November 15, 2024 • 13 mins
Shaun Rainey breaks down Week 11 of the NFL and the Cats vs Davis and Griz vs PSU games. Sponsored by Sports Bet Montana
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Do you rent that? Young?
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Nah?
Speaker 1 (00:01):
No, I own it. That's how I feel about this weekend.
Pay him, pay that me and his money.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
Joy it wild, last gambling gods, fickle bunch.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Oh yeah, so easily offend.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Welcome into the Make It Randy Podcast. I'm your host,
Sewn Raandy, sponsored by sports Bet Montana, and yes we
are coming off a hit of the rain Maker Thursday
Night Football plus four seventy five. Jalen Hurts under twenty
eight and a half pass attempts, Saquon Barkley under two
and a half receptions and both of them got up
(00:38):
to that twenty eight pass attempts and to receptions, the
Eagles to win and the under. So that was a
fun little cash to start out the week. I'm gonna
break down all NFL Week eleven and go through Cats
and grizz as well. So far on the season, I mean,
we're absolutely just killing prop. So when I go through
(01:02):
all of my picks, just keep that with a grim salt,
knowing that it's been props oversides for me so far
this season. That's just how it's been kind of all year,
and it's I just have not been as good on
my sides as I have been throughout the season, but
we're doing pretty good on the year. I went twenty
(01:24):
four and fifteen last week and we're about a hundred
picks over so far through like four.
Speaker 1 (01:32):
Hundred and fifty picks. Okay, let's start the Captain and Griss.
First off.
Speaker 2 (01:37):
You know, Montana State seven and a half point favorites
on the road, take it on UC Davis. I grabbed
a little Montana State minus seven and a half. I
think they're gonna win by a couple of touchdowns. I'm
very curious to see. We always see this number kind
of move and adjust once we get to Saturday when
those FCS games open up on other books, and I'm
(01:59):
curious to see which way this one is gonna go.
I think it goes under a touchdown. Man, I'm gonna
be really intrigued to go more in on Montana State.
If it goes over a touchdown, well, I got the
seven and a half in my in my pocket, and
so I'm just gonna stick with that. I'm just curious
to see where that number goes on Saturday. As far
as the grizz seventeen and a half point favorites against
Portland State, man that's a lot of points. I know
(02:23):
Portland State isn't very good, but they've been competitive and
in some of these games, and the Grizz have only
covered twice all season long, so I gotta go with
Portland State plus seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1 (02:33):
I do think that there's some interesting.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
Grizz props available, let's just put it that way, both
some passing and rushing, just because their offense hasn't been
as good the last few weeks, but they're playing a
defense that is much much worse than what they faced
the last few weeks. So maybe dive in look at
those some of those props, and some of them might
be a little bit interesting to you.
Speaker 1 (02:56):
All right, let's dive into the NFL.
Speaker 2 (02:58):
First off, we've got a couple of rain makers, and
we went with an extra leg this week.
Speaker 1 (03:03):
I liked the.
Speaker 2 (03:05):
Primetime games, so what I did was, you know, I
put the primetime games as kind of like the last.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Legs of this.
Speaker 2 (03:12):
So obviously I'll go through the rain makers first and
then we'll go through my picks, and some of them
are obviously on here. But Brown's money line, I really
really like Cleveland in this spot. The Saints, they got
the coach fired bump, at least the perception of the
coach fired bump. They got vastly outplayed by the Falcons
(03:35):
as far as yards first downs. Ku just missed a
bunch of field goals and the Saints were able to
win Brown's coming off of a bye. The Saints defense
not good. I think they're gonna be able to get
what they want on offense. Jamis Winston revenge game going
down to New Orleans. The Cleveland will be able to
get pressure. Derek Carr not good with pressure. I just
think this is one of my favorite bets so far
(03:57):
of the year, to be honest, and so I really
like Cleveland on the spot. So we're going a little
correlation here. We're going Nick Chubb over six sixty one
and a half rushing yards. That's the second leg of
this parlay, and both of those are in the eleven
o'clock game. And then we're going the Packers minus five
and a half over the Chicago Bears.
