December 19, 2025 • 28 mins
College Football Playoff Preview: Miami vs. Texas A&M | Buckeye Weekly Podcast
In this episode of the Buckeye Weekly Podcast, hosts Tony Gerdeman and Tom Orr preview this weekend's highly anticipated first-round College Football Playoff matchup between Miami and Texas A&M. They discuss the key factors that could determine the outcome, including the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, third-down conversions, red zone efficiency, and the impact of the home-field advantage at Kyle Field. They also analyze the quarterbacks' performances and the defensive capabilities of both teams, to give a comprehensive breakdown of what to expect in this pivotal game. Will Miami's balanced approach and slight advantages in key areas win out, or will Texas A&M's home crowd and defensive pressure seal the victory? Tune in for an in-depth analysis and predictions. Don't forget to subscribe and hit the bell for notifications on future episodes and coverage of the upcoming Cotton Bowl!
00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:11 College Football Playoff Excitement
01:23 Texas A&M vs Miami: Key Matchups
01:35 Texas A&M Offense vs Miami Defense
02:01 Quarterback Performances and Variability
02:57 High Variance Teams and Game Predictions
03:48 Texas A&M's Struggles and Comebacks
04:30 Run Game Challenges and Offensive Strategies
05:45 Third Down and Red Zone Analysis
12:23 Miami's Offense vs Texas A&M's Defense
17:04 Quarterback Comparisons and Key Stats
18:26 Red Zone Efficiency and Scoring Predictions
19:24 Home Field Advantage and Final Thoughts
26:37 Conclusion and Upcoming Content
In this episode of the Buckeye Weekly Podcast, hosts Tony Gerdeman and Tom Orr preview this weekend's highly anticipated first-round College Football Playoff matchup between Miami and Texas A&M. They discuss the key factors that could determine the outcome, including the strengths and weaknesses of both teams, third-down conversions, red zone efficiency, and the impact of the home-field advantage at Kyle Field. They also analyze the quarterbacks' performances and the defensive capabilities of both teams, to give a comprehensive breakdown of what to expect in this pivotal game. Will Miami's balanced approach and slight advantages in key areas win out, or will Texas A&M's home crowd and defensive pressure seal the victory? Tune in for an in-depth analysis and predictions. Don't forget to subscribe and hit the bell for notifications on future episodes and coverage of the upcoming Cotton Bowl!
00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:11 College Football Playoff Excitement
01:23 Texas A&M vs Miami: Key Matchups
01:35 Texas A&M Offense vs Miami Defense
02:01 Quarterback Performances and Variability
02:57 High Variance Teams and Game Predictions
03:48 Texas A&M's Struggles and Comebacks
04:30 Run Game Challenges and Offensive Strategies
05:45 Third Down and Red Zone Analysis
12:23 Miami's Offense vs Texas A&M's Defense
17:04 Quarterback Comparisons and Key Stats
18:26 Red Zone Efficiency and Scoring Predictions
19:24 Home Field Advantage and Final Thoughts
26:37 Conclusion and Upcoming Content
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Hello, everybody, Welcome to the Buckeye Weekly Podcast. I'm Tony
Gerdaman here as always with Tom or Tom.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
How's it going, Tony?
Speaker 3 (00:12):
Almost college football playoff time? I mean it's as we're
recording this, it's literally like hours away from college football
playoff time because there is a Friday night game that
I literally keep forgetting is about to happen. But the
Saturday game, prime time, Tony, as long as you're in
like western Europe, it is prone time for Texas, A
(00:34):
and m and Miami biggest game possibly of the weekend,
certainly the biggest game for Ohio State fans. Prome time,
eleven am local kickoff can't wait.
Speaker 1 (00:46):
But the people in Texas so used to this, so
that if you don't like it, move, as people in
Texas often to say to other people, if you don't
like it, move, and if you don't like the eleven
am kickoffs, move, and Miami fans, if you don't like
the eleven am kickoffs, be the higher seted team, and
then you could be kicking off at twelve pm. See
wouldn't it be better than if you're kicking off at
(01:08):
twelve as opposed to eleven and Frankly, if you just
keep your body clocks at twelve pm, you're getting fine.
Stay on eastern Eastern time and you will be okay.
I promise you don't. Don't worry about checking that extra hour.
It's like, no, no, no, you don't need it. You're fine.
And so we are here to talk about the biggest
game of the year to this point, the one that
Ohios Date fans care about, and Texas A and m
(01:30):
fans care about, in Miami fans care about, and who
cares what anybody else cares about? And so I wanted
to start off. Let's start off with the Texas A
and M offense against the Miami defense. And we've only
watched the most recent games for each of these two teams.
Who watched Texas A and M lose to Texas. We
watched Miami beat up on pitt So that's the most recent,
(01:57):
you know, picture that we have of both teams. And
maybe it clouds my perception of things, but in terms
of the Texas A and M offense, obviously it starts
with Marcel Reid and the quarter quarterback. And when we
talk about Marcel Reid, Tom the biggest memory that I
(02:19):
have of him is the first half against South Carolina.
I think the second biggest memory is the second half
against South Carolina. But I was shocked. I went back
and looked at the stats from that game. He only
threw two interceptions in that game, and I'm telling you,
there could have been five in that first half. And
that's what always always gets me going back to when
I think about Texas A and M, I think about
(02:41):
watching one of the worst quarterback performances I've seen. But
the good news for Texas A and M. And we'll
talk about this later on. The second worst quarterback performance
I've seen was Carson back against Louisville. So I don't
know what to think.
Speaker 3 (02:56):
Basically, yeah, this is a really intriguing day because you
could see almost anything happening here. Normally we'll have this
conversation and it's like, you know, Miami wins by a lot,
Miami wins by a little, Texas A, and m w
wins by a little Texas A and m was by
a lot, and it's like, well, the only thing I
really can't see happening is you know, this team wins
(03:18):
by a lot. I can't see a scenario where that happens.
I could see a scenario where either of these teams
wins this game by three touchdowns, or I could see
a game a scenario where it goes right down to
the final minute. It's these are incredible high variance teams
and just incredibly high variance teams.
Speaker 2 (03:35):
Just you know, you mentioned the Louisville game for Carson.
Speaker 3 (03:38):
BECKI threw zero touchdowns and four interceptions in that game.
You'd like to lose to an unranked team, that is
a great way to do it. So yeah, that's one
side of it. But then the first half for Texas
A and M against South Carolina was at home at
home against a I think four wins South Carolina team,
and they were down thirty to three at the half,
(03:59):
down by twenty seven points at home, almost the last
time Ohio State was down by twenty seven points at home.
You can puzzle that out. While I mean we're probably
talking decades, twenty seven points at home at half against
a four win team, It just it boggles the mind.
