July 9, 2025 • 65 mins
Time for the July update of the JTR30, a list of the most overlooked prospects in each organization. Chris and Drew split up the leagues and find players who are rostered on less than 20% of Fantrax Leagues but should be rostered more than that.
Listen and find out who's in, who's out, who's off the hot seat, who's on the hot seat and who did Drew just compare to Jackson Merrill???
NOTE: We recorded this early on Tuesday before the Yankees called up JTR30 2025 Player of the Year frontrunner Cam Schlittler and also before the news came out that Jaden Hamm (Tigers) is on the injured list. I'll throw in a bonus Tiger or two, take a look at Max Anderson (2B) or Andrew Sears (P).
Feel free to comment or make your own suggestions here or find us on BlueSky.
Timestamps:
2:20 Diego Tornes
4:50 Luis Cova
6:10 Eli Serrano III
8:40 Carson DeMartini
10:30 Angel Feliz
14:40 Nestor German
16:50 Freili Encarnacion
19:30 Roc Riggio
21:20 Ty Johnson
23:40 Khal Stephen
26:10 Jaxon Wiggins
28:30 Adam Serwinowski
30:00 Jose Anderson
31:10 Javier Rivas
34:20 Deniel Ortiz
37:30 Tanner McDougal
39:45 Alfonsin Rosario
40:50 Jaden Hamm
41:40 David Shields
42:45 Kaelen Culpepper
46:45 JD Dix
50:00 Kyle Karros
51:20 Brendan Tunink
53:00 Humberto Cruz
55:20 Bo Davidson
56:20 Henry Bolte
57:45 Joseph Sullivan
59:20 Hayden Alvarez
1:01:00 Charlie Beilenson
1:02:20 David Davalillo
Find us on BlueSky:
Drew: @drewgotigers.bsky.social
Chris: @notnotcknock.bsky.social
JoinTheRanks: @jointheranks.bsky.social
Intro and Outro Voiceover provided by Coleson Probst coprovoice@gmail.com
Intro Music: One Fine Day by Keep Calm and Podcast On (Podcast.co)
Thanks for tuning in!
Find us on BlueSky and X:Drew: @drewgotigers.bsky.social/ @aok_fan (X)
Chris: @notnotcknock.bsky.social/ @notnotcknock (X)
JoinTheRanks: @jointheranks.bsky.social/ @JoinTheRanksTDG (X)Intro and Outro Voiceover provided by Coleson Probst coprovoice@gmail.com
Intro Music: One Fine Day by Keep Calm and Podcast On (Podcast.co)
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
It's time for Join the Ranks, a prospect focused podcast
of the Dynasty Grew Network, helping Dynasty managers win your
league's one player at the time. So settle in for
an hour of conversation and insightful analysis with your hosts,
Dynasty Grew senior writers Drew Klein and Chris Knock.
Speaker 2 (00:19):
And welcome back to JTR thirty version two point three,
our July update of our most overlooked prospect in each organization.
This is a list we sit. We sat at the
end of each preseason and do our monthly updates through
the summer, and this is our third update. We're almost
halfway there. I think some of the interest today is
whether or not some of these names we talk about
(00:40):
will be bounced about as a kind of ladder down
prospects and some of the trade packages we'll see back
and forth. There's a a few I think that we
will right now. Our definition of an overlook prospect is
a prospect rostered by fewer than twenty percent of teams
and fan tracks who we think should be rostered more
than that. So, in addition to trying to introduce new
names to you, but also highlights some that maybe you
(01:01):
know and maybe you and others are overlooking and maybe
available in your leagues. For each update throughout the season,
anybody who crosses the twenty percent threshold we move to
our we see you list, and if a prospect isn't
panning out quite the way we thought he would, we'll
move him to the nothing to see here list. We'll
also let you know as we talk if any of
our holdovers are on our hot seat, it need a
good month to move one way or the other on
(01:23):
our lists. Speaking of the full list, which as we
move forward, we'll include players we've moved off the JTR
thirty for either of our reasons. You can go to
the Dynastyguru dot com and the article linked to each
podcast will include a table with our full list, So
everybody who's been on it all year long, whether they're
our current JTR thirty or whether there's somebody who's graduated
or on our nothing to see here list. So Chris
(01:46):
early morning recording for us, Thank you for your flexibility,
and hopefully we'll get this out a little bit earlier
than usual and see if people like listening to it
before the weekend or over the weekend. But all that said,
why don't we just jump in and do you want
to kick us off with the last.
Speaker 3 (02:00):
Yeah, I think I'm I'm waking up and got the
frogs out of my throat. A L R N L East.
Here we go. Uh So Atlanta Braves. Uh. The last
couple of months start of this year, I've had a
gentleman by d d Or Fuentes uh as my under
ranked nomination here. But he, as we know, shortly after
(02:26):
we recorded last month, he got he got the nod
to the majors. He kept on moving up. It's kind
of been a mixed bag of starts. The surface numbers
aren't as indicative of what we think he'll be ultimately
his The deeper numbers have supported some of that nastiness
that he showed in the minor leagues, that strike up ability.
(02:47):
He's graduating enough with enough with Dder. He's graduating now
by definition of our league or of our game here
that we play. And in his stead I've added Diego Tornez,
who was there twenty twenty five j fifteen sinee. He
(03:09):
is a tall drink of water at six foot two.
He's kind of lanky, he's got a power. He's scouted
on fangrass his power first power with hit tool, but
so far he's been a very quick burner on the
base pass. He's got seventeen steals out of eighteen tries,
no home runs, but he does have eight extra base
(03:33):
hits between his doubles and triples. He's in the DSL.
I neglected to mention that, so he's got a long
path ahead of him. He is super young for the
for the Class two. He just turned seventeen, so there
could be some growth in him as you know, both
height and obviously as he fills out and hopefully gets
(03:54):
to that power that we've been that he has scouted
with having hit tools solid, but it's you know, it's
DSL numbers, so you can't really believe the statistics so far.
But he is betting two eighty six. He's showing a
good eye with the three sixty nine OVP and like
I said, not much slug yet. But he's truly probably
(04:16):
one of the youngest out there even in the in
the terms of the Dominican Summer League. Diego Tornez, outfielder
for the Braves, is my newest is my newest edition.
Speaker 2 (04:28):
I like it.
Speaker 3 (04:29):
Yeah, you're familiar with his game.
Speaker 2 (04:31):
A little bit, Like you mentioned him once before, and
he's been getting and then right after that he's got
picked up in the league i' mean by one of
my other managers. So it's getting a little bit of
notice out there.
Speaker 3 (04:43):
Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, Diego Tornez, I did hint at him,
that's right. A couple of weeks back, Luis Cova. Then
another outfielder in the Dominican Summer League is my Miami Marlins.
He's sticking. I'm sticking with him. His rostership hasn't really
changed much. His statistics haven't also improved or haven't changed
(05:11):
much month to month. Here he is cutting down some
of that k rate. When we talked last time, he
was at thirty percent. He's down to twenty five percent.
So over the course of the month he's brought that
down you know, five is percent, which is good. Obviously,
still didn't have any home runs this past month. So
again he's another kind of lanky teenager type, right he's
(05:35):
on eighteen and a half years old, still dreaming on
that power, still waiting for that, but that you know,
that's pretty much part for the course with these young kids.
His overall WRC plus and the DSL so far this
year is a buck nineteen, so he's playing better than
the average baseball player down there. So we like what
(05:55):
that's headed, like how he's holding holding, holding true, and
we'll keep being patient with Luis Kova. Now we got
in New York the Mets another outfielder three for three
on the outfielders are sticking with Eli Serrano the third again.
He is another guy. He was coming back from injury.
(06:17):
Last time we talked, I didn't have much in the
way of updates for his numbers. They've come quote unquote
back down to earth a little bit, but he's he's
still having an outstanding year there in high A as
a college bat from last year's draft, seven homers, six
stolen bases so far, a sub twenty k rate. His
(06:42):
batting average is two thirty five, so you know there's
some room to grow there. Not necessarily related to just
swinging mess issues because those are excellent, looking excellent so
far in twenty twenty five, but overall his offensive package
buck twenty eight WRC plus. He's he's looking pretty dynamic
(07:03):
and looks like he'll be a five category contributor as
he as he you know, especially OBP leagues, I should
say his average is to thirty five versus an OVP
of three forty five, so he's walking in it above
average clips so far too, which is what you want
a college a seasoned college bat to be doing in
(07:24):
some of those lower minor levels. I'd love for him
to get the bump to double a here and hopefully
that will happen later this summer.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
Called up his game log while you were talking here
real quick, and over the last month his his K
rate is it's under twenty percent and his walk rate
is over ten percent. So yeah, the you know, I
think that the batting average is going to come up.
He's obviously putting the ball in play, is what I'm saying.
And it's not a frightful k percentage when you see
(07:54):
it under twenty percent. And I agree, like to see
more of what he's doing when he gets up to
higher levels but looks good.
Speaker 3 (08:00):
Yeah, it's you know. I love it when the tools
he types like Serrano are showing more consistent hit and
approach results than their tools, you know, than the homers
or the stone bases, because to me, that indicates growth. Right,
you might not have the counting stats that are catching
(08:22):
all the Twitter feed eyeballs, but you're getting a development
of a baseball player. And if those tools are able
to continue to shine as they progress, then then you
start really getting excited. Right That brings us now to
Carson de Martini. Sticking with him, still in Philadelphia. He's
(08:45):
still in Double A. He's not an outfielder. He started dominating.
If we remember, he started dominating High A right before
in the month of June, and then they promoted him
right before we recorded last last month. So he's only
hit one home run in Double A. But again, I'm
(09:07):
trying to do a little comparing contrast last year at
the start and then at the start of this year
at HIA. He was really slow to adjust in that
power department. So I'm not too concerned yet the power
came through at High A. I'm expecting it to eventually
start shining through here at Double A. But that is
(09:27):
what will continue to watch with him. He's striking out
at A twenty just under twenty five percent with a
average yellow flagish zone of fifteen percent swinging strike great
at double A. I'm sorry, I was looking at his
combined thirteen point six percent swinging strike great at double
(09:50):
A alone, so that thirteen point six is less of
a yellow flag than the fifteen percent kind of in
that when they're under fourteen percent is when I'm starting
to be a little bit more comfortable with the swing,
and miss twenty three kind of jives well with that
twenty five K. So again, I guess what I'm saying
(10:12):
here with Carson D. Martiniz, it feels like this is
a repeat of what was his start to his high
A this year in twenty five and then eventually he
adjusted and he performed well and he was rewarded with
the promotion. So I hope that he adjusts here again
at double A and process repeats itself. But Carson D.
(10:35):
Martini is that third baseman for the Philadelphia Phillies. Yeah. Lastly,
then I have Angel fellies always in forever, Angel Phillies,
Washington Nationals shortstop maybe third basement. Apparently he's hasn't been
playing there, but the Fangraphs. Jeff Immermann put up his
(11:00):
scouting reports of the Nationals the other day and he
thinks that ultimately third base might be the home for
Angel Police. What he calls out is what I've been
saying as well, is that this kid looks athletic. He's
got the frame to add more power. He's an eighteen
year old. It's a complex ball, okay, and he just
(11:27):
has not shown any power yet. He hits a lot
of balls into the ground too, unfortunately, with almost a
fifty ground ball rate, no home runs. He only has
eight extra base hits so far, and he's played the
complete season at complex level. But his bat to ball
is looking good. He's batting two seventy two with three
(11:47):
seventy seven obps. So again, strong walk rates, strong k rates.
Let's keep waiting for this, for this power to hopefully
start start happening for mister flies his He's got six
stolen bases over the course of the year, not a
huge number, and throw in that he's also been caught
(12:07):
five times. So he's not showing that exciting stolen base
power that I was hoping he had too. But our
stolen base power, that's my lack of coffee. But he's
not showing that that exceptional speed on the base paths yet,
And maybe that isn't you know. Maybe I was overly
(12:28):
excited for what he could bring there. But right now
he's looking at least like a strong, hick guy and
a solid defender either at short or third. So hopefully
that frame fills out and he starts to getting that
getting that lift in there. I do like the Washington
development system. I think they've consistently been bringing guys up.
(12:51):
Maybe not a lot of them are turning into the
James Woods and C. J. Abrams, but that those are
lofty comparisons. So hopefully he's we'll get some power here
and we'll see what can happen here with Angel Philis.
He's still in my top one hundred. Just I know
I've talked, I've hyped him as such, but it really
(13:15):
cement him once he starts getting homers.
Speaker 2 (13:18):
You know. And before I jump in on the the
Al East, I was watching I was watching Tigers last
night and Scott Harris was being interviewed. He's their president
of baseball operations, and he was preaching the need for patients,
these guys to move up to different levels, and particularly
talking about Dylan Dingler and they said, you were you
surprised by this and they said, no, every level. Go
Look he had trouble adjusting at each level, and really
(13:41):
that's all players. You expect there to be that adjustment period,
and he just said, you know, that's why, you know,
we don't want to rush people through. We have the patients.
