September 5, 2024 • 14 mins
This week, i look back at my bets from the weekend's games. I also give my selections for this week's bets, and stats from last week's games.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
You call yourself from me. You know you were aligning
in low life. What a fucking gambly, degenerate trick, you
know that's what you are. Well helloly degenerate fox, and
welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the fifth of September.
Day late with the episode. But look, you know international
(00:23):
break suppose not great this weekend, but I have managed
to pick two bets. So let's look at last week.
And last week was the nearly week. I had both
my both my bets were very close, but no winners unfortunately,
(00:47):
so the mein bet with bag back so Morgan couldn't
scored home be one now by Newport, wasn't it? And
I had something next seventeen shots or something and couldn't score.
So that was the main beat. The save bat which
(01:10):
I did two points on each because I hadn't done
much better in the last week. Last midweek, but it
was beat by Er who drew one each with thumb Farmland.
The rest of that bat was up and I think
there was a bit of luck there because labor cousin
got the two up payout, but it ended up losing.
So but yeah, so you know, nearly I had a
(01:33):
few nearly even on Sunday morning, I had the Rangers
bad building that wasn't paying much. It was paying like
thirty quid, but it would have been, you know, something
towards the chilly and I picked a player to be booked,
got it right, player to score, got it right. I
had the result, I had Celtic, I had both teams
(01:53):
to score. Celtics scored, the only thing I was missing
with the Rangers goal. So I've actually keeping a week
folder of bets that nearly touch and I'm already at
like thirteen or something for the season, so I don't
know if that'll end up depressing me. But yeah, so look,
that was a few close calls I had even on
the sorry on Saturday evening five thirty sort of going
(02:16):
beyond that bet was beat by Portal who couldn't score
against Sporting. So yeah, that's what's that. LA's four bets
out of the weekend that were you know, extremely close.
Sunday's Yankee was not great again, and look, you know,
I am going to persevere with us a bit longer.
But I don't know what it is about Sundays, but
(02:37):
it just don't seem to be able to pick winners.
You know, if if I had have done a Yankee
on on the Saturday bets or the Saturday evening bet,
I would have got a decent return because I had
four well with him been a Yankee would have been
a thirty one or whatever or super Yankee, because I
got four to five right on every bet. But on
(02:57):
Sunday I can't. I can't get more than one. So look,
it's frustrating, but I do think there's something there where
if I can just get the teams right, it will
be profitable in the long term. Yeah. Look, that's that's
last week. I'll move on to this week, and we
are starting to get to the point where there's a
(03:18):
better form, so I can sort of look at that
when I'm looking at teams to win. But again this week,
I've went with the both to score for the for
the main bet, mainly for a couple of reasons that
I've been getting close and I've had a few you know,
I've had a winner or two with doing this. But
also if you're picking five selections at both to score
(03:41):
or even overs. Now the bookies have cut it so
bad that putting one point for me, if ever isn't
going to get you anywhere near a decent return. Whereas,
especially at the start of the season. As I've said
this before, there's you know, bookies, because there is no
runaway teams yet. Because it's so in the season, the prices,
you're getting more value on teams to win, so you
(04:04):
can get away with putting a fiver on that one
point and still get a decent return from five selections.
Now as it gets into the season, once we get
maybe ten, twelve to fifteen games in those prices for
teams to win will be cut and I might have
to switch it up. You know, I might even end
up having to do two points on each to get
a decent return. But look, we'll cross that bridge when
it happens. So yeah, loo, I'll run through the bat
(04:29):
the move to score bet and then I'll do the
teams to win. So first game is Barnsley Bristol Rovers
it's three to four, don Caster jelling him it's eight
the eleven, Chesterfield Grimsby it's four to six, Old Them
South End it's ten the eleven and Spennymore Hereford that's
(04:52):
four to six. I'm getting right down the total. But
I think that it pays about one hundred and fifty
one hundred and four having fifty and yeah, they were
all both to score and we're sort of struggling for games.
There's only three games in League one. There's a leaven
in League two, and then obviously you've got the National
(05:14):
and National League National North and South. But yeah, obviously
with the inter national break, it used to be that
all of League one was on, but now so many
in the National under twenty one, in the Nationals, et cetera.
