Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbomb, straight talk about you and
your money now from the Biz Talk Studios. Here is
Gary Cultbomb.
Speaker 2 (00:13):
And well once again to Investor's Edge. I'm Gary Kolbaum,
your host a. Thanks for being with us today. Glad
you here, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you are listening.
It is September sixteenth, two thousand and twenty five, fourteen
days till I turn. I don't even know how to
say this. Sixty five. Those that know me, I'm pretty
(00:35):
much like twenty one and I look thirty five and
I'm in shape big time. My recommendation to each and
every one of you, don't let age get you. And
you know what to do. You know, the one thing
we can take care of our is our body. We
can do anything we want with it if we apply ourselves.
(00:58):
Just want to stay that. Say that at the outset
because just so you know, I follow this guy. I'll
introduce myself in a second. Go get the book by
David Goggins. I mean, it's just inspirational guy. And time
is the one thing we cannot get back. It's also
the thing we waste the most of. We give it
to the wrong people. We dedicate it to the wrong problems,
(01:19):
and we damn sure don't give enough to ourselves. Stop
wasting time, stay hard. How about that for a quote.
I already did eight sets of back, eight sets of tries.
Today I'll be going to the gym and doing twenty
sets of legs, squats and leg extensions. I ain't screwing
(01:42):
around kids. And you know what I may do. I
may do some sort of like Instagram channel or something
like that where I'm teaching. I know everything about it.
I was discussing that with my wife today. Do I
have enough time in the day to do that? And
she said she'll help me out with an video the workouts.
Put it up there, and I just see people in
(02:08):
their thirties and forties just not taking care of themselves,
and they're to blame. But you know who else to
blame is go check out the menus at these restaurants
and go look at the calories at some of the
crap they serve you. Dang, dang, Go google how many
(02:33):
calories one hour of walking burns and then go look
at some of the things they're serving you at some
of these restaurants. Yeah, I got a walk for about
twenty seven hours and thirteen minutes. Anyway, just wanted to
start with that because I was just thinking, I'm two
(02:53):
weeks away from I'm sixty five. I'm on Medicare now, which,
by the way, is saving me a hell of a
lot of money. Yay, my good be buddy Mario Bick.
You should check him out. Go put up Mario Mario
bic Insurance out of South Florida. He does business throughout
(03:14):
the country. Boy, he set me up beautifully with the
uh uh the Medicare because frankly, I'd understand half of it. Anyway.
I'm Gary Kolbaum. This is investor's ed, serious talk on
everything affects you. We'll do the markets, We'll do the economy.
We'll do jobs, your job, your industry, everything that affects you.
Wait to hear what the House passed today. No, not
(03:36):
your House, but the House of Representatives led by the
republic cons. Wait to hear what they did today because
they don't care about you. Gary, How dare you say that?
And if you do not get this radio show in
your city, we'll post it at gary k dot com.
We'll also post it on our x feed. And if
you don't follow us and next. You should also at
(03:59):
biz tea YouTube channel that's b i z TV channel.
And by the way, throughout the years, we know the
real world. We know what's been going on a lot
of stations that we've been on of turning to ESPN
or religious or whatever. If we are not in your
city anymore, we post the show with gary Ka dot
(04:22):
com and we are in the midst of discussions of
how do I put this. We've done this on a
shoe string. I feel like we still use Dixie cups
and strings. We're gonna do some elevation because we deserve
(04:44):
to elevate ourselves and that's on us. And you know
where We've learned that from watching everybody else. Good looking studios,
good looking lighting and all that crap. So we're gonna
We've been in discussions and I think we're gonna do
some fast tracking of it. We'll let you know. But
(05:05):
the most important part of the equation if we are
not in your city, if a station goes away Garyka
dot com there every day biz talk radio, YouTube channel,
biz TV, BIZTV, and that is that where do I
(05:26):
want to start today? I need some help. I have
a question for you, very smart realtors out there. You ready,
if you go to buy a house and you go
into the house and they have these ough, gosh air
(05:48):
fresheners in every room, and I mean it is stinking
up the joint to the point where you got to
walk out because your eyes are almost burning. And then
you say to the realtor, what does that smell? Why
do they have those things in there? And the realtor
says to you, I don't smell anything, and you think
(06:09):
it to yourself. This realtor would be a great politician.
Would that be a red flag that they are hiding
something like mold or mildew or uh, I don't know,
leaking the water damage. Any realtors out there, please email me.
(06:30):
I just like to know what you think. Go to
Gary k dot com, email me, or g callbomb atcallbomb
dot net. I'm interested from you genius realtors out there
to hear what you have to say. Should I worry
if I was buying a house now, I know there's inspectors.
You do inspections when you buy a house, but could
(06:51):
they miss the mold if there is? I'm a big believer.
What's the line if it looks like crap smells like crap,
It feels like crap. Boy, I'm sure glad I didn't
step in it. You get the point, all right, So
I just wanted to start with that. That is the
(07:12):
realtor part of today. Robert Redford died. Has nothing to
do with you and your markets. But I just want
to let you know Robert Redford died. Let me tell
you that a big time, big time environmentalists. I never
(07:34):
heard him preach like some of these other adults out there,
and just a movie stars movie star eighty nine years old,
and I believe he did the sun Dance thing every
year and was in Utah or Colorado or something. Anyway,
just wanted to bring that up next. I'm just circling
(07:59):
Tomorrow's the Central Bank, our central bank that is in
meetings today. They're probably around the big table playing paper football.
Then they are playing Galaga Space Invaders and my favorite
Miss pac Man. By the way, I was a great
(08:19):
Miss pac Man player. I was the king of Miss
pac Man and I haven't played in a very long time,
and I should. They're going to make a move tomorrow,
and I want to explain it to you because we
don't believe it gets explained to you very well. So
(08:41):
number one, there is something called the bond market. What
that is are governments, companies, municipalities, whatever, they float bonds.
That means they are asking you to lend them money
in order to do their business. When you're dealing with municipalities,
(09:04):
they are tax free. In other words, the yield will
be lower, but tax free. You don't pay taxes on it.
When you buy a government bond a one year, two year,
five year, ten year, thirty year, you pay taxes on that.
