September 29, 2025 • 22 mins
On today's episode, Prez and Joe discuss Monday Night Football bets and look ahead to the college football Week 6 and NFL Week 5 slates!
00:00 INTRODUCTION
03:07 MNF JETS VS DOLPHINS PREVIEW
05:18 MNF BENGALS VS BRONCOS PREVIEW
07:37 WHAT DID WE LEARN?
11:48 NFL WEEK 5 BET NOW
13:41 BAD BEATS | PREZ IS CONFUSED ABOUT RYDER CUP
15:37 PREZ NFL BEST BETS
16:29 MLB POST-SEASON PREVIEW
18:43 MAILBAG! VIEWER QUESTIONS
00:00 INTRODUCTION
03:07 MNF JETS VS DOLPHINS PREVIEW
05:18 MNF BENGALS VS BRONCOS PREVIEW
07:37 WHAT DID WE LEARN?
11:48 NFL WEEK 5 BET NOW
13:41 BAD BEATS | PREZ IS CONFUSED ABOUT RYDER CUP
15:37 PREZ NFL BEST BETS
16:29 MLB POST-SEASON PREVIEW
18:43 MAILBAG! VIEWER QUESTIONS
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Two NFL games tonight, New York Jets in Miami, Cincinnati
in Denver. We're going to tell you exactly how to
make money on both those games. That's what the show
is about. I don't care about sports. I care about money.
Joe and Aarry joining us. You're watching the best betting
show ever. It's Monday, Joe, what a weekend. We'll get
(00:24):
to that as well a little later. But my god,
congratulations you won your five percent college football play. I
lost my five percent NFL play, but I swept the
board on everything else in NFL. Good weekend for me
and my clients. What about you?
Speaker 2 (00:43):
I mean huge college football?
Speaker 3 (00:45):
Saturday Press went five and one, including that five percent
the best bet. So yeah, college football, we absolutely crushed it.
Not to mention Press, not for nothing, but you know
the amount of the amount of teams and as we
are throwing out on a weekly basis on this show
that have just absolutely been crushing it. I hope you
(01:08):
guys are paying attention Monday through Friday because a lot
of valuable information and angles and edges and bets have
been given out here since the started a show.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
If you guys have never watched the show before, you
missed out on one of the two gentlemen right here
telling you to bet the New York Giants on the
money line, and that gentleman who's wearing a cat again
no names, insisted you bet the New York Giants on
(01:39):
the money line and explained exactly why you should bet
the New York Giants on the money line. That very
same person thought the Dallas Cowboys had a shot to
win on the money line as well. Joe Darry Today's show,
it's simple. First, guys, hit the like button, subscribe to
our channel, and make sure to comment in our comment section.
(02:02):
We have a mailbag section of the show where we
go through your comments and questions. On today's show, it's
two minutes a segment. We run it on a clock,
New York Jets versus Miami, Cincinnati against Denver. Joe and
I are going to go through what did we learn,
and we will talk about the Baltimore Ravens, the Kansas
City Chiefs, We'll talk about the New Orleans Saints, Arizona, etc.
(02:28):
And we're also going to focus on what should we
bet right this minute in the NFL because there are
bets coming in and lines moving. We'll have our bat
beats sound off and Joe, you're gonna give us what
is this MLB postseason you talk about?
Speaker 2 (02:45):
Well, it starts tomorrow present.
Speaker 3 (02:46):
We've got four of the wildcard series taking place. Best
out of three will advance to take on the top
two seeds, and we're often running on our way to
eventually crowning the nationally going to could lead pennant winner.
Some interesting odd movement so far in series prices and
game prices, we need to go over.
Speaker 1 (03:08):
Yes, and we will. Let's get into it. Queue the'clock,
New York Jets versus Miami. Joe, the line is minus
two and a half of Miami minus one p fifty
on the money line New York Jets. The total here
forty four and a half. And you know, Joe, right
off the bat, my original thought was to take Miami.
(03:29):
I felt like they had a good game last week
against the Buffalo Bills, and their schedule is such that
they really could come out of the verse seven weeks
four and three or three and four. They do have
a route to fix their season. And then I said
to myself, Jesus man, they're Miami. Do they deserve to
be a favorite.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
So I'm going to look at taking the Miami team
total over the New York Jets team total over exactly
the same way we attacked last Monday night, both team
totals over, and I like Brice Hall plus one forty
(04:13):
four an anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2 (04:15):
That's how I'm gonna attack this game. What do you
got for us?
Speaker 3 (04:18):
Yeah, Prez, I would keep an eye on the weather here,
as apparently we have this hurricane just off the coast
here of Florida cruising up the eastern seaboard. There are
some wins, there are some rain in the forecast here
in South Florida tonight. But to me, Prez, I'm gonna
go with the team that can run the ball because
(04:38):
if the weather becomes an issue, well, there's one team
that can run the ball tonight and there's one team
that can't. So I like the New York Jets in
this one, and I really like them, Prez in the
first half. I think that's not a bad way to
look at him, because if Tua can't just chuck it
up and hope that Tyreek Hill comes down with it, well,
(04:58):
then guess what, who's it's got the better running game?
