October 24, 2024 • 13 mins
This week I look back at my bets from the weekend's games, i also give my selections for this week's bets as well as stats from last week's games
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
Do you cool yourself for me?
Speaker 2 (00:03):
You know you're aligning in low life and what a
fucking gambling de January trick.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
You know that's what you are. Well, Hello the General Fox,
and welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the twenty
fourth of October, and we're just back with another episode
and the losing streak continues. Not a bad up and fuck,
(00:30):
I don't know a long time and the Bee Fairy
obviously had the international break, so I've had a good
few free bets recently, so I haven't expanded that much,
but I haven't been winning, and I haven't. I've been close,
but I haven't been you know, what was it Tuesday
eight there or whatever? Shrew's me scoring an eighty second
(00:52):
minute it was later that would have been a winner.
So I've been, you know, somewhat close, but not close enough. Yeah,
so what can you do but keep plugging on? Just
let's hope the street games just quickly over last week's bet.
So three of the five of the both the score
were up and I needed a goal in two games,
(01:13):
so that was was not close but close enough in
the straight win three out of five as well, but
it was a bit further away there was one null nil,
but obviously Arsenal loss. I know that a fload of
people had Arsenal because they were a good price, but
obviously the Mons sent off didn't help. But just on that,
(01:36):
I mean, I actually wrote this on Twitter. I thought
our Tata's tactics were terrible. So they get him on
sent off. He takes off Sterling and goes to forward
to back and you're going like, they're okay, they're not
playing you know, they're not playing City, they're not playing Barcelona, Madrid,
barn Munich. They're playing Bournemouth and with the greatest respect
Bournemouth good team, but Arsenal should be able to beat
(01:58):
them with ten men and going to forward, the backs
are playing four four to one and the striker being Hovarts,
who's not you know, he's a decent good player, but
he's not a finisher. It just seems strange to me.
I just I didn't understand why they didn't take off
one of the full backs, because both full backs can
play center back, So take one of them off, go
three at the back, turn your wingers in the wing
(02:19):
backs they'll obviously run up and down. You know, they'll
be they'll be covering a lot of ground, but you've
got subserve to take them off and replace him with
Martinelli was in the bench, and that other players who
can play a way in the bench. So it just
didn't make any sense to me. It seemed very very defensive.
And I know they did it against Seti, but that's Seti,
(02:40):
you know, said you were going to dominate the ball
even with eleven v eleven. So I just, I don't know,
I just didn't understand. I thought it was very very
poor tactics from Arteta. But anyway, that that was one
of the things that beat the bet Sunday Sunday Zacher
was terrible. It didn't do a Yankee because when I
picked it, the teams that I was looking at, none
(03:02):
of them were big praises. So when I worked at it,
if I had had four, say I was doing five,
so we're doing a Lucky thirty one or super Yankee.
If the bat was paying something like just over one
hundred and if one team lost, I was gonna get
in like thirty quid. So it was like, you know,
(03:23):
not really worth it. So just did the actor and
then it did one BT builder. So that was last
week's bets. I'll get on to the stats here, and
you know how the stats weren't that bad. They were't amazing,
but they weren't that bad. So every league had twelve,
except for the Premier League obviously was just ten. And
(03:43):
we'll do the favorites and draws and stuff first. So
Premier League five favorites, no draws, five outsiders, Championship five favorites,
three draws, four outsiders, and League won six favorites, one draw,
five outsiders. League two six favorites again there was two
draws and four outsiders. One in the Nice League again
(04:07):
six favorites, two draws, four outsiders, and exactly the same
in the Nice League North six favorites, two draws, four outsiders.
So it's actually three leagues in a row. League two,
Nice in the League and Nice League North had six favorites, win,
two draws and four outsiders, and then in the Nice
League South only four favorites, six draws and two outsiders.
(04:32):
So in totally that was thirty eight favorites, sixteen draws,
and twenty eighth outsiders. This week, the outsiders was pretty high.