Same with companies, you pay taxes on it. And the
(09:25):
reason why a yield is higher than other yields is
because of risk factors in other words, and they have
these rating services, you know, the rating services that let
us down in O eight. Will they go out there
and say, well, this company is not doing so well
and we're only going to rate it a B not
an A. So their bond is going to go out
(09:49):
at six percent versus somebody that would go out at
four percent. So to account for the risk, you get
six percent on your money versus a company that really
doesn't have lot of risk four percent. But don't get
me wrong, I made a ton of money on Sprint
bonds years ago, and they were risky, but I thought, hey,
they're going to be bought out eventually. I was getting
(10:09):
six seven percent for a long while. So that is
the free bond market, and these bonds trade freely. They
go up and down in price, not like stocks because
their income. But they'll move up and down up next.
(10:30):
Then we'll take on the FED. This is the one
only Investor's Edge.
Speaker 3 (11:02):
Hi, I'm Gary Kolbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show,
Investor's Edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage
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Speaker 4 (12:05):
It's time to switch on the integrator units and get
the brain cells where.
Speaker 1 (12:09):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
Okay, it could be fun Investor's Edge.
Speaker 5 (12:15):
The last bastion of quality programming.
Speaker 1 (12:18):
With Gary called Bomb.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
It doesn't get better than this. Okay. So you got
this government bond market and the the yields will move
up and down based on price or if price moves up,
yields go down. If price goes down, yields goes up.
(12:40):
That that's you do get that? I don't think I
have to explain that. And why would yields go up?
Well in times of inflation something like that, Why would
yields go down recession, weakening of the currency. But what
(13:04):
normally happens is yields stay kind of stable, they go up,
they go down. But unfortunately throughout the years, we got
these Alright, let me be diplomatic today, interlopers, people that
thought they were god and decided to play god with
the free markets under the guise of Oh it's an emergency.
(13:28):
You remember eight eight was caused by the central bank.
It was caused by the central bank because they kept
money too easy. And if you keep money too easy,
it tends to create bubbles and housing bubbles. And you
know what housing bubbles did. They blew up and things
came down, and Ben Bernaki started printing money. Then Janet
(13:53):
Yellen came in. I don't even remember what the hell
she did because she was comatose. And then you get J.
Powell that came came in and printed like crazy because
of COVID, and then went to zero percent rates, which
caused mortgage rates to go to hardly anything. You remember
those three percent mortgages. So he interfered with the free market.
(14:18):
Let me explain how they interfered. And now I'm not
making this up. This is really what happened, and amazingly
it was allowed to happen. I want you to think
about this. One man had the ability to print out
of thin air up to nine trillion bucks. Well that's
where he stopped. He could have gone further. Now, he
(14:40):
didn't print nine trillion. I think he printed about five.
We were already at four. He took that money. Now
make sure you understand it was conjured up money out
of thin air. No, really, it was conjured up money
out of thin air. And he was allowed to do
(15:01):
it how many times as I do in the show.
And I would say to you, when did we get
to the point with the head of the Central Bank
as the most powerful man on earth that can print
up to nine trillion bucks? And then guess what he did?
He took all that money and bought the living hell
out of the bond market. And if you buy the
(15:22):
living hell out of the bond market with trillions of dollars,
what does it do to yields? Well, it took yields
down on the long end. What's the long end? Well,
thirty twenty ten to five two one. He rigged the
free market, which caused all the distortions and caused the inflation.
(15:46):
How do we know it caused the inflation? Definition of
inflation the outcome too much money chasing too few hands.
But what does he doing tomorrow? He's not doing anything
with the free markets, doing something with something called the
Fed funds rates, which has a lot to do with
what banks charge to each other lent to each other,
(16:08):
and also has a bunch to do it in money markets.
So you in the money markets, you're gonna get less
as he's going to lower that rate tomorrow from four
and a quarter down to four. And there's usually a
dash next to it, so to be four and a quarter,
dash four and a half to four dash four in
a quarter he's gonna lower it. What does that do
(16:30):
for you? Is it going to create a job? Hell no?
Is it gonna spur on the economy? Hell no. When
the President says the economy would be much better if
he would lower rates, he's not. The President's not telling
the truth. Why because lowering rates a quarter point or
half point is going to do nothing for the economy,
(16:54):
that's all. Now the president's been calling for him to
rig the market again, take it all the way down
to one percent. Well, what will that do? Well, the
president doesn't know this, but it will create the inflation,
big inflation again, and then all hell's going to break
loose because the President does not go he's wrong. So
(17:17):
we're just letting you know he's going to affect the
short term rates tomorrow, which, by the way, the stock
market has reacted to. And why does the stock market
react to the FED easing monetary policy, because easy money
creates the juice is flowing, and the easier the money,
(17:41):
the more the juice. And you know what happened when
he printed to nine trillion and kept rates at zero.
He ended up with game stop and AMC and all
kinds are crazy. And the inflation and when the inflation
started coming down? When did that start coming down? When
he stopped printing. So we're letting you know, in spite
(18:05):
of what the President says or anybody else, all he's
gonna do is gonna affect the short term rates. Tomorrow
could juice the market more, but I think some of
it's already baked in the cake. And we'll watch the
free market. The good news is the ten year yield
(18:26):
has dropped from four to three down to almost four
point zho. It's four point oh two right now in
the last couple of weeks. That's good news. It lowers
your mortgages, it lowers the loan rates, It lowers the
cost of capital for companies wanting to put out bonds
(18:48):
to grow their business. I'm in hopes he doesn't go
a half point I don't think he needs to. I
told you that I was running the Central bank I
would have already been three and three quarters four, So
if he wanted to cut a half, that's fine. I
(19:10):
would not go any further than that. And here's why,
because the market says so. I am a big believer
that the FED should be a quarter to a half
point below the ten year yield. So maybe he can
go three and a half. I don't know if he'd
go further than that, and what could be the negative
outcome if he goes too far? Again, did you like
(19:32):
that inflation? You tell me? How is that inflation good
for you? Oh? And by the way, we say, do
you see what's going on with the food? I saw
the Democrats blame Trump on the food inflation. No, it's
(19:56):
not Trump's fault. Coffee's going up. Other things are going up. Well,
i'd have to say coffee maybe Trump because of the tariffs.
