Total Bases | Beat the Books! Your Daily MLB Betting Fix - Predictions & Best Bets for October 1

Looking for the best MLB Playoffs picks, predictions, and betting tips for Wednesday, October 1, 2025? Tune in to Total Bases with expert handicappers Adam Trigger, Bryan Leonard and Tokyo Brandon as they break down today’s MLB matchups with sharp insights and actionable advice.

00:00:00 Introduction
00:01:14 Why the New York Yankees lost
00:05:46 Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
00:18:45 San Diego Padres vs Chicago Cubs
00:30:57 New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
00:44:30 Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds
00:59:01 Parlay of the Day

Episode Transcript

Speaker 1 (00:00):
Okay, all right, guys, welcome in. It's total basis.

Speaker 2 (00:05):
It's day two of the it's Wednesday, it's October first,
although yesterday really was October baseball, but we are officially
in the month of October. Day two of the playoffs,
another full slate of Major League Baseball. And because we
only have four games and we do have a minute
as people sort of file in, I want to just
bring up, like an observation I had in last night,

(00:27):
get your guys take on it, because it goes back
to something that we were talking about yesterday a little
bit in terms of coaching and trying to handicap a
coach in the playoffs.

Speaker 1 (00:35):
I think that's very important. And so Eric.

Speaker 2 (00:39):
Hosmer follows me on Twitter, which I think is very cool.
Neither here nor there. But of course, if you don't
know who Eric Cosmer is, four time All Star, four
time goal glover, played in the league for over a decade,
believe you won a World Series with the Royals. And
the point being made, and I'll start with Brian and

(00:59):
I'll go to Tokyo branded on this is Someone tweeted analytics
are a regular season thing, and it looked like he
agreed with that. And the reason I bring that up
is because yesterday the Yankees went with a lineup that
got criticized. And so my question to you, Brian, and
I think this is very important when you're handicapping these games.

(01:24):
If you've done something a certain way all season, do
you continue to do it that way in the playoffs
or are you on the side that like, hey, it's
the playoffs, we should have our best lineup out there
with our best players. And this is of course alluding
to the fact that the Yankees did not have Jazz
or Ben Rice in the lineup. I think it's an
interesting discussion. I thought it would be a good way
to start the show.

Speaker 3 (01:44):
Well, Jazz was slightly hurt, so that was why he
wasn't in there. Yes, I didn't like the way he
traded someone coming up to him to interview him. Afterwards,
he turns his back on the interviewers. That shows you
a lot of class. But yeah, analytics working. If they're
working in the regular season, why don't you use them
in the playoffs. It's just an extension of the regular season.

(02:08):
It's just the games mean more. And there's reasons why
you battle lefties against righties for the most part, and
those teams are our reason why they're here because they
got so much depth. You know, the Phillies have got
great depth. A lot of these teams have great depth.
But the Yankees don't really do that. And most of
the time that Blue Jays and the Yankees, especially the

(02:30):
Blue Jays just throw out the same lineup every day.
You don't find that in most cases in baseball, especially
the lesser payroll teams. You take a look at Cleveland,
you look at what their lineup is versus the lefties
and righties. And I was going to speak about one
of the teams today. I think they're in a slightly
different situation because of the hand inness of the starting pitchers.

(02:52):
So don't I don't agree with that. If you're Atlantic,
if you're your advanced stats got you there, continue to
use those to support your team.

Speaker 4 (03:05):
Yeah, you should basically go with what got you here basically.
But you know, I mean, managers are going to do
what they're gonna do. Maybe some guys were injured, maybe
they need addressed. I don't know. Jazz did enter the
game later on. Uh, maybe he wanted to keep Jazz
from committing five errors. Maybe who knows. Uh, So it

(03:27):
could be it could be a number of things. But
in any case, they lost the game, and it wasn't
because of their lineup. They lost the game because they
had bases loaded with no outs and choked two times.
That's why they lost the game. Uh. And they lost
the game because Nuke Weaver is a horrible pitcher, and
basically that lost the game. Those two things lost the

(03:48):
game for them, plain and simple. I don't know why
he put Weaver in that situation. Weaver's been choking all season.
Williams has been choking all season. He played him too,
so so those were some questionable decisions in my opinion.
But uh yeah, I don't think the lineup is what
lost the game for them. Bases loaded with no outs,

(04:11):
that's unforgivable.

Speaker 1 (04:14):
I would argue.

Speaker 2 (04:14):
I would also throw in the fact that Garat Crochet
was very, very good. I mean, you gotta, you gotta
just tip your cap. He pitched great, and that that
didn't help their cause, of course, took your brain and
you allude, yeah he did, alluding to the eighties had
a golden opportunity at the end of that game and
couldn't get it done. I don't know if I I'm
kind of on the fence because on one hand, I

(04:37):
do think, like, yeah, if if a certain if you
did something one way for one hundred and sixty two games,
do you want to go a different way in the playoffs?
The second thing is, though, do you leave a guy
like Ben Rice on the bench when he's got an
eight thirty six ops? And that's ultimately what kept me
off of the making a Yankees a client play yesterday.

Speaker 1 (04:55):
I'm in a group, you know, if if.

Speaker 2 (04:56):
You watch end Zone Live on Sundays where we joke
around during the football games and hang out, I'm in
a group chat with a bunch of Giants fans are
also diehard Yankees fans that watch one hundred and sixty
two Yankee games a year. Those are my college buddies.
They're all from the city. They all go to a
lot of Yankee games. And as soon as they started
complaining about the lineup, no Ben Rice and stuff like that,
I was like, that is an interesting It's just an

(05:18):
interesting conversation. I don't think there's a right answer or
wrong answer, but I just do think it's an interesting
way to kick off the show and sort of drive
the point home, like listen, like this is a we're
here to try to make good bets, and this is
a sports betting show, and I don't think. I think
the point that you really have to handicap the manager
in the playoffs is just very very important. Let's go

(05:40):
to our first game today, Brian Leonard, yesterday, or really
all all through the last few weeks, I've kind of
gone into the playoffs saying I don't want to really
bet against aj Hinch in the playoffs. He's a guy
I really like how he manages games, and I think
if I'm raiding out managers in terms of guys I
want to bet on, he's up there. He may have

(06:01):
won the Tigers that game yesterday. I thought it was
a great decision to bunt in that one run game,
one one game to get the second run in, and
I really liked how I felt like he let Scoogle
go the exact amount he should have went to his bullpen. Now,
you could say that the Guardians squadded an opportunity in
the ninth, but you could also say the Tigers did
as well. I mean, the Tigers could have easily blown

(06:21):
that game open top nine, and they didn't He's a
guy that I like to back in the playoffs. The
Tigers get the win yesterday, Guardians now up against it.
That's the great thing about these wild card series once. Yeah,
I mean, you go from popping bottles. You're in the playoffs.
Everyone's celebrating one loss, and now you need back to
that elimination wins to get to the second round. That's

(06:44):
where the Guardians are at. Do they give us a
game three or do you think the Tigers get it
done today?

Speaker 3 (06:49):
First of all, I blame the Yankees lost on the
third base coach. They're down by two runs. They stopped
the guy. The entertainer's not going to throw the ball
to the play meant nothing. He gets he gets that
run and it's a totally different ballgame. And he didn't
invests the runners twice in a row. And I thought
that was a mistake. But I'm not there. They're getting

(07:11):
paid for the job that they're doing. We're getting paid
for what we do.

Speaker 1 (07:16):
Yeah.

