Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Investor's Edge with Gary Cultbomb, straight talk about you and
your money now from the Viz Talk studios. Here is
Gary Cultbomb.
Speaker 2 (00:12):
And well, once again to Investor's Edge. I'm Gary Koalbaum,
your host day. Thanks for being with us today. Glad
you hear, ladies and gentlemen, happy that you are listening.
It is August fifteenth, it's Friday. It's twenty twenty five.
And if it's a Friday, you know what that means.
I'll be on an airplane. Hope you have a good day.
Hope you're having a good weekend. As always, serious talk
(00:35):
on everything that affects you. We'll do the markets, the economy,
your job, your industry, Trump and Putin, And I must
tell you they preempted General Hospital at the most important
time today for Trump and Putin, which really irritates me.
So I have to go on the ABC site and
(00:56):
watch it. Oh well, what can I tell you? You don't
mind me saying that?
Speaker 3 (01:01):
Right?
Speaker 2 (01:03):
I have two things. General hospital and professional wrestling have
been part of my whatever forever and it used to
be one life to live in all my children, but
they took them off the air. Anyway, in case you
don't know, serious talk on everything affects you. As we said,
the market's the economy, your job, your industry, Trump and
(01:23):
Putin and other things are showing up that I need
to talk about a lot of jello moving on the
plate today in the markets, and we're going to cover
it from Warren Buffett to United Health to the bad
(01:44):
bad day to day in a certain area that could
be of import maybe maybe not. And if you do
not get this radio show in your city, we'll post
it at gary k dot comalos posted on our X feed.
I'm getting used to saying X in seat of Twitter.
We'll post it on our X feed. And if you
like to follow us on X go ahead put our
(02:04):
name in and if you'd like to email me, you
just gotta be nice, very simple. We're very nice here.
We're very respectful. You can disagree with us one thousand
percent and we'll say thank you. And that is all.
So the big news today the president is meeting with
(02:26):
a murderous thug Vladimir Putin, that he has murdered people
that disagree with him, with poison falling off buildings and
weird car crashes. He invaded Ukraine. And what's interesting about
all that is a ton of his own soldiers have
(02:50):
been killed in this war for land. And I've always wondered,
so you get some land? What be frickin do I'm
hearing tens of thousands of his own citizens soldiers are dead. Anyway,
we'll see what comes of it. I must tell you that,
(03:12):
as you know, I kind of watch everything. This is
how sick some of these media ass clowns are. Before
the meeting, you got five jerks on TV, including I'm
not even gonna mention names. One of them has been like,
has been used to run somebody's campaign. They already said
Putin is one. What a bunch of jokes, these hateful
(03:35):
political pundit jokes. Think about that. You got the president
and as you know, I got problems with him. He's
trying it and he may be successful or not trying
to stop a war. Maybe he will, maybe he won't.
Maybe nothing comes of it. These clowns. Oh, he already lost. Amazing,
(03:57):
It really is amazing. Anyway, So that's going went on
right now. You can think what you want. Hey, we
all have our opinions on these things. I just like peace,
don't you. Anyway, So that's happening right now, not really,
I don't think it's a market move in any way,
shape or form. Next thing I want to bring up,
and we'll do the indices later. Let's start with United Health.
(04:20):
I know you've been hearing about that today. In case
you don't know, United Health is a stock that went
from six hundred and six dollars in April, hit a
low recently of think about two hundred and thirty four dollars.
It's a dowstock. It has been one of the strongest
Dow stocks. It is in the managed care and whatever
healthcare benefit plans and all that crap. And of course
(04:41):
what has happened recently. First off, it started with a
murder Luigi. You know Luigi, the one that's getting marriage
proposals because he's good looking. I got to tell you,
some people are just weird. Luigi, the guy who murdered
such a cowardly nothing no body that shot a man
(05:01):
in a back that is getting go fund me money
from people, and people saying the guy deserved it. Imagine
you're the CEO of a company and you just leave
a lie, lead a life and doing your best you can.
You got wife and kids, and you got shot in
the back, and people are celebrating it. I got news
(05:23):
for you. Those people better get a big mirror. Anyway,
It started with that because what's come of United Health
is it has been pretty much disclosed that they were
denying claims like ten times higher than anybody else. And
then there's been a Justice Department and then a criminal investigation,
(05:44):
and it just kept going lower and lower and lower.
