Full Court Press | Can't-Miss College Hoops Value Plays for Tonight's Betting Card! | 11/19/25

Welcome to Full Court Press — your go-to college basketball betting show for game-day odds, expert picks, and matchup analysis across the NCAA slate. Each episode dives deep into spreads, totals, team props, and advanced stats to help you stay sharp all season long.

00:00 Arizona/UConn
11:00 Alabama/Illinois
21:10 Wyoming/Sam Houston (Trigg Parlay Leg)
29:50 Promos/Last Night Recap
32:45 South Florida/Oklahoma State
33:30 South Alabama/Jacksonville State (BP Parlay Leg)
40:00 Dayton/Marquette
47:33 Youngstown State/Toledo
51:23 Lipscomb/Belmont (Veno Parlay Leg)
53:45 Alabama A&M/Air Force
59:25 Parlay Recap

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:03):
All right, welcome in. It is Wednesday.

Speaker 2 (00:05):
It's time for full Court Press, the best hour of
the day right here on the wager Talk YouTube channel
and live. I think we're back live on Twitter now,
at least mine and at least the wager Talk one.
So thank you for bearing with us yesterday as we
got through with technical difficulties. But we are back, we
are on time, and let's just get right into it.
I'm gonna go to Brian Power because we got a

(00:26):
lot to talk about today.

Speaker 3 (00:27):
This is a.

Speaker 1 (00:29):
More extensive slate than I initially thought.

Speaker 2 (00:33):
Was at my desk at six am this morning and
felt like I should have probably been there at five.
So big double header in the top twenty five tonight.
I'm gonna go to you, Arizona, Yukon. I believe this
is a gamble pavilion in stores Connecticut. How are you
seeing this one?

Speaker 4 (00:49):
Yeah?

Speaker 3 (00:50):
First your road game for Arizona. Not only by the way,
we should hope this A good friend of the show,
Clint passed us info along to me or remind me
about because I was aware of it, but it's not
something I was thinking of. They don't observe daylight savings
time out in Arizona guy, So this is actually only
a two time zone trip for the Wildcats. They're in

(01:12):
the Mountain time zone during the winter, So file that
away in your memory bank regardless of time zone, though, guys,
Arizona interesting to me, they're taking a very low volume
of three point attempts this year. Just twenty seven point
two percent of their total field goal attempts come from
behind the arc. That's bottom ten in the country. So,

(01:33):
you know, three point variants is obviously a very real
thing in college basketball. We talk about it all the time.
They're a team where I guess there's just because they
not attempting a lot, there's probably going to be less
variants for the Wildcats.

Speaker 1 (01:46):
Now.

Speaker 3 (01:46):
The other concern on the Arizona side, freshman call Pete
heavily hyped. He's seen his scoring decrease every game. He
had thirty in the opener against Florida, if you remember,
down to only seven against UCLA the other night. Nevertheless,
Wildcats four to zero. They've got two wins against ranked
opponents Florida and UCLA. Not to be outdone, however, as

(02:06):
you guys are well aware, Yukon just helm off an
excellent BYU team for a two point win up in Boston.
Husky shot fifty seven percent basically fifty six point six
to be exact.

Speaker 4 (02:17):
Overall from the floor.

Speaker 3 (02:19):
They had an eleven point lead at halftime. I will
say though, treg Dan Hurley maybe a bit of a
cause for concern in that his team shot so well
and only one by two. You know, you shoot fifty
six percent from the floor, you'd expect to win by
more than two. Also, defensively, Yukon allowing the highest assist

(02:39):
percentage in the entire country right now, I'm pretty close
to market here in terms of the point spread made
the game minus five, which was right in line with
where the line opened early money on the favorite. I
think if you forced me to, and I hope you don't,
but if you forced me to, I would look Yukon

(03:01):
first half. My concern with Arizona they're young. Like I said,
the outset, first true road game, I think it could
be a slow start for them in this kind of environment.
We saw Yukon obviously get out to the big first
half lead against BYU Alex Caravan, shooting the ball extremely
well so far sixty two percent from the field. I
think Yukon probably gets up by a few possessions going

(03:24):
into the break.

Speaker 1 (03:29):
Let's get you in here, Rob, Sure you got me?

Speaker 4 (03:35):
Yep, yeah, okay, you can hear okay, I was sure
if you could hear me real quick. I'm gonna go
back to what Brian was talking about that game previous
against BYU. Listen, that's a coaching moment for Danny Hurley.
Yukon had that game wire to wire and for whatever reason,
and teams do this, got out of their comfort zone,

(03:56):
tried to let off the gas, walk it up, slow
it down, milk the and aj Debounster went crazy at
the end of that game. And BYU, which is a really,
really good team, if they'd have had thirty five more seconds,
they might have got there because Yukon was not handling
it well once they got close. But I would say

(04:16):
for thirty two thirty three minutes of that game, it
was not a contest. And again BYU's a really good
basketball team. Puts a lot of faith in what Connecticut
has for a starting five and a full rotation here.
And believe me, Dan Hurley's not a guy who's going
to miss a coaching point. So I wouldn't expect if
Yukon's ahead here and he led up. Whatsoever concern Brian

(04:40):
touched down It a little bit first true road. But
you're bringing a four pack of freshmen on the road.
CoA Pete. You mentioned his numbers, Brian, he's still a freshman.
He's ups and downs are going to happen with these
guys in their rotation of eight. You got four guys
that are inside the top eight and minutes played for
Arizona that are freshmen. Right now. The backcourt is steady,

(05:04):
it's veteran. We know that Delorso and Bradley are solid players,
but I do wonder about you know, Gamble is a very,
very cramped arena. It's a campus arena and they pack
them in there. Adam, you've probably been there, and I
can just speak for myself. When they play in the

(05:25):
Hartford Civic Center, there's a lot more people who eat
their dinner at four thirty at night in the crowd,
and when you play at Gamble, it is way more rowdy.
Your coast to coast trip two time zon z or three.
I just wonder how these freshmen are going to handle
the environment. If you kind of goes on a ten
to oh run or something in this game. Hey, Arizona,

(05:45):
if you want to just go to the schedule, they're
well prepped. You played Florida on a neutral or in
Las Vegas. I don't think it was so neutral because
Arizona has the fan base there. And then you play
UCLA in Englewood, two totally different styles. Florida brings a
huge front court to the game, one of the nation's best.

(06:06):
UCLA brings a lot of perimeter shooting and solid deepense,
So you know, stylistically they're prepped. I just think the
venue is a difficult ask for these four freshmen. I
think Yukon is veteran as they are. Terris Reid has
become a terror under the whop Alex caravan. It's talking

(06:27):
about taking advantage of a COVID year. I think he's
sixth or seventh year at Yukon. They have a bunch
of ball handlers. And one last thing to say is
that and Danny Hurley recognized this. I saw it watching
the game the other night. Silas Demer was the guy
in the clutch that they were going to for these
key buckets. So you just add another guy to the
list with solo ball et cetera. I think Yukon's probably

(06:49):
the right side. I think the money is correct. I
think Yukon probably wins this game of covers.

Speaker 1 (06:55):
Yeah, I'll talk about Gamble for a second.