But anyway, just want to explain the FED. I have
no clue how the market reacts to it. The market,
I believe, has already front run it to a certain extent,
(20:19):
and tomorrow's another day. I hate the fact that this
adult not only runs the central bank, but then he's
gonna do a press conference afterwards where he turns into
Ralph Cramdon and goes humm and a hummed, a humm
and a humana. That'll be tomorrow, yay, up next today
the market, this is the one only investor's edge.
Speaker 4 (21:11):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
America is talking falling investor's edge. He's gotta be with
the crowd. Is just on his feet.
Speaker 4 (21:19):
Here a boy with Gary called Bob come highly recommended.
You're gonna feel better if you talk to him.
Speaker 2 (21:36):
And work once again to investor's edge. So remember we
said yesterday the VIX, the volatility index was up and
maybe that portends a pullback of some sort. That was
down one twenty five today. Whoope, do weakness in the
downh nothing bad? United Health was down eight bucks. I
(22:03):
said yesterday that healthcare kind of really bearished most healthcare,
and I think they're starting to get those managed care again.
That's United Health. Travelers down four. We mentioned insurance was weak.
Microsoft was down six today. That didn't help s and
P down, Measley eight, NASDAK fourteen, NASDAK one hundred and
(22:23):
up down nineteen, but Tesla up twelve, Meta up fourteen.
You know, no harm there whatsoever. Oil prices were up.
The yield came down a little bit today, Bitcoin bounced
(22:43):
a little bit advanced, the clients were flat, So no biggie.
If we get a little pullback here, no big deal.
Some China names again strong, and I have to tell you,
I wonder if we're at the point where if anybody
announces AI just goes up. So Baidu has been very weak,
reports very bad earnings. China name, but they announced an
(23:06):
AI chip and the stock has gone vertical. The same
with Ali Baba that reported nine percent drop in earnings.
They announce an AI chip, it's gone vertical. But I'm
noticing at the same time in Vidia a little bit
on the weak side. So I'm wondering. I want you
to think about this and video four point something trillion
dollar market cap dominates its field, but we're just hearing
(23:31):
all kinds of announcements of other AI chips. The biggest
trouble in markets comes from when you own the world
and you start losing the world. In other words, you
have one hundred percent market share and I'm just using
(23:53):
one hundred but it's not one hundred, and then you
start losing it. The market starts reflecting it. So I'm
gonna be watching that closely, because leave no doubt there
are others out there that are going after n Video.
Right now, the stock is trading at the fifty day
moving average, did not act great on its earning support.
(24:15):
It is by no means in any type of bearish
phase or bear market, but it just whenever we I
just announced two Chinese companies that have their own little
Ai Chip. I'm always trying to think a step ahead.
(24:38):
At least I try what else today stood out? Not
much else? Semiser up. The transport's bounced a little bit,
but the rails and truckers have been yuck. Oil's had
a pretty good day. Actually subtly notice the big worried
(25:00):
by the way subtle as sub tla subtly oils are
getting a little bit on the sneaky side. There really
is now no leadership. There's a few names that are strong,
but not big leadership. But I'm gonna be watching them.
(25:22):
What else stuck out today? Oh? What have we been
telling you about initial public offerings? Be careful of the
hot opens right, and all that is is taking information
from the market at any given point in time and
(25:43):
being in recognition of it. So we've been telling you
they've been opened. These IPOs too hot, and they've been
crushing them. Well, today's Tuesday, so Friday. Gemini space Station,
that's the name, but it's not a space station. You
ever hear the Winkelvos twins. These are two men that
(26:05):
were They took Mark Zuckerberg to a trial for stealing
from him when Facebook first came public, and I guess
they settled for not a lot. But they got involved
with crypto in a big way and they're billionaires now,
God bless them. They started a company that loses craploads
(26:25):
of money. It's one of these digital asset exchanges. All
I can tell you is they opened it on Friday.
Let's see, was basically forty six bucks right at the open.
It's twenty eight and is trading at thirty times sales
(26:53):
and loses a ton. That is not a rub on
the company. It's a rub the stock in its valuation
and just another initial public offering getting absolute trashed after
a hot open. And I have about I've put them
all on one little screen. I have about twenty names
(27:14):
that they opened up ridiculously and have been absolutely trashed.
Remember that one bullish somebody at the nerve to name
a company bullish. They opened it, it was a thirty
seven dollars deal. Had it at one thirty two on
day one, fifty one bucks today. How about Chime Chime
(27:39):
twenty seven dollars. IPO had it at forty five bucks
first day twenty two dollars ninety nine cents. So everybody
that is in the stock is losing money. Now it's
at a new yearly low and below the IPO price. Oh,
by the way, they lose a crapload of money. Oh
(28:00):
and it's another one of these fintech fee free mobile
banking Like there's no mobile banking companies out there. Again,
we are not ripping on them. We're just like telling
you the way it is. And I found what is
this other one? Oh, heartfly, Oh, this one's not so bad.
We'll leave this one alone. Thirty seven down to thirty one.
(28:21):
That's not that's not that bad. Well that's about seventeen
percent anyway, you get my point. But the other point
is ten years from now, some of these are going
to be ten baggers, So we'll keep a darn good
watch on them. Some of the greatest stocks ten years
(28:44):
from now will be from IPOs. How about Voyager Tech
thirty one dollars deal. First day was at seventy four.
We're not making this up. Seventy four bucks in June,
it's twenty eight today. Oh and they lose a ton
of money, and it still has a one point six
(29:06):
billion dollar market cap with about one hundred and twenty
billion in sales, which ain't that not that bad? But
point taken right, and again, when we keep doing this,
it is because we take the information on what the
market's giving, and it's you should know by now that
they're opening up the initial public offerings too hot and
(29:27):
people are getting crushed, and we don't want you to
be crushed, so we'll keep telling you about it. How
about MNTN transformed Connected TV into Next Generation Marketing Channel
and loses a bunch of money. Now they had that
up to thirty two, it's now twenty uh what is
(29:50):
that about? Thirty five percent drop? That's a lot of cake.
We don't want you losing cake. I'll finish up with
fig because they had that up to one ten twenty one,
it's fifty three. Figma is that name, and it has
(30:12):
a twenty six billion dollar market cap with less than
a billion in sales, even at this price. Oh, there's
going to be some big drops in next bear market.
