Common Sense Fantasy Baseball

Greg (@gjewett9) helps me size up EVERY team once again, as I do last minute cramming for my Main Event draft tomorrow.

2:05 Baltimore Orioles

3:20 Boston Red Sox

5:25 Chicago White Sox

5:50 Cleveland

9:45 Detroit Tigers

10:45 Houston Astros

12:20 KC Royals

13:50 LA Angels

15:10 Minnesota Twins

16:30 NY Yankees

17:10 Oakland A's

18:15 Seattle Mariners

19:55 Tampa Rays

25:35 Texas Rangers

26:55 Toronto Blue Jays

27:40 Arizona Diamon...

Rob and I talk about his podcast and his leagues, and how we're building our teams in DC leagues and FAAB leagues.

06:20 Differences in drafting strategies for Draft and Hold (Draft Champions) leagues vs FAAB leagues

11:00 Catchers

16:45 Closers

22:45 Stolen Bases

31:25 Luis Robert

37:55 Keston Hiura and Javy Baez (and other swing and miss guys)

44:25 Tim Anderson

51:10 Prospects

58:00 Pitchers (Means, Urquidy, Yarbrough, Minor)

1:...

Dave (@RunDMcD) shares what he's learned through years of experience, about how to assess players' risks in fantasy baseball.

1:45 Verlander, going into 2020

6:00 How to think about taking a guy off your board completely

9:35 Sale, Syndergaard, and Severino (don't draft guys who won't be playing)

11:45 Taillon (it can take a while to get back your skills)

18:10 deGrom (we can disagree on how much risk there is, but don't ignore it ...

@MattWi77iams and I discuss some players we think are going too early:

3:40 Jose Abreu around pick 30 and Luke Voit around pick 60 - Matt

8:25 Pablo Lopez around pick 100 - Drew

15:45 Walker Buehler around pick 20 - Matt

20:30 Kyle Lewis around pick 75 (but even at pick 100-120) - Drew

26:05 Randy Arozarena around pick 60 - Matt

-- 32:20 an aside on Mondesi --

Then we discuss some players we think are going too late:

38:00 Austin M...

Greg (@gjewett9) and I look at every MLB team and discuss the closer situation, as best we can tell in November.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

1:30 Baltimore Orioles

3:40 Boston Red Sox

6:20 Chicago White Sox

8:25 Cleveland Indians

11:10 Detroit Tigers

13:50 Houston Astros

15:50 Kansas City Royals

18:10 Los Angeles Angels

20:10 Minnesota Twins

21:30 New York Yankees

23:50 Oakland Athletics

26:20 Seattle Mariners

27:35 Tampa Bay Rays

29:10 Texas ...

Zack and I take a look at early ADP from Justin Mason's "2 Early Mock Drafts" and Zack's draft and hold leagues that are drafting for real already.

4:10 We gently poke fun at mock drafts and point out some shortcomings

Then we discuss players we think are going too early (AVOIDS):

7:10 Mike Clevinger at ADP 61 (Zack)

19:40 Pete Alonso at ADP 53 (Drew)

25:55 Sixto Sanchez at ADP 80 (Zack)

34:00 Gleyber Torres at ADP 63 (Drew...Zack ...

Toby returns to talk about some up and coming players!

1:10 the keys to Toby's success in 2020

4:45 Off season prep begins!  We start by discussing some lessons learned.

Then we discuss some breakout players:

16:10 Corey Seager

27:40 Luke Voit

34:45 Teoscar Hernandez

42:05 Kyle Lewis

49:20 Dominic Smith

56:00 An aside about Stolen Bases

1:00:50 Austin Nola

1:05:40 Some other guys (Slater, Santander, Cronenworth, Arozarena, Wal...

Opening day didn't happen...yet.  But @gjewett9 and I discuss baseball anyway!

2:00 Greg's current project

6:05 Bo Bichette - SS

20:35 Isiah Kiner-Falefa - C

25:35 Josh Bell - 1B (and a great call out by Greg, CJ Cron)

30:30 Jeff McNeil - 2B (with Cesar Hernandez call out by Greg)

35:35 Yandy Diaz - 3B

39:00 OFs (Judge, Eloy, Stanton, Soler, Franimal, Schwarber)

45:00 Luzardo and Urias - SPs (Greg's call out: Rich Hill)

48:35 ...

