Kickoff approaches for NFL Week 11, and betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter are here to deliver their final five against the spread contest bets. After all their picks and predictions this week, they deliver their very best bets. Our hosting duo looks at Monday Night Football, with Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys visiting Sin City to take on Geno Smith and the Las Vegas Raiders. They also argue about the lowly Cleveland Browns against a banged up Lamar Jackson and his Baltimore Ravens and the AFC West matchup between Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos hosting Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. And who could resist betting Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions visting the Philadelphia Eagles led by Jalen Hurts?We'll hear a quick word about the big game taking place in the desert between Mac Jones and the San Francisco 49ers versus Jacoby Brissett and the Arizona Cardinals, plus Baker Mayfield taking his Tampa Bay Bucs to Buffalo to take on Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. We also feature an intriguing divisional matchup between Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks and Matt Stafford's LA Rams. All their final and official betting picks, all in one fast-paced episode! #Volume
0:03:00 - START
0:04:05 - CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
0:05:50 - HOUSTON TEXANS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
0:08:10 - TAMPA BAY BUCS VS. BUFFALO BILLS
0:10:34 - SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS. LA RAMS
0:12:31 - BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
0:15:55 - DETROIT LIONS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
0:19:45 - DALLAS COWBOYS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDRS
0:27:31 - OFFICIAL NFL WEEK 11 CONTEST BETS
-- All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet
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Transcript
Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
Welcome to Sharpers Square, presented by hard Rock Bat. We
are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the
show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise
guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman, I am joined
as always buy my co host, my companion, my bff,
professional better Simon Hunter HEADO Solomon, Chad.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
Are we doing?
Speaker 1 (00:25):
We got a glorious morning in which we get to
watch football all freaking day. This is the strip down
in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper's Square. We're gonna
make some picks. We're gonna nail down the final five
that we love based on the latest news and information
(00:46):
and how lines have been moving. Some quirkiness happen on
out there. Are you ready, brother?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I am ready, all right.
Speaker 1 (00:52):
First game up Cincinnati at Pittsburgh five at hard Rock
Bat five and a half. Everywhere else. I bet into
it at five and a half. I'm a little surprised
it hasn't moved to five everywhere else because it looks
like the money is coming in on Cincinnati. I still
(01:13):
really like it at five and a half.
Speaker 3 (01:17):
Are you with me?
Speaker 2 (01:19):
I'm with you.
Speaker 4 (01:19):
I'm a little weary of it, but I'm going to
join you. I just I never understood this number all week.
Like I always said, the books aren't giving us extra
free points, but feels like in this game they are.
So yeah, it's really a bet on Joe Flacco on
this offense and just how they match up and.
Speaker 2 (01:35):
We're both the same boat.
Speaker 4 (01:36):
We just we do not trust this defense where where
they're going to burn us here, but the hope is
Flacco will always have us an opportunity to get this
back door.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
So once again this number. I don't know what the
books you're doing.
Speaker 4 (01:48):
Here, but they really believe in this Pittsburgh side. I
just can't get to the fact they'll overrated this Pittsburgh defenses.
Speaker 1 (01:54):
Yeah, I mean, we just have not seen any evidence
from either defense this year that they can stop anybody.
And this isn't even about Aaron Rodgers against the Chargers
last week, because those are always going to happen and
then there will be bounced back games and if you're
ever going to get healthy and look right again, it's
against the Cincinnati Bengals defense. To me, I am one
(02:15):
hundred percent betting against the Steelers defense and betting on
T Higgins. Jamaar Chase being able to find ways to
get downfield against a really, really really bad Steelers defensive backfield.
Right now, Cincinnati Bengals plus five and a half if
you can find it, which you should be able to.
(02:36):
We're on the Bengals. Houston at Tennessee. We had said
earlier in the week, get Houston. Right now the line
is five and a half. We had said, get Houston
once it gets under seven. I got a bad number.
I bet Houston minus six and a half, even though
I knew Davis Mills was going to be playing. I'm
a little surprised that went further, from six and a
(02:56):
half to five and a half. Does this give you
pause with the Texans.
Speaker 2 (03:02):
I mean, the biggest part gives you pause. I'm sure
it gives you pause as well.
Speaker 4 (03:05):
It's been never ending amount of money right now coming
in on this Houston side, and the number has dropped,
like Chad just said, from seven and a half it's
open to now five and a half, which we always
say is such a key number. So the books are
kind of telling us they think Tennessee has a way
bigger chance to win this game than I gave them
(03:26):
any type.
Speaker 2 (03:27):
Of credit for. I just I still don't get how
they're gonna.
Speaker 4 (03:29):
Move and score against this defense, and how they're going
to stop what he marks and their run game of Houston.
So I always say there's certain games I'm just missing
and I'm overreading, and there's things I'm not looking at
right and this must be one of those games.
Speaker 2 (03:41):
But I'm with you, like.
Speaker 4 (03:42):
I'm betting Houston taking a position on Houston. Just a
little nervous that there's something here I'm missing because clearly
the books and professionals have taken a stand on this
Tennessee team here.
Speaker 1 (03:53):
Yeah, I don't get it either. What about this offense
all of a sudden it makes them think they're going
to be able to move the ball down I just
keep thinking about that Chargers game two weeks ago when
they covered the game. But that's because they got a
pick six in the first quarter and then a punt
return in the first quarter, and the Chargers had every
(04:16):
chance to still cover that minus nine and a half
and they gave up the back door field goal at
the end. This is a bad offense. It cannot move
the ball, and it's going against probably the most elite
defense right now, the most complete defense in the NFL
with pascertain out for the Broncos.
Speaker 3 (04:36):
So it's really really hard.
Speaker 1 (04:39):
I know it's Davis Mills, but even Davis Mills against
this defense has a better chance to me than cam
Ward against the Texans defense. So yeah, we're still on
the Houston Texans, and I guess we like it even
more now at five and a half, tricky Simon Tampa
(05:02):
Bay Buccaneers, who we have been trying to figure out
all week. Why aren't we going all in on the
Tampa Bay Buccaneers? And then in the past twenty four hours,
this line has moved from five and a half to
six And that makes me glad that, like I haven't
bet the Buccaneers. You noted on the show on Thursday,
(05:25):
Baker Mayfield not really running the ball as much the
past few weeks, and that is to the detriment of
that offense and his playmaking ability. I noted that without
Bucket Irving, they have just been a different team and
it impacts Baker's ability to use play action. Why do
we think this line is moving from five and a
half to six in the past twenty four hours?
Speaker 3 (05:43):
Is this public? Is this the wise guys? What's your take?
