Looking for the best WNBA picks, predictions, and betting tips for Friday, August 1, 2025? Tune in to Profit Picks with expert handicappers Hakeem "Skee" Profit and Rob Veno as they preview today’s WNBA matchups with sharp insights and actionable advice.
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Episode Transcript
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Speaker 1 (00:00):
What's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. Yesterday another split day for myself. The under
best bet for the show was a winner and Mystics
minus one couldn't quite get there, so one in one
day yesterday. Bino wondering if you got there on anything.
(00:24):
Yesterday we did only have one game, and how you
doing today?
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Doing good? Ski Friday heavy card here five games did
not play yesterday, had NFL preseason to choose from Chargers
easy winner there and also a CFL game, but didn't
play anything yesterday. Probably should have been on that under
Golden State in Washington. We talked it out yesterday. It
seemed like a really solid play and it turned out
(00:50):
to be whenning. You know, eighteen point fourth quarters combined
will help Unders quite a bit. So that's what those
two teams put up. Was a little bit of a
playoff atmosphere for sure, and now Golden State owns that tiebreaker.
If they should tie at the end of the year,
it's going to be the Valkyrise in the playoffs and
not the Mystics.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Yeah. Still, uh, it's definitely going to be important down
the stretch for sure of that game, and Mystics had
a chance to win at the end but couldn't quite
get that bucket from Brittany Sykes. Big slate today, you know,
huge five games, So let's just get right into it.
First came up, we will go six, so oh nine,
(01:31):
six' ten always in rotation. Order New York Liberty versus
are heading Into. Connecticut they opened minus. Nine they're up
as high AS i see one minus twelve out, there
but a lot of eleven and a half total also
skyrocketed here from one sixty four and a, HALF i
see it as high as one seventy two and a.
(01:51):
Half injury report nobody there For connecticut for The, Liberty
kennedy Burd Are sadly And Breonna stewart all listed is.
Out the way The liberty have been playing defense, Lately,
rober you, KNOW i can understand why this total has.
(02:12):
SKYROCKETED i, mean the giving up ninety plus and three straight, games,
now does that mean it's going to. Continue i'm not saying,
that but that's what they've looked. Like if you're just
going off what they've looked. LIKE i do know after
that lost To. Dallas they had that team, meeting, right
AND i just listened to a lot of them, talking
whether it's that post game there or the post game
(02:34):
after The. LINKS i forget what twenty, was but in,
general or it was maybe pre game something like, that
but in general they're talking, about you, know you can't
keep coming out, here let teams putting up twenty seven
points on you in the first quarter and having to
play from behind all the. Time like they need to
fix whatever they're doing on. Defense so at some point
(02:56):
they will start to get it together on that. End
But connecticut has been playing. Well they do Have Marina maybry.
There will it be, Tonight, Robie, No, well.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
They've been playing much better, offense. RIGHT i think it's
for their last five eighty five points are more scored By.
Connecticut that doesn't mean they're adverse to giving them, up
because they've given up one hundred and one in two
of their last three and it's the worst defense in
the league. Statistically we know, that So New york probably
finds their way to a bunch of points if we
(03:28):
just go to logic school. Here the, ADDITION i know
you've talked about her a lot the last few. Days
But Emma miseman should be in the lineup tonight For New.
York probably means even a little more offense despite the.
INJURIES i, mean that's a good player to get. Back
we'll see how she comes out in her first game
here for The. Liberty but they have no trouble, scoring
(03:51):
so we totally can understand why this game would move
up so. Much congratulations to anybody who got that one
sixty four and a half, opener because you've got a
lot of closing line. Value, now we just did see
as we were talking Here, ski we saw a significant
drop a couple of, places went from one seventy three
right down to one seventy one and a. Half so
(04:11):
there was a little bit of take back. Here not
quite sure, why BUT i GUESS i could understand. Why
once it gets to be a nine point, move there's
gonna be some. TakeBack you can middle this game if
you choose to do. SO i don't know any which
way you could play other Dan. OVER i, Mean New
york's team total is. High it was like ninety, one
maybe ninety one and a half WHEN i looked earlier
(04:33):
The connecticut team total something maybe you could get to
at seventy nine and a, half eighty and a, half
it's all over the, place so shop that. One BUT
i have to say they priced me, out too afraid
to play, under not willing to play that high of
a number over even though LIKE i, Say connecticut scored
(04:54):
like crazy as of late and seemed to be playing
a Pretty it doesn't show up in the, numbers but
when you watch, them it looks like they're playing at
a higher, tempo like they don't mind grabbing a rebound
and going at this point in, Time so for, me
it would be a lean toward the over, here just
based on recent, play you, know for we're going off
of one of your favorite, guidelines last five, games we're
(05:18):
supposed to be on over one seventy one and a half,
here we'll. SEE i just thought it got to be
too high priced for me to bet it at this
point in.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Time, YEAH i, mean if you go off last five game,
STATS i can Understand liberty hard at number one. Pace
neither defense has been. Good but LIKE i, SAID i
just at what point are we going to buck this
this move? OVER i do think a focus for The
liberty from here going forward is on the defensive. End
(05:47):
after WHAT i heard them, say and like we just
mentioned them giving up so many, Points i'm looking. At
let me pull up a couple of things on the
screen here so we can all look. TOGETHER i just
Know i'm a visual, person SO i want to look
out for the people who are like. Me all, right
let's first get the moneyballer up. There did we see, That, Robbino,
(06:08):
no we. Don't, okay, boom now we see. It so
just looking here a little bit at the history they
did play And liberty absolutely Destroyed connecticut by almost. Fifty
but just liking when these teams play usually lower scoring,
games nothing close to one seventy at these last five,
(06:34):
meetings thinking that you know that hearing that focus for
The liberty on the defensive. End, now let me let
me pull this up BECAUSE i was actually typing something
in while you were, talking and it was really just
based on WHAT i said and what we were talking about.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
Here so.
Speaker 1 (06:52):
Boom, Boom AND i know now THAT i have to
come over and click it again to get it up.
There there you, go so pretty much with this is
saying road favorites who lost their last three, games and
they allowed ninety plus points in each of. Them three,
(07:13):
oh three and one ats four and oh to the under.
MAN i, mean this just makes so much sense to.
ME i, mean they were scoring those. Games we could
see some offensive regression from them as. Well and if
the focus is on the defensive, END i, mean after
you give up ninety, STRAIGHT i mean ninety and three
straight and you're the better, team you should this just
(07:35):
makes sense to. ME i, Mean i'm doing it like
HOW i do My System saturday. Show but you, know
you tell me what you think about. This, again road
favorites who lost their last three games in which they
allowed their opponents to score ninety, plus.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Especially AND i don't know how far you can narrow.
That if you could narrow it even, further, SKI i
Mean New york is an elite, team so maybe above
five hundred teams that have allowed ninety, plus there's not
going to be many in that sample size for, Sure
BUT i can see the angle that you're coming from.
THERE i, still And i've talked about it the last
couple of times we've talked about the. Liberty for, me
(08:13):
it's Not Brianna stewart on. Offense it's her, defense and
since she's been, out it's been, terrible not that it
was great prior to, that but they had given up
less than EIGHTY i, think four games, straight and now
since she's been, out they've been torched pretty good on the.
Defense Fan Natasha, cloud we thought might have been out
the other, night but she did play and they still
(08:34):
got lit up for a bunch of points By. Minnesota
SO i could understand the focus being on defensive side
of the. Floor whether or Not New york can execute
that is another story here Against, connecticut which is an
up and coming offensive, team and it's a bit to you,
know to add to your, Point, ski this is a
bit of a. RIVALRY i, mean The Connecticut New york
(08:56):
thing is a. Rivalry, Granted connecticut has been a different
style team this year and certainly a much different personnel
wise team this year than they have been in the
past or some of those older results we could, chuck
but there is a bit of a rivalry there between
these two which would lead you to believe maybe you
get a little more aggressive on the defensive. Side we'll.
(09:17):
SEE i don't have the guts to play it either,
way LIKE i, Say we'll see If New york can
do some adjusting here on.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
Defense we shall SEE i think that's WHEN i might
get to the window with might not be a huge,
play but still maybe a. Play, nonetheless all, right what
DO i do? Here messed up the? Screen here we.
