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Nick Wright reacts to Luka Doncic and the Los Angeles Lakers' embarrassing 121-92 loss to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Is OKC unstoppable? Later, Nick previews Week 11 of the NFL season, starting with Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the Kansas City Chiefs facing Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. Then, Nick breaks down the massive game between Matthew Stafford's Los Angeles Rams and Sam Darnold's Seattle Seahawks, and weighs in on the drama with Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver AJ Brown ahead of their game with Jared Goff's Detroit Lions. After, Nick discusses who needs a rebound game more between Baker Mayfield's Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Josh Allen's Buffalo Bills... and what is going on with Travis Hunter in Jacksonville? Later, Nick answers your questions. #Volume
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Speaker 1 (00:02):
Welcome in What Draveing nick Wright Episode three ninety one,
once again going solo as Demonse is out on paternity leave.
This episode of What's Raight with Nick Wright has brought
to you but excuse me, one hell of boy to
start the show, Getting all Choked Up, presented to you
by our friends at Boost Mobile and Straight to Voicemails
(00:23):
Always is brought to you by Boost Mobile and a
lot in straight voicemail stuff We're actually gonna hit on
Insane Night in the Association last night. Last night, Joker
could have scored seventy if the Clippers had any real
resistance to him. Joker scores fifty five. The Clippers starters
scored fifty four. Joker had what right around fifty midway
(00:49):
through the third quarter as he is, I mean, listen,
he's been unbelievable all year long. And then also the Warriors,
after a little unrest in the Bay Area after their
previous game, Steph put the Cape on and drops forty six.
(01:10):
Wimby has a triple double but also eight turnovers, and
the Warriors get a great win over the Spurs, who
obviously are without Dylan Harper Harper, but do have dearon
fox Back. Also, I this is unrelated, but related. I
suppose I because we mentioned Joker and then Wimby. Somebody
(01:34):
posted a screenshot of box Score plus minus and how
Joker is just lapping the field and that's legit. He's
been that good. But it also had defensive box score
plus minus on there, and by that metric, not only
(01:55):
is Joker the best defensive defensive play in the league,
but he is almost twice as good defensively by that
metric as Wimby, which put this in the same bucket
as my commentary on some of the PFF grades or
(02:18):
the original ESPN QBR before they fixed it that had
the greatest game ever played be a Charlie Batch game.
If your formula spits out that Nikolajokic is twice the
defender as Victor Wimbin Yama, you should shuttle shutter the formula.
(02:42):
You gotta be like, oh, we screwed this up. This
should not be a metric that is that we use
or even pretend is useful anymore. And I again, I
think Joker is the best player in the world. I
think Joker's been the best player in the world for
a few years now. Luca and Jannis obviously and Shay
(03:05):
are trying to say something about it, but nobody has
wrestled the belt from him. But some of those advanced
metrics are just broken, just stone broken. And where I
think it could matter is in fifty years when folks
talk about Joker the way you know, we talk about Wilt,
(03:28):
and it's like, well, I didn't watch him, but here's
what the numbers are. At least with the Wilt numbers,
they're counting stats, not and it's things we believe. The
conspiracy surrounding one hundred point game, notwithstanding actually did happen,
but in same night in the NBA, and we'll get
to Lakers Thunder in a moment. Also, Jamis is going
(03:49):
to be the starter for the Packers. And Lamar Jackson
missed practice on Wednesday. I assumed this was his annual.
The got a little chilly and I got sick, missed practice.
But the reporting is that it's something to do with
his knee. If he practices today, it's nothing. If he doesn't,
(04:11):
it's definitely something, and we're not gonna know until he practices,
because it doesn't matter how optimistic the Ravens are. We
know the Ravens and Lamar are rarely, if ever, on
the same page when it comes to injury stuff, So
that's not a big deal yet, but it's something to monitor.
Reminder everybody like rate subscribe review to the podcast. We
(04:33):
greatly appreciate that, and I do want to start with
the defending champion Thunder annihilating the Lakers one twenty one
to ninety two. Wasn't even really that close as they
get to twelve and one, and with the Thunders starting
(04:59):
twelve and one blowing people out. Playing at this level,
it does beg the question of when their second best player,
jadub Jalen Williams comes back, who was All NBA last year,
(05:23):
who obviously fits seamlessly with Shaye last year. But when
they're playing this well, it makes you worry a bit
that adding a consensus top fifteen player coming off in
All NBA season might screw up what they have going,
(05:46):
that they might actually get worse when they add him.
And while one wouldn't advocate that they train that player,
and in fact they can't even trade him right now
because of his contract and when he signed it, you
(06:08):
do worry that it's gonna screw up this great thing
he's got that the thunder have gone. So that sounded
incredibly dumb. Right as I'm saying it, You're like, Nick,
what the hell is wrong with you? The team is great?
(06:29):
How can adding a great player who we have seen
with those guys play great? How can that be bad? Yeah,
of course it's dumb, And of course it's a ridiculous opinion,
And of course everyone would acknowledge it's a ridiculous opinion, except,
(06:49):
of course, when it was becoming the damn near majority
opinion when the Lakers started seven and two and instead
of talking about Jayalen Williams, we were talking about Lebron James. Well,
they sure have a good thing going, Luca is in control,
(07:10):
Austin Reeves is playing awesome. Maybe, just maybe Lebron coming
back would screw things up. That ninety six hours ago
was a quite popular take. Maybe less than that. I think.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
I argued with the owner of this company on TV
about that forty eight hours ago, and it's just there
are so many takes out there that exist around Lebron
that if they existed around any other.
Speaker 1 (07:48):
Player would be laughed out of the room. And they
just but people are so numb to the in conversation
surrounding that guy for the last quarter century that we
accept it. It was a legitimate talk show topic. Will
(08:13):
the Lakers be better or worse when Lebron James Senior
comes in and starts taking some of the minutes that
are currently going to Lebron James Junior? People talked about it.
Will the Lakers be better or worse when some of
(08:37):
the shots that are currently being taken by Jared Vanderbilt
and Marcus Smart go to Lebron James fresh off coming
in sixth and MVP voting and second team All NBA. Well,
you don't want to mess up the flow with Luca,
like we didn't see Lebron last year. Once they got
(08:58):
Luca and he was healthy, seamlessly play off the ball
just so insane. And the the real story from last
night's game is right now, Lebron and Jadubb are right
(09:21):
in they live in the same neighborhood. As far as
overall impact on the game and quality, you know, if
you're ranking NBA players, they're within two or three of
each other. And by the way, the Thunder also didn't
have dort And so how close are the Lakers to
(09:45):
the Thunder? And the answer to that question probably is
not close at all. And while it is incredibly hard
to repeat in the modern NBA, the Thunder who are
beating teams by an average of fifteen points, and at
(10:08):
this point I got, what are a coin flip to
win seventy with respect to the Nuggets and Joker and
with respect to the Calves and the Knicks, and I
suppose I should include the Pistons because they are ten
(10:30):
and two and on an eight game winning streak out East.
The Thunder right now seem to be in just a
different class than everyone else, and the goal for the
rest of the West contenders legitimately probably needs to be
(10:54):
can I make sure I am a two or a
three seed and avoid OKAC as long as possible and
then see what shape they're in coming off a championship
once they get to Round three of the playoffs, because
(11:20):
they are right now, and again, I know Denver's been
awesome and it's also really weird Denver and Okac. I
don't think they play till like February. They play four games.
I think in the final thirty of the regular season.
