August 13, 2025 • 58 mins
Chris Gawlik of Locked on VGK is here to report on the Golden Knights. Jesse and Victor interview Chris about returning pros Mitch Marner, Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, Tomas Hertl, Ivan Barbashev, Pavel Dorofeyev, Reilly Smith, Brett Howden, William Karlsson, Shea Theodore, Noah Hanifin, Adin Hill, and Akira Schmid. In Cat's Instincts, Cat Silverman of InGoal mag breaks down Pavel Moysevich and Carl Lindbom. In the Dynasty Dig, Victor breaks down Trevor Connelly, Nateo Nobert, and Jakob Ihs-Wozniak with the help of scouting reports from FHL Scouts Tony, Patrick and Craig and X polls from NHL Rank King Mason Black. Have a listen! Our show is part of the Dobber Podcast Network and sponsored by Fantrax.com. Email fantasyhockeylife@gmail.com and ask to join our free discord. Join our Patreon at Patreon.com/fantasyhockeylife for rankings, bonus podcasts, in-depth prospect reports with video, show notes and more. Check out our YouTube for more prospect videos at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCQPYVXp3foOcvh7344fjKmA. Listen and subscribe wherever podcasts are posted - and give us 5 stars! We want to be your best place to talk about the game of dynasty fantasy hockey
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:03):
Welcome to Fantasy Hockey Life, presented by fan Tracks. Here
sits your source of information and analysis to help you
win your fantasy hockey league. Block off hot a step
hit on, staylock block. Here's your hosts, Jesse Severe and
Victor Nuno Fantasy Hockey.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
Live back once again. Jesse's Severe fan Tracks and Victor Nunio,
the Fantasy Hockey Doctor is in. Victor, how you doing today?
Speaker 3 (00:34):
I'm doing awesome? Jesse, I am in, I am here.
How are you doing? My friend?
Speaker 1 (00:38):
Good?
Speaker 2 (00:38):
Remember when the doctor was in? Do you remember Peanuts?
Did you ever watch did you ever read Peanuts? The
Doctor is in and Lucy had it in the psychiatric
help five cents. If I gave you five cents, would
you give me psychiatric help?
Speaker 3 (00:52):
Yes, and hopefully it would be worth more than that,
but that's a low bar. I think I can hit that.
And also, fun fact, did you know that I live
in Santa Rosa now, which is where Charles Schultz ended
up moving to. He was from Minnesota originally and really
into hockey. So there's a big hockey rink complex here
and everything around town is Peanuts. There's characters, there's statues,
(01:14):
there's the airport. Everything's named after Schultz. It's pretty cool.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
That's freaking amazing. Yeah, I know he was very charitable.
I read his I think I read his autobiography when
I was younger. I was a huge fan when I
was a kid. But yeah, he definitely enjoyed skating. I
think he had something for Peggy Fleming. But anyway, Yeah,
so Victor, obviously we're going to set up a room
in the Fantasy Hockey Life Discord. Maybe won't make it
patron only, maybe just completely open psychiatric help from Victor.
(01:40):
Five cents and so people can join the patriot, join
the discord, which is free. Which is free. It's less
than five cents, less than five cents even to get
into discord. Maybe Victor won't do that, but we'll talk
it out. And to get in there, all you have
to do is email is Fantasy HOCKEYLFET gmail dot com.
A bunch of rooms. Now is a great time to
come in. By the way, if you're like I'm sitting
(02:00):
here thinking about having a Fantasy hockey league this year,
just a redraft or whatever, or start up a dynasty,
and I'm going to end up in a league with
a bunch of randos. Guess what you don't have to
do that. You could go in there and pick your
own randos. You could meet up with new people who
probably have a certain level of competence and interest that
would match yours. And we encourage people to organize leagues
(02:23):
amongst themselves and have a room to do that. That
would be one thing that they could do. But Victor,
in addition to that free Fantasy Hockey Life discord, we
do other things.
Speaker 1 (02:31):
What are they?
Speaker 3 (02:33):
Yeah, lots of great stuff that we offer over at
patreon dot com slash Fantasy Hockey Life. You can get
in and get some bonus content there. You can get
access to all kinds of cool things, like the show notes.
I was just reminding all the patrons that every episode
we do has about forty pages worth of notes with
grafts and all kinds of cool stuff, and some of
it's really valuable. We take notes on what the guests
(02:55):
say and oftentimes you get that before the episode's even
come out, which is pretty helpful. So that's one thing
you can get one on one help. You can get
help with your draft, give you advice. You can look
at the website, the paid the player cards, the ranks,
the tiers, the list, all the good things, so check
that out over at patreon dot com slash Fantasy Hockey Life.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
Yeah, we even try to take notes on what the
guest says about individual players in there. You can see
it in black ink. And if you look at the notes,
if you look at victors, you see very organized bullet points,
the kind that would end up making you a doctor
if you were studying. And if you've seen Mind, it's
a run on sentence of all the things that I
heard but hopefully caught the main points. In any event,
(03:37):
those things are all open, by the way, if you
haven't been able to get into them lately, they are.
I fixed them today because they were They weren't all
allowing access.
Speaker 1 (03:45):
You're not going to get edit access people, but you.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
Can go in there and read them. We'll be right
back with our interview. We welcome to the show. Chris
like locked on Vegas Golden Knights edition, Ready to talk
to some Vegas Golden Knights. How you doing today, Chris.
Speaker 1 (04:06):
It's hot and it's smoky in Vegas. But besides that,
life is good. We got Mitch Marner, so life is good. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
I heard something about that. Did something happen out there.
I heard something about that. Yeah, yeah. There are so
many ways that Canada was set on fire this summer,
and that was just one of them. Too soon. Sorry, guys,
anybody impacted by the wildfires. I apologized for that remark,
but Chris, I will not apologize for talking to you
about the Vegas Golden Knights, who had an amazing season.
(04:34):
Once again. You got to take the w's where they are.
They were third and standings points, there were fifth and goals,
the third fewest goals against, the second best power play,
penalty kill was a little bit down, fourth, most shots
and the fewest shots against. The Vegas Golden Knights won
the Pacific for the fifth time in their eight year history.
(04:55):
They had another great regular season, although McDavid and dry
Siddle brought their season two halt in round two with
one of the good Stewart Skinner series as we know them,
and Vegas uncharacteristically lost at home three times in that
Edmonton series for elimination. If I'm reading my notes right still,
this is one of the dominant teams of the current era. Chris,
(05:16):
absolutely the Vegas gold Knight, and we will talk about
all the ways they got stronger for next year. Kelly
mccrimmin's black magic continues to make all the cap work.
What are you expecting for next year, sir?
Speaker 1 (05:29):
I mean it's got the vibe of Stanley Cupp or
Busts with the obviously adding Marner keeping the band together
for the most part, improvements in net with Aiden Hills game.
So really it's hard to have that pressure going into
a season. But with the roster the Golden Knights have
when they're with their championship pedigree, it's still is just
(05:50):
so strange we even say that about this team, but
with the championship pedigree, it really feels like Stanley Cup
lea Stanley Cup Final or bust.
Speaker 3 (06:00):
Yeah, for sure, and you're already alluded to it right
off the top that you got Mitch Marner and that
was obviously the big get of the off season. One
hundred two points in twenty four to twenty five definitely
a career season, great year with Austin Matthews as a
setup man. I think it remains to be seen how
all that's going to continue in Vegas, but really great production. Obviously,
seventy five assists is pretty amazing. He's never been the
(06:23):
biggest basher. He only has three point two to three
block shots and hits per game, which ranks him four
hundred and thirtieth, but twelve million times eight years means
he's going to be there for a long time. Chris,
the question is will the production continue in Vegas that
we've come to know and love for Mitch Marner.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
If you're talking about one hundred point player, that's maybe
where we pump the brakes a little bit. Having Austin
Matthews that dish the puck two as an elite finisher
is something that the Golden Knights don't necessarily have a
comparable for. Yes, Paveldorfia, I'm sure we're going to talk
about him later, but is Dorofiev going to replicate what
happened last year in CANDORFIAV be what Austin Matthews has
(07:05):
been for a large part of Mitch Marner's career, and
that remains to be seen. Of course, Jack Michael, his
scoring input could go up depending on how the line
shakeout Toamash Hurtle is, But I don't know if one
hundred and two point pace in eighty one games is
necessarily a reasonable expectation for Mitch.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
Marner, superstar, Mitch Marner. We have superstar at home, and
his name is Jack Eichel. He was the ninth leading
scorer in hockey this year. I don't need to tell
you that, Chris, but I need to tell the listeners.
And if you go by the minute, he was fifth
among full timers in points per minute. Mind you a
lot with secondary assists. He was number one in secondary
(07:43):
assists the rate. But let's not quibble. I go as
by far the leading scorer on this team. Remember when
it was chancey to trade for this guy? Sure seems
like it was not now. The biggest risk might be
how they hang on to him after his last year
at only ten million dollars is up at the end
of the season, go miss some games with an up
body injury late in the season, seems like point per
(08:04):
game playoffs would suggest he was fine by the time
the season wrapped up. Goes in his prime, He's well
over a point per game for his career. Are you
expecting the same level again this year? And if not
more or less than.
Speaker 1 (08:16):
That, I think that ninety two to one hundred point
range is very reasonable for Jackleicel. Long story short, and
more of the same seems to be the proper way
to look at that been very reliable since during the
gold Knights sixty three games last season seventy seven to
this previous season. Of course, never wonder what's gonna happen
with the Olympics and things like that. There's gonna be
(08:36):
a downfall after that, or lessening in minutes, or a
possible injury or anything like that. But again, the addition
of Mitch Marner. If those two are on the same line,
or at least on the same power play unit, which
they definitely will be, there's gonna be a lot of
soft ice out there, which should certainly make scoring come
a little bit easier for Jack Michaels. So I think
I wouldn't put him for any less than ninety four
(08:58):
points honestly. Next season coming season.
Speaker 2 (09:01):
And Mark Stone the captain, continues to play excellent hockey,
it seems increasingly unlikely his games played will ever start
within eight again or even seven number maybe, but sixty six, hey, look,
it's more than in a year since the year he
was traded from Ottawa, so that's good. I always feel
like Stone would get more more bash, more block shots
(09:22):
and hits, but that's not really his game, even though
he's got a defensive reputation and skill, but his scoring
rows above a point per game for the first time
since again that year he was traded from Ottawa and
he put up good stats in the playoffs too. Played
with Jack Eichel again last year. Now you're talking about
Mitch Marner coming in. Mark Stone was a power play
(09:43):
one guy again, excellent twenty five power play points, second
on the team to Jack Eigel in goals above replacement.
Can we get a sixty games Stone again? Is he
gonna be with Eikel again? What are you thinking about
the upcoming year for mark Stein?
Speaker 1 (09:58):
Personally, I would love to see that top unit come
back out as Ichel, Stone and Barbershev and then the
second line. I'm actually hoping William Carlson and Mitch Marner
get a chance to go together. I'm sure we'll talk
about some of those players a little bit later in
this show, but as far as Mark Stone, so I
guess the question to start would be on the power
play with Mark Stone? Is he going to remain on
(10:22):
that top power play unit. A couple things that could
happen in Vegas as Mitch Marner takes over the quarterback
role Bumpshay Theodore to Pp two, which would keep mark
Stone likely in that top unit. If Mitch Marner takes
place on one of the elbows, or even they try
and put him down low or move someone else around,
that could bump Markstone off the power play so you
could see a loss of some power play points if
(10:43):
that ends up happening. Number one and number two. He's
thirty three years old, backs surgeries, multiple issues throughout his
career with either fluke injuries or major injuries, and I
think sixty six a list. I would love to see it.
I told everyone seventy games for mark Stone last year.
People I thought I was nuts. He got sixty six.
That's pretty good. I would love to see a repeat
(11:04):
of this. But we were talking on today's Lockdown VGK Show,
and I would look at mark Stone as someone to
fall slightly short of expectations. I don't think he's a
point per game player coming into the season as a
thirty three year old.
Speaker 3 (11:17):
Next guy Tomarash Hurtle, second year in Vegas, sixty nine
point pace skating primarily with Doro Fiev throughout twenty twenty
four to twenty five. That ended up being the second
best point pace of the third best point pace of
his career, but the second best in the last five years,
so that was pretty good. He had a couple of
years in the mid sixties and then fifty eight last year.
(11:39):
Through that split season, his bash is pretty good, four
point five to three, ranking them one hundred and fourteenth
and entering year four of that a little over eight
million a year, which is just going to age better
and better if the cap goes up. As the year progressed.
Last year, Hurdle had a little bit less and less
power play time on I was kind of dwindling. I
think some of the gms the roster and him in
Dynasty or wonder worried that's going to continue with the
(12:02):
trade for Marner. Is Hurdle going to be pushed off
the top powerplay Chris and who do you think he'll
be skating with it even strength.
Speaker 1 (12:08):
That's another thing we talked about Hurdle. I looked up
on Money Puck if you look up Hurdle's face off
percentage on the power play, with particular face off starting
in the offensive zone. I thought it was like an
eighty percent tile or something like that. It was absolutely ridiculous.
Jack Eichol was im easily like thirty something percent in
(12:28):
the same measurable or something like that. So I can't
see Hurdle coming off that top powerplay, which is why
I mentioned Mark Stone in our discussion. In our previous
discussion right there. As far as Hurdle, so Hurdle started
a little slow last year. He really found his game
about December. It felt was five on five metrics seemed
to get a little bit better. Of course, he did
very well on the power played amazing on the power play,
(12:51):
winning that first face off and then getting things going
and just being a real strong net front and presence.