And I thought, boy, let just know what we do
in the fantasy world, like we want to see at
the next level as soon as he get called up
every time, and that doesn't happen. And some of the
some of the best players that you and I probably
(14:02):
have rostered are probably players who we capped when other
people were dropping them because they didn't you know, like wow,
you know, right after the promotion, so kind of kind
of takeing notes there. And let's say you talked about it.
And when I was going through my list last night
getting ready for it this morning, I saw two or
three names the same kind of thing of hey, I'm
(14:22):
seeing them really a joust after our rough first few
weeks in each level. And uh, you know, we love,
we love to turn and burn in the game we play.
But uh, there's a lot to be said for holding
on some of these guys as well. It's kind of
watching where they are and and looking deeper for the progression.
So great, all right, I'm going to jump into the
(14:45):
American League East and in Baltimore, keeping nest to herman
on the list, and we had him on all year.
He is rostered in nine percent of fan Track's leagues.
On the last update speaking of, he had just been
called up prior to our last update and had pitched
(15:06):
four games in Double A and they were a bit rocky,
but point out there's some good underlying stats to look at.
Since then, Herman has had four more starts and he's
thrown a twenty four k rate, seven percent walk rate,
one fifty nine batting average against, and a zero point
eighty three whip. So overall in Double A, his strikeouts
(15:26):
are down from where they were in High A, but
the whip and the batting average against are are much improved.
So not to rush him through, but when he does
get to triple A, we'll see a little bit more
of the specific pitch pitch data, at least in the
data that we have easy to get and see how
he's using. He's got four pitches, he's got a fastball, slider, curveball, splitter,
(15:49):
and his command grades future grades and current grades and
the scouts are are high. So comes across as the
kind of pitcher who's just gonna, you know, throw everything
but the kitchen sink at Sixth Street, two twenty five,
so he's got the kind of got the long levers
as well if he needs them. I like I like
what I see here. I like Nester Hermont a lot.
I think that Baltimore is probably going to be selling
(16:12):
and maybe somebody, you know, maybe it's Charlie Morton or something,
comes off their roster and all the pictures get bumped
up one. So I would be amazed if he makes
it to the majors, even for a cup of coffee
this year. I don't think he's on their forty man
or anything like that. However, I would not be surprised
to see him in Triple A a little bit and be
kind of interesting to see there. So nest to Hermont
in Baltimore is seeing squarely on the j tier thirty
(16:35):
and with that nine percent roster of numbers, and then
moving up the coast to Boston. I had kept jenckson
Piez even though he was injured. He's got a strained calf.
Not much information coming out, so I was kind of
hoping he'd be back by now and have something to
talk about. But he remains on the injured list, so
(16:56):
I'm gonna move him off I'm gonna slap the injury
tag on you know, so I have the right to
bring him back later because I still like what I
saw from what he did last year and the spring
before he got hurt. But I'm going to introduce a
new name to the conversation. Friley and Carnacion, who is
rostered in four percent of fan tracks leagues. He was
(17:20):
signed out of the Dominican Republic in January twenty twenty,
and he made his DSL debut in twenty two as
his seventeen year old. So doing the math, he signed
at fifteen. Christ You and I were just talking about that,
and you know, what's going to be the long term
solution to the international players. It's fair to everybody, and also,
(17:40):
you know, like the team to do the homework get rewarded.
But fifteen is pretty darn young to take a risk
on somebody. But so far he's he's developing nicely. There
were some questions about his hit tool when he read
the scouting reports, but he has a high bat speed
and had really low contact rates. This year in single A,
(18:01):
his contact rate has increased to seventy two percent and
he's promoted to high A on June third, and adjustment
issues are real, but the Red Sox have been doing
a good job developing hitters lately, and if he finishes strong,
I think he could catch some more fantasy buzz later on.
That's Friley. It's fr Ei l I in Carnacion, twenty
(18:26):
year old now playing Hi A in the in the
Boston system, and like I said, the strikeouts are a
little bit worrisome, but the batting average has been able
to compensate as he adjusts each level. So I've got
pretty high hopes of this guy. And then moving on
to New York, the camp Slitter experience exploded in the
(18:48):
last four weeks. Camp Slitter who if you're listening to this,
you've heard of was it eight percent rostered when we
recorded our last update four weeks ago, and now he's
at four, which is our I think sets the record
for a single highest four week jump in the rostership.
He rocketed through the Yankee system and he just been
(19:13):
downs being called up. I believe he's starting Tuesday Wednesday
this week, I think, so I'll see Mitchell. Yeah, excited
to see it. So moving him to the definitely we
see you list and forty percent of fantacks leagues is
probably eighty percent of dynasty leagues in fan track, so
(19:35):
only the most shallow leagues would he be available for you.
I'm going to pull in Rock Rigio right for name
value alone. But Rock was a twenty twenty three fourth
round pick, and he's a hard hitting second baseman. So
he hit two sixty four four thirty six five ninety
(19:58):
seven slash line with six home runs in twenty games
at High A, and then he's promoted to Double A
on June third, where in his twenty eight games he's
hit to eighty two three point thirty nine five ninety
two with eight home runs, so a couple more home runs,
higher batting average with a lower OVP, but not a
whole lot of adjustment issues as he moves into Double A,
(20:22):
likely to stay at second base for a lot of reasons,
not just because of his five foot nine inch stature.
He's a flyball, line drive hitter. He has very low
swinging strike rates under ten and High A in about
twelve percent in Double A, and he'll be uh left
handed bat hitting a Yankee stadium. So look for Rock Rigio.
He's a five percent rostered. You know he's not going
(20:45):
to be a top five second baseman probably, I hope
I have to team my words in that one, but
I think he is going to be a valuable fantasy
asset at a position that we always struggle with, and
kind of hope and pray for some he holds onto
their second base eligibility. But you don't want to get
too much locked into position eligibility with, you know, as
(21:07):
we get deeper into the minors. But I like what
rockergu was doing and I do think that the position
is a little bit of an asset for us. And
then going to Tampa, Chris, remember when I put Tdy
Johnson on the hot seat.
Speaker 3 (21:19):
Yep, well.
Speaker 2 (21:22):
Between our May and June update, and this is a
refresher he in twenty five innings pitched, he had thirty
five strikeouts, twelve walks, a thirty five to twelve percent
ratio on those. Since the June update, roughly twenty four
innings pitch, so two thirds inning less, thirty three strikeouts,
eight walks, thirty six eight percent ratio at one point
(21:45):
one era, a zero pointing seven whip. What was I thinking?
I know he had a slow start, but oh my gosh,
Rocking no promotion yet for him, he's still still a
double A, but that doesn't mean it's not coming. Overall
for the year, Ty Johnson has fifty nine innings pitched.
He's got eighty three strikeouts at thirty five k rate,
(22:07):
eleven percent walk rate. You know, even though the walk
rate's over ten percent, that's still a twenty four percent
difference between the two a zero point ninety seven whips,
So the walks are just about the only thing he's
giving up in less than half a zero point four
to six home run per nine inning, So he's keeping
the ball in the park obviously, like what I see
(22:28):
there a lot and uh, I'm now that nine percent
I think is gonna gonna move up. And we all
know that Tampa's got a strong track record, uh with
their pitching prospects. So Ty Johnson, if he's out there,
grab him.
Speaker 3 (22:46):
And if he's not.
Speaker 2 (22:48):
There, if you can prime away from another manager, see
if you can. I think these last two months have
just been phenomenal for him.
Speaker 3 (22:56):
And sneaky phenomenal too.
Speaker 2 (22:57):
I believe, yep, I think so too.
Speaker 3 (23:00):
I've been sure that his rostership hasn't increased what you
would expect quite you know, maybe not camp Schletter numbers,
but no half.
Speaker 2 (23:14):
Yeah, and in the past two months have really balanced
out that slow start. So if somebody's just looking at
the overall numbers, you're still seeing really good numbers.
Speaker 3 (23:22):
You know.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
Maybe the walk rate's keeping people away, but yeah, and
then my final from the Al East is in Toronto
and I'm sticking with them. Cal Steven that's k h
A L S T E p h E n right
handed pitcher in the system, nine percent rostered on fan tracks.
(23:45):
Cal was there second run pick in twenty twenty four
out of Mississippi State. Since our last update, he's had
four starts with a three to one record and giving
up a total of two runs in those four starts,
including one run in the Amy lost. His ERA is
zero point eight one in the last month, whip zero
point seven to two batting average against one forty nine.
(24:09):
There's twenty two innings pitched with nineteen strikeouts five walks,
So for the whole year there's a twenty nine p
k rate and five percent walk rate. You know, the
strikeouts aren't quite blow you away numbers yet, but they're
not weak either. And the walk rate is so low,
you know, it's going to be interesting to see if
(24:29):
there's another promotion this year. It's going to be interesting
to see what Toronto does at the deadline. Might be
the kind of profile that gets thrown in on a
trade for Toronto to grab some some major league value
since they're they're making their strong run. So I gotta
believe the other gentlem managers would be would be asking
about him. But you know, either way, strong, strong performance
(24:51):
so far. So that's Cal Steven in Toronto.
Speaker 3 (24:55):
It's crazy to me. I realize we're talking more about prospects,
but it's crazy to me that the Blue Jays are
at the time up the Al East. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (25:05):
I've used to be a couple more league changes there
though there are just four teams there that just take
turns getting hot.
Speaker 3 (25:10):
Yeah, yeah, we'll see. Sorry, back to our regularly scheduled program.
Speaker 2 (25:18):
Yeah, take us to the Midwest.
Speaker 3 (25:20):
Right, the flyover States. Here we go. So you know, actually,
before I jump into it, you did make a good
point about being patient, and that's been the name of
my update. Here is flashing back to last month. I
had a lot of like, all right, this is the
(25:42):
end of the road for this guy, or this is
near the end of the road for that guy. But
I found as I was looking at him that they
were still consistent over the last month, and that doesn't
necessarily you know, so I didn't change as many guys
as I thought I would coming in Diego. Tornez was
the first, and actually, looking at my looks like I
(26:04):
did one update per division here, so we'll get to
him here. Enough of that, so laiden off Jackson Wiggins
of the Chicago Cubs organization. He is still in double A.
He was promoter. He was he's basically pitched the last
(26:25):
month plus there now and he's just he's doing what
he's been doing, which is phenomenal mound presence and striking
out almost thirty just over thirty one percent of the batters.
He's still walking a decent clip, but nothing too scary.
(26:45):
His k mins walk is north to twenty percent to
twenty one point two percent, which is BUEO. He's not
keeping the ball on the ground necessarily well, he's sub
forty percent there at the ground ball rate somewhat of
a concern, but he's not, like, you know, it's not
(27:08):
too outrageous all of his results with it. His era
is just north of two where his FIP is just
north of two and a half, so he's not, you know,
getting super lucky here. Strike Outs are the name of
this game, and he's getting those in spades. He's got
tons of swinging strikes. It's called strike whiff rate is
(27:29):
thirty one percent, so he's painting, he's getting whiffs, he's
he's doing everything we want a young potential top of
the rotation type. He's more likely made rotation, but he's
very possibly a trade ship for the Cubs speaking of
division leaders or at least buyers at the deadline here
(27:53):
that we're approaching. So it'll be interesting to see what
if we recorded at the beginning of August, it'll be
interesting to see him. A names are still on our
on our oorg lists, but then so that's Jackson Wiggans
Chicago Cubs. He's got fifteen percent rostered, so he is
nearing that twenty percent and he's had a nice steady
climb all season as people have been watching him do
(28:16):
what he does. Moving over to Cincinnati, I've been sticking
with and I'm going to continue to stick with Adam Cerwanowski.
He was one that jumps out when I think about
you know, end of the road is what I was
saying last month. He's still just doing it and it's impressive.
(28:36):
But I think so he's got seventy six strikeouts and
sixty one innings over the course of the season. I
will say what what really made me want to stick
with him here is last month I talked about how
his ground ball rate was similar to Wiggins and sub
forty percent. At thirty eight percent. That was a month ago. Unfortunately,
(28:59):
the game log don't give you ground ball rates, but
I do know it went from thirty eight percent to
over forty two point three percent over a season long picture,
So in a month it went up. His overall season
went up four percent at least. I don't know what
kind of ground ball rate that would be, but that
sounds to me to be substantial because that's an extra
(29:22):
you know, that's like twenty issuings. I think it was
six outings he pitched in June, so that's a that's
a solid increase in his ground ball rate. I love
that for someone who's going to be pitching in great
American small park. So, Adam Sarwanowski, you and your fast
above average fastball slider combo will continue to be on
(29:47):
our Join the Ranks list. He's only three percent rostered still,
so lots of lots of time to keep an eye
on him for your shallower leagues Milwaukee. Moving to Milwaukee,
sticking with Jose and in the outfield again, he's at
LOWA with the big names in their organization. His strikeout
(30:10):
rate has actually come down a little bit month to month,
which is good if we remember. Also, he was promoted
to low A right before the start of our June
recording session, so he's he's still got an elevated k
rate over although at thirty three percent, he's not making
a lot of contact. He's got a buck seventy batting average.
