October 15, 2025 • 33 mins
On Wednesday's edition of WagerTalk Today, Ralph Michaels shares NFL Trends and Angles that you need to know before betting Week 7 of NFL action and also gives a best bets in the UTEP vs Sam Houston & Tulsa vs East Carolina CFB matchups. Ross "The Boss" Benjamin returns to talk Blue Jays vs Mariners game 3 & UNC vs Cal in Friday CFB action. Andy Lang provides props and shares free picks – don't miss out!
Introduction 00:00
CFB UTEP vs Sam Houston (Wednesday) 02:00
Tulsa vs East Carolina (Thursday) 05:42
NFL Week 7 Trends and Angles 10:30
GoldSheet Inside Look 15:00
Welcome Back Ross! 17:53
MLB Blue Jays vs Mariners ALCS Game 3 19:23
UNC vs Cal (Friday) 21:41
This Line Makes No Sense 24:30
Introduction 00:00
CFB UTEP vs Sam Houston (Wednesday) 02:00
Tulsa vs East Carolina (Thursday) 05:42
NFL Week 7 Trends and Angles 10:30
GoldSheet Inside Look 15:00
Welcome Back Ross! 17:53
MLB Blue Jays vs Mariners ALCS Game 3 19:23
UNC vs Cal (Friday) 21:41
This Line Makes No Sense 24:30
Mark as Played
Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:01):
You are live, my friend.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows where we.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
Talk, to talk and walk the walk.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
It is Wednesday, middle of the week. We're diving deep
into college football and MLB. Ralph Michaels has UTEP versus
Sam Houston and Tulsa versus East Carolina. And he's got
his favorite NFL Week seven trends and angles. It's more
like MythBusters. We're gonna dispel some myths about back to
backs this week.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
Ross the Boss Benjamin is back. Baby.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
You guys have been asking. He's finally feeling better. Ross's back.
He's gonna join us for Blue Jays, Mariners, North Carolina
and cal And then another episode of this line makes
no sense. It's time to get sharp, guys. Let's get
into it. You guys have to do hit the like button,
algorithm boost you guys know and say we got a comment.
(00:50):
I won't ever miss Contender Series again. Thank you for
the breakdown. Absolutely, we hit our five dollars Tuesday play
and it was one of the best live betting nights
of Contender Series. I think all said and dead. We
went nine and one last night and there's only six fights.
Good lord, it was an insanely good night. Sadly, that
was the last night of Contender series. King, But join
us for the UFC show. We're gonna be We're gonna
(01:12):
be printing tickets on that one too. All right, let's
bring in Ralph and his pen and we're gonna we're
gonna talk some college football. Ralph, you were saying, you
love Wait how many days was it? Forty nine days
in a row?
Speaker 3 (01:23):
Now we are in a stretch of forty nine straight
days of football that goes until the Wednesday prior to Thanksgiving.
Then we have that great Thanksgiving week with all the
Friday games. You know, Andy, we talked about this before
we got on the air. Why the heck are we
talking about a game where the teams are combined oh
and eleven against de FBS teams because it's on TV.
Speaker 1 (01:47):
I mean, it's insane. UTEP versus Sam Houston Ralph.
Speaker 2 (01:53):
Neither team can score there, I mean you mentioned did
they're combined one and eleven.
Speaker 1 (02:00):
This is I'm calling this, Ralph.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
The resistible force versus the movable object.
Speaker 1 (02:06):
These two teams are struggling.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
Somebody's got to win tonight. UTEP how'd you like to
be the linemaker in this one? Who are you gonna
make favorite UTEP minus two? How are we gonna do
an over under on two teams? I can't score. Put
it at forty seven and a half and let the
people decide. What's your breakdown on this on this game?
Speaker 1 (02:24):
Well, I like UTEP.
Speaker 3 (02:26):
Actually, you know, UTEP's one win was against an FCSFO
They beat U T. Martin, you know, and you look
at UTEP and UTEP was a team that people were
picking that had a shot in the CUSA. Why because
Malachi Nelsons their quarterback. He was a USC four or
five star recruit, depending on who you use. We thought
they were gonna go up tempo Scotty Walden in a
(02:48):
second season.
Speaker 1 (02:48):
Well, guess what.
Speaker 3 (02:49):
Malachi Nelson has completed fifty five percent, eight touchdowns and
nine interceptions on the season. That's the reason UTEP can't win.
UTEPT has not won the turnover battle in any game,
and in fact, versus FBS teams, they've lost the turnover
battle in every game and they're minus seven on the year.
You're not going to win many games that way. Let's
(03:11):
look at season to date numbers though, UTEP has played
one of the weakest schedules. You know, they played Texas,
they lost twenty seven to ten. They kept that game
within reason, but their overall strength of schedule ANDY is
uh number one thirty. Remember there's only one hundred and
thirty six teams. You look at the Sam Houston side.
(03:32):
They have actually played the number sixty two schedule. So
when I look at yards per game diff UTEP eighty five,
sam Houston won thirty three. That's yards per game offense
minus the defense and their rank.
Speaker 1 (03:45):
So that's about where it should be.
Speaker 3 (03:47):
You look at where UTEP strength the schedule is Sam
Houston's strength of schedules. The offense is as you said
this year, one eighteen and one thirty one. The scoring
offense is number one hundred and twenty and number one
one hundred and twenty seven pace of play. The reason
the total is so low both offenses are bad. You
(04:10):
kept with a positive defense. Their defense is actually playing
very well. You kept as number ninety nine in plays
per game run. Sam Houston one of the slowest teams
in all of the FBS. They are averaging under sixty
yards per play. That is number one thirty one in
the FBS. Neither has explosive plays combined. There you have
(04:33):
one hundred explosive plays of ten yards or more. That
may sound a lot, but that's number one hundred and
twenty eight, number one hundred and thirty. So we've got
a lot of ugly offensive stats. We have two very
slow paced teams. But Andy, I am going to say this,
I do lean under in this game, but as I've
done with a lot of unders, I prefer first half.
(04:55):
Why because we're getting a fair number with twenty three
and a half, and when you have two desperate teams
looking for their first FBS win, this is the type
of situation where you may try in the second half
to go forward on fourth down when you're not accustomed
to it, to try some trick plays. Turnovers will be
a factor here both teams. They're negative turnovers. I'll hope
(05:16):
that those turnovers are in the opponent's red zone, which
you always want with in under versus versus in your
own red zone backed up to your end zone where
teams can get defensive touchdowns. I lean you TEP can't
lay points on the road with them, So give me
under twenty three or twenty three and a half for
the first half.
Speaker 2 (05:37):
I like that breakdown. Yeah, you got two teams that
can't score. Yeah, absolutely, I like to read on that one.
Let's move to Tulsa and East Carolina.
Speaker 1 (05:47):
It's just funny to say out loud.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
Tulsa's two wins are against Abilene Christian and Oklahoma State, Like,
it just doesn't sound right.
Speaker 1 (05:57):
In East Carolina, boy with Ralph when they win, they
win big three wins.
Speaker 2 (06:00):
What is it, one hundred and twenty two to nine
combined combined total, So you're they're laying a big number,
but they can do it.
Speaker 1 (06:07):
What's your breakdown on this game?
Speaker 3 (06:09):
You know, I've been an East Carolina fan this entire season,
and there's a trend which I'll get to at the
end of this which is actually keeping me off playing
East Carolina. Well, we just had two of the slowest
tempo teams at number ninety nine and one thirty one
plays per game. This is the polar opposite these teams.
(06:31):
East Carolina is number two in the country averaging seventy
seven point two plays per game. Tulsa number eighteen in
the country, averaging seventy three points per game, so both
will have plenty of pace. The one thing I am
very happy that Trey Lamb did. Trey Lamb is a
(06:54):
first year head coach. They brought back a starter from
last year. He was a full time starter under under
Their coach last season was Kirk Francis, but they they
he didn't have a good camp he came in, so
he switched both quarterbacks. You have two quarterbacks on the
Tulsa Golden Hurricanes that have each started three games. Well,
(07:19):
what's the old adage?
