%3A%2F%2Fsportsbook.draftkings.com%2Fgateway%3Fs%3D398125844%26wpcid%3D224502%26wpcn%3DBet%25245Get%2524200%26wpsrc%3DAwesemo%26wpcrid%3D%26wpscn%3D&pcid=224502 🏛️ Caesars: https://wlwilliamhillus.adsrv.eacdn.com/C.ashx?btag=a_6088b_2589c_&affid=26&siteid=6088&adid=2589&c= 🟢 Bet365: https://www.bet365.com/olp/open-account?affiliate=365_01331219 ————————————————————— 🏎️BEST NASCAR BETS🏎️ 0:00 Ally 400 NASCAR Predictions 1:05: Ally 400 Race Preview 3:00: Pick #1: ??? at 15-2 4:40: Pick #2: Ross Chastain at ??? 7:50: Pick #3: ??? T10 at +150 10:45 Recap #NASCARPredictions #NASCAR #Ally400 #NASCARBetting #NASCARBets #BestNASCARBets #SportsBetting #NASCARPicks #Racing #NASCAROdds #Betting
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:01):
Hello, and welcome back to theOdd Shopper. Yoube channel. I'm Isaiah
and I'm here to break down thisweekend's action in Nashville, and I'm coming
to you from Nashville. I won'tbe at the Cup Series race this weekend
because I don't allow coolers in.I have a pretty strict policy of not
buying my own beer at NASCAR tracks, at least for Cup Series races.
(00:21):
It's a little expensive, but itshould be fun action and I'm enjoying watching
it from my couch this weekend withbeer that I don't have to pay ten
dollars for it. So anyway,rant Over, we've been on a one
week hiatus because the sport was alsoon a one week hiatus. But last
time you saw me, we hita thirty one to one or thirty to
one, depending on what number yougot ticket on Martin Truex Junior at Sonoma,
(00:44):
which was a great win. That'sreally all there is to say there.
So this week's video, we're gonnago through a race preview like we
always do. I'm gonna talk abit about how you can get your names
non Zane Smith's truck, which youcan still do, but you're running out
of time, and I'm gonna talka little bit about Odd Show Upper Insider
Access, which is the only waythat you can get access to my full
NASCAR betting cards. Great, let'sget into it. So this weekend,
(01:07):
obviously, as I said, weare in Nashville. We are at Nashville
Superspeedway. We are not at thenas Nashville Fairgrounds Racetrack, which I hope
we go back to someday. Butthe National Superspeedway is a one in a
third mile track. It's a mostlyflat concrete oval, making it the longest
concrete oval on the NASCAR Cup Seriesschedule, which means two things. First
is that there is no true comparatorfor this track. However, we'll lean
(01:32):
on Dover because Dover last year,I think four of the top seven guys
by drive A rating at Dover alsohad top seven or six drive ratings at
Nashville. So anyway, there issome predictiveness between these tracks. Second,
it also means you can expect plentyof tire wear because concrete is quite coarse.
(01:53):
However, it's important to know thatthe weather, just like last year,
does not look great for this weekend'srace, which will be run at
night, or at least is scheduledto run on Sunday night, so time
will tell how that works out forthe sport. So before we get into
the picks, let me talk alittle bit about Typico Sportsbook, which will
be sponsoring Zane Smith at mid Ohiresports Car Course in a couple of weeks.
(02:16):
In the Truck series, if you'veever wanted your name on a Craftsman
Truck Series truck, well you can'tget it on the name rail, but
you can get it on the side. If you deposit at least thirty eight
dollars at Typico, you'll get onehundred and fifty dollars in back credits,
which again are not withdrawable called onehundred gambler if you have a problem,
and you'll get your name on thetruck. If you're one of the first
(02:38):
three hundred depositors who puts at leastthirty eight dollars into their account and opts
into the promotion, act fast becausethey're running out of space. Also,
another cool part of this promotion iswith the top five depositors and deposits size
will get VIP passes to a truckevent of their choosing, So if you
don't live in Ohio, you're notobligated to go to the mid Ohio race
(02:58):
again. For more details and disclaimers, please check out the video description.