Speaker 2 (06:58):
My cousin went to Yukon, lived in the parking lot
that was like right on the other side of Gamble,
and like, it's it's such a better atmosphere with the kids,
with the kids there, Like it's not to say that
students won't go to Excel Center for the games, but
it's it is. First of all, Excel Center is a
pain in the ass to get to from Yukon. That
is mostly for alumni. So many Yukon alumni like stay

(07:19):
in the Hartford area, So when you're down at downtown Excel,
it's it's gonna be like vast majority is going to
be like alumni there and then you still have your
student section. But Gamble is just a more rowdy atmosphere.
You're right rob tight quarters, it's going to be packed.
I always bump Yukon up a point or two for
home court at Gamble more than when they play at

(07:41):
Excel Center. So I think I think that'll be a
fantastic atmosphere. Tonight as far as like you mentioned, Dan
Hurley and I talked about this last year too, and
I feel like it's it's worth bringing up again because
even though Yukon still made it to the Sweet sixth
tier the round of thirty two last year and Florida great,
they really had them on the ropes and could have

(08:02):
won that game. I think people look at Yukon last
year as they underachieved, which is kind of crazy when
you consider what Yukon has done the past couple of years.
Dan Hurley's the best coach in college basketball. Dan Hurley
has the best staff in college basketball. All of those
you know how you see like Florida's assistant, the one
assistant goes to Columbia, I think another assistant took a
different job.

Speaker 1 (08:23):
Like Hurley's assistants really don't leave like that.

Speaker 2 (08:26):
All of those assistants could have jobs where pretty much
wherever they wanted in like mid to small major. And
he's been able to, like for the most part, retain
his coaching staff. So not only do you have Hurley,
you have this elite staff, and to me, that's worth
points on the number. And now you're talking about a
Yukon team that's I don't want to say they're like undervalued.

(08:49):
That's not probably not the right way to say it,
but like it's not like last year where they came
in and they were like number one and like there
was no value in Yukon at all, or like the
year before where they were coming off of another national championship.
So it's like the numbers right, but I would not
want to bet against Yukon in this spot. I'd have
to find a way to play Yukon. I also think

(09:09):
that the way they run offense is going to confuse
Arizona a lot of screens. Arizona's got a lot of
you know, I don't know if they're equipped defensively necessarily
to stop that. And then on the road where it
can snowball the crowds into it. Suddenly it's that eight
to nine point home you know run where you get
at home and suddenly you're down ten.

Speaker 1 (09:30):
That's why I don't want Arizona in this spot.

Speaker 3 (09:31):
Brian, go ahead, Well, I would say, what do you
think about the first half angle then, because when I
was breaking this down, you know with the number, you
know it's now north of two possessions for the full game,
obviously three and a half is north of one, but
I just you know, you look at how Yukon started
last game. You look, I think we're all The consensus
here among the panel is that Arizona walking into Gamble

(09:53):
is going to maybe it's gonna take them a little
bit to find their legs. It's a tough environment to play,
and that that lends itself to us slow start from
the visiting team.

Speaker 2 (10:02):
Brian, do you remember when and Rob I'm sure remembers
this as well. Remember like twenty years ago when Duke
was just a just so good and there was always
that like when you played at Cameron Indoor, the last
couple of minutes of the half, it always seemed like
they just knock.

Speaker 1 (10:19):
Out at the end of the first half.

Speaker 2 (10:22):
They had that knockout punch every time the handful of
times I've been to Gamble the last few years, Yukon's
hit that knockout punch right at the end of the
first half where it was like, I swear to I
think I've been like the three games at Gamble over
the past like five years or so, and it was
just like that last four minutes is real tough for
opposing teams. And I'm pretty sure I went to Big

(10:44):
East games who probably are used to it a little bit.

Speaker 1 (10:47):
When was the last time Arizona came to Gamble Pavilion?
If ever?

Speaker 2 (10:51):
Right, like, when was the last time they played at Gamble?
When was the last time they played Yukon on the road?
So like, yeah, I think you might be onto something
with the first half, Rob, I'm gonna come to you
for part two, little double feature tonight, because we have
another massive game in college basketball that deserves the you know,
the feature attention.

Speaker 1 (11:11):
We're gonna head out not to Champagne.

Speaker 2 (11:13):
I believe this is at the United Center or whatever
if they still call it that in Chicago or the
Bulls play so kind of a home game for Illinois,
do you still give them the home court bump when
they play in Chicago?

Speaker 4 (11:25):
Rob, I think you should, but maybe not as much
as I'm trying to think of a good example of
a team who might get into a bigger arena from
their campus at them. But since I cam'p right off
the top of my head, I mean, we did just
talk about stores to Hartford, where the bump is less.

(11:46):
Certainly it probably be a little less here Alabama, in
all likelihood they might travel a little bit here. I
didn't get exact numbers on Alabama ticket sales to get
to the United Arena or United Center, but we could
see some Crimson in the crowd game fundamentally, guys. You know,

(12:07):
for Illinois, let's just right off the bat, they still
have the injuries, right, they believed with them for most
of the season. Thomas Ivasich still out, big Z, his
brother's still in, and of course they played without their
point guard Petrovitch all season long. For Illinois. Let me
start with this because I remember saying it to Brian
last time we had Alabama. Perhaps you and Natos should

(12:30):
have a conversation and we discussed how Natos, in his quotes,
thought that his team was grossly underrated, and then they
went out and got beat by Perdue eighty seven to eighty.
Here's today's Natos, guys, because I want to have quote
session here from Natos. This might become a thing on
this show. Quote session from Natos. After the Purdue game,

(12:50):
he said, that's embarrassing in life. In sports, the team
that plays harder, the people that work harder in whatever
field you're in, should win, and they want, they deserve
to win, We're gonna have to fix some stuff. He
went on, We've got issues on the glass. We knew
it in our exhibition games. We knew it in our
intra squad scrimmages. We knew it up at Saint John's.

(13:13):
But we did a pretty good job. We got rebounded
them by like one. Until we figure out how to
make tougher plays, rebound the basketball at a much higher level,
we're gonna have a hard time beating the best teams
in the country. Natoates, far cry from were grossly underrated.
He sees a distinct problem with his team. But I
don't know that they're gonna have as big of an

(13:33):
issue in this game on the boards as they had
against Purdue, because remember that Kaufman Wren came back in
that game, Oscar Kluff. Those two guys together, they just
seem like vacuum cleaners on the boards. I don't know
that Illinois has that on the boards against Alabama, So
I'm gonna let that go a little bit. What I
will say is, you know, in Alabama's two games against

(13:57):
really good teams, NATO's has proven right in his quotes.
I mean, they win by seven at Saint John's offensive
rebounding their plus six. Let's just go to offensive glass
where you get second chances. Right, They're plus six against
Saint John's, their minus twelve against Perdue and they lose
by seven. So he's got a point. Illinois was out
rebounded by Texas Tech in that game. Texas Tech is

(14:18):
not the largest team in the world. I mean, they're
smallish as far as height is considered. So Alabama stands
a chance here. And I'll say this, Illinois beat Texas Tech.
But how about a twenty three to four free throw
advantage plus nineteen Texas Tech only shoots four free throws
in that game. You're kidding me, Alabama. They haven't shot

(14:40):
the most amount of free throws in the country, but
as guard penetrators and as a team that's attacking the
rim all the time, they're likely to shoot more free
throws than that. Here. On top of that free throw disadvantage,
Texas Tech only shot twenty seven percent from three. They're
not a team that thrives on three point like Alabama is.