Seventy three games. I think that was very solid coming
off of a knee issue with San Jose the previous season,
and he was a shadow of himself with the Golden
Knights San Jose a couple seasons ago. Last season he
had six games with the Golden Knights in the regular
season in the playoffs. So Hurdle I don't think is
(13:12):
going on. Was shocked today we were on our podcast
and my co host is like, who is second in
scoring for the Golden Knights after Jack Eichel, and I
had to scratch my head. It was actually hurdle second
or third overall, so that certainly caught me off guard.
So hurdle, I think you're safe. I don't know how
the ADP is going. I wouldn't reach for him. Maybe
in your world. But if you're looking for that value
(13:34):
vet in that spot where if you don't want to
take a chance, if you're looking for a nice chunk
of I don't You're not guaranteed anything, but if you're
looking for that safe play at a reasonable ADP or
auction level, hurdle should be a safe bets.
Speaker 2 (13:48):
I'm Barbashev. You just talked about him, and you know what,
I think he would not mind playing with Jack Eichlen
mark Stone again because that turns out to be a
pretty good deal for a player. He did that faith
play last season and excelled in the position. He's actually
older than Jack Eikeel. I didn't realize that man. He
throws a fair number of hits. Barbaschev doesn't seem like
he shoots nearly enough for a guy who shot twenty
(14:11):
point seven percent last year and seventeen point seven percent career.
If you could ever pull out some power play time
you talked about how crowded that's getting He only got
three power play points last year. Seems like this guy
could get himself back up into the sixties like maybe
some of those Saint Louis days. What do you think
of Ivan Barbaschev's year and his future on this team?
Speaker 1 (14:32):
My concern with Barbaschev number one again, I would love
to see that top line come back as Eichelstone and
Barbershev opening up a world of possibilities for coach Cassidy
on the second and third line. With just so much
depth on this team, Barbashev struggles when he has moved
around the lineup. He played all four lines last year.
He did get some fourth line minutes, but primarily in
(14:53):
the top two lines. A couple times he didn't go
down to a third line energy grinder role, which you
would think of. Head degree is okay for that, but
it's really not like he's a good hitting top six
forward who can grind really well and catch you off
guard with just an amazing reverse hit. Just ask Gradchlegudas
(15:14):
about that in the twenty two to twenty three Cup final.
He's done that to a number of players throughout his career.
So the biggest thing with Barbershev, if he can settle
into a familiar place in the lineup, whether it's on
that top line with Michael and Stone, whether he winds
up getting a lot of time with Marner or even
William Carlson. As long as he has the same centerments
for most of the season, he'll be fine. You can
(15:37):
lock him up for fifty plus points. Maybe even if
he's consistently out there with Michael and or Marner, or
you're a top line of Michael, Marner or Barbaschev. Who
knows how that's gonna shake out. He could get into
the sixties. I wouldn't go crazy on him from a
fantasy perspective, But again, like Hurdle, if he's there and
you're not the type that wants to maybe reach for
a younger player who might get you sixty points and
(15:58):
could flop and get your three thirty points, I think
Barbershev is a great to safe play.
Speaker 3 (16:03):
All right. You are also alluded to Pavel Doorrofiev. What
a breakout year for Dorofiev first full.
Speaker 1 (16:09):
Told everybody for years, Dorofiev, I told everybody for years,
investing in this guy's hockey cards. He's going to make
your money.
Speaker 3 (16:15):
Here's one of my guys too. I've always been a
big fan of him, pumping him up, but he finally
did it. His first full season, thirty five goals in
eighty two games was pretty awesome. Only seventeen assists for
fifty base Some of those assists might come a little
bit more. He shot thirteen point eight percent, which isn't
super worrisome. It's actually been lined with what his career
average has been, although it's only one hundred and forty
(16:37):
nine games into that career. He played mostly with Tomash Hurtle,
and his bash is actually decent. Three point eight eight
per game. Two hundred and forty four is his rank
second year of a one point eight million dollar bridge.
I imagine that he might get paid depending on how
this season goes. Chris, do you think we can expect
thirty five plus goals again from Dori Fief?
Speaker 1 (16:58):
You mentioned the contract, and I think that's on the
back of his mind, but I think he's RFA for
two or three more seasons. Just however that RFA nonsense
works out, so I don't think he's gonna get the
bag anytime soon. If he does get a bag, and
if he signs an extension. Now, it's gonna be in
vgk's best interest to lock him up as quickly as possible,
because if he does put up thirty eight forty goals,
we're talking a seven million dollar aav player. Even more,
(17:21):
as we mentioned earlier in the show about the salary
cap rising and rising, I'm very bullish on Dorofiev again,
Mitch Marner is not going Mitch Marner's rival is not
going to hurt Dorofiev's numbers by any means. Coach Cassidy
loves having Dorofiev out there and any scoring circumstance because
he shoots everything. Dude shoots and shoots and shoots. He's
that that a shot from the elbow on the power Player,
(17:43):
even on five. Just a lot of times when you
have a Jack Leikel moving the puck around and not
gonna have Mitch Marner, you're gonna have a lot of
just elite passing going on. But Dorofia doesn't care about that.
He's gonna get the puck on that right circle. He's
gonna fire it every single time. He doesn't matter who's
out there. So I'm actually bullish shandor Fiev to improve
on thirty five goals and fifty points from his breakout season.
Speaker 2 (18:06):
Now we'll give you a buffet of three different.
Speaker 1 (18:10):
I like buffets. We have tensive in Vegas now, but
I like buffets.
Speaker 2 (18:14):
Oh okay, I thought they were supposed to have the
cheap bufats to bring people in. Let's time you were
in Vegas twoenty twenty one.
Speaker 1 (18:21):
I want to say, okay, it was just the start
of it getting expensive. It's terribly expensive.
Speaker 2 (18:25):
Now, Oh no, that's no good. These are not expensive
players because your GM knows how to how to shop.
Riley Smith William Carlson two of the original misfits, Riley
Smith returning from his parapatetic ways on other teams, and
Brett Howden. And last year we had Riley Smith with
forty points, moving around a bit in seventy nine games.
(18:46):
William Carlson only played fifty three, got twenty nine points.
Brett Howden forty points in eighty games. Not sure everybody
noticed that for a bargain bin contract. How do you
like these guys? Who do you like best for this
upcoming year? And what do you see here?
Speaker 1 (19:00):
Riley Smith? He's starting going order, you said, And Riley
Smith is going to be a third line defensive player
who if he gets forty points, that's wonderful. He took
He definitely took a team friendly deal. I think his
AFP projection had him closer to double than the amount
he signed for to stay in Vegas. He's had a
house here ever since he was traded away, and the
dude is everything that you want out of a Las
(19:21):
Vegas citizen. So we're very happy to have him back
in Vegas. As far as scoring output, if he gets
to forty points, that's absolutely wonderful. You said William Carlson next, correct.
William Carlson is someone I would be incredibly bullish on.
You're talking a forty goal scorer some time ago, you're
talking a thirty to thirty player. I believe two regular
(19:42):
seasons ago. The possibility of him out there with Mitch
Marner again, that's what I'm dying to see. Those two
get an extended look in training camp and hopefully once
the season starts. I don't think anything less than a
fifty to fifty five point season is in order for
William Carlson. I could very easily see getting back to
thirty thirty, even thirty five to thirty five. That's the
(20:03):
type of a game he has the ability to play
if he's healthy. And then Brett Howden another one who
I think is going to have a good season. Brett
Howden's main concern is that he's buried on the fourth line.
The extension of Brandon Sad likely bumps Howden down to
the fourth line when the season starts. But Howden is
the Swiss Army knife of the forward unit, so he
can be moved around. He can center any of the
(20:25):
top line, any of the Lions. He could play either wing.
His twenty three goals last year were equivalent to his
three previous seasons, so definitely a good breakout year. There
were some off ice issues, I guess we can say
where Howd's name did come up. And why I'm bringing
that up is because it's been a tough summer on
him and his family and everything. So he cannot wait
(20:48):
to get back on the hockey rank and just focus
on playing hockey. Well.
Speaker 2 (20:52):
Shay Theodore is next, as we moved to the blue line,
and like several other prominent players last year, came out
of the four Nations at tourney not in great.
Speaker 1 (21:03):
Shape the exhibition competition.
Speaker 2 (21:05):
Okay, yeah, exactly In his case, it was an arm
and it cost him a month of the season. Theodore
had a great scoring season, though absolutely fifty seven points
in sixty seven games is tremendous. He really throws amazingly
few hits. This guy had six hits in sixty How
does that even happen with the defenseman?
Speaker 1 (21:23):
But six?
Speaker 2 (21:24):
That's fine? Yeah, I got six hits here. That can't
be right, can't it?
Speaker 1 (21:28):
Chris? What's seen? Major league? It's all we got are
two hits, two GD hits. That's what I'm saying. Wait,
here's shave theatre six. That's right there. No, I say,
I don't think to say that on the air, but
we'll edit.
Speaker 2 (21:40):
But anyway, Petraangelo is going now less competition for some
of the top minutes here, although Theodore was getting him anyway.
This is the first year of Theodore's seven year extension
signed last fall, so the cap crunching ways of this
team will not be further impacting mister Theodore. And seven
point four mill looks to me like a pretty good
deal compared to a lot of the top defenseman, though
(22:01):
it might not be laid into his thirties, but let's
not worry about that now. Theodore was the top power
play defenseman on the team, but now you're talking about
maybe Marner could edge him out. We'll get to the
other top defense on the team in a moment, but
what do you expect Theodore's role to be and his
performance to be this year?
Speaker 1 (22:16):
So co host Tony on today's Actually Lockdown actually brought
up the absence of Petraangel and his thirty three points
that Alex Petraangel head last year. So those points will
be divvied up among the defensemen and some of the forwards,
but mainly among the d And I remember talking to
Shae Theater a couple of years ago when I covered
the team a little more extensively, and I did talk
to him about, hey, Norris candidate, is this something that's
(22:37):
on your Radarn't his eyes lit up? And of course
he gave the carbon copy answer about it would be
an honor for the consideration, But you could just tell
his eyes lit up and there was something there that
I unlocked when I mentioned it. And I've been very
bullish on the fact that Shay Theodore has outside dark
horse Norris consideration. If he's healthy last year and gets
(22:58):
eighty two games, he's got seventy points last season. Plus
or minus, you get the seventy points. That's like that
automatic number where at least your name is in the
conversation people are thinking about it. It's gonna be hard
to ever top of mccarr or Quinn, Hughes and those
fellows and everything Zakwarenski. But Shay Theodore, he is one
healthy season away from at least getting in top five
(23:19):
for Nora's votes. More minutes, we'll see about the power play.
If Mitch Marner does take that quarterback position away from
on the top unit, that will negatively impact Theodore's a
scoring output. But I'll still just stay bullish on him
that if he can just have one healthy season, we're
talking a seventy point player.
Speaker 2 (23:36):
And Noah Hannafin, of course, another top candidate here, another
extremely reliable year from this guy. He misses a few
games in his thirty nine points in eighty games, so
say that's his norm most of the time. Got second
power play minutes for the team last year. Van Statz
didn't love his defense as much as they loved his offense.
His d was just slightly below average for those bad Yeah,
(24:00):
he tended to drag everybody waited the positive on offense
when he was out there, Hanaffan did tend to match
up a bit more against top opponent lines. Give him
a little bit of a break there. But where does
Hanafin fall in this revised defensive core and what do
you expect from him this year?
Speaker 1 (24:15):
I think Petra Angelo's absence will benefit Hannafin, which is unfortunate,
but that's what the reality is. Coach Cassidy talked about
Noi Hannafin last year and just how it was a
slow start and everything. But once Hannafin started getting some
time on the power play, he starts getting more touches
on the puck, and Coach Cassidy mentioned when a player
is used to getting a lot of touches on the puck,
(24:37):
they don't necessarily force things. They let things come to them.
When a player who normally was getting more touches, like
a Noi Hanifan when he was with the Flames before
he came to Vegas, he didn't have to force the
scoring opportunities. So what seemed to happen is he was
getting less touches on the puck. One having Pittraanngelo out
there with them. They were repairing for probably about forty
forty five to fifty games last season. And then number
(24:58):
two with that pitch, with the Hannafin not being on
that top power play unit. To get those touches, he
played a little more irresponsible hockey, I think at times,
which would support the poor defensive metrics. Now hefan's been
there for a season and a half basically, now I
guess you can say it. He knows the system really well.
The team knows Noah Hannafin really well. He'll have probably
(25:20):
be paired up a lot. Could be Theodore, could be McNabb,
who knows how the pairings are going to shake out
this year. But Hannafin, he might go from thirty nine
to forty seven points, which would be really strong. But
don't look at him to get fifty five, sixty points
or anything crazy like.
Speaker 2 (25:35):
That, all right, And otherwise on the defensive line, is
there anybody here forty point pace, thirty five, anything like that?
Speaker 1 (25:44):
Chris no Korzak is new coming up from the American
League in a regular role. Zach white Cloud has never
been that player. Braiden McNabb. He actually, if you're to
find a braid McNabb highlight package. He actually has incredibly
amazing hands when he gets around the net in a
good scoring touch, but very rarely does he find himself
and that's in those circumstances and Jeremy laws and he
(26:05):
penciled into be on the bottom pairing. It looks like again,
stay at home d man responsible and even if Ben
Hutton draws into the line in the end of the
d he's not that guy.
Speaker 3 (26:15):
Let's talk about the goalies then, the Golden Knights. We
ranked tenth and expected goals against p sixty and conceded
the third ranked actual goals per game. Part of that,
of course, you have to attribute to Aiden Hill. He's
the only one back. We have a cure Schmid looks
like he's going to be in the backup role here,
but he'll eleven point seventy nine goals save above expected
(26:36):
point five to nine Delta Fenwick. He had fifty games,
of course, the rest went to Sampsonoff's not there anymore
and he's got sign a new six point two five
times six million dollars contract. Hill was great at least
in the regular season, and I think that it'll be
interesting to see what they do with Shmid. He has
had NHL experience in the past. That's been a while
since he had that many games, but he had pretty
(26:58):
He's had an up and down season. I guess I
would in Henderson. So, Chris, what do you think is
going to happen between these two goalies. I imagine they're going
to lean more heavily on Hill than they have in
the past. But do you tell me what do you
think the split will be and how do you think
they'll perform.