And to me, it's the Jets all the way. So
first half, I believe the Jets come down and smack
the Dolphins in this one.
Speaker 2 (05:08):
There we go, just real quick.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Jets over twenty and a half, MYAMMI over twenty three
and a half. That's where I'm going. Let's cross our
fingers and hope the weather remains good. Joe, Cincinnati on
the road playing Denver. Denver one of my Survivor picks,
so full disclosure. I need this team to win, and
I think they will, and I think they're going to
(05:30):
cover this line. Joe ninety percent of the money on
Denver sixty on the under. This is a tough spot
with Cincinnati, this Denver team coming off a horrible loss
last week. This is a team that is playing much better,
a team that is really good defensively. I would be
looking to take Cincinnati team total under here as well.
(05:52):
I think Cincinnati is going to struggle to score more
than thirteen points at Denver is trying to stretch the field.
Joe is a team that's airing the ball out, finding
ways to get the running game involved. Bo Nicks has
not been consistent, but on any given day he could
put up three or touchdowns I think Denver wins this
(06:14):
game going away. I hate the hook, but minus seven
and a half of me, Joe.
Speaker 2 (06:20):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (06:20):
So I'll tell you what here prays because this is
part of one of the client plays on a teaser
that I had this week involving the Kansas City Chiefs.
I had them in a teaser up to eight and
a half that wasn't a problem, and the Broncos tonight
or the other half of the teaser down to one
and a half and listens up and down. As Bonnix
(06:41):
has been this year, the one thing we know is
that last year he was awesome at home. He threw
for over two thousand yards, he had nineteen touchdown passes,
he had a passer rating over one oh two. He
had back to back road games in which the Broncos
quite honestly have figured out ways to lose games. I
don't think that's gonna be the situation here. And while
(07:04):
the Bengals did a great job of shooting themselves in
the foot against the Vikings last week, Prez Yeah, expecting
them to go in to Denver and get the job done. Listen,
it may be close for a little while, but ultimately
I like Denver to win this game. Love min a
teaser and wouldn't hate those that put the Jets up
to eight and a half and Denver down.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
To one and a half.
Speaker 1 (07:27):
Yeah, and also, Joe JK. Dobbins anytime touchdowns I like
to minus one thirty. Now, there we go, guys, That's
how we're going to attack Monday night football. Let's keep
the clock rolling. Hit that like button. Subscribed to our
channel and make sure to comment. Joe, what did we
learn in Week four of the NFL. Well, I'll tell
you right off the bat that I think the Arizona
(07:47):
Cardinals are not nearly as good as we all anticipated
coming into the season. I think Kyler Murray is not
a competent quarterback in this league, and I think this
team is going to struggle and I'm looking to fade
them moving forward. We'll talk about our fades tomorrow. I
don't know what to make of this Baltimore Ravens team,
(08:08):
but I got to feel like they're a bet on
team moving forward. They do have huge defensive problems, but Joe,
I'm going to look to bet them to win the division.
I cannot figure out the Pittsburgh Steelers either. I don't
think They're nearly as good as they look. Minnesota is
a strange team right now to bet on as well,
(08:29):
and is Tennessee and Houston Joe. Are either of them
going to win a game this year?
Speaker 2 (08:34):
Yeah? Well Houston did win a game barely.
Speaker 3 (08:37):
I mean New Orleans Orleans, well, at least they're competitive,
praz But I think that it now's a good time
to remind folks because we do this every year. Okay,
do not, and I repeat, do not put a lot
of stock into what you have just seen in the
month of September for teams. Do not blanket these teams
(08:59):
because very dangerous, right the Packers World beaters?
Speaker 2 (09:03):
Who was going to beat the Packers? They're gonna win
the NFC North they after cut.
Speaker 3 (09:08):
Have you seen what they look like over the last
couple of weeks here?
Speaker 2 (09:11):
Okay, Kansas City? Right, that was it? The reign of
horror is almost over.
Speaker 3 (09:17):
The Chargers are the team to beat in the All right, everybody,
let's settle down here, because what we saw in September
will have very little or resemble very little to what
these teams will likely look like come October.
Speaker 2 (09:32):
In November, and keep this in mind.
Speaker 3 (09:34):
The Ravens are one in three and they are still
the favorite to win the.
Speaker 2 (09:39):
A two hundred.
Speaker 3 (09:41):
What does that tell you about how much the month
of September means right now? Be very careful with the
recency bias.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Pres There you go, Joe.
Speaker 1 (09:50):
I think you and I are on the same page
on a lot of that stuff. What do we bet
now before we get into the specific week, Kansas City
plus one forty to win the division?
Speaker 2 (10:00):
Joe? Is their money?
Speaker 1 (10:01):
Is there a good value there?
Speaker 3 (10:04):
The value was last week when I told you that
Kansas City was far from dead and that we got
to be very careful with reinforcements on the way.
Speaker 2 (10:14):
But get them why you can press.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
Because they're not going to be plus money in a
couple of weeks when they get Rice back, and obviously
Worthy is a total game changer for this team.
