August 5, 2025 • 39 mins
Looking for the best WNBA picks, predictions, and betting tips for Tuesday, August 5, 2025? Tune in to Profit Picks with expert handicappers Hakeem "Skee" Profit and Rob Veno as they preview today’s WNBA matchups with sharp insights and actionable advice.
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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:02):
What's up everybody? Welcome back to another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. We didn't have any show yesterday, didn't have
any show over the weekend. There wasn't even any WNBA
on the slate for yesterday. That's why we did not
have a show. But so I guess there's not really
anything to talk about. It is good to be back
here today. We have a nice five game slate to
(00:25):
look at, and good to have you back. You know
how you doing today?
Speaker 2 (00:29):
We're good today, Ski, like you said yesday, a little
day off from the WNBA. Last time I played with
Sunday had a two and two Sunday no thanks to Phoenix.
It was good without Phoenix. That was a bad play
on Sunday. But yeah, ready to get back to it today.
Five games slate and we got a full week games
ahead of us, so it should be good to go now.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
I don't know if you saw this comment or not,
Jeffrey B says, got one hundred dollars on a show
starting layer than one thirty pm. That's minus fifteen hundred, buddy.
Speaker 2 (01:03):
Yeah, yeah, that's hasn't been around long enough.
Speaker 1 (01:10):
I guess yeah, all right, let's get to it. Five games.
Won't wasting any more time going rotation order like we
always do. I mean sixh one, six two is first up.
Dallas and New York opened up minus seven and a
half for New York up as high as eleven is
what I'm looking at now. Total open one sixty nine
(01:32):
and a half. I'm seeing it as high as one
seventy seven. Big move on that total injury report. Masha
Heines Allen still question to vote for tonight for the Liberty.
They continue to be without Stewie Savely and Kennedy Burke.
For the Liberty, they did get a win in that
(01:56):
last one, but they haven't been playing the best basketball here.
Roberto pust All Star Break. They did also lose to
Dallas after the All Star Break ninety two to eighty two.
So it's a chance for them to get it's a
chance for them to get a little bit of revenge here.
They are at a slight rest disadvantage. I'm curious if
(02:18):
you think you know what we saw on that that
second half of that Connecticut game wasn't enough to convince
you that Liberty should be laying double digits now.
Speaker 2 (02:27):
Yeah, it's hard with them. Skip. We've been talking about
the same injuries with this team for about a week now.
No Breonna Stewart, I've said enough that I you know,
for me, the most important thing about her is her
defense and the fact that they had three frontline players
all sidelined at the same time, which they still do
Kennedy Burke along with Saboly. It's it's hard, but they did,
(02:53):
you know, incorporate me some into the lineup. First game,
I think she only took five shots. I'd have to
look back. I think she was like one for five
from the floor, but you would think that in the second,
second game with one under her belt, now, maybe that
would help them a little bit, gives them a little
extra height, even though she can play from the perimeter
(03:15):
as well. I just don't you know, it's hard to
lay points with a team that's going this bad at
this point in time. That was a huge revenge factor
game on Sunday against Connecticut and they couldn't get the
job done. They're a little bit overvalued in the market,
so I think the way you have to look all
the time is directly at these big dogs against New
(03:36):
York At this point in time, it's hard to trust
the Dallas defense. They've allowed eighty six plus in nine
of their last eleven games. I looked at the New
York team total. I think it's somewhere around ninety three
and a half, which is it's a lot of points
to score, not that Dallas can't give it up. So
as I kept looking into this game, the odds maker
(03:57):
just keeps taking things away from me. I don't even
know ski how to zero win and maybe single out
something in this game. First quarter, first half. I thought
about first quarter with New York back home, but it's
you know, it's the first home after some road games.
I'm not so sure as to which way I'd like
(04:18):
to play this one. I'll say this. Rique did not
participate in practice on Sunday, and the total was already
fairly high, and then when she was announced in it
got even higher. Dallas game totals are getting to be
extremely high at this point in time. I know they're
both fast paced teams, and I know I'm a proponent
(04:39):
of playing Dallas over, but at this price tag, I'm
not so sure I can get there, so I let
this one go. I don't know that there's a result here.
Quite honestly, that would surprise me. So that's probably why
I haven't bet it.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Yeah, I'm going to actually just double check this here,
team Eagles, Wings and season equals twenty five and total
higher or equal to one seventy five. If only had
one game that's high it did stay under. It was
versus the Fever on August first, just a few days ago,
(05:14):
seventy eight to eighty six, So one sixty six was scored.
So yeah, I mean, but go to what you're saying,
we do think of Dallas as a team that's not
the best defensively. You know, one seventy five you start
to get up there one seventy six and a half.
I can understand how you might think it's going too far.
I did see was it Algina and the chat say
(05:37):
Dallas team total over eighty one and a half. That
liberty defense hasn't been great. I mean a lot of
that losing streak was then just giving it up. I
think they've given up just below ninety points per game
the last five. But hearing them talk, you know it
is going to be a focus moving forward. So it's
one of the tougher games. One little tougher games for sure,
(05:58):
but that's no way that I can lay the eleven
with the Liberty whether they played. I agree with what
you said. They're just overvalued in the market right now.
Gundamaticus appreciate you. Reminding everybody to hit the light button.
Definitely helps us out over here. All right, let's keep
going down the list Mystics and Sky. And for this one,
(06:19):
we had the Mystics open at minus five and a half.
Now I'm seeing mostly seven and a halfs total open
one fifty eight and a half. Not a whole lot
of movement there. As far as an injury report, I
don't see anybody on there for the Mystics. For the Sky,
Angel Reese out once again. Looks like Aero Atkins is
back only and where he is probable. Haley van Lett
(06:43):
is truly questionable, so fairly healthy, but you are missing
the big dog and Angel Reese definitely a difference maker
for that team. A couple of things that pop out
first to me in this game here. You know Number one,
I don't I don't view the Mystics as a team
like that. I don't want to be laying multiple possessions
(07:05):
with I don't think the offense is good enough for that,
and they've just been so inconsistent so far this season,
like thirteen and fifteen team expected to win by you know,
closer to double digits. I'm just not loving that. As
far as Chicago, a couple of things are the main thing. Really.
(07:29):
We see it across multiple different sports when teams fired
a head coach, everybody steps up and plays hard and says, hey,
it was his part. It wasn't us looking that bad.
We can be better what we've showed out there. And
that's how I would be looking in this game. So
at the house as well, I would only look at
the plus seven and a half here. How are you
(07:51):
feeling about it?
Speaker 2 (07:53):
I'd agree with every bit of that. Washington, I think
we've talked about it before. Probably not the most trustworthy
team when laying a huge amount of points, especially when
they're on the road. You don't want to lay this
type of number, and you don't want to lay that
type of number in this situation, like you say, against
a team that could be you know, first game under
(08:13):
a new coach usually is a good way to bet.
General rule of thumb any sport, first game new coach
team puts their best foot forward. Of course, they won't
have Angel Reese, which does hinder them obviously offensively. The
last time these two played, which was pretty recent, was
the last game Angel Rees played and it was very
high scoring. I remember having the over in that game.
(08:34):
It did go over. Part of my reasoning, probably three
quarters of my reasoning for playing any Chicago over as
of late, has been their defense is just so bad
that everybody scores on them. They've given up eighty three
plus in their last seven games. However, and again I
did this with the last week on one of the shows.
And if I just do the mathematics of it all,
(08:58):
Chicago without Angel Reese is about a you know, a
sixty six, sixty eight point scoring team. Now granted, her
absences correlate to Ariel Atkins being out as well. So
now Ariel Atkins is back, So I have to ask myself,
you know, with Atkins back in the lineup, can they
jack that up from sixty eight to seventy five? If
(09:19):
they get to seventy five, that means Washington has to
get to eighty four in this game? Can they do
it in order to send it over? Can they do that?
It's possible. That's also a cover for Washington. I'm not
so sure they're gonna get to eighty four. I don't
know that they'll cover. So again, there's a ton of
question marks. I can go back and forth with this one.
