October 9, 2025 • 7 mins
Phil Duncan of Weather Watch looks at the southern forecast for the next seven days.
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Speaker 1 (00:04):
Time to catch up with Phil Duncan out of weather Watch,
(00:28):
still undefeated a Ladas Morisset. Good afternoon, Phil.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Good afternoon. Good to be with you.
Speaker 1 (00:34):
Yeah, I always appreciate your time on a Friday. Look,
it's been an interesting week down here in the south.
Cold weather. Earlier on a touch of frost. Then yesterday,
holy hicky, we got up to the late teens, almost
early twenties at one stage. Then it almost felt like
a tropical rainstorm about seven o'clock. It was warm outside,
but it hoes down. And then today we've got the sun,
(00:55):
but we've got wind.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
Yeah, it's definitely all over at the place the moment.
We're getting subtropical and Australian airflows in the next now.
So it's not just that polar air that you guys
have had a lot of over the past couple of months.
When I look at the long range maps, you know,
when you're underneath all the worst of it, it's sort
of hard to notice if it's changing. But when you
look at the bigger picture and you see how far
(01:18):
these windstorms have been going up the country, how far
the polar airflow is going up the country, and what
we're seeing over the next coming couple of weeks. What
you notice is overall the stormy stuff is starting to
sink southwards. And so, like I say, if you're in
the thick of that, you don't really feel that change
very much. It's still windy, every day's still getting wet weather.
But what you'll notice as this continues to happen, you'll
(01:40):
get more days than are warmer. And that's certainly what
we're seeing at the moment, still injections of cold, though
you're in that part where you're getting much more now
than the North Island. The North Island's not really getting
many cold blasts now, so that's a time that everything's
dropping southward. That's kind of what you want to hear.
And so temperatures are reflecting that. Tomorrow could be quite
(02:01):
a lot of new day windy though tomorrow strong northwest
as they could be up to gale force, so to
watch out. There could be a couple of power cuts
around tomorrow. But it's a warm day, getting up to
twenty degrees overnight lower around nine or ten. It drops
down again next week Monday, you only got a higher
than eleven, but then the temperatures gradually go back up
and while Thursday next week looks a little cool. With thirteen,
(02:23):
you're back to eighteen on Friday, maybe thirteen next Saturday.
So it's not perfect yet, but the cold blasts are
not as cold and the warmer days getting warmer, so
there's a bit of silver lighting to all the rubbish
that's going on.
Speaker 1 (02:36):
There's just a lot of wind.
Speaker 2 (02:38):
Yeah, a lot of wind, and you know it's coming
and going. The good news even with the wind is
that there are some signs that even though it is
still going to be searching off and on, driving some
people a bit crazy for the next week or two. Again,
the intensity is not as bad as it was just
even a couple of weeks ago. So it's still whindy,
it's still spring. We're still getting wintry cold fronts coming.
(03:00):
But yeah, we're definitely seeing a change around the country
and it's just going to take longer this year I
think for it to all kind of east back.
Speaker 1 (03:08):
So it's more or this continuation of what we've had
for the last couple of weeks. I suppose, yeah, pretty much.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
And in fact Australia is in the same boat. Australia
actually when you look at their long range for the
next two weeks their long range forecast, you're seeing sort
of two thirds of Australia covered in tropical heat, so
that hasn't happened for half a year or longer. So
they're getting a lot of hot air there. But in
the one southeast corner Tasmania, Melbourne, Victoria, that area, they're
(03:34):
getting arrested by storms. Another one today, huge thunderstorm outbreak
over Tasmania today. But I bring that all up because
it shows that again similar to New Zealand, there are
signs that we're going in towards summer more days would
warmth and heat, but those that are at the southern
end of the country are definitely still getting winter. And
so if they're still getting that, we're still going to
(03:55):
get it for another couple more weeks. So the rest
of the month really is going to be still westerly
driven weather and still a bit unsettled at times.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
It's an interracing you talk about the southern states of
Australia having a pole of blast. I was watching Cricket
Goodness Me from Adelaide on Wednesday. I think of us
and there was like thirty degrees or something like that,
and just thinking you lucky buggers.
Speaker 2 (04:16):
Yeah, that's like a blip though in the days they've had,
most of their days have been terrible. In fact, Melbourne's
been colder than Auckland most of this past couple of months.
Like they've had numerous days where it's been only fourteen
or thirteen degrees and tavy showers and stuff. So yeah,
a lot of complaints around there. But the farmers in
Victoria they want rain. They're worried about drought. They say
(04:38):
it's better than this time year ago, but it's still
not a not a really good season, and so like, yeah,
they're having some issues over there. I think, I don't know,
would you rather be windy and a bit wet or
leaning towards droughts? You know, like those are sort of
the two options in Australia at the moment.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
This is from the Chuckle if you're a Southerner file,
why do they close the Auckland Harbor Bridge if it
looks as though these a breeze on the horizon?