Speaker 2 (10:26):
I would pick Kansas City before anything's long.
Speaker 3 (10:30):
By the way, the Chargers lost Alt their other tackle
to go along with Slater, so both starting offensive tackles
for the Chargers are done.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
It's not a good situation with the Chargers right now. Joe.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
I know we had no section for this before we continue,
but want to I want to talk about the Detroit
Lions and plus one twenty to win the division. They're
already up three one, so they're up on green Bay,
They're up on Chicago, they're up on Minnesota. They lost
the game to green Bay, but it was in green Bay,
(11:04):
so they still have the home game against green Bay.
Plus one twenty in the NFC North to win the
division seems like a legitimately good bet to me.
Speaker 2 (11:15):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (11:15):
Well, and also they're laying they're getting eight eight and
a half right now, or laying eight and a half
against Cincinnati. If Cincinnati gets boat raced by Denver, that
line is going to go to double digits for it's
all said and done. So if you like Detroit this
week or coming up here, you may want to act
sooner rather than later. It's already been on the move.
(11:38):
If Cincinnati gets boat race tonight, that's that'll be nine
and a half, maybe even ten before it's all said
and done.
Speaker 1 (11:44):
Press Yeah, I think we will get to ten, Joe.
Let's keep the clock moving. NFL Week five bet now,
and really this is about line moves, Joe, and I'm
going to start right off with the New Orleans Saints
plus two now a pick them on the board, slap
me sideways, but I did not see that coming. Arizona
(12:09):
they're almost out of ten, Seattle out of three. We've
got money coming in on Detroit. Like we spoke about,
there are nines out there. The over in New England
and Buffalo has already been bet up to fifty, Joe.
And although Miami is not played tonight's game, they're taking
a lot of money against Carolina in Carolina next week
(12:34):
plus the Rams. Joe, ninety four percent of the money
bet in that game is on the Rams. They're now
minus four almost across the board. Anything jump out at
you that we should bet right now?
Speaker 2 (12:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (12:49):
Bet Baltimore. Why you can lay in six and a
half at home against Houston? There is I don't care
if it's Cooper Rush or Lamar or whatever. Baltimore going
home licking their wounds. Houston's offense is still broke. They
had six points in that damn game until the second half.
Let's not make it seem like Houston figured some things
out offensively. They have not under a touchdown. I still
(13:13):
think Baltimore has got some value and be weary of
Buffalo as a double digit favorite, which is why they
opened up as a ten and a half point favorite
at home against New England.
Speaker 2 (13:22):
It's now eight prez.
Speaker 3 (13:24):
And yeah, I mean Buffalo is the better team, but
division rivalry always a tough spot here for Buffalo.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
With New England coming to town.
Speaker 1 (13:34):
Yeah minus seven and a half, so clearly a ton
of money coming in on New England all already, Joe,
we have a bad beat section of the show before
we get into that hit like button thumbs up. Guys
comment please, Joe, you know my bad beat is not
related to football. My bad beat is this Ryder Cup.
(13:56):
What the hell is it?
Speaker 2 (13:57):
Joe?
Speaker 1 (13:57):
I mean, I someonet explain to me. And these people
were crying, like the irishman Shane Lowry was crying hysterically
because Team Europe, which isn't even Team Europe because they
probably don't even count half of Europe. It's some random
(14:18):
geographical area beat Team America. Team Europe is not a thing, people,
there is no such thing. You can't just make a
team Europe like Spain has hated on Portugal for eternity.
France and England war with each other of the last
thousand years. Germany has tried to conquer Europe twice. In
(14:43):
the last one hundred years.
Speaker 2 (14:45):
How Joe, is.
Speaker 1 (14:46):
That what you would call a team? And why does
anyone give a rats ass about some made up nonsense?
Who does America play next, Joe? The team from the island.
So every country that is an ireland island gets to
assemble a team.
Speaker 2 (15:06):
Balla is this? Yeah?
Speaker 3 (15:08):
Butt was good television, I'll tell you that, ironically enough
after it was awful beyond that. But now, pres I
get you. It's kind of a strange situation there where
you get to group, you know, one hundred countries versus
just one. I wonder if they did that in uh
with the with the four nations face off here?
Speaker 2 (15:28):
I wonder if can they do that?
Speaker 3 (15:29):
Can we just make it like a North American situation
and put USA and Canada together?
Speaker 1 (15:35):
What about Mexico? Is gard in North America?
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Very underrated hockey in Mexico? Agree? I agree with you? Yes,
also different?
Speaker 3 (15:45):
Yeah, one bed beat one bad beat to know about
pres U. Those of you that had Indie yesterday, I
feel for you because, uh, the Donna Mitchell there not
one but two touchdowns wiped off the board because he's
an idiot dropping the football before you get to the
(16:06):
goal line on a clear touchdown and then a holding
call that wiped off a Jonathan Taylor touchdown. Could have
had a much different experience with India yesterday against the
Rams and how it ended up.