Go let's go to the next, Game. Robbo that Is
(09:44):
Indiana fever Versus Dallas. Wings opened up minus three For indiana.
Fours pretty much everywhere there is a couple Of feurig
and a halves or a few four and a halves out.
There total open one sixty seven and another one that
is just skyrocketing all the way. Up i'm seeing one
seventy five as a consensus number right. Now as far
(10:06):
as who's, available there will be No Caitlyn clark in
this one For. Dallas maddie. SECRETS i, MEAN i could
see her out there. Tonight she's Been she's actually very
likely to play, now so we should see her out there.
Tonight one thing for a couple of things for, Me,
ACTUALLY i kind of have a lot to say about this,
(10:29):
game But i'll start hearing.
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Rov you, know.
Speaker 1 (10:34):
The wings are in a double revenge spot for The.
Fever the last the first picture that comes in my
mind WHEN i think of this game Is Kaitlyn clark
was like going off or, Whatever like you, know they're
running about like close to twenty and you know at
the end of the, game about to walk. Off she's
like enjoying, herself maybe talking some a little talking a
(10:57):
little bit of shit or, something you, know And becker
is just looking at her like, Like, okay we're gonna
get y'all. BACK i don't. KNOW i like the Way
dallas has been playing. Lately page has been playing well
Since Haley jones came over, There like they're a much
better team when she's on the. FLOOR i feel like
just from watching SO i like everything she's brought to the.
(11:18):
TABLE i Like dallas being at home. HERE i think
there's a chance for some regression From indiana coming off
of forty six per night from three Point land they
scored one hundred and something. POINTS i could see The
wings keeping this one, close if not winning here at the.
House so on with that, first how do you feel
about the side or if you don't have strong, feelings
(11:40):
maybe the.
Speaker 2 (11:40):
Total, WELL i like The dallas, side and you called it,
Regression i'll call it letdown For. Indiana they've won three.
Straight you walk in here as a, favorite like you
say you're beating the team. TWICE i just feel like
it just has the feel of a letdown spot For indiana,
somewhat and we Know dallas is going to, attack, attack.
Attack indiana is, very very. Good we've talked about it
(12:03):
a lot second chance, points that's one of their. Assets
But dallas again especially good themselves at crashing the offensive,
boards getting a lot of shots at the. Basket there's
TIMES i feel Where indiana's very vulnerable defensively at the,
rim So dallas might be able to take advantage. Here
the guard matchups actually could be really close in this.
(12:28):
Game tell you the. TRUTH i, mean If arrique has
a decent night shooting the, Basketball dallas can Their backcort
can out play, anybody and they're gonna push, pace there's no.
Question so it could be a.
Speaker 1 (12:37):
Game OF.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
I would, say runs scoring runs by each of these.
TEAMS i don't think either of them is that great.
Defensively it's why we see the big push towards the
over in the total one sixty seven all the way
after one seventy. Five indiana's off back to back games
where they've. Scored they've averaged one hundred points ninety three
and one oh seven the ninety three was scored Against
(13:00):
chicago Without Angel. Reese not hard to do. It it's
not hard to score ninety Against chicago in any game.
Anymore SO i don't know how much CREDENCE i put into.
That but they are on the road, now off a big,
game an important game With phoenix the other. Night you,
Know dallas is off the home loss the other, night
and it was kind of a heartbreaker Against. Atlanta Right
(13:21):
atlanta hits a THREE i don't want to say at the,
buzzer but pretty close to the. Buzzer so it was
a heartbreaking loss For. Dallas they played really, well and
before that they Beat New. York so to your point
about them playing better, lately certainly. TRUE i like them
plus the points here and it's another game where they
probably priced me out of. TOTAL i know the pace
(13:42):
is going to be. THERE i know both teams can,
score but you know at what, point like you, said
you're ask them both of these teams to get to eighty.
Eight it's not, impossible but you, know you got a
lot less wiggle room when you're betting over one seventy
FIVE us put it that W it's almost as if
somebody watched the games On, wednesday saw all those one
hundred and ninety two one hundred point games That i'm
not patting anything but overs with these teams. Anymore so we,
(14:05):
see we see a lot of movement. There But i'm
in agreement with. YOU i kind of like the underdog
at home in this.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
Game, WELL i am gonna shut. Out i'm not gonna
put everything on the. Screen but total, wise home dogs
and double double range spot same season are sixty three
point seven percent to the Under it is about one
hundred and eighty plays in that sample size goes back
(14:30):
to twenty, fourteen so that says Under BUT i can understand.
Why BUT i don't know that we trust these two
teams to play that much. Defense So i'm JUST i
personally don't think that one makes. Sense i'm not gonna
put that one. Up we'll take a look at this.
Though something for a side and a Total i'll put
up for you. Guys how about that and it applies
(14:51):
to another, Game we'll bring it back up for that game.
Too doing a little bit of sharing and talking it
out here, Today, Rabeno all, right here we. GO i
KNOW i have to double back and actually put it
on the. Screen there we, go so and let me
(15:11):
get back over. Here but this is saying pretty much
you're looking at road, favorites who road favorites after a
game where both teams scored one hundred, points like they
scored hundred point in their previous opponents scored one hundred.
Points that Is fever And. Wings LIKE i, said that's
also another game. Today but one in seven ats.
Speaker 2 (15:32):
Eight no to the.
Speaker 1 (15:33):
Over so we've already seen a big market move to
the over in this, one and that makes more. SENSE i,
mean with the way these two teams, play not really
the most trustworthy, defensively it's just can you really get
in after it's moved eight points kind of. Deal but
that support on the, SIDE i mean that makes sense. Too,
(15:54):
YEAH i think you, know the market is probably moving
in the right direction for the, total and we already
agree on the. Side but what do you think about this?
One you?
Speaker 2 (16:02):
Know, yeah you know It wings, games especially a matchup
between these two about impossible for me to play. Under
like you, say the only reason why you don't jump
at it at this point in time is because there's
been an eight point. Move but it makes a lot
of sense what you put up there as far as
the system or trend, goes so have a little backing
(16:24):
THAT i can't quite. TELL i see a one seventy
six finals, score a one eighty, two one eight. One
they're all going over the number, tonight aren't? They all
those things are better than one seventy?
Speaker 1 (16:38):
Five yeah they. Did the average total was one seventy
point eight and they went over by thirteen point six. Points.
Speaker 2 (16:44):
Ye, yeah it's pretty, strong pretty, strong all.
Speaker 1 (16:49):
Right so uh, yeah if you got in early on that,
one that was a good. Job and that Over and
there's b man right there said he did play over
one sixty. Seven he might middle did a great job
getting the best of that. Number i'll tell you. That
next game, Up, rob you know what you're gonna look
At mercury and dream this went to open up minus
(17:13):
one for The. Mercury they are now four or four
and a half point. Favorites total open one sixty two
and a, half and they got up as high as
one sixty seven and a. Half i'm seeing right now
injury report and let's just do a little. Refresh nobody
on there For. Phoenix For, atlanta we Know Ryan howard is,
(17:35):
Out Brittany griner has been rolled Out, Jordan canada is.
QUESTIONABLE i, mean we talked About atlanta and let me
just pull them back. Up they've been playing a lot
Of they've been traveling a. LOT i feel, like, yeah
they've traveled every. Game, wow they've traveled every. GAME i
(17:57):
mean this just goes back to the. Eleventh but, yeah
they've been traveling every game since the. Eleventh they are coming.
Off it is their third game in four. Nights, right
they did play that back to back Versus. Dallas they
had one day rest to come in and play this.
Game for The, mercury they've been on the road For
this will be their fourth straight on the, road and
(18:19):
it is a chance for them to get some. Revenge
last time these teams, Played atlanta beat them ninety to seventy,
nine and so The mercury have not been playing their
best basketball. Lately, robno but the, DREAM i feel like
the dream have to be running on. Fumes this is
(18:40):
one where you KNOW i did get in. EARLY i
got the money line at a better price than what
you can get right now for The. Mercury but, AGAIN
i Mean i'll put. That let's put this right back up, here,
RIGHT i, mean this trend says that you might not
want to lay the points with the mercury in the
same thing that you might not want to lay with the.
