September 11, 2024 • 12 mins
This week, I look back at my bets from the weekend's games and go over the stats from those game's, i also give my selections for this week's bets.
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
You call yourself for me.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
You know you're aligning low life more a fucking gambling
degenerate freak. You know that's what you are. Well, helloly
degenerate fox, and welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Wednesday,
the eleventh of September. Just back on the episode, getting
(00:24):
to the end of the international break, which I'm happy about.
I'm sure everybody's happy about going back to some real
football at the weekend. Now, I'll curtly over last weeks bats,
and then I'll give you some stats from the games
(00:47):
last week, which there wasn't Obviously there wasn't as many games.
I think there was a thirty something games, so there
isn't a lot. You know, it's not gonna take as
long as that, but so you know you're not. You
can't get as good a read on the stats when
they don't have enough material. But look, but just dead
(01:09):
it anyway, just to have it done. So look, look
at last week's bet. The main bed of the both
to score. I had three up, two were beat. See
him and the said bet three were up and two
were beat. The evening bet wasn't great. Eliter On Sundays Yankee,
(01:31):
I had two up. I was unlucky with one of
the other ones, the Northern aland one I had over
one goal and over two over one Northern Island card.
Can't remember exactly, but the over one goal beat because
they've got beat one now, so sort of unlucky on
(01:51):
that one. But yeah, so look, I didn't bet as much.
I haven't been betting as much because, you know, international football,
I'm just not overly key on it, especially you know,
of these games supposedly aren't friendlies, but they're kind of
just glorified friendlies really, aren't there. So yeah, all I
(02:15):
can say is, you know, thank all, go back to
normal football and looking ahead to this weekend.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
On the midweek.
Speaker 2 (02:24):
I know, I'll do the stats in a second, but
it was just when I was doing the research looking
at what games were on midweek. It is actually the
first team ever as far as I mean, I'm nearly
sure that there has been a Thursday and eight Champions
League game group game, so this will be the first
(02:49):
ever as far as I can see, I don't think
I've ever done group games on a Thursday, which is
mandal you know, usually Thirstey in eight Europa League. You know,
(03:10):
you know, because the Champions League is bigger this year.
Obviously they're split, they're spreading the games out, but I
don't know how that will work when the europe League
starts because the Uroble League fixtures haven't you know that
their group games haven't started yet, so I don't know
where they're going to be on the cnnate or is
there just going to be more games on on Tuesday
and well Diday. I'm not sure. I'd have to look
into the fixtures. But anyway, let's have a look at
(03:36):
last week's stats. So in totally it was only forty
eight games. Obviously nothing in the Premier League, nothing in
the Championship. There was only three games in League one
Tennant League, to twelve in the National League eleven National League,
(03:58):
No twelve National League. So in totally forty eight games.
So you know what, I'm just gonna run three these
by league rather than things. So League one two favorites,
one draw, no eatseter. Two games were over two one
game wasn't, Two games were both to score. One game wasn't.
Say that was three games. League two eight favorites, one
(04:21):
two draws, no eatseter. Three games were over two and
a half seven games weren't, five games were both to score,
and five games weren't. In the National League four favorites,
four draws and four etseters, so pretty even that league,
three games were over two point five, nine games weren't,
and then the same again, three both to score and
(04:41):
then not. That one was out of twelve in the
National League North, which was eleven games only three favorites,
five draws, three outsiders, two games over two point five,
nine games not, and then four games both to score,
seven games not. Lastly, then Nation League South, which was
(05:06):
twelve games, all the fours a game, so four favorites,
four drows, four its siders, five games over two point five,
seven games not, four games both to score, eight games not.
Speaker 1 (05:22):
So totals.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Total favorites one was twenty one, so that's twenty one
out of forty eight that worked at forty three percent,
and overs only fifteen games out of forty eight were
over two and a half that's about thirty one percent,
and then eighteen games were both to score at a
(05:47):
forty eight that's thirty three to thirty four percent, so
per week. Not just the fact that it was in
the National Football on you know, it was last to battle.
