On Wednesday's edition of WagerTalk Today, Kelly Stewart is filling in for Andy Lang in the host chair! Ross Benjamin shares his favorite MLB bet for today's Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves game. Marco D'Angelo stops by to preview week 1 of the NFL Preseason and give his thoughts on the Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks game. Gianni The Greek leads off giving daily betting advice – don't miss out!
Wednesday Games/Topics Covered Timestamps:
Gianni the Greek 1:00
Bet On It Promo 1:20
How Gianni Bet's NFL Preseason 2:13
What type of capper is Gianni 6:37
Gianni Steam Report 12:14
Ross Benjamin 15:00
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves 16:25
Ross Player Props 18:25
How Ross Bets College Football 24:21
Wednesday Games/Topics Covered Timestamps:
Gianni the Greek 1:00
Bet On It Promo 1:20
How Gianni Bet's NFL Preseason 2:13
What type of capper is Gianni 6:37
Gianni Steam Report 12:14
Ross Benjamin 15:00
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves 16:25
Ross Player Props 18:25
How Ross Bets College Football 24:21
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to wager Talk today.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
I'm Kelly Stewart filling in for the best guy in
this seat, Andy Lang.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
Hope he's doing well.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
We've got kind of a short show today, so we're
gonna mix it up just for some fun. Do you
guys want to get in on the show. You guys
have a question for one of our handicappers. I want
you guys to drop it in the chat because that's
worked fun. We want to build a community here at
wager Talk. We want to make people better better and
the only way to do that is to start off
with the one and only, the great Gambler. VR is
(00:30):
gonna come in guys, and we're just gonna let him
run today because we've got plenty of time. After VR's here,
we're gonna go to Ross Benjamin. We're gonna talk some MLB,
some college football. But VR, we have a new show
coming out, well not a new show, but we have
a new series of Beat on It coming out next week.
We're gonna do all of our previews NFL college football.
(00:50):
We're gonna break it all down, get you guys ready
for the season. I'm so excited to have you back
in a full time capacity.
Speaker 3 (00:56):
Thanks, Cal. I can't wait either.
Speaker 4 (00:58):
It makes me a better indicapper and better sports better
actually doing a show like bet on it because it
makes me prepare.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Like I've been knowing we're doing our show Monday.
Speaker 4 (01:07):
I've prepared so much more this preseason than I did
last preseason, just getting ready for NFL, getting ready for
college football, and it actually, it really.
Speaker 3 (01:17):
Does help you. So I'm excited about it.
Speaker 4 (01:19):
I'm working with two new groups this football season and
college football, so I'm excited to share as much information
as I can on the show. Yeah, we're gonna have
a good time over the next couple of months. I'm
really excited. And yeah you can see. Man football has
already started huge line moves already, like it's crazy.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
So let's get into it. Let's attack preseason.
Speaker 2 (01:39):
So if you guys have missed it, I just started
doing the opening line report with Teddy and I'll hand up.
I never did anything with preseason. I got information from Teddy,
I got information from VR and Ralph. Hey, I'm gonna
about this. Hey I got ahead of the line. Great, Nope,
you missed it by four points. Snooze, you lose. I'm
going to get into your process. Because I found it
really interesting to hear Teddy kind of talk about some
of you using don'ts for preseason.
Speaker 1 (02:01):
That's up on the wager Talk Instagram page.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
Can you kind of break down your madness in preseason
because it is so crazy you have to get the
best of the information before you can even get the
best of the number because it's gone.
Speaker 3 (02:14):
Yeah, And that's the truth.
Speaker 4 (02:15):
As far as the preseason goes, I try to handicap
a little of the market kell but I don't dive
deep as far as who's playing, who's not playing, because
I know there's guys out there that are way ahead
of that kind of information. So I made myself an
asset by moving for those groups, and in preseason that's
what I do. Ninety plus percent of the bets that
(02:35):
I released are those that I piggyback from these betting syndicates.
And the regular season is different. I'm confident betting and
candicapping the regular season, but with preseason, it simply comes
down to trying to get out ahead of information, trying
to quantify things that we don't know how to quantify
during the regular season, like motivation, Like does this team
(02:56):
even care about winning? Do they care about keeping it
close or is it just about evaluating talent. I mean,
everybody talks about those things, but being able to quantify
them is a different animal altogether. And I know historically
these betting st gets have done so well with the
preseason that I don't even waste those months, those weeks
(03:16):
handicapping the preseason. Instead, I've spent the last couple of
weeks diving into preparing for the regular season season win totals,
teams that I'm looking that I'm high on, teams that
I'm low on teams and I think are overvalued teams
and I think are undervalue, so that I'm ready to
handicap what they bet during the regular season. Before the preseason,
it's like you're almost flying blind because once you get
(03:38):
a confirmation of something, like a team cares about, you know,
figuring out who their second quarterback going to be. Once
that gets confirmed, the number is already going to reflect it.
It's really hard to get out ahead in preseason, so
you almost have to be ahead of the information or
you have to wait until it gets overvalued. Meaning you
see some of these lines I gave out yesterday. We
(04:00):
bet Cincinnati at minus one, now at Cincinnati minus six
at that spot, you need to decide whether there's value
on taking the six.
Speaker 3 (04:09):
Laying the six is gone, like.
Speaker 2 (04:12):
In the middle of that preseason game here, because we
all know that is like you're getting.
Speaker 4 (04:17):
Five points exactly like listen, you have to you have
to like. But it makes it easy if you're handicapping
it for recreational betters, because once a line moves like that,
you can't bet it anymore. Like I'll tell you what
I gave my subscribers. I gave them Cincinnati minus one.
They're at minus six. I gave them Tennessee minus two.
There minus four and a half. I gave them New
England minus two, they're minus six. Like those are all gone.
(04:40):
You shouldn't even be looking at Cincinnati, New England or Tennessee.
You should be looking opposite now and trying to conclude
has the market overreacted? Is there now value on these
dogs because we.
Speaker 3 (04:52):
Stop betting it.
Speaker 4 (04:53):
We didn't lay New England minus six, we didn't lay
Tennessee minus four and a half. We bet it early,
so now the e may be opposite what we're on.
That's a dangerous game to play. But I think if
you're a handicapp in the preseason. That's kind of the position.
Speaker 3 (05:08):
You're put in.
Speaker 4 (05:09):
Either you're digging in all day online, social media, whatever,
trying to get that one nugget of info that's not
factor into the betting line, or you wait for us
to bet it, others to piggyback it and then that
overreaction take advantage of it. I think that's how you
attack preseason, Otherwise you spend.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
It to prepare for the regular season.
Speaker 4 (05:30):
I think there's a ton of value and the line
moves reflect that because you're not going to see that
in the regular season. I'm not going to get a
five point NFL line movement without a quarterback going down.
Speaker 3 (05:39):
That's not going to happen.
Speaker 4 (05:41):
But in preseason it is and it shows you how
inefficient these lines are. But the groups that are betting
into it, these are specialists. These traders are specialists. You're
going up against the sharpest traders on the planet. And
that's why I say, if you're not ready for that game,
you're probably better preparing for the regular season than trying
(06:02):
to get out ahead of the information.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
There's a really good question from Brent Henderson in the chat, Yanni,
would you consider yourself more of a confirmation handicapper versus
situational and technical. I wanted to chime in on this
because this is what I love about doing. Beat on it,
and I'm really happy that the original gang is back together, you,
me and Marco, and that's because we're all a little
different as far as handicapping goes.