Draws seemed a bit low. I mean, in the Nice
League South. It was six draws, so fifty percent of
the league. But all the other leagues, you know, two
to two, one, three zero, all very low in the draws,
(04:52):
but they all had reasonably high numbers of outsiders win.
You know, you know it's not often that half the
Premier League six fixtures are by outsiders. So favorites was
forty six percent of favorites one in English football and
i'll go to over on both to score. So Premier
(05:16):
League six over two point five and four not six
both to score for not and the Championship there was
three games over two point five and nine games not.
Four games were both to score and eight games weren't.
And League one six and six so six over six
(05:38):
not seven games both to score and five not. And
League two eight games were over and four games weren't.
Nine games were both to score and three games weren't.
And the National League nine games were over, three weren't
and seven games were both to score and five weren't.
National League North four games over eight games now three
(06:02):
games both to score, nin games not. Lastly, then the
National Week South six and six so six games both
were over two point five six weren't and seven games
both to score five weren't, so went total forty two
games were over two point five and forty weren't. And
then in both to score, forty three games for both
(06:24):
to score and thirty nine weren't. So percentageways, the over
two point five was fifty one percent and they both
to score was fifty two percent. So there was decent.
It decent. There was reasonable chances to win bets out there,
(06:46):
but it obviously wasn't to be. So yeah, let's get
on to this week's bets. So this week I've actually
done two bets of a point and a half, so
seventh fifty on each bet. So there is no sort
of main beat that both. They're both the same thing.
(07:09):
So the first battle give is the both to score.
So all of these five games are both to score.
Plymouth and Preston four to five, Shrewsbury Barnsley hit the thirteen,
failed altrincham ate the thirteen, Everton Fulham seven to ten,
and Gateshead Sullyhllmores three to four, so in total that
(07:32):
is thirteen to one. He's just over one hundred for
one and a half points the straight win beat. So
I'll go over this and I'll come back and give
some some reasons. Villa to win at home to Bournemouth
nine to ten, Branford home to Ipswich at seven to ten,
(07:56):
Burnley at home to QPR thirteen to twenty, working at
home the Leton, Orient named the ten and Sunderland at
home the Oxford eight to fifteen. That's fourteen doorn. So
let's look at this. So Villa Vella alously had great
their joint top of the Champions League table as well,
(08:20):
but they are second to Liverpool. In the last five
games three wins, two draws, Bournemouth two wins, three defeats.
Home form Villa only two wins, have drawn a defeat
out of four. Bournemouth has actually got the same at home,
but away from home Bournemouth only the one win, one
(08:42):
draw and two defeats. But like I say, Villa one
at home against Bolagnia debeat barn Munig in there as
well as those sort of Premier League games they drew renated,
you know. So they've had some decent games at home
Bournemouth away lost the Leicester. In the last game away
(09:03):
lost the Liverpool beat Everton, lost the West Tom drew
with Forrest. Next, Branford and let's say Branford. You know
they're good, said Branford, but they haven't started the season.
I mean if ten points it's not bad. You know,
three wins are drawn to defeat or four defeats. Switch
haven't won a game yet, but they've got four draws.
(09:26):
So at home Branford only one win, one draw. They've
Switch two draws away from home. So Branford in the
Premier League lost sort of games. Beat Woolves, drew West Tom,
beat south Hampton, beat Pallace. It's a decent record. Thep
(09:52):
Switch away lost the West Tom drew Southampton drew with
Brayden lost.
Speaker 2 (09:59):
The next we go to Burnley Burnley currently second in
the league against QPR here in the allegation zone.
Speaker 1 (10:12):
Burnley name points out of a possible fifteen. QPR just
the one home form three wins for Burnley and two draws.
Undefeated in five Championship games. QPR lost their lost two
away from home, drew one drew Before that next week
go to Wickham. This is a tight game if I remember, yeah,
(10:37):
so work them our third and Orient are twentieth. Work
them in good form as well. Orient only four points.