(09:40):
I think in the end, Chicago's biggest problem of all
ever since Courtney Vanderslot went down as ball handling just
turned it over way too much. And maybe having Atkins
back in the lineup helps the ball handling a little
bit and they can stay close here, closer than the
seven would indicate. So I would probably try sh I
go plus seven if I was going to play, but again,
(10:03):
did not play this one. Let it go. I would
love to get to the over here ski. I just
can't convince myself that they can get enough points in
this game.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Well, first of all, I want to say that these
teams did play last A lot more people besides Angel
Reese were out. I think Atkins only where it was out,
maybe even another player too. But the Mystics did win
and cover at a seven and a half point favorite
July twenty nine, So I just wanted to throw that
out there. But like you kind of mentioned, I mean
(10:34):
a lot of those games where they're struggling to score.
Was not just only Angel Reese out, like getting the
ball handler and a playmaker and Atkins definitely helps out.
Like that's the kind of things that they need for
their offense. So I don't want to talk to you
often been over. This is probably the toughest toughest game
on the slate for me today.
Speaker 2 (10:54):
So yeah, we wondered Sky real quick. Does she slot
right back? And we talk about it all the time
when it's starter comes back, she missed seven games? Does
it disrupt things? Does it help things? We really don't know.
We often answer that question after the game is played,
we have the answer, but until the game is played,
we really don't know.
Speaker 1 (11:14):
Yeah, this one has a it's a little bit too
many question marks in my mind. So we'll keep it
going here and the next game up will be sun
At the Mercury opened up minus fourteen and a half,
it looks like fifteen now total open one sixty four
and a half, and it looks like as high as
one sixty nine. So this one continues to go up.
(11:35):
As far as who's available, I don't see anybody on
the injury report for either team, So that is something
that's rare and professional basketball nowadays love to see that.
Though first game off a long road trip for the Mercury,
I believe a five game road trip for them came
to an end, so like that. I kind of mentioned
(11:56):
this earlier on or No no, no, maybe I was just
thinking it. But the Mercury, Yeah I did, I mentioned
in a Wedge talk today. But the Mercury, their schedule
has just been it hasn't been good. It's been a
really tough schedule for them as of late, I think,
and now in the near future their schedule starts to
get a lot easier. Now with that said, Connecticut, they
(12:21):
have been playing really good. What I see here, they've
been competitive one two, three, four, five, six. They've covered
six of their last eight. Could extend beyond that, but
that's what I'm looking at here in front of me.
They have been playing good, and I mean they figured
out how to play without Mabury. Now you get maybe
(12:42):
back in the lineup. That's a lot of offense. She
looks good like. It's hard to run to the window
and lay I mean, you know, lay fifteen against them.
As hard as they've been playing, as good as they've
been playing, they went through that stretch. They looked absolutely
pathetic earlier in the season, but they look like a
clearly different team since you know, around All Star Break.
(13:05):
Fifteen points here for a Phoenix team that has been
the opposite like, they've looked terrible. They've been so inconsistent,
they've been what do I have here? They won one, two,
two of their last six seven, two of their last
seven games, like, and they're laying fifteen. So you know,
(13:29):
I'm gonna be real. That's what stands out to me
in this game. For some reason, the market expects them
to blow them out even though they haven't been playing
the best, and you know, Connecticut has been playing better.
I'm curious if you think that big number is warrant it.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
I don't see how you could think it's warranted skin.
I mean, you just in that analysis brought up about
three or four reasons, whether you mentioned them as reasons
or not to fade Phoenix, but they come across certainly
as reasons to fade Phoenix, most notably first game back
after a long road trip, double digit favorite of this price.
(14:07):
I mean, Connecticut just covered two numbers against the Liberty.
Granted the Liberty are injured, but still it's a better team,
and it's a team that in the second game had revenge.
Connecticut talked a little bit. This is why sometimes you
can't take overall seasonal statistics at this point in time.
You know we're deep into the season now. Overall statistics
(14:29):
will show one thing. Your favorite last five games can
show another. But Connecticut's talked a lot about being better defensively.
Marina Maybry I think set it that before last game
that their offense. She knows their offense isn't the best,
but they know that if they play defense, they can
create offense and stay in every end. They certainly did.
(14:50):
I mean they held in New York to thirty three
percent shooting from the field in that first matchup, and
then the other day someday they held them to like
twenty three or twenty four percent from three. And we
know the Liberty are a good three point shooting team.
Marina Maybury, by the way, and those two games from
three point range only went three for seventeen and Connecticut
(15:11):
was still competitive. So it just goes to show you
that they're getting better and better things are coming together.
The coach has mentioned it a couple of times now
that they seem to be playing better, So plus fifteen
would seem to me like that would be your initial
look if you're playing side. For me, I looked at
the Connecticut team total tell you the truth. Ski the
(15:33):
beginning or earlier when we talked about Chicago, I mentioned,
I'm not so sure Chicago can they get the seventy five.
Connecticut's proven they can get upper seventies almost every night now,
and Phoenix has not been the best defensive team as
of late. Their defense has gone south. They'd rather outscore
you than defend you. I don't know if that changes
(15:55):
here just because they're home, but I know Connecticut is
playing with a different desire right now, and if I'm
going to get forty minutes out of them, and just
to enhance that, if they can get the seventy eight
in back to back games with Maybury going three for
seventeen a little bit above twelve percent or thirteen percent
(16:16):
three for seventeen from three point ranging those two games
and still get the seventy eight, I'd expect her to
have a better game than what those numbers indicate, a
little bit of a bounce back game, and I'd expect
Connecticut to get the seventy seven points and go over
their team total.
Speaker 1 (16:30):
Here this is, this is I have some thoughts, you know,
to what you said, first of all, to what you
said about you know what mayby mentioned The Sun are
the number one defensive rated team last five games. I
don't think we've been able to see that say that
all season long. But they have been playing a little
(16:51):
bit better defense. Now when I hear that, you know,
and I'm talking about how much better the Sun have
been playing lately, now, I'm just looking a little bit
closer at who they've been playing. Struggling Liberty team, injured
Liberty team twice. I mean, they did lose bout sixteen
to Seattle. They played a Golden State team, who I believe.
(17:12):
I mean, they might have been on the back to back,
but they're on They've played on the road pretty much
every game since All Star breaking. They were playing a
lot of games in a short time frame. And they're
injured too. So another banged up, injured, not playing well team.
They lost by fifteen to the Sparks, I mean, Phoenix.
(17:33):
I know they haven't been playing well, but I think
I'm just gonna be honest. This line is kind of
telling to me like, I want to find any and
every reason I can to back Phoenix. I just haven't
been able to figure out what the exact reasons are,
you know, the latest fifteen. But this is screaming to me.
(17:55):
You know, it looks so easy to go run and
take the sun and they get blown out in this game. Like,
that's that's how I feel about it. Take a look
at the chat. Jose says team total over, so he's
agreeing with you. I guess on that. Jeff says, Connecticut
on the road just worries me. Offense much worse away
(18:15):
from home in connect I feel like Phoenix is better
at home too. They've been on that road trip, so
they should play better in front of their crowd. Nate asking,
how about the long travel from Connecticut to Phoenix? How
that impact of science. Let's take a look at when
they last played Connecticut. Yeah, they played Sunday in Connecticut. Yeah,
(18:40):
and travel across country to Phoenix. I mean that is
a good point. Phoenix did have to travel from Chicago
back on the Phoenix as well, though, I mean, and
we do talk about first game back home after long
road trip is usually a flast spot for basketball in general. Right,
This one is tough, but I don't want the sun
here just because I feel like, you know what I
(19:02):
always say, you know, when I feel like they're begging
me to go and run and take this number, I
don't want to be on that side. So I'm gonna
hesitate for now. But like I said, throughout the day,
we'll try to find any reason I can about the
Mercury zb Man says Thomas, the sense assistant rebounds over
go for you.