Speaker 1 (04:22):
This is a little square, but I.
Speaker 2 (04:24):
Just think Chicago is an absolute mess, and so I
like that. And then the Seattle Seahawks, they're six and
a half one underdogs against the Niners. We just bump
this up to seven and a half just to get
a little touchdown insurance there, and then the last leg
is Texans Cowboys under forty two and a half and
that's almost you know, plus two thousand, so you know,
ten bucks to win two hundred and hopefully at least
(04:47):
the first three legs hit and then we could hedge
out on Monday Night Football if we want. As far
as the player prop one, we're going George Pickens over
sixty seven and a half combined rushing and receiving yards.
We do the combined because this number sixty nine and
a half receiving and juiced, and then you can get
the rushing and receiving and it's down a yard and
a half and it's not juiced. And then Calvin Ridley
(05:10):
over fifty four and a half receiving yards. This is
a good matchup against the Vikings, who you can't run
on them, but you can pass on them a little
bit and they're gonna be down getting garbage yards. And
then we're going Ramandra Stevenson under seventy seven and a
half rushing and receiving yards against the Rams, who have
been actually pretty good against the run in this one,
(05:31):
and Stevenson has not been very efficient as of late.
And then the last leg is Herbert overturned twenty five
and a half passing yards, one of my favorite bets.
I think they're gonna air it out against Cincinnati. I
think that game is gonna be up and down. And
we went Quentin Johnson over forty and a half receiving
yards and that's plus twenty fifty, So twenty bucks wins
you four hundred and thirty on that bad boy. All right,
(05:55):
those are the two rain makers, and see if we
can make it two out of three or hey, three
out of three. If three out of three hits, you're
never gonna hear the end of it from me ever again.
Speaker 1 (06:04):
All right, let's run through it.
Speaker 2 (06:05):
Colts at the Jets, Colts three and a half point underdogs.
I'm going with the Colts here. I mean, who are
the Jets to mete over a field goal favorites over
anybody that's equal to them or close to them.
Speaker 1 (06:20):
Yeah, just give me the Colts. As far as props.
Don't have a strong.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
Feel for anybody in this one. But there are a
couple that I'm not gonna really bet heavily. But I'm
gonna bet because their their prop is so low. I'm
just gonna sprinkle a little bit on some of the
Alts and I'm gonna go Anthony Richardson over thirty nine
and a half rushing yards, Just gonna put like a
half a unit on that, and then the rest of
the the the unit I'm gonna sprinkle on him to
(06:48):
get like over eighty yards at plus four ninety one
and ten yards is twenty five to one. There's just
the chance that coming off of this little break that
they have and the Jets run defense is not good,
that they just like run them all over the place.
Speaker 1 (07:02):
So I think it's worth a little sprinkle there.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
Next up is the Browns. I told you I already
like the Browns, kind of like the over forty four
and a half. We're going chubbs chubb rushing yards, Cedric
Tillman over fifty six and a half receiving yards, and
we're gonna go taste some hell over sixteen and a
half receiving yards as well. Minnesota Vikings on the road
taking on the Titans. I would lean to the Titans
at plus six and a half. Don't really, you know,
(07:24):
feel strongly about that one.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Either way.
Speaker 2 (07:26):
And I already said I like Kelvin Ridley over fifty
four and a half receiving yards. Rams four and a
half point favorites on the road taking on the Patriots.
Give me the Patriots at plus four and a half.
I think they're playing well. I think Drake May is
better than perception. I already said I like Ramandre, but
give me Boute over thirty one and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 1 (07:46):
This Rams.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Pass defense not very good, and Boute has been kind
of him and Pop Douglas, but more so Bote has
been kind of the lead guy here. So thirty one
and a half such a low number, So give it
that to me. Packers taking on Bears. Obviously we're going
with the Packers, and give Mesh Jacobs over seventy four
and a half rushing yards. This is just a great matchup,
and I think the Packer's gonna be up up and
he's gonna be getting a lot of carries.
Speaker 1 (08:12):
Ravens on the road taking on the Steelers Ravens. Okay.