Speaker 1 (07:20):
If you have two quarterbacks, you have no quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (07:23):
He's finally made the decision and he is going to
go to Baylor Haynes moving forward. Baylor Haynes, by the way,
sixty one percent, Kirk Francis sixty percent. But Baylor Haynes
has had a better a better feel for the offense.
He's driven him downfield more. He has gotten more first
(07:44):
downs than Kirk Francis has. So with a rush attack
that's actually playing pretty decent at one hundred and fifty
three yards per game and four point one yards per carry,
I think that is the right choice for Tulsa. You
look at East Carolina, they scored nineteen points at Tulane.
Tulane's defense is very good, Tulane's runs the ball often.
(08:07):
They scored twenty eight points against Army. Army runs the
ball slows down the clock. Against BYU, they have four
hundred and four yards but only thirteen points because they
were minus two turnovers. ECS offense is legit between behind
Caitlyn Hauser. He's averaging eight point zero yards per attempt,
(08:28):
not great, but he does get the ball downfield. He
has four receivers over three hundred yards. They're all averaging
over thirteen yards per reception. And we look at the
Tulsa defense. Their numbers are okay because they played Abilene
Christian in New Mexico State early, but you look at
their numbers over the last four weeks. Four hundred and
(08:49):
forty yards per game, twenty five first downs allowed. That's
a massive number in those last four games. Tulsa making
a change of quarterback abilizes their offense. Tulsa's defense not good.
East Carolina very misleading last three games, scoring a combined
sixty points. We're actually getting value because of their offense
(09:13):
has has played. Their offense has not looked as good
as they should. These kind of cases, with these kind
of tempos, with us getting value, this total should be
sixty two or sixty three, but East Carolina's offense the
last couple of weeks have has kept us number lower.
I'm on over and this actually may be a client
release for me.
Speaker 1 (09:31):
So if you.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
See tomorrow at wager Talk that I have a college
football client release and it's.
Speaker 1 (09:37):
A Thursday college football total, guess what. Don't buy it?
You know what it is.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Ralph Michaels, Everyone, let's talk some NFL trends. Last week,
you did the off of a buy and how that
myth about no teams off by or rest they cover
more than they don't. And then I told you me
and Dan did the exact same thing on Friday. We
were like, well the team's off, Oh I just naturally
you just say it. So we're gonna do another one today.
(10:04):
We're talking about back to back road games and back
to back home games. And when you say that, you say, oh,
well back to back home games, surely they must have
the better covering record or straight up record whatever back
to back road game, so tough, so tough numbers are
kind of a little different.
Speaker 1 (10:22):
On this one. This one is surprising.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
So tell us what say I'm gonna say if you
and I go to the bar tonight, we go into
a sports bar, people watching the football game, and we
say to people, you tell me, is an ATS record
better since twenty nineteen for teams playing a second straight
home game or a second straight road game. I'm gonna
stay probably eight or nine, maybe even all ten would
say the ATS record for the home team, and the
(10:45):
ATS record for the home team is fifty percent, so
not while and again the away team. If we could
see the chart, we will see back to back away
teams are fifty one point two percent against the spread.
Back to back home teams are fifty percent. So while
it's only a one point two percent difference, we're not
(11:05):
telling you to not bet back to back home. We're
not telling you to bet back to back away. We
just have to make sure when you're handicapping this game,
you don't make it a negative that a team is
playing a second straight road game. Now below, if you
look on the chart, you're gonna see the gray numbers
with the small ps so on the top line. On
(11:27):
the left hand side teams playing a second straight away,
right hand side teams playing a second straight home. The
middle is previous win is a favorite, previous loss, is
a favorite, previous win is a dog, previous loss as
a dog, And you see there are a couple reds
and one green that do stick out. So let's look
(11:49):
at the teams playing a second straight away game. If
they lost the first game as a favorite, they've gone
thirty seven and twenty six fifty nine percent against the spread.
There is one game that applies to this this weekendy,
and who would that be?
Speaker 1 (12:04):
The Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 3 (12:05):
And you have the Eagles colors behind you just for
that reason, I see why you did that on a
couple negative situations. This doesn't apply to anyone. But if
you're playing a second straight road and you lost the
last game as a dog, you're only forty six point
nine percent. And if you're playing a second straight home
and you won the first game as a dog, you're
forty two point one percent. I will post this on
(12:27):
Twitter at cal Sports LV if you want some more time.
But two more things I want to mention on this.
Someone had reached out to this and I get asked
this every year a couple times a year. What happens
if a team is back to back home versus a
team back to back away. The team playing back to
back home only forty six point five percent, So that
(12:49):
is a more of a MythBuster to me that you
would think a team that hasn't traveled versus another team,
the back to back road teams fifty three point five.
And if the whole ome team is off a win
playing a team playing a back to back road game
off a loss, the home team is only forty three percent.
A bigger play on. There is one negative, Andy calling
(13:12):
you Teddy, sorry about that. I apologize tremendously. When a
team is away for a third straight we know back
to backs aren't bad, but when a team is on
the road for a third straight game, they are only
forty four point three percent. And if they're on the
road for a third straight game and they're often away win,
they're only thirty seven percent. So no problems back to
(13:34):
back road, but when you get to a third straight
road there are some.
Speaker 2 (13:38):
Negatives, all right, all right, yeah, it makes it makes
all the sense. So when you're looking at this chart, guys,
look at the red, the two reds, and the green,
and just know that we've got this this Philadelphia Eagles
situation that's coming up. So Ralph, you've got some stuff
about gold Sheet. Tell us about gold Sheet this week.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
Well, we have a sale on gold Sheet today, guys.
Gold Sheet normally nineteen dollars a week. And if you're
not sure what you're gonna get with gold Sheet, take
a look. This is one game that we're bringing up.
And in this game, you're gonna see a complete write up.
You're gonna see a stat breakdown. You're gonna see their
averages over the last three games, which I love to
(14:17):
look how a team has performed, what their average line was,
what their opponent's power rating was. And one thing I
do want to point out here if we can show
the team logs for the Florida Atlantic team, the.
Speaker 1 (14:32):
Goal she logs.
Speaker 2 (14:34):
Let me say, I pulled that up off the Wi
Fi went out in the office, So I'm flying by
this or flying by the seat of our pants.
Speaker 1 (14:42):
Are off, Just start talking. I'll pull up these files,
all right.
Speaker 3 (14:45):
So we're gonna look at the We're gonna look at
the South Florida excuse me, the Florida Atlantic.
Speaker 1 (14:55):
Logs.
Speaker 3 (14:55):
The logs are full game, first quarter and first half.
There you go, Thank you very much.
Speaker 4 (15:01):
Andy.
Speaker 3 (15:02):
This is just the logs, guys. There's so much more
information Florida Atlantic full game three and three against the spread.
You see that first column, Take a look at the
middle column that is first quarter Andy, they are not
only six to zero in the first quarter, look at
those average cover margins that they've had first half. By
the way, they're five and one over under. So it
(15:24):
really does help you where if you're one that always
bets full game. When you're looking at both logs above
and below each other, if you have a team that's
great in the first quarter against the team poor in
the first quarter, or great first half, poor first half,
those are the kind of extra value that you do
get with the gold cheat logs. I look at them
every game. Gold Cheat normally nineteen dollars a week, right
(15:48):
up on every FBS game, every NFL game, logs for
every team, stat profiles for every team. This week, try
the gold sheet out for only nine dollars. The code
G ten had to wait to talk. Right on the
front page in the main brick, you're going to see
the gold Sheet nineteen dollars, Click on it, purchase it,
(16:08):
use the coupon GS ten, and guess what you're getting
this week's gold sheet for nine bucks. I had to
look it up, Andy, that is twelve and a half
cents per game. You want to talk about value, guys,
check out this week's gold Sheet coupon code TOS ten.