But also and the numbers there. You know, we're under
fifty percent for the favorites, we're way under fifty percent
for the both to score on overs. So, like I said,
(06:10):
thank god, we are back to you know, some good
football and let's get on to my bets. So sticking
with the booth to score as the main bet. As
you know, I have had a bad up and I've
just I've had more luck and even just luck, I've
(06:32):
been pretty close on that thing I mentioned before about prices,
you know, the prices for teams to win. At the minute,
they're starting to change. I'm starting to see in some
change here, but they're sort of overpricing certain teams because
there's no form to go on, so you can get
better value pecking teams to win. So therefore you don't
need to put as much stake on to win a
(06:52):
decent amount. But we'll see how that goes. Get another
three or four games before and maybe make a decision
to move the main beat to two wins. But for
night keeping at both to score and the sad bet
being wins. So I'll run you through the games for
both to score, so all these are both to score.
Palace V Leicester which is three to four, Chaffey Wednesday
(07:16):
QPR four to five, Bolton Huddersfield seven to ten, Peterborough
Lincoln seven to ten, port Portville Chesterfield hit the eleven.
So it works at about fourteen to one plus ten
percent bonus. It pays about one hundred and sixty one
hundred and seventies something like that. That's pretty decent for
(07:38):
the save beat of wins. I'll run through this and
I'll come back and give you sort of reasons. But
as I say, we still are not early part of
the season. Blackburn at home to Bristol City eleven to ten,
Stockport away the Crawley hit the eleven, Sunderland away the
Plymouth four to five, Forest Green home to Willstoon hit
(08:01):
the fifteen and Real Madrid at home or sorry away
to Real Social DoD they're eighty eleven, so that works
out at sixteen to one. So even if five are
on that page like nearly needy quid, which isn't bad.
When I go and have a look, let's go championship
here Blackburn, they well, you know the internet. I was
(08:30):
just I tested this before I started this podcast. At
the end I was working, everything was fine, it was
loading up and it doesn't want to all right, here
we go. So currently in the table Blackburn or fifth,
Bristol City fourteenth. As far as home, Blackburn have won
(08:51):
both the home games Bristol City one draw, want the
feet away, moving on to Sunderland. I know it's Stockport's next,
but that's the same league. So Sundering the way to Plymouth.
Somethingland top of the league. Four wins in a row,
Plymouth and the allegations on only two draws Way and
(09:15):
Rooney under pressure Plymouth only three one win one at home.
Sunderland went both their away.
Speaker 1 (09:28):
Games, next on to Stockport to Stockport started the season
five very well in League two, currently sagging sorry, League
One currently sagging behind Raxham.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Both promoted teams to two teams that were promoted last year.
And it's usually something that I've always thought there's a
difference between League two and League One. Isn't that great?
It's League One Championship where the big big differences. So
Starport are currently sagging, Crawley down in twelfth. Crawley at
home they've won win one defeat, start Port away one
(10:07):
win one draw. Then into the National League. Forest Green,
a team that I do fancy to get promoted again.
H uh. Forest Green currently third a bit more games
in this league. There's eight games played by most teams.
Forst Green have went five, draw two, lost one. Will
(10:29):
Just Don't have only won one game and at home
Forstman record is just they only played two home games
at a gay games which you know, not a lot,
and they've won both of them. Anyway, will Stone away
only two draws and two defeats, so they've played four
away from home and they haven't won a game yet.
(10:51):
Last Sea. Then let me go down to Spain and
Real Madrid. Sorry again they're up there. So yeah, the
last thing I was saying there was Real Madrid, Real
Madrid against Sociat in league form. They've only played four
games each. Madrid of one to two, draw two, so
she got of drum one win one and two defeats.
(11:13):
So that's the two bets. The only thing left is
the mid week. I've always forgot to do Mondays for
some reason, and I missed the phil Facts arrest the
other Monday, so there's not a lot on this Monday coming.
But there's a few games. So there's a LaLiga game.
There's two Surrey A games six in the Dutch and
one in La Liga. Tuesday, with a little cup games,
(11:36):
so with EFL Cup seven, EFL Trophy seven, Champions League six,
Northern Premier League six in a game in La Liga. Wednesday,
some more, THENFL Cup two games, six more, Champions League
one La Liga. There's five or six other games scattered
about round Norway and Switzerland and Turkey, so not a
boat night. And then Thursday, like I said, first ever
(11:57):
Champions League games on a Thursday, group stage there's sex again,
and then the MLS is all so that's uh the bats,
that's next week. And all the leads me to say
is if you are doing a bad, good luck and
happy for them, m.
Speaker 1 (12:16):
Here, get the fuck out of here.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
Thank yeah, thanks. Let me find out you fucked up.
I'll leave you wherever right find you.
