Last Call LIVE: NFL Saturday | CBB Bets | Panthers vs Bucs | Seahawks vs 49ers Predictions

Looking for college basketball & NFL picks and predictions for today? We have you covered! We have an absolutely loaded betting slate with Basketball games, Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers & Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers on tap for today. We discuss what the market moves have been and where can we take advantage to win.

Join Kelly Stewart, Gianni the Greek & Steve Merril as they give their best picks and critical steam moves! Drop your questions in the chat to have them answered during the live stream!

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:04):
Good morning, Happy Saturday. This is wager Talk's last call.
Kelly Stewart here with a star studded lineup for you
guys today of wager Talk handicappers. We got Yanni the
Greek coming out first, Andy Lang coming in to hit
on some of those prop bets. We've got Teddy Covers.
You guys know him from doing the opening line report
with me on Mondays, and of course Steve Merrill coming
in hot to talk college basketball. He's been doing very

(00:26):
well on his free play videos over on the wager
Talk YouTube channel. So I want to give a special
shout out to all of our wager Talk insiders starting
to populate here in the chat early this morning to
come in Insider WT Dot Buzz Backslash insiders two ninety
nine a month, two dollars and ninety nine cents a month.

(00:46):
That's right, you guys can get all of the premiere
access here on the wager Talk YouTube channel. Let's bring
in Yanni the Greek. We're gonna start off with him
because Art de Caesar sent me a laundry list, like
I don't I don't even know if VR is going
to have this many plays today. I know he is
our volume guy, or somewhat of right, you can put

(01:07):
out your steam sheet they're on your homepage to show
all of this stuff, and then you narrow it down
and say, all right, here's what we're actually playing. And
when I say Art sent me a list, I sent
it to our producer, Louis Denoffro and he wrote back,
holy shit, And I'm pretty sure that's what I wrote
Art when Art texts me this morning. Because it is
really a long list. It takes up the entire iPhone

(01:31):
screen here, So VR welcome in. Let's kind of go
through some of the stuff that you've got. Once we
get some more people in the chat, we'll start going
over the stuff with Art. See if you guys have
anything in agreement, and then yeah, we'll get you out
of here, because I know you got a busy Saturday.

Speaker 2 (01:45):
Yeah, and no surprise.

Speaker 3 (01:47):
I mean it's college basketball Saturday, and these groups bet
forty to fifty plays. I mean that's what I see
in the accounts by the end of the day when
you add in you know, first half, second halfs, all
that team totals and all this stuff that they do.
It's just a ton a ton of volume. So I'm
not surprised they're getting it at the west Gate, especially
at a time like this where all the attention is

(02:08):
on football. But today, with only two NFL games, the
betters are going to bet in college basketball. They're a
little bit behind because they've been focused mostly on football.
And again, wise guys know this, and they're taking advantage
because a lot of these lines are being pushed up
by the public that's getting involved today in college basketball.

Speaker 2 (02:29):
But some of the stuff that we started betting.

Speaker 3 (02:32):
I'll narrow down ten sides that I've seen multiple groups
on for you. Start off with six h two NC
State minus four six seven, Clemson minus three, six', Ten
Wake forest minus, five a lot of, favorites six twenty,
Eight georgia minus five six sixty, Eight Arkansas state minus,

(02:52):
eight six't eighty, Four George mason minus six and a,
half uh seven, Thirteen South alabama plus nine After troy
got dumbied up seven to, Twenty tarleton plus one and minus,
one seven, Thirty Idaho state minus two and a half and,
three and then seven point thirty Seven memphis plus, nine
eight and eight and a. Half those are signs THAT i.

Speaker 2 (03:15):
Sold multiple groups, on.

Speaker 3 (03:17):
AND i haven't seen much take, back but rest assured
throughout the day you're gonna see a lot of. THAT
a lot of these lines got dummied up overnight when
the limits are real, low BECAUSE i can tell you
with my a lot of my off screen, SHOPS i
have like a nickel a two fifty or nickel limit on,
overnights and then this MORNING i could bet five dimes

(03:38):
on that exact same. Play so what's happening is a
lot of those overnights are getting dumbied up for two
fifty and five, hundred and then once the public gets
involved and starts pushing it even, further then we'll see
orders come in on the opposite side and blast them off.
Screen so that's what's gonna happen a lot in college basketball.

(03:58):
Today pay attention to those line moves throughout the day
because they will hit the. BOARD a lot of movers,
cheat and even though we're not supposed to go on,
screen they go on screen because that's where the line is.
Available so you'll be able to pick off a lot
of these moves throughout the day and pay attention to.

Speaker 2 (04:15):
That look at the odds logic.

Speaker 3 (04:17):
Screen how the line moved in one direction and now
an hour before game, time thirty minutes before game?

Speaker 2 (04:24):
Time is it coming back?

Speaker 4 (04:25):
Strong the other?

Speaker 3 (04:26):
Way because with the odds, logic if you click the,
matchup you could see the times that the line. Moved
that's what's. Key did it happen last, night did it happen,
overnight or did it happen early this? Morning pay attention
to what times these bets were, placed because that's going
to tell you what the limits were at that, time
and you want to pay attention when the limits are

(04:47):
at their. Highest these guys are looking to get down
a lot of, money not two fifty and five hundred
even at PLUS.

Speaker 2 (04:54):
Ev they're looking to get down big.

Speaker 3 (04:57):
Money and the only way to do that is when
everybody opens up like this morning AND's, taken you, know bigger.

Speaker 5 (05:03):
Bets all, right.

Speaker 1 (05:04):
If you, ARE i only see two games that you
And art have in, common And i'll go over that list,
now And i'll go over that list again later on
the show for those that are joining. Late but it
looks Like Tarleton state And. Idaho oh they Played idaho minus,
six Not Idaho, State SO i Think Tarleton state is
the only one you had in. Agreement But i'm going
to go through this list and tell me if you
happen to see anybody sharp on any of these, again,

(05:26):
guys it's really. LONG i will go through, it and
THEN i also got SOME nfl stuff From. Art we'll
get SOME nfl FROM vr as. Well all, Right drexel
AND i, apologize, GUYS i do NOT i can't Ask
art to send me the rotation, numbers so you guys
are not. Screens drexel plus, Seven akron plus, Two campbell

(05:47):
minus three and a, half Cal northridge, Pick'em Tarleton state minus,
Two Air force plus fifteen and a, Half florida minus
six and a, Half The paul minus, Three monmouth plus,
Nine TEXAS a AND m minus five and a, Half
i'm sorry minus, five excuse, Me Penn state plus, Sixteen

(06:11):
kentucky plus five and a, HALF vcu minus five and a,
Half Idaho state minus two and a, Half kansas minus
four and a, HALF tcu minus two and a, Half
omaha minus, NINE U mass plus three and a, Half
idaho minus, Six Saint john's minus twelve and a, Half

(06:34):
East tennessee minus, Six George washington minus fifteen and a,
Half Southern indiana plus, eleven And Central arkansas minus nine
and a. Half art's favorite play Today Texas southern plus.
Seven So i'm gonna put these in the chat towards
the end of the. Show i'll go over them again
With Steve, merril because that's now become a running joke

(06:56):
Whether Steve merrell agrees with the sharp action or. Not
DR i know that's a very exhaustive, list but do
your best kind of sift through it with. Us did
any how about, this did any of the or any
of these fake? Moves maybe that they bet into the
West Gate westgate move the line on the screen and
then they hammered it somewhere.

Speaker 3 (07:12):
Else, yeah that's What i'm looking at right. NOW i
don't like The Saint john's. PLAY i don't Like, OKAY.

Speaker 2 (07:22):
I don't like That Saint john's.

Speaker 3 (07:23):
Play i'll tell you That campbell, ALSO i don't trust
That campbell.

Speaker 2 (07:28):
Play move down to who else does he?

Speaker 6 (07:32):
Have?

Speaker 2 (07:35):
Yeah the rest look go, own but the lines. Move
that's the.

Speaker 1 (07:38):
Problem and they're going to right because here's the, reality
whether whether they're getting it from you in the steam,
room whether they're getting From art through me On, saturdays
the way we can report sharp actions because its already
been met by the sharps right, now that is kind
of the, reality and that is the. Difference, right is
these half point line MOVE i mean some of these
have moved two, points but a lot of half point

(08:00):
off point. Off what is your recommendation for our, audience,
RIGHT i just gave you an exhaustive. List you just
gave us ten. Plays you narrow down what should they
be doing with this? Information it should.

Speaker 3 (08:12):
Help, confirm but you shouldn't. CHASE a perfect example is
Like TEXAS a AND. M all, right that line opened
as low as like two and a half, three it's
now up to. Six, like if you're betting it now at,
SIX i think it's it's a little bit too.

Speaker 2 (08:27):
LATE i wouldn't try to get there at the. End
that's the.