(15:01):
So this is a different animal, I guess, is my point.
Alabama probably doesn't have the same glass disadvantage as they
had against Purdue. Alabama shoots the three much more than
Texas Tech. I think that sixteen makes against Purdue. Nothing
wrong with that, And Alabama certainly is a quicker transition team.
That's probably you know, Illinois likes to run. You want

(15:23):
to get out and run with Illinois, and you're better
than them. I could see Alabama winning this game, guys,
United Center or not. They did it against Saint John's,
a team that's more toward their tempo. I just feel
like they might be a little better than Illinois at
what Illinois does best. If they lose the rebounding hugely
in this game, like they did against Purdue, I'll probably

(15:45):
lose the bet, but I don't think that's gonna happen
because again, Kaufman, Ren and Kloff are different than what
Illinois has for rebounding here. So I like Alabama in
this spot plus the points, and maybe their team totally
even gets over. You see the move on this total right,
it's like one eighty three right now on a point.
Alabama's team totals in the eighty eight and a half range,

(16:05):
I think, And again it will be played in high
octane style.

Speaker 3 (16:11):
Yeah, it's funny that Rob pulled those nateotes quotes. When
I was putting them down in my notes for this game,
I was like, I wonder if Rob's gonna get these
two because they were pretty telling. But look, we know, obviously,
and Rob just alluded to it a moment ago. We
all understand what a nat oats coach team is going
to look like. They led the country. Alabama did an
adjusted tempo in last season, their fourth so far this season.

(16:33):
In that department, they hung one hundred and three on
Saint John, so they certainly could score. But the issue,
as Rob alluded to, at least in the early going,
has by their own admission Alabamazon admission, has been rebounding.
They were out rebounding fifty two to twenty eight in
that seven point loss last Thursday to Purdue.

Speaker 1 (16:50):
And where I it's interesting that.

Speaker 3 (16:52):
Rob was able to isolate the Texas Tech game Illinois's
rebounding there, I guess, because what's interesting is the fighting
a line. I come into this game with the second
best rebounding differential in the country right now, and I
marked that down as a red flag. But I guess
that you know, when Rob points isolates the Texas Tech game,

(17:13):
what that boils down to is Illinois was able to
out rebound its lesser opponents, So you know, I guess
that that's where that rebounding differential comes from. Now, the
aligne I have their own issues. They don't force turnovers
to the defensive end. They're actually bottom six in the
country in that department. That's concerning. So if Alabama is

(17:35):
able to continually get shots up guys with the number
of possessions they typically have, might be a long night
defensively for Illinois. Trig at the outset you mentioned the
gaming cliff. The United Center not a true home game
for Illinois. On a neutral I would make this spread
Illinois minus three point three. We should probably give him
some bump for home court, but not a full three points. Obviously,

(17:55):
the total is going to be what catches a lot
of people's eye. Rob mentioned it. We're already up to
one eighty two and a half from an opener of
one seventy eight. I don't like the idea of betting
a number that's already moved a couple points off the opener,
but the over is the only way I would look.
I would not bet under in this game under any circumstance.
That would be a miserable two plus hour viewing experience,
first of all, and obviously with the way these teams play,

(18:18):
I just don't think it's a fundamentally sound bet. I
could only look over in terms of the total here.

Speaker 2 (18:25):
Yeah, I mean the one the only argument I think
you can make for the under is it I guess
would correlate with with Illinois having some success, because Illinois
really needs to try to slow this game down if
they can. It's you can pretty much set your watch
to and at this point, like a Nate Oates game
is going to be to the rim jack up a three.

(18:47):
They want to play as fast as humanly possible. So
now I'm not saying Illinois is gonna do that. I'm
just saying, like that, that's kind of what Purdue did,
and that's probably like it makes sense for Illinois to
want to, like, you know, take the air out of
the ball a little bit if they can.

Speaker 1 (19:01):
That's a whole nother thing.

Speaker 2 (19:02):
Like there's there's wanting to do that, and then there's
being able to do that against Alabama as we know
that the latter, like most teams would love to do
that and they just can't because Alabama is so insanely
athletic and really typically is able to play their game
against just about anyone.

Speaker 1 (19:18):
Now.

Speaker 2 (19:19):
Uh, the ivisive if a sick brothers is is very
important here in my opinion. Tony if God, I'm struggling here,
I'm just gonna go first names and I'm gonna shorten.
I'm gonna call him Tony Thomas Love has not played
since the Jackson State game. That being said, how impressive
was Illinois against a Texas Tech team that I think

(19:39):
is very very good and they didn't have him in
that game, and and they were the I remember getting
to a conversation with Brian about his number on Illinois,
thinking it was a little high in that game, and
Illinois was clearly the better side if I if I
remember Texas Tech kind of like snuck into maybe backdoor
some numbers in that game, but Illinois kind of controlled that.

Speaker 1 (20:00):
Like that was like so impressive to me. And now
you might get him back. Uh.

Speaker 2 (20:05):
The other brother who has been the one that's been
in the starting lineup, I guess got banged up against Colgate.
Not sure what the status is, but like those two
are kind of important here because that's your that's your
rim defense.

Speaker 1 (20:17):
If you're Illinois. I'd love to.

Speaker 2 (20:21):
I wish I was like more confident in Alabama because
I do think there's some value at like four and
a half, which is what I'm seeing someplaces now. But
I'm just not That's just I'm just I don't really
want to go against this Illinois team. So the slightest
of leans toward Bama at four and a half. But
I've already played so much other stuff for today, I
don't think i'll be on this game.

Speaker 4 (20:42):
One thing, Adam, I'll throw in real quick, just fundamentally
in that game. You know, Big Z the center Ivasich
for Illinois, likes to float from the rim. He's a
three point shooter too. Yeah, and that just opens the
door for Bama to clear glass when you're seven to one,
is standing outside the York. So I don't know that
they'll have the rebounding concerns that they've had prior, especially

(21:05):
against Purdue. That just kind of hammers that point home.

Speaker 1 (21:11):
All Right, we gotta get Garth in here.

Speaker 2 (21:13):
First of all, you guys can all thank Garth for
the donation here, because I was not going to talk
about this game since it's one of my client plays.
There's gonna chip, but I've got quite a few today,
so I'll give one out here. But first thing I want.
He says, got hooked with my Army Team total last night. Yeah,
that was a tough beat on his Army Team total.
We kind of talked about that game. I don't think

(21:34):
anyone really gave anything out definitive in that game, but
I watched some of it, and my one takeaway there
Garth is like, that's the second time this year that
I felt like Army was like way out classed and
rob actually kind of nailed it. They like accidentally got
there at the end where it was like they were
clearly out of the game and they just kind of

(21:55):
like you know, got there in garbage time to the over.

Speaker 1 (21:59):
There's two games now.

Speaker 2 (22:00):
The other one was when Brian Power and I were
at the Michigan State game and I was complaining to
him that I didn't get Saint Thomas in and then
Army somehow hung around with them as well in the
game that they really never had a chance in. So
it's like the reason I'm bringing this up is Army
is even I think even worse than now there. Their
current numbers are showing because they've now hung around and

(22:23):
covered against Cornell and against Saint Thomas in games that
I never really felt like they had any sort of chance.
So I would just little bonus here, not gonna help
you today, but I'd have a big circle around playing
against Army, not only next time out, but like when
they play someone worse that's like more in their weight class.
You know it might, you know, not maybe as a

(22:43):
fifteen point dog, but soon they're going to have a
game that comes up and they're going to be like
a like a three point underdog to or a favorite
against another bad team. I think you fade Army in
that spot as far as your Playgarth, I'm with you.
He's his thoughts on Wyoming Sam Houston game. I'm leaning
Wyoming money line. Well, I gave this out this morning

(23:04):
to clients. I took Wyoming plus two and a half.
I think it's probably still there. This is a three
percent play for me and the reason so a couple things,
like a couple of reasons I like this game. One,
it's as much of a fate of Sam Houston State
for me as it is a play on a play
on Wyoming.