Work them four wins out of five at home and
the defeat. But later Orient you know four team that's
only played five games away from home. They've won two
and lost three, which isn't bad for a team down
(11:00):
that side of the table. Wighams last five at home
they've win three. They've win three league games at home.
They lost at home to austen Villa and the e
f L and they won in the the Lower League Cup. Next,
(11:21):
sorry Orient, did I say that Orient's away from two
defeats in a row? They beat Star Pork, lost to
Branford in the Cup and lost or beat sorry Ratting
in the league. Lastly. Then I'm back up to the
Championship Sunderland, so something to play. Oxford Sutherland currently top
(11:46):
three points clear the tap of the league, Oxford in
eleventh with fourteen points Sunderland three wins are drawn to
defeat and the last five. Oxford of drew their last
five games home for him some of the dree against
Leeds in the last home game, but they won the
(12:08):
four before that away from home. Two draws for Oxford
on three defeats, So that's our one. So I'm looking
at next week midweek not loads on Monday night. There's
like one League one game and there's one game in Aliga,
(12:28):
so probably no bad league or so. On Tuesday there's
three League one games. There is one League two game,
four in the National League North, one in the Nice
League South. There's two EFL Cup games, there's nine EFL
Trophy games, three games at Sera A, three games in
the Scottish Championship, so probably about that night. On Wednesday
(12:53):
there are six e FL Cup games, four games in
Seria and six games in the SPL. Then Thursday just
not much on again there is old but there is
three sorry A games. So midweek next week is not amazing,
but maybe enough there for if not a bad Tuesday
on Wednesday. About the probably goes from Tuesday in the Wednesday.
(13:17):
So look, let's hope we can just stay in this
streak and get a win, because I'm starting to get
fucking frustrated. But yeah, that's basically it for this week.
It just leaves me to say, if you are doing
a bad, good luck and help your poundon here it's
the fucking yeah, thanks, let me find that you fucked up.
(13:39):
I'll leave you where right find you.
Do you cool yourself for me?
Speaker 2 (00:03):
You know you're aligning in low life and what a
fucking gambling de January trick.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
You know that's what you are. Well, Hello the General Fox,
and welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the twenty
fourth of October, and we're just back with another episode
and the losing streak continues. Not a bad up and fuck,
(00:30):
I don't know a long time and the Bee Fairy
obviously had the international break, so I've had a good
few free bets recently, so I haven't expanded that much,
but I haven't been winning, and I haven't. I've been close,
but I haven't been you know, what was it Tuesday
eight there or whatever? Shrew's me scoring an eighty second
(00:52):
minute it was later that would have been a winner.
So I've been, you know, somewhat close, but not close enough. Yeah,
so what can you do but keep plugging on? Just
let's hope the street games just quickly over last week's bet.
So three of the five of the both the score
were up and I needed a goal in two games,
(01:13):
so that was was not close but close enough in
the straight win three out of five as well, but
it was a bit further away there was one null nil,
but obviously Arsenal loss. I know that a fload of
people had Arsenal because they were a good price, but
obviously the Mons sent off didn't help. But just on that,
(01:36):
I mean, I actually wrote this on Twitter. I thought
our Tata's tactics were terrible. So they get him on
sent off. He takes off Sterling and goes to forward
to back and you're going like, they're okay, they're not
playing you know, they're not playing City, they're not playing Barcelona, Madrid,
barn Munich. They're playing Bournemouth and with the greatest respect
Bournemouth good team, but Arsenal should be able to beat
(01:58):
them with ten men and going to forward, the backs
are playing four four to one and the striker being Hovarts,
who's not you know, he's a decent good player, but
he's not a finisher. It just seems strange to me.