And then but then they came back in they won
(04:21):
the game in the second half, like, not in overtime,
like won the game in the second half. And so
you just you have these incredible error bars on both
of these teams. And one of the things that really
I think starts this conversation for me about why this
is such a wildly unpredictable game is I don't think
either of these teams are gonna be able to run
the ball at all, like, not even a little bit.
(04:43):
And and these are two pretty good run defenses, and
they are two not particularly good run offenses. Texas A
and M twenty eighth in the nation in yards per rush,
Miami in terms of yards per rush alloued tenth, and
so I don't think they're gonna be able to run
the ball really much at all, which means you're putting
a lot on Marcel Reid. And frankly, I think a
(05:04):
lot of the rushing for Texas A and M is
probably gonna come through Marcel Reid as well, which then
you're putting.
Speaker 2 (05:10):
A lot on one guy.
Speaker 3 (05:12):
And as you just sort of laid out, like within
one game, he could be a very high Varians player
just by himself.
Speaker 1 (05:20):
Yeah, and he's capable of anything, which is great and
which is also scary. And really, if I see if
anybody rushes for like one hundred and fifty yards in
this one to me, it's because somebody just busted a
sixty yarder and then they've got thirty five other thirty
other rushes for two or three yards a gain. And
then when I look at these both of these teams
(05:41):
will stay with the A and M offense. They are
fifty eighth in the nation on third downs, which is
not great. Miami's defense tenth in the nation again on
third downs. So this is a situation that does not
bode well for Texas A and M. And it's one
where you will probably need Marcel Reid to pick up
(06:04):
four or five, three or four or five third downs
on his feet, and so like that's not a great
situation for Texas.
Speaker 3 (06:13):
A and M.
Speaker 1 (06:13):
Their third downs, they're red zones. They're seventy seventh in
the nation in red zone scoring and Miami's red zone
defense against just regular scoring and touchdown scoring is sixty
ninth nationally. So they're below they're below average. Let's just
call it what it is, especially among Power four teams.
(06:35):
But I don't know that Texas A and M's red
zone offense, the red zone touchdown scoring offense, is forty
second in the nation. They score touchdown on two thirds
of their trips into the red zone. These are not
numbers that are conducive to Texas A and M scoring
you know, routinely or like finishing I guess is what
I should you know, finishing the drive, finishing a series.
(07:00):
They're not going to be in a great spot with this.
It's hard for me to see them. You know, even
if they're staying ahead of schedule, the third down and
putting the ball into the end zone, I think is
going to be difficult for them in this one.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
Yeah, And I don't know how well they're going to
be able to stay on schedule if they can't run
the ball, and so then you then you're getting into
a bunch of third and five, third and six, third
and seven kind of plays. And you know, we're going
to talk about both of these teams. But one of
the strengths for both of these teams is the pass rush,
and they have been able to get home in predict
especially in predictable passing situations. Texas A and M is
(07:34):
first in the nation in sacks, Miami is sixteenth. Both
of them are really really defensive front heavy in terms
of the pass rush. That just creates more you know,
third and six, if you're in third and six. If
you can't run the ball and you get yourself in
third and six, then you have a really binary outcome.
Either you complete the pass and third and six is
(07:56):
an absolutely completeable thing.
Speaker 2 (08:00):
Your pass and you got it like no problem.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
But if you get sacked, then you know, then it's
third and sixteen and then you've lost you know, your
field position, you're giving up the ball, you're taking away
the opportunity to go for it on fourth down if
it's close, you know, if if it's a close late
situation or you're trying to keep up.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
That's all stuff that.
Speaker 3 (08:20):
Makes this game more unpredictable because it swings on one
play here or there, or does this one guy can
the right tackle block this one pass rusher, whether it's
cash As Howl for Texas A and m or Ruben.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
Bain for Miami.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
You know, can you block this one guy on this
one play in order to give your quarterback time to
throw the ball because both these teams have capable quarterbacks,
both these teams have capable wide receiver units. Can you
can you win that one on one battle? And that
is just such an unpredictable piece of this and that
kind of goes to why I just I struggle to
(08:54):
see Texas A and M being able to move the
ball down the field in a can play drive twelve
play drive. I don't think they can consistently execute the
I don't think you'll be able to run the ball
enough to get themselves consistently into third and short. And
I don't think they're gonna be able to execute consistently
enough to be able to convert third and medium, third
and long, especially given the pass rush for Miami. And
(09:16):
at that point then it's like, well, all right, if
you can't get the if you can't keep the chance
moving on first and second down and it's hard to
get into third and third and short, and it's hard
to convert on third and long, well then that sounds
like you're gonna have probably a little bit of a
challenge scoring points.
Speaker 1 (09:32):
Can I Can I change your mind, Tom by letting
you know that Marcel Reid completes two thirds of his
passes on first down, complete sixty three point three percent
of his passes on second down, and then completes forty
eight point six percent of his passes on third down.
Speaker 3 (09:50):
Yes, I don't know a lot about football? Is that good, No, no, no,
I'm getting out.
Speaker 1 (09:57):
Of you know, forty eight point six and it's a
he's fifty four point five on third down and one
to three yards to go, and then from four to
six yards to go he's forty five point five, From
seven to nine yards to go forty seven point six,
and from ten yards or more he's fifty percent. And
so yeah, if you get TEXTA, A and M into
(10:20):
third down, you are going to do a very good
job of closing this thing out and limiting the Texas
A and M offense. That's that's easy football speak, of course,
but third down has not been kind and Miami's defense
has the capability of, as you said, creating havoc on
the defensive line. Because as we watched this game, the
(10:42):
Miami pick game, we both like neither one of us
wrote down a linebacker. Basically in this it was the
front four and it was the secondary that was pretty
much what stood out. And really I think that's what's
going to be the decider, or could be, should be
if it's if Miami wins, that's what's going to decided.
Speaker 3 (11:01):
Yeah, and Texas A and M is not necessarily a
team that's built to challenge a team that's kind of
front four and back for slash five kind of heavy
where if your secondary is good and Moneamy has had
some injuries in the secondary this year, and so if
those guys are really going to be back and healthy
in one hundred percent, then that helps you cover the
(11:22):
guys like Casey Concepcion because Texas A and M can
throw the ball. Texas A and M does have weapons
in the passing game, and if Texas A and M
is throwing the ball, then that opens things up from
Marcel Read to run the ball and then that you know,
whether that's on designed runs or sort of scramble situations.
Speaker 2 (11:40):
Either way, He's going to be a really.
Speaker 3 (11:42):
Important part of this, uh, part of this Texas A
and M uppins because I think some of those third
and fives, third and six is if he's not gonna
be able to throw it consistently, he's going to have
to make some plays with his legs, and we have
seen him he.