(30:33):
He's one to I'm preaching patients with. I guess ultimately
he's His WRC plus is sixty nine, which is not
as nice as it sounds, the average below average. Just
stick with him. He's he's a big dude. He's going
(30:56):
to get some power, hopefully showing up here more. And
let's let's preach some more patients with hosting Anderson. Speaking
of big power though, we're moving to Javier Revas, who,
like I said, I'm going to keep keep him on
the list as long as he's consistent and waiting for
(31:16):
the day to him for him to get promoted to
double A. That is unfortunately still not today. But he's
got seventeen home run For an update for Javier Revas, again,
he's a He's six foot six listed at a buck
sixty five, but he is much thicker than one hundred
and sixty five pounds. He's a third baseman, but he's
(31:37):
twenty two at high A, so he's over the eight.
You know, he's above where the most batters are at
that age or at that level. But he's got seventeen
home runs. His triple slash is a two eight seven
three four to two five two four, so he is
showing that thump. His strikeout rates are sub twenty three percent. He's, uh,
(32:05):
let's let's challenge him here Pittsburgh. He's got swinging mess,
no doubt, but let's let's let's get this guy to
double A. Let's see what happens against better pitching and whatever. Anyway,
for now, he remains her rostered. He's a tank at
(32:26):
third base, and.
Speaker 2 (32:29):
He's he's having a real breakout year. I mean, this
year is above and beyond every other year that he's
had regardless of level. So now we're in July, so
it's not just a hot month anymore. Correct exaction something
really there?
Speaker 3 (32:43):
Thank you for shooting. Yeah I could. I could recap
some of that too, Like I talk about his swing
and miss and his twenty you know, twenty two k rate,
But that's compared to like thirty two percent at low
A last year, forty in ten games at high last
year at the same level. So I mean, you know,
it's he's improved, let's let's say. And I understand though,
(33:08):
organization's still working on things. So maybe they're looking for something.
Maybe there's a log jam. I don't I haven't pulled
up their org chart. Maybe there's a logjam of third
baseman at double A and triple A. I'm not aware
of that off the top of my head, so I
don't know if that's truly the case. I think they're
just making sure that this kid is ready before they
(33:29):
challenge him some more. And so I will trust the
pirates on that one, I guess.
Speaker 2 (33:37):
Not laughing about it.
Speaker 3 (33:38):
Trusting the pirates, Oh yeah, of course not. I am
going to be headed over to Saint Louis, the gateway
to the West, and you know, I'm I talked about
being patient. Jimmy Crooks has been my name there. I
am moving off of him. He's he's good, he'll be
(34:03):
a major league catcher. But as I've been hinting at,
he's he's been right around a one hundred WRC plus.
I think he's still sub that in the nineties. I
want looking for a little bit more juice. And someone
who's been catching my eye lately is Daniel Ortiz, who
I drafted him in that we're still going in that
(34:26):
in that seed Vault draft. We're not. We're like barely
halfway through. We're around forty of it right now. And
I just took him a few rounds ago, Daniel Ortiz,
and someone's like, you know, you know that Big Poppy retired.
I was like, I mean, he's he's The name is close, yep,
the frame is close. He's six foot one, two hundred
(34:48):
and thirty. The position third base. That's what Big Poppy
came up as before playing some first base with Boston
and obviously eventually designated it or overall Lil Poppy, as
I guess I'll call him here, Daniel Ortiz. He's in
Loway for the Cardinals. He's twenty years old. His overall
(35:11):
season numbers, he's got big swing and miss twenty eight
to almost twenty nine percent strikeout right, but he's walking
at a sixteen percent clip. So his triple slash is
two eight, two four to ten with a four four
four slug. He's got eight homers and nine doubles, so
(35:32):
that that to me shows developing power. But if we
look at it is over the last month, and this
is where he caught my eye, and I'm switching so
I can. I for some reason didn't write this down,
even though I knew I wanted to talk about it.
But since the arbitrary June first cut off, he's hit
(35:53):
six of those eight homers and six of those doubles.
He's batting three twenty seven been over that month with
a four fifty OBP and a five seventy one seleg
So that's a three four five triple slash and his
k rate is down to that twenty percent. So Daniel Ortiz,
(36:16):
he is looking like he's a developing bopper there for
third base at a fun one. He's you know, he's
age appropriate for the level. He's not too old, not
too young. We'll see what happens with him here. Daniel
Ortiz third base. Lil Poppy is my new name for him.
(36:39):
Maybe someone else has already beat me to that one.
I don't know. Umm, yeah, that's my five NL Central squads.
Speaker 2 (36:46):
All right, A new name for me, that Daniel Ortiz picker.
Just looking at the the game log while you were talking,
it's like almost hit every game. There's no zeros down
that column. I go, yeah, yeah, I like they come
in bunches and they come in regularly. So nice, fine,
all right, Well, looking at the American League Central and
(37:09):
starting with the White Sox. Last month, I had a
Javier mcgoyan on the hot seat, and I'm moving him
to the nothing to see here list. Since the update,
he's hit one twenty one with zero home runs and
striking out fully a third of the time he comes
to the plate. So I'm going to move to a
(37:30):
pitching prospect by the name of Tanner McDougall. Tanner was
a high school arm drafted at Chicago's fifth round pick
in twenty twenty one, and then missed the twenty twenty
two season for TV surgery and has ramped up slowly
since then. He did pitch ninety two innings in twenty four.
Last year, lots of strikeouts in lots of walks, but
(37:52):
this year things are clearly changing. He opened this year
in High A and in his first fifty seven innings
through three strikeouts and thirty two walks. Promoted to Double A,
and he's been dealing in his four starts there. He's
got twenty one innings pitched, twenty nine strikeouts, only six walks.
It's a thirty six and seven percent ratios of those two.
(38:14):
His fastball is in the high nineties at TOPSID one hundred,
and it's a wicked curve. I guess it's one of
those classic almost a full twelve to six, heartbreaking curve
and just freezing hitters. He's got a forty four percent
ground ball rate in his home run for a fly
ball he's under ten, and his swinging strike rate currently
(38:35):
in the low teens. As I said, the strike outs
are really coming on call through strikes. He's the freezing
people with the curve or I'm looking for the curve
and coming in with the fastball, doing a really nice
job in Double A. And so you know, as he
does move, I actually do look for the swinging strike
rate to come up. So he is Tanamy Well is
(38:57):
excuse me, three percent rostered in fan tracks. And of
the the White Sox have a lot of pitching, and
who knows, you know, they're obviously going to be sellers,
and I know that they don't have you know, old
pitchers at the end of contracts, but they may be
willing to move some of their major leaguers who have
(39:20):
been the starting pitching has been doing fairly well, so
you know, Sullivan or somebody else may get moved and
kind of have that ripple effect of people in the
lower levels getting bumped up. So we may see more McDougall,
possibly even at triple A kind of like the the
agent overall maturities there, and it seems to have fully
strengthened back from the early TJ surgery. So I like that. Uh,
(39:40):
you know, I like what I see when I look
at look at his stats. And in Cleveland, sticking with
Alfonsin Rosario who is four percent rostered on fan tracks.
Rosario is a twenty year old outfielder in High A
UH and since our last update, he's hit two eighty
three with a four p fifty on base in the
five to fifty slow, there's four home runs in there,
(40:01):
and that adds up to a one seventy two w
RC plus that'll play. I think he's starting to ease
concerns that early scouting reports had about his hit tool.
His contact rate has been increasing every year from last
year to this it's gone up eight percentage points from
fifty nine to sixty seven percent. You know, you still
(40:23):
want to see that higher, but to see that much
development progression is really encouraging. So in a system like Cleveland,
where I do trust their development process, I think that
alfonsin Rosario is a good player to keep an eye on.
And at four percent roster ship, somebody's probably available in
(40:45):
leagues that our listeners are in. Moving to Detroit, I'm
gonna be a little bit stubborn and stick with jaden Ham.
He's fourteen percent roster, so he is fairly seen. He's
not sparkling right now, so it would be justifiable to
move away from him, and I'm looking closely. I may soon,
although all the top prospects, of course are Hyley roster
(41:07):
any who, he's a pitcher in the Toroy system. If
you don't know, they're becoming a bit of a factory there.
He's at twenty two years old in double A, still
striking up more than one per inning, but the watch
is starting to be an issue again, and that's something
to keep an eye on. So I'm still on board.
But Jade, my man, I'm going to move you to
the hot seat and see what the next month holds.
(41:29):
And then in Kansas City, David Shields is hold over there.
He's currently seven percent rostered in fan tracks. Shields is
a twenty twenty four Draftee second round pick. He's a
high school arm still eighteen years old. Since our last update,
(41:49):
he's continued to stand out. He's at fifteen innings pitched
and sixteen strikeouts. His whip is still under one point. Oh.
I do have concerned that the swinging strike rate is
only a shade over ten percent, and he's a bit
of a soft tosser, say his fastball tops out at
ninety three, So it'll be interesting to see, you know,
(42:10):
if the strikeouts continue to come up through different levels.
But it seems to be pitching at a level that's
kind of kind of mature for his age, and I
think he's got a lot a lot of potential there.
So you know he's you know, he's noted. I mean
seven percent for a new draftee, and I think that
not totally off the wall to have him on the list,
I guess, But there's just some things to watch the development.
(42:32):
That development still needs to happen. I have confidence that
it will. I guess that's the well I'm trying to
say here.
Speaker 3 (42:39):
I like it.
Speaker 2 (42:40):
And then my last al Central before we go for
some Western coffee is in Minnesota, just about to hit
the we SeeU threshold and almost close enough that I
would bump them up. But I just want to talk
again about Kaitlin Culpeper because I think that even though
Culpeper is roster eighteen percent of fan tracks league, I
(43:04):
find that remark will be low for who he is
and what he's doing. First off, he's a first round
pick last year. Noteworthy to see first round picks still
bouncing around available in that many Dynasty leagues. He's promoted
to double A shortly after our last update, or I
think it was actually between recording and issuing the update.
He was called up to double A, where he's had
(43:27):
sixty four played appearances and his slash line there is
three twenty one four oh six four twenty nine, two
home runs and three stolen bases. I love the contact rates.
It's a high seventy percent overall, but the ground ball
rate is also high. It's right at fifty percent. If
you can add some loft to the game without damaging
(43:47):
the contact rates, he'll be a very effective hitter and
a fantasy asset. I'm going to throw out a very
dangerous comp here, and I don't comp a lot, but
only when I started writing for The Dynasty Guru, one
of my first articles was about Jackson Merrill, who was
a shortstop with high contact rates and not much power
at the time, and he was saying in interviews, you know,
(44:10):
he's going to start adding some loft to the game.
And I've been remember being very concerned that all these
beautiful contact rates are going to disappear. And he's gone
from a fifty eight to forty two percent ground ball
rate over those three years without a single bit of
a drop in his contact rate, So clearly possible. I'm
not saying Kaylyn Culpepper is going to do exactly that,
(44:34):
but what I'm saying is, and maybe to myself more
than anybody else, just because somebody's looking to add some
loft of the game, doesn't mean they have to lose
their contact rate if they're skilled, and Kaitlyn Culpepper does
have contact skills, so may not be a Rookie of
the Year in a couple of years. But I just
(44:55):
you know, he's the highest rostered player on my list
and he's still like, wow, definitely undervalue in my opinion
in our dynasty circle. If you're sitting at that ratio
and you know, I can't argue that. You know, Minnesota,
they may have you know, really bad luck with injuries,
but their their development hasn't been bad, so it's not
(45:16):
I'm not quite quite I'm not quite understanding why the
the lag in terms of getting him rostered in more places. Again,
it's Kaitlyn Culpepper of Minnesota, which wraps up the al
central for me.
Speaker 3 (45:27):
Yeah, I think you make a good point that maybe
that that Minnesota cloud you know in fantasy sense is
kind of hanging over him, both the injury cloud and
then also just there minimally fantasy relevant draft history of
(45:47):
late right, so that could definitely be a sneaky, sneaky name.
And I agree that he looks pretty good and I like,
I mean fantasy output wise, there are a lot of
similarities to Jackson Merril. So that's a that's an interesting
compound like that. Take us west, all right, I'll head
(46:09):
out west like Fifle, I'll head out west. You can
tell the coffees finally finally sunk it when I'm referencing
nineteen eighties Disney movies. All right, So here we go, Arizona.
So I've been banging the Titus Cisele drum for all
(46:33):
season long. I thought he was gonna be someone who'd
be shooting up ranks. And you know, it's time for
me to move off him. And in his stead, I'm
taking his or well, obviously his org mate, but another
draft pick from last year of Arizona who is more
well known but is still not well known enough, I think.
And that's JD. Dix, who is a Whisko boy, I
(46:57):
might add. Dix actually is now in low A, recently
promoted in the last week from Complex, but as Complex numbers,
he had almost their three four five. It was a
three forty two average, four to twenty one OVP and
a four to ninety three slug which again as a
(47:18):
nineteen year old at the complex ball. First full professional year,
I will take that. In only forty games, he only
had one home run, but twelve doubles and again, to me,
having that gap power leads to potentially home over the
fence power. So twelve doubles in forty nine or thirty
nine games part of me is quite impressive. He also
(47:43):
added in ninth steals nine out of thirteen from the
base bats. Not a huge burner, but that's definitely you
know yet at least show that he had some speed,
has some speed there. He is a pretty dynamic guy.