(19:02):
Fever So i'll give it to you on this, Game
i'll ask. You i'll show you this trend once again
and then ask you your thoughts on this. Game this
trend says over and to fade the mercury ats.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
WELL i feel you, know it's, Interesting ski because normally
you would be talking About phoenix being the fatigue. Team,
right fourth road game in a, Row they're going to
have a, Fifth they're going to Play chicago In chicago after.
This he'd be, Like, Man phoenix been on the road.
Forever it's four and eight. Days they've had a day,
off at least one day off in between all of their,
games so they've had a chance to. Rest but when
(19:40):
you get to The atlanta, schedule just the way you,
MENTIONED i, mean we talked about it the other night
when we Took Golden state plus. Points they had exhausted
themselves on that three game, trip fly all the way
back home to play one, game only to get on
a plane and fly right back out the next day
and play a road. Game win that road, game and
now come back home and Play. Fief you might want
(20:01):
to Think phoenix could Be atlanta's got to be even more.
Fatigued and add two that the personnel losses here and
the potential loss for a second straight game Of Jordan
canada on top of. IT i don't. KNOW i Played
phoenix in multiple ways in this. Game i'll give you
this number as far as the first half bit is,
Concerned phoenix's minus two and a half in the first
(20:21):
Half atlanta at home this season first half slow starters
three eight and one against the spread at. Home phoenix
has only been one in three first half their last four,
games but prior to that they were eight and two
and eighty percent first half. Covers so they lost their
way a little bit during this road. Trip but they're
(20:42):
one and two on the road trip right. Now AND
i just go back to the game Against washington the other.
Day they had lost their initial game on the road,
trip went To, washington got, behind and then smacked them
in the second half and won that. Game pretty easy
chance to get the two and two here on the road.
TRIP i think they should be motivated out of the
(21:03):
right off the opening tip. Here i'll say, this you
were talking earlier about this is what jogged my memory.
HERE i KNEW i had this quote About New york
maybe being focused on the defensive end after giving up
ninety plus and three straight. Games. Right here's What Phoenix
murcury head Coach Nate tibbets had to say about that same.
(21:23):
Thing he's had a problem with The phoenix. Defense after
the last. Game he, says you're not going to win
many games when you give up one hundred and seven.
Points that's not. Reliable we have to be more. Solid
you're also not going to win when you give up
thirty two points at the free throw. Line so the
head coach is actually making the point that there's going
to be some focus on defense here. TONIGHT i like
(21:44):
that as. Well for The phoenix, SIDE i think they
were a good first half. PLAY i think they were
a good full game. PLAY i think they were a
good team total play over eighty five and a half to.
Night it's a high scoring team against a fatigue team
without their rim protector In Brittany, griner with the revenge,
factor like you, said from the ninety to seventy nine
game where they kind of just went through the. Motions
(22:05):
atlanta's done a great. Job let's face, it Without Ryan
howard for this length of, time Without Jordan canada the other,
night Without grinder Of grinder only playing like thirteen minutes
the other. Night BUT i don't know that they can
get it done Here ski against a team that you,
KNOW i think it's pretty motivated to get the victory
in this. Game SO i Like phoenix in multiple ways.
(22:26):
Here LIKE i, say first, half full, game team, total
take your. CHOICE i like them.
Speaker 1 (22:29):
All, yeah the money line AND i just looked at.
IT i think it's what minus actually let me. See,
Yeah i'm saying like minus one eighty for them right,
now even the minus one ninety five out. There BUT
i did get minus one. Forty SO i like The
murcury to. Win and if you can't beat The, DREAM i,
Mean Ryan howard, Out grinder Out. Canada If canada's out,
(22:53):
TOO i mean we saw how they were just double
team And Lisha gray getting the ball out of her
hands Whenever alisha grad was not in the. Game we're
not having. Success if you can't win this, GAME i,
mean we got to ask some questions about This mercury.
Team so that's the WAY i see it, Today AND
i do think there could be point, score but, again
you probably want to single out The mercury team total
(23:15):
Like vino, did because you're. Missing if you're missing the starting,
Point guarden And grinder could be tough for The dream to.
Score all, Right next came up two more to go
And i'm, Starving Rob you KNOW i need to go
get something to. Eat six fifteen six Sixteen valkyries And
(23:38):
sky opened up minus five and a, half mostly five
and a half out there still for The, valkyries total
open one fifty six and a half seeing as low
as one fifty three and a. Half as far as injury,
report there will be No Angel, rees No Ariel. Atkins
(23:58):
looks Like haley van Led uzan And Onion warry are.
Questionable then for The, Valkyries maria c continues to be,
Out Santa lacini is. Questionable more. BUILDINGS i, mean this
can't be. CORRECT i need to. Refresh i'm pretty SURE
i just saw something saying a post saying she was,
(24:19):
Out but this site says she's very likely to, Play
so that's that's. Confusion, yeah She this one says she
missed last game due to the spring left ankle and
has been ruled out and will be reevaluated reevaluated in three.
Weeks So i'm pretty sure you got to make sure
these days are These it's not like one of those
(24:40):
prank accounts or. Something, now this is the real. Count
so The, valkyries The valkyries put that post. Up, Yeah
valkyries played last, Night. Raveno they squeaked out the. Wing
we talked about it as as bad as Guy i've
been Without Angel. REES i, mean it's still tough to
(25:04):
lay with The valkyris here on a back to back
lay with The valkyries in, general like they're more of
an underdog team to be expecting to win by multiple,
possessions missing a few key. Players, now it's just very
tough for me to bet this. Game i'm curious how
you're looking at.
Speaker 2 (25:23):
It, Well i'm going to tell you that being in
this industry as long As i've been in betting games
as long AS i, have you AND i talked off
there yesterday about one specific, thing how hard it is
to bet, overnights AND i just couldn't help. Myself SKI
(25:44):
i go right to the right to the app yesterday
afternoon and Bet Chicago Golden state over the total at
one fifty, six only to find out a few hours
later That Angel reese isn't, playing and so HERE i
am stuck with one fifty. Six it goes down hunt
one fifty. Three you just can't bet. Overnights the reasoning was.
(26:04):
SIMPLE i didn't put much thought into. It it's not
hard to score Against chicago at all. Anymore it'll be
even easier tonight Without Angel. Reees, actually And Golden state
defensively probably will not be the same team. TONIGHT i
think they exerted themselves on the floor last. Night It's
washington should be pretty much of an up and down
(26:25):
style Game chicago now Without angel Rees the PROBLEM i,
have of, course is that their offense goes right in
the tank when she can't. Facilitate they really don't have
any guards that can handle the. Basketball they turn it
over left and, right with that particular ticket owning that
particular ticket right, NOW i have to kind of hope
(26:47):
That Golden state really isn't aggressive defensively, tonight and Maybe
Rachel bannaman company can get hot and score their sure.
POINTS i still think it's going to be a very
lackadaisical defensive. Game but now you have to trust both
offenses that what's really still a low number one fifty.
THREE i don't, Know, Ski i'm stuck with a TICKET
(27:10):
i don't really. Like but what AM i gonna do?
NOW i gotta live with. It.
Speaker 1 (27:15):
Man first of, all shout out to my guy J
money and a chat appreciates you dropping. Through always good
to see. You and he says If Angel reese was,
in he'd have a heavy bed on the. Sky, YEAH
i can't blame you on. That i'm with. You reese
is The chicago sky in my. Mind but you, know you,
KNOW i got a lot of OR i have a
couple of systems that line up on the over for this.
(27:36):
Game but, man all they they Don't they don't include
the sky without. Injuries it doesn't.
Speaker 2 (27:44):
Matter give me some, Hope, ski it doesn't. Matter just
post those. Things, man, here you know, what here's what we.
DO i have two of.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
Them but we're going to do the simplest. One how about,
that and we'll see what we think They're so this
pretty much just says the past eleven, years Unrested rold
favorites first opponents who are well rested more than one day's,
(28:15):
rest ten and one to the over goes all the
way back to twenty and fourteen Or i'm, SORRY i
can't even see. This you can't even see.