Speaker 1 (27:11):
I think it's hopefully going to be a similar split
as it was between Hill and Samson off last season.
Aiden Hill fifty starts career mark. He keeps setting a
career mark in his number of starts since he joined
Vegas twenty seven and twenty two, twenty three, thirty five
and twenty three, twenty four, fifty and twenty four to
twenty five. I've been a lot of reports about how
(27:33):
he's taking care of his body in the offseason and everything,
and it seems like he is making a better investment
into himself to keep himself healthy and reliable throughout the
entire season. So what would be really nice is if
Aiden got in that fifty two fifty three fifty five
appearance range and got as safe percentage a little closer
to nine to one. Oh, that would of course help
(27:53):
a lot of things. With the Golden Knights and Kiris
Shmanditji's where do we go over? He had some had
a good moment with the New Jersey. Della played last
season largely in the American League with the Henderson Silver Knights.
His metrics were beyond terrible. Call what it is. When
he was with the Silver Knights last year, he was
actually outplayed by Carl Linbaum Pensylin for the starter's role
(28:14):
with the Silver Knights, but much better metrics than Schmid.
I think there could be a training camp competition between
those two. But in the same breath, I think this
is where I as a fan, as a media person,
whatever you want to call me, as far as the
Golden Knights are concerned. But I think it's important to
respect Kelly McCrimmon and that McCrimmon knows what he's doing
(28:35):
out there when it comes to putting the right people
in the right spot. So if McCrimmon believes in Schmid
to be a capable backup of twenty five thirty ish
starts next season, I think he'll be okay, but I
would park the name Carl Linbaum in the back of
your minds as well. Especially if Aiden or Schmid goes down,
that would open up an opportunity for lin Baum to
come up and he could steal a large share of
(28:57):
the net next seasons.
Speaker 2 (29:00):
This has been a great tour around the Vegas gold
to Knights. Tell people how they should keep up with
everything you're doing this year.
Speaker 1 (29:07):
Yeah, no, catch me a lockdown Vegas Golden Nights anywhere
you get your podcasts and on YouTube. We record five
days a week. Sometimes me and my son actually record
a special show on Saturday mornings to compete with the
Saturday Morning cartoons. So Lockdown VGK we have real good
time talking everything Vegas Golden Knights, and hopefully some of
you decide to check it out.
Speaker 2 (29:28):
Chris, there hasn't been Vegas Golden Night. There haven't been
Saturday Morning cartoons since our days.
Speaker 1 (29:33):
Are you serious? It's terrible. It's actingly like Major League
was a fun movie to watch when I came out,
like in the early nineties.
Speaker 2 (29:39):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (29:40):
All right, well what do you do on Saturday mornings? Then?
What do you do? They are your phone.
Speaker 2 (29:44):
It's like nature stuff. And kids don't watch TV anyway.
They're watching YouTube twenty four hours a day. They don't
know what they're watching them.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
It's good for them.
Speaker 2 (29:53):
In my day, we watched TV and we liked it.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
You hear we interacted with each other. We talk to
each other face to face.
Speaker 2 (29:58):
That's right, when we were watching TV. All right, Thanks
Chris for coming on and talking with us.
Speaker 1 (30:04):
Cheers everybody, Thank you, Victor.
Speaker 2 (30:07):
There is something else we gotta talk about. Don't we
have something special to give to the listeners.
Speaker 3 (30:14):
That's right. Jesse Dauber Hockey has generously given us a
couple of free copies of their amazing fantasy Hockey guide.
It's the Bible. It's the best fantasy hockey guide out there,
and we're gonna give it away to some of our listeners.
All you need to do is leave us a recent
from the time you hear this five star review on
appule Pad Podcasts or the podcast app of your choice,
(30:35):
and then send it to me, Victor, a screenshot with
your name or a way to identify you and your
most recent five star review, Otherwise I don't have a
way to track who it was. And then we'll select
a couple of the winners from all those who enter,
and get you your guide.
Speaker 1 (30:58):
Since that's good fire pasp Oh my goodness, world long
goal with a cat?
Speaker 3 (31:04):
What gram?
Speaker 2 (31:09):
Now it's your winglet goalie talk with Kat Silverman, Kat's Instincts.
Speaker 3 (31:14):
Time once again for Kat's Instincts with Kat Silverman at
Ben gold mag we're talking Golden Knights goalies and Pavel
Moisovich is the first guy we're going to talk about.
He's six foot seven, one hundred and ninety pounds drafted
third round twenty twenty four. The previous season he got
into thirteen KHL games with nineteen VHL games, and this
past season he increased his KHL the VHL ratio to
(31:36):
eighteen to five, which was nice. His KHL numbers took
a bit of a hit for Scott Saint Pete, but
overall still looking like a strong prospect. Hockey Prospecting has
him trending up from thirty two to sixty seven to
seventy seven percent chance of being in an HLER. He
looks a lot like the Ilios Samsonoff and Brziglof, So
that's fun. Take your pick between the two. Kat Witter
(31:58):
Instincts tell us about Moisovich.
Speaker 4 (32:00):
I think he's a project. He is huge. I believe
when he was drafted at six foot five and he
has grown another two inches since then. The Aiden Hill
Way and to follow the Aiden Hill Way, he looks
like he is seering out what the extra inch is
in his limbs are going to do for him. I
think he's got really good speed. I think for a
(32:22):
guy who is as tall as he is, he's pretty mobile.
I think he needs to add some more muscle, because
he does look like if the game is really starting
to fall out of favor for him. He doesn't lose
his decision making power and he doesn't lose his timing,
but he does lose his strength, and so his structure
starts to fall apart. And since he has so long limbed,
he can open up additional holes in the net that
(32:47):
I think are easier to exploit for those more talented shooters.
So I don't necessarily ever watch him play and think,
oh he is he has completely lost all form, and
that is something that to use. The Hill comparable is
something that we would see. We talk about goalie deflation
sometimes where a guy just kind of loses his spark
(33:09):
halfway through a game and you can tell that the
bad goals are mentally getting to them. I don't see
Moisovich do that, but I do see where even if
he is mentally stayed engaged in the game, and even
if his timing still looks nice and his movement should
still be crisp based on the decision making he's enacting,
he physically doesn't have the ability to do it, and
(33:32):
not something that can come in time because he is
still pretty young. I turns twenty one in a couple
months here. But I think we need to see that
physical development, and then we need to see, once he
has physically developed, how he is able to maintain the
agility because he's a really, really fluid mover, which is
(33:55):
something that sometimes when we see these goaltenders under kind
of a later growth spurt, we see them lose some
of the fluidity in their game, where they could forget
what their reaches, they forget what their optimal angles are.
They can need to retool their technique, and it seems
like if he had to do that, he did it
very seamlessly. I just want to see if, once he
(34:15):
adds a little bit more physical strengths, if he's able
to balance that with his current agility and flexibility without
staying easy to fatigue, because that would like gate him
to a pretty clear tweener backup role in the long term.
Speaker 1 (34:33):
Nice.
Speaker 3 (34:33):
All right, let's talk about the other guy, Carl Linbaum
six one, one hundred and ninety pounds drafted in the
seventh round in twenty twenty. This past season he made
the transition to North America and played in the AHL.
Speaker 1 (34:43):
He had really good.
Speaker 3 (34:44):
Numbers in thirty six games for the Henderson Silver Knights,
and his trajectory has been steadily increasing from zero to
fifteen to twenty three to forty four to fifty five
percent chance of being in an each other. That zero,
by the way, is because Byron didn't have an equivalency
for the league he played in, not necessarily reflective of
his skill level. Looking at some comps for him and
(35:05):
tearing it Amaki as someone who seems like it might fit.
He was an average starter for the Flyers back in
the day, and that seems like it could be reasonable. Kat,
What your interstings tell us about Karl not to be
confused with his brother, Olaf Linbaum.
Speaker 4 (35:18):
I first off, I loved that one of his potential
comps is Karri Ramo, because that's a name that I'd
forgotten about. I think that's delightful. We always support a
good Karri Ramo comp He is someone that I don't
want to tell people to necessarily jump on the hype train,
(35:39):
but I respect his perseverance because I think when he
was first drafted, I said, this guy looks fine. I
was like, there's nothing that we love about him, there's
nothing that we hate about him. I think when we've
talked about him in the past, I've said, this guy's fine,
there's nothing that we love about him, there's nothing that
we hate about him. He just played a really almost
(36:00):
textbooks stereotypical Swedish archetypal style of play where he's got
pretty decent movement from his knees. He's a pretty fluid
skater who likes to get into a nice rhythm early
tracks pretty well, doesn't get super aggressive with his depths,
likes to do a little bit more lateral movement versus
(36:20):
hinging out from the posts. Pretty decent hands, but nothing
was overly stellar, and it seems every year Nothing has
gone from being pretty good but not stellar to stellar
but nothing. His backslid and he has with each successive
year taken on a little bit more responsibility, and he
went from playing j twenty and twenty twenty one, twenty
(36:44):
two to playing at the Hockeyel Spenskin level, and then
he took on a starting role in Hockey Allsvenskin for Dragreddons,
and then last year he handed up loaned two or
two years ago, handed up loaned to the SHL, managed
to succeed at all three levels, made his way over
to North America, managed to succeed for the Henderson Silver Knights.
(37:05):
So I'm excited to see what he's able to do,
and I am excited to watch some of his games live.
This year we are able to go to more more
live games if he stays in the AHL, And I'm
intrigued to see what he's able to do, just because
he just can't quietly trucking along not doing anything wrong.
(37:25):
And it's guys seeing that he's not a goaltender that
I'm like, He's not a Dustin Wolf, he's not a
Lucas do Staal who I'm over betting on and trying
to hype pump up the crowd for. But he's someone
that I'm not really willing to caution anyone against because
(37:46):
he's crushing it.
Speaker 3 (37:50):
Love to hear it. Thanks so much, Cafriget. My insurance
sayings on the Golden Night.
Speaker 2 (37:54):
Boys will be back right after this. Dig the Dynasty
(38:15):
Dig Vegas Golden Knight's Edition. There's been the story of
the Vegas Golden Nights since their inception that they are
not afraid to trade off some prospects, and they have
never built up a huge system. And right now you
have them ranked number twenty five. Nonetheless, there are relevant
prospects here and it starts with a new brainer.
Speaker 3 (38:33):
Trevor Connolly, yep, the notorious twenty eight, twenty four to
nineteenth overall pick. If you remember, he had some off
ice issues that caused him default in nineteenth overall. Vegas
was very happy to snatch him up there. The six
foot one hundred and sixty five pounds left wing finished
his time in the USHL after his draft season and
(38:54):
went on to the NCAA for Providence College and had
thirteen points in twenty three games by injury, and then
he actually finished up, signed his pro contract and went
to the AHL. Had four points in six games for
the Henderson Silver Knights, not bad. He was also on
that gold winning team for the USA at the World
Juniors four points in seven games, and so that was
(39:17):
all pretty good. Looking at his FHL player card, it
it's pretty interesting. It shows that his transition game is
excellent across the board, really high marks there. His play
driving overall in college was really good. His FEDERWA can
corsi net expected goal is good. The puck battles won
a little bit on the lower side, but loose puck
(39:37):
recover recovery very good, really strong for takeaways too, if
that happens to be a thing, and pims in your
league's very good for pims. His bash, on the other hand,
a little bit lower. He's in the thirtieth percentile for
blocks it hits, but the shots are really good. So overall,
I have n't had a six point one two twelve
percent chance of being just above average on your fantasy team.
And that's not because of the scoring and playmaking. It's
(39:59):
more or because of the compete level and some of
the off ice issues that continue to just not be
as big of an issue but be some concerns that
he may not be the easiest teammate to get along with.
But that's a little bit about Connolly. Let's hear a
little more Jesse from FHL Scout.
Speaker 2 (40:17):
And our scouting report, and Trevor Conley comes from FHL
Scout Craig. He says that the skating was below average,
looked slow in a step behind. Gaining the red line
even for a dumpin was a struggle as defenders were
able to backcheck and close the gap on him. Below
average passing and handling. Not big on passing, usually takes
a shot or skates himself into trouble. The shooting was
(40:39):
above average, though Conley can rip it with a quick
little snapshot. The hockey IQ is low panic, which causes
him to wait too long most times and skates himself
into a corner for checking average. Connolly does not or
does throw the body when given the chance, but he's
not out there looking for hits defense average for a winger.
Nothing stood out in a negative way, but he wasn't
(41:00):
making any sort of game changing plays. So the best
asset was the shot. That'll be his ticket to the
NHL if he can find a way to find open
ice to use it. The biggest concern the one dimensional game.
If he isn't shooting pucks and scoring. Then he isn't
doing a whole lot of anything else. The top tier
outcome potential tier two sixty to seventy points with modest Bash.
(41:22):
It was a rough year for Conley adjusting to quicker
play in stronger competition, but if he can continually grow
and develop, he has the tool set to be a
top six winger. The median outcome for him tier three
limited Bash. That's if Connley struggles to improve against tougher competition,
then he's going to be forced down the lineup. The
style is to comparable Mackie Samuskievitch, but with a lesser
(41:45):
ability to find open ice and get the shot off.
