Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:01):
Pleas legames. I've promised myself I will do that again.
Speaker 2 (00:11):
It's got to be.
Speaker 1 (00:13):
And before we rip up for the week here on
the muster, let's catch up with Phil Duncan out of
Willowatch from the Coelcic Grooves. A figure around, a fear
(00:41):
around attraction to the rage of laddismiras it, Phil dunk
And welcome to Friday.
Speaker 2 (00:45):
What a great intro. Thank you very much. And yes,
yeah it's Friday.
Speaker 1 (00:49):
I'm hoping the weather matches the mood. What have we got?
Speaker 2 (00:52):
Well, you know, it is still spring, so it's still
up and down, but you know it's not as bad
as it could be. But I'm trying to a positive
spin on it because it's still it is still a
bit wet and a bit cold at times. We've still
got you know, highs and lows all coming through at
the moment. So the downside is that, yes, there's more
(01:12):
wet weather coming, which I think you're a bit tired of,
and we're still not done with the cold nights yet
as well in some cooler days. So on the positive
side of all of that is that from a big
picture point of view, looking at the whole country, we
are seeing a lot of the windy weather and the
cold weather sink further and further southwards. But of course
(01:33):
you've been the southernmost region, you're still in the thick
of it to some degree, but it is changing. We
are seeing as from a nationwide point of view, and
not just here. From an Australian point of view as well,
they are seeing some heat sinking southwards. It's going to
be thirty three degrees in Sydney today, probably thirty five
out in Paramatta in the west, and then they've got
that again on Monday, so like it properly going into summer,
(01:56):
but even Australia is still getting bursts of cold winterry
were So from a big picture point of view, we
are doing all the right things as we slide towards summer,
but for Southland it still means sun, rain, showers and
a lot of wind coming from the west, which means
the temperatures are flash They're not hot, they're not cold,
but they're kind of still in that middle ground where
(02:18):
you've got a number of days coming up with daytime
highs between sort of twelve to thirty degrees, so not
hot or warm like maybe some other areas around the country.
Speaker 1 (02:26):
Are we're getting a couple of days where the temperatures
of beautiful mid to late teens, we've got blue skies,
but it's two days in a row. Where are we
going to see a hat trick?
Speaker 2 (02:35):
Yeah, might be. I think we might be having to
wait until the very end of the month or going
into November. What we're seeing actually the Labor weekend is
a fair bit of high pressure moving across the country
and so Southland at this stage doesn't look too bad.
The air pressure is going up a weed that weekend
as well, and further northwards there's a lot of high
pressure moving into New Zealand. So that's a bit of
(02:57):
a change. So if you're heading away for the long Waken,
there might be some good news, but yeah, it's at
the moment. What's happening is we don't really have the
high pressure zones over the top of you. They're running
over the north of New Zealand, and then in the
coming week they'll track a little further into the North Island.
So there is an improvement, but because you're on the
edges of it, still not quite yet seeing a big improvement.
(03:19):
In fact, there could be a rain event next week
with maybe thirty millimeters coming through as we go through
what day was that Tuesday Wednesday around about there, So
we're not completely out of the woods yet, but we are,
as I say, overall, seeing some improvements.
Speaker 1 (03:33):
Are the ones going to be south westerly or are
we going to be sticking with these northwesters at least
with northwesterlies as warmer.
Speaker 2 (03:39):
Yeah, there's a lot of westerlies in the flow. Pretty
much every wind direction of every day has a w
with it. But some days it might be like today
it's a north northwesterly, which is basically a normally to northwesterly.
Tomorrow it's westerly, Sunday's westerly, Monday northwester again, and then
as we go through Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, it is a
west to northwest where it's a lot of westerlies in there.
