Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Do you rent that? Young?
Speaker 2 (00:01):
Nah?
Speaker 1 (00:01):
No, I own it. That's how I feel about this weekend.
Pay him paid that, me and his money.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
Joy it wild, last gambling gods, fickle bunch.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Oh yeah, so easily offended. Welcome into the Make It
Rainy Podcast.
Speaker 2 (00:19):
I'm your host, Sean Rainy, recording Friday at two o'clock and.
Speaker 1 (00:23):
We're coming up a pretty good week.
Speaker 2 (00:25):
Not gonna totally take all the time rehashing every single thing,
but we did hit one rain maker, so that was good.
Every every week we can hit one of those, that's
always a good thing.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
Have a good feeling about this week.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
I'm kind of switching up the strategies around a little bit,
going a little bit safer, more in the plus seven
hundred two plus nine hundred range instead of the you know,
fifteen to one odd ones, because those are just it's
so hard to hit four even leg parts of a parlay.
(00:59):
It's just it's just really hard. So for instance, like
for this week, like I kind of like Rams plus
three and a half, but instead of submitting Rams at
three and a half, I'm just submitting them at eight
and a half. And I really like the Cowboys Bears
over and instead of doing it at fifty and a half.
We're just pulling it down to like forty five and
a half and we're still adding four legs and it's
(01:20):
makes it more seven to one. But I just think
that we're gonna hit the hit rate at those at
seven to one, I think is gonna be greater, much
greater than having the odds be at thirteen to one.
And then I'd rather just put a little bit more
money on the seven to one odds than less money
on the thirteen to one and just hope that we
hit more of them. So that's what we did with
(01:40):
the Bucks game, and it hit. So that's gonna be
the strategy kind of a little bit moving forward. Maybe
the props will be a little bit more aggressive. Not
a ton to talk about when it comes to Cats
and Grizz this weekend with such big spreads. I mean,
Grizz favored by twenty seven and a half against Indiana State,
the Cats favored thirty one and a half.
Speaker 1 (01:59):
To Mercy Her.
Speaker 2 (02:01):
Those are just they're just so big, and I mean
you could be up, you could literally be up thirty
eight points.
Speaker 1 (02:07):
And give up a touchdown and back door it. I
don't know, just don't. I don't like it.
Speaker 2 (02:10):
So when it's spreads of four touchdowns are more, I
just stay away from those games. I don't even really
like touching them, to be honest, So didn't really dive
into those a ton. Let's just get straight into the NFL,
shall we.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
Now.
Speaker 2 (02:24):
I'm gonna just I'll go through each game. I will
give you my lean and then they This is like
teaser Paradise. Like there's eight eight plus legs of teasers
that I like this week, where you can take underdogs
and move them up pass the touchdown and pair it
with either favorites money line or underdog's money line or whatever.
(02:49):
Favorites to two and a half with underdogs pushed up
past the touchdown. I just really like this week. And
there's quite a few props I like as well. This
is kind of the Week three. This is where the
trends really start hitting. There's a lot of oh and
two teams that you really want to back. So far,
the Dolphins were zero and two and they covered, so
that's kind of something. It's just ultimate desperation, right, especially
when they're going against maybe a two and oh team
(03:11):
or a one to one team that's got a little
bit lucky. Just it's kind of scary to go against
that oh and two team because, like we saw with Miami,
like it's an all in effort and they were able
to cover.
Speaker 1 (03:22):
All right.
Speaker 2 (03:22):
So let's go with the Green Bay Packers taking on
the Cleveland Browns. The numbers at eight and a half.
I'm taking the Browns plus eight and a half in
this one. Again, this is the you know, the Packers
had two home games, they have a huge matchup in
the Parsons revenge game next week, and the Browns defense
is really good. I think they're gonna stop the run.
(03:43):
I mean they have shut down the running game. I'm
taking Josh Jacobs under seventy seven and a half rushing yards.
I really like this one. He should have been under
this last week against Washington. He went past it on
the very final carry, so the number is just stayed there.
But Cleveland's run defense has been amazing, so I think
they're gonna hold Jacobs under. I also like Matthew Golden
over receiving yards. Kind of correlated. I think they're gonna
(04:04):
stop the run, and it's at thirty six and a half,
so I think he's gonna get a deep ball or two,
and I really like Quinn show Jenkins over ten and
a half carries. He got ten last week. Is he's
kind of being introduced slowly and he already's at ten.
Green Bay with their ferocious pass rush, I think that
they are not gonna want Joe Flacco to just stand
back there and throw it forty five times like they've
(04:26):
been doing, so I think Judkins easily is gonna get
over ten and a half carries in this one, and
I lead towards the Browns in the under forty one
and a half. Cincinnati Bengals three and a half point
underdogs on the road taking on the Vikings. I know
two backup quarterbacks. I'd probably lean Cincy with the points,
but don't have too much in this one. Probably Browning
to throw an interception would be the only prop in
this game. Atlanta Falcons on the road taking on the
(04:49):
Carolina Panthers. Falcons five and a half point favorites. This
is one of the legs we're just gonna money line Atlanta.