Speaker 1 (16:19):
Pres Well said, Joe, Lucky for me, I had no
bad beats MLB postseason. It's begun the Jays. Yeah maybe, okay, Joe,
I had the mic to you.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
Yeah, all right, Well, here a couple of things you
got going on here. Keeping in mind that seven and
seventeen is what the Detroit Tigers were in a month
of September. They were absolutely horrific. These teams played the
Guardians and the Tigers played six times in a very
what in a two week in a fourteen day period,
and yeah, the Tigers couldn't get out of their own way,
(16:53):
including Scooble pitching twice against the Guardians, and yeah, lost
both of them. Pitch very well, but lost both of them.
These are the two weakest offensive teams in the postseason.
Here the total is six and a half for tomorrow's
game against school Ball, and it's six and a half
for a reason. Doesn't make any difference if they go
(17:16):
with Biby or Gavin Williams. Detroit cannot hit right handed pitching,
and they got a couple of pretty good ones there.
The Guardians do the Yankees in the Red Sox. I
can't explain how important Game one is going to be.
Proche versus Max Freed two of the aces here and
anytime you get Yankees in a Red Sox should be
(17:37):
a lot of fun. But the Yankees have yet to
touch Proche. He has dominated him this season. Short series
Game one is absolutely huge. Boston has to have it.
If they don't, it's going to be a quick series
for the Boston Red Sox there. In fact, I want
to congratulate the Red Pres on making it to the post.
(18:00):
Having said that tea times are available next week, it
won't take long for you to have to make them
Reds as the Dodgers are about to steamroll you right
out of the postseason here. But maybe, and just maybe,
the most unknown is going to be the Cubs in
the Padres.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
Here. The Padres have the better bullpen.
Speaker 3 (18:22):
Both teams have had iffy offenses in the second half
of the season. That feels like it can go either way,
but there's no way you can back Detroit, even with
Scooble on the mound. I think Game one is gonna
determine what you need to know with the Yankees and
the Reds. Again, thanks for participating in this year's postseason.
Speaker 1 (18:43):
There we go, Joe Ranieri, outstanding stuff. Let's get to
the mailback section of the show, and I'm going to
start with dan Zo six nine six rights. The Chargers
are sixteen and five in the first half under our ball.
You're well welcome, Thank you, great stato, Joe, and one
(19:04):
worth noting. But you did lose that one there, Denzo,
So don't ask for thanks before you actually cash that ticket.
Naitland two nine eight four rights, Steelers are winning idiots.
He has no comma, So I'm gonna say, why are
you calling the Steelers idiots?
Speaker 2 (19:25):
Nathan?
Speaker 1 (19:25):
That's not very nice of you, Joe, Like why it.
Speaker 2 (19:30):
Makes no sense?
Speaker 1 (19:31):
Another gentleman decided steel pumpkin to correct people's spelling in
our comments section steal. Come on, brother, we're a bunch
of males.
Speaker 2 (19:43):
Like, who cares about.
Speaker 1 (19:46):
Spelling solutions to world problems?
Speaker 2 (19:50):
Joe?
Speaker 1 (19:50):
He writes the best thing good good show, gentlemen. Art's
perspective is criminally underrated. And that's what I want to
talk to you guys about.
Speaker 2 (19:58):
Right now.
Speaker 1 (19:59):
Art, this is joins our show Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday.
He is the risk manager at the Westgate Sportsbook and guys,
his info is gold and we are trying literally to
build a show around him. I mean, we have one
of the biggest sportsbook managers in the world come on
our show and tell us literally who's betting what. I
(20:23):
have a deep respect for this guy. He just made
a ten dime bet on this team. He's telling us
which teams they need to win. He's telling us which
where the line is gonna go.
Speaker 2 (20:35):
Art to Caesar.
Speaker 1 (20:36):
Joe want a privilege to have him on this show
and one of the main reasons this is the best
betting show ever.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Listen, knowledge is power.
Speaker 3 (20:44):
But you gotta love the people who are Ah, it's
a little counter and it seems like it's a little
I don't know, man, don't make any said, why would
the bunk profit by telling us exactly what they because
they don't know what the outcome of the game is.
Speaker 2 (20:58):
That's not what he's telling you.
Speaker 1 (21:00):
But not only that, Joe and Teddy and I were
talking about this on the End Zone show on Sunday.
Arts a better. These guys who work at sportsbooks. They're
just employees. They bet too.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (21:13):
So yeah, total nonsense that regard, but having up with
us unbelievable. What a show, brother. I'm cheering a lot
of scores in the Miami New York Jets game. I'm
cheering like crazy with the Denver Broncos. I'm getting some
NFL bets in later today to take advantage of the
(21:33):
line and Joe, I'm excited about baseball. Go Jay's, Go
Frickin' Jay's.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
Anything else, Nope. Should be a hell of a week,
so buckle up here. Art will be back tomorrow.
Speaker 3 (21:45):
Should be an awful lot of fun to hear exactly
where the books stand with all the early money this week.
Speaker 2 (21:52):
Awesome.
Speaker 1 (21:52):
Thanks for doing this, brother. The date of our show
I think is wrong. I don't think we're on the
twenty fifth show.