Speaker 1 (23:23):
Two.

Speaker 2 (23:24):
I just felt like they were getting like Sam Houston
was getting too much credit for being home. Sometimes Wyoming
gets like you'll see books attach points to them for
going on the road because when you get into the season,
their home road splits. I know Brian's nodding because he
hammers away at this, mister Mountain West always on the
home road splits like and I'll let you kind of

(23:45):
jump in in a second, like going to Laramie and
then them on the road is a whole different ballgame.
But like when you have to travel in the Mountain West,
it's a lot different then early season going down to
play Sam Houston State in Texas. So I felt like
there was two much given for home here for Sam Houston.
And I just don't think Sam Houston is going to
be able to stop Wyoming's offense in this game. And

(24:08):
I just don't trust Sam Houston to put enough points
on the board to stick with Wyoming. So that was
kind of my handicap here. I took the two and
a half weigh in on the home road stuff there.

Speaker 4 (24:17):
Brian.

Speaker 3 (24:19):
My take is just is really simple and gonna be
very brief. I just disagree with this line move the
way it's going. I made this game a pick I wouldn't.
It's something that I would not have played initially. This
is not a game. But if this gets and you
talked about where it's at right now, most places have
it a two FanDuel two and a half. If I

(24:39):
were able to get eight three on Wyoming, I would
absolutely join you. I think trig on this one. I
just I think this line as I look at the
on screen, this one's moving in the wrong direction.

Speaker 1 (24:50):
I get it.

Speaker 3 (24:51):
Wyoming historically has been a great obviously football, basketball, I
don't know what it is in the other sports. They
always have a tremendous edge at elevation and army, and
then they kind of stink when they travel. But this
is a situation where I don't know. Maybe people are
just banking on Wyoming's history of struggling on the road
and that's why the line's moving the way it is.

(25:11):
I just don't agree with the way this line is
moving at all. Again, I made the game of pick.

Speaker 4 (25:14):
Them, and I think, real quick, guys, I'll just add
my two cents. From a total's perspective, I find it
hard to think that Wyoming won't get to eighty adam
their team total here is let me look for an update,
but I think it was seventy nine and a half
when I looked earlier today, maybe seventy eight and a half.
Can't remember which, but nice time to tribute to name

(25:39):
Sundance Wicks, who came in here last year and he's
completely reshaped the style of this team from a miserably slow,
molasses style tempo that you expect from Wyoming football and
Wyoming basketball go back into the wayback machine ever since
Fennis Dembo played at Wyoming, and they real quicker, really

(26:00):
good team. This team gets up and down the floor
a little bit. They can shoot it, Sam Houston, State
may be garnering some respect because they're better tested. They
played Texas Tech, they played Utah, give them credit. Texas
Tech still beat them by almost twenty maybe more than twenty.
Not staring at the final right now, but I know
they beat them pretty good. Utah beat them, it was

(26:21):
somewhat closer, and Wyoming doesn't have those two on their resume.
But to me, Wyoming's just a better team at this point.
You know, I played their team total last game and
they got there for me. They scored ninety three. I
think they do it again here. Sam Houston State likes
to run. The game's gonna be up and down. The
betting market has absolutely gone crazy on the total, pushing

(26:44):
it up, up, up, up up. I think it's about
a seven point move. Now, I could somewhat concur but
I really like the underdog side here scoring their share, which,
like I said, I believe is going to be over
seventy nine and a half. So that's the way I'm
gonna look like that Wyoming Guard play here, guys, for
those who haven't seen, and you get a chit to
take a look, take a look tonight. And let me

(27:04):
just before I stop here, let me just thank Garth
every day with the donation, every single day, donation, donation, donation,
appreciate you, thank.

Speaker 2 (27:12):
You very much, absolutely appreciate it. And he's been asking
about games. We've been for the most part getting right,
so we kind of got to keep it going here.

Speaker 1 (27:23):
Yeah.

Speaker 2 (27:24):
So the only other thing I'll add there, just Rob,
I think you kind of are on the right track
with the Wyoming over again. It's really just more I've
been very impressed with what I've seen from them offensively
thus far. But the one point I'll kind of make
about Sam Houston here is I still think they're getting
like a little bit of respect from like their preseason ranking,

(27:47):
because the only three games this team has played so
far was a non D one game that they won,
and then they lost it to Texas Tech and Utah
on the road. So I feel like people are are
kind of looking at it like, oh, Okay, well they
played Texas Tech in Utah almostly almost as if they're
getting credit for playing those two games when they still
they still lot now they did cover against Utah and

(28:08):
actually played pretty good, but like I almost feel like
they're getting like credit for like playing those two games,
when it's like, okay, so you played two Power Conference teams,
you covered against one, you got run out by Texas Tech. Like,
I'm still trusting my pro This is one of the
few scenarios where I'm still willing to trust my preseason
assessment of Sam Houston State, because they really haven't played

(28:31):
an opponent that's in their weight class yet. You played
a non D one and you've played two teams that
are from power conferences. This is an opponent in their
weight class, and it's an opponent that's better than them
in said weight class. I don't think Sam Houston's going
to score enough to keep up of Wyoming.

Speaker 1 (28:47):
Simple as that.

Speaker 2 (28:47):
So this will be by Parlay Lake client play for
me and I will go Wyoming plus.

Speaker 1 (28:52):
Can I get plus two and a half? Still? Is
that out there? Brian?

Speaker 3 (28:56):
It's on It's a fan duel a very popular website
I under.

Speaker 1 (29:01):
So we'll say Wyoming plus two and a half.

Speaker 2 (29:03):
If I have to attach the minus one twenty to
it by the end of the show, I will do that.
And uh, yeah, thanks for the donation, Garth, thank you
for the question, and yeah, Wyoming plus two and a
half parlay Lay go ahead, Brian.

Speaker 3 (29:16):
I was just gonna say, guys, and remember you know
we obviously Garth, we appreciate so much. If you guys
just want to drop a simple like by smashing that
thumbs up button unders or of course make sure you
click subscribe. That way you will be instantly notified when
this show goes live and am Eastern every Monday through
Friday here on the wage dot YouTube channel. Just wanted

(29:36):
to make that clear.

Speaker 2 (29:38):
Yeah, and also if you didn't know, we all sell
our plays at wager talk dot com, So if you
ever want to know everything that we're on in a
given day, head on over to wager talk dot com.
We have great specials up right now, full court package,
get you three day. I've already fired five college basketball
plays for the day this Yeah, well, listen, I feel
like I have an edge right now, and I think

(30:00):
it makes more sense to kind of spread it out
three and two for me. Last night hit my four percenter,
which was the top play, and I'm beating a lot
of numbers on these, so again that is my shameless
plug for myself, if.

Speaker 3 (30:13):
You will, yeah, and then yeah, I'll just say I
gave out a lot of stuff obviously iona here on
the show. That was a nice play, Yes, very easy.
I wish that was my five dollar Tuesday play because
my five dollars Tuesday play in football on Bowling Green.
That was one of the most unconscionable interceptions at the

(30:34):
end of the game that I've that you'll ever see.
I thought we were stealing it the whole way. I
really felt good the whole way. And sorry, gang, I
know a lot of you guys jumped on board that
that five dollars playing college football that was the loser
last night. But hopefully cut some of the free plays
here on the Waygertucky YouTube channel because we gave out
some winners. If you want to check at Brian Power

(30:54):
Underscore wins like it says under my name there on
the screen.