Speaker 3 (08:34):
Key like you want to hoe, obviously like there's still
value even if they stop batting at, times but you
don't want to continuously do, that like always get that last.
Number the success rate won't be. High we talked about
that in college, football REMEMBER i think it was two
years ago WHERE i did a whole season of if

(08:57):
you would bet the line that move three h what's
it called two points or? More, Okay so if you
would have bet those games at the original, number you
hit about sixty. Percent but if you would have bet
those college football moves after they moved two points or,
more you actually lost. Money so it was the difference

(09:18):
between being in that like half a percent that actually
hits near sixty percent of their moves compared to losing
money just because the line moves two or three. Points
it's that, tight AND i think more recreational betters just
need to be conscious of, That like you don't even
have to have a stiff, rule like because again you
may like a move even after it moves one point

(09:40):
one and a half or, two but don't get in
the habit of, That like make that as minimal as
possible on your. Card if you got five, plays one
of them should be. Late you, know at that closing.
Line you don't want to keep betting in the closing
lines because again that's.

Speaker 2 (09:55):
Where the sportsbook feels their most.

Speaker 3 (09:56):
Confidence they believe that at minus one ten you don't
have an edge versus their closing, line.

Speaker 2 (10:02):
Like they that's their you, know their bread and.

Speaker 3 (10:05):
Butter so you don't want to keep going up against
that closing line because it's it's a fight that you're
probably not gonna win long, term so you want to
get in a little bit. Earlier because, AGAIN i know
we joke about closing line, value but at the end
of the, day numbers don't, lie and if you get
closing line, value you're getting the best of. It and
if you're getting the best of it and you manage
your risk, correctly you're going to make money betting. Sports

(10:28):
it really is that. Simple but again we make it
harder than it needs to.

Speaker 1 (10:32):
Be All, right couple of things from the comments. Section
we're going to get in TO. Nfl i'll let be
our touch on SOME nba OR nhl sharp action or
anything else he would like to share with you guys
in the next few. Minutes art agrees with. You and
this makes me, nervous V are because we all KNOW
i tease The panthers and To oblivion did not work
out well With Ohio. State we already knew. That BUT

(10:54):
i do still think this is gonna be a closer.
Game and he said the sharps are on the under forty,
four so that it does buode well for. Teasers bucks
minus two and a half you gave out on bet on.
It he confirmed, it and then he said forty nine ers,
money despite the line moved Towards seattle under money from the.
Opener they have bet it all the way down from
forty nine and a half to forty seven anything on
the TWO nfl. Games to add, AGAIN vr gave out

(11:19):
The bucks On wednesday on bet on, it And i'd
already bet The panthers because we KNOW i don't listen
all that, Well.

Speaker 3 (11:26):
MATT i thought there was a lot of recency, bias
meaning if you zoom, OUT i Think tampa's the right.
Side but if you look at the last three or four,
WEEKS i can't fall betters for Taking. Carolina they look
like the better team of LATE i just don't think that's.
SUSTAINABLE i think they got a lot of one score.
WINS i think a lot of luck was in bombed

(11:48):
where the flip. SIDE i think The bucks had a
lot of bad. Luck they lost a lot of those
one score. Games AND i just think it's like the
perfect storm to get a little bit of value on The,
bucks which is WHY i laid. It it should be
a tight, game AND i thought there was some line
value based on they just played, earlier you, know In,
december and The bucks were a three point favorite on the. Road,

(12:09):
again the result, aside they were, still you, know a
favorite In. Carolina SO i do like The Tampa bay.
SIDE i still. DO i agree with the under as.
Well the first game went. Under it was lowest. SCORING
i don't think that's going to, change especially with such
a meaningful game kind of play a. ATMOSPHERE i lean that. Way,
Also Seattle San francisco shocked me a little. Bit that's

(12:31):
such a move On. Seattle let's not Forget San francisco
opened about a one point. Favorite now power rating, WISE
i Have seattle as the second best team in THE.
NFL i have The rams number, One seattle number. Two
on a neutral, FIELD i Make seattle about a two
two and a half point favorite Over San. Francisco this
isn't on a neutral, field it's In San. Francisco so
IF i Give San francisco about a two point home field,

(12:53):
Advantage seattle should be about a one point. Favorite, now,
again there's, injuries there's, situation and it's not that off
of that one. Point BUT i was a little bit
surprised to see, them you, know go up to two
and a half juice, now so the next thing we're
gonna see Is seattle is a three point favorite In San.
Francisco when what Has San francisco done wrong of? Late

(13:17):
What they've only won what six games in a? Row
they only covered six games in a. Row they have
two quarterbacks that are top five in passing success. Rate
let me repeat. That one of the highest correlation as
far as metrics goes is passing success rate to winning football.
Games and The San francisco forty nine ers have two

(13:37):
quarterbacks that are in the top. Five that's how like
strong this team is and they're being. Faded that to
me is, Surprising BUT i have to pay attention because
power rating, WISE i would Lean San. Francisco but the
market's telling Me seattle is the right. Side EVERYTHING i
know about reading the market is telling Me seattle is

(13:59):
the right. Side San francisco at two and a half
looks like a good. Teaser, also you, know taking them
up to eight and a half divisional, game meaningful, GAME
i get, It BUT i think threes next kind of
like what happened In Tampa. Bay so it may not
be available when this game kicks. Off it's the later,
game and real QUICKLY i know they were saying publics

(14:21):
On San Francisco, kel But i'm not seeing. That i'll
tell you the. Truth i'm looking in the back end
of this book and they're heavier On, carolina AND i
don't see one side Of Tampa bay, action as you
know some have. REPORTED i don't see, it AND i
don't see it in The seattle In San francisco. Either
that it's all forgive, me that's All San. Francisco i'm

(14:43):
seeing plenty Of seattle action from the recreational betters as.
Well so you saw some sharp money Take, seattle and
now there's recreational betters Taking seattle as.

Speaker 2 (14:53):
Well again that.

Speaker 3 (14:55):
That usually worries, me but at least the market's reflecting,
it and they're.

Speaker 2 (14:58):
Now two and a Half June.

Speaker 1 (15:00):
Favorite, Yeah i'm gonna Tease San. FRANCISCO i think it seems.

Speaker 2 (15:03):
Probably the move a little.

Speaker 1 (15:05):
Overblown panthers Think god are out of the teaser, position
which is usually not a good sign for. Me but
at LEAST i can't throw them in any more mixes.
There Andy lang's coming up. Next he's gonna talk about
all of the. Props so if you guys have a prop,
question drop it in the. Chat we're gonna take two
questions here really. Quickly FOR VR. Vr they want to
know NHL's, team an NBA's team for, today anything.

Speaker 3 (15:28):
ELSE nba stay, Away stay away unless you have odds
logic and you're getting injuries and you have offscreen book
lined up and you fire right, away or else you're
gonna be looking at a ticket at minus two and
a half and next thing you, know the game's gonna
be plus.

Speaker 2 (15:46):
Five like that's happening over and over and over and,
over happening for.

Speaker 1 (15:50):
YEARS i think it's happening more frequently, now which is
WHY i basically said it's unbedable until the. FINALS i
don't want.

Speaker 3 (15:56):
You're even the guys That i'm working, with they're middling these.
Games they're not taking, positions they are middling. Them and
why wouldn't You you're moving the market four five six
points on, signs let alone. Totals how can you not middle?
It the only thing that's legit or player. Props so
pay attention to when crack froze out some props because
those are. Legit OTHERWISE i would not really piggyback any

(16:21):
of the steam because you're getting it late and it's
just based on a player.

Speaker 2 (16:24):
Being out or.

Speaker 3 (16:25):
Injuries now as far as AND i got some surprise
for you FOR i let you. Go as far AS nhl,
goes nothing really sticking. Out BUFFALO i saw in. Accounts
buffalo got. Steamed philadelphia at plus money got steamed as,
well and Then toronto at even money also got. STEAMED
i saw those in the. Accounts but hockey hasn't been
all that. Hot, Instead i'm gonna give you. This here's

(16:47):
some tennis for. You YESTERDAY i gave out a plus
two hundred that got the money for. Us here's some
tennis for.

Speaker 2 (16:53):
You.

Speaker 3 (16:53):
Okay it's in That English cup over, there so it's
a big. Tournament no problem getting it. Right this one,
down all. Right shintaro Moch zuki M o.

Speaker 4 (17:04):
C h z Uk.

Speaker 3 (17:06):
I we started betting at minus one. Forty we stopped
betting it about minus one, seventy and we also laid
minus one and a half games on, him so we
bet him on the money line and bet minus one
and a half. Games that's what we did yesterday with
that while Rink au plus two hundred and that came.
Through so That's Centaurro mochizuki.

Speaker 2 (17:26):
Up to minus one.

Speaker 3 (17:27):
Seventy we bet him and then in the Women's Belinda
BENKIC B E N C I. C we bet her
from plus one fifty down the plus one twenty so
anything as a dog, price she looks. Good So Belinda
benkik And Shintaro, mochizuki those are the strongest. Tennis where
we played the point line and the money, line and

(17:49):
then two real, quickly just the point. Lines we took Shen,
jiang z H a and G jang plus four and
a half games minus one, sixty and Also stan While,
rinka the same guy we had yesterday plus two, hundred
we're taken him at plus three and a half games
minus one. Twenty and Here i'll throw in a four

(18:12):
percent THAT i sent out to subscribers as.