And the final thoughts from Craig, Conley has a long
way to go before he would ever consider him in
the NHL. Needs to learn to move the puck much
earlier and limit the poor giveaways. Mason the NHL ranking
and Rainy Top Division champion in the Tide, he put
(42:05):
out the poll Trevor Conley versus Michael Hage of the
Montreal Canadians. It's a whitewash. Michael Hage seventy seven Trevor
Conley twenty three. Victor is that big of a difference
between Hage and Connelly.
Speaker 3 (42:20):
Yeah, I would say so. I would definitely rather have Hage.
His NCAA season was a little bit more productive. He
doesn't really have the osife issues. He is most likely
going to be a center, whereas I think Connall is
most likely a wing. So there's some differences there in
terms of maybe being a little bit harder to make
an impact down the middle. For Hage, I think his
(42:41):
upside is capped at a two C, whereas Connolly might
get some looks on the top line. So I think
that there's some There's definitely some interesting differences there. Hage
went overpoint per game at Michigan in his first season,
so you love to see that. If you look at
the ranking app his comps are pretty nice, guys like
Cole Coffield, Joel Farrabee somewhere in that range, and for
Connolly somewhere between Keeper Bellows and Nick Schmaltz, which is
(43:05):
a wide range. Looking at the hockey prospect in between
the two, it's definitely Hage. Connolly went down from seventeen
to ten percent chance of being a star, and Hage
went down from thirty one to nineteen percent chance of
being a start. Hage finished a little bit higher than
where Connolly began, and I definitely like the upside there.
It's a good comp too, because both guys were in
(43:26):
the USHL and then went to the NCAA and their
draft plus one season.
Speaker 1 (43:31):
If you look at.
Speaker 3 (43:31):
The FHL player card for Hage, it's a little less
sparkling on the transition, but overall really good. It's basically
just different in that he doesn't dump the puck in
or out. He carries it or passes it, and so
those are both elite. His net expected goals is really
high and so it's his Fenwick, but his course is
a little bit lower. The loose puck recovery is excellent
for Hage, and the puck battle is a little bit lower.
(43:51):
Bash probably going to be better. The hits are above
sixty percent, blocks are right around average, and the shots
are only in the seventies eight percentile, so overall his
BASH should be around seventies. He is a center, he
takes a lot of face offs, he wins most of them,
so that might be a deciding factor too. He also
does get a fair amount of pims, and overall I
think the scoring and his whole game is more translatable,
(44:14):
so I have him had a six point seventy four.
Looking at some other comps for Connolly, there's some interesting
ones here. I think Jack Raslovick is probably one, just
in terms of his point production. I'm not sure about
the rest of his all around game. I think Connolly
might have more upside and certainly has more bash, but
maybe that's the type of points you can expect. And
(44:34):
the j Fresh card for Connolly five percent chance of
being a star, twenty two percent chance of being an
NHL are as usual a little bit more pessimistic there.
Speaker 2 (44:41):
Jesse very good victor who's the need to know prospect?
Speaker 3 (44:47):
The need to know would be Matteo Nobert. Or it
might be no Bear. Actually I'm not sure. He is
a twenty twenty five third round pick by Vegas, six
foot er, one hundred and sixty eight pounds. He he
was playing in the queue for the Blaineville Boa bron
Armada and sixty seven points and fifty seven games, not
too bad, and had a decent run in the playoffs
(45:11):
as well. Looking at the tracking data from Mitch Brown,
it's not that great for Nobert. He overall thirty eight
percent percentile the defense and transition game was a little
bit better, but none of it's above fifty percent, which
is a little bit concerning. His best things are probably
his controlled entries, his cross lane plays off puck assists,
(45:33):
but even his shots for sixty expected primary goals and assists,
all that's a bit lower. If you look at my
Fantasy Hockey Life player card, you can see that there's
a little bit more credit here, or I guess similarly
good for his transition game in spots, the breakouts via
dump out and passing, all that looks pretty good. Most
of his play driving doesn't look that good, except as
(45:55):
net expected goals is really high, but his course he's
really low. Fenwick isn't so great, and the bash isn't
so great either. Both the hits in the blocks are
in the thirtieth percentile and the shots are in the seventies,
So overall he'd probably be below average for bash and
definitely for pims. So overall you're banking on some point
production translation. So I have him at a six point
(46:15):
one one, just eleven percent chance of being above average.
But let's see if there's anything else above average for
Mateo and Obert from artifagraal scout Jesse.
Speaker 2 (46:25):
Lead scout Patrick says this about Miteo Nobert. He is
an above average skater, good edgework and speed, able to
get up and down the ice with ease, talented passer
and handler adapted quality passes to teammates, including home run passes.
The handling includes the ability to transport it up the ice.
Nobert has a quick and accurate release on his shot.
(46:46):
Most of his goals come within ten feet through accurate
risters or soft handed defections or movers. The hockey IQ
above average IQ, passinger and movement demonstrate calmness and seeing
the play the fore checking a capable for checker, and
Nobert will check or use his stick to steal the
puck and keep the play in the zone. Defense tail
(47:08):
skates back, hard covers his man on in zone coverage,
and helps on the penalty kill, but can be inconsistent
in his coverage. So the best asset. Several good assets here,
but the puck skills in soft touch are probably the
best and the biggest concern. Although he does help on defense,
his coverage needs to be more consistent. The top tier
(47:29):
potential outcome middle six around power play one with sixty
to seventy points. That's because he has deficiencies that he
can shore up to reach a high end third liner
or good second liner. The median outcome here bottom six
around power Play two with forty five to fifty five points.
If he can't improve his weaknesses sufficiently, he has enough
skill to play a lesser role. The style istic comparable
(47:52):
a man who's a legend in Finland. Let me tell
you Michael Granlindas in black. The NHL ranking put Mattimo
Nobert up against Luca Romano, and Romano of New York
Calendars draft is much higher fifty nine to forty one
over Nobert, Victor. Is this how you see it?
Speaker 3 (48:15):
Probably not when the reality is that these are all
depth lottery picks. Probably not anything to get too excited about.
But I would definitely take No Bird. I think he
has more scoring upside. His PNHL is much higher, which
I'm surprised. Usually when people vote on these polls, they
just click whoever has a higher PNHLLY so interesting to
see that they didn't really do that. If you just
look at the comps for No Bird, there's some pretty
(48:36):
good ones like Tim Omeyer is an eightieth percentile match.
Jack Quinn is also there, Jared Anderston Dolan, so there's
a range there, but I could see him working out
similar to those guys, and for Luca Romano, they're all
basically guys that didn't really do much like Vanilitary, So
definitely leading Nobt there. I think he's still a little raw,
He's got a long ways to go. But also as
(48:58):
we're recording this, he's still seventeen. He's been seventeen his
whole draft year and he will be eighteen his whole
draft plus one year, so he's also really young, and
I sometimes you got to give him the benefit of
the doubt there and maybe he can increase that scoring
quite a bit. Romano is also pretty young June twenty fifth,
he's in the OHL and had a pretty good season
(49:18):
for Kitchener, just under a point per game. So overall,
these are both pretty decent depth options if you're training
to take some swings later in your draft. But I
would go no Bert looking at the Hockey prospecting between
the two thirteen percent chance of being a star for Nobert,
he really popped off in his draft season, was a
lot lower in his D minus one season and Romano
just three percent chance of being a star. His NHLI
(49:42):
was pretty low in the OHL. The rest of the
player card for Romano shows that his BASH is a
little bit higher, his transition game is pretty good, and
his play driving might even be a little bit better.
But I have him had a five point four or five,
just because I'm not so sure about the scoring upside.
Looking at some other comps for Nobert, there aren't a
whole lot of good ones. But Jesse Kiskanen is maybe
(50:02):
one who's still developing in the Nashville Predator system. There
aren't a whole lot of other other great comps for him.
Looking at the j Fresh card just two percent chance
of being a star, thirteen percent chance of being in
NHL or as always a bit more pessimistic there.
Speaker 2 (50:18):
And Victor the keep your eye on prospect.
Speaker 3 (50:22):
The keep your eye on is Jacob is Wolve's Woesnyak.
Jacob is Wolznyak. He is a twenty twenty five second
round pick by the Vegas Golden Knights. He is Australian.
That's fun, definitely one of the few Australian born players
we have. He's actually Swedish, descent, but he's has a
(50:43):
nationality for Australia. Maybe we'll see them in the Olympics.
It'll be fine. I'll probably not so looking at what
he did, sixty two hundred ninety pounds he played. He's
developing in Sweden and he played many played at the
J twenty this year. Had really nice season, fifty seven
points in forty games. He did get a few SHL
games two points in thirteen games, so overall, not too
(51:07):
exciting in the SHL as you might expect. His U
eight teens that were really good seven points in seven games,
so that's pretty nice. You look at his FHL player
card and you see a lot of red, a lot
of his transition game is not ideal, and this is
from the J twenty league, not the SHL, but he
did have some pretty good play driving. His bash is excellent,
(51:28):
so that's something to know about Jacob is Wolsniak is
that his hits are really high, his shots are good,
and his blocks are pretty average as well. So all
in all, his bash looks really high and all of
that looks pretty good as pims are about average, so
there's a decent peripheral floor there. While you wait for
some potential scoring upside. Let's hear about that potential scoring
upside from our FHL scout Jesse.
Speaker 2 (51:50):
Jacob is Wolsniak is the next man on the agenda
and this is FHL lead scout Tony's scouting report. Jacob
can be a smooth, fluid skater at times, although it
does not look like he's that fast. Passing and handling
above average handling and passing the puck, although usually the
puck is not on his stick long enough to find out. Shooting,
(52:13):
he has a variety of shots, slap shots, wrist shots,
one timers. His shots are usually accurate and he can
get his own shot off the hockey IQ smart player,
able to anticipate where to go to get open for
a pass from a teammate to get his shots. For checking,
Tony did see some Ford checking, especially when he turned
over the puck, but also saw sometimes where it was
(52:34):
just a stickwave defense. Did not see a lot of
defense from Jacob other than some stick defense. Tony would
say the best asset here for is Wolsnyak is his
ability to get his shots off, either by himself or
by finding a teammate or finding an opening to receive
a pass from a teammate. The biggest concern lack of defense,
not a lot of bash. Top tier potential outcome Tier one,
(52:57):
top six player, and that's because he could re Tier
one with his shooting in a lot of power play time,
the median outcome, Tier three, bottom six or extra forward.
That's because a lack of defense and sometimes lackluster play
and not a lot of bash could come back to
haunt him. Tony had trouble coming up with a great comparable,
but he did say it. Did see one scout say
(53:19):
Andre Berkowski, and the final thought could have a productive
career if he can even out the peaks and valleys,
pick up defense and physicality. And Mason Black puts Jacobismo
Woosniak up against fellow Draftdee Sheen Vesagi of the Philadelphia Flyers.
I believe we had audio on both of these guys
(53:40):
that came back. I'm not sure if all of it
made the show, but I know you got on the
scrum for both these guys. I'm pretty sure victor Is
Woosnyak is the winner. Is fifty eight percent is forty
two percent for Vonsagi. One of the great Philly hitters
here is that correct.
Speaker 3 (53:59):
Yeah, I think so. I'm thinking that I probably would
take is Wozniak. I like Shane Venzagi a lot too,
and both of these guys are actually pretty big bashers.
As we talked about in a previous episode, Philly basically
picked all bashers for the most part, and his Venzagi's
bash predicts to be ninety fifth percentile, so he's way
(54:21):
up there for hits and shots are pretty good. The
blocks are lower, but overall he hits a ton and
think gets a lot of pymns, so that part's going
for you. But I don't know about the rest of
his game, translating scoring wise. So that's why I have
n Sagi at a five point four to nine and
is Wozniak I have a little bit higher than that.
I would take him just for the scoring up side,
(54:42):
there's also a decent peripheral floor. We're eager to see
what is no Wozniak can do in the SAHL next season.
Hopefully he'll get some time there. If you look at
the comps here, none of them are super good in
terms of either of them in the PNHL model, but
in the Hockey Prospect model, there's ten percent chance of
being a star for is Bosniak and just two percent
(55:04):
for Van Sagi and a little bit better comps for
is Wozniak. Maybe someone like Sam Steele could be a
good comp there. I think that there's some reasonable ones there.
He seems to fit pretty closely to what is Bosniak
could be if you look at the j fresh card,
five percent chance of being a star, twenty five percent
chance of being an NHL or so a little bit
(55:26):
more optimism there, but overall, as usual, a little pessimistic.
I think that'll shift once we see a little bit
more shl time from is Wozniak, which hopefully will happen
this year. That's it for the Vegas Golden Night's Dig.
If you're a patron, you can listen to my top
ten prospect recaps per team, which actually I only have
about five to go. Most of them are out there,
And if you're interested in doing any scouting or helping
with the show, shoot me a DM on Twitter, Discord,
(55:48):
or email us.
Speaker 2 (55:51):
We'll be right back Wosabi Show.
Speaker 1 (56:02):
Our show is brought.
Speaker 2 (56:03):
To you by Say It with Me fantracks dot com.
It is the place to get all your fantasy sport
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(56:23):
and it's the only place I want to play my games.
Fan Tracks HQ is fantasy content articles on fantasy hockey
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(56:45):
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(57:06):
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(57:27):
and if you ever been to Daber Hockey Daber Prospects,
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And you may have heard something about a draft guide.
I do a solo show called Dynasty Sports Live, talk
(57:49):
about different Dynasty sports. Recently, I've been having a great
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probably deal with in fantasy hockey. It's just Dynasty questions.
Generally follow us on social media the one Victor Jesse
Severe over on Blue Sky and on x you can
(58:13):
still find us fan Hockey Life, Victor Nuno, twelve Rate
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Because we want to hear from you only good things mainly,
but any kind of thing, because we're just here to
keep help you live in that fantasy hockey life
Welcome to Fantasy Hockey Life, presented by fan Tracks. Here
sits your source of information and analysis to help you
win your fantasy hockey league. Block off hot a step
hit on, staylock block. Here's your hosts, Jesse Severe and
Victor Nuno Fantasy Hockey.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
Live back once again. Jesse's Severe fan Tracks and Victor Nunio,
the Fantasy Hockey Doctor is in. Victor, how you doing today?