Speaker 4 (05:48):
I think the public and the wise guys have been
betting Buffalo for the most part, and you know this
is really about the number. Right at five and a half,
that's definitely a Bill's number. And you've seen the resistance
of the six. We did our show, I believe it
was Thursday's show where the number had hit six at
the rand of our showed a couple of books and
then literally by the time we posted all them, we're
back to five and a half.
Speaker 2 (06:09):
So there has been resistance all week to the six.
Speaker 4 (06:12):
But like you said, he woke up today and a
ton of books are showing six something even six and
a half, So.
Speaker 2 (06:18):
I don't know.
Speaker 4 (06:19):
I guess the proser it's finally coming on the bills,
And like I told you, there's I feel like we
have a lot of missing information right now in Baker
and the Bucks and what kind of.
Speaker 2 (06:27):
Injury he abstained, and I don't know what to do
with this one. Chad.
Speaker 4 (06:31):
It's another game where I was, like you, very confident
Sunday on the Bucks, and every show we've done it's
gotten less.
Speaker 2 (06:39):
I ended up not taking a position.
Speaker 4 (06:42):
I did take a position all on them, but nin
as big as I thought when I really started diving
to the Baker stuff, and I haven't bet a dollar
more in this game. I honestly thought today i'd flipped
and maybe get to the bills, and I'm still not there.
I still just want to bet on Baker, especially now
that's at six. So maybe not a game we'll play
in the contest where personally I will be on the bucks.
Speaker 1 (07:01):
I have not been a dollar on this game, like
I want to be on the box. Maybe I'll just wait,
you know, I'll wait and see if it gets to
six and a half. But like with the way the
money is moving, it may get there. But I've been
I've been hesitating all week and I feel like if
there's something holding me back, there's no reason for me
to pull the trigger because I get antsy. On Sunday
(07:21):
Seattle at the Los Angeles Rams. The Los Angeles Rams
are three point favorites. This was our Brass Balls Better
the Week presented by Hard Reck Bet. We're both on
the Rams here. Here's what's making me nervous, and it's
got nothing to do with anything we talked about on
the field. It's only because Matthew Stafford is just getting
(07:44):
glaized this week, like.
Speaker 3 (07:46):
Every single day.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
There's something new about how Matthew Stafford is playing at
an MVP level, how he's getting all the accolades and
attention that he should have been getting for years.
Speaker 3 (07:57):
So much media love. I feel like we've been chased.
Speaker 4 (08:03):
It could be it's our biggest public player of the week,
but I think you stick to what we love. We
love this matchup for them. This is a great matchup
with US offense. Defensively, It's interesting how Sam Darnall reacts
to a really tough defensive front, and you know, a
defense that can be passed on if San Darnold has
the games he's been having. Yeah, chat, we might get
burned here, but one we're getting a great number, still
(08:26):
getting the three at hard Rock, and a lot of
books have moved to three and a half, and us
personally for our contest it's two and a half.
Speaker 2 (08:31):
So I don't know how we can avoid it. It's
great numbers.
Speaker 4 (08:34):
We love the matchup, and the only neg thing I
can think of is just feels like it's very public,
Like the public is all over the rams but sort
of the pros. But I really thought the Seattle Seahawks
would be the public darling of the week, but it
looks like it's gonna be Detroit taking that dog that
the public really loves.
Speaker 2 (08:51):
So it's it's.
Speaker 4 (08:52):
Interesting watching the line movement. Like we talked, there's a show.
It was three at hard Rock. Three and a half,
got touched up a bunch of books, including hard Rock,
and they immediately got bet down. So we talk all
the time. There's some really sharp groups that use hard rock.
They clearly are taking a stand at Seahawks at three
and a half. They feel like that's too much. We
love them at three even better. We get a two
(09:14):
and a half in our contest, So I just I
don't know how we avoid this one.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
I really love this number.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
All right, Los Angeles Rams, we're on them at three,
Baltimore at Cleveland, this was Chat's choice. At eight and
a half, it's at eight at hard Rock. Still a
lot of seven and a half's out there, which is
surprising to me. I thought by now we'd start seeing
a lot more money coming in on the Ravens and
(09:40):
pushing this number back up to eight and a half.
I've loved it all week, haven't found a reason not
to love it. It's the right spot. We've talked about
the Browns at home. Just a reminder since the beginning
of last season, where there's been a tremendous split for
the Browns at home and the Browns away twenty points
(10:00):
at home, twenty points per game at home, thirty points
per game on the road. They give up about thirty
percent fewer rushing yards at home than they do on
the road, about ten percent fewer passing yards at home
than they do on the road. It's just a different
defense at home. And this is a big number. So
you know, I'm still for better for worse. I'm still
(10:21):
all in on the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 4 (10:25):
Yeah, and Cleveland, though there's a lot of dogs this
week that Cleveland feels like it's the same one where
we see, just like you people, we see a thousand
different ways me and check and easily get burned on
this bet. And of course that's life when you're betting
really bad quarterbacks with bad teams.
Speaker 2 (10:40):
But like we say at the time, we're just trying
to play the number.
Speaker 4 (10:42):
Situationally, doesn't feel like it's a great spot for the Ravens.
On the flip side, for the Browns, they've been on
an absolute role of being just terrible on the road.
Now they're finally back home in a great match for them.
So it's it's really about the number. If this was
down to six and a half, seven, maybe we could
talk ourselves out of this, But like Chad said, it's
up to eight and now hard Rock, you know we're
(11:03):
suckers for anything over seven and a half, especially with
the hook. I wish I could still use the stat
which we had been using all year, which is basically
home dogs greater than seven points through the first nine weeks,
it's like eighty percent clip they hit at But unfortunately
chatted his week eleven, that stat no longer matters, so.
Speaker 2 (11:24):
I can't use it. But the thought process doesn't change here.
Speaker 4 (11:27):
Right, It's an undervalued home dog going against an overrated
team on the road.
Speaker 2 (11:32):
Usually these spots really work out for us. Right.
Speaker 4 (11:34):
The biggest worry here is who is healthy for Cleveland
in that running backfield. Who's gonna be carrying the ball here,
because we're not gonna win this on the quarterbacks arm.
We're gonna need a really staunch run game against a
Ravens defense as suspect against their run. So love this
match up for them, lamar I said, I was never
gonna trust their coach. I was gonna wait to what
the B writers said about him. Apparently he was fully
(11:56):
go in practice, it was just a rest Dagg giving
him some days off because he took so many hits
I guess in that Vikings game. So nothing to worry
about if you if you are back in the Ravens
and worried about the more. But on the flip side,
for us, I still think he's not moving quite like
he was before the injury. Like you didn't going back
and watching that Vikings game, you never feel like he
fully went full speed because he just does.
Speaker 2 (12:16):
Not trust that hamstring.