They're minus two to seventy on the money line. Take
him down to like minus one and a half minus
two and a half to get it. So it's like
you compare it with something else that's minus two fifty
and it's even money. But that's one of the legs.
We'll talk about that more. And give me Bejon Robinson
(05:11):
over eighty one and a half rushing yards. I know
it's a high number. Carolina's terrible against the run, Beijon's amazing.
They're gonna feed him a lot.
Speaker 1 (05:17):
I think he.
Speaker 2 (05:18):
Could easily end up one hundred and twenty rushing yards
in this game. The Las Vegas Raiders on the road
taking on the Washington Commanders. The numbers three and a half.
I would lean towards the Raiders in this one. It
looks like Mariota is gonna be the starter, and give
me Ashton Genty over fifteen and a half. Carries a
lot of talk after this last game about giving him
(05:38):
more work, and he came out and said, like, I
you know, it wasn't a top pick just to get
ten rushes. And I think that after Gino threw a
bunch of picks and stuff, they're gonna really try and
force feed Genty in this one, especially going up against
a backup quarterback. I think both teams are gonna play
this one a little close to the vest, so I
think Gents's gonna get a lot of carries in this one.
(05:58):
The next one is the Ram taking on the Eagles.
Rams are three and a half point underdogs. Would lean
to the Rams, but I'm not gonna I don't necessarily
want to play him straight up. I'm just gonna take
that three and a half and push it up to
eight and a half and pair it with like Atlanta
money line green Bay minus two and a half. We'll
go through the other legs later on. Don't really have
a ton of props in this one, although it's a
(06:22):
little squeaky whiell aj Brown has not gotten going at all,
so I wouldn't be surprised if they kind of force
feed him and he gets over sixty one and a
half receiving yards. Colts taking on the Titans, Colts four
and a half point favorites in this one. I just
all the trends say take the Titans here, divisional.
Speaker 1 (06:38):
Dog zero and two.
Speaker 2 (06:39):
Colts have been home now they're outdoors on grass. But
I just cannot bet on the Titans, and I cannot
bet on this coaching staff. I just don't trust them.
I don't think this coaching staff is any good, but
if I had a lean, it would probably be to
the Titans. I do like a couple of props in
this one. Give me Kim Ward over one hundred ninety
nine and a half passing yards. I think that he
gets going a little bit this week, and the rookie
(07:01):
that he's throwing to, Elick iu mannor give me over
thirty five and a half receiving yard has been on
him the last couple of weeks and he's hit. And
then give me Pittman over forty four and a half
receiving yards as well. Houston taking on the Jags Houston
two and a half point underdogs.
Speaker 1 (07:16):
This one's tough for me.
Speaker 2 (07:17):
I think it's a coin flip, but I think because
Houston is zero to two, I have to lean to
that plus two and a half as the side. So
instead of taking the two and a half, I'm just
gonna push him up to seven and a half. Jacksonville
is not gonna win by margin against Houston. Houston has
been really good down in Jacksonville historically too, So instead
of messing with the two and a half, I'm just
(07:38):
gonna push Houston up to seven and a half as
one of my teaser legs. Another wide receiver who's there's
been a lot of talk about Brian Thomas Junior, So
I think maybe it might be worth over sixty two
and a half. Houston struggled to stop the run though
a Etn's only at fifty eight and a half rushing yards.
I just don't know how much Jacksonville's gonna be able
(07:58):
to move the ball. Maybe et longest rush would be
a good prop in this one. Steelers on the road
taking on the New England Patriots.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
The numbers at two and a half.
Speaker 2 (08:08):
I like the Patriots in this that would be the
side that I lean and since they're at two and
a half, I'm just gonna push them up to eight
and a half and pair.
Speaker 1 (08:14):
It with that other stuff.
Speaker 2 (08:15):
And so what I like to do is you can
literally take all eight of these and you can hit
the round robin button and just put like five bucks
on each one and it just like pairs them all together.
So it makes ends up making you know, like twenty
five bets or whatever whatever the math is of the
different formulations between eight legs all against each other. So
(08:36):
but I kind of like doing that, and then you
just have to hit well if you have eight of them,
you obviously you have to hit at least five of
the eight to be a profit. But I really like
some props in this one, like really really like it
probably be in my rainmaker, so need to figure out that.
Give me Jayleen Warren over twenty two and a half
receiving yards. I mean even Aaron Rodgers said that he's
(08:59):
been so good in the past game that they have
to get keep getting him more involved in that, and
so I think that they will for sure.
Speaker 1 (09:05):
And I really like.
