September 20, 2024 • 28 mins
Shaun Rainey breaks down the crazy line movement in the Montana State game. Talks about Griz vs Western Carolina and goes through all his bets for NFL Week 3. 62-41 record so far on the pod.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Do you rent that? Young? Nah? No, I own it.
That's how I feel about this weekend. Yeah, pay him paid,
that's me and his money.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
Joy it wild, last gambling gods, fickle bunch.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Oh yeah, so easily offended.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Welcome into the Make It Rainy Podcast. I'm your host,
Sean Rainey, sponsored by Sports Bet Montana, NFL Week three,
College Football, Week four, slash five, slash two. I don't
know it's all different for college football. As I try
to get this mic out of the spot. Overall, it's
it's been a little bit of a sluggish start.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
Not gonna lie.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
As far as sides and totals go, props have been
absolutely excellent for us so far this year, but the
side's been at a little struggling. I went seven to
eight last week, sixteen and seventeen overall on sides, three
and four on totals, and we are fifteen and seven
on tees sides, but we are forty two and seventeen
(00:59):
overall when it comes to prop plays. So I'm gonna
be this is It's very important when you're when you're
betting to keep track of everything that you do, because
then you know what you're good at and what you're
bad at right, like I have learned, like with certain
baseball things, like I don't do well with baseball because
I just I am a emotional better sometimes when it
(01:22):
comes to my favorite team, So I will bet against
my team a lot, as like an emotional hedge. And
when your team has a good season like the Padres are, like,
I end up losing money. So I told myself, like,
I'm not betting on baseball until the playoffs or a
few props here and there. So if you keep track
of sides, props, totals, teases, and then you can see like,
all right, well I'm really bad at this, and I'm
(01:44):
good at this, and this is what I'm doing well,
and you can kind of keep track of it. And
just a good way to kind of go about go
about your betting and an organizational tool to be able
to attack. So we'll go over Cats and grizz lines
little bit. We had some very interesting movement. So Montana
State they're they're playing Mercyhurst the Lakers. Just awful, Just
(02:07):
what an awful matchup opened up at thirty eight and
a half, and I jumped on it at thirty eight
and a half. A lot of people I mean, that
number was low and now it's reopened at forty eight
and a half. Ten point difference, just crazy. A lot
of people want to criticize sports about Montana, and certainly,
(02:30):
you know, the the juice and that you're paying is
not ideal, and there's things that are bad about it.
But one of the good things about it is they
will post an FCS line on a Tuesday when the
number nobody really knows the number, just like Montana's game
last week against Morehead State, Like, it's hard to make
a number big enough to cover against these awful, awful teams,
(02:51):
So they put up thirty eight and a half. And
then once other other books out and around the country
and the world start putting up more FC games, they notice, oh,
it's actually forty eight and a half, so they just
make a ten point adjustment just like that, which is crazy.
So hopefully you got in thirty eight and a half. Now,
the question is do you here's a good example, do
(03:13):
you do you middle?
Speaker 1 (03:15):
Now?
Speaker 2 (03:15):
Do you take Mercyhurst plus forty eight and a half
and you have a full ten point middle opportunity? And
my answer to all of these is just it kind
of depends on how much you have invested.
Speaker 1 (03:24):
Right, If you.
Speaker 2 (03:24):
Put more than a unit or two on Montana State,
then I like to hedge. But if you just put
a unit on it and you're kind of your normal bet,
then I just think you enjoy your closing line value.
That's what it's called, right, So if you bet make
a bet at plus or Montana State minus thirty eight
and a half and it closes minus forty eight and
a half, well that's ten points of closing line value
(03:46):
that you have in your pocket. So if you're just
placing a normal bet size, I kind of just like,
you know, hoping that you take that closing line value
to the bank and have a nice winning bet. As
far as the Montana Grizzlies hosting Western Carolina ranked, the
number is sixteen and a half because are favored over
under fifty five and a half Montana oh and three
so far against the spread. I the initial number seemed
(04:11):
a little bit high to me, which I think is
telling though, I Western Carolina. We see this a lot
in the FCS, where a team will play a ranked team,
especially like an in state team.
Speaker 1 (04:22):
Right.
Speaker 2 (04:22):
So, Western Carolina played NC State and they were leading
in the fourth quarter in Week one, and then they
lost to Campbell and barely beat Elon by a touchdown.
We see this like Northern Arizona, right, like they'll they're
like super competitive in a game with Arizona, or they'll
beat Arizona and then they're bad ones Big Sky play
comes or like a Portland State or you know, Eastern Washington,
(04:45):
like some of these teams, like you know, are good
against these FBS schools.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
Oh man, this team might be better than we think.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
So I don't put a lot as much stock into
the early on FBS matchups for FCS as opposed to
maybe some other people do.
Speaker 1 (04:59):
I think this line being sixteen and a half is
pretty telling. I think it's.
Speaker 2 (05:05):
A little high if I So if I were to
play this, what I would do is if you're leaning
Western Carolina and you kind of don't like betting on
the Grizz, if you're a Grizz fan, I'm just gonna
move it up to twenty one and a half, get
me through that third touchdown, and pair it with like
the Vikings at eight and a half or one of
these other or the Falcons at eight and a half
(05:29):
or one of these other you know, or the money
line of the Giant, the Browns over the Giants money
line or something like that, and then and you're looking
at like plus one forty that way, I just don't
I don't know. It's probably not advised. People don't say
never tease college football or blah blah blah. But I
could see the Griz winning by seventeen to twenty one
in that window. So if you're looking at bet against
(05:51):
the Grizz, I would say do that. If you're looking
a bet on the Griz, then just take them. Maybe
maybe move it down to thirteen and a half and
pair it with something. But that's a you know, sixteen
and a half is just a weird line. I think
the Griz might be able to cover thirty eight to twenty.
Speaker 1 (06:08):
Something like that. I think I think I could see
them winning thirty eight twenty. So we'll see.
Speaker 2 (06:14):
They have a you know, a good quarterback, but he
threw four picks against Campbell, and I think that you know,
Montana will be able to confuse them a little bit.
What I want to see is, you know, Montana on
offense and how they how their quarterbacks look, because I
think a lot of it was their quarterback play was
hidden a little bit because they were able to just
hand the ball, hand the ball off against Morehead State.
(06:35):
So I want to see their quarterbacks play a little
bit better, be a little bit more efficient.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
Okay, let's dive into the NFL. And overall so far
college and NFL picks so far on the podcast, we
are sixty two and forty one in our plays. All
of them are graded out.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
How we do it with the teases is like this
last week we were eleven and six, and the teas
picks I don't count as an eleven six because you're
pairing them, right, So I counted that as one under
five hundred, and we had five and three the week before,
counted that as five hundred. So just so you know,
as far as recording purposes and keeping track of the
(07:14):
scores and everything, I'm not trying to like boost up
my numbers to sound smart or whatever. I want to
be transparent. I'm just every one of these bets that
I do, I'm doing them with you. So what I'm
gonna do instead of just going game by game down
the board, I'm gonna go through the games in which
(07:36):
I have already placed a bet personally, and then I'll
give you fourced picks on the other games that I
haven't placed a bet yet, okay.