Speaker 1 (06:23):
Can you get into your style so that.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
People kind of know whether they want to buy a package,
whether they want to watch you on a show, what
they're going to get in, Why you're kind of doing
your own hybrid version of handicapping.
Speaker 3 (06:34):
Yeah, what I do is simple.
Speaker 4 (06:36):
I obviously I've been following the markets and following line
moves and all these different sports for a very very
long time, opening lines, closing lines, results, box scores, what happened,
and that's no secret. I provide betting accounts for different
wise guys in different betting markets, specialists that are good
(06:57):
at particular sports that need to get down. I help
them get there. I know they're going to win long
term because they've proven that, so I'm able to get
that information.
Speaker 5 (07:04):
Now.
Speaker 3 (07:04):
They fire a ton of volumes, so what I'm able
to do with.
Speaker 4 (07:07):
It is choose those strong positions that I still think
are advantageous. So after I when I'm betting it for them,
I already have my selections chosen who I like, sides
and totals. If they come in on it, that helps confirm.
Speaker 3 (07:22):
What I like.
Speaker 4 (07:23):
But I'm less of an x's and o's guy because
I don't think I'm going to be able to see
anything that's going to give me value. I'm not going
to be able to see anything that's not factored into
the betting line.
Speaker 3 (07:34):
So instead I.
Speaker 4 (07:35):
Approach it by trying to handicap the market. I believe
the market's going to be right more time than it's
going to be wrong. I believe it's efficient, that's why
it keeps correcting itself, and I try to look take
advantage of those opportunities where I think the market's over
correcting or undercorrecting. I've gotten really good at that to
(07:56):
where I'm not trying to handicap every particular player, every
X and know a point value for every player like
some handicappers do, and that's what works for me. But
it's like some guys are able to watch games and
that's how they win and.
Speaker 3 (08:11):
Do what works for you.
Speaker 4 (08:13):
If you've made a thousand bets and you're profitable, then
you're a favorite to be profitable over your next thousand.
Speaker 3 (08:18):
Don't change what.
Speaker 4 (08:19):
You're doing, but if you're not, maybe then try to
do a little different approaches, because again, you have to
be able to separate yourself from a fan to a trader.
Speaker 3 (08:29):
And that's where I think the difficulty comes in.
Speaker 4 (08:32):
For myself, I've gotten really good at that because I
don't follow sports as passionately as I used to. So
for me, it's all about the market and trying to
find those inefficiencies and those overreactions because we determine where
the line's going to go, and I believe that a
lot of times at the end of the market gets
it right. But a lot of times there's an overreaction.
(08:52):
There's some biases we're able to take advantage of.
Speaker 2 (08:55):
All right, vre a couple questions and then chat about
week one. Jave Cash wants to know. He's hoping he
could get a little plus money with the Bears week one.
So Westgate super Book has put out these lines forever ago.
It feels like at this point three four weeks ago,
they got a nice little infographic shows you the head
of the spreads and what they are before the.
Speaker 1 (09:14):
Games are actually played.
Speaker 2 (09:15):
Week one lines have been out for a while now
at this point in time, should we just be waiting
until closer to kick off? Because we you know, things happen,
people get hurt in training camp. I mean, this is
kind of an overused example, but Andrew Locker retiring less
than a month into you know, the before the NFL season,
crazier stuff has happened. If they haven't already bet Week one,
(09:36):
are they too late to the party.
Speaker 5 (09:38):
No?
Speaker 4 (09:39):
No, I think if you're gonna wait till Sunday of
Week one to put in all your bets, you're probably
not gonna turn be profitable because by that time it
probably is too late. And at that point you're just
waiting to see if the influx of money knocks some
lines out of whack. Like because of the po A
lot of the recreational betters, they don't have credit accounts,
so they're not going to tie up Week one NFL
(09:59):
MO today when they're able to bet baseball, they're able
to bet WNBA or what have your over the next
couple of weeks preseason and all of that, so they're
not gonna bet until that weekend, mostly that two hours
before kickoff. So because of that influx of money, some
lines will get knocked out of whack. You'll be able
to pick up some value late, but if you're waiting
to place all your bets on that Sunday again, it's
(10:20):
probably gonna be hard to be profitable unless you know
you're very selective a bet or two Otherwise. I do
think you have to start betting early, kind of through
the preseason, because what's gonna happen is the preseason is
gonna affect that Week one line. Remember, we're gonna draw
a lot of conclusions by the end of preseason. We're
gonna talk about what teams are gonna make the super Bowl,
what teams are making the playoffs, what injuries crush the
(10:41):
team's dreams. Like, we're gonna have drawn conclusions before we
ever see a week of football. That's where you're gonna
be able to take advantage of over the next couple
of weeks when some conclusions are drawn over a preseason
final that really isn't gonna affect the regular season. I
think that's how you could take advantage over these next
few weeks weeks because again, you nailed it those week
(11:02):
one lines are up for so long, they're they're they're
really bet into shape by the time week one rolls around,
and the book is comfortable by that point, whether you
bet Team AY or Team B laying eleven to ten,
they don't think you're going to have the best of it.
They're very confident by that point. And that's why you
know you can't really wait till late, late, late. But again,
(11:24):
the good thing is we have twenty plus weeks. We
have a few months of betting. You don't have to
make all your money in week one. You don't have
to place all your bets in week one. Week two
is going to be their Week three is going to
be there. There will all be there, So don't get
too excited.
Speaker 3 (11:38):
That's the key. We all get excited for football.
Speaker 4 (11:40):
But once those lines are shaped, bet into shape, let
it go, don't You don't have to guess, don't have
to gamble. Wait for a better position, and that will
probably be in week two.
Speaker 2 (11:50):
All right, VR, everybody's here because they want to know
what's up with your Steam report for today? So got
tons of MLB action, We've got w NBA as we've
already been talking, We've got pre season. Go ahead and
give us some of that gold and kind of get
a lot of people know what they can expect from
that segment as well.
Speaker 4 (12:09):
On bet on it, I got you, I got you.
Here's some MLB for this morning, real quick. If you
go over to wagestalk dot com on the free picks page,
I have a four percent tennis play.
Speaker 3 (12:18):
It's a dog.
Speaker 4 (12:18):
I sent that out probably within fifteen minutes ago. It
just came across. I send it to subscribers to four percent.
Also put it on the free picks page, So make
sure you check out that free picks page. Yesterday I
gave out two four percent WNBA plays. Unfortunately, I put
the total on the Fight Hour package and put the
side in the free plays. I split four percent winner,
four percent, loser the free play four percent.
Speaker 3 (12:40):
One.
Speaker 4 (12:40):
Again, if I'm putting a four percent, I'm betting it
like a four percent. I'm putting it for free just
because again I didn't have a package up for all
the WNBA. But here's where we're at in MLB nine
oh five, over eight and a half and over nine
up to minus one twenty one, twenty five Tampa, Saint
Louis and La Dodgers nine to twelve, Detroit minus one
the little Chalky they didn't mind.
Speaker 3 (13:01):
Nine thirteen under eight.
Speaker 4 (13:03):
And a half Yankees and Texas. That's why you're looking
at eights there. Nine to fifteen, Tampa Bay minus ten,
nine twenty two, Philadelphia minus one sixty Philadelphia under eight
and a half up the minus one twenty five ninth game,
nine twenty five Toronto minus two twenty another Chalky favorite,
and nine twenty eight Miami minus one ten I'm seeing opposite.
(13:25):
That one sticks out to me because it's opposite the public.
