April 18, 2024 • 14 mins
This week, i look back at my bets from the weekend's games. I also give my selections for this week's bets as well as stats from last week's games.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
(00:01):
You call yourself for me. Youknow you were aligning in low life and
what a fucking gambling de genuar trick. You know that's what you are.
Well, helloly Dejanerate Fox and welcometo the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday,
the eighteenth of April, and justback on an episode. So last week
and I'll quickly went through the bets. I'll give you some stats and obviously
(00:24):
two bets for this week. Lastweek was a decent week. Obviously there
was the Entry Festival in the NiceNot on Saturday. I got a little
small bets up, nothing major,you know, no big amounts, but
it all tolled up the decent youknow. I had the Rory Super Boost
and the Masters had Lucky Fifteen's wereone thirty ft. One day I got
(00:46):
my money back. Another day Ihad money on that mystical part that one
out to work in the Nice NoteI had the East Sax Super Boost.
You know, that was all sortof end of the week Thursday, Friday,
Saturday and then Saturday Nay I hadthe UFC Beat the one fifty seven
quid. I only stuck two poundson it because UFC it's really hard to
(01:06):
predict, and I don't think I'veever had a beat up in the UFC
because it's always shocks. So yeah, it was just nice to get that
up. It wasn't a big Americanfifty seven quid, but just you know,
odds to the total and then somedayI had that reduced winner because the
Roman game was abondoned. I wasforty two fifty so decent, you know,
(01:27):
you know, all the gether it'sa couple of hundred pounds, and
in winnings I did have a biggerlabor because of the nice known stuff,
you know, because they did theLucky fifteens. But basically that paid for
itself because it got basically forty fivequid back from three of them and they
cost me forty five quid, sothat sort of just canceled itself out.
(01:49):
So yeah, decent week. Monthsgoing, okay, a couple of weeks
still they obviously improve that. Soyeah, so I'll move on to the
stats. And it wasn't a goodweek last week, so that makes me
feel a bit better about not gettingmany of me and better my gold beat
up. So there was eighty twogames all together, so ten in the
(02:10):
Premier League and twelve in every otherleague, and then I'll get into it.
So Premier League three favorite, threedraws, four it saders. That's
massive for the Premier League. I'msure somebody saw that. There was bats
floating about the internet. There arepeople who had travel some people had a
quad of all the outsiders that wereplaying on Sunday, so that Palace Villa
(02:32):
Fulham and Ross Kennedy against Rangers.But for me, that's not really a
bad I would do. You know, it comes off once in a blue
moon, you know. To me, it's just throwing money away if I
played to anybody that doesn't like butmaybe it's free better or something maybe,
But the only way I would kindof do that, I'm not against putting
(02:53):
against favorites or sorry against the outsaiders. You know, maybe you know I
had a ten orund palace to beatLiverpool, you know, ten to one
still good money for just a single. But I would never really do those
big, big moderc humulators without sailers. But anyway, so then we move
on to Championship five favorites, threedraws, four Outsiders. League one three
(03:15):
favorites, three draws, six OutsidersLeague two five favorites, one draw,
six outsiders. National League three favorites, three draws, six outsiders, Nice
League North eight favorites, one draw, three outstadors, Nice League South eight
favorites, one draw, three outsiders. So in total, that is thirty
(03:38):
five favorites, fifteen draws and thirtytwo outsaiders, which is forty two percent.