Speaker 2 (19:21):
Know, I was gonna say, I think one thing we
didn't talk about that maybe the biggest factor of Wolski
is the status of Satu Sabili, right. It seems to
be a little bit of a saga there. Does she
come back with a vengeance after what went on over
the weekend or does she pout a little bit? We're
not sure And just real quick to show you the
(19:41):
difference between teams, and you're absolutely right, Phoenix has had
a tough go of its schedule wise. The schedule maker
wasn't kind to them. I think five straight road games
or whatever. But the schedule maker was equally, if not more,
unkind to the Atlanta Dream and the Atlanta Dream without
Ryan Howard played through that scheduling difficulty like crazy the
last couple of weeks. So I don't want to say
(20:04):
that Phoenix is descending at all as far as results go,
but I would say that every team hits a lull
in the season, and perhaps this is it. I just
don't like when coaches when you hear more out of
a coach than you have all year long, and I've
read more out of Nat Tibbet's mouth in the last
(20:25):
five days than I've heard or read all year long,
And for some reason, it reminds me always of Michael
Malone with Denver, and it's usually when the team is
going south Connecticut to the point of what I like
the best in this game over seventy six and a half,
they've gone over that number seven straight games, and the
(20:47):
point was made that their offense not as productive on
the road as it is at home, and I would
say that since they have and I think we could
all say they've turned it up a notch or they're
playing better, let's put it that way. Since they've been
playing better, they haven't been on the road. So it's
hard for me to am I gonna engauge recent times
(21:07):
or am I gonna engauge all season long. That's kind
of what I was talking about when we first started
this analysis. Sometimes overall can be misleading.
Speaker 1 (21:16):
Fair enough, fair enough, Uh you know what else is
worth a little too though. I mean, I don't know
what the number is. I forgot to look, but morow Man,
she'd be graving those rebounds. She don't do nothing, She's
gonna go go up and get a rebound. I would
be curious what her number is tonight for the Connecticut
sign all right, Fever and Sparks. This game opened up
(21:41):
minus one and a half for Seattle, looks like minus
two pretty much everywhere. Total open one fifty nine and
a half, and consensus I would say is one fifty
six and a half as low as one fifty six
though injury report nobody on there for Seattle. Pista Collier
got hurt in that last game, had no business really
(22:02):
being out there of fifty points. But now they'll be
without her for about two weeks. I believe. I'm sorry,
I'm reading the I messed that up, didn't not you know.
Speaker 2 (22:14):
She might be might have gone to the fever and
I didn't know.
Speaker 1 (22:18):
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I messed that up. That's my bad.
My bad, you guys. It's because something on my screen.
It threw me off. So let me get back on
track here. I'm supposed to be on Indiana and Los Angeles, right,
So this one open minus one for LA and flip
a favorite minus two for Indiana to to open one
(22:44):
seventy two and a half and it's up to one
seventy eight right injury report Kaitlyn Clark out. Nobody else
out in this game. I'm gonna pass this one to
you while I get situated because I was on all
the wrong game can give a big move on the
total up. I mean, it's hard to argue against it
(23:05):
in the Sparks game. How are you feeling about this one?
Speaker 2 (23:08):
Yeah, it is a hard to argue against it in
any Sparks game. And these totals in La Sparks game games,
whether it be full game, first half team totals, they've
just started to climb. Oddsmakers are catching up. Only four
games ago, five games ago, the Sparks were in the
(23:29):
like one sixty five to one sixty eight range, and here,
all of a sudden, we're into the high one seventies.
Because all they do is score, all they do is
allow the other team to score. I know the past
game against Seattle went double overtime, but it was eighty
six eighty six at the end of regulation, so it
was over the total during regulation. It didn't really need
(23:50):
the overtime. We've talked about them Ski. They're playing better.
Cameron Brink can only help them more. The more she plays,
she can only get better. The team can only get
better and more cohesive. But they are. They have certainly
identified themselves as a team that's just going to try
and win a high scoring game. Indiana's playing sensational five
(24:12):
straight covers Caitland Clark. No, Caitland Clark doesn't make a difference.
They were great on the interior in their last game.
I've mentioned before their first in the league and second
chance points. They go to the glass very, very hard,
and it could You know, Los Angeles has that nice
front line, but I generally against a more powerful frontline,
(24:36):
would lean toward Indiana getting a lot of second chance points.
Here La will push. It's a It's a difficult game
actually to call as far as side is concerned. The
only thing that separates it from me is I do
think as bad as they are, well, I'm not gonna say,
as bad as they are, but not being a great
(24:57):
defensive team. I think Indiana's better defense of lead in
La is if it comes down to needing a stopp
or too. I'm taking Indiana before I take Los Angeles,
So it's an interesting game from that perspective. I would
love to play over here, but you need in eighty nine.
When you need eighty nine to eighty nine to get there,
it's not that it's impossible. It's very possible in a
(25:19):
Sparks game, but everything has to go right to get
to that type of total. So again, I think the
odds maker priced me out of this game, and I
think if I had to, as well as both of
these teams are playing, you really have to love the
way Indiana's playing right now. So I think I would
be on their side if I had to play it.
But it's another one where, like I say, the prices
(25:41):
were just out of my range on both sides, side
and total, so I let it go.
Speaker 1 (25:47):
Yeah, I mean you're getting as the line on the
total for sure. A sidewise, I mean I'm looking at
it a little bit here. I know the Sparks are
off of overtime, but they've had three days to rest here,
they should be just fine, you know, or double overtime. Rather,
here's how I think Indiana. Yes, they've been playing well.
(26:09):
They played the Storm after you know that that was
a terrible situation for the Storm. After the double overtime game,
they played Dallas. I mean that's a bottom feeder. They
played Phoenix, who's been looking really bad on this their
road trip. They're able to win that game. Both teams
surpassed one hundred points. They played Chicago, no Angelies, no Actings,
(26:31):
no anybody. They played the Aces, who have been struggling
versus everybody. Like, how impressed am I with these wins
is kind of how I'm looking at it. I mean,
Sparks have been playing good too post All Star, and
I get that they haven't been playing the best competition either,
So this does feel like, you know, a step up
for both teams. But and this is a transfer to
(26:55):
people to get double revenge. But that might just show
you that the Sparks could be a little bit more.
I don't take it in the fever at least when
I think about these two teams, like I would prefer
to have Plumb as a Ray Stevens handy Rikia out there,
you know, versus the Fever. I know Fever been good
without Clark, but when I just look at talent like that,
I like the Sparks side better. I know they haven't
(27:18):
been good at home all season, but like you mentioned,
all season long, stats might not show how well they've
been playing lately. Sparks, I know they want to make
the playoffs. They're out of it as the stands right now.
This is one of those games that they need to win.
I would be looking more towards the Sparks. I think that,
you know, they've already beat them twice. Why can't they
(27:38):
beat them again here at the house bresta vanas three
to one. I'm looking a little bit more towards the
Sparks side here, Robber, you know the chat check, I
think I think they're liking the Sparks as well. Let
me scroll back up a little bit here. So ninety
(27:58):
one and a half. I said, that's a huge first
half total to be Daddy says he still likes it
over Jeff says, the Lion screams Sparks, but they're off
at home. Yeah, I mean the Lion is kind of
it's kind of pulling me towards the Sparks too. Also
on Plumb over two and a half May threes, I
don't have that strong of an opinion, honestly. I mean,
(28:19):
I don't want to talk to you off Plumb. If
I'm liking the Sparks, I'll tell you that. Yes, Gooner
says body clock might be off for the Sun if
that was the last game there. You know, I do
think Alyssa Thomas is gonna make a push or try
to make a push for MVP. You gotta be out.
C sees out. I'm not mad at that that part
(28:40):
right there. Anything else we have on this game, I
don't think we do. Jeff says he likes the Sparks too,
because they've been impressive since rugglefore All Star Break. We're
in agreement there. Dirty Rix says the Sparks got a
better roster than most of any team in the league.
They got a big five. Now that brinks, But I
(29:00):
think they just weren't playing up to potential earlier in
the year. And you know, a lot of it has
to do with them not being great defensively. But I
like what I've seen. It's a one way ticket. I'll
be looking at the Sparks here. Anything else before we
move on, you know, a.
Speaker 2 (29:15):
Couple of quick things. A Again, they're only going to
get better with Cameron Brinkski. I think they are going
to make the playoffs. They're probably, They're definitely one of
the eight most talented teams in this league. And the
other thing when we left off on the Phoenix game,
you just reminded me. Now if we're looking for reasons
to play Phoenix, it is Alyssa Thomas and Dewana Bonner
(29:36):
against their home old team for the very first time.
