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October 31, 2025 16 mins
Shaun Rainey breaks down the NFL week 9 slate as well as thoughts on Cats-UNC and Griz-WSU.
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Episode Transcript

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Speaker 1 (00:00):
You rent that young Nah No, I own it. That's
how I feel about this weekend. Pay him paid that,
me and his money joy it, while last gambling gods
fickle bunch, oh so easily offended. Welcome to the Make
It Rainy Podcast. I'm your host, Sean Rady, sponsored by

(00:21):
sports Bet Montana. I know that we haven't had a
pod the last couple of weeks. I apologize for that.
Things have been a little wild. Sex State week leaving
on a Friday really kind of changed the recording date
and time of all this stuff. And have been crazy
busy and trying to figure out a better platform and
a better way of kind of doing this this podcast

(00:43):
because I kind of maybe like to break it up
into some shorter ones or daily, but then, like daily,
I get too busy to give out stuff. So a
lot of the you know, my focus and attention has
been kind of going on the Discord channel, so I
put a lot of my stuff there. So if you
listen to the pod and aren't a member of the
Discord Channel, you need to join, just reach out to me.

(01:05):
I also have put the link out on social media
a lot, but I have a lot of conversations there
and gosh, dang it, we should have hit the Thursday
night football rain maker. Oh that was absolutely brutal. Had
Ravens minus six and a half that was easy, had
waddle over that hit in the first half basically and
eight chan rush yards I hit the first half, and

(01:27):
then we needed Mark Andrews over two and a half
catches and thirty yards and he had two catches for
twenty two yards on the first quarter, didn't have another
catch the rest of the game, and plus sixteen hundred brutal, brutal, brutal, brutal.
I have a few more rain makers this week. Did
a couple different kind of did a couple same game

(01:47):
parlay ones. Really have a good feel, I feel like
in a good sense of how the Colt Steelers game
and the Chiefs Bills game might go. So did a
couple same game parlays with those, and then just regular
prop stuff. So need to hit one. It's been a
couple of weeks, but feeling good about this week. Able

(02:08):
to finally get back into doing a lot of research
with kind of a normal week now and now that
Miszuliu football is over and my sons aren't playing every Sunday,
I'll be able to pay attention a little bit more
to the NFL each and every week, so hopefully we
can kind of get rolling here. Although the props week
to week are always have been, have been, you know,
very good, and I have a I'm very confident in

(02:31):
the props this week. So I think if every single
prop I give out here, I would be shocked. If
we're not over fifty percent on those, I'd be very shocked.
So that's where we're at as far as Kats and
grizz go. The lines moved a little bit. Montana came

(02:52):
out as twenty seven point favorites over wea Were State.
I thought that number was way too high. I just
think that they're gonna be up, you know, three touchdowns,
and they're gonna start playing a lot of guys because
they're not trying to get injured and trying to stay healthy.
And so I was on it. But that's moved down

(03:14):
to twenty three and a half now, so I think
that's kind of more along the correct side of things
and where it should be. Meanwhile, Montana State is twenty
five and a half point favorites on the road at
Northern Colorado. I think I would lean to Northern Colorado
there over you know, three touchdowns on a field goal.
Northern Colorado's been decent and that's a lot of points

(03:35):
on the road. So I would lean to both big
home dogs in the Cats and Grizz games this week.
As far as FCS futures, North code State minus one
seventy five doing the whole thing. I would start pairing
that with some money lines in the NFL that you like,
you know, like I I like, you know, we'll go

(03:58):
through the games, but Colts, Pats, you know whatever. Some
of these money lines, even like the you know, the
Chargers nine and a half against the Titans at minus
five hundred. You could just pair that with North Dakota
State and make that even money bet. But I don't
think anyone's beating North Dakota State. If I had to
do one other one to be Montana State plus twelve fifty,
Montana's ten to one. And I think that Montana State