But when you look at that,there's really two leagues that are propping
that up, which is the NiceLeague Northern Series with the eight. All
those other leagues are below fifty percent. So apparently going to add three out
of ten Championship five out of twelve, League one, three out of twelve
(04:00):
League to five out of twelve,Nice in League three out of twelve,
do you know I mean that aswell, that's really really bad. It's
really only those bottom two leagues thatare propping up that figure of forty two
so tough to get a bat up, and I think that is going to
be a thing towards the end ofthe season that you know, there's teams
fighting for allegation as we know,it will play harder. There's teams that
(04:23):
are probably favorites, but they're onthe beach because they're meant table or they're
secured the promotion, or they securedtheir playoffs bat and they're sort of taking
it easy to the end of theseason, you know. So there's I
think I was talking about this withyour friend. I think from now the
end of the season, there's goingto be pot luck getting the bat up
I do. I don't think form, you know, even though I'll be
looking at for him, is goingto be the factor. So anyway,
(04:45):
let's move on to overs on theboth to score so Premier League five over
five not five, four both toscore, six not Championship four over eight
not five booth to score seven ThatLeague one seven over five not and the
same again seven both to score fivenin League two eleven games were over,
(05:06):
only one wasn't. Seven games wereboth to score, five won't. National
League three games were over, nineweren't and again three games were both to
score name onn'd. In the NiceLeague North, nine games were over two
and a half, three weren't,seven games were both to score and five
won't. Nice. In League South, eight games were over two point five
(05:28):
and four games weren't and sex andsix for six booth to score and six
to nin. So for the oversit was forty seven out of eighty two
and that was fifty seven percent,and both to score thirty nine out of
eighty two, which was only fortyseven percent. So again you know the
(05:48):
overs yes, was decent and mostleagues except for National League only had three.
Most leagues had a pretty much fiftypercent are over so that's not too
bad. But like I said,I do think it's going to be pot
luck. Well, there's a lotof things factors at the end of the
(06:11):
season that you know that form isn'tgoing to be the main one. But
anyway, so for my bets thisweek, I've done actually two campound bets
which is four points to me twopoints each, mainly because it was I
have obviously that I never left itany of the money out of my account,
so I had it there so itwas like ath, I just throw
it in there, you know,and do two ten pound beds. So
(06:34):
that's what I've done. So Irun through the main bet, well,
I mean they're both main and bestbecause they're both ten pounds. I run
through the wind bet and then I'llcome back for the reasons. So first
team Norwich at home to Bristol Cityfour to six next Peterborough away to Bristol
Rovers. I'm Hopingers are bad dwnBristol, so it's both Bristol teams.
(06:57):
So Peterborough away to Bristol Rovers thirteento twenty, Lincoln away to chelten them
six to five, don Coster athome to Borrow eleven to ten, and
Mansfield at home the jelling even moneyuntil that's twenty four to one with a
twelve percent bonus so for ten anda page two eighty three. So look,
if there's cashert option in there andon that maybe will to take but
(07:20):
we'll just see how it goes.I just thought, you you know,
the form and stuff's not going tobe a hango, just take a punt
on teams that are just the fancy. So looking at the reasons, So
Norwich look, Norwich obviously they're sittingin that last playoffs, but Bertha Rovers
are are twelve but they're actually ingood form. But I just think there
(07:41):
are nights need to keep getting points, keep winning. You know they're going
to beat my name but my rightback because Middles aren't going to finish in
the playoffs. Yeah, so bothteams are in good form. Fort City
actually have eleven points in the lastfive games, one more than Norwich.
But away from home is my thinkinghere because at home so Nightage have won
(08:03):
five in a row. At homeat Bristol Rover Bristol Bristol Cete have only
one win in five, three defeatsin the draw. So even though they're
in good form, they're not doingwell away from home. So next we
go to Peterberg who are playing BristolRovers away. Peterborough currently fourth in the
playoffs brit Rovers fourteenth recent form soagain at home Bristol Rovers one win which
(08:30):
was their last game in the lastfive, three defeats in a draw.
In the other four Peterborough had onefor in a row. They lost last
week against Oxford actually five now,so you know it was a heavy defeat,
but you know, good form otherthan that. Next week go Lincoln
Lincoln are away to Cheltenham. Lincolncurrently just toy side the playoffs, who
(08:54):
are still fighting for that playoffs boutjust two points behind Oxford, whereas Cheltenham,
who are fighting for allegation, thereare two points in their allegation zone,
so this could be you know,it is a tough game because child
them are fighting for their legs,but they're in performed, only one win,
four defeats in the last five andat home haven't won in five,
whereas Lincoln away four wins in adraw away from home. Now we go
(09:20):
to don Caster. Doncaster not inthe playoffs but again fighting for the playoffs.
