S4 EP 33 CHELTENHAM SUCCESS

This week, I look back at my bets from the weekend's games. I also go over at my Cheltenham winnings as well as my selections for this week's bets.

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Episode Transcript

(00:01):
You call yourself for me. Youknow you're a lying in low life more
fucking gambling degenuar trick. You knowthat's what you are. Well, helloly,
degenerate fox, and welcome to thedegenerate Gambler. It's a Thursday to
twenty first of March. It's like, fuck me, you are marking over

(00:22):
marking the re cour of the yearThameslan. But look this week, so
back when our episode slightly different,I have not done I haven't looked back
at my last week's bets. Ihaven't done any stats. Busy this week.
As I said, it was goingon holiday tomorrow, so there'll be

(00:43):
no episode next week. But look, I want to just get beats picked
because I don't want to get thatout of the way. I get it
done on it. Had also lookedover my rape best to see how they're
going. I already had that doneso and then I cut yesterday and I
hadn't done had to look back atmy bets and I hadn't looked at the

(01:03):
starts, so that usually takes acouple of hours. But anyway, a
few of the bets were already butrest we're mostly shit. I did have
a decent week of chatting them overthree hundred and fifteen pounds in winnings and
it was over one hundred and thirtyin profit. So I'll take that as
I say. I'll just be givingthe my out rates. I'll be giving
two bats for the weekend, whichI've already placed. There's not much in

(01:27):
midweek, so while I'm away,at least it means I'm not looking this
nowt on good gambling. So yeah, so let's just get into it.
So the sart of season, Idid four eight rate beats. Two are
fucked and two are okay, butyou know I need I need some stuff

(01:47):
to happen in them. But I'llget into the two that are that are
they are basically done. I hadsuffered to finished top half. They're currently
eleven points away from the top half. Bad season. Scunthorpe to win the
league. They're currently thirteen points behindwith a game in hant Millwall top off.
There are eleven points away from that. Labor Cluse in top four the

(02:09):
top of the league. Linfield towin the league. They are two points
behind Lauren. So you know,Lymfield could then win the league. The
others I wouldn't expect to be turnedaround when we're in the last sort of
eat the ten games next, andthis one is already and this is this
is not just nearly fucked. Thisis beat because I had Wolves to get

(02:32):
relegated. They're already on forty oddpoints, so they're not going to get
relegated. It may seem like astupid selection now, but at the start
of the season when I placed this, even before the start of the season,
it was before they sacked that managerand brought in Gary O'Neal, and
he had been on complaining about youknow, he wasn't getting any transfer funds,
he didn't like the squad, hedidn't have it, he didn't know

(02:53):
what he could do with his squad, and blah blah blah. So that's
usually a recipe for disaster. Soif he had stayed there even for a
few months, you know, wenton a losing streak, bringing in a
new manager might not have had theimpact that it's had. But the broad
and Gary O'Neal, who you haveto say, he's done a brniant job
with the squad that was already there. I haven't really spent any money and
he, you know, I thinkit was born with last year. He

(03:15):
did a good job and they neverkept him on for some reason, and
he s went the Wolves and he'shit the ground running, so for a
play to him. But that hasbeat this bat because they cannot get relegated
from here. I don't think,you know, forty forty one points or
something the wrong. So usually thelast couple of years has been in the
high thirties, so they're definitely seeingthe next one that was suthing to be

(03:39):
promoted. They're currently fourth name pointsaway from automatic promotion, but obviously still
have the playoffs. Wickham really disappointed. Don't work them this year. They
came down from the championship so Ithought they would have been one of the
stronger sage in League One. Doesn'thave that many you know, massive teams
in it this year. You know, let me see Postsmouth, you know,

(04:02):
big club, Darby Spalls boating,but you know peter Worth, Barnsley,
Oxford, Lincoln, steven Eeds,Blackpool lit Only wigging all above them.
You know. Not not the mostcompetitive League one' heard of what it's
been in a few years. Butanyway, no chance. There's thirteen points

(04:26):
away from the playoffs and then lastlyHamilton had Hamilton to win the league.
They're currently seventeen points away from that. So look, those two are absolutely
then buried. But two that aregoing. Okay, this first one here,
I'm going to say the six elections, and five of them are I
have this rope down in red andgreen reds, but green is good.