Speaker 1 (07:44):
And then there's a combination.
Speaker 2 (07:46):
There's like six props I really really like, so I
will make sure to like announce those, and a lot
of those are gonna be in the rain I have
two Rainmaker parlays this week, so I'll go over those
as we go. So let's start Denver Broncos on the
road taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now here's a
little thing.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
So it's the.
Speaker 2 (08:07):
Bucks are six and a half point favorites minus one
oh nine on each side.
Speaker 1 (08:10):
A lot of these.
Speaker 2 (08:13):
Though, like the Saints are taking money at minus two
and a half against Eagles and they're minus won twenty five,
so you're paying minus two and a half minus one
twenty five. Okay, so you gotta pay twelve to fifty
to win ten.
Speaker 1 (08:24):
Bucks if I kind of like the Broncos here, but.
Speaker 2 (08:28):
Instead of taking them plus six and a half at
minus one o nine, I'm just gonna take them plus
seven and a half minus one twenty. The extra eleven
cents to get the seven and the hook is worth
the price for me. So I'm gonna take Denver plus
seven and a half kind of like the over forty
and a half as well. But the probably my favorite
player of the entire weekend is bo Nicks over one
(08:48):
hundred and eighty seven and a half passing yards. He
had over two sixty against the Steelers. Tampa Bay is
banged up in the backfield. The Lions realize this. They
threw it fifty five times through for a bunch of yards.
This is gonna be by far the easiest defense that
Bonnicks is facing. He's going from Seattle on the road
and Pittsburgh to now Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense is good.
(09:14):
They're seven point underdogs. They're gonna be having a negative
game strip from behind. Teams do not usually run on
Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1 (09:21):
They are a.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
Pass funnel defense. One hundred and eighty seven yards is
just too low for me. I think I actually moved
up to one eighty nine. I bet this yesterday at
one eighty seven when I was doing all my research
late last night, and it's moving in that direction up
to one eighty nine, So usually I like it. I
like that when I see that it's moving in my
direction and it's only two yards, dive in and go
bet this now because I wouldn't be surprised if this
(09:42):
closes in the mid one nineties.
Speaker 1 (09:46):
So Bnick's over one.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Hundred and seven and a half passing yards. Now, with
that said, there's gonna be some availability in the pass
catching options because since one hundred and eighty seven yards
is so low, all of his receivers numbers are gonna
be really low. So Reynolds is only thirty four and
a half passing yards. He's been over this in both games,
at believe eighty five yards last week, So this is
gonna be a little mini ladder for me. So I'm
(10:10):
gonna take like twenty bucks. I'll put ten on him
to get over thirty five and a half yards, and
then I'll just spread out of the other ten bucks
going up to eighty five yards again and put you know,
two bucks on that at you know, seventeen to one,
and see what happens. The Tennessee Titans at home against
(10:30):
Agreement Packers. Now, initially I circled this as a play.
Speaker 1 (10:33):
I have.
Speaker 2 (10:35):
Put a little bit on the Titans minus two and
a half. But now it sounds like Jordan Love might play.
He's been at practice. I don't know if this is
smoke screen or not, I think it might be wise
to go grab the Packers now that they're at plus
two and a half, to move them up to eight
and a half and use them as a teaser leg.
So the Packers are gonna be one of our teaser
(10:57):
legs at plus eight and a half, just in case
Love plays, even if he doesn't. It's not like the
Titans are super explosive that they're gonna cover by more
than a touchdown. But one of my other favorite prop
plays that is in The rain Maker with Bonix is
Tony Pollard over fifty nine and a half rushing yards.
Tajy Spears banged up, Pollard has been the guy Packers
run defense not good. Pollard has been excellent so far
(11:19):
this year, and so I really like Pollard over fifty
nine and a half rushing yards. Next is the Eagles
two and a half point underdogs taking on the Saints.
This is gonna be the square bed of the week,
but I'm going with the Saints minus two and a half.
Speaker 1 (11:32):
Now.
Speaker 2 (11:32):
I never like doing it when it's like a couple
weeks ago, it was the Eagles that were favored by
two and a half three and now it's the opposite,
but I don't think enough adjustment is made sometimes early on,
and the Saints just look really good, like when you're
hanging thirty plus points in a half against teams. I mean,
they could have beat the Panthers and the Cowboys by
(11:54):
forty fifty if they wanted. So we're going Saints minus
two and a half. The Eagles without a jury are
just not the same kind of like the over in
this one, and we're going Chris a Lave over sixty
two and a half receiving yards. Just a really good matchup.
He's been getting a lot of the a lot of
the targets, and they're going against a Vicvangio defense that's
(12:17):
gonna try and limit some of the deep deep balls
to she heat over the top. So I think a
Lave underneath is gonna get a lot of a lot
of action. Houston Texans on the road two and a
half point favorites taken on the Minnesota Vikings. This is
gonna be a middle play here. I'm gonna take the
Texans minus two and a half, but I'm also gonna
move the Vikings up to eight and a half as
(12:39):
one of my teaser legs. So I saw the stat that,
like with Kirk Cousins in Sam Darnold's, if you take
out all of the Jaron Halls and the variety of
random quarterbacks that the Vikings have had to use over
the last couple of years, the Vikings have not lost
by more than one score. I think they are super
(13:02):
well coached. But I like the Texans here, I am
gonna make sure that Nico Collins is playing because if
he's out, that's a little scary to me. That said,
because he's been limited at practice this week, I am
already on Tank Dell over sixty and a half combined. Okay,
here's the thing. I've said it on the pod before.
With a lot of these receivers, their combo rushing and
(13:26):
receiving is marginally bigger, if not the exact same as
their receiving. So take the combo, go into the rush prop.
So you click into the game, go into rushing prop,
go down, and they're combined rushing and receiving yards. Tank
Dell is like fifty five and a half receiving yards
and he's sixty and a half combined. He had like
three carries last week, so I'm gonna take the extra
(13:48):
five yards for the combo, and especially he's a really
good player. This is a good matchup for him and
he's been struggling out of the gates. I think this
is the breakout game for Tank Dell, New York Giants
on the road taking on the Cleveland Browns. Here's another
The Giants are six and a half point dogs, but
minus one five the Browns minus six and a half,
(14:10):
minus one twelve. I think if I'm on the Giants side,
I'm gonna take the Giants at plus seven and a half,
move them up, and that's only minus one nineteen at
seven and a half. It's worth the fourteen cents to
get past the touchdown. I promise you and give me
a Mari Cooper. Here's another example. This is wild. His
(14:31):
receiving prop is forty nine and a half yards at
minus one twenty. His combo of rushing and receiving is
forty eight and a half at minus one fourteen. So
you're getting a cheaper price at the combo. Like, are
they expecting him to get a carry and get negative yards?