Speaker 3 (00:34):
I'm doing awesome? Jesse, I am in, I am here.
How are you doing? My friend?
Speaker 1 (00:38):
Good?
Speaker 2 (00:38):
Remember when the doctor was in? Do you remember Peanuts?
Did you ever watch did you ever read Peanuts? The
Doctor is in and Lucy had it in the psychiatric
help five cents. If I gave you five cents, would
you give me psychiatric help?
Speaker 3 (00:52):
Yes, and hopefully it would be worth more than that,
but that's a low bar. I think I can hit that.
And also, fun fact, did you know that I live
in Santa Rosa now, which is where Charles Schultz ended
up moving to. He was from Minnesota originally and really
into hockey. So there's a big hockey rink complex here
and everything around town is Peanuts. There's characters, there's statues,
(01:14):
there's the airport. Everything's named after Schultz. It's pretty cool.
Speaker 2 (01:18):
That's freaking amazing. Yeah, I know he was very charitable.
I read his I think I read his autobiography when
I was younger. I was a huge fan when I
was a kid. But yeah, he definitely enjoyed skating. I
think he had something for Peggy Fleming. But anyway, Yeah,
so Victor, obviously we're going to set up a room
in the Fantasy Hockey Life Discord. Maybe won't make it
patron only, maybe just completely open psychiatric help from Victor.
(01:40):
Five cents and so people can join the patriot, join
the discord, which is free. Which is free. It's less
than five cents, less than five cents even to get
into discord. Maybe Victor won't do that, but we'll talk
it out. And to get in there, all you have
to do is email is Fantasy HOCKEYLFET gmail dot com.
A bunch of rooms. Now is a great time to
come in. By the way, if you're like I'm sitting
(02:00):
here thinking about having a Fantasy hockey league this year,
just a redraft or whatever, or start up a dynasty,
and I'm going to end up in a league with
a bunch of randos. Guess what you don't have to
do that. You could go in there and pick your
own randos. You could meet up with new people who
probably have a certain level of competence and interest that
would match yours. And we encourage people to organize leagues
(02:23):
amongst themselves and have a room to do that. That
would be one thing that they could do. But Victor,
in addition to that free Fantasy Hockey Life discord, we
do other things.
Speaker 1 (02:31):
What are they?
Speaker 3 (02:33):
Yeah, lots of great stuff that we offer over at
patreon dot com slash Fantasy Hockey Life. You can get
in and get some bonus content there. You can get
access to all kinds of cool things, like the show notes.
I was just reminding all the patrons that every episode
we do has about forty pages worth of notes with
grafts and all kinds of cool stuff, and some of
it's really valuable. We take notes on what the guests
(02:55):
say and oftentimes you get that before the episode's even
come out, which is pretty helpful. So that's one thing
you can get one on one help. You can get
help with your draft, give you advice. You can look
at the website, the paid the player cards, the ranks,
the tiers, the list, all the good things, so check
that out over at patreon dot com slash Fantasy Hockey Life.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
Yeah, we even try to take notes on what the
guest says about individual players in there. You can see
it in black ink. And if you look at the notes,
if you look at victors, you see very organized bullet points,
the kind that would end up making you a doctor
if you were studying. And if you've seen Mind, it's
a run on sentence of all the things that I
heard but hopefully caught the main points. In any event,
(03:37):
those things are all open, by the way, if you
haven't been able to get into them lately, they are.
I fixed them today because they were They weren't all
allowing access.
Speaker 1 (03:45):
You're not going to get edit access people, but you.
Speaker 2 (03:47):
Can go in there and read them. We'll be right
back with our interview. We welcome to the show. Chris
like locked on Vegas Golden Knights edition, Ready to talk
to some Vegas Golden Knights. How you doing today, Chris.
Speaker 1 (04:06):
It's hot and it's smoky in Vegas. But besides that,
life is good. We got Mitch Marner, so life is good. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (04:13):
I heard something about that. Did something happen out there.
I heard something about that. Yeah, yeah. There are so
many ways that Canada was set on fire this summer,
and that was just one of them. Too soon. Sorry, guys,
anybody impacted by the wildfires. I apologized for that remark,
but Chris, I will not apologize for talking to you
about the Vegas Golden Knights, who had an amazing season.
(04:34):
Once again. You got to take the w's where they are.
They were third and standings points, there were fifth and goals,
the third fewest goals against, the second best power play,
penalty kill was a little bit down, fourth, most shots
and the fewest shots against. The Vegas Golden Knights won
the Pacific for the fifth time in their eight year history.
(04:55):
They had another great regular season, although McDavid and dry
Siddle brought their season two halt in round two with
one of the good Stewart Skinner series as we know them,
and Vegas uncharacteristically lost at home three times in that
Edmonton series for elimination. If I'm reading my notes right still,
this is one of the dominant teams of the current era. Chris,
(05:16):
absolutely the Vegas gold Knight, and we will talk about
all the ways they got stronger for next year. Kelly
mccrimmin's black magic continues to make all the cap work.
What are you expecting for next year, sir?
Speaker 1 (05:29):
I mean it's got the vibe of Stanley Cupp or
Busts with the obviously adding Marner keeping the band together
for the most part, improvements in net with Aiden Hills game.
So really it's hard to have that pressure going into
a season. But with the roster the Golden Knights have
when they're with their championship pedigree, it's still is just
(05:50):
so strange we even say that about this team, but
with the championship pedigree, it really feels like Stanley Cup
lea Stanley Cup Final or bust.
Speaker 3 (06:00):
Yeah, for sure, and you're already alluded to it right
off the top that you got Mitch Marner and that
was obviously the big get of the off season. One
hundred two points in twenty four to twenty five definitely
a career season, great year with Austin Matthews as a
setup man. I think it remains to be seen how
all that's going to continue in Vegas, but really great production. Obviously,
seventy five assists is pretty amazing. He's never been the
(06:23):
biggest basher. He only has three point two to three
block shots and hits per game, which ranks him four
hundred and thirtieth, but twelve million times eight years means
he's going to be there for a long time. Chris,
the question is will the production continue in Vegas that
we've come to know and love for Mitch Marner.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
If you're talking about one hundred point player, that's maybe
where we pump the brakes a little bit. Having Austin
Matthews that dish the puck two as an elite finisher
is something that the Golden Knights don't necessarily have a
comparable for. Yes, Paveldorfia, I'm sure we're going to talk
about him later, but is Dorofiev going to replicate what
happened last year in CANDORFIAV be what Austin Matthews has
(07:05):
been for a large part of Mitch Marner's career, and
that remains to be seen. Of course, Jack Michael, his
scoring input could go up depending on how the line
shakeout Toamash Hurtle is, But I don't know if one
hundred and two point pace in eighty one games is
necessarily a reasonable expectation for Mitch.
Speaker 2 (07:22):
Marner, superstar, Mitch Marner. We have superstar at home, and
his name is Jack Eichel. He was the ninth leading
scorer in hockey this year. I don't need to tell
you that, Chris, but I need to tell the listeners.
And if you go by the minute, he was fifth
among full timers in points per minute. Mind you a
lot with secondary assists. He was number one in secondary
(07:43):
assists the rate. But let's not quibble. I go as
by far the leading scorer on this team. Remember when
it was chancey to trade for this guy? Sure seems
like it was not now. The biggest risk might be
how they hang on to him after his last year
at only ten million dollars is up at the end
of the season, go miss some games with an up
body injury late in the season, seems like point per
(08:04):
game playoffs would suggest he was fine by the time
the season wrapped up. Goes in his prime, He's well
over a point per game for his career. Are you
expecting the same level again this year? And if not
more or less than.
Speaker 1 (08:16):
That, I think that ninety two to one hundred point
range is very reasonable for Jackleicel. Long story short, and
more of the same seems to be the proper way
to look at that been very reliable since during the
gold Knights sixty three games last season seventy seven to
this previous season. Of course, never wonder what's gonna happen
with the Olympics and things like that. There's gonna be
(08:36):
a downfall after that, or lessening in minutes, or a
possible injury or anything like that. But again, the addition
of Mitch Marner. If those two are on the same line,
or at least on the same power play unit, which
they definitely will be, there's gonna be a lot of
soft ice out there, which should certainly make scoring come
a little bit easier for Jack Michaels. So I think
I wouldn't put him for any less than ninety four
(08:58):
points honestly. Next season coming season.
Speaker 2 (09:01):
And Mark Stone the captain, continues to play excellent hockey,
it seems increasingly unlikely his games played will ever start
within eight again or even seven number maybe, but sixty six, hey, look,
it's more than in a year since the year he
was traded from Ottawa, so that's good. I always feel
like Stone would get more more bash, more block shots
(09:22):
and hits, but that's not really his game, even though
he's got a defensive reputation and skill, but his scoring
rows above a point per game for the first time
since again that year he was traded from Ottawa and
he put up good stats in the playoffs too. Played
with Jack Eichel again last year. Now you're talking about
Mitch Marner coming in. Mark Stone was a power play
(09:43):
one guy again, excellent twenty five power play points, second
on the team to Jack Eigel in goals above replacement.
Can we get a sixty games Stone again? Is he
gonna be with Eikel again? What are you thinking about
the upcoming year for mark Stein?
Speaker 1 (09:58):
Personally, I would love to see that top unit come
back out as Ichel, Stone and Barbershev and then the
second line. I'm actually hoping William Carlson and Mitch Marner
get a chance to go together. I'm sure we'll talk
about some of those players a little bit later in
this show, but as far as Mark Stone, so I
guess the question to start would be on the power
play with Mark Stone? Is he going to remain on
(10:22):
that top power play unit. A couple things that could
happen in Vegas as Mitch Marner takes over the quarterback
role Bumpshay Theodore to Pp two, which would keep mark
Stone likely in that top unit. If Mitch Marner takes
place on one of the elbows, or even they try
and put him down low or move someone else around,
that could bump Markstone off the power play so you
could see a loss of some power play points if
(10:43):
that ends up happening. Number one and number two. He's
thirty three years old, backs surgeries, multiple issues throughout his
career with either fluke injuries or major injuries, and I
think sixty six a list. I would love to see it.
I told everyone seventy games for mark Stone last year.
People I thought I was nuts. He got sixty six.
That's pretty good. I would love to see a repeat
(11:04):
of this. But we were talking on today's Lockdown VGK Show,
and I would look at mark Stone as someone to
fall slightly short of expectations. I don't think he's a
point per game player coming into the season as a
thirty three year old.
Speaker 3 (11:17):
Next guy Tomarash Hurtle, second year in Vegas, sixty nine
point pace skating primarily with Doro Fiev throughout twenty twenty
four to twenty five. That ended up being the second
best point pace of the third best point pace of
his career, but the second best in the last five years,
so that was pretty good. He had a couple of
years in the mid sixties and then fifty eight last year.
(11:39):
Through that split season, his bash is pretty good, four
point five to three, ranking them one hundred and fourteenth
and entering year four of that a little over eight
million a year, which is just going to age better
and better if the cap goes up. As the year progressed.
Last year, Hurdle had a little bit less and less
power play time on I was kind of dwindling. I
think some of the gms the roster and him in
Dynasty or wonder worried that's going to continue with the
(12:02):
trade for Marner. Is Hurdle going to be pushed off
the top powerplay Chris and who do you think he'll
be skating with it even strength.
Speaker 1 (12:08):
That's another thing we talked about Hurdle. I looked up
on Money Puck if you look up Hurdle's face off
percentage on the power play, with particular face off starting
in the offensive zone. I thought it was like an
eighty percent tile or something like that. It was absolutely ridiculous.
Jack Eichol was im easily like thirty something percent in
(12:28):
the same measurable or something like that. So I can't
see Hurdle coming off that top powerplay, which is why
I mentioned Mark Stone in our discussion. In our previous
discussion right there. As far as Hurdle, so Hurdle started
a little slow last year. He really found his game
about December. It felt was five on five metrics seemed
to get a little bit better. Of course, he did
very well on the power played amazing on the power play,
(12:51):
winning that first face off and then getting things going
and just being a real strong net front and presence.
Seventy three games. I think that was very solid coming
off of a knee issue with San Jose the previous season,
and he was a shadow of himself with the Golden
Knights San Jose a couple seasons ago. Last season he
had six games with the Golden Knights in the regular
season in the playoffs. So Hurdle I don't think is
(13:12):
going on. Was shocked today we were on our podcast
and my co host is like, who is second in
scoring for the Golden Knights after Jack Eichel, and I
had to scratch my head. It was actually hurdle second
or third overall, so that certainly caught me off guard.
So hurdle, I think you're safe. I don't know how
the ADP is going. I wouldn't reach for him. Maybe
in your world. But if you're looking for that value
(13:34):
vet in that spot where if you don't want to
take a chance, if you're looking for a nice chunk
of I don't You're not guaranteed anything, but if you're
looking for that safe play at a reasonable ADP or
auction level, hurdle should be a safe bets.
Speaker 2 (13:48):
I'm Barbashev. You just talked about him, and you know what,
I think he would not mind playing with Jack Eichlen
mark Stone again because that turns out to be a
pretty good deal for a player. He did that faith
play last season and excelled in the position. He's actually
older than Jack Eikeel. I didn't realize that man. He
throws a fair number of hits. Barbaschev doesn't seem like
he shoots nearly enough for a guy who shot twenty
(14:11):
point seven percent last year and seventeen point seven percent career.
If you could ever pull out some power play time
you talked about how crowded that's getting He only got
three power play points last year. Seems like this guy
could get himself back up into the sixties like maybe
some of those Saint Louis days. What do you think
of Ivan Barbaschev's year and his future on this team?