Speaker 3 (07:17):
When I take a look at the Cleveland game here
and the under for Detroit won for our parlay my
parlay piece, Unfortunately, I had Cleveland plus one forty four
for my clients could have gone either way, but Detroit
does have the better manager. I agree, and I do

(07:39):
want to point out that lately, since this has been
going on, the team that wins the first game tends
to sweep the series. So we've got some interesting numbers
here if you believe into that theory. But we've got
Casey MII is going today up against Tanner Bobby. Bobby's
about a one to twenty five on twenty six seven,

(08:02):
maybe favorite six and a half to the total. H
slightly over in that regard. Miss have been a guy
all season long that you know. He comes in with
a thirteen or forgive me fourteen a six record, but
his numbers are somewhat pedestrian three point eighty seven ERA
three point six nine expected one point two seven whip,

(08:24):
very good in the walk rate, very good with his extension.
He's six to three, but his walk rate is very good,
and that's pretty important going against the Cleveland team who
does take a lot of pitches, or the Cleveland side
Tander Biby, who's pitching much better now than he had
earlier in the season. He's only twelve and eleven on
the year, four point two to four e RA three

(08:45):
point six four expected, so he said a little bit
of bad luck. One point two to three whip and
for the most part he's slightly better than an average
Pitcher's chase rate is only in the sixteenth percentile, and
that's hurt him all year. He can't get some to
swing out of the swing for the worst pitches out
of the strike zones, but he does throw six different pitches.

(09:07):
So from a pitching standpoint, I give Cleveland a very
slight edge. I obviously give them the home advantage here
and which puts it where it should be, probably in
about the one thirty range or so. So I'm not
seeing enough to get involved in this one. I tried
to look at the Detroit team total under again. There's

(09:30):
one three and a half out there right now, but
all the rest are two and a halfs. I'm not
going to play under two and a half, even though
it's plus money. These runs mean so much more when
the line is only six and a half in the totals.
So I'll probably be setting this one out rooting for
my home team, Guardians, Indians, whatever you want to call him.
But it should be a pretty good game. We'll see

(09:53):
how it goes. Very similar to yesterday, I would think.

Speaker 4 (09:56):
So, guys, go to ways to Talk Doc and see
what we have up. Most of our campers put free
plays up almost every day. Go to waygertalk dot com
and click the free play page. I have one up
right now, and I also have a Major League Baseball
play up as well. Listen to the show closely and

(10:16):
you'll probably figure out what game I have out so
you won't have to buy my play. So regarding this game, look,
I think the Guardians can probably even up the series today.
And I say that because they have the much better
bullpen in my opinion, and they also have the much

(10:36):
better starter. They have the better starter with the better
head to head matchups. I have the lineups. You know,
I got Cleveland a slight advantage in lineup, but I
think it's I think it's comparable. It's it's a negligible,
it's a negligible difference. But I don't think the bullpen
is a negligible difference. I think Cleveland. Cleveland has a

(10:58):
huge advantage here, and I like Tanner Byby's numbers against
these batters in his history. Uh, Casey Mice has let
me down quite a few times this season, and I
have a feeling this season or this game, he's he's
in for letdown as well. I just feel like Cleveland's
gonna even this up tonight. I like Biby, I like

(11:20):
the bullpen, and I like the Guardian. As a matter
of fact, I'm gonna make that my parlay leg. I'm
just gonna get out of the way. Now, give me,
give me, give me the Cleveland team. I'm not gonna
say they're their name because it's such a stupid name.
Give me the Cleveland team on the money line for
my parlay leg. The Washington football team and the Cleveland

(11:43):
baseball team are two names that I refuse to say
because they're so dumb.

Speaker 1 (11:48):
What do you have for Brian? What do you have
for a line Guardian? That's what I'm seeing as well,
So I'll I just want to speak.

Speaker 2 (11:58):
To Brian pointed out, and I think Ralph Michael sent
us a good trend. I think you already brought up
the it's like home teams that lose the first game.

Speaker 1 (12:09):
Do you have that in front of you by any
chance I can find it?

Speaker 3 (12:12):
If it should be a slack, I believe yeah.

Speaker 2 (12:15):
So it's essentially and I'm not a trends guy. I'm
not a trend guy at all. But so what he's
saying is since twenty twenty. So twenty twenty is when
we went to these well the twenty twenty playoffs were
a whole different thing, But after that is when we
went to these like wildcard series type things, which is
where you're playing like the best two of three Wildcard

(12:36):
teams that lose game one at home are four and
eight straight up, and they're zero and four of the
last two years. And then wildcat wildcard teams off of
a loss at home, which means I think you could
it could mean that would be losing game two could
also count in that scenario, are three and nine in

(12:57):
their last twelve games, all playoffs, All all teams off
of a loss in home field that had home field
in game one or eight and thirteen. I again, I
could care less about trends, but I'm gonna I'm gonna
talk about this one because I do think there's a
sort of way to quantify this a little bit.

Speaker 1 (13:15):
And it goes back to what I was saying a
minute ago.

Speaker 2 (13:17):
You have you have a team that just played one
hundred and sixty two games they won and they just
pop bottles, right, they celebrated. We got the goggles out, Brian.
We're spraying champagne all over the locker room. Uh, we're
having a great time. And within all a take, within
nine innings of baseball, you went from we're the champs

(13:39):
to we are now one loss away from our season
being overs. And that's something you used to not really
see in the playoffs, like even those old, the old playoffs,
with a three out of five you still had it
was like two games, Okay, you're down. Oh two, Well,
you're gonna get a day to take a breath. You're
gonna get to go back home to play on your
home field. It was just a it was still more

(14:00):
like a playoffs tight vibe.

Speaker 1 (14:02):
Now.

Speaker 2 (14:02):
I mean, if you lost yesterday and you're and you
don't win today, it's done.

Speaker 1 (14:06):
I mean you don't even have a chance to you know,
take a breath. It's over.

Speaker 2 (14:12):
And I think that's why some of these teams that, like,
especially the home team that has the shock of losing
Game one, turns around and can't and and and ends
up losing the next day. I think it's I think
it's because of because of that, Because if you're a
team like the Guardians yesterday. I mean, even in the
ninth inning, you're still feeling pretty good about yourself. I
don't know that the Guardians ever thought that they were

(14:33):
going to lose that game until they actually did. They're
in the ninth they got a man on third, no outs,
they're places rocket.

Speaker 1 (14:38):
They probably think they're at least going to tie the game.

Speaker 2 (14:41):
I think that's what makes it hard for these teams
that lose game one to to to sort of come
back in game two. There's no there's no rest, there's
no home field switch. You're back out there the next day,
and suddenly if you are, if you don't win, you're
out of here.

Speaker 1 (14:56):
You're going home.

Speaker 2 (14:57):
I think you see those teams play tight sometimes, so
this is one where I do.

Speaker 1 (15:02):
I am kind of keeping that in mind.

Speaker 2 (15:04):
I think for that reason as far as this matchup
is concerned, you mean to tell me that yesterday's total
was six with schoobl and Gavin Williams both just dealing,
and today at six and a half with these two.
I mean, I listen, I get that, like, you don't
have great off you know, you could argue that neither
offense is stellar, but Schoogle was great yesterday. Gavin Williams

(15:28):
had his good stuff. We talked about it on the show.
And Gavin Williams is good. He can throw up zeros
just like Threek Schooble can. I don't think Maze or
Biby is good. Is someone that just you can sort
of bank on throwing up zero. So for that reason
I like the over here six and a half is
you can't tell me that that shouldn't be more of
a even with the two to one final yesterday, there

(15:50):
should be more of an adjustment from Williams Schooble to
Mize Boby in my opinion, So I've got that total
off about about a run, So I'll I like over
six and a half in this game. Sorry, Brian, were
you gonna follow?