Speaker 1 (14:48):
So that hurts it?
Speaker 2 (14:49):
I don't get it, but I think this is the
a Mari Cooper, a little bit of a breakout against
a bad defense.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
A lot of these guys.
Speaker 2 (14:57):
That have long track records, we're gonna go through the
later on. They they're gonna get their their touches and
I and I think that after a couple of weeks struggling,
I just think they're gonna find ways to manufacture getting
a guy like him the ball. He's high, highly paid,
he's a veteran. I think the coaches throughout the week
are gonna find ways to get these guys who are
(15:18):
off to slow starts and try and get them the ball.
We are gonna move the Browns down though, from seven
and a half down to minus one and a half
as one of our teaser legs. So so far we
have the Vikings up to eight and a half, the
Packers up to eight and a half, and the Browns
money line as our teaser legs. Chicago Bears on the
(15:40):
road taking on the Indianapolis Colts. I this was two
and a half last night. It is now down to
a pick them. Basically, I've already moved the Bears.
Speaker 1 (15:50):
Up to eight and a half.
Speaker 2 (15:51):
I just don't think that the Colts can win by
margin against a good defense. With Anthony Richard at Richardson
at quarterback. But now that it's at a pick them, I
would I don't. I have not made this bet if,
but I'm doing a fourced pick for every game, so
I would lean Colts at home.
Speaker 1 (16:08):
I think that.
Speaker 2 (16:11):
I think sing Steichen is a really good offensive mind.
I think that they've been trying to force Anthony Richardson
and prove that he can throw, and I don't think
this is a very good matchup to throw against the
Bears secondary. So I'm gonna take Anthony Richardson over forty
and a half rushing yards.
Speaker 1 (16:26):
This is the game.
Speaker 2 (16:27):
This is a game that they need to have. The
strength of Chicago's defense is their passing game, So I
think that they're gonna start using Anthony Richardson and his legs.
I don't think they necessarily wanted to just like start
doing it out the gate, but at home in a
must win game, the game script is going to be,
you know, it's a close spread, so it's gonna be
(16:48):
back and forth. So I think he's gonna be trying
making as many plays as possible. And then on the
other side, I think DeAndre Swift socks. I don't think
he's a good running back, but Indianapolis's run defense is terrible,
so I didn't want to take his rushing yards, but
I'm gonna take over thirteen and a half carries. I
think that they just have to try and establish some
sort of a running game. And again it's a it
(17:12):
should be a neutral game script, so they should be
able to get Deandro Stifts some carries. My Chargers on
the road taking on Pittsburgh Steelers. This number was one
and a half now out to two and a half.
I was initially on the Chargers, and when it was
at two and a half, I moved them up to
seven and a half. So I have the Chargers up
to seven and a half as one of the teaser
(17:32):
legs because the over under thirty five and a half,
and I was on the Chargers side thinking about picking them.
I'm leaning now more towards Pittsburgh with the Justin Herbert
high ankle injury news. He's been limited this week. Their
wide receiver Joshua Palmer has also not practiced. Tough game
on the road. I don't think Pittsburgh is that good.
(17:53):
I just think that this is a tough spot for
the Chargers with a little bit banged up Herbert, So
I'll go Steelers here.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
I the the total thirty five and a half.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Usually don't want to take a bunch of overs for props,
but I actually think that because the number is so
low and there's such respect for both defenses, I kind
of like that some of these numbers are just super
super low, and let's look at it. The Chargers played
Gardner Minshew and the Raiders at home in Week one,
(18:24):
and then they play Carolina, not the best of offenses.
The Steelers played Kirk Cousins in his first game back
from an Achilles, who was at shotgun, never was under
center doing any play action, which what they're good at.
And then they play bow Nicks. So I think both
defenses are good. I think the Steelers in particular are
very good, but I think that they're getting a little
(18:46):
bit overinflated based on who they've played.
Speaker 1 (18:49):
JK.
Speaker 2 (18:50):
Dobbins has been rushing for one hundred and twenty hundred
and thirty yards a game. It's down to fifty one
and a half. I just still think that they're going
to feed him enough to get over fifty one and
a half. I don't like it a ton, but I
am gonna I have bet it and gonna play it.
The one I like probably a better is Jalen Warren
over twenty seven and a half rushing yards. He tweaked
his hamstring before the season started, brought him back, only
(19:11):
had like a couple carries Week one. He had nine
carries last week. I think he's gonna get around ten
carries and he could get over twenty seven and a
half yards. And then I'm gonna go back to the
well I've done it. I've done it and it's been working.
I'm going to Quinton Johnston. His combo is over thirty
five and a half rushing and receiving, which I like
(19:33):
the combo here because they could use him on a reverse.
But this is one deep shot, and I think that
this is a game where the Chargers are probably gonna
take a couple of shots because I think it's gonna
be hard. It's gonna be hard to methodically move the
ball up and down the field on the Steelers, and
he's kind of their their guy that they'll launch it to.
I also think though, that they're gonna it's gonna be
(19:54):
a short passing game and they're gonna be worried about
the rush. The pass rush of the Steelers. Lad McConkie
plus one forty to get five catches up to seven
is a little bit enticing. Plus nine hundred and seven
catches if they get behind. They have not been behind yet, Okay.
Speaker 1 (20:15):
It was a.
Speaker 2 (20:16):
Neutral game script into the third quarter against the Raiders,
and then the Chargers had a two possession lead, and
then they never had to throw the ball against the
Panthers at all if they're down. I think McConkie's the guy,
the go to guy with the short stuff in the
middle of the field, so him to get five to
seven catches I think is doable. So I'm gonna play
the five and I'm gonna lader it up to seven.
(20:38):
And George Pickens over forty seven and a half receiving yards.
His numbers don't look good, but that's because he's just
gotten a bunch of PAS interference calls when they've gone
deep to him, and the Charger secondary is beatable, so
we're going with that. So a lot of props, but
it's also you know, I'm very familiar with the Chargers,
so I feel like I have a better feel on
(20:59):
those Panthers on the road. Taking on the Raiders four
and a half. I'm staying away from it. My force
pick is I guess I gotta take.
Speaker 1 (21:09):
The Panthers four and a half.
Speaker 2 (21:10):
It is so ugly, but man taking the Raiders off
of their biggest win of the year. Hi, I mean,
that's just gonna be the squarest bet every of everybody.
Speaker 1 (21:21):
So give me the Panthers two props.
Speaker 2 (21:25):
Give me brock Bowers over forty seven and a half yards,
guys might be the best tight end in the league.