In these League one teams that you know, most of
the games end up called off. Yeah, so that's the
main bet for the teams to win. Bet. I'll go
(05:41):
through a quickly and then I'll come back for some
reasons because they say we are starting to get a
bit of form. So you know, you can sort of
not predict, but you can sort of give yourself a
bit of evidence of why you picked the team. So
first game is charting at home. First team to win
is charting at home the rather them, they're five four.
(06:01):
Next it's Borrow at home to Swindon. There are five
to six NATS. Currentty at home the Agron Stanley they're
four to sex Eastley at home to Worth Tomworth there
four to five and in my home country glenn Thorne
away to Dunannon they are four to five. So we'll
(06:21):
go back through that and let's look at Chardon. God,
I don't know if I can't do that's my internet
is terrible today. Come on yet, can't No, that's not
gonna fucking mark next. Seriously, what the fuck right? Actually? Wow,
(06:50):
this is fucking warming up and then whatever it's doing.
I'll go through the starts from last week. So in
most leagues there was twelve games, except for obviously the
Premier League it was only ten, and then League or
sorry National League it was a game postponed, so it
was eleven. So in totally it was eighty one games
last week. So I'll run through the favorite, draws and outsiders.
(07:11):
So in the Premier League there was six favorites, four draws,
no Odsaider Championship seven favorites, one draw, four outsiders. League
won four favorites, three draws and five outsiders, which Massive
League two is even worse. It was only four favorites,
there are one draw and seven outsiders. National League six favorites,
(07:34):
three draws, two outsiders, and Nice League North four favorites,
two draws, and six outsiders, and then last league National
League South nine favorites, three draws, no whitsider. I think
it's kind of interesting looking at that, where the National
League North and South similar type of league, you know,
semi pro, but in the Naice League South of his
(07:55):
nine favorites and no oudsider, and then the National League
North it was only four favorites and sex outsiders, so
you know, choose those leagues can be very topsy turvey.
But in total that was forty favorites, seventeen draws, and
twenty four which is really big, twenty four outsiders. Now,
obviously the Premier League and nast League South had no
(08:17):
outsider win, so that means you know, in you know,
sort of league one had just under fifty percent league
who had over fifty percent nice and League had fifty
percent exactly. So yeah, a lot of outsailers and sort
of four leagues or five leagues out of seven moving
on into the booth to score and over so the
(08:39):
overs first them both to score. So Premier League six
games were over, four weren't Championship six games were over
four or Sex weren't. League one five games were over
seven weren't lead to six and six Sex over six
not the League six and five, Nice League North nine
(09:06):
three nine over three nod and the Nice League South
seven over five not. In total that was forty five
over thirty six not and then both to score. In
the Premier League nine games were both to score. The
only one that was was the Liverpool game and I
(09:27):
had it on Sunday, so nine games both to score one.
That Championship five games, both to score seven. That league
won four games both to score eight not League to
seven games, both to score five not. In the Nice
League six games, both to score five not. The Nice
and League North eight games, both to score four not
(09:50):
and then the National League South nine games both to
score three not. So look I'm slightly disappointed there that
look at the mounted games that we're boosed to score
and you know, my bad field by one. So in
total that was forty eight games were both to score.
That's the biggest number there, and thirty three weren't. And
(10:10):
percentage terms favorites, forty nine percent of the favorites one,
fifty five percent of games were over two point five
and fifty nine percent of games were both to score.
So the numbers are both to score were really really
good last week, but unfortunately, you know, I missed by one.
And then let's try to get this thing to work. Now,
(10:31):
let's say it's warmed up right here we go, So
Charting the first game. Chardon currently setting sixth after four games.
Rather I'm down in seventeenth. Chartering have won both of
their home their recent home games being both on Litton Orient,
(10:53):
two decent teams. Rather the last couple they've lost three
in a row away, one of them is in the
EFL Cup, but they haven't won away all season. Next,
then we go to Borrow. Borrow currently sitting third in
the league four or four games played, three wins in
a a defeat Swindon or down there at the bottom
(11:14):
twenty third. Two draws to defeats Borrow at home, so
they lost in a cup match against Bolton there, but
in League two they've won two games at home. They
also won in the AFL Trophy against port Vale at
home Swindon away, they've a draw, two draws in the
(11:41):
league away from home. They've lost in both cups away
from home. Next, were going to knats A County. Yeah,
so knats County come on. It's a computer. You know.