Speaker 1 (30:59):
Rob I'm gonna go to you for this one.

Speaker 2 (31:00):
But but before I do, Brian gave out IONI yesterday
won by like one hundred.

Speaker 1 (31:05):
I feel like they were up by thirty. Uh you
love coaching changes.

Speaker 2 (31:09):
Rob Iona brought in an NBA guy, Dan Jireau. I
didn't realize they were bringing an NBA team to Newer
show because that team has looked and I can't stand
giving them an ounce of credit. We don't like Iona
over at Sienna. It's a it is our mac rival.
We've that's been going on for a long time now.
But they look awesome. I'm glad we don't have to

(31:33):
play them. Sianna doesn't have to play them until like January,
hopefully they can get this out of their system.

Speaker 1 (31:38):
But they look incredible so far.

Speaker 4 (31:42):
Can I give you sup the real fast here? Because
I was going to bring you back show, but I
want to say now, good friend of mine been in
business with him for a little bit for the last
twenty five thirty years, but he's a Stillwater guy, Oklahoma
State through and through, although he graduated Vanderbilt. He sends
me thisquo when you said Iona is like a pro team, Adam,

(32:03):
it just reminded me of this. I gotta read this
text to you guys. And we're talking going back and
forth about Steve Lutz, and he says to me, he says,
I take it all back on Lutz. He's common cool,
but Active Pokes are a semi pro team and it's crazy.
Jump twenty spots on Kem Palm after the A and
M win and they're just getting started. They have it
all size, score and shooting, rebounding, ball handling experience, and

(32:27):
an adult Iranian man who looks like Freddie Mercury. So
to teams that are semi pro wre pro, my buddy
is very very high on Oklahoma State, who tonight is
anywhere between four and half and five and a half
point favorites against South Florida. If anybody wants to talk
about that game.

Speaker 2 (32:43):
Yeah, Rob, I want to go back to you on
that because not only do we have Oklahoma State, but
we have Nate Oates junior over at South Florida and
Brian Hodgson, who is is playing a suddenly if you
I don't know, if you know, if you haven't watched
South Florida yet this year, they look a lot like Alabama,
maybe not to the caliber of the player that they're

(33:04):
getting like Alabama's getting basically whoever they want. South Florida's
got to do a little bit more recruiting to get.

Speaker 1 (33:11):
The guys they want there.

Speaker 2 (33:12):
But Rob, I mean every game is in the nineties,
they're up and down. It really is just nay Oates
carbon copy now for USF.

Speaker 1 (33:22):
So that's a talk to me about that game.

Speaker 2 (33:23):
Still Water Oklahoma tonight, Oklahoma State, South Florida.

Speaker 1 (33:26):
How you see it?

Speaker 4 (33:28):
Yeah, I think exactly the way we described it, Adam,
It's gonna be up and down. Steve Lutz has a
history of playing fast anyway through the OVC. I remember
when Belmont and Murray were together in that league. Steve
Lutz always brought a high tempo team into the games.
I think that for what it's worth at this point,
I think Oklahoma State might be a little more well rounded.

(33:52):
At home GALLAGHERIBA, again, not an easy place to play,
not a venue that South Florida has frequented over the years.
But I think Oklahoma States equipped to go ahead and
defend against that style because they'll run it right back

(34:13):
down at South Florida. So full game total, I'm not
that you know, you can't play under let's put it
that way, but I would rather focus on as the
Oklahoma State side, which I think will exceed their team total,
and I think they might cover this game as well.
What's yet to be seen out of South Florida, and
really what's yet to be seen out of Natos's Alabama

(34:35):
is ability to play defense at any sort of consistent level.
Like Alabama, South Florida doesn't mind if you score on them,
because they're just going to take it out of the
bucket and try and score three on your two. Oklahoma
State's been fairly good at shooting the threes, so they
might match them there. I think it's a high scoring game. No,

(34:57):
you know, you don't need advanced knowledge to make that statement,
but I do think the Oklahoma State side. It's funny, Adam,
I was gonna say, I'm being proactive with Oklahoma State,
but yet this line is five someplaces five and a half,
and it seems like the market has bought into Oklahoma
State early in early betting because it was four and
a half as an opener. So maybe I'm not as

(35:19):
proactive as I think with semi inside knowledge that I
think is gonna help me. But I like the Oklahoma
State side. And I'll just add one more because I
watched this closely last night. If we're going to talk
about natos's coaching tree, Georgia Southern with a NATO's disciple,
and I was watching that game close last night to
see if it got over the total. Last night. That

(35:40):
game was really low scoring against Georgia Tech. Kind of surprise,
Damon Stodamayer against a NATO's disciple run team more or
less bad shooting than really slower tempo. So keep an
eye on Georgia Southern if we're keeping track of all
these NATO's coaches across the country.

Speaker 3 (35:58):
I have nothing to add to that game, but I
want to get my parlay leg out Trig if that's okay,
because I see lash on the screen.

Speaker 1 (36:06):
All right, yeah, let's go there. All right.

Speaker 3 (36:09):
We're two for two this week, taking short home favorites
in both instances. We mentioned I own a last night
running Princeton out of the gym, and then we had
the Dolphins of Lemoine on Monday as a short home
favorite as well. I want to go Jacksonville State. Can
I get since we're throwing this in a parlay drag?

(36:29):
Can I just play on the money line? It's thirty
minus one forty on the money line. So before this
show started, guys, if I can feel back the curtain
a little bit, this number moved from two to three
and I was like, okay, it's in line with what
I make this number a lot higher. And I thought
the line was moving in the right direction. As Rob

(36:50):
was breaking down Oklahoma State, all of a sudden, I
started seeing flashes on my screen and it started going
to the other direction. I don't agree with that. I
think right now is the time to act. Right now
was the time I want to talk about this game.
This is a sheer numbers play for me, Trigg. I
make this number north of I think I'm way off
market here now with this line, with the pushback towards

(37:10):
South Alabama, I will talk about the South Alabama side
just a little bit. While it's just basically a numbers play.
South Alabama. They're five and zero this year. Okay, A
couple wins over Max schools three wins by six points
or less so far. So I actually really like this
money line angle because I could see this being you know,
you know how close game variance goes. You win a

(37:32):
bunch of close games and guess what happens The regression
God said no, no, no, We're not gonna let you
do that anymore. And this could be a close one tonight.
So I like the idea of just playing Jacksonville State
on the money line one of those games. It should
be pointed out, and we noted this last week when
South Alabama or it was even maybe two weeks ago
nowt this, but when South Alabama beat Toledo, they were

(37:54):
up bigger in that game, but they did have to
come from behind to beat Alcorn State, which yeah, you know,
so those are like obviously, you know, okay, in one
situation they probably should have won my more the other
situation to they were lucky to win it maybe at all.
So give me Jacksonville stayed on the money line for
my leg of the parlay. Here, I think the game

(38:14):
Cocks in South Alabama's unbeaten run of the season.

Speaker 1 (38:19):
Would you say like minus one thirty on that?

Speaker 4 (38:22):
Uh?

Speaker 1 (38:22):
Interesting?

Speaker 3 (38:23):
Yes, minus one third. We'll call it minus one thirty five.