(11:40):
OKAC seems to right now just be in a different
league than everybody else. So last night was an exciting
night in the Association. The Marquee game. Daniel tell me,
they don't play each other until February first, right, so
(12:01):
they it's gonna be a while till we get to
see that matchup. And so they play February first, February
twenty seventh, March ninth, and then April tenth. So we're
gonna get to see them a bunch in a two months,
you know, two and a half month stretch, but none
until then. But the story of the night was Jokers performance,
(12:27):
Steph's brilliance, and the thunder just putting the Lakers to
better early. Now, the story for this weekend in the
NFL is the best weekend of games we've had up
to this point this season. Games, excuse me, games this
(12:49):
weekend where both teams have major playoff implications Bucks Bills obviously,
Chargers Jags, which barely makes the cut, Seahawks Rams, which
is a maybe game of the year up to this point,
(13:09):
Chiefs Broncos, and then Lions Eagles, and it is a
damn shame that none of those games were able to
be flexed to Monday night, where we're gonna get Cowboys Raiders.
If there was ever a time to flip out the
four h five Seahawks rams for Cowboys Raiders. That would
(13:37):
have been it put that Monday night and put Cowboys
Raiders at four o'clock on Sunday. But they didn't do it.
So we have an unbelievable weekend of football and I'm
gonna start with Chiefs Broncos, where I understand the numbers are.
(14:01):
The Chiefs have lost two of three to Denver. One
of those games was Week eighteen last year and totally
irrelevant to me. What is relevant to me is this,
Patrick Mahomes has played Denver fourteen times in his career
and he's thirteen and one. It's the best winning percentage
(14:24):
with at least ten games played against a single opponent
this century in the NFL. It's the fourth best in
NFL history, you know, not just this century. And what's
interesting is they have not all or even most been
(14:44):
dominating wins or crazy stats because even back when the
Broncos stunk and Vic Fangio was there, they had a
good defensive game play in Foro Kansas City, and Mahome
hasn't had a ton of eye popping stat games against Denver.
(15:05):
The reason He's thirteen to one. Is because whoever the
hell Denver's quarterback has been throughout Patrick's career, They've never
been able to give any trouble whatsoever to that Chiefs defense,
and I believe that continues this weekend. I think that
(15:28):
the Broncos at the moment have every trademark of an
excellent team except for the most important by far, which
is quality quarterback and Bonnicks in the biggest professional game
(15:51):
of his life, other than the playoff game when they
got destroyed, going up against Steve Spagnolo's coming off a
bye is a mismatch, and so I do think Denver's
defense is going to be up to the fight. Denver's
defense is awesome, Nick Benito and company are great, and
(16:16):
even without pats Ertan, that's an awesome defense. There's no
getting around that. But you're not going to be able
to win that game against Kansas City the way they've won,
the way they beat the Texans eighteen to fifteen, the Giant,
(16:37):
the Giant or sorry, the Jets thirteen to eleven, the
Raiders ten to seven, even the Eagles when they had
three points going into the fourth quarter. That's not where
the Titans game twenty to twelve. That's not gonna cut it.
And so I do have a lot of spect for
(17:01):
that Denver oh line and everything that Denver defense does,
but that doesn't change the fact that you have either
the best of the second best quarterback in the history
of the league, fully healthy, with his full receiving corps
(17:22):
up against right now a bottom five full time starter.
That's enough to tilt the matchup. Now, I want to
be clear on this. I don't think you're gonna have
a thirty point game from Kansas City. I think it
is going to be a similar game plan as they
(17:44):
had against the Jags. That would have worked, but Mahomes
made the big mistake of the goal line, which is
be conservative, don't turn the ball over, don't make mistakes,
don't give them short fields, don't let Mahomes get beat
up by that pass rush that is on pace to
(18:07):
break the all time NFL record in sacks, and find
a way to win the game and rustle control back
of the division. Because this is for the Chiefs a
AFC West Championship elimination ish game. It would take a
(18:34):
full blown collapse by Denver if they win this game.
For the Chiefs, to be able to catch them within
the division. And that's not even mentioning the Chargers piece
of it. Now. The flip side to that is, if
the Chiefs win this game, they are, in my opinion,
(19:01):
right back in full control of the AFC West. Kana
City wins this game, with home games remaining against the
Chargers and Broncos, plus a road game against the Raiders,
(19:21):
that's a path to going five and one in the
division if you win this game, and then with the
feeling just being Colts, Cowboys, Texans, go two and one
in that stretch and that's how you get to twelve
and five, five and one in the division, and that'll
(19:45):
win you the division. And so it is a must
win for Kansas City when it comes to their chance
of winn the AFC West. It is not a must
win when it comes to their chance of making the playoffs.
(20:08):
But the AFC is it's really hard to handicap right
now from a seeding perspective, like what will it take
to be the number one seed, number two seed, number
three seed, and are we potentially looking at a multi
(20:33):
way tie of twelve and five teams for the one
or the two seed. The Patriots to me are, and
they're gonna win tonight against the Jets. Are in great shape,
and I just believe the Pats are gonna be the
(20:54):
one seed because if you're New England, even if you
lose your two tough games remaining home for the Bills
at the Ravens, your other games are Jets, Bengals, Giants, Jets, Dolphins.
(21:17):
So if the Patriots can just hold serve, they finish
thirteen and four and with four conference losses, that should
be enough to be the number one seed. And so
(21:44):
and I'm not sure exactly how all the tie breakers
would work for them, but well, actually no, I am.
If they go thirteen and four, the only way they
wouldn't be the one seed is if the Chiefs run
(22:08):
the table, if Denver only loses one game the rest
of the way, or if the Colts. I'm not sure
how the tiebreak would work against Indy. I think it's
too early to see, but I don't think the Cults
are going thirteen to four. So the Patriots are in
great shape and the real fight should be for the
(22:31):
two seed, which again in the AFC this year, is
not going to be any huge prize. The two seed
in Round one likely plays either Kansas City Buffalo or
the Chargers, maybe Denver. So it's just you don't know
(22:55):
how the playoff brackets going to end up falling. What
you do feel comfortable in is if Kansas City loses
this game, that they they are now just trying to
secure a playoff berth and no longer the division. And
(23:17):
if Denver loses this game, which I think they will,
they they then run the risk of having the end
of season that I anticipated when I picked them to
(23:38):
miss the playoffs that they could have. They have a
buye and then they have a couple soft spots at
the Commanders, which we didn't think was going to be
a soft spot, but now you assume that's without Jayden Daniels,
and then at the Raiders. But then the final month
of the year Packers, Jags, Chiefs, Chargers, and you wonder
(23:59):
if Denver, if there is a world where Denver goes
from eight to two, and I think currently the two
seed to ten and seven and the seven seed and
going into the playoffs playing its worst ball again, maybe
(24:23):
I'm just gonna be proven Stone wrong about bone Nicks
and this team on a seven game fraudulent winning streak.
I doubt it, but a huge game and one of
the bigger, the biggest regular season game, the biggest game
that's been played in Denver in a decade, and one
of the bigger regular season games because there haven't been
(24:43):
many of them that the Chiefs have played since Mahomes
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and neither does the data. Here's some that stood out
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or Virginia. All Right, Seahawks at Rams is, as I've
been saying, maybe the game of the year up to
this point. It is wildly important. And also this sounds
(27:21):
so dumb. I hate that I'm saying this, but this
is what I truly believe. It's wildly important and also
maybe not important at all. And what I mean is
these might just be the two best teams in football.