Speaker 2 (18:13):
WELL.

Speaker 3 (18:14):
Nhl for you guys Under Tampa Bay, Lightning san Jose
i went under six and a half at minus one
point fifteen good to minus one twenty. Five if you
can't find, that get under. Six but make sure you
get plus. Money so if you go under six and a,
half good minus one twenty five one. Thirty if you're
gonna go under, six make sure you get at least
plus one oh five to go under. Six Tampa bay

(18:34):
And San. Jose so you got a lot of gold
for today to do some.

Speaker 7 (18:37):
Damage.

Speaker 1 (18:37):
YEAH i hope you guys are fired, up, because, uh
this has been a lot of great free, information not
only FROM vr here on the Wager talking YouTube, channel
but From art To caesar at The Westgate Super BOWL.
Vr what do you got for sale up today on
wager talk dot? Com what's going on with the steam
room this? Weekend who is all? Invited you're gonna?

Speaker 3 (18:59):
LOVE i just released my second five percent of the
college football bowl.

Speaker 2 (19:03):
Games the first one cash.

Speaker 3 (19:05):
Easily the second one goes On, friday SO i already
released that. Today do subscribers a five percent in the
college football playoffs that's up been? Available don't wait too.
Long i'm not sure that line's going to be available
come game.

Speaker 2 (19:19):
Day i'd be.

Speaker 3 (19:20):
SURPRISED i have TODAY'S nfl up with multiple picks in.
There four percent plays number one over the last seven,
days number one in the regular season IN nfl as,
well and of COURSE i Have SUNDAY'S. Nfl we'll have
the steam room that final hours for subscribers. Only and,
again all you guys that signed up for the year
that partnered with, me just follow the game plan we

(19:43):
are as set up As i've been in a very
very long time to do damage in twenty twenty. Six
so let's just keep coasting and, now best of luck
to everybody, Today.

Speaker 1 (19:52):
Best of luck to uvr. Agre gonna stayin one all
your social. Channels all, right, guys if you're looking for
AN nfl playoff, SURVIVOR arryl AND i just launched ours
two days ago on Splash. Sports fifty thousand dollars guaranteed
twenty five dollars to enter splash sports dot com back
Slash kelly In. Vegas we're running a little bit, behind

(20:12):
but good news is for you. GUYS i will run
this right up until tip. Off Andy lang wrote me, yesterday, said,
Cal i've got a five percent. PLAY i need to
be on last. CALL i, said, fine, FINE i GUESS
i guess you can join.

Speaker 5 (20:27):
IT i need to BE i need to be on.

Speaker 1 (20:31):
You guys can Catch Andy lang With Dan alexander on
Wager talk. Today we've been kind of revamping a lot
of shows on Wager, talk AND i think this has
been my, favorite like. Revamp Right andy was doing it.
Solo dan was already behind the wings as a producer
and somebody threw out we should just have them both do,
it AND i have thoroughly enjoyed watching the show since
we've done. It what else can they expect on Wager

(20:53):
Talk today with you, Guys, Andy, WELL.

Speaker 5 (20:55):
I think THE i, mean, listen we got great, information
always gonna have free plays and bring DOWN i think
my favorite part is we do actual bets with people
in the chat now and and, winter, like if you,
win you get a free three day. Pass So, teddy,
Yeah teddy AND i. Do we do a segment every
week called Sell me Where dan randomly picks AN nfl
game and then he Assigns teddy's side and me, aside

(21:17):
and we just have to imprompt to and then people
in the chat put who they agree with and whoever,
wins we pick a winner and you get a free
three day, pass and people have people have stepped up and, Said,
ANDY i want to go ahead to head with. You
i'll bet a three day. Pass so IT'S i think
that's BEEN i think that's been the most fun thing
that we've randomly. Added and credit To Jesse schule because

(21:39):
it started with. Him him AND i started going head
to head on some things and it was like we're
at wig or, something and then we're, like, no let's
just give away three day. Pass that's been that's been
my favorite. Part that's.

Speaker 1 (21:48):
GREAT i have thoroughly enjoyed it every single day noon
on the Wager Talking usube, channel they go. Live you
guys can also watch the, replay of, course but they
do an excellent. Job But andy did ask me to
come on because you, Said, KELLY i know nobody wants
to work six days a week LIKE i do or,
seven but you are here because you have a five

(22:10):
percent play up right now At wagertalk dot. COM i
told the comment section if they have any prop questions
for today or, tomorrow there welcome to drop. It but
they're over here arguing about college. Basketball so get them
fired up for TODAY'S nfl. Games get them fired up
for arguably one of your bigger plays of THE nfl.

Speaker 5 (22:29):
Season, yeah we hit two five percent plays last. Week
actually we've been we've been kind of closing out THE
nfl season really. Strong so you know it is if
you don't feel great about a, week kind of play
it lay it a little close to the. Best but
if you're seeing the board really, well it's okay to
step out and take some. Chances and we love the car,
Today so, yeah we can go over some place. Here
let's just do game by game, here we'll focus on

(22:49):
today's Games caroline And Tampa. Bay there's some pass there's
some rushing props actually, like and it's both of the. Quarterbacks,
KELLY i really Like Bryce young over his rushing. Total
the problem is that opened at seventeen and a half
and that's already up to nineteen and a, half so
people obviously agree with. Me but he still had twenty
plus rushing yards the last four. Games WHAT i love

(23:11):
is take his five best, rushes his five best single
rushes of the. Year four of them have come in
the last four. Weeks he's getting really efficient with his.
Running and this is such a huge. Game carolina can
kind of back door their way into the. Playoffs but
this is a game that both teams are gonna want
to work. Win and this just Screams Baker mayfield over his.

(23:31):
Rushing a game like, This he's not throwing the ball,
Away he's gonna tuck it. RUN i know he's. Hurt
when the season is, over we're gonna Hear Baker mayfield
going in for surgery on shoulder and ankle or. Something
BUT i really like those two to go over their rushing.
Yards speaking Of, BAKER i think you got to take
him to throw an. Interception he had two last. Week

(23:52):
this is four straight games that he's had an, interception
six out of the last. SEVEN i don't know what's
going on with him in this receiving, corps but they're
just a little bit off, kilter And baker's clearly. Hurt
the ball is sailing on him a little. Bit you
want to go to receiving. Yards this is just one
of those kind of gut, Feelings, KELLY i think you
gotta Take Mike evans over four and a half. Receptions

(24:14):
like do or die, Game baker's going to the guy
who got him, there and it's gonna Be Mike. Evans
if you're looking for who's, HOT i mean the guy
that keeps going over his props Is jalen. McMillan he's
going over in two out of the three games he's.
Played last year's coming off one hundred and fourteen yard
you know, Game So jalen McMillan's a hot. HAND i,
think gut, wise you probably gotta Take Mike evans to

(24:36):
go over his, receptions and THEN i do Like baker
to throw over one and a half touchdown. Passes this
was a rinse and repeat type of play at the
beginning of the, year but then his wide receivers got.
Hurt but now they're back. Too out of last three,
games he's strown for, Two So baker to go over
would be some PROPS i like in that, one not
as much as WHAT i like in The Seattle San.

(24:56):
Francisco i'm gonna play it pretty pretty safe. Here Pearce all's,
questionable looks like he's gonna, Play kittle is going to.
Play so If kittle's, playing you gotta take his over.
Receiving it's sixty one and a. HALF i Know seattle's
good against tight, ends but Brock perty's playing about as
good as any quarterback right, now And kittle's flown over
in his last five or six. Games and speaking Of Rock,

(25:18):
PARTY i think my favorite one in this one is
over one and a half touchdown. Passes i'm seeing this
like a minus one, twenty WHICH i don't. Understand he's at,
three five and three in his last three. WEEKS i
Know seattle's a really good, defense but in fact is
last Time purty Played, seattle he threw for two And
christian mccaffery's a little banged. UP i know they're gonna
give him the ball when they get, inside but don't

(25:38):
be surprised If perty has success knowing the. Ball and,
then all, Right, CALLY i want your opinion on this.
One do you Think Sam donald is gonna be seeing
some ghosts? Today do you Trust Sam donald in a big?