And give me Samir White over fourteen and a half carries.
The coach has said that they want to give him
twenty touches. They need to give him the ball. They
should be up in this game, thus running it. So
give me Zamir White over fourteen and a half carries.
Dolphins on the Road take on the Seahawks. Don't have
(21:46):
anything in this one. If I had to force pick,
I would take the four and a half with the Dolphins.
But I don't love it because it was six and
a half a couple of days ago. Probably should have
grabbed it then, but didn't. Yeah, I don't know, just
staying away from this one. Don't have a feel for it.
The Lions on the Road taking on the Arizona Cardinals
Lions two and a half point favorites over under fifty.
Speaker 1 (22:08):
One and a half. I'm gonna take the Lions here.
This is just a I.
Speaker 2 (22:16):
Think the Lions are good. It was kind of a
false score last week. They moved the ball, they had
a ton of yards, and I just don't think Arizona's
defense is good enough. So I'm taking the Lions, and
we're going to ladder Tamer Gibbs over forty nine and
a half rushing yards because I think that there. They
threw the ball fifty five times last week against the box.
That is a good somewhat of a good game plan,
(22:37):
but that's not their identity. They want to smash you
in the mouth. They want to run the football, and
this is the matchup that they're able to do it,
and I think they're gonna want to get back to
it since they threw it last week fifty five times
and lost. Gibbs could bust one at any moments, but
I think he's also gonna get like fifteen carries, and
if he gets fifteen carries, he could easily get one
(22:57):
hundred yards. So I'm laddering Gibbs is one of the
rain maker bets, and I'm laddering them up all the
way up.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
To one hundred.
Speaker 2 (23:05):
I also like the other side of the ball. There's
these teams Tampa Detroit that you just there's certain teams
you can't run on, and you cannot run on Detroit.
You can throw on them, though, and they play a
lot of man defense. With that said, because you're playing
in man, the quarterback has a lot of chances to run.
And so I like Kyler Murray over two hundred and
seventy two and a half combined passing and rushing yards.
(23:26):
I also like them over two hundred and thirty four
passing yards, and I like Greg dortsch receptions over three
and a half, over two and a half, a little
bit juice three and a half plus money.
Speaker 1 (23:39):
I just think that.
Speaker 2 (23:40):
The Arizona's gonna be throwing the ball, de Troy's gonna
be running the ball. And I think those are clear
matchups of how to attack each defense. And so I
really like those props. San Francisco forty nine or six
and a half point favorites on the road take on
the Rams. I think you just got to go with
the Niner side here. The Rams are just so banged up.
I don't know if they can get anything. Oh this
was written down in the game below. Jamison Williams. Watch
(24:05):
the status of Saint Brown. He might he's always his
numbers just are not They're climbing. He was at the
thirty seven and a half like combined rushing and receiving.
Now he's at fifty seven and a half. But he
has shown that he is a breakout guy, and I
don't think they have anybody to guard him. So if
you like Jamison Williams, I think fifty seven and a
half combined rushing or receiving is a good bet too.
(24:28):
So yeah, Niners, they are Niners. Money line is one
of the other teaser legs. I paired that with the
Chargers and I just think they're gonna win this ball game.
Speaker 1 (24:42):
Not a ton of props. There's some questionable guys.
Speaker 2 (24:45):
I don't really trust any of the Rams receivers because
I don't trust the line. Maybe Juwan Jennings over forty
one and a half receiving yards could be a good look.
But yeah, Baltimore Ravens taking on the Dallas Cowboys, Ravens
one point favorites. I'm gonna take the Ravens here. I
just think that they're they're the better team, and I
think I like Lamar over fifty four and a half
(25:06):
rushing yards. I think that he ran a lot against
kN City because he knew that he had to. I
think that they went into the Raiders game thinking they
were gonna win. I mean, they were up by ten
and then all of a sudden, they just kind of
got away from them. I think that they're gonna face
some pressure against Michael Parsons and company, and I think
he's gonna be running. You can't go to Owen three,
so I think he's gonna run in this game. And
(25:27):
I also like Mark Andrews over thirty nine and a
half receiving yards. The Ravens I think are gonna be
one of my ran Maker plays. I just think they're better.
I think they're equivalent, maybe a little bit better defensively,
and I liked them a little bit better offensively. I
think Dallas is just having no run game and really
(25:48):
only Ceedee Lamb is like the only true threat is just.
Speaker 1 (25:53):
I don't know. They're just not too multiple on offense.
Speaker 2 (25:57):
All right, Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, we have one
Sunday night to Monday night. I'll be diving into more
of these on social media, so make sure to give
me a follow. I like the Falcons plus three and
a half and I think I'm gonna take I'm gonna
do it. Imonna take Kyle Pitts over thirty eight and
a half. I think I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna
(26:17):
do a little bit more research, but Kennis City's bad
against the tight ends, and I think that Carson Steele
over forty four and a half yards, I think I'm
gonna I think I'm gonna do it. I think he's
gonna get the full workload. Kareem Hunt is not activated
for this game. I don't think they're just gonna be
handing off the sumaship. And I think he's gonna stay
in his third down role. And I think Steele's gonna
get fifteen carries might be worth a ladder with Steel.
(26:40):
I really think it could be because Atlanta's run the
run d is not good. That's how you beat him.
So I think Steel they don't know where to put
this number at because they don't know what is his
workload is gonna be. So I think taking Steel over
forty four and a half and laddering it is a
smart play. And I have made the last leg of
(27:01):
my rain Makers. I make these games, and I've pushed
Atlanta up to eight and a half. It's kind of
like the last leg. So I did like three props,
so Nick's, Pollard and Murray, and if all those hit
were sitting good right, and then I just moved the
Falcons up to eight and a half just to get
a little extra juice. And then you could hedge it out, right.
You could take Kansas City minus three and a half
(27:22):
if you put twenty bucks on it to win, like
two hundred and fifty bucks or whatever, and you and
we win the first three legs, then you can decide
what you want to do going into that isolated game
later on the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Bills. I kind
of lean Jags plus five and a half. I don't know,
I don't have a strong feel for it. And then
I guess I'll take the Commanders plus seven and a
(27:44):
half and the points against the Bengals. I did have
Zach Moss anytime touchdown as the last leg of the
other rain Maker, which was Saints minus two and a half,
Ravens minus one and a half. There was one more
in that one, Oh Gibbs over forty nine and a
half rushing, and then Zach Moss anytime touchdown because if
(28:07):
the first three hit, then you could bet Zach Moss
no touchdown at plus money and be sitting pretty good.
So there you have it. Good luck everyone. If you
have any questions, feel free please reach out to me
on social media. Would love the chat and good luck.
Do you rent that? Young? Nah? No, I own it.