And both of these teams have oddly been better on
(27:44):
the road. They're a combined to eight and one on
the road while being a combined six and three at home.
And these two teams are gonna play each other again
in a few weeks. I don't know if it's a
few weeks, but obviously they're gonna play again before the
end of the season. They play. Yeah, in five weeks,
so they're gonna get a chance for some get back.
(28:10):
What I do think is not likely but possible that
for the NFC West to have a chance at the
one seed, one of these teams is gonna have to
sweep the other because Philly their remaining schedule and their
(28:35):
division is just so soft. After again, Philly is Detroit
this week, and Tampa We've talked all year about how
soft their final six weeks are. That if one, if
Seattle or the Rams can sweep the other one, that
would go a super long way into one of those
(28:56):
teams potentially being the one seed. These are also arguably
the two most well balanced teams in the league as
far as great defense, great offense as far as more
than competent running game and then dynamic passing attack. They
both have two very good but very different coaches. And
(29:18):
it's exactly what it should be. Home team favored by
three old school where that used to be now it's
two and a half really is what the home team gets,
but where two totally equally matched teams will give the
home team three points. And I don't have a super
(29:42):
strong handicap on this game. I my lean is the
Rams because it's in Los Angeles, but as I said,
Seattle's on this insane. They haven't lost it on the
road this year, and I think think they were ten
and zero or they've won ten straight on the road,
(30:04):
So maybe I'm putting too much into the home field
advantage piece of it. The other kind of tangential storylines
are we get to see Donald in a big spot,
(30:26):
and I'm not gonna do the Pumpkin mode thing on
Donald because I feel like he's been so good this
year that he deserves more respect than that. But it
is that the concern last year was how will Sam
play in these big spots, And obviously at the very
(30:51):
end of the year he played his absolute worse after
playing so great all year long. He also last year
lost to the Rams in the regular season but played well,
(31:13):
and then lost to the Rams in the playoffs but
played terribly. So there is that kind of hanging over
the game a bit. And then there is the point
that I have been maybe annoyingly hung up on this
(31:34):
week on TV, which is Matt Stafford cementing himself as
a Hall of Famer by winning League MVP this year.
Because Stafford's Hall of Fame case is going to be
really tricky, and that he's got no all pros, has
never come close to an MVP, has a five hundred record,
(32:02):
but he's gonna finish in the top ten and closer
to five than ten in every major passing stat The
eye test helps him a ton. He's been as an
unbelievable statistical playoff resume, even if it's limited, five and
five playoff record and number one pick. People not necessarily
(32:30):
holding the Detroit stuff against him right now, I don't
think he'd get in. But if you win a super
Bowl and you're a quarterback and you win an MVP,
every single one of those guys has gotten in except
for thiseman. And Thaisman's was weird because he won his
super Bowl in the strike year and the one is
(32:51):
MVP the year after. So point is, I think of
Stafford wins the MVP, he punches his Hall of Fame ticket,
and I think for him to win the MVP, they
probably have to win the division because that's just how
(33:16):
the voting has gone historically. Like quarterbacks, usually it's the
one of the two seed, but the very least you
win your division. So that is kind of a sidebar
story hovering over Stafford, who has just been out of
his mind this year, and how well he's played, particularly
(33:40):
the last month when he's gone in his last three
games five touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns,
no picks, and for this season twenty five touchdowns, two interceptions,
(34:00):
a one fifteen rating, just a banana's bananas season from Stafford.
If he can play a clean, really good game against Seattle,
I don't know if he puts a stranglehold on the
MVP race, but he puts himself in great, great position.
(34:28):
All right, guys, I am going to Los Angeles to
see Demanse and the baby for Thanksgiving, and just like
last year, the day after Thanksgiving, the Lakers have a
home game and I'm gonna go, So I am shouting
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Thank you to my friends at seat geek. All Right,
another one of the huge games Lions Eagles Sunday Night Football,
and once again the Eagles cannot stay out of their
own way despite winning games. And I was listening to
(37:08):
my one of my favorite podcasts, NFL Daily I talk
about a lot with Greg Rosenthal and company, and in
previewing this game, his Cospatrick Claiban, you know, basically tongue
in cheek, melted down about the media bothering Sirianni and
(37:31):
hurts about AJ Brown and about how this team won
a Super Bowl last year and about how this is
much ado about nothing because the latest AJ Brown drama
is him going on a Twitch stream and saying thing
is things are not going well and drop me on
your fantasy team, and how he and I'm sure others
(37:53):
think it's a non story. Here's why I vely disagree
with that. AJ Brown being happy or not might not matter.
But the Philadelphia Eagles, with the most expensive offense in
(38:17):
NFL history, with guys who are all Pro caliber all
over the offensive line, multiple receivers, Saquon Jalen hurts that
team being this pedestrian on offense is a story. It
(38:39):
flatly is, and it's inexplicable. Their inability out of a
buye in a game they scored zero points in the
first half to get AJ Brown involved is inexplicable. Them
leading the lead by a huge margin on three and
(39:05):
out rate is indefensible. And so I give the Eagles
credit because they do find a way to win, and
they're champions, and the defense, particularly with the addition of
Jalen Phillips, is rounding in the form. All of that
is great. But AJ Brown is not wrong. He might
(39:29):
be wrong in his delivery in the way it feels
diva ish or selfish, all that's fine. But his concern
that this offense is not functioning properly is totally correct,
totally correct, and I don't have an answer for it.
(39:55):
It seems like Petullo and Sirianni are while conservative with
the play calls up until they are just lunatics on
the fourth and down at the end of the game.
They have the highest rate of running the ball on
(40:17):
third and long of any team in twenty five years,
which are just give up plays. Now, some of that,
a tiny bit of that might be push push related,
but really their give up plays. And so it feels
(40:39):
silly to concern troll the Eagles, who have won like
twenty two of their last twenty four and of the
defending champs. But it also feels ridiculous to watch that
team have zero points at halftime, to see AJ Brown
(41:02):
with multiple games this year with three or fewer targets
after he had one game like that the previous three
years and act like nothing is wrong. Also, it is
to me at this point a four gone conclusion that
(41:23):
AJ Brown is going to be gone this offseason, and
I would be I personally would be quite surprised, Like
my money would be on AJ Brown is going to
be a New England Patriot a year from now. But
(41:44):
none of that matters for this season. I almost shouldn't
have even brought it up because the trade deadline has passed.
And that's the other part of this that is baffling
to me, you have a buye you decide not to
trade AJ Brown the market for receiver. Like again, this
is me just speculating, but if Buffalo was gonna give
(42:06):
up A one and a three for Jail and Waddle,
I would imagine they would have given up something similar
for AJ Brown. Philly didn't want to trade him, so
then use him. And if you're not gonna use him,
it's gotta be because the offense is humming without him,
but it's not Saquon the game before the buy. Notwithstanding,
(42:33):
Saquan is having a brutal year, he is averaging three
point nine yards per carry. Saquon's yards and yards per
carry by game this season sixty three point three, eighty
eight four point zero, forty six two point six, forty
(42:55):
three two point three, thirty five point oh only got
six carries and a loss to Denver fifty eight four
point eight forty four two point four, the game against
the Giants one fifty ten point seven and then sixty
(43:17):
for two point seven. So aside from the Giants game,
Sekuon this year has run the ball won one hundred
and thirty five times for four hundred and twenty nine yards.
So what is that one thirty five for four to
(43:38):
twenty nine. One thirty five times three is four oh five.