Speaker 3 (16:03):
Yeah, I just I just wanted to point out you
talked about the Cleveland celebration. Cleveland celebrated twice. They celebrated
when they made the playoffs, and they celebrated when they
won the division. So lots of celebrating in Cleveland, which
unfortunately doesn't happen very often. That's a team that lacks
championships in a lot of sports. But yeah, I understand that,

(16:25):
and I was thinking something too very similar regarding the
total in this because yeahs Baby aren't as good, but
you did use a lot of key pitchers in the
Cleveland bullpen yesterday, and it will be the second of
their back to back. Well, if it is the second
of their back to back, it would likely not be

(16:45):
as strong, So that would be another reason to someone
like the over here. But as I had mentioned yes
on yesterday's show, you go back to last few years
on this first round you're seeing and you're seeing final
scores of five, six, and seven a lot. So if
it was seven, I wouldn't want any part of it.

(17:08):
But six and a half I can slightly agree with
you there.

Speaker 2 (17:13):
I mean six and a half in a lot of
cases is six. You got a tight game, three three,
and it's a win. So yeah, I think I think
that that's uh. I just think that that's not a
big enough adjustment for the pitchers, and I think too
much of it is putting stock into how yester game.
Yesterday's game played out, which is an outlier when you
have School striking out everyone, and you know what, do

(17:36):
you have fourteen K's fifteen strikeouts? He was great and
Gavin Williams was great. I don't think that'll get talked
about enough.

Speaker 1 (17:43):
He was. He was really good yesterday as well well.

Speaker 3 (17:45):
Both the runs weren't unearned runs.

Speaker 1 (17:49):
Yeah, and you talk about like what like the fine
line in these games.

Speaker 2 (17:52):
I mean, but Jakenzi Noel keeps his bag on the
bag at first, and it's it could be a totally
different game. So it's it's it's a very interesting dynamic.
These wild card series are just it's it's like nothing.
We never saw these prior other than we had a
one game playoff for a little while, and they're just

(18:14):
it's I think it's just like a totally different handicap
than you're gonna find the rest of the playoffs once
we get into okay, two games here, day off. Now
we're going back to your place day off. Like, it's
just a very different handicap, and we've got four where
it's gonna permeate into all four of these games that
we're talking about, because there are four teams that are

(18:35):
now in the spot of we're going to the playoffs
and then twenty four hours later, okay, now we lose
in our seasons over and the Padres are in that
spot today, we're going to the playoffs. We take an
we take an early lead, we're up one nothing, A
couple home runs later, and suddenly we are nine names
away from the season being over.

Speaker 1 (18:54):
So back to you, Brian Leonard Wrigley Field.

Speaker 2 (18:55):
Today, it looks like the Cubs are going to open
the game with Andrew Kiddteridge and then and then go out.
I swear this is the counter to not having Kate Horton,
who's was a tough injury for them. The Padres are
Dylan Cees who's been been hit or missed, but we
know when he's on he can be pretty good. How
are you approaching Cubs Padres this afternoon?

Speaker 3 (19:15):
Yeah, see Kittrich Kitchrick's about a maybe a one thirteen
favorite right now, total six and a half to the
over twenty or so. I'm not a huge believer in
this Padres team, and I haven't been all year. They've

(19:36):
they just don't have They've got pretty good hitters, but
they don't have much depth on the bench. In fact,
they bought Caprisano and Maldonado back up from Triple A
and they are two backup catchers for Freddy. For me,
I don't know why you need two backup catchers at
this point, But neither one of them are very good hitters.

(19:57):
Waltonato is a terrible hitter, and you got a Glaciers,
who I like him, is an all around good player,
but is he really somebody want to have in the
lineup all the time. And mccolly and Johnson, so they
really don't have that ability to bring in guys from
the bench that are going to help them later on
in the game, and I think that hurts in the
lefty righty situation when I'm looking at this game. We

(20:20):
take a look at Dylan Dylan Cease and as I
mentioned many times, I really was expecting a good year
from him. He had a three point four to seven
ERA last year, one point seven whip this season, back
to the four point five to five, one point three
to three whip. And if you take a look at
SACas Page, he's better than a Lee average, but he's
not much better than the average, and that's not what

(20:41):
they paid for. When you're looking for Dylan Cees, you
need something a little bit better in that regard. And
then we take a look at the Cubs. You know,
the Cubs I mentioned yesterday, they're getting some of their
hitters back, and they've that's been their best part of
their team early on in the season. You take a
look right now, last seven days, Michael Bush is the

(21:03):
third best hitter in baseball, Suzuki is the second best hitter,
and they've got three other guys that are in the
top one hundred. So it's a team that's hitting very
well right now. And I have the ability to hit well.
They got Boyd out of there, and like I said,
I don't think he'd go more than five innings. Didn't
even get to that point yesterday. They are going with
kid Rich and they are going to make it a

(21:23):
bullpen game, but they do. This is the Imanaga spot
in the rotation. If they get to the point where
they need innings, they can bring him in. So they
gets a pretty good setup for them today. And what
I like about the Cubs is they've got three lefties
in the bullpen, even Aga if he comes out, there's
the four. So they' can do a lot of mitch

(21:44):
mixing in matching here. And as I mentioned yesterday, they
do have a lot of veterans on this team. Now.
They did use force for relievers yesterday. All throw ten
pitchers or more ten to twenty, but they had the
previous two off, so I don't think that's gonna make
much of a difference. I am going to use the
Cubs as my part of the parlay here, unlike a

(22:08):
lot of the others or the team that lost is uh,
you're you're, you're laying a little bit more because of
the need to win. You know, We're getting the Cubs here,
who I think there's a slightly better team playing at home,
and they're going against kit going against Cease, who struggled
all year. So I'm gonna go with kit Ridge and

(22:29):
the Cubs here. And like I said that, the line
on here is Man minus one thirteen or so one fourteen.
Let's go with one fourteen is the Cubs on this
with kit Ridge against Cese. And they will use kid
Ridge as already against the top of that lineup, So
he may go two innings, he may only go one,
but that's one less time somebody else has to go

(22:50):
go against them, and they see somebody different every single inning.
I think that's an advantage for the Cubs.

Speaker 4 (22:58):
Is I'm going to go on a rant here, but
before that's where I do that I need to mention
that wager Talk allows us now that football has started
to sell our MLB plays at nine dollars, so it's
a great value. They used to be fifteen for a
two percent, twenty five dollars for three or four percent,
and now you can get that all for nine dollars

(23:19):
except for five percent plays. So go to wagertalk dot
com and see what we have. My MLB play up
today is already there, and I have a free play
up as well. I'm sure these gentlemen will be doing
a similar my ramp. When I used to be a scout,
I had a statistic that I love to keep track of.