Ladies and gentlemen, you all better be ready when I
tell you the market's topped, right, you will be ready, right,
(30:34):
And you remember, you will remember that the average leading
stock will drop seventy percent in bear markets. Right. And
you do realize right now, nobody is saying bear market's
going to happen again. Right, We'll let the market decide. Oh,
(30:55):
and by the way, the market is just fine right now.
Tomorrow be another day, but g e M I just
another one. By the way, the dollar again was just
crumbling today, our dollar against currencies, and may I state
for the record, looks like it's back to it looks
(31:17):
like it's about to break down again at the lows
of the last nine months. Our dollar against other currencies.
Hmm huh huh. And I hear the new guy they
put in the Fed loves a week dollar? Make you
feel any better? Up next? Hey, what did the House
(31:39):
of Representatives do?
Speaker 3 (31:40):
That?
Speaker 2 (31:40):
Pisses me off? This is the one only investor's edge.
Speaker 1 (32:14):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (32:16):
What are you waiting for? One to ready?
Speaker 4 (32:21):
Go?
Speaker 1 (32:22):
Investors?
Speaker 4 (32:25):
We can't recall.
Speaker 5 (32:26):
Bob and walk once again to investor's edge.
Speaker 2 (32:48):
Hey all, my conservative Republican peeps out there, how you'
all doing today? You're good, my conservative Republican friends, How
y'all doing, My conservative Republican friends, that you and I
(33:12):
together loathed the last administration, loathed Kamala Harris that could
have been the next president, loathed that all she wanted
to do was raise taxes on anything that moved, anything
(33:36):
and everything. Tax on this, tax on that, tax on this.
You got this now, and this New York City joker
that's probably going to be the mayor, he wants to
tax the wretch, you know, those bad wretch like they're
not gonna haul us out of there to West Palm Beach. Right,
It's amazing. Marxist and Communists are the biggest dumbasses on Earth,
(33:58):
Ladies and gentlemen. But I regress, or digress, No, I
didn't regress. I digress. Let me read something to you.
The House of Representatives, which by the way, right now
is in the power of the Republicans, the power of
the Republicans. The Republicans have the power, and they passed
(34:20):
a measure today. What it did was it gave tariff
authority to President Trump. It prevents the House of Representative
from voting on any bills that would challenge his authority
on tariffs. So the President has the authority to tariff
(34:44):
anything anywhere, any time, ever, any size, any country, any product.
The Republican House of Representatives has now given the green
(35:06):
light to the President of the United States to tax
the living crap out of anything he wants to do,
anytime he wants to do it. How do you feel
about that, my Republican conservative lovers of low tax friends, Huh?
(35:28):
How do you feel that all the pundits are out
there praying that the Supreme Court sides with President Trump
on the ability to tariff tax anything that moves, like
Kamala Harris wanted to do, but this time it's President Trump,
(35:51):
So it's okay. It's not okay. And if you are
a true conservative without an a gender ulterio motive or bias,
you are pod that this administration has gone on a
(36:13):
higher tax festival, proudly praising it, proudly telling you the
numbers that they are telling you coming into this country.
So they are lying to you because it's not coming
into the country, it's this country paying those taxes. But
they know it's not really affecting you. So what do
(36:38):
you care. It's your party and you're not going to
be mad at your party for raising taxes, are you?
Why would you care that Apple paid one point nine
billion in taxes because of taris, or Ford I believe
was eight hundred million, or they're touting that they have
collecting twenty billion bus bucks a month. Well, just letting
(37:04):
you know, and I would like you to listen carefully.
If he keeps the tariffs on, it's gonna eventually flow
down to you. Currently, companies are doing the best they
can to hold the line on raising prices. Now we
have seen some prices raise. You do know that you've
(37:26):
seen the prices being raised. I can all but promise
that in the months ahead, if he doesn't remove the
fifty percent on Brazil, well your coffee is going to
keep going up. If he doesn't remove the tariffs, companies
(37:47):
are going to just say screw it and they're going
to be raising the prices on stuff. I don't know
which stuff, and I don't know how much, But we're
just letting you know. The Conservative Republican in House of
Representatives just gave the green light to President Kamala har Now,
(38:07):
excuse me, President Donald Trump to raise taxes anybody wants,
even though even though it is the House that's supposed
to propose taxes, this vote on them, give it to
the Senate to make changes or keep them and vote
(38:28):
on them, and then give them to the President for
his signature. Instead, they have given the president executive power,
where he has taken that executive power to tax the
living hell out of this country. And by the way,
this administration has stated they think they can raise eight
trillion bucks in the next ten years. Well, that would
(38:50):
be an eight trillion dollar tax hike on this country.
I would like to know if any candidate for presidency
stood up in debate and said we're going to tax
this country eight trillion dollars over the next ten years,
would you vote for that person? Just asking anyway, that
(39:17):
happened today in Washington, DC. As you know, we do
this show. We live our life without a genda, ulterior motive,
or bias. We want an administration to go in, keep
taxes low, regulations not onerus, get the hell out of
the way. We give the president a plus plus plus
(39:39):
plus plus plus on what he did with the border.
We were giving him an A plus plus plus plus
plus on deportations until they went overboard, but hopefully they
are fixing that up. We give them an A plus
on crime. I'll give them an A plus plus on
crime now Washington, DC. Crime is dropped to the ground.
We love that, protect the citizens, but the tax thing
(40:03):
that ain't no hill for a climber. Anyway, You'll have
a great evening. Drive carefully. It's Tuesday, right, got it.
When you get home, do like we do, quite simple.
Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug
your children. They will feel better. You will feel better,
I promise, stay well, be well, Thanks for joining, Good
night all, peace out.
Speaker 1 (40:22):
This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbomb on biz Talk.
To listen to past episodes or to get in contact
with Gary, go to Garykay dot com. That's garyka dot com.
Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbomb, straight talk about you and
your money now from the Biz Talk Studios. Here is
Gary Cultbomb.
Speaker 2 (00:13):
And well once again to Investor's Edge. I'm Gary Kolbaum,
your host a. Thanks for being with us today. Glad
you here, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you are listening.