I'm seeing a lot of recreational accounts already opposite Miami
sharpsel on Miami there and then under under eight in
the Mets game. Under eight in the Mets. That's with
Cleveland nine twenty three. That kind of came across why
we were doing this right now. So under in the
(13:45):
Mets game. Yeah, that's a seven and a half now,
so that that thing's gone while we were doing this. Yeah,
that so far, it's a little early, little early, but
already some moves in Major League Baseball.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
Little early, but we appreciate him coming in early there
on the West Coast. VR, you guys can follow him
at Greek Underscore Gambler on all your social channels and
at Greek Underscore Gambler on TikTok.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
He does some funny stuff. VR. I'm not gonna lie.
Speaker 2 (14:10):
The other day when I opened up the app and
you were in the shower, I was like, what what
is happening here?
Speaker 6 (14:16):
Me it me?
Speaker 4 (14:18):
I have fun with it? On is I have thinks
to fire. I've always thinks to say.
Speaker 1 (14:24):
It was hilarious.
Speaker 2 (14:26):
You know what this is at least gonna garner some
views and some comments, and that's exactly what it did.
Speaker 1 (14:32):
I'm looking forward to this football season so we can
cash him. Don't trash him.
Speaker 2 (14:36):
We'll also see you on Saturday and Sunday Sundays for
Last Call. VR is working seven days a week for
you guys. Make sure you guys give him a follow.
Head over to wt dot buzz backslash.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
I think it's what I just forgot it.
Speaker 3 (14:52):
Shortly, VR, VR.
Speaker 2 (14:54):
Of course I got you because I'm the only other
one in the world is called the VR. But I
was trying to think, did we change it to Greek Gambler?
Speaker 1 (15:00):
We did not?
Speaker 2 (15:00):
All right, We've got Ross Benjamin coming up here next, guys,
if you have a question for him regarding the baseball slate,
maybe Week zero college football, some college football futures drop
them in the chat. As I mentioned, we have a
shorter show today, but we're gonna have a lot of
fun doing it. Let's bring in Ross Benjamin, the man
who has been on absolute fire on his free plays
(15:21):
there on the wager Talk YouTube channel.
Speaker 1 (15:25):
Ross, welcome in.
Speaker 5 (15:28):
Always good to see you, Kelly.
Speaker 2 (15:30):
It's always a great day here at wager Talk, especially
when you have one of the guys who has been
crushing this year, just absolutely obliterating his free picks.
Speaker 1 (15:42):
It's been on a MLB run right now.
Speaker 2 (15:44):
He's currently number one at wager Talk, seventy four and
forty six, just a little over seventy seven units. A
crazy time here during the well was the slowest month
of the season. Now before we get here to football season,
kind of let everybody know what you're looking at today.
I know you message me you liked the Brewers Braves game.
(16:06):
Kind of break that one down for us.
Speaker 6 (16:08):
Yeah, we got jose Kintana going for the Brewers, we
got Spencer Streider going for the Braves. I'm gonna focus
in on the Braves in this game, losing the first
two games of the series, Milwaukee has been red hot.
But here's a couple noteworthy items. The current Atlanta roster
is thirty four for one oh four lifetime against Kintana.
(16:32):
That's a three twenty seventeen batting average, a three ninety
seven base percentage, fourteen extra base hits, including six home runs.
Speaker 5 (16:41):
So this current roster for Atlanta.
Speaker 6 (16:44):
Has had a lot of success against Jose Kintana, and
Milwaukee bullpen has struggled over their last six games with
a five ninety six ERA and one sixty three whip.
As a staff, you're gonna pay a premium price here
at minus one forty seven, But I like the Atlanta
Braves to go over their team total of three and
(17:05):
a half. I got two more prop picks in this
game batting prop picks, Kelly. But anything you want to
add or ask after.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
That, Yeah, we're we're gonna let the guys jump in
the chat here and ask kind of away some baseball
games only you and VR today, so we get to
dictate how.
Speaker 1 (17:21):
Long this show is going to be.
Speaker 2 (17:24):
So if you guys have a baseball question, please jump
it in there. I'll get to Justin's question here about
splash after we get done with Ross right now, guys,
flexpicks over at wager dot dot com. You have a
three day FlexPass for only forty nine bucks. That's gonna
save you up to thirty percent. Why do we love
flex picks Because you are in control of how and
when you access your betting experts. So you gotta choose
(17:47):
your handicapper on each day and you get full access
to all their selections for that day. So you like
Ross on Wednesday, you can have Ross on Wednesday. You
want to switch on Thursday and go back to Ross
on Friday, you absolutely can do that. Let's a couple
of those prop bets here in this Brewers Braves game.
Two guys, I don't know anybody on the baseball teams,
(18:08):
Let's be honest. That's why we need Ariel Epstein in
here host in baseball shows. But Asie Alby's and Marcel
Azuna here, let's talk about both these guys both plus
money prop bets here.
Speaker 6 (18:19):
Ross yeah on total basis, and as the lbi's let's
start with him Kelly eight for sixteen lifetime career versus Quintana.
So it's a five hundred batting average three home runs
out of those eight hits. Albie's over his last eight
games isn't really lighting it up, but he's still nine
(18:42):
for thirty one two ninety team batting average, and very important,
he's walked six times in those last eight games, plus
two doubles. So I'm gonna go with Ozzie Albie's two
or more extra base hits or excuse me, two or
more total basis at money line odds of plus one
(19:02):
point thirty. Let's turn to Marcello Zuna. It's always, you know,
if you're looking at using Marcelo Zuna this year, it's
always good to check to see if he's in the
starting lineup because he's become somewhat of a part time
player for the Braves over the last month or so.
But he is slated to be hitting in the three
hole today and he's eleven for twenty six career against
(19:26):
Kintana with one home run. It's a four to twenty
three batting average of four to eighty three on base percentage.
He's also walked six times against Kintana in those plate appearances,
and over his last seven games he's hitting two eighty six,
not great again, not bad either, but he smashed two
(19:48):
home runs and hit six RBIs will walking nine times
in his last seven games. I'm gonna go with marcel
O Zona two or more total bases at moneyline odds
a plus one forty five. And last week, folks, if
you were with me, I had Andre Volpi or excuse me,
Andrew Volpi one or more hits, and I also had
(20:11):
Andrew Vope to hit a home run at plus five
point fifty. And guess what, Kelly hit a home run
at the top.
Speaker 5 (20:18):
Of the ninth. So let's keep it going.
Speaker 1 (20:21):
Oh, the top of the ninth. That sounds very exciting, guys.
Speaker 2 (20:24):
In the comment section, I tried to post the link
to the wager talk free picks page.
Speaker 1 (20:28):
For some reason, Streamyard will not let me do that.
Speaker 2 (20:31):
But go to wager talk dot com right there to
the top bar, click free picks and you will get
all of the free picks on that page. Ross, do
you have anything up on the free picks page or
do you have anything up on the wager talk YouTube
channel For today.
Speaker 6 (20:44):
I will have something up on the wager Talk YouTube
channel and it will be this game. Actually, I take
that back, I'm not scheduled to do a video. My
only video today is my segment with Kelly, and she
always makes me look a hell of a lot better
because people who want to look at my face all
day she want they want to see her beautiful face.
Speaker 5 (21:04):
So there you have it.
Speaker 6 (21:06):
I mean, if you missed this live, I guess you
can catch it on archive.
Speaker 1 (21:09):
Yes you can. Ross.