So perhaps those two for folks who play props, could
be interesting there tonight with Thomas and Bonner.
Speaker 1 (29:48):
All right, let's keep going over to the last game,
the game that I was trying to skip ahead to before,
in the Storm open minus one and a half is
minus two total came down for one fifty nine and
a half as low as one fifty six, and like
I said before, nobody on the Andrew Port for Seattle,
he is out for the Links. Got hurt at the
(30:10):
end of that last game when they're blowing the Aces
out by fifty something. Had no business really even being
in the game. But as a result, she is hurt. Now,
the Links do have the rest advantage here, slight rest advantage,
and it's a chance for them to get some double
digit nd season or revenge. But I mean, this is
(30:31):
what a twenty five and four team here, you know,
and we now see them as underdogs. I mean that's
pretty telling in itself. Another storm round, back to back losses.
I know they desperately need a win, and I think
the Links might be more of a little bit of
a letdown spot after shooting sixty percent from three and
winning by fifty points. Do you see it that way?
(30:54):
Are you in agreement with the move down on the total?
Which way are you looking at this game? Well?
Speaker 2 (31:00):
I totally agree, and it's more the situational stuff that
you just mentioned to me. Minnesota has now built a
five and a half game lead for the number one
seed with eleven to go. There could be a little
low here. I don't like anything that we've seen out
of out of Minnesota when they've been without Callier, When
(31:24):
they played a couple of games without Callyer, they were
not good. Now they do get Carrington into the folded,
which I think you know Djone. Carrington's strength is the
defensive side. So Minnesota probably becomes a better defensive team.
She can add a little offense, but she's not the
most consistent shooter, scorer, etc. But very good defensively. So
(31:45):
maybe Minnesota becomes a little bit better defensively. But they
have built a huge lead, and I just think it's
a sigh of relief game, or you know, a little
breather type game where Seattle, as you mentioned, they can't
afford it. The log jam to get into the playoffs
is getting tighter and tighter and closing in on Seattle.
And they played Minnesota fairly tough so far this season.
(32:08):
Lose ninety four eighty four in Minnesota and lose, I think, yeah,
lose the win the first one in Seattle eighty two
to seventy seven. They beat them out right. I think
they can probably win this game again. I just don't
like the way Minnesota's played, even though it's only been
two or three, any game without Calier hasn't been a
(32:28):
good offensive game to me. I think they probably struggle
a little bit against the Seattle defense. Seattle off two
straight losses. It's all situational ski in this particular case,
but I do think Seattle's probably the right side.
Speaker 1 (32:43):
I think so as well. I definitely think so bad.
I'm gonna pull this up on the screen here. Actually
some things I was looking at just share for the
visual people like me. If I can get it correct,
There we go, share a screen ship here. Now I
know that I got to hit it one more time
because they changed. There we go. So let me get
(33:08):
back here. Storm this season off of a loss nine
and three straight up six and six ats seven and
five to the under. But just looking a little bit
closer at the team totals, We're gonna do some quick
math here one, two, three, only three, I mean, my bad.
(33:34):
Let me say like this. They've held opponents under their
team total nine of twelve games after a loss so
far this season. Now, if we look at if we
look at all back to back.
Speaker 3 (33:47):
Losses, only two games so far this season, both opponents
were under their team total.
Speaker 1 (33:59):
You see this yere to the under. I mean, I
think this is who the Storm are really like when
you lose twice and that's what you get, you get
defense six and oh the under. Here you see every
opponent went under their team total. Like I think that's
that's that's the identity of the Storm, right and if
(34:20):
they're hungry, they're coming.
Speaker 2 (34:21):
Out here like.
Speaker 1 (34:22):
I think that's how they're gonna win the game. If anything,
even if they don't win, I think they'll play defense.
That makes me think of team total under for the
for the links, and one more thing I want to
look at here. Let's go to the links so far
this season and let's look at them.
Speaker 4 (34:44):
Let's see if I can do this right off of
a win. Maybe I didn't even need to put that
off of a we have they won by thirty plus.
Let's do twenty. Let's do thirty plus. See if they
won by thirty p us good season.
Speaker 1 (35:01):
I think they have two games they're owing too straight
up and ats after winning by thirty shows that it
could be a little bit of a letdown here. Team
total is kind of one and one, but some interesting
stuff to say the least RAVENO any thoughts on those
things that we put up there.
Speaker 2 (35:23):
Yeah, just while you were talking, I looked up their
team total seventy seven and a half. Three games they
played this year without thefeasial callier in the lineup, they
scored sixty four. That's less than seventy seven and a half.
Seventy four that's less than seventy seven and a half.
And then they got eighty two against the Sparks, which
is more than seventy seven and a half, but it's
the Sparks. So I think that, you know, looking at
(35:43):
the Minnesota team total under and knowing that Seattle is
a pretty proud defensive team, I think is a is
a good look as well as the side here with
Seattle at home.
Speaker 1 (35:55):
Yeah, last thing you remind me it is too the
Links without Callier. They played three games this season, all
three of state under and if you go back to
last season without Collier, they are seven one and one
to the under two and seven hs. So big deal.
(36:15):
I know she's good on defense, but they're definite gonna
miss her twenty three points per game. And I'm just
double checking here for a team total rather than that,
I just I'll leave it like that. But you get
what we're saying here. Yes, Gooner doesn't like it, said,
seventy seven and a half is low. Looking at it outline,
(36:36):
I think I think they can still get there though.
All right, I think we did a pretty solid job here.
You know, five games took this thirty thirty seven minutes,
but we knocked them out. And before we get the
best bets, let's go ahead and throw this up there
because it is five dollars Tuesday. So Rob, I'm pretty
(36:57):
sure he has a top playoff and available on his
page for five dollars. I do as well. I got
u cap it's been killing it. Maybe go check his
out as well. Yeah, cappers have a top play on
their pace to day for five dollars. You can check
the right out, I mean check out their right up
and just get a feel for, you know, how they
handicap and what their picks might look like. So with
(37:20):
that said, let's see if I can do this correct
here boom back to normal getting better as a producer,
I guess a little bit, so we'll move it to
best best you know. I'll ask you if there's anything
else you'd like to promote, and look at the banner
at the bottom now too. I guess I was I
(37:41):
was slacking on that earlier, but yeah, anything else you
would like to promote, and if you have the best
bet for the show, we'd love to hear it. If
you don't, all good.
Speaker 2 (37:49):
I'll just say really quickly Ski that the five dollars
play that I have up for today is actually a
college football game from Week one, and it's up there
for one day only to today. I'm going to take
it back down, So if you're interested in college football
Week one, go ahead and purchase a five dollars play
over at wager talk dot com best bets. The more
(38:10):
I think about it, Ski, the more I like it.
I'm going to leave the chat with Connecticut team total
over seventy six and a half, even if they get
blown out here by Phoenix. I would assume that if
it's a blowout, Phoenix gets themselves into the nineties and
Connecticut's good enough to chase the seventy seven. In my
estimation here, you do run the risk that Phoenix is
(38:33):
angry off of that road trip. But I tried playing
an angry Phoenix team the last two games and they
didn't respond at all. So I'll go with the Connecticut
team total over seventy six and a half.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
All right, good stuff for Albino. For myself, I just
opened up my wallet and you know, jumped in. I
talked about it earlier, talked about it again, just now.
Gave plenty of reasons why looking at a Minnesota Links
team total under seventy seven and a half. Seems like
you know a solid way to go today, so that
would be my best bet for the show Links team
(39:09):
total under seventy seven and a half. Weno, good to
be back with you. Appreciate you taking the time to
catch these games with me. Everybody in the chat appreciate
you guys as well. Good people entertaining and you guys
help us, you know, get to the back as well.
Some good insight out there as well, Twitch x Kick,
(39:32):
YouTube Shorts, Spotify, Apple, We love you all as well.
We will be back tomorrow. I'm pretty sure we have
a game. Yeah, we're back tomorrow. We do have one game,
Aces and Valkyrise, same time, ten thirty am Pacific Standard time.