So that is three point two yards per carry. I'm
now gonna check. I'm now gonna do that matth real
quick and see if I got it. I think it's
three point two yards per carry. So we said it
(44:01):
was four twenty nine divided by one thirty five. Yeah,
three point one point eight yards per carry. Aside from
the Giants game, So feed the bald aj Brown. It's
just baffling, and I don't think it's We can say
(44:25):
him being upset is nothing, but the offense not working
is not nothing. Hey guys, are you thinking about upgrading
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boostmobile dot Com terms apply. Another huge game this week
(45:07):
and Bucks Bills and vibes wise important for Tampa, but
not it's important for Tampa for vibes and if they
want to have a real shot at the one seat.
(45:29):
It's not really that important for any other reason. We
talked all year about this three game stretch Patriots at
Bills at Rams and then the six game cakewalk they
have to end the year. So they'll be fine either way,
especially in that division and with the Panthers coming back
down to Earth the Bills vibes wise this is important,
(45:54):
and also logistically wise this is important. The Bills already are,
according to the New York Times, down to fifteen percent
to win their division, and if they lose this game,
(46:16):
that gets cut in half. So unless they want to
be a wild card, obviously they've got to win. But
you also would like to see Buffalo look like Buffalo
against a good team. And I know they just came
(46:36):
off that win against the Chiefs and that was a
great win, but fair or not, Buffalo's the one team.
The beating the Chiefs in the regular season doesn't really
mean anything to them because they're so used to it,
and if they were to lose this game all of
a sudden, They're in Houston on Thursday night, a week
(47:02):
from today, and you also feel like there's a chance
Tampa comes into this game a little healthier than they've been.
They already got their offensive lineman back, and Bucky Irving
and Chris Godwin did return to practice. Now they were limited,
(47:26):
but they're practicing again. Buffalo meanwhile, Dalton Kinkaid did not
practice Wednesday and Khalil Shakir was limited. So Buffalo seems
pretty banged up and seems unsteady. I I still believe
(47:55):
both of these teams are super dangerous come the postseason.
But if Buffalo loses at home after losing to Miami,
I think there is a chance for some real drama there.
(48:22):
It feels like amongst the fans there's already a lot
of discontent. Some fans don't like the GM, a lot
of fans don't like the head coach. A lot of
fans seem to not like Joe Brady anymore, and they
do all of a sudden, the Bills, who were supposed
to have the super soft schedule but didn't take full
(48:45):
advantage of it with the losses to the Falcons and
the Dolphins all of a sudden, their next handful of
games home for the Bucks at the Texans on Thursday,
at the Steelers, and then do I have this right? Yeah?
(49:09):
The yeah, and then against Cincinnati and what should be
a game against Joe Burrow before you go to New England. Again.
It's a tough little stretch. So do I think like
the Bills can full on steady themselves with a win
this weekend? And they should win, But you'd like to
(49:34):
see Josh Allen have an a plus clean game with
some big plays, and you'd like to see that defense
be able to slow down the run, which they simply
have not been able to do all year long. On
the Buck side of things, a great Baker game and
a win would get him back where he was a
(49:58):
month into the year in the real thick of the
MVP conversation, particularly if Stafford and the Rams lose to Seattle.
And I don't expect Patrick to help himself in the
MVP race this weekend because obviously they could lose. I
(50:18):
don't think they will, But even if they win, I
don't think he's gonna have a huge stats game. And
then the last game of the weekend that we discussed
where both teams have real playoff implications is Chargers Jags
(50:41):
and that is a crazy element of where the AFC
is right now. And this will probably surprise people. If
the Jags beat the Chargers, even if Kansas City wins,
Kansas City will still be on the outside looking in
(51:05):
of the playoff picture because if the Jags beat the Chargers,
the Jags will be six and four. Same with the Chiefs.
So if the Chiefs beat the Broncos, and the Jags
obviously have the head to head tiebreaker. So that is
a weird spot for the current Super Bowl favorite Kansas
(51:30):
City Chiefs that even if they win this weekend they
might still go into Week twelve on the outside looking
in of the playoffs for the Jags. And this is why.
And this applies to the Chiefs even though I think
(51:53):
they'll be fine. This applies to the Chargers if they
lose this game. And this applies to the Bills if
they lose to the Bucks. If the Jags win this game,
which full disclosure, I don't think they will. I thought
(52:15):
that loss to the Texans was an abomination the way
it happened, and since beating the Chiefs, they have one
win and it came in overtime thanks to a stopped
two point conversion over the Raiders. But if the Jags
beat the Chargers, they get to six and four with
(52:43):
games remaining against the Cardinals, Titans, Jets, and Titans. Again, like,
the Jags have a very real path even if they
get swept by the Colts and lose to the Broncos,
to somehow getting to ten wins and holding the head
to again if they win this game, holding the head
(53:05):
to head tiebreaker over the Chargers and over the Chiefs,
which is which could create some very uncomfortable situations late
in the season for those two teams. But I think
the Chargers will be able to win this game. We'll
see on tomorrow's show if it's one of the picks.
(53:26):
And I also think the loss of Travis is just
brutal for him. And do I have hope that the
Jags can win and we can recreate this iconic video? Sure?
Do I think it's gonna happen? Probably not last time
these two teams flighted each other, or at least the
(53:49):
last big game these two teams played against each other.
Here's what happened, right, afterwards, I'm gonna tell everyone how
Nick Wright is drid. The Jaguars were four and eight,
and somebody had the foresight to say, they're still winning
the division. And I told you guys a month ago
that the next time they lose was gonna be in
(54:11):
Arrowhead to the chiefs in the divisional round.
Speaker 2 (54:14):
Yo, you don't say everybody laughed at me.
Speaker 1 (54:17):
Hold on, guys, man, never a doubt. I go, there's
a little bit of doubt. The Prince comes through ndefeated
on Saturday, undefeated on Saturdays.
Speaker 2 (54:34):
I forgot about that stupid take.
Speaker 1 (54:37):
My had I forgot. I forgot about so much of that. Also,
my hair was a lot shorter. I'm getting a haircut today. Actually,
maybe I should just play them that video and be like,
I want that Jags. Look, maybe we'll give Trevor a
little a little juice, all right? Uh? Quick listener questions
What presents a bigger problem for Casey in the next
(54:57):
two games? Broncos deep into the cold, Steve into lu Anarumo.
I think Broncos defense presents a bigger problem with the
Colts obviously have a much, much, much more potent offense.
Rule of halves, Why does no one at first things. First,
respect Jackson Dart. I think people we respect Jackson Dart.
I don't. I don't think anybody is uh over the
(55:21):
top about him. But I don't think people take shots
at Jackson Dart. And he asks, what's your minimum height
for an NFL quar quarterback? Six to one? Six one
is my answer? Uh, Nick, do you think Drake May
is actually a year after your top five quarterbacks? Seems
like every year we had a rookie to this tier.
I know he played last year with his first full year.
(55:42):
I mean last year is basically a full year. I listen,
I think he is gonna be in that caliber. And
I don't add a rookie to that every year. Now.
I add Caleb to that before his rookie year. But
I pumped the breaks on c J. Stroud and I
pumped the breaks on Jaydon Daniels. I believe in I
(56:03):
believe in Drake May that he's a caliber Brandon. Can
we please all finally agree Lamar is a better passer
than Josh Allen. No, we don't. We don't all agree
on that. Someone asks, I need three best bets for
this weekend, and I need a win. Tune in tomorrow.