Let me pull up the odds boardnow as we get into the picks.
So got a kind of condensed viewthis week because my second monitor is broken,
which is a lovely but we shouldbe getting that replaced soon, so
by this time next week, wellthat we'll be back to a normal view
of the odds board. I hopeour first pick so last week and recast
(03:20):
that thirty to one ticket on MartinTruex Junior. We're gonna go back to
the well here. Actually we're notgoing to take the I think it's what
plus seven twenty year at Typico.You can get the fifteen to two or
plus seven fifty at DraftKings. That'sgoing to be the line that I prefer
here. There's a couple of reasonswhy we're going back to the well with
Truex right after his strong performance atAnoma. Number one is that Truex dominated
(03:42):
this event last year before weather ruinedhis day. I'm pretty sure he won
the first two stages and was lookinglike he was set up to win the
damn thing, but unfortunately mother Naturehad something else in mind. We also
have a two ray sample of eventsat Nashville and which just makes Trex's dominance
in the second an event here thatmuch more meaningful because we have such a
limited sample size to work with.Next, the Dover results this year also
(04:06):
point of value here. True Xone the Dover race and recorded the fourth
best driver rating in the process,while his Joe Gibs Racing teammates and recorded
the fifth and sixth the best ratings. Joe Gibs Racing also occupied half of
the top six positions, so theirperformance of Dover is seriously encouraging for what
we could see at Nashville this weekend. They also looked pretty good here last
(04:28):
year up until the weather happened.True X of trading between six to one
and fifteen to two of draft kings. Like I said earlier, I want
that number of draft kings. Ithink it disappears post qualifying great our next
pick. Let's see what the priceis. Okay, at typical the prices,
as long as you're gonna get it. It's also at eleven to one
at FanDuel, we're gonna be takingRoss chat Stain with our second pick.
(04:49):
Chat Stain actually has the second bestresume of all drivers in the Cup Series.
At Nashville, he has an averagefinish of three point five, which
is absurd. Only Kyle Larson hasa better average finish, and that's because
it's Kyle freaking Larson. I thinkhis average finish is two and a half.
So yeah, Kyle Larson really impressive, but he's also very, very
(05:09):
expensive. I think he's plus fivefifty at tipco Ross Chastain has doubled that
at eleven to one, so hegot his best finish. You're actually in
twenty twenty one, before he joinedor before track House Racing. Byout Chicken
Nassi Racing, he piloted the numberforty two Chevrolet to a second place finished
behind Kyl Larson in twenty twenty one, which is all the more impressive because
(05:30):
CGR was pretty terrible that year.He also got the P five with track
House last year, which was asolid showing. However, we're not just
taking Chaton because he's really good atNashville. We're also taking chat Stain because
he was really good at Dover thisyear. He recorded the second most laps
led and the best drive rating inthe event, which is hard to do
because usually if you lead the mostlaps or you win the race, you
record the best driver rating. Butchat Stained, despite only leading ninety eight
(05:54):
laps, recorded the second best drideor the best driver rating and didn't win
the race, so kudos to himof that. Trackhouse Racing hasn't shown as
much steed this year as it showedlast year, but result the numbers from
Dover are pretty encouraging. Further,Chastain tends to excel at tracks that have
high tireware see Darlington. He's alsoyet to win this year, so his
(06:14):
teammate get a little bit aggressive inpursuit of a win. The eleven to
one at vandel is just way toolong for a driver who has the speed
chat Stain does at Dover and atNashville. Before we get into our last
pick, which will not be anoutright this week because I'm keeping my outright
card pretty small, I'm going totalk about odd Shopper Insider Access because that's
the only way you can get accessto my full NASCAR betting cards. We
(06:36):
have one more outright and over ataud Shopper Insider Access, which I will
not be talking about It is alsonot in the article that you can read
online that breaks down these picks ina little bit further detail. But aud
Shopper and Gender access is great.You get access to our betting experts in
a premium discord, which means youget live betting advice. Why is this
important, Well, here's an examplefrom today. I've been betting a lot
(06:58):
in the College World Series. Youcan need decent amount of money. I
bet the under eleven and a halfon the LSU Wake Forest game today.