Speaker 4 (12:17):
So in this type of matchup against Miles Garrett and
that defensive front, I just I love it for us
in so many different ways. So yeah, it's there's an
eight out there, like chets at a hard rock. I
don't won't be scared off if you go get to
seven and a half. I don't see his landen on eight.
I think seven and a half is plenty of points
in this matchup.
Speaker 3 (12:34):
All right, we're in on the Cleveland Browns. I love him.
We get funky like that.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
Detroit at Philadelphia. Philadelphia is a two and a half
point favorite. This Simon is our Rock and a hard
Place Bet of the Week presented.
Speaker 3 (12:50):
By hard Rock Bet Rock.
Speaker 1 (12:59):
Look, you just talked Detroit is becoming the public dog
for the week. It's probably what's been tamping down this
number and keeping it at two and a half at
hard Rock. It's starting to move to three in some
other places. That tells me that the professionals are finally
coming in full force on Philadelphia here. Lots of reasons
(13:21):
to like the Eagles, lots of reasons to like the Lions.
I'm going to go with what we've been talking about
all week. I know people are saying there's stories every
day that there are problems with this Eagles offense. To me,
they are different than the problems last year. The problems
last year seemed like Jalen Hurts was lacking confidence. Jalen
(13:44):
Hurst does not seem to be lacking confidence this year.
Jalen Hurts seems to be playing a very conservative type
of football where he is doing what he needs to
do to get his team in a position to win.
That puts them in a position to win a close
game against a very good team by a field goal.
Speaker 3 (14:00):
The flip side, the Lions have.
Speaker 1 (14:02):
So many injuries again on defense that it's going to
be hard for them to execute as they normally would
against still a very very good Eagles offense.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
So we're on the Eagles.
Speaker 4 (14:17):
Yeah, and this should be a gut right spot for
this Eagles offense. I just talked about their whole secondary
feels like it's out for Detroit and now you have
backups in one on ones against aj Guy iView as
a top five receiver and Demonte Smith.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
The iView is a top ten, top fifteen receivers.
Speaker 4 (14:32):
So if Hurts can't get it right here with the OC,
this is this is gonna eventually. I'm gonna say it's
going to start becoming a problem because it's it's November
at this point, Like it doesn't matter in September, October.
You're working through stuff. It's getting a little late here.
And I know I gave him the dry air excuse.
Speaker 2 (14:49):
Last week in the cold.
Speaker 3 (14:50):
Yeah that was crazy.
Speaker 2 (14:52):
It's true though.
Speaker 4 (14:53):
Again it's if you played sports, you know it's hard
to grip a ball in dry, cold air like that.
And I feel the same here where it's like it's
nice weather here in Jersey, it's gonna be football weather.
I don't know if it's not gonna be in the
twenties or in the teams like it was in Green Bay.
So I don't know if Hert's going to have that excuse.
And the flip side the lines offensively, I just think
(15:13):
that offensive line I still have so many questions about
them and the injuries they've had this season. This is
gonna be a real test for them against this Eagles
defensive front that was just flying last week? Is that
going to carry throughout the season? Look we've seen with
Fangs defense. Once they get rolling, once the guys are
comfortable in the defense like last year, they become unstoppable.
And that's why he is such an at importan piece
(15:34):
that Eagles team, that being a defensive coordinator.
Speaker 2 (15:36):
So love this matchup.
Speaker 4 (15:39):
Like we talked the pros, the ones that I can
talk to there on the Lions, this is to them
a Lion spot right. All the trends, all the numbers
point to it. Eagle is super dysfunctional right now. While
on the flip side, it feels the lines are rolling.
But I still think people are viewing this Lion's team
as if it is a Ben Johnson run team. Offensively,
and then their defense does have healthy guys right now.
I just they just don't feel like the same team
(16:01):
that people are building up to be right now Detroit.
So again, no destruction with Detroit. I just don't think
they are a top two, top three team the NFC,
which this is what people are acting like they are
right now, and they can't believe they're a two and
a half point dog against this Eagles team. So it's
not shocking to see the public love for them so much.
But like Chad said, I am shocked this number hasn't
it three. Maybe it will by kickoff, but I just
(16:22):
think there's so much public love for the lines. Even
when people hear this, I believe you'll still gob to
get the two and a half.
Speaker 1 (16:27):
By the way, I don't think the Eagles are dysfunctional.
I think this is exactly functional.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
For the Eagles. This is just how they operate. Dallas
at Las Vegas.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
This is a Monday night game. It was three and
a half. This was Simon says, it's moved down to three.
I think you were a little nervous about it on Thursday.
You're probably feeling better about it today. But the question
is when we get to the other side of the break.
Will this be one of our final five?
Speaker 2 (16:59):
If you have something you like better, you can throw
it in. I mean, I'm with you.
Speaker 4 (17:02):
It's not great having two Mondays in a row in
our contest. It's it's always weird going to sleep and
waking up and having another sweat for the show on
the Monday. But just about the number, I love the
number here happiest year. It came down because I couldn't understand,
I gain why the public re betting the Cowboys. I
did not know why professionals were acting like two guys
coming off injury reserved and joining the Cowboys defense was
(17:24):
going to save this team in such.
Speaker 2 (17:25):
A big upgrade.
Speaker 4 (17:26):
So I was just worried there was something I was missing,
And luckily, like Jeed said, the number has come down.
Don't buy here though, if you're buying the Raiders, there
are so many three and a halfs. Don't don't just
take the plus three, get the hook.
Speaker 2 (17:39):
Get we need the hook.
Speaker 4 (17:40):
With Genus Smith, So chop around five to three and
a half. But yeah, there's a couple of games this
week that could have gone either way. Luckily I didn't
give out the wrong one right The Broncos. They're up
to four and a half now, like that was a
game I was wavering on JK.
Speaker 3 (17:55):
Dobbins on IR.
Speaker 1 (17:56):
There's some other issues going on there, so it's been moving. Yeah.
Speaker 4 (17:59):
And just again I feel like I dodge a bullet
there going the Raiders over that, because it's like, man,
if we're sitting here right now in the Raiders for
plus four and a half, I would have felt like
an idiot given him out on Tuesday. So luckily we've
given out the best of the number. Hopefully people got it.
And matchup wise, we know Dallas is going to get Theirs.
I just I think Chip Kelly, this Raiders offense, this
(18:19):
is the exact spot you bounce back after extended rest
of that Denvery team against a future Dallas team that
just cannot stop the run, can stay out passes up
the seam, and that's.
Speaker 2 (18:29):
Literally all the Raiders want to do.
Speaker 4 (18:31):
Like, I'm not here to shoot on Chip Kelly, but
if you watch his offense, there's not much imagination to it.
He really does what geno strength is, which is just
pushing the ball downfield, up the middle of the field.