I see Ross smiling back there. He is ready to
get on this stage.
Speaker 2 (16:30):
Ralph Michael's everyone, there's your breakdown in college football trends,
and don't forget to use that promo code GS ten
to get your instant discount on gold cheat. Good luck, Ralph,
Let's have a great week shout out to everyone in
the chat. A couple of comments, Andy, what happened to
our cricket expert? Cricket is back this weekend. The cricket
(16:50):
has a very very weird schedule, so we've got some
leagues that are not beatable and then some leagues that
are very betable.
Speaker 1 (16:56):
So we're going to actually jump into cricket here this weekend.
Just talk to him.
Speaker 2 (17:01):
We're gonna have some soccer as well, so it should
be a really really good weekend. Somebody asked about a
player prop. I do not have any player props for
the college football game, so apologize for that.
Speaker 1 (17:12):
One.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
Just couldn't find any value. I mean, they got this guy,
London Montgomery. He's minus one fifteen for an anytime touchdown
scores guy scored in one game.
Speaker 1 (17:20):
The touchdown props.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
They're fun, but there's only a couple guys that there's
really any value on in any of these sports. It's
fun to throw, like a few of them in parlays
like those are fun to root on, but as far
as actual bank roll building, the only one that I've
used over.
Speaker 1 (17:37):
The years is Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
We catch that for clients last weekend, but he's averaging
like one rushing touchdown per game as a pro. That's
the only one that I've really really found much value in.
Speaker 1 (17:49):
So all right, let's bring in Ross the Boss.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
And Ross, I got to tell you you are loved,
my friend, because people have been asking about you.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
And when I'm gone, I don't know when.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
I'm not on the show, I don't know if people
ask about me, but you have been asked about every
single week. So first off, welcome, thank you very much
for joining us, and how are you?
Speaker 4 (18:13):
Thank you Andy much better And I appreciate all the
viewers out there, clients that have reached out and expressed
some heartwarming messages to me. You know, I thought I
had a stomach bug a couple of weeks ago, Andy,
and it ended up being a infection and I had
(18:34):
to go under an emergency gall bladder infection. He had
to go under emergency surgery in a five days stay
in the hospital. So I'm good Now I'm ready to go.
Speaker 2 (18:44):
My friend, well, I'm always taking the over on Ross
Benjamin coming out on the good side.
Speaker 4 (18:50):
So you know, ROSSI between when happened in early January
with the prostate cancer, now I've gotten sixty seven years
staying healthy, Andy, and this year has been just a nightmare.
And if I was a used car and you bought
me in January, I'd certainly qualify for you turning me
in as a lemon law. But you know, not my handicap,
(19:11):
and there's no lemon law there.
Speaker 1 (19:14):
Let's get let let's let's finish strong in twenty twenty five.
Let's let's make this.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
Let's make this a winner here, all right, let's go
to let's do a Major League baseball First, we got
Blue Jays and the Mariners ALCS Game three. Bieber was
a little shaky coming into the playoffs, but last game,
you know, five hits, two earned runs, two point two innings.
Kirby was good in two starts versus Detroit, ten innings,
three earned runs. You got Seattle up to zero, and
(19:41):
you got Toronto's plus one zero eight Seattle minus one
thirty one. Very vanilla number of seven is the over under.
I feel like that's just kind of the They just
put just stick seven on these playoff games and let
us figure it out.
Speaker 1 (19:53):
How do you break down the Blue Jays and the Mariners.
Speaker 4 (19:56):
Yeah, I have a money line winner in this game
up for sale right now at wager talking at wt
dot Buzz slash RB. You can find that pick there.
But for now, I'm going to concentrate on a player,
a pitcher prop here, and I'm going to look at
Shane Bieber's strikeout total of four and a half. Now,
(20:18):
you had mentioned he's coming off a shaky start against
the Yankees and his only postseason outing. However, against this
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one
hundred and nine against Bieber, excuse me, against his current Yeah,
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one
(20:39):
hundred and nine and struck out forty four times life
in one hundred and nine at bats, it's fifty two
point four percent of those outs recorded came by way
of strikeouts. That again, I'm sorry current mirrors roster. It's
been a while. I'm a little rusty by the way.
(21:00):
The Mariners. They struck out the six both times in
all of baseball this year, and in their last three games,
Seattle has struck out forty five times, an average of
fifteen times per game. Andy, you know, Toronto is one
of the best contact hitting teams in baseball. Seattle is not.
They're one of the worst. So I'm gonna go with
(21:21):
Shane Bieber over his strikeout total of four and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:26):
I like it.
Speaker 2 (21:27):
Like it's been been pretty entertaining MLB postseason so and
I've loved these props. These pitcher props have been fantastic.
We've been talking about outs. Some one of the chat says,
take the under on the fourteen half outs.
Speaker 1 (21:38):
You love the strackouts. I feel like there's a lot
of value in these these player props.
Speaker 2 (21:42):
Let's go to an interesting college football game U n
C versus cal So when you n see faces a
decent team, they get smoked.
Speaker 1 (21:51):
You just look at them. There's no close games.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
For North Carolina. They either win big or they lose big.
Here's the question. Is Kali team they've lost to out
of the last three. If you're telling me they're good,
taking the minus ten. If you're telling me they're not good,
I'm taking North Carolina out right. How do you break
this game down?
Speaker 4 (22:10):
Yeah? I can't consider Cal being a good team when
they've committed eight turnovers in their last three games. And
you mentioned an interesting game, I beg to differ. You know,
I would say, if you want to go to sleep early,
watch this game. But the only problem with that is
it starts at ten thirty pm Eastern times, so you're
(22:30):
not going to miss anything by going to bed early.
Let me put it this way. The Keil offense over
their last four games averaging just nineteen points and three
hundred and twenty one point eight yards of total offense
per contests, and a lot of that goes back to
the committing eight turnovers in the last three games. Like
I alluded to, hard to sustain offensive drives when you're
(22:52):
turning the ball over at that rate. North Carolina over
their last four games have played three to zero to
one to the under with the combined to average a
forty point three point score per game. You mentioned when
they step up in class, and basically, I don't know
about stepping up in class. But in there are four
games against FBS teams, they're averaging thirteen point three points
(23:15):
per game, in two hundred and fifty three yards of
total offense per contest, thirty one point seven percent on
third downs this year. That's terrible. And they're averaging only
twenty six minutes in terms of time of possession and
scoring only one point per eighteen point seven yards gain
(23:37):
per So those are horrible numbers, and it's hard to
put points on the board when you're only averaging twenty
six minutes of total or time of possession. Andy, So
I'm gonna go with North Carolina and Kale to go
under the total of forty seven and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
I can't argue with you on that one. There's some
there are some gross games this week in college football.
They can't all be winners. So all right, we love
doing the he you would be proud of me. So
while you're going I did that. This line makes no
sense and I got both of them right. Nice about that?
So I filled these big shoes nicely. So I love
(24:16):
the segments, one of my favorites. It's Ross's time to
tell us this line makes no sense.
Speaker 1 (24:24):
What game did you pick? And why does this line
make no sense?
Speaker 4 (24:27):
Well, I am thoroughly glad that you asked Andy, because
Boise State is hosting U n OV this week and
the Broncos are four and two. U n OV is
six and zero. Yeah, Boise State yesterday was minus ten
and a half. Now they're up to as much as
eleven and a half to twelve and a half. And
(24:50):
when you got a two lost team and they're a
double digit favored against an undefeated team in the second
half of is season, I would think most people would
think they're getting a steal with the undefeated, double digit underdog.