Borrow are in the playoffs, sothe Doncaster or ninth Borrow or sixth
Crawl are seventh. They're on sixtysix points, Doncaster sixty fourth, so
Doncaster's only two points out of theplayoffs. There are four points away from
(09:41):
Borrow, but if they beat themat home they could be in you know,
one point out and maybe even inthe playoffs. And they've won their
last five games in a row.They in a great form, whereas Borrow
only one win, one draw andthree defeats. At Doncaster again at home
five wins in a row, Borrowaway no wins, two draws and three
(10:01):
defeats. So I mean, youknow, on paper, that looks like
an easy fucking don Caster went Formalis, but obviously it won't be like that
because they both could say it's bothplayoff you know, contention teams, so
it won't be easy that game.Next, lastly, Mansfield who I think
are already promoted. They are.They're playing Jailing Him her tenth and they've
(10:28):
only win three of their last five. Jelling Him will win two of their
last five at home though three winsdrawn to defeat, and Jelling Him one
win four defeats away from home.So again that should be not an easy
win, but that should be wona ball game for Mansfield. So,
like I said, I just wentforward. If you want to leave any
(10:48):
one of those teams out, you'llprobably still get over to hand the one
maybe more so. You know,any you want to leave out that you
certainly could on still get a reasonablereturn from a two point stake. So
then I'll move on to my goalsbet and three both to score and one
overs. So I have Stoke Plymouthboth to score at eight, the eleven,
(11:11):
Portsmouth Wigan both to score at ten, the eleven Harrigate MK Down both
to score at eight to thirteen,and suddenly Crawley over two point five at
seven to ten. It only payseight to one, so tenleron it gets
me back nine day. Not massive, but it's what I fan say,
and you know that's what I wentwith. So yeah, that's the bets
(11:35):
next midweek, there's not a hugeamount on. There's there's like six games
in England on Tuesday. There's aPrimier League game Arsenal Chelsea which would be
a good game, Leicester Southampton inthe Championship. It's a couple of games
in League one, couple games inLeague two. You know it's over.
(11:56):
Was enough there for an accumulator,maybe a bet builder or older double or
so that's Tuesday. Wednesday. Therewas actually four Premier League games won the
championship, so there's the Mergerycy Darby, Newcastle, Pallas who Wolf, Bournemouth
United champion ed. There's a fewgames in France Capatalia Divisi. Yeah,
(12:28):
that's Wednesday, and then I don'tknow if it's anything Thursday. Let's see.
Yeah, so Thursday Breaton Place City, a couple of games and then
a Divisi. That's about it.Sweden. Yeah, so look, it's
not the biggest midweek game. Theseare almostly games of teams who have games
(12:50):
hard because the fake cup this week, because the Premier League doesn't have that.
Is there a fake Cup Saturday?I think it is this weekend as
the midweek. Not here, letme see Premier League challenge of League One
National League. Yeah, there's definitelya reason because there's only one of the
(13:15):
three Premier League games and Saturday andthen four on Sunday, so there's three
games missing. Sunday's FA Cup Unitedplay Coventry FA couple. Let's have I've
got about the team here, let'ssee fixtures. A. So Chelsea said
(13:45):
he's on Saturday five point fifteen andinnateed Coventry is Sunday A three thirty two.
Yeah mhmm. Yeah, so that'swhy, right, that's basically it
say, end of the season comingup, A couple more winners have be
(14:09):
next to bump up nice season total. It's not great, but it is
what it is. So all atleast men say is if you are doing
a bad good luck and happy Pomptonm okay, get the fuck out here
as yeah, thanks, Let mefind that you fucked up. I'll leave
you where right find you
You call yourself for me. Youknow you were aligning in low life and
what a fucking gambling de genuar trick. You know that's what you are.