So I still love the matchup for them. The biggest
issue is I know you just do not like this
Raiders team. You have not been betting this Raiders team.
So I'll try to convince on the other side, but
I get while you're hesitant about betting it.
Speaker 1 (18:52):
All right, let's do a quick message from hard Rock
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(20:57):
All right, berdy, let's talk about what we do like
and what we agree on. We do like the Rams.
We're going to play them. I think in the contest
is two and a half. We've both been betting them
at two and a half and three. We clearly like
Cleveland as an underdog seven and a half eight eight
and a half.
Speaker 3 (21:15):
That is in.
Speaker 1 (21:17):
We like the Eagles minus two and a half. We're
going to play that one. So we got three games
that we know we like. We got one dog, two
short favorites at home, Cincinnati plus five and a half,
and just.
Speaker 4 (21:33):
So people don't freak out, Eagles are minus one and
a half in our contest.
Speaker 3 (21:37):
Oh got it even better.
Speaker 4 (21:39):
If it lands on two, we're gonna worry. I'm I'm
not winning the lot of rough. I'm losing a ton
of money if it lands on two. So I just
want to make sure people know it's one and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
Good to know, Good to know, Cincinnati plus five and
a half, and it is five and a half in
the contest, So yeah, if you want.
Speaker 2 (21:56):
To be your baby Chad, you want to get it
in there. I got no issue with it.
Speaker 4 (22:00):
Just checking the weather report Cincy Pittsburgh. Well, I mean,
we can talk of all the games affected by the
Lake effect win, but it's basically just what we saw
with that Green Bay game against the Eagles, right, it's
fifteen to twenty Promorro stayed wins thirty to thirty part
our gusts. So you know, this is the type of
game where it might not be a lot of kicking
field goals, we don't really care. We're expecting a lot
(22:22):
of touchdowns. So pretty interesting. The win is going to
be like that where I honestly think that benefits Cincy,
Like that makes more randomness that I think will help
since the's defense hopefully in some ways.
Speaker 2 (22:33):
So I don't hate it.
Speaker 1 (22:34):
I just well, look, I think it's it's we got
we got three to choose two since he plus five
and a half, Houston minus six and a half, the
Raiders plus three and a half. If you feel that
strongly about the Raiders.
Speaker 3 (22:46):
We can go with it.
Speaker 1 (22:47):
I have no opinion on it, and I'm I have
more of an opinion on the other two games, But
you don't seem to have an opinion on Cincinnati, Whereas
I think we both feel like the Texans are the
right side.
Speaker 2 (23:04):
They are.
Speaker 4 (23:05):
I think it's just it's about the line movement and
our contest is seven and a half.
Speaker 3 (23:11):
Forget it. I didn't know that.
Speaker 4 (23:13):
I thought it was six and a half, Like that's
a that's a Tennessee line. No, I'm I'm having a tough, tough,
tough code this week because I do love the dogs
and we're both kind of grossed out by those dogs.
Like again, I'm I'm not here to force in Denver
because Denver is three and a half in our contest,
(23:34):
it's now four and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:35):
I'm not going to force that one. In Cardinals is
an interesting game.
Speaker 4 (23:39):
It's up to three and a half now, pretty first
start Jacksonville. I have to look see what that number is.
That number has them budget all a week. Like there's
a couple of numbers like that that are just like
man as like as a professional, it's like, I think
I have to take these numbers like you said, we're
just we don't love them. That's the hardest part about
trying to get them as our five. It's like I
haven't bet into them like that to make them one
(24:01):
of my five.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Were the Raiders.
Speaker 4 (24:04):
I could take that stand, I guess, even though I
hate it, but I'm I bet it's the I bet
into it really heavy and it's a good number. I'm
gonna check right now first to make sure it's three
and a half in the contest, because at two and
a half, like we talked about, it's a it's a
not it's not in the contest or a conversation.
Speaker 1 (24:20):
Well, I wouldn't imagine that it is, because it's kind
of been three and a half from the day we
started talking about it.
Speaker 4 (24:26):
So yeah, it is all right. So this is what
I put in chat. I'll just give you what I
put in for us after a Thursday show. I put
an Eagles of minus one and a half, Cleveland plus
eight and a half, La minus two and a half.
I put your Sincion at plus five and a half,
and then I had Carolina and at plus three and
a half. Now, I still like Carolina, but like you
(24:49):
can tell, I'm not as confident as I was on
Thursday show. I just I just don't like the stuff
I've read and seen from Bryce shawng I out of
practice this week, but I still think it's such such
a huge number for an Atlanta team.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
I just do not believe in to be favored in.
Speaker 1 (25:03):
I gotta tell you, I like I like the Panthers
more than I like the Raiders.
Speaker 4 (25:07):
Okay, so you want to do that, then just keep
it as I had it on Thursday.
Speaker 1 (25:11):
Yeah, we didn't talk about we didn't talk about Yeah,
we didn't talk about the Panthers on the show at all.
Speaker 3 (25:17):
Just now, you and I both got a little bit
scared off because we did.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
See some movement that worried us. I think in some
places this line has moved up to four, right.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
Yeah, so we.
Speaker 1 (25:28):
Were betting against the number that we talked about on Thursday,
and I think you've probably been hearing some stuff and
I didn't like what I was seeing in the number.
Speaker 3 (25:36):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (25:37):
I mean, I just don't have any faith in the Raiders.
I could see brock Howers.
Speaker 4 (25:42):
I know you hate them, but like with the way
we're set up right now, if you did, Carolina and
we would have two one pm games, both three road dogs,
which I love, and like I said, Arizona a team
might like it's two and a half, so like, that's
not going to force in there. And obviously Denver plus
(26:06):
three and a half, I'm not going to force in.
So yeah, it's I'll put up to you if you
want to do. If you want to do Carolina over
the Raiders, let's do Carolina.
Speaker 2 (26:15):
I can give you shift and I believe in this
Raiders team once again.
Speaker 3 (26:17):
I can't wait.
Speaker 1 (26:19):
All right, So our final five are going to be
since A plus five and a half. The Rams are
two and a half in the contest. We still like
them at three if only people are only able to
get three.
Speaker 3 (26:34):
We've betted at three.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
The Cleveland Browns plus eight and a half in the contest,
there's mostly seven and a half's we still like it
at seven and a half. It's Philadelphia minus one and
a half in the contest. We have been betting it
at two and a half go ahead. We are not
uncomfortable with that. And then Carolina plus three and a half,
which you've been going back.
Speaker 3 (26:56):
And forth on. But those are our final five.
Speaker 1 (27:00):
We're going to be back later on tonight to review
everything we've done today. All the misery, all the angst,
all the glory will be on Sharper Square YouTube seven
point thirty ish as soon as that last afternoon late
afternoon game ends. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper
(27:25):
Square all the time.