Speaker 1 (25:51):
GAME i, mean, Listen i'm sitting here off the wings,
stackson my buddy, saying and he doesn't know Why Baker
mayfield is having a bad. Year all jokes. Aside andy
doesn't believe in my witchy. Bullshit But Sam darnold is
having a good. Year the question is is he going
to be able to protect the? Football, listen The niners

(26:13):
were my pick to start the year to win The Super.
BOWL i had him at twenty to, one all but
dead right dead on. Arrival by week. Six they've now
revived themselves a little. Bit but the question is can
The niners play in a big. Game they've been really
frustrating as. Well, yes they did get that nice win
over The bears at home the other. NIGHT i tease
Them i'm gonna tell you, THIS i have more recently

(26:36):
got into doing. Props, Right doing all this stuff with
the splash guys on quick picks and trying to be
contrarian is kind of, hard, Right Like i'm a contrarian by.
NATURE i want to find an argument for the other.
Side the question is With Sam, Darnold we've seen a
lot of moments of greatness this past two. Seasons, right
we know The jets were probably more of a problem

(26:58):
than anything. Else, No fred warned is never a good
thing for This niners. DEFENSE i think this is going
to be a one point. GAME i can't wait for
this game to land one just For John. Murray does
that mean That Sam donald's gonna have a great. GAME
i don't. Know that's a good. QUESTION i didn't get
involved in that game at. All i've got three up
for The Sunday, slate which you can absolutely crucify WHEN

(27:19):
i put out that video, later Because i'm sure you're
gonna just die laughing at most of. Them BUT i
do like Your Baker mayfield to throw an. Interception it's
going to be a really bad, day and it's gonna
be a bad next month and a half For baker next, year,
THOUGH i Think baker may be my. GUY i think
he's gonna be a better all, Right.

Speaker 5 (27:36):
Well if you Think donald is gonna fall, apart then
you got to take his to throw an. Interception it's
only minus one. Fifteen you just have. To if you're
worried About donald in this in this, spot then take
his prop to throw an. Interception we're waiting on a
lot of props to come out. Tomorrow But, KELLY i
know everyone talks about. Incentives i'll give you my. Incentive,
yeah thoughts, there it's jumped the. Shark these were novelty

(28:00):
that you could really take advantage, of and now you.

Speaker 1 (28:02):
Can't AND cbs are talking about, them and they've got
kids that are like they just got into the industry
last week talking about these, incentives AND i see it On.
Instagram we're way past the point of finding any value
on any of these.

Speaker 5 (28:17):
Players the only one THAT i think is legit As
Tony pollard over his. Rushing he needs sixty six. Yards
they've got it at sixty six and a, half sixty
seven and a. Half he's Playing jacksonville a great rush.
Defense but to, me the Screams jacksonville gets up and
in the third and fourth, quarter Maybe tennessee kind of

(28:38):
gives him the ball to try and get. There Dawson
knox to catch a touchdown that gets him an incentive
that's certainly. Attainable and Then Hunter henry to have five
receptions that's that's definitely untainable for The patriots this. Week
so those are a few that you might be able
to look. At but, yeah it's it's the days of

(28:58):
you having advantage over the book and the incentives are long.
Gone and like you, said if you see it ON,
espn if you see it ON, cbs or if you
see it as a boost On, DraftKings run run really.

Speaker 1 (29:09):
Fast put on your running shoes so you can go. Faster, Andy,
like let everybody know what you've got going. On over
at wager talk dot. Com we're headed into THE nfl.
Playoffs talk about the prop market and what you like
to look. For so if somebody wants to get involved with,
you they kind of know what to.

Speaker 5 (29:25):
Expect, Yeah so what we'll do is we last week
we had a couple of big, plays but you're gonna
get every play that we put in. There so like
we'll have a bunch of smaller. Plays so you want
high volume across a bunch of, games you can do.
That if you just want to focus on our best,
bet you can do. That there's only two games right.
Now we only have one best bet that's, up but
it's a five percent best. Bet LIKE i, said we
cashed On. Sunday we cashed On. Monday and when you're

(29:47):
seeing the board good in a certain, sport that's when
you really want, it when to step out and you,
know take, it take a big. SHOT i like the.
SITUATION i like the setup. Here tomorrow we are going
to have our best bets are. Up we're waiting on
a few more lineups and things to come. Out SO
i will definitely be On Michael wilson over his. Receiving
you can bet your bottom dollar we're going that. One

(30:09):
he needs like ninety three yards for a. THOUSAND i
think they got his prop at like sixty, Four so
he'll be a good. One he'll be a good one
to take advantage. Of and Then, kelly we DO nba.
Props i'll give you a FEW. Rj barrett over fifteen
and a half, Points Brook lopez to make a Three
Jimi hawks over fifteen and a half. Points Jalen johnson

(30:30):
over eight and a half. Assists those are SOME nba
plays that we'll have.

Speaker 1 (30:33):
Today you read faster THAN i. DO i got down
Brook lopez to make a three one more, TIME a
little bit slower for your and our audience because they
are just nailed. It he, said if you want to
beat THE, nba the props market is where it's. At
it's not trying to guess or try to beat the.

(30:54):
Market it's either middling or. Props.

Speaker 5 (30:58):
YEAH. Rj barrett over fifteen and half. Points he's just
come back from. Injury this is his third game. Back
he's ramping up his. Minutes he had seventeen in his last.
Game he's got a great matchup Against atlanta on a
back to. Back SO. Rj, barrett you got some value.
There Brook lopez over his, Threes he's made at least
one in seven straight. GAMES a little worried Because Kawhi
leonard is on fire right now and Brook lopez is

(31:20):
not shooting as many shots With kawhi in, there but
he is making his. Threes hokez for The heat over
fifteen and a. Half he's gone over in sixth. Straight
he's playing thirty plus minutes a. Game and the best
part of him is he comes off the, bench so
he's going up against the other team's bench, players so
you get a really good advantage. There And Jalen johnson
check the status On Trey. Young he just goes over his.

(31:41):
Assists Whether trey's in or out of the, Lineup he's
getting about seventeen potential assists per. Game so eight and
a half was an easy cash last, night back to.
Back but, yeah those are Some those are SOME nba.

Speaker 1 (31:53):
Props all, right good stuff From Andy lang wt dot
buzz backslash al is his short link over on Wager
talk at bump. Sports on social, media well at least
on X Andy lang sports on TikTok and on TikTok And.
INSTAGRAM i can't get him to change HIS. X it's

(32:14):
not my, fault you. Guys you yell at him in
the comments, section which Says andy.

Speaker 5 (32:17):
Lang betts on, there it's the, TITLE i don't know
why you, keep why you keep why he messed this?
Up and just Say andy lang bets on all social media.
Platforms it's been that way for, Years, Okay andy.

Speaker 1 (32:32):
Lan, bets you can tell and AND i have too
much fun together all the. Time he is the. Best
make sure you guys catch him And Dan alexander on
Wager Talk today every single day noon eastern nine am
P civic on The Wager talking YouTube. Channel good luck, Today,
Andy i'll be right. Back i'm gonna go check and
see what his five percent play is SO i can
add those to My splash quick pick. Lineups Thanks, andy guys,

(32:54):
up you're in the. Chat i'm gonna need you guys
to stop what you're doing right now hit that thumbs
up button Because i've got all this stuff populated to
give you, guys all of the sharp stuff From art
To caesar at The Westgates. Superbook BUT i need a
little love. First working really hard for you guys on A.
Saturday this guy's also working very hard for you guys
on A saturday and probably, tomorrow AND i know we're

(33:14):
going to see him On monday as. Well on the
opening line report for Wild Card, Weekend Teddy, covers welcome
in to the. Show we're gonna talk SOME, Nfl we're
gonna talk SOME. Nba are you doing End Zone live?

Speaker 8 (33:28):
Tomorrow i'm doing three and a half hours of End
Zone live, Tomorrow so that'll be and that's a lot of.
Fun if you guys haven't been On End Zone live,
Yet sundays early games we go through you, know we
start in about what ten fifteen minutes ahead of TIME
i think nine to forty Five pacific that is when
we go on, air and we go through the end
of the last you, know if the game goes in an,
overtime we stick around.

Speaker 6 (33:47):
The end of the early.

Speaker 8 (33:48):
Games so it's a good three and a half hours
worth of and there's a bunch of. Guys it's not just,
me it's not Just, kelly it's there's all kinds of you,
know people come in and.

Speaker 6 (33:55):
Out it's, casual it's.

Speaker 8 (33:57):
Fun and over the course of the three, hours, man
we give our three and a half, hours we give
out a ton of live, bets we give out a
ton of good, info and you get to kind of
be a fly on the wall with a bunch of
guys who do what we, do hanging around talking about.

Speaker 6 (34:09):
Games and, SO i, mean the numbers have been. Phenomenal
we're getting like twenty thousand.

Speaker 1 (34:12):
Views, yeah it's, crazy it's absolutely check it. Out it's
been a great. Show if you guys are into live
betting if you guys are into, banter if you guys
are in, too hanging out and having a good. Time
my Girlfriend kelly does not. Bet she has texted me
every single week something absolute hilarious that happens on the.
Show she, goes this is so. Entertaining it's like sitting
around watching the, game learning about the game with some

(34:35):
of my guy friends and just you, know having a good.
Time so if you guys have not got a chance
to check that, out it will be on right before kickoff,
tomorrow right here on the Wager talk YouTube. Channel, GUYS
i just dropped those sharp college basketball and the. Chat
you are. Welcome thank you for your. Participation teddy covers
one of the things That vre said early in the
show you had not popped on, yet was about THE nba,

(34:56):
season AND i basically, said, look it's unbettable until the
fine for me, personally you have been betting THE nba
since BEFORE i was. Born talk to me about what
we need to be looking at on THE nba, card
when we need to be betting, it and how we
sift through this copious amounts of information and injury and
line moves so that you can make better informed. Bets

(35:19):
if you do want to wait till, finals so be.
It But teddycover is not. Waiting teddycovers gets great information
and he's beaten the market into these games or beating the.
Information teddy kind of let our audience know how you
look at THE nba and what you got on deck for.