He's big. He probably won't keep that speed for long.
He's six foot two and about a buck eighty, so
as he fills out, he'll definitely slow down. But in
(48:05):
his week of games, he was just there up. He
was just in low way. For the last cycle he
already added he doubled his own run total from one
to two total for the season, So obviously there's over
the fence power is still lacking. But he also already
has two more stolen bases in that week, so he's
(48:25):
doesn't have the red light yet. He's in single A.
We'll see how that goes. He's a shortstop.
Speaker 2 (48:31):
JD.
Speaker 3 (48:31):
Dix is a shortstop, second basement type for the Arizona Diamondbacks.
They you know, I was looking for other names as
I was ready to move off thissel they have. They
have a penchant for these second middle infield types that
are kind of like the Guardians hit tools, strong, not
(48:53):
a lot of tools or over the fence power. You know,
It's it's rare to really find a strong shortstop who
does that. We always it seems like they're everywhere, but
really they're not when you look underneath. It looks specifically
at teams, but I think JD. Dix has that ability
to be one of those big names at maybe second base,
(49:14):
ultimately maybe shortstop wherever he ends up. He's got that athleticism.
He's ten percent owned. JD. Dicks should be higher owned.
When I chose at the beginning of the year between
Cecil and Dix, I thought Dix was more well known,
and I thought Cecil would have been just as successful.
Unfortunately I was wrong with that. It seems so far
I think it's definitely time to move away from Cecil
(49:35):
and let's get those JD. Dick's numbers up higher than
that ten. He's going to continue to flourish I think
as he progresses, all right, that was just one of
my teams, wasn't it. Moving on then Colorado, sticking with
(49:57):
Kyle Carros, he just keeps undoing what he keeps on doing.
His k rate for the season, he's still a double A.
Krate for the season is now sub nineteen percent. His
walk rate is now over fourteen percent, so we're really
close to a one to one ratio. He only has
(50:17):
four home runs. Again, he's not showing a lot of
that over the fence power yet, but he's got fifteen
doubles in fifty games, almost fifty games at double A,
so he's showing that gap power and that again, I'll
keep beating that drum. I think Carols is going to
be a valuable third baseman. He won't have home run power,
(50:43):
but with that expansive outfield, I could see some really
big total based numbers OBP assets here. Great person for
your middle and or sorry, your corner infield roster spot
in those types of leagues especially, I think that's where
his value really will be, and that's Kyle Carros still
(51:03):
in Double A. We'll keep waiting and playing that Colorado game.
Then that moves me to Brendan Tunic of the Los
Angeles Dodgers. Again, he is an outfielder. He was a
recent drafty last year. He's another dynamic type outfield. I
(51:29):
loosely commed him to Ti Oscar last last time. I'll
stick with that. He's got three home runs, he's nine
stolen bases, nine of eleven. He's got a three twelve
batting average, four twenty three OVP five seventy eight slug
at the complex level. K rate's a little concerning still,
(51:52):
and I think I talked about that last time. Almost
twenty seven percent with an eighteen percent swinging strike rate.
That's flagged territory. So we'll keep an eye on that.
He's probably going to be a slow burn again. I
forget exactly if I reference this, but both because of
that hit tool concern and because of the log jam
(52:14):
in the Dodgers development org. So be patient with Tunic
if you roster him. He's only three percent rostered as
of I think two days ago, So you can continue
to be patient in your deeper in your shallow leagues,
only really those real deep leagues should you be trying
(52:34):
to acquire him currently. But Brandon Tunic, Los Angeles Dodgers
one to keep an eye on for sure. Oh man,
that brings me down the coast San Diego and Humberto Cruz.
He was a watch list. Sorry, you remember the terms.
(52:56):
I'm always forgetting the terms. Even if I came up
with the term the category. He was someone I was
going to watch and see what was happened. Remember, he's
a big scouting guy. With his numbers. He wasn't pitching
a lot. His numbers were slow to adjust and as
of the other day, I don't have the end on this,
(53:19):
but his his k rate through complex as an eighteen
year old was only it was sub eight percent eight
k's per nine, so less than a matter per inning.
Not what I like to see. His era was eight
thirty one. Again not what I like to see. But
you know what, and I was, I was like, all right,
it's going to be time to move off on Bertel Cruz.
(53:40):
And you know what, those podres did up and done,
They did up and promoted him. Yeah, so he's sticking around, folks.
I guess this is just a great example of what
we see his analysts with the ORG see in development
(54:01):
oftentimes completely different. He is doing, apparently what they want
him to do. And so he's now in Lowe. Uh,
and he has started one game at Lowe bitch three innings,
which again, if you remember coming into this year, was
like twice as much as this as he had last
year total innings, and he struck out in those three innings.
(54:26):
He struck out four batters and didn't walk anyone. So
that's a great first debut in Lowe. We'll see where
this goes again. I'm going to be keeping an eye.
He's going to be hovering on that line until I
see some statistical backing up. But at the same time,
the padres are padresing him, and it's it's good to
see he's he's young, he's he's he'd been this year's
(54:50):
draft class, so I'll keep that in mind too. So
that's impressive for the kid Lowe. Humberto Cruz four percent rostered.
If you're in deep leagues, definitely want to get him.
Shallow leagues pictures that far away. I would keep your
keep keep patient with him and just watch list them.
(55:12):
Humberto Cruz and lastly again uh, the man amongst children himself,
Bo Davidson, San Francisco Giants outfielder. He's still in high A.
He's just chugging along like the dude's a rock. He's great,
great eye, good bat to ball, he's hitting home runs,
(55:37):
he's stealing bases, he's got the three four five triple slash.
I mean, he's everything you want him to be. Another
one where I'm like, let's go Giants, let's let's challenge
this kid and we'll we'll see what happens with him.
They seem to be slow rolling him, and that's okay.
You know, we can just stare and poke them with
(55:58):
sticks as much as we want. But Bo Davidson, he's
progressing and he's showing consistent all year long, all year
long numbers at high A. So hopefully I'll get a
taste of double A at some point here in the
second half. But he's looking good.
Speaker 2 (56:17):
All right, And I'll wrap us up with the American
League West and start with the Traveling Road Show Athletics.
Henry Bolt is thirteen percent rostered. He's going to carry
over on my list for now. He's overall still putting
up good numbers for the season. He's got to seventy
(56:38):
four three seventy seven three slash line. But not a
good month since our last update, he's only hit two
thirty nine and with comparable drops in the other numbers,
with a twenty five percent strikeout rate over the last month,
not pressing the panic button because the steels are still there,
still scoring a lot of runs, but the seat is
(57:00):
getting a little bit warm under Henry Bolt in the
athletic system, so you know, keep a close eye. I'd
hold him if I had him rostered, probably, but he
also might be in that that churn slot if there's
somebody else's catching my eye. If you're you know, some
of the other earlier names we've heard today, if you've
got you know, Bolt instead of them, yeah, I give
it some thought. It's time to time to see. I
(57:23):
think that we can go through a myriad of examples
of high speed guys who if the contact skills aren't there,
they're just not going to make it all the way through.
But I'm not writing Henry Bolt off yet, but as
you can tell from this narrative, not far from there either.
On the other hand, in Houston, Joseph Sullivan, who I
(57:45):
added last month, has had a great month. He is
currently six percent rostered in fan tracks, and since our update,
he's posted a slash line of two ninety four five
hundred with three more home runs and nine more stolen bases.
So total to date is fifteen home runs in thirty
(58:06):
one stolen bases. Could be twenty five fifty combo by
the end of the year. Right now, that the power,
the speed, the nineteen percent walk rate are covering up
for a twenty six percent strikeout rate, which on the
face of it is concerning, but you look under the hood,
(58:26):
his swinging strike rate is under ten percent, So the
strikeouts are from being either too patient or being fooled
on the plate more than a swing and misissue. I
think that's an issue that's more coachable than the swinging
swinging mis issue would be. And Houston, like a lot
of the organizations we talk about, but Houston develops hitters,
(58:47):
and I think that Joseph Sullivan is showing a lot
of strong tools and at six percent rostered rate, I
think we can see a lot of activity there. And
then who knows, Houston is going to be a buyer
coming up with the trade deadline. Sullivan looks like the
kind of player they traditionally hold on to, but you
(59:08):
never know, you know, he could find himself in a
new York as well, so Joseph Sullivan at Houston and
then moving up to the La Angels. Last month i'd
added Jorge Marchico. I'm going to move off of Marchaco.
I'll still be keeping an eye on him. There are
some numbers to like.
Speaker 3 (59:27):
Like.
Speaker 2 (59:28):
His walk rate is very low at five six five
point six percent, which is a big part of why
he has a one point zero five WHIP. On the
other hand, a low ground ball rate and a very
low swinging strike rate have me moving on to the
moving him to the nothing to See here list, adding
to the JTR thirty and a tip of the hat
to Chris, I know you threw me this name a
little while ago to take a look at Hayden Alvarez.
(59:51):
Hayden is eighteen years old in the complex. He's a
J fifteen sign a signee out of the Dominican Republic
last year, and after putting up decent numbers in the
DSL last year, he's hitting really well this year. He's
got three fifty three, four thirty four forty six with
a one point thirty four WRC plus and he's only
got two home runs and he's playing like I say.
(01:00:14):
He moved into the complex. He's not the da sell
any longer. I wanted to say that, only two home runs,
but he's six for three and one hundred and ninety pounds.
So there's indicate, good indication that this room in is
framed to grow into the power. And with the bat
the ball skill that he's showing to date, there's reasonably
the power could very well come. So Hayden Alvarez and
(01:00:35):
the Angels, and I think we finally found one who's
gonna gonna stick for a while in that system. So
I know I've been a bit of a whiner about
the Angels, but but you think deep enough. I like
what we see there moving up up the coast to Seattle.
Ready Navarro is injured, and I she did in my
(01:00:56):
homework before the last update, so appears to be the
arm injury maybe a year before we're talking about him
in a serious way. So I'm going to move Ready
to the injured shelf and look at Charlie Bilenson and
move Charlie to the JTR thirty. Charlie's also at zero
(01:01:17):
percent rostered. I know it's a fraction because I have
them at least one place and went in doubt and
I'm not saying there's a doubt in this one, but
take the Seattle pitcher. Bolinson was a fifth round pick
in last year's draft after pitching a full season for
Duke and I pitched a few innings as a pro
last year. This year, he started in High A, and
he's already been promoted to Double A so far as
(01:01:39):
to put up a thirty four percent k rate in
a five percent walk rate, and an inspiring seventeen point
four percent swinging strike rate. He hasn't started any games.
I don't know if that's because he's on a reliever
path or just how Seattle's managing his innings. You know,
can't really tell at that level, so there is a
reliever risk on top of all the other inherent risks
(01:02:01):
you have with a pitcher. But take a look at
Charlie Beilinson. He's putting up some really strong numbers, and
you know, I would love to see him start and
see if they stretch him out because I'm not going
to be drafting potential closers in Double A. But the
numbers he's putting up are really eye popping. Right now,
we'll wrap up this month's update in Texas, where I'm
(01:02:22):
keeping David deb Leo on the list. He's nine percent rostered,
and since our last update, he's also been promoted. He's
in Double A now where he's had two starts. In
his first start he had four point two innings and
two walks, two hits in his three strikeouts in that
and I'm sorry, in his second start, he through four innings,
(01:02:43):
you know, hit ball with five strikeouts in a walk.
So super small sample size, I know, but the potential
is here. He's got a live arm for the year.
Between high and Double A, he's got a thirty two
per k rate and a low six percent walk rate,
fourteen percent strikes and when batters do make contact, fifty
percent of the time it's a it's a ground ball.
(01:03:05):
So the one sixty three batting average against put all together,
we get a whip under one. I wouldn't be surprised
if he isn't promoted to the Triple A by the
season's end. And I think for what we're seeing out
of him so far and the rise he's making, the
nine percent roster ship is way too low, and it's
not going to stick down that low for too long.
(01:03:26):
You know, we're not the only people talking about David W.
Right now and he's definitely worth taking a good hard
look at in the Texas system. And that, my friend,
concludes our monthly update of the JTR thirty. It's too quick,
too quick, I know, but I think next time we're
talking it'll be after the All Star break, probably after
(01:03:50):
the deadline or right on top of the deadline. Next
time we're talking about the JHR thirty, that is, and
I think that that's going to give us some pretty
interesting names to talk about and probably open up a
few slots if there's some organization changes obviously, Chris, and
thank you for your flexibility for the scheduling again this week.
Hope you have a wonderful day.
Speaker 3 (01:04:12):
Thanks. Yeah, my pleasure to meet you anytime of day. Thanks.
Speaker 2 (01:04:18):
So. I think coffee and fantasy baseball is actually an
awesome way to start today. So yeah, so thank you,
enjoy your week, and to our listeners out there, we
know how valuable your time is. Thank you for spending
some of it with us.
Speaker 1 (01:04:31):
Take care, everyone, join the ranks. It's produced and edited
by Drew Klein, Content research by Chris Knock Andrew Klin,
the executive director of the Dynasty guru is Taylor case
intro and out. Your voiceovers provided by Coulson Probst unless
otherwise noted. The host's rankings and opinions are their own, and,
as is painfully obvious, Chris and Drew do not share
(01:04:52):
their player lists prior to recording.