That's how I feel about this weekend. Yeah, pay him paid,
that's me and his money.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
Joy it wild, last gambling gods, fickle bunch.
Speaker 1 (00:15):
Oh yeah, so easily offended.
Speaker 2 (00:17):
Welcome into the Make It Rainy Podcast. I'm your host,
Sean Rainey, sponsored by Sports Bet Montana, NFL Week three,
College Football, Week four, slash five, slash two. I don't
know it's all different for college football. As I try
to get this mic out of the spot. Overall, it's
it's been a little bit of a sluggish start.
Speaker 1 (00:37):
Not gonna lie.
Speaker 2 (00:38):
As far as sides and totals go, props have been
absolutely excellent for us so far this year, but the
side's been at a little struggling. I went seven to
eight last week, sixteen and seventeen overall on sides, three
and four on totals, and we are fifteen and seven
on tees sides, but we are forty two and seventeen
(00:59):
overall when it comes to prop plays. So I'm gonna
be this is It's very important when you're when you're
betting to keep track of everything that you do, because
then you know what you're good at and what you're
bad at right, like I have learned, like with certain
baseball things, like I don't do well with baseball because
I just I am a emotional better sometimes when it
(01:22):
comes to my favorite team, So I will bet against
my team a lot, as like an emotional hedge. And
when your team has a good season like the Padres are, like,
I end up losing money. So I told myself, like,
I'm not betting on baseball until the playoffs or a
few props here and there. So if you keep track
of sides, props, totals, teases, and then you can see like,
all right, well I'm really bad at this, and I'm
(01:44):
good at this, and this is what I'm doing well,
and you can kind of keep track of it. And
just a good way to kind of go about go
about your betting and an organizational tool to be able
to attack. So we'll go over Cats and grizz lines
little bit. We had some very interesting movement. So Montana
State they're they're playing Mercyhurst the Lakers. Just awful, Just
(02:07):
what an awful matchup opened up at thirty eight and
a half, and I jumped on it at thirty eight
and a half. A lot of people I mean, that
number was low and now it's reopened at forty eight
and a half. Ten point difference, just crazy. A lot
of people want to criticize sports about Montana, and certainly,
(02:30):
you know, the the juice and that you're paying is
not ideal, and there's things that are bad about it.
But one of the good things about it is they
will post an FCS line on a Tuesday when the
number nobody really knows the number, just like Montana's game
last week against Morehead State, Like, it's hard to make
a number big enough to cover against these awful, awful teams,
(02:51):
So they put up thirty eight and a half. And
then once other other books out and around the country
and the world start putting up more FC games, they notice, oh,
it's actually forty eight and a half, so they just
make a ten point adjustment just like that, which is crazy.
So hopefully you got in thirty eight and a half. Now,
the question is do you here's a good example, do
(03:13):
you do you middle?
Speaker 1 (03:15):
Now?
Speaker 2 (03:15):
Do you take Mercyhurst plus forty eight and a half
and you have a full ten point middle opportunity? And
my answer to all of these is just it kind
of depends on how much you have invested.
Speaker 1 (03:24):
Right, If you.
Speaker 2 (03:24):
Put more than a unit or two on Montana State,
then I like to hedge. But if you just put
a unit on it and you're kind of your normal bet,
then I just think you enjoy your closing line value.
That's what it's called, right, So if you bet make
a bet at plus or Montana State minus thirty eight
and a half and it closes minus forty eight and
a half, well that's ten points of closing line value
(03:46):
that you have in your pocket. So if you're just
placing a normal bet size, I kind of just like,
you know, hoping that you take that closing line value
to the bank and have a nice winning bet. As
far as the Montana Grizzlies hosting Western Carolina ranked, the
number is sixteen and a half because are favored over
under fifty five and a half Montana oh and three
so far against the spread. I the initial number seemed
(04:11):
a little bit high to me, which I think is
telling though, I Western Carolina. We see this a lot
in the FCS, where a team will play a ranked team,
especially like an in state team.
Speaker 1 (04:22):
Right.
Speaker 2 (04:22):
So, Western Carolina played NC State and they were leading
in the fourth quarter in Week one, and then they
lost to Campbell and barely beat Elon by a touchdown.
We see this like Northern Arizona, right, like they'll they're
like super competitive in a game with Arizona, or they'll
beat Arizona and then they're bad ones Big Sky play
comes or like a Portland State or you know, Eastern Washington,
(04:45):
like some of these teams, like you know, are good
against these FBS schools.
Speaker 1 (04:47):
Oh man, this team might be better than we think.
Speaker 2 (04:49):
So I don't put a lot as much stock into
the early on FBS matchups for FCS as opposed to
maybe some other people do.
Speaker 1 (04:59):
I think this line being sixteen and a half is
pretty telling. I think it's.
Speaker 2 (05:05):
A little high if I So if I were to
play this, what I would do is if you're leaning
Western Carolina and you kind of don't like betting on
the Grizz, if you're a Grizz fan, I'm just gonna
move it up to twenty one and a half, get
me through that third touchdown, and pair it with like
the Vikings at eight and a half or one of
these other or the Falcons at eight and a half
(05:29):
or one of these other you know, or the money
line of the Giant, the Browns over the Giants money
line or something like that, and then and you're looking
at like plus one forty that way, I just don't
I don't know. It's probably not advised. People don't say
never tease college football or blah blah blah. But I
could see the Griz winning by seventeen to twenty one
in that window. So if you're looking at bet against
(05:51):
the Grizz, I would say do that. If you're looking
a bet on the Griz, then just take them. Maybe
maybe move it down to thirteen and a half and
pair it with something. But that's a you know, sixteen
and a half is just a weird line. I think
the Griz might be able to cover thirty eight to twenty.
Speaker 1 (06:08):
Something like that. I think I think I could see
them winning thirty eight twenty. So we'll see.
Speaker 2 (06:14):
They have a you know, a good quarterback, but he
threw four picks against Campbell, and I think that you know,
Montana will be able to confuse them a little bit.
What I want to see is, you know, Montana on
offense and how they how their quarterbacks look, because I
think a lot of it was their quarterback play was
hidden a little bit because they were able to just
hand the ball, hand the ball off against Morehead State.
(06:35):
So I want to see their quarterbacks play a little
bit better, be a little bit more efficient.
Speaker 1 (06:41):
Okay, let's dive into the NFL. And overall so far
college and NFL picks so far on the podcast, we
are sixty two and forty one in our plays. All
of them are graded out.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
How we do it with the teases is like this
last week we were eleven and six, and the teas
picks I don't count as an eleven six because you're
pairing them, right, So I counted that as one under
five hundred, and we had five and three the week before,
counted that as five hundred. So just so you know,
as far as recording purposes and keeping track of the
(07:14):
scores and everything, I'm not trying to like boost up
my numbers to sound smart or whatever. I want to
be transparent. I'm just every one of these bets that
I do, I'm doing them with you. So what I'm
gonna do instead of just going game by game down
the board, I'm gonna go through the games in which
(07:36):
I have already placed a bet personally, and then I'll
give you fourced picks on the other games that I
haven't placed a bet yet, okay.