(23:40):
I called it. I called it the Woosy Index. Are
you a woosy or are you a man? But I
didn't say woosy I used. I used a P instead
of a W. But are you a man? Or are
you a woosy? With a P? So that's that's statistic
that I took. That that I kept track of was
what is percentage of knocking a run in when there's

(24:02):
a guy on third base and less than two outs?
That really shows if you're a good baseball player or not.
You have to have intelligence. You have to read the game.
You have to know there's twelve ways to score in
that situation. Twelve ways to score, and you have a
seventy three percent chance of scoring in that situation. If
you cannot score in that situation at least seventy percent

(24:25):
of the time three out of four, you are a
woosie with a P. You are not a man. And
the Padres had that situation in the first five innings
three times and failed to score. That shows me that
they are not good baseball players, and they are stupid
baseball players. It's like an MMA fighter. You can go
out there, you can have all of the talent and

(24:46):
the skill, but if you just swing like that with
no strategy, you're gonna lose. Like brock Lesner. You know
he's tough, he's huge, but he's not a champion. This
is the Padres, this is where we're at. They play
stupid b baseball. They're uber talented, but they play stupid
baseball and it just annoys me. The Yankees were woosies

(25:07):
with a P yesterday too. Bases loaded with no outs.
You can't do that. You cannot do that. All you
is ground out and you get a run. You just
can't do that. Cubs had one situation and they scored
in that situation. So that was smart baseball by the
Cubs and stupid baseball by the Padres, and that's why
they lost the game. End of ran. Regarding this one,

(25:31):
Dylan Cease, look at his numbers against these batters, man
ninety eight at bats against and a one ninety four
average with a five ninety five ohps. This is some
good stuff here. I'm expecting a low scoring game in
this one because that Cub's bullpen was lights out yesterday.
They were awesome. I don't expect a lot of runs here.

(25:54):
I don't know if the Padres can win it, but
I do think Ceese can hold the Cubs down for
at least five innings here, and the Padres bullpen's pretty good,
so I would look for an under in this game
if anything. So Ramp finished and uh cap finished.

Speaker 2 (26:14):
That was That was as good as it gets from.
That was an elite promo breakdown. Like Johnny Detroit has
got to be thrilled about that right now, because you
got the promo in, you got something that you can
easily clip and throw up on different social media's, and
then you gave a nice, nice quick breakdown of the game.
Steve Duke says, w'osie with a P is his new
garage band name, which is also ter So that was

(26:36):
that was great as far as this game is concerned.
I mean, so here, here's like the thing we've kind
of talked about Dylan Cees this year. He he I
think Dylan sees a little bit of a headcase. I
feel like he's very hot cold. You know, you look
at his stat cast page. It kind of there's a

(26:57):
lot to like. But then he had he has his
moments where it kind of goes off the rails a
little bit. He puts a couple of guys on. I
think he starts to overthink things. He starts to now
I don't know why. He just doesn't trust his stuff,
which can be very good. Like I think he gets
in his own head more than any maybe more than
any other pitcher in Major League Baseball. Like this dude

(27:18):
is in there. He's thinking way too much. If he
just throws. I mean, he's got good stuff. You look
at him, he's got six you know, he's got four
or five pitches, throws a lot of you know, fastball slider,
his fastball slider on its own is good enough where
if he's just out there throwing it, guys are gonna
have a hard time with it. It's got good movement, he

(27:39):
gets swing and miss. His strikeout rate is top ten
percent in the league. But he will go on these
stretches where he can't throw strikes, or he or he
goes maybe he'll throw three balls. Then he throws one
right over the middle, and then he gets in his
own head. It's almost like you can see him out
there kicking himself on the mount and then it turns
into a four run innings. It's been very frustrating to

(28:01):
watch them this year. I'm gonna go back to Brian
Lenard for a second. What is our Wriggley Field weather
report for today? Because the weather kept me off of
the Cubbies yesterday, and in hindsight, I'm a little annoyed
about it.

Speaker 1 (28:11):
What are we looking at for weather today?

Speaker 3 (28:13):
Yeah, we're looking at for the Dodgers. The runs are
minus three percent for the Cleveland minus three percent. Wrigley
Field minus eleven percent is blowing right in again, and
the Yankees minus nineteen percent is blowing left to right.
So yeah, all the games pitchers battles. Uh. The line

(28:37):
tells you that, and the wins are not going to
help the situation.

Speaker 2 (28:42):
You could have had industrial fans in the outfield in
La last night, it wouldn't have mattered. But the other
three games all stayed all stayed under And honestly, like
the part of the reason I couldn't get there with
the Cubs yesterday was because I knew the wind blowing
in and the park playing in that manner should help
Nick Pivett. It also should help Dylan Cease. So that's like, again,

(29:05):
I'm not I'm not trying to say that your your
thought process isn't good with the Cubs, but that's that's
a little bit annoying to me because this is a
guy Cease that doesn't He doesn't he doesn't give up
a ton of ground balls either.

Speaker 1 (29:18):
He's more of a fly ball pitcher.

Speaker 2 (29:20):
And so if the wind was blowing out, I would
have really liked the Cubs to win yesterday.

Speaker 1 (29:24):
If the wind was blowing out, I would really liked
them to win here.

Speaker 2 (29:27):
But I do think the ballpark factors are are a
little bit helpful to San Diego and to Dylan Ceeze,
who likes to pitch, uh, you know, will give up
fly balls.

Speaker 1 (29:38):
And gets a lot of swinging, like gets a lot
of swing and miss.

Speaker 2 (29:41):
I really think that the wind blowing out would have
hurt him now and obviously doesn't.

Speaker 1 (29:46):
So a very interesting game here.

Speaker 2 (29:47):
I think the line is is and with most of
these I don't think you're gonna find like line value
if you're if you're just looking for line value, you're
not going to make many bets in postseason in my opinion,
especially on the side. You can find good value on
totals a lot of times, but the books kind of
nail these these numbers.

Speaker 1 (30:04):
On the side.

Speaker 2 (30:05):
I think this is one where I think it's pretty
much right on, and I think you could probably talk
yourself into either side to based on what your handicap
is and how confident you are in Dylan Cease. If
you think cas is going to show up, you got
to like the Padres if you think he's going to
be the head case that he's been and get himself
into trouble and suddenly the Wrigley Field crowd is on,

(30:25):
and then you got to like the Cubs.

Speaker 1 (30:27):
Interesting game, go ahead, Brian.

Speaker 3 (30:29):
Yeah, I just wanted to point out with Pavetta. You
only gave up three hits in the game. Two of
them are home runs, and that's with the way I'm
blowing in. So yeah, those guys that are tendency to
give up the fly balls, you know, some of them
are still going to go out. But uh yeah, that's
one of the you know you talked about. You can
go both way as well. That's why the line is
in this general area. It is same as in the

(30:50):
Cleveland game. So you should be a lot of good
ball games today.

Speaker 1 (30:57):
We have another so to transition here the one game, well,
we have two games.

Speaker 2 (31:01):
That are tight lines, two games where we're we've got
a perceived big favorite, and we're heading the Yankee Stadium
where Yeah, listen, I'm gonna double down on what I said.
I still believe what I said yesterday. I still think
that the Yankees, from a talent standpoint, have have more
talent than just about anyone in the American League. Maybe

(31:22):
not the Mariners. But this is just a great sort
of example of what this wild Card series is and
maybe why these teams really want to, you know, go
hard to get that one or that two seed, because
right now the Mariners don't have to worry about this.
They're home, they're hanging out, and they're gonna get a
real playoff series where water may find its level a

(31:43):
little bit. The Yankees yesterday Tokyo Brandon talked about, you know,
not being able to come through with a guy on third,
But the reality is they still had to face Garrett Crochet,
who is great, Like they still had to go out and.

Speaker 4 (31:55):
End they were winning.