(04:24):
has a higher ceiling when it comes to playoffs just
because their defense is better. And if Montana State was
able to win out beat UC Davis and Montana in Missoula,
they'd be at home. I think the winner of the
Cat Griz game is gonna go to the National Championship
because I think the winner of that will get home
field throughout the playoffs. And I just don't think anyone's
losing at home of those Montana schools. It's gonna be

(04:46):
a huge game, huge game. All right, let's dive through
it here. We're gonna go pretty quick. Colts at the Steelers.
Colts three and a half point favorites over under fifty
one and a half. Love the Colts, Love the Colts,
I hate the Steelers. I think the Colts can do
whatever they want on offense, but I do think Pittsburgh's
gonna be able to push them a little bit more so.
I really like Daniel Jones over and all of these

(05:09):
props are in a same game. Parlay with the Colts
and Steelers. Just go to Futures NFL Boosts and you'll
see the all the Bettle Sean Rainy one's on there.
Give me Daniel Jones over two hundred and fifty passing yards.
I think he is going to absolutely dice up this
Steelers secondary. I've been on this many weeks in a row.
Caleb Love was in the Rainmaker last week at like

(05:30):
two hundred and forty yards. He threw for like three
to sixty and Alec Pierce against this type of defense
is leads the Colts in targets, yards, success rate, all
of it. So give me Alec Pierce over forty one
and a half receiving yards. But I also think since
the Colts are gonna score a ton of points and
their secondary is the weak point of their team, I
think Aaron Rodgers gonna go over two hundred twenty seven

(05:50):
and a half passing yards, So I'm gonna pair that
with dk Metcalf over fifty eight receiving yards. But think
the Colts can win big in this one. So it
is a kind of Colts money line paired with those
four props for the Radymaker really like it. Minnesota on
the road taking on the Lions lines nine and a
half point favorites. These giant favorites like this have really
been covering at a historic rate over the last year

(06:10):
plus and lately, man they have been rolling. That continued
with Baltimore minus seven and a half against Miami. I
think this one could get ugly as well. I'm gonna
take the Lions. I think Jamiir Gibbs over seventy four
and a half rushing yards. I'm in ros Saint Brown
does really well against the Vikings and against Blitzes, so
look for him. And then I think, if you're looking

(06:32):
for something on the Minnesota Viking side, let's go Addison
over forty six and a half receiving yards. As I
just think they're gonna be down. But I just don't
really trust JJ McCarthy in this one. I just think
this one could get pretty ugly. As far as the
Niners taking on the Giants two and a half point
favorites are the Niners don't have a strong feel for
the side. I would actually lean Giants, but I think

(06:52):
since they're plus two and a half, let's have them
be one of our teaser legs. So let's move the
Giants up to seven and a half. I actually think
that people don't really realize how bad the Niners defense is,
so give me Jackson Dart over two hund and five
passing yards. I think with going to Tracy and Scataboo
being out, I think they're gonna have to throw it

(07:14):
a little bit more. Tracy's more of a pass catching
back than running, and the Niners can't cover anyone Wandell
Robinson over fifty one and a half receiving yards is
a good look as well. But I do like the
Niners and Christian McCaffrey over fourteen and a half longest rush.
I was gonna take his rushing prop because the Giants struggle.

(07:35):
We saw Saquon not be able to get anything going
all year, and then he busts out two huge ones
and it was at sixty seven, and then later in
the day I went to bet it, it was at
seventy seven. So that number is like skyrocketing. But his
longest rush is staying the same. So if I could
have bet him at sixty seven and a half rushing yards,
it's now moved up to seventy seven and a half.