Speaker 4 (01:04:54):
Hey, everybody, before you go, I got to tell you
about my buddy, Nathan, mister dynasty one stop the one
stop shop or for all your t dynasty leagues. Are
you considering a new fantasy baseball league but don't know
where to start? Nate's got your back. Total draft degenerate
that just wants to do some bestball leagues. Do it
with d one s Nita Shoulder to cry on. You'd
have to ask, But he's a nice dude. Maybe you
(01:05:14):
could come to some sort of arrangement. In any case,
here's the deal, people, I'm the commissioner of four leagues
across multiple sports, and it's a crap ton of work.
I don't do it anymore. I get it, it's crazy,
but Nate has this down to a t. Every league
I do with him is seamless, from creating the perfect
league settings to gathering fees, to draft scheduling to recruiting managers,
(01:05:36):
and whatever else. Dud does it all for a small
fee that you can read more about on his website
Dynasty one stop dot com. Seriously, he takes care of everything.
Check out Dynasty one stop dot com to learn more.
That's Dynasty one spelled out stop dot com
It's time for Join the Ranks, a prospect focused podcast
of the Dynasty Grew Network, helping Dynasty managers win your
league's one player at the time. So settle in for
an hour of conversation and insightful analysis with your hosts,
Dynasty Grew senior writers Drew Klein and Chris Knock.
Speaker 2 (00:19):
And welcome back to JTR thirty version two point three,
our July update of our most overlooked prospect in each organization.
This is a list we sit. We sat at the
end of each preseason and do our monthly updates through
the summer, and this is our third update. We're almost
halfway there. I think some of the interest today is
whether or not some of these names we talk about
(00:40):
will be bounced about as a kind of ladder down
prospects and some of the trade packages we'll see back
and forth. There's a a few I think that we
will right now. Our definition of an overlook prospect is
a prospect rostered by fewer than twenty percent of teams
and fan tracks who we think should be rostered more
than that. So, in addition to trying to introduce new
names to you, but also highlights some that maybe you
(01:01):
know and maybe you and others are overlooking and maybe
available in your leagues. For each update throughout the season,
anybody who crosses the twenty percent threshold we move to
our we see you list, and if a prospect isn't
panning out quite the way we thought he would, we'll
move him to the nothing to see here list. We'll
also let you know as we talk if any of
our holdovers are on our hot seat, it need a
good month to move one way or the other on
(01:23):
our lists. Speaking of the full list, which as we
move forward, we'll include players we've moved off the JTR
thirty for either of our reasons. You can go to
the Dynastyguru dot com and the article linked to each
podcast will include a table with our full list, So
everybody who's been on it all year long, whether they're
our current JTR thirty or whether there's somebody who's graduated
or on our nothing to see here list. So Chris
(01:46):
early morning recording for us, Thank you for your flexibility,
and hopefully we'll get this out a little bit earlier
than usual and see if people like listening to it
before the weekend or over the weekend. But all that said,
why don't we just jump in and do you want
to kick us off with the last.
Speaker 3 (02:00):
Yeah, I think I'm I'm waking up and got the
frogs out of my throat. A L R N L East.
Here we go. Uh So Atlanta Braves. Uh. The last
couple of months start of this year, I've had a
gentleman by d d Or Fuentes uh as my under
ranked nomination here. But he, as we know, shortly after
(02:26):
we recorded last month, he got he got the nod
to the majors. He kept on moving up. It's kind
of been a mixed bag of starts. The surface numbers
aren't as indicative of what we think he'll be ultimately
his The deeper numbers have supported some of that nastiness
that he showed in the minor leagues, that strike up ability.
(02:47):
He's graduating enough with enough with Dder. He's graduating now
by definition of our league or of our game here
that we play. And in his stead I've added Diego Tornez,
who was there twenty twenty five j fifteen sinee. He
(03:09):
is a tall drink of water at six foot two.
He's kind of lanky, he's got a power. He's scouted
on fangrass his power first power with hit tool, but
so far he's been a very quick burner on the
base pass. He's got seventeen steals out of eighteen tries,
no home runs, but he does have eight extra base
(03:33):
hits between his doubles and triples. He's in the DSL.
I neglected to mention that, so he's got a long
path ahead of him. He is super young for the
for the Class two. He just turned seventeen, so there
could be some growth in him as you know, both
height and obviously as he fills out and hopefully gets
(03:54):
to that power that we've been that he has scouted
with having hit tools solid, but it's you know, it's
DSL numbers, so you can't really believe the statistics so far.
But he is betting two eighty six. He's showing a
good eye with the three sixty nine OVP and like
I said, not much slug yet. But he's truly probably
(04:16):
one of the youngest out there even in the in
the terms of the Dominican Summer League. Diego Tornez, outfielder
for the Braves, is my newest is my newest edition.
Speaker 2 (04:28):
I like it.
Speaker 3 (04:29):
Yeah, you're familiar with his game.
Speaker 2 (04:31):
A little bit, Like you mentioned him once before, and
he's been getting and then right after that he's got
picked up in the league i' mean by one of
my other managers. So it's getting a little bit of
notice out there.
Speaker 3 (04:43):
Yeah yeah, yeah, yeah, Diego Tornez, I did hint at him,
that's right. A couple of weeks back, Luis Cova. Then
another outfielder in the Dominican Summer League is my Miami Marlins.
He's sticking. I'm sticking with him. His rostership hasn't really
changed much. His statistics haven't also improved or haven't changed
(05:11):
much month to month. Here he is cutting down some
of that k rate. When we talked last time, he
was at thirty percent. He's down to twenty five percent.
So over the course of the month he's brought that
down you know, five is percent, which is good. Obviously,
still didn't have any home runs this past month. So
again he's another kind of lanky teenager type, right he's
(05:35):
on eighteen and a half years old, still dreaming on
that power, still waiting for that, but that you know,
that's pretty much part for the course with these young kids.
His overall WRC plus and the DSL so far this
year is a buck nineteen, so he's playing better than
the average baseball player down there. So we like what
(05:55):
that's headed, like how he's holding holding, holding true, and
we'll keep being patient with Luis Kova. Now we got
in New York the Mets another outfielder three for three
on the outfielders are sticking with Eli Serrano the third again.
He is another guy. He was coming back from injury.
(06:17):
Last time we talked, I didn't have much in the
way of updates for his numbers. They've come quote unquote
back down to earth a little bit, but he's he's
still having an outstanding year there in high A as
a college bat from last year's draft, seven homers, six
stolen bases so far, a sub twenty k rate. His
(06:42):
batting average is two thirty five, so you know there's
some room to grow there. Not necessarily related to just
swinging mess issues because those are excellent, looking excellent so
far in twenty twenty five, but overall his offensive package
buck twenty eight WRC plus. He's he's looking pretty dynamic
(07:03):
and looks like he'll be a five category contributor as
he as he you know, especially OBP leagues, I should
say his average is to thirty five versus an OVP
of three forty five, so he's walking in it above
average clips so far too, which is what you want
a college a seasoned college bat to be doing in
(07:24):
some of those lower minor levels. I'd love for him
to get the bump to double a here and hopefully
that will happen later this summer.
Speaker 2 (07:33):
Called up his game log while you were talking here
real quick, and over the last month his his K
rate is it's under twenty percent and his walk rate
is over ten percent. So yeah, the you know, I
think that the batting average is going to come up.
He's obviously putting the ball in play, is what I'm saying.
And it's not a frightful k percentage when you see
(07:54):
it under twenty percent. And I agree, like to see
more of what he's doing when he gets up to
higher levels but looks good.
Speaker 3 (08:00):
Yeah, it's you know. I love it when the tools
he types like Serrano are showing more consistent hit and
approach results than their tools, you know, than the homers
or the stone bases, because to me, that indicates growth. Right,
you might not have the counting stats that are catching
(08:22):
all the Twitter feed eyeballs, but you're getting a development
of a baseball player. And if those tools are able
to continue to shine as they progress, then then you
start really getting excited. Right That brings us now to
Carson de Martini. Sticking with him, still in Philadelphia. He's
(08:45):
still in Double A. He's not an outfielder. He started dominating.
If we remember, he started dominating High A right before
in the month of June, and then they promoted him
right before we recorded last last month. So he's only
hit one home run in Double A. But again, I'm
(09:07):
trying to do a little comparing contrast last year at
the start and then at the start of this year
at HIA. He was really slow to adjust in that
power department. So I'm not too concerned yet the power
came through at High A. I'm expecting it to eventually
start shining through here at Double A. But that is
(09:27):
what will continue to watch with him. He's striking out
at A twenty just under twenty five percent with a
average yellow flagish zone of fifteen percent swinging strike great
at double A. I'm sorry, I was looking at his
combined thirteen point six percent swinging strike great at double
(09:50):
A alone, so that thirteen point six is less of
a yellow flag than the fifteen percent kind of in
that when they're under fourteen percent is when I'm starting
to be a little bit more comfortable with the swing,
and miss twenty three kind of jives well with that
twenty five K. So again, I guess what I'm saying
(10:12):
here with Carson D. Martiniz, it feels like this is
a repeat of what was his start to his high
A this year in twenty five and then eventually he
adjusted and he performed well and he was rewarded with
the promotion. So I hope that he adjusts here again
at double A and process repeats itself. But Carson D.
(10:35):
Martini is that third baseman for the Philadelphia Phillies. Yeah. Lastly,
then I have Angel fellies always in forever, Angel Phillies,
Washington Nationals shortstop maybe third basement. Apparently he's hasn't been
playing there, but the Fangraphs. Jeff Immermann put up his
(11:00):
scouting reports of the Nationals the other day and he
thinks that ultimately third base might be the home for
Angel Police. What he calls out is what I've been
saying as well, is that this kid looks athletic. He's
got the frame to add more power. He's an eighteen
year old. It's a complex ball, okay, and he just
(11:27):
has not shown any power yet. He hits a lot
of balls into the ground too, unfortunately, with almost a
fifty ground ball rate, no home runs. He only has
eight extra base hits so far, and he's played the
complete season at complex level. But his bat to ball
is looking good. He's batting two seventy two with three
(11:47):
seventy seven obps. So again, strong walk rates, strong k rates.
Let's keep waiting for this, for this power to hopefully
start start happening for mister flies his He's got six
stolen bases over the course of the year, not a
huge number, and throw in that he's also been caught
(12:07):
five times. So he's not showing that exciting stolen base
power that I was hoping he had too. But our
stolen base power, that's my lack of coffee. But he's
not showing that that exceptional speed on the base paths yet,
And maybe that isn't you know. Maybe I was overly
(12:28):
excited for what he could bring there. But right now
he's looking at least like a strong, hick guy and
a solid defender either at short or third. So hopefully
that frame fills out and he starts to getting that
getting that lift in there. I do like the Washington
development system. I think they've consistently been bringing guys up.
(12:51):
Maybe not a lot of them are turning into the
James Woods and C. J. Abrams, but that those are
lofty comparisons. So hopefully he's we'll get some power here
and we'll see what can happen here with Angel Philis.
He's still in my top one hundred. Just I know
I've talked, I've hyped him as such, but it really
(13:15):
cement him once he starts getting homers.
Speaker 2 (13:18):
You know. And before I jump in on the the
Al East, I was watching I was watching Tigers last
night and Scott Harris was being interviewed. He's their president
of baseball operations, and he was preaching the need for patients,
these guys to move up to different levels, and particularly
talking about Dylan Dingler and they said, you were you
surprised by this and they said, no, every level. Go
Look he had trouble adjusting at each level, and really
(13:41):
that's all players. You expect there to be that adjustment period,
and he just said, you know, that's why, you know,
we don't want to rush people through. We have the patients.
And I thought, boy, let just know what we do
in the fantasy world, like we want to see at
the next level as soon as he get called up
every time, and that doesn't happen. And some of the
some of the best players that you and I probably
(14:02):
have rostered are probably players who we capped when other
people were dropping them because they didn't you know, like wow,
you know, right after the promotion, so kind of kind
of takeing notes there. And let's say you talked about it.
And when I was going through my list last night
getting ready for it this morning, I saw two or
three names the same kind of thing of hey, I'm
(14:22):
seeing them really a joust after our rough first few
weeks in each level. And uh, you know, we love,
we love to turn and burn in the game we play.
But uh, there's a lot to be said for holding
on some of these guys as well. It's kind of
watching where they are and and looking deeper for the progression.
So great, all right, I'm going to jump into the
(14:45):
American League East and in Baltimore, keeping nest to herman
on the list, and we had him on all year.
He is rostered in nine percent of fan Track's leagues.
On the last update speaking of, he had just been
called up prior to our last update and had pitched
(15:06):
four games in Double A and they were a bit rocky,
but point out there's some good underlying stats to look at.
Since then, Herman has had four more starts and he's
thrown a twenty four k rate, seven percent walk rate,
one fifty nine batting average against, and a zero point
eighty three whip. So overall in Double A, his strikeouts
(15:26):
are down from where they were in High A, but
the whip and the batting average against are are much improved.