It is September sixteenth, two thousand and twenty five, fourteen
days till I turn. I don't even know how to
say this. Sixty five. Those that know me, I'm pretty
(00:35):
much like twenty one and I look thirty five and
I'm in shape big time. My recommendation to each and
every one of you, don't let age get you. And
you know what to do. You know, the one thing
we can take care of our is our body. We
can do anything we want with it if we apply ourselves.
(00:58):
Just want to stay that. Say that at the outset
because just so you know, I follow this guy. I'll
introduce myself in a second. Go get the book by
David Goggins. I mean, it's just inspirational guy. And time
is the one thing we cannot get back. It's also
the thing we waste the most of. We give it
to the wrong people. We dedicate it to the wrong problems,
(01:19):
and we damn sure don't give enough to ourselves. Stop
wasting time, stay hard. How about that for a quote.
I already did eight sets of back, eight sets of tries.
Today I'll be going to the gym and doing twenty
sets of legs, squats and leg extensions. I ain't screwing
(01:42):
around kids. And you know what I may do. I
may do some sort of like Instagram channel or something
like that where I'm teaching. I know everything about it.
I was discussing that with my wife today. Do I
have enough time in the day to do that? And
she said she'll help me out with an video the workouts.
Put it up there, and I just see people in
(02:08):
their thirties and forties just not taking care of themselves,
and they're to blame. But you know who else to
blame is go check out the menus at these restaurants
and go look at the calories at some of the
crap they serve you. Dang, dang, Go google how many
(02:33):
calories one hour of walking burns and then go look
at some of the things they're serving you at some
of these restaurants. Yeah, I got a walk for about
twenty seven hours and thirteen minutes. Anyway, just wanted to
start with that because I was just thinking, I'm two
(02:53):
weeks away from I'm sixty five. I'm on Medicare now, which,
by the way, is saving me a hell of a
lot of money. Yay, my good be buddy Mario Bick.
You should check him out. Go put up Mario Mario
bic Insurance out of South Florida. He does business throughout
(03:14):
the country. Boy, he set me up beautifully with the
uh uh the Medicare because frankly, I'd understand half of it. Anyway.
I'm Gary Kolbaum. This is investor's ed, serious talk on
everything affects you. We'll do the markets, We'll do the economy.
We'll do jobs, your job, your industry, everything that affects you.
Wait to hear what the House passed today. No, not
(03:36):
your House, but the House of Representatives led by the
republic cons. Wait to hear what they did today because
they don't care about you. Gary, How dare you say that?
And if you do not get this radio show in
your city, we'll post it at gary k dot com.
We'll also post it on our x feed. And if
you don't follow us and next. You should also at
(03:59):
biz tea YouTube channel that's b i z TV channel.
And by the way, throughout the years, we know the
real world. We know what's been going on a lot
of stations that we've been on of turning to ESPN
or religious or whatever. If we are not in your
city anymore, we post the show with gary Ka dot
(04:22):
com and we are in the midst of discussions of
how do I put this. We've done this on a
shoe string. I feel like we still use Dixie cups
and strings. We're gonna do some elevation because we deserve
(04:44):
to elevate ourselves and that's on us. And you know
where We've learned that from watching everybody else. Good looking studios,
good looking lighting and all that crap. So we're gonna
We've been in discussions and I think we're gonna do
some fast tracking of it. We'll let you know. But
(05:05):
the most important part of the equation if we are
not in your city, if a station goes away Garyka
dot com there every day biz talk radio, YouTube channel,
biz TV, BIZTV, and that is that where do I
(05:26):
want to start today? I need some help. I have
a question for you, very smart realtors out there. You ready,
if you go to buy a house and you go
into the house and they have these ough, gosh air
(05:48):
fresheners in every room, and I mean it is stinking
up the joint to the point where you got to
walk out because your eyes are almost burning. And then
you say to the realtor, what does that smell? Why
do they have those things in there? And the realtor
says to you, I don't smell anything, and you think
(06:09):
it to yourself. This realtor would be a great politician.
Would that be a red flag that they are hiding
something like mold or mildew or uh, I don't know,
leaking the water damage. Any realtors out there, please email me.
(06:30):
I just like to know what you think. Go to
Gary k dot com, email me, or g callbomb atcallbomb
dot net. I'm interested from you genius realtors out there
to hear what you have to say. Should I worry
if I was buying a house now, I know there's inspectors.
You do inspections when you buy a house, but could
(06:51):
they miss the mold if there is? I'm a big believer.
What's the line if it looks like crap smells like crap,
It feels like crap. Boy, I'm sure glad I didn't
step in it. You get the point, all right, So
I just wanted to start with that. That is the
(07:12):
realtor part of today. Robert Redford died. Has nothing to
do with you and your markets. But I just want
to let you know Robert Redford died. Let me tell
you that a big time, big time environmentalists. I never
(07:34):
heard him preach like some of these other adults out there,
and just a movie stars movie star eighty nine years old,
and I believe he did the sun Dance thing every
year and was in Utah or Colorado or something. Anyway,
just wanted to bring that up next. I'm just circling
(07:59):
Tomorrow's the Central Bank, our central bank that is in
meetings today. They're probably around the big table playing paper football.
Then they are playing Galaga Space Invaders and my favorite
Miss pac Man. By the way, I was a great
(08:19):
Miss pac Man player. I was the king of Miss
pac Man and I haven't played in a very long time,
and I should. They're going to make a move tomorrow,
and I want to explain it to you because we
don't believe it gets explained to you very well. So
(08:41):
number one, there is something called the bond market. What
that is are governments, companies, municipalities, whatever, they float bonds.
That means they are asking you to lend them money
in order to do their business. When you're dealing with municipalities,
(09:04):
they are tax free. In other words, the yield will
be lower, but tax free. You don't pay taxes on it.
When you buy a government bond a one year, two year,
five year, ten year, thirty year, you pay taxes on that.