I've been amazed. And from six oh six to two
thirty four you already let me see if I can
come up with this number so you have an understanding
what it means to the now. Six oh six minus
two thirty four equals three hundred and seventy two times
six point five twenty four hundred and eighteen dow points
(06:05):
to the downsites in April, well, in the last five
days it moved up from like two forty to two seventy,
not because of any news, but it just decided to
go from two forty to two seventy, and it was
announced Warren Buffett took a big position, and it was
announced that other hedge funds took a big position, and
the stock was up today thirty two bucks. The three
(06:28):
oh four, so thirty two times two hundred and eight
Dow points. Well, the Dow only finished up thirty four,
so you can see that United Health was the head honcho,
top dog big cheese today counts when it goes down,
it counts when it goes up. We consider that volume
was heavy, and I get all kinds of emails. Does
(06:50):
it really matter, Well, let me state for the record
all these hedge funds were big time underwater. In case
you don't know, these are old numbers that come out.
It's from the second quarter, from the beginning of April
to end of June. I can tell you from the
beginning of April to the end of June. The high
six oh six. The low was two thirty four. Excuse me,
(07:13):
the low was two ninety five. So they could not
buy it lower than two ninety five, which means they
were losing their butt if it was at two thirty
four a few days ago. So they're not geniuses or anything.
But Warren Buffett has some what we call cachet, even
though one of his biggest positions now is Occidental Petroleum.
(07:34):
He's been buying that for a couple of years and
he's getting smoked on it. But it's Warren Buffett. And
then you add in some of these other people. And
I got asked by many people, they so what do
you think of United Health? And I use the same
word for all of them. I am agnostic. I have
no clue what happens from here. It is not like
anything fundamental changed. It is a matter of it's down,
(07:54):
it's out, it's under owned, it's under leverage, it's under loved.
The whole works and it looks like because of these
very smart people throughout the years, it got a big
gap to the upside here. And we'll see what happens
in the weeks ahead. Simple as that. That's my answer. Technically,
I got nothing to say. That's chart patterns. I got
(08:16):
nothing for you accepted gapped up today, that's it. So
that's the United Hell thing. Also, Warren Buffett took a
position in d R. Horton and Lenar. We've been talking
about the housing stocks, but they opened up hot and
they was sold off. And he also took a position
in Newcre and guess what. Newcre opened up at one
fifty two closed at So that was kind of not
(08:39):
big meaning. So I just want to let you know
that was the story on United Health today, and we'll
see whether these people are geniuses or not. What I
don't like And I just wonder was their leaks, meaning
all of a sudden, all these hedge funds are buying
into this company kind of sort of at the same time,
(09:06):
did they kind of know? And just remember Warren Buffett's
I don't know if he's really running the show at
Berkshire right now, there's this other guy. I'm just wondering
that all of a sudden, all these people bought into
a stock that was getting trashed, with Justice Department all
over with criminal investigations. I don't know what to tell you.
(09:29):
You know, I'm a skeptic on a decent amount of
Wall Street, So just wanted to let you know. That
was the United Health thing today. The final numbers now
was only up thirty four, with United Health up about
two hundred and eight doubt points weakness Goldman sacks sixteen
and change. That's one hundred doll points. Interesting, that's what
(09:51):
stood out. Caterpillar down nine. Interesting. You know how important
Caterpillar is thus and that's topped out recently, So we'll
see what next weeks bring. I will tell you that
you had some great advanced Declin's day today. This week
you had one bad one today was eh and a
(10:12):
lot of jello moving on the plate today, which I
think is of note. And we're going to talk about
each area and hum let me throw it out to
you may need to be on your toes up next,
all of that much more. I'm Gary. This is the
one on the Investor's Edge. Hi. I'm Gary Kolbaum hosted
(11:03):
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Speaker 4 (12:05):
It's time to switch on the integrator units and to
get the brain cells where.
Speaker 3 (12:09):
You're listening to. Okayun Investor's Edge.