So not to rush him through, but when he does
get to triple A, we'll see a little bit more
of the specific pitch pitch data, at least in the
data that we have easy to get and see how
he's using. He's got four pitches, he's got a fastball, slider, curveball, splitter,
(15:49):
and his command grades future grades and current grades and
the scouts are are high. So comes across as the
kind of pitcher who's just gonna, you know, throw everything
but the kitchen sink at Sixth Street, two twenty five,
so he's got the kind of got the long levers
as well if he needs them. I like I like
what I see here. I like Nester Hermont a lot.
I think that Baltimore is probably going to be selling
(16:12):
and maybe somebody, you know, maybe it's Charlie Morton or something,
comes off their roster and all the pictures get bumped
up one. So I would be amazed if he makes
it to the majors, even for a cup of coffee
this year. I don't think he's on their forty man
or anything like that. However, I would not be surprised
to see him in Triple A a little bit and be
kind of interesting to see there. So nest to Hermont
in Baltimore is seeing squarely on the j tier thirty
(16:35):
and with that nine percent roster of numbers, and then
moving up the coast to Boston. I had kept jenckson
Piez even though he was injured. He's got a strained calf.
Not much information coming out, so I was kind of
hoping he'd be back by now and have something to
talk about. But he remains on the injured list, so
(16:56):
I'm gonna move him off I'm gonna slap the injury
tag on you know, so I have the right to
bring him back later because I still like what I
saw from what he did last year and the spring
before he got hurt. But I'm going to introduce a
new name to the conversation. Friley and Carnacion, who is
rostered in four percent of fan tracks leagues. He was
(17:20):
signed out of the Dominican Republic in January twenty twenty,
and he made his DSL debut in twenty two as
his seventeen year old. So doing the math, he signed
at fifteen. Christ You and I were just talking about that,
and you know, what's going to be the long term
solution to the international players. It's fair to everybody, and also,
(17:40):
you know, like the team to do the homework get rewarded.
But fifteen is pretty darn young to take a risk
on somebody. But so far he's he's developing nicely. There
were some questions about his hit tool when he read
the scouting reports, but he has a high bat speed
and had really low contact rates. This year in single A,
(18:01):
his contact rate has increased to seventy two percent and
he's promoted to high A on June third, and adjustment
issues are real, but the Red Sox have been doing
a good job developing hitters lately, and if he finishes strong,
I think he could catch some more fantasy buzz later on.
That's Friley. It's fr Ei l I in Carnacion, twenty
(18:26):
year old now playing Hi A in the in the
Boston system, and like I said, the strikeouts are a
little bit worrisome, but the batting average has been able
to compensate as he adjusts each level. So I've got
pretty high hopes of this guy. And then moving on
to New York, the camp Slitter experience exploded in the
(18:48):
last four weeks. Camp Slitter who if you're listening to this,
you've heard of was it eight percent rostered when we
recorded our last update four weeks ago, and now he's
at four, which is our I think sets the record
for a single highest four week jump in the rostership.
He rocketed through the Yankee system and he just been
(19:13):
downs being called up. I believe he's starting Tuesday Wednesday
this week, I think, so I'll see Mitchell. Yeah, excited
to see it. So moving him to the definitely we
see you list and forty percent of fantacks leagues is
probably eighty percent of dynasty leagues in fan track, so
(19:35):
only the most shallow leagues would he be available for you.
I'm going to pull in Rock Rigio right for name
value alone. But Rock was a twenty twenty three fourth
round pick, and he's a hard hitting second baseman. So
he hit two sixty four four thirty six five ninety
(19:58):
seven slash line with six home runs in twenty games
at High A, and then he's promoted to Double A
on June third, where in his twenty eight games he's
hit to eighty two three point thirty nine five ninety
two with eight home runs, so a couple more home runs,
higher batting average with a lower OVP, but not a
whole lot of adjustment issues as he moves into Double A,
(20:22):
likely to stay at second base for a lot of reasons,
not just because of his five foot nine inch stature.
He's a flyball, line drive hitter. He has very low
swinging strike rates under ten and High A in about
twelve percent in Double A, and he'll be uh left
handed bat hitting a Yankee stadium. So look for Rock Rigio.
He's a five percent rostered. You know he's not going
(20:45):
to be a top five second baseman probably, I hope
I have to team my words in that one, but
I think he is going to be a valuable fantasy
asset at a position that we always struggle with, and
kind of hope and pray for some he holds onto
their second base eligibility. But you don't want to get
too much locked into position eligibility with, you know, as
(21:07):
we get deeper into the minors. But I like what
rockergu was doing and I do think that the position
is a little bit of an asset for us. And
then going to Tampa, Chris, remember when I put Tdy
Johnson on the hot seat.
Speaker 3 (21:19):
Yep, well.
Speaker 2 (21:22):
Between our May and June update, and this is a
refresher he in twenty five innings pitched, he had thirty
five strikeouts, twelve walks, a thirty five to twelve percent
ratio on those. Since the June update, roughly twenty four
innings pitch, so two thirds inning less, thirty three strikeouts,
eight walks, thirty six eight percent ratio at one point
(21:45):
one era, a zero pointing seven whip. What was I thinking?
I know he had a slow start, but oh my gosh,
Rocking no promotion yet for him, he's still still a
double A, but that doesn't mean it's not coming. Overall
for the year, Ty Johnson has fifty nine innings pitched.
He's got eighty three strikeouts at thirty five k rate,
(22:07):
eleven percent walk rate. You know, even though the walk
rate's over ten percent, that's still a twenty four percent
difference between the two a zero point ninety seven whips,
So the walks are just about the only thing he's
giving up in less than half a zero point four
to six home run per nine inning, So he's keeping
the ball in the park obviously, like what I see
(22:28):
there a lot and uh, I'm now that nine percent
I think is gonna gonna move up. And we all
know that Tampa's got a strong track record, uh with
their pitching prospects. So Ty Johnson, if he's out there,
grab him.
Speaker 3 (22:46):
And if he's not.
Speaker 2 (22:48):
There, if you can prime away from another manager, see
if you can. I think these last two months have
just been phenomenal for him.
Speaker 3 (22:56):
And sneaky phenomenal too.
Speaker 2 (22:57):
I believe, yep, I think so too.
Speaker 3 (23:00):
I've been sure that his rostership hasn't increased what you
would expect quite you know, maybe not camp Schletter numbers,
but no half.
Speaker 2 (23:14):
Yeah, and in the past two months have really balanced
out that slow start. So if somebody's just looking at
the overall numbers, you're still seeing really good numbers.
Speaker 3 (23:22):
You know.
Speaker 2 (23:22):
Maybe the walk rate's keeping people away, but yeah, and
then my final from the Al East is in Toronto
and I'm sticking with them. Cal Steven that's k h
A L S T E p h E n right
handed pitcher in the system, nine percent rostered on fan tracks.
(23:45):
Cal was there second run pick in twenty twenty four
out of Mississippi State. Since our last update, he's had
four starts with a three to one record and giving
up a total of two runs in those four starts,
including one run in the Amy lost. His ERA is
zero point eight one in the last month, whip zero
point seven to two batting average against one forty nine.
(24:09):
There's twenty two innings pitched with nineteen strikeouts five walks,
So for the whole year there's a twenty nine p
k rate and five percent walk rate. You know, the
strikeouts aren't quite blow you away numbers yet, but they're
not weak either. And the walk rate is so low,
you know, it's going to be interesting to see if
(24:29):
there's another promotion this year. It's going to be interesting
to see what Toronto does at the deadline. Might be
the kind of profile that gets thrown in on a
trade for Toronto to grab some some major league value
since they're they're making their strong run. So I gotta
believe the other gentlem managers would be would be asking
about him. But you know, either way, strong, strong performance
(24:51):
so far. So that's Cal Steven in Toronto.
Speaker 3 (24:55):
It's crazy to me. I realize we're talking more about prospects,
but it's crazy to me that the Blue Jays are
at the time up the Al East. Yeah.
Speaker 2 (25:05):
I've used to be a couple more league changes there
though there are just four teams there that just take
turns getting hot.
Speaker 3 (25:10):
Yeah, yeah, we'll see. Sorry, back to our regularly scheduled program.
Speaker 2 (25:18):
Yeah, take us to the Midwest.
Speaker 3 (25:20):
Right, the flyover States. Here we go. So you know, actually,
before I jump into it, you did make a good
point about being patient, and that's been the name of
my update. Here is flashing back to last month. I
had a lot of like, all right, this is the
(25:42):
end of the road for this guy, or this is
near the end of the road for that guy. But
I found as I was looking at him that they
were still consistent over the last month, and that doesn't
necessarily you know, so I didn't change as many guys
as I thought I would coming in Diego. Tornez was
the first, and actually, looking at my looks like I
(26:04):
did one update per division here, so we'll get to
him here. Enough of that, so laiden off Jackson Wiggins
of the Chicago Cubs organization. He is still in double A.
He was promoter. He was he's basically pitched the last
(26:25):
month plus there now and he's just he's doing what
he's been doing, which is phenomenal mound presence and striking
out almost thirty just over thirty one percent of the batters.
He's still walking a decent clip, but nothing too scary.
(26:45):
His k mins walk is north to twenty percent to
twenty one point two percent, which is BUEO. He's not
keeping the ball on the ground necessarily well, he's sub
forty percent there at the ground ball rate somewhat of
a concern, but he's not, like, you know, it's not
(27:08):
too outrageous all of his results with it. His era
is just north of two where his FIP is just
north of two and a half, so he's not, you know,
getting super lucky here. Strike Outs are the name of
this game, and he's getting those in spades. He's got
tons of swinging strikes. It's called strike whiff rate is
(27:29):
thirty one percent, so he's painting, he's getting whiffs, he's
he's doing everything we want a young potential top of
the rotation type. He's more likely made rotation, but he's
very possibly a trade ship for the Cubs speaking of
division leaders or at least buyers at the deadline here
(27:53):
that we're approaching. So it'll be interesting to see what
if we recorded at the beginning of August, it'll be
interesting to see him. A names are still on our
on our oorg lists, but then so that's Jackson Wiggans
Chicago Cubs. He's got fifteen percent rostered, so he is
nearing that twenty percent and he's had a nice steady
climb all season as people have been watching him do
(28:16):
what he does. Moving over to Cincinnati, I've been sticking
with and I'm going to continue to stick with Adam Cerwanowski.
He was one that jumps out when I think about
you know, end of the road is what I was
saying last month. He's still just doing it and it's impressive.
(28:36):
But I think so he's got seventy six strikeouts and
sixty one innings over the course of the season. I
will say what what really made me want to stick
with him here is last month I talked about how
his ground ball rate was similar to Wiggins and sub
forty percent. At thirty eight percent. That was a month ago. Unfortunately,
(28:59):
the game log don't give you ground ball rates, but
I do know it went from thirty eight percent to
over forty two point three percent over a season long picture,
So in a month it went up. His overall season
went up four percent at least. I don't know what
kind of ground ball rate that would be, but that
sounds to me to be substantial because that's an extra
(29:22):
you know, that's like twenty issuings. I think it was
six outings he pitched in June, so that's a that's
a solid increase in his ground ball rate. I love
that for someone who's going to be pitching in great
American small park. So, Adam Sarwanowski, you and your fast
above average fastball slider combo will continue to be on
(29:47):
our Join the Ranks list. He's only three percent rostered still,
so lots of lots of time to keep an eye
on him for your shallower leagues Milwaukee. Moving to Milwaukee,
sticking with Jose and in the outfield again, he's at
LOWA with the big names in their organization. His strikeout
(30:10):
rate has actually come down a little bit month to month,
which is good if we remember. Also, he was promoted
to low A right before the start of our June
recording session, so he's he's still got an elevated k
rate over although at thirty three percent, he's not making
a lot of contact. He's got a buck seventy batting average.
(30:33):
He's one to I'm preaching patients with. I guess ultimately
he's His WRC plus is sixty nine, which is not
as nice as it sounds, the average below average. Just
stick with him. He's he's a big dude. He's going
(30:56):
to get some power, hopefully showing up here more. And
let's let's preach some more patients with hosting Anderson. Speaking
of big power though, we're moving to Javier Revas, who,
like I said, I'm going to keep keep him on
the list as long as he's consistent and waiting for
(31:16):
the day to him for him to get promoted to
double A. That is unfortunately still not today. But he's
got seventeen home run For an update for Javier Revas, again,
he's a He's six foot six listed at a buck
sixty five, but he is much thicker than one hundred
and sixty five pounds. He's a third baseman, but he's
(31:37):
twenty two at high A, so he's over the eight.
You know, he's above where the most batters are at
that age or at that level. But he's got seventeen
home runs. His triple slash is a two eight seven
three four to two five two four, so he is
showing that thump. His strikeout rates are sub twenty three percent. He's, uh,
(32:05):
let's let's challenge him here Pittsburgh. He's got swinging mess,
no doubt, but let's let's let's get this guy to
double A. Let's see what happens against better pitching and whatever. Anyway,
for now, he remains her rostered. He's a tank at
(32:26):
third base, and.
Speaker 2 (32:29):
He's he's having a real breakout year. I mean, this
year is above and beyond every other year that he's
had regardless of level. So now we're in July, so
it's not just a hot month anymore. Correct exaction something
really there?