Speaker 1 (14:32):
My concern with Barbaschev number one again, I would love
to see that top line come back as Eichelstone and
Barbershev opening up a world of possibilities for coach Cassidy
on the second and third line. With just so much
depth on this team, Barbashev struggles when he has moved
around the lineup. He played all four lines last year.
He did get some fourth line minutes, but primarily in
(14:53):
the top two lines. A couple times he didn't go
down to a third line energy grinder role, which you
would think of. Head degree is okay for that, but
it's really not like he's a good hitting top six
forward who can grind really well and catch you off
guard with just an amazing reverse hit. Just ask Gradchlegudas
(15:14):
about that in the twenty two to twenty three Cup final.
He's done that to a number of players throughout his career.
So the biggest thing with Barbershev, if he can settle
into a familiar place in the lineup, whether it's on
that top line with Michael and Stone, whether he winds
up getting a lot of time with Marner or even
William Carlson. As long as he has the same centerments
for most of the season, he'll be fine. You can
(15:37):
lock him up for fifty plus points. Maybe even if
he's consistently out there with Michael and or Marner, or
you're a top line of Michael, Marner or Barbaschev. Who
knows how that's gonna shake out. He could get into
the sixties. I wouldn't go crazy on him from a
fantasy perspective, But again, like Hurdle, if he's there and
you're not the type that wants to maybe reach for
a younger player who might get you sixty points and
(15:58):
could flop and get your three thirty points, I think
Barbershev is a great to safe play.
Speaker 3 (16:03):
All right. You are also alluded to Pavel Doorrofiev. What
a breakout year for Dorofiev first full.
Speaker 1 (16:09):
Told everybody for years, Dorofiev, I told everybody for years,
investing in this guy's hockey cards. He's going to make
your money.
Speaker 3 (16:15):
Here's one of my guys too. I've always been a
big fan of him, pumping him up, but he finally
did it. His first full season, thirty five goals in
eighty two games was pretty awesome. Only seventeen assists for
fifty base Some of those assists might come a little
bit more. He shot thirteen point eight percent, which isn't
super worrisome. It's actually been lined with what his career
average has been, although it's only one hundred and forty
(16:37):
nine games into that career. He played mostly with Tomash Hurtle,
and his bash is actually decent. Three point eight eight
per game. Two hundred and forty four is his rank
second year of a one point eight million dollar bridge.
I imagine that he might get paid depending on how
this season goes. Chris, do you think we can expect
thirty five plus goals again from Dori Fief?
Speaker 1 (16:58):
You mentioned the contract, and I think that's on the
back of his mind, but I think he's RFA for
two or three more seasons. Just however that RFA nonsense
works out, so I don't think he's gonna get the
bag anytime soon. If he does get a bag, and
if he signs an extension. Now, it's gonna be in
vgk's best interest to lock him up as quickly as possible,
because if he does put up thirty eight forty goals,
we're talking a seven million dollar aav player. Even more,
(17:21):
as we mentioned earlier in the show about the salary
cap rising and rising, I'm very bullish on Dorofiev again,
Mitch Marner is not going Mitch Marner's rival is not
going to hurt Dorofiev's numbers by any means. Coach Cassidy
loves having Dorofiev out there and any scoring circumstance because
he shoots everything. Dude shoots and shoots and shoots. He's
that that a shot from the elbow on the power Player,
(17:43):
even on five. Just a lot of times when you
have a Jack Leikel moving the puck around and not
gonna have Mitch Marner, you're gonna have a lot of
just elite passing going on. But Dorofia doesn't care about that.
He's gonna get the puck on that right circle. He's
gonna fire it every single time. He doesn't matter who's
out there. So I'm actually bullish shandor Fiev to improve
on thirty five goals and fifty points from his breakout season.
Speaker 2 (18:06):
Now we'll give you a buffet of three different.
Speaker 1 (18:10):
I like buffets. We have tensive in Vegas now, but
I like buffets.
Speaker 2 (18:14):
Oh okay, I thought they were supposed to have the
cheap bufats to bring people in. Let's time you were
in Vegas twoenty twenty one.
Speaker 1 (18:21):
I want to say, okay, it was just the start
of it getting expensive. It's terribly expensive.
Speaker 2 (18:25):
Now, Oh no, that's no good. These are not expensive
players because your GM knows how to how to shop.
Riley Smith William Carlson two of the original misfits, Riley
Smith returning from his parapatetic ways on other teams, and
Brett Howden. And last year we had Riley Smith with
forty points, moving around a bit in seventy nine games.
(18:46):
William Carlson only played fifty three, got twenty nine points.
Brett Howden forty points in eighty games. Not sure everybody
noticed that for a bargain bin contract. How do you
like these guys? Who do you like best for this
upcoming year? And what do you see here?
Speaker 1 (19:00):
Riley Smith? He's starting going order, you said, And Riley
Smith is going to be a third line defensive player
who if he gets forty points, that's wonderful. He took
He definitely took a team friendly deal. I think his
AFP projection had him closer to double than the amount
he signed for to stay in Vegas. He's had a
house here ever since he was traded away, and the
dude is everything that you want out of a Las
(19:21):
Vegas citizen. So we're very happy to have him back
in Vegas. As far as scoring output, if he gets
to forty points, that's absolutely wonderful. You said William Carlson next, correct.
William Carlson is someone I would be incredibly bullish on.
You're talking a forty goal scorer some time ago, you're
talking a thirty to thirty player. I believe two regular
(19:42):
seasons ago. The possibility of him out there with Mitch
Marner again, that's what I'm dying to see. Those two
get an extended look in training camp and hopefully once
the season starts. I don't think anything less than a
fifty to fifty five point season is in order for
William Carlson. I could very easily see getting back to
thirty thirty, even thirty five to thirty five. That's the
(20:03):
type of a game he has the ability to play
if he's healthy. And then Brett Howden another one who
I think is going to have a good season. Brett
Howden's main concern is that he's buried on the fourth line.
The extension of Brandon Sad likely bumps Howden down to
the fourth line when the season starts. But Howden is
the Swiss Army knife of the forward unit, so he
can be moved around. He can center any of the
(20:25):
top line, any of the Lions. He could play either wing.
His twenty three goals last year were equivalent to his
three previous seasons, so definitely a good breakout year. There
were some off ice issues, I guess we can say
where Howd's name did come up. And why I'm bringing
that up is because it's been a tough summer on
him and his family and everything. So he cannot wait
(20:48):
to get back on the hockey rank and just focus
on playing hockey. Well.
Speaker 2 (20:52):
Shay Theodore is next, as we moved to the blue line,
and like several other prominent players last year, came out
of the four Nations at tourney not in great.
Speaker 1 (21:03):
Shape the exhibition competition.
Speaker 2 (21:05):
Okay, yeah, exactly In his case, it was an arm
and it cost him a month of the season. Theodore
had a great scoring season, though absolutely fifty seven points
in sixty seven games is tremendous. He really throws amazingly
few hits. This guy had six hits in sixty How
does that even happen with the defenseman?
Speaker 1 (21:23):
But six?
Speaker 2 (21:24):
That's fine? Yeah, I got six hits here. That can't
be right, can't it?
Speaker 1 (21:28):
Chris? What's seen? Major league? It's all we got are
two hits, two GD hits. That's what I'm saying. Wait,
here's shave theatre six. That's right there. No, I say,
I don't think to say that on the air, but
we'll edit.
Speaker 2 (21:40):
But anyway, Petraangelo is going now less competition for some
of the top minutes here, although Theodore was getting him anyway.
This is the first year of Theodore's seven year extension
signed last fall, so the cap crunching ways of this
team will not be further impacting mister Theodore. And seven
point four mill looks to me like a pretty good
deal compared to a lot of the top defenseman, though
(22:01):
it might not be laid into his thirties, but let's
not worry about that now. Theodore was the top power
play defenseman on the team, but now you're talking about
maybe Marner could edge him out. We'll get to the
other top defense on the team in a moment, but
what do you expect Theodore's role to be and his
performance to be this year?
Speaker 1 (22:16):
So co host Tony on today's Actually Lockdown actually brought
up the absence of Petraangel and his thirty three points
that Alex Petraangel head last year. So those points will
be divvied up among the defensemen and some of the forwards,
but mainly among the d And I remember talking to
Shae Theater a couple of years ago when I covered
the team a little more extensively, and I did talk
to him about, hey, Norris candidate, is this something that's
(22:37):
on your Radarn't his eyes lit up? And of course
he gave the carbon copy answer about it would be
an honor for the consideration, But you could just tell
his eyes lit up and there was something there that
I unlocked when I mentioned it. And I've been very
bullish on the fact that Shay Theodore has outside dark
horse Norris consideration. If he's healthy last year and gets
(22:58):
eighty two games, he's got seventy points last season. Plus
or minus, you get the seventy points. That's like that
automatic number where at least your name is in the
conversation people are thinking about it. It's gonna be hard
to ever top of mccarr or Quinn, Hughes and those
fellows and everything Zakwarenski. But Shay Theodore, he is one
healthy season away from at least getting in top five
(23:19):
for Nora's votes. More minutes, we'll see about the power play.
If Mitch Marner does take that quarterback position away from
on the top unit, that will negatively impact Theodore's a
scoring output. But I'll still just stay bullish on him
that if he can just have one healthy season, we're
talking a seventy point player.
Speaker 2 (23:36):
And Noah Hannafin, of course, another top candidate here, another
extremely reliable year from this guy. He misses a few
games in his thirty nine points in eighty games, so
say that's his norm most of the time. Got second
power play minutes for the team last year. Van Statz
didn't love his defense as much as they loved his offense.
His d was just slightly below average for those bad Yeah,
(24:00):
he tended to drag everybody waited the positive on offense
when he was out there, Hanaffan did tend to match
up a bit more against top opponent lines. Give him
a little bit of a break there. But where does
Hanafin fall in this revised defensive core and what do
you expect from him this year?
Speaker 1 (24:15):
I think Petra Angelo's absence will benefit Hannafin, which is unfortunate,
but that's what the reality is. Coach Cassidy talked about
Noi Hannafin last year and just how it was a
slow start and everything. But once Hannafin started getting some
time on the power play, he starts getting more touches
on the puck, and Coach Cassidy mentioned when a player
is used to getting a lot of touches on the puck,
(24:37):
they don't necessarily force things. They let things come to them.
When a player who normally was getting more touches, like
a Noi Hanifan when he was with the Flames before
he came to Vegas, he didn't have to force the
scoring opportunities. So what seemed to happen is he was
getting less touches on the puck. One having Pittraanngelo out
there with them. They were repairing for probably about forty
forty five to fifty games last season. And then number
(24:58):
two with that pitch, with the Hannafin not being on
that top power play unit. To get those touches, he
played a little more irresponsible hockey, I think at times,
which would support the poor defensive metrics. Now hefan's been
there for a season and a half basically, now I
guess you can say it. He knows the system really well.
The team knows Noah Hannafin really well. He'll have probably
(25:20):
be paired up a lot. Could be Theodore, could be McNabb,
who knows how the pairings are going to shake out
this year. But Hannafin, he might go from thirty nine
to forty seven points, which would be really strong. But
don't look at him to get fifty five, sixty points
or anything crazy like.
Speaker 2 (25:35):
That, all right, And otherwise on the defensive line, is
there anybody here forty point pace, thirty five, anything like that?
Speaker 1 (25:44):
Chris no Korzak is new coming up from the American
League in a regular role. Zach white Cloud has never
been that player. Braiden McNabb. He actually, if you're to
find a braid McNabb highlight package. He actually has incredibly
amazing hands when he gets around the net in a
good scoring touch, but very rarely does he find himself
and that's in those circumstances and Jeremy laws and he
(26:05):
penciled into be on the bottom pairing. It looks like again,
stay at home d man responsible and even if Ben
Hutton draws into the line in the end of the
d he's not that guy.
Speaker 3 (26:15):
Let's talk about the goalies then, the Golden Knights. We
ranked tenth and expected goals against p sixty and conceded
the third ranked actual goals per game. Part of that,
of course, you have to attribute to Aiden Hill. He's
the only one back. We have a cure Schmid looks
like he's going to be in the backup role here,
but he'll eleven point seventy nine goals save above expected
(26:36):
point five to nine Delta Fenwick. He had fifty games,
of course, the rest went to Sampsonoff's not there anymore
and he's got sign a new six point two five
times six million dollars contract. Hill was great at least
in the regular season, and I think that it'll be
interesting to see what they do with Shmid. He has
had NHL experience in the past. That's been a while
since he had that many games, but he had pretty
(26:58):
He's had an up and down season. I guess I
would in Henderson. So, Chris, what do you think is
going to happen between these two goalies. I imagine they're going
to lean more heavily on Hill than they have in
the past. But do you tell me what do you
think the split will be and how do you think
they'll perform.
Speaker 1 (27:11):
I think it's hopefully going to be a similar split
as it was between Hill and Samson off last season.
Aiden Hill fifty starts career mark. He keeps setting a
career mark in his number of starts since he joined
Vegas twenty seven and twenty two, twenty three, thirty five
and twenty three, twenty four, fifty and twenty four to
twenty five. I've been a lot of reports about how
(27:33):
he's taking care of his body in the offseason and everything,
and it seems like he is making a better investment
into himself to keep himself healthy and reliable throughout the
entire season. So what would be really nice is if
Aiden got in that fifty two fifty three fifty five
appearance range and got as safe percentage a little closer
to nine to one. Oh, that would of course help
(27:53):
a lot of things. With the Golden Knights and Kiris
Shmanditji's where do we go over? He had some had
a good moment with the New Jersey. Della played last
season largely in the American League with the Henderson Silver Knights.