But hold on, my friends, Boise has played a much
(25:11):
tougher schedule. Their two losses came at the hands of
nationally ranked South Florida and their season opener on the
road and at Notre Dame. So they're at home tonight
against a UNLV team that struggled in their season opener
against Idaho State, winning thirty eight to thirty one. Idaho State,
(25:33):
by the way, it's an FCS team. They won that
game with a touchdown in a last minute, and then
last week with under a minute to play, they scored
a touchdown to beat air Force fifty one to forty eight.
The defense in those two games I just mentioned they
allowed five hundred and eighty four yards per game. Here's
(25:53):
the thing with UNLV, which has sparked them to that
six and oh start. They're plus nine in the turnover department.
Boise is a plus two and boys hasn't turned the
ball over in three of their six games this season.
UNLV is going to have to do more than depend
on turnovers here. I just think this is a sucker
(26:15):
play to take the undefeated, double digit underdog. Obviously the
sharpbetters agree with me because we've seen the line movement
go up to as much as two points in this
game on Boise State. So better beware in this situation.
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Andy, great, great segment, So be careful about laying all
those points.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
All right, Ross, what do you have up? You mentioned? Ay,
my players aren't lemons, they're lemonade. What do you have
up for? What lemonade do you have up for? Everyone
at wager? Talking?
Speaker 4 (26:45):
Very creative? Andy is always all right? So I got
a baseball play money line winner up for tonight in
Major League Baseball Game three of the ALCS between Seattle
and Toronto. Major League Baseball number two on the season
just relinquished a number one spot yesterday, but I'm gonna
(27:06):
get it back. A nice Major League Baseball run of
one oh three and seventy three fifty nine percent with
a net profit of plus seventy six point three to
zero units, I will have an I have an NFL
winning total up for the Thursday night game. You can
get that right now for twenty five dollars. My college
(27:29):
football and NFL combined on a twenty five and thirteen
run sixty six percent uh and also all sports one
fifty six and one o eight since May thirteenth, fifty
nine percent in net PROFITAB one hundred and sixteen point
sixty nine units. And I think that covers it all
(27:49):
College football. By the way, folks, it'll be a big
Saturday once again. College football continues the role number one
and units earned and win percentage last season on a
fifteen and five run right now in college football since
September ninth of twenty twenty three, going all the way
back that far, one forty five and ninety five sixty percent,
(28:14):
up one hundred and twelve units, and since twenty twenty
three college football season started number one in units earned
at wager Talk in college football. So a lot to like,
a lot to take advantage of, folks. We're going to
have a huge weekend coming up. Don't forget to jump
on board with my Major League Baseball winner tonight Thursday,
(28:34):
NFL up right now, and the rest of the weekend
will be up within the next forty eight hours.
Speaker 2 (28:42):
Ross, Benjamin Ross the Boss. So glad to have you
back in our lives. Take care of my friend. Let's
have a big weekend.
Speaker 1 (28:48):
Thank you for everyone. God, it's great. God, it's great
to have Ross back.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
So we got a few specials running at wager Talk.
Weekend Warrior continues to be one of the highlights of
the specials that we've run.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
You guys have Saturday.
Speaker 2 (29:04):
We love the special so we're gonna keep running a
weekend war year. You get all the football games for Saturday,
Sunday and even Monday, so we have big, big weekend
of football.
Speaker 1 (29:12):
It's forty nine dollars.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
Pick your handicapper that does college and NFL, then you
get all those locked in includes five percent releases only
forty nine dollars. This was a special we were gonna
do one weekend only and it was so popular and
it just keeps growing each week.
Speaker 1 (29:26):
So Weekend Warriors.
Speaker 2 (29:27):
Available this week. We've also got some flex Picks specials.
If you guys like flex picks, we talk about these.
I think we're the only I think we're the only
company that does these. Where you can buy a seven
day pass and you can pick your handicapper. You get
three days for forty nine, seven days for sixty nine.
If you want to do a long term, which we
always recommend trying to do long term, get it. It's
not for everybody, but if you're interested in getting picks
(29:49):
longer days, we've got discounts in thirty and ninety days.
You can pick a different handicapper each day. I got
a five percent UFC best bet on Saturday, So you
want to use it on Me on Saturday, Great, Then
you want to use it on Ross on Sunday, you
can do that.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
You have all the flexibilities.
Speaker 2 (30:02):
So we've got some really good discounts on flex picksover
at wager talk dot com. Uh, we're gonna do all
around the world. Allow me to promote my five percent
UFC play. We're coming off another big win on Contender series.
It was the last Contender series of the season. I'm
sad I'm gonna miss it, but what a way to
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(30:22):
So nice, nice Contenter series into the season. And this
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this weekend, all right, Chris, let's do all around the world,
give people some free plays. I'm gonna go to UFC.
Here's a free play. This is kind of a steep
price on a guy like Cody Gibson. Cody Gibson is
not that good and This fight isn't gonna be super exciting.
(31:12):
A Ricci Lang is really bad man. This guy is
way past his prime. He gets beat up on the feet,
he gets dominated on the matt and his most recent
wins are all against guys that are no longer in
the UFC. These guys have been cut.
Speaker 1 (31:27):
Gibson.
Speaker 2 (31:27):
He's a combinant striker and grappler, and that's really all
you need to beat a Ricchi Lang. He's gonna have
enough control time on the ground to take at least
a couple of rounds unless A Ricci Lang laying something crazy,
which he hasn't done in a long time. I think
Gibson grinds out a decision one. A Richi Lang was
getting his ass kicked against Daniel Marcos and quit.
Speaker 1 (31:48):
It. He just stopped fighting.
Speaker 2 (31:50):
They gave him a reason to quit and he took it.
So I'm fading A Ricci Lang Panthers a red wing.
Let's do a shots on goal sam Ryan Hart over
two and a half shots on goal. He's gone over
in all four games this season. You gotta remember they
got injuries to this Florida Panthers team. There's a lot
of shots on goal available and ryan Hart has been
taking advantage. He's gone over in four out of the
last five against the Detroit Red Wings. Scene keep writing
(32:11):
the streak of Sam ryan Hart. And this comes from
the wager Talk Free Picks page. Chelsea over Nottingham Forrest.
We like Chelsea just to win, just win outright. Chelsea
big win against Liverpool. Meanwhile, Forrest lost to zero at Newcastle.
They were out shot eighteen to five in that game.
Chelsea's got better form depth Forrest. They tend to get
(32:32):
behind and they just don't have the firepower to catch up.
So we're gonna take Chelsea to win outright. That's a
free play from Ronald Combang. We got tons of free
plays that are up on the wager Talk Free Picks page,
So if you're looking for some more diverse plays across.
Speaker 1 (32:44):
All sports, highly recommend going to there.
Speaker 2 (32:47):
Thank you to Ralph Michaels, Thank you to Ross, Thank
you to Big Dog for producing today.
Speaker 1 (32:52):
Chris shout out to you, yup. Thank you guys in
the chat.
Speaker 2 (32:55):
Please hit the like button, leave us comment below, tell
us about you're betting tonight, tell us abou you're betting
this weekend. We got a locked and uploaded couple of
shows to wrap out, to wrap up the week. Thursday
is gonna be a nice show and you has no
football Fridays. Football Fridays, the views are insane. It was
our goal to make Fridays the best football show out there,
and I think we've done that. It is a loaded Friday,
(33:16):
so make sure you're here to watch us live. If
you're not catch the replay. We're giving out tons of information.
We're giving out tons of plays, props, survivor spreads. I
went three and two on my megapit contest, so we're
doing well. We're keeping up. We're pretty high on that leaderboard.
So thanks very much, guys. That's gonna do it for
us today. Good luck on all your bets. Let's have
a big Wednesday. We'll see you tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (33:37):
Take care,
You are live, my friend.
Speaker 2 (00:04):
Welcome to wager Talk Today, the gold standard of sports
betting shows where we.