Speaker 3 (27:27):
Like and subscribe to the channel.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
You can download some Spotify Apple Pods where you get
your pods, rate review, subscribe, Levis five stars say whatever
you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.
Speaker 3 (27:37):
I love you.
Speaker 2 (27:38):
Hey, let's be careful
Welcome to Sharpers Square, presented by hard Rock Bat. We
are part of the Volume podcast network. This is the
show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise
guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman, I am joined
as always buy my co host, my companion, my bff,
professional better Simon Hunter HEADO Solomon, Chad.
Speaker 2 (00:24):
Are we doing?
Speaker 1 (00:25):
We got a glorious morning in which we get to
watch football all freaking day. This is the strip down
in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper's Square. We're gonna
make some picks. We're gonna nail down the final five
that we love based on the latest news and information
(00:46):
and how lines have been moving. Some quirkiness happen on
out there. Are you ready, brother?
Speaker 2 (00:51):
I am ready, all right.
Speaker 1 (00:52):
First game up Cincinnati at Pittsburgh five at hard Rock
Bat five and a half. Everywhere else. I bet into
it at five and a half. I'm a little surprised
it hasn't moved to five everywhere else because it looks
like the money is coming in on Cincinnati. I still
(01:13):
really like it at five and a half.
Speaker 3 (01:17):
Are you with me?
Speaker 2 (01:19):
I'm with you.
Speaker 4 (01:19):
I'm a little weary of it, but I'm going to
join you. I just I never understood this number all week.
Like I always said, the books aren't giving us extra
free points, but feels like in this game they are.
So yeah, it's really a bet on Joe Flacco on
this offense and just how they match up and.
Speaker 2 (01:35):
We're both the same boat.
Speaker 4 (01:36):
We just we do not trust this defense where where
they're going to burn us here, but the hope is
Flacco will always have us an opportunity to get this
back door.
Speaker 2 (01:44):
So once again this number. I don't know what the
books you're doing.
Speaker 4 (01:48):
Here, but they really believe in this Pittsburgh side. I
just can't get to the fact they'll overrated this Pittsburgh defenses.
Speaker 1 (01:54):
Yeah, I mean, we just have not seen any evidence
from either defense this year that they can stop anybody.
And this isn't even about Aaron Rodgers against the Chargers
last week, because those are always going to happen and
then there will be bounced back games and if you're
ever going to get healthy and look right again, it's
against the Cincinnati Bengals defense. To me, I am one
(02:15):
hundred percent betting against the Steelers defense and betting on
T Higgins. Jamaar Chase being able to find ways to
get downfield against a really, really really bad Steelers defensive backfield.
Right now, Cincinnati Bengals plus five and a half if
you can find it, which you should be able to.
(02:36):
We're on the Bengals. Houston at Tennessee. We had said
earlier in the week, get Houston. Right now the line
is five and a half. We had said, get Houston
once it gets under seven. I got a bad number.
I bet Houston minus six and a half, even though
I knew Davis Mills was going to be playing. I'm
a little surprised that went further, from six and a
(02:56):
half to five and a half. Does this give you
pause with the Texans.
Speaker 2 (03:02):
I mean, the biggest part gives you pause. I'm sure
it gives you pause as well.
Speaker 4 (03:05):
It's been never ending amount of money right now coming
in on this Houston side, and the number has dropped,
like Chad just said, from seven and a half it's
open to now five and a half, which we always
say is such a key number. So the books are
kind of telling us they think Tennessee has a way
bigger chance to win this game than I gave them
(03:26):
any type.
Speaker 2 (03:27):
Of credit for. I just I still don't get how
they're gonna.
Speaker 4 (03:29):
Move and score against this defense, and how they're going
to stop what he marks and their run game of Houston.
So I always say there's certain games I'm just missing
and I'm overreading, and there's things I'm not looking at
right and this must be one of those games.
Speaker 2 (03:41):
But I'm with you, like.
Speaker 4 (03:42):
I'm betting Houston taking a position on Houston. Just a
little nervous that there's something here I'm missing because clearly
the books and professionals have taken a stand on this
Tennessee team here.
Speaker 1 (03:53):
Yeah, I don't get it either. What about this offense
all of a sudden it makes them think they're going
to be able to move the ball down I just
keep thinking about that Chargers game two weeks ago when
they covered the game. But that's because they got a
pick six in the first quarter and then a punt
return in the first quarter, and the Chargers had every
(04:16):
chance to still cover that minus nine and a half
and they gave up the back door field goal at
the end. This is a bad offense. It cannot move
the ball, and it's going against probably the most elite
defense right now, the most complete defense in the NFL
with pascertain out for the Broncos.
Speaker 3 (04:36):
So it's really really hard.
Speaker 1 (04:39):
I know it's Davis Mills, but even Davis Mills against
this defense has a better chance to me than cam
Ward against the Texans defense. So yeah, we're still on
the Houston Texans, and I guess we like it even
more now at five and a half, tricky Simon Tampa
(05:02):
Bay Buccaneers, who we have been trying to figure out
all week. Why aren't we going all in on the
Tampa Bay Buccaneers? And then in the past twenty four hours,
this line has moved from five and a half to
six And that makes me glad that, like I haven't
bet the Buccaneers. You noted on the show on Thursday,
(05:25):
Baker Mayfield not really running the ball as much the
past few weeks, and that is to the detriment of
that offense and his playmaking ability. I noted that without
Bucket Irving, they have just been a different team and
it impacts Baker's ability to use play action. Why do
we think this line is moving from five and a
half to six in the past twenty four hours?
Speaker 3 (05:43):
Is this public? Is this the wise guys? What's your take?
Speaker 4 (05:48):
I think the public and the wise guys have been
betting Buffalo for the most part, and you know this
is really about the number. Right at five and a half,
that's definitely a Bill's number. And you've seen the resistance
of the six. We did our show, I believe it
was Thursday's show where the number had hit six at
the rand of our showed a couple of books and
then literally by the time we posted all them, we're
back to five and a half.
Speaker 2 (06:09):
So there has been resistance all week to the six.
Speaker 4 (06:12):
But like you said, he woke up today and a
ton of books are showing six something even six and
a half, So.
Speaker 2 (06:18):
I don't know.
Speaker 4 (06:19):
I guess the proser it's finally coming on the bills,
And like I told you, there's I feel like we
have a lot of missing information right now in Baker
and the Bucks and what kind of.
Speaker 2 (06:27):
Injury he abstained, and I don't know what to do
with this one. Chad.
Speaker 4 (06:31):
It's another game where I was, like you, very confident
Sunday on the Bucks, and every show we've done it's
gotten less.
Speaker 2 (06:39):
I ended up not taking a position.