Same with companies, you pay taxes on it. And the
(09:25):
reason why a yield is higher than other yields is
because of risk factors in other words, and they have
these rating services, you know, the rating services that let
us down in O eight. Will they go out there
and say, well, this company is not doing so well
and we're only going to rate it a B not
an A. So their bond is going to go out
(09:49):
at six percent versus somebody that would go out at
four percent. So to account for the risk, you get
six percent on your money versus a company that really
doesn't have lot of risk four percent. But don't get
me wrong, I made a ton of money on Sprint
bonds years ago, and they were risky, but I thought, hey,
they're going to be bought out eventually. I was getting
(10:09):
six seven percent for a long while. So that is
the free bond market, and these bonds trade freely. They
go up and down in price, not like stocks because
their income. But they'll move up and down up next.
(10:30):
Then we'll take on the FED. This is the one
only Investor's Edge.
Speaker 3 (11:02):
Hi, I'm Gary Kolbaum, hosted a nationally syndicated radio show,
Investor's Edge. We're not just handsome radio people. We manage
investors' money for a living, specializing in fee based discretionary
money management. No big commissions, just a fee on the
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(11:25):
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not all individuals have the same needs, will carefully evaluate
your personal goals to determine a proper investment strategy. If
your current approach to investing is not getting you to
where you would like to be, call us to make
an appointment for a complementary portfolio review. The number to
call is eight eight eight four two two five five
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to five five nine. That's eight eight eight four two
two five to five, five to nine Investment advisory services
offer through call capital Management.
Speaker 4 (12:05):
It's time to switch on the integrator units and get
the brain cells where.
Speaker 1 (12:09):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
Okay, it could be fun Investor's Edge.
Speaker 5 (12:15):
The last bastion of quality programming.
Speaker 1 (12:18):
With Gary called Bomb.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
It doesn't get better than this. Okay. So you got
this government bond market and the the yields will move
up and down based on price or if price moves up,
yields go down. If price goes down, yields goes up.
(12:40):
That that's you do get that? I don't think I
have to explain that. And why would yields go up?
Well in times of inflation something like that, Why would
yields go down recession, weakening of the currency. But what
(13:04):
normally happens is yields stay kind of stable, they go up,
they go down. But unfortunately throughout the years, we got
these Alright, let me be diplomatic today, interlopers, people that
thought they were god and decided to play god with
the free markets under the guise of Oh it's an emergency.
(13:28):
You remember eight eight was caused by the central bank.
It was caused by the central bank because they kept
money too easy. And if you keep money too easy,
it tends to create bubbles and housing bubbles. And you
know what housing bubbles did. They blew up and things
came down, and Ben Bernaki started printing money. Then Janet
(13:53):
Yellen came in. I don't even remember what the hell
she did because she was comatose. And then you get J.
Powell that came came in and printed like crazy because
of COVID, and then went to zero percent rates, which
caused mortgage rates to go to hardly anything. You remember
those three percent mortgages. So he interfered with the free market.
(14:18):
Let me explain how they interfered. And now I'm not
making this up. This is really what happened, and amazingly
it was allowed to happen. I want you to think
about this. One man had the ability to print out
of thin air up to nine trillion bucks. Well that's
where he stopped. He could have gone further. Now, he
(14:40):
didn't print nine trillion. I think he printed about five.
We were already at four. He took that money. Now
make sure you understand it was conjured up money out
of thin air. No, really, it was conjured up money
out of thin air. And he was allowed to do
(15:01):
it how many times as I do in the show.
And I would say to you, when did we get
to the point with the head of the Central Bank
as the most powerful man on earth that can print
up to nine trillion bucks? And then guess what he did?
He took all that money and bought the living hell
out of the bond market. And if you buy the
(15:22):
living hell out of the bond market with trillions of dollars,
what does it do to yields? Well, it took yields
down on the long end. What's the long end? Well,
thirty twenty ten to five two one. He rigged the
free market, which caused all the distortions and caused the inflation.
(15:46):
How do we know it caused the inflation? Definition of
inflation the outcome too much money chasing too few hands.
But what does he doing tomorrow? He's not doing anything
with the free markets, doing something with something called the
Fed funds rates, which has a lot to do with
what banks charge to each other lent to each other,
(16:08):
and also has a bunch to do it in money markets.
So you in the money markets, you're gonna get less
as he's going to lower that rate tomorrow from four
and a quarter down to four. And there's usually a
dash next to it, so to be four and a quarter,
dash four and a half to four dash four in
a quarter he's gonna lower it. What does that do
(16:30):
for you? Is it going to create a job? Hell no?
Is it gonna spur on the economy? Hell no. When
the President says the economy would be much better if
he would lower rates, he's not. The President's not telling
the truth. Why because lowering rates a quarter point or
half point is going to do nothing for the economy,
(16:54):
that's all. Now the president's been calling for him to
rig the market again, take it all the way down
to one percent. Well, what will that do? Well, the
president doesn't know this, but it will create the inflation,
big inflation again, and then all hell's going to break
loose because the President does not go he's wrong. So
(17:17):
we're just letting you know he's going to affect the
short term rates tomorrow, which, by the way, the stock
market has reacted to. And why does the stock market
react to the FED easing monetary policy, because easy money
creates the juice is flowing, and the easier the money,
(17:41):
the more the juice. And you know what happened when
he printed to nine trillion and kept rates at zero.
He ended up with game stop and AMC and all
kinds are crazy. And the inflation and when the inflation
started coming down? When did that start coming down? When
he stopped printing. So we're letting you know, in spite
(18:05):
of what the President says or anybody else, all he's
gonna do is gonna affect the short term rates. Tomorrow
could juice the market more, but I think some of
it's already baked in the cake. And we'll watch the
free market. The good news is the ten year yield
(18:26):
has dropped from four to three down to almost four
point zho. It's four point oh two right now in
the last couple of weeks. That's good news. It lowers
your mortgages, it lowers the loan rates, It lowers the
cost of capital for companies wanting to put out bonds
(18:48):
to grow their business. I'm in hopes he doesn't go
a half point I don't think he needs to. I
told you that I was running the Central bank I
would have already been three and three quarters four, So
if he wanted to cut a half, that's fine. I
(19:10):
would not go any further than that. And here's why,
because the market says so. I am a big believer
that the FED should be a quarter to a half
point below the ten year yield. So maybe he can
go three and a half. I don't know if he'd
go further than that, and what could be the negative
outcome if he goes too far? Again, did you like
(19:32):
that inflation? You tell me? How is that inflation good
for you? Oh? And by the way, we say, do
you see what's going on with the food? I saw
the Democrats blame Trump on the food inflation. No, it's
(19:56):
not Trump's fault. Coffee's going up. Other things are going up. Well,
i'd have to say coffee maybe Trump because of the tariffs.
