S4 EP38 CHAMPIONSHIP 12 FOLDS

The week, I look back at my bets from the weekend's games. I also give my selections for this week's bets as well as stats from last week's games.

WWW.INSTAGRAM.COM/DEGENERATEGAMBLERPOD

WWW.TWITTER.COM/DEGENERATE_POD

T.ME/DEGENERATE_POD

Episode Transcript

(00:01):
You call yourself for me. Youknow you're a lying in low life and
more fucking gambling degenerate trick. Youknow that's what you are. Well,
helloly, degenerate fox, and welcometo the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday,
the second of May. I'm actuallyrecording this in the afternoon, so apologies
about it being late, but hada really fucking busy day. Shouldn't be

(00:25):
that long today because I've only peckedone bet for the weekend because the Championship
tennises and all those matches are attwelve fifteen, so there's not loads on,
so just picked one bet. I'lltalk a little bit about last week's
bets. Nothing good really. I'llgive you some starts, although they are
reduced. There was only forty sixgames in the top four leagues because the

(00:48):
National League, Nice League North andstuff is over so looking at the bats,
so the main bet was pretty badlast week, the goals bet.
The only thing that laid it downwas mother will Motherwell didn't score. They
were down to ten man and thelost one. Now, so that's what
done the goals bet. I maythree one pound bats for what was the

(01:12):
League one, League two one ofthem. Anyway, the finished and Saturday
we're actually I got good sweats outof all of them, so I think
I'll definitely do something similar. Italk a little bit more about that in
a second, going on to theevening bet Everton book to score. Let
that down. They went one.Now, so that was the rest of

(01:37):
what was all up. Sunday betswere pretty shaped. So let's let me
talk a little bit about what I'mgoing to do on Saturday. So the
championship is obviously, as I say, twelve thirty or twelve games. On
last time in the in the whateverit was, League one, I think
it was, I did a fiveror bat and picked fourteen's booth to score,

(02:00):
and then I did three to onepound bets on whatever. So I
did over half a goal in thefirst half. I did a bet that
could run all game, and Idid a second half bet certain teams to
score. And I think I'll probablydo the same again, except I won't
do the fiver, you know,sort of quote or whatever or five time

(02:20):
or looking at the fixtures, isnot a lot of great fixtures that the
fancy. So what I'm going todo is I'll probably use maybe like a
ten or like two points, anddo you know a couple of three pounds,
maybe a four pound bet just forthe championship. So what I think
I will do or maybe even justdo one point and do two to two

(02:42):
pounds and one one one pound.It depends what I want to do as
far as how many I'm going topick. I will definitely be doing all
games over point five in the firsthalf, so at least one goal in
the first half. I'll then doprobably you see, you can probably do
two two pound moses, because Iwas thinking I could do two pounds that

(03:04):
which should probably play about fifty orsixty quid. I could do two pounds
on all games, but just makea selection in each game something that can
run the whole game, whether itbe cards, corners, goals, or
a team to win. I supposesometimes a team to win if they're getting
a hommer isn't really good, somaybe maybe goals, corners, cards,

(03:29):
Yeah, that sort of thing.In all twelve. Then for second half,
I might just do like a onepound one then on teams to score
in the second half. There wasno I couldn't find it on bout three
six five total second half goals,but all could find was to score in
the second half. But I'll haveanother look for that, but I'll do

(03:51):
something so that way you're getting asweat the whole game. You know,
your first half one may be beat, but you move on to the second
half one. So that is theidea for the championship. Yeah, so
look, let's go on the stats. I'll have to look at the stats.
And again it's only forty six gamesbecause of obviously the lower leagues,
the Nice and League and such beingfinished, So there was ten in the

(04:15):
Premier League and twelve in every otherleague. Premier League had five favorites,
four draws, one outsailer. Championshiphad all the fours, four favorites,
four draws, four ouight staders.League one had five favorites, three draws,
and four outsiders. League two hadfive favorites, six draws and only
one outeter. So in total thatwas nineteen favorites, seventeen draws, and