Speaker 2 (11:54):
Is a really dynamic runner.
Speaker 3 (11:57):
That that's when you could potentially see Miami's line either
be names that we're writing down for positive reasons or
names that we're writing out for negative reasons. That's kind
of the one area that I look at and think
that could be where you see the Miami linebackers for
good or for ill.
Speaker 1 (12:12):
Yeah, that's a good point in tracking him down, keeping
him basically, if you're gonna cage and then those guys
have to be the ones. The linebackers have to be
the ones that go in and basically clean him up.
Let's go to the other side of the ball and
talk about Miami's offense against Texas A and M's defense,
and I'm I'm going to start off the same place,
and that's third down because Texas A and M has
(12:33):
the number one third down defense in the nation. They
allowing twenty two point seven percent completions on third downs.
Conversions on third downs not good. Miami's twentieth in the nation.
They convert on forty seven percent of their third down attempts,
which is fine, not bad, but when you're running into
an A and M defense that can get after you
(12:55):
with cash as how, it's a lot of the same
stuff that we've been talking about with with the Miami
defensive line, is that the Texas A and M defensive
line is gonna get after Carson Beck. Now, I think
what helps him is. I like Miami's offensive line better
than Texas A and M's offensive line. Their ability to
protect the passer from outside in I think they're pretty
(13:15):
darn good and they leave Carson Beck with a clean pocket.
So to me, I know, Texas A and M as
the SEC defensive player of the year and cash is
how but I like Miami's ability to protect Beck. Now,
I don't think you're gonna save him all day long.
I think you know you're gonna give up some plays.
And it's like in those few instances where Beck is pressured,
(13:39):
because we know he will throw some bad passes when
he's pressured. In those instances, Texas A and M needs
to take advantage of them like Louisville did. And Miami's
two losses this year, you had Carson Beck throw two
interceptions or two touchdowns and six interceptions. Six of his
ten interceptions have come in those two losses this year,
and so that's something that he will provide. But text
(14:03):
to say them needs to be willing to accept and
just hold on to the ball. I guess in the
instance is where you have.
Speaker 3 (14:08):
A chance, yeah, and getting cut Miami to third down
and especially third and sort of medium like that feels
like either team getting into third and medium is going
to be You're going to convert at a very very
low rate. And for Miami, I do like the offensive line,
Like you said, I think I think I give Miami
a little bit of an advantage in the trenches.
Speaker 2 (14:29):
On both sides of the ball. I have not a
ton of.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
Faith in either of these quarterbacks. They're both kind of
is this a good day or a bad day? Is
this a good Carson back day or a bad Carson
back day, because we have certainly seen both of those.
And I think Mike Elko's defense mikeel Elko was renowned
as a defensive defensive mind and does a lot of
the same, you know, not specifically the same, but some
(14:53):
of the broader, you know, real complex coverage, disguised kind
of stuff that we've seen a lot from Patricia with
Ohio State this year, where you get one picture pre
snap and another picture post snap, and that can you know,
you I think I'm getting cover one.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
Oop, it's actually cover two or vice versa.
Speaker 3 (15:12):
Or hey there's there in Tampa and nop, there is
a guy in the middle of the field. How about that?
That's I wasn't expecting to see him there and if
there's pressure, then you can get Carson back to the
point where Okay, now he has to the picture is
changing and his clock's getting sped up. That's where you
get turnovers, that's where you get mistakes, and he is
(15:32):
he will kind of do a little bit of all
the stuff that will drive you crazy with a quarterback,
where he'll hang on to the ball too long, he'll
try and force the ball in somewhere. You know. I
think Carson Beck throwing the ball away that's not a
bad outcome for Miami on a lot of plays because
it feels like if he's just thrown incomplete, that's probably
(15:53):
if Carson Beck doesn't throw an interception, I think there's
a decent chance. I think there's a pretty good chance.
If like that's all you tell me, then I feel
like Miami's probably better than even odds to win this game.
It just I just don't know how much faith to
have in Carson Beck, because they have. He has looked
fantastic the last month. But the defenses we did this
(16:13):
on a show a week or two ago, where the
defenses they've played the best defense they've played in terms
of sp plus was Pit and pits like fiftieth and
then it's a bunch of teams in the eighties and
the hundreds. Texas A and M is way way better
than that. Texas A and M is in terms of
defense twenty first. Now that's not incredible, but it's certainly
(16:34):
the best defense they're going to have played since they've
had those games that they lost, in those games where
Carson Beck looked really kind of lost in Texas A
and M's defense is kind of statistically right around Louisville,
right around SMU where this is not, you know, this
is not the greatest defense in the history of the world,
but it's by far the better.
Speaker 2 (16:52):
Defense than miamis seen in a while. And it's just
again which.
Speaker 3 (16:57):
Carson Beck, do we get and even from play to
play that may swing quite a bit.
Speaker 1 (17:04):
Well, and I give you the third down passing for
Marcel Reeds, I'll do the same thing for Carson Beck.
He's eighty percent on first down, seventy seven percent on
second down, sixty four point seven on third down, and
that includes eleven or twelve on third and between one
and three yards to go, he's two thirds completions on
four to six yards to go some reason, he's forty
(17:26):
eight percent. He's thirteen of twenty seven on seven to nine.
So if you're Texas A and M, try to get
him into that seven to nine. But he's fifteen of
twenty two on third and ten or longer and picked
up five. You know, only five of those third downs
in those twenty two pass attempts, So third down again
a terrible place for both both programs. I think Carson
(17:47):
Beck has shown he's he will complete a higher percentage.
But of those third down he's thrown the ball eighty
five times on third down, completed fifty five of those
fifty five completions, thirty four of them were first down.
So this is also probably some checking down and you
know it's third and eight and you throw it to
the sideline for two yards and then you punt, and frankly,
(18:11):
that's again, as Jim Tressel says, Tom, as we know,
any possession that ends in a kick, you'll take it.
And as you said, if Carson Beck then had thrown
an interception, I might like Miami by seven in this one.
But that's that's you know, we'll see if that's a
possible ask In terms of the red zone situation. Miami
twelfth in the nation scoring in the red zone ninety
(18:33):
two percent conversion rate. That drops to twentieth on touchdowns,
they're seventy one percent conversion rate. Texas A and M
scoring defense the red zone scoring defense one hundred and
thirty first in a nation. If you get in the
red zone, they're gonna allow some sort of a score.
Ninety three point eight percent of the time, comes down
to fifty nine point four percent on touchdowns, so two thirds.
(18:53):
They're sixty seventh in a nation red zone defense allowing touchdowns.