Speaker 2 (08:15):
So this game and the Kansas City game are the
two games that I'm most torn on, because everybody's gonna
know the two things. Tomlin as a dog and the
Steelers as the dog versus the Ravens and Lamar they're
just really really good, right, And so I feel like
a lot of people are kind of on that, so
they're gonna want to bet Pittsburgh. And then obviously Mahomes
(08:35):
as the underdog, you know, thirteen and one when he's
an underdog.
Speaker 1 (08:38):
Blah blah blah blah blah.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
But it's interesting that this Bills game opened up at
two and a half and it's kind of stuck there,
maybe gone down to minus two, and the Steelers game
opened up at three and a half and it's kind
of stuck there and maybe a little bit down to three.
But we just as a public perception is right, take
take the Steelers at home as a dog and take.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
That and Mahomes as a dog.
Speaker 2 (09:02):
But the money's not moving all that much and the
line is not moving all that much, and I think
that's pretty telling. I don't know, I'm I'm gonna go contrarian,
I'm gonna take I'm gonna take Buffalo, and I'm gonna
take the Ravens this week, very contrarian. And then if
they lose, it'll be like, of course, why didn't you
do this.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
It was the trend as far as props.
Speaker 2 (09:21):
Like I said, I already, I really like Pickens in
this one, and give me Russell Wilson over two hundred
and twenty eight and a half passing yards. Really like
that one as well, Najie Harris. They're just they're a
little banged up and you can't run on the Ravens.
You can pass Raiders seven and a half on the
road taking on the Dolphins. I guess I would take
the Raiders at seven and a half. I also kind
(09:42):
of like the under forty four and a half in
this one. Not necessarily strong on any props. Jags twelve
and a half point underdogs against the Lions. Give me
the Lions to cover this. This one's hard to prop too,
because when it's just such a big number, you don't
know how guys are gonna be rested or sid or whatever.
I think it's worth a sprinkle on Jamison Williams to
(10:04):
get like over one hundred yards at like ten to one.
This is a good matchup for him. He's kind of
their guy that they go to when teams play man
to man defense. I'm in rosmore the zone guy. Jamison Williams.
You could see him getting a couple of deep shots,
and maybe they want to get Jared Goff going a
little bit after throwing five picks last week.
Speaker 1 (10:21):
So to me, I just think he could get a
deep shot.
Speaker 2 (10:24):
So maybe sprinkle a little bit on like eighty to
one hundred yards for Jamison Williams. Could be a good
game for him. The Atlanta Falcons on the road taking
out of the Denver Broncos. Give me the Broncos minus
two and a half at home. I do like some
props in this game, though. Denver is so good guarding
wide receivers and so you're gonna have patzer Tan and
Drake London, so don't like London in this matchup. Darno
(10:45):
Mooney's got an achilles injury that he's nursing, and the
Denver Broncos defense really gives up a lot of receptions
to running backs. So give me Bejon over twenty six
and a half receiving yards. I'm gonna ladder that as well,
because this could be a really checked down game to him.
And then the other guy I think they're they're gonna
go to is Kyle Pitts over forty four and a
half and we're gonna do a little later on that
as well. Meanwhile, Atlanta, they can't generate any pressure and
(11:10):
you can pass all over them. So give me Nick's
give me bow over two under ten passing yards and
Sutton over fifty four and a half receiving yards. Seahawks
on the road taking on the Niners. Just like the
Seahawks in the spot off of Bye. It feels like
this is like they're going all in on this one. Right,
they lose this one and kind of the season's over,
So I'm gonna go that, and I'm gonna go with
(11:31):
Keneth Walker over twenty seven and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 1 (11:33):
Had eight catches against the Niners last time.
Speaker 2 (11:36):
You can't really they're good against wide receivers and if
they're trailing, I just think Walker is gonna get some receptions.
Chiefs Bills already set them on the Bills. Give me
Josh Allen over thirty four and a half rushing yards.