(12:02):
The funny thing about this is we just got We
went from a lawn system in my work to your
Wi Fi system, which should be better. That's fucking that
all right, here we go, Um, that's kind to be
Currently seventh. Four games played, two wins, two draws, so undefeated,
(12:22):
a going down in it's twenty second, two draws, two
defeats so at home pretty good, that's kind of day.
They've won two wins and a draw, act in a
way lost every game. So then we go on to Eastleigh.
Now I'm potentially losing. This cost me last week my
(12:45):
early paid because there is no early paid in the
National League. But Eastley are currently second four wins, a
drawn to defeat, the sixth Tamworth one win, two draws,
three defeats. Look at the form at home they have
two wins in a draw, tom Worth away have two
(13:05):
defeats and a draw. Then lastly, well go to my
local league which is Northern Ireland and again another match.
It's not covered on the early payout, but glen Thorne
have made a good start to the league there in
five games they've got three wins, that drawn, defeat and
planned on Gannon who've made these start as well. Two wins,
one draw, two defeats. I just think with that one
(13:29):
glen Thorne. So don't Gannon have a decent home record.
They've drew them one the two home games have had
but the Glenns have won both games away from home,
so that that will be a tight game. But I
do think glen Thorne will win. Then have quickly to
next week. So obviously it's still the international So on
Monday there's actually eight nationally games and there's two games
(13:50):
in a LEAGA second division. On Tuesday there's eleven National
League games, there's an EFL Cup game, there's name league games,
so in the Nationals there's nothing really on Wednesday, and
then on Thursday is the start of the weekends football,
so there's a League two game. So look, you're probably
(14:10):
talking about Monday and Tuesday and nothing again and tell
maybe Friday or even Saturday. But yeah, that's it for
this week. All the leadsmen say is you are doing
a bad good luck and Habby Ponting here, get the
fuck out here. Yeah, thanks, let me find that you
(14:34):
fucked up. I'll leave you all right, find you
You call yourself from me. You know you were aligning
in low life. What a fucking gambly, degenerate trick, you
know that's what you are. Well helloly degenerate fox, and
welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Thursday, the fifth of September.
Day late with the episode. But look, you know international
(00:23):
break suppose not great this weekend, but I have managed
to pick two bets. So let's look at last week.
And last week was the nearly week. I had both
my both my bets were very close, but no winners unfortunately,
(00:47):
so the mein bet with bag back so Morgan couldn't
scored home be one now by Newport, wasn't it? And
I had something next seventeen shots or something and couldn't score.
So that was the main beat. The save bat which
(01:10):
I did two points on each because I hadn't done
much better in the last week. Last midweek, but it
was beat by Er who drew one each with thumb Farmland.
The rest of that bat was up and I think
there was a bit of luck there because labor cousin
got the two up payout, but it ended up losing.
So but yeah, so you know, nearly I had a
(01:33):
few nearly even on Sunday morning, I had the Rangers
bad building that wasn't paying much. It was paying like
thirty quid, but it would have been, you know, something
towards the chilly and I picked a player to be booked,
got it right, player to score, got it right. I
had the result, I had Celtic, I had both teams
(01:53):
to score. Celtics scored, the only thing I was missing
with the Rangers goal. So I've actually keeping a week
folder of bets that nearly touch and I'm already at
like thirteen or something for the season, so I don't
know if that'll end up depressing me. But yeah, so look,
that was a few close calls I had even on
the sorry on Saturday evening five thirty sort of going
(02:16):
beyond that bet was beat by Portal who couldn't score
against Sporting. So yeah, that's what's that. LA's four bets
out of the weekend that were you know, extremely close.
Sunday's Yankee was not great again, and look, you know,
I am going to persevere with us a bit longer.
But I don't know what it is about Sundays, but
(02:37):
it just don't seem to be able to pick winners.