In fact, that'll do it for us today, like rate, subscribe,
(56:25):
review gambling show tomorrow. Thank you to our wonderful sponsors
at hard Rock, bet Boost, Seat Geek, and our friends
at Zen. Also shout out to Blue Dock and Volume.
See guys tomorrow for our Week eleven Gambling show
Welcome in What Draveing nick Wright Episode three ninety one,
once again going solo as Demonse is out on paternity leave.
This episode of What's Raight with Nick Wright has brought
to you but excuse me, one hell of boy to
start the show, Getting all Choked Up, presented to you
by our friends at Boost Mobile and Straight to Voicemails
(00:23):
Always is brought to you by Boost Mobile and a
lot in straight voicemail stuff We're actually gonna hit on
Insane Night in the Association last night. Last night, Joker
could have scored seventy if the Clippers had any real
resistance to him. Joker scores fifty five. The Clippers starters
scored fifty four. Joker had what right around fifty midway
(00:49):
through the third quarter as he is, I mean, listen,
he's been unbelievable all year long. And then also the Warriors,
after a little unrest in the Bay Area after their
previous game, Steph put the Cape on and drops forty six.
(01:10):
Wimby has a triple double but also eight turnovers, and
the Warriors get a great win over the Spurs, who
obviously are without Dylan Harper Harper, but do have dearon
fox Back. Also, I this is unrelated, but related. I
suppose I because we mentioned Joker and then Wimby. Somebody
(01:34):
posted a screenshot of box Score plus minus and how
Joker is just lapping the field and that's legit. He's
been that good. But it also had defensive box score
plus minus on there, and by that metric, not only
(01:55):
is Joker the best defensive defensive play in the league,
but he is almost twice as good defensively by that
metric as Wimby, which put this in the same bucket
as my commentary on some of the PFF grades or
(02:18):
the original ESPN QBR before they fixed it that had
the greatest game ever played be a Charlie Batch game.
If your formula spits out that Nikolajokic is twice the
defender as Victor Wimbin Yama, you should shuttle shutter the formula.
(02:42):
You gotta be like, oh, we screwed this up. This
should not be a metric that is that we use
or even pretend is useful anymore. And I again, I
think Joker is the best player in the world. I
think Joker's been the best player in the world for
a few years now. Luca and Jannis obviously and Shay
(03:05):
are trying to say something about it, but nobody has
wrestled the belt from him. But some of those advanced
metrics are just broken, just stone broken. And where I
think it could matter is in fifty years when folks
talk about Joker the way you know, we talk about Wilt,
(03:28):
and it's like, well, I didn't watch him, but here's
what the numbers are. At least with the Wilt numbers,
they're counting stats, not and it's things we believe. The
conspiracy surrounding one hundred point game, notwithstanding actually did happen,
but in same night in the NBA, and we'll get
to Lakers Thunder in a moment. Also, Jamis is going
(03:49):
to be the starter for the Packers. And Lamar Jackson
missed practice on Wednesday. I assumed this was his annual.
The got a little chilly and I got sick, missed practice.
But the reporting is that it's something to do with
his knee. If he practices today, it's nothing. If he doesn't,
(04:11):
it's definitely something, and we're not gonna know until he practices,
because it doesn't matter how optimistic the Ravens are. We
know the Ravens and Lamar are rarely, if ever, on
the same page when it comes to injury stuff, So
that's not a big deal yet, but it's something to monitor.
Reminder everybody like rate subscribe review to the podcast. We
(04:33):
greatly appreciate that, and I do want to start with
the defending champion Thunder annihilating the Lakers one twenty one
to ninety two. Wasn't even really that close as they
get to twelve and one, and with the Thunders starting
(04:59):
twelve and one blowing people out. Playing at this level,
it does beg the question of when their second best player,
jadub Jalen Williams comes back, who was All NBA last year,
(05:23):
who obviously fits seamlessly with Shaye last year. But when
they're playing this well, it makes you worry a bit
that adding a consensus top fifteen player coming off in
All NBA season might screw up what they have going,
(05:46):
that they might actually get worse when they add him.
And while one wouldn't advocate that they train that player,
and in fact they can't even trade him right now
because of his contract and when he signed it, you
(06:08):
do worry that it's gonna screw up this great thing
he's got that the thunder have gone. So that sounded
incredibly dumb. Right as I'm saying it, You're like, Nick,
what the hell is wrong with you? The team is great?
(06:29):
How can adding a great player who we have seen
with those guys play great? How can that be bad? Yeah,
of course it's dumb, And of course it's a ridiculous opinion,
And of course everyone would acknowledge it's a ridiculous opinion, except,
(06:49):
of course, when it was becoming the damn near majority
opinion when the Lakers started seven and two and instead
of talking about Jayalen Williams, we were talking about Lebron James. Well,
they sure have a good thing going, Luca is in control,
(07:10):
Austin Reeves is playing awesome. Maybe, just maybe Lebron coming
back would screw things up. That ninety six hours ago
was a quite popular take. Maybe less than that. I think.
Speaker 2 (07:28):
I argued with the owner of this company on TV
about that forty eight hours ago, and it's just there
are so many takes out there that exist around Lebron
that if they existed around any other.
Speaker 1 (07:48):
Player would be laughed out of the room. And they
just but people are so numb to the in conversation
surrounding that guy for the last quarter century that we
accept it. It was a legitimate talk show topic. Will
(08:13):
the Lakers be better or worse when Lebron James Senior
comes in and starts taking some of the minutes that
are currently going to Lebron James Junior? People talked about it.
Will the Lakers be better or worse when some of
(08:37):
the shots that are currently being taken by Jared Vanderbilt
and Marcus Smart go to Lebron James fresh off coming
in sixth and MVP voting and second team All NBA. Well,
you don't want to mess up the flow with Luca,
like we didn't see Lebron last year. Once they got
(08:58):
Luca and he was healthy, seamlessly play off the ball
just so insane. And the the real story from last
night's game is right now, Lebron and Jadubb are right
(09:21):
in they live in the same neighborhood. As far as
overall impact on the game and quality, you know, if
you're ranking NBA players, they're within two or three of
each other. And by the way, the Thunder also didn't
have dort And so how close are the Lakers to
(09:45):
the Thunder? And the answer to that question probably is
not close at all. And while it is incredibly hard
to repeat in the modern NBA, the Thunder who are
beating teams by an average of fifteen points, and at
(10:08):
this point I got, what are a coin flip to
win seventy with respect to the Nuggets and Joker and
with respect to the Calves and the Knicks, and I
suppose I should include the Pistons because they are ten
(10:30):
and two and on an eight game winning streak out East.
The Thunder right now seem to be in just a
different class than everyone else, and the goal for the
rest of the West contenders legitimately probably needs to be
(10:54):
can I make sure I am a two or a
three seed and avoid OKAC as long as possible and
then see what shape they're in coming off a championship
once they get to Round three of the playoffs, because
(11:20):
they are right now, and again, I know Denver's been
awesome and it's also really weird Denver and Okac. I
don't think they play till like February. They play four games.
I think in the final thirty of the regular season.