Speaker 5 (12:15):
The last bastion of quality programming.
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With Gary called bomb.
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It doesn't get.
Speaker 4 (12:20):
Better than this, and walk once again to Investor's Edge.
Speaker 2 (12:34):
All right, let's do one by one first and foremost,
and this is the real sticking out. Applied Materials simple amat.
This is an electronic semiconductor equipment company. You can go
look them up at Applied Materials dot com and exactly
what they do. The stock was down fourteen percent today
(12:56):
and four times average volume. This is an important semiconductor
equipment company. It's an important semiconductor equipment company. It closed
today trading where it did in January of twenty two,
so three almost three point seven years of no gains
they reported, guidance came down and the question is, oh, wait,
(13:20):
we're the equipment makers. We get orders starting to slow.
Remember other companies are involved. So we just want to
let you know that's for starters. Big breakdown on that
stock without a doubt, but we're always looking what else.
There's always sympathy moves, and sometimes it gets ignored. I've
(13:42):
seen plenty of times where one stock in a group
gets trashed and the other stocks may be gap to
the downside and then they rally. Let's take a look. KLAC,
the strongest name in the group, finished down eighty bucks today,
down eight point four percent. And what was interesting about today.
(14:05):
It opened up at about nine to twenty and closed
at eight seventy five. So the institutions were selling the
stock today almost two times average volume, double average volume.
That's of note. Lamb Research was at a new high,
not anymore was down seven point three percent today on
(14:28):
more than double average volume. That's the group right there,
and of course it did not help the whole semiconductor complex.
Now there's some other names ASML it is only down
a percent and change. Really it is a threesome of
those that I watched closely, and it was rough. And
there's a few other semiconductor equipment companies that were down today.
(14:49):
The socks was down one thirty two. Just not a
great tone whatsoever for those areas, and I think probably
more than likely they should be of avoided right now,
which gives a little pause because you know how important
semiconductors are to our work. So I just wanted to
(15:12):
start with that one. That's number one, Number two Goldman
Sacks down sixteen today, JP Morgan keep in mind at
a lower priced Okay, it doesn't look that bad. Down
three and a half bucks today, Morgan Stanley, which broke
(15:33):
out and tucked back in like a frightened turtle today,
down two point six percent. Not the end of the world, Blackrock.
I've been telling you about that one. Down twenty five
bucks today, over two percent today, to be watched because
as we have told you, we pull no punches. Banks
and semis matter to us big time. And as far
(15:56):
as the banks, I'm not going to say anything real
big negative except they had a down day today. We'll
see if this follow through next week. And the financial
blah today and as we said, the Dow was only
up thirty five with the United Health up two to
eight total doubt price. So you had some dick today.
(16:20):
Not the end of the world. What else stuck out?
I wrote a little list here for you. Gold miners
continue to act pretty darn good versus the gold This
is a big sa change because for a long while
the gold is stronger than the gold miners. The gold
miners playing catch up. If you go look at the
(16:42):
GDX versus the GLD, you will see the gold, which
is gold the medal going into its seventeen seventeenth week
of range. The gold miners broke out and really ain't
given much back right now, had a little pullback of
no big deal gold miners. I saw more this week
(17:03):
as far as distribution in some of the AI energy companies,
the AI construction companies, you know, the AI kind of
Thingham of bombs. I saw some distribution in the aerospace
defence where a bunch of names broke below support levels.
(17:24):
So a little bit of that going on. Not the
end of the world, but for sure they're up. Trends
may be stunted for right now, and we'll see how
they pull them back, whether it worsens or not. But
just letting you know Bitcoin went to new highs two
(17:46):
days ago and didn't hold it. Just letting you know
back in range, that's all but micro strategy again. All
they do is own Bitcoin looks like crap and is
now underperforming the bitcoin and as we have stated to you,
(18:06):
it's just a weird thing they're doing there. Others call
it a scheme. I'm just gonna say it's weird borrowing
to buy more bitcoin, issuing more stock to buy more bitcoin.