Speaker 2 (28:22):
It, no BUT i can hear, it AND i like
the sound of ten and one.
Speaker 1 (28:26):
OVER i guess we'll just do the audio for. This, yeah, yeah,
man it says it says that these teams get over.
AGAIN i, Mean i'm looking at teams who are. Playing
they look a lot sex here like it happened two
times this, season but the teams who played Were Lynx, Verse,
Sparks Fever Vers, wings Not sky without angeuries and the
(28:51):
fact of.
Speaker 2 (28:51):
That but to be fair that those totals probably weren't
one fifty three. Either BUT i get your, points.
Speaker 1 (28:58):
Very, fair very very, fair none of. Them actually we're this.
Low this is the lowest total out of all of,
Them so maybe it's too. Low Hopefully robino can still
get there.
Speaker 2 (29:10):
If they can make it like A ymca, Game, skime
everybody just scores and nobody. Cares we do this.
Speaker 1 (29:18):
Well sky have had two days off to figure out
what they're gonna do on, Offense i'll tell you. That
And valcoum is playing on a second of a back
to back might not be the most locked in. Defensively
maybe there's some hope, There, robino all, right next game
and last, Game sparks And. Storm nobody on the injury.
(29:41):
Report i'll get that out right. Away and opened up
minus five and a half For seattle pretty. Much see
five's out, there total open one sixty, six AND i
see it as high as one sixty nine and a. Half,
Actually storm with the slight rest. Advantage The sparks have
been playing good. BASKETBALL i believe they won five in
(30:02):
a row before that last, loss and they've been really
scoring that Will this is, like this is like the opposites,
here the top offense lately vers probably one of the worst.
Offenses and then, Yeah i'm looking at last five, Games
So sparks actually after that last game are the number
(30:24):
two offensive rated team last five, games And storm are,
thirteenth which is dead. Last as far as defensive, Rating
storm number, One sparks number, twelve second. Worst so just
opposites in that. Regard so on that, Note, Rovino i'm
curious how you think this game is going to be
played the market things just an over, Game how do you?
Speaker 2 (30:47):
Feel, YEAH i played it that Way, ski simply for,
me a lot of it is bounced. BACK i watched
the way The sparks played the other, night and it
wasn't their typical recent offensive. Game they were terrible from
three point, range didn't do a lot. Offensively Las vegas
got out quickly in that, game and you, know The
(31:08):
sparks never really seemed to. Recover it's to, me it's
gonna be hard For seattle to slow The sparks. Down
AND i say that knowing that they just Played, connecticut
and to, me when you're comparing, defenses The sparks In
connecticut kind of fall into that same. Category they allow
points to be. Scored there's no question about. It the
(31:30):
one thing that slowed me down a little bit WAS
i was asking, myself how much better will The sparks
be With Cameron brink on defense? Now but she's still
going to be on a minute. Restriction it's only going
to be your second. GAME i don't know that she'll
have any major defensive impact right. Away that may come
down the road after she's got a few games under her.
Belt seattle should be able to score, easily SO i
don't think they'll slow it. Down The sparks will obviously
(31:51):
push and it's difficult for The seattle. Deepens you, know
the last three teams they, Played, Chicago, Washington connecticut at
this point in, time none of them make the. Playoffs
chicago And washington not that great of offensive. Teams connecticut
not that great, Either but they scored eighty five on,
them and prior to, That dallas had scored eighty seven On.
(32:11):
Seattle SO i don't. Know you, Know seattle seems to
be good defensively because they try to play the game.
Slow it's like the more time we can grind off the,
clock the better our defensive numbers can. LOOK i don't
know if that happens here AGAINST. LA i think it
gets over in my. Mind WHEN i ran through some
numbers THAT i, KEEP i came up with a final
of eighty eight eighty, three which was one seventy, one
(32:32):
and at the time WHEN i bet, it the number
was one sixty. Eight so here you still have a
little bit of wiggle. Room not much according to my,
numbers but you should be able to get there with an.
Speaker 1 (32:41):
Over not mad at. That you. KNOW i don't like
the Best sparks game, under that's for, Sure so you,
know thinking there would be some points scored in this.
Game this is probably my least favorite game of the. Day,
yeah so after the other four games all started at four.
Thirty after, THAT i.
Speaker 2 (32:59):
Can go home or continue on whatever you want to.
Speaker 1 (33:05):
Do unless they send. Me unless the first four games
send me to the, bar then that might be. Sticking all.
RIGHT i think we did a pretty solid job on
these five games for. Today now we're gonna move it
on over the best. BETS i don't have anything to put,
up but you, KNOW i know you've talked about THAT
(33:27):
nfl thing they have. Going if you want, to if
there's anything you would like to, promote feel. Free if
you have a best bet for the, show we'd love
to hear. It if you do, not all, good.
Speaker 2 (33:38):
Let me Help johnny and The detroit crew out, here
BECAUSE i know there is a brand New YEAH i.
Speaker 1 (33:47):
DIDN'T i didn't even look to put it, up so
that's my.
Speaker 2 (33:49):
Bad i'm gonna, YEAH i had to look this morning
to see what was. New but, basically what they're telling
you is they're going to give you three months thirteen weeks,
actually so three plus months for the price of. Two
so if you purchase the next two Months August september
you're gonna get all Of october and probably a little
(34:12):
Into november as, well which covers almost all the college football,
season a lot of THE nfl football. Season, Obviously Major League,
BASEBALL nba basketball will probably well it wouldn't have started by,
then it'll be, yes it, Will it'll start In. October
so you're gonna have a lot of things running here
at the same. Time so, again that's a long term. Deal,
(34:33):
basically in simple, form it's purchased the next two months
all access package and get three plus months thirteen weeks
for the price of. Two so find that over at
wager talk dot com and you're gonna get a lot of.
ACTIONS i, mean as far as we're, concerned these next
few months are the way these sports. Overlap are the
most action packed with games that you'll find throughout the.
(34:55):
Season best, BETS i have a LOT i could choose from, Here,
ski But i'll go back to THE Ta Poenix atlanta.
Game BUT i just Think phoenix is ready to play this,
game a lot more ready Than atlanta, is even though
it's their fourth road. GAME i Think phoenix will show.
Up i'm going to play them first half minus two
and a half in this. GAME i think they get
to it right out of the shoot when the first
half by. Three LIKE i, Said atlanta has been a
(35:17):
slow starter at home first half ats three eight and.
ONE i could see that continuing, here especially as they try,
to you, know Defend phoenix without Having Britney grinder in the.
Middle so give me that. One give Me phoenix first
half minus two and a.
Speaker 1 (35:31):
Half all, right good stuff for mister rob you, know,
yeah for, myself a lot to choose from your. Right
only made one, bet But i'm going to be making.
More i'm going to go with the first. Game we
talked About New york And. CONNECTICUT i think it has
gone too far open one sixty four and a. Half
(35:54):
now you can get a one seventy two and a.
Half the focus after you give not three straight ninety
plus and three straight has to be. Defense they talked about.
It they couldn't do it versus The, links who are
you top team in the. League but Versus connecticut they
absolutely can hold them. Down so just a combination of those.
(36:17):
Things thinking there could be some regression From New york as.
Well they've been scoring a lot even though they've been
giving up a. Lot So i'll go under one seventy
two and a half as my best bet for the. Show,
veino appreciate you taking the time to come catch these.
Games definitely helping out my. PROCESS i know you help
out the chat somebody in here said, earlier they Said
veno's the, Goat so we all appreciate.
Speaker 2 (36:39):
You chat.
Speaker 1 (36:40):
Room great. People we had ja money sliding through. Today
good to see, you. Bro we appreciate all of, you good,
people good. Cappers were all just trying to help each other.
Win everybody else out, There twitch, X, YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Spotify,
apple much love to you guys as. Well we appreciate
you rocking with us every. Day last show Until. Monday actually,
(37:03):
no there are no games just Coming, monday so looks
like it will Be tuesday with a four game. Slate
we'll be back for this, show so best of luck
on all your action until, then and we will catch
you On. Tuesday
What's up everybody. Welcome into another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. Yesterday another split day for myself. The under
best bet for the show was a winner and Mystics
minus one couldn't quite get there, so one in one
day yesterday. Bino wondering if you got there on anything.