I also bet Wake Forest money lineat plus one sixty five. The under
when I bought it was it elevenand a half. As I said,
the money line when I bought itfor Wake was it plus one sixty five.
If you look at the markets rightnow, the total has moved from
(07:20):
eleven and a half to seven anda half and the money line for Wake
has moved from plus one sixty fiveto I think plus one ten plus one
fifteen. So yeah, that's whyyou want to be in this discord because
you get the best numbers available inreal time and you can beat the market
with us. It's a blast.Also, you can get your first week
(07:41):
of access for half off with codeI s insider after that's just nineteen ninety
five with winners like the ones who'vebeen boasting lately. It's a service that
pays for itself. So yeah,I strong you're going you check it out.
Great, let's get into our lastpick as promised. So again,
this is not going to be anoutright although I guess you could also take
this driver to win out right.I don't hate that, but we're gonna
(08:03):
take Brad Keselowski to get a topten at odds of three to two.
That is an absurd price for Kezslowski. There's a reason why, you know.
So three to two converts to plusone fifty. If you look at
this at fandel it's plus one ohfive, but at bet MGM it's plus
one fifty. So that's where youwant to buy this. At bet MGM
that's a ten percentage point difference andimplied odds. The bet MGM number is
(08:26):
the one that's wrong. Kenzlowski hasn'tdone anything really at Nashville in Cup,
but that's partially because we have asample size of two and one of them
came in his first year with RFKRacing when they were still trying to get
their act together. However, hehas done a lot here in the Astrinity
Series. He has ten starts,two of which came for a team that
was not really competitive. I'm prettysure the other eight came half with Penski,
(08:50):
half with Junior Motorsports. If itwas called that then maybe d I
forget what what Junior was calling itback then, but yeah, very pressive
resume. He also had led doubledigit laps in half of those ten starts,
and he recorded as drive rating aboveone hundred and eight and a drive
rating of one hundred and twenty fiveplus and four. So Keselowski can win
(09:13):
at Nashville. He can run wellhere. He just hasn't so far.
I think that changes. And Imean again, this is just a top
ten market. He has to bein the top twenty five percent of the
field. I think he can dothat easily. Further, let's go back
to Dover. Real Quick RFK Racinglooked super impressive at Dover and has looked
a lot better this year in general. Brad finished piece ate at Dover.
(09:35):
His teammate Chris Busher got p nine. They qualified in the top five.
Both of them did. Busher Ithink got fifth and Kauzoski got fourth,
so I don't think the plus onefifty is going to be available when the
green flag flies on this race.I think RFK Racing will qualify. Well.
Again, I think that this numberis probably gonna be trading around plus
one hundred one ten when the greenflag flies, So definitely take advantage of
(09:58):
the plus one fifty while that numberis still available, because it will not
be up there forever. Also noteworthyis that I think I know Kazlowski's trading.
If we scroll down on the oddsboard, you'll see him at forty to
one right there. You can gethim at forty five to one some other
places. I don't hate sprinkling onthat. Honestly, it's a little long
of a number. I think Kazlowskiis taking more of a points racing approach
(10:20):
than a going for the win approach. But he's also a super contrarian driver
and it might rain, so hecould be the guy who stays out and
hopes that the race gets called insteadof pitting. So yeah, that forty
five to one outright number is nota terrible deal, but I prefer the
top ten at plus one fifty becauseI think RFK racing is taking more of
(10:41):
a points approach. All right,let me pull this oddsboard out of here,
and let's go through our recap forthis race. So number one MTJ
fifteen to two. It's a greatdeal, great number. It's six to
one elsewhere. Number two chat Staineleven to one. You can get that
at Typical, or you can getthat at Fandel. It's trading at ten
to one in some spots. Theeleven to one is a good deal.