Welcome back @zackroto!

We start off talking some strategy:

1:40 Top SPs - Aces, Pocket Aces and how we draft them

5:10 The case for an Ace

10:50 Draft Champions vs FAAB leagues -- the point in the draft where strategy changes

Then we discuss rounds 19 and 20:

18:05 Avoid AJ Pollock at 272

19:45 Avoid Joey Votto at 271

20:55 Buster Posey or Danny Jansen?

23:35 Gregory Polanco and his risks vs Solak, Wil Myers, or others a...

Please welcome John (@MLBMovingAVG) as we discuss our draft process and talk some ADP.

1:15 It's all about PRICE.  As John says, "You can't force your will on the market."

2:25 Drafting in reverse

7:15 Take the value (when you have players whose skills are close, going far apart)

10:50 Jim Cramer show up briefly

13:30 AJ Puk aka Axl Rose

Then we get into round 17 and 18...

15:35 Adrian Houser (ADP 248) and his pitch-mix c...

Please welcome Colin back to the podcast!  He's on Twitter at @CWeatherwax13.

We discuss some pitcher risers https://twitter.com/RyanBHQ/status/1229121960308690945

2:05 Elite SPs moving up

3:20 Jose Berrios up from ADP 95 (Nov) to 79 (Feb)

5:10 Edwin Diaz up from 140 to 116

8:30 Doolittle and Nick Anderson moving up

Then we turn to some hitter risers https://twitter.com/RyanBHQ/status/1229218664160931840

13:50 Luis R...

Please welcome Max!  He's @FreezeStats on Twitter.  We talk about:

0:40 Max's blog and research

4:40 Players who earned more HR than they achieved

9:15 We consider what Dodger Stadium could do for Mookie Betts

14:50 "Not all barrels are created equal" (Launch angle and pulling the ball matter a ton)

20:25 Ozuna - example of a pull hitter who "earned" more than he achieved

22:35 Adding in Alex Chamberlain's "Deserved Barre...

Please welcome Mike! Twitter: @SPStreamer

First we take a quick look back at earlier rounds and some guys Mike targets and avoids:

1:40 Target Sonny Gray at 98

8:20 Target Carlos Santana at 144

10:35 Avoid Chris Paddack at 51

13:45 Avoid Keston Hiura at 42

Then we get into rounds 13 and 14: 

19:00 Target Kenta Maeda (currently 184)

25:00 Target Hunter Dozier (186)

27:35 Bryan Reynolds / PIT discussion

30:45 Carlos Ma...

Big thanks to Matt (@MattWi77iams) for joining me to discuss a couple very full rounds of ADP!

We discuss a few of Matt's #2020PlayerBreakdowns:

4:45 Lourdes Gurriel

11:30 Jeff McNeil

12:50 Projecting growth

15:50 Garrett Hampson

19:30 Max Kepler

Then we look at players going in the 11th and 12th rounds (ADP 151 -  180).

30:15 Target: Corey Seager at ADP 156

33:55 Target: Scott Kingery at 159

39:00 Potential Target: ...

Please welcome Brian (@RuddHQ on Twitter) and enjoy our discussions about the following players!

1:25 Tyler Glasnow at ADP ~68 (4:35 vs Paxton or Woodruff)

6:50 Hector Neris at ~140 (10:25 vs Iglesias, Kimbrel, Jansen, and Diaz)

13:50 Yasiel Puig at ~115 (19:15 vs Benintendi, Mercado, and Luis Robert)

25:25 Rhys Hoskins at ~116 (33:05 vs Carlos Santana or Edwin Encarnacion)

39:10 Adalberto Mondesi at ~35 (50:30 vs Villar or Ro...

Please welcome Greg (https://twitter.com/gjewett9) and enjoy our conversation on all things Closers (and other RPs).  Here's a link to his closer charts: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YQLeAKTjBGGerTdKUMQHYhxfVHi73Y9eJcEGlFh7Lr0/edit#gid=2012002294 3:45 Josh Hader, Aroldis Chapman, Kirby Yates, Roberto Osuna -- The closest you can get to actual safety you can find at the closer position. Already things start to get riskier...