Speaker 1 (00:07):
Talk, to talk and walk the walk.
Speaker 2 (00:09):
It is Wednesday, middle of the week. We're diving deep
into college football and MLB. Ralph Michaels has UTEP versus
Sam Houston and Tulsa versus East Carolina. And he's got
his favorite NFL Week seven trends and angles. It's more
like MythBusters. We're gonna dispel some myths about back to
backs this week.
Speaker 1 (00:28):
Ross the Boss Benjamin is back. Baby.
Speaker 2 (00:30):
You guys have been asking. He's finally feeling better. Ross's back.
He's gonna join us for Blue Jays, Mariners, North Carolina
and cal And then another episode of this line makes
no sense. It's time to get sharp, guys. Let's get
into it. You guys have to do hit the like button,
algorithm boost you guys know and say we got a comment.
(00:50):
I won't ever miss Contender Series again. Thank you for
the breakdown. Absolutely, we hit our five dollars Tuesday play
and it was one of the best live betting nights
of Contender Series. I think all said and dead. We
went nine and one last night and there's only six fights.
Good lord, it was an insanely good night. Sadly, that
was the last night of Contender series. King, But join
us for the UFC show. We're gonna be We're gonna
(01:12):
be printing tickets on that one too. All right, let's
bring in Ralph and his pen and we're gonna we're
gonna talk some college football. Ralph, you were saying, you
love Wait how many days was it? Forty nine days
in a row?
Speaker 3 (01:23):
Now we are in a stretch of forty nine straight
days of football that goes until the Wednesday prior to Thanksgiving.
Then we have that great Thanksgiving week with all the
Friday games. You know, Andy, we talked about this before
we got on the air. Why the heck are we
talking about a game where the teams are combined oh
and eleven against de FBS teams because it's on TV.
Speaker 1 (01:47):
I mean, it's insane. UTEP versus Sam Houston Ralph.
Speaker 2 (01:53):
Neither team can score there, I mean you mentioned did
they're combined one and eleven.
Speaker 1 (02:00):
This is I'm calling this, Ralph.
Speaker 2 (02:02):
The resistible force versus the movable object.
Speaker 1 (02:06):
These two teams are struggling.
Speaker 2 (02:08):
Somebody's got to win tonight. UTEP how'd you like to
be the linemaker in this one? Who are you gonna
make favorite UTEP minus two? How are we gonna do
an over under on two teams? I can't score. Put
it at forty seven and a half and let the
people decide. What's your breakdown on this on this game?
Speaker 1 (02:24):
Well, I like UTEP.
Speaker 3 (02:26):
Actually, you know, UTEP's one win was against an FCSFO
They beat U T. Martin, you know, and you look
at UTEP and UTEP was a team that people were
picking that had a shot in the CUSA. Why because
Malachi Nelsons their quarterback. He was a USC four or
five star recruit, depending on who you use. We thought
they were gonna go up tempo Scotty Walden in a
(02:48):
second season.
Speaker 1 (02:48):
Well, guess what.
Speaker 3 (02:49):
Malachi Nelson has completed fifty five percent, eight touchdowns and
nine interceptions on the season. That's the reason UTEP can't win.
UTEPT has not won the turnover battle in any game,
and in fact, versus FBS teams, they've lost the turnover
battle in every game and they're minus seven on the year.
You're not going to win many games that way. Let's
(03:11):
look at season to date numbers though, UTEP has played
one of the weakest schedules. You know, they played Texas,
they lost twenty seven to ten. They kept that game
within reason, but their overall strength of schedule ANDY is
uh number one thirty. Remember there's only one hundred and
thirty six teams. You look at the Sam Houston side.
(03:32):
They have actually played the number sixty two schedule. So
when I look at yards per game diff UTEP eighty five,
sam Houston won thirty three. That's yards per game offense
minus the defense and their rank.
Speaker 1 (03:45):
So that's about where it should be.
Speaker 3 (03:47):
You look at where UTEP strength the schedule is Sam
Houston's strength of schedules. The offense is as you said
this year, one eighteen and one thirty one. The scoring
offense is number one hundred and twenty and number one
one hundred and twenty seven pace of play. The reason
the total is so low both offenses are bad. You
(04:10):
kept with a positive defense. Their defense is actually playing
very well. You kept as number ninety nine in plays
per game run. Sam Houston one of the slowest teams
in all of the FBS. They are averaging under sixty
yards per play. That is number one thirty one in
the FBS. Neither has explosive plays combined. There you have
(04:33):
one hundred explosive plays of ten yards or more. That
may sound a lot, but that's number one hundred and
twenty eight, number one hundred and thirty. So we've got
a lot of ugly offensive stats. We have two very
slow paced teams. But Andy, I am going to say this,
I do lean under in this game, but as I've
done with a lot of unders, I prefer first half.
(04:55):
Why because we're getting a fair number with twenty three
and a half, and when you have two desperate teams
looking for their first FBS win, this is the type
of situation where you may try in the second half
to go forward on fourth down when you're not accustomed
to it, to try some trick plays. Turnovers will be
a factor here both teams. They're negative turnovers. I'll hope
(05:16):
that those turnovers are in the opponent's red zone, which
you always want with in under versus versus in your
own red zone backed up to your end zone where
teams can get defensive touchdowns. I lean you TEP can't
lay points on the road with them, So give me
under twenty three or twenty three and a half for
the first half.
Speaker 2 (05:37):
I like that breakdown. Yeah, you got two teams that
can't score. Yeah, absolutely, I like to read on that one.
Let's move to Tulsa and East Carolina.
Speaker 1 (05:47):
It's just funny to say out loud.
Speaker 2 (05:49):
Tulsa's two wins are against Abilene Christian and Oklahoma State, Like,
it just doesn't sound right.
Speaker 1 (05:57):
In East Carolina, boy with Ralph when they win, they
win big three wins.
Speaker 2 (06:00):
What is it, one hundred and twenty two to nine
combined combined total, So you're they're laying a big number,
but they can do it.
Speaker 1 (06:07):
What's your breakdown on this game?
Speaker 3 (06:09):
You know, I've been an East Carolina fan this entire season,
and there's a trend which I'll get to at the
end of this which is actually keeping me off playing
East Carolina. Well, we just had two of the slowest
tempo teams at number ninety nine and one thirty one
plays per game. This is the polar opposite these teams.
(06:31):
East Carolina is number two in the country averaging seventy
seven point two plays per game. Tulsa number eighteen in
the country, averaging seventy three points per game, so both
will have plenty of pace. The one thing I am
very happy that Trey Lamb did. Trey Lamb is a
(06:54):
first year head coach. They brought back a starter from
last year. He was a full time starter under under
Their coach last season was Kirk Francis, but they they
he didn't have a good camp he came in, so
he switched both quarterbacks. You have two quarterbacks on the
Tulsa Golden Hurricanes that have each started three games. Well,
(07:19):
what's the old adage?
Speaker 1 (07:20):
If you have two quarterbacks, you have no quarterbacks.
Speaker 3 (07:23):
He's finally made the decision and he is going to
go to Baylor Haynes moving forward. Baylor Haynes, by the way,
sixty one percent, Kirk Francis sixty percent. But Baylor Haynes
has had a better a better feel for the offense.
He's driven him downfield more. He has gotten more first
(07:44):
downs than Kirk Francis has. So with a rush attack
that's actually playing pretty decent at one hundred and fifty
three yards per game and four point one yards per carry,
I think that is the right choice for Tulsa. You
look at East Carolina, they scored nineteen points at Tulane.
Tulane's defense is very good, Tulane's runs the ball often.