Speaker 3 (21:57):
Yeah, no, that is totally wrong, but I think it
was right earlier. Well, we should have been close enough though.
I think who cares?
Speaker 2 (22:03):
Get out of here. We'll see you tomorrow. Lots of love,
Two NFL games tonight, New York Jets in Miami, Cincinnati
in Denver. We're going to tell you exactly how to
make money on both those games. That's what the show
is about. I don't care about sports. I care about money.
Joe and Aarry joining us. You're watching the best betting
show ever. It's Monday, Joe, what a weekend. We'll get
(00:24):
to that as well a little later. But my god,
congratulations you won your five percent college football play. I
lost my five percent NFL play, but I swept the
board on everything else in NFL. Good weekend for me
and my clients. What about you?
Speaker 2 (00:43):
I mean huge college football?
Speaker 3 (00:45):
Saturday Press went five and one, including that five percent
the best bet. So yeah, college football, we absolutely crushed it.
Not to mention Press, not for nothing, but you know
the amount of the amount of teams and as we
are throwing out on a weekly basis on this show
that have just absolutely been crushing it. I hope you
(01:08):
guys are paying attention Monday through Friday because a lot
of valuable information and angles and edges and bets have
been given out here since the started a show.
Speaker 1 (01:19):
If you guys have never watched the show before, you
missed out on one of the two gentlemen right here
telling you to bet the New York Giants on the
money line, and that gentleman who's wearing a cat again
no names, insisted you bet the New York Giants on
(01:39):
the money line and explained exactly why you should bet
the New York Giants on the money line. That very
same person thought the Dallas Cowboys had a shot to
win on the money line as well. Joe Darry Today's show,
it's simple. First, guys, hit the like button, subscribe to
our channel, and make sure to comment in our comment section.
(02:02):
We have a mailbag section of the show where we
go through your comments and questions. On today's show, it's
two minutes a segment. We run it on a clock,
New York Jets versus Miami, Cincinnati against Denver. Joe and
I are going to go through what did we learn,
and we will talk about the Baltimore Ravens, the Kansas
City Chiefs, We'll talk about the New Orleans Saints, Arizona, etc.
(02:28):
And we're also going to focus on what should we
bet right this minute in the NFL because there are
bets coming in and lines moving. We'll have our bat
beats sound off and Joe, you're gonna give us what
is this MLB postseason you talk about?
Speaker 2 (02:45):
Well, it starts tomorrow present.
Speaker 3 (02:46):
We've got four of the wildcard series taking place. Best
out of three will advance to take on the top
two seeds, and we're often running on our way to
eventually crowning the nationally going to could lead pennant winner.
Some interesting odd movement so far in series prices and
game prices, we need to go over.
Speaker 1 (03:08):
Yes, and we will. Let's get into it. Queue the'clock,
New York Jets versus Miami. Joe, the line is minus
two and a half of Miami minus one p fifty
on the money line New York Jets. The total here
forty four and a half. And you know, Joe, right
off the bat, my original thought was to take Miami.
(03:29):
I felt like they had a good game last week
against the Buffalo Bills, and their schedule is such that
they really could come out of the verse seven weeks
four and three or three and four. They do have
a route to fix their season. And then I said
to myself, Jesus man, they're Miami. Do they deserve to
be a favorite.
Speaker 2 (03:50):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (03:52):
So I'm going to look at taking the Miami team
total over the New York Jets team total over exactly
the same way we attacked last Monday night, both team
totals over, and I like Brice Hall plus one forty
(04:13):
four an anytime touchdown.
Speaker 2 (04:15):
That's how I'm gonna attack this game. What do you
got for us?
Speaker 3 (04:18):
Yeah, Prez, I would keep an eye on the weather here,
as apparently we have this hurricane just off the coast
here of Florida cruising up the eastern seaboard. There are
some wins, there are some rain in the forecast here
in South Florida tonight. But to me, Prez, I'm gonna
go with the team that can run the ball because
(04:38):
if the weather becomes an issue, well, there's one team
that can run the ball tonight and there's one team
that can't. So I like the New York Jets in
this one, and I really like them, Prez in the
first half. I think that's not a bad way to
look at him, because if Tua can't just chuck it
up and hope that Tyreek Hill comes down with it, well,
(04:58):
then guess what, who's it's got the better running game?
And to me, it's the Jets all the way. So
first half, I believe the Jets come down and smack
the Dolphins in this one.
Speaker 2 (05:08):
There we go, just real quick.
Speaker 1 (05:09):
Jets over twenty and a half, MYAMMI over twenty three
and a half. That's where I'm going. Let's cross our
fingers and hope the weather remains good. Joe, Cincinnati on
the road playing Denver. Denver one of my Survivor picks,
so full disclosure. I need this team to win, and
I think they will, and I think they're going to
(05:30):
cover this line. Joe ninety percent of the money on
Denver sixty on the under. This is a tough spot
with Cincinnati, this Denver team coming off a horrible loss
last week. This is a team that is playing much better,
a team that is really good defensively. I would be
looking to take Cincinnati team total under here as well.