(04:49):
That one has five in the greenand only one red. So the red
one is the first one, whichis Middlesbrough. Middlesborough finished top six,
so that's playoffs, which seemed likean easy bat at the start of the
season, but they've had a bitof a bad season. They're in good
form, but I just don't knowif it's enough games left. I mean

(05:09):
the championship. You know, youput two or three wins together, you
know you can you can fly upthat league. I mean the minute,
what leads are top joint top ofLeicester. Then they've switched Southampton West brom
who haven't been a great form,Norwich who's done well recently, below that
whole Caventary precedent. Then then Middlesbrough, so they're on fifty four points and

(05:33):
Norwich are on sixty one, sothere's seven points behind. I don't know,
haven't looked at the fixers. Dothey play each other? Do those
teams in and around each other playeach other? You know, you're West
brom, your Southampton's, your Norwich's, whole caventary blah blah blah. So
we know that the championship the topof topsy Turvy league and sometimes there is
a team that sneaks into the playoffs, you know, in the last sort

(05:56):
of the eight the ten games,and they're the ones that end up getting
up middle probably hoping for that,as I say, currently seven points away.
So you know it's two wins ina draw, better off than Norwich.
But look, we'll see how itgoes. Look at it again,
maybe in three weeks. But ofthem bets, that's the only one that's
not looking good. So the nextone was Peterburg top six. They're currently

(06:20):
fourth, eight points above the playoffs, Mansfield top seven, which is playoffs
their first fifteen points away from theseventh place. A CML on top four,
currently second in the league and thereplus four plus eight points Galla pass
right to win the league only twopoints clear but still top Chaffey need to

(06:40):
be relegated. Their bottom of theleague eight points away from safety. So
you know, I just hope Louieskeep taking along well and Middlesbrough get maybe
two three wins here out of thenext three or four games and maybe stay
at least stay undefeated. And I'mhoping that West Bromer Norwich go on a
bit of you know, a hugerows and the defeat ken of Run.

(07:02):
So that's that one. Next nextis, oh, so I had goals
bet to be top scorer of yourclub. So I had four selections as
a Ali Watkins, Salah Reichford,so as a is joint top goal scorer

(07:23):
with six. He's there with Edwardand Meghan Alisi. Ali Watkins is sixteen
goals. He's seven ahead of thenearest person at villa. Salah is on
fifteen, five ahead and the nezhe was on ten, and then Reichford
is on seven goals. He waslooking terrible but he had to be spurred

(07:45):
there. But he's also joined withtwo other players. He's joined with Ramas
Hoyland on mccalmony of all people nowwith the Ramas Hoyland one. He he
just has that streak there and hehad about six in a row or something.
He scored in scored in the fa couple end and near the weekend.

(08:07):
So look, I'm just hoping,you know, with as on Raceford
that they can help in a formand at least stay in touch until the
last sort of a couple of gamesthis season. We'll see where you are.
If they do finish joint, it'sprobably it's probably like a real forward
tape thing where you get you know, the odds get devded. But we'll

(08:28):
see what happens anyway. So that'sthe rap bats too fucked too looking pretty
decent. So look that's that.For that, I'll move on to my
bets and and fucking what you know, I forgot the right down the prices,

(08:50):
so I'll give you the price thatit shows on flight score, but
it may be different from what I'veplaced, but that's the best I can
to forgot the right the right.So let's go to Saturday, and the
main bed is I'm both to scorebet because again with a lot not a

(09:11):
lot of fixtures, it's difficult topick winners. I think when there is
not a lot of games, bothto score a bit different. So anyway,
I'll do the main bed first,which I don't need to give research
for so it's basically say both bothto score quad first game Stockport k owns

(09:37):
then Borrow Newport Rochdale the Maidenhead andCharley versus Boston. As far as I
remember that was I worked at atten the one, so it did,
so that's that's pretty decent. Actuallymay have been nine points something to one,
so it gets you just over onehundred for the win. On games