So best of luck on all your action today and
we'll catch you a game tomorrow
What's up everybody? Welcome back to another episode of Profit Picks.
If you are new, we always start this show by
being transparent. We didn't have any show yesterday, didn't have
any show over the weekend. There wasn't even any WNBA
on the slate for yesterday. That's why we did not
have a show. But so I guess there's not really
anything to talk about. It is good to be back
here today. We have a nice five game slate to
(00:25):
look at, and good to have you back. You know
how you doing today?
Speaker 2 (00:29):
We're good today, Ski, like you said yesday, a little
day off from the WNBA. Last time I played with
Sunday had a two and two Sunday no thanks to Phoenix.
It was good without Phoenix. That was a bad play
on Sunday. But yeah, ready to get back to it today.
Five games slate and we got a full week games
ahead of us, so it should be good to go now.
Speaker 1 (00:51):
I don't know if you saw this comment or not,
Jeffrey B says, got one hundred dollars on a show
starting layer than one thirty pm. That's minus fifteen hundred, buddy.
Speaker 2 (01:03):
Yeah, yeah, that's hasn't been around long enough.
Speaker 1 (01:10):
I guess yeah, all right, let's get to it. Five games.
Won't wasting any more time going rotation order like we
always do. I mean sixh one, six two is first up.
Dallas and New York opened up minus seven and a
half for New York up as high as eleven is
what I'm looking at now. Total open one sixty nine
(01:32):
and a half. I'm seeing it as high as one
seventy seven. Big move on that total injury report. Masha
Heines Allen still question to vote for tonight for the Liberty.
They continue to be without Stewie Savely and Kennedy Burke.
For the Liberty, they did get a win in that
(01:56):
last one, but they haven't been playing the best basketball here.
Roberto pust All Star Break. They did also lose to
Dallas after the All Star Break ninety two to eighty two.
So it's a chance for them to get it's a
chance for them to get a little bit of revenge here.
They are at a slight rest disadvantage. I'm curious if
(02:18):
you think you know what we saw on that that
second half of that Connecticut game wasn't enough to convince
you that Liberty should be laying double digits now.
Speaker 2 (02:27):
Yeah, it's hard with them. Skip. We've been talking about
the same injuries with this team for about a week now.
No Breonna Stewart, I've said enough that I you know,
for me, the most important thing about her is her
defense and the fact that they had three frontline players
all sidelined at the same time, which they still do
Kennedy Burke along with Saboly. It's it's hard, but they did,
(02:53):
you know, incorporate me some into the lineup. First game,
I think she only took five shots. I'd have to
look back. I think she was like one for five
from the floor, but you would think that in the second,
second game with one under her belt, now, maybe that
would help them a little bit, gives them a little
extra height, even though she can play from the perimeter
(03:15):
as well. I just don't you know, it's hard to
lay points with a team that's going this bad at
this point in time. That was a huge revenge factor
game on Sunday against Connecticut and they couldn't get the
job done. They're a little bit overvalued in the market,
so I think the way you have to look all
the time is directly at these big dogs against New
(03:36):
York At this point in time, it's hard to trust
the Dallas defense. They've allowed eighty six plus in nine
of their last eleven games. I looked at the New
York team total. I think it's somewhere around ninety three
and a half, which is it's a lot of points
to score, not that Dallas can't give it up. So
as I kept looking into this game, the odds maker
(03:57):
just keeps taking things away from me. I don't even
know ski how to zero win and maybe single out
something in this game. First quarter, first half. I thought
about first quarter with New York back home, but it's
you know, it's the first home after some road games.
I'm not so sure as to which way I'd like
(04:18):
to play this one. I'll say this. Rique did not
participate in practice on Sunday, and the total was already
fairly high, and then when she was announced in it
got even higher. Dallas game totals are getting to be
extremely high at this point in time. I know they're
both fast paced teams, and I know I'm a proponent
(04:39):
of playing Dallas over, but at this price tag, I'm
not so sure I can get there, so I let
this one go. I don't know that there's a result here.
Quite honestly, that would surprise me. So that's probably why
I haven't bet it.
Speaker 1 (04:52):
Yeah, I'm going to actually just double check this here,
team Eagles, Wings and season equals twenty five and total
higher or equal to one seventy five. If only had
one game that's high it did stay under. It was
versus the Fever on August first, just a few days ago,
(05:14):
seventy eight to eighty six, So one sixty six was scored.
So yeah, I mean, but go to what you're saying,
we do think of Dallas as a team that's not
the best defensively. You know, one seventy five you start
to get up there one seventy six and a half.
I can understand how you might think it's going too far.
I did see was it Algina and the chat say
(05:37):
Dallas team total over eighty one and a half. That
liberty defense hasn't been great. I mean a lot of
that losing streak was then just giving it up. I
think they've given up just below ninety points per game
the last five. But hearing them talk, you know it
is going to be a focus moving forward. So it's
one of the tougher games. One little tougher games for sure,
(05:58):
but that's no way that I can lay the eleven
with the Liberty whether they played. I agree with what
you said. They're just overvalued in the market right now.
Gundamaticus appreciate you. Reminding everybody to hit the light button.
Definitely helps us out over here. All right, let's keep
going down the list Mystics and Sky. And for this one,
(06:19):
we had the Mystics open at minus five and a half.
Now I'm seeing mostly seven and a halfs total open
one fifty eight and a half. Not a whole lot
of movement there. As far as an injury report, I
don't see anybody on there for the Mystics. For the Sky,
Angel Reese out once again. Looks like Aero Atkins is
back only and where he is probable. Haley van Lett
(06:43):
is truly questionable, so fairly healthy, but you are missing
the big dog and Angel Reese definitely a difference maker
for that team. A couple of things that pop out
first to me in this game here. You know Number one,
I don't I don't view the Mystics as a team
like that. I don't want to be laying multiple possessions
(07:05):
with I don't think the offense is good enough for that,
and they've just been so inconsistent so far this season,
like thirteen and fifteen team expected to win by you know,
closer to double digits. I'm just not loving that. As
far as Chicago, a couple of things are the main thing. Really.
(07:29):
We see it across multiple different sports when teams fired
a head coach, everybody steps up and plays hard and says, hey,
it was his part. It wasn't us looking that bad.
We can be better what we've showed out there. And
that's how I would be looking in this game. So
at the house as well, I would only look at
the plus seven and a half here. How are you
(07:51):
feeling about it?
Speaker 2 (07:53):
I'd agree with every bit of that. Washington, I think
we've talked about it before. Probably not the most trustworthy
team when laying a huge amount of points, especially when
they're on the road. You don't want to lay this
type of number, and you don't want to lay that
type of number in this situation, like you say, against
a team that could be you know, first game under
(08:13):
a new coach usually is a good way to bet.
General rule of thumb any sport, first game new coach
team puts their best foot forward. Of course, they won't
have Angel Reese, which does hinder them obviously offensively. The
last time these two played, which was pretty recent, was
the last game Angel Rees played and it was very
high scoring. I remember having the over in that game.
(08:34):
It did go over. Part of my reasoning, probably three
quarters of my reasoning for playing any Chicago over as
of late, has been their defense is just so bad
that everybody scores on them. They've given up eighty three
plus in their last seven games. However, and again I
did this with the last week on one of the shows.
And if I just do the mathematics of it all,
(08:58):
Chicago without Angel Reese is about a you know, a
sixty six, sixty eight point scoring team. Now granted, her
absences correlate to Ariel Atkins being out as well. So
now Ariel Atkins is back, So I have to ask myself,
you know, with Atkins back in the lineup, can they
jack that up from sixty eight to seventy five? If
(09:19):
they get to seventy five, that means Washington has to
get to eighty four in this game? Can they do
it in order to send it over? Can they do that?
It's possible. That's also a cover for Washington. I'm not
so sure they're gonna get to eighty four. I don't
know that they'll cover. So again, there's a ton of
question marks. I can go back and forth with this one.
(09:40):
I think in the end, Chicago's biggest problem of all
ever since Courtney Vanderslot went down as ball handling just
turned it over way too much. And maybe having Atkins
back in the lineup helps the ball handling a little
bit and they can stay close here, closer than the
seven would indicate. So I would probably try sh I
go plus seven if I was going to play, but again,
(10:03):
did not play this one. Let it go. I would
love to get to the over here ski. I just
can't convince myself that they can get enough points in
this game.
