Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
Do you call yourself for me? You know you were
aligning in low life more a fucking gambling degenerate trick,
you know that's what you are. Well, Hello degenerate Fox,
and welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the twenty
second of August on a Black episode. A bit late
(00:22):
this week. Apologies for that. It was very busy yesterday
I had a running prep but just didn't have time
to record. So look, last week was first week of
the Premier League and it was a pretty good week
for me, my me and bet one and I had
two other small winners on a couple of near misses too,
(00:42):
so it's always nice to be knocking on the door.
So we look on that, spend loads of time going
over last week's bets. But the main bet was above
the score five timer was waiting on a goal in
the Bournemouth game. They did have one this allowed to off,
so that was kind of thinking, like, you know, it's
it going to come back and help me, but unfortunately,
(01:04):
sorry fortunately for me, it didn't. They scored pretty later on,
but yeah, so that was one hundred and fifty eight
pounds return on that. The other bet me sae bet,
which was I went for teams to win at one
stage at four, Winning and Jillingham were drawn, but then
(01:24):
Mansfield conceded, jilling Him scored, so it just needed Mansfield
to score. Then they conceded, so that was kind of it.
But then they scored a penalty later on, so look
I got a bit of a sweat out of it.
And to be honest, if he if well mansfielder Winning
Jillingham had a scored at it took the case shoot
because it was like thirty eight to one, so it
was a big price bet. I think I'm going to
(01:47):
for the first couple of weeks here, I'm going to
stick with Taylor over to both to score as the
main bet on wins as the say bet, because there's
some good prices out there, some very very good prices
on wins. Because I'd said this before the start of
the season. You know, Bogies don't really know who's the
form team, so it's harder from the press up games.
(02:09):
You know they got Watford lost last week seven to
five at home in the won easy. So look that's
going to be the strategy. But as I say, the
other bets on Saturday evening there was a bat tank
get ten offer on the Villa game, so I did
a bat builder there. It was six to one, so
(02:30):
I paid seven day and then that night, well I
had another evening bet. There was actually teams to win
and stuff and at last minute and the Milan equalizer
done that sorry considered an equalizer or something penalty that
would have won. But I took three of the games
(02:52):
out of that it hadn't started it and think got
at Barcelona to it and I put like eight paranoids
that I had on odd matcount, so that ended up paying.
It was penn seventy two, but five minutes ago Barsowo
went and two one. I just took it because the
end of the day, you know that's you know the
seventy and sixty together, you know, one thirty on top
of the one fifty eight. So I said it was
(03:15):
just under two hundred pounds winnings. So a good week.
So let's so that continues. I did also on Sunday,
I did invest more than i'd plan too, but again
when I was up, I just thought, you know, strike
while the Arns had, so I did a accumulator which
was close, and then I did a super Yankee and
(03:40):
only got two winners and returned about three pound. So look,
the super Yankees have them going well. But I'm going
to keep them going for another few weeks and see
how we'll go. I am confident that I'll get you know,
three to four becus. You know, I picked two bats
on Saturday where I had five but of and four
(04:00):
a bit of five, So you know I should be
able to do that in a Sunday. The logics there,
it's just I'm pegging the wrong selections. So the look
that was Saturday Sunday. I did have a beat on
Tuesday eight. That was withining on one goal, so another
near miss. But again you know, look you're getting a sweat.
(04:21):
The least you can ask for the sweat, you know,
to be able to go on into the last few
minutes of a bet still have a chance of winning.
So yeah, look that was the bets that have done.
I'll naget into these stats. So there was ten games
in the Premier League and twelve in every other league
last week, which is eighty two games in England. And
(04:44):
you know, I'd love to do this for all the
big leagues, you know, spaying it lay whatever, But it's
just you know, it takes away as it is never remained,
you know, doing another maybe five league, six leagues. You know,
I've had a bit more time, I would because they
do find it interesting. But anyway, in the Premier League,
(05:04):
of the ten games, six favorites one there was two
draws and two outsiders. Championship there was six favorites, five draws,
one outsider. League one six favorites, three draws, three outsiders.
League two five favorites, four draws, three outsiders. Nice in
League nine favorites one. There was two draws and one outsider.