Number three Kazlowski top ten and possiblyKazlowski outright. Kazlowski top ten again trading
(11:07):
at three to two or plus onefifty outright trading at forty five to one
in the right spots. That's gonnado it for this week's video. As
always, like and subscribe. Youfound this content useful, please do come
thank you some money, of course, and if you haven't liked to subscribe
your compmented do that then. Asalways, it's been a pleasure and I
hope to see you back here againnext week.
Hello, and welcome back to theOdd Shopper. Yoube channel. I'm Isaiah
and I'm here to break down thisweekend's action in Nashville, and I'm coming
to you from Nashville. I won'tbe at the Cup Series race this weekend
because I don't allow coolers in.I have a pretty strict policy of not
buying my own beer at NASCAR tracks, at least for Cup Series races.
(00:21):
It's a little expensive, but itshould be fun action and I'm enjoying watching
it from my couch this weekend withbeer that I don't have to pay ten
dollars for it. So anyway,rant Over, we've been on a one
week hiatus because the sport was alsoon a one week hiatus. But last
time you saw me, we hita thirty one to one or thirty to
one, depending on what number yougot ticket on Martin Truex Junior at Sonoma,
(00:44):
which was a great win. That'sreally all there is to say there.
So this week's video, we're gonnago through a race preview like we
always do. I'm gonna talk abit about how you can get your names
non Zane Smith's truck, which youcan still do, but you're running out
of time, and I'm gonna talka little bit about Odd Show Upper Insider
Access, which is the only waythat you can get access to my full
NASCAR betting cards. Great, let'sget into it. So this weekend,
(01:07):
obviously, as I said, weare in Nashville. We are at Nashville
Superspeedway. We are not at thenas Nashville Fairgrounds Racetrack, which I hope
we go back to someday. Butthe National Superspeedway is a one in a
third mile track. It's a mostlyflat concrete oval, making it the longest
concrete oval on the NASCAR Cup Seriesschedule, which means two things. First
is that there is no true comparatorfor this track. However, we'll lean
(01:32):
on Dover because Dover last year,I think four of the top seven guys
by drive A rating at Dover alsohad top seven or six drive ratings at
Nashville. So anyway, there issome predictiveness between these tracks. Second,
it also means you can expect plentyof tire wear because concrete is quite coarse.
(01:53):
However, it's important to know thatthe weather, just like last year,
does not look great for this weekend'srace, which will be run at
night, or at least is scheduledto run on Sunday night, so time
will tell how that works out forthe sport. So before we get into
the picks, let me talk alittle bit about Typico Sportsbook, which will
be sponsoring Zane Smith at mid Ohiresports Car Course in a couple of weeks.
(02:16):
In the Truck series, if you'veever wanted your name on a Craftsman
Truck Series truck, well you can'tget it on the name rail, but
you can get it on the side. If you deposit at least thirty eight
dollars at Typico, you'll get onehundred and fifty dollars in back credits,
which again are not withdrawable called onehundred gambler if you have a problem,
and you'll get your name on thetruck. If you're one of the first
(02:38):
three hundred depositors who puts at leastthirty eight dollars into their account and opts
into the promotion, act fast becausethey're running out of space. Also,
another cool part of this promotion iswith the top five depositors and deposits size
will get VIP passes to a truckevent of their choosing, So if you
don't live in Ohio, you're notobligated to go to the mid Ohio race
(02:58):
again. For more details and disclaimers, please check out the video description.
Let me pull up the odds boardnow as we get into the picks.