Speaker 2 (31:57):
They were winning, But I understand that, but like the
point is, you still played yourself into a scenario because
they weren't one or two where they had to beat
a cy young caliber pitcher. And so even though you
could say, oh, well they should have got the run
home whatever, I mean, it's not exactly like a given
that you're just gonna like get runs home off or
all the chatman who's throwing a hundred and then throwing

(32:17):
a splitter, it's like, yeah, I understand, he pitched himself
into a little trouble, but that's no guarantee. But the
point is, you now take yourself as the Yankees from Okay,
we're going to the playoffs nine names later, we're now
one game away from elimination. And to me, it's because like, hey,
like they still had to beat Geric Crochet and I

(32:38):
still don't think the Red Sox are a very good
baseball team. I still think they missed Roman Anthony a Ton,
but they were able to squeak out a close win
behind one of the best pitchers in the game. Now
we come to today and I'll go to Brian Leonard.
Does the pressure catch up with the Yankees? Or is
this a much better spot for the Yankees now that
they don't have to face one of the best pictures

(32:59):
that made Juleigue baseball and also a right handed pitcher,
which is going to allow them to probably put their
ultimate optimal line about here.

Speaker 1 (33:06):
Yankees, Red Sox, how do you see this one?

Speaker 3 (33:09):
Yep? I agree Bello against BeO, excuse me against Rodin
the lefty. Once about it? One seventy five for the
Yankees total seven and a half to the under or
he gets seven to the over, so it's seven and
a quarter. As our friend Steve Zik would say, I'm
looking at this game and this is this is the
lineup that I'm pointing out. I wanted to point out

(33:30):
here when the Red Sox face the lefty, they have
to take out of the lineup Yoshida, which is his
power aching on our roster resources three seventeen, Nathaniel lo
Low his is one thirteen and a bray You one
forty eight and they replaced him with Nick Sagard four

(33:54):
forty six. Nate Eaton comes over from Kansas City. He's
never done nothing there, four thirty three, and Rob Ruthschneider,
who I actually like, but he's ranked to ninety so
the bolt the Boston lineup is much weaker when they
face the right hand or as opposed to a lefty,

(34:15):
and Boston's going with obviously going with the BAO. And
when he took a look at Bo's numbers three point
three five ERA, but is expected to ra four point
four to two. He's been extremely lucky this year. And
from his backcast page, his number, it's the only thing
he's really good at. Its ground ball rate eighty fourth percentile,

(34:36):
that's that's it. But his WIF rates only in the thirteenth,
his strikeout rates only in the sixteenth. Throws five pitches,
and what I like is this four seeing they cut
back all the way to fifteen percent. That's what Boston
has done. I think it's one of the reasons why
they're having so much success out of these young guys
they've been bringing up. But from Brian BeO is a
guy I usually want to go against, and I think

(34:59):
he's a little bit old, overrated. He didn't deserve that
money they gave him, but hey, good for him. Good
for him and his him and his agent and his family.
Carlos rode on eighteen and nine on the season after
a sixteen and nine season last year three point oh
eight excuse me, three point ninety IRA, three point three
two expected one point oh five whip. He's really gotten
that whip down this year. It was one point two

(35:20):
to two last year, one point four to five the
year before. A lot of red on his stack cast page.
He's better than a league average pitcher. Doesn't have the
great extension, and his walk rate is only twenty eighth percentile,
but his whif right eighty four percentile strike out rate
seventy fourth. I like Carlos Rodan, and he does throw
five pitches, although this fort samer forty two percent of

(35:44):
the time, which is about one mile an hour higher
than normal left he's at ninety four point one. I
like the Yankees in this game. I just don't want
to lay that number. I need to find a different
way to play it. Maybe, you know, take a look
at team totals here. You got bossed at three and
a half under forty five to forty eight. It's a

(36:05):
little bit expensive in that regard, especially the way that
Yankees bullpen is I'm sure TV will point out continues
to underperform with guys that have been All Stars in
the past. Very strange season for them. But Roddan, the
Yankees are three and a half to the over forty five.
That's not a bad situation. As you mentioned, they're going

(36:25):
to have their optimum lineup out there. Maybe you play
the Yankees team total. If they score four runs, you've
got a winner. That may be something that has some
value to me. I'm leaning that way. That's the way
I would play this at this point.

Speaker 4 (36:40):
Go to waysytalk dot com. Guys, our MLB plays are
nine dollars for the rest of the season. Great value.
Rant number two and I'll make this one extremely short.
TV stations, will you please please stop putting playoff stats
for players up making me go online to see what
the guys batting average and ops is. I don't need

(37:02):
to see a point zero zero zero point zero zero
zero in Game one of the playoffs. Why do you
put the playoff stats up? It's so stupid. It's game one.
Of course they're all batting zero. Stop it. It's done.

Speaker 1 (37:15):
Valid, valid, right there, Yeah, yeah, valid rant.

Speaker 4 (37:20):
Okay, back to the game. I've never been a big
believer in Rodin. I've never really liked him, but he
has certainly changed my mind this season. Man, he's performed
really really well all season. And he's never a guy
that I really liked that much. Brian Bao is Brian Bao.
He's not very good. He's okay, he's serviceable, but not great.

(37:44):
I think Carlos Rodon should be able to nail down
these batters today, and a lot of people in the
chat and you guys are also mentioning it's a steep number.
You know what. The Yankees minus one is only minus
one sixteen. It's not that bad. And if they win
by one, you don't lose your money like like a
run line bet. So I think that's a pretty decent play.

(38:08):
But I like Rodin better than bo and I also
one bonus today is Nuke Weaver and Bin Laden Williams
won't be in there to nuke the game for the
Yankees tonight. So you'll get the good bullpen guys tonight,
so hopefully they can they can hammer it down. I

(38:29):
like the Yankees in this one.

Speaker 1 (38:31):
Wow, yank Yankees minus one really only minus one sixteen.
I agree with you that does that's a very good
bet it was when check.

Speaker 2 (38:38):
Even if it's minus one twenty minus one twenty something,
that's that's probably a decent way to look. I think
the Yankees are going to blow this open at some point.
I think that yesterday yesterday listen, like again, I'll go
back to the fact, like Garrett Crochet elite left handed pitcher,
that that's going to be tough for any team. So
all the things I said about the series, all the

(38:59):
things I said about the Red Sox being a team,
I want to fade feeling like the Yankees were the
far better team, a ton of talent, thinking that they're
the toughest out in the American League. I still believe
that it's just you have to accept the fact that
on any day that Garrett Crochet is on his team's
gonna have a great chance to win. Any day Tariq's

(39:20):
Google is on his team's gonna have a great chance
to win. There's only a couple of guys in the
league right now that are that Crochet is one of them.

Speaker 1 (39:28):
Like it just it is what it is.

Speaker 2 (39:29):
You can throw, you can pretty much Paul Skins right, Like,
look at what Paul Skeens turns the Pirates into a
viable option anytime he steps on the mount. So I'm
not really that worried about what the outcome of yesterday's
game was because it was Crochet throwing a gem. Hey ralla,
Chapman threw twenty four pitches. Like, even if it came

(39:50):
down to Chapman being in this game late, I think
the Yankees.

Speaker 1 (39:54):
Could get to him.

Speaker 2 (39:55):
They were very very close to getting him yesterday, and
those were a stressful twenty four I don't know that
I would want Chapman back in here necessarily if I'm
the Red Sox. That was a stressful twenty four pitches
and he was very fortunate, you know, to get out
of that game. I also think that game being three
to one makes it a totally different scenario because they're

(40:16):
probably pinch running. They're probably gonna score that run from
third base. If the game is two to one, the
only reason they didn't send him was because why even
risk getting a guy that doesn't run all that well
thrown out at home. So again, I'm not scared of
the Red Sox bullpen here. If I'm the Yankees, I
don't even think it comes to it. I fully expect
this Yankees lineup to get to Bayo. You're gonna have

(40:37):
a better lineup than you did yesterday. And he's a
far worse pitcher. He doesn't strike many guys out, he
doesn't get a ton of swing and miss, so I
mean it would be like, yeah, the Brian Beayo sort
of path to victory, keep everything on the ground, get
some double play balls, you know, get out of the
inning in that fashion.