Speaker 2 (38:27):
All right, minus one thirty five. All right, we have
two legs at the parlay locked in. Over the next
twenty two minutes, we will get a leg from from
Rob Veino to close it out. Someone in the chat
says the Italian Stallion Rob Veino in the chat, saying,
what's up?

Speaker 1 (38:42):
That's that's b daddy he's been.

Speaker 3 (38:45):
It was a jobber in nineteen eighties wrestling. I think
right there, the Italian Stallion. That's the guy who was
losing to Arna Anderson on a Saturday night in nineteen
eighty seven.

Speaker 4 (38:52):
Then it was a boa before that.

Speaker 2 (38:55):
Yeah, yes, so real quick, like WWE job or story.
We had one of my buddies, one of my buddies
were was a writer for for WW like like her
his friend was one of his his friends was like
years ago.

Speaker 1 (39:09):
I don't know if he still has the job or not.

Speaker 2 (39:11):
But like he would every once in a while, like
they would just name jobbers like random stuff, like if
it was a squash match, and like every once in
a while he would like name them like one of
our names.

Speaker 1 (39:24):
So like there was like a j not not mine.

Speaker 2 (39:26):
I don't think my name ever got on like Monday
Night Raw, but like definitely a couple of the other
guys in the group did where it was just like
they'd come out and get like squashed by like Ryebeck
and like a like a thirty second match just to
you know, sad stuff.

Speaker 3 (39:41):
Yet I have a buddy, I'm a good friend who
still rights there. As a matter of fact, I didn't
you and I never had that conversation, trick.

Speaker 1 (39:47):
Yeah, that's uh.

Speaker 2 (39:48):
I'm surprised it didn't come up in this eight six
hours we spent in the.

Speaker 1 (39:52):
Car the other day exactly for real, all right, j buff,
We're coming to you. Uh.

Speaker 2 (39:58):
And also, h Aaron Pauling asked about this in the
comments of yesterday's show, So that's another thing. Jump into
the comments of the YouTube replay on these and interact
with us. We will answer most of them. If you
have a question for the next day, like we're trying.
I try to get in there a couple of times
a day. So there's a game that doesn't come up
on here that you have a question about, hop in

(40:20):
the comments on the YouTube replay and one of us
will get to it. And in Aaron's case, I know
he said he might not be able to watch the
show today, but we're gonna get your game. And it
also happens to be the game that Jay Buff wants
to know about. He wants to discuss Dayton plus five
and a half says he really liked this game when
he dove into it. Has not been impressed with what

(40:40):
he has seen from Marquette so far. So and I'll
start by going to I'll go to Brian, and then
we can go to Rob next. I wasn't so much
not impressed with Marquette over the weekend, but I was
asking myself or I wasn't over the weekend. We did
a show that day because on air Brian, we watched
that Marquette Maryland line explode and I think it got

(41:03):
as high as to like maybe seven, like two and
a half, almost like up to seven seven and a half.
I think people were still laying seven with Marquete because
Maryland had some guys out, and uh, Maryland just played
good in that game, Like tip the cap to Maryland.
They just played a really really good game and beat
Marquette without a couple of their top players. So what
does that do to your handicap?

Speaker 1 (41:24):
Here? Like how do you take that info and process it.

Speaker 3 (41:29):
This was I figured somebody was gonna ask about this game.
My issue is or I don't have an issue. But
you know, Dayton, you know, I look at dat. I
kind of leaned towards taking the points here.

Speaker 1 (41:42):
Dayton.

Speaker 3 (41:43):
Their little loss was to Cincinnati. It's okay, that's that's
so they've played somebody of substance. You know, they've they've
been in an unfront, you know, that hostile environment, if
you will. I think Dayton's gonna be better defensively this season. Meanwhile,
on the Marquette side, you know, you talk about Saturday's
loss to Maryland. You know they were kind of inefficient.

(42:07):
I thought on the offensive end, you know, the three
point shooting outside of a Ross and Gold hasn't been
that good. Maryland scored a lot forty seven points over
one point one five points per possession.

Speaker 1 (42:24):
I don't know.

Speaker 3 (42:25):
I just look at this right now. If you forced
me to make a play, I would take dateon. I
figured this game was gonna come up in the chat,
so I just wanted to have kind of a lean,
if you will. And to my chagrin, I guess I
agree with Jay buff I would take the points.

Speaker 2 (42:42):
Rob, I want I want to go to you on
this one because I wanted to follow you too on
this game because I have opinions on both the side
and total, and I have a feeling that you're going
to talk to me about the total on this one.

Speaker 3 (42:53):
Yeah.

Speaker 4 (42:53):
And I look to the underdog side here, Adam, I
would isolate and play Dayton's team total over. It's seventy
three and a half. It's the lower of the two
totals because they are the underdog. And for what it's worth,
with the Marquette side, it's been up tempo basketball NonStop,
and you know, Anthony Grant doesn't have the history of

(43:16):
wanting to play that way, guys, but yet they've played
some really high scoring games. It's another team. We're just
on a personal level, sitting down before the game's tip off,
opening up a bunch of apps, and I took a
shot on Dayton's team total last game and they poured
in ninety plus. I think it was got me over
the team total pretty easily. So they had that ability

(43:38):
to score against a defensive team that's going to, you know,
again in shock a smart typical style if they're not
able to come up with steals. They're generally not a
good defense. Trace them back to vcu Vco was never
a good half court defense. There was a good trap steal,
runout defense. Dayton handles the ball really well. They shoot

(43:59):
it pretty well, especially from the interior. I'd like the
team total on that side here, Adam. In a game
that I don't think Dayton's gonna be able to control
pace for a majority of the game, I think that'll
be Marquette for better than twenty minutes. But I think
Dayton could even outscore them in that sort of game,
the better defensive team equipped with offensive weaponry. I just

(44:21):
to me, seventy three and a half look too low.

Speaker 2 (44:25):
Rob, I rarely have a strong opinion on a total.
I kind of love the over here. It's not gonna
make my card because it's not my It's just like
not really how I bet, and I don't really trust
like my set, like my I don't really make numbers
for totals like it's it's again, it's just just just
not how I attack the market. But this is a
rare scenario where I'm pretty confident that there's gonna be

(44:47):
a lot of points in this game.

Speaker 1 (44:49):
So to go to your point.

Speaker 2 (44:51):
Like, you know, the first thing that I thought when
I looked at this was Okay, I'm gonna probably like Marquette,
thinking that they're gonna bounce back off of like the
tough Maryland loss. But my number kind of came out
right in line with the market five five and a half.
And I had to like almost like pinch myself a
little bit and say, like, did you are you are

(45:11):
you being too critical of Dayton because the Dayton games
I've watched just this year, I've watched two Dayton games
in their entirety. It was the UNBC game where they
really kind of you know, toughed out a six point
win as like a twenty three point underdog, and then
I caught most of the Bethune Cookman game on Saturday,
and Dayton's defense was a disaster.

Speaker 1 (45:32):
I mean, that is not a team. I know they
somehow took Auburn to overtime.

Speaker 2 (45:36):
That is not a team that should be like getting
whatever they want on offense against you, and that is
exactly what they did all game. Dayton ended up sort
of just like you know, kind of going back to
what you were saying, Robin and why I think you
like the Dayton team total. They just executed on offense
the entire time, put up ninety one points, ended up
winning ninety one to eighty two. But I was very

(45:56):
I was like, man, this team is just not able
to stop a slack team. And then the previous game,
you know, they lost that game to Cincinnati by twelve.