Speaker 2 (21:11):
Let me know what else you've got going on over
at wager Talk for football season last year, you absolutely
crushed football season number one, and you just were red
hot for a better part of the year. I think
you and I switched roles. I couldn't get a single
outright underdog winner. No that's not true. I just couldn't
get three of them in one weekend. We're going to
change that this year. But tell everybody for college football
(21:34):
kind of if they're looking to buy your package, what
to expect from you, what type of college football handicapper
you are, and just got to give them an idea
of what to expect for this upcoming season.
Speaker 5 (21:43):
Well, thank you for asking. Kelly.
Speaker 6 (21:45):
Number one in college football last year, and both units
earned and win percentage. Two years ago, I was number
two in units earned and if you combine the last
two college football seasons number one and units earned at
wager talk dot com and Kelly, you know, there's some
world class sports betting experts at wagertalk dot com. And
(22:08):
that's facts, folks. That's not me bragging about the rest
of the guys.
Speaker 5 (22:13):
In any event.
Speaker 6 (22:14):
You can get my college football annual package right through
the National Championship Game right now for just five ninety nine.
I finished the last college football season on a sixty
and thirty five run, which is a sixty three percent run,
So a lot of good things to look forward to
(22:34):
in college football. If you want to throw in the NFL,
you can get college Football NFL right now for seven
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beat that. That's what's that in an additional one hundred
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you'll get the NFL right through the Super Bowl, all
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(22:57):
the National Championship Game, and then one of the best
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You can get my next thirteen weeks all access pass
on anything I put out on the premium side five
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(23:18):
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Speaker 5 (23:20):
Take advantage of that offer.
Speaker 6 (23:21):
And lastly, the best value on the board, three hundred
and sixty five day all access passed from yours truly
normally nineteen ninety nine right now for a limited time,
you can get it for eleven eighty eight. That's eight
hundred and eleven dollars off, folks. And also you were
going to get a twenty five percent bonus coupon. Not
(23:42):
only will you get my pics for the next three
hundred and sixty five days in all sports, but you'll
have three hundred and sixty five days to use that
twenty five percent bonus coupon toward any other handicapper on
the site, whether it be daily picks or all access passes. So,
in terms of college football handicapping, there's various ways I
(24:05):
attack it, Kelly, and I let me just start at
the top. I look for a good underdog with value,
not only a good underdog, but an underdog I truly
believe can win the game outright realistically, I start there.
I also look for look ahead spots once we get
into the conference.
Speaker 5 (24:25):
Schedule, even early in the year.
Speaker 6 (24:27):
If a team has a non conference game against a
nationally ranked opponent ahead of them and maybe they were
a road favorite the week before, another situation to keep
an eye on. So there's several I could go on
and on, and we just don't have enough. I know
we have a lot of time on today's show, but
not that much.
Speaker 2 (24:48):
All right, at ross Benjamin one there on APS, you
guys can check him out as well as the Wager
Talking YouTube play page. He does a ton of free
baseball videos. That's where he went.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
How many did you.
Speaker 3 (24:59):
End up going in a row?
Speaker 1 (25:00):
Was?
Speaker 5 (25:00):
It?
Speaker 1 (25:00):
Wasn't it like last I looked? It was like fifty
two and eleven.
Speaker 5 (25:04):
Yeah, I sent it to you. Let me check real quick.
Speaker 2 (25:07):
I can't remember it was And it was a run
I've never seen my entire life.
Speaker 6 (25:12):
Yeah, it's still good, but I cooled off a bit,
and as you well know, the trolls come out of
the woodwork once you cool off a little bit.
Speaker 2 (25:20):
Sorry, fifty two and eleven is pretty darn good.
Speaker 1 (25:24):
I'm not worried about the trolls.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
I'm just mad I didn't jump on until you were
like thirty nine and nine.
Speaker 1 (25:30):
That was the problem I waited.
Speaker 6 (25:32):
You can't.
Speaker 2 (25:33):
You can't jump on the end of the hot streak.
You gotta get on it and get on it early.
Speaker 6 (25:36):
But that's yeah.
Speaker 2 (25:37):
Here at wager Talk, we put out a ton of
free content. So we love you guys. We always appreciate
the likes. We always hit the subscribe buttons. You guys
never missed another episode. Also shout out to a couple
of our new premium subscribers in the chat titan seet,
I see you.
Speaker 1 (25:52):
I'm gonna get to some of these questions, Ross, So.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
I'm gonna let you get out of here and get
ready for football season.
Speaker 6 (25:58):
Get Run by the Way is currently fifty eight, nineteen
and seventy two and twenty six with the free picks,
and I don't forget folks, those are free. My best
bets are the way to go over to long haul.
You know, I like to tell you I'm going to
continue on that type of run with my free picks,
but it's not realistic, Kelly. You know, it's not a
(26:20):
lack of confidence, it's just reality.
Speaker 2 (26:22):
So jump on regression to the mean, we all have
regression and it comes for us. We can't control when
it'll be. It might be in one hundred picks from now,
it might be starting today. Hopefully it keeps nice and
hot for you through college football season. Ross, and I'll
be doing a lot of talking during college football because
we are similar handicappers in that we're looking for those
outright underdogs. Maybe we can't cash little three team moneyline parlay. Ross,
(26:46):
What do you say.
Speaker 5 (26:47):
You know anything for you, my dear, So, I think
we could do that.
Speaker 1 (26:53):
I love it.
Speaker 2 (26:53):
We'll get you out of here on this beautiful Wednesday.
We'll get a couple more questions in the chat. Justin
p wants to know about Splash. So, justin full disclosure,
last year we had way too many ties out of
everybody in the world mad at me. So I wanted
to do pick two and then pick three weeks. But
the Splash guys and I kind of all got together.
Speaker 1 (27:12):
And said, hey, no, aac.
Speaker 2 (27:15):
They said, picked three major conferences, and I was not
leaving the big twelve out. We want some big chances
of upsets, of course, but I do think we are
going to see it, especially because you have to pick
two picks a week. If you guys want to get
involved in the Kelly and Murray College Football Survivor, it
is over on splash sports dot com Backslash Kelly in Vegas,
(27:36):
so guys head over there. I've also got a one
hundred dollars college football that picked seven contests every single week.
You got to pick seven games against the spread, and
they just guaranteed that one twenty five thousand dollars prize pool.
If you're a heavy hitter, get in on the five
hundred dollars one. Aaronl Epstein and I are going to
try to do a touchdown survivor and many losers.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
John Murray's idea. We're going to do a mini Losers
NFL Survivor. That's right.
Speaker 2 (27:59):
You have to pick a loser every single week instead
of pick a winner. Pick losers for eighteen weeks, and
you are getting paid. So we're working out some of
the last details on those.
Speaker 1 (28:09):
It's all I got for you, guys.
Speaker 2 (28:10):
I was in the comments section today seeing what you
guys want.
Speaker 1 (28:13):
To talk about.
Speaker 2 (28:14):
You guys are kind of quiet outside of Sean Michael.
So I'm gonna get out of here. I gotta get
packed for Boston. We've got PLL weekend. You guys can
see that lacrosse stick behind me. Very excited for Boston
and to hang out there at the beautiful Harvard Stadium
with my best friend Aaron Epstein. So make sure you
guys head over to our ex Instagram and so forth
so you guys can watch all the Premier Lacrosse League
(28:36):
action for this weekend. Don't forget we also have our
Hit Streak Survivor. We just did a little reap fifteen
dollars buy in. Just got to pick a guy to
get a hit every single day. I made it eight days.
The girl who knows nothing about baseball made it eight
days last time. See if we can't win the whole
dang thing. I hope you guys have a wonderful Wednesday
(28:57):
afternoon and cash some of those tickets. Andy Lang will
be back Thursday and Friday right here on the wager
Talk YouTube channel, and you can of course catch Steve
Merrill filling in for Aerial Epsteine here Saturday.