They're kind of banged up at the wide receiver and
tight end position, so I think he's gonna in a
big game. Uses legs, Cream Hunt over sixty four and
a half rushing yards. This is how you beat the
(11:58):
Bills defense on the road run game, not through the
passing game. There's no Dawson, Knox or mac Hollins props
up yet, but I'd be interested to see if those
come in in the low thirties that I would be
on both those guys. Bengals, Chargers. I initially took the
Bengals this open up one and a half. Now it's
out to two and a half. I think I might
lean Chargers now. But this one is kind of a
(12:20):
tough one for me. I think if this game gets
out to two and a half, I'll probably just push
Cincinnati up to eight and a half and pair it
with the Texans or with the Chiefs up to seven
and a half. Like I said, Herbert, I'm laddering two
hundred twenty five passing yards. I think he can get
one hundred yards more than this if this game goes
in that direction, and if it does, Quinton Johnson over
(12:41):
forty yards and then lad McConkey receptions. I mean him
to get nine receptions seventeen to one. I mean there's
a world in which if this game ends up being
a shootout, that he's gonna be the go to guy
on third downs. And he could do that, and then
give me Chase Brown over twenty seven and a half
receiving yards. Chargers play a lot of zone I could
see Burrow eats zone up and I could see Brown
(13:01):
being kind of a check down guy. And then Texans
on the road take on the Cowboys. Seven and a
half is the number. Give me the Texans, just push,
push the Texans down into tease. Move Kansas City up,
Move Cincinnati up. I think that's kind of the only
teaser options. I like, maybe you can, you know, maybe
take the Dolphins down against the Raiders.
Speaker 1 (13:19):
If you like that, all right, that'll do it. We'll
we'll break things down.
Speaker 2 (13:24):
We'll maybe have a pod earlier in the week next
week with Brawl the Wild kind of breaking it all down.
Probably won't have an NFL one later in the week
because I'll be in Bozeman doing all of the Brawl
the Wild coverage, but like, always follow me on Twitter.
We also have the Discord channel. Just get you know
the app discord look up uh sports bet Montana or
Sean Rainey my name, and we got a little discord
(13:46):
channel in there where we're talking through all the bets.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
It's a lot of fun. All right, good luck everyone,
Do you rent that? Young?
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Nah?
Speaker 1 (00:01):
No, I own it. That's how I feel about this weekend.
Pay him, pay that me and his money.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
Joy it wild, last gambling gods, fickle bunch.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Oh yeah, so easily offend.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Welcome into the Make It Randy Podcast. I'm your host,
Sewn Raandy, sponsored by sports Bet Montana, and yes we
are coming off a hit of the rain Maker Thursday
Night Football plus four seventy five. Jalen Hurts under twenty
eight and a half pass attempts, Saquon Barkley under two
and a half receptions and both of them got up
(00:38):
to that twenty eight pass attempts and to receptions, the
Eagles to win and the under. So that was a
fun little cash to start out the week. I'm gonna
break down all NFL Week eleven and go through Cats
and grizz as well. So far on the season, I mean,
we're absolutely just killing prop. So when I go through
(01:02):
all of my picks, just keep that with a grim salt,
knowing that it's been props oversides for me so far
this season. That's just how it's been kind of all year,
and it's I just have not been as good on
my sides as I have been throughout the season, but
we're doing pretty good on the year. I went twenty
(01:24):
four and fifteen last week and we're about a hundred
picks over so far through like four.
Speaker 1 (01:32):
Hundred and fifty picks. Okay, let's start the Captain and Griss.
First off.
Speaker 2 (01:37):
You know, Montana State seven and a half point favorites
on the road, take it on UC Davis. I grabbed
a little Montana State minus seven and a half. I
think they're gonna win by a couple of touchdowns. I'm
very curious to see. We always see this number kind
of move and adjust once we get to Saturday when
those FCS games open up on other books, and I'm
(01:59):
curious to see which way this one is gonna go.
I think it goes under a touchdown. Man, I'm gonna
be really intrigued to go more in on Montana State.
If it goes over a touchdown, well, I got the
seven and a half in my in my pocket, and
so I'm just gonna stick with that. I'm just curious
to see where that number goes on Saturday. As far
as the grizz seventeen and a half point favorites against
Portland State, man that's a lot of points. I know
(02:23):
Portland State isn't very good, but they've been competitive and
in some of these games, and the Grizz have only
covered twice all season long, so I gotta go with
Portland State plus seventeen and a half.