(05:52):
I think Cincinnati is going to struggle to score more
than thirteen points at Denver is trying to stretch the field.
Joe is a team that's airing the ball out, finding
ways to get the running game involved. Bo Nicks has
not been consistent, but on any given day he could
put up three or touchdowns I think Denver wins this
(06:14):
game going away. I hate the hook, but minus seven
and a half of me, Joe.
Speaker 2 (06:20):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (06:20):
So I'll tell you what here prays because this is
part of one of the client plays on a teaser
that I had this week involving the Kansas City Chiefs.
I had them in a teaser up to eight and
a half that wasn't a problem, and the Broncos tonight
or the other half of the teaser down to one
and a half and listens up and down. As Bonnix
(06:41):
has been this year, the one thing we know is
that last year he was awesome at home. He threw
for over two thousand yards, he had nineteen touchdown passes,
he had a passer rating over one oh two. He
had back to back road games in which the Broncos
quite honestly have figured out ways to lose games. I
don't think that's gonna be the situation here. And while
(07:04):
the Bengals did a great job of shooting themselves in
the foot against the Vikings last week, Prez Yeah, expecting
them to go in to Denver and get the job done. Listen,
it may be close for a little while, but ultimately
I like Denver to win this game. Love min a
teaser and wouldn't hate those that put the Jets up
to eight and a half and Denver down.
Speaker 2 (07:25):
To one and a half.
Speaker 1 (07:27):
Yeah, and also, Joe JK. Dobbins anytime touchdowns I like
to minus one thirty. Now, there we go, guys, That's
how we're going to attack Monday night football. Let's keep
the clock rolling. Hit that like button. Subscribed to our
channel and make sure to comment. Joe, what did we
learn in Week four of the NFL. Well, I'll tell
you right off the bat that I think the Arizona
(07:47):
Cardinals are not nearly as good as we all anticipated
coming into the season. I think Kyler Murray is not
a competent quarterback in this league, and I think this
team is going to struggle and I'm looking to fade
them moving forward. We'll talk about our fades tomorrow. I
don't know what to make of this Baltimore Ravens team,
(08:08):
but I got to feel like they're a bet on
team moving forward. They do have huge defensive problems, but Joe,
I'm going to look to bet them to win the division.
I cannot figure out the Pittsburgh Steelers either. I don't
think They're nearly as good as they look. Minnesota is
a strange team right now to bet on as well,
(08:29):
and is Tennessee and Houston Joe. Are either of them
going to win a game this year?
Speaker 2 (08:34):
Yeah? Well Houston did win a game barely.
Speaker 3 (08:37):
I mean New Orleans Orleans, well, at least they're competitive,
praz But I think that it now's a good time
to remind folks because we do this every year. Okay,
do not, and I repeat, do not put a lot
of stock into what you have just seen in the
month of September for teams. Do not blanket these teams
(08:59):
because very dangerous, right the Packers World beaters?
Speaker 2 (09:03):
Who was going to beat the Packers? They're gonna win
the NFC North they after cut.
Speaker 3 (09:08):
Have you seen what they look like over the last
couple of weeks here?
Speaker 2 (09:11):
Okay, Kansas City? Right, that was it? The reign of
horror is almost over.
Speaker 3 (09:17):
The Chargers are the team to beat in the All right, everybody,
let's settle down here, because what we saw in September
will have very little or resemble very little to what
these teams will likely look like come October.
Speaker 2 (09:32):
In November, and keep this in mind.
Speaker 3 (09:34):
The Ravens are one in three and they are still
the favorite to win the.
Speaker 2 (09:39):
A two hundred.
Speaker 3 (09:41):
What does that tell you about how much the month
of September means right now? Be very careful with the
recency bias.
Speaker 2 (09:47):
Pres There you go, Joe.
Speaker 1 (09:50):
I think you and I are on the same page
on a lot of that stuff. What do we bet
now before we get into the specific week, Kansas City
plus one forty to win the division?
Speaker 2 (10:00):
Joe? Is their money?
Speaker 1 (10:01):
Is there a good value there?
Speaker 3 (10:04):
The value was last week when I told you that
Kansas City was far from dead and that we got
to be very careful with reinforcements on the way.
Speaker 2 (10:14):
But get them why you can press.
Speaker 3 (10:16):
Because they're not going to be plus money in a
couple of weeks when they get Rice back, and obviously
Worthy is a total game changer for this team.
Speaker 2 (10:26):
I would pick Kansas City before anything's long.
Speaker 3 (10:30):
By the way, the Chargers lost Alt their other tackle
to go along with Slater, so both starting offensive tackles
for the Chargers are done.
Speaker 2 (10:39):
It's not a good situation with the Chargers right now. Joe.
Speaker 1 (10:42):
I know we had no section for this before we continue,
but want to I want to talk about the Detroit
Lions and plus one twenty to win the division. They're
already up three one, so they're up on green Bay,
They're up on Chicago, they're up on Minnesota. They lost
the game to green Bay, but it was in green Bay,
(11:04):
so they still have the home game against green Bay.