Speaker 1 (29:09):
Last Call
Welcome to wager Talk today.
Speaker 2 (00:03):
I'm Kelly Stewart filling in for the best guy in
this seat, Andy Lang.
Speaker 1 (00:08):
Hope he's doing well.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
We've got kind of a short show today, so we're
gonna mix it up just for some fun. Do you
guys want to get in on the show. You guys
have a question for one of our handicappers. I want
you guys to drop it in the chat because that's
worked fun. We want to build a community here at
wager Talk. We want to make people better better and
the only way to do that is to start off
with the one and only, the great Gambler. VR is
(00:30):
gonna come in guys, and we're just gonna let him
run today because we've got plenty of time. After VR's here,
we're gonna go to Ross Benjamin. We're gonna talk some MLB,
some college football. But VR, we have a new show
coming out, well not a new show, but we have
a new series of Beat on It coming out next week.
We're gonna do all of our previews NFL college football.
(00:50):
We're gonna break it all down, get you guys ready
for the season. I'm so excited to have you back
in a full time capacity.
Speaker 3 (00:56):
Thanks, Cal. I can't wait either.
Speaker 4 (00:58):
It makes me a better indicapper and better sports better
actually doing a show like bet on it because it
makes me prepare.
Speaker 3 (01:05):
Like I've been knowing we're doing our show Monday.
Speaker 4 (01:07):
I've prepared so much more this preseason than I did
last preseason, just getting ready for NFL, getting ready for
college football, and it actually, it really.
Speaker 3 (01:17):
Does help you. So I'm excited about it.
Speaker 4 (01:19):
I'm working with two new groups this football season and
college football, so I'm excited to share as much information
as I can on the show. Yeah, we're gonna have
a good time over the next couple of months. I'm
really excited. And yeah you can see. Man football has
already started huge line moves already, like it's crazy.
Speaker 1 (01:37):
So let's get into it. Let's attack preseason.
Speaker 2 (01:39):
So if you guys have missed it, I just started
doing the opening line report with Teddy and I'll hand up.
I never did anything with preseason. I got information from Teddy,
I got information from VR and Ralph. Hey, I'm gonna
about this. Hey I got ahead of the line. Great, Nope,
you missed it by four points. Snooze, you lose. I'm
going to get into your process. Because I found it
really interesting to hear Teddy kind of talk about some
of you using don'ts for preseason.
Speaker 1 (02:01):
That's up on the wager Talk Instagram page.
Speaker 2 (02:03):
Can you kind of break down your madness in preseason
because it is so crazy you have to get the
best of the information before you can even get the
best of the number because it's gone.
Speaker 3 (02:14):
Yeah, And that's the truth.
Speaker 4 (02:15):
As far as the preseason goes, I try to handicap
a little of the market kell but I don't dive
deep as far as who's playing, who's not playing, because
I know there's guys out there that are way ahead
of that kind of information. So I made myself an
asset by moving for those groups, and in preseason that's
what I do. Ninety plus percent of the bets that
(02:35):
I released are those that I piggyback from these betting syndicates.
And the regular season is different. I'm confident betting and
candicapping the regular season, but with preseason, it simply comes
down to trying to get out ahead of information, trying
to quantify things that we don't know how to quantify
during the regular season, like motivation, Like does this team
(02:56):
even care about winning? Do they care about keeping it
close or is it just about evaluating talent. I mean,
everybody talks about those things, but being able to quantify
them is a different animal altogether. And I know historically
these betting st gets have done so well with the
preseason that I don't even waste those months, those weeks
(03:16):
handicapping the preseason. Instead, I've spent the last couple of
weeks diving into preparing for the regular season season win totals,
teams that I'm looking that I'm high on, teams that
I'm low on teams and I think are overvalued teams
and I think are undervalue, so that I'm ready to
handicap what they bet during the regular season. Before the preseason,
it's like you're almost flying blind because once you get
(03:38):
a confirmation of something, like a team cares about, you know,
figuring out who their second quarterback going to be. Once
that gets confirmed, the number is already going to reflect it.
It's really hard to get out ahead in preseason, so
you almost have to be ahead of the information or
you have to wait until it gets overvalued. Meaning you
see some of these lines I gave out yesterday. We
(04:00):
bet Cincinnati at minus one, now at Cincinnati minus six
at that spot, you need to decide whether there's value
on taking the six.
Speaker 3 (04:09):
Laying the six is gone, like.
Speaker 2 (04:12):
In the middle of that preseason game here, because we
all know that is like you're getting.
Speaker 4 (04:17):
Five points exactly like listen, you have to you have
to like. But it makes it easy if you're handicapping
it for recreational betters, because once a line moves like that,
you can't bet it anymore. Like I'll tell you what
I gave my subscribers. I gave them Cincinnati minus one.
They're at minus six. I gave them Tennessee minus two.
There minus four and a half. I gave them New
England minus two, they're minus six. Like those are all gone.
(04:40):
You shouldn't even be looking at Cincinnati, New England or Tennessee.
You should be looking opposite now and trying to conclude
has the market overreacted? Is there now value on these
dogs because we.
Speaker 3 (04:52):
Stop betting it.
Speaker 4 (04:53):
We didn't lay New England minus six, we didn't lay
Tennessee minus four and a half. We bet it early,
so now the e may be opposite what we're on.
That's a dangerous game to play. But I think if
you're a handicapp in the preseason. That's kind of the position.
Speaker 3 (05:08):
You're put in.
Speaker 4 (05:09):
Either you're digging in all day online, social media, whatever,
trying to get that one nugget of info that's not
factor into the betting line, or you wait for us
to bet it, others to piggyback it and then that
overreaction take advantage of it. I think that's how you
attack preseason, Otherwise you spend.
Speaker 3 (05:28):
It to prepare for the regular season.
Speaker 4 (05:30):
I think there's a ton of value and the line
moves reflect that because you're not going to see that
in the regular season. I'm not going to get a
five point NFL line movement without a quarterback going down.
Speaker 3 (05:39):
That's not going to happen.
Speaker 4 (05:41):
But in preseason it is and it shows you how
inefficient these lines are. But the groups that are betting
into it, these are specialists. These traders are specialists. You're
going up against the sharpest traders on the planet. And
that's why I say, if you're not ready for that game,
you're probably better preparing for the regular season than trying
(06:02):
to get out ahead of the information.
Speaker 2 (06:03):
There's a really good question from Brent Henderson in the chat, Yanni,
would you consider yourself more of a confirmation handicapper versus
situational and technical. I wanted to chime in on this
because this is what I love about doing. Beat on it,
and I'm really happy that the original gang is back together, you,
me and Marco, and that's because we're all a little
different as far as handicapping goes.
Speaker 1 (06:23):
Can you get into your style so that.
Speaker 2 (06:24):
People kind of know whether they want to buy a package,
whether they want to watch you on a show, what
they're going to get in, Why you're kind of doing
your own hybrid version of handicapping.
Speaker 3 (06:34):
Yeah, what I do is simple.
Speaker 4 (06:36):
I obviously I've been following the markets and following line
moves and all these different sports for a very very
long time, opening lines, closing lines, results, box scores, what happened,
and that's no secret. I provide betting accounts for different
wise guys in different betting markets, specialists that are good
(06:57):
at particular sports that need to get down. I help
them get there. I know they're going to win long
term because they've proven that, so I'm able to get
that information.
Speaker 5 (07:04):
Now.