You know, if if I had have done a Yankee
on on the Saturday bets or the Saturday evening bet,
I would have got a decent return because I had
four well with him been a Yankee would have been
a thirty one or whatever or super Yankee, because I
got four to five right on every bet. But on
(02:57):
Sunday I can't. I can't get more than one. So look,
it's frustrating, but I do think there's something there where
if I can just get the teams right, it will
be profitable in the long term. Yeah. Look, that's that's
last week. I'll move on to this week, and we
are starting to get to the point where there's a
(03:18):
better form, so I can sort of look at that
when I'm looking at teams to win. But again this week,
I've went with the both to score for the for
the main bet, mainly for a couple of reasons that
I've been getting close and I've had a few you know,
I've had a winner or two with doing this. But
also if you're picking five selections at both to score
(03:41):
or even overs. Now the bookies have cut it so
bad that putting one point for me, if ever isn't
going to get you anywhere near a decent return. Whereas,
especially at the start of the season. As I've said
this before, there's you know, bookies, because there is no
runaway teams yet. Because it's so in the season, the prices,
you're getting more value on teams to win, so you
(04:04):
can get away with putting a fiver on that one
point and still get a decent return from five selections.
Now as it gets into the season, once we get
maybe ten, twelve to fifteen games in those prices for
teams to win will be cut and I might have
to switch it up. You know, I might even end
up having to do two points on each to get
a decent return. But look, we'll cross that bridge when
it happens. So yeah, loo, I'll run through the bat
(04:29):
the move to score bet and then I'll do the
teams to win. So first game is Barnsley Bristol Rovers
it's three to four, don Caster jelling him it's eight
the eleven, Chesterfield Grimsby it's four to six, Old Them
South End it's ten the eleven and Spennymore Hereford that's
(04:52):
four to six. I'm getting right down the total. But
I think that it pays about one hundred and fifty
one hundred and four having fifty and yeah, they were
all both to score and we're sort of struggling for games.
There's only three games in League one. There's a leaven
in League two, and then obviously you've got the National
(05:14):
and National League National North and South. But yeah, obviously
with the inter national break, it used to be that
all of League one was on, but now so many
in the National under twenty one, in the Nationals, et cetera.
In these League one teams that you know, most of
the games end up called off. Yeah, so that's the
main bet for the teams to win. Bet. I'll go
(05:41):
through a quickly and then I'll come back for some
reasons because they say we are starting to get a
bit of form. So you know, you can sort of
not predict, but you can sort of give yourself a
bit of evidence of why you picked the team. So
first game is charting at home. First team to win
is charting at home the rather them, they're five four.
(06:01):
Next it's Borrow at home to Swindon. There are five
to six NATS. Currentty at home the Agron Stanley they're
four to sex Eastley at home to Worth Tomworth there
four to five and in my home country glenn Thorne
away to Dunannon they are four to five. So we'll
(06:21):
go back through that and let's look at Chardon. God,
I don't know if I can't do that's my internet
is terrible today. Come on yet, can't No, that's not
gonna fucking mark next. Seriously, what the fuck right? Actually? Wow,
(06:50):
this is fucking warming up and then whatever it's doing.
I'll go through the starts from last week. So in
most leagues there was twelve games, except for obviously the
Premier League it was only ten, and then League or
sorry National League it was a game postponed, so it
was eleven. So in totally it was eighty one games
last week. So I'll run through the favorite, draws and outsiders.
(07:11):
So in the Premier League there was six favorites, four draws,
no Odsaider Championship seven favorites, one draw, four outsiders. League
won four favorites, three draws and five outsiders, which Massive
League two is even worse. It was only four favorites,
there are one draw and seven outsiders. National League six favorites,
(07:34):
three draws, two outsiders, and Nice League North four favorites,
two draws, and six outsiders, and then last league National
League South nine favorites, three draws, no whitsider. I think
it's kind of interesting looking at that, where the National
League North and South similar type of league, you know,
semi pro, but in the Naice League South of his
(07:55):
nine favorites and no oudsider, and then the National League
North it was only four favorites and sex outsiders, so
you know, choose those leagues can be very topsy turvey.