Speaker 1 (07:44):
And then there's a combination.
Speaker 2 (07:46):
There's like six props I really really like, so I
will make sure to like announce those, and a lot
of those are gonna be in the rain I have
two Rainmaker parlays this week, so I'll go over those
as we go. So let's start Denver Broncos on the
road taking on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Now here's a
little thing.
Speaker 1 (08:06):
So it's the.
Speaker 2 (08:07):
Bucks are six and a half point favorites minus one
oh nine on each side.
Speaker 1 (08:10):
A lot of these.
Speaker 2 (08:13):
Though, like the Saints are taking money at minus two
and a half against Eagles and they're minus won twenty five,
so you're paying minus two and a half minus one
twenty five. Okay, so you gotta pay twelve to fifty
to win ten.
Speaker 1 (08:24):
Bucks if I kind of like the Broncos here, but.
Speaker 2 (08:28):
Instead of taking them plus six and a half at
minus one o nine, I'm just gonna take them plus
seven and a half minus one twenty. The extra eleven
cents to get the seven and the hook is worth
the price for me. So I'm gonna take Denver plus
seven and a half kind of like the over forty
and a half as well. But the probably my favorite
player of the entire weekend is bo Nicks over one
(08:48):
hundred and eighty seven and a half passing yards. He
had over two sixty against the Steelers. Tampa Bay is
banged up in the backfield. The Lions realize this. They
threw it fifty five times through for a bunch of yards.
This is gonna be by far the easiest defense that
Bonnicks is facing. He's going from Seattle on the road
and Pittsburgh to now Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense is good.
(09:14):
They're seven point underdogs. They're gonna be having a negative
game strip from behind. Teams do not usually run on
Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1 (09:21):
They are a.
Speaker 2 (09:22):
Pass funnel defense. One hundred and eighty seven yards is
just too low for me. I think I actually moved
up to one eighty nine. I bet this yesterday at
one eighty seven when I was doing all my research
late last night, and it's moving in that direction up
to one eighty nine, So usually I like it. I
like that when I see that it's moving in my
direction and it's only two yards, dive in and go
bet this now because I wouldn't be surprised if this
(09:42):
closes in the mid one nineties.
Speaker 1 (09:46):
So Bnick's over one.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Hundred and seven and a half passing yards. Now, with
that said, there's gonna be some availability in the pass
catching options because since one hundred and eighty seven yards
is so low, all of his receivers numbers are gonna
be really low. So Reynolds is only thirty four and
a half passing yards. He's been over this in both games,
at believe eighty five yards last week, So this is
gonna be a little mini ladder for me. So I'm
(10:10):
gonna take like twenty bucks. I'll put ten on him
to get over thirty five and a half yards, and
then I'll just spread out of the other ten bucks
going up to eighty five yards again and put you know,
two bucks on that at you know, seventeen to one,
and see what happens. The Tennessee Titans at home against
(10:30):
Agreement Packers. Now, initially I circled this as a play.
Speaker 1 (10:33):
I have.
Speaker 2 (10:35):
Put a little bit on the Titans minus two and
a half. But now it sounds like Jordan Love might play.
He's been at practice. I don't know if this is
smoke screen or not, I think it might be wise
to go grab the Packers now that they're at plus
two and a half, to move them up to eight
and a half and use them as a teaser leg.
So the Packers are gonna be one of our teaser
(10:57):
legs at plus eight and a half, just in case
Love plays, even if he doesn't. It's not like the
Titans are super explosive that they're gonna cover by more
than a touchdown. But one of my other favorite prop
plays that is in The rain Maker with Bonix is
Tony Pollard over fifty nine and a half rushing yards.
Tajy Spears banged up, Pollard has been the guy Packers
run defense not good. Pollard has been excellent so far
(11:19):
this year, and so I really like Pollard over fifty
nine and a half rushing yards. Next is the Eagles
two and a half point underdogs taking on the Saints.
This is gonna be the square bed of the week,
but I'm going with the Saints minus two and a half.
Speaker 1 (11:32):
Now.
Speaker 2 (11:32):
I never like doing it when it's like a couple
weeks ago, it was the Eagles that were favored by
two and a half three and now it's the opposite,
but I don't think enough adjustment is made sometimes early on,
and the Saints just look really good, like when you're
hanging thirty plus points in a half against teams. I mean,
they could have beat the Panthers and the Cowboys by
(11:54):
forty fifty if they wanted. So we're going Saints minus
two and a half. The Eagles without a jury are
just not the same kind of like the over in
this one, and we're going Chris a Lave over sixty
two and a half receiving yards. Just a really good matchup.
He's been getting a lot of the a lot of
the targets, and they're going against a Vicvangio defense that's
(12:17):
gonna try and limit some of the deep deep balls
to she heat over the top. So I think a
Lave underneath is gonna get a lot of a lot
of action. Houston Texans on the road two and a
half point favorites taken on the Minnesota Vikings. This is
gonna be a middle play here. I'm gonna take the
Texans minus two and a half, but I'm also gonna
move the Vikings up to eight and a half as
(12:39):
one of my teaser legs. So I saw the stat that,
like with Kirk Cousins in Sam Darnold's, if you take
out all of the Jaron Halls and the variety of
random quarterbacks that the Vikings have had to use over
the last couple of years, the Vikings have not lost
by more than one score. I think they are super
(13:02):
well coached. But I like the Texans here, I am
gonna make sure that Nico Collins is playing because if
he's out, that's a little scary to me. That said,
because he's been limited at practice this week, I am
already on Tank Dell over sixty and a half combined. Okay,
here's the thing. I've said it on the pod before.
With a lot of these receivers, their combo rushing and
(13:26):
receiving is marginally bigger, if not the exact same as
their receiving. So take the combo, go into the rush prop.
So you click into the game, go into rushing prop,
go down, and they're combined rushing and receiving yards. Tank
Dell is like fifty five and a half receiving yards
and he's sixty and a half combined. He had like
three carries last week, so I'm gonna take the extra
(13:48):
five yards for the combo, and especially he's a really
good player. This is a good matchup for him and
he's been struggling out of the gates. I think this
is the breakout game for Tank Dell, New York Giants
on the road taking on the Cleveland Browns. Here's another
The Giants are six and a half point dogs, but
minus one five the Browns minus six and a half,
(14:10):
minus one twelve. I think if I'm on the Giants side,
I'm gonna take the Giants at plus seven and a half,
move them up, and that's only minus one nineteen at
seven and a half. It's worth the fourteen cents to
get past the touchdown. I promise you and give me
a Mari Cooper. Here's another example. This is wild. His
(14:31):
receiving prop is forty nine and a half yards at
minus one twenty. His combo of rushing and receiving is
forty eight and a half at minus one fourteen. So
you're getting a cheaper price at the combo. Like, are
they expecting him to get a carry and get negative yards?