Speaker 1 (40:57):
Yeah, could it happen. It could.

Speaker 2 (40:59):
I'm not saying that Red Sox can't win here. You know,
there's no such thing as this is playoff baseball. If
the Red Sox come to play, they're gonna have just
as good of a chance. But I'll be really surprised
if BeO holds down this Yankees offense on the On
the flip side, though, Radon could absolutely hold down the
Red Sox offense, which again I'll go back to, the
fact is that just does not pack the same punch

(41:21):
without Roman Anthony and yesterday.

Speaker 1 (41:23):
I mean, really, what did they got a timely hit
or two.

Speaker 2 (41:26):
It's not like they put up big you know, it's
not like they scored a bunch of runs. I'll be
surprised if the Socks score more than two or three today.
So if you do get that Yankees team total, or
you do get like one crooked number here for the Yankees,
I think you're gonna be in business with the Yankees.
And I also think because the Red Sox have the
luxury of having the one game lead, that if they
fall behind, they're definitely saving Chapman and they're gonna set

(41:48):
themselves up.

Speaker 1 (41:49):
For Game three.

Speaker 2 (41:49):
You will not see if it's a tie game, You're
not gonna see them burn Chapman here because it would
pretty much guarantee that they're not gonna be able to
use them in Game three. So could they go to Chapman,
maybe with a one run lead late, to try to
end it? Yes, Do I think it's the end of
the world for the Yankees if that happens. No, Because
they were so close to getting him yesterday, I think
they'd have confident at bats against him again here. So

(42:12):
I do think this lines up nicely for the Yankees
from a from a pick the winner standpoint today, To me,
this is the clearest cut one of the bunch and
TV that I think you pointed out a very good
That minus one bet is a little cheaper than.

Speaker 1 (42:26):
I expected it to be.

Speaker 2 (42:27):
So I'll put the money line in our parlay though,
because there's no reason to take the minus one and
a three team, especially when you guys took.

Speaker 4 (42:34):
Let's just yeah, I mean, let's just let's just hope
the Yankees keep it under four errors and they can
probably probably pull this one out.

Speaker 1 (42:42):
Yeah, I mean, it's a good point TV.

Speaker 2 (42:43):
If the Yankees lose this game, I strongly believe they
probably beat themselves with an error like a like something.

Speaker 4 (42:50):
Just yeah, drop the ball a couple of times, VOLTI
can drop it a couple of times.

Speaker 1 (42:58):
I don't even think they played that badly yesterday.

Speaker 2 (43:00):
I really believe that was just an absolute dog like
he's just that. He's just that dude right now, and
he got big out after big out, so so credit
to him, credit to the Red Sox doesn't mean they're
gonna win the series, doesn't mean they're gonna win here.

Speaker 1 (43:14):
I like the Yankees, and that will be.

Speaker 4 (43:18):
Wasn't it Wasn't it so nice to have baseball from
morning all the way to night. Wasn't that just nice?

Speaker 2 (43:25):
Are you trying to Are you trying to set up
a trig rant here? Because I could I could do that.
I've been saying.

Speaker 4 (43:30):
No, I'm just saying, finally baseball programming got something right.
That was so cool not to have the games overlapping.
It was awesome.

Speaker 1 (43:39):
They should do that every Friday, every Friday. They should
be doing that.

Speaker 2 (43:44):
In my opinion, they should have like a like one
standalone day game, the happy Hour game, and then all
the all the night games. The Cubs give us that
by game day. Yeah, it should be a Friday. I
would like to see the league do it on Fridays.
It doesn't hurt the teams, Like, yeah, you can listen.
You can play a day game as the first game
of a three game weekend series a couple of times.

Speaker 1 (44:05):
It's not.

Speaker 2 (44:05):
It's not gonna kill you, okay, And it's gonna give
us standalone baseball every Friday.

Speaker 1 (44:10):
I'll lobby for that.

Speaker 4 (44:12):
But it was like NFL Sunday esque. You know, you
wake up in the morning, there's a game on. At night,
before you go to bed, there's a game on. It's
It was just so nice. Although the night game wasn't
exactly but the Dodgers' bullpen made it interesting.

Speaker 2 (44:26):
But as we knew that that'll that'll be the transition,
that's where we're going to close this out.

Speaker 1 (44:32):
The night game again is what.

Speaker 2 (44:35):
You would consider the most lopsided one on the board,
Dodgers Reds. I think we nailed this game yesterday right
here in terms of you know, someone did point you
Hunter Green. We kind of talked about that, Russell dex
S as Adam, you were on point that the Dodgers
game with the lineup squaring up Hunter Green's four steamer.

(44:56):
I think it goes back to something Brian Leonard has
said for a while. This team is they've been elite
all year, and now that it's now that it counts,
now that it matters, they're showing their their class a
little bit. And I think that's what that was last
night as they blew out the Reds. So, Brian Leonard,
do you want to kick us off Dodgers Reds? Does
this have any chance to go three games? Or do

(45:17):
you do you see the Dodgers taking care of business tonight.

Speaker 3 (45:20):
Before we get to that, and I agree, it was
a great day of baseball. Loved it. I do want
to point out that they've made a nice a nice
discount for people who are looking to get my hockey
in our baseball right now. The baseball season goes for
about one hundred and sixty nine dollars through the rest
of the season. You also, the hockey season is normally

(45:40):
seven ninety nine, so you're playing, you know, close to
nine hundred dollars for the both of them. You can
get it both for six ninety nine right now. Number
one in the history of wager talk in both Major
League Baseball and net profit and NHL on net profit.
Sign up for that now and get all of our
baseball through the World Series, all of our hockey through
the Stanley Cup, and get it all at a nice

(46:02):
saving six hundred and ninety nine dollars. And as I said,
number one all time in NHL and Major League Baseball profit.
It's a great deal. And the hockey season starts less
than a week from now. The regular season is right
around the corner. Can't wait for that. And when we
get to this game. As you pointed out, this is
quite a large number here on the Dodgers, and you

(46:25):
can understand that Yamamoto going for the Dodgers, Lattel, for
some reason going for the Reds. We'll see what Tito
got up his sleeve in that one. But I was
surprised to not see Lodolo or Abbott on the schedule here.
But we'll see what happens. We're looking at basically a
two sixty favorite for the Dodgers and the total of eight.

(46:48):
And when you look at the Cincinnati team right now,
it really is hard to understand how they can be
competitive here a ton of home runs given up yesterday
from a guy who even in Cincinnati had not given
up many home runs. But we've got a situation with
the with the Reds right now, and let's look at

(47:10):
this from the standpoint of Baseball savant. We're looking at
excuse me, Lttel, who was came over from Tampa Bay
the Reds wanted him, does have a lot of flyballs.
This ground ball percentage is only a forty third percentile,
not terrible, but you take a look at his numbers,

(47:32):
is with rate fourteenth percentail fastball velocity fifteenth strikeout rate,
twelfth barrel rate, twenty first comes in with a three
point eight one ERA, four point four to eight expected
one point one on whip, So he's been a little
bit lucky to get those numbers, and overall, other than
his chase rate and his walk rate, he's below average
major league pitcher. Yamamoto is a guy up for the

(47:56):
cy young He's not going to get it, but he's
probably been the most consistent star or in Major League Baseball.
So they got twelve victories, two point four nine ERA,
two point seventy three expected zero point nine to nine whip.
Just about everything he has is in the Red on
his stackcast page. His walk rates is a little highs
I'm only the thirty eighth percentile and walk rate, and

(48:17):
that's the only thing less than league average. And he's
one of those guys that his stuff is so good
he gets behind, Yeah, he'll put you on. There's a
few guys that do the same thing, throw six different pitches.
And I like Yamamoto, but from a hitting standpoint in
this game, huge advantage for the Dodgers the Reds coming in.