(00:24):
Yesterday we did only have one game, and how you
doing today?
Speaker 2 (00:28):
Doing good? Ski Friday heavy card here five games did
not play yesterday, had NFL preseason to choose from Chargers
easy winner there and also a CFL game, but didn't
play anything yesterday. Probably should have been on that under
Golden State in Washington. We talked it out yesterday. It
seemed like a really solid play and it turned out
(00:50):
to be whenning. You know, eighteen point fourth quarters combined
will help Unders quite a bit. So that's what those
two teams put up. Was a little bit of a
playoff atmosphere for sure, and now Golden State owns that tiebreaker.
If they should tie at the end of the year,
it's going to be the Valkyrise in the playoffs and
not the Mystics.
Speaker 1 (01:09):
Yeah. Still, uh, it's definitely going to be important down
the stretch for sure of that game, and Mystics had
a chance to win at the end but couldn't quite
get that bucket from Brittany Sykes. Big slate today, you know,
huge five games, So let's just get right into it.
First came up, we will go six, so oh nine,
(01:31):
six' ten always in rotation. Order New York Liberty versus
are heading Into. Connecticut they opened minus. Nine they're up
as high AS i see one minus twelve out, there
but a lot of eleven and a half total also
skyrocketed here from one sixty four and a, HALF i
see it as high as one seventy two and a.
(01:51):
Half injury report nobody there For connecticut for The, Liberty
kennedy Burd Are sadly And Breonna stewart all listed is.
Out the way The liberty have been playing defense, Lately,
rober you, KNOW i can understand why this total has.
(02:12):
SKYROCKETED i, mean the giving up ninety plus and three straight, games,
now does that mean it's going to. Continue i'm not saying,
that but that's what they've looked. Like if you're just
going off what they've looked. LIKE i do know after
that lost To. Dallas they had that team, meeting, right
AND i just listened to a lot of them, talking
whether it's that post game there or the post game
(02:34):
after The. LINKS i forget what twenty, was but in,
general or it was maybe pre game something like, that
but in general they're talking, about you, know you can't
keep coming out, here let teams putting up twenty seven
points on you in the first quarter and having to
play from behind all the. Time like they need to
fix whatever they're doing on. Defense so at some point
(02:56):
they will start to get it together on that. End
But connecticut has been playing. Well they do Have Marina maybry.
There will it be, Tonight, Robie, No, well.
Speaker 2 (03:08):
They've been playing much better, offense. RIGHT i think it's
for their last five eighty five points are more scored By.
Connecticut that doesn't mean they're adverse to giving them, up
because they've given up one hundred and one in two
of their last three and it's the worst defense in
the league. Statistically we know, that So New york probably
finds their way to a bunch of points if we
(03:28):
just go to logic school. Here the, ADDITION i know
you've talked about her a lot the last few. Days
But Emma miseman should be in the lineup tonight For New.
York probably means even a little more offense despite the.
INJURIES i, mean that's a good player to get. Back
we'll see how she comes out in her first game
here for The. Liberty but they have no trouble, scoring
(03:51):
so we totally can understand why this game would move
up so. Much congratulations to anybody who got that one
sixty four and a half, opener because you've got a
lot of closing line. Value, now we just did see
as we were talking Here, ski we saw a significant
drop a couple of, places went from one seventy three
right down to one seventy one and a. Half so
(04:11):
there was a little bit of take back. Here not
quite sure, why BUT i GUESS i could understand. Why
once it gets to be a nine point, move there's
gonna be some. TakeBack you can middle this game if
you choose to do. SO i don't know any which
way you could play other Dan. OVER i, Mean New
york's team total is. High it was like ninety, one
maybe ninety one and a half WHEN i looked earlier
(04:33):
The connecticut team total something maybe you could get to
at seventy nine and a, half eighty and a, half
it's all over the, place so shop that. One BUT
i have to say they priced me, out too afraid
to play, under not willing to play that high of
a number over even though LIKE i, Say connecticut scored
(04:54):
like crazy as of late and seemed to be playing
a Pretty it doesn't show up in the, numbers but
when you watch, them it looks like they're playing at
a higher, tempo like they don't mind grabbing a rebound
and going at this point in, Time so for, me
it would be a lean toward the over, here just
based on recent, play you, know for we're going off
of one of your favorite, guidelines last five, games we're
(05:18):
supposed to be on over one seventy one and a half,
here we'll. SEE i just thought it got to be
too high priced for me to bet it at this
point in.
Speaker 1 (05:24):
Time, YEAH i, mean if you go off last five game,
STATS i can Understand liberty hard at number one. Pace
neither defense has been. Good but LIKE i, SAID i
just at what point are we going to buck this
this move? OVER i do think a focus for The
liberty from here going forward is on the defensive. End
(05:47):
after WHAT i heard them, say and like we just
mentioned them giving up so many, Points i'm looking. At
let me pull up a couple of things on the
screen here so we can all look. TOGETHER i just
Know i'm a visual, person SO i want to look
out for the people who are like. Me all, right
let's first get the moneyballer up. There did we see, That, Robbino,
(06:08):
no we. Don't, okay, boom now we see. It so
just looking here a little bit at the history they
did play And liberty absolutely Destroyed connecticut by almost. Fifty
but just liking when these teams play usually lower scoring,
games nothing close to one seventy at these last five,
(06:34):
meetings thinking that you know that hearing that focus for
The liberty on the defensive. End, now let me let
me pull this up BECAUSE i was actually typing something
in while you were, talking and it was really just
based on WHAT i said and what we were talking about.
Speaker 2 (06:50):
Here so.
Speaker 1 (06:52):
Boom, Boom AND i know now THAT i have to
come over and click it again to get it up.
There there you, go so pretty much with this is
saying road favorites who lost their last three, games and
they allowed ninety plus points in each of. Them three,
(07:13):
oh three and one ats four and oh to the under.
MAN i, mean this just makes so much sense to.
ME i, mean they were scoring those. Games we could
see some offensive regression from them as. Well and if
the focus is on the defensive, END i, mean after
you give up ninety, STRAIGHT i mean ninety and three
straight and you're the better, team you should this just
(07:35):
makes sense to. ME i, Mean i'm doing it like
HOW i do My System saturday. Show but you, know
you tell me what you think about. This, again road
favorites who lost their last three games in which they
allowed their opponents to score ninety, plus.
Speaker 2 (07:50):
Especially AND i don't know how far you can narrow.
That if you could narrow it even, further, SKI i
Mean New york is an elite, team so maybe above
five hundred teams that have allowed ninety, plus there's not
going to be many in that sample size for, Sure
BUT i can see the angle that you're coming from.
THERE i, still And i've talked about it the last
couple of times we've talked about the. Liberty for, me
(08:13):
it's Not Brianna stewart on. Offense it's her, defense and
since she's been, out it's been, terrible not that it
was great prior to, that but they had given up
less than EIGHTY i, think four games, straight and now
since she's been, out they've been torched pretty good on the.
Defense Fan Natasha, cloud we thought might have been out
the other, night but she did play and they still
(08:34):
got lit up for a bunch of points By. Minnesota
SO i could understand the focus being on defensive side
of the. Floor whether or Not New york can execute
that is another story here Against, connecticut which is an
up and coming offensive, team and it's a bit to you,
know to add to your, Point, ski this is a
bit of a. RIVALRY i, mean The Connecticut New york
(08:56):
thing is a. Rivalry, Granted connecticut has been a different
style team this year and certainly a much different personnel
wise team this year than they have been in the
past or some of those older results we could, chuck
but there is a bit of a rivalry there between
these two which would lead you to believe maybe you
get a little more aggressive on the defensive. Side we'll.
(09:17):
SEE i don't have the guts to play it either,
way LIKE i, Say we'll see If New york can
do some adjusting here on.
Speaker 1 (09:24):
Defense we shall SEE i think that's WHEN i might
get to the window with might not be a huge,
play but still maybe a. Play, nonetheless all, right what
DO i do? Here messed up the? Screen here we.