(11:40):
OKAC seems to right now just be in a different
league than everybody else. So last night was an exciting
night in the Association. The Marquee game. Daniel tell me,
they don't play each other until February first, right, so
(12:01):
they it's gonna be a while till we get to
see that matchup. And so they play February first, February
twenty seventh, March ninth, and then April tenth. So we're
gonna get to see them a bunch in a two months,
you know, two and a half month stretch, but none
until then. But the story of the night was Jokers performance,
(12:27):
Steph's brilliance, and the thunder just putting the Lakers to
better early. Now, the story for this weekend in the
NFL is the best weekend of games we've had up
to this point this season. Games, excuse me, games this
(12:49):
weekend where both teams have major playoff implications Bucks Bills obviously,
Chargers Jags, which barely makes the cut, Seahawks Rams, which
is a maybe game of the year up to this point,
(13:09):
Chiefs Broncos, and then Lions Eagles, and it is a
damn shame that none of those games were able to
be flexed to Monday night, where we're gonna get Cowboys Raiders.
If there was ever a time to flip out the
four h five Seahawks rams for Cowboys Raiders. That would
(13:37):
have been it put that Monday night and put Cowboys
Raiders at four o'clock on Sunday. But they didn't do it.
So we have an unbelievable weekend of football and I'm
gonna start with Chiefs Broncos, where I understand the numbers are.
(14:01):
The Chiefs have lost two of three to Denver. One
of those games was Week eighteen last year and totally
irrelevant to me. What is relevant to me is this,
Patrick Mahomes has played Denver fourteen times in his career
and he's thirteen and one. It's the best winning percentage
(14:24):
with at least ten games played against a single opponent
this century in the NFL. It's the fourth best in
NFL history, you know, not just this century. And what's
interesting is they have not all or even most been
(14:44):
dominating wins or crazy stats because even back when the
Broncos stunk and Vic Fangio was there, they had a
good defensive game play in Foro Kansas City, and Mahome
hasn't had a ton of eye popping stat games against Denver.
(15:05):
The reason He's thirteen to one. Is because whoever the
hell Denver's quarterback has been throughout Patrick's career, They've never
been able to give any trouble whatsoever to that Chiefs defense,
and I believe that continues this weekend. I think that
(15:28):
the Broncos at the moment have every trademark of an
excellent team except for the most important by far, which
is quality quarterback and Bonnicks in the biggest professional game
(15:51):
of his life, other than the playoff game when they
got destroyed, going up against Steve Spagnolo's coming off a
bye is a mismatch, and so I do think Denver's
defense is going to be up to the fight. Denver's
defense is awesome, Nick Benito and company are great, and
(16:16):
even without pats Ertan, that's an awesome defense. There's no
getting around that. But you're not going to be able
to win that game against Kansas City the way they've won,
the way they beat the Texans eighteen to fifteen, the Giant,
(16:37):
the Giant or sorry, the Jets thirteen to eleven, the
Raiders ten to seven, even the Eagles when they had
three points going into the fourth quarter. That's not where
the Titans game twenty to twelve. That's not gonna cut it.
And so I do have a lot of spect for
(17:01):
that Denver oh line and everything that Denver defense does,
but that doesn't change the fact that you have either
the best of the second best quarterback in the history
of the league, fully healthy, with his full receiving corps
(17:22):
up against right now a bottom five full time starter.
That's enough to tilt the matchup. Now, I want to
be clear on this. I don't think you're gonna have
a thirty point game from Kansas City. I think it
is going to be a similar game plan as they
(17:44):
had against the Jags. That would have worked, but Mahomes
made the big mistake of the goal line, which is
be conservative, don't turn the ball over, don't make mistakes,
don't give them short fields, don't let Mahomes get beat
up by that pass rush that is on pace to
(18:07):
break the all time NFL record in sacks, and find
a way to win the game and rustle control back
of the division. Because this is for the Chiefs a
AFC West Championship elimination ish game. It would take a
(18:34):
full blown collapse by Denver if they win this game.
For the Chiefs, to be able to catch them within
the division. And that's not even mentioning the Chargers piece
of it. Now. The flip side to that is, if
the Chiefs win this game, they are, in my opinion,
(19:01):
right back in full control of the AFC West. Kana
City wins this game, with home games remaining against the
Chargers and Broncos, plus a road game against the Raiders,
(19:21):
that's a path to going five and one in the
division if you win this game, and then with the
feeling just being Colts, Cowboys, Texans, go two and one
in that stretch and that's how you get to twelve
and five, five and one in the division, and that'll
(19:45):
win you the division. And so it is a must
win for Kansas City when it comes to their chance
of winn the AFC West. It is not a must
win when it comes to their chance of making the playoffs.
(20:08):
But the AFC is it's really hard to handicap right
now from a seeding perspective, like what will it take
to be the number one seed, number two seed, number
three seed, and are we potentially looking at a multi
(20:33):
way tie of twelve and five teams for the one
or the two seed. The Patriots to me are, and
they're gonna win tonight against the Jets. Are in great shape,
and I just believe the Pats are gonna be the
(20:54):
one seed because if you're New England, even if you
lose your two tough games remaining home for the Bills
at the Ravens, your other games are Jets, Bengals, Giants, Jets, Dolphins.
(21:17):
So if the Patriots can just hold serve, they finish
thirteen and four and with four conference losses, that should
be enough to be the number one seed. And so
(21:44):
and I'm not sure exactly how all the tie breakers
would work for them, but well, actually no, I am.
If they go thirteen and four, the only way they
wouldn't be the one seed is if the Chiefs run
(22:08):
the table, if Denver only loses one game the rest
of the way, or if the Colts. I'm not sure
how the tiebreak would work against Indy. I think it's
too early to see, but I don't think the Cults
are going thirteen to four. So the Patriots are in
great shape and the real fight should be for the
(22:31):
two seed, which again in the AFC this year, is
not going to be any huge prize. The two seed
in Round one likely plays either Kansas City Buffalo or
the Chargers, maybe Denver. So it's just you don't know
(22:55):
how the playoff brackets going to end up falling. What
you do feel comfortable in is if Kansas City loses
this game, that they they are now just trying to
secure a playoff berth and no longer the division. And
(23:17):
if Denver loses this game, which I think they will,
they they then run the risk of having the end
of season that I anticipated when I picked them to
(23:38):
miss the playoffs that they could have. They have a
buye and then they have a couple soft spots at
the Commanders, which we didn't think was going to be
a soft spot, but now you assume that's without Jayden Daniels,
and then at the Raiders. But then the final month
of the year Packers, Jags, Chiefs, Chargers, and you wonder
(23:59):
if Denver, if there is a world where Denver goes
from eight to two, and I think currently the two
seed to ten and seven and the seven seed and
going into the playoffs playing its worst ball again, maybe
(24:23):
I'm just gonna be proven Stone wrong about bone Nicks
and this team on a seven game fraudulent winning streak.
I doubt it, but a huge game and one of
the bigger, the biggest regular season game, the biggest game
that's been played in Denver in a decade, and one
of the bigger regular season games because there haven't been
(24:43):
many of them that the Chiefs have played since Mahomes
has been there. Today's show is brought to you by
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and neither does the data. Here's some that stood out
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or Virginia. All Right, Seahawks at Rams is, as I've
been saying, maybe the game of the year up to
this point. It is wildly important. And also this sounds
(27:21):
so dumb. I hate that I'm saying this, but this
is what I truly believe. It's wildly important and also
maybe not important at all. And what I mean is
these might just be the two best teams in football.
And both of these teams have oddly been better on
(27:44):
the road. They're a combined to eight and one on
the road while being a combined six and three at home.
And these two teams are gonna play each other again
in a few weeks. I don't know if it's a
few weeks, but obviously they're gonna play again before the
end of the season. They play. Yeah, in five weeks,
so they're gonna get a chance for some get back.