Speaker 3 (32:43):
Thank you for shooting. Yeah I could. I could recap
some of that too, Like I talk about his swing
and miss and his twenty you know, twenty two k rate,
But that's compared to like thirty two percent at low
A last year, forty in ten games at high last
year at the same level. So I mean, you know,
it's he's improved, let's let's say. And I understand though,
(33:08):
organization's still working on things. So maybe they're looking for something.
Maybe there's a log jam. I don't I haven't pulled
up their org chart. Maybe there's a logjam of third
baseman at double A and triple A. I'm not aware
of that off the top of my head, so I
don't know if that's truly the case. I think they're
just making sure that this kid is ready before they
(33:29):
challenge him some more. And so I will trust the
pirates on that one, I guess.
Speaker 2 (33:37):
Not laughing about it.
Speaker 3 (33:38):
Trusting the pirates, Oh yeah, of course not. I am
going to be headed over to Saint Louis, the gateway
to the West, and you know, I'm I talked about
being patient. Jimmy Crooks has been my name there. I
am moving off of him. He's he's good, he'll be
(34:03):
a major league catcher. But as I've been hinting at,
he's he's been right around a one hundred WRC plus.
I think he's still sub that in the nineties. I
want looking for a little bit more juice. And someone
who's been catching my eye lately is Daniel Ortiz, who
I drafted him in that we're still going in that
(34:26):
in that seed Vault draft. We're not. We're like barely
halfway through. We're around forty of it right now. And
I just took him a few rounds ago, Daniel Ortiz,
and someone's like, you know, you know that Big Poppy retired.
I was like, I mean, he's he's The name is close, yep,
the frame is close. He's six foot one, two hundred
(34:48):
and thirty. The position third base. That's what Big Poppy
came up as before playing some first base with Boston
and obviously eventually designated it or overall Lil Poppy, as
I guess I'll call him here, Daniel Ortiz. He's in
Loway for the Cardinals. He's twenty years old. His overall
(35:11):
season numbers, he's got big swing and miss twenty eight
to almost twenty nine percent strikeout right, but he's walking
at a sixteen percent clip. So his triple slash is
two eight, two four to ten with a four four
four slug. He's got eight homers and nine doubles, so
(35:32):
that that to me shows developing power. But if we
look at it is over the last month, and this
is where he caught my eye, and I'm switching so
I can. I for some reason didn't write this down,
even though I knew I wanted to talk about it.
But since the arbitrary June first cut off, he's hit
(35:53):
six of those eight homers and six of those doubles.
He's batting three twenty seven been over that month with
a four fifty OBP and a five seventy one seleg
So that's a three four five triple slash and his
k rate is down to that twenty percent. So Daniel Ortiz,
(36:16):
he is looking like he's a developing bopper there for
third base at a fun one. He's you know, he's
age appropriate for the level. He's not too old, not
too young. We'll see what happens with him here. Daniel
Ortiz third base. Lil Poppy is my new name for him.
(36:39):
Maybe someone else has already beat me to that one.
I don't know. Umm, yeah, that's my five NL Central squads.
Speaker 2 (36:46):
All right, A new name for me, that Daniel Ortiz picker.
Just looking at the the game log while you were talking,
it's like almost hit every game. There's no zeros down
that column. I go, yeah, yeah, I like they come
in bunches and they come in regularly. So nice, fine,
all right, Well, looking at the American League Central and
(37:09):
starting with the White Sox. Last month, I had a
Javier mcgoyan on the hot seat, and I'm moving him
to the nothing to see here list. Since the update,
he's hit one twenty one with zero home runs and
striking out fully a third of the time he comes
to the plate. So I'm going to move to a
(37:30):
pitching prospect by the name of Tanner McDougall. Tanner was
a high school arm drafted at Chicago's fifth round pick
in twenty twenty one, and then missed the twenty twenty
two season for TV surgery and has ramped up slowly
since then. He did pitch ninety two innings in twenty four.
Last year, lots of strikeouts in lots of walks, but
(37:52):
this year things are clearly changing. He opened this year
in High A and in his first fifty seven innings
through three strikeouts and thirty two walks. Promoted to Double A,
and he's been dealing in his four starts there. He's
got twenty one innings pitched, twenty nine strikeouts, only six walks.
It's a thirty six and seven percent ratios of those two.
(38:14):
His fastball is in the high nineties at TOPSID one hundred,
and it's a wicked curve. I guess it's one of
those classic almost a full twelve to six, heartbreaking curve
and just freezing hitters. He's got a forty four percent
ground ball rate in his home run for a fly
ball he's under ten, and his swinging strike rate currently
(38:35):
in the low teens. As I said, the strike outs
are really coming on call through strikes. He's the freezing
people with the curve or I'm looking for the curve
and coming in with the fastball, doing a really nice
job in Double A. And so you know, as he
does move, I actually do look for the swinging strike
rate to come up. So he is Tanamy Well is
(38:57):
excuse me, three percent rostered in fan tracks. And of
the the White Sox have a lot of pitching, and
who knows, you know, they're obviously going to be sellers,
and I know that they don't have you know, old
pitchers at the end of contracts, but they may be
willing to move some of their major leaguers who have
(39:20):
been the starting pitching has been doing fairly well, so
you know, Sullivan or somebody else may get moved and
kind of have that ripple effect of people in the
lower levels getting bumped up. So we may see more McDougall,
possibly even at triple A kind of like the the
agent overall maturities there, and it seems to have fully
strengthened back from the early TJ surgery. So I like that. Uh,
(39:40):
you know, I like what I see when I look
at look at his stats. And in Cleveland, sticking with
Alfonsin Rosario who is four percent rostered on fan tracks.
Rosario is a twenty year old outfielder in High A
UH and since our last update, he's hit two eighty
three with a four p fifty on base in the
five to fifty slow, there's four home runs in there,
(40:01):
and that adds up to a one seventy two w
RC plus that'll play. I think he's starting to ease
concerns that early scouting reports had about his hit tool.
His contact rate has been increasing every year from last
year to this it's gone up eight percentage points from
fifty nine to sixty seven percent. You know, you still
(40:23):
want to see that higher, but to see that much
development progression is really encouraging. So in a system like Cleveland,
where I do trust their development process, I think that
alfonsin Rosario is a good player to keep an eye on.
And at four percent roster ship, somebody's probably available in
(40:45):
leagues that our listeners are in. Moving to Detroit, I'm
gonna be a little bit stubborn and stick with jaden Ham.
He's fourteen percent roster, so he is fairly seen. He's
not sparkling right now, so it would be justifiable to
move away from him, and I'm looking closely. I may soon,
although all the top prospects, of course are Hyley roster
(41:07):
any who, he's a pitcher in the Toroy system. If
you don't know, they're becoming a bit of a factory there.
He's at twenty two years old in double A, still
striking up more than one per inning, but the watch
is starting to be an issue again, and that's something
to keep an eye on. So I'm still on board.
But Jade, my man, I'm going to move you to
the hot seat and see what the next month holds.
(41:29):
And then in Kansas City, David Shields is hold over there.
He's currently seven percent rostered in fan tracks. Shields is
a twenty twenty four Draftee second round pick. He's a
high school arm still eighteen years old. Since our last update,
(41:49):
he's continued to stand out. He's at fifteen innings pitched
and sixteen strikeouts. His whip is still under one point. Oh.
I do have concerned that the swinging strike rate is
only a shade over ten percent, and he's a bit
of a soft tosser, say his fastball tops out at
ninety three, So it'll be interesting to see, you know,
(42:10):
if the strikeouts continue to come up through different levels.
But it seems to be pitching at a level that's
kind of kind of mature for his age, and I
think he's got a lot a lot of potential there.
So you know he's you know, he's noted. I mean
seven percent for a new draftee, and I think that
not totally off the wall to have him on the list,
I guess, But there's just some things to watch the development.
(42:32):
That development still needs to happen. I have confidence that
it will. I guess that's the well I'm trying to
say here.
Speaker 3 (42:39):
I like it.
Speaker 2 (42:40):
And then my last al Central before we go for
some Western coffee is in Minnesota, just about to hit
the we SeeU threshold and almost close enough that I
would bump them up. But I just want to talk
again about Kaitlin Culpeper because I think that even though
Culpeper is roster eighteen percent of fan tracks league, I
(43:04):
find that remark will be low for who he is
and what he's doing. First off, he's a first round
pick last year. Noteworthy to see first round picks still
bouncing around available in that many Dynasty leagues. He's promoted
to double A shortly after our last update, or I
think it was actually between recording and issuing the update.
He was called up to double A, where he's had
(43:27):
sixty four played appearances and his slash line there is
three twenty one four oh six four twenty nine, two
home runs and three stolen bases. I love the contact rates.
It's a high seventy percent overall, but the ground ball
rate is also high. It's right at fifty percent. If
you can add some loft to the game without damaging
(43:47):
the contact rates, he'll be a very effective hitter and
a fantasy asset. I'm going to throw out a very
dangerous comp here, and I don't comp a lot, but
only when I started writing for The Dynasty Guru, one
of my first articles was about Jackson Merrill, who was
a shortstop with high contact rates and not much power
at the time, and he was saying in interviews, you know,
(44:10):
he's going to start adding some loft to the game.
And I've been remember being very concerned that all these
beautiful contact rates are going to disappear. And he's gone
from a fifty eight to forty two percent ground ball
rate over those three years without a single bit of
a drop in his contact rate, So clearly possible. I'm
not saying Kaylyn Culpepper is going to do exactly that,
(44:34):
but what I'm saying is, and maybe to myself more
than anybody else, just because somebody's looking to add some
loft of the game, doesn't mean they have to lose
their contact rate if they're skilled, and Kaitlyn Culpepper does
have contact skills, so may not be a Rookie of
the Year in a couple of years. But I just
(44:55):
you know, he's the highest rostered player on my list
and he's still like, wow, definitely undervalue in my opinion
in our dynasty circle. If you're sitting at that ratio
and you know, I can't argue that. You know, Minnesota,
they may have you know, really bad luck with injuries,
but their their development hasn't been bad, so it's not
(45:16):
I'm not quite quite I'm not quite understanding why the
the lag in terms of getting him rostered in more places. Again,
it's Kaitlyn Culpepper of Minnesota, which wraps up the al
central for me.
Speaker 3 (45:27):
Yeah, I think you make a good point that maybe
that that Minnesota cloud you know in fantasy sense is
kind of hanging over him, both the injury cloud and
then also just there minimally fantasy relevant draft history of
(45:47):
late right, so that could definitely be a sneaky, sneaky name.
And I agree that he looks pretty good and I like,
I mean fantasy output wise, there are a lot of
similarities to Jackson Merril. So that's a that's an interesting
compound like that. Take us west, all right, I'll head
(46:09):
out west like Fifle, I'll head out west. You can
tell the coffees finally finally sunk it when I'm referencing
nineteen eighties Disney movies. All right, So here we go, Arizona.
So I've been banging the Titus Cisele drum for all
(46:33):
season long. I thought he was gonna be someone who'd
be shooting up ranks. And you know, it's time for
me to move off him. And in his stead, I'm
taking his or well, obviously his org mate, but another
draft pick from last year of Arizona who is more
well known but is still not well known enough, I think.
And that's JD. Dix, who is a Whisko boy, I
(46:57):
might add. Dix actually is now in low A, recently
promoted in the last week from Complex, but as Complex numbers,
he had almost their three four five. It was a
three forty two average, four to twenty one OVP and
a four to ninety three slug which again as a
(47:18):
nineteen year old at the complex ball. First full professional year,
I will take that. In only forty games, he only
had one home run, but twelve doubles and again, to me,
having that gap power leads to potentially home over the
fence power. So twelve doubles in forty nine or thirty
nine games part of me is quite impressive. He also
(47:43):
added in ninth steals nine out of thirteen from the
base bats. Not a huge burner, but that's definitely you
know yet at least show that he had some speed,
has some speed there. He is a pretty dynamic guy.
He's big. He probably won't keep that speed for long.
He's six foot two and about a buck eighty, so
as he fills out, he'll definitely slow down. But in
(48:05):
his week of games, he was just there up. He
was just in low way. For the last cycle he
already added he doubled his own run total from one
to two total for the season, So obviously there's over
the fence power is still lacking. But he also already
has two more stolen bases in that week, so he's
(48:25):
doesn't have the red light yet. He's in single A.
We'll see how that goes. He's a shortstop.
Speaker 2 (48:31):
JD.
Speaker 3 (48:31):
Dix is a shortstop, second basement type for the Arizona Diamondbacks.
They you know, I was looking for other names as
I was ready to move off thissel they have. They
have a penchant for these second middle infield types that
are kind of like the Guardians hit tools, strong, not
(48:53):
a lot of tools or over the fence power. You know,
It's it's rare to really find a strong shortstop who
does that. We always it seems like they're everywhere, but
really they're not when you look underneath. It looks specifically
at teams, but I think JD. Dix has that ability
to be one of those big names at maybe second base,
(49:14):
ultimately maybe shortstop wherever he ends up. He's got that athleticism.
He's ten percent owned. JD. Dicks should be higher owned.