Speaker 8 (35:35):
Today so THE nba is a completely different animal from
just about any other. Sport what you see in THE
nba gaming game out week, in week, out month and month,
out is the betting.

Speaker 6 (35:46):
Markets react pretty much exclusively to injury.

Speaker 8 (35:48):
Information the betting markets are this guy's, in this guy's,
out this guy's, in this guy's. Out that's how the
lines move in THE. Nba from my perspective and the
Way i've made one hundred and ninety seven unit's BETTING
nba sins twenty twenty two is to worry a lot
less about the individual players in or out of the
lineup and a lot more about the current form of the.

Speaker 7 (36:09):
Team my focus in THE nba has nothing to do
with this guy's in and this guys out. Tonight, generally
SOMETIMES i like betting on teams when a player is.
Out wemby's out For San, antonio Great Wemby's spurs are.
Deep let's bet on The spurs without their. Star Trey
young's out For atlanta, Great let's bet On. Atlanta The

(36:30):
hawks many ways better without their. Stars so the market
zig this way on. INJURIES i like to zig that.

Speaker 8 (36:35):
Way the other THING i like to do with THE
nba is find teams and their, roles and you just
bet them again and again and. Again in that, role
find teams that are currently playing good. Basketball season long
stats say this team sucks right. Now look at The,
wizards you, know look At. Brooklyn brooklyn And washington are
great examples right now of teams that are, awful and

(36:58):
you look at their full season stats are at the
bottom of.

Speaker 6 (37:00):
Everything and if you've.

Speaker 8 (37:01):
Been betting them for the last two, weeks all you've
done is make, money all, right take advantage of the
short term runs in THE nba a, week two, weeks
three weeks a. Month the betting, markets they focus on
season long. STATS i focus on current form and those two,
factors current form versus season long injuries that the markets overreact,

(37:21):
to versus injuries that the teams that have depth and
play at every good of every bit as well or
better without Their. Stars that's the two my top TWO
nba betting, strategies and obviously you know plus one ninety seven.
Units it's been paying, Off.

Speaker 1 (37:36):
Yes it. Has so if you're looking for somebody to
partner up for THE nba, Season teddy covers is your?
GUY Wt Dot buzz BACKSLASH Tc, teddy do you have
anything that narrowly missed your card for today in THE?
Nba so we got lots OF nba. QUESTIONS i feel
like this is supposed to be AN nfl college basketball,
show but we're going to capitalize and get these guys

(37:57):
some of that.

Speaker 2 (37:59):
Information So i'm tempted by him to The Miami.

Speaker 6 (38:02):
Heat that's the first early start.

Speaker 8 (38:03):
Game miami's playing good basketball And minnesota isn't you, know
we talk about current, form short term. Streaks miami was
nasty for much Of. December if you're back To heat In,
december all you did is lose. Money, now they won
what four in a. Row they kind of flipped the.
Switch they were able to and they had been able
to win without here in them the. Markets Oh bam

(38:23):
out Of bio's not playing. Tonight Oh tyler heroes out.
Tonight miami's a deep team doesn't. Matter we just Heard
andy talking About Heimi yakaz and he's a guy you
could bet on For. Miami from a player prop, standpoint they're,
deep they don't need one. Guy it doesn't matter If
bam sits for a, game So miami certainly. Won i'm
looking at their home dogs today to A Tea wolves team,
that let's just, Say i'm not sure that they're coming

(38:45):
apart at the, seams but it feels to me Like
minnesota peaked a year or two, ago And i'm not
in love with anything that's going on team chemistry rise
wise right now for A. Minnesota SO i look At
miami plus two and a. Half that's What i'm. INTERESTED
i was interested in The sixers theoretically BECAUSE i Think
philly's bet on right. Now all, right we finally have

(39:08):
A sixers team that's. Healthy their season long stats don't
say anything about how good this team is right, now
with you, know all the key pieces back For, philadelphia
most of the key pieces back For. Philadelphia the problem
is The knicks were awful yesterday and they talked about
it after the game and even on a second of
back to.

Speaker 6 (39:25):
Backs you, Know philly's.

Speaker 8 (39:28):
Bet on right, NOW i don't know that today is
the DAY i want to bet against The, knicks because
The knicks no showed yesterday and then they weren't happy about.
It So Lean, sixers and even IF i don't bet them,
Today i'll be looking to bet On philadelphia or for
the next week or, two maybe, more until the markets
catch up with WHAT i consider to be their current
formal though given the three and a half out, there
maybe the markets are catching up With.

Speaker 6 (39:48):
Philadelphia i've got.

Speaker 8 (39:50):
The you, know The sixers right now paraded as the
top eight team in the, league one of the better
teams in The, east right there With boston in The,
east even though obviously their full season numbers wouldn't get.
That so that's two That i'm interested, In miami for,
sure In philadelphia moving, Forward miami for, Today philadelphia maybe not,
today but moving forward to next.

Speaker 1 (40:10):
Week all, Right, teddy let's hit on these TWO nfl
games before we get you out of. Here Steve merrill
coming Into tooxton college basketball here in just a few,
Minutes Big Nick's energy twenty. SIX i wonder if he's
A broncos. Fan who do you have On seahawks forty nine?
Ers TEDDY i do a show with you every Single.
Monday if you guys haven't, seen it's called The Opening Line,

(40:30):
Report AND i Annoyed teddy every single week by bringing
up teasers on A. Monday but that's just because they've been,
really really good this. Year art The caesar mentioned they
saw sharp money come in at forty nine and a
half down to forty. Seven kind of bodes well for
taking niners and a teaser.

Speaker 8 (40:45):
Here no, SURE i wouldn't argue with that. Theoretically So
i'm in play On Carolina Tampa. Bay i'm in play
with a rare five percent big. TICKET i haven't had
a whole lot of. Those we had one Last sunday
and was a, sweat but we got there and giving
the money back and we'll see if we can do it.

(41:06):
Again obviously today that is the early start, game four
to Thirty eastern one Thirty pacific. Time AND i don't
put out a lot of big. TICKETS i really, Don't
so when a game stands out to me to be
five percent, worthy the track worker is real. Good short
nd log, term THE nfl has been hot seventy one
percent over the last four, weeks AND i think the
last EIGHT Nfl, Sundays i'm close to seventy, percent so

(41:28):
it's been. Good when it comes To seattle And San,
Francisco i'm not involved for the clients in that ball.
GAME i got a lean home, dog BUT i didn't
get there all right lean. Forth and the issue is
to two. DEFENSES i, mean The seahawks have a Super
bowl caliber.

Speaker 6 (41:43):
Defense the forty nine ers.

Speaker 8 (41:44):
Don't that, said in a big, Game i'll Trust i'll
trust Brock purty way more THAN i Trust Sam. Donald
and we've seen it From donald again this season when
it comes down to facing good teams in big. Games
he's not A qb we can, trust. Period and that's,
now that's not a thing that's a proven track regular
toil proven. Otherwise so it's a scenario Where i've got

(42:05):
the better, defense the clearly better defense on the one,
side and in my, opinion the clearly better quarterback on
the other. Side i'm not, involved, REALLY i don't have
a strong lean not, side not. Total, obviously the lots
of money's coming on the under for Seatle sam AND
i wouldn't argue with. That, certainly when you think about
a game of this, magnitude we expect the two. Defenses you,

(42:25):
know we expect relatively conservative game. Plans seattle can't chuck it,
downfield you, know If donald's not the playing at his.
Best SO i wouldn't argue with the money coming in
on the under in that ball. Game although you've already
missed the best of the, number you haven't bet the under.
YET i can say it's too, late But i'll put
it this, way my wise guy, friends not a one

(42:46):
of them here In.

Speaker 6 (42:47):
Vegas we bet the under right now with the current.
Number you've already missed, It so you move on to something.

Speaker 1 (42:51):
Else there you. Go there's always other games to. Bet
speaking of other, Games Teddy covers also does some college. Basketball,
teddy what do you got on deck? Today for college?
BASKETBALL i sent out A i don't even know how.
MUNCH i think there's seventeen games on that list or something.
Exhaustive From art To, caesar he, Said, hey here's all
the sharp stuff THAT i can. Confirm. Right that means
somebody that they respect that The Westgates. Superbook bet. It

(43:14):
several groups bet, it several people bet. It maybe just
one person bet. It so don't shoot the. Messenger art
To caesar said this, morning he, said there was a
lot of negative. Comments he, goes are you sure you?
WANT i, said didn't we go eleven eight and one last?
Week and he, said, YEAH i think, So AND i, Go, okay,
guys that's still a winning. Day, everybody take the. Information
what do you do with stuff like?