(04:02):
And you know, like I say, temperatures, daytime temperatures today
is the warmest day of the next week, whether around
eighteen degrees or so, but the weekend thirteen to fifteen degrees,
and then next week eleven to thirteen degrees right through
until next weekend, and the overnight lows Tonight it's a
mild night. Ten degrees is the overnight low, but tomorrow
night down to two, so we might see some light
(04:25):
frost around. It won't be very much late. The frosts
are pretty much disappearing now, but they're possible light bit
of frost here and there. And then as we go
into next week, a lot of overnight lows sort of
seven to eight degrees, six degrees, and then next weekend
a bit colder again, down to three or four. So
it's not brutal, it's not really mild. It's just in
that middle ground, really, which is what October really is.
Speaker 1 (04:48):
So what you're saying is the second half of spring
is going to be a continuation of what we've seen.
Speaker 2 (04:53):
Unfortunately, well it might be to begin with, but I'm
still holding up a bit of hope for what November
brings us. I keep saying this that you know, we've
been in the same ware the pattern since about the
middle of August, so we've had a couple of months
now of a fairly relentless weather pattern. So that's kind
of textbook in some ways. So when you get to November,
(05:13):
usually a little bit of energy comes out of the
weather that we're getting and we get a bit more
high pressure moving through. So that's the thing I'm looking
for at about a week's time from now, or maybe
a little bit just after labor weekends, just trying to
work out what is November looking like, because that helps
shape what we're going to be seeing going into December.
So that's what I'll be looking for in about a
(05:34):
week's time, so hopefully when we talk next week, although
maybe it just might be after labor weekend to kind
of work out what is November's where the pattern, because
that is going to be a critical sort of component
to working out what is summer looking like at this stage,
and it's too early to see what some's looking like
this year because we've got, as I said, classic spring
going on. We've got the southern stratospheric warming over Antarctica,
(05:58):
which has just made us spring the more westerly driven,
a little more spring like. And then on top of that,
we've got a weak Larninia trying to form up in
the tropics, and so there are a few different moving parts,
and sometimes when you've got a lot of moving parts
like that, you end up with just a really normal
weather pattern over the top of us. So it's a
little tricky to work out sometimes in our location on
(06:20):
Earth long range stuff, but that's what we're looking for
later next week is what is the first half of
November looking like and will there finally be a change
to what we've had for the last two months.
Speaker 1 (06:31):
Awak Ladininia as a Latininian. Nonetheless it is.
Speaker 2 (06:35):
But again it's measured at the tropics, and we're halfway
from the tropics to Antarctica, so if it's a weak Lardinia,
it may not even really affect us this far south.
So that's why the southern stratospheric warming over Antarctica this
year is making a bit of a difference, because if
it's going to make those westerly stronger, then Larninia's easterly
(06:56):
may not really be felt. They might get bulldozed away
by the westerly circlin the Southern Ocean in the New
Zealand area. So that's why there are a few moving
parts and at some point one of those might win.
But a week line mean you sometimes doesn't do anything
at all to New Zealand, so it's not necessarily going
to drive in a big change to us, not yet anyway.
Speaker 1 (07:16):
Feldakin of weather Watch, we always appreciate your time on
the Muster.
Speaker 2 (07:19):
Have a good weekend. They laugh out loud with ag
proud because life on the land can be a laughing matter.
Speaker 1 (07:29):
Brought to us by sheer Well Data working to help
the livestock farmer. A ventroila Quest is performing with his
dummy on his lap. He tells a dumb blonde joke.
When a young platinum head beauty jumps to her feet.
What gives you the right to stereotype blondes that way?
She demands, what does my hair color have to do
with my worth as a human fluster The ventroiler Quest
begins to stare and apologizes. She owes, hey, you keep
(07:50):
out of this. I'm talking a bit jerk on your knee.
That's us stumblers for the afternoon. Enjoy the rag me
if you're heading up to full so fast and I
had to tago by a plenty of course. Kenterbury Hawks,
Bader Murray, the Simmis of the NPC. My name's Andy
Muerliston and the muster on hockin New He thanks of
Peterson Newlicks podcast going up shortly and remember the best
(08:13):
of the Muster five am tomorrow, see you Monday.
Speaker 2 (08:16):
Where,