So again, this is an area where I think Miami
cans has more ability to capitalize. Things are more favorable
for them. Doesn't mean they're gonna do it. But another
reason I tend to like Miami's chances here. They do
(19:14):
a better job in the red zone, and Texas well,
Texas A and M they've allowed a lot of scoring,
a lot of scoring in the red zone.
Speaker 3 (19:24):
Yeah, this just feels like a game where if you're
gonna make the argument for Texas A and M, it's
they can maybe pressure Miami into some mistakes on an
offense and you get a turnover, you get a short
field or two and that can swing the game. And
the other thing is the atmosphere at Kyle Field, and
that this is you know, this is gonna be very loud,
this is gonna be very hostile, and this is going
(19:45):
to be by far the most difficult atmosphere that Miami's
faced all season. So I think if you're gonna make
the case for Texas A and M, it's that. If
you're gonna make the case for Miami, it's boy. They
sure seem like they have.
Speaker 2 (19:56):
A lot of little advantages.
Speaker 3 (19:57):
There's not an area that I look at and go
tech A and M is clearly better than Miami in
this area. But if you look just the matchup in
the trenches, I like Miami's offense a little bit, offensive
line a little bit better than Texas A and M's
defensive just a little bit, not a lot, but just
a little bit. And I like Miami's defensive line a
little bit better than Texas A and M's offensive line.
(20:19):
And I think the the special teams, which in a
game that's potentially going to be close, Texas A and
M has had all sorts of kicking issues this year.
They change kickers relatively late in the season, they're eighty
first in sp plus in special teams.
Speaker 2 (20:34):
Miami is twelve.
Speaker 3 (20:35):
And you know, if you have a consistent, reliable kicker
in a game like this, that could make a huge difference.
That could be that could be the difference between who
goes to who moves on to play in the Cotton Bowl,
and who ends up going home. And I just I
look at all this stuff and it just to me
adds up to I think Miami wins this game. I
(20:55):
think it's relatively close. But you know, if someone is
plus two in turnovers, that team is going to win
this game by two scores. Like it just this is
I know that these are always you know, it's always
just well, when the turnover battle, it's one of those
like the network people put that on their keys to
the game graphic and it's just like here's the free
space in the Bengo card. But in a game like
(21:16):
this where neither team is gonna be able to run
the ball particularly well, you're gonna have to throw it.
Speaker 2 (21:22):
And when you.
Speaker 3 (21:23):
Throw it, you know, as what he Hayes once said, Tony,
three things can happen and two are bad.
Speaker 2 (21:28):
Can you avoid?
Speaker 3 (21:29):
You know, only one of them is really bad and
incompletion is not a bad thing in this game, but man,
you get that, you get that one interception somewhere, it
just feels like someone is going to throw a backbreaking
interception in this game at some point. And you know
I am going to I'm going to say Miami wins
(21:49):
this game. I do it with a very you know,
not a huge, you know, high level of confidence, like,
oh yeah, they're gonna just coast in this game. But
it just I keep looking just around the field at
all the different individual matchups, and I just kind of
I keep going, Yeah, I like Miami just a little
bit there. I like Miami just a little bit there,
and it just it feels like that's going to add
(22:10):
up enough to overcome the home field advantage.
Speaker 1 (22:14):
Yeah, I'm with you. And really we didn't say anything
about Malachai Tony or Casey Concepcion, and and maybe whoever
has the biggest game between those two actually decides this
one because it may just be that lone touchdown that
separates somebody. I'm I'm also going with Miami because of
the little things. And this came down to do I
(22:35):
side with what I've seen and what I believe or
do I side with Kyle Field. And that's a tough,
tough situation because I am I am an all time
believer in the home field. Does it always work for me? No, No,
it does not. But I do love the home field advantage,
and I think Texas saydem, you should win your home
(22:56):
games against again in matchup games like this, but I
just see more from Miami that I like, I'm going
twenty four to twenty time. I don't know if you've
wrote a score down, but that's about where I am.
But the other thing is, Tom, this is gonna be
a I believe it's gonna be a one possession game.
And then if you're at home, you have the advantage there,
You've got that, and if you're on the road, you're
(23:18):
dealing with that Carson's back, dealing with the crowd, dealing
with all of that. But if you're also if you're
Marcel Reed, you're down twenty four to twenty in the
fourth quarter with one forty five left, that's a ton
of pressure and you're feeling the weight of all of
those fans in the stands.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Yeah, I mean we have certainly been there for a
bunch of those. You know, both both home and away,
those games where everyone in the stadium is going, oh no,
it's happening in a bad way again. And tack to
a and m Is certainly as a fan base, is
a fan base that is probably a little bit predisposed to,
oh no, it's happening in a bad way again. So
if you get into that scenario, yeah, you can feel
(23:53):
that in the stadium. And I do want to expand
a little bit on the crowd noise piece of this,
just because I want to you know, this is not
just EA sports college football. Oh no, the camera is
shaking and my receivers are confused, like, no, here's here's
how that's actually going to impact the game if it does.
Miami has had a bunch of procedure penalties on the
road on offense, and you get a false start, you
(24:17):
get a delay of game, you have to burn some
time outs. How much were we just talking about the
fact that you got to stay on schedule. They're probably
not gonna be able to run the ball. How crucial
it's going to be to not get in third and long.
If it's third and two and the crowd's loud, does
your right tackle hold his water or not? That might
be the difference in the game, because if you get
to third and seven all of a sudden boom, then
(24:39):
you're then it's a problem. If if they can snap
it with third and two, then okay, maybe that's a
much more convertible third down and that sustains a drive
and that leads to a touchdown as opposed to having
to click the ball away and you not having that
touchdown in what could be a very close game. So yeah,
that's that's where That's another one. Tell me how many
penalties Miami has penalty yardage, because if you know Miami
(25:01):
has eight penalties, even if it's eight penalties for forty
yards and it's just a bunch of five yarders, those
might be drive killers.
Speaker 2 (25:07):
Normally you think, you know, a.
Speaker 3 (25:09):
Holding or a chop block or whatever, or hands to
the face like those being drive killers. In a game
this close where you maybe can't run the ball, those
false starts and delay of game kind of penalties, those
could be the difference. So yeah, I that's that is
I think a really really you know, I'm I'm glad
you mentioned that because that's something we really did need
(25:29):
to sort of lay out a little bit. As far
as a score twenty four to twenty sounds about right,
but maybe just a little bit high. You know, if
if you're not getting short fields, if you're not scoring
on defense or special teams, I'll say like twenty one
to seventeen, like a little lower than that. But this
(25:50):
just this to me feels like it's probably a fairly
defensive game. Not as low scoring as the Alabama Oklahoma game.
That's that might be a touchdown less even than this,
but uneat for each team. But this one just feels close,
low scoring, and man, it is just going to come
down to those one or two plays. But I will
(26:11):
I will give Miami a slight edge here.