Speaker 4 (06:42):
I did take a position all on them, but nin
as big as I thought when I really started diving
to the Baker stuff, and I haven't bet a dollar
more in this game. I honestly thought today i'd flipped
and maybe get to the bills, and I'm still not there.
I still just want to bet on Baker, especially now
that's at six. So maybe not a game we'll play
in the contest where personally I will be on the bucks.
Speaker 1 (07:01):
I have not been a dollar on this game, like
I want to be on the box. Maybe I'll just wait,
you know, I'll wait and see if it gets to
six and a half. But like with the way the
money is moving, it may get there. But I've been
I've been hesitating all week and I feel like if
there's something holding me back, there's no reason for me
to pull the trigger because I get antsy. On Sunday
(07:21):
Seattle at the Los Angeles Rams. The Los Angeles Rams
are three point favorites. This was our Brass Balls Better
the Week presented by Hard Reck Bet. We're both on
the Rams here. Here's what's making me nervous, and it's
got nothing to do with anything we talked about on
the field. It's only because Matthew Stafford is just getting
(07:44):
glaized this week, like.
Speaker 3 (07:46):
Every single day.
Speaker 1 (07:47):
There's something new about how Matthew Stafford is playing at
an MVP level, how he's getting all the accolades and
attention that he should have been getting for years.
Speaker 3 (07:57):
So much media love. I feel like we've been chased.
Speaker 4 (08:03):
It could be it's our biggest public player of the week,
but I think you stick to what we love. We
love this matchup for them. This is a great matchup
with US offense. Defensively, It's interesting how Sam Darnall reacts
to a really tough defensive front, and you know, a
defense that can be passed on if San Darnold has
the games he's been having. Yeah, chat, we might get
burned here, but one we're getting a great number, still
(08:26):
getting the three at hard Rock, and a lot of
books have moved to three and a half, and us
personally for our contest it's two and a half.
Speaker 2 (08:31):
So I don't know how we can avoid it. It's
great numbers.
Speaker 4 (08:34):
We love the matchup, and the only neg thing I
can think of is just feels like it's very public,
Like the public is all over the rams but sort
of the pros. But I really thought the Seattle Seahawks
would be the public darling of the week, but it
looks like it's gonna be Detroit taking that dog that
the public really loves.
Speaker 2 (08:51):
So it's it's.
Speaker 4 (08:52):
Interesting watching the line movement. Like we talked, there's a show.
It was three at hard Rock. Three and a half,
got touched up a bunch of books, including hard Rock,
and they immediately got bet down. So we talk all
the time. There's some really sharp groups that use hard rock.
They clearly are taking a stand at Seahawks at three
and a half. They feel like that's too much. We
love them at three even better. We get a two
(09:14):
and a half in our contest, So I just I
don't know how we avoid this one.
Speaker 2 (09:17):
I really love this number.
Speaker 1 (09:18):
All right, Los Angeles Rams, we're on them at three,
Baltimore at Cleveland, this was Chat's choice. At eight and
a half, it's at eight at hard Rock. Still a
lot of seven and a half's out there, which is
surprising to me. I thought by now we'd start seeing
a lot more money coming in on the Ravens and
(09:40):
pushing this number back up to eight and a half.
I've loved it all week, haven't found a reason not
to love it. It's the right spot. We've talked about
the Browns at home. Just a reminder since the beginning
of last season, where there's been a tremendous split for
the Browns at home and the Browns away twenty points
(10:00):
at home, twenty points per game at home, thirty points
per game on the road. They give up about thirty
percent fewer rushing yards at home than they do on
the road, about ten percent fewer passing yards at home
than they do on the road. It's just a different
defense at home. And this is a big number. So
you know, I'm still for better for worse. I'm still
(10:21):
all in on the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 4 (10:25):
Yeah, and Cleveland, though there's a lot of dogs this
week that Cleveland feels like it's the same one where
we see, just like you people, we see a thousand
different ways me and check and easily get burned on
this bet. And of course that's life when you're betting
really bad quarterbacks with bad teams.
Speaker 2 (10:40):
But like we say at the time, we're just trying
to play the number.
Speaker 4 (10:42):
Situationally, doesn't feel like it's a great spot for the Ravens.
On the flip side, for the Browns, they've been on
an absolute role of being just terrible on the road.
Now they're finally back home in a great match for them.
So it's it's really about the number. If this was
down to six and a half, seven, maybe we could
talk ourselves out of this, But like Chad said, it's
up to eight and now hard Rock, you know we're
(11:03):
suckers for anything over seven and a half, especially with
the hook. I wish I could still use the stat
which we had been using all year, which is basically
home dogs greater than seven points through the first nine weeks,
it's like eighty percent clip they hit at But unfortunately
chatted his week eleven, that stat no longer matters, so.
Speaker 2 (11:24):
I can't use it. But the thought process doesn't change here.
Speaker 4 (11:27):
Right, It's an undervalued home dog going against an overrated
team on the road.
Speaker 2 (11:32):
Usually these spots really work out for us. Right.
Speaker 4 (11:34):
The biggest worry here is who is healthy for Cleveland
in that running backfield. Who's gonna be carrying the ball here,
because we're not gonna win this on the quarterbacks arm.
We're gonna need a really staunch run game against a
Ravens defense as suspect against their run. So love this
match up for them, lamar I said, I was never
gonna trust their coach. I was gonna wait to what
the B writers said about him. Apparently he was fully
(11:56):
go in practice, it was just a rest Dagg giving
him some days off because he took so many hits
I guess in that Vikings game. So nothing to worry
about if you if you are back in the Ravens
and worried about the more. But on the flip side,
for us, I still think he's not moving quite like
he was before the injury. Like you didn't going back
and watching that Vikings game, you never feel like he
fully went full speed because he just does.
Speaker 2 (12:16):
Not trust that hamstring.
Speaker 4 (12:17):
So in this type of matchup against Miles Garrett and
that defensive front, I just I love it for us
in so many different ways. So yeah, it's there's an
eight out there, like chets at a hard rock. I
don't won't be scared off if you go get to
seven and a half. I don't see his landen on eight.
I think seven and a half is plenty of points
in this matchup.
Speaker 3 (12:34):
All right, we're in on the Cleveland Browns. I love him.
We get funky like that.
Speaker 1 (12:40):
Detroit at Philadelphia. Philadelphia is a two and a half
point favorite. This Simon is our Rock and a hard
Place Bet of the Week presented.
Speaker 3 (12:50):
By hard Rock Bet Rock.
Speaker 1 (12:59):
Look, you just talked Detroit is becoming the public dog
for the week. It's probably what's been tamping down this
number and keeping it at two and a half at
hard Rock. It's starting to move to three in some
other places. That tells me that the professionals are finally
coming in full force on Philadelphia here. Lots of reasons
(13:21):
to like the Eagles, lots of reasons to like the Lions.