But in total that was forty favorites, seventeen draws, and
twenty four which is really big, twenty four outsiders. Now,
obviously the Premier League and nast League South had no
(08:17):
outsider win, so that means you know, in you know,
sort of league one had just under fifty percent league
who had over fifty percent nice and League had fifty
percent exactly. So yeah, a lot of outsailers and sort
of four leagues or five leagues out of seven moving
on into the booth to score and over so the
(08:39):
overs first them both to score. So Premier League six
games were over, four weren't Championship six games were over
four or Sex weren't. League one five games were over
seven weren't lead to six and six Sex over six
not the League six and five, Nice League North nine
(09:06):
three nine over three nod and the Nice League South
seven over five not. In total that was forty five
over thirty six not and then both to score. In
the Premier League nine games were both to score. The
only one that was was the Liverpool game and I
(09:27):
had it on Sunday, so nine games both to score one.
That Championship five games, both to score seven. That league
won four games both to score eight not League to
seven games, both to score five not. In the Nice
League six games, both to score five not. The Nice
and League North eight games, both to score four not
(09:50):
and then the National League South nine games both to
score three not. So look I'm slightly disappointed there that
look at the mounted games that we're boosed to score
and you know, my bad field by one. So in
total that was forty eight games were both to score.
That's the biggest number there, and thirty three weren't. And
(10:10):
percentage terms favorites, forty nine percent of the favorites one,
fifty five percent of games were over two point five
and fifty nine percent of games were both to score.
So the numbers are both to score were really really
good last week, but unfortunately, you know, I missed by one.
And then let's try to get this thing to work. Now,
(10:31):
let's say it's warmed up right here we go, So
Charting the first game. Chardon currently setting sixth after four games.
Rather I'm down in seventeenth. Chartering have won both of
their home their recent home games being both on Litton Orient,
(10:53):
two decent teams. Rather the last couple they've lost three
in a row away, one of them is in the
EFL Cup, but they haven't won away all season. Next,
then we go to Borrow. Borrow currently sitting third in
the league four or four games played, three wins in
a a defeat Swindon or down there at the bottom
(11:14):
twenty third. Two draws to defeats Borrow at home, so
they lost in a cup match against Bolton there, but
in League two they've won two games at home. They
also won in the AFL Trophy against port Vale at
home Swindon away, they've a draw, two draws in the
(11:41):
league away from home. They've lost in both cups away
from home. Next, were going to knats A County. Yeah,
so knats County come on. It's a computer. You know.
(12:02):
The funny thing about this is we just got We
went from a lawn system in my work to your
Wi Fi system, which should be better. That's fucking that
all right, here we go, Um, that's kind to be
Currently seventh. Four games played, two wins, two draws, so undefeated,
(12:22):
a going down in it's twenty second, two draws, two
defeats so at home pretty good, that's kind of day.
They've won two wins and a draw, act in a
way lost every game. So then we go on to Eastleigh.
Now I'm potentially losing. This cost me last week my
(12:45):
early paid because there is no early paid in the
National League. But Eastley are currently second four wins, a
drawn to defeat, the sixth Tamworth one win, two draws,
three defeats. Look at the form at home they have
two wins in a draw, tom Worth away have two
(13:05):
defeats and a draw. Then lastly, well go to my
local league which is Northern Ireland and again another match.
It's not covered on the early payout, but glen Thorne
have made a good start to the league there in
five games they've got three wins, that drawn, defeat and
planned on Gannon who've made these start as well. Two wins,
one draw, two defeats. I just think with that one
(13:29):
glen Thorne. So don't Gannon have a decent home record.
They've drew them one the two home games have had
but the Glenns have won both games away from home,
so that that will be a tight game. But I
do think glen Thorne will win. Then have quickly to
next week. So obviously it's still the international So on
Monday there's actually eight nationally games and there's two games
(13:50):
in a LEAGA second division. On Tuesday there's eleven National
League games, there's an EFL Cup game, there's name league games,
so in the Nationals there's nothing really on Wednesday, and
then on Thursday is the start of the weekends football,
so there's a League two game. So look, you're probably
(14:10):
talking about Monday and Tuesday and nothing again and tell
maybe Friday or even Saturday. But yeah, that's it for
this week. All the leadsmen say is you are doing
a bad good luck and Habby Ponting here, get the
fuck out here. Yeah, thanks, let me find that you
(14:34):
fucked up. I'll leave you all right, find you
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