Speaker 2 (09:06):
Ramandre Stevenson over sixty and a half combined yards. I mean,
he had fifty four rushing yards last week and eighty
eight receiving yards. Patriots have been or Steelers have been
really bad against the run. I think he's gonna get
over sixty rushing yards alone, but if I can get
that as combo yards, this is one of my favorite
plays of the week. New York Jets on the road
taking on the Bucks. His numbers bouncing around between six
(09:29):
and a half and seven. I would take the Jets
plus seven and a half. I think the Bucks are
pretty injured on the offensive line, and this is one
of those zero to two teams. Tampa Bay squeaked out
two wins. Now they come home against an inferior opponent.
I think that they on a short week, no less
oh lines, banged up. Baker took a bunch of hits
in that game. Give me the Jets. New Orleans Saints
(09:52):
taking on the Seahawks. Numbers at seven and a half,
I'm just gonna move the Seahawks down two and a half,
not gonna mess with it. Give me the Saints. Juwan
Johnson forty two and a half receiving yards and over
four and a half catches. I mean, this guy's getting
ten to nine. He's getting double digit targets, and Seattle
historically has been pretty bad against the tight end. He's
basically just their slot wide receiver, so I think he's
going to get some run and give me Ken Walker
(10:13):
over sixty seven and a half rushing yards.
Speaker 1 (10:16):
Broncos taking on the Chargers.
Speaker 2 (10:17):
Now that this is down to two and a half,
I'm gon giving me my Chargers over the Broncos. I
just think they're the better team. I think they have
the better quarterback. I think the Broncos going in I've
said it a long time. I think they're overrated and
so far They've proven that they're kind of overrated. Their
defense has not been looking very good. I think the
Chargers are much better. Khleil Mack getting out hurt scares
me a little bit. I don't think Chargers are gonna
(10:38):
get much pressure, and so I think this could be
high scoring. But I'm gonna go Naji Harris over twenty
six and a half rushing yards. I think he's starting
to get more and more involved. He got over this
last week and he barely played. Denver has not been
as good against the run. Give me Herbo over twenty
one and a half and over four and a half
(10:58):
rush attempts. He's just his legs are there, so he's
been scrambling and running a lot. And the charges. I
feel like I've always done pretty bad against Courtland Sutton,
so I'm gonna take him over fifty five and a
half receiving yards. The Cowboys take it on the Bears
is basically a pick them over under fifty and a half.
I think there's been a lot of points in this one,
like the over, like the Cowboys. If I had to
pick a side, just because I trust that offense more.
(11:21):
But I do like Caleb Williams over two hundred and
thirty six and a half passing yards. I mean, we
just saw Russell Wilson throw for four thirty. Like there's
gonna be points in this one. Dallas is gonna score.
The Browns are gonna be down or the Bears are
gonna be down. And I don't think they could run
the ball very well at all. And Swift is out
or banged up and they can't run the ball.
Speaker 1 (11:41):
So give me Caleb.
Speaker 2 (11:42):
Give me Roma Dunesday over sixty two and a half
receiving yards and ceedee lamb. He's been over one hundred
both times in this one against the worst defense, So
give me him over eighty three and a half receiving yards.
Cardinals taking on the Niners. I like the Niners in
this one minus two and a half. That would be
the side that I am on, regardless of who's that quarterback.
I just think they're the better team and they're coming home.
(12:03):
Arizona has had two really easy opponents to start the
week or the year.
Speaker 1 (12:08):
I think they're kind of frauds. Chiefs taking on the Giants.
Speaker 2 (12:11):
Case money line is gonna be my other one, or
just you know, move it down to like minus one
and a half. Are they really gonna lose to the
Giants to go and three? I hope, so don't think
it's gonna happen. So I'm gonna be on Kansas City
money line and then the Ravens taking on the Lions
Monday Night Football five and a half point favorites. I'd
lean Baltimore because Lamar Jackson usually does not lose too
(12:33):
NFC teams whatsoever, and give me Lamar over two hundred
and twenty two passing yards in this one. Lions have
been pretty good against the run, and I think this
is gonna be high scoring, and so Lamar is gonna
have to sling it around a little bit more. Okay,
So in recap, I have eight teaser legs that I'm
pairing together. Green Bay minus two and a half, Seattle
minus two and a half, Denver plus eight and a half,
(12:53):
case money line, Atlanta money line rams eight and a half,
Texans up to eight and a half, and Pats up
to seven and a half.
Speaker 1 (13:00):
So we'll see how.
Speaker 2 (13:01):
All of those legs do, and I'll keep my sheet
and we'll have a full graded score for you next week.
Speaker 1 (13:08):
We are rip rolling through these things. So if it's
just it's just myself.
Speaker 2 (13:12):
I think a lot of people, you know, sometimes I
don't know if you want me to like just reach
out to me, if do you want me to like
talk more and dissect them, or you just want to
rip roar and I just give you all my picks,
Like I feel like a lot of people sometimes just
want the picks. Like when I'm listening to shows, I
think a lot of times I sometimes like they talk
too much, and then other times I just want picks.
Speaker 1 (13:33):
So I don't know. I'm just gonna fly through them
and give you picks and hope they win. All right,
have a good weekend, everyone,