Speaker 2 (43:34):
That?

Speaker 1 (43:34):
Teddy IF i sent you nineteen college basketball games that were,
sharp what do you do with that?

Speaker 8 (43:39):
Information so it's a great, Question, Kelly and the truth
of it, is if you're a guy person that peppers the,
board if you're someone that makes twenty college basketball, bets.

Speaker 6 (43:47):
You bet all twenty of them flat, out all? Right
or you go.

Speaker 1 (43:51):
Through that like if you're on a hundred, dollars better
you bet each one of them for one.

Speaker 8 (43:54):
Ten so you could certainly reduce if you if you're over,
bank it's more than Your bengroal can.

Speaker 6 (44:01):
Tolerate you reduce your unit. Size ok.

Speaker 8 (44:03):
Right you, know if you if you're normally betting one,
hundred maybe you bet, fifty maybe you bet, twenty all.

Speaker 6 (44:07):
Right but if you're asking me.

Speaker 8 (44:12):
What WOULD i rather, Have i'd rather have who the
public likes and fathe them than who the sharps like
and bag because that you're gonna. Get if you bet
Every sharp, play you're gonna go, eleven eight and. One
you know every, week you know you have twenty and
then you're gonna grind out a.

Speaker 6 (44:27):
Profit it's a lot of, work you're running a. Profit
if you.

Speaker 8 (44:30):
Got what's the big public play, today you give. Me
give you the top three public. Today you'll win two
out of three of those every. Week you, know it
just feels like you. Do so if you ask me
which WOULD i rather, Have i'd rather fade the public
than back the. Sharp The sharps are going for fifty five,
percent and they're going for fifty five percent at numbers
you're not going to get all. Right the public's gonna
lose long, term and especially in college, basketball where the

(44:52):
public knows, nothing the public's gonna lose pretty. Consistently so
if you ask me Which i'd rather, have give me
a fade the public before a back the. Sharps today's
college hoops card for me is not yet. Posted we'll
posted it on my homepage as soon As i'm done
with this. SHOW Wt Dot buzz BACKSLASH. TC i got
an all access pass up for you right. Now you
can get the five percent big ticket IN. Nfl you

(45:14):
can get THE nba and you'll get the college hoops
AS i. Posted it'll be, posted LIKE i, said as
soon as the show is. Through but when you're on
eight Am pacific, time you don't always get everything posted
before you get on.

Speaker 6 (45:24):
Air but we'll get it as soon as we're.

Speaker 1 (45:26):
Off i'm making these guys get up early here at Wager.
TALK i run a tight ship just for you guys
in the comment. Section almost five thousand of you guys
watching across all, Platforms so shout out to all of.
You teddycovers wt, Dot Buzz BACKSLASH tc is his homepage
on wagers talk dot. Com End Zone live tomorrow right before,
kickoff you guys can hang out with him and the

(45:46):
rest of the Wager talk, crew sweating out those early,
games making some live, bets and of Course teddy and
that will be back at eleven Am eastern On monday
for the opening line report For Wildscard. Weekend thank you
for coming, On, teddy good luck today and we'll see
you On. Monday. Cheers Steve merrill coming in hot here
in a. Second BUT i got to remind you, Guys

(46:06):
ariel AND i have A Little. Survivor, well the graphic
didn't quite. Fit we're gonna just work with. It right,
now fifty thousand dollars guaranteed twenty five dollars to Enter
splash sports dot Com Backslash kelly And. Vegas that is
AN Nfl playoff. SURVIVOR i will not have a quick
pick lineup for. TODAY i will have one out for,

(46:28):
tomorrow so make sure that you guys check it out
on My instagram page AND i will have all those
ready and hopefully going to. Cash last week we got the.
Cash we're gonna go for it again this. Week Steve,
merril we got thirteen minutes until tip. Off that's WHY
i Make Steve merrill go, late because he's like running
from somewhere.

Speaker 4 (46:49):
AND i have.

Speaker 6 (46:51):
Get.

Speaker 1 (46:51):
More and he, said, Hey i'm jumping. In andy, said,
Ham i'm. JUMPING i, said, perfect Because Steve merril always
Says i'll be there at eleven, thirty and then it'll be,
Like i'll be there at.

Speaker 4 (46:58):
Eleven the only Reason i'll even the show is because
you need, people you know that making it. Work popping,
BACK i don't need.

Speaker 1 (47:06):
PEOPLE i need a day. Off Steve, Merrick.

Speaker 4 (47:08):
Well it seemed like you need a people when you
HAVE i, mean we both need a day. OFF i
got the basketball. Off the basketball was, loaded like at three.

Speaker 1 (47:15):
AM i do for all these people in the comment,
section just so you, know just for.

Speaker 4 (47:20):
Them So teddy, said he's getting it. Up SO i
had it up at three am last. Night the basketball was.
Loaded So i'm back in the office to do wager
talk last call real quick Something teddy. Said he caught
my you know Love teddy loves to pick on people
and be. Particular i'll take the eleven and eight every.
Week ALL i gotta do is follow the. SHARPS i,
mean sign me. UP i didn't have to handicapital three,
am but he kind of mentioned it at the. End

(47:41):
the problem is he's probably right they go eleven and,
eight but then when you tail, him you're losing a
point or. Two you're gonna go eight, nine, nine, eight
eight and. One. Right, Yeah and that's another reason WHY
i agree with. Him fad in the public is my
preferred method because you get extra line. Value that's the
beauty of it is that the reason it works long
term is because you're getting an extra point or, so
and a lot of THOSE nfl fade the public plays

(48:01):
in Early december that were, crushing AND i think we
were on a thirteen and two run over like four,
WEEKS i think three or four And kelly were like
half point covers and it wasn't a fluke Like Green
Bay Beach chicago a month. Ago by seven they were
laying six and a. Half you, know that line would
have been seven or seven and a. Half so it
really does make a Difference seahawks and forty nine. Ers
i'm sure you all have talked about it. ALREADY i

(48:22):
mentioned it in my. Video My fade The public will
be up later, today BUT i want to let people
know The niners are the public dog this. Week and
as you, said you, Well No art said yesterday On
joe's show That sharps For Seattle public was san fran.

Speaker 1 (48:37):
Right he, said this is what he.

Speaker 4 (48:39):
Said art said that in my video That art said. That,
no hold, ON i, Mean i'm gonna READ i didn't
this Quote.

Speaker 1 (48:44):
Art, NO i think we're saying the same. Thing forty
nine ers money still pouring in despite the line moved Towards. Seattle.

Speaker 4 (48:51):
Correct, yeah, yeah the volume is on The, niners BUT
i think The sharper. Side, yeah this is what we
call a sharp square. Divide you, KNOW i love fading public.
Dogs it's one of my favorite angles to. Use BUT
i also love sharp square divides because What teddy just pointed,
out the sharps do win long. Term AS i, said
you lose. Linbad but when you get a sharp square,
divide you get a fair line, still and you get

(49:12):
the sharp side of the fair. PRICE i think that's The,
seahawks and it's that contrarian look. Right it looks weird to.
See perhaps the number one seed is a home, dog
so we'll see how it plays.

Speaker 1 (49:21):
Out, steve do you do have faded the public video
for college? BASKETBALL i KNOW i should know THE.

Speaker 4 (49:24):
Nswer no, well, no IT'S i really, don't But i'll
tell you when it does come into play as THE
nc douablea. Tournament, okay high profile. Games the problem with public,
data even in college football is that the market isn't square.
Enough it isn't big. Enough the daily sports it doesn't
work for the same reason like THE nba. Baseball the
public just isn't involved enough to let it, simmer, right

(49:46):
to let that sauce boil and get all the public.
Data but when you get high profile games like THE ncaa,
tournament maybe THE nba. Playoffs THEN i do think the
public data starts. Working and WHAT i look for, Again,
kelly is public dogs in those and we get a
lot of, those because when you get good teams as an,
underdog all of a, sudden the public wants, them.

Speaker 6 (50:04):
Right they never played.

Speaker 4 (50:05):
Dogs unless it's a high profile. Team and the beauty
of fading public underdogs is that you're getting a quality,
team you, know like The, Jet like the public's against
The jets tomorrow and that video will be up this.
Afternoon The bills are a public play. Tomorrow but do
we trust The? Jets Brady cook one, touchdown seven. Interceptions
how about, This, Kelly The jets have not intercepted the

(50:25):
ball all. Season that has never happened over sixteen. Games
it's already. Happened that's a record. Already and if they
don't pick Off Josh allen whoever else comes in after him,
tomorrow it'll be the first time IN nfl history they've
gone a full season without an. Interception that is really
one of the most remarkable STATS i Think i've ever,
heard and just tells you how bad that team.

Speaker 1 (50:43):
Is that is a very bad. TEAM i have a
thirteen and a half available in some of my splash,
contests AND i still don't. Know AND i Think krap
told me On monday that The jets were a sharp
play that they, played AND i still was, like, no
there's nothing.