And as I have told you, bitcoin the last bear
(18:26):
market was down seventy five percent. I think this thing's
leveraged and will get yunked, even just in a darn
good correction. So just letting you know. And I bring
this up because I know a lot of people elderly
(18:48):
that have been convinced to get into the crypto now
because of the President, and nothing can go wrong, and
you have a bunch of touts telling you it's going
to a million. One person said three million, another one
said thirteen million. Oki Doki. And I do believe that
(19:09):
Michael Sailor, who runs micro Strategy, said it's gonna be
worth a certain amount of the I don't know exact
the number he gave would be higher than all the
GDP of this world what bitcoin was gonna be worth.
And he said it with a straight face. I was
looking at his eyes to see if he smoked a
(19:30):
lot of weed. Anyway, we'll keep an eye out for
you if bitcoin continues to go higher. We'll tell you
if it breaks down, we'll tell you you really can
hide up trends or down trends. Just letting you know.
It went to new highs on Wednesday, and I guess
the best word has aborted the new highs, but not
(19:54):
has not broken down. And of course the ethereums come
on strong. So all of a sudden, everybody, he's talking
about that. Remember price moves, opinion, words and emotion. You
got that, which has me in a minute segueing to
(20:16):
the other part of the equation of price moves words, opinions,
and emotion, but also dollars, sometimes at the most inopportune times.
(20:36):
Up next, that'll be the segue. Thanks for being here.
I'm Gary. This is the one knowing investor's edge.
Speaker 3 (21:11):
You are listening to. America is talking following investors edge.
Speaker 1 (21:16):
He's got the crowd is just on his feet.
Speaker 5 (21:19):
Here said on a boy with Gary called Bob come
highly recommended. You're gonna feel better if you talk to him.
Speaker 2 (21:33):
Okay, So recently, just warning shots to you. We we
we've given you warning shots based on the information the
(21:56):
market has given us. And those warning shots had to
do with two things. Number one, hot IPOs being opened
like crazy, making a real quick dart to the upside
crazily and then crushing people. And then also there have
(22:17):
been and I don't know how they come out where
they came from, but we have mentioned to you from
Asia stocks that have gone from four to forty and
then drop thirty nine dollars in a day. Not making
(22:38):
this up, So we're just letting you know. And this
is not a commentary on the companies. We're talking price here.
So I got this other one I found today called
Coprina Holdings. Today's the first day I've ever seen it
because it showed up on my volume screen. The symbol
(23:00):
is CUPR. It's Singapore based. They have no sales. It
looks like in April. It came out at like four bucks.
It hit a high yesterday of nine and a half.
(23:25):
The other ones I noted for you all stopped trading
and opened down ninety percent today. In the first twenty minutes,
this stock went from nine and a half down to
eight dollars and thirty eight cents. It stopped trading at
(23:48):
eleven point fifteen. It opened back up at ninety four cents.
The stock was down eighty seven percent today on twenty
times average volume. Other words, if you own the stock,
you were dropped eighty some odd percent and you could
not trade in between. This is probably the seventh or
(24:17):
eighth name in the last three months that have done
this warning shot, and they're all from Hong Kong, China.
This one is Singapore. And again this is not a
rip on the countries or the companies. It's on the stocks.
Be careful. But we've also warned you about other crap,
(24:44):
and that is just suspect stuff. Here's one fe you
fly E Group, Flye Designs installs smart electric motorcycles whatever
we scooters. It was down eighty seven percent today to
(25:07):
a buck. Accusations of the company is a figment of
the imagination. I am not commenting on that. I'm reporting
what came out today on it. And then there's the IPOs.
Simple Fly was the most recent IPO. They opened it
(25:32):
at fifty, it went to seventy four. Six days later
it's forty seven, seventy four to forty seven. I don't
need to do any others. I did a bunch for
you yesterday. But we are seeing a bunch of forty
fifty sixty percent drops in days off of hot IPOs.
(25:56):
I'm not even gonna comment if like Riviana and when
that came public and we said that thing's gonna crash
because of valuation, I'm not even gonna bring up valuation.
We're just letting you know the characteristic of this market.
They're opening up IPOs hot and they're crumbling, so you're forewarned,
(26:19):
and we don't know if it gets better gets worse.
We're just letting you know. We started warning you on
this in the last two three weeks and it's got worse,
so we have to bring that up to you. And
a couple of these that just stopped trading and opened
(26:40):
up down eighty percent. I don't even know what to say.