Speaker 1 (10:13):
Well, first of all, I want to say that these
teams did play last A lot more people besides Angel
Reese were out. I think Atkins only where it was out,
maybe even another player too. But the Mystics did win
and cover at a seven and a half point favorite
July twenty nine, So I just wanted to throw that
out there. But like you kind of mentioned, I mean
(10:34):
a lot of those games where they're struggling to score.
Was not just only Angel Reese out, like getting the
ball handler and a playmaker and Atkins definitely helps out.
Like that's the kind of things that they need for
their offense. So I don't want to talk to you
often been over. This is probably the toughest toughest game
on the slate for me today.
Speaker 2 (10:54):
So yeah, we wondered Sky real quick. Does she slot
right back? And we talk about it all the time
when it's starter comes back, she missed seven games? Does
it disrupt things? Does it help things? We really don't know.
We often answer that question after the game is played,
we have the answer, but until the game is played,
we really don't know.
Speaker 1 (11:14):
Yeah, this one has a it's a little bit too
many question marks in my mind. So we'll keep it
going here and the next game up will be sun
At the Mercury opened up minus fourteen and a half,
it looks like fifteen now total open one sixty four
and a half, and it looks like as high as
one sixty nine. So this one continues to go up.
(11:35):
As far as who's available, I don't see anybody on
the injury report for either team, So that is something
that's rare and professional basketball nowadays love to see that.
Though first game off a long road trip for the Mercury,
I believe a five game road trip for them came
to an end, so like that. I kind of mentioned
(11:56):
this earlier on or No no, no, maybe I was just
thinking it. But the Mercury, Yeah I did, I mentioned
in a Wedge talk today. But the Mercury, their schedule
has just been it hasn't been good. It's been a
really tough schedule for them as of late, I think,
and now in the near future their schedule starts to
get a lot easier. Now with that said, Connecticut, they
(12:21):
have been playing really good. What I see here, they've
been competitive one two, three, four, five, six. They've covered
six of their last eight. Could extend beyond that, but
that's what I'm looking at here in front of me.
They have been playing good, and I mean they figured
out how to play without Mabury. Now you get maybe
(12:42):
back in the lineup. That's a lot of offense. She
looks good like. It's hard to run to the window
and lay I mean, you know, lay fifteen against them.
As hard as they've been playing, as good as they've
been playing, they went through that stretch. They looked absolutely
pathetic earlier in the season, but they look like a
clearly different team since you know, around All Star Break.
(13:05):
Fifteen points here for a Phoenix team that has been
the opposite like, they've looked terrible. They've been so inconsistent,
they've been what do I have here? They won one, two,
two of their last six seven, two of their last
seven games, like, and they're laying fifteen. So you know,
(13:29):
I'm gonna be real. That's what stands out to me
in this game. For some reason, the market expects them
to blow them out even though they haven't been playing
the best, and you know, Connecticut has been playing better.
I'm curious if you think that big number is warrant it.
Speaker 2 (13:45):
I don't see how you could think it's warranted skin.
I mean, you just in that analysis brought up about
three or four reasons, whether you mentioned them as reasons
or not to fade Phoenix, but they come across certainly
as reasons to fade Phoenix, most notably first game back
after a long road trip, double digit favorite of this price.
(14:07):
I mean, Connecticut just covered two numbers against the Liberty.
Granted the Liberty are injured, but still it's a better team,
and it's a team that in the second game had revenge.
Connecticut talked a little bit. This is why sometimes you
can't take overall seasonal statistics at this point in time.
You know we're deep into the season now. Overall statistics
(14:29):
will show one thing. Your favorite last five games can
show another. But Connecticut's talked a lot about being better defensively.
Marina Maybry I think set it that before last game
that their offense. She knows their offense isn't the best,
but they know that if they play defense, they can
create offense and stay in every end. They certainly did.
(14:50):
I mean they held in New York to thirty three
percent shooting from the field in that first matchup, and
then the other day someday they held them to like
twenty three or twenty four percent from three. And we
know the Liberty are a good three point shooting team.
Marina Maybury, by the way, and those two games from
three point range only went three for seventeen and Connecticut
(15:11):
was still competitive. So it just goes to show you
that they're getting better and better things are coming together.
The coach has mentioned it a couple of times now
that they seem to be playing better, So plus fifteen
would seem to me like that would be your initial
look if you're playing side. For me, I looked at
the Connecticut team total tell you the truth. Ski the
(15:33):
beginning or earlier when we talked about Chicago, I mentioned,
I'm not so sure Chicago can they get the seventy five.
Connecticut's proven they can get upper seventies almost every night now,
and Phoenix has not been the best defensive team as
of late. Their defense has gone south. They'd rather outscore
you than defend you. I don't know if that changes
(15:55):
here just because they're home, but I know Connecticut is
playing with a different desire right now, and if I'm
going to get forty minutes out of them, and just
to enhance that, if they can get the seventy eight
in back to back games with Maybury going three for
seventeen a little bit above twelve percent or thirteen percent
(16:16):
three for seventeen from three point ranging those two games
and still get the seventy eight, I'd expect her to
have a better game than what those numbers indicate, a
little bit of a bounce back game, and I'd expect
Connecticut to get the seventy seven points and go over
their team total.
Speaker 1 (16:30):
Here this is, this is I have some thoughts, you know,
to what you said, first of all, to what you
said about you know what mayby mentioned The Sun are
the number one defensive rated team last five games. I
don't think we've been able to see that say that
all season long. But they have been playing a little
(16:51):
bit better defense. Now when I hear that, you know,
and I'm talking about how much better the Sun have
been playing lately, now, I'm just looking a little bit
closer at who they've been playing. Struggling Liberty team, injured
Liberty team twice. I mean, they did lose bout sixteen
to Seattle. They played a Golden State team, who I believe.
(17:12):
I mean, they might have been on the back to back,
but they're on They've played on the road pretty much
every game since All Star breaking. They were playing a
lot of games in a short time frame. And they're
injured too. So another banged up, injured, not playing well team.
They lost by fifteen to the Sparks, I mean, Phoenix.
(17:33):
I know they haven't been playing well, but I think
I'm just gonna be honest. This line is kind of
telling to me like, I want to find any and
every reason I can to back Phoenix. I just haven't
been able to figure out what the exact reasons are,
you know, the latest fifteen. But this is screaming to me.
(17:55):
You know, it looks so easy to go run and
take the sun and they get blown out in this game. Like,
that's that's how I feel about it. Take a look
at the chat. Jose says team total over, so he's
agreeing with you. I guess on that. Jeff says, Connecticut
on the road just worries me. Offense much worse away
(18:15):
from home in connect I feel like Phoenix is better
at home too. They've been on that road trip, so
they should play better in front of their crowd. Nate asking,
how about the long travel from Connecticut to Phoenix? How
that impact of science. Let's take a look at when
they last played Connecticut. Yeah, they played Sunday in Connecticut. Yeah,
(18:40):
and travel across country to Phoenix. I mean that is
a good point. Phoenix did have to travel from Chicago
back on the Phoenix as well, though, I mean, and
we do talk about first game back home after long
road trip is usually a flast spot for basketball in general. Right,
This one is tough, but I don't want the sun
here just because I feel like, you know what I
(19:02):
always say, you know, when I feel like they're begging
me to go and run and take this number, I
don't want to be on that side. So I'm gonna
hesitate for now. But like I said, throughout the day,
we'll try to find any reason I can about the
Mercury zb Man says Thomas, the sense assistant rebounds over
go for you.