Speaker 1 (46:05):
I didn't watch any of that game.

Speaker 2 (46:06):
I feel like I might be even more anti Dayton
had I did. So number came out right where I
sort of expected it to be, and you know they
haven't now now Dayton hasn't covered in a while, so
it's like, maybe this is where they nipped one and
keep it within the number. So I'm not going to
give anything out on the side, but I'm pretty confident
that this is going to have points. So I would

(46:26):
then concur with your with your Dayton team total, Rob,
I think both team totals probably get I think.

Speaker 4 (46:32):
It's it's a little different, Adam, because we have to guess.
I'm not at their practices. I'm not in his head.
But to me, it seems like Anthony GrITT is making
an adjustment off of his coaching philosophy because of what
he has on the floor. It just seems to me
that he sees that maybe he doesn't have the defensive
capability this year, and he's got a team that's more

(46:54):
apt to score points, so that's what he's going with.
The game you just brought up is the game where
I had the team told it was the Dune Cookman game,
mainly because Reggie Theis was on the other side and
I just thought they'd be paced they could score on Cookman,
but Cookman pushed back and scored. So it's not the
first time. But Dune Cookman has been good this year
under Reggie Theis, so we'll have to keep an eye

(47:15):
on them too. I think we've said that before, But
I do think seventy three and a half is too
low of a number for DAT and I think they
should get this seventy five pretty easily.

Speaker 1 (47:24):
All Right, I'm gonna, I'm gonna.

Speaker 2 (47:25):
I'm feeling generous today and I see like a whole
bunch of people asking about it. And I also kind
of screwed myself showing up with this shirt. So I'm
gonna go to the I'm gonna go to the Toledo game,
and Rob, I'm coming to you next for a parlay.
So I will give you the heads up there if
you want to sort of figure out what you want
to give out for the parlay or what game you

(47:46):
want to go to. But there's a whole bunch of
people asking about Toledo in the chat. Brian Power and
I had the privilege of going to Savage Arena last
weekend two weekends ago.

Speaker 1 (47:57):
They kind of treated us like kings there.

Speaker 2 (47:59):
So thank you to the University of Toledo for sort
of giving us the full access, the full tour. I
think we were on like I think we're on like
an hour tour at one point.

Speaker 1 (48:09):
All the behind the scenes stuff they have.

Speaker 2 (48:11):
They opened this great new area that's all has nothing
to do with the handicap here, But you know, we
just felt like I would bring it up. People want
to talk Toledo, Youngstown State. Brian and I truly feel
like I feel like I have a I told you
this in the car on the way to East Lansing.
I felt like I had this Toledo team pegg and
now the last two times they've played since we went,

(48:34):
I've cashed tickets for and against them. I cashed with
Toledo against Wright State, and then I faded them over
the weekend with a Detroit team that was catching ten points.
I just didn't think there was any any way that
Toledo should be favored in that game.

Speaker 1 (48:47):
What I figured out.

Speaker 2 (48:48):
With Toledo is they're going to struggle against a zone.
We saw the game that we saw Brian Marshall made
the adjustment. Second half they did. They tweaked their zone
a little bit. Toledo couldn't get a shot off. Go
back to the first game they played South Alabama team,
we just talked about very good zone defense.

Speaker 1 (49:07):
Toledo dug them.

Speaker 2 (49:08):
Now they figured it out at the end, almost came
back and won, but dug themselves a huge hole in
that game. The Right State game was a better matchup
for them, and they went into Right State one easily.
I think Youngstown State is a good matchup for Toledo
as well. I just don't think they're going to hit
them with that type of defense. They've got a little
bit of a size, you know, They've got some size

(49:28):
on the inside where they're be able to get the
ball into the paint. And so I really do like
Toledo in this spot. I just think it's a far
more favorable matchup. And now like you're getting them as
like a pick on their home floor. Lost a couple
of home games in an arena that they really don't
lose at home that often. I think they get this
one here. You are nodding. Do you agree with Toledo moneyline?

(49:50):
I played that for earlier.

Speaker 3 (49:52):
Yes, they're owing three against the spread at home so far,
with the two outright losses to start the year to South,
the aforementioned South Alabama and game we were at against Marshall.
Then they don't cover against Detroit. That was a winner
for you. They were laying ten one by seven. I
think it's time for the Rockets to cash at Savage Arena.
I would concur and co sign with that play right

(50:15):
there on the Rockets.

Speaker 2 (50:17):
What what do you think they're serving for dinner tonight?
There is the real question.

Speaker 3 (50:21):
I don't know, but man, I'll tell you what. Man,
those those those those those tacos smelled good. I mean,
lord knows, I don't know. I wound up eating enough
tacos that's Saturday, but man, those I was about ready
to just kind of like just duck out on our
tour and just start stealing tacos.

Speaker 2 (50:34):
But yeah, they had like eight different food stations out. Yeah,
like the season ticket holder, folks.

Speaker 3 (50:40):
Yeah, your season ticket holder, You're getting treated like a
king at the Savage Arena.

Speaker 1 (50:44):
Yeah.

Speaker 2 (50:45):
If you have access to any of those private areas
at Toledo's arena, you are it is. It is far
exceeds your typical like mid major experience, I would say,
And just just to be clear, Toledo money line minus
one fifteen. That is another one of my client plays.
Like I said, I'm I'm feeling generous today because I
got like five plays.

Speaker 1 (51:04):
I'll probably add others.

Speaker 3 (51:06):
This is the holiday season.

Speaker 2 (51:08):
Yeah, Like I was gonna put Toledo in the parlay,
but but Garth asked about Wyoming. I got excited and
through that one an instant. So, uh, Toledo three percenter
all game?

Speaker 1 (51:17):
I like quite a bit. And yeah, I just I
think it's a good bet. I think it's a good
matchup for them.

Speaker 2 (51:22):
All right, Rob, do you have the game that's gonna
close this three team around?

Speaker 4 (51:27):
Yeah, I'm gonna and hopefully the chet doesn't accuse me
of being a homer because I've done this before, but
I'm gonna go back.

Speaker 2 (51:35):
I gave Sianna out on the show the other day
couldn't be worse than me.

Speaker 4 (51:39):
Yeah, I'm gonna go back to the well. I mean
we barely got there by half a point the first time.
I'm gonna go back to the will with Belmont Tonight
against lipscoumb Belmont is a thirteen and a half point shock.
I think at this point they've been bid up a
little bit, from twelve and a half to thirteen and
a half. Totals going way up. For those who don't know,
I mean, this isn't Ohio State Michigan, but this is

(52:00):
a pretty hot rivalry. Belmont Lipscomb. Casey Alexander, coach of Belmont,
coach there and this was his dream job to come back.
And you know when Rick Byrd, you know, finally put
the vest to rest and stepped down as Belmont head coach,
Casey Alexander stepdad. He's done a great job. Belmont off
to a pretty good start here. Lipscomb not so much.
Guys coaching change here, and you know, it appears that

(52:25):
there's a little bit of a different First of all,
Lipscomb is generally a very very good shooting basketball team.
It's how they win games is by offense, not defense.
And this year their shooting numbers are drastically down against
not a hot not so hot schedule. So I'm wondering
a little bit about the coaching change here that's taking
place in Lipscomb. Meanwhile, Belmont, they too haven't really gotten

(52:47):
to their three point capabilities as of yet, but they're
playing a little more to their interior strengths this season,
which I think would help here. There's going to be
a lot of emotion. They'll be full focus on both sides.
I think in this one, Belmont, if they don't get
off to a fast start and open up margin early,

(53:08):
I think they pull away late. They've just got the
better you know, Lipstom has got returning personnel, so it
kind of makes no sense that they're stumbling the way
they're stumbling out of the gates. But I think we
have to take advantage of it while we can. When
they get into the conference play, they'll probably be rounded
into form by then. I don't think it happens now.
I like Belmont. Here a team that can get you
to ninety in the blink of an eye. Bellmont minus

(53:30):
the thirteen and a half and real quick here, guys,
I mentioned air Force and Army and air Force have
now made Adams worst five in the country list, So
boo to the military academies for being so bad at
college basketball. But air Force has taking money today, guys.