Speaker 1 (26:16):
You know, you mentioned the penalties and the procedures and
things of that nature, and that's why Tom, I'm going
twenty four to twenty Texas A and m as well.
One of these two teams well with this game by
a score of twenty four to twenty, and it just
depends on who doesn't screw up more basically. So yeah,
(26:36):
I'm looking forward to it. We're gonna find out some
stuff and then once this game is over, it is
full bore into the Cotton Bowl coverage and we'll have
it broken down into as many possible ways as we
can break this thing down. And you guys saw what
we did for the Michigan game. We're going to do
the same thing for this and we've got good newsers,
We've got a little bit more time to do it.
So it means more content as well, and a a
(27:01):
lot of fun, a lot of information, a lot of
games to rewatch. It's just it'll be nice to know
which games, frankly, to start watching. And of course, if
you guys want to see those videos when we drop them,
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(27:23):
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(27:45):
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So that will do it for me here. Thank you
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all later
Hello, everybody, Welcome to the Buckeye Weekly Podcast. I'm Tony
Gerdaman here as always with Tom or Tom.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
How's it going, Tony?
Speaker 3 (00:12):
Almost college football playoff time? I mean it's as we're
recording this, it's literally like hours away from college football
playoff time because there is a Friday night game that
I literally keep forgetting is about to happen. But the
Saturday game, prime time, Tony, as long as you're in
like western Europe, it is prone time for Texas, A
(00:34):
and m and Miami biggest game possibly of the weekend,
certainly the biggest game for Ohio State fans. Prome time,
eleven am local kickoff can't wait.
Speaker 1 (00:46):
But the people in Texas so used to this, so
that if you don't like it, move, as people in
Texas often to say to other people, if you don't
like it, move, and if you don't like the eleven
am kickoffs, move, and Miami fans, if you don't like
the eleven am kickoffs, be the higher seted team, and
then you could be kicking off at twelve pm. See
wouldn't it be better than if you're kicking off at
(01:08):
twelve as opposed to eleven and Frankly, if you just
keep your body clocks at twelve pm, you're getting fine.
Stay on eastern Eastern time and you will be okay.
I promise you don't. Don't worry about checking that extra hour.
It's like, no, no, no, you don't need it. You're fine.
And so we are here to talk about the biggest
game of the year to this point, the one that
Ohios Date fans care about, and Texas A and m
(01:30):
fans care about, in Miami fans care about, and who
cares what anybody else cares about? And so I wanted
to start off. Let's start off with the Texas A
and M offense against the Miami defense. And we've only
watched the most recent games for each of these two teams.
Who watched Texas A and M lose to Texas. We
watched Miami beat up on pitt So that's the most recent,
(01:57):
you know, picture that we have of both teams. And
maybe it clouds my perception of things, but in terms
of the Texas A and M offense, obviously it starts
with Marcel Reid and the quarter quarterback. And when we
talk about Marcel Reid, Tom the biggest memory that I
(02:19):
have of him is the first half against South Carolina.
I think the second biggest memory is the second half
against South Carolina. But I was shocked. I went back
and looked at the stats from that game. He only
threw two interceptions in that game, and I'm telling you,
there could have been five in that first half. And
that's what always always gets me going back to when
I think about Texas A and M, I think about
(02:41):
watching one of the worst quarterback performances I've seen. But
the good news for Texas A and M. And we'll
talk about this later on. The second worst quarterback performance
I've seen was Carson back against Louisville. So I don't
know what to think.
Speaker 3 (02:56):
Basically, yeah, this is a really intriguing day because you
could see almost anything happening here. Normally we'll have this
conversation and it's like, you know, Miami wins by a lot,
Miami wins by a little, Texas A, and m w
wins by a little Texas A and m was by
a lot, and it's like, well, the only thing I
really can't see happening is you know, this team wins
(03:18):
by a lot. I can't see a scenario where that happens.
I could see a scenario where either of these teams
wins this game by three touchdowns, or I could see
a game a scenario where it goes right down to
the final minute. It's these are incredible high variance teams
and just incredibly high variance teams.
Speaker 2 (03:35):
Just you know, you mentioned the Louisville game for Carson.
Speaker 3 (03:38):
BECKI threw zero touchdowns and four interceptions in that game.
You'd like to lose to an unranked team, that is
a great way to do it. So yeah, that's one
side of it. But then the first half for Texas
A and M against South Carolina was at home at
home against a I think four wins South Carolina team,
and they were down thirty to three at the half,
(03:59):
down by twenty seven points at home, almost the last
time Ohio State was down by twenty seven points at home.
You can puzzle that out. While I mean we're probably
talking decades, twenty seven points at home at half against
a four win team, It just it boggles the mind.
And then but then they came back in they won
(04:21):
the game in the second half, like, not in overtime,
like won the game in the second half. And so
you just you have these incredible error bars on both
of these teams. And one of the things that really
I think starts this conversation for me about why this
is such a wildly unpredictable game is I don't think
either of these teams are gonna be able to run
the ball at all, like, not even a little bit.
(04:43):
And and these are two pretty good run defenses, and
they are two not particularly good run offenses. Texas A
and M twenty eighth in the nation in yards per rush,
Miami in terms of yards per rush alloued tenth, and
so I don't think they're gonna be able to run
the ball really much at all, which means you're putting
a lot on Marcel Reid. And frankly, I think a
(05:04):
lot of the rushing for Texas A and M is
probably gonna come through Marcel Reid as well, which then
you're putting.
Speaker 2 (05:10):
A lot on one guy.
Speaker 3 (05:12):
And as you just sort of laid out, like within
one game, he could be a very high Varians player
just by himself.
Speaker 1 (05:20):
Yeah, and he's capable of anything, which is great and
which is also scary. And really, if I see if
anybody rushes for like one hundred and fifty yards in
this one to me, it's because somebody just busted a
sixty yarder and then they've got thirty five other thirty
other rushes for two or three yards a gain. And
then when I look at these both of these teams
(05:41):
will stay with the A and M offense. They are
fifty eighth in the nation on third downs, which is
not great. Miami's defense tenth in the nation again on
third downs. So this is a situation that does not
bode well for Texas A and M. And it's one
where you will probably need Marcel Reid to pick up
(06:04):
four or five, three or four or five third downs
on his feet, and so like that's not a great
situation for Texas.
Speaker 3 (06:13):
A and M.
Speaker 1 (06:13):
Their third downs, they're red zones. They're seventy seventh in
the nation in red zone scoring and Miami's red zone
defense against just regular scoring and touchdown scoring is sixty
ninth nationally. So they're below they're below average. Let's just
call it what it is, especially among Power four teams.