Speaker 2 (19:21):
Know, I was gonna say, I think one thing we
didn't talk about that maybe the biggest factor of Wolski
is the status of Satu Sabili, right. It seems to
be a little bit of a saga there. Does she
come back with a vengeance after what went on over
the weekend or does she pout a little bit? We're
not sure And just real quick to show you the
(19:41):
difference between teams, and you're absolutely right, Phoenix has had
a tough go of its schedule wise. The schedule maker
wasn't kind to them. I think five straight road games
or whatever. But the schedule maker was equally, if not more,
unkind to the Atlanta Dream and the Atlanta Dream without
Ryan Howard played through that scheduling difficulty like crazy the
last couple of weeks. So I don't want to say
(20:04):
that Phoenix is descending at all as far as results go,
but I would say that every team hits a lull
in the season, and perhaps this is it. I just
don't like when coaches when you hear more out of
a coach than you have all year long, and I've
read more out of Nat Tibbet's mouth in the last
(20:25):
five days than I've heard or read all year long,
And for some reason, it reminds me always of Michael
Malone with Denver, and it's usually when the team is
going south Connecticut to the point of what I like
the best in this game over seventy six and a half,
they've gone over that number seven straight games, and the
(20:47):
point was made that their offense not as productive on
the road as it is at home, and I would
say that since they have and I think we could
all say they've turned it up a notch or they're
playing better, let's put it that way. Since they've been
playing better, they haven't been on the road. So it's
hard for me to am I gonna engauge recent times
(21:07):
or am I gonna engauge all season long. That's kind
of what I was talking about when we first started
this analysis. Sometimes overall can be misleading.
Speaker 1 (21:16):
Fair enough, fair enough, Uh you know what else is
worth a little too though. I mean, I don't know
what the number is. I forgot to look, but morow Man,
she'd be graving those rebounds. She don't do nothing, She's
gonna go go up and get a rebound. I would
be curious what her number is tonight for the Connecticut
sign all right, Fever and Sparks. This game opened up
(21:41):
minus one and a half for Seattle, looks like minus
two pretty much everywhere. Total open one fifty nine and
a half, and consensus I would say is one fifty
six and a half as low as one fifty six
though injury report nobody on there for Seattle. Pista Collier
got hurt in that last game, had no business really
(22:02):
being out there of fifty points. But now they'll be
without her for about two weeks. I believe. I'm sorry,
I'm reading the I messed that up, didn't not you know.
Speaker 2 (22:14):
She might be might have gone to the fever and
I didn't know.
Speaker 1 (22:18):
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I messed that up. That's my bad.
My bad, you guys. It's because something on my screen.
It threw me off. So let me get back on
track here. I'm supposed to be on Indiana and Los Angeles, right,
So this one open minus one for LA and flip
a favorite minus two for Indiana to to open one
(22:44):
seventy two and a half and it's up to one
seventy eight right injury report Kaitlyn Clark out. Nobody else
out in this game. I'm gonna pass this one to
you while I get situated because I was on all
the wrong game can give a big move on the
total up. I mean, it's hard to argue against it
(23:05):
in the Sparks game. How are you feeling about this one?
Speaker 2 (23:08):
Yeah, it is a hard to argue against it in
any Sparks game. And these totals in La Sparks game games,
whether it be full game, first half team totals, they've
just started to climb. Oddsmakers are catching up. Only four
games ago, five games ago, the Sparks were in the
(23:29):
like one sixty five to one sixty eight range, and here,
all of a sudden, we're into the high one seventies.
Because all they do is score, all they do is
allow the other team to score. I know the past
game against Seattle went double overtime, but it was eighty
six eighty six at the end of regulation, so it
was over the total during regulation. It didn't really need
(23:50):
the overtime. We've talked about them Ski. They're playing better.
Cameron Brink can only help them more. The more she plays,
she can only get better. The team can only get
better and more cohesive. But they are. They have certainly
identified themselves as a team that's just going to try
and win a high scoring game. Indiana's playing sensational five
(24:12):
straight covers Caitland Clark. No, Caitland Clark doesn't make a difference.
They were great on the interior in their last game.
I've mentioned before their first in the league and second
chance points. They go to the glass very, very hard,
and it could You know, Los Angeles has that nice
front line, but I generally against a more powerful frontline,
(24:36):
would lean toward Indiana getting a lot of second chance points.
Here La will push. It's a It's a difficult game
actually to call as far as side is concerned. The
only thing that separates it from me is I do
think as bad as they are, well, I'm not gonna say,
as bad as they are, but not being a great
(24:57):
defensive team. I think Indiana's better defense of lead in
La is if it comes down to needing a stopp
or too. I'm taking Indiana before I take Los Angeles,
So it's an interesting game from that perspective. I would
love to play over here, but you need in eighty nine.
When you need eighty nine to eighty nine to get there,
it's not that it's impossible. It's very possible in a
(25:19):
Sparks game, but everything has to go right to get
to that type of total. So again, I think the
odds maker priced me out of this game, and I
think if I had to, as well as both of
these teams are playing, you really have to love the
way Indiana's playing right now. So I think I would
be on their side if I had to play it.
But it's another one where, like I say, the prices
(25:41):
were just out of my range on both sides, side
and total, so I let it go.
Speaker 1 (25:47):
Yeah, I mean you're getting as the line on the
total for sure. A sidewise, I mean I'm looking at
it a little bit here. I know the Sparks are
off of overtime, but they've had three days to rest here,
they should be just fine, you know, or double overtime. Rather,
here's how I think Indiana. Yes, they've been playing well.
(26:09):
They played the Storm after you know that that was
a terrible situation for the Storm. After the double overtime game,
they played Dallas. I mean that's a bottom feeder. They
played Phoenix, who's been looking really bad on this their
road trip. They're able to win that game. Both teams
surpassed one hundred points. They played Chicago, no Angelies, no Actings,
(26:31):
no anybody. They played the Aces, who have been struggling
versus everybody. Like, how impressed am I with these wins
is kind of how I'm looking at it. I mean,
Sparks have been playing good too post All Star, and
I get that they haven't been playing the best competition either,
So this does feel like, you know, a step up
for both teams. But and this is a transfer to
(26:55):
people to get double revenge. But that might just show
you that the Sparks could be a little bit more.
I don't take it in the fever at least when
I think about these two teams, like I would prefer
to have Plumb as a Ray Stevens handy Rikia out there,
you know, versus the Fever. I know Fever been good
without Clark, but when I just look at talent like that,
I like the Sparks side better. I know they haven't
(27:18):
been good at home all season, but like you mentioned,
all season long, stats might not show how well they've
been playing lately. Sparks, I know they want to make
the playoffs. They're out of it as the stands right now.
This is one of those games that they need to win.
I would be looking more towards the Sparks. I think that,
you know, they've already beat them twice. Why can't they
(27:38):
beat them again here at the house bresta vanas three
to one. I'm looking a little bit more towards the
Sparks side here, Robber, you know the chat check, I
think I think they're liking the Sparks as well. Let
me scroll back up a little bit here. So ninety
(27:58):
one and a half. I said, that's a huge first
half total to be Daddy says he still likes it
over Jeff says, the Lion screams Sparks, but they're off
at home. Yeah, I mean the Lion is kind of
it's kind of pulling me towards the Sparks too. Also
on Plumb over two and a half May threes, I
don't have that strong of an opinion, honestly. I mean,
(28:19):
I don't want to talk to you off Plumb. If
I'm liking the Sparks, I'll tell you that. Yes, Gooner
says body clock might be off for the Sun if
that was the last game there. You know, I do
think Alyssa Thomas is gonna make a push or try
to make a push for MVP. You gotta be out.
C sees out. I'm not mad at that that part
(28:40):
right there. Anything else we have on this game, I
don't think we do. Jeff says he likes the Sparks too,
because they've been impressive since rugglefore All Star Break. We're
in agreement there. Dirty Rix says the Sparks got a
better roster than most of any team in the league.
They got a big five. Now that brinks, But I
(29:00):
think they just weren't playing up to potential earlier in
the year. And you know, a lot of it has
to do with them not being great defensively. But I
like what I've seen. It's a one way ticket. I'll
be looking at the Sparks here. Anything else before we
move on, you know, a.
Speaker 2 (29:15):
Couple of quick things. A Again, they're only going to
get better with Cameron Brinkski. I think they are going
to make the playoffs. They're probably, They're definitely one of
the eight most talented teams in this league. And the
other thing when we left off on the Phoenix game,
you just reminded me. Now if we're looking for reasons
to play Phoenix, it is Alyssa Thomas and Dewana Bonner
(29:36):
against their home old team for the very first time.