(08:07):
They scored twenty eight points against Army. Army runs the
ball slows down the clock. Against BYU, they have four
hundred and four yards but only thirteen points because they
were minus two turnovers. ECS offense is legit between behind
Caitlyn Hauser. He's averaging eight point zero yards per attempt,
(08:28):
not great, but he does get the ball downfield. He
has four receivers over three hundred yards. They're all averaging
over thirteen yards per reception. And we look at the
Tulsa defense. Their numbers are okay because they played Abilene
Christian in New Mexico State early, but you look at
their numbers over the last four weeks. Four hundred and
(08:49):
forty yards per game, twenty five first downs allowed. That's
a massive number in those last four games. Tulsa making
a change of quarterback abilizes their offense. Tulsa's defense not good.
East Carolina very misleading last three games, scoring a combined
sixty points. We're actually getting value because of their offense
(09:13):
has has played. Their offense has not looked as good
as they should. These kind of cases, with these kind
of tempos, with us getting value, this total should be
sixty two or sixty three, but East Carolina's offense the
last couple of weeks have has kept us number lower.
I'm on over and this actually may be a client
release for me.
Speaker 1 (09:31):
So if you.
Speaker 3 (09:32):
See tomorrow at wager Talk that I have a college
football client release and it's.
Speaker 1 (09:37):
A Thursday college football total, guess what. Don't buy it?
You know what it is.
Speaker 2 (09:43):
Ralph Michaels, Everyone, let's talk some NFL trends. Last week,
you did the off of a buy and how that
myth about no teams off by or rest they cover
more than they don't. And then I told you me
and Dan did the exact same thing on Friday. We
were like, well the team's off, Oh I just naturally
you just say it. So we're gonna do another one today.
(10:04):
We're talking about back to back road games and back
to back home games. And when you say that, you say, oh,
well back to back home games, surely they must have
the better covering record or straight up record whatever back
to back road game, so tough, so tough numbers are
kind of a little different.
Speaker 1 (10:22):
On this one. This one is surprising.
Speaker 3 (10:24):
So tell us what say I'm gonna say if you
and I go to the bar tonight, we go into
a sports bar, people watching the football game, and we
say to people, you tell me, is an ATS record
better since twenty nineteen for teams playing a second straight
home game or a second straight road game. I'm gonna
stay probably eight or nine, maybe even all ten would
say the ATS record for the home team, and the
(10:45):
ATS record for the home team is fifty percent, so
not while and again the away team. If we could
see the chart, we will see back to back away
teams are fifty one point two percent against the spread.
Back to back home teams are fifty percent. So while
it's only a one point two percent difference, we're not
(11:05):
telling you to not bet back to back home. We're
not telling you to bet back to back away. We
just have to make sure when you're handicapping this game,
you don't make it a negative that a team is
playing a second straight road game. Now below, if you
look on the chart, you're gonna see the gray numbers
with the small ps so on the top line. On
(11:27):
the left hand side teams playing a second straight away,
right hand side teams playing a second straight home. The
middle is previous win is a favorite, previous loss, is
a favorite, previous win is a dog, previous loss as
a dog, And you see there are a couple reds
and one green that do stick out. So let's look
(11:49):
at the teams playing a second straight away game. If
they lost the first game as a favorite, they've gone
thirty seven and twenty six fifty nine percent against the spread.
There is one game that applies to this this weekendy,
and who would that be?
Speaker 1 (12:04):
The Philadelphia Eagles.
Speaker 3 (12:05):
And you have the Eagles colors behind you just for
that reason, I see why you did that on a
couple negative situations. This doesn't apply to anyone. But if
you're playing a second straight road and you lost the
last game as a dog, you're only forty six point
nine percent. And if you're playing a second straight home
and you won the first game as a dog, you're
forty two point one percent. I will post this on
(12:27):
Twitter at cal Sports LV if you want some more time.
But two more things I want to mention on this.
Someone had reached out to this and I get asked
this every year a couple times a year. What happens
if a team is back to back home versus a
team back to back away. The team playing back to
back home only forty six point five percent, So that
(12:49):
is a more of a MythBuster to me that you
would think a team that hasn't traveled versus another team,
the back to back road teams fifty three point five.
And if the whole ome team is off a win
playing a team playing a back to back road game
off a loss, the home team is only forty three percent.
A bigger play on. There is one negative, Andy calling
(13:12):
you Teddy, sorry about that. I apologize tremendously. When a
team is away for a third straight we know back
to backs aren't bad, but when a team is on
the road for a third straight game, they are only
forty four point three percent. And if they're on the
road for a third straight game and they're often away win,
they're only thirty seven percent. So no problems back to
(13:34):
back road, but when you get to a third straight
road there are some.
Speaker 2 (13:38):
Negatives, all right, all right, yeah, it makes it makes
all the sense. So when you're looking at this chart, guys,
look at the red, the two reds, and the green,
and just know that we've got this this Philadelphia Eagles
situation that's coming up. So Ralph, you've got some stuff
about gold Sheet. Tell us about gold Sheet this week.
Speaker 3 (13:55):
Well, we have a sale on gold Sheet today, guys.
Gold Sheet normally nineteen dollars a week. And if you're
not sure what you're gonna get with gold Sheet, take
a look. This is one game that we're bringing up.
And in this game, you're gonna see a complete write up.
You're gonna see a stat breakdown. You're gonna see their
averages over the last three games, which I love to
(14:17):
look how a team has performed, what their average line was,
what their opponent's power rating was. And one thing I
do want to point out here if we can show
the team logs for the Florida Atlantic team, the.
Speaker 1 (14:32):
Goal she logs.
Speaker 2 (14:34):
Let me say, I pulled that up off the Wi
Fi went out in the office, So I'm flying by
this or flying by the seat of our pants.
Speaker 1 (14:42):
Are off, Just start talking. I'll pull up these files,
all right.
Speaker 3 (14:45):
So we're gonna look at the We're gonna look at
the South Florida excuse me, the Florida Atlantic.
Speaker 1 (14:55):
Logs.
Speaker 3 (14:55):
The logs are full game, first quarter and first half.
There you go, Thank you very much.
Speaker 4 (15:01):
Andy.
Speaker 3 (15:02):
This is just the logs, guys. There's so much more
information Florida Atlantic full game three and three against the spread.
You see that first column, Take a look at the
middle column that is first quarter Andy, they are not
only six to zero in the first quarter, look at
those average cover margins that they've had first half. By
the way, they're five and one over under. So it
(15:24):
really does help you where if you're one that always
bets full game. When you're looking at both logs above
and below each other, if you have a team that's
great in the first quarter against the team poor in
the first quarter, or great first half, poor first half,
those are the kind of extra value that you do
get with the gold cheat logs. I look at them
every game. Gold Cheat normally nineteen dollars a week, right
(15:48):
up on every FBS game, every NFL game, logs for
every team, stat profiles for every team. This week, try
the gold sheet out for only nine dollars. The code
G ten had to wait to talk. Right on the
front page in the main brick, you're going to see
the gold Sheet nineteen dollars, Click on it, purchase it,
(16:08):
use the coupon GS ten, and guess what you're getting
this week's gold sheet for nine bucks. I had to
look it up, Andy, that is twelve and a half
cents per game. You want to talk about value, guys,
check out this week's gold Sheet coupon code TOS ten.
I see Ross smiling back there. He is ready to
get on this stage.
Speaker 2 (16:30):
Ralph Michael's everyone, there's your breakdown in college football trends,
and don't forget to use that promo code GS ten
to get your instant discount on gold cheat. Good luck, Ralph,
Let's have a great week shout out to everyone in
the chat. A couple of comments, Andy, what happened to
our cricket expert? Cricket is back this weekend. The cricket
(16:50):
has a very very weird schedule, so we've got some
leagues that are not beatable and then some leagues that
are very betable.
Speaker 1 (16:56):
So we're going to actually jump into cricket here this weekend.
Just talk to him.
Speaker 2 (17:01):
We're gonna have some soccer as well, so it should
be a really really good weekend. Somebody asked about a
player prop. I do not have any player props for
the college football game, so apologize for that.