Speaker 3 (07:04):
They fire a ton of volumes, so what I'm able
to do with.
Speaker 4 (07:07):
It is choose those strong positions that I still think
are advantageous. So after I when I'm betting it for them,
I already have my selections chosen who I like, sides
and totals. If they come in on it, that helps confirm.
Speaker 3 (07:22):
What I like.
Speaker 4 (07:23):
But I'm less of an x's and o's guy because
I don't think I'm going to be able to see
anything that's going to give me value. I'm not going
to be able to see anything that's not factored into
the betting line.
Speaker 3 (07:34):
So instead I.
Speaker 4 (07:35):
Approach it by trying to handicap the market. I believe
the market's going to be right more time than it's
going to be wrong. I believe it's efficient, that's why
it keeps correcting itself, and I try to look take
advantage of those opportunities where I think the market's over
correcting or undercorrecting. I've gotten really good at that to
(07:56):
where I'm not trying to handicap every particular player, every
X and know a point value for every player like
some handicappers do, and that's what works for me. But
it's like some guys are able to watch games and
that's how they win and.
Speaker 3 (08:11):
Do what works for you.
Speaker 4 (08:13):
If you've made a thousand bets and you're profitable, then
you're a favorite to be profitable over your next thousand.
Speaker 3 (08:18):
Don't change what.
Speaker 4 (08:19):
You're doing, but if you're not, maybe then try to
do a little different approaches, because again, you have to
be able to separate yourself from a fan to a trader.
Speaker 3 (08:29):
And that's where I think the difficulty comes in.
Speaker 4 (08:32):
For myself, I've gotten really good at that because I
don't follow sports as passionately as I used to. So
for me, it's all about the market and trying to
find those inefficiencies and those overreactions because we determine where
the line's going to go, and I believe that a
lot of times at the end of the market gets
it right. But a lot of times there's an overreaction.
(08:52):
There's some biases we're able to take advantage of.
Speaker 2 (08:55):
All right, vre a couple questions and then chat about
week one. Jave Cash wants to know. He's hoping he
could get a little plus money with the Bears week one.
So Westgate super Book has put out these lines forever ago.
It feels like at this point three four weeks ago,
they got a nice little infographic shows you the head
of the spreads and what they are before the.
Speaker 1 (09:14):
Games are actually played.
Speaker 2 (09:15):
Week one lines have been out for a while now
at this point in time, should we just be waiting
until closer to kick off? Because we you know, things happen,
people get hurt in training camp. I mean, this is
kind of an overused example, but Andrew Locker retiring less
than a month into you know, the before the NFL season,
crazier stuff has happened. If they haven't already bet Week one,
(09:36):
are they too late to the party.
Speaker 5 (09:38):
No?
Speaker 4 (09:39):
No, I think if you're gonna wait till Sunday of
Week one to put in all your bets, you're probably
not gonna turn be profitable because by that time it
probably is too late. And at that point you're just
waiting to see if the influx of money knocks some
lines out of whack. Like because of the po A
lot of the recreational betters, they don't have credit accounts,
so they're not going to tie up Week one NFL
(09:59):
MO today when they're able to bet baseball, they're able
to bet WNBA or what have your over the next
couple of weeks preseason and all of that, so they're
not gonna bet until that weekend, mostly that two hours
before kickoff. So because of that influx of money, some
lines will get knocked out of whack. You'll be able
to pick up some value late, but if you're waiting
to place all your bets on that Sunday again, it's
(10:20):
probably gonna be hard to be profitable unless you know
you're very selective a bet or two Otherwise. I do
think you have to start betting early, kind of through
the preseason, because what's gonna happen is the preseason is
gonna affect that Week one line. Remember, we're gonna draw
a lot of conclusions by the end of preseason. We're
gonna talk about what teams are gonna make the super Bowl,
what teams are making the playoffs, what injuries crush the
(10:41):
team's dreams. Like, we're gonna have drawn conclusions before we
ever see a week of football. That's where you're gonna
be able to take advantage of over the next couple
of weeks when some conclusions are drawn over a preseason
final that really isn't gonna affect the regular season. I
think that's how you could take advantage over these next
few weeks weeks because again, you nailed it those week
(11:02):
one lines are up for so long, they're they're they're
really bet into shape by the time week one rolls around,
and the book is comfortable by that point, whether you
bet Team AY or Team B laying eleven to ten,
they don't think you're going to have the best of it.
They're very confident by that point. And that's why you
know you can't really wait till late, late, late. But again,
(11:24):
the good thing is we have twenty plus weeks. We
have a few months of betting. You don't have to
make all your money in week one. You don't have
to place all your bets in week one. Week two
is going to be their Week three is going to
be there. There will all be there, So don't get
too excited.
Speaker 3 (11:38):
That's the key. We all get excited for football.
Speaker 4 (11:40):
But once those lines are shaped, bet into shape, let
it go, don't You don't have to guess, don't have
to gamble. Wait for a better position, and that will
probably be in week two.
Speaker 2 (11:50):
All right, VR, everybody's here because they want to know
what's up with your Steam report for today? So got
tons of MLB action, We've got w NBA as we've
already been talking, We've got pre season. Go ahead and
give us some of that gold and kind of get
a lot of people know what they can expect from
that segment as well.
Speaker 4 (12:09):
On bet on it, I got you, I got you.
Here's some MLB for this morning, real quick. If you
go over to wagestalk dot com on the free picks page,
I have a four percent tennis play.
Speaker 3 (12:18):
It's a dog.
Speaker 4 (12:18):
I sent that out probably within fifteen minutes ago. It
just came across. I send it to subscribers to four percent.
Also put it on the free picks page, So make
sure you check out that free picks page. Yesterday I
gave out two four percent WNBA plays. Unfortunately, I put
the total on the Fight Hour package and put the
side in the free plays. I split four percent winner,
four percent, loser the free play four percent.
Speaker 3 (12:40):
One.
Speaker 4 (12:40):
Again, if I'm putting a four percent, I'm betting it
like a four percent. I'm putting it for free just
because again I didn't have a package up for all
the WNBA. But here's where we're at in MLB nine
oh five, over eight and a half and over nine
up to minus one twenty one, twenty five Tampa, Saint
Louis and La Dodgers nine to twelve, Detroit minus one
the little Chalky they didn't mind.
Speaker 3 (13:01):
Nine thirteen under eight.
Speaker 4 (13:03):
And a half Yankees and Texas. That's why you're looking
at eights there. Nine to fifteen, Tampa Bay minus ten,
nine twenty two, Philadelphia minus one sixty Philadelphia under eight
and a half up the minus one twenty five ninth game,
nine twenty five Toronto minus two twenty another Chalky favorite,
and nine twenty eight Miami minus one ten I'm seeing opposite.
(13:25):
That one sticks out to me because it's opposite the public.
I'm seeing a lot of recreational accounts already opposite Miami
sharpsel on Miami there and then under under eight in
the Mets game. Under eight in the Mets. That's with
Cleveland nine twenty three. That kind of came across why
we were doing this right now. So under in the
(13:45):
Mets game. Yeah, that's a seven and a half now,
so that that thing's gone while we were doing this. Yeah,
that so far, it's a little early, little early, but
already some moves in Major League Baseball.
Speaker 2 (13:56):
Little early, but we appreciate him coming in early there
on the West Coast. VR, you guys can follow him
at Greek Underscore Gambler on all your social channels and
at Greek Underscore Gambler on TikTok.
Speaker 1 (14:09):
He does some funny stuff. VR. I'm not gonna lie.