That's why we tell you just be careful of the specs.
Imagine that owning a stock. It stops trading and an
hour later opens up down eighty five percent. And by
the way, I don't see any news or explanation. I
(27:04):
just looked up and we just take our time and go.
I'll go right in real time for you right now.
Coprena Corporation news and guess what it finally came out.
Coprina Holdings plummets eighty eight percent in volatility storm. I
(27:26):
don't think it's a volatility storm. It just shut down
and opened up and there's no news. It's just a report.
Usually there should be news, So just be careful. Let
me give you the good side. Just let you know,
(27:47):
money flows volume today into the solars. Uh. There was
a story today about solar projects under a certain amount
of this, that and the other thing may qualify for
federal tax credits. So first solar up nineteen to one
(28:09):
ninety nine, some of the bombed out names like se
DG up four and change to thirty. Just let you
know we have been telling you to avoid solars for ever,
not forever, but for a very long time. And that
was a high volume move today and we'll see how
(28:31):
it goes. So that's the good end. Does not take
away from you know, we started talking to you about,
oh what's selling off today? The big end of Caesar
are in good stead. Small caps had a better week,
though they pulled back the last couple of days. My
(28:53):
worries remain the same. It's the tariffs. It's the making
the football on tariffs when the definition of a tariff
is a higher price. While they've been telling us don't worry,
there's no inflation though. Now the producer prices come in
(29:14):
and they spiked up, and the apologist said, I don't worry. Eh,
we'll see about that. The President also threatened more tariffs
today before he went to Alaska. By the way, I've
been to Alaska once, but I had a plane stop there.
(29:36):
I've never stepped foot into Alaska. And I know I
gotta do like a cruise or something to Alaska one day.
I hear cruises and then you go up into the
you know all that you've seen the videos. I may
have to do that one day. And I got to
do Norway too. I've never done Norway. How did I
segue to that? I have no idea. I was discussing
(29:57):
the president. He's Alaska right now. We think a lot
of the strong names are now settling down, pulling back,
sitting around, and we may get a few weeks of
nothing this. I do know one thing that really stuck
out to me today that I didn't even realize for
a second. And video reports in twelve days. That'll be
(30:19):
a week from next Wednesday, right, is that right? Yeah?
So we'll see what that brings. But overall, the fine,
big indices fine remain above the twenty one day moving
average not even down to the fifty day little pullback
(30:41):
in the queues today because of the semis, and again
that's to be watched. I do have to also mention
the airlines have been better. There's been a few things
coming on the home builders, though they got sold off
today off of the Warren Buffett news. I call that
(31:05):
a no biggie. But what's stuck out at the close
to me today after as my doom a little work.
The ten year yield backed up the last couple of days,
and I think that has to be watched. I can
never promise here we don't want to see the ten
year yield go above four point five. We're at four
(31:26):
point three two eight. Why I don't think the Fed
can lower rates if it goes above four or five
because the market will be telling you something, and the market,
I think is dependent on that. We'll see hey, up next, this,
(31:46):
that and the other thing the end of the week.
This is the one only investor's.
Speaker 3 (31:50):
Edge you're listening to.
Speaker 2 (32:17):
Wait for one.
Speaker 3 (32:20):
Ready, we can't recalled bob.
Speaker 4 (32:37):
Um um um um um hey in the news.
Speaker 2 (32:46):
That may or may not may matter to you or
the markets. And we believe everything that emanates out of
DC these days. In case you don't know, Washington, DC
is now sue Donald Trump and the administration. I don't
know who the exactly the administration, they say it still
(33:07):
takeover by putting the National Guard there and whatever to
protect the citizens. I don't know about you, but you
give me more security in areas of strife, and I'm
(33:29):
a happy guy. I saw Chucky Schumer, one of the
biggest failures in DC that keeps getting elected. Say oh,
I walk around Washington, DC all time. He's got a
security detail. And as I told you, the last time
(33:51):
I was in d C, I had a briskly move
away from a few and I'm letting you know they
were fifteen or sixteen year olds. They look like they
were ready to come at me, and I got out
of there before you can say boo. And don't forget
DC had to put out flyers to protect yourself from carjackers.