Plus one twenty in the NFC North to win the
division seems like a legitimately good bet to me.
Speaker 2 (11:15):
Yeah.
Speaker 3 (11:15):
Well, and also they're laying they're getting eight eight and
a half right now, or laying eight and a half
against Cincinnati. If Cincinnati gets boat raced by Denver, that
line is going to go to double digits for it's
all said and done. So if you like Detroit this
week or coming up here, you may want to act
sooner rather than later. It's already been on the move.
(11:38):
If Cincinnati gets boat race tonight, that's that'll be nine
and a half, maybe even ten before it's all said
and done.
Speaker 1 (11:44):
Press Yeah, I think we will get to ten, Joe.
Let's keep the clock moving. NFL Week five bet now,
and really this is about line moves, Joe, and I'm
going to start right off with the New Orleans Saints
plus two now a pick them on the board, slap
me sideways, but I did not see that coming. Arizona
(12:09):
they're almost out of ten, Seattle out of three. We've
got money coming in on Detroit. Like we spoke about,
there are nines out there. The over in New England
and Buffalo has already been bet up to fifty, Joe.
And although Miami is not played tonight's game, they're taking
a lot of money against Carolina in Carolina next week
(12:34):
plus the Rams. Joe, ninety four percent of the money
bet in that game is on the Rams. They're now
minus four almost across the board. Anything jump out at
you that we should bet right now?
Speaker 2 (12:49):
Yeah?
Speaker 3 (12:49):
Bet Baltimore. Why you can lay in six and a
half at home against Houston? There is I don't care
if it's Cooper Rush or Lamar or whatever. Baltimore going
home licking their wounds. Houston's offense is still broke. They
had six points in that damn game until the second half.
Let's not make it seem like Houston figured some things
out offensively. They have not under a touchdown. I still
(13:13):
think Baltimore has got some value and be weary of
Buffalo as a double digit favorite, which is why they
opened up as a ten and a half point favorite
at home against New England.
Speaker 2 (13:22):
It's now eight prez.
Speaker 3 (13:24):
And yeah, I mean Buffalo is the better team, but
division rivalry always a tough spot here for Buffalo.
Speaker 2 (13:32):
With New England coming to town.
Speaker 1 (13:34):
Yeah minus seven and a half, so clearly a ton
of money coming in on New England all already, Joe,
we have a bad beat section of the show before
we get into that hit like button thumbs up. Guys
comment please, Joe, you know my bad beat is not
related to football. My bad beat is this Ryder Cup.
(13:56):
What the hell is it?
Speaker 2 (13:57):
Joe?
Speaker 1 (13:57):
I mean, I someonet explain to me. And these people
were crying, like the irishman Shane Lowry was crying hysterically
because Team Europe, which isn't even Team Europe because they
probably don't even count half of Europe. It's some random
(14:18):
geographical area beat Team America. Team Europe is not a thing, people,
there is no such thing. You can't just make a
team Europe like Spain has hated on Portugal for eternity.
France and England war with each other of the last
thousand years. Germany has tried to conquer Europe twice. In
(14:43):
the last one hundred years.
Speaker 2 (14:45):
How Joe, is.
Speaker 1 (14:46):
That what you would call a team? And why does
anyone give a rats ass about some made up nonsense?
Who does America play next, Joe? The team from the island.
So every country that is an ireland island gets to
assemble a team.
Speaker 2 (15:06):
Balla is this? Yeah?
Speaker 3 (15:08):
Butt was good television, I'll tell you that, ironically enough
after it was awful beyond that. But now, pres I
get you. It's kind of a strange situation there where
you get to group, you know, one hundred countries versus
just one. I wonder if they did that in uh
with the with the four nations face off here?
Speaker 2 (15:28):
I wonder if can they do that?
Speaker 3 (15:29):
Can we just make it like a North American situation
and put USA and Canada together?
Speaker 1 (15:35):
What about Mexico? Is gard in North America?
Speaker 2 (15:39):
Very underrated hockey in Mexico? Agree? I agree with you? Yes,
also different?
Speaker 3 (15:45):
Yeah, one bed beat one bad beat to know about
pres U. Those of you that had Indie yesterday, I
feel for you because, uh, the Donna Mitchell there not
one but two touchdowns wiped off the board because he's
an idiot dropping the football before you get to the
(16:06):
goal line on a clear touchdown and then a holding
call that wiped off a Jonathan Taylor touchdown. Could have
had a much different experience with India yesterday against the
Rams and how it ended up.
Speaker 1 (16:19):
Pres Well said, Joe, Lucky for me, I had no
bad beats MLB postseason. It's begun the Jays. Yeah maybe, okay, Joe,
I had the mic to you.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
Yeah, all right, Well, here a couple of things you
got going on here. Keeping in mind that seven and
seventeen is what the Detroit Tigers were in a month
of September. They were absolutely horrific. These teams played the
Guardians and the Tigers played six times in a very
what in a two week in a fourteen day period,
and yeah, the Tigers couldn't get out of their own way,
(16:53):
including Scooble pitching twice against the Guardians, and yeah, lost
both of them. Pitch very well, but lost both of them.