I just I didn't understand why they didn't take off
one of the full backs, because both full backs can
play center back, So take one of them off, go
three at the back, turn your wingers in the wing
(02:19):
backs they'll obviously run up and down. You know, they'll
be they'll be covering a lot of ground, but you've
got subserve to take them off and replace him with
Martinelli was in the bench, and that other players who
can play a way in the bench. So it just
didn't make any sense to me. It seemed very very defensive.
And I know they did it against Seti, but that's Seti,
(02:40):
you know, said you were going to dominate the ball
even with eleven v eleven. So I just, I don't know,
I just didn't understand. I thought it was very very
poor tactics from Arteta. But anyway, that that was one
of the things that beat the bet Sunday Sunday Zacher
was terrible. It didn't do a Yankee because when I
picked it, the teams that I was looking at, none
(03:02):
of them were big praises. So when I worked at it,
if I had had four, say I was doing five,
so we're doing a Lucky thirty one or super Yankee.
If the bat was paying something like just over one
hundred and if one team lost, I was gonna get
in like thirty quid. So it was like, you know,
(03:23):
not really worth it. So just did the actor and
then it did one BT builder. So that was last
week's bets. I'll get on to the stats here, and
you know how the stats weren't that bad. They were't amazing,
but they weren't that bad. So every league had twelve,
except for the Premier League obviously was just ten. And
(03:43):
we'll do the favorites and draws and stuff first. So
Premier League five favorites, no draws, five outsiders, Championship five favorites,
three draws, four outsiders, and League won six favorites, one draw,
five outsiders. League two six favorites again there was two
draws and four outsiders. One in the Nice League again
(04:07):
six favorites, two draws, four outsiders, and exactly the same
in the Nice League North six favorites, two draws, four outsiders.
So it's actually three leagues in a row. League two,
Nice in the League and Nice League North had six favorites, win,
two draws and four outsiders, and then in the Nice
League South only four favorites, six draws and two outsiders.
(04:32):
So in totally that was thirty eight favorites, sixteen draws,
and twenty eighth outsiders. This week, the outsiders was pretty high.
Draws seemed a bit low. I mean, in the Nice
League South. It was six draws, so fifty percent of
the league. But all the other leagues, you know, two
to two, one, three zero, all very low in the draws,
(04:52):
but they all had reasonably high numbers of outsiders win.
You know, you know it's not often that half the
Premier League six fixtures are by outsiders. So favorites was
forty six percent of favorites one in English football and
i'll go to over on both to score. So Premier
(05:16):
League six over two point five and four not six
both to score for not and the Championship there was
three games over two point five and nine games not.
Four games were both to score and eight games weren't.
And League one six and six so six over six
(05:38):
not seven games both to score and five not. And
League two eight games were over and four games weren't.
Nine games were both to score and three games weren't.
And the National League nine games were over, three weren't
and seven games were both to score and five weren't.
National League North four games over eight games now three
(06:02):
games both to score, nin games not. Lastly, then the
National Week South six and six so six games both
were over two point five six weren't and seven games
both to score five weren't, so went total forty two
games were over two point five and forty weren't. And
then in both to score, forty three games for both
(06:24):
to score and thirty nine weren't. So percentageways, the over
two point five was fifty one percent and they both
to score was fifty two percent. So there was decent.
It decent. There was reasonable chances to win bets out there,
(06:46):
but it obviously wasn't to be. So yeah, let's get
on to this week's bets. So this week I've actually
done two bets of a point and a half, so
seventh fifty on each bet. So there is no sort
of main beat that both. They're both the same thing.
(07:09):
So the first battle give is the both to score.
So all of these five games are both to score.
Plymouth and Preston four to five, Shrewsbury Barnsley hit the thirteen,
failed altrincham ate the thirteen, Everton Fulham seven to ten,
and Gateshead Sullyhllmores three to four, so in total that
(07:32):
is thirteen to one. He's just over one hundred for
one and a half points the straight win beat. So
I'll go over this and I'll come back and give
some some reasons. Villa to win at home to Bournemouth
nine to ten, Branford home to Ipswich at seven to ten,
(07:56):
Burnley at home to QPR thirteen to twenty, working at
home the Leton, Orient named the ten and Sunderland at
home the Oxford eight to fifteen. That's fourteen doorn. So
let's look at this. So Villa Vella alously had great
their joint top of the Champions League table as well,
(08:20):
but they are second to Liverpool. In the last five
games three wins, two draws, Bournemouth two wins, three defeats.