Speaker 1 (02:33):
I do think that there's some interesting.
Speaker 2 (02:36):
Grizz props available, let's just put it that way, both
some passing and rushing, just because their offense hasn't been
as good the last few weeks, but they're playing a
defense that is much much worse than what they faced
the last few weeks. So maybe dive in look at
those some of those props, and some of them might
be a little bit interesting to you.
Speaker 1 (02:56):
All right, let's dive into the NFL.
Speaker 2 (02:58):
First off, we've got a couple of rain makers, and
we went with an extra leg this week.
Speaker 1 (03:03):
I liked the.
Speaker 2 (03:05):
Primetime games, so what I did was, you know, I
put the primetime games as kind of like the last.
Speaker 1 (03:11):
Legs of this.
Speaker 2 (03:12):
So obviously I'll go through the rain makers first and
then we'll go through my picks, and some of them
are obviously on here. But Brown's money line, I really
really like Cleveland in this spot. The Saints, they got
the coach fired bump, at least the perception of the
coach fired bump. They got vastly outplayed by the Falcons
(03:35):
as far as yards first downs. Ku just missed a
bunch of field goals and the Saints were able to
win Brown's coming off of a bye. The Saints defense
not good. I think they're gonna be able to get
what they want on offense. Jamis Winston revenge game going
down to New Orleans. The Cleveland will be able to
get pressure. Derek Carr not good with pressure. I just
think this is one of my favorite bets so far
(03:57):
of the year, to be honest, and so I really
like Cleveland on the spot. So we're going a little
correlation here. We're going Nick Chubb over six sixty one
and a half rushing yards. That's the second leg of
this parlay, and both of those are in the eleven
o'clock game. And then we're going the Packers minus five
and a half over the Chicago Bears.
Speaker 1 (04:22):
This is a little square, but I.
Speaker 2 (04:24):
Just think Chicago is an absolute mess, and so I
like that. And then the Seattle Seahawks, they're six and
a half one underdogs against the Niners. We just bump
this up to seven and a half just to get
a little touchdown insurance there, and then the last leg
is Texans Cowboys under forty two and a half and
that's almost you know, plus two thousand, so you know,
ten bucks to win two hundred and hopefully at least
(04:47):
the first three legs hit and then we could hedge
out on Monday Night Football if we want. As far
as the player prop one, we're going George Pickens over
sixty seven and a half combined rushing and receiving yards.
We do the combined because this number sixty nine and
a half receiving and juiced, and then you can get
the rushing and receiving and it's down a yard and
a half and it's not juiced. And then Calvin Ridley
(05:10):
over fifty four and a half receiving yards. This is
a good matchup against the Vikings, who you can't run
on them, but you can pass on them a little
bit and they're gonna be down getting garbage yards. And
then we're going Ramandra Stevenson under seventy seven and a
half rushing and receiving yards against the Rams, who have
been actually pretty good against the run in this one,
(05:31):
and Stevenson has not been very efficient as of late.
And then the last leg is Herbert overturned twenty five
and a half passing yards, one of my favorite bets.
I think they're gonna air it out against Cincinnati. I
think that game is gonna be up and down. And
we went Quentin Johnson over forty and a half receiving
yards and that's plus twenty fifty, So twenty bucks wins
you four hundred and thirty on that bad boy. All right,
(05:55):
those are the two rain makers, and see if we
can make it two out of three or hey, three
out of three. If three out of three hits, you're
never gonna hear the end of it from me ever again.
Speaker 1 (06:04):
All right, let's run through it.
Speaker 2 (06:05):
Colts at the Jets, Colts three and a half point underdogs.
I'm going with the Colts here. I mean, who are
the Jets to mete over a field goal favorites over
anybody that's equal to them or close to them.
Speaker 1 (06:20):
Yeah, just give me the Colts. As far as props.