(06:35):
But I don't know that Texas A and M's red
zone offense, the red zone touchdown scoring offense, is forty
second in the nation. They score touchdown on two thirds
of their trips into the red zone. These are not
numbers that are conducive to Texas A and M scoring
you know, routinely or like finishing I guess is what
I should you know, finishing the drive, finishing a series.
(07:00):
They're not going to be in a great spot with this.
It's hard for me to see them. You know, even
if they're staying ahead of schedule, the third down and
putting the ball into the end zone, I think is
going to be difficult for them in this one.
Speaker 3 (07:12):
Yeah, And I don't know how well they're going to
be able to stay on schedule if they can't run
the ball, and so then you then you're getting into
a bunch of third and five, third and six, third
and seven kind of plays. And you know, we're going
to talk about both of these teams. But one of
the strengths for both of these teams is the pass rush,
and they have been able to get home in predict
especially in predictable passing situations. Texas A and M is
(07:34):
first in the nation in sacks, Miami is sixteenth. Both
of them are really really defensive front heavy in terms
of the pass rush. That just creates more you know,
third and six, if you're in third and six. If
you can't run the ball and you get yourself in
third and six, then you have a really binary outcome.
Either you complete the pass and third and six is
(07:56):
an absolutely completeable thing.
Speaker 2 (08:00):
Your pass and you got it like no problem.
Speaker 3 (08:01):
But if you get sacked, then you know, then it's
third and sixteen and then you've lost you know, your
field position, you're giving up the ball, you're taking away
the opportunity to go for it on fourth down if
it's close, you know, if if it's a close late
situation or you're trying to keep up.
Speaker 2 (08:18):
That's all stuff that.
Speaker 3 (08:20):
Makes this game more unpredictable because it swings on one
play here or there, or does this one guy can
the right tackle block this one pass rusher, whether it's
cash As Howl for Texas A and m or Ruben.
Speaker 2 (08:32):
Bain for Miami.
Speaker 3 (08:34):
You know, can you block this one guy on this
one play in order to give your quarterback time to
throw the ball because both these teams have capable quarterbacks,
both these teams have capable wide receiver units. Can you
can you win that one on one battle? And that
is just such an unpredictable piece of this and that
kind of goes to why I just I struggle to
(08:54):
see Texas A and M being able to move the
ball down the field in a can play drive twelve
play drive. I don't think they can consistently execute the
I don't think you'll be able to run the ball
enough to get themselves consistently into third and short. And
I don't think they're gonna be able to execute consistently
enough to be able to convert third and medium, third
and long, especially given the pass rush for Miami. And
(09:16):
at that point then it's like, well, all right, if
you can't get the if you can't keep the chance
moving on first and second down and it's hard to
get into third and third and short, and it's hard
to convert on third and long, well then that sounds
like you're gonna have probably a little bit of a
challenge scoring points.
Speaker 1 (09:32):
Can I Can I change your mind, Tom by letting
you know that Marcel Reid completes two thirds of his
passes on first down, complete sixty three point three percent
of his passes on second down, and then completes forty
eight point six percent of his passes on third down.
Speaker 3 (09:50):
Yes, I don't know a lot about football? Is that good, No, no, no,
I'm getting out.
Speaker 1 (09:57):
Of you know, forty eight point six and it's a
he's fifty four point five on third down and one
to three yards to go, and then from four to
six yards to go he's forty five point five, From
seven to nine yards to go forty seven point six,
and from ten yards or more he's fifty percent. And
so yeah, if you get TEXTA, A and M into
(10:20):
third down, you are going to do a very good
job of closing this thing out and limiting the Texas
A and M offense. That's that's easy football speak, of course,
but third down has not been kind and Miami's defense
has the capability of, as you said, creating havoc on
the defensive line. Because as we watched this game, the
(10:42):
Miami pick game, we both like neither one of us
wrote down a linebacker. Basically in this it was the
front four and it was the secondary that was pretty
much what stood out. And really I think that's what's
going to be the decider, or could be, should be
if it's if Miami wins, that's what's going to decided.
Speaker 3 (11:01):
Yeah, and Texas A and M is not necessarily a
team that's built to challenge a team that's kind of
front four and back for slash five kind of heavy
where if your secondary is good and Moneamy has had
some injuries in the secondary this year, and so if
those guys are really going to be back and healthy
in one hundred percent, then that helps you cover the
(11:22):
guys like Casey Concepcion because Texas A and M can
throw the ball. Texas A and M does have weapons
in the passing game, and if Texas A and M
is throwing the ball, then that opens things up from
Marcel Read to run the ball and then that you know,
whether that's on designed runs or sort of scramble situations.
Speaker 2 (11:40):
Either way, He's going to be a really.
Speaker 3 (11:42):
Important part of this, uh, part of this Texas A
and M uppins because I think some of those third
and fives, third and six is if he's not gonna
be able to throw it consistently, he's going to have
to make some plays with his legs, and we have
seen him he.
Speaker 2 (11:54):
Is a really dynamic runner.
Speaker 3 (11:57):
That that's when you could potentially see Miami's line either
be names that we're writing down for positive reasons or
names that we're writing out for negative reasons. That's kind
of the one area that I look at and think
that could be where you see the Miami linebackers for
good or for ill.
Speaker 1 (12:12):
Yeah, that's a good point in tracking him down, keeping
him basically, if you're gonna cage and then those guys
have to be the ones. The linebackers have to be
the ones that go in and basically clean him up.
Let's go to the other side of the ball and
talk about Miami's offense against Texas A and M's defense,
and I'm I'm going to start off the same place,
and that's third down because Texas A and M has
(12:33):
the number one third down defense in the nation. They
allowing twenty two point seven percent completions on third downs.
Conversions on third downs not good. Miami's twentieth in the nation.
They convert on forty seven percent of their third down attempts,
which is fine, not bad, but when you're running into
an A and M defense that can get after you
(12:55):
with cash as how, it's a lot of the same
stuff that we've been talking about with with the Miami
defensive line, is that the Texas A and M defensive
line is gonna get after Carson Beck. Now, I think
what helps him is. I like Miami's offensive line better
than Texas A and M's offensive line. Their ability to
protect the passer from outside in I think they're pretty
(13:15):
darn good and they leave Carson Beck with a clean pocket.
So to me, I know, Texas A and M as
the SEC defensive player of the year and cash is
how but I like Miami's ability to protect Beck. Now,
I don't think you're gonna save him all day long.
I think you know you're gonna give up some plays.