So got a kind of condensed viewthis week because my second monitor is broken,
which is a lovely but we shouldbe getting that replaced soon, so
by this time next week, wellthat we'll be back to a normal view
of the odds board. I hopeour first pick so last week and recast
(03:20):
that thirty to one ticket on MartinTruex Junior. We're gonna go back to
the well here. Actually we're notgoing to take the I think it's what
plus seven twenty year at Typico.You can get the fifteen to two or
plus seven fifty at DraftKings. That'sgoing to be the line that I prefer
here. There's a couple of reasonswhy we're going back to the well with
Truex right after his strong performance atAnoma. Number one is that Truex dominated
(03:42):
this event last year before weather ruinedhis day. I'm pretty sure he won
the first two stages and was lookinglike he was set up to win the
damn thing, but unfortunately mother Naturehad something else in mind. We also
have a two ray sample of eventsat Nashville and which just makes Trex's dominance
in the second an event here thatmuch more meaningful because we have such a
limited sample size to work with.Next, the Dover results this year also
(04:06):
point of value here. True Xone the Dover race and recorded the fourth
best driver rating in the process,while his Joe Gibs Racing teammates and recorded
the fifth and sixth the best ratings. Joe Gibs Racing also occupied half of
the top six positions, so theirperformance of Dover is seriously encouraging for what
we could see at Nashville this weekend. They also looked pretty good here last
(04:28):
year up until the weather happened.True X of trading between six to one
and fifteen to two of draft kings. Like I said earlier, I want
that number of draft kings. Ithink it disappears post qualifying great our next
pick. Let's see what the priceis. Okay, at typical the prices,
as long as you're gonna get it. It's also at eleven to one
at FanDuel, we're gonna be takingRoss chat Stain with our second pick.
(04:49):
Chat Stain actually has the second bestresume of all drivers in the Cup Series.
At Nashville, he has an averagefinish of three point five, which
is absurd. Only Kyle Larson hasa better average finish, and that's because
it's Kyle freaking Larson. I thinkhis average finish is two and a half.
So yeah, Kyle Larson really impressive, but he's also very, very
(05:09):
expensive. I think he's plus fivefifty at tipco Ross Chastain has doubled that
at eleven to one, so hegot his best finish. You're actually in
twenty twenty one, before he joinedor before track House Racing. Byout Chicken
Nassi Racing, he piloted the numberforty two Chevrolet to a second place finished
behind Kyl Larson in twenty twenty one, which is all the more impressive because
(05:30):
CGR was pretty terrible that year.He also got the P five with track
House last year, which was asolid showing. However, we're not just
taking Chaton because he's really good atNashville. We're also taking chat Stain because
he was really good at Dover thisyear. He recorded the second most laps
led and the best drive rating inthe event, which is hard to do
because usually if you lead the mostlaps or you win the race, you
record the best driver rating. Butchat Stained, despite only leading ninety eight
(05:54):
laps, recorded the second best drideor the best driver rating and didn't win
the race, so kudos to himof that. Trackhouse Racing hasn't shown as
much steed this year as it showedlast year, but result the numbers from
Dover are pretty encouraging. Further,Chastain tends to excel at tracks that have
high tireware see Darlington. He's alsoyet to win this year, so his
(06:14):
teammate get a little bit aggressive inpursuit of a win. The eleven to
one at vandel is just way toolong for a driver who has the speed
chat Stain does at Dover and atNashville. Before we get into our last
pick, which will not be anoutright this week because I'm keeping my outright
card pretty small, I'm going totalk about odd Shopper Insider Access because that's
the only way you can get accessto my full NASCAR betting cards. We
(06:36):
have one more outright and over ataud Shopper Insider Access, which I will
not be talking about It is alsonot in the article that you can read
online that breaks down these picks ina little bit further detail. But aud
Shopper and Gender access is great.You get access to our betting experts in
a premium discord, which means youget live betting advice. Why is this
important, Well, here's an examplefrom today. I've been betting a lot
(06:58):
in the College World Series. Youcan need decent amount of money. I
bet the under eleven and a halfon the LSU Wake Forest game today.
I also bet Wake Forest money lineat plus one sixty five. The under
when I bought it was it elevenand a half. As I said,
the money line when I bought itfor Wake was it plus one sixty five.
