S4 EP35 BET BUILDER WINNER

This week, i look back at my bets from the weekend's games. I look forward to the Grand National and give my selections for this week's bets.

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Episode Transcript

(00:02):
You call yourself for me. Youknow you're aligning low life more to fucking
gambling de January trick. You knowthat's what you are. Well, Helloly
degenerate Fox, and welcome to theDejanerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the eleventh
of April. Just back on anepisode, go over last week's bets quickly,

(00:24):
give some stats, and give thebets for this week. I've got
to do this quick to take someone of your other fifteen minute episode of
Change my Podcast. I think soI'm probably going to change the new Pervader
next year. But anyway, soI got to get almost quickly. Also
ground national the weekend. You know, probably do we bet today and tomorrow
and obviously on the national itself.So look, I'm just going to go

(00:47):
through the bats quickly. At fourwinners in the main bet borrow let it
down, it goes back with shit. But I did win on n there
quite on an early Batbuilder, whichwas a big stake four points staker three
four point state was it. Yeah, So at least that got me something
even in beat Linfield Let me Down, bat Builder and the Arsenal game Soccer

(01:08):
shoting target our well back shoting targetlet me down, so very unlucky.
With three bets are Sunday Salzburg ineighty fourth minute let me down and the
bat builder in the Native Liverpool gameand who not booked them was one of
them in the card won. Theother one wasn't great, so that was

(01:32):
the bets. So I'll get onto the stats. So the game's total
were Premier League ten, Championship,eleven, League one ten League to twelve,
Nice League NAIN, Nice League Northand South both twelve, so seventy
six games in total. Premier Leaguehad five favorites, three draws, two

(01:56):
sailors. Championship had four favorites,four draws, three outsiders. League one
had six favorites, two draws,two outsiders. League two had nine favorites,
one draw, two outsiders. Nicein League had three all the threes
three draw or three winner, threefavorites, win, three draws, three

(02:16):
outsiders, Nice League North five favorites, four draws, three outsiders, and
Nice League South three favorites, fivedraws, four outsiders, which in totally
was only thirty five games out ofthe seventy six, so it was less
than fifty. It was actually fortysix percent, so not a great day
for favorites in the overs on thebooth to score. Premier League had eight

(02:38):
games over two not, seven gamesboth to score three not Championship four games
over seven that and four games bothto score seven. That league won four
games over six games not and fourgames both to score six games now in
League two six over six NOTT andonly four both to score eight not.

(03:02):
In the Nice League four over fivenot and the same again, four both
to score five not nice. InLeague North six over six not and eight
both to score for not and andthen the Nice League South only two games
were over two and ten games weren't. But seven of those were both to

(03:25):
score and five weren't, so alot of probably one each is there.
So I was forty four percent ofgames over and fifty of games both to
score. So that's you know,starts weren't created the weekend, so you
know, maybe makes me feel abit better for not getting a bat up.

(03:49):
But I'll move on to the batsfor this week, so I'll run
through the main bat and then I'llcome back for the reasons. So the
bad is Brighton away to Burnley,even money Southampton home to Watford two to
five. West Brown at home toSunderland three to four, Lincoln home the

(04:12):
Wiggan for the six and Don Costerhome thereck greaton Stanley three to four until
it's thirteen to one with twelve percentbonus. It pays one fifty, which
you know, pretty big for someof the bets have done recently. So
let's look at the games. Solook Bredon Burnley. None of these sides

(04:33):
are in good form. Brightner arecurrently tenth, Burnley nineteenth form. Burnley
are actually batter form than Brydon.I'm just thinking Bredner a sort of a
due win. Burnley at home we'vegot one win, two draws to defeats.
Braiden haven't won in five. We'veonly got one draw and yeah,

(04:59):
you know former with him. Butagain that's the reason why it's an even
money price. You know Break weren'tgood form there, that would be four
to seven. Next is Southampton,so south Auton home to Watford, currently
setting fourth in the league, Watfordway down the fourteenth form. I thought
eight points Watford seven. But inthe recent home form the lost three of

(05:27):
Southampton they're un beating up two winsin a draw. Not always against Middlesbrough
who are in good form. Itdid lose the two games before that though,
but Watford away had the lost toopen draws. They won the game
before that, lost against Milwell andwon against Rotherham who are obviously relegated.
So I'm just sort of looking atrecent their Southampton decent form West Brom who

(05:50):
are obviously in the playoffs, playingSunderland who started the season well but way
down in the thirteenth. Now recentform West Brom nain points than six in
the home and away so West Bromfour whether unbeaten four so three wins and
a draw in the last four andthen they lost the fifteen which was against

(06:11):
Southampton. Something in the way.The last two not too bad, so
the dri against Leaguer which is agood result. They beat Carliff and but
then they had lost the three beforethat, so I'm just opening West Brom
decent home formuler comes through next wego to League One. It's Lincoln Link