(07:56):
Why wouldn't I just just do his fourteen and a
half longest rush, which hasn't moved at all, So that
is gonna be one of the rain maker picks. Is
dart passing and CMC over fourteen and a half longest rush,
Chargers taking on the Titans Chargers nine and a half
point favorites. I think this is another one where I
think the Chargers are gonna just get up big and
dominate the Titans. Titans or without a bunch of dudes,

(08:18):
including Jeffrey Simmons is out in this one, and that
was really the only guy that was gonna help slow
down the Chargers on offense. I think they're just gonna
do whatever they want, but I think there's a game
where the Charger are gonna get up and then kind
of just sit on it. So we're going justin Herbert
under thirty three and a half pass attempts. He only

(08:38):
had twenty five last week against the Vikings, and he
had one hundred and ninety eight one hundred and ninety
passing yards at halftime. This is a throw the ball,
get up big, and then they're just gonna sit on it.
And Herbert's not gonna throw the ball. So we're going
Herbert under thirty three and a half attempts and no interception.
Let's go Kamani by dal over seventy seven and a
half rushing yards. And I think Taj Spears has kind
of been playing a little bit better than Tony Pollard

(08:59):
as of late, so I think we're get more Spears,
and I think we're getting him in the receiving games
are when Taji Spears over forty two and a half
combined rushing and receiving yards Panthers at the Packers thirteen
and a half. I just no thoughts. Don't like these games,
don't trust Panthers on the road. I guess the Packers
win big, but I also just don't really like this

(09:20):
from a betting perspective, because when the spreads are just
this big, they could just get sol at a whack
that it just throws the props at a whack, And
I just I think the Packers right now it's a good,
really good opportunity to bet Jordan Love, Like I think
that Josh Jacobs is beat up, and so they're starting
to throw it way more over expectation than running it.

(09:41):
Early in the year, they were just feeding it to
Jacobs and playing really slow, and I was really hoping
this is why I love them. Last week against the Steelers,
that just set up perfect for them to just huck
it all over the yard. Obviously not the matchup against
Carolina that we want, so I'd have to look at
the Packers' schedule, but hopefully the Packers are playing some
better teams coming up where we can bank on Love
and the passing attack. Falcons on the road taking on

(10:03):
the Patriots number up to five and a half. I
really like the Patriots in this game, but this number
is this is the classic NFL line here, Like Falcons
have looked shitty, Patriots have looked awesome. So the numbers
up to five and a half, everyone's gonna be on
New England. So that's when you should be betting Atlanta, right.

(10:23):
I just can't do it. I can't do it with Atlanta.
I can't do it with Atlanta on the road. They
scored zero points against the Panthers, they sucked against the
Dolphins at home. They've just been bad on the road.
Their strength is rushing the football. New England's strength on
defense is stopping the run. So with that said, I'm
going be Jon Robinson over thirty five and a half
receiving yards. I just think that the Patriots are gonna

(10:44):
score points in this one. Atlanta's gonna be down and
I don't think that they're gonna be able to run
the ball, but they will get the ball into Bejon Hannes,
So I think it's gonna be in the receiving game.
And Ron J. Stevenson's out, So this Treveon Henderson kind
of the first time where he's gonna be handed the
reins a little bit, and so I'm gonna go over
seventy three and a half combined rushing and receiving yards.
This way neutral gain script. He's also a good pass

(11:06):
catching back. I think he could probably get over this
just rushing by himself. He did, he was close to
it last week. But we'll go combine yards so we
don't have to worry about the game script. Broncos two
and a half point underdogs taking on the Texans. Ah.
I would lean Texans, but this is just the stay away.
This is gonna be an ugly game. I think Denver's

(11:29):
defensive line can really overwhelm Houston. But I'm also in
the train that I've been in a camp that Bonix
is overrated and the Broncos are overrated. But I don't
trust Houston's to score against that front, So I'm just
staying away. Chicago Bears two and a half point favorites

(11:50):
on the road against the Bengals again. I took the
Bengals and survivor last week. They're up fourteen late and
blew it. They probably just pushed the Bengals up. But
let's just take I don't know this. There's a lot
of injuries in this one too. Swift is out, a
bunch of the pass catchers out. I really like look

(12:10):
for Colson Loveland his receiving promps. I think he's gonna
be awesome. But none of these are available right now
because dunsay more, all these guys have been kind of
banged up, and so a lot of the yeah, they
don't really have well, they have a Duneesa receiving yards
and that's it. They don't have anyone else up. So