Speaker 1 (17:12):
One.
Speaker 2 (17:13):
Just couldn't find any value. I mean, they got this guy,
London Montgomery. He's minus one fifteen for an anytime touchdown
scores guy scored in one game.
Speaker 1 (17:20):
The touchdown props.
Speaker 2 (17:21):
They're fun, but there's only a couple guys that there's
really any value on in any of these sports. It's
fun to throw, like a few of them in parlays
like those are fun to root on, but as far
as actual bank roll building, the only one that I've
used over.
Speaker 1 (17:37):
The years is Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown.
Speaker 2 (17:41):
We catch that for clients last weekend, but he's averaging
like one rushing touchdown per game as a pro. That's
the only one that I've really really found much value in.
Speaker 1 (17:49):
So all right, let's bring in Ross the Boss.
Speaker 2 (17:54):
And Ross, I got to tell you you are loved,
my friend, because people have been asking about you.
Speaker 1 (18:00):
And when I'm gone, I don't know when.
Speaker 2 (18:03):
I'm not on the show, I don't know if people
ask about me, but you have been asked about every
single week. So first off, welcome, thank you very much
for joining us, and how are you?
Speaker 4 (18:13):
Thank you Andy much better And I appreciate all the
viewers out there, clients that have reached out and expressed
some heartwarming messages to me. You know, I thought I
had a stomach bug a couple of weeks ago, Andy,
and it ended up being a infection and I had
(18:34):
to go under an emergency gall bladder infection. He had
to go under emergency surgery in a five days stay
in the hospital. So I'm good Now I'm ready to go.
Speaker 2 (18:44):
My friend, well, I'm always taking the over on Ross
Benjamin coming out on the good side.
Speaker 4 (18:50):
So you know, ROSSI between when happened in early January
with the prostate cancer, now I've gotten sixty seven years
staying healthy, Andy, and this year has been just a nightmare.
And if I was a used car and you bought
me in January, I'd certainly qualify for you turning me
in as a lemon law. But you know, not my handicap,
(19:11):
and there's no lemon law there.
Speaker 1 (19:14):
Let's get let let's let's finish strong in twenty twenty five.
Let's let's make this.
Speaker 2 (19:18):
Let's make this a winner here, all right, let's go
to let's do a Major League baseball First, we got
Blue Jays and the Mariners ALCS Game three. Bieber was
a little shaky coming into the playoffs, but last game,
you know, five hits, two earned runs, two point two innings.
Kirby was good in two starts versus Detroit, ten innings,
three earned runs. You got Seattle up to zero, and
(19:41):
you got Toronto's plus one zero eight Seattle minus one
thirty one. Very vanilla number of seven is the over under.
I feel like that's just kind of the They just
put just stick seven on these playoff games and let
us figure it out.
Speaker 1 (19:53):
How do you break down the Blue Jays and the Mariners.
Speaker 4 (19:56):
Yeah, I have a money line winner in this game
up for sale right now at wager talking at wt
dot Buzz slash RB. You can find that pick there.
But for now, I'm going to concentrate on a player,
a pitcher prop here, and I'm going to look at
Shane Bieber's strikeout total of four and a half. Now,
(20:18):
you had mentioned he's coming off a shaky start against
the Yankees and his only postseason outing. However, against this
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one
hundred and nine against Bieber, excuse me, against his current Yeah,
current Blue Jays roster, they've gone twenty five for one
(20:39):
hundred and nine and struck out forty four times life
in one hundred and nine at bats, it's fifty two
point four percent of those outs recorded came by way
of strikeouts. That again, I'm sorry current mirrors roster. It's
been a while. I'm a little rusty by the way.
(21:00):
The Mariners. They struck out the six both times in
all of baseball this year, and in their last three games,
Seattle has struck out forty five times, an average of
fifteen times per game. Andy, you know, Toronto is one
of the best contact hitting teams in baseball. Seattle is not.
They're one of the worst. So I'm gonna go with
(21:21):
Shane Bieber over his strikeout total of four and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:26):
I like it.
Speaker 2 (21:27):
Like it's been been pretty entertaining MLB postseason so and
I've loved these props. These pitcher props have been fantastic.
We've been talking about outs. Some one of the chat says,
take the under on the fourteen half outs.
Speaker 1 (21:38):
You love the strackouts. I feel like there's a lot
of value in these these player props.
Speaker 2 (21:42):
Let's go to an interesting college football game U n
C versus cal So when you n see faces a
decent team, they get smoked.
Speaker 1 (21:51):
You just look at them. There's no close games.
Speaker 2 (21:54):
For North Carolina. They either win big or they lose big.
Here's the question. Is Kali team they've lost to out
of the last three. If you're telling me they're good,
taking the minus ten. If you're telling me they're not good,
I'm taking North Carolina out right. How do you break
this game down?
Speaker 4 (22:10):
Yeah? I can't consider Cal being a good team when
they've committed eight turnovers in their last three games. And
you mentioned an interesting game, I beg to differ. You know,
I would say, if you want to go to sleep early,
watch this game. But the only problem with that is
it starts at ten thirty pm Eastern times, so you're
(22:30):
not going to miss anything by going to bed early.
Let me put it this way. The Keil offense over
their last four games averaging just nineteen points and three
hundred and twenty one point eight yards of total offense
per contests, and a lot of that goes back to
the committing eight turnovers in the last three games. Like
I alluded to, hard to sustain offensive drives when you're
(22:52):
turning the ball over at that rate. North Carolina over
their last four games have played three to zero to
one to the under with the combined to average a
forty point three point score per game. You mentioned when
they step up in class, and basically, I don't know
about stepping up in class. But in there are four
games against FBS teams, they're averaging thirteen point three points
(23:15):
per game, in two hundred and fifty three yards of
total offense per contest, thirty one point seven percent on
third downs this year. That's terrible. And they're averaging only
twenty six minutes in terms of time of possession and
scoring only one point per eighteen point seven yards gain
(23:37):
per So those are horrible numbers, and it's hard to
put points on the board when you're only averaging twenty
six minutes of total or time of possession. Andy, So
I'm gonna go with North Carolina and Kale to go
under the total of forty seven and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:56):
I can't argue with you on that one. There's some
there are some gross games this week in college football.
They can't all be winners. So all right, we love
doing the he you would be proud of me. So
while you're going I did that. This line makes no
sense and I got both of them right. Nice about that?
So I filled these big shoes nicely. So I love
(24:16):
the segments, one of my favorites. It's Ross's time to
tell us this line makes no sense.
Speaker 1 (24:24):
What game did you pick? And why does this line
make no sense?
Speaker 4 (24:27):
Well, I am thoroughly glad that you asked Andy, because
Boise State is hosting U n OV this week and
the Broncos are four and two. U n OV is
six and zero. Yeah, Boise State yesterday was minus ten
and a half. Now they're up to as much as
eleven and a half to twelve and a half. And
(24:50):
when you got a two lost team and they're a
double digit favored against an undefeated team in the second
half of is season, I would think most people would
think they're getting a steal with the undefeated, double digit underdog.
But hold on, my friends, Boise has played a much
(25:11):
tougher schedule. Their two losses came at the hands of
nationally ranked South Florida and their season opener on the
road and at Notre Dame. So they're at home tonight
against a UNLV team that struggled in their season opener
against Idaho State, winning thirty eight to thirty one. Idaho State,
(25:33):
by the way, it's an FCS team. They won that
game with a touchdown in a last minute, and then
last week with under a minute to play, they scored
a touchdown to beat air Force fifty one to forty eight.
The defense in those two games I just mentioned they
allowed five hundred and eighty four yards per game. Here's
(25:53):
the thing with UNLV, which has sparked them to that
six and oh start. They're plus nine in the turnover department.
Boise is a plus two and boys hasn't turned the
ball over in three of their six games this season.