(28:10):
What I do think is not likely but possible that
for the NFC West to have a chance at the
one seed, one of these teams is gonna have to
sweep the other because Philly their remaining schedule and their
(28:35):
division is just so soft. After again, Philly is Detroit
this week, and Tampa We've talked all year about how
soft their final six weeks are. That if one, if
Seattle or the Rams can sweep the other one, that
would go a super long way into one of those
(28:56):
teams potentially being the one seed. These are also arguably
the two most well balanced teams in the league as
far as great defense, great offense as far as more
than competent running game and then dynamic passing attack. They
both have two very good but very different coaches. And
(29:18):
it's exactly what it should be. Home team favored by
three old school where that used to be now it's
two and a half really is what the home team gets,
but where two totally equally matched teams will give the
home team three points. And I don't have a super
(29:42):
strong handicap on this game. I my lean is the
Rams because it's in Los Angeles, but as I said,
Seattle's on this insane. They haven't lost it on the
road this year, and I think think they were ten
and zero or they've won ten straight on the road,
(30:04):
So maybe I'm putting too much into the home field
advantage piece of it. The other kind of tangential storylines
are we get to see Donald in a big spot,
(30:26):
and I'm not gonna do the Pumpkin mode thing on
Donald because I feel like he's been so good this
year that he deserves more respect than that. But it
is that the concern last year was how will Sam
play in these big spots, And obviously at the very
(30:51):
end of the year he played his absolute worse after
playing so great all year long. He also last year
lost to the Rams in the regular season but played well,
(31:13):
and then lost to the Rams in the playoffs but
played terribly. So there is that kind of hanging over
the game a bit. And then there is the point
that I have been maybe annoyingly hung up on this
(31:34):
week on TV, which is Matt Stafford cementing himself as
a Hall of Famer by winning League MVP this year.
Because Stafford's Hall of Fame case is going to be
really tricky, and that he's got no all pros, has
never come close to an MVP, has a five hundred record,
(32:02):
but he's gonna finish in the top ten and closer
to five than ten in every major passing stat The
eye test helps him a ton. He's been as an
unbelievable statistical playoff resume, even if it's limited, five and
five playoff record and number one pick. People not necessarily
(32:30):
holding the Detroit stuff against him right now, I don't
think he'd get in. But if you win a super
Bowl and you're a quarterback and you win an MVP,
every single one of those guys has gotten in except
for thiseman. And Thaisman's was weird because he won his
super Bowl in the strike year and the one is
(32:51):
MVP the year after. So point is, I think of
Stafford wins the MVP, he punches his Hall of Fame ticket,
and I think for him to win the MVP, they
probably have to win the division because that's just how
(33:16):
the voting has gone historically. Like quarterbacks, usually it's the
one of the two seed, but the very least you
win your division. So that is kind of a sidebar
story hovering over Stafford, who has just been out of
his mind this year, and how well he's played, particularly
(33:40):
the last month when he's gone in his last three
games five touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns, no picks, four touchdowns,
no picks, and for this season twenty five touchdowns, two interceptions,
(34:00):
a one fifteen rating, just a banana's bananas season from Stafford.
If he can play a clean, really good game against Seattle,
I don't know if he puts a stranglehold on the
MVP race, but he puts himself in great, great position.
(34:28):
All right, guys, I am going to Los Angeles to
see Demanse and the baby for Thanksgiving, and just like
last year, the day after Thanksgiving, the Lakers have a
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Thank you to my friends at seat geek. All Right,
another one of the huge games Lions Eagles Sunday Night Football,
and once again the Eagles cannot stay out of their
own way despite winning games. And I was listening to
(37:08):
my one of my favorite podcasts, NFL Daily I talk
about a lot with Greg Rosenthal and company, and in
previewing this game, his Cospatrick Claiban, you know, basically tongue
in cheek, melted down about the media bothering Sirianni and
(37:31):
hurts about AJ Brown and about how this team won
a Super Bowl last year and about how this is
much ado about nothing because the latest AJ Brown drama
is him going on a Twitch stream and saying thing
is things are not going well and drop me on
your fantasy team, and how he and I'm sure others
(37:53):
think it's a non story. Here's why I vely disagree
with that. AJ Brown being happy or not might not matter.
But the Philadelphia Eagles, with the most expensive offense in
(38:17):
NFL history, with guys who are all Pro caliber all
over the offensive line, multiple receivers, Saquon Jalen hurts that
team being this pedestrian on offense is a story. It
(38:39):
flatly is, and it's inexplicable. Their inability out of a
buye in a game they scored zero points in the
first half to get AJ Brown involved is inexplicable. Them
leading the lead by a huge margin on three and
(39:05):
out rate is indefensible. And so I give the Eagles
credit because they do find a way to win, and
they're champions, and the defense, particularly with the addition of
Jalen Phillips, is rounding in the form. All of that
is great. But AJ Brown is not wrong. He might
(39:29):
be wrong in his delivery in the way it feels
diva ish or selfish, all that's fine. But his concern
that this offense is not functioning properly is totally correct,
totally correct, and I don't have an answer for it.
(39:55):
It seems like Petullo and Sirianni are while conservative with
the play calls up until they are just lunatics on
the fourth and down at the end of the game.
They have the highest rate of running the ball on
(40:17):
third and long of any team in twenty five years,
which are just give up plays. Now, some of that,
a tiny bit of that might be push push related,
but really their give up plays. And so it feels
(40:39):
silly to concern troll the Eagles, who have won like
twenty two of their last twenty four and of the
defending champs. But it also feels ridiculous to watch that
team have zero points at halftime, to see AJ Brown
(41:02):
with multiple games this year with three or fewer targets
after he had one game like that the previous three
years and act like nothing is wrong. Also, it is
to me at this point a four gone conclusion that
(41:23):
AJ Brown is going to be gone this offseason, and
I would be I personally would be quite surprised, Like
my money would be on AJ Brown is going to
be a New England Patriot a year from now. But
(41:44):
none of that matters for this season. I almost shouldn't
have even brought it up because the trade deadline has passed.
And that's the other part of this that is baffling
to me, you have a buye you decide not to
trade AJ Brown the market for receiver. Like again, this
is me just speculating, but if Buffalo was gonna give
(42:06):
up A one and a three for Jail and Waddle,
I would imagine they would have given up something similar
for AJ Brown. Philly didn't want to trade him, so
then use him. And if you're not gonna use him,
it's gotta be because the offense is humming without him,
but it's not Saquon the game before the buy. Notwithstanding,
(42:33):
Saquan is having a brutal year, he is averaging three
point nine yards per carry. Saquon's yards and yards per
carry by game this season sixty three point three, eighty
eight four point zero, forty six two point six, forty
(42:55):
three two point three, thirty five point oh only got
six carries and a loss to Denver fifty eight four
point eight forty four two point four, the game against
the Giants one fifty ten point seven and then sixty
(43:17):
for two point seven. So aside from the Giants game,
Sekuon this year has run the ball won one hundred
and thirty five times for four hundred and twenty nine yards.
So what is that one thirty five for four to
(43:38):
twenty nine. One thirty five times three is four oh five.
So that is three point two yards per carry. I'm
now gonna check. I'm now gonna do that matth real
quick and see if I got it. I think it's
three point two yards per carry. So we said it
(44:01):
was four twenty nine divided by one thirty five. Yeah,
three point one point eight yards per carry. Aside from
the Giants game, So feed the bald aj Brown. It's
just baffling, and I don't think it's We can say
(44:25):
him being upset is nothing, but the offense not working
is not nothing. Hey guys, are you thinking about upgrading
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boostmobile dot Com terms apply. Another huge game this week
(45:07):
and Bucks Bills and vibes wise important for Tampa, but
not it's important for Tampa for vibes and if they
want to have a real shot at the one seat.