Go let's go to the next, Game. Robbo that Is
(09:44):
Indiana fever Versus Dallas. Wings opened up minus three For indiana.
Fours pretty much everywhere there is a couple Of feurig
and a halves or a few four and a halves out.
There total open one sixty seven and another one that
is just skyrocketing all the way. Up i'm seeing one
seventy five as a consensus number right. Now as far
(10:06):
as who's, available there will be No Caitlyn clark in
this one For. Dallas maddie. SECRETS i, MEAN i could
see her out there. Tonight she's Been she's actually very
likely to play, now so we should see her out there.
Tonight one thing for a couple of things for, Me,
ACTUALLY i kind of have a lot to say about this,
(10:29):
game But i'll start hearing.
Speaker 2 (10:31):
Rov you, know.
Speaker 1 (10:34):
The wings are in a double revenge spot for The.
Fever the last the first picture that comes in my
mind WHEN i think of this game Is Kaitlyn clark
was like going off or, Whatever like you, know they're
running about like close to twenty and you know at
the end of the, game about to walk. Off she's
like enjoying, herself maybe talking some a little talking a
(10:57):
little bit of shit or, something you, know And becker
is just looking at her like, Like, okay we're gonna
get y'all. BACK i don't. KNOW i like the Way
dallas has been playing. Lately page has been playing well
Since Haley jones came over, There like they're a much
better team when she's on the. FLOOR i feel like
just from watching SO i like everything she's brought to the.
(11:18):
TABLE i Like dallas being at home. HERE i think
there's a chance for some regression From indiana coming off
of forty six per night from three Point land they
scored one hundred and something. POINTS i could see The
wings keeping this one, close if not winning here at the.
House so on with that, first how do you feel
about the side or if you don't have strong, feelings
(11:40):
maybe the.
Speaker 2 (11:40):
Total, WELL i like The dallas, side and you called it,
Regression i'll call it letdown For. Indiana they've won three.
Straight you walk in here as a, favorite like you
say you're beating the team. TWICE i just feel like
it just has the feel of a letdown spot For indiana,
somewhat and we Know dallas is going to, attack, attack.
Attack indiana is, very very. Good we've talked about it
(12:03):
a lot second chance, points that's one of their. Assets
But dallas again especially good themselves at crashing the offensive,
boards getting a lot of shots at the. Basket there's
TIMES i feel Where indiana's very vulnerable defensively at the,
rim So dallas might be able to take advantage. Here
the guard matchups actually could be really close in this.
(12:28):
Game tell you the. TRUTH i, mean If arrique has
a decent night shooting the, Basketball dallas can Their backcort
can out play, anybody and they're gonna push, pace there's no.
Question so it could be a.
Speaker 1 (12:37):
Game OF.
Speaker 2 (12:39):
I would, say runs scoring runs by each of these.
TEAMS i don't think either of them is that great.
Defensively it's why we see the big push towards the
over in the total one sixty seven all the way
after one seventy. Five indiana's off back to back games
where they've. Scored they've averaged one hundred points ninety three
and one oh seven the ninety three was scored Against
(13:00):
chicago Without Angel. Reese not hard to do. It it's
not hard to score ninety Against chicago in any game.
Anymore SO i don't know how much CREDENCE i put into.
That but they are on the road, now off a big,
game an important game With phoenix the other. Night you,
Know dallas is off the home loss the other, night
and it was kind of a heartbreaker Against. Atlanta Right
(13:21):
atlanta hits a THREE i don't want to say at the,
buzzer but pretty close to the. Buzzer so it was
a heartbreaking loss For. Dallas they played really, well and
before that they Beat New. York so to your point
about them playing better, lately certainly. TRUE i like them
plus the points here and it's another game where they
probably priced me out of. TOTAL i know the pace
(13:42):
is going to be. THERE i know both teams can,
score but you know at what, point like you, said
you're ask them both of these teams to get to eighty.
Eight it's not, impossible but you, know you got a
lot less wiggle room when you're betting over one seventy
FIVE us put it that W it's almost as if
somebody watched the games On, wednesday saw all those one
hundred and ninety two one hundred point games That i'm
not patting anything but overs with these teams. Anymore so we,
(14:05):
see we see a lot of movement. There But i'm
in agreement with. YOU i kind of like the underdog
at home in this.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
Game, WELL i am gonna shut. Out i'm not gonna
put everything on the. Screen but total, wise home dogs
and double double range spot same season are sixty three
point seven percent to the Under it is about one
hundred and eighty plays in that sample size goes back
(14:30):
to twenty, fourteen so that says Under BUT i can understand.
Why BUT i don't know that we trust these two
teams to play that much. Defense So i'm JUST i
personally don't think that one makes. Sense i'm not gonna
put that one. Up we'll take a look at this.
Though something for a side and a Total i'll put
up for you. Guys how about that and it applies
(14:51):
to another, Game we'll bring it back up for that game.
Too doing a little bit of sharing and talking it
out here, Today, Rabeno all, right here we. GO i
KNOW i have to double back and actually put it
on the. Screen there we, go so and let me
(15:11):
get back over. Here but this is saying pretty much
you're looking at road, favorites who road favorites after a
game where both teams scored one hundred, points like they
scored hundred point in their previous opponents scored one hundred.
Points that Is fever And. Wings LIKE i, said that's
also another game. Today but one in seven ats.
Speaker 2 (15:32):
Eight no to the.
Speaker 1 (15:33):
Over so we've already seen a big market move to
the over in this, one and that makes more. SENSE i,
mean with the way these two teams, play not really
the most trustworthy, defensively it's just can you really get
in after it's moved eight points kind of. Deal but
that support on the, SIDE i mean that makes sense. Too,
(15:54):
YEAH i think you, know the market is probably moving
in the right direction for the, total and we already
agree on the. Side but what do you think about this?
One you?
Speaker 2 (16:02):
Know, yeah you know It wings, games especially a matchup
between these two about impossible for me to play. Under
like you, say the only reason why you don't jump
at it at this point in time is because there's
been an eight point. Move but it makes a lot
of sense what you put up there as far as
the system or trend, goes so have a little backing
(16:24):
THAT i can't quite. TELL i see a one seventy
six finals, score a one eighty, two one eight. One
they're all going over the number, tonight aren't? They all
those things are better than one seventy?
Speaker 1 (16:38):
Five yeah they. Did the average total was one seventy
point eight and they went over by thirteen point six. Points.
Speaker 2 (16:44):
Ye, yeah it's pretty, strong pretty, strong all.
Speaker 1 (16:49):
Right so uh, yeah if you got in early on that,
one that was a good. Job and that Over and
there's b man right there said he did play over
one sixty. Seven he might middle did a great job
getting the best of that. Number i'll tell you. That
next game, Up, rob you know what you're gonna look
At mercury and dream this went to open up minus
(17:13):
one for The. Mercury they are now four or four
and a half point. Favorites total open one sixty two
and a, half and they got up as high as
one sixty seven and a. Half i'm seeing right now
injury report and let's just do a little. Refresh nobody
on there For. Phoenix For, atlanta we Know Ryan howard is,
(17:35):
Out Brittany griner has been rolled Out, Jordan canada is.
QUESTIONABLE i, mean we talked About atlanta and let me
just pull them back. Up they've been playing a lot
Of they've been traveling a. LOT i feel, like, yeah
they've traveled every. Game, wow they've traveled every. GAME i
(17:57):
mean this just goes back to the. Eleventh but, yeah
they've been traveling every game since the. Eleventh they are coming.
Off it is their third game in four. Nights, right
they did play that back to back Versus. Dallas they
had one day rest to come in and play this.
Game for The, mercury they've been on the road For
this will be their fourth straight on the, road and
(18:19):
it is a chance for them to get some. Revenge
last time these teams, Played atlanta beat them ninety to seventy,
nine and so The mercury have not been playing their
best basketball. Lately, robno but the, DREAM i feel like
the dream have to be running on. Fumes this is
(18:40):
one where you KNOW i did get in. EARLY i
got the money line at a better price than what
you can get right now for The. Mercury but, AGAIN
i Mean i'll put. That let's put this right back up, here,
RIGHT i, mean this trend says that you might not
want to lay the points with the mercury in the
same thing that you might not want to lay with the.