And it's like in those few instances where Beck is pressured,
(13:39):
because we know he will throw some bad passes when
he's pressured. In those instances, Texas A and M needs
to take advantage of them like Louisville did. And Miami's
two losses this year, you had Carson Beck throw two
interceptions or two touchdowns and six interceptions. Six of his
ten interceptions have come in those two losses this year,
and so that's something that he will provide. But text
(14:03):
to say them needs to be willing to accept and
just hold on to the ball. I guess in the
instance is where you have.
Speaker 3 (14:08):
A chance, yeah, and getting cut Miami to third down
and especially third and sort of medium like that feels
like either team getting into third and medium is going
to be You're going to convert at a very very
low rate. And for Miami, I do like the offensive line,
Like you said, I think I think I give Miami
a little bit of an advantage in the trenches.
Speaker 2 (14:29):
On both sides of the ball. I have not a
ton of.
Speaker 3 (14:33):
Faith in either of these quarterbacks. They're both kind of
is this a good day or a bad day? Is
this a good Carson back day or a bad Carson
back day, because we have certainly seen both of those.
And I think Mike Elko's defense mikeel Elko was renowned
as a defensive defensive mind and does a lot of
the same, you know, not specifically the same, but some
(14:53):
of the broader, you know, real complex coverage, disguised kind
of stuff that we've seen a lot from Patricia with
Ohio State this year, where you get one picture pre
snap and another picture post snap, and that can you know,
you I think I'm getting cover one.
Speaker 2 (15:09):
Oop, it's actually cover two or vice versa.
Speaker 3 (15:12):
Or hey there's there in Tampa and nop, there is
a guy in the middle of the field. How about that?
That's I wasn't expecting to see him there and if
there's pressure, then you can get Carson back to the
point where Okay, now he has to the picture is
changing and his clock's getting sped up. That's where you
get turnovers, that's where you get mistakes, and he is
(15:32):
he will kind of do a little bit of all
the stuff that will drive you crazy with a quarterback,
where he'll hang on to the ball too long, he'll
try and force the ball in somewhere. You know. I
think Carson Beck throwing the ball away that's not a
bad outcome for Miami on a lot of plays because
it feels like if he's just thrown incomplete, that's probably
(15:53):
if Carson Beck doesn't throw an interception, I think there's
a decent chance. I think there's a pretty good chance.
If like that's all you tell me, then I feel
like Miami's probably better than even odds to win this game.
It just I just don't know how much faith to
have in Carson Beck, because they have. He has looked
fantastic the last month. But the defenses we did this
(16:13):
on a show a week or two ago, where the
defenses they've played the best defense they've played in terms
of sp plus was Pit and pits like fiftieth and
then it's a bunch of teams in the eighties and
the hundreds. Texas A and M is way way better
than that. Texas A and M is in terms of
defense twenty first. Now that's not incredible, but it's certainly
(16:34):
the best defense they're going to have played since they've
had those games that they lost, in those games where
Carson Beck looked really kind of lost in Texas A
and M's defense is kind of statistically right around Louisville,
right around SMU where this is not, you know, this
is not the greatest defense in the history of the world,
but it's by far the better.
Speaker 2 (16:52):
Defense than miamis seen in a while. And it's just
again which.
Speaker 3 (16:57):
Carson Beck, do we get and even from play to
play that may swing quite a bit.
Speaker 1 (17:04):
Well, and I give you the third down passing for
Marcel Reeds, I'll do the same thing for Carson Beck.
He's eighty percent on first down, seventy seven percent on
second down, sixty four point seven on third down, and
that includes eleven or twelve on third and between one
and three yards to go, he's two thirds completions on
four to six yards to go some reason, he's forty
(17:26):
eight percent. He's thirteen of twenty seven on seven to nine.
So if you're Texas A and M, try to get
him into that seven to nine. But he's fifteen of
twenty two on third and ten or longer and picked
up five. You know, only five of those third downs
in those twenty two pass attempts, So third down again
a terrible place for both both programs. I think Carson
(17:47):
Beck has shown he's he will complete a higher percentage.
But of those third down he's thrown the ball eighty
five times on third down, completed fifty five of those
fifty five completions, thirty four of them were first down.
So this is also probably some checking down and you
know it's third and eight and you throw it to
the sideline for two yards and then you punt, and frankly,
(18:11):
that's again, as Jim Tressel says, Tom, as we know,
any possession that ends in a kick, you'll take it.
And as you said, if Carson Beck then had thrown
an interception, I might like Miami by seven in this one.
But that's that's you know, we'll see if that's a
possible ask In terms of the red zone situation. Miami
twelfth in the nation scoring in the red zone ninety
(18:33):
two percent conversion rate. That drops to twentieth on touchdowns,
they're seventy one percent conversion rate. Texas A and M
scoring defense the red zone scoring defense one hundred and
thirty first in a nation. If you get in the
red zone, they're gonna allow some sort of a score.
Ninety three point eight percent of the time, comes down
to fifty nine point four percent on touchdowns, so two thirds.
(18:53):
They're sixty seventh in a nation red zone defense allowing touchdowns.
So again, this is an area where I think Miami
cans has more ability to capitalize. Things are more favorable
for them. Doesn't mean they're gonna do it. But another
reason I tend to like Miami's chances here. They do
(19:14):
a better job in the red zone, and Texas well,
Texas A and M they've allowed a lot of scoring,
a lot of scoring in the red zone.
Speaker 3 (19:24):
Yeah, this just feels like a game where if you're
gonna make the argument for Texas A and M, it's
they can maybe pressure Miami into some mistakes on an
offense and you get a turnover, you get a short
field or two and that can swing the game. And
the other thing is the atmosphere at Kyle Field, and
that this is you know, this is gonna be very loud,
this is gonna be very hostile, and this is going
(19:45):
to be by far the most difficult atmosphere that Miami's
faced all season. So I think if you're gonna make
the case for Texas A and M, it's that. If
you're gonna make the case for Miami, it's boy. They
sure seem like they have.
Speaker 2 (19:56):
A lot of little advantages.
Speaker 3 (19:57):
There's not an area that I look at and go
tech A and M is clearly better than Miami in
this area. But if you look just the matchup in
the trenches, I like Miami's offense a little bit, offensive
line a little bit better than Texas A and M's
defensive just a little bit, not a lot, but just
a little bit. And I like Miami's defensive line a
little bit better than Texas A and M's offensive line.
(20:19):
And I think the the special teams, which in a
game that's potentially going to be close, Texas A and
M has had all sorts of kicking issues this year.
They change kickers relatively late in the season, they're eighty
first in sp plus in special teams.
Speaker 2 (20:34):
Miami is twelve.
Speaker 3 (20:35):
And you know, if you have a consistent, reliable kicker
in a game like this, that could make a huge difference.