So perhaps those two for folks who play props, could
be interesting there tonight with Thomas and Bonner.
Speaker 1 (29:48):
All right, let's keep going over to the last game,
the game that I was trying to skip ahead to before,
in the Storm open minus one and a half is
minus two total came down for one fifty nine and
a half as low as one fifty six, and like
I said before, nobody on the Andrew Port for Seattle,
he is out for the Links. Got hurt at the
(30:10):
end of that last game when they're blowing the Aces
out by fifty something. Had no business really even being
in the game. But as a result, she is hurt. Now,
the Links do have the rest advantage here, slight rest advantage,
and it's a chance for them to get some double
digit nd season or revenge. But I mean, this is
(30:31):
what a twenty five and four team here, you know,
and we now see them as underdogs. I mean that's
pretty telling in itself. Another storm round, back to back losses.
I know they desperately need a win, and I think
the Links might be more of a little bit of
a letdown spot after shooting sixty percent from three and
winning by fifty points. Do you see it that way?
(30:54):
Are you in agreement with the move down on the total?
Which way are you looking at this game? Well?
Speaker 2 (31:00):
I totally agree, and it's more the situational stuff that
you just mentioned to me. Minnesota has now built a
five and a half game lead for the number one
seed with eleven to go. There could be a little
low here. I don't like anything that we've seen out
of out of Minnesota when they've been without Callier, When
(31:24):
they played a couple of games without Callyer, they were
not good. Now they do get Carrington into the folded,
which I think you know Djone. Carrington's strength is the
defensive side. So Minnesota probably becomes a better defensive team.
She can add a little offense, but she's not the
most consistent shooter, scorer, etc. But very good defensively. So
(31:45):
maybe Minnesota becomes a little bit better defensively. But they
have built a huge lead, and I just think it's
a sigh of relief game, or you know, a little
breather type game where Seattle, as you mentioned, they can't
afford it. The log jam to get into the playoffs
is getting tighter and tighter and closing in on Seattle.
And they played Minnesota fairly tough so far this season.
(32:08):
Lose ninety four eighty four in Minnesota and lose, I think, yeah,
lose the win the first one in Seattle eighty two
to seventy seven. They beat them out right. I think
they can probably win this game again. I just don't
like the way Minnesota's played, even though it's only been
two or three, any game without Calier hasn't been a
(32:28):
good offensive game to me. I think they probably struggle
a little bit against the Seattle defense. Seattle off two
straight losses. It's all situational ski in this particular case,
but I do think Seattle's probably the right side.
Speaker 1 (32:43):
I think so as well. I definitely think so bad.
I'm gonna pull this up on the screen here. Actually
some things I was looking at just share for the
visual people like me. If I can get it correct,
There we go, share a screen ship here. Now I
know that I got to hit it one more time
because they changed. There we go. So let me get
(33:08):
back here. Storm this season off of a loss nine
and three straight up six and six ats seven and
five to the under. But just looking a little bit
closer at the team totals, We're gonna do some quick
math here one, two, three, only three, I mean, my bad.
(33:34):
Let me say like this. They've held opponents under their
team total nine of twelve games after a loss so
far this season. Now, if we look at if we
look at all back to back.
Speaker 3 (33:47):
Losses, only two games so far this season, both opponents
were under their team total.
Speaker 1 (33:59):
You see this yere to the under. I mean, I
think this is who the Storm are really like when
you lose twice and that's what you get, you get
defense six and oh the under. Here you see every
opponent went under their team total. Like I think that's
that's that's the identity of the Storm, right and if
(34:20):
they're hungry, they're coming.
Speaker 2 (34:21):
Out here like.
Speaker 1 (34:22):
I think that's how they're gonna win the game. If anything,
even if they don't win, I think they'll play defense.
That makes me think of team total under for the
for the links, and one more thing I want to
look at here. Let's go to the links so far
this season and let's look at them.
Speaker 4 (34:44):
Let's see if I can do this right off of
a win. Maybe I didn't even need to put that
off of a we have they won by thirty plus.
Let's do twenty. Let's do thirty plus. See if they
won by thirty p us good season.
Speaker 1 (35:01):
I think they have two games they're owing too straight
up and ats after winning by thirty shows that it
could be a little bit of a letdown here. Team
total is kind of one and one, but some interesting
stuff to say the least RAVENO any thoughts on those
things that we put up there.
Speaker 2 (35:23):
Yeah, just while you were talking, I looked up their
team total seventy seven and a half. Three games they
played this year without thefeasial callier in the lineup, they
scored sixty four. That's less than seventy seven and a half.
Seventy four that's less than seventy seven and a half.
And then they got eighty two against the Sparks, which
is more than seventy seven and a half, but it's
the Sparks. So I think that, you know, looking at
(35:43):
the Minnesota team total under and knowing that Seattle is
a pretty proud defensive team, I think is a is
a good look as well as the side here with
Seattle at home.
Speaker 1 (35:55):
Yeah, last thing you remind me it is too the
Links without Callier. They played three games this season, all
three of state under and if you go back to
last season without Collier, they are seven one and one
to the under two and seven hs. So big deal.
(36:15):
I know she's good on defense, but they're definite gonna
miss her twenty three points per game. And I'm just
double checking here for a team total rather than that,
I just I'll leave it like that. But you get
what we're saying here. Yes, Gooner doesn't like it, said,
seventy seven and a half is low. Looking at it outline,
(36:36):
I think I think they can still get there though.
All right, I think we did a pretty solid job here.
You know, five games took this thirty thirty seven minutes,
but we knocked them out. And before we get the
best bets, let's go ahead and throw this up there
because it is five dollars Tuesday. So Rob, I'm pretty
(36:57):
sure he has a top playoff and available on his
page for five dollars. I do as well. I got
u cap it's been killing it. Maybe go check his
out as well. Yeah, cappers have a top play on
their pace to day for five dollars. You can check
the right out, I mean check out their right up
and just get a feel for, you know, how they
handicap and what their picks might look like. So with
(37:20):
that said, let's see if I can do this correct
here boom back to normal getting better as a producer,
I guess a little bit, so we'll move it to
best best you know. I'll ask you if there's anything
else you'd like to promote, and look at the banner
at the bottom now too. I guess I was I
(37:41):
was slacking on that earlier, but yeah, anything else you
would like to promote, and if you have the best
bet for the show, we'd love to hear it. If
you don't, all good.
Speaker 2 (37:49):
I'll just say really quickly Ski that the five dollars
play that I have up for today is actually a
college football game from Week one, and it's up there
for one day only to today. I'm going to take
it back down, So if you're interested in college football
Week one, go ahead and purchase a five dollars play
over at wager talk dot com best bets. The more
(38:10):
I think about it, Ski, the more I like it.
I'm going to leave the chat with Connecticut team total
over seventy six and a half, even if they get
blown out here by Phoenix. I would assume that if
it's a blowout, Phoenix gets themselves into the nineties and
Connecticut's good enough to chase the seventy seven. In my
estimation here, you do run the risk that Phoenix is
(38:33):
angry off of that road trip. But I tried playing
an angry Phoenix team the last two games and they
didn't respond at all. So I'll go with the Connecticut
team total over seventy six and a half.
Speaker 1 (38:47):
All right, good stuff for Albino. For myself, I just
opened up my wallet and you know, jumped in. I
talked about it earlier, talked about it again, just now.
Gave plenty of reasons why looking at a Minnesota Links
team total under seventy seven and a half. Seems like
you know a solid way to go today, so that
would be my best bet for the show Links team
(39:09):
total under seventy seven and a half. Weno, good to
be back with you. Appreciate you taking the time to
catch these games with me. Everybody in the chat appreciate
you guys as well. Good people entertaining and you guys
help us, you know, get to the back as well.
Some good insight out there as well, Twitch x Kick,
(39:32):
YouTube Shorts, Spotify, Apple, We love you all as well.
We will be back tomorrow. I'm pretty sure we have
a game. Yeah, we're back tomorrow. We do have one game,
Aces and Valkyrise, same time, ten thirty am Pacific Standard time.
So best of luck on all your action today and
we'll catch you a game tomorrow
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