(45:29):
It's not really that important for any other reason. We
talked all year about this three game stretch Patriots at
Bills at Rams and then the six game cakewalk they
have to end the year. So they'll be fine either way,
especially in that division and with the Panthers coming back
down to Earth the Bills vibes wise this is important,
(45:54):
and also logistically wise this is important. The Bills already are,
according to the New York Times, down to fifteen percent
to win their division, and if they lose this game,
(46:16):
that gets cut in half. So unless they want to
be a wild card, obviously they've got to win. But
you also would like to see Buffalo look like Buffalo
against a good team. And I know they just came
(46:36):
off that win against the Chiefs and that was a
great win, but fair or not, Buffalo's the one team.
The beating the Chiefs in the regular season doesn't really
mean anything to them because they're so used to it,
and if they were to lose this game all of
a sudden, They're in Houston on Thursday night, a week
(47:02):
from today, and you also feel like there's a chance
Tampa comes into this game a little healthier than they've been.
They already got their offensive lineman back, and Bucky Irving
and Chris Godwin did return to practice. Now they were limited,
(47:26):
but they're practicing again. Buffalo meanwhile, Dalton Kinkaid did not
practice Wednesday and Khalil Shakir was limited. So Buffalo seems
pretty banged up and seems unsteady. I I still believe
(47:55):
both of these teams are super dangerous come the postseason.
But if Buffalo loses at home after losing to Miami,
I think there is a chance for some real drama there.
(48:22):
It feels like amongst the fans there's already a lot
of discontent. Some fans don't like the GM, a lot
of fans don't like the head coach. A lot of
fans seem to not like Joe Brady anymore, and they
do all of a sudden, the Bills, who were supposed
to have the super soft schedule but didn't take full
(48:45):
advantage of it with the losses to the Falcons and
the Dolphins all of a sudden, their next handful of
games home for the Bucks at the Texans on Thursday,
at the Steelers, and then do I have this right? Yeah?
(49:09):
The yeah, and then against Cincinnati and what should be
a game against Joe Burrow before you go to New England. Again.
It's a tough little stretch. So do I think like
the Bills can full on steady themselves with a win
this weekend? And they should win, But you'd like to
(49:34):
see Josh Allen have an a plus clean game with
some big plays, and you'd like to see that defense
be able to slow down the run, which they simply
have not been able to do all year long. On
the Buck side of things, a great Baker game and
a win would get him back where he was a
(49:58):
month into the year in the real thick of the
MVP conversation, particularly if Stafford and the Rams lose to Seattle.
And I don't expect Patrick to help himself in the
MVP race this weekend because obviously they could lose. I
(50:18):
don't think they will, But even if they win, I
don't think he's gonna have a huge stats game. And
then the last game of the weekend that we discussed
where both teams have real playoff implications is Chargers Jags
(50:41):
and that is a crazy element of where the AFC
is right now. And this will probably surprise people. If
the Jags beat the Chargers, even if Kansas City wins,
Kansas City will still be on the outside looking in
(51:05):
of the playoff picture because if the Jags beat the Chargers,
the Jags will be six and four. Same with the Chiefs.
So if the Chiefs beat the Broncos, and the Jags
obviously have the head to head tiebreaker. So that is
a weird spot for the current Super Bowl favorite Kansas
(51:30):
City Chiefs that even if they win this weekend they
might still go into Week twelve on the outside looking
in of the playoffs for the Jags. And this is why.
And this applies to the Chiefs even though I think
(51:53):
they'll be fine. This applies to the Chargers if they
lose this game. And this applies to the Bills if
they lose to the Bucks. If the Jags win this game,
which full disclosure, I don't think they will. I thought
(52:15):
that loss to the Texans was an abomination the way
it happened, and since beating the Chiefs, they have one
win and it came in overtime thanks to a stopped
two point conversion over the Raiders. But if the Jags
beat the Chargers, they get to six and four with
(52:43):
games remaining against the Cardinals, Titans, Jets, and Titans. Again, like,
the Jags have a very real path even if they
get swept by the Colts and lose to the Broncos,
to somehow getting to ten wins and holding the head
to again if they win this game, holding the head
(53:05):
to head tiebreaker over the Chargers and over the Chiefs,
which is which could create some very uncomfortable situations late
in the season for those two teams. But I think
the Chargers will be able to win this game. We'll
see on tomorrow's show if it's one of the picks.
(53:26):
And I also think the loss of Travis is just
brutal for him. And do I have hope that the
Jags can win and we can recreate this iconic video? Sure?
Do I think it's gonna happen? Probably not last time
these two teams flighted each other, or at least the
(53:49):
last big game these two teams played against each other.
Here's what happened, right, afterwards, I'm gonna tell everyone how
Nick Wright is drid. The Jaguars were four and eight,
and somebody had the foresight to say, they're still winning
the division. And I told you guys a month ago
that the next time they lose was gonna be in
(54:11):
Arrowhead to the chiefs in the divisional round.
Speaker 2 (54:14):
Yo, you don't say everybody laughed at me.
Speaker 1 (54:17):
Hold on, guys, man, never a doubt. I go, there's
a little bit of doubt. The Prince comes through ndefeated
on Saturday, undefeated on Saturdays.
Speaker 2 (54:34):
I forgot about that stupid take.
Speaker 1 (54:37):
My had I forgot. I forgot about so much of that. Also,
my hair was a lot shorter. I'm getting a haircut today. Actually,
maybe I should just play them that video and be like,
I want that Jags. Look, maybe we'll give Trevor a
little a little juice, all right? Uh? Quick listener questions
What presents a bigger problem for Casey in the next
(54:57):
two games? Broncos deep into the cold, Steve into lu Anarumo.
I think Broncos defense presents a bigger problem with the
Colts obviously have a much, much, much more potent offense.
Rule of halves, Why does no one at first things. First,
respect Jackson Dart. I think people we respect Jackson Dart.
I don't. I don't think anybody is uh over the
(55:21):
top about him. But I don't think people take shots
at Jackson Dart. And he asks, what's your minimum height
for an NFL quar quarterback? Six to one? Six one
is my answer? Uh, Nick, do you think Drake May
is actually a year after your top five quarterbacks? Seems
like every year we had a rookie to this tier.
I know he played last year with his first full year.
(55:42):
I mean last year is basically a full year. I listen,
I think he is gonna be in that caliber. And
I don't add a rookie to that every year. Now.
I add Caleb to that before his rookie year. But
I pumped the breaks on c J. Stroud and I
pumped the breaks on Jaydon Daniels. I believe in I
(56:03):
believe in Drake May that he's a caliber Brandon. Can
we please all finally agree Lamar is a better passer
than Josh Allen. No, we don't. We don't all agree
on that. Someone asks, I need three best bets for
this weekend, and I need a win. Tune in tomorrow.
In fact, that'll do it for us today, like rate, subscribe,
(56:25):
review gambling show tomorrow. Thank you to our wonderful sponsors
at hard Rock, bet Boost, Seat Geek, and our friends
at Zen. Also shout out to Blue Dock and Volume.
See guys tomorrow for our Week eleven Gambling show
Hosts And Creators
Colin Cowherd
Jason McIntyre
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