When I chose at the beginning of the year between
Cecil and Dix, I thought Dix was more well known,
and I thought Cecil would have been just as successful.
Unfortunately I was wrong with that. It seems so far
I think it's definitely time to move away from Cecil
(49:35):
and let's get those JD. Dick's numbers up higher than
that ten. He's going to continue to flourish I think
as he progresses, all right, that was just one of
my teams, wasn't it. Moving on then Colorado, sticking with
(49:57):
Kyle Carros, he just keeps undoing what he keeps on doing.
His k rate for the season, he's still a double A.
Krate for the season is now sub nineteen percent. His
walk rate is now over fourteen percent, so we're really
close to a one to one ratio. He only has
(50:17):
four home runs. Again, he's not showing a lot of
that over the fence power yet, but he's got fifteen
doubles in fifty games, almost fifty games at double A,
so he's showing that gap power and that again, I'll
keep beating that drum. I think Carols is going to
be a valuable third baseman. He won't have home run power,
(50:43):
but with that expansive outfield, I could see some really
big total based numbers OBP assets here. Great person for
your middle and or sorry, your corner infield roster spot
in those types of leagues especially, I think that's where
his value really will be, and that's Kyle Carros still
(51:03):
in Double A. We'll keep waiting and playing that Colorado game.
Then that moves me to Brendan Tunic of the Los
Angeles Dodgers. Again, he is an outfielder. He was a
recent drafty last year. He's another dynamic type outfield. I
(51:29):
loosely commed him to Ti Oscar last last time. I'll
stick with that. He's got three home runs, he's nine
stolen bases, nine of eleven. He's got a three twelve
batting average, four twenty three OVP five seventy eight slug
at the complex level. K rate's a little concerning still,
(51:52):
and I think I talked about that last time. Almost
twenty seven percent with an eighteen percent swinging strike rate.
That's flagged territory. So we'll keep an eye on that.
He's probably going to be a slow burn again. I
forget exactly if I reference this, but both because of
that hit tool concern and because of the log jam
(52:14):
in the Dodgers development org. So be patient with Tunic
if you roster him. He's only three percent rostered as
of I think two days ago, So you can continue
to be patient in your deeper in your shallow leagues,
only really those real deep leagues should you be trying
(52:34):
to acquire him currently. But Brandon Tunic, Los Angeles Dodgers
one to keep an eye on for sure. Oh man,
that brings me down the coast San Diego and Humberto Cruz.
He was a watch list. Sorry, you remember the terms.
(52:56):
I'm always forgetting the terms. Even if I came up
with the term the category. He was someone I was
going to watch and see what was happened. Remember, he's
a big scouting guy. With his numbers. He wasn't pitching
a lot. His numbers were slow to adjust and as
of the other day, I don't have the end on this,
(53:19):
but his his k rate through complex as an eighteen
year old was only it was sub eight percent eight
k's per nine, so less than a matter per inning.
Not what I like to see. His era was eight
thirty one. Again not what I like to see. But
you know what, and I was, I was like, all right,
it's going to be time to move off on Bertel Cruz.
(53:40):
And you know what, those podres did up and done,
They did up and promoted him. Yeah, so he's sticking around, folks.
I guess this is just a great example of what
we see his analysts with the ORG see in development
(54:01):
oftentimes completely different. He is doing, apparently what they want
him to do. And so he's now in Lowe. Uh,
and he has started one game at Lowe bitch three innings,
which again, if you remember coming into this year, was
like twice as much as this as he had last
year total innings, and he struck out in those three innings.
(54:26):
He struck out four batters and didn't walk anyone. So
that's a great first debut in Lowe. We'll see where
this goes again. I'm going to be keeping an eye.
He's going to be hovering on that line until I
see some statistical backing up. But at the same time,
the padres are padresing him, and it's it's good to
see he's he's young, he's he's he'd been this year's
(54:50):
draft class, so I'll keep that in mind too. So
that's impressive for the kid Lowe. Humberto Cruz four percent rostered.
If you're in deep leagues, definitely want to get him.
Shallow leagues pictures that far away. I would keep your
keep keep patient with him and just watch list them.
(55:12):
Humberto Cruz and lastly again uh, the man amongst children himself,
Bo Davidson, San Francisco Giants outfielder. He's still in high A.
He's just chugging along like the dude's a rock. He's great,
great eye, good bat to ball, he's hitting home runs,
(55:37):
he's stealing bases, he's got the three four five triple slash.
I mean, he's everything you want him to be. Another
one where I'm like, let's go Giants, let's let's challenge
this kid and we'll we'll see what happens with him.
They seem to be slow rolling him, and that's okay.
You know, we can just stare and poke them with
(55:58):
sticks as much as we want. But Bo Davidson, he's
progressing and he's showing consistent all year long, all year
long numbers at high A. So hopefully I'll get a
taste of double A at some point here in the
second half. But he's looking good.
Speaker 2 (56:17):
All right, And I'll wrap us up with the American
League West and start with the Traveling Road Show Athletics.
Henry Bolt is thirteen percent rostered. He's going to carry
over on my list for now. He's overall still putting
up good numbers for the season. He's got to seventy
(56:38):
four three seventy seven three slash line. But not a
good month since our last update, he's only hit two
thirty nine and with comparable drops in the other numbers,
with a twenty five percent strikeout rate over the last month,
not pressing the panic button because the steels are still there,
still scoring a lot of runs, but the seat is
(57:00):
getting a little bit warm under Henry Bolt in the
athletic system, so you know, keep a close eye. I'd
hold him if I had him rostered, probably, but he
also might be in that that churn slot if there's
somebody else's catching my eye. If you're you know, some
of the other earlier names we've heard today, if you've
got you know, Bolt instead of them, yeah, I give
it some thought. It's time to time to see. I
(57:23):
think that we can go through a myriad of examples
of high speed guys who if the contact skills aren't there,
they're just not going to make it all the way through.
But I'm not writing Henry Bolt off yet, but as
you can tell from this narrative, not far from there either.
On the other hand, in Houston, Joseph Sullivan, who I
(57:45):
added last month, has had a great month. He is
currently six percent rostered in fan tracks, and since our update,
he's posted a slash line of two ninety four five
hundred with three more home runs and nine more stolen bases.
So total to date is fifteen home runs in thirty
(58:06):
one stolen bases. Could be twenty five fifty combo by
the end of the year. Right now, that the power,
the speed, the nineteen percent walk rate are covering up
for a twenty six percent strikeout rate, which on the
face of it is concerning, but you look under the hood,
(58:26):
his swinging strike rate is under ten percent, So the
strikeouts are from being either too patient or being fooled
on the plate more than a swing and misissue. I
think that's an issue that's more coachable than the swinging
swinging mis issue would be. And Houston, like a lot
of the organizations we talk about, but Houston develops hitters,
(58:47):
and I think that Joseph Sullivan is showing a lot
of strong tools and at six percent rostered rate, I
think we can see a lot of activity there. And
then who knows, Houston is going to be a buyer
coming up with the trade deadline. Sullivan looks like the
kind of player they traditionally hold on to, but you
(59:08):
never know, you know, he could find himself in a
new York as well, so Joseph Sullivan at Houston and
then moving up to the La Angels. Last month i'd
added Jorge Marchico. I'm going to move off of Marchaco.
I'll still be keeping an eye on him. There are
some numbers to like.
Speaker 3 (59:27):
Like.
Speaker 2 (59:28):
His walk rate is very low at five six five
point six percent, which is a big part of why
he has a one point zero five WHIP. On the
other hand, a low ground ball rate and a very
low swinging strike rate have me moving on to the
moving him to the nothing to See here list, adding
to the JTR thirty and a tip of the hat
to Chris, I know you threw me this name a
little while ago to take a look at Hayden Alvarez.
(59:51):
Hayden is eighteen years old in the complex. He's a
J fifteen sign a signee out of the Dominican Republic
last year, and after putting up decent numbers in the
DSL last year, he's hitting really well this year. He's
got three fifty three, four thirty four forty six with
a one point thirty four WRC plus and he's only
got two home runs and he's playing like I say.
(01:00:14):
He moved into the complex. He's not the da sell
any longer. I wanted to say that, only two home runs,
but he's six for three and one hundred and ninety pounds.
So there's indicate, good indication that this room in is
framed to grow into the power. And with the bat
the ball skill that he's showing to date, there's reasonably
the power could very well come. So Hayden Alvarez and
(01:00:35):
the Angels, and I think we finally found one who's
gonna gonna stick for a while in that system. So
I know I've been a bit of a whiner about
the Angels, but but you think deep enough. I like
what we see there moving up up the coast to Seattle.
Ready Navarro is injured, and I she did in my
(01:00:56):
homework before the last update, so appears to be the
arm injury maybe a year before we're talking about him
in a serious way. So I'm going to move Ready
to the injured shelf and look at Charlie Bilenson and
move Charlie to the JTR thirty. Charlie's also at zero
(01:01:17):
percent rostered. I know it's a fraction because I have
them at least one place and went in doubt and
I'm not saying there's a doubt in this one, but
take the Seattle pitcher. Bolinson was a fifth round pick
in last year's draft after pitching a full season for
Duke and I pitched a few innings as a pro
last year. This year, he started in High A, and
he's already been promoted to Double A so far as
(01:01:39):
to put up a thirty four percent k rate in
a five percent walk rate, and an inspiring seventeen point
four percent swinging strike rate. He hasn't started any games.
I don't know if that's because he's on a reliever
path or just how Seattle's managing his innings. You know,
can't really tell at that level, so there is a
reliever risk on top of all the other inherent risks
(01:02:01):
you have with a pitcher. But take a look at
Charlie Beilinson. He's putting up some really strong numbers, and
you know, I would love to see him start and
see if they stretch him out because I'm not going
to be drafting potential closers in Double A. But the
numbers he's putting up are really eye popping. Right now,
we'll wrap up this month's update in Texas, where I'm
(01:02:22):
keeping David deb Leo on the list. He's nine percent rostered,
and since our last update, he's also been promoted. He's
in Double A now where he's had two starts. In
his first start he had four point two innings and
two walks, two hits in his three strikeouts in that
and I'm sorry, in his second start, he through four innings,
(01:02:43):
you know, hit ball with five strikeouts in a walk.
So super small sample size, I know, but the potential
is here. He's got a live arm for the year.
Between high and Double A, he's got a thirty two
per k rate and a low six percent walk rate,
fourteen percent strikes and when batters do make contact, fifty
percent of the time it's a it's a ground ball.
(01:03:05):
So the one sixty three batting average against put all together,
we get a whip under one. I wouldn't be surprised
if he isn't promoted to the Triple A by the
season's end. And I think for what we're seeing out
of him so far and the rise he's making, the
nine percent roster ship is way too low, and it's
not going to stick down that low for too long.
(01:03:26):
You know, we're not the only people talking about David W.
Right now and he's definitely worth taking a good hard
look at in the Texas system. And that, my friend,
concludes our monthly update of the JTR thirty. It's too quick,
too quick, I know, but I think next time we're
talking it'll be after the All Star break, probably after
(01:03:50):
the deadline or right on top of the deadline. Next
time we're talking about the JHR thirty, that is, and
I think that that's going to give us some pretty
interesting names to talk about and probably open up a
few slots if there's some organization changes obviously, Chris, and
thank you for your flexibility for the scheduling again this week.
Hope you have a wonderful day.
Speaker 3 (01:04:12):
Thanks. Yeah, my pleasure to meet you anytime of day. Thanks.
Speaker 2 (01:04:18):
So. I think coffee and fantasy baseball is actually an
awesome way to start today. So yeah, so thank you,
enjoy your week, and to our listeners out there, we
know how valuable your time is. Thank you for spending
some of it with us.
Speaker 1 (01:04:31):
Take care, everyone, join the ranks. It's produced and edited
by Drew Klein, Content research by Chris Knock Andrew Klin,
the executive director of the Dynasty guru is Taylor case
intro and out. Your voiceovers provided by Coulson Probst unless
otherwise noted. The host's rankings and opinions are their own, and,
as is painfully obvious, Chris and Drew do not share
(01:04:52):
their player lists prior to recording.
Speaker 4 (01:04:54):
Hey, everybody, before you go, I got to tell you
about my buddy, Nathan, mister dynasty one stop the one
stop shop or for all your t dynasty leagues. Are
you considering a new fantasy baseball league but don't know
where to start? Nate's got your back. Total draft degenerate
that just wants to do some bestball leagues. Do it
with d one s Nita Shoulder to cry on. You'd
have to ask, But he's a nice dude. Maybe you
(01:05:14):
could come to some sort of arrangement. In any case,
here's the deal, people, I'm the commissioner of four leagues
across multiple sports, and it's a crap ton of work.
I don't do it anymore. I get it, it's crazy,
but Nate has this down to a t. Every league
I do with him is seamless, from creating the perfect
league settings to gathering fees, to draft scheduling to recruiting managers,
(01:05:36):
and whatever else. Dud does it all for a small
fee that you can read more about on his website
Dynasty one stop dot com. Seriously, he takes care of everything.
Check out Dynasty one stop dot com to learn more.
That's Dynasty one spelled out stop dot com
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