Speaker 2 (05:00):
I don't know it is Honestly, they've obviously got like
there since that one truck crashed into it. You know,
what was it four or five years ago? That was
during the squall. It was a really strong, isolate, high,
massively isolated burst of wind. That's the kind of weather
where if you're driving a big truck up the bridge,
dust comes out of nowhere at one hundred and forty
(05:22):
ks an hour and blow the truck over. So I
don't have a problem with that when it's squawly. But
what they do now is whenever it is a wind warning,
they just shut the bridge down or if it gets
to this point. And it's kind of silly because most
of the time it's just a sort of strong breeze
that you know, we all get from time to time
around the country. So I literally don't understand why they
do it. I know that there are a number of businesses,
(05:43):
including media outlets in Auckland that find it very frustrating
because that's what happens to all the staff with the
government or the land Transport Agency announces the day before
that the bridge might shut tomorrow. Half of Auckland doesn't
drive over it. So it's not good for business. It's
not good for the economy at all what they're doing
at the moment. I don't understand it. If they used
(06:04):
down part and they wouldn't have so many false of.
Speaker 1 (06:06):
Arms, sales of bubble rap mussur in Auckland because you
must walk around wearing the stuff.
Speaker 2 (06:11):
Honestly, you're the picture of the plastic chair that blows
over them.
Speaker 1 (06:15):
Press.
Speaker 2 (06:15):
Well, we will rebuild and get press. That is Auckland sometimes.
I mean, you know, during its gaybriel and Anniversary floods
a couple of years ago. Those were significant, deadly, horrible events.
Auckland deserved to be in the news. But for the
most part, ninety percent of the news stories about the
weather that lead our news outlets in New Zealand about Auckland,
it's just rubbish. I've read them as an Aucklander and go,
(06:38):
why did I just read that? That's a pointless news story.
So yeah, it's a shame that you guys get caught
up in that. I can't imagine what it feels like
being in the Southland seeing all these headlined about Auckland.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
Down under we live, but up top we belong. Phil
Duncan and weather What Joys appreciating time, Love.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
It good one, have a great weekend.
Speaker 1 (06:57):
Phil Duncan and weather Watch. This is the muster up
for northern Southern Bitts. Same way
Time to catch up with Phil Duncan out of weather Watch,
(00:28):
still undefeated a Ladas Morisset. Good afternoon, Phil.
Speaker 2 (00:31):
Good afternoon. Good to be with you.
Speaker 1 (00:34):
Yeah, I always appreciate your time on a Friday. Look,
it's been an interesting week down here in the south.
Cold weather. Earlier on a touch of frost. Then yesterday,
holy hicky, we got up to the late teens, almost
early twenties at one stage. Then it almost felt like
a tropical rainstorm about seven o'clock. It was warm outside,
but it hoes down. And then today we've got the sun,
(00:55):
but we've got wind.
Speaker 2 (00:57):
Yeah, it's definitely all over at the place the moment.
We're getting subtropical and Australian airflows in the next now.
So it's not just that polar air that you guys
have had a lot of over the past couple of months.
When I look at the long range maps, you know,
when you're underneath all the worst of it, it's sort
of hard to notice if it's changing. But when you
look at the bigger picture and you see how far
(01:18):
these windstorms have been going up the country, how far
the polar airflow is going up the country, and what
we're seeing over the next coming couple of weeks. What
you notice is overall the stormy stuff is starting to
sink southwards. And so, like I say, if you're in
the thick of that, you don't really feel that change
very much. It's still windy, every day's still getting wet weather.
But what you'll notice as this continues to happen, you'll
(01:40):
get more days than are warmer. And that's certainly what
we're seeing at the moment, still injections of cold, though
you're in that part where you're getting much more now
than the North Island. The North Island's not really getting
many cold blasts now, so that's a time that everything's
dropping southward. That's kind of what you want to hear.
And so temperatures are reflecting that. Tomorrow could be quite
(02:01):
a lot of new day windy though tomorrow strong northwest
as they could be up to gale force, so to
watch out. There could be a couple of power cuts
around tomorrow. But it's a warm day, getting up to
twenty degrees overnight lower around nine or ten. It drops
down again next week Monday, you only got a higher
than eleven, but then the temperatures gradually go back up
and while Thursday next week looks a little cool. With thirteen,
(02:23):
you're back to eighteen on Friday, maybe thirteen next Saturday.
So it's not perfect yet, but the cold blasts are
not as cold and the warmer days getting warmer, so
there's a bit of silver lighting to all the rubbish
that's going on.
Speaker 1 (02:36):
There's just a lot of wind.