Don't have a strong.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
Feel for anybody in this one. But there are a
couple that I'm not gonna really bet heavily. But I'm
gonna bet because their their prop is so low. I'm
just gonna sprinkle a little bit on some of the
Alts and I'm gonna go Anthony Richardson over thirty nine
and a half rushing yards, Just gonna put like a
half a unit on that, and then the rest of
the the the unit I'm gonna sprinkle on him to
(06:48):
get like over eighty yards at plus four ninety one
and ten yards is twenty five to one. There's just
the chance that coming off of this little break that
they have and the Jets run defense is not good,
that they just like run them all over the place.
Speaker 1 (07:02):
So I think it's worth a little sprinkle there.
Speaker 2 (07:04):
Next up is the Browns. I told you I already
like the Browns, kind of like the over forty four
and a half. We're going chubbs chubb rushing yards, Cedric
Tillman over fifty six and a half receiving yards, and
we're gonna go taste some hell over sixteen and a
half receiving yards as well. Minnesota Vikings on the road
taking on the Titans. I would lean to the Titans
at plus six and a half. Don't really, you know,
(07:24):
feel strongly about that one.
Speaker 1 (07:26):
Either way.
Speaker 2 (07:26):
And I already said I like Kelvin Ridley over fifty
four and a half receiving yards. Rams four and a
half point favorites on the road taking on the Patriots.
Give me the Patriots at plus four and a half.
I think they're playing well. I think Drake May is
better than perception. I already said I like Ramandre, but
give me Boute over thirty one and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 1 (07:46):
This Rams.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Pass defense not very good, and Boute has been kind
of him and Pop Douglas, but more so Bote has
been kind of the lead guy here. So thirty one
and a half such a low number, So give it
that to me. Packers taking on Bears. Obviously we're going
with the Packers, and give Mesh Jacobs over seventy four
and a half rushing yards. This is just a great matchup,
and I think the Packer's gonna be up up and
he's gonna be getting a lot of carries.
Speaker 1 (08:12):
Ravens on the road taking on the Steelers Ravens. Okay.
Speaker 2 (08:15):
So this game and the Kansas City game are the
two games that I'm most torn on, because everybody's gonna
know the two things. Tomlin as a dog and the
Steelers as the dog versus the Ravens and Lamar they're
just really really good, right, And so I feel like
a lot of people are kind of on that, so
they're gonna want to bet Pittsburgh. And then obviously Mahomes
(08:35):
as the underdog, you know, thirteen and one when he's
an underdog.
Speaker 1 (08:38):
Blah blah blah blah blah.
Speaker 2 (08:39):
But it's interesting that this Bills game opened up at
two and a half and it's kind of stuck there,
maybe gone down to minus two, and the Steelers game
opened up at three and a half and it's kind
of stuck there and maybe a little bit down to three.
But we just as a public perception is right, take
take the Steelers at home as a dog and take.
Speaker 1 (08:59):
That and Mahomes as a dog.
Speaker 2 (09:02):
But the money's not moving all that much and the
line is not moving all that much, and I think
that's pretty telling. I don't know, I'm I'm gonna go contrarian,
I'm gonna take I'm gonna take Buffalo, and I'm gonna
take the Ravens this week, very contrarian. And then if
they lose, it'll be like, of course, why didn't you
do this.
Speaker 1 (09:17):
It was the trend as far as props.
Speaker 2 (09:21):
Like I said, I already, I really like Pickens in
this one, and give me Russell Wilson over two hundred
and twenty eight and a half passing yards. Really like
that one as well, Najie Harris. They're just they're a
little banged up and you can't run on the Ravens.
You can pass Raiders seven and a half on the
road taking on the Dolphins. I guess I would take
the Raiders at seven and a half. I also kind
(09:42):
of like the under forty four and a half in
this one. Not necessarily strong on any props. Jags twelve
and a half point underdogs against the Lions. Give me
the Lions to cover this. This one's hard to prop too,
because when it's just such a big number, you don't
know how guys are gonna be rested or sid or whatever.
I think it's worth a sprinkle on Jamison Williams to
(10:04):
get like over one hundred yards at like ten to one.
This is a good matchup for him. He's kind of
their guy that they go to when teams play man
to man defense. I'm in rosmore the zone guy. Jamison Williams.