(04:40):
ten outsiders out of forty six games. Nineteen favorites was only forty one percent,
so very very low. Moving onto goals and others, both the
scorer sorry Premier League six over twofour not and both to score four not

(05:00):
Championship six games were over two pointfive and six games weren't, and four
games were both to score and eightweren't. Similar in the League one six
games over two point five, sixgames not, six games both to score
and six games not. League twoeight games both or eight games over two
point five on four games not,and then ten games were both to score

(05:26):
only two were not. So intotal for the overs, that was twenty
six games over two point five andtwenty not over, which was fifty six
percent, and it was exactly thesame in they're both to score, twenty
six games both to score and twentynow, so sort of shows either way.
My man bat was shaite on MikeOlds bat was went pretty close because

(05:49):
there was a lot of goals outthere. So yeah, look I'll move
on to the bat for the weekend. And as I say, it's just
one bat of a bit of everhanging off, just of different selections in
here, so I'll run through itthen I'll come back for some reasons.

(06:10):
So Newcastle away to Burnley, they'renineteen to twenty. Brantford first, Fulham
both to score, eight to fifteenForrest Chaffie and Eded both to score eight
to thirteen. The Lynfield versus CliftonvilleDrono bat Linfield so Lynfield DRAWNO bat against
Cliftonville in the Irish Cup that's fourand nine. And Dortmund at home the

(06:32):
Iusberg seventeen to twenty. So that'stwo wins, a Drono bat and two
both to score. So let meget into some reasons. So Newcastle first.
Newcastle currently they're obviously seventh but onlyone point behinding added in the European
places. They are seven points behindSpurs for fifth. Spurs have a game

(06:56):
at home which is ten to eight. Burnley fighting for their leaves like twenty
four points, only a point behindLuton on two points behind. Not in
the forest in form Newcastle ten pointsin the last fifteen Burly six points,
so doing okay for a team inthe bottom three at home though they've only
got one win and five two drawsand two defeats. Newcastle is away for

(07:17):
him pretty shocking. They've only gota draw and a win and three defeats.
But they are playing, you know, the one of the worst teams
in the league and you know,in general in decent form. Next,
as I say, Branford Fulham boththe score, so good ways Branford ten

(07:41):
scored, five conceded in the lastfive Fulham five scored, yet conceded.
Let's see here, So Branford,let's see what it. Branford have scored
in four of the last five homegames. Fulham have scored all five of
the lost five away games. Sothat's my thing. And the next as

(08:07):
I say, Forrest Chefian eded.Chefianed are already relegated. But sometimes that
sort of unleashes the team where youknow they're they're not to play for.
But both teams are pretty poor.You know, they're down to the bottom
of the league in form. UhForrest six scored, hand conceded, chaffianeded
six scored, seventeen conceded. SoChaffion eded. I've actually scored in four

(08:31):
of their lost five home games,sorry, three of their last five.
They scored in the lost three orbeat four to one through two each and
through three each. In their lostthree home games they lost the Arsenal before
that six now Forest away. SoForest have scored three or their five lost

(08:52):
away games. They did didn't scoreagainst Tafvernton. They scored against Spurs,
Luton and Villa. So I justthink two poor teams, you know,
chef first, they are definitely goingto go for the win, you know,
so they make it caught, uh. And then Lynnfield versus Cliftonville.