If you look at the markets rightnow, the total has moved from
(07:20):
eleven and a half to seven anda half and the money line for Wake
has moved from plus one sixty fiveto I think plus one ten plus one
fifteen. So yeah, that's whyyou want to be in this discord because
you get the best numbers available inreal time and you can beat the market
with us. It's a blast.Also, you can get your first week
(07:41):
of access for half off with codeI s insider after that's just nineteen ninety
five with winners like the ones who'vebeen boasting lately. It's a service that
pays for itself. So yeah,I strong you're going you check it out.
Great, let's get into our lastpick as promised. So again,
this is not going to be anoutright although I guess you could also take
this driver to win out right.I don't hate that, but we're gonna
(08:03):
take Brad Keselowski to get a topten at odds of three to two.
That is an absurd price for Kezslowski. There's a reason why, you know.
So three to two converts to plusone fifty. If you look at
this at fandel it's plus one ohfive, but at bet MGM it's plus
one fifty. So that's where youwant to buy this. At bet MGM
that's a ten percentage point difference andimplied odds. The bet MGM number is
(08:26):
the one that's wrong. Kenzlowski hasn'tdone anything really at Nashville in Cup,
but that's partially because we have asample size of two and one of them
came in his first year with RFKRacing when they were still trying to get
their act together. However, hehas done a lot here in the Astrinity
Series. He has ten starts,two of which came for a team that
was not really competitive. I'm prettysure the other eight came half with Penski,
(08:50):
half with Junior Motorsports. If itwas called that then maybe d I
forget what what Junior was calling itback then, but yeah, very pressive
resume. He also had led doubledigit laps in half of those ten starts,
and he recorded as drive rating aboveone hundred and eight and a drive
rating of one hundred and twenty fiveplus and four. So Keselowski can win
(09:13):
at Nashville. He can run wellhere. He just hasn't so far.
I think that changes. And Imean again, this is just a top
ten market. He has to bein the top twenty five percent of the
field. I think he can dothat easily. Further, let's go back
to Dover. Real Quick RFK Racinglooked super impressive at Dover and has looked
a lot better this year in general. Brad finished piece ate at Dover.
(09:35):
His teammate Chris Busher got p nine. They qualified in the top five.
Both of them did. Busher Ithink got fifth and Kauzoski got fourth,
so I don't think the plus onefifty is going to be available when the
green flag flies on this race.I think RFK Racing will qualify. Well.
Again, I think that this numberis probably gonna be trading around plus
one hundred one ten when the greenflag flies, So definitely take advantage of
(09:58):
the plus one fifty while that numberis still available, because it will not
be up there forever. Also noteworthyis that I think I know Kazlowski's trading.
If we scroll down on the oddsboard, you'll see him at forty to
one right there. You can gethim at forty five to one some other
places. I don't hate sprinkling onthat. Honestly, it's a little long
of a number. I think Kazlowskiis taking more of a points racing approach
(10:20):
than a going for the win approach. But he's also a super contrarian driver
and it might rain, so hecould be the guy who stays out and
hopes that the race gets called insteadof pitting. So yeah, that forty
five to one outright number is nota terrible deal, but I prefer the
top ten at plus one fifty becauseI think RFK racing is taking more of
(10:41):
a points approach. All right,let me pull this oddsboard out of here,
and let's go through our recap forthis race. So number one MTJ
fifteen to two. It's a greatdeal, great number. It's six to
one elsewhere. Number two chat Staineleven to one. You can get that
at Typical, or you can getthat at Fandel. It's trading at ten
to one in some spots. Theeleven to one is a good deal.
Number three Kazlowski top ten and possiblyKazlowski outright. Kazlowski top ten again trading
(11:07):
at three to two or plus onefifty outright trading at forty five to one
in the right spots. That's gonnado it for this week's video. As
always, like and subscribe. Youfound this content useful, please do come
thank you some money, of course, and if you haven't liked to subscribe
your compmented do that then. Asalways, it's been a pleasure and I
hope to see you back here againnext week.
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