Speaker 2 (02:38):
Yeah, a lot of wind, and you know it's coming
and going. The good news even with the wind is
that there are some signs that even though it is
still going to be searching off and on, driving some
people a bit crazy for the next week or two. Again,
the intensity is not as bad as it was just
even a couple of weeks ago. So it's still whindy,
it's still spring. We're still getting wintry cold fronts coming.
(03:00):
But yeah, we're definitely seeing a change around the country
and it's just going to take longer this year I
think for it to all kind of east back.
Speaker 1 (03:08):
So it's more or this continuation of what we've had
for the last couple of weeks. I suppose, yeah, pretty much.
Speaker 2 (03:13):
And in fact Australia is in the same boat. Australia
actually when you look at their long range for the
next two weeks their long range forecast, you're seeing sort
of two thirds of Australia covered in tropical heat, so
that hasn't happened for half a year or longer. So
they're getting a lot of hot air there. But in
the one southeast corner Tasmania, Melbourne, Victoria, that area, they're
(03:34):
getting arrested by storms. Another one today, huge thunderstorm outbreak
over Tasmania today. But I bring that all up because
it shows that again similar to New Zealand, there are
signs that we're going in towards summer more days would
warmth and heat, but those that are at the southern
end of the country are definitely still getting winter. And
so if they're still getting that, we're still going to
(03:55):
get it for another couple more weeks. So the rest
of the month really is going to be still westerly
driven weather and still a bit unsettled at times.
Speaker 1 (04:03):
It's an interracing you talk about the southern states of
Australia having a pole of blast. I was watching Cricket
Goodness Me from Adelaide on Wednesday. I think of us
and there was like thirty degrees or something like that,
and just thinking you lucky buggers.
Speaker 2 (04:16):
Yeah, that's like a blip though in the days they've had,
most of their days have been terrible. In fact, Melbourne's
been colder than Auckland most of this past couple of months.
Like they've had numerous days where it's been only fourteen
or thirteen degrees and tavy showers and stuff. So yeah,
a lot of complaints around there. But the farmers in
Victoria they want rain. They're worried about drought. They say
(04:38):
it's better than this time year ago, but it's still
not a not a really good season, and so like, yeah,
they're having some issues over there. I think, I don't know,
would you rather be windy and a bit wet or
leaning towards droughts? You know, like those are sort of
the two options in Australia at the moment.
Speaker 1 (04:53):
This is from the Chuckle if you're a Southerner file,
why do they close the Auckland Harbor Bridge if it
looks as though these a breeze on the horizon?
Speaker 2 (05:00):
I don't know it is Honestly, they've obviously got like
there since that one truck crashed into it. You know,
what was it four or five years ago? That was
during the squall. It was a really strong, isolate, high,
massively isolated burst of wind. That's the kind of weather
where if you're driving a big truck up the bridge,
dust comes out of nowhere at one hundred and forty
(05:22):
ks an hour and blow the truck over. So I
don't have a problem with that when it's squawly. But
what they do now is whenever it is a wind warning,
they just shut the bridge down or if it gets
to this point. And it's kind of silly because most
of the time it's just a sort of strong breeze
that you know, we all get from time to time
around the country. So I literally don't understand why they
do it. I know that there are a number of businesses,
(05:43):
including media outlets in Auckland that find it very frustrating
because that's what happens to all the staff with the
government or the land Transport Agency announces the day before
that the bridge might shut tomorrow. Half of Auckland doesn't
drive over it. So it's not good for business. It's
not good for the economy at all what they're doing
at the moment. I don't understand it. If they used
(06:04):
down part and they wouldn't have so many false of.
Speaker 1 (06:06):
Arms, sales of bubble rap mussur in Auckland because you
must walk around wearing the stuff.
Speaker 2 (06:11):
Honestly, you're the picture of the plastic chair that blows
over them.
Speaker 1 (06:15):
Press.
Speaker 2 (06:15):
Well, we will rebuild and get press. That is Auckland sometimes.
I mean, you know, during its gaybriel and Anniversary floods
a couple of years ago. Those were significant, deadly, horrible events.
Auckland deserved to be in the news. But for the
most part, ninety percent of the news stories about the
weather that lead our news outlets in New Zealand about Auckland,
it's just rubbish. I've read them as an Aucklander and go,
(06:38):
why did I just read that? That's a pointless news story.
So yeah, it's a shame that you guys get caught
up in that. I can't imagine what it feels like
being in the Southland seeing all these headlined about Auckland.
Speaker 1 (06:49):
Down under we live, but up top we belong. Phil
Duncan and weather What Joys appreciating time, Love.
Speaker 2 (06:53):
It good one, have a great weekend.
Speaker 1 (06:57):
Phil Duncan and weather Watch. This is the muster up
for northern Southern Bitts. Same way
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