(09:13):
Obviously this is a cup final boththe score is an option here too for
those who maybe don't want to dodrownal bet. It is around four to
five. I also do fancy Linfieldto win the game even money, but
I thought drawn o bet was probablyprobably you know, just better see it
for option because you don't get earlypaid on those games anyway, so you

(09:39):
know you're sort of sweating it nomatter what happens. And then lastly Dortmund
versus Harrisburg. So Dormant, they'renot in great form. Dominant are currently
fifth, Iceburg eighth in formed they'veonly got seven points, but Iceburg only
four points in the last fifteen.But at home, including beating PSG last

(10:05):
night, they three wins, drawand the defeat, and Irisberg two defeats
in the last two games. Theywon the two games before that and lost
the game before that. So Ithink seventeen to twenty is a good price
for Dormant at home. I'm justhoping that don't rest too many players ahead
of the Champions League Second League,so Loo grats the bat will be one

(10:31):
point or two points on that atElevender one, so plays about one hundred
and twenty and say maybe in themiddle. We're so close to the end
of the season. There's obviously veryvery little long What is on is some
Champions League games. So on aTuesday, Tuesday, the Championship playoffs start

(10:54):
as well. The first game issorry League one playoffs Botland played Barnsley.
Let's see about the prices. Soin the Champions League psgre one to two
to beat Dormund and Dormant are elevento two. On Wednesday, then is

(11:18):
another League One playoff Peter Broxford andReal Madrid even Manuel ten the eleven against
Munich who are thirteen to five.And that's basically all it's on. You
know, there's some Norwegian Cup andwhatever else. Bron would be better than
that, so yeah, look that'sit. Half a bit of time left.

(11:41):
So what doll I say is obviouslywhen the season finishes, there's a
couple of week break and then theEuros. So when the season's overall,
doing episode for reviewing the season andreviewing my red bets, the last of
which was just beat there because obviouslyMiddlesbrough didn't finish in the playoffs. Dommy
a eight hundred quid. I'll maybetake a week or two break and then

(12:05):
I'll be back just during the Eurosnow on my phone. One thing I
will say is now is a goodteam. Because I'm sitting here actually earlier
today counting up the money that's goinginto our bets and they get getting paid
out at the end of the season. It's around two hundred and fifty quid

(12:26):
at the minute each for eight people, which isn't bad. But during the
Euros, what we'll be doing iswhat we do every year, is out
of that two fifty every all theothers will be expected to do it.
Right. Bet you can do four, five pounds, ten pound pounds,
whatever you want, you know,top goalsc predict the finalists, whatever you
want, do whatever you want.So then we'll take our sending get to

(12:50):
be similar to this podcast. They'lltake a couple of week break and then
we'll start putting their money or fiveor in a week again, so I
have a wee bit of money inthe keddy and then we'll be doing bets,
and that's the other thing I've workedout. I've worked out a way
to get eight bets right up tothe semi final so that all these of
us get a bet, basically justbreaking down into every sort of sixty eight

(13:11):
games, so every two to threetwo to three days it's portioned off to
each person so they all get abet, and then for the final,
we'll all again have to put ourweek or five or a week normally been
put away. We take that,we don't see if nothing, we put
that on a bat for the final, like a bat builder or a crack

(13:33):
score or whatever you want. Andlast year, last sorry when was the
Euros or the World Cup, weactually did really really well that season.
I think we got paid out overthree hundred dollars because we had a good
World Cup. So if I remembercorrectly, we had someone had the top
goal score and I think they hadlike Messy Messi. However the top goals
was. We think it may havebeen mess It might have been a Babe

(13:54):
and Argentina to win it. Somebodyelse had are the group qualifiers bet?
I think he had seven six orsomething. He had done six of the
eight that touched we touched for betsduring it and what touch for bets In
the final. One of the guyshad a fiver on two to two and
one like eighty five quid, butwhen an all totaled up, you know

(14:16):
it was good money. So now'sthe time of year if you are thinking
about it, is a good timeto start to beat bets and to get
what you're made. You just needfour eight people five ten pounds each a
week and you know, take itfrom there. It's easy. If anybody
wants to know how, you know, Hi, I do it and whatever,
just get get message me on socialmedia. But yeah, that's it

(14:37):
for this week. Just leaves meto say, if you are doing a
bet, good luck and hobb yourpumping here get the fucking yeah. Thanks.
Let me find that you fucked up. I'll leave you where right find you.