Speaker 1 (14:48):
So that hurts it?
Speaker 2 (14:49):
I don't get it, but I think this is the
a Mari Cooper, a little bit of a breakout against
a bad defense.
Speaker 1 (14:56):
A lot of these guys.
Speaker 2 (14:57):
That have long track records, we're gonna go through the
later on. They they're gonna get their their touches and
I and I think that after a couple of weeks struggling,
I just think they're gonna find ways to manufacture getting
a guy like him the ball. He's high, highly paid,
he's a veteran. I think the coaches throughout the week
are gonna find ways to get these guys who are
(15:18):
off to slow starts and try and get them the ball.
We are gonna move the Browns down though, from seven
and a half down to minus one and a half
as one of our teaser legs. So so far we
have the Vikings up to eight and a half, the
Packers up to eight and a half, and the Browns
money line as our teaser legs. Chicago Bears on the
(15:40):
road taking on the Indianapolis Colts. I this was two
and a half last night. It is now down to
a pick them. Basically, I've already moved the Bears.
Speaker 1 (15:50):
Up to eight and a half.
Speaker 2 (15:51):
I just don't think that the Colts can win by
margin against a good defense. With Anthony Richard at Richardson
at quarterback. But now that it's at a pick them, I
would I don't. I have not made this bet if,
but I'm doing a fourced pick for every game, so
I would lean Colts at home.
Speaker 1 (16:08):
I think that.
Speaker 2 (16:11):
I think sing Steichen is a really good offensive mind.
I think that they've been trying to force Anthony Richardson
and prove that he can throw, and I don't think
this is a very good matchup to throw against the
Bears secondary. So I'm gonna take Anthony Richardson over forty
and a half rushing yards.
Speaker 1 (16:26):
This is the game.
Speaker 2 (16:27):
This is a game that they need to have. The
strength of Chicago's defense is their passing game, So I
think that they're gonna start using Anthony Richardson and his legs.
I don't think they necessarily wanted to just like start
doing it out the gate, but at home in a
must win game, the game script is going to be,
you know, it's a close spread, so it's gonna be
(16:48):
back and forth. So I think he's gonna be trying
making as many plays as possible. And then on the
other side, I think DeAndre Swift socks. I don't think
he's a good running back, but Indianapolis's run defense is terrible,
so I didn't want to take his rushing yards, but
I'm gonna take over thirteen and a half carries. I
think that they just have to try and establish some
sort of a running game. And again it's a it
(17:12):
should be a neutral game script, so they should be
able to get Deandro Stifts some carries. My Chargers on
the road taking on Pittsburgh Steelers. This number was one
and a half now out to two and a half.
I was initially on the Chargers, and when it was
at two and a half, I moved them up to
seven and a half. So I have the Chargers up
to seven and a half as one of the teaser
(17:32):
legs because the over under thirty five and a half,
and I was on the Chargers side thinking about picking them.
I'm leaning now more towards Pittsburgh with the Justin Herbert
high ankle injury news. He's been limited this week. Their
wide receiver Joshua Palmer has also not practiced. Tough game
on the road. I don't think Pittsburgh is that good.
(17:53):
I just think that this is a tough spot for
the Chargers with a little bit banged up Herbert, So
I'll go Steelers here.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
I the the total thirty five and a half.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
Usually don't want to take a bunch of overs for props,
but I actually think that because the number is so
low and there's such respect for both defenses, I kind
of like that some of these numbers are just super
super low, and let's look at it. The Chargers played
Gardner Minshew and the Raiders at home in Week one,
(18:24):
and then they play Carolina, not the best of offenses.
The Steelers played Kirk Cousins in his first game back
from an Achilles, who was at shotgun, never was under
center doing any play action, which what they're good at.
And then they play bow Nicks. So I think both
defenses are good. I think the Steelers in particular are
very good, but I think that they're getting a little
(18:46):
bit overinflated based on who they've played.
Speaker 1 (18:49):
JK.
Speaker 2 (18:50):
Dobbins has been rushing for one hundred and twenty hundred
and thirty yards a game. It's down to fifty one
and a half. I just still think that they're going
to feed him enough to get over fifty one and
a half. I don't like it a ton, but I
am gonna I have bet it and gonna play it.
The one I like probably a better is Jalen Warren
over twenty seven and a half rushing yards. He tweaked
his hamstring before the season started, brought him back, only
(19:11):
had like a couple carries Week one. He had nine
carries last week. I think he's gonna get around ten
carries and he could get over twenty seven and a
half yards. And then I'm gonna go back to the
well I've done it. I've done it and it's been working.
I'm going to Quinton Johnston. His combo is over thirty
five and a half rushing and receiving, which I like
(19:33):
the combo here because they could use him on a reverse.
But this is one deep shot, and I think that
this is a game where the Chargers are probably gonna
take a couple of shots because I think it's gonna
be hard. It's gonna be hard to methodically move the
ball up and down the field on the Steelers, and
he's kind of their their guy that they'll launch it to.
I also think though, that they're gonna it's gonna be
(19:54):
a short passing game and they're gonna be worried about
the rush. The pass rush of the Steelers. Lad McConkie
plus one forty to get five catches up to seven
is a little bit enticing. Plus nine hundred and seven
catches if they get behind. They have not been behind yet, Okay.
Speaker 1 (20:15):
It was a.
Speaker 2 (20:16):
Neutral game script into the third quarter against the Raiders,
and then the Chargers had a two possession lead, and
then they never had to throw the ball against the
Panthers at all if they're down. I think McConkie's the guy,
the go to guy with the short stuff in the
middle of the field, so him to get five to
seven catches I think is doable. So I'm gonna play
the five and I'm gonna lader it up to seven.
(20:38):
And George Pickens over forty seven and a half receiving yards.
His numbers don't look good, but that's because he's just
gotten a bunch of PAS interference calls when they've gone
deep to him, and the Charger secondary is beatable, so
we're going with that. So a lot of props, but
it's also you know, I'm very familiar with the Chargers,
so I feel like I have a better feel on
(20:59):
those Panthers on the road. Taking on the Raiders four
and a half. I'm staying away from it. My force
pick is I guess I gotta take.
Speaker 1 (21:09):
The Panthers four and a half.
Speaker 2 (21:10):
It is so ugly, but man taking the Raiders off
of their biggest win of the year. Hi, I mean,
that's just gonna be the squarest bet every of everybody.
Speaker 1 (21:21):
So give me the Panthers two props.
Speaker 2 (21:25):
Give me brock Bowers over forty seven and a half yards,
guys might be the best tight end in the league.