Speaker 4 (51:03):
Sharp about ever playing The. Jets you can play The,
jets you might.

Speaker 1 (51:06):
Win, well you're not playing on The. Jets you're playing
the number, Right we're not playing.

Speaker 4 (51:09):
Teams but there.

Speaker 1 (51:12):
Are, still for even for ME, i tests that need
to be that need to be. Made the comment, section,
Right Aaron glenn is, Garbage yes he. Is the entire
team is essentially garbage outside of about three or four.
Players that's the problem when you Have Brady cook under.
Center as you, mentioned, right we have had some moments
of okayness from some of these backup quarterbacks because of their. Defenses, Right,

(51:35):
LIKE i am sick to my stomach THAT i have
The vikings minus six and a half. Today the line
moved in my, favor BUT i was hoping for A jj,
McCarthy not a third string quarterback that threw for less
than fifty? Yards was It?

Speaker 4 (51:50):
Brossmer the crowd Loves. Brosmer he's A hotel, boy, right.

Speaker 1 (51:55):
But he threw for less than fifty yards On. Christmas
m kelly all.

Speaker 4 (51:58):
Seriousness the reason it's hard to back a team like,
that that's even at thirteen and a. Half it's the
same thing in college. FOOTBALL i played big favorites In.
September and the REASON i do this is because ugly,
underdogs bad offensive teams cannot catch. Up they have less
backdoor cover potential when they can't throw the. Ball so
and The bills are coming off a, loss it's the
last home game in that stadium because they likely won't
have a home playoff. Game and by the, Way i'm

(52:18):
almost Certain Josh allen is. Starting it's gonna be his
one hundred and thirty fifth consecutive STARTED nfl high current
record or current active streak.

Speaker 1 (52:25):
High but you don't expect him to play the entire.

Speaker 4 (52:27):
Game, no so, hey, Like i'm giving a lot away
here because the faith the public's not out. Yet BUT i,
SAID i don't want to. Preview, no, no you know
you know. Me CAN i do Every bowl?

Speaker 6 (52:36):
GAME i?

Speaker 4 (52:37):
Do i'm going to do EVERY nfl playoff. Game by the,
way if they, hit it's hit subscribe hit The. Bill
they're geting an insular for every playoff game free if
they click the thumbs up like, Here i'll do. It
boom they did. It, NO i mean WELL.

Speaker 1 (52:48):
I need more people to do it than just. That,
STEVE i got the wager.

Speaker 4 (52:51):
Time everybody just did? It did you not just see?

Speaker 2 (52:53):
That?

Speaker 4 (52:53):
Matt, seriously about two percent of you folks click the
thumbs up like that is. Unacceptable we need at least
Eleven come on. NOW i said this in the video, Though.
KELLY i think they're going to play their. Starters you
know it's it's, ironic isn't. It it's like life comes full.
Circle you start off in a, diaper you die in a.
Diaper you ever hear that? Saying but look you you
ever think about? That you, like like a five year

(53:13):
old and a ninety year old are like the. Same,
Basically week one is semi, preseason. Right week eighteen is
like handicapping the. Preseason we've come full. Circle it's like
which quarterback is, playing which teams are playing their. STARTERS
i think The, bills coming off the loss last home,
game they're going to Start Allen. Streak AS i, mentioned
game is. Eight first half's like five to five and

(53:34):
a half first quarter is two and a?

Speaker 6 (53:37):
Half what AM i? Missing?

Speaker 4 (53:39):
Right bills can win by three in the first, quarter
so THAT i think that's the best way it plays
any of.

Speaker 1 (53:44):
Us it's fourteen nothing in the end of the first.

Speaker 4 (53:46):
Quarter, NO i, mean how could you play The jets
plus two and a?

Speaker 6 (53:49):
Half?

Speaker 4 (53:49):
Right that just seems TOO i don't say, easy but
Like bill's minus two and a half first quarter.

Speaker 1 (53:55):
At the table right, Now, NO i could not Play
jets plus two and a.

Speaker 4 (53:59):
Half SO i like shortening the game. THERE i think
that's probably the best way to attack that. One but,
yeah it's like handicap in the. Preseason that's another REASON
i only have three public plays in that. Video this,
week we'll talk about those in the, video but Tred
lightley here In week. Eighteen something Else i'll point, Out
AND i might have missed. ONE i just did this
in my head the other. Night but last WEEK i
think there were six games in which there was an

(54:20):
eliminated team playing a team still in. Contention the eliminated
team went five and one against the. Spread guess who.
Didn't The New York jets got blown out by The,
patriots but some of those were. Faded the public plays
The dolphins outright against The buccaneers The. Falcon, yeah it
was my free play of the. Day it was my
last cut for my best back. CARDS a thousands got
it for, free which is great still on my. Page

(54:41):
The Falcons monday, night another one. Outright so be very
careful with these must win situations and these teams that
have something to play. For you've been doing this long,
enough you know as well that it's never that.

Speaker 6 (54:52):
Easy in THE.

Speaker 4 (54:52):
Nfl it's smash mouth. Football these, guys if they don't
have their head ready to, go they're gonna get, hurt,
Right so they come out and play. Hard and a
couple of seasons, ago The texans won the meaningless regular
season finale and fell from number one to number. Two
didn't get the first number one. Pick carolina Gets Bryce
young instead they Get. Stroud it worked out, fine, Right
so these teams still play, Hard plus the head coaches

(55:13):
won't be able to around long enough to benefit from
the number one pick if they don't. Win Like Eron,
glenn he's still trying to win.

Speaker 1 (55:18):
Tomorrow that is a very good. Point he is definitely
still trying to. WIN i don't think it's gonna matter, Though,
steve we've only got a couple of minutes. Left one
of the things that you AND i like to do
On saturdays when you're on is Discuss art's best bet
of the, day and the comment section keeps asking, me
you gotta scroll all the way. Up Maybe i'll post
it one more. Time But Texas southern plus seven Is
art To caesar's best bet for the. DAY i did play.

(55:42):
IT i got to see who they're even.

Speaker 6 (55:43):
PLAYING i definitely need a rotation.

Speaker 4 (55:45):
Number and If i'm not be like a six digit, Number,
kelly it's gonna be one of those sad added. Games
i'll find.

Speaker 1 (55:52):
It, no it won't be an added. GAME i got, You.
Steve let me get my odds.

Speaker 4 (55:56):
On it Was Texas, southern not an added extra. Game
it is. Zero it's the third from the. Bottom if
that helps, People Texas Southern. Southern, yeah that's two. Teams
i'll probably Never ACTUALLY i stand. Corrected you, KNOW i
remember i'd mentioned That Missouri Mississippi Valley State Kansas state
VIDEO i did on A. Wednesday the other half of

(56:17):
that two team video WAS i Believe texas Against, Southern
Texas university Against, southern And i'm looking right. Here, yeah
and they lost that game by thirty, six SO i
actually have handicapped A southern Versus Texas southern. GAME i
look at my, data. Beast by the, way they're coming
off forty five and fifty point losses their last two,
games and they're Laying is it, correct they're laying six.

(56:38):
Points you Said art Likes Texas southern in this.

Speaker 1 (56:40):
One, yes he took the plus. Seven they're currently plus
six on The odds logic. Screen.

Speaker 4 (56:45):
YEAH i, Mean i'm not in a hurry to lay
points with teams that goten blown. Out but the problem
is they're the better. Team by the, way both teams
play extremely. Fast i'm looking at my matchups. HERE i
will play the over in this, game and that one
opened fifty. Two it's up to one fifty. Three one
of the sharpest offshore global, Books kelly is one fifty
three over. Seventeen SO i think the over is a
sharp sot in this.

Speaker 1 (57:04):
One ooh, okay all.

Speaker 4 (57:06):
Right see if you're Deretro Texas southern and me and
THINK i can't come up with, something my, goodness it's not.

Speaker 2 (57:12):
Me It's.

Speaker 1 (57:12):
ART i don't think his best. Bet he just an exhausive,
list and then you try to say yes or. No,
BASICALLY i wonder how you're.

Speaker 4 (57:20):
DOING i Love, art BUT i wonder how his college season's.
Going if he's digging that deep for his best, bet
that worries me a little.

Speaker 1 (57:25):
Bit i'm sure that he just stays that. Deep that's
the THING i swim on the surface in college, BASKETBALL
i stick with WHAT i, Know big twelve, Basketball big ten,
BASKETBALL sec, basketball a little bit Of Mountain west still
in my. Repertoire but, overall WHAT i can absorb this
with so many other things going, on is what's best for.

Speaker 4 (57:45):
Me, kelly real quick seriousness on. This this line opens,
seven it's mostly six is out. There i'm looking at
the super Book arts. Book it's five and a. Half
AS i was about to, say And i'm probably right,
now is THAT i respected better probably played this and
they Made art look a little deeper into. IT i
say he didn't look at it, Also but that's making
a lot of. Sense that was my. Theory now THAT
i see they're one of the few with a five
and a. Half, YEAH i think The westgate got a

(58:08):
respected play On Texas, southern And arthur agrees with. It
there you.