These are the two weakest offensive teams in the postseason.
Here the total is six and a half for tomorrow's
game against school Ball, and it's six and a half
for a reason. Doesn't make any difference if they go
(17:16):
with Biby or Gavin Williams. Detroit cannot hit right handed pitching,
and they got a couple of pretty good ones there.
The Guardians do the Yankees in the Red Sox. I
can't explain how important Game one is going to be.
Proche versus Max Freed two of the aces here and
anytime you get Yankees in a Red Sox should be
(17:37):
a lot of fun. But the Yankees have yet to
touch Proche. He has dominated him this season. Short series
Game one is absolutely huge. Boston has to have it.
If they don't, it's going to be a quick series
for the Boston Red Sox there. In fact, I want
to congratulate the Red Pres on making it to the post.
(18:00):
Having said that tea times are available next week, it
won't take long for you to have to make them
Reds as the Dodgers are about to steamroll you right
out of the postseason here. But maybe, and just maybe,
the most unknown is going to be the Cubs in
the Padres.
Speaker 2 (18:19):
Here. The Padres have the better bullpen.
Speaker 3 (18:22):
Both teams have had iffy offenses in the second half
of the season. That feels like it can go either way,
but there's no way you can back Detroit, even with
Scooble on the mound. I think Game one is gonna
determine what you need to know with the Yankees and
the Reds. Again, thanks for participating in this year's postseason.
Speaker 1 (18:43):
There we go, Joe Ranieri, outstanding stuff. Let's get to
the mailback section of the show, and I'm going to
start with dan Zo six nine six rights. The Chargers
are sixteen and five in the first half under our ball.
You're well welcome, Thank you, great stato, Joe, and one
(19:04):
worth noting. But you did lose that one there, Denzo,
So don't ask for thanks before you actually cash that ticket.
Naitland two nine eight four rights, Steelers are winning idiots.
He has no comma, So I'm gonna say, why are
you calling the Steelers idiots?
Speaker 2 (19:25):
Nathan?
Speaker 1 (19:25):
That's not very nice of you, Joe, Like why it.
Speaker 2 (19:30):
Makes no sense?
Speaker 1 (19:31):
Another gentleman decided steel pumpkin to correct people's spelling in
our comments section steal. Come on, brother, we're a bunch
of males.
Speaker 2 (19:43):
Like, who cares about.
Speaker 1 (19:46):
Spelling solutions to world problems?
Speaker 2 (19:50):
Joe?
Speaker 1 (19:50):
He writes the best thing good good show, gentlemen. Art's
perspective is criminally underrated. And that's what I want to
talk to you guys about.
Speaker 2 (19:58):
Right now.
Speaker 1 (19:59):
Art, this is joins our show Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday Friday.
He is the risk manager at the Westgate Sportsbook and guys,
his info is gold and we are trying literally to
build a show around him. I mean, we have one
of the biggest sportsbook managers in the world come on
our show and tell us literally who's betting what. I
(20:23):
have a deep respect for this guy. He just made
a ten dime bet on this team. He's telling us
which teams they need to win. He's telling us which
where the line is gonna go.
Speaker 2 (20:35):
Art to Caesar.
Speaker 1 (20:36):
Joe want a privilege to have him on this show
and one of the main reasons this is the best
betting show ever.
Speaker 2 (20:42):
Listen, knowledge is power.
Speaker 3 (20:44):
But you gotta love the people who are Ah, it's
a little counter and it seems like it's a little
I don't know, man, don't make any said, why would
the bunk profit by telling us exactly what they because
they don't know what the outcome of the game is.
Speaker 2 (20:58):
That's not what he's telling you.
Speaker 1 (21:00):
But not only that, Joe and Teddy and I were
talking about this on the End Zone show on Sunday.
Arts a better. These guys who work at sportsbooks. They're
just employees. They bet too.
Speaker 2 (21:12):
Yeah.
Speaker 1 (21:13):
So yeah, total nonsense that regard, but having up with
us unbelievable. What a show, brother. I'm cheering a lot
of scores in the Miami New York Jets game. I'm
cheering like crazy with the Denver Broncos. I'm getting some
NFL bets in later today to take advantage of the
(21:33):
line and Joe, I'm excited about baseball. Go Jay's, Go
Frickin' Jay's.
Speaker 2 (21:39):
Anything else, Nope. Should be a hell of a week,
so buckle up here. Art will be back tomorrow.
Speaker 3 (21:45):
Should be an awful lot of fun to hear exactly
where the books stand with all the early money this week.
Speaker 2 (21:52):
Awesome.
Speaker 1 (21:52):
Thanks for doing this, brother. The date of our show
I think is wrong. I don't think we're on the
twenty fifth show.
Speaker 3 (21:57):
Yeah, no, that is totally wrong, but I think it
was right earlier. Well, we should have been close enough though.
I think who cares?
Speaker 2 (22:03):
Get out of here. We'll see you tomorrow. Lots of love,
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