Home form Villa only two wins, have drawn a defeat
out of four. Bournemouth has actually got the same at home,
but away from home Bournemouth only the one win, one
(08:42):
draw and two defeats. But like I say, Villa one
at home against Bolagnia debeat barn Munig in there as
well as those sort of Premier League games they drew renated,
you know. So they've had some decent games at home
Bournemouth away lost the Leicester. In the last game away
(09:03):
lost the Liverpool beat Everton, lost the West Tom drew
with Forrest. Next, Branford and let's say Branford. You know
they're good, said Branford, but they haven't started the season.
I mean if ten points it's not bad. You know,
three wins are drawn to defeat or four defeats. Switch
haven't won a game yet, but they've got four draws.
(09:26):
So at home Branford only one win, one draw. They've
Switch two draws away from home. So Branford in the
Premier League lost sort of games. Beat Woolves, drew West Tom,
beat south Hampton, beat Pallace. It's a decent record. Thep
(09:52):
Switch away lost the West Tom drew Southampton drew with
Brayden lost.
Speaker 2 (09:59):
The next we go to Burnley Burnley currently second in
the league against QPR here in the allegation zone.
Speaker 1 (10:12):
Burnley name points out of a possible fifteen. QPR just
the one home form three wins for Burnley and two draws.
Undefeated in five Championship games. QPR lost their lost two
away from home, drew one drew Before that next week
go to Wickham. This is a tight game if I remember, yeah,
(10:37):
so work them our third and Orient are twentieth. Work
them in good form as well. Orient only four points.
Work them four wins out of five at home and
the defeat. But later Orient you know four team that's
only played five games away from home. They've won two
and lost three, which isn't bad for a team down
(11:00):
that side of the table. Wighams last five at home
they've win three. They've win three league games at home.
They lost at home to austen Villa and the e
f L and they won in the the Lower League Cup. Next,
(11:21):
sorry Orient, did I say that Orient's away from two
defeats in a row? They beat Star Pork, lost to
Branford in the Cup and lost or beat sorry Ratting
in the league. Lastly. Then I'm back up to the
Championship Sunderland, so something to play. Oxford Sutherland currently top
(11:46):
three points clear the tap of the league, Oxford in
eleventh with fourteen points Sunderland three wins are drawn to
defeat and the last five. Oxford of drew their last
five games home for him some of the dree against
Leeds in the last home game, but they won the
(12:08):
four before that away from home. Two draws for Oxford
on three defeats, So that's our one. So I'm looking
at next week midweek not loads on Monday night. There's
like one League one game and there's one game in Aliga,
(12:28):
so probably no bad league or so. On Tuesday there's
three League one games. There is one League two game,
four in the National League North, one in the Nice
League South. There's two EFL Cup games, there's nine EFL
Trophy games, three games at Sera A, three games in
the Scottish Championship, so probably about that night. On Wednesday
(12:53):
there are six e FL Cup games, four games in
Seria and six games in the SPL. Then Thursday just
not much on again there is old but there is
three sorry A games. So midweek next week is not amazing,
but maybe enough there for if not a bad Tuesday
on Wednesday. About the probably goes from Tuesday in the Wednesday.
(13:17):
So look, let's hope we can just stay in this
streak and get a win, because I'm starting to get
fucking frustrated. But yeah, that's basically it for this week.
It just leaves me to say, if you are doing
a bad, good luck and help your poundon here it's
the fucking yeah, thanks, let me find that you fucked up.
(13:39):
I'll leave you where right find you.
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