Speaker 2 (14:10):
The other day when I opened up the app and
you were in the shower, I was like, what what
is happening here?
Speaker 6 (14:16):
Me it me?
Speaker 4 (14:18):
I have fun with it? On is I have thinks
to fire. I've always thinks to say.
Speaker 1 (14:24):
It was hilarious.
Speaker 2 (14:26):
You know what this is at least gonna garner some
views and some comments, and that's exactly what it did.
Speaker 1 (14:32):
I'm looking forward to this football season so we can
cash him. Don't trash him.
Speaker 2 (14:36):
We'll also see you on Saturday and Sunday Sundays for
Last Call. VR is working seven days a week for
you guys. Make sure you guys give him a follow.
Head over to wt dot buzz backslash.
Speaker 1 (14:49):
I think it's what I just forgot it.
Speaker 3 (14:52):
Shortly, VR, VR.
Speaker 2 (14:54):
Of course I got you because I'm the only other
one in the world is called the VR. But I
was trying to think, did we change it to Greek Gambler?
Speaker 1 (15:00):
We did not?
Speaker 2 (15:00):
All right, We've got Ross Benjamin coming up here next, guys,
if you have a question for him regarding the baseball slate,
maybe Week zero college football, some college football futures drop
them in the chat. As I mentioned, we have a
shorter show today, but we're gonna have a lot of
fun doing it. Let's bring in Ross Benjamin, the man
who has been on absolute fire on his free plays
(15:21):
there on the wager Talk YouTube channel.
Speaker 1 (15:25):
Ross, welcome in.
Speaker 5 (15:28):
Always good to see you, Kelly.
Speaker 2 (15:30):
It's always a great day here at wager Talk, especially
when you have one of the guys who has been
crushing this year, just absolutely obliterating his free picks.
Speaker 1 (15:42):
It's been on a MLB run right now.
Speaker 2 (15:44):
He's currently number one at wager Talk, seventy four and
forty six, just a little over seventy seven units. A
crazy time here during the well was the slowest month
of the season. Now before we get here to football season,
kind of let everybody know what you're looking at today.
I know you message me you liked the Brewers Braves game.
(16:06):
Kind of break that one down for us.
Speaker 6 (16:08):
Yeah, we got jose Kintana going for the Brewers, we
got Spencer Streider going for the Braves. I'm gonna focus
in on the Braves in this game, losing the first
two games of the series, Milwaukee has been red hot.
But here's a couple noteworthy items. The current Atlanta roster
is thirty four for one oh four lifetime against Kintana.
(16:32):
That's a three twenty seventeen batting average, a three ninety
seven base percentage, fourteen extra base hits, including six home runs.
Speaker 5 (16:41):
So this current roster for Atlanta.
Speaker 6 (16:44):
Has had a lot of success against Jose Kintana, and
Milwaukee bullpen has struggled over their last six games with
a five ninety six ERA and one sixty three whip.
As a staff, you're gonna pay a premium price here
at minus one forty seven, But I like the Atlanta
Braves to go over their team total of three and
(17:05):
a half. I got two more prop picks in this
game batting prop picks, Kelly. But anything you want to
add or ask after.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
That, Yeah, we're we're gonna let the guys jump in
the chat here and ask kind of away some baseball
games only you and VR today, so we get to
dictate how.
Speaker 1 (17:21):
Long this show is going to be.
Speaker 2 (17:24):
So if you guys have a baseball question, please jump
it in there. I'll get to Justin's question here about
splash after we get done with Ross right now, guys,
flexpicks over at wager dot dot com. You have a
three day FlexPass for only forty nine bucks. That's gonna
save you up to thirty percent. Why do we love
flex picks Because you are in control of how and
when you access your betting experts. So you gotta choose
(17:47):
your handicapper on each day and you get full access
to all their selections for that day. So you like
Ross on Wednesday, you can have Ross on Wednesday. You
want to switch on Thursday and go back to Ross
on Friday, you absolutely can do that. Let's a couple
of those prop bets here in this Brewers Braves game.
Two guys, I don't know anybody on the baseball teams,
(18:08):
Let's be honest. That's why we need Ariel Epstein in
here host in baseball shows. But Asie Alby's and Marcel
Azuna here, let's talk about both these guys both plus
money prop bets here.
Speaker 6 (18:19):
Ross yeah on total basis, and as the lbi's let's
start with him Kelly eight for sixteen lifetime career versus Quintana.
So it's a five hundred batting average three home runs
out of those eight hits. Albie's over his last eight
games isn't really lighting it up, but he's still nine
(18:42):
for thirty one two ninety team batting average, and very important,
he's walked six times in those last eight games, plus
two doubles. So I'm gonna go with Ozzie Albie's two
or more extra base hits or excuse me, two or
more total basis at money line odds of plus one
(19:02):
point thirty. Let's turn to Marcello Zuna. It's always, you know,
if you're looking at using Marcelo Zuna this year, it's
always good to check to see if he's in the
starting lineup because he's become somewhat of a part time
player for the Braves over the last month or so.
But he is slated to be hitting in the three
hole today and he's eleven for twenty six career against
(19:26):
Kintana with one home run. It's a four to twenty
three batting average of four to eighty three on base percentage.
He's also walked six times against Kintana in those plate appearances,
and over his last seven games he's hitting two eighty six,
not great again, not bad either, but he smashed two
(19:48):
home runs and hit six RBIs will walking nine times
in his last seven games. I'm gonna go with marcel
O Zona two or more total bases at moneyline odds
a plus one forty five. And last week, folks, if
you were with me, I had Andre Volpi or excuse me,
Andrew Volpi one or more hits, and I also had
(20:11):
Andrew Vope to hit a home run at plus five
point fifty. And guess what, Kelly hit a home run
at the top.
Speaker 5 (20:18):
Of the ninth. So let's keep it going.
Speaker 1 (20:21):
Oh, the top of the ninth. That sounds very exciting, guys.
Speaker 2 (20:24):
In the comment section, I tried to post the link
to the wager talk free picks page.
Speaker 1 (20:28):
For some reason, Streamyard will not let me do that.
Speaker 2 (20:31):
But go to wager talk dot com right there to
the top bar, click free picks and you will get
all of the free picks on that page. Ross, do
you have anything up on the free picks page or
do you have anything up on the wager talk YouTube
channel For today.
Speaker 6 (20:44):
I will have something up on the wager Talk YouTube
channel and it will be this game. Actually, I take
that back, I'm not scheduled to do a video. My
only video today is my segment with Kelly, and she
always makes me look a hell of a lot better
because people who want to look at my face all
day she want they want to see her beautiful face.
Speaker 5 (21:04):
So there you have it.
Speaker 6 (21:06):
I mean, if you missed this live, I guess you
can catch it on archive.
Speaker 1 (21:09):
Yes you can. Ross.
Speaker 2 (21:11):
Let me know what else you've got going on over
at wager Talk for football season last year, you absolutely
crushed football season number one, and you just were red
hot for a better part of the year. I think
you and I switched roles. I couldn't get a single
outright underdog winner. No that's not true. I just couldn't
get three of them in one weekend. We're going to
change that this year. But tell everybody for college football
(21:34):
kind of if they're looking to buy your package, what
to expect from you, what type of college football handicapper
you are, and just got to give them an idea
of what to expect for this upcoming season.
Speaker 5 (21:43):
Well, thank you for asking. Kelly.
Speaker 6 (21:45):
Number one in college football last year, and both units
earned and win percentage. Two years ago, I was number
two in units earned and if you combine the last
two college football seasons number one and units earned at
wager talk dot com and Kelly, you know, there's some
world class sports betting experts at wagertalk dot com. And
(22:08):
that's facts, folks. That's not me bragging about the rest
of the guys.