(05:26):
In the Nice and League North six favorites, two draws,
four outsiders. In the National League South only four favorites,
three draws and five outsiders. So in total, literally eighty
two games, forty two favorites, one twenty one draws, which
is quite big, and nineteen out saiders, which is sort
(05:48):
of around overreach. And then percent of these terms, so
fifty one percent of the favorite one, which is you know,
it's not amazing, but is decent on the overs on
the bout to score. So Premier League only three games
over which is not likely, not not usual in the
(06:10):
Premier League, so three games were over two point five
seven warn't. In the Championship eight games were over two
point five four warn't. League won seven games were over
two point five and five weren't. League two six games
over six not National League five games over seven that
(06:33):
National League North nine games over and three not and
then four four games over in the Nation League South
and eight not. So in total that was forty two
again out of eighty two, So again it's fifty one percent.
And then they both to score Premier League four both
(06:54):
to score six, not Championship five booth to score seven.
That in League one at six and six, and the
League two it was four both to score eight not
same again, and the National League four both to score eight.
Not in the nice and League North it was six
and six, and then the nice Thal League sorry it
was five and seven. So in totally that was only
(07:16):
thirty four games that were both to score, which was
forty one percent. So look, you know, a decent week
not you know, both to score wasn't amazing. So I'm
kind of happy that I was able to get a
bat up, you know, but actually, you know, it was ten.
It was lash sorry, there was overs. So the fact
(07:39):
that I was able to you know, four games in
the Premier League and I had one. You know, I
had games and other leagues that only had three or
four or five games that were both to score. So
that's good. I'm happy with that. And you know what
I'm thinking neither I'm doing this. If you saw my
tech talk video I put out about the stats, I
(08:04):
might I might start posting this. I might start posting
this on say like a Sunday or a Monday for
the pre now and then you wait until the games
are over. Mm hmm. I could post it on Saturday
after I do my bets. Anyway, that's something for me
(08:28):
to think about. But yeah, let's move on to this
week's bets. So again, still early season, so there's not
a lot of form that I can go on other
than you know, games against each other in the past
or just you know, have the start of the season
scoring goals that's for the booth to score for the
(08:49):
gain for the wins as well. It's the same. It's
just looking at teams that are fancy. You know, there's
very little to go on as far as stats. So anyway,
the I guess what I forget to write the prices
then right, it doesn't matter. I don't need to give
you the prices another total price anyway, I don't know.
(09:11):
I forgot to do that. So anyway, first game, these
are all both to score Pallace, west Ham, Fulham, Leicester, Blackburn, Oxford, Exeter,
Peterborough that Chelton, Cheltenha and Wimbledon. Let me just have
a look. Yeah, Chelten and Wimbledon. So in total that
(09:40):
comes to twelve to one plus a bonus of I
think twelve percent, so it takes up about one hundred
and forty return for you're ten pounds your two point
stake well by two point state on to teams to win.
Now I have I picked five here. I'll give you
(10:02):
the fifth game if you want it. But I ended
up coming back and just and just picking four. I
ended up with, say, just picking four. But I'll certainly
give you the fifth one and you can you know,
delete as you want to, you know, swap one out.
(10:22):
But anyway, the first game is Forrest away at Southampton
they're seven to four, Burnley away to Sunderland they're twenty
seven to twenty. Barcia at home de Bilbao they're eight
to thirteen and a Si Milan away to Parma. They're
seven to ten, so that comes to sixteen to one.
(10:43):
The other team I looked at was Arsenal away to Villa.
They were seven to ten as well. But in the
end I looked at it went you know, last week
I went for a massive high price in won. You know, sorry,
I'm a total prices. Was have thirty at the one
and you know one let me down. This is a saying,
(11:05):
but you know, I'm not looking to win a massive
money with it. So whatever it is sixteen to one,
that's eighteen eighty quid or whatever it is, I'll be
happy to win. So that's two bets. Good luck if
you're posting them, if you're following them. Looking at midweek,
there is League Cup again, so we get a bit
(11:28):
of middleweek action. I'll probably again stick with goals and
any bet I do. There the EFL couple, there's eighteen
games on Tuesday. There's three Champions League qualifying games on Tuesday,
and there's a couple of Laaliga games on Wednesday. The
seven more EFL, four more Champions League, there's some up
Conference League and five games in La Liga, and then
(11:52):
I think on Thursday it's Europa League again. It's double check. Yeah.
So there's there's loads of e FL or sorry, loads
of Europa Conference League and Europa League. There's also two
games in Spain as well, So a decent midweek of baton. Yeah.
(12:17):
As the season sort of really starts to pick up
as we get towards the end of the you know,
Europa League qualification, Charles League qualification leagues get started, we
start to get a better form. So listen, let's just
hope I can you know, get a decent bat up
this week. That's everything. Just leaves me to say, if
you are doing a bad, good luck and happy Pondon here,
(12:44):
get the fuck out. Yeah thanks, let me find that
you fucked up. I'll leave you where right find you.