I'm going to go with what we've been talking about
all week. I know people are saying there's stories every
day that there are problems with this Eagles offense. To me,
they are different than the problems last year. The problems
last year seemed like Jalen Hurts was lacking confidence. Jalen
(13:44):
Hurst does not seem to be lacking confidence this year.
Jalen Hurts seems to be playing a very conservative type
of football where he is doing what he needs to
do to get his team in a position to win.
That puts them in a position to win a close
game against a very good team by a field goal.
Speaker 3 (14:00):
The flip side, the Lions have.
Speaker 1 (14:02):
So many injuries again on defense that it's going to
be hard for them to execute as they normally would
against still a very very good Eagles offense.
Speaker 3 (14:14):
So we're on the Eagles.
Speaker 4 (14:17):
Yeah, and this should be a gut right spot for
this Eagles offense. I just talked about their whole secondary
feels like it's out for Detroit and now you have
backups in one on ones against aj Guy iView as
a top five receiver and Demonte Smith.
Speaker 2 (14:30):
The iView is a top ten, top fifteen receivers.
Speaker 4 (14:32):
So if Hurts can't get it right here with the OC,
this is this is gonna eventually. I'm gonna say it's
going to start becoming a problem because it's it's November
at this point, Like it doesn't matter in September, October.
You're working through stuff. It's getting a little late here.
And I know I gave him the dry air excuse.
Speaker 2 (14:49):
Last week in the cold.
Speaker 3 (14:50):
Yeah that was crazy.
Speaker 2 (14:52):
It's true though.
Speaker 4 (14:53):
Again it's if you played sports, you know it's hard
to grip a ball in dry, cold air like that.
And I feel the same here where it's like it's
nice weather here in Jersey, it's gonna be football weather.
I don't know if it's not gonna be in the
twenties or in the teams like it was in Green Bay.
So I don't know if Hert's going to have that excuse.
And the flip side the lines offensively, I just think
(15:13):
that offensive line I still have so many questions about
them and the injuries they've had this season. This is
gonna be a real test for them against this Eagles
defensive front that was just flying last week? Is that
going to carry throughout the season? Look we've seen with
Fangs defense. Once they get rolling, once the guys are
comfortable in the defense like last year, they become unstoppable.
And that's why he is such an at importan piece
(15:34):
that Eagles team, that being a defensive coordinator.
Speaker 2 (15:36):
So love this matchup.
Speaker 4 (15:39):
Like we talked the pros, the ones that I can
talk to there on the Lions, this is to them
a Lion spot right. All the trends, all the numbers
point to it. Eagle is super dysfunctional right now. While
on the flip side, it feels the lines are rolling.
But I still think people are viewing this Lion's team
as if it is a Ben Johnson run team. Offensively,
and then their defense does have healthy guys right now.
I just they just don't feel like the same team
(16:01):
that people are building up to be right now Detroit.
So again, no destruction with Detroit. I just don't think
they are a top two, top three team the NFC,
which this is what people are acting like they are
right now, and they can't believe they're a two and
a half point dog against this Eagles team. So it's
not shocking to see the public love for them so much.
But like Chad said, I am shocked this number hasn't
it three. Maybe it will by kickoff, but I just
(16:22):
think there's so much public love for the lines. Even
when people hear this, I believe you'll still gob to
get the two and a half.
Speaker 1 (16:27):
By the way, I don't think the Eagles are dysfunctional.
I think this is exactly functional.
Speaker 3 (16:32):
For the Eagles. This is just how they operate. Dallas
at Las Vegas.
Speaker 1 (16:37):
This is a Monday night game. It was three and
a half. This was Simon says, it's moved down to three.
I think you were a little nervous about it on Thursday.
You're probably feeling better about it today. But the question
is when we get to the other side of the break.
Will this be one of our final five?
Speaker 2 (16:59):
If you have something you like better, you can throw
it in. I mean, I'm with you.
Speaker 4 (17:02):
It's not great having two Mondays in a row in
our contest. It's it's always weird going to sleep and
waking up and having another sweat for the show on
the Monday. But just about the number, I love the
number here happiest year. It came down because I couldn't understand,
I gain why the public re betting the Cowboys. I
did not know why professionals were acting like two guys
coming off injury reserved and joining the Cowboys defense was
(17:24):
going to save this team in such.
Speaker 2 (17:25):
A big upgrade.
Speaker 4 (17:26):
So I was just worried there was something I was missing,
And luckily, like Jeed said, the number has come down.
Don't buy here though, if you're buying the Raiders, there
are so many three and a halfs. Don't don't just
take the plus three, get the hook.
Speaker 2 (17:39):
Get we need the hook.
Speaker 4 (17:40):
With Genus Smith, So chop around five to three and
a half. But yeah, there's a couple of games this
week that could have gone either way. Luckily I didn't
give out the wrong one right The Broncos. They're up
to four and a half now, like that was a
game I was wavering on JK.
Speaker 3 (17:55):
Dobbins on IR.
Speaker 1 (17:56):
There's some other issues going on there, so it's been moving. Yeah.
Speaker 4 (17:59):
And just again I feel like I dodge a bullet
there going the Raiders over that, because it's like, man,
if we're sitting here right now in the Raiders for
plus four and a half, I would have felt like
an idiot given him out on Tuesday. So luckily we've
given out the best of the number. Hopefully people got it.
And matchup wise, we know Dallas is going to get Theirs.
I just I think Chip Kelly, this Raiders offense, this
(18:19):
is the exact spot you bounce back after extended rest
of that Denvery team against a future Dallas team that
just cannot stop the run, can stay out passes up
the seam, and that's.
Speaker 2 (18:29):
Literally all the Raiders want to do.
Speaker 4 (18:31):
Like, I'm not here to shoot on Chip Kelly, but
if you watch his offense, there's not much imagination to it.
He really does what geno strength is, which is just
pushing the ball downfield, up the middle of the field.
So I still love the matchup for them. The biggest
issue is I know you just do not like this
Raiders team. You have not been betting this Raiders team.
So I'll try to convince on the other side, but
I get while you're hesitant about betting it.
Speaker 1 (18:52):
All right, let's do a quick message from hard Rock
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(20:57):
All right, berdy, let's talk about what we do like
and what we agree on. We do like the Rams.
We're going to play them. I think in the contest
is two and a half. We've both been betting them
at two and a half and three. We clearly like
Cleveland as an underdog seven and a half eight eight
and a half.
Speaker 3 (21:15):
That is in.
Speaker 1 (21:17):
We like the Eagles minus two and a half. We're
going to play that one. So we got three games
that we know we like. We got one dog, two
short favorites at home, Cincinnati plus five and a half,
and just.