(19:02):
Fever So i'll give it to you on this, Game
i'll ask. You i'll show you this trend once again
and then ask you your thoughts on this. Game this
trend says over and to fade the mercury ats.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
WELL i feel you, know it's, Interesting ski because normally
you would be talking About phoenix being the fatigue. Team,
right fourth road game in a, Row they're going to
have a, Fifth they're going to Play chicago In chicago after.
This he'd be, Like, Man phoenix been on the road.
Forever it's four and eight. Days they've had a day,
off at least one day off in between all of their,
games so they've had a chance to. Rest but when
(19:40):
you get to The atlanta, schedule just the way you,
MENTIONED i, mean we talked about it the other night
when we Took Golden state plus. Points they had exhausted
themselves on that three game, trip fly all the way
back home to play one, game only to get on
a plane and fly right back out the next day
and play a road. Game win that road, game and
now come back home and Play. Fief you might want
(20:01):
to Think phoenix could Be atlanta's got to be even more.
Fatigued and add two that the personnel losses here and
the potential loss for a second straight game Of Jordan
canada on top of. IT i don't. KNOW i Played
phoenix in multiple ways in this. Game i'll give you
this number as far as the first half bit is,
Concerned phoenix's minus two and a half in the first
(20:21):
Half atlanta at home this season first half slow starters
three eight and one against the spread at. Home phoenix
has only been one in three first half their last four,
games but prior to that they were eight and two
and eighty percent first half. Covers so they lost their
way a little bit during this road. Trip but they're
(20:42):
one and two on the road trip right. Now AND
i just go back to the game Against washington the other.
Day they had lost their initial game on the road,
trip went To, washington got, behind and then smacked them
in the second half and won that. Game pretty easy
chance to get the two and two here on the road.
TRIP i think they should be motivated out of the
(21:03):
right off the opening tip. Here i'll say, this you
were talking earlier about this is what jogged my memory.
HERE i KNEW i had this quote About New york
maybe being focused on the defensive end after giving up
ninety plus and three straight. Games. Right here's What Phoenix
murcury head Coach Nate tibbets had to say about that same.
(21:23):
Thing he's had a problem with The phoenix. Defense after
the last. Game he, says you're not going to win
many games when you give up one hundred and seven.
Points that's not. Reliable we have to be more. Solid
you're also not going to win when you give up
thirty two points at the free throw. Line so the
head coach is actually making the point that there's going
to be some focus on defense here. TONIGHT i like
(21:44):
that as. Well for The phoenix, SIDE i think they
were a good first half. PLAY i think they were
a good full game. PLAY i think they were a
good team total play over eighty five and a half to.
Night it's a high scoring team against a fatigue team
without their rim protector In Brittany, griner with the revenge,
factor like you, said from the ninety to seventy nine
game where they kind of just went through the. Motions
(22:05):
atlanta's done a great. Job let's face, it Without Ryan
howard for this length of, time Without Jordan canada the other,
night Without grinder Of grinder only playing like thirteen minutes
the other. Night BUT i don't know that they can
get it done Here ski against a team that you,
KNOW i think it's pretty motivated to get the victory
in this. Game SO i Like phoenix in multiple ways.
(22:26):
Here LIKE i, say first, half full, game team, total
take your. CHOICE i like them.
Speaker 1 (22:29):
All, yeah the money line AND i just looked at.
IT i think it's what minus actually let me. See,
Yeah i'm saying like minus one eighty for them right,
now even the minus one ninety five out. There BUT
i did get minus one. Forty SO i like The
murcury to. Win and if you can't beat The, DREAM i,
Mean Ryan howard, Out grinder Out. Canada If canada's out,
(22:53):
TOO i mean we saw how they were just double
team And Lisha gray getting the ball out of her
hands Whenever alisha grad was not in the. Game we're
not having. Success if you can't win this, GAME i,
mean we got to ask some questions about This mercury.
Team so that's the WAY i see it, Today AND
i do think there could be point, score but, again
you probably want to single out The mercury team total
(23:15):
Like vino, did because you're. Missing if you're missing the starting,
Point guarden And grinder could be tough for The dream to.
Score all, Right next came up two more to go
And i'm, Starving Rob you KNOW i need to go
get something to. Eat six fifteen six Sixteen valkyries And
(23:38):
sky opened up minus five and a, half mostly five
and a half out there still for The, valkyries total
open one fifty six and a half seeing as low
as one fifty three and a. Half as far as injury,
report there will be No Angel, rees No Ariel. Atkins
(23:58):
looks Like haley van Led uzan And Onion warry are.
Questionable then for The, Valkyries maria c continues to be,
Out Santa lacini is. Questionable more. BUILDINGS i, mean this
can't be. CORRECT i need to. Refresh i'm pretty SURE
i just saw something saying a post saying she was,
(24:19):
Out but this site says she's very likely to, Play
so that's that's. Confusion, yeah She this one says she
missed last game due to the spring left ankle and
has been ruled out and will be reevaluated reevaluated in three.
Weeks So i'm pretty sure you got to make sure
these days are These it's not like one of those
(24:40):
prank accounts or. Something, now this is the real. Count
so The, valkyries The valkyries put that post. Up, Yeah
valkyries played last, Night. Raveno they squeaked out the. Wing
we talked about it as as bad as Guy i've
been Without Angel. REES i, mean it's still tough to
(25:04):
lay with The valkyris here on a back to back
lay with The valkyries in, general like they're more of
an underdog team to be expecting to win by multiple,
possessions missing a few key. Players, now it's just very
tough for me to bet this. Game i'm curious how
you're looking at.
Speaker 2 (25:23):
It, Well i'm going to tell you that being in
this industry as long As i've been in betting games
as long AS i, have you AND i talked off
there yesterday about one specific, thing how hard it is
to bet, overnights AND i just couldn't help. Myself SKI
(25:44):
i go right to the right to the app yesterday
afternoon and Bet Chicago Golden state over the total at
one fifty, six only to find out a few hours
later That Angel reese isn't, playing and so HERE i
am stuck with one fifty. Six it goes down hunt
one fifty. Three you just can't bet. Overnights the reasoning was.
(26:04):
SIMPLE i didn't put much thought into. It it's not
hard to score Against chicago at all. Anymore it'll be
even easier tonight Without Angel. Reees, actually And Golden state
defensively probably will not be the same team. TONIGHT i
think they exerted themselves on the floor last. Night It's
washington should be pretty much of an up and down
(26:25):
style Game chicago now Without angel Rees the PROBLEM i,
have of, course is that their offense goes right in
the tank when she can't. Facilitate they really don't have
any guards that can handle the. Basketball they turn it
over left and, right with that particular ticket owning that
particular ticket right, NOW i have to kind of hope
(26:47):
That Golden state really isn't aggressive defensively, tonight and Maybe
Rachel bannaman company can get hot and score their sure.
POINTS i still think it's going to be a very
lackadaisical defensive. Game but now you have to trust both
offenses that what's really still a low number one fifty.
THREE i don't, Know, Ski i'm stuck with a TICKET
(27:10):
i don't really. Like but what AM i gonna do?
NOW i gotta live with. It.
Speaker 1 (27:15):
Man first of, all shout out to my guy J
money and a chat appreciates you dropping. Through always good
to see. You and he says If Angel reese was,
in he'd have a heavy bed on the. Sky, YEAH
i can't blame you on. That i'm with. You reese
is The chicago sky in my. Mind but you, know you,
KNOW i got a lot of OR i have a
couple of systems that line up on the over for this.
(27:36):
Game but, man all they they Don't they don't include
the sky without. Injuries it doesn't.
Speaker 2 (27:44):
Matter give me some, Hope, ski it doesn't. Matter just
post those. Things, man, here you know, what here's what we.
DO i have two of.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
Them but we're going to do the simplest. One how about,
that and we'll see what we think They're so this
pretty much just says the past eleven, years Unrested rold
favorites first opponents who are well rested more than one day's,
(28:15):
rest ten and one to the over goes all the
way back to twenty and fourteen Or i'm, SORRY i
can't even see. This you can't even see.