(34:15):
It's insanity. Yet they're suing. It's insane. Also in the news,
the mayor of New York City. Yeah, I'm saying he's
gonna win. There's pictures of him with ingrates, celebrating with
(34:37):
people that said nine to eleven was a good thing.
He's not apologizing for anything he has said in the
past or his beliefs. He's really out there telling you
he's a communist. He wants to control the means of production.
He wants to controlled price. He wants to tell you
(34:58):
what you're gonna pay, when you're gonna pay, and how
much you're gonna pay. He does not want free markets.
He's gonna imagine he wants to take over supermarkets. He
wants to defund the police, defund the police. He wants
less police. He wants what social workers to go take
(35:21):
care of people. I gotta tell you, in the subway
last week, somebody was pushed onto the tracks. We're going
to send the social worker to take care of that person.
It's insanity. Yet he is going to win, and he
hates Jews, and Jews are voting for him. Call me dumbfounded.
(35:44):
I got a hand it to him. He's not hiding it.
You know all the other Marxist socialist communists when they
go for election and they hide it or they say
they didn't mean it. He ain't doing that. He's not
doing that. That's in the news. And as I've stated,
(36:10):
if he was coming in to a small city, which
still matters. That doesn't mean as much, but this is
New York City. By the way, he says, he don't
believe we should have billionaires, just so you know, it
(36:35):
used to be millionaires. But when they became millionaires, they
went to the bee. Imagine you're telling your most successful
people you shouldn't be that successful, and you basically tell him,
get the hell out, and you know what they will do.
They'll get the hell out. Do you know how many
very wealthy New Yorkers have moved out of New York
(36:57):
City because of these thoughts? Remember de Blasio his exact quote,
I'm gonna attack the hell out of the rich. They
don't deserve to have what they have, So we're going
to keep our eye on it. I'm expecting him to win.
(37:18):
I don't know what the hell is going on with
the voters there. This should be the easiest decision of
their lives. Oh and yes, it's like I've said it before,
the Bola virus versus the bubonic plague. Who they are
going against, He's going against. And we'll just see how
(37:43):
it goes. If Trump is able to get big movement
on the war in Ukraine started by Putin. He's got
the Gary Kay Peace Prize. Ladies and gentlemen, he gets
(38:04):
the Gary k Piece Prize. If that's the case, I'm
not so sure that's gonna happen. The guy is a murderer,
a thug, and you can't very much persuade those people earnings.
Notice the segue a lot less. My job's easier right now.
(38:30):
I only have two page of innings next week. But
Walmart and Home Depot in the dow Home Depot had
a good week off of the low rates. But if
low rates turn into higher rates, that's gonna end. And
you got things like analog devices esday lorder lows with
Home Depot Target TJ Max TJX. That'll be all next week.
(38:51):
But I only have a page and a half of
innings next week, which thrills the heck out of me.
I told you about the Amazon instead cart thing. I
was looking at that today. That's big stuff. If I
was Instacart and these others, I'd be real worried. Amazon
has its way. Once they get into something, boy, they
(39:12):
are good at it. And if you've driven around and
see some of their fulfillment centers that are like the
size of there's one near the airport here in Orlando.
I would swear it's like five football fields, if not more.
And they opened one up here in Deltona also, and
(39:35):
man oh man, they are good at delivery and now
they say they'll be able to deliver perishables within hours.
If I were Instacart door dashing some of these others,
boy oh boy, I'd be in meetings this weekend. Nothing
like competition on Wall Street. Amazon had a good week
(39:58):
on that news. We'll see how plays out that. All said,
you have a great weekend. Drive carefully. I'll be hanging
with the dad. And when you get home, do like
we do. Make sure you hug your family, Make sure
you hug your children, make sure you hug your father
and your mom. Peace out all. Thanks for joining, and
(40:18):
thanks for all your well wishes. Be well, stay well,
good night.
Speaker 1 (40:22):
This has been Investor's Edge with Gary cult Mom on
Biz Talk. To listen to past episodes or to get
in contact with Gary, go to Garykay dot com. That's
Garykay dot com.