You call yourself for me.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
You know you're aligning low life more a fucking gambling
degenerate freak. You know that's what you are. Well, helloly
degenerate fox, and welcome to the Degenerate Gambler. It's Wednesday,
the eleventh of September. Just back on the episode, getting
(00:24):
to the end of the international break, which I'm happy about.
I'm sure everybody's happy about going back to some real
football at the weekend. Now, I'll curtly over last weeks bats,
and then I'll give you some stats from the games
(00:47):
last week, which there wasn't Obviously there wasn't as many games.
I think there was a thirty something games, so there
isn't a lot. You know, it's not gonna take as
long as that, but so you know you're not. You
can't get as good a read on the stats when
they don't have enough material. But look, but just dead
(01:09):
it anyway, just to have it done. So look, look
at last week's bet. The main bed of the both
to score. I had three up, two were beat. See
him and the said bet three were up and two
were beat. The evening bet wasn't great. Eliter On Sundays Yankee,
(01:31):
I had two up. I was unlucky with one of
the other ones, the Northern aland one I had over
one goal and over two over one Northern Island card.
Can't remember exactly, but the over one goal beat because
they've got beat one now, so sort of unlucky on
(01:51):
that one. But yeah, so look, I didn't bet as much.
I haven't been betting as much because, you know, international football,
I'm just not overly key on it, especially you know,
of these games supposedly aren't friendlies, but they're kind of
just glorified friendlies really, aren't there. So yeah, all I
(02:15):
can say is, you know, thank all, go back to
normal football and looking ahead to this weekend.
Speaker 1 (02:23):
On the midweek.
Speaker 2 (02:24):
I know, I'll do the stats in a second, but
it was just when I was doing the research looking
at what games were on midweek. It is actually the
first team ever as far as I mean, I'm nearly
sure that there has been a Thursday and eight Champions
League game group game, so this will be the first
(02:49):
ever as far as I can see, I don't think
I've ever done group games on a Thursday, which is
mandal you know, usually Thirstey in eight Europa League. You know,
(03:10):
you know, because the Champions League is bigger this year.
Obviously they're split, they're spreading the games out, but I
don't know how that will work when the europe League
starts because the Uroble League fixtures haven't you know that
their group games haven't started yet, so I don't know
where they're going to be on the cnnate or is
there just going to be more games on on Tuesday
and well Diday. I'm not sure. I'd have to look
into the fixtures. But anyway, let's have a look at
(03:36):
last week's stats. So in totally it was only forty
eight games. Obviously nothing in the Premier League, nothing in
the Championship. There was only three games in League one
Tennant League, to twelve in the National League eleven National League,
(03:58):
No twelve National League. So in totally forty eight games.
So you know what, I'm just gonna run three these
by league rather than things. So League one two favorites,
one draw, no eatseter. Two games were over two one
game wasn't, Two games were both to score. One game wasn't.
Say that was three games. League two eight favorites, one
(04:21):
two draws, no eatseter. Three games were over two and
a half seven games weren't, five games were both to score,
and five games weren't. In the National League four favorites,
four draws and four etseters, so pretty even that league,
three games were over two point five, nine games weren't,
and then the same again, three both to score and
(04:41):
then not. That one was out of twelve in the
National League North, which was eleven games only three favorites,
five draws, three outsiders, two games over two point five,
nine games not, and then four games both to score,
seven games not. Lastly, then Nation League South, which was
(05:06):
twelve games, all the fours a game, so four favorites,
four drows, four its siders, five games over two point five,
seven games not, four games both to score, eight games not.
Speaker 1 (05:22):
So totals.
Speaker 2 (05:25):
Total favorites one was twenty one, so that's twenty one
out of forty eight that worked at forty three percent,
and overs only fifteen games out of forty eight were
over two and a half that's about thirty one percent,
and then eighteen games were both to score at a
(05:47):
forty eight that's thirty three to thirty four percent, so
per week. Not just the fact that it was in
the National Football on you know, it was last to battle.