Speaker 1 (58:12):
Go that's that's kind of how this.

Speaker 4 (58:15):
Works there's nothing wrong with. That teddy just said The sharps,
win AND i don't. Disagree there you, go all, Right.

Speaker 1 (58:19):
Steve we got ninety seconds to end the. Show what
would you like to leave our audience? WITH i know
you got your favorite public video you're coming up with.
Next what else you got going on over at wagers
talk dot.

Speaker 4 (58:28):
Com, yeah we have a huge card. Today i've got
TWO nfl best. Bets i've got three basketball best, bets
two college and one pro involving games With Cougar's, kelly
don't get too excited your Case state game is involved
in my best bet card. Today i'm not telling you
If i'm not a Pro cougar Anti, Cougar i'm not telling.
You they got to get the best, bet but also
a free play in one of the late or early
evening games in college, Too so go get the free.

(58:49):
Play check out the best, bets And i've also got
a three day special promo code on the page for
just forty nine. Dollars johnny came up with. It it's
a little. Tricky it's three four nine t H R
E e four nine And KELLY i was, like, oh
that's a great.

Speaker 1 (59:03):
Idea, fired what it's what?

Speaker 4 (59:06):
Exactly WHEN i started doing the videos the last couple of,
DAYS i was, like oh, boy this was not a
great promo.

Speaker 1 (59:10):
Code what is the promo?

Speaker 4 (59:11):
Code it's three days all access for just forty. Nine
that's a great deal because normally football or, basketball you,
know samplers forty nine for A Weekend. Warrior but it's
t h r. Ee the numbers for the word three
the number forty, nine so three spell four. Nine but
it's on my. PAGE i listed it on the Wager

(59:32):
talk Page Steve merrill Wager talk dot Coms kelly'll tell
you'll get there quicker using shortcut wt dot buzz slash
Sm johnny's. Fired, No, no don't do.

Speaker 6 (59:41):
That it was a great promo.

Speaker 4 (59:42):
Code should have realized.

Speaker 1 (59:44):
You need to listen to me and the. Witch if
he wants to feel, better then he will not be coming.
On uh want to do? That does splash not work
in my state? Anymore that is possible that your gaming
regulators did something. Screwy it DEPENDS Nfl College Football, tiers
survivor quick. Picks they're all different, umbrellas so double check

(01:00:06):
that Racks Sea merrill double check his uh faded the
public video today up on The Wager talking YouTube. Channel
he is the, Best thank, You, steve and, Yes ariel
is still my best. FRIEND i hope you guys have
a Great steve's throwing his hands up in the. AIR
i had to, wait so we got him off. Camera
you can bring him, back Bring steve. Back we'll Bring
Stea merril back to the. Stage.

Speaker 4 (01:00:27):
Steve, oh that made we were. HUSTLING i had so
MUCH i wanted to mess with, you BUT i knew
we were running long, today SO i didn't, say, Hey.
TOMMY i was gonna come out and say Hey, TOMMY
i Mean, kelly and THEN i was gonna, say, also
are you Still ariel's best? Friend in twenty twenty, six
she is very concerned after last. Night why now you're?
Concerned that's ALL i? Need, OKAY i made. HER i

(01:00:50):
did her show real quick last.

Speaker 1 (01:00:51):
NIGHT i just cleaned out my closet and, said nine
pair of. SHOES i think she's.

Speaker 4 (01:00:56):
Still my Best it's a good THING i told her
last night Ago kelly called you her best friend last,
week and she got like all lit up and, happy
and then she's like, WELL i might have either she
upsets you or something about, illness but she doesn't mind
death AND i kind of zone out at this, Point, kelly.

Speaker 1 (01:01:13):
We are not she is a. Virgo she is. Insane
that's all you need to, know just a little neurotic.
THIS i was put on this earth to bring her
back down to like, reality and that's insane BECAUSE i
live in the.

Speaker 4 (01:01:26):
Clouds you're the, regulator that. IS i told her yesterday
she'd be a great litigator because she's, good so good
at reading these, contracts looking for contract bonuses for her.
Props her dad is a, lawyers she, said she Goes.
NO i tried that with my, dad SO i assumed
he must be a lawyer because she. GOES i was
not good at, it SO i THOUGHT i thought that
was pretty funny as.

Speaker 1 (01:01:45):
WELL i think she should have probably been a. LAWYER
i think you.

Speaker 4 (01:01:48):
Would have been a good. LAWYER i would have been
a good. Lawyer Teddy covers would have definitely been a
GOOD i think a lot of us would have been
pretty good. Litigators but we'll have to rely On I'm.
Braiden it'll have to be our.

Speaker 1 (01:01:58):
Litigator and The branden is hopefully going to go To William.

Speaker 4 (01:02:02):
Rye get them up.

Speaker 6 (01:02:04):
Here let's.

Speaker 4 (01:02:04):
Go oh there you.

Speaker 1 (01:02:05):
Go are we betting them? Today Sea?

Speaker 4 (01:02:06):
Merrill they're not playing the, Day actually they're. Off they're
Playing monday At, charleston which will be a really good
test for. Him went to both Games monday And. WEDNESDAY
i don't want to get too, excited but, there if
you look at The King palms and the other, metrics
they are the best team in THE caa this. Year
i've had season tickets for twenty six years. Now this
is by far the best defensive Version i've, seen and
they Are i'm getting. Excited let's just put it that.

(01:02:28):
Way as you might, know they're one of only three
teams since the original tournament of the nineteen thirties that
have never made. It The citadel And army or the other.
Two Army army made it With Bobby knight in the late,
sixties it declined and went to the N. It so
it's really just The citadel and When Mary Saint francis
was the other. One they dropped their division in basketball
two years, ago it'll be a national. Story they were

(01:02:51):
up six ten years ago at the free throw line
on a one in one and blew the game the conference,
finals AND i know people, obviously.

Speaker 1 (01:02:59):
And they were Getting william And mary. Basketball maybe it's
just gonna be, Big, Kelly it's.

Speaker 6 (01:03:03):
Going to be.

Speaker 4 (01:03:04):
Big and Then i'll have to. Decide AM i going
to the? TOURNAMENT i always SAID i would if they make,
it and they could actually right now because, hey the
efficiency rankings right now have then projected if they make
it as either a twelve or a thirteen, seed they
could win a. Game i'm, like, yeah that's what got me.
Excited everyone else is excited because they're. Winning LIKE i look, deeper,
Right Like i'm looking at like what.

Speaker 1 (01:03:22):
Seating might traveling IF i think you're gonna get your
doors blown?

Speaker 4 (01:03:25):
Off, Right, like that's a great. Point and that's exactly
All i'm thinking about. It it's, Like i'm not going
to go watch them play as a sixteen or a fifteen.
Seed the women's team made it last year for the
first time. Ever they were losing, record and they won
the conference tournament as like the nine. Seed they were
in the play in round for the women's tournament and
they won the play in, game which was. Cool they
were all, excited and then they got blown out To

(01:03:46):
texas a one, seed the second best team in the,
country and you know it's cool to you almost want
to be a play in team if you're going to
be a fifteen or sixteen team socause it counts as
AN ncaa, win which is. Silly so then DO i
go To Dayton but they're not going to be a sixteen.
Seed they're good enough this. Year they'll be in a Twelve,
hey twelve wins every, year, right.

Speaker 1 (01:04:04):
It's twelve wins most. YEARS i don't know if it's.

Speaker 4 (01:04:07):
Everything it's pretty.

Speaker 1 (01:04:08):
Close yet here's that fun five to twelve matchup that
you always want to look. At WHAT i did do
the other day actually my new favorite the.

Speaker 4 (01:04:15):
Three it was about to look to see where the
reage first round was the other, day AND i haven't
done it. Yet that would be THE i just.

Speaker 1 (01:04:21):
Canceled MY i know you said you're gonna talk about
Kak a basketball when you're visit IS i just canceled
my flight to the k U K state game after
they pissed me off a couple of weeks. Ago and
now they're going to go on a run In big
twelve Play.

Speaker 4 (01:04:32):
You watch that's you reverse. JINKS i love a good
reverse chinks when it comes to sports. Betting that's WHY
i want to go to the tournament game because if they,
Win i'm. Happy if they, Lose i'm GLAD i wasn't.
There it's a great emotional. Hedge emotional hedges are. Great
you need to Hear.

Speaker 1 (01:04:48):
Steve, merril you are the. Best the comment section tells
me every day now That i'm in terne of comments
here on the Wager talk YouTube. Channel they Love. Steve
Steve merril At, meryl he loves. Them get in the comments,
section argue With. Steve tell him how much you love,
him tell him how much you hate. Him we love, you.
Guys thank you for hanging out with us. Here on
last call back, Tomorrow Aeriel, EPSTEIN i don't have the schedule,

(01:05:11):
open but we Know joanny The greek's gonna be there
And i'll find out who else for, you, guys have
a great. Day cash, them don't trash.

Speaker 2 (01:05:16):
Them