Speaker 4 (21:33):
So people don't freak out, Eagles are minus one and
a half in our contest.
Speaker 3 (21:37):
Oh got it even better.
Speaker 4 (21:39):
If it lands on two, we're gonna worry. I'm I'm
not winning the lot of rough. I'm losing a ton
of money if it lands on two. So I just
want to make sure people know it's one and a half.
Speaker 1 (21:50):
Good to know, Good to know, Cincinnati plus five and
a half, and it is five and a half in
the contest, So yeah, if you want.
Speaker 2 (21:56):
To be your baby Chad, you want to get it
in there. I got no issue with it.
Speaker 4 (22:00):
Just checking the weather report Cincy Pittsburgh. Well, I mean,
we can talk of all the games affected by the
Lake effect win, but it's basically just what we saw
with that Green Bay game against the Eagles, right, it's
fifteen to twenty Promorro stayed wins thirty to thirty part
our gusts. So you know, this is the type of
game where it might not be a lot of kicking
field goals, we don't really care. We're expecting a lot
(22:22):
of touchdowns. So pretty interesting. The win is going to
be like that where I honestly think that benefits Cincy,
Like that makes more randomness that I think will help
since the's defense hopefully in some ways.
Speaker 2 (22:33):
So I don't hate it.
Speaker 1 (22:34):
I just well, look, I think it's it's we got
we got three to choose two since he plus five
and a half, Houston minus six and a half, the
Raiders plus three and a half. If you feel that
strongly about the Raiders.
Speaker 3 (22:46):
We can go with it.
Speaker 1 (22:47):
I have no opinion on it, and I'm I have
more of an opinion on the other two games, But
you don't seem to have an opinion on Cincinnati, Whereas
I think we both feel like the Texans are the
right side.
Speaker 2 (23:04):
They are.
Speaker 4 (23:05):
I think it's just it's about the line movement and
our contest is seven and a half.
Speaker 3 (23:11):
Forget it. I didn't know that.
Speaker 4 (23:13):
I thought it was six and a half, Like that's
a that's a Tennessee line. No, I'm I'm having a tough, tough,
tough code this week because I do love the dogs
and we're both kind of grossed out by those dogs.
Like again, I'm I'm not here to force in Denver
because Denver is three and a half in our contest,
(23:34):
it's now four and a half.
Speaker 2 (23:35):
I'm not going to force that one. In Cardinals is
an interesting game.
Speaker 4 (23:39):
It's up to three and a half now, pretty first
start Jacksonville. I have to look see what that number is.
That number has them budget all a week. Like there's
a couple of numbers like that that are just like
man as like as a professional, it's like, I think
I have to take these numbers like you said, we're
just we don't love them. That's the hardest part about
trying to get them as our five. It's like I
haven't bet into them like that to make them one
(24:01):
of my five.
Speaker 2 (24:01):
Were the Raiders.
Speaker 4 (24:04):
I could take that stand, I guess, even though I
hate it, but I'm I bet it's the I bet
into it really heavy and it's a good number. I'm
gonna check right now first to make sure it's three
and a half in the contest, because at two and
a half, like we talked about, it's a it's a
not it's not in the contest or a conversation.
Speaker 1 (24:20):
Well, I wouldn't imagine that it is, because it's kind
of been three and a half from the day we
started talking about it.
Speaker 4 (24:26):
So yeah, it is all right. So this is what
I put in chat. I'll just give you what I
put in for us after a Thursday show. I put
an Eagles of minus one and a half, Cleveland plus
eight and a half, La minus two and a half.
I put your Sincion at plus five and a half,
and then I had Carolina and at plus three and
a half. Now, I still like Carolina, but like you
(24:49):
can tell, I'm not as confident as I was on
Thursday show. I just I just don't like the stuff
I've read and seen from Bryce shawng I out of
practice this week, but I still think it's such such
a huge number for an Atlanta team.
Speaker 2 (25:01):
I just do not believe in to be favored in.
Speaker 1 (25:03):
I gotta tell you, I like I like the Panthers
more than I like the Raiders.
Speaker 4 (25:07):
Okay, so you want to do that, then just keep
it as I had it on Thursday.
Speaker 1 (25:11):
Yeah, we didn't talk about we didn't talk about Yeah,
we didn't talk about the Panthers on the show at all.
Speaker 3 (25:17):
Just now, you and I both got a little bit
scared off because we did.
Speaker 1 (25:20):
See some movement that worried us. I think in some
places this line has moved up to four, right.
Speaker 2 (25:26):
Yeah, so we.
Speaker 1 (25:28):
Were betting against the number that we talked about on Thursday,
and I think you've probably been hearing some stuff and
I didn't like what I was seeing in the number.
Speaker 3 (25:36):
I don't know.
Speaker 1 (25:37):
I mean, I just don't have any faith in the Raiders.
I could see brock Howers.
Speaker 4 (25:42):
I know you hate them, but like with the way
we're set up right now, if you did, Carolina and
we would have two one pm games, both three road dogs,
which I love, and like I said, Arizona a team
might like it's two and a half, so like, that's
not going to force in there. And obviously Denver plus
(26:06):
three and a half, I'm not going to force in.
So yeah, it's I'll put up to you if you
want to do. If you want to do Carolina over
the Raiders, let's do Carolina.
Speaker 2 (26:15):
I can give you shift and I believe in this
Raiders team once again.
Speaker 3 (26:17):
I can't wait.
Speaker 1 (26:19):
All right, So our final five are going to be
since A plus five and a half. The Rams are
two and a half in the contest. We still like
them at three if only people are only able to
get three.
Speaker 3 (26:34):
We've betted at three.
Speaker 1 (26:36):
The Cleveland Browns plus eight and a half in the contest,
there's mostly seven and a half's we still like it
at seven and a half. It's Philadelphia minus one and
a half in the contest. We have been betting it
at two and a half go ahead. We are not
uncomfortable with that. And then Carolina plus three and a half,
which you've been going back.
Speaker 3 (26:56):
And forth on. But those are our final five.
Speaker 1 (27:00):
We're going to be back later on tonight to review
everything we've done today. All the misery, all the angst,
all the glory will be on Sharper Square YouTube seven
point thirty ish as soon as that last afternoon late
afternoon game ends. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper
(27:25):
Square all the time.
Speaker 3 (27:27):
Like and subscribe to the channel.
Speaker 1 (27:30):
You can download some Spotify Apple Pods where you get
your pods, rate review, subscribe, Levis five stars say whatever
you want. Feedback is a gift until next time.
Speaker 3 (27:37):
I love you.
Speaker 2 (27:38):
Hey, let's be careful
Hosts And Creators
Colin Cowherd
Jason McIntyre
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