His metrics were beyond terrible. Call what it is. When
he was with the Silver Knights last year, he was
actually outplayed by Carl Linbaum Pensylin for the starter's role
(28:14):
with the Silver Knights, but much better metrics than Schmid.
I think there could be a training camp competition between
those two. But in the same breath, I think this
is where I as a fan, as a media person,
whatever you want to call me, as far as the
Golden Knights are concerned. But I think it's important to
respect Kelly McCrimmon and that McCrimmon knows what he's doing
(28:35):
out there when it comes to putting the right people
in the right spot. So if McCrimmon believes in Schmid
to be a capable backup of twenty five thirty ish
starts next season, I think he'll be okay, but I
would park the name Carl Linbaum in the back of
your minds as well. Especially if Aiden or Schmid goes down,
that would open up an opportunity for lin Baum to
come up and he could steal a large share of
(28:57):
the net next seasons.
Speaker 2 (29:00):
This has been a great tour around the Vegas gold
to Knights. Tell people how they should keep up with
everything you're doing this year.
Speaker 1 (29:07):
Yeah, no, catch me a lockdown Vegas Golden Nights anywhere
you get your podcasts and on YouTube. We record five
days a week. Sometimes me and my son actually record
a special show on Saturday mornings to compete with the
Saturday Morning cartoons. So Lockdown VGK we have real good
time talking everything Vegas Golden Knights, and hopefully some of
you decide to check it out.
Speaker 2 (29:28):
Chris, there hasn't been Vegas Golden Night. There haven't been
Saturday Morning cartoons since our days.
Speaker 1 (29:33):
Are you serious? It's terrible. It's actingly like Major League
was a fun movie to watch when I came out,
like in the early nineties.
Speaker 2 (29:39):
Exactly.
Speaker 1 (29:40):
All right, well what do you do on Saturday mornings? Then?
What do you do? They are your phone.
Speaker 2 (29:44):
It's like nature stuff. And kids don't watch TV anyway.
They're watching YouTube twenty four hours a day. They don't
know what they're watching them.
Speaker 1 (29:51):
It's good for them.
Speaker 2 (29:53):
In my day, we watched TV and we liked it.
Speaker 1 (29:55):
You hear we interacted with each other. We talk to
each other face to face.
Speaker 2 (29:58):
That's right, when we were watching TV. All right, Thanks
Chris for coming on and talking with us.
Speaker 1 (30:04):
Cheers everybody, Thank you, Victor.
Speaker 2 (30:07):
There is something else we gotta talk about. Don't we
have something special to give to the listeners.
Speaker 3 (30:14):
That's right. Jesse Dauber Hockey has generously given us a
couple of free copies of their amazing fantasy Hockey guide.
It's the Bible. It's the best fantasy hockey guide out there,
and we're gonna give it away to some of our listeners.
All you need to do is leave us a recent
from the time you hear this five star review on
appule Pad Podcasts or the podcast app of your choice,
(30:35):
and then send it to me, Victor, a screenshot with
your name or a way to identify you and your
most recent five star review, Otherwise I don't have a
way to track who it was. And then we'll select
a couple of the winners from all those who enter,
and get you your guide.
Speaker 1 (30:58):
Since that's good fire pasp Oh my goodness, world long
goal with a cat?
Speaker 3 (31:04):
What gram?
Speaker 2 (31:09):
Now it's your winglet goalie talk with Kat Silverman, Kat's Instincts.
Speaker 3 (31:14):
Time once again for Kat's Instincts with Kat Silverman at
Ben gold mag we're talking Golden Knights goalies and Pavel
Moisovich is the first guy we're going to talk about.
He's six foot seven, one hundred and ninety pounds drafted
third round twenty twenty four. The previous season he got
into thirteen KHL games with nineteen VHL games, and this
past season he increased his KHL the VHL ratio to
(31:36):
eighteen to five, which was nice. His KHL numbers took
a bit of a hit for Scott Saint Pete, but
overall still looking like a strong prospect. Hockey Prospecting has
him trending up from thirty two to sixty seven to
seventy seven percent chance of being in an HLER. He
looks a lot like the Ilios Samsonoff and Brziglof, So
that's fun. Take your pick between the two. Kat Witter
(31:58):
Instincts tell us about Moisovich.
Speaker 4 (32:00):
I think he's a project. He is huge. I believe
when he was drafted at six foot five and he
has grown another two inches since then. The Aiden Hill
Way and to follow the Aiden Hill Way, he looks
like he is seering out what the extra inch is
in his limbs are going to do for him. I
think he's got really good speed. I think for a
(32:22):
guy who is as tall as he is, he's pretty mobile.
I think he needs to add some more muscle, because
he does look like if the game is really starting
to fall out of favor for him. He doesn't lose
his decision making power and he doesn't lose his timing,
but he does lose his strength, and so his structure
starts to fall apart. And since he has so long limbed,
he can open up additional holes in the net that
(32:47):
I think are easier to exploit for those more talented shooters.
So I don't necessarily ever watch him play and think,
oh he is he has completely lost all form, and
that is something that to use. The Hill comparable is
something that we would see. We talk about goalie deflation
sometimes where a guy just kind of loses his spark
(33:09):
halfway through a game and you can tell that the
bad goals are mentally getting to them. I don't see
Moisovich do that, but I do see where even if
he is mentally stayed engaged in the game, and even
if his timing still looks nice and his movement should
still be crisp based on the decision making he's enacting,
he physically doesn't have the ability to do it, and
(33:32):
not something that can come in time because he is
still pretty young. I turns twenty one in a couple
months here. But I think we need to see that
physical development, and then we need to see, once he
has physically developed, how he is able to maintain the
agility because he's a really, really fluid mover, which is
(33:55):
something that sometimes when we see these goaltenders under kind
of a later growth spurt, we see them lose some
of the fluidity in their game, where they could forget
what their reaches, they forget what their optimal angles are.
They can need to retool their technique, and it seems
like if he had to do that, he did it
very seamlessly. I just want to see if, once he
(34:15):
adds a little bit more physical strengths, if he's able
to balance that with his current agility and flexibility without
staying easy to fatigue, because that would like gate him
to a pretty clear tweener backup role in the long term.
Speaker 1 (34:33):
Nice.
Speaker 3 (34:33):
All right, let's talk about the other guy, Carl Linbaum
six one, one hundred and ninety pounds drafted in the
seventh round in twenty twenty. This past season he made
the transition to North America and played in the AHL.
Speaker 1 (34:43):
He had really good.
Speaker 3 (34:44):
Numbers in thirty six games for the Henderson Silver Knights,
and his trajectory has been steadily increasing from zero to
fifteen to twenty three to forty four to fifty five
percent chance of being in an each other. That zero,
by the way, is because Byron didn't have an equivalency
for the league he played in, not necessarily reflective of
his skill level. Looking at some comps for him and
(35:05):
tearing it Amaki as someone who seems like it might fit.
He was an average starter for the Flyers back in
the day, and that seems like it could be reasonable. Kat,
What your interstings tell us about Karl not to be
confused with his brother, Olaf Linbaum.
Speaker 4 (35:18):
I first off, I loved that one of his potential
comps is Karri Ramo, because that's a name that I'd
forgotten about. I think that's delightful. We always support a
good Karri Ramo comp He is someone that I don't
want to tell people to necessarily jump on the hype train,
(35:39):
but I respect his perseverance because I think when he
was first drafted, I said, this guy looks fine. I
was like, there's nothing that we love about him, there's
nothing that we hate about him. I think when we've
talked about him in the past, I've said, this guy's fine,
there's nothing that we love about him, there's nothing that
we hate about him. He just played a really almost
(36:00):
textbooks stereotypical Swedish archetypal style of play where he's got
pretty decent movement from his knees. He's a pretty fluid
skater who likes to get into a nice rhythm early
tracks pretty well, doesn't get super aggressive with his depths,
likes to do a little bit more lateral movement versus
(36:20):
hinging out from the posts. Pretty decent hands, but nothing
was overly stellar, and it seems every year Nothing has
gone from being pretty good but not stellar to stellar
but nothing. His backslid and he has with each successive
year taken on a little bit more responsibility, and he
went from playing j twenty and twenty twenty one, twenty
(36:44):
two to playing at the Hockeyel Spenskin level, and then
he took on a starting role in Hockey Allsvenskin for Dragreddons,
and then last year he handed up loaned two or
two years ago, handed up loaned to the SHL, managed
to succeed at all three levels, made his way over
to North America, managed to succeed for the Henderson Silver Knights.
(37:05):
So I'm excited to see what he's able to do,
and I am excited to watch some of his games live.
This year we are able to go to more more
live games if he stays in the AHL, And I'm
intrigued to see what he's able to do, just because
he just can't quietly trucking along not doing anything wrong.
(37:25):
And it's guys seeing that he's not a goaltender that
I'm like, He's not a Dustin Wolf, he's not a
Lucas do Staal who I'm over betting on and trying
to hype pump up the crowd for. But he's someone
that I'm not really willing to caution anyone against because
(37:46):
he's crushing it.
Speaker 3 (37:50):
Love to hear it. Thanks so much, Cafriget. My insurance
sayings on the Golden Night.
Speaker 2 (37:54):
Boys will be back right after this. Dig the Dynasty
(38:15):
Dig Vegas Golden Knight's Edition. There's been the story of
the Vegas Golden Nights since their inception that they are
not afraid to trade off some prospects, and they have
never built up a huge system. And right now you
have them ranked number twenty five. Nonetheless, there are relevant
prospects here and it starts with a new brainer.
Speaker 3 (38:33):
Trevor Connolly, yep, the notorious twenty eight, twenty four to
nineteenth overall pick. If you remember, he had some off
ice issues that caused him default in nineteenth overall. Vegas
was very happy to snatch him up there. The six
foot one hundred and sixty five pounds left wing finished
his time in the USHL after his draft season and
(38:54):
went on to the NCAA for Providence College and had
thirteen points in twenty three games by injury, and then
he actually finished up, signed his pro contract and went
to the AHL. Had four points in six games for
the Henderson Silver Knights, not bad. He was also on
that gold winning team for the USA at the World
Juniors four points in seven games, and so that was
(39:17):
all pretty good. Looking at his FHL player card, it
it's pretty interesting. It shows that his transition game is
excellent across the board, really high marks there. His play
driving overall in college was really good. His FEDERWA can
corsi net expected goal is good. The puck battles won
a little bit on the lower side, but loose puck
(39:37):
recover recovery very good, really strong for takeaways too, if
that happens to be a thing, and pims in your
league's very good for pims. His bash, on the other hand,
a little bit lower. He's in the thirtieth percentile for
blocks it hits, but the shots are really good. So overall,
I have n't had a six point one two twelve
percent chance of being just above average on your fantasy team.
And that's not because of the scoring and playmaking. It's
(39:59):
more or because of the compete level and some of
the off ice issues that continue to just not be
as big of an issue but be some concerns that
he may not be the easiest teammate to get along with.
But that's a little bit about Connolly. Let's hear a
little more Jesse from FHL Scout.
Speaker 2 (40:17):
And our scouting report, and Trevor Conley comes from FHL
Scout Craig. He says that the skating was below average,
looked slow in a step behind. Gaining the red line
even for a dumpin was a struggle as defenders were
able to backcheck and close the gap on him. Below
average passing and handling. Not big on passing, usually takes
a shot or skates himself into trouble. The shooting was
(40:39):
above average, though Conley can rip it with a quick
little snapshot. The hockey IQ is low panic, which causes
him to wait too long most times and skates himself
into a corner for checking average. Connolly does not or
does throw the body when given the chance, but he's
not out there looking for hits defense average for a winger.
Nothing stood out in a negative way, but he wasn't
(41:00):
making any sort of game changing plays. So the best
asset was the shot. That'll be his ticket to the
NHL if he can find a way to find open
ice to use it. The biggest concern the one dimensional game.
If he isn't shooting pucks and scoring. Then he isn't
doing a whole lot of anything else. The top tier
outcome potential tier two sixty to seventy points with modest Bash.
(41:22):
It was a rough year for Conley adjusting to quicker
play in stronger competition, but if he can continually grow
and develop, he has the tool set to be a
top six winger. The median outcome for him tier three
limited Bash. That's if Connley struggles to improve against tougher competition,
then he's going to be forced down the lineup. The
style is to comparable Mackie Samuskievitch, but with a lesser
(41:45):
ability to find open ice and get the shot off.
And the final thoughts from Craig, Conley has a long
way to go before he would ever consider him in
the NHL. Needs to learn to move the puck much
earlier and limit the poor giveaways. Mason the NHL ranking
and Rainy Top Division champion in the Tide, he put
(42:05):
out the poll Trevor Conley versus Michael Hage of the
Montreal Canadians. It's a whitewash. Michael Hage seventy seven Trevor
Conley twenty three. Victor is that big of a difference
between Hage and Connelly.
Speaker 3 (42:20):
Yeah, I would say so. I would definitely rather have Hage.
His NCAA season was a little bit more productive. He
doesn't really have the osife issues. He is most likely
going to be a center, whereas I think Connall is
most likely a wing. So there's some differences there in
terms of maybe being a little bit harder to make
an impact down the middle. For Hage, I think his
(42:41):
upside is capped at a two C, whereas Connolly might
get some looks on the top line. So I think
that there's some There's definitely some interesting differences there. Hage
went overpoint per game at Michigan in his first season,
so you love to see that. If you look at
the ranking app his comps are pretty nice, guys like
Cole Coffield, Joel Farrabee somewhere in that range, and for
Connolly somewhere between Keeper Bellows and Nick Schmaltz, which is
(43:05):
a wide range. Looking at the hockey prospect in between
the two, it's definitely Hage. Connolly went down from seventeen
to ten percent chance of being a star, and Hage
went down from thirty one to nineteen percent chance of
being a start. Hage finished a little bit higher than
where Connolly began, and I definitely like the upside there.