Well, helloly Dejanerate Fox and welcometo the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday,
the eighteenth of April, and justback on an episode. So last week
and I'll quickly went through the bets. I'll give you some stats and obviously
(00:24):
two bets for this week. Lastweek was a decent week. Obviously there
was the Entry Festival in the NiceNot on Saturday. I got a little
small bets up, nothing major,you know, no big amounts, but
it all tolled up the decent youknow. I had the Rory Super Boost
and the Masters had Lucky Fifteen's wereone thirty ft. One day I got
(00:46):
my money back. Another day Ihad money on that mystical part that one
out to work in the Nice NoteI had the East Sax Super Boost.
You know, that was all sortof end of the week Thursday, Friday,
Saturday and then Saturday Nay I hadthe UFC Beat the one fifty seven
quid. I only stuck two poundson it because UFC it's really hard to
(01:06):
predict, and I don't think I'veever had a beat up in the UFC
because it's always shocks. So yeah, it was just nice to get that
up. It wasn't a big Americanfifty seven quid, but just you know,
odds to the total and then somedayI had that reduced winner because the
Roman game was abondoned. I wasforty two fifty so decent, you know,
(01:27):
you know, all the gether it'sa couple of hundred pounds, and
in winnings I did have a biggerlabor because of the nice known stuff,
you know, because they did theLucky fifteens. But basically that paid for
itself because it got basically forty fivequid back from three of them and they
cost me forty five quid, sothat sort of just canceled itself out.
(01:49):
So yeah, decent week. Monthsgoing, okay, a couple of weeks
still they obviously improve that. Soyeah, so I'll move on to the
stats. And it wasn't a goodweek last week, so that makes me
feel a bit better about not gettingmany of me and better my gold beat
up. So there was eighty twogames all together, so ten in the
(02:10):
Premier League and twelve in every otherleague, and then I'll get into it.
So Premier League three favorite, threedraws, four it saders. That's
massive for the Premier League. I'msure somebody saw that. There was bats
floating about the internet. There arepeople who had travel some people had a
quad of all the outsiders that wereplaying on Sunday, so that Palace Villa
(02:32):
Fulham and Ross Kennedy against Rangers.But for me, that's not really a
bad I would do. You know, it comes off once in a blue
moon, you know. To me, it's just throwing money away if I
played to anybody that doesn't like butmaybe it's free better or something maybe,
But the only way I would kindof do that, I'm not against putting
(02:53):
against favorites or sorry against the outsaiders. You know, maybe you know I
had a ten orund palace to beatLiverpool, you know, ten to one
still good money for just a single. But I would never really do those
big, big moderc humulators without sailers. But anyway, so then we move
on to Championship five favorites, threedraws, four Outsiders. League one three
(03:15):
favorites, three draws, six OutsidersLeague two five favorites, one draw,
six outsiders. National League three favorites, three draws, six outsiders, Nice
League North eight favorites, one draw, three outstadors, Nice League South eight
favorites, one draw, three outsiders. So in total, that is thirty
(03:38):
five favorites, fifteen draws and thirtytwo outsaiders, which is forty two percent.