(48:39):
They did not use Spegun or Santaya yesterday, but they
did use Ashcraft and Phillips for over twenty pitches. Overall,
their bullpench should be in pretty good shape. But you
take a look at their hitters. Fidel's hitting very well.
He's in the thirty third rank right now over the
last week, and obviously De la Cruz is trying to

(49:01):
snap out of his second half slumpies in the fifty
eighth spot the last seven days and hitting. But this
Dodgers team right now is swinging the bat very well,
and they've got a lot of talent on this team,
and the top of the order has been terrific as
of late. And that's something that you got to take

(49:23):
intoccott here yesterday that the first inning was basically the ballgame.
And you've got o'twani right now, second hitter in all
of baseball all season long, Mookie Bets thirty eighth, Freeman
twenty ninth, and Hernandez ninety fifth and Andy Peyhouse sixty seconds.
So there's five quality guys in the top one hundred

(49:46):
in Major League Baseball all in this lineup. Enrique Hernandez,
I believe was hurt yesterday. I don't think he's going
to be playing tonight, But They got plenty of other
guys they could put out there, and it's situation for
me that I think the Dodgers are a pretty good bet.
I'm not going to lay it with him, but I
really don't want any part of Cincinnati here. It's going

(50:06):
to be very hard to me to say Cincinnati's pitching
staff be able to survive this Dodger's offense.

Speaker 4 (50:12):
Right now, that was a really good promotion, Brian. I'm
going to follow that up with my own promotion. I've
been number one in profit at Wayger Talk three of
the last four years. And you can get KBO Japanese
baseball all half price. You can also get any non
American sport half price, and EuroLeague basketball is coming up.

(50:34):
I won my first EuroLeague yesterday and I have another
one up today along with my MLB play, which is
nine dollars. Go to wayjer Talk dot com and see
what we all have. A free play is up on
the free play page as well. Brian rarely promotes himself.
That was kind of surprising. It was pretty good due
all right. So yes, Brian is the historical leader in

(50:57):
MLB and NHL as well, so we're all good regarding
this game. Everything points the Dodger's way, but you know
what those are the kind of games that go the
other way. Sometimes. Yamamoto his actual stats are better on
the road than at home, but that's like saying two supermodels.

(51:17):
This is the uglier the of the two supermodels because
his homira is like three point one, which is not
bad at all. So I have a feeling the Reds
are going to score some runs today. I don't have
any data or any logic to back that up. I
just have a feeling. The Dodgers are one of those

(51:39):
teams that are so super talented, but they just let
you down sometimes. I don't know if they're going to
swoop this. I just don't know. I agree with everything
Brian said Lattel. I don't know why the Reds are
starting Lttel today. He has bad stats against these Dodgers
in his history and nine to twenty four ops and
thirty one at bats against. Yamamoto has great stats off

(52:00):
five seventeen ops and a one seventy five average in
a huge sample size. Everything points to the Dodgers, but
when that happens, we know what happens. Sometimes I'm gonna
stay away from this because I got like this the
hair on the back of my next sticking up here.
I got a bad feeling for the Dodgers in this one.
I don't know why, though I have no logic to

(52:20):
back it up.

Speaker 2 (52:23):
I love that you're doing EuroLeague basketball Tokyo brand, and
sometimes like if I if I really want to just
waste an hour or two of my life that I'll
never get back, like and this is I do this actually,
Like every once in a while I'll start looking at
like EuroLeague rosters because I'm a big college basketball fan,
and it's just like the names on the EuroLeague rosters
are all guys that I was like, oh, like I

(52:45):
remember that dude at Western Kentucky. You know, oh he
was at Kinecious for a little while. Like just the
names that pop up that you haven't seen a while
and then they're on a EuroLeague team is awesome. So
if you're into EuroLeague basketball, which is actually a tremendous watch,
Like if you've just like it is a great watch.
It's essentially soccer in a basketball arena, sometimes with.

Speaker 4 (53:05):
The against Israel, And.

Speaker 1 (53:11):
You know what I ended up.

Speaker 2 (53:12):
So a guy by the name of Ronald Moore had
a long career over in Europe, and he was a
year two years younger than me at Sienna. He was
a friend of mine at Sienna. He was on that
great Sienna team that beat Ohio State and went to
multiple NCAA tournaments, long, long European basketball career, and uh
so I would just you know, tune into the games
when I had a chance. And yeah, I mean I
think he played in like he all over the place,

(53:34):
but he'd be in Serbia and i mean there's like
flares going off inside.

Speaker 1 (53:37):
I'm like, the place is gonna burn to the ground.
This isn't you know, it's.

Speaker 2 (53:40):
Not an open air like you know, this isn't outside
like soccer. But yeah, it's a it's uh very cool
and if if you're into that, TV covers it, so
so check that out.

Speaker 4 (53:50):
You get guys, Jim Debt that you haven't heard.

Speaker 1 (53:54):
Jim.

Speaker 2 (53:55):
I can't even believe you brought that name up. Jimmer
for Debt is from the five one eight. He's from
Glen's Falls, New York. I actually lived down the street
from his parents for some time, and I went to
a lot of his high school basketball games. The Glenn's
Fall Civic Center now the cool insuring arena used to
be standing room only fire hazards. They used to have
to move some of his games from the high school

(54:17):
over to the arena because so many people wanted to
watch him play. Still to this day, one of the
best basketball players I've ever seen in person.

Speaker 1 (54:26):
Was a huge jimmer for det fan.

Speaker 2 (54:29):
Legend in the Albany, New York area.

Speaker 1 (54:34):
Yeah, we could go on all day. I will throw.

Speaker 2 (54:38):
Since we're doing the promo thing, we got to point
out the fact that base is ninety nine. That coupon
will get you the rest of the playoffs for any
of the three of us. Ralph texted me the list,
and I really was under the impression I was number
one last year in the playoffs. Apparently don Buster must
have got me at like the finish line or something,

(54:58):
because I look and he was actually number one. So
I was number two, ten and four in the playoffs
last year, twenty one point ninety two units a seventy
one point four percent win percentage. I pushed yesterday with
Tiger's minus one. So have not registered an official play
I guess for this year, but that basis ninety nine
coupon get you.

Speaker 1 (55:17):
I'm sorry Tiger's minus one.

Speaker 2 (55:19):
That basis ninety nine coupon gets you the whole playoffs
for any of the three of us at a discounted rate.
I know people want to hear me talk about this game.
I'm not really I don't have much to add. That's
why I kind of went and rambled on a little
right there. To me, this is such a mismatch. I
feel like the Dodgers going back to a lot of
what I said yesterday.

Speaker 1 (55:39):
Now, the one.

Speaker 2 (55:40):
Thing that the Reds can do here that would really
throw a wrinkle into things is if they decide to
go like Lattel and then maybe like piggyback him with
Lodolo or I don't really know. They haven't really said
exactly what they're gonna do with their pitching, but that
would be the one thing that I think could maybe
confuse the Dodgers a little bit, where it was like
Lattel through the order, Abbott once through the order.