And give me Samir White over fourteen and a half carries.
The coach has said that they want to give him
twenty touches. They need to give him the ball. They
should be up in this game, thus running it. So
give me Zamir White over fourteen and a half carries.
Dolphins on the Road take on the Seahawks. Don't have
(21:46):
anything in this one. If I had to force pick,
I would take the four and a half with the Dolphins.
But I don't love it because it was six and
a half a couple of days ago. Probably should have
grabbed it then, but didn't. Yeah, I don't know, just
staying away from this one. Don't have a feel for it.
The Lions on the Road taking on the Arizona Cardinals
Lions two and a half point favorites over under fifty.
Speaker 1 (22:08):
One and a half. I'm gonna take the Lions here.
This is just a I.
Speaker 2 (22:16):
Think the Lions are good. It was kind of a
false score last week. They moved the ball, they had
a ton of yards, and I just don't think Arizona's
defense is good enough. So I'm taking the Lions, and
we're going to ladder Tamer Gibbs over forty nine and
a half rushing yards because I think that there. They
threw the ball fifty five times last week against the box.
That is a good somewhat of a good game plan,
(22:37):
but that's not their identity. They want to smash you
in the mouth. They want to run the football, and
this is the matchup that they're able to do it,
and I think they're gonna want to get back to
it since they threw it last week fifty five times
and lost. Gibbs could bust one at any moments, but
I think he's also gonna get like fifteen carries, and
if he gets fifteen carries, he could easily get one
(22:57):
hundred yards. So I'm laddering Gibbs is one of the
rain maker bets, and I'm laddering them up all the
way up.
Speaker 1 (23:03):
To one hundred.
Speaker 2 (23:05):
I also like the other side of the ball. There's
these teams Tampa Detroit that you just there's certain teams
you can't run on, and you cannot run on Detroit.
You can throw on them, though, and they play a
lot of man defense. With that said, because you're playing
in man, the quarterback has a lot of chances to run.
And so I like Kyler Murray over two hundred and
seventy two and a half combined passing and rushing yards.
(23:26):
I also like them over two hundred and thirty four
passing yards, and I like Greg dortsch receptions over three
and a half, over two and a half, a little
bit juice three and a half plus money.
Speaker 1 (23:39):
I just think that.
Speaker 2 (23:40):
The Arizona's gonna be throwing the ball, de Troy's gonna
be running the ball. And I think those are clear
matchups of how to attack each defense. And so I
really like those props. San Francisco forty nine or six
and a half point favorites on the road take on
the Rams. I think you just got to go with
the Niner side here. The Rams are just so banged up.
I don't know if they can get anything. Oh this
was written down in the game below. Jamison Williams. Watch
(24:05):
the status of Saint Brown. He might he's always his
numbers just are not They're climbing. He was at the
thirty seven and a half like combined rushing and receiving.
Now he's at fifty seven and a half. But he
has shown that he is a breakout guy, and I
don't think they have anybody to guard him. So if
you like Jamison Williams, I think fifty seven and a
half combined rushing or receiving is a good bet too.
(24:28):
So yeah, Niners, they are Niners. Money line is one
of the other teaser legs. I paired that with the
Chargers and I just think they're gonna win this ball game.
Speaker 1 (24:42):
Not a ton of props. There's some questionable guys.
Speaker 2 (24:45):
I don't really trust any of the Rams receivers because
I don't trust the line. Maybe Juwan Jennings over forty
one and a half receiving yards could be a good look.
But yeah, Baltimore Ravens taking on the Dallas Cowboys, Ravens
one point favorites. I'm gonna take the Ravens here. I
just think that they're they're the better team, and I
think I like Lamar over fifty four and a half
(25:06):
rushing yards. I think that he ran a lot against
kN City because he knew that he had to. I
think that they went into the Raiders game thinking they
were gonna win. I mean, they were up by ten
and then all of a sudden, they just kind of
got away from them. I think that they're gonna face
some pressure against Michael Parsons and company, and I think
he's gonna be running. You can't go to Owen three,
so I think he's gonna run in this game. And
(25:27):
I also like Mark Andrews over thirty nine and a
half receiving yards. The Ravens I think are gonna be
one of my ran Maker plays. I just think they're better.
I think they're equivalent, maybe a little bit better defensively,
and I liked them a little bit better offensively. I
think Dallas is just having no run game and really
(25:48):
only Ceedee Lamb is like the only true threat is just.
Speaker 1 (25:53):
I don't know. They're just not too multiple on offense.
Speaker 2 (25:57):
All right, Kansas City Chiefs, Atlanta Falcons, we have one
Sunday night to Monday night. I'll be diving into more
of these on social media, so make sure to give
me a follow. I like the Falcons plus three and
a half and I think I'm gonna take I'm gonna
do it. Imonna take Kyle Pitts over thirty eight and
a half. I think I'm gonna do it. I'm gonna
(26:17):
do a little bit more research, but Kennis City's bad
against the tight ends, and I think that Carson Steele
over forty four and a half yards, I think I'm
gonna I think I'm gonna do it. I think he's
gonna get the full workload. Kareem Hunt is not activated
for this game. I don't think they're just gonna be
handing off the sumaship. And I think he's gonna stay
in his third down role. And I think Steele's gonna
get fifteen carries might be worth a ladder with Steel.
(26:40):
I really think it could be because Atlanta's run the
run d is not good. That's how you beat him.
So I think Steel they don't know where to put
this number at because they don't know what is his
workload is gonna be. So I think taking Steel over
forty four and a half and laddering it is a
smart play. And I have made the last leg of
(27:01):
my rain Makers. I make these games, and I've pushed
Atlanta up to eight and a half. It's kind of
like the last leg. So I did like three props,
so Nick's, Pollard and Murray, and if all those hit
were sitting good right, and then I just moved the
Falcons up to eight and a half just to get
a little extra juice. And then you could hedge it out, right.
You could take Kansas City minus three and a half
(27:22):
if you put twenty bucks on it to win, like
two hundred and fifty bucks or whatever, and you and
we win the first three legs, then you can decide
what you want to do going into that isolated game
later on the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Bills. I kind
of lean Jags plus five and a half. I don't know,
I don't have a strong feel for it. And then
I guess I'll take the Commanders plus seven and a
(27:44):
half and the points against the Bengals. I did have
Zach Moss anytime touchdown as the last leg of the
other rain Maker, which was Saints minus two and a half,
Ravens minus one and a half. There was one more
in that one, Oh Gibbs over forty nine and a
half rushing, and then Zach Moss anytime touchdown because if
(28:07):
the first three hit, then you could bet Zach Moss
no touchdown at plus money and be sitting pretty good.
So there you have it. Good luck everyone. If you
have any questions, feel free please reach out to me
on social media. Would love the chat and good luck.
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