But anyway, just want to explain the FED. I have
no clue how the market reacts to it. The market,
I believe, has already front run it to a certain extent,
(20:19):
and tomorrow's another day. I hate the fact that this
adult not only runs the central bank, but then he's
gonna do a press conference afterwards where he turns into
Ralph Cramdon and goes humm and a hummed, a humm
and a humana. That'll be tomorrow, yay, up next today
the market, this is the one only investor's edge.
Speaker 4 (21:11):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
America is talking falling investor's edge. He's gotta be with
the crowd. Is just on his feet.
Speaker 4 (21:19):
Here a boy with Gary called Bob come highly recommended.
You're gonna feel better if you talk to him.
Speaker 2 (21:36):
And work once again to investor's edge. So remember we
said yesterday the VIX, the volatility index was up and
maybe that portends a pullback of some sort. That was
down one twenty five today. Whoope, do weakness in the
downh nothing bad? United Health was down eight bucks. I
(22:03):
said yesterday that healthcare kind of really bearished most healthcare,
and I think they're starting to get those managed care again.
That's United Health. Travelers down four. We mentioned insurance was weak.
Microsoft was down six today. That didn't help s and
P down, Measley eight, NASDAK fourteen, NASDAK one hundred and
(22:23):
up down nineteen, but Tesla up twelve, Meta up fourteen.
You know, no harm there whatsoever. Oil prices were up.
The yield came down a little bit today, Bitcoin bounced
(22:43):
a little bit advanced, the clients were flat, So no biggie.
If we get a little pullback here, no big deal.
Some China names again strong, and I have to tell you,
I wonder if we're at the point where if anybody
announces AI just goes up. So Baidu has been very weak,
reports very bad earnings. China name, but they announced an
(23:06):
AI chip and the stock has gone vertical. The same
with Ali Baba that reported nine percent drop in earnings.
They announce an AI chip, it's gone vertical. But I'm
noticing at the same time in Vidia a little bit
on the weak side. So I'm wondering. I want you
to think about this and video four point something trillion
dollar market cap dominates its field, but we're just hearing
(23:31):
all kinds of announcements of other AI chips. The biggest
trouble in markets comes from when you own the world
and you start losing the world. In other words, you
have one hundred percent market share and I'm just using
(23:53):
one hundred but it's not one hundred, and then you
start losing it. The market starts reflecting it. So I'm
gonna be watching that closely, because leave no doubt there
are others out there that are going after n Video.
Right now, the stock is trading at the fifty day
moving average, did not act great on its earning support.
(24:15):
It is by no means in any type of bearish
phase or bear market, but it just whenever we I
just announced two Chinese companies that have their own little
Ai Chip. I'm always trying to think a step ahead.
(24:38):
At least I try what else today stood out? Not
much else? Semiser up. The transport's bounced a little bit,
but the rails and truckers have been yuck. Oil's had
a pretty good day. Actually subtly notice the big worried
(25:00):
by the way subtle as sub tla subtly oils are
getting a little bit on the sneaky side. There really
is now no leadership. There's a few names that are strong,
but not big leadership. But I'm gonna be watching them.
(25:22):
What else stuck out today? Oh? What have we been
telling you about initial public offerings? Be careful of the
hot opens right, and all that is is taking information
from the market at any given point in time and
(25:43):
being in recognition of it. So we've been telling you
they've been opened. These IPOs too hot, and they've been
crushing them. Well, today's Tuesday, so Friday. Gemini space Station,
that's the name, but it's not a space station. You
ever hear the Winkelvos twins. These are two men that
(26:05):
were They took Mark Zuckerberg to a trial for stealing
from him when Facebook first came public, and I guess
they settled for not a lot. But they got involved
with crypto in a big way and they're billionaires now,
God bless them. They started a company that loses craploads
(26:25):
of money. It's one of these digital asset exchanges. All
I can tell you is they opened it on Friday.
Let's see, was basically forty six bucks right at the open.
It's twenty eight and is trading at thirty times sales
(26:53):
and loses a ton. That is not a rub on
the company. It's a rub the stock in its valuation
and just another initial public offering getting absolute trashed after
a hot open. And I have about I've put them
all on one little screen. I have about twenty names
(27:14):
that they opened up ridiculously and have been absolutely trashed.
Remember that one bullish somebody at the nerve to name
a company bullish. They opened it, it was a thirty
seven dollars deal. Had it at one thirty two on
day one, fifty one bucks today. How about Chime Chime
(27:39):
twenty seven dollars. IPO had it at forty five bucks
first day twenty two dollars ninety nine cents. So everybody
that is in the stock is losing money. Now it's
at a new yearly low and below the IPO price. Oh,
by the way, they lose a crapload of money. Oh
(28:00):
and it's another one of these fintech fee free mobile
banking Like there's no mobile banking companies out there. Again,
we are not ripping on them. We're just like telling
you the way it is. And I found what is
this other one? Oh, heartfly, Oh, this one's not so bad.
We'll leave this one alone. Thirty seven down to thirty one.
(28:21):
That's not that's not that bad. Well that's about seventeen
percent anyway, you get my point. But the other point
is ten years from now, some of these are going
to be ten baggers, So we'll keep a darn good
watch on them. Some of the greatest stocks ten years
(28:44):
from now will be from IPOs. How about Voyager Tech
thirty one dollars deal. First day was at seventy four.
We're not making this up. Seventy four bucks in June,
it's twenty eight today. Oh and they lose a ton
of money, and it still has a one point six
(29:06):
billion dollar market cap with about one hundred and twenty
billion in sales, which ain't that not that bad? But
point taken right, and again, when we keep doing this,
it is because we take the information on what the
market's giving, and it's you should know by now that
they're opening up the initial public offerings too hot and
(29:27):
people are getting crushed, and we don't want you to
be crushed, so we'll keep telling you about it. How
about MNTN transformed Connected TV into Next Generation Marketing Channel
and loses a bunch of money. Now they had that
up to thirty two, it's now twenty uh what is
(29:50):
that about? Thirty five percent drop? That's a lot of cake.