Speaker 2 (53:47):
Yeah, we should talk about that quick because that is
a Navy's good this year. So shout out to Navy.
I think they're gonna be in the mix. And the Patriot,
Darry Hardaway says Rob Vino the Goat. I second that,
and I hope we can get it for you guys
on the parlay because we keep going two and one,
but I think the info has been beneficial and hopefully
we'll go three and now today, but we have a

(54:08):
few minutes, so we'll recap the parlay at the end
of the show. Rob, let's talk about that game, because
I'm not going to bet it, but I have some opinions,
and I think it's we have air Force at home
against Alabama State, a swack team.

Speaker 1 (54:22):
The opening number was minus one.

Speaker 2 (54:24):
Who would have ever imagined you'd see something like that,
And now air Force is taking money and I don't
know if I really agree with that. So what do
you make of this? Rob Cloon Arena tonight and Fort Colin,
Colorado Springs, Colorado the air Force Falcons.

Speaker 4 (54:40):
Yeah, you really don't know what to make out of
it from a fundamental standpoint. Adam Right, I would argue
that Alabama State's going to be pretty good in the
swack this year. But how often does Alabama State travel
to the altitude of Colorado. That's your problem here and
probably why the money's come in on the air Force side.
I mean, Alabama State, are they going to be gassed

(55:04):
ten minutes to go in the game and just watch
air Force shoot a few threes and open up some margin.
I'm not sure. I don't think air Force is any good,
like we've said repeatedly here, and actually we've played against
them in the parlay, so that verifies that. But I
would say that on a different floor, maybe I would
bet Alabama State in this game. But on this floor, again,

(55:27):
it's just a strange, strange road trip for a SWACK
team to take into Colorado Springs, and I don't know
enough about them in altitude to know if this roster
is going to handle it or not.

Speaker 1 (55:40):
What's your number on this one, Brian? Did you have
Did you have a number for the scheme?

Speaker 3 (55:44):
I didn't actually do that one. Anybody can we can
get that very handy because Gus, while you're getting that,
both these teams start with A, so it's gonna be
very easy for me to do easy.

Speaker 4 (55:53):
To stort alphabet power.

Speaker 2 (55:56):
Yes, So yeah, while you're while you're getting your number,
all I'll say is like I made I personally made
the number where it opened air Force minus one, and
I like, this is a scenario where so I've been
to Kloone Arena before, they they probably won't be much
of an atmosphere at this game. So it's like, I

(56:19):
think the altitude thing is a little bit overblown, especially
when it comes to Air Force, who plays very very slow.
Like it's like not like Air Force is going to
like tempo you to death. So I don't know how
you're really getting tired playing against Air Force, to be honest,
Like they play slow, their offense is abysmal. So it's
like for me, like I think people like you're saying,

(56:39):
Robert just betting air oh air Force at home altitude
like huge advantage is it? Though, like didn't they didn't
a long island sort of like get there there in
the second half of that game, so it's like they
didn't run out of gas. Alabama State had no problem
with you, ab like I kind of like Alabama State
here too. Actually at the current number.

Speaker 3 (57:02):
So you asked, himbout, I made it one point seventy five.
That means it's kind of just falls between one and
a half and two obviously for the lines. So I
was also closer current. And somebody in the chat, Steve
Duke eagle eye, he points out a good uh, he
made a good point this Alabama and m tem just
played Colorado, so that they that actually gave him a

(57:24):
game to get accustomed, uh to the the altitude out there.
So again that's another reason maybe it doesn't bother them
as much besides the fact that air Force uh well
we left.

Speaker 4 (57:35):
Out of the conversation as they've lost by twenty eight yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,
but least.

Speaker 2 (57:43):
Yeah, they've been there since Sunday. They've been there since Sunday. Yeah,
they should at least be a little more acclimated.

Speaker 3 (57:49):
Yeah, walking around to it. And whether or not they
could play basketball at it is, I suppose a different story.

Speaker 1 (57:53):
But yeah, oh yeah, yeah, Matt says.

Speaker 2 (57:59):
So Matt here says he bet out Alabama State plus
three and a half list and like, I can't argue
with that bet. I think I think at that number,
you made a good bet at a good number. What
what happens will happen. We'll see how it goes. But
I don't think that that's a bad bet, right there.

Speaker 3 (58:16):
Air Force three hundred and fiftieth and adjusted tempo trick
per KNPOMP. So just to put a number behind what
you were saying about how they're you know, they're not
exactly looking to run you out of the gym, fly
you out of the gym, is that it may.

Speaker 4 (58:27):
Be got to go just just a threeman weave right Yeah, yeah, yeah.

Speaker 2 (58:33):
Every once in a while they hit a nice back cup,
but that is an abysmal, abysmal offense. And last year
they would have like Ethan Taylor would bail them out
every once in a while. He was a very very
good individual talent that they had. I don't think they
have that this year. And I think that's why you're
going to see them be historically bad for a Mountain
West like se sort of power conference team. I know

(58:55):
Mountain West is they get called mid major sometime. That's crazy,
that's a mid major league.

Speaker 3 (59:01):
But yeah, Nottie, I think they're above a high major
by the way air Force three hundred thirty third off
an adjusted offensive efficiency at ken Pum Alabama A and M
three hundred thirty seventh. So I don't know. Maybe it's
what's the total.

Speaker 4 (59:13):
Wait till the David Army plays air Force this season.

Speaker 3 (59:16):
Yeah, this total, the totals dropping like a rock, and
I can't I can't argue. Well, you know, I think
we all kind of don't really agree with the way
the spread's moving, but I do sort of concur with
the way this total is moving.

Speaker 2 (59:30):
All Right, we have reached the end of the show,
which means we recap the parlay one more time. I
did price in a minus one twenty for Wyoming, and
I put a minus one thirty five for Brian's moneyline play.
So the parlay odds today will be plus five ten,
which is fine. I'd take a five plus five to
ten hit, especially after the last couple of ones that

(59:51):
have not gone our way.

Speaker 1 (59:52):
But still up.

Speaker 2 (59:54):
I believe it's eight units on the season, eight point
eight something like that. I've got the exact count somewhere.
I'll have it tomorrow. Winter lose, the parlay is gonna
be Wyoming plus two and a half Belmont for Rob
Veno minus thirteen and a half, and then Brian Power
is gonna go Jacksonville State minus one thirty five on
the money line, So a three team are all sides

(01:00:15):
today Wyoming plus two and a half, Jacksonville State on
the money line minus one thirty five, and then Veno
is going Belmont minus thirteen and a half. Thank you
guys again for tuning in. Don't forget to like and
subscribe and even leave us a comment on the replay.

Speaker 1 (01:00:29):
It truly does help.

Speaker 2 (01:00:31):
We will see you guys tomorrow morning for more Full
Court Press