(10:00):
to win, I'll run through itthen I'll come back. So the first
game is Darby away to Northampton,she wing seventy eleven. Here I think
I think they are about thirteen totwenty. Don Coster at home to Forrest
Green there evens Bromley at home NewYork City they're five to six, stanhou

(10:24):
Shmuir at home to Peterhead they're likefive to six, and then Hamilton away
to Cove Rangers they're ten. Theeleven that, as far as I can
remember, is eighteen to one.So pages over pays about one hundred,

(10:45):
maybe maybe slightly better than that.But I'll have a look. Let's see
Darby Derby. So let's look atthe form for the winning bat so Derby
currently sitting second, Northampton way downfourteen teenth Darby third and form twelve points,
four wins, one defeat Northampton bought, no wins in five, two

(11:07):
draws, three defeats. No Hampton'shome form only one win, two draws
to defeats Darby. Away from homethree wins, two defeats next don Conster,
Don Coster. Yeah, so thetable. Doncaster currently look their eighteenth

(11:31):
they're not flying. Forest Green inthe bottom two form. Doncaster in decent
form. Out of the last fivegames, we've got ten points, three
wins at defeat and a draw.Force Green two wins, one draw,
two defeats at home. At homeDoncaster four wins. Well, one of

(11:52):
those was drawing the cup but theyend up winning it. But three wins
in a row and then defeat beforethat. Away from home Forest Green the
two defeats, a draw and twowins. They did win their last game
away from home against Bradford. Nextweek go to Bromley. Bromley currently third

(12:13):
in the league versus York who aretwenty first. Bramley's form not amazing.
Two wins, two draws, onedefeat York one win, one draw,
three defeats but home they're unbeaten fiveBromley three wins, two defeats and New
York City away only one win,three defeats and a draw, so pretty

(12:35):
poor away from there. Then maybedoing the Scotland and we've got let's see,
so this is a class between thetop two stenish Muir top Peterhead Sagond.
Neither are the fourteen points clear ofthem, but they're both not in

(12:56):
great form. Both only have onewin, three draws, have defeat and
they're lost five. But away fromhome peter Head aren't great. So at
home stanish Muir three wins. Thatwas you know, back in sort of
January, from January to February athome, but they lost their last They

(13:18):
drew the last game at home andthey lost the game before that, so
the last two haven't been great.But like I said, peter Head away
from home two defeats and three draws, so they've been terrible away from home.
So yeah, I'm just hoping,you know, stanhish Muir get that
win and sort of fucking end theleague. Lastly, harm you know,

(13:41):
I said earlier team at back Ithought they'd win the league, but really
really dropped off. But they're stillSagond co range just fifth, so you
know, bad said, and bothhave decent formative and three three wins each
one to the feet Co Rangers,no draws to defeat, so it's just

(14:03):
that extra an extra draw. Butagain right, so in co Rangers lost
five home games, three defeats,are winning a draw, Hammelt away from
home three three wins, one draw, one defeat and the defeat was against
Falkirk who are table the league.So you know it's not you know,

(14:28):
a loss is a loss, butthey're losing to the best saide in the
league, who's fucking fourteen points clear. So look, that's that's the thing.
And behind that, as I say, midweek, there isn't much few
lower like really lower league like ConferenceNorth and South on Tuesday. There's nothing
really on Wednesday, but that's whenthe obviously the international break starts ten eight

(14:52):
and that runs through the about Ithink Tuesday, so that's why there's not
much on him midweek. But yeah, so this is the last episode for
a week or so. We'll beback, you know, next week.
I'll be in holiday, so it'llbe the week after that. But if
there's anything I'm worth bad knowing atthe nationals or whatever, I'll probably still
post them as long as I canget a VPN working. So yeah,

(15:18):
that's everything. That just leaves meto saying if you're doing a bad good
luck and hobb your pumping, Yeah, get the fuck out here. Yeah
thanks, let me find that youfucked up. I'll leave you where right find you