UNLV is going to have to do more than depend
on turnovers here. I just think this is a sucker
(26:15):
play to take the undefeated, double digit underdog. Obviously the
sharpbetters agree with me because we've seen the line movement
go up to as much as two points in this
game on Boise State. So better beware in this situation.
Speaker 2 (26:30):
Andy, great, great segment, So be careful about laying all
those points.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
All right, Ross, what do you have up? You mentioned? Ay,
my players aren't lemons, they're lemonade. What do you have
up for? What lemonade do you have up for? Everyone
at wager? Talking?
Speaker 4 (26:45):
Very creative? Andy is always all right? So I got
a baseball play money line winner up for tonight in
Major League Baseball Game three of the ALCS between Seattle
and Toronto. Major League Baseball number two on the season
just relinquished a number one spot yesterday, but I'm gonna
(27:06):
get it back. A nice Major League Baseball run of
one oh three and seventy three fifty nine percent with
a net profit of plus seventy six point three to
zero units, I will have an I have an NFL
winning total up for the Thursday night game. You can
get that right now for twenty five dollars. My college
(27:29):
football and NFL combined on a twenty five and thirteen
run sixty six percent uh and also all sports one
fifty six and one o eight since May thirteenth, fifty
nine percent in net PROFITAB one hundred and sixteen point
sixty nine units. And I think that covers it all
(27:49):
College football. By the way, folks, it'll be a big
Saturday once again. College football continues the role number one
and units earned and win percentage last season on a
fifteen and five run right now in college football since
September ninth of twenty twenty three, going all the way
back that far, one forty five and ninety five sixty percent,
(28:14):
up one hundred and twelve units, and since twenty twenty
three college football season started number one in units earned
at wager Talk in college football. So a lot to like,
a lot to take advantage of, folks. We're going to
have a huge weekend coming up. Don't forget to jump
on board with my Major League Baseball winner tonight Thursday,
(28:34):
NFL up right now, and the rest of the weekend
will be up within the next forty eight hours.
Speaker 2 (28:42):
Ross, Benjamin Ross the Boss. So glad to have you
back in our lives. Take care of my friend. Let's
have a big weekend.
Speaker 1 (28:48):
Thank you for everyone. God, it's great. God, it's great
to have Ross back.
Speaker 2 (28:53):
So we got a few specials running at wager Talk.
Weekend Warrior continues to be one of the highlights of
the specials that we've run.
Speaker 1 (29:02):
You guys have Saturday.
Speaker 2 (29:04):
We love the special so we're gonna keep running a
weekend war year. You get all the football games for Saturday,
Sunday and even Monday, so we have big, big weekend
of football.
Speaker 1 (29:12):
It's forty nine dollars.
Speaker 2 (29:13):
Pick your handicapper that does college and NFL, then you
get all those locked in includes five percent releases only
forty nine dollars. This was a special we were gonna
do one weekend only and it was so popular and
it just keeps growing each week.
Speaker 1 (29:26):
So Weekend Warriors.
Speaker 2 (29:27):
Available this week. We've also got some flex Picks specials.
If you guys like flex picks, we talk about these.
I think we're the only I think we're the only
company that does these. Where you can buy a seven
day pass and you can pick your handicapper. You get
three days for forty nine, seven days for sixty nine.
If you want to do a long term, which we
always recommend trying to do long term, get it. It's
not for everybody, but if you're interested in getting picks
(29:49):
longer days, we've got discounts in thirty and ninety days.
You can pick a different handicapper each day. I got
a five percent UFC best bet on Saturday, So you
want to use it on Me on Saturday, Great, Then
you want to use it on Ross on Sunday, you
can do that.
Speaker 1 (30:01):
You have all the flexibilities.
Speaker 2 (30:02):
So we've got some really good discounts on flex picksover
at wager talk dot com. Uh, we're gonna do all
around the world. Allow me to promote my five percent
UFC play. We're coming off another big win on Contender series.
It was the last Contender series of the season. I'm
sad I'm gonna miss it, but what a way to
go out. Three and oh run to end the season.
(30:22):
So nice, nice Contenter series into the season. And this
is now, These these big plays in UFC and MMA
have been hitting. This is two five percent plays, four
percent and three percent that have hit. So these big
plays have been the bright spot of UFC. That play
is up right now. I jump on board this thing
a sap. I don't think the line is gonna move,
(30:43):
but sooner you get it. I tell you, let's tell
you's not gonna move against us. It's gonna move the
other direction.
Speaker 1 (30:47):
So five percent UFC best bet that is up.
Speaker 2 (30:49):
Right now over at my page, wt Dot Buzz slash Al.
We're really really kicking ass in UFC. So let's cast
this weekend, all right, Chris, let's do all around the world,
give people some free plays. I'm gonna go to UFC.
Here's a free play. This is kind of a steep
price on a guy like Cody Gibson. Cody Gibson is
not that good and This fight isn't gonna be super exciting.
(31:12):
A Ricci Lang is really bad man. This guy is
way past his prime. He gets beat up on the feet,
he gets dominated on the matt and his most recent
wins are all against guys that are no longer in
the UFC. These guys have been cut.
Speaker 1 (31:27):
Gibson.
Speaker 2 (31:27):
He's a combinant striker and grappler, and that's really all
you need to beat a Ricchi Lang. He's gonna have
enough control time on the ground to take at least
a couple of rounds unless A Ricci Lang laying something crazy,
which he hasn't done in a long time. I think
Gibson grinds out a decision one. A Richi Lang was
getting his ass kicked against Daniel Marcos and quit.
Speaker 1 (31:48):
It. He just stopped fighting.
Speaker 2 (31:50):
They gave him a reason to quit and he took it.
So I'm fading A Ricci Lang Panthers a red wing.
Let's do a shots on goal sam Ryan Hart over
two and a half shots on goal. He's gone over
in all four games this season. You gotta remember they
got injuries to this Florida Panthers team. There's a lot
of shots on goal available and ryan Hart has been
taking advantage. He's gone over in four out of the
last five against the Detroit Red Wings. Scene keep writing
(32:11):
the streak of Sam ryan Hart. And this comes from
the wager Talk Free Picks page. Chelsea over Nottingham Forrest.
We like Chelsea just to win, just win outright. Chelsea
big win against Liverpool. Meanwhile, Forrest lost to zero at Newcastle.
They were out shot eighteen to five in that game.
Chelsea's got better form depth Forrest. They tend to get
(32:32):
behind and they just don't have the firepower to catch up.
So we're gonna take Chelsea to win outright. That's a
free play from Ronald Combang. We got tons of free
plays that are up on the wager Talk Free Picks page,
So if you're looking for some more diverse plays across.
Speaker 1 (32:44):
All sports, highly recommend going to there.
Speaker 2 (32:47):
Thank you to Ralph Michaels, Thank you to Ross, Thank
you to Big Dog for producing today.
Speaker 1 (32:52):
Chris shout out to you, yup. Thank you guys in
the chat.
Speaker 2 (32:55):
Please hit the like button, leave us comment below, tell
us about you're betting tonight, tell us abou you're betting
this weekend. We got a locked and uploaded couple of
shows to wrap out, to wrap up the week. Thursday
is gonna be a nice show and you has no
football Fridays. Football Fridays, the views are insane. It was
our goal to make Fridays the best football show out there,
and I think we've done that. It is a loaded Friday,
(33:16):
so make sure you're here to watch us live. If
you're not catch the replay. We're giving out tons of information.
We're giving out tons of plays, props, survivor spreads. I
went three and two on my megapit contest, so we're
doing well. We're keeping up. We're pretty high on that leaderboard.
So thanks very much, guys. That's gonna do it for
us today. Good luck on all your bets. Let's have
a big Wednesday. We'll see you tomorrow.
Speaker 1 (33:37):
Take care,
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