You could see him getting a couple of deep shots,
and maybe they want to get Jared Goff going a
little bit after throwing five picks last week.
Speaker 1 (10:21):
So to me, I just think he could get a
deep shot.
Speaker 2 (10:24):
So maybe sprinkle a little bit on like eighty to
one hundred yards for Jamison Williams. Could be a good
game for him. The Atlanta Falcons on the road taking
out of the Denver Broncos. Give me the Broncos minus
two and a half at home. I do like some
props in this game, though. Denver is so good guarding
wide receivers and so you're gonna have patzer Tan and
Drake London, so don't like London in this matchup. Darno
(10:45):
Mooney's got an achilles injury that he's nursing, and the
Denver Broncos defense really gives up a lot of receptions
to running backs. So give me Bejon over twenty six
and a half receiving yards. I'm gonna ladder that as well,
because this could be a really checked down game to him.
And then the other guy I think they're they're gonna
go to is Kyle Pitts over forty four and a
half and we're gonna do a little later on that
as well. Meanwhile, Atlanta, they can't generate any pressure and
(11:10):
you can pass all over them. So give me Nick's
give me bow over two under ten passing yards and
Sutton over fifty four and a half receiving yards. Seahawks
on the road taking on the Niners. Just like the
Seahawks in the spot off of Bye. It feels like
this is like they're going all in on this one. Right,
they lose this one and kind of the season's over,
So I'm gonna go that, and I'm gonna go with
(11:31):
Keneth Walker over twenty seven and a half receiving yards.
Speaker 1 (11:33):
Had eight catches against the Niners last time.
Speaker 2 (11:36):
You can't really they're good against wide receivers and if
they're trailing, I just think Walker is gonna get some receptions.
Chiefs Bills already set them on the Bills. Give me
Josh Allen over thirty four and a half rushing yards.
They're kind of banged up at the wide receiver and
tight end position, so I think he's gonna in a
big game. Uses legs, Cream Hunt over sixty four and
a half rushing yards. This is how you beat the
(11:58):
Bills defense on the road run game, not through the
passing game. There's no Dawson, Knox or mac Hollins props
up yet, but I'd be interested to see if those
come in in the low thirties that I would be
on both those guys. Bengals, Chargers. I initially took the
Bengals this open up one and a half. Now it's
out to two and a half. I think I might
lean Chargers now. But this one is kind of a
(12:20):
tough one for me. I think if this game gets
out to two and a half, I'll probably just push
Cincinnati up to eight and a half and pair it
with the Texans or with the Chiefs up to seven
and a half. Like I said, Herbert, I'm laddering two
hundred twenty five passing yards. I think he can get
one hundred yards more than this if this game goes
in that direction, and if it does, Quinton Johnson over
(12:41):
forty yards and then lad McConkey receptions. I mean him
to get nine receptions seventeen to one. I mean there's
a world in which if this game ends up being
a shootout, that he's gonna be the go to guy
on third downs. And he could do that, and then
give me Chase Brown over twenty seven and a half
receiving yards. Chargers play a lot of zone I could
see Burrow eats zone up and I could see Brown
(13:01):
being kind of a check down guy. And then Texans
on the road take on the Cowboys. Seven and a
half is the number. Give me the Texans, just push,
push the Texans down into tease. Move Kansas City up,
Move Cincinnati up. I think that's kind of the only
teaser options. I like, maybe you can, you know, maybe
take the Dolphins down against the Raiders.
Speaker 1 (13:19):
If you like that, all right, that'll do it. We'll
we'll break things down.
Speaker 2 (13:24):
We'll maybe have a pod earlier in the week next
week with Brawl the Wild kind of breaking it all down.
Probably won't have an NFL one later in the week
because I'll be in Bozeman doing all of the Brawl
the Wild coverage, but like, always follow me on Twitter.
We also have the Discord channel. Just get you know
the app discord look up uh sports bet Montana or
Sean Rainey my name, and we got a little discord
(13:46):
channel in there where we're talking through all the bets.
Speaker 1 (13:48):
It's a lot of fun. All right, good luck everyone,
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