Speaker 1 (56:03):
I don't now.

Speaker 2 (56:03):
No, they're gonna have to leave one of those guys
for Game three, so they can't just burn all of them.
But the reason I think that that's a possibility here
is I do think they they would want to, So
the Reds have to be looking at this like, how
can we The goal is to win the series, So
what I think their best chance to do is and
I think this is probably why Latel is starting. You

(56:25):
go Lettel once through the order, pray he gets through
the order. You take one of your starters and try
to have them throw innings like three through seven, and
then see if you're in the game, you need to
save one starter for tomorrow. The problem with the Reds
is they don't have much bullpen depth. But the other
problem for the Reds is like, none of these guys
are so good that the Dodgers couldn't put up a

(56:48):
four spot on them. And I think that's what you
saw yesterday with Hunter Green as good as he's been
all year. I mean, this is just an elite Dodgers lineup,
and to me, this is the big This is just.

Speaker 1 (56:59):
A total mismatch.

Speaker 2 (57:00):
So could the Reds find a way to maybe stay
within a run and cover the plus one and a half? Yeah,
I suppose they could. Could they even find a way
to win this game? Yeah, we've seen the Dodgers lose
games that they maybe should win. Would I bet on
either of those things here?

Speaker 1 (57:14):
No? I think you see the Dodgers.

Speaker 2 (57:16):
The Dodgers are focused right now, and that's something that
we've kind of talked about on the show quite a bit.

Speaker 1 (57:21):
The time to bet against the Dodgers earlier in the year.

Speaker 2 (57:25):
This team look they look like the best team right now.
Like if you look at all the teams, the Dodgers
to me look like the team to beat. And I
just don't think they're messing around right now. I think
they're gonna put this away. So I would actually, again,
this is likely not going to make my client card.
I actually think Dodgers minus one and a half is
a reasonable look here, and I never say that with

(57:48):
teams on their home field that are with home teams
that are only going to have eight at bats, But
I just feel like it goes off the rails at
some point, some point in this game, the Dodgers are
going to get a couple of guys on and it's
going to be crooked number and it's going to be
good night for the Reds.

Speaker 1 (58:02):
That's kind of how I feel about this game.

Speaker 2 (58:05):
Both i's aiming says wager talk should looking to make
me a discord.

Speaker 1 (58:09):
We tried that years ago. We tried that. It didn't work.
No one showed up.

Speaker 2 (58:13):
So if you can convince management that people will show
up in there, I'm sure we would do it.

Speaker 1 (58:18):
But we did try that one point. It didn't work.

Speaker 4 (58:20):
It was like a Tony in autobiography.

Speaker 2 (58:23):
Yes, Tony Benn was the only one in there, and
he did post a lot of good stuff, but no
one else was in there. So we'll have to see
if we can. Who knows, maybe discords more of a thing. Now,
maybe we'll run that back at some point.

Speaker 3 (58:35):
All right, I just wanted to God that Chase Burns
I wouldn't surprise me if he gets a few innings today.
He's their hatshots starter that they put in the bullpen
pitch thirty three pitches on Sunday in their bullpen game.
So he's had the last couple of days off, so
you might see him out there for a couple of innings.

(58:56):
And he's very talented, so that may be an advantage
for the Reds those two innings. But he's still also
very young.

Speaker 1 (59:04):
Yeah, it's it's listen if you want to.

Speaker 2 (59:06):
If you want to bet the Reds today, like I,
I think your rationale behind playing the Reds in any
capacity is the.

Speaker 1 (59:14):
Fact there's a they have. It's you know, it's win
or go home.

Speaker 2 (59:19):
They have a couple of different ways they could go,
and they maybe they can mix it up enough to
confuse the Dodgers' hitters where it's like lattel for these batters. Okay,
now we're gonna hit you with Chase Burns, who has
great stuff. Then we might go with a lefty. There
is some appeal to that, but I'm kind of with
someone in the chat. I think it was Steve Duke.

(59:39):
I just lost the comment because I was trying to
pull up turnbuckle. Tommy's comment said, like, it's hard to
believe the Dodgers don't put up a crooked number two
at some point, and it's like, do you trust the
Reds to be able to counter off Yamamoto to keep
it close? I I don't think I do, so, I
think it'd be Dodgers or pass for me, turbucle Tommy says,

(59:59):
discord as much bigger. Now, listen, we send that into
customer support. Maybe we'll maybe we'll try it.

Speaker 1 (01:00:05):
I don't know.

Speaker 2 (01:00:06):
I think it would take a team effort, buying from
all the handicappers. But who knows good It's a good request,
but I do know it didn't work the one time
we tried to do it, which was like three or
four years ago. So at any rate, we have hit
ten am once again perfectly timed out show with the
four games.

Speaker 1 (01:00:25):
Look at that.

Speaker 2 (01:00:27):
We have a three teamer today that hopefully I don't
ruin like I did yesterday.

Speaker 1 (01:00:31):
We hit two of the three. TV got there with.

Speaker 2 (01:00:33):
Dodgers, Brian Leonard got there with the Tigers under and
unfortunately the Yankees didn't get the job done.

Speaker 1 (01:00:40):
So what am I going to do? Go right back
to the Yankees in the parlay today?

Speaker 2 (01:00:43):
That's my parlay leg Tokyo Brandon's going Guardian's money line
and Brian Leonard is going Cubs mo moneyline.

Speaker 1 (01:00:50):
So really your entertainment for the day is right there.

Speaker 2 (01:00:54):
Three teamer is going to go Guardians minus one twenty
six for Tokyo Brandon, Cubs minus won thirteen for Brian Leonard,
Yankees minus won seventy five for me. Actually, paste plus
four thirty one. That's actually better than I thought it
was gonna be. I thought it would be uh under
four to one. So the fact that that parlay is
better than four to one odds I actually think is
pretty nice value. And that'll be your three team or today.

(01:01:18):
Does anyone have anything before we sign off? All right,
I know, I know, well we I need money. You
got all the rants out already, so like I figured,
there was nothing else, nothing else to say at this point.

Speaker 4 (01:01:34):
Oh one last comment. I did try the Apple Fireball.
I like original betteraircus.

Speaker 1 (01:01:41):
A weird ad.

Speaker 2 (01:01:42):
Listen, I always get I always get fooled by the
marketing nonsense. Every time, like Coke or Doctor Pepper puts
out one of these like stupid flavors, I always end
up buying it and I end up tossing like ten
of the twelve pack like it.

Speaker 4 (01:01:57):
Just to taste is a little weird for me. I
didn't like the take they taste.

Speaker 1 (01:02:00):
They end up tasting like medicine a little bit anytime.

Speaker 4 (01:02:04):
Yeah exactly.

Speaker 2 (01:02:05):
Yeah, so that doesn't surprise me one bit. They got
you with the marketing. It happens to me all the time.
Hopefully we get you with the marketing and you go
over to the website and use that basis ninety nine
coupon on someone's picks for the rest of the year.
We'll be back in the morning nine am Eastern hopefully
with a couple of games. Hopefully like some of these
games split and we've got games for tomorrow. But either way,

(01:02:28):
the only way we're not here tomorrow is if all
four series end. I suppose, so as long as there's
one game, will be with you in the morning, and
let's cash and tickets say we'll see you in the morning.

Speaker 1 (01:02:39):
Have a great day everyone, and we'll see you tomorrow.