It's a good comp too, because both guys were in
(43:26):
the USHL and then went to the NCAA and their
draft plus one season.
Speaker 1 (43:31):
If you look at.
Speaker 3 (43:31):
The FHL player card for Hage, it's a little less
sparkling on the transition, but overall really good. It's basically
just different in that he doesn't dump the puck in
or out. He carries it or passes it, and so
those are both elite. His net expected goals is really
high and so it's his Fenwick, but his course is
a little bit lower. The loose puck recovery is excellent
for Hage, and the puck battle is a little bit lower.
(43:51):
Bash probably going to be better. The hits are above
sixty percent, blocks are right around average, and the shots
are only in the seventies eight percentile, so overall his
BASH should be around seventies. He is a center, he
takes a lot of face offs, he wins most of them,
so that might be a deciding factor too. He also
does get a fair amount of pims, and overall I
think the scoring and his whole game is more translatable,
(44:14):
so I have him had a six point seventy four.
Looking at some other comps for Connolly, there's some interesting
ones here. I think Jack Raslovick is probably one, just
in terms of his point production. I'm not sure about
the rest of his all around game. I think Connolly
might have more upside and certainly has more bash, but
maybe that's the type of points you can expect. And
(44:34):
the j Fresh card for Connolly five percent chance of
being a star, twenty two percent chance of being an
NHL are as usual a little bit more pessimistic there.
Speaker 2 (44:41):
Jesse very good victor who's the need to know prospect?
Speaker 3 (44:47):
The need to know would be Matteo Nobert. Or it
might be no Bear. Actually I'm not sure. He is
a twenty twenty five third round pick by Vegas, six
foot er, one hundred and sixty eight pounds. He he
was playing in the queue for the Blaineville Boa bron
Armada and sixty seven points and fifty seven games, not
too bad, and had a decent run in the playoffs
(45:11):
as well. Looking at the tracking data from Mitch Brown,
it's not that great for Nobert. He overall thirty eight
percent percentile the defense and transition game was a little
bit better, but none of it's above fifty percent, which
is a little bit concerning. His best things are probably
his controlled entries, his cross lane plays off puck assists,
(45:33):
but even his shots for sixty expected primary goals and assists,
all that's a bit lower. If you look at my
Fantasy Hockey Life player card, you can see that there's
a little bit more credit here, or I guess similarly
good for his transition game in spots, the breakouts via
dump out and passing, all that looks pretty good. Most
of his play driving doesn't look that good, except as
(45:55):
net expected goals is really high, but his course he's
really low. Fenwick isn't so great, and the bash isn't
so great either. Both the hits in the blocks are
in the thirtieth percentile and the shots are in the seventies,
So overall he'd probably be below average for bash and
definitely for pims. So overall you're banking on some point
production translation. So I have him at a six point
(46:15):
one one, just eleven percent chance of being above average.
But let's see if there's anything else above average for
Mateo and Obert from artifagraal scout Jesse.
Speaker 2 (46:25):
Lead scout Patrick says this about Miteo Nobert. He is
an above average skater, good edgework and speed, able to
get up and down the ice with ease, talented passer
and handler adapted quality passes to teammates, including home run passes.
The handling includes the ability to transport it up the ice.
Nobert has a quick and accurate release on his shot.
(46:46):
Most of his goals come within ten feet through accurate
risters or soft handed defections or movers. The hockey IQ
above average IQ, passinger and movement demonstrate calmness and seeing
the play the fore checking a capable for checker, and
Nobert will check or use his stick to steal the
puck and keep the play in the zone. Defense tail
(47:08):
skates back, hard covers his man on in zone coverage,
and helps on the penalty kill, but can be inconsistent
in his coverage. So the best asset. Several good assets here,
but the puck skills in soft touch are probably the
best and the biggest concern. Although he does help on defense,
his coverage needs to be more consistent. The top tier
(47:29):
potential outcome middle six around power play one with sixty
to seventy points. That's because he has deficiencies that he
can shore up to reach a high end third liner
or good second liner. The median outcome here bottom six
around power Play two with forty five to fifty five points.
If he can't improve his weaknesses sufficiently, he has enough
skill to play a lesser role. The style istic comparable
(47:52):
a man who's a legend in Finland. Let me tell
you Michael Granlindas in black. The NHL ranking put Mattimo
Nobert up against Luca Romano, and Romano of New York
Calendars draft is much higher fifty nine to forty one
over Nobert, Victor. Is this how you see it?
Speaker 3 (48:15):
Probably not when the reality is that these are all
depth lottery picks. Probably not anything to get too excited about.
But I would definitely take No Bird. I think he
has more scoring upside. His PNHL is much higher, which
I'm surprised. Usually when people vote on these polls, they
just click whoever has a higher PNHLLY so interesting to
see that they didn't really do that. If you just
look at the comps for No Bird, there's some pretty
(48:36):
good ones like Tim Omeyer is an eightieth percentile match.
Jack Quinn is also there, Jared Anderston Dolan, so there's
a range there, but I could see him working out
similar to those guys, and for Luca Romano, they're all
basically guys that didn't really do much like Vanilitary, So
definitely leading Nobt there. I think he's still a little raw,
He's got a long ways to go. But also as
(48:58):
we're recording this, he's still seventeen. He's been seventeen his
whole draft year and he will be eighteen his whole
draft plus one year, so he's also really young, and
I sometimes you got to give him the benefit of
the doubt there and maybe he can increase that scoring
quite a bit. Romano is also pretty young June twenty fifth,
he's in the OHL and had a pretty good season
(49:18):
for Kitchener, just under a point per game. So overall,
these are both pretty decent depth options if you're training
to take some swings later in your draft. But I
would go no Bert looking at the Hockey prospecting between
the two thirteen percent chance of being a star for Nobert,
he really popped off in his draft season, was a
lot lower in his D minus one season and Romano
just three percent chance of being a star. His NHLI
(49:42):
was pretty low in the OHL. The rest of the
player card for Romano shows that his BASH is a
little bit higher, his transition game is pretty good, and
his play driving might even be a little bit better.
But I have him had a five point four or five,
just because I'm not so sure about the scoring upside.
Looking at some other comps for Nobert, there aren't a
whole lot of good ones. But Jesse Kiskanen is maybe
(50:02):
one who's still developing in the Nashville Predator system. There
aren't a whole lot of other other great comps for him.
Looking at the j Fresh card just two percent chance
of being a star, thirteen percent chance of being in
NHL or as always a bit more pessimistic there.
Speaker 2 (50:18):
And Victor the keep your eye on prospect.
Speaker 3 (50:22):
The keep your eye on is Jacob is Wolve's Woesnyak.
Jacob is Wolznyak. He is a twenty twenty five second
round pick by the Vegas Golden Knights. He is Australian.
That's fun, definitely one of the few Australian born players
we have. He's actually Swedish, descent, but he's has a
(50:43):
nationality for Australia. Maybe we'll see them in the Olympics.
It'll be fine. I'll probably not so looking at what
he did, sixty two hundred ninety pounds he played. He's
developing in Sweden and he played many played at the
J twenty this year. Had really nice season, fifty seven
points in forty games. He did get a few SHL
games two points in thirteen games, so overall, not too
(51:07):
exciting in the SHL as you might expect. His U
eight teens that were really good seven points in seven games,
so that's pretty nice. You look at his FHL player
card and you see a lot of red, a lot
of his transition game is not ideal, and this is
from the J twenty league, not the SHL, but he
did have some pretty good play driving. His bash is excellent,
(51:28):
so that's something to know about Jacob is Wolsniak is
that his hits are really high, his shots are good,
and his blocks are pretty average as well. So all
in all, his bash looks really high and all of
that looks pretty good as pims are about average, so
there's a decent peripheral floor there. While you wait for
some potential scoring upside. Let's hear about that potential scoring
upside from our FHL scout Jesse.
Speaker 2 (51:50):
Jacob is Wolsniak is the next man on the agenda
and this is FHL lead scout Tony's scouting report. Jacob
can be a smooth, fluid skater at times, although it
does not look like he's that fast. Passing and handling
above average handling and passing the puck, although usually the
puck is not on his stick long enough to find out. Shooting,
(52:13):
he has a variety of shots, slap shots, wrist shots,
one timers. His shots are usually accurate and he can
get his own shot off the hockey IQ smart player,
able to anticipate where to go to get open for
a pass from a teammate to get his shots. For checking,
Tony did see some Ford checking, especially when he turned
over the puck, but also saw sometimes where it was
(52:34):
just a stickwave defense. Did not see a lot of
defense from Jacob other than some stick defense. Tony would
say the best asset here for is Wolsnyak is his
ability to get his shots off, either by himself or
by finding a teammate or finding an opening to receive
a pass from a teammate. The biggest concern lack of defense,
not a lot of bash. Top tier potential outcome Tier one,
(52:57):
top six player, and that's because he could re Tier
one with his shooting in a lot of power play time,
the median outcome, Tier three, bottom six or extra forward.
That's because a lack of defense and sometimes lackluster play
and not a lot of bash could come back to
haunt him. Tony had trouble coming up with a great comparable,
but he did say it. Did see one scout say
(53:19):
Andre Berkowski, and the final thought could have a productive
career if he can even out the peaks and valleys,
pick up defense and physicality. And Mason Black puts Jacobismo
Woosniak up against fellow Draftdee Sheen Vesagi of the Philadelphia Flyers.
I believe we had audio on both of these guys
(53:40):
that came back. I'm not sure if all of it
made the show, but I know you got on the
scrum for both these guys. I'm pretty sure victor Is
Woosnyak is the winner. Is fifty eight percent is forty
two percent for Vonsagi. One of the great Philly hitters
here is that correct.
Speaker 3 (53:59):
Yeah, I think so. I'm thinking that I probably would
take is Wozniak. I like Shane Venzagi a lot too,
and both of these guys are actually pretty big bashers.
As we talked about in a previous episode, Philly basically
picked all bashers for the most part, and his Venzagi's
bash predicts to be ninety fifth percentile, so he's way
(54:21):
up there for hits and shots are pretty good. The
blocks are lower, but overall he hits a ton and
think gets a lot of pymns, so that part's going
for you. But I don't know about the rest of
his game, translating scoring wise. So that's why I have
n Sagi at a five point four to nine and
is Wozniak I have a little bit higher than that.
I would take him just for the scoring up side,
(54:42):
there's also a decent peripheral floor. We're eager to see
what is no Wozniak can do in the SAHL next season.
Hopefully he'll get some time there. If you look at
the comps here, none of them are super good in
terms of either of them in the PNHL model, but
in the Hockey Prospect model, there's ten percent chance of
being a star for is Bosniak and just two percent
(55:04):
for Van Sagi and a little bit better comps for
is Wozniak. Maybe someone like Sam Steele could be a
good comp there. I think that there's some reasonable ones there.
He seems to fit pretty closely to what is Bosniak
could be if you look at the j fresh card,
five percent chance of being a star, twenty five percent
chance of being an NHL or so a little bit
(55:26):
more optimism there, but overall, as usual, a little pessimistic.
I think that'll shift once we see a little bit
more shl time from is Wozniak, which hopefully will happen
this year. That's it for the Vegas Golden Night's Dig.
If you're a patron, you can listen to my top
ten prospect recaps per team, which actually I only have
about five to go. Most of them are out there,
And if you're interested in doing any scouting or helping
with the show, shoot me a DM on Twitter, Discord,
(55:48):
or email us.
Speaker 2 (55:51):
We'll be right back Wosabi Show.
Speaker 1 (56:02):
Our show is brought.
Speaker 2 (56:03):
To you by Say It with Me fantracks dot com.
It is the place to get all your fantasy sport
needs met because there are many, many different games that
you could be playing, nine different sports. In fact, most
options for scoring, salaries, contracts, rookie eligibility. I will put
that up against anybody, at least anybody I've ever heard of,
(56:23):
and it's the only place I want to play my games.
Fan Tracks HQ is fantasy content articles on fantasy hockey
and other fantasy sports. Fantasy hockey life is not just
Victor and I. There's a whole bunch of people who
work behind the scenes to make all these episodes possible. Craftzer,
Ryan Simon, and especially my man Timmy are the commission
(56:45):
commissioner team with the tidy leagues. We're through most of
the dispersal leagues, we are onto the we're onto the
trading being open, and we're just a couple of weeks
away from the rookie draft starting. Tony and Patrick our
our lede scouts. You heard both of their scouting reports
in this episode. Mike, Steven and Matt are helping out
behind the scenes to make the show. Prep on these
(57:06):
long sheets that we use for our interviews in our
dynasty digs, and Brandon helps with website prospect ranks visualizations.
If you have some skills you'd like to lend the show.
Victor would love to hear from you in the discord
email social media. Brought to you also by Daber Hockey
and Daber Prospects. Victors and editor there follow his work
(57:27):
and if you ever been to Daber Hockey Daber Prospects,
there's just a wealth. There's a cornucopia of hockey knowledge,
especially a lot of it geared to fantasy, a lot
of it geared to prospects. If you're not following that site,
you're missing out on one of the most important resources.
And you may have heard something about a draft guide.
I do a solo show called Dynasty Sports Live, talk
(57:49):
about different Dynasty sports. Recently, I've been having a great
debate episode with Craig Bozich, my Good Buddy two part
episode that actually touches on the same topic that we
probably deal with in fantasy hockey. It's just Dynasty questions.
Generally follow us on social media the one Victor Jesse
Severe over on Blue Sky and on x you can
(58:13):
still find us fan Hockey Life, Victor Nuno, twelve Rate
and review, Apple Pod, Spotify, wherever else you get your podcast.
Because we want to hear from you only good things mainly,
but any kind of thing, because we're just here to
keep help you live in that fantasy hockey life
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