Speaker 5 (22:13):
In any event.
Speaker 6 (22:14):
You can get my college football annual package right through
the National Championship Game right now for just five ninety nine.
I finished the last college football season on a sixty
and thirty five run, which is a sixty three percent run,
So a lot of good things to look forward to
(22:34):
in college football. If you want to throw in the NFL,
you can get college Football NFL right now for seven
hundred and seventy seven dollars, folks. I mean, you can't
beat that. That's what's that in an additional one hundred
and seventy eight dollars if my math is correct, and
you'll get the NFL right through the Super Bowl, all
my preseason picks, and again the college football right through
(22:57):
the National Championship Game, and then one of the best
specials we got going on right now five ninety eight.
You can get my next thirteen weeks all access pass
on anything I put out on the premium side five
ninety eight for the next thirteen weeks, folks. That's at
eight hundred and ninety nine dollars value, two hundred and
(23:18):
ninety nine dollars off.
Speaker 5 (23:20):
Take advantage of that offer.
Speaker 6 (23:21):
And lastly, the best value on the board, three hundred
and sixty five day all access passed from yours truly
normally nineteen ninety nine right now for a limited time,
you can get it for eleven eighty eight. That's eight
hundred and eleven dollars off, folks. And also you were
going to get a twenty five percent bonus coupon. Not
(23:42):
only will you get my pics for the next three
hundred and sixty five days in all sports, but you'll
have three hundred and sixty five days to use that
twenty five percent bonus coupon toward any other handicapper on
the site, whether it be daily picks or all access passes. So,
in terms of college football handicapping, there's various ways I
(24:05):
attack it, Kelly, and I let me just start at
the top. I look for a good underdog with value,
not only a good underdog, but an underdog I truly
believe can win the game outright realistically, I start there.
I also look for look ahead spots once we get
into the conference.
Speaker 5 (24:25):
Schedule, even early in the year.
Speaker 6 (24:27):
If a team has a non conference game against a
nationally ranked opponent ahead of them and maybe they were
a road favorite the week before, another situation to keep
an eye on. So there's several I could go on
and on, and we just don't have enough. I know
we have a lot of time on today's show, but
not that much.
Speaker 2 (24:48):
All right, at ross Benjamin one there on APS, you
guys can check him out as well as the Wager
Talking YouTube play page. He does a ton of free
baseball videos. That's where he went.
Speaker 1 (24:58):
How many did you.
Speaker 3 (24:59):
End up going in a row?
Speaker 1 (25:00):
Was?
Speaker 5 (25:00):
It?
Speaker 1 (25:00):
Wasn't it like last I looked? It was like fifty
two and eleven.
Speaker 5 (25:04):
Yeah, I sent it to you. Let me check real quick.
Speaker 2 (25:07):
I can't remember it was And it was a run
I've never seen my entire life.
Speaker 6 (25:12):
Yeah, it's still good, but I cooled off a bit,
and as you well know, the trolls come out of
the woodwork once you cool off a little bit.
Speaker 2 (25:20):
Sorry, fifty two and eleven is pretty darn good.
Speaker 1 (25:24):
I'm not worried about the trolls.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
I'm just mad I didn't jump on until you were
like thirty nine and nine.
Speaker 1 (25:30):
That was the problem I waited.
Speaker 6 (25:32):
You can't.
Speaker 2 (25:33):
You can't jump on the end of the hot streak.
You gotta get on it and get on it early.
Speaker 6 (25:36):
But that's yeah.
Speaker 2 (25:37):
Here at wager Talk, we put out a ton of
free content. So we love you guys. We always appreciate
the likes. We always hit the subscribe buttons. You guys
never missed another episode. Also shout out to a couple
of our new premium subscribers in the chat titan seet,
I see you.
Speaker 1 (25:52):
I'm gonna get to some of these questions, Ross, So.
Speaker 2 (25:54):
I'm gonna let you get out of here and get
ready for football season.
Speaker 6 (25:58):
Get Run by the Way is currently fifty eight, nineteen
and seventy two and twenty six with the free picks,
and I don't forget folks, those are free. My best
bets are the way to go over to long haul.
You know, I like to tell you I'm going to
continue on that type of run with my free picks,
but it's not realistic, Kelly. You know, it's not a
(26:20):
lack of confidence, it's just reality.
Speaker 2 (26:22):
So jump on regression to the mean, we all have
regression and it comes for us. We can't control when
it'll be. It might be in one hundred picks from now,
it might be starting today. Hopefully it keeps nice and
hot for you through college football season. Ross, and I'll
be doing a lot of talking during college football because
we are similar handicappers in that we're looking for those
outright underdogs. Maybe we can't cash little three team moneyline parlay. Ross,
(26:46):
What do you say.
Speaker 5 (26:47):
You know anything for you, my dear, So, I think
we could do that.
Speaker 1 (26:53):
I love it.
Speaker 2 (26:53):
We'll get you out of here on this beautiful Wednesday.
We'll get a couple more questions in the chat. Justin
p wants to know about Splash. So, justin full disclosure,
last year we had way too many ties out of
everybody in the world mad at me. So I wanted
to do pick two and then pick three weeks. But
the Splash guys and I kind of all got together.
Speaker 1 (27:12):
And said, hey, no, aac.
Speaker 2 (27:15):
They said, picked three major conferences, and I was not
leaving the big twelve out. We want some big chances
of upsets, of course, but I do think we are
going to see it, especially because you have to pick
two picks a week. If you guys want to get
involved in the Kelly and Murray College Football Survivor, it
is over on splash sports dot com Backslash Kelly in Vegas,
(27:36):
so guys head over there. I've also got a one
hundred dollars college football that picked seven contests every single week.
You got to pick seven games against the spread, and
they just guaranteed that one twenty five thousand dollars prize pool.
If you're a heavy hitter, get in on the five
hundred dollars one. Aaronl Epstein and I are going to
try to do a touchdown survivor and many losers.
Speaker 1 (27:55):
John Murray's idea. We're going to do a mini Losers
NFL Survivor. That's right.
Speaker 2 (27:59):
You have to pick a loser every single week instead
of pick a winner. Pick losers for eighteen weeks, and
you are getting paid. So we're working out some of
the last details on those.
Speaker 1 (28:09):
It's all I got for you, guys.
Speaker 2 (28:10):
I was in the comments section today seeing what you
guys want.
Speaker 1 (28:13):
To talk about.
Speaker 2 (28:14):
You guys are kind of quiet outside of Sean Michael.
So I'm gonna get out of here. I gotta get
packed for Boston. We've got PLL weekend. You guys can
see that lacrosse stick behind me. Very excited for Boston
and to hang out there at the beautiful Harvard Stadium
with my best friend Aaron Epstein. So make sure you
guys head over to our ex Instagram and so forth
so you guys can watch all the Premier Lacrosse League
(28:36):
action for this weekend. Don't forget we also have our
Hit Streak Survivor. We just did a little reap fifteen
dollars buy in. Just got to pick a guy to
get a hit every single day. I made it eight days.
The girl who knows nothing about baseball made it eight
days last time. See if we can't win the whole
dang thing. I hope you guys have a wonderful Wednesday
(28:57):
afternoon and cash some of those tickets. Andy Lang will
be back Thursday and Friday right here on the wager
Talk YouTube channel, and you can of course catch Steve
Merrill filling in for Aerial Epsteine here Saturday.
Speaker 1 (29:09):
Last Call
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