But when you look at that,there's really two leagues that are propping
that up, which is the NiceLeague Northern Series with the eight. All
those other leagues are below fifty percent. So apparently going to add three out
of ten Championship five out of twelve, League one, three out of twelve
(04:00):
League to five out of twelve,Nice in League three out of twelve,
do you know I mean that aswell, that's really really bad. It's
really only those bottom two leagues thatare propping up that figure of forty two
so tough to get a bat up, and I think that is going to
be a thing towards the end ofthe season that you know, there's teams
fighting for allegation as we know,it will play harder. There's teams that
(04:23):
are probably favorites, but they're onthe beach because they're meant table or they're
secured the promotion, or they securedtheir playoffs bat and they're sort of taking
it easy to the end of theseason, you know. So there's I
think I was talking about this withyour friend. I think from now the
end of the season, there's goingto be pot luck getting the bat up
I do. I don't think form, you know, even though I'll be
looking at for him, is goingto be the factor. So anyway,
(04:45):
let's move on to overs on theboth to score so Premier League five over
five not five, four both toscore, six not Championship four over eight
not five booth to score seven ThatLeague one seven over five not and the
same again seven both to score fivenin League two eleven games were over,
(05:06):
only one wasn't. Seven games wereboth to score, five won't. National
League three games were over, nineweren't and again three games were both to
score name onn'd. In the NiceLeague North, nine games were over two
and a half, three weren't,seven games were both to score and five
won't. Nice. In League South, eight games were over two point five
(05:28):
and four games weren't and sex andsix for six booth to score and six
to nin. So for the oversit was forty seven out of eighty two
and that was fifty seven percent,and both to score thirty nine out of
eighty two, which was only fortyseven percent. So again you know the
(05:48):
overs yes, was decent and mostleagues except for National League only had three.
Most leagues had a pretty much fiftypercent are over so that's not too
bad. But like I said,I do think it's going to be pot
luck. Well, there's a lotof things factors at the end of the
(06:11):
season that you know that form isn'tgoing to be the main one. But
anyway, so for my bets thisweek, I've done actually two campound bets
which is four points to me twopoints each, mainly because it was I
have obviously that I never left itany of the money out of my account,
so I had it there so itwas like ath, I just throw
it in there, you know,and do two ten pound beds. So
(06:34):
that's what I've done. So Irun through the main bet, well,
I mean they're both main and bestbecause they're both ten pounds. I run
through the wind bet and then I'llcome back for the reasons. So first
team Norwich at home to Bristol Cityfour to six next Peterborough away to Bristol
Rovers. I'm Hopingers are bad dwnBristol, so it's both Bristol teams.
(06:57):
So Peterborough away to Bristol Rovers thirteento twenty, Lincoln away to chelten them
six to five, don Coster athome to Borrow eleven to ten, and
Mansfield at home the jelling even moneyuntil that's twenty four to one with a
twelve percent bonus so for ten anda page two eighty three. So look,
if there's cashert option in there andon that maybe will to take but
(07:20):
we'll just see how it goes.I just thought, you you know,
the form and stuff's not going tobe a hango, just take a punt
on teams that are just the fancy. So looking at the reasons, So
Norwich look, Norwich obviously they're sittingin that last playoffs, but Bertha Rovers
are are twelve but they're actually ingood form. But I just think there
(07:41):
are nights need to keep getting points, keep winning. You know they're going
to beat my name but my rightback because Middles aren't going to finish in
the playoffs. Yeah, so bothteams are in good form. Fort City
actually have eleven points in the lastfive games, one more than Norwich.
But away from home is my thinkinghere because at home so Nightage have won
(08:03):
five in a row. At homeat Bristol Rover Bristol Bristol Cete have only
one win in five, three defeatsin the draw. So even though they're
in good form, they're not doingwell away from home. So next we
go to Peterberg who are playing BristolRovers away. Peterborough currently fourth in the
playoffs brit Rovers fourteenth recent form soagain at home Bristol Rovers one win which
(08:30):
was their last game in the lastfive, three defeats in a draw.
In the other four Peterborough had onefor in a row. They lost last
week against Oxford actually five now,so you know it was a heavy defeat,
but you know, good form otherthan that. Next week go Lincoln
Lincoln are away to Cheltenham. Lincolncurrently just toy side the playoffs, who
(08:54):
are still fighting for that playoffs boutjust two points behind Oxford, whereas Cheltenham,
who are fighting for allegation, thereare two points in their allegation zone,
so this could be you know,it is a tough game because child
them are fighting for their legs,but they're in performed, only one win,
four defeats in the last five andat home haven't won in five,
whereas Lincoln away four wins in adraw away from home. Now we go
(09:20):
to don Caster. Doncaster not inthe playoffs but again fighting for the playoffs.