We don't want you losing cake. I'll finish up with
fig because they had that up to one ten twenty one,
it's fifty three. Figma is that name, and it has
(30:12):
a twenty six billion dollar market cap with less than
a billion in sales, even at this price. Oh, there's
going to be some big drops in next bear market.
Ladies and gentlemen, you all better be ready when I
tell you the market's topped, right, you will be ready, right,
(30:34):
And you remember, you will remember that the average leading
stock will drop seventy percent in bear markets. Right. And
you do realize right now, nobody is saying bear market's
going to happen again. Right, We'll let the market decide. Oh,
(30:55):
and by the way, the market is just fine right now.
Tomorrow be another day, but g e M I just
another one. By the way, the dollar again was just
crumbling today, our dollar against currencies, and may I state
for the record, looks like it's back to it looks
(31:17):
like it's about to break down again at the lows
of the last nine months. Our dollar against other currencies.
Hmm huh huh. And I hear the new guy they
put in the Fed loves a week dollar? Make you
feel any better? Up next? Hey, what did the House
(31:39):
of Representatives do?
Speaker 3 (31:40):
That?
Speaker 2 (31:40):
Pisses me off? This is the one only investor's edge.
Speaker 1 (32:14):
You're listening to.
Speaker 2 (32:16):
What are you waiting for? One to ready?
Speaker 4 (32:21):
Go?
Speaker 1 (32:22):
Investors?
Speaker 4 (32:25):
We can't recall.
Speaker 5 (32:26):
Bob and walk once again to investor's edge.
Speaker 2 (32:48):
Hey all, my conservative Republican peeps out there, how you'
all doing today? You're good, my conservative Republican friends, How
y'all doing, My conservative Republican friends, that you and I
(33:12):
together loathed the last administration, loathed Kamala Harris that could
have been the next president, loathed that all she wanted
to do was raise taxes on anything that moved, anything
(33:36):
and everything. Tax on this, tax on that, tax on this.
You got this now, and this New York City joker
that's probably going to be the mayor, he wants to
tax the wretch, you know, those bad wretch like they're
not gonna haul us out of there to West Palm Beach. Right,
It's amazing. Marxist and Communists are the biggest dumbasses on Earth,
(33:58):
Ladies and gentlemen. But I regress, or digress, No, I
didn't regress. I digress. Let me read something to you.
The House of Representatives, which by the way, right now
is in the power of the Republicans, the power of
the Republicans. The Republicans have the power, and they passed
(34:20):
a measure today. What it did was it gave tariff
authority to President Trump. It prevents the House of Representative
from voting on any bills that would challenge his authority
on tariffs. So the President has the authority to tariff
(34:44):
anything anywhere, any time, ever, any size, any country, any product.
The Republican House of Representatives has now given the green
(35:06):
light to the President of the United States to tax
the living crap out of anything he wants to do,
anytime he wants to do it. How do you feel
about that, my Republican conservative lovers of low tax friends, Huh?
(35:28):
How do you feel that all the pundits are out
there praying that the Supreme Court sides with President Trump
on the ability to tariff tax anything that moves, like
Kamala Harris wanted to do, but this time it's President Trump,
(35:51):
So it's okay. It's not okay. And if you are
a true conservative without an a gender ulterio motive or bias,
you are pod that this administration has gone on a
(36:13):
higher tax festival, proudly praising it, proudly telling you the
numbers that they are telling you coming into this country.
So they are lying to you because it's not coming
into the country, it's this country paying those taxes. But
they know it's not really affecting you. So what do
(36:38):
you care. It's your party and you're not going to
be mad at your party for raising taxes, are you?
Why would you care that Apple paid one point nine
billion in taxes because of taris, or Ford I believe
was eight hundred million, or they're touting that they have
collecting twenty billion bus bucks a month. Well, just letting
(37:04):
you know, and I would like you to listen carefully.
If he keeps the tariffs on, it's gonna eventually flow
down to you. Currently, companies are doing the best they
can to hold the line on raising prices. Now we
have seen some prices raise. You do know that you've
(37:26):
seen the prices being raised. I can all but promise
that in the months ahead, if he doesn't remove the
fifty percent on Brazil, well your coffee is going to
keep going up. If he doesn't remove the tariffs, companies
(37:47):
are going to just say screw it and they're going
to be raising the prices on stuff. I don't know
which stuff, and I don't know how much, But we're
just letting you know. The Conservative Republican in House of
Representatives just gave the green light to President Kamala har Now,
(38:07):
excuse me, President Donald Trump to raise taxes anybody wants,
even though even though it is the House that's supposed
to propose taxes, this vote on them, give it to
the Senate to make changes or keep them and vote
(38:28):
on them, and then give them to the President for
his signature. Instead, they have given the president executive power,
where he has taken that executive power to tax the
living hell out of this country. And by the way,
this administration has stated they think they can raise eight
trillion bucks in the next ten years. Well, that would
(38:50):
be an eight trillion dollar tax hike on this country.
I would like to know if any candidate for presidency
stood up in debate and said we're going to tax
this country eight trillion dollars over the next ten years,
would you vote for that person? Just asking anyway, that
(39:17):
happened today in Washington, DC. As you know, we do
this show. We live our life without a genda, ulterior motive,
or bias. We want an administration to go in, keep
taxes low, regulations not onerus, get the hell out of
the way. We give the president a plus plus plus
(39:39):
plus plus plus on what he did with the border.
We were giving him an A plus plus plus plus
plus on deportations until they went overboard, but hopefully they
are fixing that up. We give them an A plus
on crime. I'll give them an A plus plus on
crime now Washington, DC. Crime is dropped to the ground.
We love that, protect the citizens, but the tax thing
(40:03):
that ain't no hill for a climber. Anyway, You'll have
a great evening. Drive carefully. It's Tuesday, right, got it.
When you get home, do like we do, quite simple.
Make sure you hug your family. Make sure you hug
your children. They will feel better. You will feel better,
I promise, stay well, be well, Thanks for joining, Good
night all, peace out.
Speaker 1 (40:22):
This has been Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbomb on biz Talk.
To listen to past episodes or to get in contact
with Gary, go to Garykay dot com. That's garyka dot com.
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