(12:33):
I would look to Loveland receiving yards and I'll take
Chase Brown over seventy one and a half combined rushing
and receiving. They've been getting him the ball more. They've
been able to run the ball better with Flacco, and
they also, you know, throwing the ball a little bit.
Both these defense sucks, so this is a DFS stuff.
Kyle Manungui probably pretty good. I mean his his combined

(12:56):
rushing receiving is ninety five and a half yards for
the backup running back for the So that kind of
shows you how bad the Bengals defense is. But no
strong lean on the game. Jags three and a half
point favorites on the road taking on the Raiders. I'd
probably take the Raiders three and a half points at
home in this one, coming off of bye the Jags.
I know the both these seems suck, but I don't

(13:17):
think the Jags should be over a field goal favorite
on the road versus many teams. Give me Parker Washington
over thirty nine and a half receiving yards. With Travis
Hunter now placed on IR, Washington was getting a ton
of targets. I watched that London game and have Brian
Thomas in Fantasy, and they just kept throwing it to
Washington and getting ten plus targets a couple times this year.

(13:40):
And so thirty nine against a bad Raiders defense pretty
low number. I think he clears that. Saints fourteen and
a half point underdogs on the road taking on the
Rams again, so high that it's just like I'm just
staying away these games. Is just don't want to watch it,
don't want to bet it, stay away. Game of the way,

(14:00):
Chiefs two and a half point favorites on the road
taken on the Bills. I just think the Chiefs are
the way better team here. I was against the Chiefs
early now I'm on the Chiefs. I think their defense
is better. I think offensively, now that they're kind of
fully healthy, they're just gonna be tough to stop. So
give me the Chiefs in this one. Give me Dn

(14:21):
Kinkate over thirty five and a half receiving yards. If
you look at every game this year where the Bills
have played a good opponent, Kinkaid's gone over. He hasn't
every time that they've played, you know, a crappy opponent
where they haven't had to throw the ball. So I
like Kinkaid over. I like kream Hunt anytime touchdown. And
give me the both both quarterbacks to run the football.

(14:42):
Allen's got over ten rush attempts against the Chiefs, like
every time, and at seven and a half, and give
me Mahomes over four and a half rush attempts. Both
these quarterbacks are gonna want it, and they're both gonna run.
Seahawks on the road taking on the Commanders the numbers
at three and a half. Give me Seattle all day.
I think Washington sucks. I don't think they're good. I
think Seattle's still underrated in the market. Give me Seattle.

(15:02):
They're kind of hard to bet though, because Jasn's numbers
now are like ninety six and a half receiving yards.
It's just kind of crazy, so it's kind of hard
to bet. I kind of like Cooper Cup over thirty
and a half yards, but he was on the injury
report this week, so monitor that if he ends up
being healthy. I would take Cooper Cup or Elijah Arroyo.
It was at like eighteen and a half yards, but

(15:24):
I want to see if Cup is in or out
before playing one of those. Give me Jeremy McNichols over
sixteen and a half receiving yards. They can't Washington not
run the football. I have Crosskey Merritt in fantasy and
they can't. They can't run it, and so McNichols they're
gonna be down in this game. And McNichols getting a
bunch of receiving work went down, So I like that one.
Cardinals two and a half point underdogs on the road

(15:44):
take on the Cowboys. This game will be fun to watch.
We have Marvin Harrison over fifty seven and a half
receiving yards as the last leg of a prop. There's
some injuries on Arizona so they haven't been out and
Kyler's been a little iffy, but I like a lot
of overs In this one. I don't know, I probably
lean Dallas, but over fifty three and a half probably

(16:06):
the way to go. Dallas' defense just epically bad, epically bad.
All right, we'll see if the Blue Jays can get
it done versus the Dodgers tonight. Although I do have
a lot of Dodgers futures, so it's probably not someone
on the planet that hates the Dodgers more than me.
But I do have a lot of Dodgers' futures, so
if they ended up winning, h well, my wallet at

(16:28):
least would be happy. So good luck everyone, have a
great weekend, and let's hit some ray makers.
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