(06:31):
and as we know, have beenon a great run for a while,
just outside the playoffs, two pointsbehind Oxford Wagon are down in thirteenth.
Wegan obviously have had points taken offeight points, so yeah, what's that
sixty one? They'd be a fewpositions up. They'd be about eleventh,
but in form linkedn top of thetable thirteen points, unbeaten in five Wagon

(06:57):
only won winning the last five andwhen we look at home for him,
Lincoln unbeaten him the last five athome four wins in a draw, working
away from home only one winner.It was five games ago they lost four,
they drew and lost three in theirlast four, so I think four
to six is a pretty good pricefor that. Lastly, then don Coaster

(07:18):
in League two playing Agriton Stanley home. So don Coaster currently tenth and Akrian
Stanley are seventeenth. They're only sevenpoints better off recent form though Doncaster sacond
in the table five wins in arow, Doncaster or Akahan Stanley only one
win. Doncaster went the last fivein a row. On the last five

(07:42):
home games in a row. AkrianStanley won their last game away against Newport,
they lost against Sutton, they beatSwindon, lost against Raxham and lost
against Wolf. So so patchy tosay the least. So that's the me
and bet you know the end ofthe season here there's going to be a

(08:03):
lot of crazy, crazy results becauseyou know it's just that time of season,
you got teams on runs, teamsfighting for allegation and teams already on
the beach don't give a fuck,so you know it's it's going to be
tricky. Any bad to get up, there's going to be a lot of
luck. So going on to thegoals back, which is three booth to

(08:28):
score on two overs, So I'lldo the three both to score and then
the two overs at the end.So First Wolves both to score for the
six, Carl Blackpool both to scorenineteen to twenty day, Stockport Morecambe both
to score even money, Newport Trommereover two and a half eight the eleven

(08:50):
and Port Bolden Portsmouth over two anda half seventeen to twenty day and so
that works out about twenty to one. So piecing dodds are for for the
over or for the goals bet,that's the beat. So the only thing
left to have a look at nextweek. So there's I think there's a
food fixture list in the Championship,but there's over twenty games in England on

(09:15):
Tuesday, and also the reverse legsof this week's champions League, so we
have we have, So let mego back to football here we have Barcelona
PSG and Dortmund Athletico Madrid on Tuesday. Is there early prices? Let's see

(09:39):
the early prices. So barcel elevento ten, PSG eleven to five,
Dortmun thirteen to ten at home theAthletico here in nineteen to ten, which
seems like a pretty big price.Athletico won that I won the home game
to one. So that's Tuesday,and then Wednesday there's now there's there's no

(10:09):
very few English games game in scalar. But then the other game reverse Champions
League of this week, which isBarn at home the Arsenal and City at
home the Madrid barn are seventeen eleven. What's that about? Seven to five,
Arsenal eight to five and then Cityare four to six at home the

(10:33):
Madrid for four to one. What'scrazy price? I know that game is
obviously what three each, but MadridCity City to me aren't in their best
form. And then the Premier Leagueyou we'll get away with it, but
that phoda one's a big price.I wonder about praise they are plus a
goal probably about eatings or slightly better. Let's see competitions, you know,

(11:05):
bully, no no Champions League I'vegot a bit of team, so Real
Madrid a double chance twenty three totwenty for double chance, which is basically
the same things plus a good that'snot a bad result, that's not a

(11:26):
bad price, that is not abad price at all. Hm. Anyway,
look that's it for this week.At least messays if you are doing
a bead on the national table.Actually I'll talk a little bit with that.
So it's today's Thursday. It's absolutelyright, and I'll have a bad
I think I've picked a lovely fifteen. I probably do likely fifteen today,

(11:48):
tomorrow and maybe Saturday if again.If you know me, you know I
follow with three places. I followSporting Life in general. The guy I
like on Sporting Life my brodo Bank. He does all the what I call
them value posts so you know,better prices, and then the winners and
closure on Twitter. He going hiswebsite. He gives lovely fifteen, teps,

(12:13):
long shot, each way, napsall that. So I just used
to go for the long shot andI love be fifteen or each way because
I do like big prices. Sothat's how I get my horses. I
get them off them. I don'tknow a lot about horses, but to
do like the bet on the bigmeetings, and then tomorrow I'll probably have
a load of bets missus and kidsand just pegging horses and whatever. So

(12:35):
I do like a couple of bigprices my Bridle Bank. I think it
was two years ago. Now Ihad Noble yeats at forty four to one,
which I had four quote on soI want a few quit there.
So look, it's a nice now, you know, have a bet,
you know, three names, fewcolors, whatever, few prices, just
whatever to get the you know,a whole bit of a better crack.

(12:56):
But anyway, that's it for thisweek. So if you're doing a bet,
says good luck and have a programhere, get the fuck out of
here. Thanks, yeah, thanks. Let me find out you fucked up.
I'll leave you wherever I find you.