That could be that could be the difference between who
goes to who moves on to play in the Cotton Bowl,
and who ends up going home. And I just I
look at all this stuff and it just to me
adds up to I think Miami wins this game. I
(20:55):
think it's relatively close. But you know, if someone is
plus two in turnovers, that team is going to win
this game by two scores. Like it just this is
I know that these are always you know, it's always
just well, when the turnover battle, it's one of those
like the network people put that on their keys to
the game graphic and it's just like here's the free
space in the Bengo card. But in a game like
(21:16):
this where neither team is gonna be able to run
the ball particularly well, you're gonna have to throw it.
Speaker 2 (21:22):
And when you.
Speaker 3 (21:23):
Throw it, you know, as what he Hayes once said, Tony,
three things can happen and two are bad.
Speaker 2 (21:28):
Can you avoid?
Speaker 3 (21:29):
You know, only one of them is really bad and
incompletion is not a bad thing in this game, but man,
you get that, you get that one interception somewhere, it
just feels like someone is going to throw a backbreaking
interception in this game at some point. And you know
I am going to I'm going to say Miami wins
(21:49):
this game. I do it with a very you know,
not a huge, you know, high level of confidence, like,
oh yeah, they're gonna just coast in this game. But
it just I keep looking just around the field at
all the different individual matchups, and I just kind of
I keep going, Yeah, I like Miami just a little
bit there. I like Miami just a little bit there,
and it just it feels like that's going to add
(22:10):
up enough to overcome the home field advantage.
Speaker 1 (22:14):
Yeah, I'm with you. And really we didn't say anything
about Malachai Tony or Casey Concepcion, and and maybe whoever
has the biggest game between those two actually decides this
one because it may just be that lone touchdown that
separates somebody. I'm I'm also going with Miami because of
the little things. And this came down to do I
(22:35):
side with what I've seen and what I believe or
do I side with Kyle Field. And that's a tough,
tough situation because I am I am an all time
believer in the home field. Does it always work for me? No, No,
it does not. But I do love the home field advantage,
and I think Texas saydem, you should win your home
(22:56):
games against again in matchup games like this, but I
just see more from Miami that I like, I'm going
twenty four to twenty time. I don't know if you've
wrote a score down, but that's about where I am.
But the other thing is, Tom, this is gonna be
a I believe it's gonna be a one possession game.
And then if you're at home, you have the advantage there,
You've got that, and if you're on the road, you're
(23:18):
dealing with that Carson's back, dealing with the crowd, dealing
with all of that. But if you're also if you're
Marcel Reed, you're down twenty four to twenty in the
fourth quarter with one forty five left, that's a ton
of pressure and you're feeling the weight of all of
those fans in the stands.
Speaker 3 (23:32):
Yeah, I mean we have certainly been there for a
bunch of those. You know, both both home and away,
those games where everyone in the stadium is going, oh no,
it's happening in a bad way again. And tack to
a and m Is certainly as a fan base, is
a fan base that is probably a little bit predisposed to,
oh no, it's happening in a bad way again. So
if you get into that scenario, yeah, you can feel
(23:53):
that in the stadium. And I do want to expand
a little bit on the crowd noise piece of this,
just because I want to you know, this is not
just EA sports college football. Oh no, the camera is
shaking and my receivers are confused, like, no, here's here's
how that's actually going to impact the game if it does.
Miami has had a bunch of procedure penalties on the
road on offense, and you get a false start, you
(24:17):
get a delay of game, you have to burn some
time outs. How much were we just talking about the
fact that you got to stay on schedule. They're probably
not gonna be able to run the ball. How crucial
it's going to be to not get in third and long.
If it's third and two and the crowd's loud, does
your right tackle hold his water or not? That might
be the difference in the game, because if you get
to third and seven all of a sudden boom, then
(24:39):
you're then it's a problem. If if they can snap
it with third and two, then okay, maybe that's a
much more convertible third down and that sustains a drive
and that leads to a touchdown as opposed to having
to click the ball away and you not having that
touchdown in what could be a very close game. So yeah,
that's that's where That's another one. Tell me how many
penalties Miami has penalty yardage, because if you know Miami
(25:01):
has eight penalties, even if it's eight penalties for forty
yards and it's just a bunch of five yarders, those
might be drive killers.
Speaker 2 (25:07):
Normally you think, you know, a.
Speaker 3 (25:09):
Holding or a chop block or whatever, or hands to
the face like those being drive killers. In a game
this close where you maybe can't run the ball, those
false starts and delay of game kind of penalties, those
could be the difference. So yeah, I that's that is
I think a really really you know, I'm I'm glad
you mentioned that because that's something we really did need
(25:29):
to sort of lay out a little bit. As far
as a score twenty four to twenty sounds about right,
but maybe just a little bit high. You know, if
if you're not getting short fields, if you're not scoring
on defense or special teams, I'll say like twenty one
to seventeen, like a little lower than that. But this
(25:50):
just this to me feels like it's probably a fairly
defensive game. Not as low scoring as the Alabama Oklahoma game.
That's that might be a touchdown less even than this,
but uneat for each team. But this one just feels close,
low scoring, and man, it is just going to come
down to those one or two plays. But I will
(26:11):
I will give Miami a slight edge here.
Speaker 1 (26:16):
You know, you mentioned the penalties and the procedures and
things of that nature, and that's why Tom, I'm going
twenty four to twenty Texas A and m as well.
One of these two teams well with this game by
a score of twenty four to twenty, and it just
depends on who doesn't screw up more basically. So yeah,
(26:36):
I'm looking forward to it. We're gonna find out some
stuff and then once this game is over, it is
full bore into the Cotton Bowl coverage and we'll have
it broken down into as many possible ways as we
can break this thing down. And you guys saw what
we did for the Michigan game. We're going to do
the same thing for this and we've got good newsers,
We've got a little bit more time to do it.
So it means more content as well, and a a
(27:01):
lot of fun, a lot of information, a lot of
games to rewatch. It's just it'll be nice to know
which games, frankly, to start watching. And of course, if
you guys want to see those videos when we drop them,
subscribe to the channel. If you know you've done so,
and if you're watching right now, hit the thumbs up.
We'd appreciate that. Hit the bell to be notified when
things get dropped, because there will be plenty of stuff
coming and of course we're gonna be talking about all
(27:23):
of this. Anie Buck, I had a message board presented
by Jeffreyby's Columbus. Would love to see you there. Sign
up there Audio platforms Buck, Guys, Tomorrow Morning, Tom's were
every Day show. Subscribe to that one. It'll drop into
your phone, to your laptop, to your television wherever you
need it. Of course, Buckeye Weekly, The Skull session recruiting podcast,
(27:45):
you get Primetime buckeyehad a Prime Time with Juck. You
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choice and of course YouTube dot com slash bucke Huddle.
So that will do it for me here. Thank you
all for tuning in and we will talk to you
all later
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