Speaker 2 (28:22):
It, no BUT i can hear, it AND i like
the sound of ten and one.
Speaker 1 (28:26):
OVER i guess we'll just do the audio for. This, yeah, yeah,
man it says it says that these teams get over.
AGAIN i, Mean i'm looking at teams who are. Playing
they look a lot sex here like it happened two
times this, season but the teams who played Were Lynx, Verse,
Sparks Fever Vers, wings Not sky without angeuries and the
(28:51):
fact of.
Speaker 2 (28:51):
That but to be fair that those totals probably weren't
one fifty three. Either BUT i get your, points.
Speaker 1 (28:58):
Very, fair very very, fair none of. Them actually we're this.
Low this is the lowest total out of all of,
Them so maybe it's too. Low Hopefully robino can still
get there.
Speaker 2 (29:10):
If they can make it like A ymca, Game, skime
everybody just scores and nobody. Cares we do this.
Speaker 1 (29:18):
Well sky have had two days off to figure out
what they're gonna do on, Offense i'll tell you. That
And valcoum is playing on a second of a back
to back might not be the most locked in. Defensively
maybe there's some hope, There, robino all, right next game
and last, Game sparks And. Storm nobody on the injury.
(29:41):
Report i'll get that out right. Away and opened up
minus five and a half For seattle pretty. Much see
five's out, there total open one sixty, six AND i
see it as high as one sixty nine and a. Half,
Actually storm with the slight rest. Advantage The sparks have
been playing good. BASKETBALL i believe they won five in
(30:02):
a row before that last, loss and they've been really
scoring that Will this is, like this is like the opposites,
here the top offense lately vers probably one of the worst.
Offenses and then, Yeah i'm looking at last five, Games
So sparks actually after that last game are the number
(30:24):
two offensive rated team last five, games And storm are,
thirteenth which is dead. Last as far as defensive, Rating
storm number, One sparks number, twelve second. Worst so just
opposites in that. Regard so on that, Note, Rovino i'm
curious how you think this game is going to be
played the market things just an over, Game how do you?
Speaker 2 (30:47):
Feel, YEAH i played it that Way, ski simply for,
me a lot of it is bounced. BACK i watched
the way The sparks played the other, night and it
wasn't their typical recent offensive. Game they were terrible from
three point, range didn't do a lot. Offensively Las vegas
got out quickly in that, game and you, know The
(31:08):
sparks never really seemed to. Recover it's to, me it's
gonna be hard For seattle to slow The sparks. Down
AND i say that knowing that they just Played, connecticut
and to, me when you're comparing, defenses The sparks In
connecticut kind of fall into that same. Category they allow
points to be. Scored there's no question about. It the
(31:30):
one thing that slowed me down a little bit WAS
i was asking, myself how much better will The sparks
be With Cameron brink on defense? Now but she's still
going to be on a minute. Restriction it's only going
to be your second. GAME i don't know that she'll
have any major defensive impact right. Away that may come
down the road after she's got a few games under her.
Belt seattle should be able to score, easily SO i
don't think they'll slow it. Down The sparks will obviously
(31:51):
push and it's difficult for The seattle. Deepens you, know
the last three teams they, Played, Chicago, Washington connecticut at
this point in, time none of them make the. Playoffs
chicago And washington not that great of offensive. Teams connecticut
not that great, Either but they scored eighty five on,
them and prior to, That dallas had scored eighty seven On.
(32:11):
Seattle SO i don't. Know you, Know seattle seems to
be good defensively because they try to play the game.
Slow it's like the more time we can grind off the,
clock the better our defensive numbers can. LOOK i don't
know if that happens here AGAINST. LA i think it
gets over in my. Mind WHEN i ran through some
numbers THAT i, KEEP i came up with a final
of eighty eight eighty, three which was one seventy, one
(32:32):
and at the time WHEN i bet, it the number
was one sixty. Eight so here you still have a
little bit of wiggle. Room not much according to my,
numbers but you should be able to get there with an.
Speaker 1 (32:41):
Over not mad at. That you. KNOW i don't like
the Best sparks game, under that's for, Sure so you,
know thinking there would be some points scored in this.
Game this is probably my least favorite game of the. Day,
yeah so after the other four games all started at four.
Thirty after, THAT i.
Speaker 2 (32:59):
Can go home or continue on whatever you want to.
Speaker 1 (33:05):
Do unless they send. Me unless the first four games
send me to the, bar then that might be. Sticking all.
RIGHT i think we did a pretty solid job on
these five games for. Today now we're gonna move it
on over the best. BETS i don't have anything to put,
up but you, KNOW i know you've talked about THAT
(33:27):
nfl thing they have. Going if you want, to if
there's anything you would like to, promote feel. Free if
you have a best bet for the, show we'd love
to hear. It if you do, not all, good.
Speaker 2 (33:38):
Let me Help johnny and The detroit crew out, here
BECAUSE i know there is a brand New YEAH i.
Speaker 1 (33:47):
DIDN'T i didn't even look to put it, up so
that's my.
Speaker 2 (33:49):
Bad i'm gonna, YEAH i had to look this morning
to see what was. New but, basically what they're telling
you is they're going to give you three months thirteen weeks,
actually so three plus months for the price of. Two
so if you purchase the next two Months August september
you're gonna get all Of october and probably a little
(34:12):
Into november as, well which covers almost all the college football,
season a lot of THE nfl football. Season, Obviously Major League,
BASEBALL nba basketball will probably well it wouldn't have started by,
then it'll be, yes it, Will it'll start In. October
so you're gonna have a lot of things running here
at the same. Time so, again that's a long term. Deal,
(34:33):
basically in simple, form it's purchased the next two months
all access package and get three plus months thirteen weeks
for the price of. Two so find that over at
wager talk dot com and you're gonna get a lot of.
ACTIONS i, mean as far as we're, concerned these next
few months are the way these sports. Overlap are the
most action packed with games that you'll find throughout the.
(34:55):
Season best, BETS i have a LOT i could choose from, Here,
ski But i'll go back to THE Ta Poenix atlanta.
Game BUT i just Think phoenix is ready to play this,
game a lot more ready Than atlanta, is even though
it's their fourth road. GAME i Think phoenix will show.
Up i'm going to play them first half minus two
and a half in this. GAME i think they get
to it right out of the shoot when the first
half by. Three LIKE i, Said atlanta has been a
(35:17):
slow starter at home first half ats three eight and.
ONE i could see that continuing, here especially as they try,
to you, know Defend phoenix without Having Britney grinder in the.
Middle so give me that. One give Me phoenix first
half minus two and a.
Speaker 1 (35:31):
Half all, right good stuff for mister rob you, know,
yeah for, myself a lot to choose from your. Right
only made one, bet But i'm going to be making.
More i'm going to go with the first. Game we
talked About New york And. CONNECTICUT i think it has
gone too far open one sixty four and a. Half
(35:54):
now you can get a one seventy two and a.
Half the focus after you give not three straight ninety
plus and three straight has to be. Defense they talked about.
It they couldn't do it versus The, links who are
you top team in the. League but Versus connecticut they
absolutely can hold them. Down so just a combination of those.
(36:17):
Things thinking there could be some regression From New york as.
Well they've been scoring a lot even though they've been
giving up a. Lot So i'll go under one seventy
two and a half as my best bet for the. Show,
veino appreciate you taking the time to come catch these.
Games definitely helping out my. PROCESS i know you help
out the chat somebody in here said, earlier they Said
veno's the, Goat so we all appreciate.
Speaker 2 (36:39):
You chat.
Speaker 1 (36:40):
Room great. People we had ja money sliding through. Today
good to see, you. Bro we appreciate all of, you good,
people good. Cappers were all just trying to help each other.
Win everybody else out, There twitch, X, YouTube, Shorts, Kick, Spotify,
apple much love to you guys as. Well we appreciate
you rocking with us every. Day last show Until. Monday actually,
(37:03):
no there are no games just Coming, monday so looks
like it will Be tuesday with a four game. Slate
we'll be back for this, show so best of luck
on all your action until, then and we will catch
you On. Tuesday
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