But also and the numbers there. You know, we're under
fifty percent for the favorites, we're way under fifty percent
for the both to score on overs. So, like I said,
(06:10):
thank god, we are back to you know, some good
football and let's get on to my bets. So sticking
with the booth to score as the main bet. As
you know, I have had a bad up and I've
just I've had more luck and even just luck, I've
(06:32):
been pretty close on that thing I mentioned before about prices,
you know, the prices for teams to win. At the minute,
they're starting to change. I'm starting to see in some
change here, but they're sort of overpricing certain teams because
there's no form to go on, so you can get
better value pecking teams to win. So therefore you don't
need to put as much stake on to win a
(06:52):
decent amount. But we'll see how that goes. Get another
three or four games before and maybe make a decision
to move the main beat to two wins. But for
night keeping at both to score and the sad bet
being wins. So I'll run you through the games for
both to score, so all these are both to score.
Palace V Leicester which is three to four, Chaffey Wednesday
(07:16):
QPR four to five, Bolton Huddersfield seven to ten, Peterborough
Lincoln seven to ten, port Portville Chesterfield hit the eleven.
So it works at about fourteen to one plus ten
percent bonus. It pays about one hundred and sixty one
hundred and seventies something like that. That's pretty decent for
(07:38):
the save beat of wins. I'll run through this and
I'll come back and give you sort of reasons. But
as I say, we still are not early part of
the season. Blackburn at home to Bristol City eleven to ten,
Stockport away the Crawley hit the eleven, Sunderland away the
Plymouth four to five, Forest Green home to Willstoon hit
(08:01):
the fifteen and Real Madrid at home or sorry away
to Real Social DoD they're eighty eleven, so that works
out at sixteen to one. So even if five are
on that page like nearly needy quid, which isn't bad.
When I go and have a look, let's go championship
here Blackburn, they well, you know the internet. I was
(08:30):
just I tested this before I started this podcast. At
the end I was working, everything was fine, it was
loading up and it doesn't want to all right, here
we go. So currently in the table Blackburn or fifth,
Bristol City fourteenth. As far as home, Blackburn have won
(08:51):
both the home games Bristol City one draw, want the
feet away, moving on to Sunderland. I know it's Stockport's next,
but that's the same league. So Sundering the way to Plymouth.
Somethingland top of the league. Four wins in a row,
Plymouth and the allegations on only two draws Way and
(09:15):
Rooney under pressure Plymouth only three one win one at home.
Sunderland went both their away.
Speaker 1 (09:28):
Games, next on to Stockport to Stockport started the season
five very well in League two, currently sagging sorry, League
One currently sagging behind Raxham.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Both promoted teams to two teams that were promoted last year.
And it's usually something that I've always thought there's a
difference between League two and League One. Isn't that great?
It's League One Championship where the big big differences. So
Starport are currently sagging, Crawley down in twelfth. Crawley at
home they've won win one defeat, start Port away one
(10:07):
win one draw. Then into the National League. Forest Green,
a team that I do fancy to get promoted again.
H uh. Forest Green currently third a bit more games
in this league. There's eight games played by most teams.
Forst Green have went five, draw two, lost one. Will
(10:29):
Just Don't have only won one game and at home
Forstman record is just they only played two home games
at a gay games which you know, not a lot,
and they've won both of them. Anyway, will Stone away
only two draws and two defeats, so they've played four
away from home and they haven't won a game yet.
(10:51):
Last Sea. Then let me go down to Spain and
Real Madrid. Sorry again they're up there. So yeah, the
last thing I was saying there was Real Madrid, Real
Madrid against Sociat in league form. They've only played four
games each. Madrid of one to two, draw two, so
she got of drum one win one and two defeats.
(11:13):
So that's the two bets. The only thing left is
the mid week. I've always forgot to do Mondays for
some reason, and I missed the phil Facts arrest the
other Monday, so there's not a lot on this Monday coming.
But there's a few games. So there's a LaLiga game.
There's two Surrey A games six in the Dutch and
one in La Liga. Tuesday, with a little cup games,
(11:36):
so with EFL Cup seven, EFL Trophy seven, Champions League six,
Northern Premier League six in a game in La Liga. Wednesday,
some more, THENFL Cup two games, six more, Champions League
one La Liga. There's five or six other games scattered
about round Norway and Switzerland and Turkey, so not a
boat night. And then Thursday, like I said, first ever
(11:57):
Champions League games on a Thursday, group stage there's sex again,
and then the MLS is all so that's uh the bats,
that's next week. And all the leads me to say
is if you are doing a bad, good luck and
happy for them, m.
Speaker 1 (12:16):
Here, get the fuck out of here.
Speaker 2 (12:19):
Thank yeah, thanks. Let me find out you fucked up.
I'll leave you wherever right find you.
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