Borrow are in the playoffs, sothe Doncaster or ninth Borrow or sixth
Crawl are seventh. They're on sixtysix points, Doncaster sixty fourth, so
Doncaster's only two points out of theplayoffs. There are four points away from
(09:41):
Borrow, but if they beat themat home they could be in you know,
one point out and maybe even inthe playoffs. And they've won their
last five games in a row.They in a great form, whereas Borrow
only one win, one draw andthree defeats. At Doncaster again at home
five wins in a row, Borrowaway no wins, two draws and three
(10:01):
defeats. So I mean, youknow, on paper, that looks like
an easy fucking don Caster went Formalis, but obviously it won't be like that
because they both could say it's bothplayoff you know, contention teams, so
it won't be easy that game.Next, lastly, Mansfield who I think
are already promoted. They are.They're playing Jailing Him her tenth and they've
(10:28):
only win three of their last five. Jelling Him will win two of their
last five at home though three winsdrawn to defeat, and Jelling Him one
win four defeats away from home.So again that should be not an easy
win, but that should be wona ball game for Mansfield. So,
like I said, I just wentforward. If you want to leave any
(10:48):
one of those teams out, you'llprobably still get over to hand the one
maybe more so. You know,any you want to leave out that you
certainly could on still get a reasonablereturn from a two point stake. So
then I'll move on to my goalsbet and three both to score and one
overs. So I have Stoke Plymouthboth to score at eight, the eleven,
(11:11):
Portsmouth Wigan both to score at ten, the eleven Harrigate MK Down both
to score at eight to thirteen,and suddenly Crawley over two point five at
seven to ten. It only payseight to one, so tenleron it gets
me back nine day. Not massive, but it's what I fan say,
and you know that's what I wentwith. So yeah, that's the bets
(11:35):
next midweek, there's not a hugeamount on. There's there's like six games
in England on Tuesday. There's aPrimier League game Arsenal Chelsea which would be
a good game, Leicester Southampton inthe Championship. It's a couple of games
in League one, couple games inLeague two. You know it's over.
(11:56):
Was enough there for an accumulator,maybe a bet builder or older double or
so that's Tuesday. Wednesday. Therewas actually four Premier League games won the
championship, so there's the Mergerycy Darby, Newcastle, Pallas who Wolf, Bournemouth
United champion ed. There's a fewgames in France Capatalia Divisi. Yeah,
(12:28):
that's Wednesday, and then I don'tknow if it's anything Thursday. Let's see.
Yeah, so Thursday Breaton Place City, a couple of games and then
a Divisi. That's about it.Sweden. Yeah, so look, it's
not the biggest midweek game. Theseare almostly games of teams who have games
(12:50):
hard because the fake cup this week, because the Premier League doesn't have that.
Is there a fake Cup Saturday?I think it is this weekend as
the midweek. Not here, letme see Premier League challenge of League One
National League. Yeah, there's definitelya reason because there's only one of the
(13:15):
three Premier League games and Saturday andthen four on Sunday, so there's three
games missing. Sunday's FA Cup Unitedplay Coventry FA couple. Let's have I've
got about the team here, let'ssee fixtures. A. So Chelsea said
(13:45):
he's on Saturday five point fifteen andinnateed Coventry is Sunday A three thirty two.
Yeah mhmm. Yeah, so that'swhy, right, that's basically it
say, end of the season comingup, A couple more winners have be
(14:09):
next to bump up nice season total. It's not great, but it is
what it is. So all atleast men say is if you are doing
a bad good luck and happy Pomptonm okay, get the fuck out here
as yeah, thanks, Let mefind that you fucked up. I'll leave
you where right find you
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